Sei sulla pagina 1di 55

Chapter 1

Probability

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2-1

Section 1.1
Sample Space
Sample space is the basic term in the theory of probability. Means a complete list of all possible outcomes of a random experiment is called sample space or possibility space and is denoted by S. Each outcome is called element of the sample space.

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2-2

Definition 1.1

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2-3

Figure 1.0 Tree diagram an example

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2-4

Figure 1.1 Cartesian product an example


Sample space throwing two dice

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2-5

Figure 1.2 Tree Diagram an example

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2-6

Section 1.2
Events
An event is one or more outcomes of an experiment.

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2-7

Definition 1.2

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2-8

Definition 1.3

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2-9

Definition 1.4

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 10

Definition 1.5

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 11

Definition 1.6

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 12

Section 1.3
Counting Sample Points

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 13

Rule 1.1

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 14

Figure 1.6 Tree diagram an example

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 15

Rule 1.2

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 16

Definition 1.7

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 17

Definition 1.8

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 18

Theorem 1.1

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 19

Theorem 1.2

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 20

Theorem 1.3

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 21

Theorem 1.4

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 22

Theorem 1.5

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 23

Theorem 1.6

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 24

Section 1.4
Probability of an Event

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 25

Definition 1.9

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 26

Rule 1.3

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 27

Section 1.5
Additive Rules

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 28

Theorem 1.7

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 29

Figure 1.7 Additive rule of probability

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 30

Corollary 1.1

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 31

Corollary 1.2

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 32

Corollary 1.3

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 33

Theorem 1.8

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 34

Theorem 1.9

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 35

Section 1.6
Conditional Probability, Independence, and the Product Rule.

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 36

Definition 1.10

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 37

Table 1.1 Categorization of the Adults in a Small Town

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 38

Definition 1.11

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 39

Theorem 1.10

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 40

Figure 1.8 Tree diagram an example

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 41

Theorem 1.11

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 42

Figure 1.9 Electrical system an example

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 43

Theorem 1.12

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 44

Definition 1.12

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 45

Figure 1.10 Diagram an example

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 46

Figure 1.11 Diagram an example

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 47

Section 1.7
Bayes Rule

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 48

Figure 1.12 Venn diagram for the events A, E and E

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 49

Figure 1.13 Tree diagram for the data on page 63, using additional information on page 72

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 50

Theorem 1.13

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 51

Figure 1.14 Partition on sample space S

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 52

Figure 1.15 Tree diagram and example

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 53

Theorem 1.14

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 54

Capisci?

Copyright 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

2 - 55

Potrebbero piacerti anche