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Randy Barber Center for Economic Organizing 6935 Laurel Ave., #204 Silver Spring, MD 20912 randybarber@aol.com 202.531.6201
DC plans alone insufficient to provide for retirement security. An IBEW-sponsored multi-employer plan may be a viable alternative.
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http://www.nytimes.com/2012/04/28/opinion/nocera-my-faith-based-retirement.html?ref=joenocera
All
Low Income Middle Income High Income
43%
53% 40% 36%
44%
57% 40% 35%
51%
60% 47% 42%
Percentage of households at risk at age 65 by income group. At risk = being unable to maintain pre-retirement standard of living in retirement. Source: Center for Retirement Research, Boston College
Historically, Industrial Countries Have Encouraged Workers to Rely On the 3 Legged Stool to Provide for Their Retirement
Unfortunately, With Distressing Speed, the Pension Leg of the Three Legged Stool Is Vanishing
http://ebri.org/pdf/surveys/rcs/2012/EBRI_IB_03-2012_No369_RCS.pdf
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As Gallups Annual Survey Confirms: Employees Expect to Work Longer and Retire Later
Source: Gallups annual Economy and Personal Finance survey, conducted April 9-12. http://www.gallup.com/poll/154178/Expected-Retirement-Age.aspx
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The Employee Benefit Research Institute Has Tracked the Same Data, by Expected Retirement Age
http://ebri.org/pdf/surveys/rcs/2012/fs-02-rcs-12-fs2-expect.pdf
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http://ebri.org/pdf/surveys/rcs/2012/fs-01-rcs-12-fs1-conf.pdf
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In Every Retirement Cohort, the Percentage of those Remaining in the Workforce has Moved Up Steadily
http://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/05/02/retirement-slipping-farther-and-farther-away/?hp
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http://www.pensionrights.org/publications/statistic/why-pensions-are-important
http://www.pensionrights.org/blog/can-we-call-it-comebackfor-db-plans
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http://www.towerswatson.com/assets/pdf/mailings/Towers-WatsonFebruary-2012-Insider.pdf
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After the contributions are made, all risks are borne by the employee and the amount available for retirement is completely dependent on the account balance Expenses and fees are typically borne by the employee as well DC Plans have historically underperformed DB Plans to such an extent that DB Plans have been shown to be able to produce the same benefit for a 46% lower cost (see NIRS slides below) 21 Not guaranteed by the PBGC
DB v. DC in Private Sector 2009 DC % of Plans 93% % of Active Participants 80% % of Assets 60% DB 7% 20% 40%
For Canada, 59% of plans were DB; 80% of participants were in DB; 90% of assets were in DB plans.
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Again, With Distressing Speed, the Pension Leg of the Three Legged Stool Is Vanishing
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Although the Number of Defined Benefit Pension Plan Participants Remained Stable Through 2009
(We Havent Seen 2010-on Data Yet, Though . . .)
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Recent trends in DB pension coverage raise concern Many Americans will fall short in retirement without DB pensions
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White Paper 2012, Pension Review First Take: Highlights, Challenges and Changes for 2012, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, http://www.gsam.com
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According to the 2007 Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finances (the most recent full survey available)
The median 401(k)/IRA balance for participants approaching retirement was only $78,000 and this was before most of the stock market crash.
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Why Are DB Plans So Much More Efficient than DC Plans In Providing Retirement Benefits?
http://www.nirsonline.org/storage/nirs/documents/better_bang_for_the_buck_ ppt.pdf
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NIRS Methodology
NIRS modeled a population of 1,000 female teachers who work for 30 years - their final salary is $50,000 They defined a target retirement benefit about $2,200/month at age 62, replacing about 53% of final salary with the DB pension benefit (Social Security would be in addition to this) They then calculated the cost to fund this benefit through a DB plan structure, then through a DC plan structure
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Single Employer
Sometimes collectively bargained Administered solely by Employer trustees Risk on one employer Investment gains/overfunding typically benefits employer Not portable in U.S.
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Discussion
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Selected Resources
General information
Pension Rights Center - www.pensionrights.org National Institute on Retirement Security www.nirsonline.org Employee Benefit Research Institute www.ebri.org
Government agencies
Pension Benefit Guarantee Corporation (PBGC) www.pbgc.gov U.S. Department of Labors Employee Benefits Security Adminstration www.dol.gov/ebsa/
Tools
Form 5500s www.freerisa.com Annuity estimators www.immediateannuities.com (one of many)
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Acknowledegements
Many of the ideas and slides contained in this presentation were provided by . . .
Neil Gladstein, Director, IAM Strategic Resources Department The Pension Rights Center www.pensionrights.org The National Institute on Retirement Security www.nirsonline.org The Employee Benefit Research Institute www.ebri.org
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