Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
----------------------- Reporter
The First Ranked Broker in 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010 Top Mutual Fund Manager in 2009
Member of TSE ( Tehran Stock Exchange ) Member of IME ( Iran Mercantile Exchange ) Member of Farabourse
Contact Person: Mr. Seifollahi t 009821 8190 1165 f 009821 8190 1022 e seifollahi@emofid.com w www.emofid.com w www.mofidkala.com
Contents
3 6
Overview
This month, we take a look at the changes in interest rates and exchange rates and their effects on TSEs main index (TEDFIX). And also a proper look at major sectors such as Banking and Basic Metals.
20
Special Report
Pouya Finance Company (PFC) one of the best IT companies active in Iran capital market has recently launched their new product, Bourseview.com, which provides market information in favorite formats to meet domestic and international investors needs.
Stock
Trade Value and Volume of TSE rose by 26 and 55 percent in January as investors are regaining their confidence in the stock market. Pasargad Bank -one of the most liquid shares of the marketmanaged to almost double its trading volume during January.
10 14
Fund
Momtaz, Pishro and Pishtaz all three managed by Mofid- are among the top 10 best mutual funds of January.
Commodity
Although, the value of commodities traded on the IME rose by 11 percent in January compared to the previous month, the export ring trade value did not change significantly. As sugar starts to be traded on the IME, agricultural rings trade value rose by more than 60 percent during last month.
16
2
News
This section provides the most important news on Iran capital market specially exchanges for the month of January.
The Grand Bazaar is a historical market situated in the capital of Iran, Tehran. A bazaar is a type of marketplace, although many - such as Tehrans Grand bazaar - fulfill many additional functions rather than merely trade. Throughout its history, the Grand bazaar has played host to banks and financiers, mosques and guest houses. en.emofid.com
Overview
TSE All Share Index (TEDPIX) rose as much as 6.5 percent in the first month of 2012; capping the best performance in ten months. Though non-economic factors once again made the market volatile, the consequences especially in the banking sector eventually pushed the index higher. Furthermore, the improvement in the global financial markets positively affected the large-cap Basic Metals which also helped to offset some effects of psychological factors. is said that high level of liquidity is likely to be the main reason behind the recent volatility. So the decision was said to be necessary in order to direct liquidity back to the banks deposits. On Jan 25, and after the president approved the CMCs act, the Central Bank of Iran (CBI) notified the banks about the new package of monetary policies of which paved the way to raise interest rates on five years deposits up to 20 percent. Rates on one year deposits raised to 17 percent and the CBI let the banks compete on rates between these two durations.
Normal growth in other sectors of the economy also helped investors, especially those with high-risk profile, choose stocks among other asset classes. Private reports from the housing sector show that prices increased by 20 percent from March to September from the same period last year. Nevertheless, the increase has been in line with inflation rate. Housing policies in recent years, of which stimulate the supply side, probably helped reduce speculations
3
Overview
and effectively prevent prices to unreasonably if it takes the money back and helps the banks go higher. to recapitalize and start to make loans, could result in a better business environment.
In January, the TEDPIX advanced in every week, touching 26,000 level for the first time in three months. Regardless of the level of uncertainty, the volatility in the other markets prompted actions by the policymakers that some believe it may benefit the economy. Undoubtedly, the most remarkable action was the increase in the interest rates. At first, it may look like a contractionary policy but the headline does not tell the whole story.
In fact, the low interest rates for relatively long period of time resulted in a continuous reduction in the banks deposits; making them unable or reluctant to make commercial The index includes ten banks like Pasargad loans. This may explain why the rate increase, Bank [BPRT1], Mellat Bank [BMLT1],Parsian
en.emofid.com
Overview
Bank [BPAR1], and Tejarat Bank [BTEJ1]. Based on the market capitalization, these banks make almost 19 percent (nearly USD 20 billion) of the TSE. the strong dollar. On the other hand, cement industry missed profit estimates while they should face more uncertainty from the housing market and infrastructure projects. Vehicles declined as the speculations about any immediate price increase cooled. At the same time auto industry tries to get official support to reduce the costs of imported materials. Earlier this month, the CBI signaled that it may eliminate the role of currency exchanges for the industry as they were accused of charging unreal prices in transactions.
Steel producers also rose as the domestic Pharmaceuticals also declined in January. prices of steel bars passed the 10 Million Rials The industry heavily relies on imported mate(820 USD) per ton on Jan 8. The uncertainty rials, so they are still waiting for help to import still remains high as the steel prices are very their needs at a favorable exchange rate. sensitive to the demand side which looks not in a very good shape. Nevertheless, the index of Basic Metals, which accounts for 17 percent of the TSE market cap, rose as much as 16.1 percent.
Other Sectors
TSE listed chemicals meet expectations with 9.3 percent increase in their index. Investors remain optimistic as companies like the Isfahan Oil Ref [PNES1] covered 80 percent of their year-end profit forecasts in just 9 months. However, not all companies in the index of Chemicals were so attractive. There are small producers, like the producers of washing powders, who must wait to get approval for raising prices as they struggle with 10 to 15 increase on imported raw material because of
en.emofid.com Iran Market Reporter No. 9 Jan 2012 ( Issue 1, Vol. 2)
5
Number of Trades
366,107 141,823
1,246 478
OTC Market
25,914 25,931 24,324 25,311 TEDPIX1 21,950 21,966 20,526 21,400 TEDPIX (FM) 31,918 31,993 30,615 31,505 TEDPIX (SM) 2 33,312 33,532 31,203 32,632 FFI 20,164 20,167 18,981 19,717 Industry Index 1,584 1,595 1,482 1,550 TEDFIX 30 1 2 TSE Dividend & Price Index (All-share Index) Free Float Index
TEDPIX
en.emofid.com
Change (%)
62.66 48.58 39.91 26.47 24.97 24.93 22.87 21.13 19.64 18.60
Tabriz.Oil.Refine Isfahan Sugar DPI Isf. Oil Ref. Co. Atye Damavand Iranian Investment Inc. Co.1 NMOH1 Nirou Moharreke BAMA1 Bama DAY Bank1 FOLD1 Mobarakeh Steel 1 Listed in Farabourse
10 Top Losers
Symbol KHFZ1 BHSM1 MNMH1 TKSM1 PSIR1 ARDK1 Company Sector Ceramic & Tiles Ceramic & Tiles Machinery & Equipment Ceramic & Tiles Other Non-metallic Mineral Products Other Non-metallic Mineral Products Ceramic & Tiles Ceramic & Tiles Motor Vehicles And Auto Parts Ceramic & Tiles Last Price
1,521 1,378 755 1,420 1,726 7,236 7,458 3,339 521 3,868
Change (%)
-26.34 -26.03 -20.19 -19.46 -19.31 -18.58 -18.54 -18.14 -16.64 -14.73
Hafez Tile Behceram Niromohareke M. Takceram Iran Glass Wool Ardekan Ceramic Marjan Kar1 SINA1 Sina Tile SPDZ1 Saipa Diesel CHIR1 Irana Tile 1 Listed in Farabourse
en.emofid.com
Value (USD)
94,499,368 40,698,876 39,108,251 36,699,125 36,062,239 30,545,545 24,834,803 23,705,588 23,302,179 22,052,038
Pasargad Bank Mobarakeh Steel Marun Petrochemical Co.1 Hamrah-e-Avval (MCI)1 GDIR1 Ghadir Inv. KSIM1 Calcimine GSBE1 Sabet Khorasan MSMI1 I. N. C. Ind. PKHA1 Khark Petr. BPAR1 Parsian Bank 1 Listed in Farabourse
Volume
587,747,935 172,390,320 139,981,121 138,686,112 134,110,504 116,218,314 104,865,441 101,370,617 97,508,869 89,505,240
Pasargad Bank Mobarakeh Steel SADRA Iran I Bank1 MELT1 Melat Inv. DAY Bank1 MIDCO1 BPAR1 Parsian Bank GDIR1 Ghadir Inv. SIPA1 SAIPA 1 Listed in Farabourse
en.emofid.com
Market Weight
12.12% 8.27% 17.75% 1.51% 1.15%
Lowest P/E
Sector Motor Vehicles And Auto Parts Cement, Lime & plaster Technical & Engineering Services Real Estate And Construction Banking Average P/E
4.46 4.71 4.83 4.86 5.87
Market Weight
5.36% 2.66% 1.89% 1.26% 20.08%
en.emofid.com
1,136 2,334,733 EN Bank 1,273 4,518,540 Agah 1,248 2,083,092 Pasargad 366 1,351,295 Sina 2 715 2,169,770 Momtaz 287 1,045,961 Pishro2 340 1,180,564 Aghigh 696 1,712,525 Maskan Bank 324 979,297 Omid Sahm 1,363 4,280,031 Pishtaz2 1 USD to Rial exchange rate: 12,260
18.70 12.70 11.90 9.20 9.00 8.80 8.60 8.00 6.70 6.20
-0.40 3.90 -5.70 13.00 6.00 5.70 3.20 10.50 3.40 3.50
31.30 54.10 23.90 35.00 48.50 4.60 18.10 32.60 -2.10 47.80
Managed by Mofid
10
en.emofid.com
Funds Composition Metal Ores Mining Telecomunication Banking Holding Chemicals & By-products Other Industries en.emofid.com
Weight
13.07 10.74 9.16 8.74 7.85 50.44
11
Funds Composition Metal Ores Mining Telecomunication Banking Basic Metals Holding Other Industries
12
Weight
17.24 11.95 10.29 8.16 7.74 44.62
en.emofid.com
Funds Composition Metal Ores Mining Telecomunication Chemicals & By-products Banking Basic Metals Other Industries en.emofid.com
Weight
20.11 11.99 11.15 10.04 9.30 37.41
13
Commodity | Summary
Iran Mercantile Exchange
IME total trade value rose by 11 percent in USD terms and 21 percent in Rial terms in the first month of 2012. However, trade value of export ring did not change significantly in compare with the last month. Bitumen was the only commodity traded in export ring during January with around USD 117 million trade value. Agricultural ring is becoming more active as Brazilian sugar starts being traded in this ring. During January Brazilian sugar trade value
Group Industrial Agricultural Oil & Petrochemical Export Ring Oil & Petrochemical Domestic Ring Total
was almost 80 percent of total trade value of agricultural ring with the amount of USD 91 Million. In foreign exchange market, as we discussed in overview section, US dollar experienced irregular volatility during January. Following USD, other FX rates also increased between 9 to 16 percent. Highest increase was for Turkish Lira (TRY) with 16.04 percent while Chinese Yuan (CNY) experienced the lowest increase rate of 9.41 percent.
Percent
55.52% 7.32% 9.35% 27.81% 100.00%
Value (USD)
695,727,791 91,688,943 117,204,224 348,451,322 1,253,072,280
14
en.emofid.com
Commodity |
Iranian Rial Exchange Rate (As of January 31)1
Code Currency in IRR Hight
12,260 USD United States Dollar 19,292 GBP Pound Sterling 13,420 CHF Swiss Franc 3,338 AED United Arab Emirates Dirham 44,192 KWD Kuwaiti Dinar 16,084 JPY100 Japanese Yen 31,833 HKD Hong Kong Dollar 12,248 OMR Omani Rial 6,873 CAD Canadian Dollar 3,367 TRY Turkish Lira 3,269 QAR Qatar Riyal 32,511 SAR Saudi Riyal 1,941 BHD Bahrain Dinar 4,026 CNY Chinese Yuan 10,905 MYR Malaysian ringgit 16,174 EUR Euro 1 Official rates according to Central Bank of Iran (CBI)
Exchange Rate
Low
11,164 17,248 11,758 3,040 40,073 14,507 28,996 10,904 5,919 3,067 2,978 29,614 1,774 3,522 9,631 14,272
12,260 19,292 13,447 3,338 44,192 16,084 31,843 12,248 6,900 3,367 3,270 32,514 1,941 4,030 10,939 16,208
en.emofid.com
15
News
Tehran Stock Exchange value hits $127 billion
January 31, 2012 TEHRAN TIMES: The Tehran Exchange Markets value has reached some 1,260 trillion rials (around $103 billion), the Securities and Exchange Organizations director announced here on Sunday. Taking the over-the-counter market into account, the capital market value stands at 1,560 trillion Rials (some $127 billion), the IRNA news agency quoted Ali Saleh Abadi as saying. Tehran Stock Exchanges main index (TEDPIX) rose 10.4 this year, compared with last Iranian calendar year, he added. While the stock markets of the Middle East and North Africa region saw a very poor year in 2011, Tehran Stock Exchange experienced an unprecedented growth of 30 percent, leading the financial markets of the region, a report by the Economist said. The report entitled Business Middle East: January 16th 2012 noted that Irans stock market flourished in 2011, while most of other stock markets of the region experienced negative growth.
en.emofid.com
News
accurate reflection of the evolving equity marketplace. Free floats used in calcula on of TEDFIX 30 are revised quarterly on the third Wednesday of the last month of every quarter. The index is calculated as a total return index (price and dividend). The base date for TEFIX 30 is 23/8/2010 and the base level is 1000. The following are the companies listed in TEDFIX30 in the third quarter of the Iranian year 1390.
Name 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 MKBT MSMI FOLD BPAS GDIR GOLG CHML BPAR BMLT BTEJ NOVN KSIM Iran Telecommunications National Copper Industries Isfahan Mobarakeh Steel Pasargad Bank Ghadir Investment Gol-E-Gohar Iron Ore Chadormalu Mineral & Ind. Bank Parsian Bank Mellat Tejarat Bank EN Bank Calcimine 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 BSDR MAPN SIPA SAND IKCO FKHZ PKHX PESF MADN BANS KRAF VSIN PFAN BHMN TBEH NBEH SSAP TMEL Saderat Bank MAPNA Saipa Civil Pension Fund Investment Iran Khodro Industrial Group Khouzestan Steel Khark Petrochemical Esfahan Oil Refining Mines & Metals Development Inv. Ansar Bank Karafarin Bank Sina Bank Fanavaran Petrochemical Bahman Group Behshahr Industrial Dev. Behran Oil Saipa Investment Tose-e Melli Group Investment
Companies listing and delisting in TEDFIX30 do not in any way reflect an opinion on the investment merits. To get more information on each symbol please visit bourseview.com and search the symbol.
According to the report of public relations and international affairs, the value of the transactions reached to IRR 2,234 billion, a
17
News
new record as well. The report adds: Gold Coin Futures with the due date of June 2012 were the most popular contracts which had a volume equal to 19,240 and the value of IRR 1,439 billion. In the second place were the contracts with the due date of April 2012 which had the volume of 6,145 with the value of more than IRR 441 billion.
heavily influenced by the placement of huge privatization shares, despite international sanctions. Besides Iran and Iraq, Qatar was the only country in the region to witness a rise in the main index, albeit by only 1%. The overall performance was in stark contrast to 2010 when most of the regions markets advanced strongly, with Jordan, Lebanon and Dubai the only ones to drop significantly. Saudi Arabias stock market had another largely disappointing year, despite the strong performance of the economy as a whole, in particular by the non-oil private sector. Elsewhere in the Persian Gulf there was more disappointment in Qatar, Abu Dhabi and Dubai as the MSCI decided in December to maintain its classification of frontier market for these bourses.
en.emofid.com
News
Once again in IME Supply of Crude oil
January 16, 2012 IME: Crude oil will be supplied in the IME, frequently from the beginning of the next Iranian year, said the Managing Director of Iran National Oil Company Ahmad Ghalehbani uttered in an interview with SHANA: in the next annual budget the subject of selling the crude oil in IME will be considered, moreover we try to sell crude oil in IME once again this year. The deputy of Oil Minister emphasized that: the allocation of separate budget for supplying of crude oil has been considered in the oil industry budget for the first time. Managing Director of Iran National Oil Company has previously expressed: A lot of sessions have been hold about the resupply of the crude oil in IME with the Securities and Exchange Organization (SEO) and we do our best to have a more active oil exchange and regarding to the previous meetings we have reached to favorable conclusions, in addition we are going to resupply the crude oil in IME after settling down the ongoing problems. Managing Director of IME, Dr. Hossein Panahian has been also expressed in such ground: We are negotiating with the National Oil Company of Iran in order to supply crude oil. Establishment of a completed Oil exchange and expansion of selling petroleum products in such exchange, were within the goals of government and Iranian president Mahmood Ahmadinejad has insisted that development of commodity exchanges is a must for the country.
en.emofid.com
19
Special Report
BourseView.com
Nowadays in financial markets, real-time access to market data is an unavoidable requirement. Obtaining correct information and a proper mental image of what is going on a market can help investors in making optimal decisions. Pouya Finance Company (PFC) with a look at new tools and methods of information technology in the financial market area in the world tries to deliver Irans capital market information in favorite formats to meet investors needs. BourseView.com is designed by PFC in order to deliver TSE and FaraBourses real-time data to help visitors obtain reliable information from the market. Main goals sought by BourseView.com are as follows:
Distinct and fast information delivery Presenting useful charts Creating access to market data at a glance via Market Map Using innovative methods of showing information Versatile and fast filtering among symbols, industries and instruments Customizing pages while keeping Integrity
20
en.emofid.com
Special Report
of all pages Pursuing the goal of attracting international visitors, PFC recently has lunched the English version of BourseView.com. Some features of this website are as follows: Market Watch o In Market Watch section, the investor can select his/her favorite symbols traded in Irans capital market. For each symbol, information such as companys name, number of trades, trade volume, daily chart, trades value, previous day closing price, opening price, todays closing price, high price, low price, market depth (including three best bid and ask prices). o In market watch it is possible to choose
o This part brings a general view of changes in the market during the trading period and after that. All filtering capabilities can be used in this part, too. o The area and color of bubbles in this chart are proportional to the trade volume and price changes respectively. BourseView.com is being developed rapidly and new features are going to be added to the website. Following features are now available in Farsi version and will be soon added to
favorite columns and filter the symbols based on the related industry, instrument and exchanges. Market Map
Bubble Chart
en.emofid.com
21
Special Report
the English version: o In news section, news related to Irans Capital Market, are shown after being uploaded to website of reliable news agencies in Iran. o All announcements published via Codal website are uploaded in news section automatically. Codal is an abbreviation for COmprehensive Data-base of All Listed companies which is responsible for publishing all announcements related to companies listed in exchanges.
o Data regarding Mutual Funds in Iran are reflected in this section. o Comparison between different funds is possible in versatile periods. o Funds Watch gives a general understanding of the status of funds, including the premier funds on weekly, seasonal and annual basis. o Other Funds details shown are as follows: industries shares in their portfolio, their NAV performance and activity indices, shareholders, issuance and redemption price trends. Pouya Finance is one of the first financial data processing companies specialized in Iran Capital Market. PFC is established and owned by Tadbir Pardaz Computer Group (TPCG) as its main shareholder in September, 2009. Applying TPCGs 11-year valuable expertise and technology in financial markets, Pouya Finance is now a leading company of data dissemination in Iran.
Market Surveillance Messages are published via a toolbar seen on each page of the website. As soon as a message is issued, an alert is shown on the toolbar. By clicking on the alert the messages will be shown. Stock Watch
o This section is developed to deliver important information about a specific companys status. Data shown include: o Real-time information of trades regarding that company o News and codals announcements regarding the company o Information regarding other companies falling in the same industry o Market depth regarding that company
22
Notice
About Mofid
Mofid Securities Company is the leading brokerage firm mainly active in Iran Capital Market. Mofid creates financial products and offers financial services to its clients and investors. Having a qualified and diverse management team enables Mofid to benefit from coupling local knowledge and presence with global expertise. Mofid publishes this newsletter, Iran Market Reporter (IMR), in order to keep its readers updated on the latest news and events of Iran capital market, especially Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE), as well as valuable information for individual and institutional investors. Iran Market Reporter is distributed exclusively via email or hard copy amongst Iranian analysts and potential investors who have worked closely or have been in contact with Mofid Securities Company. Subscription to this newsletter is by referral only or through an online request sent to: imr@emofid.com
en.emofid.com
23
Important Notice The contents of this newsletter are for the sole use of the addressee. All content in this file is owned and operated by MOFID SECURITIES COMPANY, and the copying or distribution of this newsletter, internally or externally, is strictly prohibited without the prior written permission and consent of MOFID SECURITIES COMPANY If you wish to distribute the file, please email the Subscriptions Department at imr@emofid.com, providing details of your subscription and the number of recipients you wish to forward or distribute this information to. Disclaimer This material is for information purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell nor a solicitation of an offer to buy any specific securities. All information contained in this publication has been researched and compiled from sources believed to be accurate and reliable at the time of publishing. However, in view of the natural scope for human and/or mechanical error, either at source or during production, MOFID SECURITIES COMPANY accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss or damage resulting from errors, inaccuracies or omissions affecting any part of the publication. All information is provided without warranty, and MOFID SECURITIES COMPANY makes no representation of warranty of any kind as to the accuracy or completeness of any information hereto contained. This publication does not provide individually tailored investment advice and may not match the financial circumstances of some of its recipients. The securities discussed in this publication may not be suitable for all investors. The value of an investment can go down as well as up. Past performance is no guarantee of future success.
www.emofid.com