Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
Chapter 11:
Analogy and Probable
Inference
Princess Armillos
Waldetrudes Del Rosario
Rae Velasquez
Mikhail Fabio
Noun. Analogy
-An inference that if things agree in some
respects they probably agree in others.
-Drawing a comparison inorderto show a
similarity in some respect.
Adjective. Probable
-Having a high chance to be (or become) true or
real.
-The reasoning involved in drawing a conclusion
or making a logical judgment on the basis of
circumstantialevidence and prior conclusions
rather than on the basis of direct observation.
Noun. Inference
-The reasoning involved in drawing a conclusion
or making a logical judgment on the basis of
Analysis of Arguments
-are not claimed to demonstrate the
truth of their conclusions as
following necessarily from their
premises, but are intended merely
to support their conclusions as
probable, or probably true.
-arguments of this kind are
generally called Inductive, and they
are radically different from
Example:
My new computer will serve
me well because my old
computer, purchased from
the same manufacturer, gave
good services.
Example:
A, B, C, D all have the attributes of
P and Q.
A, B, C all have the attributes of R.
Therefore D probably has the
Appraising Analogical
Arguments
No argument by analogy is
deductively valid, in the sense of
having its conclusion follows from
its premises with logical necessity,
but some analogical arguments
are more cogent than others.
Analogical arguments are
evaluated as better or worse
depending on the degree of
probability with which their
conclusions may be affirmed.
1. Number of Entities.
In general, the larger the number of entitiesthat is,
cases in our past experiencethe stronger the argument.
Six happy experiences, intelligent and sweet tempered
with golden retrievers will lead to the conclusion that the
next golden retriever, will be intelligent also.
4. Relevance.
Respects add to the force of the argument when they
are relevant and a single highly relevant factor
contributes more to the argument than a host of
irrelevant similarities.
5. Disanalogies.
A disanalogy is a point of difference, a respect in which
the case we are reasoning about in our conclusion is
distinguishable from the cases upon which the
argument is based. It undermines analogical
arguments when the points of difference identified are
relevant and weakens the analogical argument.
An analogical argument is
strengthened by reducing the claim
made on the basis of the premises
affirmed, or by retaining the claim
unchanged while supporting it with
additional or more powerful premises.
Likewise, an analogical argument is
weakened if its conclusion is made
bolder while its premises remain
unchanged, or the claim remains
unchanged while the evidence in its
support is found to exhibit greater
Proposed Solution