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General variables:
R
p
is the average return of the portfolio
p
is the standard deviation of the portfolio
Skew
p
is its skewness
Kurt
p
is its excess kurtosis
p
is its systematic risk
R
m
is the return of the market portfolio
m
is the standard deviation of the market portfolio
Skew
m
is the skewness of the market portfolio
Kurt
m
is the kurtosis of the market portfolio
p
is the sensibility of the portfolio to the market portfolio
p
is the coskewness of the portfolio to the market portfolio
R
f
is the risk-free rate
R
L
is the reserve return
R
B
is the return of a benchmark
B
is the standard deviation of the return of a benchmark
V
p,0
is the initial value of the portfolio
When decomposing the observed period in sub-periods:
T is the number of sub-periods
R
p,t
is the average return of the portfolio during sub-period t
R
f,t
is the risk-free rate during sub-period t
R
L,t
is the reserve return during sub-period t
SV (R
p,L
) is the semi-variance of return R
p
relative to R
L
:
SV(R
p,L
) =
T
t=1
min(R
p,t
R
L,t
, 0)
2
T
1
When decomposing the portfolio in its assets components:
K is the number of dierent components
w
k
is the weight of the k
th
asset during the whole period
w
k,t
is the weight of the k
th
asset during the sub-period t
R
k,t
is the return of asset k during the sub-period t
R
B,t
is the return of the benchmark during the sub-period t
R
f,t
is the risk-free rate during the sub-period t
Regarding VaR and CVaR:
V aR
(X)]
2 A general typology
2
3 Ratios performance / risk
3.1 Absolute risk
3.1.1 Sharpe and similar ratios
Sharpe ratio
S
p
=
R
p
R
f
p
(3.1.1.1)
Reference: Sharpe (1966)
Israelsens modied Sharpe ratio
S
I,p
=
R
p
R
f
(R
p
R
f
)/|R
p
R
f
|
p
(3.1.1.2)
Reference: Israelsen (2005)
Double Sharpe ratio
DS
p
=
S
p
(S
p
)
(3.1.1.3)
where S
p
is the Sharpe ratio (3.1.1.1).
Reference: Vinod and Morey (2001)
Adjusted for Skewness Sharpe Ratio (ASSR)
ASSR
p
= S
p
_
1 +b
3
Skew
p
3
S
p
(3.1.1.4)
where
S
p
is the Sharpe ratio (3.1.1.1)
b
3
is the investors relative preference to the skewness of the distribution
Reference: Zakamouline and Koekebakker (2008)
3
Adjusted for Skewness and Kurtosis Sharpe Ratio (ASKSR)
ASKSR
p
=
_
2
_
( R
f
)
_
_
2
(
)
2
__
(3.1.1.5)
where
= 3
_
3Kurt
p
4Skew
2
p
9
2
p
(3Kurt
p
5Skew
2
p
9)
=
3S
p
(3Kurt
p
5Skew
2
p
9)
= R
p
3Skew
p
p
3Kurt
p
4Skew
2
p
9
= 3
p
_
3Kurt
p
5Skew
2
p
9
3Kurt
p
4Skew
2
p
9
=
_
= +
( R
p
)
_
2
+ ( R
p
)
2
Reference: Zakamouline and Koekebakker (2008)
Sharpe + Skewness / Kurtosis
S
SK,p
= S
p
+
Skew
p
Kurt
p
(3.1.1.6)
where S
p
is the Sharpe ratio (3.1.1.1).
Reference: Watanabe (2006)
Adjusted Sharpe ratio (ASR)
ASR
p
=
R
B
R
f
B
+
(1 +R
f
)(1 )
B
(3.1.1.7)
where =
1
T
T
t=1
f(1 +
R
p,t
)
1 +R
f
is the actual value of the average return adjusted to the risk of a function
f, which is dened so: f is a function that transform the payo so that its
distribution will match that of the benchmark B.
Reference: Mahdavi (2004)
4
Sharpe ratio adapted to autocorrelation
S
q,p
=
q
q + 2
q1
i=1
(q i)
S
p
(3.1.1.8)
where
S
p
is the Sharpe ratio (3.1.1.1)
q is the degree of autocorrelation of the returns
Reference: Lo (2002)
Roys measure
Roy
p
=
R
p
R
L
p
(3.1.1.9)
Reference: Roy (1952)
3.1.2 Other absolute risk measures
3.1.2.1 Half- and semi-variance
Reward to half-variance index
S
H,p
=
R
p
R
f
_
HV (R
p
)
(3.1.2.1.1)
where HV (R
p
) =
T
t=1
min(R
p,t
R
p
, O)
2
T 1
Reference: Ang and Chua (1979)
Downside-risk Sharpe ratio
S
D,p
=
R
p
R
f
_
2DV (R
p
)
(3.1.2.1.2)
where the downside variance DV (R
p
) is given by:
DV (R
p
) =
T
t=1
min(R
p,t
, O)
2
T 1
Reference: Ziemba (2005)
5
Sortino ratio
Sortino
p
=
R
p
R
L
_
SV (R
p,L
)
(3.1.2.1.3)
References: Bawa (1975), Ang and Chua (1979), Sortino and Van der Meer
(1991).
Sortino + Skewness / Kurtosis
Sortino
SK,p
= Sortino
p
+
Skew
p
Kurt
p
(3.1.2.1.4)
where Sortino
p
is the Sortino ratio (3.1.2.1.3).
Reference: Watanabe (2006)
Sortino-Satchell ratio or Kappa coecient of order q
Sortino Satchell
q,p
=
R
p
R
L
q
_
LPM
q
(R
p,L
)
(3.1.2.1.5)
where
q is a parameter > 1
LPM
q
(R
p,L
) =
T
t=1
min(R
p,t
R
L
, O)
q
T 1
References: Sortino (2000), Sortino and Satchell (2001), Kaplan and Knowles
(2004)
3.1.2.2 VaR and CVaR
Sharpe ratio based on the Value at Risk
Sharpe
V aR
p
=
R
p
R
L
V aR
/V
p,0
(3.1.2.2.1)
Reference: Dowd (1999, 2000).
6
Sharpe ratio based on Cornish-Fisher VaR
Sharpe
C.F.V aR
p
=
R
p
R
L
V aR
,CornishFisher
/V
p,0
(3.1.2.2.2)
where
V aR
,CornishFisher
= ()
p
z() is the critical value for a threshold under normality
() = z() +
_
z()
2
1
_
Skew
p
6
+
_
z()
3
3z()
_
Kurt
p
24
_
2z()
3
5z()
_
Skew
2
p
36
References: Favre and Galeano (2002).
Sharpe ratio based on conditional VaR or STARR ratio
STARR
p
=
R
p
R
L
CV aR
/V
p,0
(3.1.2.2.3)
References: Artzner et al. (1999), Martin et al. (2003)
3.1.2.3 Miscellaneous with absolute risk
Mean absolute deviation (MAD) ratio
MAD
p
=
R
p
R
f
T
t=1
1
T
|R
p,t
R
p
|
(3.1.2.3.1)
Reference: Konno and Yamazaki (1991)
Gini ratio
Gini
p
=
R
p
R
f
Gini(R
p
R
f
)
(3.1.2.3.2)
where
Gini(R
p
R
f
) =
1
T(T 1)
T
t=1
T
s=t+1
(R
p
R
f
)
s
(R
p
R
f
)
t
p
=
R
p
R
f
q,p
(3.1.2.3.6)
where
q,p
is the stable risk measure given by
w
t=1
R
i,t
sgn(
R
j,t
)
q
jj
=
_
A(p)
1
T
T
t=1
R
j,t
p
_
2/p
R
j,t
is the t
th
centered observation of j
th
excess return:
R
j,t
= R
j,t
R
f,t
(R
j
R
f
)
A(p) =
(1 p/2)
2
p
(
1+p
2
)(1 p/)
p [0, ] is computed in order to minimize the rate of convergence of asset
return series
8
=
1
K
K
k=1
k
is the index of stability of return vector
k
is the index of stability of the k
th
asset estimated during a maximum
likelihood estimator
Reference: Rachev and Mittnik (2000)
3.1.3 Ratio of gain and shortfall aversion
3.1.3.1 Classical measures of loss
Bernardo-Ledoit gain loss ratio, or Omega
BL
p
=
p
=
(R
+
p
)
(R
p
)
=
T
t=1
max(0, R
p,t
R
L
)
T
t=1
max(0, R
L
R
p,t
)
(3.1.3.1.1)
Reference: Bernardo and Ledoit (2000), Shadwick and Keating (2002).
Upside potential ratio
UPR
p
=
1
T
T
t=1
max(0, R
p,t
R
L
)
1
T
T
t=1
min(0, (R
p,t
R
L
)
2
)
(3.1.3.1.2)
Reference: Sortino et al. (1999)
Farinelli-Tibiletti ratio
r,s
p
=
r
1
T
T
t=1
max(0, (R
p,t
R
L
)
r
)
s
1
T
T
t=1
min(0, (R
p,t
R
L
)
s
)
(3.1.3.1.3)
Reference: Farinelli and Tibiletti (2008)
3.1.3.2 CVaR as measure of loss
9
Rachev ratio
R
p
=
CV aR
1
(R
f
R
p
)
CV aR
1
(R
p
R
f
)
(3.1.3.2.1)
Reference: Biglova et al. (2004)
Rachev generalized ratio
R
G,p
=
[CV aR
1
(R
f
R
p
)
]
1
[CV aR
1
(R
p
R
f
)
]
1
(3.1.3.2.2)
Reference: Biglova et al. (2004)
3.1.3.3 Maximum drawdown as measure of loss
Calmar ratio
Calmar
p
=
R
p
ml
[0,T]
(3.1.3.3.1)
where ml
[0,T]
is the maximum loss on the observed period [0, T].
Reference: Young (1991)
Sterling ratio
Sterling
p
=
R
p
ml
[0,T]
+ 0.10
(3.1.3.3.2)
where ml
[0,T]
is the average loss on the observed period [0, T].
Reference: Kestner (1996)
Sterling-Calmar ratio
Sterling Calmar
p,n
=
R
p
ml
[0,T],n
(3.1.3.3.3)
where ml
[0,T],n
is the average of the n maximum losses on the observed
period [0, T].
Burke ratio
Burke
p
=
R
p
n=1
ml
2
[0,T],i
(3.1.3.3.4)
where ml
[0,T],i
are the N largest losses on the observed period [0, T].
Reference: Burke (1994)
10
3.2 Systematic risk
3.2.1 Treynor ratio and variants
Treynor ratio
T
p
=
R
p
R
f
p
(3.2.1.1)
Reference: Treynor (1965)
Treynor ratio based on lower partial moments
T
p
=
R
p
R
f
lpm,p
(3.2.1.2)
where the mean lower partial moments systematic risk
lpm,p
is dened as:
lpm,p
=
CLPM
2
(R
L
; R
p
; R
m
)
LPM
2
(R
L
; R
m
)
CLPM
2
(R
L
; R
p
; R
f
), which denotes the second-order lower partial co-moment
between the portfolio and the market returns about the targets R
f
and R
L
, is
dened as:
CLPM
2
(R
L
; R
p
; R
m
) =
R
L
_
(R
m
R
L
)(R
p
R
f
)f(R
p
, R
m
)dR
LPM
2
(R
L
; R
p
; R
m
), which denotes the second-order lower partial moment
of the market returns about the targets R
f
and R
L
, is dened as:
LPM
2
(R
L
; R
m
) =
R
L
_
(R
m
R
L
)(R
m
R
f
)f(R
m
)dR
where f(R
p
, R
m
) is the joint probability density function of portfolio and
market returns, and f(R
m
) is the marginal probability density function of mar-
ket portfolio returns.
new,p
= W
p
lpm,p
+ (1 W
p
p
)
W
p
being a weight whose computation is described in the reference paper.
Reference: Srivastava and Essayyad (1994)
3.2.2 Black-Treynor ratio and generalization
Black-Treynor ratio
T
p
=
p
p
=
(R
p
R
f
)
p
(R
m
R
f
)
p
(3.2.2.1)
Reference: Treynor and Black (1973)
11
Generalized Black-Treynor ratio
T
g,p
=
p
J
j=1
p,j
j
/
J
j=1
B,j
j
(3.2.2.2)
where
p
and
p,j
are obtained by regression of the econometric model:
R
p,t
R
f
=
p,t
+
J
j=1
p,j,t
j,t
+
p,t
B,j
are obtained by regression of the econometric model:
R
B,t
R
f
=
J
j=1
B,j,t
j,t
+
B,t
Reference: H ubner (2005)
3.3 Non systematic risk
3.3.1 Moses, Cheney and Veits measure
I
MCV,p
=
p
(R
m
R
f
)
p
(3.3.1.1)
where
p
=
p
p
Reference: Moses, Cheney and Veit (1987)
3.3.2 Information ratio and variations
Information ratio
IR
p
=
ER
p
(ER
p
)
(3.3.2.1)
where
ER
p,t
is the tracking error given by ER
p,t
= R
p,t
R
B,t
ER
p
is its average computed as
1
T
T
t=1
(R
p,t
R
B,t
)
(ER
p
) is its variance given by
_
1
T 1
T
t=1
(ER
p,t
ER
p
)
2
Reference: Grinold (1989)
12
Israelsens modied information ratio
IR
p
=
ER
p
(ER
p
)
R
p
R
f
|
R
p
R
f |
(3.3.2.2)
Reference: Israelsen (2005)
Information ratio based on semi-variance
IR
sv,p
=
ER
p
_
SV (ER
p
)
(3.3.2.3)
where the semi-variance is given by
(ER
p
) =
_
1
T 1
T
t=1
min(ER
p,t
ER
p
, 0)
2
Reference: Gillet and Moussavou (2000)
13
4 Incremental return
4.1 Incremental return versus market
4.1.1 Analytic measures
M
2
index, or risk-adjusted performance (RAP)
M
2
p
=
m
p
(R
p
R
f
) +R
f
(4.1.1.1)
Reference: Modigliani and Modigliani (1997)
Market risk-adjusted performance (MRAP)
MRAP
p
=
1
p
(R
p
R
f
) +R
f
(4.1.1.2)
Reference: Scholtz and Wilkens (2005)
Dierential return based on RAP
DR
RAP
p
= RAP
p
R
m
(4.1.1.3)
where RAP
p
is the M
2
measure of the portfolio (4.1.1.1)
Reference: Scholtz and Wilkens (2005)
Style risk-adjusted performance measure (SRAP)
SRAP
p
= RAP
p
RAP
SB
(4.1.1.4)
where RAP
p
is the M
2
of portfolio (4.1.1.1) and RAP
SB
is the same measure
for a style benchmark representing the style of the portfolio
Reference: Lobosco (1999)
Excess standard deviation adjusted return (eSDAR)
eSDAR
p
= R
f
+
M
p
(R
p
R
f
) R
M
(4.1.1.5)
Reference: Statman (1987)
14
Aftalion and Poncets index
AP
p
= (R
p
R
B
) PR(
p
B
) (4.1.1.6)
where PR is the price of the risk.
Reference: Aftalion and Poncet (1991)
4.1.2 Ecient frontier based measures
4.2 Incremental return versus benchmark
4.2.1 One-factor model
4.2.1.1 Jensen alpha
p
= (R
p
R
f
)
p
(R
m
R
f
) (4.2.1.1.1)
Reference: Jensen (1968)
4.2.1.2 Extensions of Jensen alpha
Standardized alpha
t
,p
=
p
(
p
)
(4.2.1.2.1)
Alpha with Blacks zero-beta model
p
= (R
p
R
Z
)
p
(R
m
R
Z
) (4.2.1.2.2)
where R
Z
is the return of an asset having a beta of zero
Reference: Black (1972)
Alpha with Brenmans model taking taxes into account
p
= (R
p
R
f
) [
p
(R
m
R
f
) T(D
M
R
f
)] T(D
p
R
f
) (4.2.1.2.3)
where
T
d
is the average taxation rate for dividends
T
g
is the average taxation rate for capital gains
15
T =
T
d
T
g
1 T
g
D
M
is the dividend yield of the market portfolio
D
p
is the weighted sum of the dividend yields of the assets in the portfolio:
D
p
=
K
k=1
w
k
D
k
Reference: Brenman (1970)
Total risk alpha
TRA
p
= R
p
R
Bp
(4.2.1.2.4)
where R
Bp
is the return of a benchmark portfolio, that represents the market
index matched to the total risk of the portfolio:
R
Bp
= R
f
+
R
m
R
f
p
Reference: Fama (1972)
Mc Donalds measure
p
= (R
p
R
f
)
p1
(R
m1
R
f
)
p2
(R
m2
R
f
) (4.2.1.2.5)
where
w
i
is the proportion of portfolio invested in market i
pi
is the portfolios coecient of systematic risk compared to market i
pi
= w
i
pi
R
mi
is the rate of return of market i
for i = 1, 2
Reference: McDonald (1973)
Jensen alpha adjusted for stale
p
= (R
p
R
f
)
3
j=0
p,j
(R
m,j
R
f,j
) (4.2.1.2.6)
where
p,j
are lagged betas for portfolio p, R
m,j
and R
f,j
are lagged market
portfolio returns and risk-free rates.
References: Scholes and Williams (1977), Dimson (1979)
16
Leland alpha
L,p
= (R
p
R
f
)
,p
(R
m
R
f
) (4.2.1.2.7)
where
,p
=
cov (R
p
, (1 +R
m
)
)
cov (R
m
, (1 +R
m
)
)
=
ln[E(1 +R
m
)] ln(1 +R
f
)
var[ln(1 +R
m
)]
Reference: Leland (1999)
4.2.2 Multi-factors model
4.2.2.1 Alpha with multi-factor models
Generic alpha with multi-factor models
p
= (R
p
R
f
)
J
j=1
p,j
j
(4.2.2.1.1)
where
p,j
is the sensitivity of the portfolio to factor j
j
is the return for factor j
Alpha based on Fama and Frenchs three factors model
p
= (R
p
R
f
)
p
(R
m
R
f
)
p,Sml
(R
Small
R
Large
)
p,Hml
(R
Hbtm
R
Lbtm
) (4.2.2.1.2)
where
R
Small
is the return of a small capitalization portfolio
R
Large
is the return of a large capitalization portfolio
R
Hbtm
is the return of a high book-to-market portfolio
R
Lbtm
is the return of a low book-to-market portfolio
17
p,Sml
is the sensitivity of portfolio p to a portfolio long in small capital-
ization and short in Large capitalization stocks
p,Hml
is the sensitivity of portfolio p to a portfolio long in high book-to-
market and short in low book-to-market stocks
References: Fama and French (1992 and 1993)
Alpha based on Carharts four factors model
p
= (R
p
R
f
)
p
(R
m
R
f
)
p,Sml
(R
Small
R
Large
)
p,Hml
(R
Hbtm
R
Lbtm
)
p,Rpy
(R
Hrpy
R
Lrpy
) (4.2.2.1.3)
where
R
Small
is the return of a small capitalization portfolio
R
Large
is the return of a large capitalization portfolio
R
Hbtm
is the return of a high book-to-market portfolio
R
Lbtm
is the return of a low book-to-market portfolio
R
Hrpy
is the return of a portfolio constituted with the highest returns of
previous year
R
Lrpy
is the return of a portfolio constituted with the lowest returns of
previous year
p,Sml
is the sensitivity of portfolio p to a portfolio long in small capital-
ization and short in Large capitalization stocks
p,Hml
is the sensitivity of portfolio p to a portfolio long in high book-to-
market and short in low book-to-market stocks
p,Rpy
is the sensitivity of portfolio p to a portfolio long in highest returns
of previous year and short in lowest returns of previous years stocks
Reference: Carhart (1997)
18
Multi-factors alpha for hybrid funds
Hp
= (R
p
R
f
)
p
(R
m
R
f
)
p,Bnd
(R
Bnd
R
f
)
p,Sml
(R
Small
R
Large
)
p,Hml
(R
Hbtm
R
Lbtm
) (4.2.2.1.4)
where
R
Bnd
is the return of a bond index
R
Small
is the return of a small capitalization portfolio
R
Large
is the return of a Large capitalization portfolio
R
Hbtm
is the return of a high book-to-market portfolio
R
Lbtm
is the return of a low book-to-market portfolio
p,Bnd
is the sensitivity of portfolio p to the returns of the bonds
p,Sml
is the sensitivity of portfolio p to a portfolio long in small capital-
ization and short in Large capitalization stocks
p,Hml
is the sensitivity of portfolio p to a portfolio long in high book-to-
market and short in low book-to-market stocks
Reference: Elton et al. (1993)
Alpha based on Barras model
B,p
= (R
p
R
f
)
13
k=1
p,k
k
(4.2.2.1.5)
Reference: Sheikh (1996)
4.2.2.2 Conditional models
Alpha with conditional betas
p
= (R
p
R
f
)
J
j=1
p,j
j,t
J
j=1
L
l=1
p,j,l
(z
l,t1
j,t
) (4.2.2.2.1)
where
p,j
is the sensitivity of the portfolio to factor j
19
j,t
is the return for factor j for period t
z
l,t1
is the observed value for macroeconomic variable l during period
t 1
p,j,l
is the sensibility of
p,j
to the economic factor z
l
Reference: Ferson and Schadt (1996)
Conditional alpha
l=1
p,l
z
l,t1
= (R
p
R
f
)
J
j=1
p,j
j,t
j=1
L
l=1
p,j,l
(z
l,t1
j,t
) (4.2.2.2.2)
where
p,l
is the sensitivity of to the economic factor z
l
p,j
is the sensitivity of the portfolio to factor j
j,t
is the return for factor j for period t
z
l,t1
is the observed value for macroeconomic variable l during period
t 1
p,j,l
is the sensibility of
p,j
to the economic factor z
l
Reference: Christopherson et al. (1999)
4.2.2.3 Extensions of CAPM based
Alpha based on Harvey and Siddiques model
p
= (R
p
R
f
)
p
(R
m
R
f
)
p,Sml
(R
Small
R
Large
)
p,Hml
(R
Hbtm
R
Lbtm
) +
p,Sks
((R
Ncsk
R
Pcsk
) (4.2.2.3.1)
where
R
Small
is the return of a small capitalization portfolio
R
Large
is the return of a large capitalization portfolio
R
Hbtm
is the return of a high book-to-market portfolio
20
R
Lbtm
is the return of a low book-to-market portfolio
R
Ncsk
is the return of a portfolio built with the assets having the most
negative past coskewness with the market portfolio
R
Pcsk
is the return of a portfolio built with the assets having the most
positive past coskewness with the market portfolio
p,Sml
is the sensitivity of portfolio p to a portfolio long in small capital-
ization and short in Large capitalization stocks
p,Hml
is the sensitivity of portfolio p to a portfolio long in high book-to-
market and short in low book-to-market stocks
p,Sks
is the sensitivity of portfolio p to a portfolio long in most negative
past coskewness and short in most positive coskewness
Reference: Harvey and Siddique (2000)
Higher moment measure of Hwang and Satchell
a
p
= (R
p
R
f
)
1
(R
m
R
f
)
2
(
p
p
) (4.2.2.3.2)
where
1
=
Skew
2
m
p
(Kurt
m
1)
p
Skew
2
m
(Kurt
m
1)
2
=
Skew
m
m
Skew
2
m
(Kurt
m
1)
Reference: Hwang and Satchell (1999)
Alpha based on a two factor CAPM
p
= (R
p
R
f
)
p
(R
m
R
f
)
p,B
e
B
(4.2.2.3.3)
where
p,B
is the beta of the portfolio related to the benchmark
e
B
is the residual of the regression from the returns of the benchmark to
those of the market
Reference: Gomez and Zapatero (2003)
21
4.3 Dierence between gain and shortfall aversion
4.3.1 Melnikos measure
RAR
p
= R
p
(W 1)S (4.3.1.1)
where
R
p
is the return of the portfolio
W is the weight of the gain-shortfall aversion
S is the average annual shortfall rate
Reference: Melniko (1998)
4.3.2 Sharpe alpha
p
(Sharpe) = R
p
A
i
2
p
(4.3.2.1)
where A
i
is the coecient of aversion to risk for the investor i.
Reference: Plantinga and De Groot (2001)
4.3.3 Fouses index
Fouse
p
= R
p
A
i
SV (R
L
) (4.3.3.1)
where A
i
is the coecient of aversion to risk for the investor i.
Reference: Sortino and Price (1994)
22
5 Preference based measures
5.1 Direct
5.1.1 Utility functions based
Stutzer index of convergence
Stutzer
p
= sign(r
p
)
_
2I
p
(5.1.1.1)
where
r
p,t
= R
p,t
R
L
r
c
p,t
= ln(1 +r
p,t
)
I
p
= max
_
ln
_
1
T
T
t=1
exp(r
c
p,t
)
__
Reference: Stutzer (2000)
Morningstar risk adjusted return (MRAR)
MRAR
p
=
_
T
t=1
(1 +r
p,t
)
12
1 (5.1.1.2)
where
r
p,t
is the geometric excedentary yield, given by 1 +r
p,t
=
1 +R
p,t
1 +R
f
the periods t = 1...T are monthly
1 + is the relative aversion to risk coecient
Reference: Morningstar (2007)
Alternative investments risk adjusted performance (AIRAP)
AIRAP
p
=
_
T
t=1
R
p,t
_
12
1 (5.1.1.3)
where is a parameter specic to the investor expressing his aversion to risk
Reference: Sharma (2004)
23
Manipulation-proof performance measure
p
=
1
(1 )t
ln
_
1
T
T
t=1
_
1 +r
p,t
1 +r
f,t
_
1
_
(5.1.1.4)
where
t is the length of time between observations
is a coecient selected to make holding the benchmark optimal for an
uninformed manager
Reference: Ingersoll et al. (2007)
5.1.2 Miscellaneous
Investor specic performance measure
ISM
p
= w
D
_
D
+R
f
m
S
p
_2
2(1 w
D
)
D
+ R
f
TR
p
(5.1.2.1)
where
w
D
is the fraction of the portfolio invested for w
i
in an asset i and 1 w
i
in the risk-free asset
D
+ =
G
+
p
w
D
+
p
G
+ = w
D
[w
i
R
i
+ (1 w
p
)R
f
] + (1 w
D
)R
p
S
p
is the Sharpe ratio (3.1.1.1)
T
p
is the Treynor ratio (3.2.1.1)
Reference: Scholz and Wilkens (2004)
Muralidhars measure or M
3
M
3
p
= a
p
+b
B
+ (1 a b)R
f
(5.1.2.2)
where
p,B
is the correlation between the portfolio and the benchmark
24
T,B
is the target correlation between the portfolio and the benchmark:
T,B
= 1
TE
2
p,B
2
2
B
a =
B
1
2
T,B
1
2
p,B
b =
T,B
a
p
p,B
Reference: Muralidhar (2000, 2001)
Skill, history and risk-adjusted measure
SHARAP
p
= C(S
p
)R(CAP
p
) (5.1.2.3)
where
C(S
p
) is the cumulative probability of a unit normal with standard devi-
ation S
p
for portfolio p
R(CAP
p
) is the M
3
measure for portfolio p
Reference: Muralidhar (2002)
5.1.3 Prospect theory based
Prospect ratio
ProspectRatio
p
=
1
T
T
t=1
(max(R
p,t
, 0) 2.25(min(R
p,t
, 0))) R
L
SV(R
p,L
(5.1.3.1)
where
D
is the downside risk:
_
T
t=1
min((R
p,t
R
L,t
), 0)
2
Reference: Khaneman and Tversky (1979)
Prospect + Skewness / Kurtosis
Prospect
SK,p
= ProspectRatio
p
+
Skew
p
Kurt
p
(5.1.3.2)
where Prospect
R
atio
p
is the prospect ratio (5.1.3.1).
Reference: Watanabe (2006)
25
5.2 Indirect
5.2.1 Cohen, Coval and Pastors measure based on levels of holding
p
=
K
k=1
w
p,k
k
(5.2.1.1)
where
k
=
K
j=1
v
j,k
j
v
j,k
=
w
p,j
K
i=1
v
i,k
Reference: Cohen et al. (2005)
5.2.2 Cohen, Coval and Pastors measure based on changes in hold-
ing
p
=
+
p
p
(5.2.2.1)
where
+
p
=
nN
+
p
x
+
p,n
p
=
nN
p
x
p,n
n
d
p,n
= w
n,t
w
n,t1
1 +r
n,t
1 +R
p,t
is the dierence between the current weight
and the weight obtained if the portfolio p neither bought nor sold any of
the stock n over the past period
Sets are:
N
+
p
= {n : d
p,n
> 0} is the set of assets n purchased by portfolio p between
t 1 and t
N
p
= {n : d
p,n
< 0} is the set of assets n sold by portfolio p between t 1
and t
M
+
n
= {p : d
p,n
> 0} is the set of portfolios p who made net purchases of
asset n between t 1 and t
26
M
n
= {p : d
p,n
< 0} is the set of portfolios p who made net sales of asset
n between t 1 and t
Normalized change in weights are:
x
+
p,n
=
d
p,n
nN
+
p
d
p,n
is for portfolio p the fraction of purchases for asset n
x
p,n
=
d
p,n
nN
p
d
p,n
is for portfolio p the fraction of sales for asset n
y
+
p,n
=
d
p,n
pM
+
n
d
p,n
is for asset n the fraction of purchases accounted by
portfolio p
y
p,n
=
d
p,n
pM
n
d
p,n
is for asset n the fraction of sales accounted by portfolio
p
For each asset n, its quality measure is:
n
=
+
n
n
where
+
n
=
pM
+
n
y
+
p,n
m
n
=
pM
n
y
p,n
m
and
m
is the usual performance measure.
Reference: Cohen et al. (2005)
5.2.3 Daniels measures
Characteristic selectivity
CS
p,t
=
K
k=1
w
k,t1
(R
k,t
R
b
k,t1
t
) (5.2.3.1)
where R
b
k,t1
t
is the period t return of the characteristic-based passive port-
folio that is matched to stock k during period t-1.
Reference: Daniel et al. (1997)
27
Characteristic timing
CT
p,t
=
K
k=1
(w
k,t1
R
b
k,t1
t
w
k,t13
R
b
k,t13
t
) (5.2.3.2)
where R
b
k,ti
t
is the period t return of the characteristic-based passive port-
folio that is matched to stock k during period t i(i = 1or13).
Reference: Daniel et al. (1997)
Average selectivity
AS
p,t
=
K
k=1
w
k,t13
R
b
k,t13
t
(5.2.3.3)
where R
b
k,t13
t
is the period t return of the characteristic-based passive port-
folio that is matched to stock k during period t 13.
Reference: Daniel et al. (1997)
5.2.4 Conditional weight measure
CWM
t
= E[
K
j=1
( w
k,t
w
b,j,t,k
) ( r
j,t+1
E [ r
j,t+1
|Z
t
]) |Z
t
] (5.2.4.1)
where w
b,j,t,k
= w
j,tk
t
u=tk+1
1 + r
j,u
1 + r
p,u
Reference: Ferson and Khang (2002)
28
6 Market timing
6.1 Original measures
6.1.1 Treynor and Mazuys coecient
This coecient is c
p
in the following econometric model:
R
p
R
f
= a
p
+b
p
(R
m
R
f
) +c
p
(R
m
R
f
)
2
+
p
(6.1.1.1)
By extension, the Treynor-Mazuy total performance measure is given by:
TM
p
= a
p
+c
p
var(R
m
R
f
)
Reference: Treynor and Mazuy (1966)
6.1.2 Henriksson and Mertons coecient
This coecient is c
p
in the following econometric model:
R
p
R
f
= a
p
+b
p
(R
m
R
f
) +c
p
(R
m
R
f
)D
p
+
p
(6.1.2.1)
where D
p
is a boolean variable whose values are 0 if R
m
> R
f
and -1 else.
Reference: Henriksson and Merton (1981)
6.1.3 Weigels coecient
This coecient is
p
in the following econometric model:
R
p
R
f
=
p
+
p,b
(R
b
R
f
) +
p,s
(R
s
R
f
) +
p
Z +
p
(6.1.3.1)
where
R
b
is the return of the bond market
p,b
is the sensitivity of portfolio to the bond market
R
s
is the return of the equity market
p,s
is the sensitivity of portfolio to the equity market
Z = max[R
b
R
f
, R
s
R
f
, 0] is the perfect market-timing option
p
is the fraction of the perfect market-timing option embedded in the
managers process
Reference: Weigel (1991)
29
6.2 Extension of original measures
6.2.1 Adding a cubic term
Treynor and Mazuy extended timing measure
R
p
R
f
= a
p
+b
p
(R
m
R
f
) +c
p
(R
m
R
f
)
2
+d
p
(R
m
R
f
)
3
+
p
(6.2.1.1)
Reference: Jagannathan and Korajczyk (1986)
6.2.2 Multi-factors version
Extended Treynor and Mazuy measure
R
p
R
f
= a
p
+b
p
(R
m
R
f
) +c
p
(R
m
R
f
)
2
+d
p
(R
s
R
f
) +e
p
(R
b
R
f
) +
p
(6.2.2.1)
where
R
s
is the return of an index that covers assets which are not in the market
index
R
b
is the return of a bond index
Reference: Bello and Janjigian (1997)
Multi-factor timing measure
R
p
R
f
= a
p
+b
p,m
(R
m
R
f
)+b
p,s
(R
s
R
f
)+b
p,g
(R
g
R
f
)+b
p,v
(R
v
R
f
)
+b
p,b
(R
b
R
f
) +b
p,sb
(R
sb
R
f
) +b
p,hb
(R
hb
R
f
) +b
p,lb
(R
lb
R
f
)
+c
p,m
(R
m
R
f
)
2
+c
p,sb
(R
sb
R
f
)
2
+
p
(6.2.2.2)
where
R
s
is the return of a small stocks index
R
g
is the return of a growth stocks index
R
v
is the return of a value stocks index
R
b
is the return of a long maturity bond index
R
sb
is the return of a short maturity bond index
30
R
hb
is the return of a high quality bond index
R
lb
is the return of a low quality bond index
b
p,m
, b
p,s
, b
p,g
, b
p,v
, b
p,b
, b
p,sb
, b
p,hb
and b
p,lb
are the corresponding sys-
tematic risks of the portfolio
c
p,m
and c
p,sb
represent stock and bond timing ability
Reference: Comer (2006)
Henriksson and Merton extended measure of market timing
R
p
R
f
= a
p
+b
p,m
(R
m
R
f
)+c
p,m
(R
m
R
f
)D
p,m
+b
p,ew
(R
ew
R
f
ew
)
+c
p,ew
(R
ew
R
f
ew
)D
p,ew
+
p
(6.2.2.3)
where
R
Small
is the return of a small capitalization portfolio
R
Big
is the return of a big capitalization portfolio
R
Hbtm
is the return of a high book-to-market portfolio
R
Lbtm
is the return of a low book-to-market portfolio
Reference: Henriksson (1984)
Henriksson and Merton timing measure in a three-factor context
R
p
R
f
= a
p
+b
p,m
(R
m
R
f
) +b
p,S
(R
Small
R
Big
) +b
p,H
(R
Hbtm
R
Lbtm
)
+d
p,m
max(0, R
m
R
f
)+d
p,S
max(0, R
Small
R
Big
)+b
p,H
max(0, R
Hbtm
R
Lbtm
)+
p
(6.2.2.4)
where
R
Small
is the return of a small capitalization portfolio
R
Big
is the return of a big capitalization portfolio
R
Hbtm
is the return of a high book-to-market portfolio
R
Lbtm
is the return of a low book-to-market portfolio
Reference: Chan et al. (2002)
31
6.2.3 Conditional versions
Conditional Treynor and Mazuys coecient This coecient is
p
in the
following econometric model:
R
p
R
f
= a
p
+b
p
(R
m
R
f
) +B
z
t1
(R
m
R
f
) +
p
(R
m
R
f
)
2
+
p
(6.2.3.1)
where
z
t1
= Z
t1
E(Z) is a vector of deviation of the economic variables Z
from their unconditional mean
B is a vector of sensitivity of b
p
to the economic variables Z
Reference: Ferson and Schadt (1996)
Conditional Henriksson and Mertons coecient This coecient is
p
in the following econometric model:
(6.2.3.2)
where
t=1
w
t
(R
p,t
R
f,t
) (6.3.1.1)
where
w
t
0, t
t=1
w
t
= 1
t=1
w
t
(R
p,t
R
f,t
) = 0
Reference: Grinblatt and Titman (1989a and b)
32
6.3.2 Cornells measure
C
p
= r
p
p
r
B
(6.3.2.1)
where
r
p
is the probability limit of the sample mean of the portfolio return series
p
is the weighted mean of the betas used for the portfolio
r
B
is the probability limit of the sample mean of the return of the bench-
mark
Reference: Cornell (1979)
6.3.3 Performance change measure
PCM
p
=
K
k=1
T
t=1
(R
p,k,t
R
f,t
)(w
k,t
w
k,t1
)
T
(6.3.3.1)
Reference: Grinblatt and Titman (1993)
6.4 Miscellaneous
6.4.1 Performance based on pure market timing
X
p
=
1
T
T
t=1
_
s
t
R
c
1,t+1
n
2T
ln
_
1 +c
1 c
_
_
p
T
T
t=1
R
c
1,t+1
+
1 p
T
T
t=1
R
c
2,t+1
_
(6.4.1.1)
where the index 1 represent a risky asset and 2 a risk free asset. during each
period of time t, the portfolio is fully invested in 1 or 2, and:
R
c
i,t+1
is the continuous rate of return of the asset i between t and t+1
s
t
is a binary variable whose value is 1 if the portfolio is invested in the
risky asset 1 at period t, and else 0
c is the transaction cost to go from asset 1 to asset 2 or the inverse
Reference: Sweeney (1988)
33
6.4.2 Bhattacharya and Peiderer measure of market timing
R
p,t
=
p
+E(R
m
)(1 )R
m,t
+(R
m,t
)
2
+ (
t
R
m,t
+
p,t
) (6.4.2.1)
where
p
measures the managers micro forecasting ability
represents the managers response to information
is the coecient of determination between the managers forecast and
the excess return on the market: =
2
+
2
t
=
t
R
mt
+
pt
(
t
)
2
=
2
t
(R
mt
)
2
+
t
where
t
=
2
2
(R
mt
)
2
(
2
T
2
) + (
pt
)
2
+ 2R
mt
pt
Reference: Bhattacharya and Peiderer (1983)
34