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1.1.2) Indices
NSE also set up as index services firm known as India Index Services & Products Limited (IISL) and has launched several stock indices, including: S&P CNX Nifty CNX Nifty Junior CNX 100 (= S&P CNX Nifty + CNX Nifty Junior) S&P CNX 500 (= CNX 100 + 400 major players across 72 industries) CNX Midcap (introduced on 18 July 2005 replacing CNX Midcap 200)
1.2.1) Religare
Religare is one of the leading integrated financial services institutions of India. The company offers a large and diverse bouquet of services ranging from equities, commodities, insurance broking, to wealth advisory, portfolio management services, personal finance services, Investment banking and institutional broking services. The services are broadly clubbed across three key business verticals- Retail, Wealth management and the Institutional spectrum. Religare Enterprises Limited is the holding company for all its businesses, structured and being operated through various subsidiaries. Religares retail network spreads across the length and breadth of the country with its presence through more than 1,217 locations across more than 392 cities and towns. Having spread itself fairly well across the country and with the promise of not resting on its laurels, it has also aggressively started eyeing global geographies.
Religare Finvest Limited (RFL) is registered with the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) as a Non-Banking Finance Company (NBFC) and is presently engaged in providing personal credit {such as Loans Against Shares (LAS) and Personal Loans}, distribution of Mutual Funds, Wealth Management, IPO Financing and Corporate Finance Services. RFL is aggressively making a name in the Financial Services arena in India. In a fast paced, constantly changing dynamic business environment, RFL has developed a change resilient vertically integrated value chain for delivering the most competitive products and services
1.2.5) Registration
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Industry : Finance - General BSE Code : 532915 Book Closure : Group : Ranbaxy Group NSE Code : RELIGARE Market Cap : Rs. 3086.50 Cr. ISIN No : INE621H01010 Market Lot : 1 Face Value : Rs. 10.00 Registered & Corporate Office Registrar & Share Transfer Agent 19, Nehru Place, , , New Delhi, Delhi - 110019 Karvy Computershare Private Ltd Tel: 30815100/66552200, , , Fax: 30815288, Email: investorservices@religare.in Website: www.religare.in Key Officials Name Malvinder Mohan Singh Sunil Godhwani Ravi Batra Other Details Listings BSE , NSE Designation Chairman / Chair Person Managing Director Company Secretary and Compliance Officer Incorporation 30/01/1984 Public Issue Date 29/10/2007 Plot No. 17-24, Vittal Rao Nagar, Madhapur, Hyderabad - 500081, Andhra Pradesh. Tel: 23420818, 23420824
B) Board of Directors - Religare Enterprises Limited: Mr. Malvinder Mohan Singh - Chairman (Non Executive) Mr. Sunil Godhwani - CEO & Managing Director Mr. Shivinder Mohan Singh - Non Executive Director Mr. Harpal Singh - Non Executive Director Mr.Deepak Ramchand Sabnani - Independent Director Mr.Padam Bahl - Independent Director Mr.J.W. Balani - Independent Director Mr. Baldev Singh Johal - Independent Director
First Indian Tyre Company to segment the market on the basis of load and mileage requirements
1.3.4) Bell
The growth and diversification of BEL over the years mirrors the advances in the electronics technology, with which BEL has kept pace. Starting with the manufacture of a few communication equipment in 1956, BEL went on to produce Receiving Valves in 1961, Germanium Semiconductors in 1962 and Radio Transmitters for AIR in 1964. Indian Air Force. The third Unit was established at Pune in 1979 to manufacture Image Converter and Image Intensifier Tubes.
share holding in the ratio 74%: 13%: 13% respectively. From the grassroots stage CPCL Refinery was set up with an installed capacity of 2.5 Million Tonnes Per Annum (MMTPA) in a record time of 27 months at a cost of Rs. 43 crore without any time or cost over run.
1.3.6) IFCI
At the time of independence in 1947, Indias capital market was relatively underdeveloped. Although there was significant demand for new capital, there was a dearth of providers. Merchant bankers and underwriting firms were almost non-existent. And commercial banks were not equipped to provide long-term industrial finance in any significant manner.
1.3.7) I-Flex
i-flex solutions, majority owned by Oracle, is a world leader in providing IT solutions to the financial services industry. With the experience of delivering value-based IT solutions to over 790 financial institutions across 130 countries, i-flex helps customers build competitive advantage through next-generation technology while they, simultaneously, adhere to the stringent demands of a dynamic regulatory environment. Together, Oracle and i-flex solutions offer financial services institutions the world's most comprehensive and contemporary banking applications and technology footprint that addresses their complex IT and business requirements.
risk and reward equation had to make sense. It started as a Time Recorder unit in technical collaboration with Maruzen Corporation, Japan and Moser Baer Sumiswald, Switzerland.
India, UK, Ireland, France and US Subsidiaries in US, UK, Ireland and France Marketing offices in Africa, Russia, Central and South East Asia. Wockhardt has a strong track record in acquisition management, with five successful acquisitions in the European market. These acquisitions have strengthened Wockhardts position in the high-potential markets of Europe, and have expanded the global reach of the organisation.
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To guide the investors for forecasting future price from their investment from these scrips.
The main purpose of the study is how to analysis and guide the investor for receiving benefit of investment from their scrips 11
. It will give knowledge, where the investors going to invest. The study also protect investors investment from poorly performing company
1.6) LIMITATIONS
All aspects should not be studied and analyzed with in the limited period. The return value given by the company is the approximated value.
CHAPTER 2
"Technical analysis is the study of market action, primarily through the use of charts, for the purpose of forecasting future price trends." Technical analysis is a method of evaluating securities by analyzing the statistics generated by market activity, such as past prices and volume. Technical analysts do not attempt to measure a security's intrinsic value, but instead use charts and other tools to identify patterns that can suggest future activity. Technical Analysis is the forecasting of future financial price movements based on an examination of past price movements. Like weather forecasting, technical analysis does not result in absolute predictions about the future. Instead, technical analysis can help investors anticipate what is "likely" to happen to prices over time. Technical analysis uses a wide variety of charts that show price over time. The methods used to analyze and predict the performance of a company's stock fall into two broad categories: fundamental and technical analysis. Those who use technical analysis look for peaks, bottoms, trends, patterns and other factors affecting a stock's price movement and then make buy/sell decisions based on those factors. It is a technique many people attempt, but few are truly successful at it. A method of evaluating securities by analyzing statistics generated by market activity, such as past prices and volume. Technical analysts do not attempt to measure a security's intrinsic value, but instead use charts to identify patterns that can suggest future activity.
Different methodologies define distinct schools, which wage religious wars against each other.
Primary Data
Daily Closing prices are taken from NSE Terminal After Closing of the market and from News Papers.
Secondary Data
Research Design
Tools Used
In our study RSI (Relative Strength Index), MFI (Money Flow Index), Moving Averages, Candle Stick Charts and Pivot Point are used.
The RSI is a reasonably simple model that anyone can use. It is calculated using the following formula. RSI = 100 - [100/(1 + RS)] Where: RS n = (Avg. of n-day up closes) / (Avg. of n-day down closes) = days (most analysts use 9 - 15 day RSI)
The RSI ranges from 0 to 100. At around the 70 levels, a stock is considered overbought and you should consider selling. But this number is not written in stone: in a bull market some believe that 80 is a better level to indicate an overbought stock since stocks often trade at higher valuations during bull markets. Likewise, if the RSI approaches 30, a stock is considered oversold and you should consider buying. Again, make the adjustment to 20 in a bear market. The smaller the number of days used, the more volatile the RSI is and the more often it will hit extremes. A longer term RSI is more rolling, fluctuating a lot less. Different sectors and industries have varying threshold levels when it comes to the RSI. Stocks in some industries will go as high as 75-80 before dropping back, while others have a tough time breaking past 70. Period of the Study : Project Period : 01-mar-2007 to 31-mar-2008 4 Months
Frame work of Analysis: The collected data has been used for calculating 200 Days Average, 50 Days Average and Daily Average under Simple Moving Average for Selected Junior Nifty Scrips. In this process the data collected from April-2-2007 to Mar-31-2008 has been taken for this analysis.
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Where; N is the number of calculation periods. 20 day provides a very volatile, choppy line. It isnt the most accurate, but is probably the most useful for short-term traders. 30 day similar to 20 day but provides a bit more certainty for the trend. 50 day moving averages provide a much less volatile, smooth line. This can be used to detect somewhat longer-term trends. 100 day similar to the 50 day, it is less volatile, and one of the most widely used for long-term trends.
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200 day even less volatile, more of a rolling chart or smooth line. It doesnt react to quick movements in the stock price therefore it is rarely used. a) Interpretation: Moving average analysis typically generates buy signals when a shortterm moving average (or the securitys price) rises above a longer-term moving average. Conversely, sell signals are generated when a shorter-term moving average (or the securitys price) falls below a longer-term moving average. The Price Oscillator illustrates the cyclical and often profitable signals generated by these one or two moving average systems.
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This is a bullish pattern - the stock opened at (or near) its low and closed near its high.
The opposite of the pattern above, this is a bearish pattern. It indicates that the stock opened at (or near) its high and dropped substantially to close near its low.
Known as "the hammer", this is a bullish pattern only if it occurs after the stock price has dropped for several days. A hammer is identified by a small body along with a large range. The theory is that this pattern can indicate that a reversal in the downtrend is in the works.
Known as a "star", this pattern is used in other patterns such as the "doji star". For the most part, stars typically indicate a reversal and or indecision. There is a possibility that after seeing a star there will be a reversal or change in the current trend. 19
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CHAPTER 3
Company Name APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE
Date 1-Jan-08 2-Jan-08 3-Jan-08 4-Jan-08 7-Jan-08 8-Jan-08 9-Jan-08 10-Jan-08 11-Jan-08 14-Jan-08 15-Jan-08 16-Jan-08 17-Jan-08 18-Jan-08 21-Jan-08 22-Jan-08 23-Jan-08 24-Jan-08 25-Jan-08 28-Jan-08 29-Jan-08 30-Jan-08 31-Jan-08 1-Feb-08 4-Feb-08 5-Feb-08 6-Feb-08 7-Feb-08 8-Feb-08 11-Feb-08 12-Feb-08 13-Feb-08 14-Feb-08 15-Feb-08
High Price 59 62.4 61.9 60.9 62.4 59.2 56 55.65 51.9 56.9 58.5 55.15 56.75 55.95 52.6 48.8 49.85 50.45 50.05 48.35 49.4 47.95 46.6 50.35 51 51.2 49 50.3 47.95 46 45.25 45.8 47.4 46.8
Low Price 53.9 54.7 59.1 56.65 56.75 54 53.1 50 48.7 49.9 51.45 50.2 54.75 52.1 42.2 36 40 45.05 45.75 45.25 46.8 45.3 44 43.75 49.1 48.2 45.2 46.4 45.55 42 41.1 42.5 43.75 44.6
Close Price 58.05 61.2 59.85 57.95 57.55 54.8 54.35 50.7 49.35 55.3 52.45 54.25 55.8 52.7 48.1 43.1 47.5 45.75 49.25 47.8 47.6 45.8 44.6 48.7 49.55 49.95 48.2 47 46 42.6 44 42.9 46.85 46.05
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APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE APOLLOTYRE
18-Feb-08 19-Feb-08 20-Feb-08 21-Feb-08 22-Feb-08 25-Feb-08 26-Feb-08 27-Feb-08 28-Feb-08 29-Feb-08 3-Mar-08 4-Mar-08 5-Mar-08 7-Mar-08 10-Mar-08 11-Mar-08 12-Mar-08 13-Mar-08 14-Mar-08 17-Mar-08 18-Mar-08 19-Mar-08 24-Mar-08 25-Mar-08 26-Mar-08 27-Mar-08 28-Mar-08 31-Mar-08
47.1 47.25 46.95 46.4 45.2 45.3 45 46 45.8 45.45 44.9 44.3 45 43.85 42.75 43.4 44.8 41.4 41.05 40 38.7 38.6 38.2 44.95 44.6 42.2 42.25 43.35
45.5 45.25 45 45.05 44 44 44.35 44.75 44.55 41.75 41.85 42.2 42.05 41.5 40.2 41.25 41 39 38.45 35.25 36.1 36.7 35.1 37.25 41.1 40.5 40.75 41
45.9 45.5 45.3 45.2 44.5 44.15 44.5 45.3 45.35 43.9 43.1 42.65 44.2 43.15 42.3 42.45 41.4 39.5 39.8 38.7 36.5 37.1 37.45 43.05 41.7 41.1 42 41.3
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Apollo Tyre
On 4th Dec RSI showed as 64.6 but candle stick represents bulk market and the target cannot be achieved. On 14th Dec Candlestick shows as bearish trend but First resistance level achieved. On11th Jan the RSI and MFI shoed as 72.7 and 64.2 the sell signal can be given and achieved. On 18th Feb a buy signal given at a part of 43.8 it was achieved with RSI at 47 and MF1 at 54 . The following are some targets and stop losses.
TABLE 1
Date 20 Dec 24 Dec 1 Jan 3 Jan 12 Feb P 47.92 49.48 56.98 60.28 62.53 R1 49.83 49.96 60.06* 61.46 45.8 46.5 S1 45.59* 48.96 54.96 58.66* 41.65* 44.55 R2 52.16 50.48 62.08 63.08 47.6 44.7 S2 43.68 48.48 51.88 57.48 39.3 43.8 Call Sell Buy Buy Sell Sell Buy Result Yes No Yes No Yes No
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A p o llo ty r e
450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 4/2/2007 7/2/2007 1/2/2008 2/2/2008 5/2/2007 6/2/2007 8/2/2007 9/2/2007 10/2/2007 11/2/2007 12/2/2007 3/2/2008
Price
D a te
a) Inference:
For Apollo Tyre, on 14th Dec. candlestick represents as bearish trend but resistence level 1 is achieved. That is that level is 52.02 it was broken but not reaches the resistence level 2.ie (52.76)
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CHART 2
Candlestick
A p o llo T y r e
70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1/1/2008 1/8/2008 2/5/2008 1/15/2008 1/22/2008 2/12/2008 2/19/2008 2/26/2008 3/4/2008 3/11/2008 3/18/2008 3/25/2008 1/29/2008
Price
D a te
2) ASHOKLEYLAND: 26
Company Name ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY
Date 1-Jan-08 2-Jan-08 3-Jan-08 4-Jan-08 7-Jan-08 8-Jan-08 9-Jan-08 10-Jan-08 11-Jan-08 14-Jan-08 15-Jan-08 16-Jan-08 17-Jan-08 18-Jan-08 21-Jan-08 22-Jan-08 23-Jan-08 24-Jan-08 25-Jan-08 28-Jan-08 29-Jan-08 30-Jan-08 31-Jan-08 1-Feb-08 4-Feb-08 5-Feb-08 6-Feb-08 7-Feb-08 8-Feb-08 11-Feb-08 12-Feb-08 13-Feb-08 14-Feb-08 15-Feb-08
High price 53.2 52.9 53.5 55.3 57.35 57.5 55.8 55.4 52 50.95 50.8 48.1 49.1 48.9 46 36.7 38.45 39.7 38.5 37 38.4 38 36.4 35.45 38 37.85 40 39.85 37.5 37 36 35.25 36.2 36.45
Low price 51.7 51.05 51.05 52.75 43.9 53.1 51.65 50.25 49.25 49.3 47.6 46 47.1 45.25 33 26.15 31.7 33.8 36.05 35 35.8 35.4 33.3 33.75 35.55 36.55 35.15 36.9 35.8 34.4 33.7 34 35 35.1
Close price 52.1 51.9 52.6 54 56.35 54.05 54.3 51.1 50.3 49.6 48.1 47.3 48.25 45.9 36.1 32.1 37.1 36 37.5 36.65 36.35 35.75 33.95 34.85 37.35 37.4 38.3 37.1 36.45 34.75 34.05 34.35 36 36.35
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ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY ASHOKLEY
18-Feb-08 19-Feb-08 20-Feb-08 21-Feb-08 22-Feb-08 25-Feb-08 26-Feb-08 27-Feb-08 28-Feb-08 29-Feb-08 3-Mar-08 4-Mar-08 5-Mar-08 7-Mar-08 10-Mar-08 11-Mar-08 12-Mar-08 13-Mar-08 14-Mar-08 17-Mar-08 18-Mar-08 19-Mar-08 24-Mar-08 25-Mar-08 26-Mar-08 27-Mar-08 28-Mar-08 31-Mar-08
37.45 37.7 36.8 36.65 36.25 36.35 36.75 36.75 36.15 37.85 38.4 37.45 37 36.3 35.75 36.45 37.1 35.45 35.05 34.1 34.25 35.7 33 33.5 33.75 33.4 34.9 35.6
36 36.85 35.6 35.75 35.05 35.2 36 35.5 35.25 35.3 35.95 35.5 35.8 34.1 33.55 34.5 35.15 34 33.6 33.1 33.2 32 30.6 31.9 32.65 32.65 33 34
37.05 37 35.85 36.05 36.05 35.9 36.25 35.7 35.6 37.45 36.65 35.9 36.75 35.2 35.1 35.95 35.55 34.3 34.55 33.7 33.4 32.2 31.5 33.25 32.95 33 34.5 35.4
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ASHOKLEYLAND: A sell signal was given at a point 45.76 when MFI showed 73.2 but it was failed. A buy signal was given by RSI and moving average at 56 and it achieved. On 14th Jan a sell signal was achieved at a point of 49.18 and it was done. On 25h Feb RSI indicated as 36.2 and facilitate to buy signal and it was achieved The following are some targets and stop losses.
TABLE 2
Date 18 Dec 31 Dec 7 Jan 28 Jan 19 Feb P 48.43 51.51 52.53 36.21 37.18 R1 49.76 52.98 61.16 37.43 37.51 S1 47.06 50.57 47.71 35.42 36.66 R2 51.13 53.92 65.98 38.22 38.03 S2 45.73 49.1 35.08 34.2 36.33 Call Buy Buy Buy Buy Sell Result N Y N Y N
* Achieved
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CHART 3
MOVING AVERAGE:
Ashok leyland 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 4/2/2007 5/2/2007 6/2/2007 7/2/2007 8/2/2007 9/2/2007 10/2/2007 12/2/2007 1/2/2008 2/2/2008 11/2/2007 3/2/2008
Price
Date
b) Inference:
For Ashok Leyland on 25th Feb., RSI indicated 36.2, it indicated the buy signal, and also moving average also indicates the buy signal 35.9. The scrip achieved.
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CHART 4
CANDLESTIC CHART:
A s h o k le y
70 60 50 40 Price 30 20 10 0 1 / 1 / 2 0 0 8/ 1 0 / 2 010/ 2 1 / 2 010/ 3 0 / 2 0 20 /8 / 2 0 02 8/ 1 9 / 2 020/ 2 8 / 2 030/ 1 1 / 2 030/ 2 4 / 2 0 0 8 1 8 8 8 8 8 8 D a te
O p e n P r ic e H ig h P r ic e L o w P r ic e C lo s e P r ic e
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3) BELL:
Company Name BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL Date 1-Jan-08 2-Jan-08 3-Jan-08 4-Jan-08 7-Jan-08 8-Jan-08 9-Jan-08 10-Jan-08 11-Jan-08 14-Jan-08 15-Jan-08 16-Jan-08 17-Jan-08 18-Jan-08 21-Jan-08 22-Jan-08 23-Jan-08 24-Jan-08 25-Jan-08 28-Jan-08 29-Jan-08 30-Jan-08 31-Jan-08 1-Feb-08 4-Feb-08 5-Feb-08 6-Feb-08 7-Feb-08 8-Feb-08 11-Feb-08 12-Feb-08 High price 2130 2165 2140 2125 2085 2105 2020 1980 1919.8 1910 1908.8 1980 1928.9 1880 1799.8 1800 1899 1899.9 1915 1790 1734 1650 1647.9 1605 1650 1612 1560 1524.8 1460 1500 1439 Low price 2080.05 2080 2052.25 2040.1 1992.6 2001 1945 1875 1836.25 1853 1870 1822.5 1870.9 1760 1700 1420 1600 1650 1750.05 1599 1615.2 1545.45 1505 1506 1580 1555 1494.1 1430.25 1372.6 1300 1360 Close price 2120.55 2107.15 2070.8 2056.2 2042.05 2010.25 1961.5 1914.35 1862.15 1895.15 1879 1891.85 1879.1 1816.35 1764.5 1564.1 1819.85 1747.35 1870.3 1697.95 1629.4 1615.45 1540.9 1558.75 1599.25 1563.5 1521 1440.55 1402.25 1427.1 1405.5
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BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL BELL
13-Feb-08 14-Feb-08 15-Feb-08 18-Feb-08 19-Feb-08 20-Feb-08 21-Feb-08 22-Feb-08 25-Feb-08 26-Feb-08 27-Feb-08 28-Feb-08 29-Feb-08 3-Mar-08 4-Mar-08 5-Mar-08 7-Mar-08 10-Mar-08 11-Mar-08 12-Mar-08 13-Mar-08 14-Mar-08 17-Mar-08 18-Mar-08 19-Mar-08 24-Mar-08 25-Mar-08 26-Mar-08 27-Mar-08 28-Mar-08 31-Mar-08
1441 1529.5 1513 1545 1529 1500 1510 1465 1485 1455 1479.7 1480 1504.85 1459 1400 1349.8 1403.55 1347.85 1390.85 1360 1360 1309.9 1350 1300 1296.95 1259.65 1246.9 1249.8 1209.95 1159 1145
1325 1441 1460.1 1494 1471.25 1452 1410 1395 1420.7 1431 1435 1417 1402 1345 1313 1309.05 1250 1252 1287 1331 1260 1252.05 1201.3 1220 1165 1170 1176.05 1164 1100 1071.6 1044.55
1439.45 1492.6 1492.7 1505.15 1482.1 1464.5 1417.55 1455.3 1436.25 1445.25 1450.8 1449.75 1437.2 1381.2 1326.65 1336.75 1308.05 1324.65 1305.65 1338.15 1292.95 1277.5 1237.75 1235.2 1199.7 1184 1189.9 1186.35 1112.5 1105.1 1067.4
BELL:
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On 7th Dec shows Bearish book reversal represents sell signal and it can be achieved. On 16th Jan a buy signal given at a point 1021.5 but it was failed. On 22th Jan a buy signal given at a point 844.05an it achieved. The following are some targets and stop losses.
TABLE 3
Date 3 Dec 21 Dec 10 Jan 22 Jan 4 Feb 22 Feb *Achieved P 988.88 1089.05 1176.8 1021.53 1203.35 1084.06 R1 997.71 1133.1* 1202.4* 1140.06 1230.7 1127.12 S1 977.76 1056.1 1146.65 844.06 1168.7 1053.12 R2 1008.83 1166.05 1232.55 1317.53 1265.35 1158.06 S2 968.93 1012.05 1121.05 725.53 1141.35 1010.06 Call Buy Buy Buy Buy Sell Buy Result Y Y Y Y Y Y
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CHART 5
MOVING AVERAGE:
B e ll
2500 2000 Price 1500 1000 500 0 4/2/2007 6/2/2007 8/2/2007 9/2/2007 1/2/2008 10/2/2007 11/2/2007 12/2/2007 3/2/2008 5/2/2007 7/2/2007 2/2/2008 50 D ays 200 D ays D a ily
D a te
c) Inference:
For Asian paints, on 22nd Jan a buy signal given at a point 844.05an it achieved, it indicates through Moving average and RSI.
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CHART 6
CANDLESTIC CHART:
Bel
0 1 / 1 / 2 0 0 8 1 / 1 5 / 2 0 0 18 / 2 9 / 2 0 0 28 / 1 D /a2 t0e 0 28 / 2 6 / 2 0 0 3 / 1 1 / 2 0 0 3 / 2 5 / 2 0 0 8 2 8 8
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4) AUROPHARMA:
Company Name AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA Date 1-Jan-08 2-Jan-08 3-Jan-08 4-Jan-08 7-Jan-08 8-Jan-08 9-Jan-08 10-Jan-08 11-Jan-08 14-Jan-08 15-Jan-08 16-Jan-08 17-Jan-08 18-Jan-08 21-Jan-08 22-Jan-08 23-Jan-08 24-Jan-08 25-Jan-08 28-Jan-08 29-Jan-08 30-Jan-08 31-Jan-08 1-Feb-08 4-Feb-08 5-Feb-08 6-Feb-08 7-Feb-08 8-Feb-08 11-Feb-08 12-Feb-08 13-Feb-08 14-Feb-08 High price 554.8 553.35 552 543.45 536 533.8 520 518.8 499.5 495 480 459 453 440 411.35 359 357 358 374.6 389 381.9 389 336 307.7 302.9 307 315.5 314.6 311 314.45 306.5 305 302.9 Low price 543.3 538.25 535.2 530 525.1 516.75 504.95 489 475.6 475.3 453.15 435 431 405.2 331.85 223.7 299 320 330 339 354.95 329 288 288.05 294.25 295.2 293.5 295.25 298.05 295 300 277 291.5 Close price 548.6 546 537.1 532.45 530.2 519.8 506.95 495 484.95 477.8 457.05 440.25 434.9 411.35 367.65 318.6 316.45 326.3 365.25 361.8 378.85 332.75 292.85 292.85 297.65 304.35 310.2 297.7 310.05 299.35 301.95 291.65 295.45
37
AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA AUROPHARMA
15-Feb-08 18-Feb-08 19-Feb-08 20-Feb-08 21-Feb-08 22-Feb-08 25-Feb-08 26-Feb-08 27-Feb-08 28-Feb-08 29-Feb-08 3-Mar-08 4-Mar-08 5-Mar-08 7-Mar-08 10-Mar-08 11-Mar-08 12-Mar-08 13-Mar-08 14-Mar-08 17-Mar-08 18-Mar-08 19-Mar-08 24-Mar-08 25-Mar-08 26-Mar-08 27-Mar-08 28-Mar-08 31-Mar-08
295 306 306.75 303.5 302.75 309 308.95 312.2 318.5 313.75 333 347.5 340 329.7 318 312 312.5 321 304 293.9 285 265 259.5 258.7 261.05 271.95 306 300 302.1
291 292 299 296.2 297.3 298.05 298.5 302.15 310 307 306.2 321 316.2 318 290 291.1 300.05 302 285.1 281 253.7 245.6 242.7 240.65 251 257.75 262.25 286 287.3
292.95 297.05 300.5 297.1 298.7 302.6 305.9 309.9 310.95 308.2 329.7 332.9 320.45 324.9 306.2 308.45 307.45 302.8 288.25 288.8 257.85 247.5 248.9 247.15 257.85 270.2 289.9 293.75 291.3
AUROPHARMA:
38
On 7thDec RSI represents as 526.25 but candle stick represents the bullish pattern and the target 1 can be achieved. On 10th Dec a sell signal was given at 506.45 and the target can be achieved. On 23rd Jan a buy signal given at a point 452.4 because of RSI represents 35.8 and it was achieved. On 25th Fen MFI shoed as 312 and the buy signal can be given and achieved. The following are some targets and stop losses.
TABLE 4
Date 6 Dec 29 Dec 16 Jan 23 Jan P 513.1 540.7 444.75 324.15 R1 527.5 544.7 454.5 349.3 294.9 S1 503 535.6 430.5 291.3 290.9 R2 537.6 549.7 468.75 382.15 296.98 S2 488.6 531.6 420.75 266.15 288.98 Call Buy Sell Sell Sell Sell Result Y N Y Y Y
CHART 7
39
MOVING AVERAGE:
Au ro p h arm a
900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 4/2/2007 5/2/2007 6/2/2007 7/2/2007 8/2/2007 9/2/2007 1/2/2008 2/2/2008 10/2/2007 11/2/2007 12/2/2007 3/2/2008
5 0 D a ys 2 0 0 D a ys D a ily
Price
D a te
d) Inference:
For Auropharma on 7thDec RSI represents as 80.55, but candlestick represents The bullish pattern and the resistance level 2 (R2) is 538.05, so all the tools indicate sell
40
CHART 8
CANDLESTIC CHART:
A u ro P h a rm a
600 500 400 O p e n P ric e Price 300 200 100 0 1 /1 /0 81 /8 / 0 81 /1 5 / 0 18 /2 2 /0 18 /2 9 /0 2 /5 /0 82 / 1 2 /0 28 /1 9 /0 28/ 2 6 /0 3 / 4 /0 83 /1 2 /0 38 /1 9 /0 38 /2 8 /0 8 8 8 D a te H ig h p ric e L o w P ric e C lo s e P r i c e
5) CHENNAI PETROLEUM:
Company Name Date High price Low price Close price
41
Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum
1-Jan-08 2-Jan-08 3-Jan-08 4-Jan-08 7-Jan-08 8-Jan-08 9-Jan-08 10-Jan-08 11-Jan-08 14-Jan-08 15-Jan-08 16-Jan-08 17-Jan-08 18-Jan-08 21-Jan-08 22-Jan-08 23-Jan-08 24-Jan-08 25-Jan-08 28-Jan-08 29-Jan-08 30-Jan-08 31-Jan-08 1-Feb-08 4-Feb-08 5-Feb-08 6-Feb-08 7-Feb-08 8-Feb-08 11-Feb-08 12-Feb-08 13-Feb-08 14-Feb-08 15-Feb-08 18-Feb-08 19-Feb-08 20-Feb-08
435 431 429 444 444 424.7 415 411 394 403 398 384.85 400.95 379.95 360 300 325 328.8 337.9 325 340 317.75 323 311.8 335 327.95 333.3 323.9 312 303 294.7 282 299.9 309.85 314.9 321.4 314
421 417.1 417 425.1 416.55 400.6 396.1 384 377.55 384 377.1 372 376.8 354 260 180.8 260 271.25 300.3 306.95 308 295.4 284.05 296 307 307.1 303 297 283.45 276 268 269.1 280.55 287 302.05 305.15 304.05
427.75 421.8 423.85 428.1 417.95 405.2 402.15 387.2 388.3 387.5 380.95 377.65 379.35 361.45 291.45 277.8 291.15 297.35 330.75 320 311.05 297.35 294.35 308.5 311.5 324.5 321.85 301.15 303.8 279.95 271.15 279.25 295.15 306.6 307.6 307.65 308.55
42
Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum Chennai petroleum
21-Feb-08 22-Feb-08 25-Feb-08 26-Feb-08 27-Feb-08 28-Feb-08 29-Feb-08 3-Mar-08 4-Mar-08 5-Mar-08 7-Mar-08 10-Mar-08 11-Mar-08 12-Mar-08 13-Mar-08 14-Mar-08 17-Mar-08 18-Mar-08 19-Mar-08 27-Mar-08 28-Mar-08 31-Mar-08
318.85 308.5 308.8 318 318 316 307.8 304.2 302.95 308 303.8 295 299 309.95 289.9 275 270 256.95 259.5 277.7 275.5 285
300.1 295.15 296.25 305.05 313 292.65 295.05 290.05 291 298.05 286.05 276.45 285.15 289 269 267.05 248.05 241.5 249.6 256.15 260.2 266.1
304.5 303 305.75 313.05 315.55 300.7 300.65 297.55 300.85 301.75 289.8 292.45 287.2 291.3 272.55 274.35 251.6 244.4 254.1 262.7 273.05 281.05
43
CHENNAI PETROLEUM: On 10th Dec a buy signal given due to MFI at 7.8 at a point of 1085.6 and it was achieved. On 17th Jan a sell signal given because of bearish trend given by candlestick pattern and it achieved. On 13th Feb a buy signal was given when he RSI and MFI represent as 956 & 988.32. On 27th Feb a sell signal was given while RSI represented as 50.2 but it was failed. The following are some targets and stop losses.
TABLE 5
Date 3 Dec 24 Dec 1 Jan 31 Jan P 999.8 1018.26 1139.3 914.48 R1 1011.66 921.47 1163.5 928.96 922.43 S1 990.6 856 1098.6 888.96 900.47 R1 1020.86 1083.73 1204.2 954.48 950.91 S2 978.8 952.79 1074.4 874.48 892.75 Call Sell Sell Buy Buy Buy Result Y Y N Y Y
44
CHART 9
MOVING AVERAGE:
C h e n n a i P e tr o liu m
500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 5/2/2007 8/2/2007 9/2/2007 1/2/2008 10/2/2007 11/2/2007 12/2/2007 3/2/2008 4/2/2007 6/2/2007 7/2/2007 2/2/2008
5 0 D a ys 2 0 0 D a ys D a ily
Price
D a te
e) Inference:
For Chennai petroleum on 17th Jan a sell signal given because of bearish trend given by candlestick pattern and Moving average represents the value 1026. This is the time to sell, and it was achieved.
45
CHART 10
CANDLESTIC CHART:
C h e n n a i P e tro liu m
500 400 300 Price 200 100 0 1 / 1 / 2 0 0 18 / 1 5 / 2 0 0 8 2 9 / 2 0 02 8/ 1 2 / 2 0 02 8/ 2 6 / 2 0 03 8/ 1 1 / 2 0 0 8 2 5 / 2 0 0 8 1/ 3/ D a te O p e n P r ic e H ig h P r ic e L o w P r ic e C lo s e P r ic e
6) IFCI:
Company Name Date High price Low price
46
Close price IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI 1-Jan-08 2-Jan-08 3-Jan-08 4-Jan-08 7-Jan-08 8-Jan-08 9-Jan-08 10-Jan-08 11-Jan-08 14-Jan-08 15-Jan-08 16-Jan-08 17-Jan-08 18-Jan-08 21-Jan-08 22-Jan-08 23-Jan-08 24-Jan-08 25-Jan-08 28-Jan-08 29-Jan-08 30-Jan-08 31-Jan-08 1-Feb-08 4-Feb-08 5-Feb-08 6-Feb-08 7-Feb-08 8-Feb-08 11-Feb-08 12-Feb-08 13-Feb-08 14-Feb-08 15-Feb-08 100 97.2 93.8 94.7 98.45 98.8 92.1 90.85 86.7 86.85 88.15 86.8 86.8 84 85 61.9 62 62 63.65 61.7 63.4 62.3 60.95 60.05 62.9 67.35 69.9 71.9 66.2 64 63.5 57.9 63 65.75 94.05 92.1 90 91 86.35 89.1 87.1 81.1 81.15 83.6 76.15 81.2 83.5 75.75 53 38 53 52.9 54.05 55.5 60.1 58.25 55.5 57.2 60.1 61.05 62 64.1 61.8 55.1 54.7 54.2 58.3 60.5 96.05 93.85 90.75 91.6 95.4 90.7 88.15 82.9 85.4 84.8 84.55 85.7 84.15 77.1 64.3 51.15 57.2 53.75 62.45 61.2 61.75 59.1 57.75 58.75 61.8 66.4 69.05 64.8 64.05 56.2 55.3 56 62.35 65
47
IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI IFCI
18-Feb-08 19-Feb-08 20-Feb-08 21-Feb-08 22-Feb-08 25-Feb-08 26-Feb-08 27-Feb-08 28-Feb-08 29-Feb-08 3-Mar-08 4-Mar-08 5-Mar-08 7-Mar-08 10-Mar-08 11-Mar-08 12-Mar-08 13-Mar-08 14-Mar-08 17-Mar-08 18-Mar-08 19-Mar-08 24-Mar-08 25-Mar-08 26-Mar-08 27-Mar-08 28-Mar-08 31-Mar-08
66.3 67.2 63.9 64.1 64.9 64.7 64.5 65.9 64.4 68.95 65.25 62.6 58.4 56.5 53 55.6 59 52.9 50.7 47.65 46.95 46.9 43.3 43.7 44.65 45.65 46.85 47.3
63.4 63.3 61.4 61 61.7 62.2 62.75 63.05 62.15 60.05 60.85 55 56.5 50 47.35 50.2 53.6 48 48.2 45.05 43.15 40.1 36.55 39.45 42.2 41.9 43.55 43.5
65.2 63.95 61.9 63.4 63.55 63.6 63.3 63.75 62.45 67.05 61.3 58.15 57.4 51.8 52.3 54.75 54.5 48.7 49.9 45.5 43.75 40.85 38.8 43.15 43.15 43.85 46.45 44.1
IFCI: On 6th Dec a sell signal was given with RSI as 118.8 but it was failed. 48
On 17th Jan a buy signal was given at the point of 91.4. and it was achieved. On 13th Feb a Signal was given with MFI at 13.4 but it was failed buy to achieve. On 21st Feb a buy signal was given at the point of 76 and it was achieved. The following are some targets and stop losses.
TABLE 6
Date 17 Dec 27 Dec 8 Jan 25 Jan P 110.6 78.96 92.86 60.05 R1 119.2* 80.68 96.63* 66.05 70.65 S1 106 76.52* 86.92 56.45 61.75 R2 129.8 83.12 102.57 69.65 74.25 S2 91.4 74.8 83.15 50.45 56.45 Call Buy Buy Buy Sell Sell Result Y N Y Y N
49
CHART 11
MOVING AVERAGE:
Ifc i 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 7/2/2007 8/2/2007 1/2/2008 2/2/2008 4/2/2007 5/2/2007 6/2/2007 9/2/2007 12/2/2007 10/2/2007 11/2/2007 3/2/2008
5 0 D a ys 2 0 0 D a ys D a ily
Price
D a te
f) Inference:
For Ifci, on 13th Feb a Signal was given with MFI at 13.4 but it was failed buy to achieved, because of Moving average indicate the value of scrip is 70.66
50
CHART 12
CANDLESTIC CHART:
If c i
120 100 80 Price 60 40 20 0 1 /2 /2 0 0 8 1 /1 6 /2 0 0 8 1 /3 0 /2 0 0 8 2 /1 3 /2 0 0 8 2 /2 7 / 2 0 0 8 3 /1 2 /2 0 0 8 3 / 2 6 /2 0 0 8 D a te O p e n P ric e H ig h P ric e L o w P ric e C lo s e P r i c e
7) I-FLEX:
Company Name Date High price Low price Close price
51
I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX
1-Jan-08 2-Jan-08 3-Jan-08 4-Jan-08 7-Jan-08 8-Jan-08 9-Jan-08 10-Jan-08 11-Jan-08 14-Jan-08 15-Jan-08 16-Jan-08 17-Jan-08 18-Jan-08 21-Jan-08 22-Jan-08 23-Jan-08 24-Jan-08 25-Jan-08 28-Jan-08 29-Jan-08 30-Jan-08 31-Jan-08 1-Feb-08 4-Feb-08 5-Feb-08 6-Feb-08 7-Feb-08 8-Feb-08 11-Feb-08 12-Feb-08 13-Feb-08 14-Feb-08 15-Feb-08
1528 1525 1525 1514 1490 1484 1615 1679.9 1549 1519.9 1507 1475 1466.85 1430 1434.5 1299.9 1140 1133.95 1130 1115 1139 1075 1045 1078 1149.9 1155 1087 1090 1075 1065 1050 1038 1045 1030
1505 1481.1 1475 1465.05 1427.35 1422 1470 1490 1453 1453 1421 1400 1422.1 1353.55 1099 889 971.1 931 1034 1001.15 1052.55 995 925 962 1081.3 1083 1040 1011 1000 984 990 956.6 1010 1015
1511 1509.65 1482.7 1476.55 1453 1466.1 1585.55 1520.9 1483.2 1481.2 1439.1 1448.55 1429.25 1381.95 1126.95 967.6 1070.35 965.95 1115 1076.95 1075.2 1002.55 940.85 1064 1127.4 1094.65 1074.9 1018.15 1040.25 1007.95 1001.3 998.05 1023.4 1025.15
52
I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX I-FLEX
18-Feb-08 19-Feb-08 20-Feb-08 21-Feb-08 22-Feb-08 25-Feb-08 26-Feb-08 27-Feb-08 28-Feb-08 29-Feb-08 3-Mar-08 4-Mar-08 5-Mar-08 7-Mar-08 10-Mar-08 11-Mar-08 12-Mar-08 13-Mar-08 14-Mar-08 17-Mar-08 18-Mar-08 19-Mar-08 24-Mar-08 25-Mar-08 26-Mar-08 27-Mar-08 28-Mar-08 31-Mar-08
1050 1115 1139 1106.8 1105 1085 1122 1177 1124 1115 1080 1075 1070 1032 1040 1065 1100 1010 992 970 958.5 978 950 1008 1027 1003 994 985
1029.95 1036.05 1050.05 1040.05 1045.1 1026 1080 1080 1061 1029.3 1020 1017 1030.15 983 946.4 992.5 1000 952 920 925 925.1 922 895 913.5 974 935 956 935
1035.3 1101.6 1059.45 1056.6 1054.3 1071.65 1109.85 1098.05 1089.25 1078.95 1042.55 1048.25 1039.2 1001.5 1015.5 1054.65 1007.45 959.1 983.15 942.95 936.5 925.55 908.25 992.55 986.85 947.1 984.4 941.1
I-FLEX: On 24th Dec short term momentum cut its long term average at bottom a sell signal was indicated and it was achieved at1499. 53
On 14th Jan a bus signal was imposed by moving up than the long-term average at 1232.12 and it was also achieved. On 16th Jan a sell signal was given due to RSI as 57.6 at 1118.51 and it was failed. On 29th Feb a buy signal was given at 1086.2 and it was achieved. The following are some targets and stop losses.
TABLE 7
Date 3 Dec 11 Dec 3 Jan 23 Jan 21 Feb P 1526.2 1592 1494.2 1060.48 1067.8 * Achieved R1 1577.5 1612 1513 1149.8 1095.58 S1 1482.5 1560 1463.4 980.9 1028.8 R2 1621.2 1644 1543.8 1229.3 1134.58 S2 1431.7 1546 1574.6 892.38 1173.58 Call Buy Buy Sell Buy Sell Result Y N Y N N
54
CHART 13
MOVING AVERAGE:
I-fle x
3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 4/2/2007 5/2/2007 6/2/2007 7/2/2007 8/2/2007 9/2/2007 1/2/2008 2/2/2008 10/2/2007 11/2/2007 12/2/2007 3/2/2008
Price
D a te
g) Inference:
For I-flex, on 24th Dec short term momentum cut its medium term average at bottom a sell signal was indicated and it was achieved at1502.
55
CHART 14
CANDLESTIC CHART:
I- f le x
Price
0 1 / 1 / 2 0 1 0 / 8 / 2 0 1 0 / 18 5 / 2 1 0 / 02 82 / 2 1 0 / 20 98 / 2 20 / 05 8/ 2 0 2 0 / 18 2 / 2 2 0 / 10 98 / 2 2 0 / 02 86 / 2 30 / 04 8/ 2 0 3 0 / 18 1 / 2 3 0 / 10 8 / 2 3 0 / 02 85 / 2 0 0 8 D a te
56
8) MOSERBAER:
Company Name MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER Date 1-Jan-08 2-Jan-08 3-Jan-08 4-Jan-08 7-Jan-08 8-Jan-08 9-Jan-08 10-Jan-08 11-Jan-08 14-Jan-08 15-Jan-08 16-Jan-08 17-Jan-08 18-Jan-08 21-Jan-08 22-Jan-08 23-Jan-08 24-Jan-08 25-Jan-08 28-Jan-08 29-Jan-08 30-Jan-08 31-Jan-08 1-Feb-08 4-Feb-08 5-Feb-08 6-Feb-08 7-Feb-08 8-Feb-08 11-Feb-08 12-Feb-08 High price 122 128 129.95 126.95 125 124.75 122.7 121.9 118 128.8 120.2 116 119.9 116.8 111.85 97 100.4 101 102.9 109 111 106.9 96.9 94.9 98.75 97.95 96.05 97.3 94.75 92.25 91.7 Low price 113 121.05 124 122.15 99 118 115.85 116.9 112.5 117.4 116 111 114.55 108.05 88 71.15 91 89.1 94.05 95 98.9 93.5 91 91.6 95.75 95.4 89 92 89.2 86.3 85.5 Close price 121 127.4 124.95 123.45 122.55 119.1 119.6 117.1 115.8 119.1 116.45 114.55 117.45 109.95 96.6 86.4 97.05 92.3 101.5 106.55 102.9 95.4 91.9 93.5 97 95.85 95.5 92.7 90.95 89.05 86
57
MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER MOSERBAER
13-Feb-08 14-Feb-08 15-Feb-08 18-Feb-08 19-Feb-08 20-Feb-08 21-Feb-08 22-Feb-08 25-Feb-08 26-Feb-08 27-Feb-08 28-Feb-08 29-Feb-08 3-Mar-08 4-Mar-08 5-Mar-08 7-Mar-08 10-Mar-08 11-Mar-08 12-Mar-08 13-Mar-08 14-Mar-08 17-Mar-08 18-Mar-08 19-Mar-08 24-Mar-08 25-Mar-08 26-Mar-08 27-Mar-08 28-Mar-08 31-Mar-08
89.05 98 100.4 100.7 99.75 99.9 99.75 96.9 96.8 97.5 100.35 98.05 99 96.95 94 91.85 85.5 82.1 81.45 86.25 78 76.9 76.85 75.7 75 74.25 80.95 82 80.75 79.4 78.5
83.4 87.75 93.8 95.5 97.5 95.1 94.25 93.15 93.05 95 96.6 95.4 93.65 92 88 85.65 78.8 75.25 78.7 77.6 73.3 74.05 70.15 70.5 71 71.15 73.5 77.6 77.2 77 74.3
85.35 96.95 98.6 97.45 97.95 98.3 95.95 95.35 95 97.1 98.15 97.95 98.2 92.2 91.15 86.5 79.45 79.9 80.65 78.1 74.15 76 72.7 71.25 71.55 73.05 80.5 79.05 79.25 79.05 74.95
MOSERBAER:
58
Buy Signal was given at the point of 285.64 on 10th Dec and it was achieved. On 22nd Jan a sell signal was given by RSI at 59.7 and it was achieved at 180.6 On 28th Jan a buy signal was given at 176.4 and it was also achieved On 4th Feb sell signal was given because of RSI at 61.6 and it was failed. The following are some targets and stop losses.
TABLE 8
Date 7 Dec 31 Dec 14 Jan 28 Jan 27 Feb P 301.4 301.6 290.2 219.56 170.13 R1 313.8 318 296.1 234 190.21 S1 293.1 291.9 284.5 216.7 157.31 R2 322.1 327.7 301.8 242.86 203.03 S2 280.7 275.5 278.6 202.26 137.73 Call Buy Sell Buy Sell Sell Result Y Y Y N N
* Achieved
59
CHART 15
MOVING AVERAGE:
M o s e rb a e r
600 500 400 300 200 100 0 6/2/2007 7/2/2007 8/2/2007 1/2/2008 2/2/2008 11/2/2007 12/2/2007 10/2/2007 3/2/2008 4/2/2007 5/2/2007 9/2/2007 Price
D a te
h) Inference:
For Moser Baer on 28th Jan a buy signal was given at 176.4, because of that day Resistance level indicate 234.
60
CHART 16
CANDLESTIC CHART:
M o s e rb a e r
400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0
1/1 /20 08 1/8 /20 0 1/1 8 5/2 00 1/2 8 2/2 00 1/2 8 9/2 00 8 2/5 /20 0 2/1 8 2/2 00 2/1 8 9/2 00 2/2 8 6/2 00 8 3/4 /20 0 3/1 8 1/2 00 3/1 8 8/2 00 3/2 8 5/2 00 8
O p e n P r ic e H ig h P r ic e L o w P r ic e C lo s e P r ic e
Price
D a te
9) SYNDIBANK:
Company Name Date High price Low price Close price
61
SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK
1-Jan-08 2-Jan-08 3-Jan-08 4-Jan-08 7-Jan-08 8-Jan-08 9-Jan-08 10-Jan-08 11-Jan-08 14-Jan-08 15-Jan-08 16-Jan-08 17-Jan-08 18-Jan-08 21-Jan-08 22-Jan-08 23-Jan-08 24-Jan-08 25-Jan-08 28-Jan-08 29-Jan-08 30-Jan-08 31-Jan-08 1-Feb-08 4-Feb-08 5-Feb-08 6-Feb-08 7-Feb-08 8-Feb-08 11-Feb-08 12-Feb-08 13-Feb-08 14-Feb-08 15-Feb-08
122 128 129.95 126.95 125 124.75 122.7 121.9 118 128.8 120.2 116 119.9 116.8 111.85 97 100.4 101 102.9 109 111 106.9 96.9 94.9 98.75 97.95 96.05 97.3 94.75 92.25 91.7 89.05 98 100.4
113 121.05 124 122.15 99 118 115.85 116.9 112.5 117.4 116 111 114.55 108.05 88 71.15 91 89.1 94.05 95 98.9 93.5 91 91.6 95.75 95.4 89 92 89.2 86.3 85.5 83.4 87.75 93.8
121 127.4 124.95 123.45 122.55 119.1 119.6 117.1 115.8 119.1 116.45 114.55 117.45 109.95 96.6 86.4 97.05 92.3 101.5 106.55 102.9 95.4 91.9 93.5 97 95.85 95.5 92.7 90.95 89.05 86 85.35 96.95 98.6
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SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK SYNDIBANK
18-Feb-08 19-Feb-08 20-Feb-08 21-Feb-08 22-Feb-08 25-Feb-08 26-Feb-08 27-Feb-08 28-Feb-08 29-Feb-08 3-Mar-08 4-Mar-08 5-Mar-08 7-Mar-08 10-Mar-08 11-Mar-08 12-Mar-08 13-Mar-08 14-Mar-08 17-Mar-08 18-Mar-08 19-Mar-08 24-Mar-08 25-Mar-08 26-Mar-08 27-Mar-08 28-Mar-08 31-Mar-08
100.7 99.75 99.9 99.75 96.9 96.8 97.5 100.35 98.05 99 96.95 94 91.85 85.5 82.1 81.45 86.25 78 76.9 76.85 75.7 75 74.25 80.95 82 80.75 79.4 78.5
95.5 97.5 95.1 94.25 93.15 93.05 95 96.6 95.4 93.65 92 88 85.65 78.8 75.25 78.7 77.6 73.3 74.05 70.15 70.5 71 71.15 73.5 77.6 77.2 77 74.3
97.45 97.95 98.3 95.95 95.35 95 97.1 98.15 97.95 98.2 92.2 91.15 86.5 79.45 79.9 80.65 78.1 74.15 76 72.7 71.25 71.55 73.05 80.5 79.05 79.25 79.05 74.95
SYNDIBANK: A Buy signal was given on 17th Dec at 110.25 and it was achieved. On Jan 1st sell Signal was given at a point of 105.87and it was also done. On 14th Jan a buy signal can be given due to RSI at 114.72 but it was not achieved. 63
On 29tht Feb a buy signal was achieved at a point of 99.08 The following are some targets and stop losses.
TABLE 9
Date 7 Dec 14 Dec 14 Jan 22 Jan 18 Feb P 115.18 108.93 121.76 84.85 97.88 R1 120 121.86 126.13 98.55 100.26 S1 108.36 101.36 114.72 72.7 95.06 R2 126.82 129.43 133.17 110.7 103.08 S2 103.54 88.43 110.35 59 92.68 Call Buy Buy Buy Buy Sell Result N N N Y N
* Achieved
CHART 17
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MOVING AVERAGE:
Syndi B ank
140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 10/2/2007 11/2/2007 12/2/2007 3/2/2008 4/2/2007 5/2/2007 6/2/2007 7/2/2007 8/2/2007 9/2/2007 1/2/2008 2/2/2008
Price
D a te
i) Inference:
For Syndibank, on Jan 1st sell Signal was given at a point of 125.7but candlestick also represent bull market.
CHART 18
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CANDLESTIC CHART:
Syndi Bank
140 120 100 80 Price 60 40 20 0 1 / 1 / 2 0 0 81 / 1 5 / 2 0 0 18 / 2 9 / 2 0 0 28 / 1D 2a / 2 e0 0 28 / 2 6 / 2 0 0 38 / 1 1 / 2 0 0 38 / 2 5 / 2 0 0 8 t O p e n P ric e H ig h P ric e L o w P ric e C lo s e P r i c e
10) WOCKPHARMA:
Company Name WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA Date 1-Jan-08 2-Jan-08 3-Jan-08 4-Jan-08 Open price 425 439.3 437.95 435 High price 418 418.1 423.1 420.1 Close price 419.8 434.65 424.8 424
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WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA
7-Jan-08 8-Jan-08 9-Jan-08 10-Jan-08 11-Jan-08 14-Jan-08 15-Jan-08 16-Jan-08 17-Jan-08 18-Jan-08 21-Jan-08 22-Jan-08 23-Jan-08 24-Jan-08 25-Jan-08 28-Jan-08 29-Jan-08 30-Jan-08 31-Jan-08 1-Feb-08 4-Feb-08 5-Feb-08 6-Feb-08 7-Feb-08 8-Feb-08 11-Feb-08 12-Feb-08 13-Feb-08 14-Feb-08 15-Feb-08 18-Feb-08 19-Feb-08 20-Feb-08 21-Feb-08 22-Feb-08 25-Feb-08
435 435 440 425.75 421.35 425 420.9 415 418 418 400 380 359.05 360 383.4 369 390 385 365 366 379.85 366 357 356 339.9 332.9 320 318.9 337 350 347 347.35 348 366 359 365.9
421 411 408 410.1 411.35 410 410 403 404 399 338 270.1 324.1 325 333 347.05 364.15 363 345.25 351.2 360 352.6 343 340 321.15 303.6 298 305 315.25 321 339.05 339 338 345 345 342
430.8 414.75 419.05 417.4 419.5 412.1 415.85 407.9 410.55 409.25 362.15 321.2 346.15 327.3 375.15 364.15 380.55 365.1 353 363.9 362.65 359.9 351.55 340.6 332 310.25 300.3 314.85 333.5 345.4 341.1 345.25 340.5 360.75 348.35 343.6
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WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA WOCKPHARMA
26-Feb-08 27-Feb-08 28-Feb-08 29-Feb-08 3-Mar-08 4-Mar-08 5-Mar-08 7-Mar-08 10-Mar-08 11-Mar-08 12-Mar-08 13-Mar-08 14-Mar-08 17-Mar-08 18-Mar-08 19-Mar-08 24-Mar-08 25-Mar-08 26-Mar-08 27-Mar-08 28-Mar-08 31-Mar-08
350 348 340.6 341 348 342 331.5 321 303 308 316.95 309 305 298 280 298 267 264.4 269.45 265 268 276.8
335.3 327.25 328.3 330 330.05 325 320 300 293.15 294.15 304.05 285.55 294 271 265.55 256 245 253 259 251 258 261.55
336.9 330.9 332.15 337.3 339.1 328.05 323.9 301.85 298.85 304.6 306.85 297.5 298.5 275.15 273.8 260.55 252.2 262.75 261.25 255 266.2 266.3
WOCKPHARMA: On 9th Dec a buy signal given at a point of 391.1 and it was failed one. On 16th Jan a buy signal was given at a point of 420.5 and it was failed to achieve it. On 22nd Jan a buy signal can be given at the point of 277 .4and it was achieved. On 25th Feb a buy signal was given and it was achieved one resistance level at 335.1
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TABLE 10
Date 3 Dec 20 Dec 4 Jan 22 Jan 25 Feb P 393.5 411.9 415.7 313.7 350.5 R1 403.8 417.8 421.4 357.43 359 S1 386.9 401.8 406.4 277.4 335.1 R2 410.4 427.9 430.7 393.73 374.4 S2 376.6 395.9 400.7 233.67 326.6 Call Buy Buy Buy Sell Sell Result Y N Y N N
* Achieved
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CHART 19
MOVING AVERAGE;
W o c k P h a rm a
500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 4/2/2007 6/2/2007 8/2/2007 9/2/2007 1/2/2008 2/2/2008 5/2/2007 7/2/2007 12/2/2007 10/2/2007 11/2/2007 3/2/2008
Price
D a te
j) Inference:
For Wockpharma on 25th Feb a buy signal was given and it was achieved one resistance level at 335.1.
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CHART 20
CANDLESTIC CHART:
w o c k P h a rm a
500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 1 / 1 / 2 0 0 8 1 / 1 5 / 2 0 0 81 / 2 9 / 2 0 0 82 / 1 2 / 2 0 0 82 / 2 6 / 2 0 0 83 / 1 1 / 2 0 0 83 / 2 5 / 2 0 0 8 D a te O p e n P r ic e H ig h P r ic e L o w P r ic e C lo s e P r ic e
Price
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CHAPTER 4
4.1) Findings
For Apollo Tyre, on 14th Dec. candlestick represents as bearish trend but resistance level 1 is achieved. That is that level is 52.02 it was broken but not reaches the resistance level 2.ie (52.76). For Ashok Leyland on 25th Feb., RSI indicated 36.2, it indicated the buy signal, and also moving average also indicates the buy signal 35.9. The scrip achieved. For Asian paints, on 22nd Jan a buy signal given at a point 844.05an it achieved, it indicates through Moving average and RSI. For Auropharma on 7thDec RSI represents as 80.55, but candle stick represents the bullish pattern and the resistance level 2 (R2) is 538.05, so all the tools indicate sell signal, and it was achieved For Aventis on 17th Jan a sell signal given because of bearish trend given by candle stick pattern and Moving average represents the value 1026 .this is the time to sell, and it was achieved. For Ifci, on 13th Feb a Signal was given with MFI at 13.4 but it was failed buy to achieved, because of Moving average indicate the value of scrip is 70.66 For I-flex, on 24th Dec short term momentum cut its medium term average at bottom a sell signal was indicated and it was achieved at1502. For Moserbaer on 28th Jan a buy signal was given at 176.4, because of that day Resistance level indicate 234. 72
For Syndibank, on Jan 1st sell Signal was given at a point of 125.7but candlestick also represent bull market. For Wockpharma on 25th Feb a buy signal was given and it was achieved one resistance level at 335.1. (Refer chart no 3.11)
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4.2) Suggestions
New investor has to established their investments goals based on the risk tolerance this develop a person investments strategy. Once investor has chosen your financial advisor, ask him or her which equity shares are appropriate investments for them. The investor usually evaluate the rate of return mode, it may be in form of Dividend, Bonus shares, Right shares, and Market position. Before enter into share market every investor should know about the fundamental analysis and technical analysis, then only he can realize the market position.
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4.3) Conclusion:
Technical analysis tools are used to the investor to get knowledge about the future movement of scrips, the technical analysis is not understood and used in a single day. Investors get benefits from the technical analysis were used to develop the market share and enjoy the project benefit. Share market like a wild forest, if we want to cross that, we can use torchlight also, like a technical analysis.
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BIBILIOGRAPHY: Security Analysis and Portfolio Management - Punithavathi Pandean 2005 Edition Investment Management How to get More Money? - V.A. Avadhani - Soma. Valliappan - 2005 Edition - 2002 Edition - 2003 Edition - 2007 Edition
Security Analysis and Portfolio Management - Preethi Singh Research Methodology - Kothari
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