Consulting Opportunities with a Focus on Indian Auto Service Sector
10 January 2013 Prepared by Deepak Pahwa Indian Automotive Industry - Overview 64% 10% 16% 10% Tata Motors M&M Ashok Leyland Others 41% 27% 14% 14% 4% Hero Bajaj TVS HMSI Others 58% 33% 9% Bajaj Auto Piaggio Others Key takeway In the two wheeler space Hero Moto Corp and Bajaj are the leading players but the market share of these players is expected to decline in the future as HMSI is expected to gain a significant share in the market especially after the break up of successful joint venture between Honda Motors and Hero Group. Maruti Suzuki is the leading player in the passenger vehicle space. The market share of Maruti is also expected to decline as foreign players such as Volkswagen, Nissan, Renault and others are heavily investing in the Indian market and are expected to grab significant market in the future. Also, as of 2012, Mahindra has overtaken Tata Motors in this space. 15% 5% 3% 77% Passenger Vehicles Commercial Vehicles Three Wheelers Two Wheelers Automotive segments Market share (2011-2012) 46% 14% 17% 23% Maruti Suzuki Hyundai Tata Motors Others Market share of major players in different segments (2010) Commercial Vehicles Passenger Vehicles Two Wheelers Three Wheelers Source: Society of Indian Automotive Manufacturing (SIAM); Primary research The Indian Automobile Industry started a new journey since 1991 with delicensing of the sector and subsequent opening up for 100 per cent FDI. Almost all the global majors have set up their facilities in India taking the production of vehicles from 2 million in 1991 to more than 20 million in 2011-2012. Indian automotive market is the Largest three wheeler market in the world 2nd largest two wheeler market in the world 7th largest passenger car market in Asia & 10th Largest in the world 4th largest tractor market in the world 5th largest commercial vehicle market in the world 5th largest bus & truck market in the world Indian Automotive Industry - Overview 30,476 36,612 33,250 43,296 58,583 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 Gross Turnover of the Indian Automotive Industry (USD million) 10 11 11 11 14 18 20 0 5 10 15 20 25 Passenger Vehicles Commercial Vehicles Three Wheelers Two Wheelers Grand Total Production Trends (million vehicles) 20 29 47 0 10 20 30 40 50 2011-2012 2015 2020 Passenger Vehicles Commercial Vehicles Two and Three Wheelers Grand Total Production Forecast (million vehicles) Trends in the Indian auto industry The gross turnover of the Indian automotive industry has increased with a CAGR of 17.75% from 2006 to 2011. It has continuously shown an year on year increase during this period except 2008-09 when it faced a decline in sales revenue due to the global economic slowdown.
The production of passenger vehicles has shown maximum growth with a growth rate of almost 138% closely followed by commercial vehicles with a growth of 133% between 2005 and 2012.
The large population growth of more than 20 million a year and the rising living standards are two important indicators that logically lead to an increasing demand for automotives in India.
The Indian automotive market is one of the most competitive markets with low costs, which make it an attractive assembly base for foreign automotive manufacturers Future Forecast The Indian automotive industry in expected to grow (in terms of vehicle production) with a CAGR of almost 11 percent till 2020.
The economic growth, population expansion and the increasing wealth of individuals are key factors behind the forecasted growth of the sector. Source: Society of Indian Automotive Manufacturing (SIAM) SWOT Analysis of the Indian Automotive Industry Strengths Investments by foreign car manufacturers Increase in the export levels Low cost and cheap labor Rise in the working and middle class income Large pool of engineers Weaknesses Production cost are generally higher than some other Asian countries such as China Low investment in R&D area Local demand is still towards low cost vehicles, due to low income levels Low quality compared to other developed countries Opportunities Growing population in the country Focus from the government in improving the road infrastructure Rising living standards Rising rural demand The car is a status symbol Threats Less skilled labor Lack of technologies for Indian companies Imports of two wheelers from the Chinese market in India Increased congestion in the urban areas Increase in the import tariff and technology cost Growth Drivers of the Indian Automotive Industry S W O T
The Indian automotive industry is expected to grow with a fast pace. By 2016, the government is targeting an annual turnover of USD 145 billion, representing 10% of GDP and employing a total of 25 million employees. The following factors are expected to contribute to this high growth: Higher GDP Growth India's huge geographic spread Increasing road Development Increasing disposable Income with the service sector Cheaper and easier finance Schemes Replacement of aging four wheelers Graduating from two wheelers to four wheelers Increasing dispensable income of rural agricultural sector Growing Concept of Second Vehicle in Urban Areas Source: DIBD OMII report on Indian Automotive Industry Indian Auto Service Industry Current Scenario 2 2 1 10 5 2 51 11 7 Two wheeler Passenger cars Commercial Vehicles Unorganised Service Centers Authorised Service Centers Dealerships Number of auto service centers in 2010 (thousands) 202073, 26% 460503, 58% 125194, 16% Two wheeler Passenger cars Commercial Vehicles Manpower Deployment in Auto Service Sector (787,770 in 2010) The Auto Sector in India has grown in the past decade and will continue in its growth trajectory for the next decade. India is an increasingly favourite destination for Global Majors looking at emerging markets. This inturn, has fueled a boom in the domestic auto market, with close to 17 million vehicles sold in India in 2011-2012. This has consequently affected the Auto retail sector with new entrants in the market expanding their sales and service network.
Established players such as Hero Moto Corp, Bajaj Auto (two wheelers) and Maruti Suzuki (passenger vehicles) already have vast sales and service network whereas new entrants (in the past decade) such as Honda Motorcycles and Scooter India Limited, Volkswagen, Nissan, Renault etc. are expanding their network with a very fast pace. Key Takeaway The above graph shows that in 2010, unorganized service centers contributed almost 75% of the total service centers. Service centers for two wheelers were almost 70% of the total service centers. This is primarily due to high share of two wheelers in the Indian automotive market Almost 58% of the total manpower deployment was in the passenger vehicle service centers primarily because of higher number of service manpower per service center. Source: KPMG estimates Indian Auto Service Industry Future trends Estimated Manpower Requirement in Auto Services Sector (2010 and 2015) 268,448 267,037 252,285 457,367 432,827 415,635 Dealerships Authorised Service Centers Non-OEM/Unorganised Service centers 2010 2015
Future trends in the Indian auto service sector
1) Globalization Globalization of the Auto Sector will increase the skill levels of the service sector. Global OEMs entering India directly or through joint ventures have all created detailed training programs for all their service centers (own and authorized) to ensure consistent service delivery to their customers.
2) Emergence of Non-OEM Service Centers - Unorganized sector consisting of individual garages or a chain of garages form a significant portion of the auto service market. Given the overall increase in the quality of service provided by OEM service centers and authorized service centers, few unorganized players would be able to rise to the market and customer demands. This will give rise to a new segment called Non-OEM service centers catering to multiple brands of cars. My TVS and Carnation are two large players who have entered this segment
3) Multi-brand service centers in rural areas - Demand for passenger vehicles in tier II/ III towns and rural areas will continue in the coming years. These markets may not have volumes to justify authorized service centers by OEMs, but they would have volumes to accommodate Non-OEM multi brand service centers.
4) Increasing demand for specialized skills - Technology currently used in vehicles is of international standards and uses the latest components that are electronic in nature such as micro processors and sensory equipment. Service for these vehicles requires different and specialized skills that would be high in demand and would not be ordinarily available from graduates from ITIs and Polytechnics. These skills are currently being addressed by private training institutes or OEM training programs Key Takeaway The manpower requirement is estimated to be increased by 65% from 2010 to 2015 with maximum demand of manpower from dealerships.
Manpower requirement for Passenger Cars is expected to grow by over 70% from 2010 to 2015. This is a segment that is also expected to witness the highest level of skill enhancement with the emergence of the non-OEM sector. Source: KPMG estimates Indian auto service industry - Challenges faced
Profitability Profitability is one of the biggest challenge for the automotive dealers in India due to the following factors: Increased competition is expected due to multi-brand chains in the future Rising costs Huge capital investment in activities such as manpower training, customer retention programs etc. Reducing margins in products and services Increasing consumer demands Productivity Productivity is a key issue with most of the automotive service centers in India primarily due to: Manpower attrition Poor implementation of the standard procedures Lack of trained (process oriented) manpower Poor management by the service managers Low motivation levels of manpower Processes To ensure smooth flow of processes in the workshop there should be standard operating procedures for every process. These procedures are the backbone of an auto service center. Most of the dealers in India face process challenges due to: Lack of standard operating procedures Poor implementation of standard operating procedures Manpowers poor understanding of operating procedures Time constraint (huge difference between ideal v/s actual time for service) Performance Implementation of standard processes and productivity enhancement can lead to better performance. However to maintain the performance of the workshop, reviewing and tracking performance is also important. Key factors which lead to poor performance of service centers are: Lack of annual and monthly targets Lack of daily schedules to achieve targets They do not prepare MIS reports for management reviews Huge gap between plan v/s actual targets Source: Primary research; Prashaste and idea7 Sewells Key factors contributing to the challenges faced by auto service centers 1) Manpower attrition - Manpower attrition is a major challenge which the auto service industry is facing today. A significant investment is done by the dealer and the OEM to train the manpower. For instance a Hyundai dealer in India needs to train a technician for six months at the dealer end and after six months at the Hyundai training center. If after such an investment the manpower leaves the dealership, it leads to a significant loss to the dealer in monetary terms and also affects the performance of the service center.
2) Lack of manpower training - Manpower training proves to be fruitful for the dealers as it increases productivity, performance and hence profitability. Following are some examples which show the consequences of untrained manpower: Service advisor - It has been observed at various dealerships that an untrained service advisor leads to customer dissatisfaction. For instance - when a customer visits a service center for getting a vehicle serviced, an untrained or partially trained service advisor can wrongly advice the customer for a particular fault in the vehicle. Service manager - A service manager is responsible for managing the workshop. There can be various consequences of an untrained service manager - o Poor implementation of standard procedures o Poor space management o Lack of motivation in technicians o Underutilization of special tools o Customer dissatisfaction
3) Lack of owners interest - It has been observed in the Indian auto retail industry that most of the owners of the automotive dealerships are only concerned about the revenues and profits from the dealerships. They do not care about productivity, performance and processes. Lack of their attention and leadership leads to the poor performance of a dealership
4) Poor Implementation of standard processes Standard operating procedures are very important for a service center. Dealers do not implement standard operating procedures in their processes which leads to poor performance and productivity. Some times training programs by the OEMs result in implementation of standard procedures in different processes but dealerships do not continue following those procedures for a long time. Also, it has been observed in Indian Auto retail industry that dealerships/service centers of Japanese OEMs perform better in implementation of standard operating procedures as compared to service centers of other OEMs Source: Primary research Key factors contributing to the challenges faced by auto service centers 5) Poor customer relationship management/customer retention - Most of the dealers do not take customers feedback after sales or service. Even those dealers who take feedback from customers do not use the feedback to enhance customer satisfaction. Utilizing the feedback (wherever possible) is as important as gathering it. This helps in a fruitful relationship with the customers OEMs usually provide some additional benefits to retain the customers such as a discounted year long service contract but it has been observed that due to low satisfaction of customers, they are reluctant to accept these long term benefit schemes
6) Manpower Supply - Based on Institutes offering auto/ auto engineering/ auto repair courses, it has been estimated that about 530,000 people graduate from these institutes every year. This is the number catering to the auto, auto components and auto service sectors. Yet it is significantly lower than the auto service sector manpower requirement of over 780,000. This information strengthens the fact that man power retention is highly beneficial for the better performance of a dealership/service center.
7) Higher expenditure leading to customer dissatisfaction Indian customers (especially middle class) are reluctant to spend huge amounts on the maintenance of their vehicles. In case of a fault/failure in a vehicle, OEMs service center manpower has a tendency to replace parts rather than repair them (if possible). This leads to huge expenses for customers during servicing and makes them approach the unorganized service centers where the tendency is to repair, not replace, leading to lesser expenditure and hence, customer satisfaction. Source: Primary research Opportunities in the Indian auto service industry Consulting services for the auto service sector in India can be an excellent opportunity as there are few players such as idea7 Sewells and Prashaste (a new entrant) currently present in the market. There is tremendous potential in this opportunity as the potential client base is huge with more than 22,000 dealers/authorized service centers currently present across India. This number is expected to grow significantly in the coming few years as the new entrants in the Indian automotive market in the last decade are expanding their sales and service network. Also, World's top auto retailers such as America's AutoNation and UK-based Inchcape are planning to enter Indian automotive market.
Consulting Services Consulting services to auto dealerships/service centers can be provided to address their challenges and growth aspirations. Their existing performance, which will include a complete check of their processes, practices, productivity, focus on consumer satisfaction and service quality, can be evaluated and a solution can be provided depending on the challenges observed. Services can be provided in various areas including:
1. Strategy building Majority of the auto dealerships/service centers in India do not have a solid business strategy and they follow targets given by the respective OEMs. Automotive dealers can be helped to re-align them to the changing needs of the market. They can be helped to evolve a strategy aligned with a focus on quality, customer satisfaction, high performance and productivity. (Honda is growing so dealer should be prepared) after one yr of dream yuga launch, free service camps etc.
2. Process design and implementation Automotive dealerships/service centers can be helped to design standard operating procedures for different processes. Their existing processes can be restructured to align them with key business drivers of customer satisfaction, productivity of resources and profitability of operations. Processes can include discounts approval, delivery process for workshop, space management, service booking, customer feedback and complaint resolution. (After bike is service, test ride is taken and then job card is given and bill is made. After service job card ca be given so that after test ride customer becomes free).
3. Automotive retail data and research Research services (primary research, secondary research and analysis) can be provided to auto service centers for activities such as competitive intelligence and price benchmarking. These services seem to be essential to face the heat of external competition from the service centers of other OEMs or the multi retail chains existing in the market. Source: Primary research; News articles; Prashaste and idea7 Sewells Opportunities in the Indian auto service industry 7. Manpower retention programs Due to the shortage of skilled manpower in the Indian market and huge expenditures on the manpower training, it becomes very important to retain the manpower as longer as possible. Automotive dealers can be helped to design motivation and retention programs such as incentive structure, performance appraisal, compensation policies and employee engagement programs, to retain the manpower. For instance - intensive structure should be such that it depends on both the productivity and delivered quality by the employee.
8. Customer retention programs Retention of customers is a long term benefit for the dealer. Customer retention schemes such as free service camps, optimum festive discounts, long term service plans can help the dealer retain its customers for a long time. Long term service plans can include an year long service contract at a discounted rate which results in to a win-win situation for both dealer and the customer.
9. Productivity enhancement schemes Following standard operating procedures and training of manpower can result in to enhanced productivity. However, there can be other programs/schemes which can help to improve the productivity of a workshop such as quick service scheme used by Hyundai Motor Company. This program includes servicing of a vehicle in one hour when two technicians on one bay together work on the vehicle. Source: Primary research; News articles; Prashaste and idea7 Sewells Opportunities in the Indian auto service industry Training programs Training at different levels from technicians to owner of the workshop is necessary for productivity and performance enhancement. Different training programs for technicians, service advisors, service managers, warranty managers and owners/top managers can be designed to optimize the performance of dealership/service center.
Training Approach - A successful training also requires a post training implementation which can ensure the benefits of the training to the dealers. Hence a constructive approach is required by the consulting firm to actually benefit its clients. For example one of the leading trainers for automotive retail industry in India idea7 Sewells has designed a four step approach (shown in the diagram) for people development in automotive retail business.
Different training programs for service personnel can be designed to improve their productivity and customer satisfaction
Service managers and Warranty managers They can be provided with trainings in the following areas Process Training (understanding of Standard operating processes) Team Building (how to motivate technicians) Soft skills training (to deal with customers) Customer acquisition and retention (good will warranty) Manpower retention and productivity (motivation n recommend for incentive, motivate by pat on the back) Source: Primary research; Prashaste and idea7 Sewells Train Monitor Certify Hand Hold SOPs compliance idea7 Sewells Development Sustenance Model Service Advisors Service advisors can be provided trainings in the following areas Customer acquisition and retention (they should be trained to optimize the service expenditure taking care of the safety aspect) Soft skills training (to interact with customers) Process training (understanding of standard operating processes) Opportunities in the Indian auto service industry Technicians Technicians majorly require technical training which is generally provided by the OEMs. They can also be provided with team building trainings to make them productively work as a team in the service workshop. They can also be trained to optimize the service expenditure with due care of the safety of the vehicle and the passenger which will result in customer satisfaction.
Owners/Top management Since most of the owners in the Indian auto retail industry are only concerned about profits and revenues from their dealership, they should be provided trainings to make them understand that improving productivity and performance will result in customer satisfaction which leads to increased revenues in the long term. They can be provided with trainings in areas such as Team Building (how to motivate sales and service managers) Manpower retention and productivity Business planning and management Strategy building Source: Primary research; Prashaste and idea7 Sewells Thank You