Environment: Markets, Institutions, and Interest Rates Importance & Functions of Financial Markets Classification of Financial Markets Financial Institutions Determinants of Interest rates Yield Curves
2-2 Functions/Role of Financial Markets Bridging the gap between net borrowers and net savers. Net borrowers or investors are the deficit sector. They demand loan. Net savers are surplus sector. They supply loan. The two groups do not know each other, financial market brings them together. Providing the equilibrium interest rate. Net savers like to get more interest and net borrowers like to pay less interest. Financial market provides the equilibrium rate. Separation principle: Financial institutions separate the pattern of current consumption from the pattern of current income by means of intertemporal consumption function. People in need of more current consumption than current income borrow money. People who like to defer consumption lend money. Facilitating liquidity: Financial markets provides liquidity of financial assets by facilitating trading of these whenever required by investors. Discovering market prices of financial assets: Through interaction of demand and supply financial market sets of price of financial assets at which these will be traded among investors.
2-3 Types of Financial Markets Debt vs. Equity Markets. Financial market deals with debt instruments like bond, debenture, bank loan, mortgage, commercial and consumer credit is known as debt market. Equity market deals with equity securities like preferred stock and common stock. Interest on debt is a compulsory payment but dividend is not. Cost of debt is usually less than cost of equity. Money vs. Capital Markets. Money market deals with short term financial instruments. Capital market deals long term financial instruments like preferred stock and ordinary stock . Primary vs. Secondary Markets. In the primary market, the firm directly issues financial assets to the applicant. In the secondary market, existing financial assets are traded among investors. 2-4 Types of Financial Markets Public vs. Private Markets. Securities traded in the public markets are traded among large number of investors who do not know each other and cannot devote time, effort and cost necessary to ensure the validity of specialized transaction. In the private market transactions, securities are traded among investors who are generally familiar with each other. Spot vs. Future Markets. In spot market transactions are settled down at available price immediately, whereas in future market transactions would be executed at a some later date. World, National, Regional and Local Markets. 2-5 Financial Institutions and Intermediary Commercial banks Savings and loan associations Credit unions Pension funds Life insurance companies Mutual funds 2-6 The cost of money It means the extra rate of payment made by the user to the supplier of fund for a specific time period. In case of debt capital, cost of money refers to the interest rate. In case of equity capital, cost of money is the required return. This is the return expected by the shareholders to leave the share price unchanged. 2-7 Factors Affecting Cost of Money Production opportunities-return available within an economy from investment in productive assets. Time preference for consumption-the preferences of consumers for current consumption as opposed to saving for future consumption. Risk-the chance that a financial asset will not earn the return promised. Inflation-the tendency of prices to increase over time. 2-8 Cost of Money (interest rate level): Loanable Fund Theory
D (Investment) S (Savings) k Quantity of Loanable Fund Interest rate(%) 2-9 Nominal vs. Real rates k RF = k*+IP k* = represents the real risk-free rate of interest. Like a T-bill rate, if there was no inflation. Typically ranges from 1% to 4% per year. k RF = represents the rate of interest on Treasury securities. IP= Inflation premium 2-10 Determinants of interest rates k = k* + IRP + DRP + LRP + MRP k = required return on a debt security k* = real risk-free rate of interest IRP = expected inflation premium DRP = default risk premium LRP = liquidity premium MRP = maturity risk premium 2-11 Concepts of risk premium Inflation Premium refers to the additional interest to cover the loss due to inflation. Default risk premium is the addition in the interest rate to compensate the possibility that the borrower may fail to pay interest and principal. Liquidity risk premium is the addition to compensate the possibility that the security may not be sold with in a short notice. Maturity risk premium covers the possibility of price fluctuation of bond. The price depends on market interest rate. Bonds of longer maturity assumes more maturity risk premium.
2-12 Risk-Return trade-off k=k RF + Risk Premium (RP) E(R) = R f + RP RP=DRP+LP+MRP Return Risk R f 2-13 Term Structure of Interest Rates & Yield Curve: Relationship between interest rate/yields and time period/maturities. Normal Abnormal Flat Maturity k 2-14 Why Do Yield Curves Differ? (Theories of Yield Curves) Liquidity Preference Theory: Lenders prefer to make short term loan than long term loan. Yield curve should be positive. Expectations Theory: Yield curve depends on the expectation about inflation. If inflation is expected to rise in future, then yield curve should be positive and vice-versa. Market Segmentation Theory: The short term market and the long term market are different from one another. Yield curve should not have a definite pattern. 2-15 Other Factors That Influence Interest Rate Levels: Government reserve policy i.e. to control level of money supply. Government deficit i.e. to borrow or print new money for meeting up the shortage drives up interest rate. Foreign trade balance i.e. larger trade deficit, larger borrowing that drives up interest rate and vice-versa. Business activity/cycle i.e. in case of recession there is higher inflation and higher interest rate.