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Dr K G Moazzem
Additional Research Director, Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD)
Contents
1. Introduction and Objectives 2. Analytical Framework of Private Sector Competitiveness 3. Dynamics and Changes of the Private Sector in South Asia 3.1 Structure, Composition and Market 3.2 Policies Towards Competitive Private Sector and Their Weaknesses 3.3 Domestic Bottlenecks Impeding Private Sector 4. Supply Chains and Production Networks in South Asia 4.1 Structure of Export and Import 4.2 Major Production Networks in Operation in South Asian Countries 4.3 Challenges for Building Competitiveness in the Production Networks 5. Competitiveness of the Private Sector of Southeast Asia: Lessons for South Asia 6. Key Messages and Policy Suggestions
GDP per capita (constant 2000 US$) Employment to population ratio, 15+, total (%) Gross capital formation (% of GDP) Gross domestic savings (% of GDP)
At present, private sector in a number of South Asian economies are facing challenges due to slow down of domestic and global economies, political unrest and other issues
Indias economy has slowed down GDP growth rate decelerated to almost halved in two years Significant devaluation of Rupee during last 6 months Bangladesh has experienced with deceleration in GDP growth for last three years Domestic private investment (in terms of GDP) has decreased Slowdown in import of raw materials, intmediate products & capital machineries Registration of new investment projects decreased Sri Lanka's GDP grew at 6.0% in the first quarter of 2013 - slowing down from 8.0% last year and 6.3% in the 4th quarter of 2012 Pakistans GDP growth was only 3.59% in the fiscal year 2012-13
1.2 Objectives
The objectives of this study is to provide a state of affairs picture and structure of the private sector in South Asia To identify factors responsible for low level of competitiveness To put forward suggestions about possible ways to build competitive strengths
Private enterprises are observed mainly in manufacturing and services in South Asia Economic activities in the agricultural sector is still of subsistence nature and most such activities could not be termed as entrepreneurial ones (Ritson, 2008) Private sector covers a whole range of enterprises, ranging from those that compete globally and those that are of subsistence nature Entrepreneurship in developing countries has developed with the development of the private sector Schumpeterian entrepreneurs are those which feature the role of risk taking, managerial ability, having wealth and preferences for the control and flexibility. Enterprise level competitiveness: An ability of the entrepreneurs to offer goods and services which are competitive in price and quality, ability to respond to changes in demand quickly through offering diversified products and capacity to follow innovative marketing strategies Beyond comparative advantage to competitive advantage (Porter, 2000)
Porter (2000) delineates the Five Forces model for building competitiveness at enterprise level Given the situation of prevailing segmented markets in developing countries, Porters model could be differentiated into two segments- advanced and traditional. Development of supportive policies and institutions as a core force for building competitiveness.
Elaboration of Five Forces in the Domestic Market in Developing Countries
Potential entrants
Local Investment
FDI
Local Investment
Small
Medium
Large
Small
Medium
Local
Imported Substitutes
Local
1990
2000
2011
South Asian economies have experienced structural transformation Slow rise of manufacturing sectors share in GDP A growing debate relates to whether a servicesector led economic development is possible in South Asia (World Bank, 2009)?
Two group of services have been developed. Stagnant impersonal services where application of modern technologies (ICT) has tended to be lower Progressive impersonal services where modern technologies are being extensively used (World Bank, 2009). Rise of the service sector has come in the backdrop of deregulation and policy reforms. South Asias services sectors are yet to be functionally integrated with manufacturing sector to support advanced manufacturing supply chains.
Contribution of Service Sector in South Asias GDP Country 1981-90 1991-00 2001-10
Afghanistan
18.76
27.95
46.04
Bangladesh
56.27
58.86
60.54
Bhutan
30.71
40.52
53.24
India
46.48
51.79
60.99
Maldives
82.53
87.2
86.48
Nepal
48.09
52.64
55.38
Pakistan
54.03
54.14
54.84
Sri Lanka
60.95
62.03
64.54
Entrepreneurship Entrepreneurs who operate mostly small and medium scale enterprises have yet to emerge as so called Schumpeterian entrepreneurs. Indian small and medium entrepreneurs are struggling to build their entrepreneurship (Bhattacharya, 2008) Many features of developed entrepreneurship are evident in larger entrepreneurs Self employed firms are more risk-averse and less innovative (Moazzem and Kishore (2013). A large share of the enterprises operates on subsistence pressure.
Investment of foreign owned enterprises in South Asia has accounted for 2-3 per cent of total investment South Asia is the lowest recipient region of FDI in the world (USD 35 billion out of USD 1.5 trillion worth of global flow of FDI in 2011)
Other than India, none of the locations in South Asia are considered to be locationally advantageous to MNEs Intra-regional FDI is accounted for a miniscule share of FDI None of the country except India made a significant outward investment Despite having favourable policy environment FDI flow in the region has yet to get momentum Pre-entry treatment phase : Limited sectoral ban, different level of caps, screening, no minimum capital requirement Post-entry treatment phase: no employment requirement, limited performance requirement, allowing import of technologies, no restriction on repatriation of capital and profits, and provision of different tax incentives; repatriation of profit and dividend Consequences of tax incentives are not always positive.
economies have not experienced the structural changes that the developed economies have undergone.
Enterprises are yet to gain the characteristics of competitive firm as suggested by Porter (2000).
Mixed experience of economic liberalisation in the context of development of private sector enterprises in South Asia
A modern manufacturing sector is yet to emerge in South Asia. Most cater to the lower end of the demand curve, lack upgradation and integration with services sector.
Intra-industry linkages between different manufacturing industries as well as intrasectoral linkages between manufacturing and services sectors have yet to be established.
South Asian countries in general have pursued pro-private sector led development strategies backed by supportive policies and incentives. Major policies are: Industrial Policy, FDI Policy, Export-Import Policy, Competition Act, and SME Policy Major incentives include Duty waiver on import of raw materials and for export diversification Financial support for support services Provision for recruitment of foreign workers Support for international certification Subsidized credit, minimization of tax at investment stage, special scheme for export re-financing etc. A major thrust of various supports to private sector related to measures to Reducing production cost through various subsidies Providing advantages over imported products Facilitating employment generation particularly through support to SMEs Fiscal-financial support to encourage raising of productivity etc. Some support is provided at post-establishment stage. In contrast, support at pre-establishment phase for private enterprises particularly for SMEs has been rather limited.
At bilateral levels often countries undertake policies particularly with a view to support domestic industries against competition of imported products or to support the domestic consumers. Non-tariff barriers are increasingly becoming an issue of concern in bilateral trade in South Asian countries. Long certification process, limited testing facilities, lack of human resource for fast trade facilitation at the border point, limited number of border points for trade etc. often increase the transaction cost of export at the regional level.
The bottlenecks that undermine private sector competitiveness include weaknesses relating to institutions, infrastructure, macroeconomic environment, education, skills, and training, goods market efficiency, labour market efficiency, financial market development, technological readiness, market size and business sophistication and innovation Top three constraining factors which are often referred to by entrepreneurs are inadequate infrastructure, inefficient government bureaucracy, corruption, policy instability and government instability (Table) Key Constraining Factor at Micro Level Businesses face a wide range of problems which start from starting the businesses and its operation (Table) Over time significant improvements have been observed in starting a business in South Asian in terms of reduction of procedures, time and related costs. For most of the activities the experience was not found to be encouraging. Dealing with construction permit, registration, access to credit and paying taxes and undertaking trading operations involving export-import costs.
A better advantage of easier entry into business could not be fully realised because of operational difficulties faced by enterprises.
Country
Bangladesh
Top 1
Top2
Inadequate supply of
Top 3
Inefficient government bureaucracy Restrictive labour regulation Inefficient
Top 1
Inadequate supply of infrastructure Inadequate supply of infrastructure
Top2
Top 3
Inefficient government
Top 1
Inadequate supply of infrastructure Inadequate supply of
Top2
Top 3
Inefficient government
Corruption India Inadequate supply of infrastructure Nepal Government instability/coups Pakistan Inadequate supply of infrastructure Sri Lanka
bureaucracy
Corruption
Corruption
infrastructure
Corruption Inefficient
bureaucracy
government bureaucracy
Government
supply of Corruption
Government
government
Policy instability
instability/coups infrastructure
instability/coups bureaucracy
Policy instability
Policy instability
Inflation
bureaucracy
Inadeq
uately educat ed Labor Politica l
Practic
es of the Tax Transp
s to Acces licensi
inform admi al
financ s to ng and Corrup Cou disord regula Electr workf regul instabil Country
South Asia Afghanistan Bangladesh Bhutan India Sri Lanka Nepal 2008 2007 2009 2006 2011 2009
Year
e
15.7 16.8 34.9 21.7 6.5 14.1 2.5
rts
er
5.2 20.0 0.1 3.7 0.8 2.1 0.0
tions icity
1.5 1.1 0.5 3.3 2.5 2.7 0.4 27.6 17.9 42.7 0.6 35.2 11.4 26.5
orce ations
3.3 0.2 0.5 10.5 4.5 6.4 1.6 3.2 0.2 0.0 9.7 4.0 6.6 2.6
ity
15.4 16.4 11.4 0.2 1.5 1.0 62.1 1.2
5.0 0.5 8.4 0.0 4.3 0.0 3.5 1.8 10.7 0.5 2.0 0.5 0.3 0.0
6.9 12.6 8.5 16.8 6.1 11.9 0.6 0.7 0.3 3.7
Pakistan 2007 3.9 3.6 0.0 11.7 0.5 5.5 0.9 66.7 0.7 0.1 Source: Enterprise Survey, World Bank, Different Years (available at: http://www.enterprisesurveys.org/
60
40 20 0
regional trade and thus undermine competitiveness of producers. A large part of intra-regional trade in South Asia is carried out through land, whilst trade with outside world is carried out mainly through waterways.
infrastructural facilities over the years in terms of better road, port and air infrastructures. Further improvements will need to be made, particularly in terms of labour and capital productivity.
Challenges in the Business Processes Business enabling environment in South Asia is often in a poor state in South
Asia, specially in the weaker economies. Cost of business start ups is still high particularly for small and medium scale suppliers. Complex and burdensome customs procedures have also constrained these economies in participating more extensively in the GVCs (Bhattacharya and Moazzem, 2013).
5. Competitiveness of the Private Sector of Southeast Asia: Lessons for South Asia
South East Asian economies have advanced in the backdrop of strong growth both in manufacturing and services over the last decades Manufacturing sector contributes the major share of value added in a number of Southeast Asian economies including Brunei, Indonesia, Thailand and Vietnam. Traditional services are the major sources of value added in Cambodia, Lao and Myanmar Non-traditional services are the major sources for Malaysia, Singapore and, to some extent, in Philippines. Manufacturing sectors share has increased over time in most of the economies except Singapore, Timor-Leste and Philippines.
5. Competitiveness of the Private Sector of Southeast Asia: Lessons for South Asia
Strong regional integration under the ASEAN Free Trade Area has significantly contributed to raising intra-regional export and import. South East Asias major services export originated from transport and travel whereas in case of South Asia major services export related to ICT (mainly India). Unlike South Asia, a considerable share of firms is owned by foreign entrepreneurs (about 10%). Large presence of the multinational companies (MNCs) in South East Asia contributes to development of production networks within and outside the region
Strong regional value chains are in operation for a number sectors as intra-regional export of non-oil goods, manufactured goods and parts and components accounted for over 50 per cent share of total trade The share has increased over the past years.
5. Competitiveness of the Private Sector of Southeast Asia: Lessons for South Asia
Labour productivity in South East Asian countries are much higher compared to that of South Asian countries A well-developed manufacturing sector, which is in large part export-oriented, was able to ensure higher labour productivity both in manufacturing and service sectors. Growth of labour productivity has experienced considerable improvement in number of countries such as Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand
Labor Productivity of Selected South Asian and South East Asian Countries, 2005
60,000
50,000
40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 Total Industry
Services
5. Competitiveness of the Private Sector of Southeast Asia: Lessons for South Asia
5.2 Factors Behind Better Performance of South East Asian Enterprises Favourable Macroeconomic Performance
Strong performance of the private sector in South East Asia is reflected in their sound macroeconomic indicators (De Mel and Jayaratne, 2009).
Most of the countries of Southeast Asia maintain better price stability compared to that of South Asian countries Average rates of inflation in most countries of South Asia is higher than those of South East Asian countries. In general try to keep the interest of the private sector in the purview on managing the interest rates. Several Southeast Asian countries (such as Thailand and Malaysia) follow a coordinated exchange rate policy in order to stabilize the currency against external shocks
5. Competitiveness of the Private Sector of Southeast Asia: Lessons for South Asia
Supportive Policies for Private Sector Development in Southeast Asia
National Policies South East Asian countries promote private sector through various kinds of incentives and supports. These incentives have been provided to different kinds of industries. The structure of incentives and supports in East Asia, from the point of view of prioritisation of particular sectors and instruments used, are significantly different compared to what is observed in South Asia. Preferential support is provided targeting more on activities than on sectors In case of sectors, number of sectors which are considered for support is rather limited. Taking into account the level of development and domestic requirement, facilities are provided more to machinery industries which are more valueadded and capital intensive industries. Enterprises operate their businesses in the backdrop of a good benchmark condition where enhancement of efficiency is the key consideration.
5. Competitiveness of the Private Sector of Southeast Asia: Lessons for South Asia
Policies on SMEs ASEAN Policy Blueprint for SME Development : Strategic work programme, policy measures and indicative outputs. Mission: to develop a culture of entrepreneurship and innovation; outward looking enterprises; collaboration and networking among SMEs within ASEAN.; enhance competitiveness by facilitating programmes; strengthen the resilience of ASEAN SMEs Timeframe: Short term (3 years), medium (5 years) and long term ( over 5 years) Focus Programme and Activities 1) Human Resource Development and Capacity Building: Entrepreneurship development programme, enhancing skills in management and organisation on self-reliant basis, fostering SME capabilities for inter-firm networking, tracking and benchmarking capabilities 2) Enhancing SME Marketing Capabilities: setting up regional networks, enhancing SME capabilities in ICTs and e-commerce; tracking and benchmarking SME readiness as sub-contractors 3) Access to Financing: Capability to access to finance; financial institutions capacity building for SME financing; deepening SME access to credit 4) Access to Technology: SME technology upgrading 5) Creating Conducive Policy Environment: Simplification, streamlining and rationalisation of the procedures for SME registration
A major constraint for prospective regional investment is very limited knowledge about investment potentials in different SAARC countries. A major area of interest of the SAARC Chamber should be to provide support to develop an institutional framework for investment cooperation.
Taking precedence from ASEAN, effective operation of SAFTA is highly important for regional value chain development Initiatives should be taken for formulating South Asia Investment Area Introduction of Industrial Cooperation Schemes Identification of regional value chains
Policies for upgradation of GVCs - product, process and social upgradation should be ensured National and global policies/measures on GVCs should be revisited Corporate structure in South Asia should be strengthened with incentives for corporatisation of firms. Corporate sector should follow market principles, basic code of conduct, business ethics and corporate social responsibility. Major chamber bodies of South Asia have an important role to play in this transformative venture.
Thank you.