Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
Intellisys
24 May 2012
Contents
Introduction...................................................................................................................... 3
Aerospace & Defence ........................................................................................................ 4
Automobiles & Parts .......................................................................................................... 4
Banks ............................................................................................................................... 4
Beverages ........................................................................................................................ 4
Chemicals ......................................................................................................................... 4
Construction & Building Materials ....................................................................................... 5
Electronics & Electrical Equipment ...................................................................................... 5
Engineering & Machinery ................................................................................................... 5
Food & Drug Stores ........................................................................................................... 5
Food Producers & Processors ............................................................................................. 6
General Retail ................................................................................................................... 6
Health .............................................................................................................................. 6
Household Goods & Textiles .............................................................................................. 6
Information Technology & Hardware .................................................................................. 6
Insurance ......................................................................................................................... 7
Leisure & Hotels................................................................................................................ 7
Life Assurance .................................................................................................................. 7
Media & Entertainment ...................................................................................................... 7
Mining .............................................................................................................................. 8
Oil & Gas .......................................................................................................................... 8
Personal Care & Household Products .................................................................................. 8
Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology ....................................................................................... 8
Software & Computer Services ........................................................................................... 9
Speciality & Other Finance ................................................................................................. 9
Support Services ............................................................................................................. 10
Telecommunication Services ............................................................................................ 10
Transport ....................................................................................................................... 11
Utilities ........................................................................................................................... 11
DISCLAIMER ................................................................................................................... 12
RISK WARNING .............................................................................................................. 13
Page 2 of 13
www.intellisys.uk.com
Intellisys
24 May 2012
Introduction
The overriding purpose of this daily report is to provide users with a quick guide that will
identify those shares that merit their investment attention in an increasingly time critical and
information noisy trading environment.
The report is published daily and delivered to the subscribers personal email box, typically,
before the official open of the London Stock Markets.
Intellisys has invested considerably in identifying what it believes are the key factors that
influence investment timing. Having identified the key parameters, these have been
established as rules that reflect market dynamics and cut through the daily investment noise.
From an analysis of a years data for 40 stocks within Intellisys stock coverage, the trading
indicators appear to be, on average, about 77% accurate in identifying good trading points as
well as some 74% accurate for overall trend correlation.
The following chart provides an indication the accuracy scores for each of the 40 stocks
analysed.
Individual Stock Rating & Trend Accuracy Scores
120.0%
120.0%
110.0%
110.0%
100.0%
100.0%
90.0%
90.0%
80.0%
80.0%
70.0%
70.0%
60.0%
60.0%
50.0%
50.0%
40.0%
40.0%
30.0%
30.0%
20.0%
20.0%
1
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40
Best Buy/Sell
Trend
Source: Intellisys
However, like all trading and investment systems active position monitoring is critical for
maximised investment performance.
Therefore, Intellisys recommend that its products should be used in conjunction with, and not
separate from, a subscribers existing trading system as well discussing investment options
with their chosen financial advisers.
Page 3 of 13
www.intellisys.uk.com
Intellisys
24 May 2012
Price
271.5
310.7
225.4
376.2
800
1014
1602
547
12M Lo
248.1
310.7
165.9
305
545.04
869.5
1305
243.5
12M Hi
333
677
239.5
413.5
859
1236
1780
576.25
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.649
0.515
0.909
1.335
1.100
0.721
0.602
0.795
Price
184.1
318.6
60
13.75
12M Lo
157
268.6
47
6.8
12M Hi
245
425.4
72.75
19.71
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
1.979
1.415
1.341
1.131
Price
180.5
507.5
26.51
21.04
1311.5
12M Lo
138.85
463.5
21.84
17.34
1169.5
12M Hi
276.65
634.8
52.76
42.6
1672
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Sell
Neutral
Beta
1.860
1.139
1.766
1.296
1.704
Price
1120
1477
2396.5
12M Lo
1031
1112
1979
12M Hi
1383
1614.5
2660
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.418
0.545
0.984
Price
2167
203.4
2112
1323
191.6
172.5
12M Lo
1597
107.5
1523
1025
148
109
12M Hi
2282
208.1
2408
1590
253
186.5
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Beta
1.082
1.071
1.469
1.221
1.288
1.011
Banks
Stock
BARC LAYS
HSBC HDG. (ORD $0.50)
LLOYDS BANKING GROUP
ROYAL BANK OF SC TL.GP.
STANDARD C HARTERED
Beverages
Stock
BARR (AG)
DIAGEO
SABMILLER
Chemicals
Stock
C RODA INTERNATIONAL
ELEMENTIS
JOHNSON MATTHEY
VIC TREX
YULE C ATTO
ZOTEFOAMS
Page 4 of 13
www.intellisys.uk.com
Intellisys
24 May 2012
Price
273
119
679.5
1180
413.5
259.7
49
201.25
595
399.25
1160
51.5
86.75
635
556
114.7
89.9
41.35
925
2207
12M Lo
214.6
67.5
540.5
1025
326.5
259
35.5
180
383.75
239.25
1095
38
83.25
510
374
103.5
76.95
28.71
715
1404
12M Hi
323.8
151.5
859.5
1414
518.5
387
92
247.5
653
528
1489
76.75
119.25
725
706.5
135.3
152.2
52.75
1125
2558
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.844
1.446
1.018
0.680
1.074
1.092
0.807
0.564
1.052
1.319
1.039
1.106
1.351
0.887
1.104
0.977
1.591
1.496
1.894
1.439
Price
936
544.5
129.25
212
181.4
1118
1350
1605
0.13
160
208.5
12M Lo
643.5
434.3
86.75
180.9
128.5
714
800
1039
0.13
120.5
208.5
12M Hi
1095
701.5
149.5
333.9
222
1285
1886
1902
0.24
206.75
295
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.766
1.178
1.336
1.459
2.159
0.985
1.288
1.421
0.634
1.592
1.133
Price
67
370.1
295
648.5
381.5
374
320
904.5
7.25
265.7
1970
198
183.5
2008
642
1526
12M Lo
62.5
225.6
252.5
395.8
280
306.3
235
636.5
7.12
224
1501
135.6
150
1649
488
1375
12M Hi
121
437.1
358
747.5
483.7
429.6
393.5
1119
11.5
360
2260
213
250
2334
690
2236
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
1.325
1.583
0.986
2.282
1.410
0.760
1.410
1.407
0.855
1.768
0.986
1.757
1.057
0.850
1.515
1.383
Price
464
267.3
292.2
304.6
21.5
12M Lo
445
267.3
263.5
304.6
9.5
12M Hi
558
328
345.6
419.05
67.38
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.516
0.453
0.637
0.735
0.766
Page 5 of 13
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Intellisys
24 May 2012
Price
1168
812
315.2
302
123
659
2007
12M Lo
977
588.5
290.4
232
32.9
544.5
1892
12M Hi
1242
841
398.1
332.2
328.4
720.5
2189
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.595
0.604
0.934
0.339
1.401
0.622
0.580
Price
22.25
236.2
1369
606.5
14.1
3.25
27.25
279.9
11.13
707.5
50.2
275.8
337.9
42
164.5
2938
850
32.5
12M Lo
16
222.4
1092
375
9.36
2.2
27.25
269.5
5.2
570
46.76
217
301.8
26
127.3
2153
633
21.5
12M Hi
24
293.7
1600
741
19.65
8.7
103
405.9
26.25
1030
150
313.8
398.9
51
446
3060
928.5
67.88
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Sell
Neutral
Beta
0.709
0.490
1.362
1.047
1.454
0.969
0.927
0.647
0.860
0.474
1.285
0.976
0.737
1.057
0.557
0.779
0.557
1.330
Price
605
46.25
594.5
12M Lo
498
35.25
521
12M Hi
668
57.75
686.5
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.394
0.749
0.362
Price
44.25
558
275
86
12M Lo
21.75
405
233.25
86
12M Hi
44.5
580
310
145
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.479
0.382
0.925
0.654
Price
482.4
207.9
26
519
56
157.3
184.5
12M Lo
464
154.1
14.5
296.9
41
105.8
96
12M Hi
645
369.2
35
717
92
174
243
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.769
1.194
0.659
0.962
1.168
1.000
1.063
General Retail
Stock
ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS
BROWN (N) GROUP
BURBERRY GROUP
C ARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENC H C ONNEC TN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP
JJB SPORTS
JD SPORTS FASHION
KESA ELEC TRIC ALS
KINGFISHER
MARKS & SPENC ER GROUP
MOSS BROTHERS GROUP
MOTHERC ARE
NEXT
TED BAKER
TOPPS TILES
Health
Stock
C ONSORT MEDIC AL
C ORIN GROUP
SMITH & NEPHEW
Page 6 of 13
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Intellisys
24 May 2012
Insurance
Stock
ADMIRAL GROUP
AMLIN
BEAZLEY
C ATLIN GROUP
HISC OX
JARDINE LLOYD THOMPSON
RSA INSURANC E GROUP
NOVAE GROUP
Price
1067
314.4
134.2
405.4
377
659
98.25
360
12M Lo
787
270.6
109.6
336
340.5
576
98.25
285
12M Hi
1748
425
151.8
449
424.7
764.5
137.9
379.25
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.519
0.483
0.515
0.304
0.488
0.321
0.432
0.497
Price
2039
67.25
163.8
715
474.3
160.6
1400
462.5
224
127.1
8
119.5
278.8
385
1801
268.1
97.75
12M Lo
1742
26.5
136.7
621
410
114
955
371.2
215.6
100.6
7.7
109.5
254.9
371.3
1409
183.3
84.6
12M Hi
2470
79.8
235
752
527.5
181.4
1532
517
331.9
174
14.8
153.7
309.7
449.9
2006
281.7
109.9
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
1.075
1.717
0.953
0.441
0.867
0.992
1.314
1.399
1.023
1.265
1.298
0.996
0.856
0.729
1.017
0.945
1.257
Price
263.9
172
109.8
140.5
663.5
304.1
12M Lo
263.9
161.75
89.8
98.47
509
294
12M Hi
446.3
255
135
165.31
797.5
376
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
1.259
0.590
1.671
1.658
1.719
0.816
Price
158.5
113
693
34.5
405.7
672.5
360.9
198.5
76.9
6.7
1115
39.5
342.5
28.89
97
70
25.5
528.5
93.25
772
2.05
12M Lo
116.17
91.25
618.5
30.5
343.4
522.5
313.9
157.7
51.65
4.11
1038
36.5
198.5
26.21
76.25
67.5
25.5
416
78.5
578
2.05
12M Hi
187.4
133
850
56.25
491.5
828
451
248.6
89.9
7.9
1255
67
357.5
38.04
141
102.25
54.25
641.5
124
880
11
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
1.315
0.513
0.604
1.044
1.086
1.058
1.519
1.414
1.517
1.464
0.664
0.853
0.335
0.505
0.812
1.320
1.405
1.297
0.863
1.294
1.140
Life Assurance
Stock
AVIVA
C HESNARA
LEGAL & GENERAL
OLD MUTUAL
PRUDENTIAL
ST.JAMES'S PLAC E
Page 7 of 13
www.intellisys.uk.com
Intellisys
24 May 2012
Mining
Stock
ANGLO AMERIC AN
ANGLO PAC IFIC GROUP
ANTOFAGASTA
BHP BILLITON
LONMIN
RANDGOLD RESOURC ES
RIO TINTO
UK C OAL
VEDANTA RESOURC ES
XSTRATA
Price
2005.5
244.5
1032
1681
736
4787
2790.5
12
951.5
926.2
12M Lo
2005.5
237.9
900.5
1667
736
4580
2712.5
12
928
764
12M Hi
3181
340
1491
2521.5
1600
7565
4595
47
2169
1425.5
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
1.748
0.944
1.378
1.401
1.913
0.335
1.420
0.928
2.091
1.773
Price
1229.5
393.9
287.8
9.01
750
109.5
101
326.1
1970.5
2039
264.7
1337
701
12M Lo
1144
363.2
286
9
530
109.5
95.25
310
1883.5
1890.5
254.9
945.5
469.9
12M Hi
1547
504.6
501.41
13.75
968
295
245
485
2402
2489
397.5
1601
798
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.703
1.061
1.352
0.853
1.303
1.357
1.156
1.363
0.911
0.918
0.468
1.066
1.349
Price
118.75
324.4
3391
12M Lo
107.06
285
3100
12M Hi
146.58
387.9
3660
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.873
0.739
0.333
Price
2.78
2591
360.9
466.5
1391.5
3.2
6.13
1854
68
22.5
12M Lo
2.73
2543.5
236.8
392.5
1205
2.88
6
1818
31
18.75
12M Hi
5.35
3185
387.7
524.84
1497
7.2
9.5
2300
87
49
ST Rating
Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Buy
Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.963
0.457
0.713
0.300
0.482
0.609
0.916
0.624
0.707
0.817
Page 8 of 13
www.intellisys.uk.com
Intellisys
24 May 2012
Price
19.5
119
1494
368
248.25
20.5
65.7
434.5
349.1
195
74
1457
251.6
12M Lo
19.5
57.75
1298
324.7
225
16.75
58.95
242.9
214.9
154.75
41.5
1441
231.7
12M Hi
27
129.75
1799
490
503.5
23
138
476.7
420.2
262.75
156.63
2109
312.4
ST Rating
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.717
0.839
1.475
1.095
1.109
0.922
1.357
0.741
1.323
0.881
0.476
0.822
0.649
Price
241.3
140.5
9405
272.5
140
690
70.5
1.09
94.65
334.9
258.4
314.5
947
73.1
1171
1166
976
12M Lo
167.8
113.7
8800
240
115.63
590
56.05
1.09
92.85
311.6
197.9
310.4
756.5
73.1
977
1166
970
12M Hi
283.8
177
10950
350
160
812
80.2
4.83
163.7
498.8
345
522
1093
259.6
1351
1665
1393
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
1.071
0.723
0.871
0.953
0.703
0.839
0.911
0.671
1.414
1.069
1.652
1.553
1.168
1.275
0.738
1.308
1.302
Page 9 of 13
www.intellisys.uk.com
Intellisys
24 May 2012
Support Services
Stock
AC AL
AGGREKO
AMEC
ASHTEAD GROUP
BABC OC K INTL.
BRITISH POLYTHENE INDS.
BUNZL
UK MAIL GROUP
C APITA
C OMMUNISIS
C OMPASS GROUP
BERENDSEN
DE LA RUE
DIGNITY
DIPLOMA
ELEC TROC OMP.
FILTRONA
G4S
HAYS
HOMESERVE
INTERSERVE
INTERTEK GROUP
JOHNSON SERVIC E GROUP
MANAGEMENT C NSL.GP.
MENZIES (JOHN)
MIC HAEL PAGE INTL.
MITIE GROUP
MOUC HEL GROUP
OFFIC E2OFFIC E
PAYPOINT
PREMIER FARNELL
REGUS
RENTOKIL INITIAL
REXAM
RIC ARDO
ROBERT WALTERS
RPC GROUP
RPS GROUP
SERC O GROUP
SHANKS GROUP
SPEEDY HIRE
TRIBAL GROUP
TRIFAST
VP
WYG
WSP GROUP
Price
180
2060
975.5
222.1
836
335
997
233
602
28.5
620.5
471
1000
812
417
200.3
454
269
71.85
151.1
272.3
2520
28.25
30.5
574
352.8
276.4
5.6
138.5
605
170.6
89.9
77.15
399.2
327
215
372.7
199.6
509.5
83.4
25.5
74
39.5
237
50
249
12M Lo
166.25
1522
740.5
99.4
570.5
280.13
676.5
192.25
602
23.75
512.5
402.7
730
727
284
182.2
296.3
219.9
58.85
151.1
270.1
1744
25.25
27.75
445.5
323
208
4.75
124.75
460
144.5
64
58.2
299.8
325
158.25
300.5
156.6
458
82.8
18.5
38.5
36.25
191
47
160
12M Hi ST Rating
329.75
Neutral
2316
Neutral
1171
Neutral
271.1
Neutral
868.5
Neutral
392.5
Neutral
1063
Neutral
318.5
Neutral
767
Neutral
39.75
Neutral
671
Neutral
568
Neutral
1024
Neutral
866
Neutral
460.5
Neutral
294.5
Neutral
484.5
Neutral
292.1
Neutral
111.6
Neutral
531.5 Strong Buy
341.25
Neutral
2605
Sell
36
Neutral
45.5
Neutral
652
Neutral
552.5
Neutral
296.7
Neutral
75.25
Sell
166.5
Neutral
670
Neutral
300.4
Neutral
117.5
Neutral
98.7
Neutral
438
Neutral
410
Neutral
326
Neutral
393.2
Neutral
253
Neutral
597.5
Neutral
130.9
Neutral
33.5
Neutral
79.75
Neutral
52.88
Neutral
269
Neutral
675
Sell
345
Neutral
Beta
0.936
1.155
1.005
1.523
0.546
0.729
0.544
0.349
0.439
0.767
0.708
1.014
#NA
0.192
1.005
1.014
1.112
0.573
0.973
0.656
1.346
0.862
1.136
0.679
1.461
1.350
0.607
0.916
0.397
0.711
1.179
1.398
1.294
0.873
0.818
1.245
0.835
1.581
0.567
1.460
1.310
0.606
0.873
0.901
0.763
0.948
Price
204.9
28.06
394.9
69
703
169.6
12M Lo
161
28.06
389.3
65.6
481.75
155.05
12M Hi
232.1
48
606.5
84
802
182.7
Beta
0.921
0.644
0.529
1.271
0.040
0.623
Telecommunication Services
Stock
BT GROUP
C ABLE & WIRELESS C OMMS.
INMARSAT
KC OM GROUP
TELEC OM PLUS
VODAFONE GROUP
Page 10 of 13
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ST Rating
Neutral
Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Intellisys
24 May 2012
Transport
Stock
BBA AVIATION
BRAEMAR SHIPPING SVS.
C LARKSON
EASYJET
FIRST GROUP
FISHER(JAMES)& SONS
GO-AHEAD GROUP
NATIONAL EXPRESS
NORTHGATE
STAGEC OAC H GROUP
WINC ANTON
Price
190
329.5
1276
481.2
220.1
540
1104
187.7
174.4
232.1
42.5
12M Lo
156
282
1015
302.54
190
440.5
1094
187.7
171
219.96
42.25
12M Hi
222.4
476.5
1390
534
370.2
615
1598
262.4
333.9
287.4
123.25
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
1.409
0.943
0.814
0.766
1.084
0.827
0.944
1.290
1.379
0.875
0.854
Price
307.8
667.5
715
1660
620
12M Lo
278.8
569
623.5
1375
560
12M Hi
330.3
682.5
751
1720
642
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.489
0.551
0.588
0.458
0.576
Utilities
Stock
C ENTRIC A
NATIONAL GRID
PENNON GROUP
SEVERN TRENT
UNITED UTILITIES GROUP
Page 11 of 13
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Intellisys
24 May 2012
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Intellisys
24 May 2012
Subscribers, and casual reader, are reminded that the value of shares in any company may go up or down
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