budgeting) Financial Objectives and Shareholders Wealth
Investors maximize their wealth by selecting optimum investment and financing opportunities, using financial models that maximizes expected returns in absolute terms at minimum risk Objective of Financial Management RISK AND RETURN TRADE-OFF
To implement investment and financial decisions using risk adjusted wealth maximizing criteria, which satisfy the firms owners placing them in an equal, optimum financial position Functions of Strategic Financial Management Investment Decisions Dividend Decisions Financing Decisions Portfolio Decisions
In our real world, each of the above is designed to maximize the shareholders wealth using the market price of an ordinary share as a performance criterion. The Investment and Finance Decisions Investment Policy selects: 1- An optimum portfolio of investment opportunities that 2- Maximize expected net present value (ENPV) 3- At minimum risk
The Investment and Finance Decisions Finance Policy identifies: 1- Potential fund sources (equity and debt, long or short) required to sustain investment 2- Evaluates the risk adjusted returns expected by each of the sources and 3- Selects the optimum mix that will minimize their overall Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
Importance of WACC in Wealth Maximization A firms WACC represents the overall cut-off rate that justifies the financial decision to acquire funding for an investment proposal (as we shall discover, a zero NPV).
In an ideal world of wealth maximization, it follows that if corporate cash profits exceed overall capital costs (WACC) then NPV will be positive, producing a positive EVA. Thus:
Importance of WACC in Wealth Maximization If management wish to increase shareholder wealth, using share price, then it must create positive Earning Value (EVA) as the driver.
Negative EVA is only acceptable in the short term. Importance of WACC in Wealth Maximization
If share price is to rise long term, then a company should not invest funds from any source unless the marginal yield on new investment at least equals the rate of return that the provider of capital can earn elsewhere on comparable investments of equivalent risk.
Importance of WACC in Wealth Maximization
Thus objective of finance is represented by the maximization of shareholders welfare measured by share price, achievable through the maximization of the expected net present value (ENPV) of all companys prospective capital investments.
Capital Project A capital project is defined as an asset investment that generates a stream of receipts and payments that define the total cash flows of the project. Any immediate payment by a firm for assets is called an initial cash outflow, and future receipts and payments are termed future cash inflows and future cash outflows, respectively Dividends or Futures Capital Gains If ENPV is positive, a projects anticipated future net cash inflows should enable a firm to repay cheap contractual loans with accumulated interest and provide a higher return to shareholders. This return can take the form of either current dividends, or future capital gains, based on managerial decisions to distribute or retain earnings for reinvestment Dividend or Futures Capital Gain Managements minimum rate of return on incremental projects financed by retained earnings should represent the rate of return that shareholders can expect to earn on comparable investments elsewhere. Otherwise, corporate wealth will diminish and once this information is signaled to the outside world via an efficient capital market, share price may follow suit. Dividend payment vs Profit Retention Companys retained profits for new capital projects represent alternative consumption and investment opportunities foregone by its shareholders, the corporate cut-off rate for investment is termed to be the opportunity cost of capital. Dividend payment vs Profit Retention If management vet projects using the shareholders opportunity cost of capital as a cut-off rate for investment, then
It should be irrelevant whether future cash flows paid as dividends, or retained for reinvestment As a consequence, dividends and retentions are perfect substitutes and dividend policy is irrelevant. A firm is considering two mutually exclusive capital projects of equivalent risk, financed by the retention of current dividends. Each costs 500,000 and their future returns all occur at the end of the first year. Project A will yield a 15 per cent annual return, generating a cash inflow of 575,000, whereas Project B will earn a 12 per cent return, producing a cash inflow of 560,000. All individuals and firms can borrow or lend at the prevailing market rate of interest, which is 14 per cent per annum. Managements investment decision would appear self-evident. - If the firms total shareholder clientele were to lend 500,000 elsewhere at the 14 per cent market rate of interest, this would only compound to 570,000 by the end of the year. -It is financially more attractive for the firm to retain 500,000 and accumulate 575,000 on the shareholders behalf by investing in Project A, since they would have 5,000 more to spend at the year end.
Conversely, no one benefits if the firm invests in Project B, whose value grows to only 560,000 by the end of the year. Management should pay the dividend. But suppose that part of the companys clientele is motivated by a policy of distribution. They need a dividend to spend their proportion of the 500,000 immediately, rather than allow the firm to invest this sum on their behalf. Armed with this information, should management still proceed with Project A? Project evaluation Projects should only be accepted if their post-tax returns at least equal the returns that shareholders can earn on an investment of equivalent risk elsewhere.
Projects that earn a return less than this opportunity rate should be rejected.
Project yields that either equal or exceed their opportunity rate can either be distributed or retained.
The final consumption (spending) decisions of individual shareholders are determined independently by their personal preferences, since they can borrow or lend to alter their spending patterns accordingly.
What is Capital Budgeting The financial term capital is broad in scope. It is applied to non-human resources, physical or monetary, short or long. Similarly, budgeting takes many forms but invariably comprises the detailed, quantified planning of a scarce resource for commercial benefit Capital Investment Requirements Diversification defined in terms of new products, services, markets and core technologies which do not compromise long-term profits. Expansion of existing activities based on a comparison of long-run returns which stem from increased profitable volume. Improvement designed to produce additional revenue or cost savings from existing operations by investing in new or alternative technology. Buy or lease based on long-term profitability in relation to alternative financing schemes. Replacement intended to maintain the firms existing operating capability intact, without necessarily applying the test of profitability Project Evaluation Methods Pay Back (PB) Accounting Rate of Return (ARR) Net Present Value (NPV) Internal Rate of Return (IRR) Project Evaluation Methods Payback (PB) is the time required for a stream of cash flows to cover an investments cost. The project criterion is liquidity: the sooner the better because of less uncertainty regarding its worth. Assuming annual cash flows are constant, the basic PB formula is given in years by:
PB = I 0 /C t
PB = payback period I 0 = capital investment at time period 0 Ct = constant net annual cash inflow defined by t = 1
Managements objective is to accept projects that satisfy their preferred, predetermined PB Short-termism is a criticism of management today, motivated by liquidity, rather than profitability, particularly if promotion, bonus and share options are determined by next years cash flow (think sub-prime mortgages).But such criticism can also relate to the corporate investment model. For example, could you choose from the following using PB?
Cash flows Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Project A (1000) 900 100 - Project B (1000) 100 900 100
The PB of both is two years, so rank equally. Rationally, however, you might prefer Project B because it delivers a return in excess of cost. Intuitively, I might prefer Project A (though it only breaks even) because it recoups much of its finance in the first year, creating a greater opportunity for speedy reinvestment. So, whose choice is correct?
Unfortunately, PB cannot provide an answer, even in its most sophisticated forms. Apart from risk attitudes, concerning the time periods involved and the size of monetary gains relative to losses, payback always emphasizes liquidity at the expense of profitability
Project Assessment Methods The formula to calculate payback period of a project depends on whether the cash flow per period from the project is even or uneven. In case they are even, the formula to calculate payback period is:
Payback Period = [Initial Investment /Cash Inflow per Period]
When cash inflows are uneven, we need to calculate the cumulative net cash flow for each period and then use the following formula for payback period: Payback Period = A +[ B/ C] In the above formula, A is the last period with a negative cumulative cash flow; B is the absolute value of cumulative cash flow at the end of the period A; C is the total cash flow during the period after A
Project Assessment Methods Accounting rate of return (ARR) therefore, is frequently used with PB to assess investment profitability. As its name implies, this ratio relates annual accounting profit (net of depreciation) to the cost of the investment. Both numerator and denominator are determined by accrual methods of financial accounting, rather than cash flow data. ARR = P t - D t / [(I 0 - S n )]
ARR = average accounting rate of return P t = annual post-tax profits before depreciation Dt = annual depreciation I 0 = original investment at cost S 0 = scrap or residual value
The ARR is then compared with an investment cut-off rate predetermined by management ARR - Example Example 1: An initial investment of $130,000 is expected to generate annual cash inflow of $32,000 for 6 years. Depreciation is allowed on the straight line basis. It is estimated that the project will generate scrap value of $10,500 at end of the 6th year. Calculate its accounting rate of return assuming that there are no other expenses on the project.
Solution Annual Depreciation = (Initial Investment Scrap Value) Useful Life in Years Annual Depreciation = ($130,000 $10,500) 6 $19,917 Average Accounting Income = $32,000 $19,917 = $12,083 Accounting Rate of Return = $12,083 $130,000 9.3%
The Concept of Required Rate of Return for a Project Given an unbiased estimate of cash flows of a project, at what rate should we discount the cash flows of the project? Cash flows should be discounted at the required rate of return the rate of return that similar risk class investments are providing in the market or the minimum rate of return that a project must earn to justify investment of resources Required rate chosen to discount the cash flows and to compute the NPV must be appropriate to the risk of the project. What if we choose a required rate of return that is too high for the project given its riskiness? We will end up rejecting some good projects, because with a high discount rate the NPV will either be very low or sometimes even negative, because we are unnecessarily using a very conservative discount rate. By rejecting good projects, the firm will compromise its competitiveness and market value What if we choose a required rate of return that is too low for the project given its riskiness? We will end up accepting some bad projects, because with a low discount rate the NPV will either be high and positive, because we are unnecessarily using a very low discount rate. By accepting bad projects, the firm will increase the risk of its cash flows. This will compromise its competitiveness and market value Weighted Average Cost of Capital Choosing the right discount rate also know as required rate of return for a project is critical for its success Use a weighted-average cost of capital A weighted-average of the cost of each component of capital used to fund the project, where weights represent the proportion of each component in the total capital for the project An optimal cost of capital is the cost at which value of the firm is maximum For an all equity firm Whenever a firm has excess cash, it can take one of the two actions. On the one hand, it can pay out the cash immediately as dividend or it can invest extra cash in a project, paying out the future cash flows of the project as dividends A firm should invest money in the project only if the project provides a return higher than the required rate of stockholders. Stockholders required rate is the opportunity cost of not receiving dividend or the return they would forgo by not receiving the dividend, which will be the rate which similar risk class investments are providing in the market
Required Rate of Return = r f + (r market r f ) Market rate of return minus the risk free rate equals market risk premium If we multiply market risk premium by the beta of the security, it is known as the security risk premium Required rate of return equals risk free rate of return plus security risk premium How do we compute beta? = ( i,m )/ 2 m Beta equals covariance between the security and the market divided by the variance of the market
Cost of Capital with Debt If a firm uses both debt and equity to finance its investments, we need to use overall cost of capital as the discount rate r wacc = (S/V r s ) + (D/V r D (1-T c )) Where r wacc = the weighted average cost of capital S = market value of equity D = market value of debt V = total market value of the firm (D+S) r s = cost of equity r D = cost of debt T c = corporate tax rate Example of WACC Debt to equity ratio = 0.25 Beta of common equity = 1.15 Beta of debt = 0.3 Market risk premium = 10% Risk free rate = 6% Corporate Tax Rate = 35% What is the overall cost of capital?