Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
y(t+1) = ay(t) + b y(t+1) = Some constant of proportionality times y(t) plus some constant. Some interesting cases are
y(t+1) = ay(t) exponential growth y(t+1) = b a horizontal line y(t+1) = y(t) + b a straight sloping line
Relation to Interest
Plot the equation over time Get an analytical solution for the difference equation if it is available Describe the models behavior Determine the equilibrium values
Equilibrium Values
At equilibrium, y(t+1) = y(t) = y* y* = ay* + b y* - ay* = b y*(1-a) = b y* = b/(1-a) = the equilibrium value
Stability Criteria
y(t) will be stable if |a| < 1 y(t) will be unstable if |a| > 1 y(t) will oscillate if a < 0 y(t) will change monotonically if a > 0 y(t) will converge to a stable equilibrium value if |a| < 1
y1 = ay0 + b y2 = ay1 + b
y2 = a(ay0 + b) + b y2 = a2y0 + ab + b y2 = a2y0 + (a+1)b
y3 = ay2 + b
y3 = a(a2y0 + ab + b) + b y3 = a3y0 + a2b + ab + b y3 = a3y0 + b(a2 + a + 1)
Note: These solutions for the first-order linear difference equation with constant coefficients are used analytically to describe the time paths with words. Computing the time paths with a computer is done using the original equation, y(t+1) = ay(t) + b using programming loops.
y0 time
time
y0 time
y(t)
y0
y* time
-1 < a < 0
bounded, oscillatory, convergent
y(t)
y* y0
time
a < -1
unbounded, oscillatory, divergent
y(t)
y* y0
time
a = 1, b = 0
constant
y(t)
y* and y0
time
a = 1, b > 0
constant increasing
y(t)
y0
time
a = 1, b < 0
constant decreasing
y(t) y0
time
a = -1
finite, bounded oscillatory
y(t)
y* y0
time
Rules of Interpretation
|a| > 1 unbounded [repelled from line b/(1-a)] |a| < 1 bounded [attracted or convergent to [b/(1-a)] a < 0 oscillatory a > 0 monotonic a = -1 bounded oscillatory All of this can be deduced from the solution yn = b/(1-a) + [y0 b/(1-a)]an, for a1
Special Cases