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Introduction
Introduction
Types of derivatives
Options Forward Futures Swaps Convertibles bonds Interest rate caps ...
Introduction
History
Futures Trading may go back to 2000 B.C. in India. 600 B.C. Options on olives (Greece) 1730 Rice Futures traded in Osaka (Japan) Organised Forward markets in Europe (17th Century) Modern Futures Trading started in 19th Century U.S.A., Chicago Grain Market.
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Abandonment of Bretton Woods Agreement on fixed exchange rates. Increased Interest Rate Volatility Increased Commodity Price Volatility (e.g. oil, gold)
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The business world is confronted with greater financial price risk Need for financial risk management Eliminate Risk Forecast future prices: nearly impossible Manage/Transfer/Hedge Risk Arbitrage profit
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Building Blocks
A Futures contract, or a swap is a package of forwards Option is a package of a forward and a riskless security A Forward is a package of options similarities, differences, links
Options, Futures and other Derivative Securities Aline Muller HEC Management School of the University of Lige 2011-2012
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A forward price
is determined by an over-the-counter (OTC) agreement between two parties
Options, Futures and other Derivative Securities Aline Muller HEC Management School of the University of Lige 2011-2012
Introduction
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Futures Contract
Unlimited profit Limited profit
X X
Limited loss
Unlimited loss
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Futures Contract
long
short
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Example
January: an investor enters into a long futures contract to buy 100 oz of gold @ $400 in April
April: the price of gold $415 per oz April: the price of gold $388 per oz
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Options Contracts
An OPTION is a contract between two parties which gives one, the holder, the right to buy or to sell the underlying asset by a certain date for a certain price A CALL option is an option to BUY A PUT option is an option to SELL Therefore he has to pay a premium
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Options contracts
European option
can be exercised only on the maturity date
American option
can be exercised at any time during its life
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Options contracts
Participants in options markets:
Buyers of calls (holder, owner) LONG POSITION Sellers of calls (writer) SHORT POSITION Buyers of puts (holder, owner) LONG POSITION Sellers of puts (writer) SHORT POSITION
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transfer of underlying assets call option holder - right to buy call option writer - obligation to sell -
TODAY
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transfer of underlying assets put option holder - right to sell put option writer - obligation to buy -
TODAY
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Call option
Unlimited profit
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Call option
Limited profit = premium
Call option on one (hundred) IBM share. Option price C = $5 Strike price K=$140
Unlimited loss
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Put option
Unlimited profit
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Put option
Limited profit = premium
Put option on one (hundred) Exxon share. Option price P = $7 Strike price K=$90
Unlimited loss
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Payoff of call
Buyer
max(St-X,0)
Writer
-max(St-X,0) = min(X-St,0)
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Payoff of put
Buyer
max(X-St,0)
Writer
-max(X-St,0) = min(St-X,0)
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want to reduce/eliminate risk want to take on risk for suitable compensation provide liquidity in exchange for bid/ask spread try to profit from pricing inconsistencies
Speculators
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Motivation
To hedge risks To speculate (take a view on the future direction of the market) To lock in an arbitrage profit To change the nature of a liability To change the nature of an investment without incurring the costs of selling one portfolio and buying another These motives were also the causes of the rapid development of the derivatives markets in the 70's.
Options, Futures and other Derivative Securities Aline Muller HEC Management School of the University of Lige 2011-2012
Introduction
In July, Company A knows she must pay 1 million in September for imports: Long position in 16 futures contracts. This locks in an exchange rate of 1.6850 In July, Company B knows she must receive 3 million in September for exports: Short position in 48 futures contracts. This locks in an exchange rate of 1.6850
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$152 $4
130 65 10 75
150 75 0 75
160 80 0 80
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Strategies
Buy 250,000 for $411,750, deposit the in an account. Go long in 4 futures contracts to buy 250,000 for $410,250 in April
Outcomes
when interest rates are taken into account both strategies yield the same profit or loss
Options, Futures and other Derivative Securities Aline Muller HEC Management School of the University of Lige 2011-2012
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Alternative Strategies
Buy 100 shares of Exxon Buy 2,600 December call options (26 contracts)
90
1,200 18,200
70
-800 -7,800
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No-Arbitrage Pricing
NOW (time t) MATURITY (time T)
Portfolio A
Must be equal, o/w arbitrage
Portfolio B
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Arbitrage
Profit without any risk Stock traded on NYSE and LSE
Quotes NYSE LSE value $172 100 $1.75
Arbitrage strategy
buy 100 shares on NYSE at $172 sell 100 shares on LSE at 100 convert 10,000 into $17,500
Profit: $17,500 - 17,200 = $300 Arbitrage opportunities cannot last for long
Options, Futures and other Derivative Securities Aline Muller HEC Management School of the University of Lige 2011-2012
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