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A DEVELOMENT INSTITUTIONs
PERSPECTIVE
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Risk-Defined
A situation involving exposure to danger;
The combination of the probability of an event
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Project Management
is the discipline of
Planning;
Organizing;
Securing; and
Managing resources to achieve specific goals.
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PROJECT RISK
MANAGEMENT (PRM)
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Risk Management
Is a Comprehensive System that includes:
Creating an appropriate risk management environment
Maintaining an efficient Risk Measurement
Mitigating and Monitoring Process
Establishing an Adequate Internal Control Arrangement
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OR
Risk Management is the;
Identification;
Assessment; and
prioritization of risks
Monitoring
followed by coordinated and economical application of
resources to minimize, monitor, and control the probability
and/or impact of unfortunate events or to maximize the
realization of opportunities.
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ROOTS OF UNCERTAINTY
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Stakeholders
Objectives
Variety of Resources, (human, capital, material..)
Project Organizations
Scope of work
Cost
Time
Delivery of Quantified and Qualitative objectives
Technologies
Environment
Regulators
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(design)
Whichway
How is to be done (activities)
Wherewithal
What resources are required (resources)
When when does it have to be done (Schedule,
timetable)
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Types of Risks
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Types of Risk
Systematic,
nondiversifiable
unsystematic
, specific to
firm or
assets,
diversifiable
ProjectSpecific
Risks
Competiti
ve Risks
Internatio
nal Risk
Political
Legal
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Industryspecific
Risks
Legal
Market
Risk
SOURCES of RISKS
INTERNAL
Process
Resourc
Inadequate
internal
es
es
controls,
Human errors
(incompetence,
inexperienced,
corruption)
IT failure
Inadequate human
resurces
Operational Risks
Legal Risks??
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EXTERNAL
Political risk
Country Risk
Market Risk
Currency Risk
Interest Rate Risk
Counter-part Risk
Credit or default
Risk
Environmental Risk
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Business Risk vs
Financial Risk
Business risk arises from the nature of
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Practice
Risk Classification for Risk
of
Management understanding
Financial
Institution
is to take
Risk that can be eliminated
up
Those that can be transferred
activities
in which
Risks that can be managed
risks can
be
by the institution
efficiently
Financial
managed
X
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Intermediaries would
avoid certain risks by
business practices
and will not take up
activities that impose
risk upon them
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shift
risks
and
that can
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transferre
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identification.
5. Developing an analysis of risks involved in the process.
6. Mitigation or Solution of risks using available
technological, human and organizational resources.
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Define
Focus
Identify
Structur
e
Owners
Define phase: Define the Project for Risk
hip
Management Purpose
Estimat
1. Consolidate info about project, eg., e
Evaluat
Project Objectives clearly stated, Project scope,
e
Plan
Project Strategy
Manage
RPM
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Define
RPM
Focus
Identify
Structur
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Owners
hip
Estimat
e
Evaluate
Plan
Manage
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Define
Focus
RPM
Identify
Structur
Owners
hip
Estimat
e
Evaluate
Plan
Manage
Classsify:
Key Deliverables:
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Opportunities
Threats and
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Description of Risk
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Define
RPM
Focus
Identify
Structur
e
Owners
hip
Estimat
e
Evaluate
Plan
Manage
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RPM
Develop the Analysis
Structure:
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Define
Focus
Identify
Structur
e
Owners
hip
Estimat
e
Evaluate
Plan
Manage
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Define
RPM
Focus
Identify
Structur
e
Owners
hip
Estimat
e
Evaluate
Plan
Manage
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RPM
Define
Focus
Identify
Structur
e
Owners
hip
Estimat
e
Evaluate
Plan
Manage
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RPM
Define
Focus
Identify
Structur
e
Owners
hip
Estimat
e
Evaluate
Plan
Manage
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RPM
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Define
Focus
Identify
Structur
e
Owners
hip
Estimat
e
Evaluate
Plan
Manage
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Define
RPM
Key Deliverables:
1)Project Base Plan ready for implementation
2)Associated risks
3)Associated tasks are in relation with the deliverables
of threats and
opportunities, positioned, assessed in terms of impact given no
response if viable and potentially desirable, along with an
assessment of alternative potential proactive and reactive
responses;
Focus
Identify
Structur
e
Owners
hip
Estimat
e
Evaluat
e
Plan
Manage
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Generic RMP
Table 4.1 Generic RMP Chris page 50-51
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RPM
Manage the Project and its Risk;
I have never known a battle plan to
survive a first contact with the
enemy.
Define
Focus
Identify
Structur
e
Owners
hip
Estimat
e
Evaluate
Plan
Manage
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Define
Focus
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Identify
Structur
e
Owners
hip
Estimat
e
Evaluat
e
Plan
Manage
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Conce
pt
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Planni
ng
Executio
n
Time
Terminat
ion
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PLC
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PLC
Phases
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Stages
Steps
Conceptualization
Conceive
Trigger event
Concept capture
Clarification of purpose
Concept elaboration
Concept evaluation
Planning
Design
Basic Design
Development of performance criteria
Design development
Design evaluation
Plan
Base plan
Development of targets and milestones
Plan development
Plan evaluation
Allocate
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PLC
Phases
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Stages
Execution
Execute
Termination
Deliver
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Steps
Coordinate and control
Monitor progress
Modification of targets and
milestones
Allocation modification
Control evaluation
Review
Basic review
Review development
Review evaluation
Support
Stages
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Steps
Conceive
Design
Plan
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Allocate
Execute
Deliver
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PLC-
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Review
Support
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Phases of RMP
Stage
of PLC
Defin foc
e
us
Projec
t
Identi Struct
fy
ure
Ownersh
ip
Estim
ate
Evalua Plan
te
Manag
e
Concei
ve
Design
Plan
Allocat
e
Execut
e
Deliver
review
Suppor
t
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Probability of Occurrencethreat
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Probability of OccurrenceOpportunity
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SAMPLE MATRIX
Risk
Item
Description
of Risk
Impact
(techni
cal,
schedul
e, cost,
quality
Severity Contingency
(high,
plan
medium
, low)
Ra
nki
ng
Testin
g
Critical
function
needed by
new system
may be
overlooked if
not tested
properly
Technica
l
High
Formal testing
plan
Test plan
Test cases
Testing
schedule
Method to log
test results
Cost/
Quality
Low
Enough
1
research
should have
been done to
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Termi
nation
, if
applic
able
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Project
termination
needs to be
done earl as
not lose
money and
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time
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Culture-Internal risk to
projects
projects effectively
Support by company systems
Encourage people to think and plan
effectively
Culture of what-if approach
Inculcating a culture of theoretical (could
happen) and practical risks (likely to
happen)
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Establish vision
of risk based
decisions
Connect to
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businesses
success
Write manuals
Use risk to help
select
Use risk to help
manage
Identify
Develop
online risk
training
program
Use electronic 05/05/15
template for