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procurement of rolling stock must a unified procurement policy to bring cost of maintenance and increase reliability of the LRT System.
Public sector maintenance brings down ridership based on MRT3 experience when public sector assumed procurement of maintenance services.
procurement of rolling stock must a unified procurement policy to bring cost of maintenance and increase reliability of the LRT System.
Public sector maintenance brings down ridership based on MRT3 experience when public sector assumed procurement of maintenance services.
procurement of rolling stock must a unified procurement policy to bring cost of maintenance and increase reliability of the LRT System.
Public sector maintenance brings down ridership based on MRT3 experience when public sector assumed procurement of maintenance services.
Rommel C. Gavieta MA (URP), MSc (Eng) Metro Rail Transit Holdings Inc Asia Rail Summit 2014 Shangrila Hotel Bangkok, Thaiiand Metro Manila as a Mega-City and Traffic Congestion 21 mega-cities are in Asia out of 36 mega-cities (2012) Metro Manila is second to Tokyo with 70% of the population taking public transportation. (http://ncts.upd.edu.ph/old/research/docs/research/papers/tiglao-EASTS2007-02.pdf)
Jica experts has said that Philippine the government would need to invest P2.3 trillion through 2030 to overhaul transportation infrastructure in Metro Manila.
It estimated that about P2.4 billion in potential income was being lost daily due to congestion at the capitals roads and railways. (http://www.jica.go.jp/philippine/english/office/topics/news/130801.html and http://business.inquirer.net/158419/jicas-expanded-mass-transport-study-seen-out-within- 2014#ixzz35kflDDX7) Metro Manila as a Mega-City
http://www.forbes.com/sites/davidferris/2012/08/31/the-stark-environmental-challenge-of- asias-megacities/2/ Proposed Metro Manila LRT/MRT and Rail Lines Proposed Lines (JICA):
Primary Lines: 1. PNR rehabilitation or LRT5 (PhP25b Malolos- Calamba), (LRT5) 2. MRT4 and MRT7 (Recto to Banaba PhP180billion), 3. Mega-Manila Subway (550billion) 4. Baclaran-Bacoor or LRT6 (PhP60billion PPP awarded)
4 Matching Design Capacity with Appropriate Types of Rolling Stocks
Seven generic types of train: Shorter Distance Self-Powered (diesel, generally with 75 mph maximum speed); Middle Distance Self-Powered (diesel, with 90/ 100 mph capability); Long Distance Self-Powered (diesel, with 100/ 110/ 125 mph capability); Shorter Distance Electric (generally with 75 mph maximum speed); Middle Distance Electric (with 90/ 100/ 110 mph capability. Some future trains may require 125 mph capability); Long Distance Electric (with 100/ 110/ 125 mph capability); Very High Speed Electric (140 mph and above, for domestic services on HS1 and HS2).
(ATOC; Long Term Passenger Rolling Stock Strategy for the Rail Industry; Feb 2013)
Existing Metro Manila LRT/MRT and Rail Lines 6 Existing LRT/MRT and PNR Lines Capacities LRT/MRT and PNR Lines LRT1: 15km competed 1985 (street cars operating as LRTs) 430,000 passengers a day 139 cars operating only 80 cars 550,000 passenger a day design capacity
LRT2: 14Km completed 2008 (MRT operating as LRT) 250,000 passengers a day 72 cars operating only 43 cars 360,000 passenger a day design capacity
MRT3: 16km completed 2000 (street cars operating as MRT) 450,000 passengers a day 70 cars operating 40 cars 350,000 passenger design capacity
PNR: 56 km Urban Line 100,000 passengers a day in a traffic corridor that carries approximately 1.0million commuters a day. 18 cars and 56km
Benchmarking against Globally Accepted Reliability Norms in Rail Revenue Service
MTR Hong Kong Train Reliability: train car-km per train failure causing delays 5 minutes
Rolling Stock and Track Maintenance Co- relationship Strong mutual dependency and interference of wear and tear of key assets (rolling stock and infrastructure) this does not hold true for gas and water, telecom and electricity, or air transport
The cost and quality of train operations depend on the condition of the tracks (high maintenance requirement for rolling stock, low maximum speed, etc. if tracks are in bad condition)
The cost of infrastructure maintenance depends on the condition and operation of rolling stock (high wear and tear of tracks if wheels are uneven, speed is high, braking is strong, etc.) Design Capacity and Operating Capacity LRT1 Rolling Stock Fleet (3 types and another type to be delivered approx. 2016 owned and procured by public sector which was just recently privatized) LRT1 1st generation LRVs Delivered in 1984 from Belgium and refurbished in 2004 63-units, Only 37-units are operational. Maintenance Service only Parts and Refurbishment are subject to annual appropriation risks
Based on DOTC's bid documents for the LRT1 South Extension Project (LRT1)
LRT1 2nd generation LRVs Delivered in 1999 from AdTranz manufactured in Korea 28-units, Only 8-units are operational. Maintenance Service only Parts and Refurbishment are subject to annual appropriation risks
LRT1 3 rd generation LRVs Delivered in 2007 from Japan 48-units Only 44-units are operational Maintenance Service only Parts and Refurbishment are subject to annual appropriation risk MRT Rolling Stock Fleet (73 procured by private sector owner and 48 procured by public sector operator subject to consent of private sector owner)
MRT3 73-cars from CKD procured by the Private Owners of the Assset Reliability Centric maintenance service by Sumitomo Corporation from Completion Date (2000) to 2012 with a guaranteed availability of 60 cars, spare part inventory and refurbishment requirement. Service centric maintenance service by local company with no spare part inventory requirement and no refurbishment commitment
MRT3 48 cars from CNR procurement by operator Deployment for revenue service requires the consent of the owner of the MRT3 Asset and may pay trackage fees to alleviate capacity congestion. MRT3 Phase 1 Comparative Maintenance Administration 2000 - 2012: MRTC-Sumitomo Corp. (TES-P) 2012 - 2013: DOTC-Metrostar-PH Trams 2014 - onwards: Foreign Direct Investor (FDI) Phase 1 80% guaranteed availability of cars or 60 rail cars available everyday 450,000 riders a day at 30% over design capacity Maintenance Provider was Sumitomo and Bombardier (Subcontractor Signalling) Maintenance fee at US$1.2million to US$ 1.4mn for parts, service and refurbishment on 7 th year Phase 1 54% availability of cars or 40 rail cars available everyday. 450,000 riders a day at crush capacity Maintenance Provider is PH Trams Maintenance fee at US$ 1.2mn service ONLY w/o parts and refurbishment on 7 th year. Phase 1 90% guaranteed availability or 152 rail cars available everyday 4-car train & 2 minute interval service 770,000 riders a day design capacity Maintenance with refurbishment on 7 th year.
LESS THAN 5 INCIDENCE OF REVENUE SERVICE INTERRUPTION A YEAR THAT IS GREATER THAN 5- MINUTES
GREATER THAN 5 INCIDENCES OF REVENUE SERVICE INTERRUPTION A YEAR THAT IS GREATER THAN 5- MINUTES
MRT3 Phase 1 Comparative Maintenance Project Benchmarks 2000 - 2012: MRTC-Sumitomo Corp. (TES-P) 2012 - 2013: DOTC-Metrostar-PH Trams 2014 - onwards: Foreign Direct Investor (FDI) Phase 1 80% guaranteed availability of cars or 60 rail cars available everyday 450,000 riders a day at 30% over design capacity Maintenance Provider was Sumitomo and Bombardier (Subcontractor Signalling) Maintenance fee at US$1.2million to US$ 1.4mn for parts, service and refurbishment on 7 th year Phase 1 54% availability of cars or 40 rail cars available everyday. 450,000 riders a day at crush capacity Maintenance Provider is PH Trams Maintenance fee at US$ 1.2mn service ONLY w/o parts and refurbishment on 7 th year. Phase 1 90% guaranteed availability or 152 rail cars available everyday 4-car train & 2 minute interval service 770,000 riders a day design capacity Maintenance with refurbishment on 7 th year.
LESS THAN 5 INCIDENCE OF REVENUE SERVICE INTERRUPTION A YEAR THAT IS GREATER THAN 5- MINUTES
GREATER THAN 5 INCIDENCES OF REVENUE SERVICE INTERRUPTION A YEAR THAT IS GREATER THAN 5- MINUTES
Total subsidy is at least PhP6.3billion
Total subsidy for the two years is a total of PhP9.4billion
NO SUBSIDY
Lessons Learned from Public Sector Budget Allocation 2000 to 2013 for MRT3 (Lease Payment, Personnel Services, Maintenance & Other Operating Expenses Capital Expenditure and Subsidy) D O T C
O P E X
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D O T C
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D O T C
O P E X
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D O T C
M R T 3
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Actual O&M 25-year MRT3 Project Modified ERP and O&M 25-year MRT3 Project Lessons Learned in LRT1 and MRT3 Maintenance Regimes and resulting Design Capacity and Actual Ridership
LRT1 actual ridership is always below potential design capacity Public Sector Procurement of rolling stock Public Sector Procurement Maintenance Services Only
MRT3 actual ridership was higher than design capacity during private sector responsibility for procurement of maintenance services
MRT3 actual ridership fell during public sector responsibility for procurement of maintenance service only.
Indicative trend of effect of shift from a privately administered maintenance service. to a publicly administered maintenance service Recognition of Current Framework for Procurement Practice of Rail Systems and Rolling Stock LRTA Current Practice Proposed Action Moving Forward Disconnected Procurement and O&M Policy
Recommendation Harmonized procurement and O&M Policy It is entirely appropriate that strategic decisions about rolling stock procurement and specification should be taken centrally. Given the level of fragmentation of the sector/industry (Butcher, L; Railways: rolling stock Standard Note: SN3146; 31 October 2013; House of Commons)
Procurement Policy driven specification and lowest cost
Recommendation: Procurement Policy that is Performance Standard centric
Technical Strategy Leadership group; The Future Railway; 2012 UK Current Level of Awareness Understanding Operations and Maintenance Cost Rules of Thumb Operation and maintnance represents approximately 80% of the Total Cost of Ownership (TCO) .
In the case of the MRT3, over the concession period the ratio is 86% O&M and 14% project cost
In the case of MRT3, the ratio distribution of the maintenance fee is 60% rolling stock and 40% infrastructure
Approximately 60% of maintenance cost are personnel cost and 40% for material and parts
Maintenance cost is the major cost position subject to optimization as energy and depreciation stay consistent during lifecycle of rolling stock fleet.
(Author own calculation and Wyman, O.; Lean Rolling Stock Maintenance; 2009 oliverwyman
Strategic Framework for Procurement of Rail Systems and Procurement of Rail O&M Services Strategic consistency, not short-term opportunism
If authorities are to deliver the desired outcomes of transport projects, it is desirable that they set a long-term path and then work continuously towards it.
Strategies and plans need to be fully worked through by the authorities that create them.
There is a risk that documents with titles that include the word strategy will, in fact, be short-term statements of intent
(Success and failure in urban transport infrastructure projects A study by Glaister, Allport, Brown and Travers KPMGs Infrastructure Spotlight Report)
Zoeteman, A.; Life Cycle Cost analysis for managing rail infrastructure; EJTIT, 1, no. 4 (2001), p391-413; The Netherlands Limitations and constraints like capital funding, resource availability of plant, parts, operating budgets, time, support services and workforce skills are realities that directly related to maintenance activities. (http://www.apta.com/mc/rail/papers/Papers/WeissM-Challenges-of-Matching-Maintenance-Programs-to-an- Aging-Rolling-Stock-Fleet.pdf)
Reliability Maintenance Framework process to ensure that assets continue to do what their users require in their present operating context.
Successful implementation of RCM will lead to increase in cost effectiveness, machine uptime, and a greater understanding of the level of risk that the organization is managing.
Predictive Maintenance Fraework process designed to help determine the condition of in-service equipment in order to predict when maintenance should be performed. This approach promises cost savings over routine or time-based preventive maintenance, because tasks are performed only when warranted. The main promise of Predicted Maintenance is to allow convenient scheduling of corrective maintenance, and to prevent unexpected equipment failures. The key is "the right information in the right time".
Challenges to managing rolling stock at various stages of their life cycle are real and familiar to railway operating agencies Modified Predictive Maintenance Framework 19 There is a continual need to employ a Kaizening* process that confronts and combats the challenges of common constraints, in order to create adaptive and balanced maintenance programs, that are justifiably well planned and timely executed. (http://www.apta.com/mc/rail/papers/Papers/WeissM-Challenges-of-Matching-Maintenance-Programs-to-an-Aging- Rolling-Stock-Fleet.pdf)
Looking at the Benefits and Moving Forward What are the benefits to the public first and then to public and private sectors?
Robust fleet plans aligned with long term business strategies.
Effective vehicle architecture comparisons, enabling optimal fleet selection for the intended application.
Rolling stock that aligns with the maintenance and operational philosophy at an optimum cost.
A fleet with known lifecycle costs, capable of delivering a sustainable service. (http://www.lr.org/en/rail/rolling-stock/fleet-procurement/index.aspx)