100%(2)Il 100% ha trovato utile questo documento (2 voti)
540 visualizzazioni77 pagine
This document provides an overview of different theories of economic development from the 1860s to the present. It outlines the major periods and schools of thought, including classical political economy, colonial economics, development economics, modernization theory, dependency theory, neo-liberalism, and more recent approaches like human development and post-developmentalism. For each approach, it summarizes the understanding of development, key thinkers, and historical context. The document also examines the influence of global hegemony on development thinking over time.
This document provides an overview of different theories of economic development from the 1860s to the present. It outlines the major periods and schools of thought, including classical political economy, colonial economics, development economics, modernization theory, dependency theory, neo-liberalism, and more recent approaches like human development and post-developmentalism. For each approach, it summarizes the understanding of development, key thinkers, and historical context. The document also examines the influence of global hegemony on development thinking over time.
This document provides an overview of different theories of economic development from the 1860s to the present. It outlines the major periods and schools of thought, including classical political economy, colonial economics, development economics, modernization theory, dependency theory, neo-liberalism, and more recent approaches like human development and post-developmentalism. For each approach, it summarizes the understanding of development, key thinkers, and historical context. The document also examines the influence of global hegemony on development thinking over time.
University of Delhi MA in Geography Paper 204 Spatial Economic System MA in Geography Part I (Semester 2) Dr. Anjan Sen, AITP Assistant Professor E-mail: dr.anjansen@gmail.com Mobile: +91-9899919701 Unit 8: Theories of Economic Development Topic 40: Survey of Theories of Economic Development 1860s 1960s Time Period Development Approach Development Understanding Key Thinkers & Influences 1800s Classical Political Economy Catching Up, Industrialization, (still not linked to development) Ricardo, Smith, Marx 1850s Colonial Economics Resource Management, Trusteeship 1930s & 1940s Development Economics Economic Growth, Industrialization Keynes, Hirschman 1950s & 1960s Modernization Theory Linear Progress, Economic Growth, Social and Cultural Modernization Rostow, Lewis, Myrdal 1960s 1980s Time Period Development Approach Development Understanding Key Thinkers & Influences 1960s & 1970s Dependency Theory National-centered Development, Development of Under- development Frank, Prebisch, Cardoso, Rodney, Wallerstein 1970s & 1980s Basic Needs, Grassroots, Alternative Development, Women in Development (WID) Human flourishing, Basic needs to poorest, Local Level Community Development, Role of Women in Development McNamara, Boserup, Streeten 1980s Time Period Development Approach Development Understanding Key Thinkers & Influences 1980s onwards Neo-Liberalism Market-led Economic Growth advocating Deregulation, Liberalization, Privatization Lal, Balassa, Friedmann, World Bank, IMF Human Development, Gender & Development (GAD), Sustainable Development Human Capacities & Entitlements, Participation & Empowerment, Role of Gender Relations & Societal Expectations, Role of Natural Environment Sen, Chambers, UNDP, Cooke & Kothari, Edwards & Hulme, Moser, Brundtland, Kabeer, Elson, Momsen, Shiva, Blaikie
1990s 2000s Time Period Development Approach Development Understanding Key Thinkers & Influences 1990s Post- developmentalism Challenges idea of development as a form of continued Colonialism & Eurocentrism Escobar, Sachs, Esteva 2000s Millennium Development Goals Specific Goals to Alleviate Poverty, Specific Indicators to be achieved by 2015 United Nations Diverse Inter- disciplinary Views, Optimistic post- development Well-being, Sustainable Development, Localism & Decentralization Kabeer, Momsen, ORiordan, Redclift, McGregor, Gough
Global Hegemony & Development Theories (1/2) Historical Context Hegemony Explanation Development Thinking 19 th Century British Empire Colonial Anthropology, Social Darwinism Progress, Evolutionism 1890 1930s Colonialism Classical Political Economy Catching-up Post-war Boom US Hegemony Growth Theory, Structural Functionalism Modernization
Global Hegemony & Development Theories (2/2) Historical Context Hegemony Explanation Development Thinking De-colonization Third World Nationalism, NAM, G77 Neo-marxism Dependency 1980s Globalization, Finance & Corporate Capital Neo-liberalism, Monetarism Structural Adjustment 1990s Rise of Asia, Big Emerging Economies, BRICS Capabilities, Developmental State Human Development
Major Periods Pre-Classical Economics or Mercantilism (16th late 18th century) Classical Economics (~1776-1870s) Neo-classical Economics (1870s-1930s) Keynesian Economics (1930s-1970s) Marxian Economics (1950s-1990s) Development Economics (1940s-1990s) Neo-Liberal Economics (1990s onwards) Topic 41: Pre-Classical Economics (Mercantilism) Pre-Classical or Mercantilism (1/2) Feudal society, at the mercy of Industrial Revolution (18 th century onwards) European origins, achieving national power through economic growth: Colonization to gain control over resources. Based on trade (mercans is trade in Latin) Trade monopolies (e.g. East India Co.) due to colonization [trading in opium, spices, etc]. Trade based on shipping. Bullion (i.e. gold and silver) exchange. Pre-Classical or Mercantilism (2/2) Economic prosperity based on favourable balance of trade: Net exports [over imports]. Protectionism Elites influence on protection of domestic economy through tariffs and other preferential laws (e.g. Corn laws protecting British landlords). Topic 42: Classical Economics Introduction (1/2) Based on critique of Mercantilism. General belief on economic development through Free market (i.e. trade without barriers). Natural order determines price, rent, & economic affairs. Competitive economy promotes public interest. Freedom from government restriction. Institutions supply money. Capital accumulation (savings) output wages. Introduction (2/2) Division of labor related to market size. Free trade. Diminishing returns. Iron law of wages. Formulated amid scientific discoveries & technical change. Major flaws population theory & lack of technological change. Adam Smith Adam Smiths Wealth of Nations (1776): the start Self-interest as an economic drive. Limited government intervention free trade; and self- regulating markets [contrast with mercantile protectionism]. Market prices limited by competition. Invisible hand of self-regulating markets transform self-interest into public virtue. Division of labour (i.e. specialization) enhances production [distinctively industrial orientation]. However, division of labour is limited by the extent of market. Malthus Malthuss Essay on Population (1798): Human progress limited by human passion population outgrows food production. While population increases in geometric progression (2,4,8,16,32,64,), food increases in arithmetic progression (2,4,6,8,10,12,). David Ricardo David Ricardos Principles of Political Economy and Taxation (1817): Economic development through Comparative Advantage Countries gain when they trade products in which they have greatest comparative advantage. Topic 43: Neo-Classical Economics Neo-Classical Economics (1/2) Beginning in 1871: William Stanley Jevonss Theory of Political Economy. Carl Mengers Principles of Economics. Leon Walrass Elements of Pure Economics. Alfred Marshall's Principles of Economics (1890). Free competitive markets as means of efficient allocation of resources. Neo-Classical Economics (2/2) Assumption: Rational and self-interested individuals maximize their utility. Significance of marginal utility: Marginal utility proportional to price (supply/ demand). Long run equilibrium. Minimal state intervention: Laissez-faire. Topic 44: Keynesian Economics Keynesian Economics (1/3) Critique of Classical economics. Gained credence after the 1929 Depression. Keynes The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money (1936): Markets not self-adjusting. Long-run equilibrium untenable [In the long run, we are all dead]. Economic uncertainty. Keynesian Economics (2/3) Savings leads to investment, which matters for economic growth. Capital formation is determined by savings and investment: o Domestic savings are channeled to productive investments such as manufacturing, which results in high productivity. o Growth is market driven. As income levels rise, savings rises, and frees capital for alternative investment. Keynesian Economics (3/3) Macro-level behaviour: Aggregate demand (country level) as driver of economic growth. Active fiscal policy to control markets (planned economies). Economic growth can be accelerated by changing the saving rate. Government regulation of interest rates. Topic 45: Marxian Economics Beginnings Historical dialectic examines where society was, is going, and its change process. Movement from slave society and feudalism, to capitalism, socialism and communism change is based on relationship between ruling and oppressed classes. Reserve army of unemployed. Can socialism be introduced through parliamentary democracy? Marxian View of Development Originated in 1950s to counter capitalism: Capitalist or market economy: o Production depends upon wage labor. o Labors efforts produces a surplus. o The surplus is accumulated and appropriated by the employer. o This often results in class conflicts. Socialist or command/planned economy: o Mode of Production elements and activities necessary to produce real and material life. o Ownership of Production community. Critiques & Success of Marxism Critiques of Marxism: Discussion of socialism not well developed. Worker revolt is weakest link. Overlooked possibility that workers & capitalists interests dont conflict. Success of Marxism: Yet Marxism remains rallying point for discontented people. Class antagonism threat to rulers of any economic system. Failure of Marxism in West Marxian explanation Divide & rule. Exploitation of LDC workers. Media, education & religion supporting capitalist ideology. Powerful legal, police, military, & administrative machinery. Marxian Framework Factors of production Existing rationality, science & technology. Mode of organization of production. Degree of development of people. Relations of production Appropriation of human labor product. Social contradictions under which production takes place. Principles of distribution. Modes of thought and ideology. Topic 46: Development Economics Introduction What development economists agree on? Development economics deals with the economic, social, political, and institutional mechanisms, both public and private, necessary to bring about improvements in well-being. Structural change is an essential part of this process But, does this mean a shift away from agriculture, or increases in productivity throughout the economy? Context Post World War II developing countries gained independence & in-country concerns dominated: Harrod-Domar Model (1946) Trickle-down Theory (Myrdal-Hirschman, 1957-8) Dependency Theory (Prebisch, 1959-60) Stages of Growth (Rostow, 1960) Neo-Marxist Model (Baran, 1960) Neo-Colonial Dependence Model (Santos, 1969) Urban Bias (Lipton, 1977) Basic Needs Approach (Streeten, 1979) Harrod-Domar Model Harrod-Domar Model (1946): Inspired by Keynesian economics. GDP growth rate (g) depends directly on the national saving ratio (s) and inversely on the national capital/output ratio (k) (adjusted for depreciation (d)) [g = (s/k)-d]. Need for capital formation (i.e. investment) for economic growth. National savings as a source for capital. International aid as supplement (financing gap) for savings for economic growth. Trickle-down Economics (1/2) Gunnar Myrdal (1957) and Albert O. Hirschman (1958): No specific economist associated with this; yet, many governments have implicitly or explicitly subscribed to this. Overall economic growth benefits the poor, since benefits will ultimately trickle down the economic ladder. - continued - Trickle-down Economics (2/2) Tax benefits to businesses will benefit the poor, since businesses will then expand, and absorb more labour (thus creating jobs). Critique: Overall economic growth does not imply that benefits are shared by all in the economy (there could be dualistic economy). Redistribution is not automatic. Despite it being criticized and rejected, it manages to survive in many circles. Dependency Theory Raul Prebisch (1959-60): Contrary to classical and neo-classical position that trade is necessarily beneficial. Countries in the centre (Europe/ N America) gain over weaker peripheral countries in trade. While Centre trades in industrial goods, peripheral countries trade in primary goods. Import substitution policies to stimulate domestic industries. Stages of Growth (1/8) Walter W. Rostow (1960): Stage 1 Traditional society. Stage 2 Pre-conditions for Take-off. Stage 3 Take-off. Stage 4 Drive to maturity. Stage 5 Age of High-mass Consumption. Stage 6 Beyond Consumption. Stages of Growth (2/8) Stage 1 Traditional Society: Pre-Newtonian or 18 th century subsistence agriculture, barter economy, hierarchical structure, low social mobility. Lumps past economies, Developed Countries 19 th
century, and Less Developed Countries today together. Neglects dualism of many low-income countries today. Stages of Growth (3/8) Stage 2 Pre-conditions for Take-off: Agricultural modernization. Transition to industrial economy. Infrastructure growth and centralization. Increased transport investment enlarge market & specialization. Agricultural revolution to feed urban population. Expansion of imports (especially capital), perhaps financed by exporting natural resources. Stages of Growth (4/8) Stage 3 Take-off: Increase in industrialization, high investment, and steady economic growth Decisive expansion in 2-3 decades. Radically transforms economy and society. Barriers to steady growth overcome. - Continued - Stages of Growth (5/8) Late 18th-century Britain, pre-civil war US, late- 19th-century Germany, post-Meiji (1868) Japan, pre-1917 Russia, post-1947 India, and post-1949 China. I/NNP increases sharply, say 5 to 10%. Leading manufacturing sector stimulates growth through linkages. Political, social, & institutional framework to exploit modern expansion: entrepreneurship, retained earnings, banks & capital markets, foreign investment. Stages of Growth (6/8) Stage 4 Drive to Maturity: Economic and technical progress; diversification. Growth regular, expected and self-sustained. Urban, skilled, less individualistic, more bureaucratic labor force. State provides more economic security. Stages of Growth (7/8) Stage 5 Age of High Mass Consumption: Social prosperity; mass consumption, and dominance of service sector. Alternative: welfare state, military power. US 1920s, Western Europe 1950s. Autos, suburbs, innumerable durable consumer goods and gadgets. Stages of Growth (8/8) Critiques of Rostows Model: Difficult to test and Lack of empirical evidence. No historical evidence of abruptness. Stages define, not explain; and are not unique. Dualism (not just pre-science and technology). How does an economy move to next stage? Does self-sustained growth imply effortlessness? Are obstacles to growth removed? Is this Western (or US) model in disguise? Modernization Theory This theory suggests that economic dimension alone is insufficient, and incorporates theories on institutional and social change: Incorporates non-economic elements such as social practices, beliefs, values and customs. Diffusion and speed of change is critical as it removes various cultural and social barriers. Backward internal structures, rather than external factors cause underdevelopment. Neo-Marxist Model (1/4) Paul A. Baran (1960) Outgrowth of Marxist thinking, applicable in Asia, Africa and Latin America: Western economic and political domination unfavorable. Western monopolistic business transferred to LDCs. Bourgeoisie in LDCs too weak to accumulate capital and provide institutional change. Bourgeoisie ally with moderate leaders of workers and peasants. Neo-Marxist Model (2/4) Form New Deal coalition democratic, anti- feudal, anti-imperialist, supportive of indigenous capitalists. Indigenous middle and capitalist classes unwilling or unable to reduce poverty and provide economic development for masses. Bourgeoisie frightened and forced into alliance with landed interests and foreign capitalists. Government supported by foreign economic and military assistance. Neo-Marxist Model (3/4) Progressive coalition breaks down. Overriding interest in preventing socialism. Needed: progressive income tax; landlords invest productively, public investment where private capital does not venture or where monopolies or where infrastructure required. Impossible populist forces further polarization, radicalism and revolt. Impasse broken by expropriation and ethos of collective effort. Neo-Marxist Model (4/4) Critique: Potential conflict of interest between local and foreign capital. Nationalism and decline of colonial economic ties. Couldnt revolution just transfer from one elite to another, e.g. USSR? USSR is Barans model collectivism not market socialism. Is transition of squalor, workers poverty & other human costs inevitable? Class interests under socialism. Neo-colonial Dependence Model (1/2) Dos Santos (1969) Outgrowth of Marxist thinking, in Latin America: Underdevelopment due to historical evolution of an international capitalist system: o Unequal production relations. o rich country-poor country relations. o Sets up center versus periphery contrast. o Attempts to become self-reliant and progressive are suppressed by this relationship. - Continued - Neo-colonial Dependence Model (2/2) Elites in the developing world (e.g. landlords, money-lenders, priests, merchants, etc) enjoy high incomes, social status and political power. o They promote conformity and inequality, and are rewarded. o They facilitate international power groups like multi-national companies (MNC), financial assistance agencies (WB and IMF), and other agents. Urban Bias Michael Lipton (1977): Bias in putting more investment in urban areas. Urban populations are more organized and politically powerful compared to rural people. Trade protectionist policies and low food prices adversely affect rural areas, as farmers do not benefit. Urban bias induces rural-urban migration [better job opportunities, but increased crowding and informal sector employment]. Basic Needs Approach Paul Streeten (1979): Critique of macro-level economic growth theories. Reduce mass deprivation; give everyone an opportunity to live a full life. Development is a function of meeting human beings basic needs. Most country policies translated basic needs as food, shelter, and clothing. Topic 47: Neo-Liberal Economics (Neo-Liberalism) Introduction (1/3) Context: 1980s economically conservative governments, Reagan-Thatcher era, Fall of Berlin Wall, Demise of socialist economies, Globalization, Information & Communication Technology (ICT), View dominant in World Bank and IMF. Introduction (2/3) Designed to counteract impact of Keynesianism: New emphasis on supply side factors in development private initiatives and market led growth. Moves away from demand stimulation (interest rate manipulation), import substitution, state intervention and centralized planning. Gradual industrialization with trickle down of benefits to all social classes. Introduction (3/3) Neo-liberals slow growth due to poor resource allocation at non-market prices and excessive LDC state intervention. Promote free markets, privatize public firms, free trade, liberalizing exchange, encourage foreign direct investment (FDI), reward savings, reduce government spending & monetary expansion, remove price distortions & regulations. Free markets Korea, Taiwan, Singapore, Hong Kong, Malaysia, Thailand and Indonesia. Washington Consensus (1/3) Economically influential bits of Washington (US government and international financial institutions). Reduce government role (New Public Management to emulate business practices); contractual relationships and outsourcing. IMF & World Bank lending policies: o Stabilization policies pursue macro-economic stability by controlling inflation and reducing fiscal deficits. o Structural adjustment open economies to the world through trade and currency liberalization; liberalize domestic economy through privatization and deregulation. Washington Consensus (2/3) Emphasis on: Price de-control Fiscal discipline Reduce public spending Tax reform Financial liberalization Competitive exchange rates Trade liberalization Domestic savings Foreign direct investment Privatization Deregulation Property rights Universal consensus Big bang or shock therapy
Washington Consensus (3/3) Criticisms: Neo-liberalism concerned with operation of markets, not with how markets develop or with policies to induce development. Stiglitz Washington Consensus benefits few at expense of many, rich relative to poor. Income distribution and capital controls. New Institutional Economics New Institutional Economics (1990s): Policies, laws, rules, and regulations & their enforcement (i.e. institutions) hold incentives for productive activities. Effective legal system for securing property rights. Institutions could reduce or increase transaction costs. Organizational effectiveness according to their comparative advantage (public/ private/ non- profits). Topic 48: Summary of Emerging Policy Perspectives Stages The Policy perspective is historically spread over five stages: 1945 to mid 1950s Mid 1950s to Late 1960s Late 1960s to 1980s 1980s and 1990s Post 1990s 1945 to Mid 1950s Context Political independence of several developing countries. Worldwide policies to boost aggregate demand (Keynesian). Setting up of the Bretton Woods institutions (World Bank, IMF, WTO). State intervention and planned/command economy (Soviet Union). 1945 to Mid 1950s Ideas Under-development or low-level equilibrium caused by low savings. High population growth. Rosenstein-Rodan and Nurkse Market failures due to scale economies and externalities. Lewis Dual economy with traditional / backward sector (rural-agriculture) and modern sector (urban- industry). Lewis and Hirschman Emphasis on inter-sector linkages and discussions about the benefits of balanced versus unbalanced economic growth. Mid 1950s to Late 1960s Context Myrdal Uneven international development and import substitution policies to promote industrialisation. Mid 1950s to Late 1960s Ideas Baran Marxist theorists gave importance to political and social factors in development, inefficiency and corruption of capitalist state. Cardoso, Prebisch, and Chenery Structuralism recognition of structural rigidities typical of Developing Countries. Singer and Prebisch supply rigidities in agriculture and industry, terms of trade weighted against developing countries. Late 1960s to 1980s Context Emergence of the Newly Industrialised Countries (NICs) Taiwan, Singapore, South Korea, Hong Kong. Debt problem in Latin America and Sub-Saharan Africa. Late 1960s to 1980s Ideas Revival of neo-classical economics. Lal, Little, Scitovsky free market policies and export orientation. Emergence of basic needs agenda. Emphasising neglect of the poor. Dependency School criticism of structure of international relations and trade (and TNCs), which systematically hampers efforts of Import Substitution & Industrialization (ISI) in countries. 1980s and 1990s Context Debt crisis. IMF and WB first structural adjustment wave recession and poverty increases. Revision of the NICs experiences show the scope for state intervention and the synergies between states and markets. But continuing pressure to liberalise. 1980s and 1990s Ideas New growth theory emphasize role of income inequality, education and natural resources, New structuralist theory studying problems of determinants of growth, income distribution, inflation, and fiscal and balance of payments. New neo-classical approaches (industrial organisation, game theory and information economics) applied to development (agrarian relations, income distribution, causes of poverty). Post 1990s Rediscovery of state intervention and regulation (back to the 1940s???).