DAILY NEWSLETTER OF ESSENTIAL

Friday, June 01, 2012

MARKET WEATHER INFORMATION

Morning forecast

QT Weather
weather at a glance
Rains come up short for many Heaviest E IA to S MI, S MO, KY June to be hot

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June moisture a toss-up, wet ND

Billion Dollar Rains As Expected

Precious moisture came for the last days of May across parts of the Plains and Corn Belt and a bit more is on the way (for some) for the first days of June. June though, is looking dry and warm with a risk of 99-103F degree heat returning June 11-13 and again June 15-16. The 1/2 month outlook according to the overnight GFS model output is for deficit rains and above normal heat in NE, IA, IL, W IN, OK, MO, W KY, W TN, AR, LA, MS, AL, S GA, E KS and TX. The greatest rains are headed for the Canadian Prairie, ND, MN ,WI, MI, OH, the central High Plains into W KS, and possibly across W NE.

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3-day rain totals (ending 5AM this morning) were a bust from N Missouri into S Illinois and across 50% of Iowa and Indiana. Billion dollar rains did reach 40-50% of the Corn Belt with 1-2 inch totals in many counties along with a substantial cool-down. The Corn Belt outlook is for additional spotty showers and cooler than normal conditions over the next few days, but dry weather is seen for much of June, along with 100 degree heat returning 8-10 days from now over the Plains and Corn Belt.

Todays weather maps

About Allen Motew

Allen Motew has been an expert weather analyst for more than 35 years. With a Seal of Approval for Broadcasters from the American Meteorological Society, Allen specializes in global weather prediction, synoptic scale and mesonet analysis, and severe weather events. He is trained in forecasting hurricanes, tropical cyclones and international weather events for government and private industry interests from around the globe. A Chicago native, Allen broadcasts his local, domestic and international commodity weather forecasts from the Chicago Board of Trade.

DR EX YI PE N G CT ED DRYING EXPECTED

Trouble ahead for NE, IA, IL, MO, OK, AR, TX, LA, W IN, W KY, W TN, MS, AL and S GA? Through midJune, the driest conditions will likely develop in these areas. The precipitation pattern will favor the Canadian Prairie, ND, MN, the Central High Plains, the Eastern Corn Belt, MidAtlantic and parts of the SE.

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Early in the monthridging aligns E-W from KS to OH, centering in Missouri. 100 degree heat returns prior to then (the 9th), from TX to SD, then spreads into IA, IL, MO and AR on the 11th and 12th, continuing for a few days before returning again on the 15-16th (?).

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The revised June temperature outlook now shows the Plains, Corn Belt, Delta and South to be warmer than normal.

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Despite the definitive widespread heating expected during June (top of page) the Climate Prediction Center shows the Central Rockies and Great Basin as the only areas favoring drier than normal weather. Odds favor the Pac NW, Southern Canadian Prairie and ND into NW MN for being wetter than normal during June. The rest of the nation has equal odds of being wetter, drier or normal for the month ahead.

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-Allen Motew