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Background
Annual sales of $400 Million
Specialty division
Sell custom products to other at higher price
Forecasting expert
product C.V. < 0.5 20% Sales product C.V. >0.5 80%
Consultant Recommendation
Drop low volume products (low sales) Improve statistical forecasting Consolidate warehouses
Staff Reaction:
Wont work! Why?
DF R15
DF R23
55
35.5
80
45.9
1.46
1.29
7 products:
High volume (2) is not very volatile Low volume (5) is very volatile
m
DB R10 DB R12 DB R15 DF R10 DF R12 DF R15 DF R23 15.5 1008 2464 97 18.5 55 35.5
s
13.2 256 494 92.5 11.4 80 45.9
Cycle stock
8 504 1232 49 9 28 18 1848
Saf. stock
26 510 990 185 23 160 92 1986
E[I]
34 1014 2222 234 32 188 110 3834
Act. Inv.
72 740 1875 604 55 388 190 3824
S
Assumes r = 1; L=0.25; and z = 1.8 Cycle stock = r m/2
Note!
How firm cope with huge variability in customer demand. Relationship between service & inventory level Impact lead time (variability) on inventory level Effective inventory management policy Suppliers contracts (improve supply chain performance)