2012

Brazil Wind Power Market Forecast and Opportunities, 2017

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Brazil Wind Power Market Forecast & Opportunities, 2017 TechSci Research

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary 2. Brazil Power Market Scenario 2.1. Installed Capacity 2.2. Electricity Generation in Brazil 2.3. Institutional Arrangement of Brazilian Power Sector 2.4. Electricity Pricing 3. Brazil Renewable Energy Market Scenario 3.1. Hydro Energy 3.2. Ethanol 3.3. Wind Energy 4. Brazil Wind Energy Market Outlook 4.1. Cumulative Installed Capacity, 2000-11 4.2. Cumulative Installed Capacity Forecast, 2012-17 4.3. By States 4.4. By Wind Farm Developer 4.5. Wind Farm Capacity Utilization 4.6. Wind Farms in Brazil- Top 10 Active Wind Farms 4.7. Tariff Structure 5. Wind Power Reserves & Potential 5.1. Geographic Distribution 5.2. Offshore v/s Onshore Potential 6. Brazil Wind Turbine Market 7. Drivers & Restraints 7.1. Market Drivers 7.2. Market Restraints 8. Policy & Regulatory Landscape 8.1. Program of Incentives for Alternate Electricity Sources- PROINFA 8.2. Brazil National Climate Change Plan 8.3. Luz Para Todos (Light For All) Electrification Program 8.4. Federal Law 9.991/00 8.5. India-Brazil-South Africa Declaration on Clean Energy 9. Market Trends & Developments 9.1. Significant Investments in the Sector 9.2. Wind Power Becomes Cost Competitive With Natural Gas. Will it be sustainable? 9.3. Wind Power Auctions In Brazil 9.4. Brazil leads Latin America Wind Power Market 10. Competitive Landscape 10.1. The Wobben Windpower Industria e Comercio Ltda. 10.2. Renova Energia 10.3. Suzlon Energia Eolica do Brasil Ltda.

Brazil Wind Power Market Forecast & Opportunities, 2017 TechSci Research

10.4. Alstom Brazil 10.5. Desa Dobreve Energia S.A. 10.6. GE Wind Brazil 10.7. Enerfin/Elecnor 10.8. Vestas Brazil 10.9. IMPSA Brazil 11. Strategic Recommendations

List of Figures Figure 1: Installed Capacity & Future Forecast of Brazil Power Market (GW), 200017 Figure 2: Electricity Generation in Brazil (TWh), 200610 Figure 3: Electricity Generation Forecast in Brazil (TWh), 201117 Figure 4: Electricity Generation by Fuel Type, 2010 Figure 5: Electricity Generation by Fuel Type Forecast, 2017 Figure 6: Current Structure of the Brazil Power Sector Figure 7: Hydroelectricity Consumption in Brazil (TWh), 200011 Figure 8: Brazilian Ethanol Production 2000-11 Figure 9: Brazil Wind Power Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2011 Figure 10: Wind Power Capacity Addition (MW), 2006-2011 Figure 11: Cumulative Wind Power Installed Capacity Forecast (MW), 2011-2017 Figure 12: Total Wind Power Installed Capacity by State, 2011 Figure 13: Total Wind Power Installed Capacity by State Forecast, 2017 Figure 14: Wind Speed Resources Map Figure 15: Brazil Wind Power Resources Map Figure 16: Expected Distribution of Installed Capacity under PROINFA Program, by Region and by Energy Type Figure 17: Brazil Planned Installations under the LpT Program Figure 18: Brazil Actual installations under the LpT program (till 2008)

Brazil Wind Power Market Forecast & Opportunities, 2017 TechSci Research

List of Tables: Table 1: Electricity Prices in Brazil, 200608 Table 2: List of Wind Farms in Brazil Table 3: Tariff Details of PROINFA Program in Brazil Table 4: List of Main Wind Turbine Manufacturers by 2011 Table 5: List of wind farms with the turbine manufacturer Table 6: Program of Incentives for Alternative Electricity Sources PROINFA Table 7: List of PROINFAs First Phase Wind Projects Table 8: Brazil National Climate Change Plan Table 9: Brazil Light for All Electrification Program Table 10: Fund Allocation as a Result of Brazilian Law 10.848/04 Table 11: IndiaBrazilSouth Africa Declaration on Clean Energy

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Brazil Wind Power Market Forecast & Opportunities, 2017 TechSci Research

Executive Summary

Wind Energy all over the world has been a rage over the years and it continues to show the same phenomenon today also. This is primarily on account of high power demand and consumption patterns globally which has outmaneuvered every other source of energy to fully satisfy the growing power needs. The growing population, increasing industrialization and rising standard of living has further exacerbated the power problem. One such nation where the power problem had just begun to raise its head is Brazil. It was not a blackout, said Edison Lobo, merely a temporary interruption of the electricity supply. Brazils energy minister was speaking on February 4 th, 2011 after nearly XXXX Million people across eight states in the countrys north-east had spent most of the night without power. The strain is starting to show. Brazil suffered XXXX big blackouts during 2010, up from XXXX in 2008. In big cities short, localized power cuts are becoming common. This calls for introduction and development of other sources of energy. The burgeoning economy of Brazil which till now was mainly and largely dependent on Hydro energy for it power needs has, of late, started looking at Wind Energy so as to meet its ever growing huge consumption. Being the largest country in Latin America in terms of size and population, it is also the largest electricity market in the region. In the early 2000s, a drought in Brazil that cut water to the country's hydroelectric dams prompted severe energy shortages underscoring Brazil's pressing need to diversify away from water power. Although still nascent as compared to the size in the European countries or in the US, wind energy has become a priority for Brazil. Brazils electricity sector is largely deregulated. Power generating companies which are mostly large government-controlled companies, sell their electricity to distributors via auctions.

Brazil Wind Power Market Forecast & Opportunities, 2017 TechSci Research

Distribution is primarily operated by the private sector, whereas transmission is both publicly and privately owned. State-owned Eletrobras controls a large part of generation and distribution capacity. Institutionally, the Ministry of Mines and Energy (MME) oversees the entire power sector and is responsible for policy setting. The Brazilian Electricity Regulatory Agency (ANEEL), operating under the jurisdiction of the MME, regulates and controls the generation, transmission and distribution of power. With excellent wind resources, a rapidly growing economy and strong government incentives for renewable energy projects, Brazil presents tremendous opportunities for wind energy. After a few early developments in the first half of previous decade (200010), the Brazilian wind market actually took off in 2006 when it added more than XXXX MW of installed capacity. During 2000 11, the country witnessed tremendous growth in terms of cumulative installed capacity which grew at a CAGR of XXXX percent to reach XXXX MW in 2011. Currently, Brazil has more than XXXX wind farms across the country and more in the pipeline that are expected to come online in the short term. By 2017, the total installed capacity is expected to reach XXXX GW growing at a CAGR of XXXX percent during 201117. With a growing industry, the country is expected to experience several opportunities such as becoming a hub for wind energy and a leading manufacturer in Latin America. As a result of significant growth of this industry, it is expected that there would be thousands of direct and indirect jobs for its citizens over the years. With significant support government in terms of promising initiatives and attractive incentives, the Brazilian wind energy industry is poised to grow in the future.

Brazil Wind Power Market Forecast & Opportunities, 2017 TechSci Research