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National Endowment for the Arts To Read or Not To Read : a question of national consequence. Sunil iyengai, diiectoi, editoiial and publication assistance by Don Ball. 202-682-5400.
National Endowment for the Arts To Read or Not To Read : a question of national consequence. Sunil iyengai, diiectoi, editoiial and publication assistance by Don Ball. 202-682-5400.
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National Endowment for the Arts To Read or Not To Read : a question of national consequence. Sunil iyengai, diiectoi, editoiial and publication assistance by Don Ball. 202-682-5400.
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A Question of National Consequence Research Report #47 Reseaich Repoit #47 Novembei 2007 National Endowment for the Arts 1100 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW Washington, DC 20506-0001 Telephone: 202-682-5400 Pioduced by the Oce of Reseaich & Analysis Sunil Iyengai, Diiectoi Sta contiibutois: Saiah Sullivan, Bonnie Nichols, Tom Biadshaw, and Kelli Rogowski Special contiibutoi: Maik Baueilein Editoiial and publication assistance by Don Ball Designed by Beth Schleno Design Fiont Covei Photo: Getty Images Piinted in the United States of Ameiica Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data To iead oi not to iead : a question of national consequence. p. cm. (Reseaich iepoit , #47) Pioduced by the Oce of Reseaich & Analysis, National Endowment foi the Aits, Sunil Iyengai, diiectoi, editoiial and publication assistance by Don Ball. 1. Books and ieadingUnited States. 2. LiteiatuieAppieciationUnited States. I. Iyengai, Sunil, 1973 II. Ball, Don, 1964 III. National Endowment foi the Aits. Z1003.2.T6 2007 028.9dc22 2007042469 202-682-5496 Voice/TTY (a device foi individuals who aie deaf oi heaiing-impaiied) Individuals who do not use conventional piint mateiials may contact the Aits Endowments Oce foi AccessAbility at 202-682-5532 to obtain this publication in an alteinate foimat. is publication is available free of charge at www.arts.gov, the Web site of the National Endowment for the Arts. 5 Chaiimans Pieface 7 Executive Summaiy 23 Intioduction SECTION ONE Youth Voluntary Reading Patterns 27 Chaptei One 33 Chaptei Two 37 Chaptei Tiee 46 Chaptei Foui SECTION TWO What the Declines Mean for Literacy 55 Chaptei Five 63 Chaptei Six 68 Chaptei Seven SECTION THREE Why More than Reading is at Risk 77 Chaptei Eight 86 Chaptei Nine 94 Conclusion 96 List of Chaits and Tables Co:r:s To Read or Not To Read 5 T o Read or Not To Read gatheis and collates the best national data available to piovide a ieliable and compiehensive oveiview of Ameiican ieading today. While it incoipoiates some statistics fiom the National Endowment foi the Aits 2004 iepoit, Reading at Risk, this new study contains vastly moie data fiom numeious souices. Although most of this infoimation is publicly available, it has nevei been assembled and analyzed as a whole. To oui knowledge, To Read or Not To Read is the most complete and up-to-date iepoit of the nations ieading tiends andpeihaps most impoitanttheii consideiable consequences. To Read or Not To Read ielies on the most accuiate data available, which consists of laige, national studies conducted on a iegulai basis by U.S. fedeial agencies, sup- plemented by academic, foundation, and business suiveys. Reliable national statisti- cal ieseaich is expensive and time-consuming to conduct, especially when it iequiies accuiate measuiements of vaiious subgioups (age oi education level, foi example) within the oveiall population. Likewise, such ieseaich demands foimidable iesouices and a commitment fiom an oiganization to collect the data consistently ovei many yeais, which is the only valid way to measuie both shoit and long-teim tiends. Few oiganizations outside the fedeial goveinment can manage such a painstaking task. By compaiison, most piivate-sectoi oi media suiveys involve quick and isolated polls conducted with a minimal sample size. When one assembles data fiom dispaiate souices, the iesults often piesent con- tiadictions. Tis is not the case with To Read or Not To Read. Heie the iesults aie staitling in theii consistency. All of the data combine to tell the same stoiy about Ameiican ieading. Te stoiy the data tell is simple, consistent, and alaiming. Although theie has been measuiable piogiess in iecent yeais in ieading ability at the elementaiy school level, all piogiess appeais to halt as childien entei theii teenage yeais. Teie is a geneial decline in ieading among teenage and adult Ameiicans. Most alaiming, both ieading ability and the habit of iegulai ieading have gieatly declined among college giaduates. Tese negative tiends have moie than liteiaiy impoitance. As this iepoit makes cleai, the declines have demonstiable social, economic, cultuial, and civic implications. Howdoes one summaiize this distuibing stoiy? As Ameiicans, especially youngei Ameiicans, iead less, they iead less well. Because they iead less well, they have lowei levels of academic achievement. (Te shameful fact that neaily one-thiid of Ameii- can teenageis diop out of school is deeply connected to declining liteiacy and ieading compiehension.) With lowei levels of ieading and wiiting ability, people do less well in the job maiket. Pooi ieading skills coiielate heavily with lack of employment, lowei wages, and fewei oppoitunities foi advancement. Signicantly woise ieading skills aie found among piisoneis than in the geneial adult population. And decient ieadeis aie less likely to become active in civic and cultuial life, most notably in vol- unteeiism and voting. Stiictly undeistood, the data in this iepoit do not necessaiily show cause and eect. Te statistics meiely indicate coiielations. Te habit of daily ieading, foi instance, oveiwhelmingly coiielates with bettei ieading skills and highei academic Pvrrcr Photo by Vance Jacobs 6 To Read or Not To Read achievement. On the othei hand, pooi ieading skills coiielate with lowei levels of nancial and job success. At the iisk of being ciiticized by social scientists, I suggest that since all the data demonstiate consistent and mostly lineai ielationships between ieading and these positive iesultsand between pooi ieading and negative iesults ieading has played a decisive factoi. Whethei oi not people iead, and indeed how much and how often they iead, aects theii lives in ciucial ways. All of the data suggest how poweifully ieading tiansfoims the lives of individu- alswhatevei theii social ciicumstances. Regulai ieading not only boosts the likeli- hood of an individuals academic and economic successfacts that aie not especially suipiisingbut it also seems to awaken a peisons social and civic sense. Reading coiielates with almost eveiy measuiement of positive peisonal and social behavioi suiveyed. It is ieassuiing, though haidly amazing, that ieadeis attend moie conceits and theatei than non-ieadeis, but it is suipiising that they exeicise moie and play moie spoitsno mattei what theii educational level. Te cold statistics conim something that most ieadeis knowbut have mostly been ieluctant to declaie as fact books change lives foi the bettei. Some people will inevitably ciiticize To Read or Not To Read as a negative iepoit undeistating the good woiks of schools, colleges, libiaiies, and publisheis. Ceitainly, the tiends iepoited heie aie negative. Teie is, alas, no factual case to suppoit geneial giowth in ieading oi ieading compiehension in Ameiica. But theie is anothei way of viewing this data that is haidly negative about ieading. To Read or Not To Read conimswithout any seiious qualicationthe cential impoitance of ieading foi a piospeious, fiee society. Te data heie demonstiate that ieading is an iiieplaceable activity in developing pioductive and active adults as well as healthy communities. Whatevei the benets of newei electionic media, they pio- vide no measuiable substitute foi the intellectual and peisonal development initiated and sustained by fiequent ieading. To Read or Not To Read is not an elegy foi the bygone days of piint cultuie, but instead is a call to actionnot only foi paients, teacheis, libiaiians, wiiteis, and pub- lisheis, but also foi politicians, business leadeis, economists, and social activists. Te geneial decline in ieading is not meiely a cultuial issue, though it has enoimous con- sequences foi liteiatuie and the othei aits. It is a seiious national pioblem. If, at the cuiient pace, Ameiica continues to lose the habit of iegulai ieading, the nation will suei substantial economic, social, and civic setbacks. As with Reading at Risk, we issue this iepoit not to dictate any specic iemedial policies, but to initiate a seiious discussion. It is no longei ieasonable to debate whethei the pioblem exists. It is now time to become moie committed to solving it oi face the consequences. Te nation needs to focus moie attention and iesouices on an activity both fundamental and iiieplaceable foi demociacy. Dana Gioia Chairman, National Endowment for the Arts To Read or Not To Read 7 I n 2004, the National Endowment foi the Aits published Reading at Risk: ASurvey of Literary Reading in America. Tis detailed study showed that Ameiicans in almost eveiy demogiaphic gioup weie ieading ction, poetiy, and diamaand books in geneialat signicantly lowei iates than 10 oi 20 yeais eailiei. Te declines weie steepest among young adults. Moie iecent ndings attest to the diminished iole of voluntaiy ieading in Ameii- can life. Tese newstatistics come fioma vaiiety of ieliable souices, including laige, nationally iepiesentative studies conducted by othei fedeial agencies. Biought togethei heie foi the ist time, the data piompt thiee unsettling conclusions: Americans are spending less time reading. Reading comprehension skills are eroding. These declines have serious civic, social, cultural, andeconomic implications. A. Arrvics Avr Rroio Lrss Teens and young adults iead less often and foi shoitei amounts of time when com- paied with othei age gioups and with Ameiicans of the past. 1. Young adults are reading fewer books in general. Neaily half of all Ameiicans ages 18 to 24 iead no books foi pleasuie. Te peicentage of 18- to 44-yeai-olds who iead a book fell 7 points fiom 1992 to 2002. 2. Reading is declining as an activity among teenagers. Less than one-thiid of 13-yeai-olds aie daily ieadeis. Te peicentage of 17-yeai-olds who iead nothing at all foi pleasuie has doubled ovei a 20-yeai peiiod. Yet the amount they iead foi school oi home- woik (15 oi fewei pages daily foi 62 of students) has stayed the same. Exrcu:ivr Surrvv Percentage of Young Americans Who Read a Book Not Required for Work or School Age group 1992 2002 Change Rate of decline 1824 59% 52% -7 pp -12% 2534 64% 59% -5 pp -8% 3544 66% 59% -7 pp -11% All adults (18 and over) 61% 57% -4 pp -7% pp = percentage points Source: National Endowment for the Arts 8 To Read or Not To Read Voluntaiy ieading iates diminish fiom childhood to late adolescence. 3. College attendance no longer guarantees active reading habits. Although ieading tiacks closely with education level, the peicentage of college giaduates who iead liteiatuie has declined. 65 of college fieshmen iead foi pleasuie foi less than an houi pei week oi not at all. Te peicentage of non-ieadeis among these students has neaily doubled climbing 18 points since they giaduated fiom high school. Percentage of Students Reading for Fun Age 13 Age 17 Reading frequency 1984 2004 Change 1984 2004 Change Never or hardly ever read 8% 13% +5 pp 9% 19% +10 pp Read almost every day 35% 30% -5 pp 31% 22% -9 pp pp = percentage points Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics Percentage Who Read Almost Every Day for Fun 1984 1999 2004 9-year-olds 53% 54% 54% 13-year-olds 35% 28% 30% 17-year-olds 31% 25% 22% Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics Percentage Who Read a Book the Previous Day (Outside School or Work) In 2004 For at least 5 minutes For at least 30 minutes 8- to 10-year-olds 63% 40% 11- to 14-year-olds 44% 27% 15- to 18-year-olds 34% 26% Source: The Henry J. Kaiser Family Foundation, Generation M: Media in the Lives of 8-18 Year-Olds (#7251), 2005 Percentage of Literary Readers Among College Graduates Change Rate of decline 1982 1992 2002 19822002 19822002 82% 75% 67% -15 pp -18% pp = percentage points Source: National Endowment for the Arts To Read or Not To Read 9 By the time they become college seniois, one in thiee students iead nothing at all foi pleasuie in a given week. 4. Teens andyoung adults spendless time reading thanpeople of other age groups. Ameiicans between 15 and 34 yeais of age devote less leisuie time than oldei age gioups to ieading anything at all. 15- to 24-yeai-olds spend only 710 minutes pei day on voluntaiy ieading about 60 less time than the aveiage Ameiican. 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 21% 39% 26% 26% T o t a l None Less than 1 hour As high school seniors in 2004 As college freshmen in 2005 Reading per week: Percentage of U.S. College Freshmen Who Read Little or Nothing for Pleasure 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 21% 35% 28% 28% T o t a l None Less than 1 hour As high school seniors (mainly pre-2002) As college seniors in 2005 Reading per week: Percentage of U.S. College Seniors Who Read Little or Nothing for Pleasure Source: University of California, Los Angeles, Higher Education Research Institute Source: University of California, Los Angeles, Higher Education Research Institute 10 To Read or Not To Read By contiast, 15- to 24-yeai-olds spend 2 to 2 houis pei day watching TV. Tis activity consumes the most leisuie time foi men and women of all ages. Liteiaiy ieading declined signicantly in a peiiod of iising Inteinet use. Fiom 19972003, home Inteinet use soaied 53 peicentage points among 18- to 24- yeai-olds. By anothei estimate, the peicentage of 18- to 29-yeai-olds with a home bioadband connection climbed 25 points fiom 2005 to 2007. i 5. Even when reading does occur, it competes with other media. is multi- tasking suggests less focused engagement with a text. 58 of middle and high school students use othei media while ieading. Students iepoit using media duiing 35 of theii weekly ieading time. 20 of theii ieading time is shaied by TV-watching, videoicomputei game- playing, instant messaging, e-mailing oi Web suing. i U.S. Census Buieau, Computer and Internet Use in the United States, 1997 and 2003, and PewiInteinet & Ameiican Life Pioject, Home Broadband Adoption 2007. Percentage Using Other Media While Reading 7th-12th Graders in 20032004 % who use other media while reading Most of the time 28% Some of the time 30% Most/some 58% Little of the time 26% Never 16% Little/never 42% Source: The Henry J. Kaiser Family Foundation, Media Multitasking Among Youth: Prevalence, Predictors and Pairings (# 7592), 2006 Average Time Spent Reading in 2006 Hours/minutes spent reading Weekdays Weekends and holidays Total, 15 years and over :20 :26 15 to 24 years :07 :10 25 to 34 years :09 :11 35 to 44 years :12 :16 45 to 54 years :17 :24 55 to 64 years :30 :39 65 years and over :50 1:07 Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics Percentage of 18- to 24-Year-Olds Reading Literature 1982 1992 2002 Percentage reading literature 60% 53% 43% Change from 1982 # -7 pp -17 pp Rate of decline from 1982 # -12% -28% pp = percentage points Source: National Endowment for the Arts To Read or Not To Read 11 6. American families are spending less on books than at almost any other time in the past two decades. Although nominal spending on books giew fiom 1985 to 2005, aveiage annual household spending on books diopped 14 when adjusted foi ination. ii Ovei the same peiiod, spending on ieading mateiials dipped 7 peicentage points as a shaie of aveiage household enteitainment spending. Amid yeai-to-yeai uctuations, consumei book sales peaked at 1.6 billion units sold in 2000. Fiom 2000 to 2006, howevei, they declined by 6, oi 100 million units. iii Te numbei of books in a home is a signicant piedictoi of academic achievement. ii Foi the puipose of this analysis, family oi household is used instead of the Buieau of Laboi Statistics technical teim con- sumei unit. In addition to families and households, a consumei unit may desciibe a peison living alone oi shaiing a household with otheis oi living as a ioomei in a piivate home oi lodging house oi in peimanent living quaiteis in a hotel oi motel, but who is nan- cially independent. iii Albeit N. Gieco and Robeit M. Whaiton, Book Industry TRENDS 2007 (New Yoik, N.Y.: Book Industiy Study Gioup, 2007), vaiious pages. $26 $28 $30 $32 $34 $36 1985 1989 1993 1997 2001 2005 Average Annual Spending on Books, by Consumer Unit Adjusted for Inflation The Consumer Price Index, 19821984 (less food and energy), was used to adjust for inflation. Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics Percentage of Time Spent Reading While Using Other Media 7th- to 12th-Graders in 20032004 Percentage of reading time Reading while: Watching TV 11% Listening to music 10% Doing homework on the computer 3% Playing videogames 3% Playing computer games 2% Using the computer (other) 2% Instant messaging 2% E-mailing 1% Surfing websites 1% Using any of the above media 35% Source: The Henry J. Kaiser Family Foundation, Media Multitasking Among Youth: Prevalence, Predictors and Pairings (# 7592), 2006 12 To Read or Not To Read B. Arrvics Avr Rroio Lrss Wrii As Ameiicans iead less, theii ieading skills woisen, especially among teenageis and young males. By contiast, the aveiage ieading scoie of 9-yeai-olds has impioved. 1. Reading scores for 17-year-olds are down. 17-yeai-old aveiage ieading scoies began a slow downwaid tiend in 1992. Foi moie than 30 yeais, this age gioup has failed to sustain impiovements in ieading scoies. Reading test scoies foi 9-yeai-oldswho show no declines in voluntaiy ieadingaie at an all-time high. Te dispaiity in ieading skills impiovement between 9-yeai-olds and 17-yeai- olds may ieect bioadei dieiences in the academic and social climate of those age gioups. Average Test Scores by Number of Household Books, Grade 12 (20052006) Average Average Average science score civics score history score* Reported number of books at home More than 100 161 167 305 26100 147 150 289 1125 132 134 275 010 122 123 265 * Science and civics scores range from 0 to 300. History scores range from 0 to 500. Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics 10 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1999 2004 Reported as differences from 1984 reading scores. Age 17 Age 9 Trend in Average Reading Scores for Students Ages 17 and 9 Test years occurred at irregular intervals. Trend analysis based on data from the U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics. To Read or Not To Read 13 2. Among high school seniors, the average score has declined for virtually all levels of reading. Little moie than one-thiid of high school seniois now iead piociently. iv Fiom 1992 to 2005, the aveiage scoie declined foi the bottom 90 of ieadeis. Only foi the veiy best ieadeis of 2005, the scoie held steady. Te ieading gap is widening between males and females. iv Foi 12th-giadeis, Piocient coiiesponds with a ieading scoie of 302 oi gieatei (out of 500). Average 12th-Grade Reading Scores by Gender 1992 2005 Female 297 292 Male 287 279 Male-female gap -10 -13 Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics Change in 12th-Grade Reading Scores, by Percentile: 1992 and 2005 Percentile 1992 2005 Change 90th 333 333 0 75th 315 313 -2 50th 294 288 -6 25th 271 262 -9 10th 249 235 -14 All score changes from 1992 are statistically significant. Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics Percentage of 12th-Graders Reading at or Above the Proficient Level 1992 2005 Change Rate of decline 40% 35% -5 pp -13% pp = percentage points Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics 14 To Read or Not To Read 3. Reading prociency rates are stagnant or declining in adults of both genders and all education levels. Te peicentage of men who iead at a Piocient level has declined. Foi women, the shaie of Piocient ieadeis has stayed the same. v Aveiage ieading scoies have declined in adults of viitually all education levels. vi Even among college giaduates, ieading piociency has declined at a 2023 iate. 4. Reading for pleasure correlates strongly with academic achievement. Voluntaiy ieadeis aie bettei ieadeis and wiiteis than non-ieadeis. Childien and teenageis who iead foi pleasuie on a daily oi weekly basis scoie bettei on ieading tests than infiequent ieadeis. Fiequent ieadeis also scoie bettei on wiiting tests than non-ieadeis oi infiequent ieadeis. v Foi adults, Piocient coiie- sponds with a piose liteiacy scoie of 340 oi gieatei (out of 500). vi Exceptions aie adults still in high school and those with a GED oi high school equivalency. In both cases, scoie changes fiom 1992 to 2003 weie not statistically signicant. Percentage of Adults Proficient in Reading Prose, by Gender 1992 2003 Change Rate of decline Female 14% 14% 0 pp 0% Male 16% 13% -3 pp -19% Both genders 15% 13% -2 pp -13% pp = percentage points Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics Average Prose Literacy Scores of Adults, by Highest Level of Educational Attainment: 1992 and 2003 Education level: 1992 2003 Change Less than/some high school 216 207 -9 High school graduate 268 262 -6 Vocational/trade/business school 278 268 -10 Some college 292 287 -5 Associates/2-year degree 306 298 -8 Bachelors degree 325 314 -11 Graduate study/degree 340 327 -13 Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics Percentage of College Graduates Proficient in Reading Prose 1992 2003 Change Rate of decline Bachelors degree 40% 31% -9 pp -23% Graduate study/degree 51% 41% -10 pp -20% pp = percentage points Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics To Read or Not To Read 15 Almost every day Once or twice a week Once or twice a month Never or hardly ever 302 292 285 274 Almost every day Once or twice a week Once or twice a month Never or hardly ever 165 154 149 136 Average Reading Scores by Frequency of Reading for Fun Grade 12 in 2005 Average Writing Scores by Frequency of Reading for Fun Grade 12 in 2002 Reading scores range from 0 to 500. Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics Writing scores range from 0 to 300. Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics 16 To Read or Not To Read C. Tnr Drciirs i Rroio Hvr Civic, Socii, o Ecooric Irviic:ios Advanced ieadeis acciue peisonal, piofessional, and social advantages. Decient ieadeis iun highei iisks of failuie in all thiee aieas. 1. Employers nowrank reading and writing as top deciencies in newhires. 38 of employeis nd high school giaduates decient in ieading compiehen- sion, while 63 iate this basic skill veiy impoitant. Wiitten communications tops the list of applied skills found lacking in high school and college giaduates alike. One in ve U.S. woikeis iead at a lowei skill level than theii job iequiies. vii Remedial wiiting couises aie estimated to cost moie than $3.1 billion foi laige coipoiate employeis and $221 million foi state employeis. viii vii Statistics Canada and OECD, Learning a Living: First Results of the Adult Literacy and Life Skills Survey, 2005, 145. viii Te National Commission on Wiiting, Writing: A Ticket to Workor a Ticket Out: A Survey of Business Leaders, 2004, 29, and Writing: A Powerful Message from State Government, 2005, 32. Percentage of Employers Who Rate High School Graduates as Deficient in Basic Skills Writing in English 72% Foreign languages 62% Mathematics 54% History/geography 46% Government/economics 46% Science 45% Reading comprehension 38% Humanities/arts 31% English language 21% Source: The Conference Board, Are They Really Ready to Work?, 2006 Percentage of Employers Who Rate Job Entrants as Deficient in Applied Skills High school graduates deficient in: College graduates deficient in: Written communication 81% Written communication 28% Leadership 73% Leadership 24% Professionalism/work ethic 70% Professionalism/work ethic 19% Critical thinking/problem solving 70% Creativity/innovation 17% Lifelong learning/self direction 58% Lifelong learning/self-direction 14% Source: The Conference Board, Are They Really Ready to Work?, 2006 Rated Very Important by Employers Percentage of employers who rate the following basic skills as very important for high school graduates: Reading comprehension 63% English language 62% Writing in English 49% Mathematics 30% Foreign languages 11% Source: The Conference Board, Are They Really Ready to Work?, 2006 To Read or Not To Read 17 2. Good readers generally have more nancially rewarding jobs. Moie than 60 of employed Piocient ieadeis have jobs in management, oi in the business, nancial, piofessional, and ielated sectois. Only 18 of Basic ieadeis aie employed in those elds. Piocient ieadeis aie 2.5 times as likely as Basic ieadeis to be eaining $850 oi moie a week. 3. Less advanced readers report fewer opportunities for career growth. 38 of Basic ieadeis said theii ieading level limited theii job piospects. Te peicentage of Below-Basic ieadeis who iepoited this expeiience was 1.8 times gieatei. Only 4 of Piocient ieadeis iepoited this expeiience. Percentage of Full-Time Workers by Weekly Earnings and Reading Level in 2003 $850$1,149 $1,150$1,449 $1,450$1,949 $1,950 or more Total earning $850 or more Proficient 20% 13% 13% 12% 58% Basic 12% 5% 2% 4% 23% Below Basic 7% 3% 1% 2% 13% Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics Percentage Employed in Management and Professional Occupations, by Reading Level in 2003 Management, business Professional Total in either job and financial and related category Proficient 19% 42% 61% Basic 8% 10% 18% Below Basic 3% 4% 7% Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics Percentage of Adults Who Said Their Reading Skills Limited Their Job Opportunities, by Reading Level in 2003 A little Some A lot Total Proficient 2% 1% 1% 4% Basic 14% 15% 9% 38% Below Basic 13% 22% 35% 70% Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics 18 To Read or Not To Read 4. Good readers play a crucial role in enriching our cultural and civic life. Liteiaiy ieadeis aie moie than 3 times as likely as non-ieadeis to visit museums, attend plays oi conceits, and cieate aitwoiks of theii own. Tey aie also moie likely to play spoits, attend spoiting events, oi do outdooi activities. 18- to 34-yeai-olds, whose ieading iates aie the lowest foi any adult age gioup undei 65, show declines in cultuial and civic paiticipation. ix 5. Good readers make good citizens. Liteiaiy ieadeis aie moie than twice as likely as non-ieadeis to volunteei oi do chaiity woik. x Adults who iead well aie moie likely to volunteei than Basic and Below-Basic ieadeis. ix National Endowment foi the Aits, e Arts and Civic Engage- ment: Involved in Arts, Involved in Life, 2006. x Ibid. Percentage of Adults Who Volunteered, by Reading Level in 2003 Less than Once a week Total who once a week or more volunteered Proficient 32% 25% 57% Basic 16% 15% 31% Below Basic 8% 10% 18% Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics Percentage of Literary Readers Who Volunteered in 2002 Literary readers Non-readers Gap between groups 43% 16% -27 pp pp = percentage points Source: National Endowment for the Arts Participation Rates for Literary Readers in 2002 Literary readers Non-readers Gap between groups Visit art museums 43% 12% -31 pp Attend plays or musicals 36% 10% -26 pp Attend jazz or classical concerts 29% 9% -20 pp Create photographs, paintings, or writings 32% 10% -22 pp Attend sporting events 44% 27% -17 pp Play sports 38% 24% -14 pp Exercise 72% 40% -32 pp Do outdoor activities 41% 22% -19 pp pp = percentage points Source: National Endowment for the Arts To Read or Not To Read 19 84 of Piocient ieadeis voted in the 2000 piesidential election, compaied with 53 of Below-Basic ieadeis. 6. Decient readers are far more likely than skilled readers to be high school dropouts. Half of Ameiicas Below-Basic ieadeis failed to complete high schoola peicentage gain of 5 points since 1992. One-thiid of ieadeis at the Basic level diopped out of high school. Foi high school diopouts, the aveiage ieading scoie is 55 points lowei than foi high school giaduatesand the gap has giown since 1992. Tis fact is especially tioubling in light of iecent estimates that only 70 of high school students eain a diploma on time. xi xi Editoiial Piojects in Education, Diplomas Count 2007: Ready for What? Preparing Students for College, Careers, and Life after High School, Executive Summaiy. Percentage of Adults Who Voted in the 2000 Presidential Election, by 2003 Reading Level Proficient 84% Basic 62% Below Basic 53% Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics Percentage of Adults at or Below Basic Prose Reading Level Who Did Not Complete High School: 1992, 2003 Prose reading level Below Basic Basic 1992 2003 Change 1992 2003 Change 45% 50% +5 pp 38% 33% -5 pp pp = percentage points Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics Average Prose Reading Scores for Adult High School Graduates and Those Who Did Not Complete High School: 1992, 2003 Prose reading score Highest level of education 1992 2003 Change Less than/some high school 216 207 -9 High school graduate 268 262 -6 Gap between groups -52 -55 Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics 20 To Read or Not To Read 7. Decient readers are more likely thanskilledreaders tobe out of the workforce. Moie than half of Below-Basic ieadeis aie not in the woikfoice. 44 of Basic ieadeis lack a full-time oi pait-time jobtwice the peicentage of Piocient ieadeis in that categoiy. 8. Poor reading skills are endemic in the prison population. 56 of adult piisoneis iead at oi below the Basic level. Adult piisoneis have an aveiage piose ieading scoie of 25718 points lowei than non-piisoneis. Only 3 of adult piisoneis iead at a Piocient level. Low ieading scoies peisist in piisoneis neaiing the end of theii teim, when they aie expected to ietuin to family, society, and a moie pioductive life. xii xii U.S. Depaitment of Education, National Centei foi Education Statistics, Literacy Behind Bars: Results from the 2003 National Assessment of Adult Literacy Prison Survey, 2007, 77. Percentage of Adult Prisoners and Household Populations by 2003 Reading Level Prose reading level Household Prison Gap Below Basic 14% 16% *+2 pp Basic 29% 40% +11 pp Intermediate 44% 41% *-3 pp Proficient 13% 3% -10 pp * = not statistically significant pp = percentage points Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics Percentage of Adults Employed Full-Time or Part-Time, by 2003 Reading Level Proficient 78% Basic 56% Below Basic 45% Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics To Read or Not To Read 21 Conclusion Self-iepoited data on individual behavioial patteins, combined with national test scoies fiom the Depaitment of Education and othei souices, suggest thiee distinct tiends: a histoiical decline in voluntaiy ieading iates among teenageis and young adults, a giadual woisening of ieading skills among oldei teens, and declining pio- ciency in adult ieadeis. Te Depaitment of Educations extensive data on voluntaiy ieading patteins and piose ieading scoies yield a fouith obseivation: fiequency of ieading foi pleasuie coiielates stiongly with bettei test scoies in ieading and wiiting. Fiequent ieadeis aie thus moie likely than infiequent oi non-ieadeis to demonstiate academic achievement in those subjects. Fiom the diveisity of data souices in this iepoit, othei themes emeige. Analyses of voluntaiy ieading and ieading ability, and the social chaiacteiistics of advanced and decient ieadeis, identify seveial disciepancies at a national level: Less ieading foi pleasuie in late adolescence than in youngei age gioups Declines in ieading test scoies among 17-yeai-olds and high school seniois in contiast to youngei age gioups and lowei giade levels Among high school seniois, a widei iift in the ieading scoies of advanced and decient ieadeis A male-female gap in ieading pioclivity and achievement levels A shaip divide in the ieading skills of incaiceiated adults veisus non-piisoneis Gieatei academic, piofessional, and civic benets associated with high levels of leisuie ieading and ieading compiehension Longitudinal studies aie needed to conimand monitoi the eects of these diei- ences ovei time. Futuie ieseaich also could exploie factois such as income, ethnicity, iegion, and iace, and howthey might altei the ielationship between voluntaiy iead- ing, ieading test scoies, and othei outcomes. Ciitically, fuithei studies should weigh the ielative eectiveness and costs and benets of piogiams to fostei lifelong ieading and skills development. Foi instance, such ieseaich could tiace the eects of elec- tionic media and scieen ieading on the development of ieadeis in eaily childhood. Recent studies of Ameiican time-use and consumei expendituie patteins high- light a seiies of choices luiking in the question To iead oi not to iead? Te futuie of ieading iests on the daily decisions Ameiicans will continue to make when con- fionted with an expanding menu of leisuie goods and activities. Te impoit of these national ndings, howevei, is that ieading fiequently is a behavioi to be cultivated with the same zeal as academic achievement, nancial oi job peifoimance, and global competitiveness. Technical Note Tis iepoit piesents some of the most ieliable and cuiiently available statistics on Ameiican ieading iates, liteiacy, and ieadei chaiacteiistics. No attempt has been made to exploie methods foi ieading instiuction, oi to delve into iacial, ethnic, oi income tiaits of voluntaiy ieadeis, though age, gendei, and education aie discussed at vaiious points in the analyses. Te majoiity of the data stemfiomlaige, nationally iepiesentative studies completed aftei the 2004 publication of the NEAs Reading at Risk iepoit. Unless a footnote is piovided, souices foi all data in this Executive Sum- 22 To Read or Not To Read maiy aie given with each accompanying chait oi table. All adult ieading scoies and piociency iates iefei to the Depaitment of Educations piose liteiacy categoiy. Caution should be used in compaiing iesults fiomthe seveial studies cited in this publication, as the studies use dieient methodologies, suivey populations, iesponse iates, and standaid eiiois associated with the estimates, and the studies often weie designed to seive dieient ieseaich aims. No denite causal ielationship can be made between voluntaiy ieading and ieading piociency, oi between voluntaiy ieading, ieading piociency, and the ieadei chaiacteiistics noted in the iepoit. Finally, except wheie book ieading oi liteiaiy ieading iates aie specically mentioned, all iefeiences to voluntaiy ieading aie intended to covei all types of ieading mateiials. Oce of Reseaich & Analysis National Endowment foi the Aits To Read or Not To Read 23 I:voouc:io T he National Endowment foi the Aits landmaik iepoit, Reading at Risk: A Survey of Literary Reading in America, giew out of a peiiodic suivey the agency has been conducting since 1982. Co-developed with an expeit teamof statisticians, sociologists, and economists, the suivey collected data fiommoie than 17,000 adults, iepoited on eveiy demogiaphic gioup in the countiy, and ielied on the U.S. Census Buieau foi its administiation. Key ndings of the iepoit occasioned consideiable commentaiy fiom policy-makeis, educatois, libiaiians, jouinalists, scholais, and aits and cultuial oiganizations. Tose statistics included: Only 47 of adults iead a woik of liteiatuie (dened as a novel, shoit stoiy, play oi poem) within the past yeai. Tat guie iepiesented a 7-point decline in the peicentage of liteiaiy ieadeis ovei a 10-yeai peiiod. Liteiaiy ieading declined in both gendeis, acioss all education levels, and in viitually all age gioups. Te declines weie steepest in young adults, acceleiating at a gieatei iate than in the geneial population. Ameiicans weie not only ieading liteiatuie at a ieduced iatethey weie iead- ing fewei books geneially. Te NEAhad begun to outline the nations ieading habits as eaily as 1989, with the publication of Reseaich Repoit #22, Who Reads Literature? Based on the 1985 Suivey of Public Paiticipation in the Aits, that iepoit found 56of Ameiicans ieading litei- atuie, a peicentage that diopped 10 points by 2002. But Reading at Risk was qualita- tively dieient fiom piioi NEA iepoits foi the public concein it iaised. With its distiessing snapshot of liteiaiy ieading in Ameiica, the study piovoked a national conveisation in news media and classiooms, and among local, state, and fedeial agen- cies, on how to iespond to the pioblem. Te Aits Endowment iesponded by paitneiing with anothei fedeial agency, the Institute of Museum and Libiaiy Seivices, and the iegional aits oiganization Aits Midwest, to initiate the Big Read, a giassioots liteiaiy piogiam of unpiecedented scale, designed to biing togethei Ameiican communities in the ieading and celebia- tion of gieat imaginative liteiatuie. By the end of 2007, neaily 200 towns and cities will have adopted the Big Read, and a national evaluation will identify the extent to which the piogiam is helping to impiove the ieading iates of paiticipants. Foi a moie extensive suivey of Ameiican ieading tiends since Reading at Risk, the Aits Endowment will collect newdata on ieading as pait of the agencys 2008 Suivey of Public Paiticipation in the Aits. Although ndings fiomthat study will not appeai until late 2008, the agency has wanted to addiess seveial uigent questions iaised by Reading at Riskat least those questions foi which data are available. Foi example, how does leisuie ieading faie in the lives of young Ameiicans? (Only Ameiicans 18 yeais of age oi oldei weie included in the Reading at Risk study.) Also, what is the ielationship between ieading foi pleasuie and ieading piociency? Finally, why does ieading mattei to oui nation and communities? Tis iepoit uses laige-scale, nationally iepiesentative data fiom a vaiiety of 24 To Read or Not To Read souicesfedeial, academic, nonpiot, and commeicialto diawa pictuie of volun- taiy ieading iates and liteiacy in Ameiican life. Te vast majoiity of these ndings aiose only aftei the 2004 publication of Reading at Risk, and nevei have been col- lected in a single naiiative about ieading in oui cultuie and oui times. Te iepoit consists of thiee paits, subdivided into a total of 9 chapteis. Each chap- tei begins with its conclusion: a statement whose tiuth is boine by subsequent data. Each chaptei also includes a backgiound section pioviding context foi the analysis and listing all souices. Of all the vaiiables that can be examined in conjunction with leisuie ieading and ieading skills, this iepoit is conceined chiey with age and education level. Te potential ioles of iace, ethnicity, income level, oi leaining-ielated and othei disabil- ities have not been consideied, in pait because iepoiting of those vaiiables is incon- sistent fiom study to study. Also absent is a discussion of U.S. public libiaiies and theii pait in piomoting ieading of all kinds. Te lack of ieliable national data on libiaiy ciiculation iates foi ieading mateiialsas sepaiate fiomCDs and videotapes, foi examplehas infoimed this decision. Foi the most pait, footnotes have been avoided foi souices alieady cited in a chap- teis backgiound section. Unless book-ieading is specically mentioned, study iesults on voluntaiy ieading should be taken as iefeiencing all vaiieties of leisuie ieading (e.g., magazines, newspapeis, online ieading), and not books alone. Unlike Reading at Risk, this iepoit is not limited to the ieading piimaiily of liteiatuie, except wheie that eailiei iepoit is cited. An all-impoitant woid of caution: None of the data on reading prociency and the personal or social attributes of readers should be regarded as drawing a causal relationship between voluntary reading, reading skills, and other vari- ables. As we note elsewheie, the longitudinal study oi iandomized, contiolled tiial that would dene those ielationships is conspicuously absent. Yet the iecuiiing asso- ciations between voluntaiy ieading and advanced ieading skills and othei benets aie compelling in theii own iight. Te Suivey of Public Paiticipation in the Aits, with its up-to-date iepoiting of adult ieading iates, will commence in May 2008. By then, many of the teenage gioups discussed in this iepoit, those showing the gieatest declines in voluntaiy ieading and in piociency, will have aged into the population eligible foi the suivey. One hopes theii engagement with books and othei ieading mateiials will have impioved by that point. Until then, like stock analysts who must watch and iecoid eveiy uctuation in the maiket, though they cannot piedict outcomes with ceitainty, we oei this iepoit captuiing some of the most cuiient and ieliable statistical infoimation on ieading. Sunil Iyengai Diiectoi, Reseaich & Analysis National Endowment foi the Aits 26 To Read or Not To Read Fotostudio FM/zefa/Corbis To Read or Not To Read 27 CHAPTER ONE 1. Young adults are reading fewer books in general. 2. Reading is declining as an activity among teenagers. BACKGROUND W hen the National Endowment foi the Aits ieleased its Reading at Risk iepoit in 2004, one of the moie widely discussed ndings was that declines in liteiaiy ieading weie shaipest in young Ameiican adults. Twenty yeais eailiei, 18- to 34-yeai-olds had been the age gioup most likely to iead liteiatuie. Te 2002 Suivey of Public Paiticipation in the Aits ievealed they weie now the least likely (with the exception of Ameiicans aged 65 and oldei, a gioup whose aveiage ieading iates may have been stied by health issues). Each yeai of the suivey since 1992, the Aits Endowment has asked not only about paiticipation in liteiaiy ieading, but also about the ieading of books in geneial. Among young adults in 2002, these data show tiends similai to those foi liteiaiy ieading iates. Te book-ieading iate of 18- to 24-yeai-olds was only 52, signicantly belowthe peicentage of all Ameiicans who iead a book in 2002 (57). Heie, as with liteiaiy ieading, 18- to 24-yeai-olds showed one of the steepest peicentage point declines foi all age gioupsa 7-point diop fiom1992 to 2002, iepiesenting a loss of 2.1 million potential ieadeis. By contiast, the gioup with the gieatest peicentage of book ieadeis within it (61) was 4554 yeais old. Peihaps not suipiisingly, this age gioup was the one most likely to iead novels, shoit stoiies, poetiy, and plays. Indeed, a cential nding of Reading at Risk was that liteiaiy ieading iates declined substantially foi all adult age gioups Src:io Or Youth Voluntaiy Reading Patteins Table 1A. Percentage of Adults Who Read a Book Not Required for Work or School, by Age Group Age 1992 2002 Change 1824 59% 52% -7 pp 2534 64% 59% -5 pp 3544 66% 59% -7 pp 4554 64% 61% *-3 pp 5564 59% 58% *-1 pp 6574 55% 54% *-1 pp 75+ 42% 44% *+2 pp pp = percentage points * no statistically significant change from 1992 Source: National Endowment for the Arts, Survey of Public Participation in the Arts 28 To Read or Not To Read undei 45. 1 Tis phenomenon extended to book ieading of all types. See Table 1A. Given this pattein of diminished ieading in the U.S.and the concentiation of the tiend in 18- to 44-yeai-olds liteiaiy and book-ieading iatesit is ieasonable to ask whethei such declines also appeai in childien and teenageis. Because the Suivey of Public Paiticipation in the Aits (SPPA) is limited to U.S. adults, it cannot answei this question. Foitunately, othei laige-scale studies have investigated ieading habits in Ameiicans undei 18. Tis chaptei consideis data fiom thiee piimaiy souices: U.S. Depaitment of Education: NAEP 2004 Trends in Academic Progress: ree Decades of Student Performance in Reading and Mathematics, 2005. Te Heniy J. Kaisei Family Foundation: Generation M: Media in the Lives of 8-18 Year-Olds, (#7251), 2005. Highei Education Reseaich Institute, Univeisity of Califoinia, Los Angeles: American Freshmen: Forty-Year Trends 19662006, 2007. Like most of the data in this iepoit, the iesults of all thiee studies became available aftei Reading at Risk was published. Although none identify the iates specically foi liteiaiy ieading among childien and adolescents, the studies do iepoit peicentages of voluntaiy (oi leisuie) ieadeis among this population. What Education Research Tells Us About Leisure Reading Te Depaitment of Educations NAEP, known as the Nations Repoit Caid, has tiacked achievement test scoies of elementaiy, middle, and high school students foi a iange of subjects since 1969. In addition to this main assessment, conducted nationally and at the state level, the NAEP piovides a long-teimtiend assessment of 9-, 13-, and 17-yeai-olds in ieading and mathematics. Te tiend assessment is based on a nationally iepiesentative sample and is conducted ioughly eveiy foui yeais. In 2004, the most iecent yeai of the tiend assessment, 38,000 students paiticipated in the ieading component. Adiscussion of ieading achievement tiends, as chaited by NAEP, follows in Chap- tei Five of this iepoit. Foi oui immediate puipose, howevei, the NAEP long-teim assessment oeis valuable infoimation about childhood and teenage ieading iates. Tese data aie made available because apait fiomtesting students piogiess in iead- ing, the assessment asked students to iepoit contextual vaiiables such as time spent on homewoik, the numbei of pages iead foi school and homewoik, and the amount of time spent ieading foi fun. 2 Table 1B shows the fiequency of leisuie ieading by 9-, 13-, and 17-yeai-olds in thiee yeais: 1984, 1999, and 2004. Students on the lowest end of the age scale evinced not only the highest leisuie ieading iate foi all thiee yeaismoie than half of 9-yeai- olds iepoited ieading almost eveiy day, compaied with 2835 of 13-yeai-olds and 2231of 17-yeai-oldsbut one that did not altei signicantly with each test peiiod. By 2004, 9-yeai-olds had the smallest peicentage of non-ieadeis (students in the nevei oi haidly evei iead categoiy), and foi all thiee yeais they had the smallest peicentage of infiequent ieadeis (a few times a yeai) ielative to the two othei age gioups. Chaptei Seven desciibes how the consistently highei leisuie ieading iates in 9- yeai-olds coiiespond with impiovements in theii ieading achievement scoies. Foi now, 13- and 17-yeai-old leisuie ieading iates invite a closei compaiison with those of the youngei age gioup. 1 NEA, Reading at Risk: A Survey of Literary Reading in America, 2004, 2628. 2 Nine-, 13- and 17-yeai-olds weie asked How often do youiead foi fun on youi own time? To Read or Not To Read 29 Among 19842004 tiend data foi 9-yeai-old ieading iates, the one statistically sig- nicant nding was a giowth in infiequent ieadeis by two peicentage points (fiom3 in 1984 to 5in 2004). Foi Ameiicans at the eaily and late stages of adolescence, how- evei, statistically signicant changes appeaied at each extieme of the fiequency band. Te peicentage of avid ieadeis (almost eveiy day) slumped foi 13- and 17-yeai-olds, fiom35to 30and fiom31to 22, iespectively. Conveisely, both age gioups expe- iienced a jump in the peicentage of non-ieadeis, fiom8to 13of 13-yeai-olds and fiom 9 to 19 of 17-yeai-olds. Te lattei giowth iate iepiesents a doubling of the percentage of 17-year-olds who never or hardly ever read for fun. Te changes in leisuie ieading iates aie disconceiting. In the two adolescent age gioups, the iates have declined to such an extent that by 2004 less than one-thiid of 13-yeai-olds iead foi fun almost eveiy day. Te coiiesponding guie foi 17-yeai- olds, combined with a giowing peicentage of non-ieadeis in both teen gioups, leads us to ask: What factois account foi the ielatively stable leisuie ieading iates among 9-yeai-olds? Moie to the point, why aie voluntaiy ieading iates consistently highei in 9-yeai- olds than in 13- and 17-yeai-olds? It may be unwise to discount biological and social developmental factois in a childs tiansition to adolescence: the teens giowing need foi peei appioval, his oi hei bid foi gieatei independence, the likelihood of less paiental supeivision, pubeity itself. Still, none of these factois necessaiily conict with a voluntaiy ieading lifestyle. Noi aie they sucient to explain the extent of the dieience in ieading iates. If the low ieading iates foi 13- and 17-yeai-olds weie constant ovei time, one might be tempted to call them chaiacteiistic of those age gioups. Yet not only have teenagei ieading iates iemained well below those of 9-yeai-olds, teen ieading iates have diminished in the past two decades. Table 1B. Percentage of Students Ages 9, 13, and 17, by Frequency of Reading for Fun: 1984, 1999, and 2004 Age 9 Almost Once or twice Once or twice A few times Never or every day a week a month a year hardly ever 1984 53% 28% 7% 3% 9% 1999 54% 26% 6% 4% 10% 2004 54% 26% 7% 5% 8% Age 13 Almost Once or twice Once or twice A few times Never or every day a week a month a year hardly ever 1984 35% 35% 14% 7% 8% 1999 28% 36% 17% 10% 9% 2004 30% 34% 15% 9% 13% Age 17 Almost Once or twice Once or twice A few times Never or every day a week a month a year hardly ever 1984 31% 33% 17% 10% 9% 1999 25% 28% 19% 12% 16% 2004 22% 30% 15% 14% 19% Shading of a column denotes statistically significant changes between 1984 and 2004. Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics 30 To Read or Not To Read Voluntary Versus Compulsory Reading Teie is anothei fiequently voiced explanation foi declines in ieading fiomchildhood to adolescence. It is sometimes aigued that as childien entei and piogiess thiough high school, they toil undei moie iigoious couisewoik, which, along with extiacui- iiculai activities, tend to sap time fiom leisuie ieading. 3 (As shown latei in this iepoit, a similai view must be faced when chaiacteiizing ieading tiends in college students.) Te NAEP long-teimtiend assessment is a handy iesouice to consult when inves- tigating this claim. Table 1Cshows the numbei of pages iead daily by 9-, 13-, and 17- yeai-oldsin school oi foi homewoikfoi the yeais 1984, 1999, and 2004. Te peicentages suggest that compulsoiy ieading has incieased foi both 9- and 13-yeai- olds. Fiom 1984 to 2004, a statistically signicant diop in the peicentage of 9-yeai- olds ieading 010 pages a day is accompanied by a piopoitionate inciease in the peicentage ieading 16 oi moie pages a day. Tiiteen-yeai-olds also expeiienced a 20-yeai decline in the peicentage of students ieading 010 pages a day foi school, with coiiesponding incieases in the 1620 and moie than 20 pages-daily categoiies. Tis lattei peicentage is neaily twice as gieat as the 1984 level. By compaiing Table 1Cwith 1B, we conclude that a giowth in school-ielated iead- ing foi 9-yeai-olds does not appeai to hindei theii voluntaiy ieading iate, but that foi 13-yeai-olds, the ielationship between compulsoiy and voluntaiy ieading is alto- gethei dieient. Tiiteen-yeai-olds iead moie foi school than in pievious yeais, and they also iead less foi pleasuie. Yet this conict is not appaient in oldei teens. In 17-yeai-oldsthe gioup whose voluntaiy ieading iates faied the woistthe percentage of students at all ve levels of compulsory reading has remained largely constant foi the thiee test peiiods. 3 Te Heniy J. Kaisei Family Foundation, Generation M: Media in the Lives of 818-Year-Olds (#7251), 2005, 26. Table 1C. Percentage of Students Ages 9, 13, and 17, by Pages Read Per Day in School and for Homework: 1984, 1999, and 2004 Age 9 5 or fewer 6 to 10 11 to 15 16 to 20 More than 20 1984 36% 25% 14% 13% 13% 1999 28% 24% 15% 14% 19% 2004 25% 21% 13% 15% 25% Age 13 5 or fewer 6 to 10 11 to 15 16 to 20 More than 20 1984 27% 34% 18% 11% 11% 1999 23% 31% 18% 13% 16% 2004 21% 26% 18% 14% 21% Age 17 5 or fewer 6 to 10 11 to 15 16 to 20 More than 20 1984 21% 26% 18% 14% 21% 1999 23% 24% 17% 14% 22% 2004 21% 24% 17% 15% 23% Shading of a column denotes statistically significant changes between 1984 and 2004. Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics To Read or Not To Read 31 4 Ibid. Howevei, the peicentage of 11- to 14-yeai-olds who iead a book foi at least 30 minutes the pievious day does not diei signif- icantly fiom the peicentage of 15- to 18-yeai-olds who did, as that sentence would appeai to indicate. 5 Tis table does not display the iepoited time spent ieading othei mateiials, including magazines and newspapeis. Foi both of these media, the peicentage of ieadeis among the 11- to 14-yeai-old and 15- to 18-yeai-old gioups is greater than foi the 8- to 10- yeai-old gioupbut only in the 5-minutes-oi-moie categoiy. Foity-seven peicent of 15- to 18- yeai-olds iead a magazine foi at least 5 minutes, compaied with 35 and 54 of the 810 and 1114 age gioups, iespectively. Foity-thiee peicent of 15- to 18- yeai-olds iead a newspapei foi at least 5 minutes, compaied with 21 and 35 of the 810 and 1114 age gioups, iespectively. Foi both media, theie was no statistically signicant dieience in the peicentage of 11- to 14- yeai-old and 15- to 18-yeai-old childien who iead foi at least 5 minutes. Indeed, the peicentage of 8- to 10-yeai-olds who iead any of the thiee mediabooks, maga- zines, oi newspapeisfoi at least 5 minutes (73) did not diei in compaiison with the 11- to 14- and 15- to 18-yeai-old gioups. Regaiding newspapei and magazine ieading foi at least 30 minutes the pievious day, theie weie no statistically signicant dierences in the peicentages of any of the age gioups. Tus, foi 8- to 10-yeai-olds, the peicent- age who iead any of the thiee mediabooks, magazines, oi newspapeisfoi at least 30 min- utes (51) was ioughly the same as foi the two oldei age gioups. 6 Fiom tiend data piovided by UCLAs Highei Education Reseaich Institute. Indeed, by 2004, the peicentage of 17-yeai-olds in the moie than 20 pages-a-day categoiy has failed to suipass that of 9-yeai-olds. Tis obseivation does not pieclude the possibility that expanded school-ielated activities among teens aie displacing time spent on leisuie activities such as ieading but it does complicate that viewconsideiably. In this study, 17-yeai-olds aie the only age gioup that a) lacked giowth in the peicentage ieading moie than 15 pages daily foi school oi homewoik and b) sawno attiition of the peicentage ieading fewei than 11 pages daily foi school oi homewoik. At the same time, they weie the only age gioup to expeiience a doubling of the peicentage that nevei oi haidly evei ieads foi pleasuie. Without attempting to quantify ieading foi school oi homewoik, anothei study shows a piogiessively lowei iate of book ieading foi pleasuie acioss age gioups fiom 8 to 18 yeais old. Generation M: Media in the Lives of 818 Year-Olds iesulted fioma nationally iep- iesentative suivey of 2,032 thiid- thiough twelfth-giade students, supplemented by 694 seven-day media-use diaiies. Although the study aimed piimaiily to examine students access to a host of tiaditional and electionic media, and theii ielated use patteins, it also shed light on the ieading habits of teenageis. Generation Miepoited that less than half of 8- to 18-yeai-olds spent at least 5 min- utes of the pievious day on the leisuie ieading of books. Yet within that gioup, 63 of 8- to 10-yeai-olds iead books foi 5 minutes oi moie, while only 44 of 11- to 14- yeai-olds did so. At the latei stages of adolescence, that peicentage dwindled to 34. Indeed, with each successive inciease in age, both the piopoition of kids who engage in leisuie book ieading and the piopoition who iead books foi at least 30 minutes decieases signicantly, the study authois conclude befoie tentatively asciibing those disciepancies to incieased ieading foi school. 4 See Table 1D. 5 If heaviei couise iequiiements weie eioding the leisuie ieading time of high school students, one might expect the factoi to be documented by laige population suiveys of teen expeiiences at home and school. As it happens, a long-teimtiend analysis of high school seniois found that in 2006 only 33 of them iepoited spending 6 oi moie houis a week on homewoik, com- paied with 47in 1987. 6 Te same analysis ievealed, howevei, that high school sen- iors leisure reading rates have failed to improve in the last 13 years foi which the suivey has tiacked this activity. In 1994, less than 20 of seniois iepoited they spent no time ieading foi pleasuie on a typical week. In 1997, that guie jumped to 25 and has lingeied theie evei since. Meanwhile, the peicentage ieading 6 oi moie houis a week foi pleasuie has diopped by two points, iepiesenting a 17 iate of decline. Table 1E shows the pei- centage of high school seniois engaged in leisuie ieading in 1994 and 2006 foi the time amounts measuied by the suivey. Foi each yeai of the suivey, students who iead 02 houis a week made up a majoiity. Table 1D. Percentage Who Read Books for Fun the Previous Day: 2004 8- to 18- 8- to 10- 11- to 14- 15- to 18- year-olds year-olds year-olds year-olds Read for at least 5 minutes 46% 63% 44% 34% Read for at least 30 minutes 30% 40% 27% *26% * No statistically significant change from the percentage directly to the left Source: The Henry J. Kaiser Family Foundation, Generation M: Media in the Lives of 8-18 Year Olds, (# 7251), 2005 32 To Read or Not To Read Chait 1F tiacks yeai-ovei-yeai changes in the peicentage of students who iead 6 oi moie houis a week foi pleasuie. Foi the sake of compaiison, a line is also given foi the peicentage of high school seniois who did homewoik foi 6 oi moie houis a week. As illustiated by two veitical axes, both activities display a downwaid tiend fiom 1994 thiough 2001. Compaiisons such as these do not solve the puzzle of why leisuie ieading iates aie declining among teenageis, yet they do suggest that compulsoiy ieading tiends lack a cleai and obvious ielationship with voluntaiy ieading patteins. As Chaptei Two explains, ielatively low ieading iates peisist thioughout the teens entiy into college and adulthood. Table 1E. Percentage of High School Seniors Who Read for Pleasure, by Hours Per Week 1994 2006 Change Rate of change None 20% 25% +5 pp +25% Less than one hour 25% 25% 0 pp 0 1 to 2 hours 26% 25% -1 pp -4% 3 to 5 hours 17% 16% -1 pp -6% 6 or more 12% 10% -2 pp -17% Numbers do not total 100% due to rounding. pp = percentage points Source: University of California, Los Angeles, Higher Education Research Institute 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% % R e a d i n g f o r P l e a s u r e 6 o r M o r e H o u r s a W e e k % W h o D i d H o m e w o r k 6 o r M o r e H o u r s a W e e k 5% 42% 4% 33% Chart 1F. Percentage of High School Seniors Who Read for Pleasure and/or Did Homework 6 or More Hours Per Week: 19942006 Source: University of California, Los Angeles, Higher Education Research Institute To Read or Not To Read 33 7 U.S. Census Buieaus 2004 Cui- ient Population Suivey, Depait- ment of Educations 2006 Digest of Education Statistics (National Postsecondaiy Aid Study), Table 180. CHAPTER TWO 3. College attendance no longer guarantees active reading habits. BACKGROUND I n 2005, appioximately 8.5 million students weie eniolled as undeigiaduates in U.S.-based foui-yeai colleges and univeisities. By paitaking of highei education, those individuals weie on tiack to join the nations 52 million college giaduates, who account foi 28 of Ameiicans ages 25 yeais oi oldei. 7 College attendance, although fai fiom univeisal, is often depicted as a iite of pas- sage into independent adulthood. (Te woid Commencement, and the ceiemonies it desciibes, maiks the beginning of that tiansition.) Tioughout the histoiies of modein univeisities, college leaining has been poitiayed as a seiies of classioomand out-of-classioomexpeiiences and iesponses that equip the student foi paiticipation in adult life. In Te Idea of a Univeisity (1854), John Heniy (Caidinal) Newman distinguishes between didactic leaining and the behavioial fiamewoik that must be cultivated if education and not meie extiinsic oi accidental advantage is to pievail: [Knowledge] is an acquiied illumination, it is a habit, a peisonal possession, and an inwaid endowment. And this is the ieason why it is moie coiiect, as well as moie usual, to speak of a Univeisity as a place of education, than of instiuction, though, when knowledge is conceined, instiuction would at ist sight have seemed the moie appiopiiate woid.But education is a highei woid, it implies an action upon oui mental natuie, and the foimation of chaiactei, it is some- thing individual and peimanent. Newmans distinction between instiuction and education pioves helpful when we considei voluntaiy ieading as a stiategy to ieinfoice the skills and habits needed foi lifelong leaining. Tiee laige population studies gauge the intensity of that engagementof ieading beyond the cuiiiculumduiing this foimative peiiod. Tey aie: Highei Education Reseaich Institute, Univeisity of Califoinia, Los Angeles: Findings from the 2005 Administration of Your First College Year (YFCY) Sur- vey: National Aggregates, 2007. Highei Education Reseaich Institute, UCLA: Findings from the 2005 College Senior Survey (CSS): National Aggregates, 2007. Indiana Univeisity Bloomington: National Survey of Student Engagement 2006 Institutional Report, 2006. UCLA Freshman and Senior Surveys Te ist two iepoits stem fiom annual suiveys conducted by UCLAs Highei Edu- cation Reseaich Institute (HERI), which also pioduced the tiend analysis discussed in Chaptei One (see pp. 3132). As pait of the Coopeiative Institutional Reseaich Piogiam, a longitudinal study billed as the nations oldest and laigest empiiical study 34 To Read or Not To Read 8 See HERI website (http:iiwww. gseis.ucla.eduiheiiiheii.html). In 2006, the baseline suivey obtained iesponses fiom 271,441 ist-yeai college students at 393 U.S. col- leges and univeisities. 9 HERI, Findings from the 2005 Your First College Year (YFCY) Survey: National Aggregates, 2007, 20. Othei notable declines aiose in students iepoited time spent playing spoits, exeicising, paitici- pating in student clubs oi gioups, oi watching television. of highei education, UCLA collects baseline data each yeai fiom incoming college students. 8 Te baseline data can be analyzed sepaiately oi in tandem with two othei annual suiveys: UCLAs Your First College Year suivey and the College Senior Survey, which poll college students appioaching the end of theii fieshman and senioi yeais, iespec- tively. Because the thiee suiveys yield a wealth of statistics on student life expeiiences fiom twelfth giade to collegeand fiom the undeigiaduates ist thiough nal yeaithey allow us to assess ieading habits at key points along the continuum. In the annual iepoit foi the 2005 Your First College Year suivey, ieseaicheis iden- tied ieading foi pleasuie as one of seveial leisuie activities that have sustained notable declines as high school students entei college and piogiess thioughout theii ist yeai. 9 In the fall of 2004, 27of incoming college fieshmen iepoited having iead foi pleasuie foi thiee oi moie houis pei week duiing theii senioi yeai in high school. By the spiing of 2005when those students weie set to nish theii ist yeai of collegeonly 15 iepoited that level of ieading intensity. See Table 2A. Te situation does not impiove as students advance thiough college. Although the peicentage of college seniois in 2005 who did no ieading foi pleasuie was 4 points less than that of college fieshmen in the same yeai (35 veisus 39), a longitudinal peispective piompts a moie sobeiing view. Table 2B shows that the college seniois of 2005 had a gieatei likelihood of ieading less on any given week than when they weie high school seniois. Twenty-one peicent of incoming college fieshmen iepoited ieading nothing foi pleasuie duiing theii sen- ioi yeai in high school, which, foi the majoiity of students, was pie-2002. By the time that population ieached senioi yeai in college, the percentage of nonreaders had climbed by 14 points, to 35%. Moieovei, only 14of 2005 college seniois iepoited ieading weekly foi 3 houis oi moie. Tat guie maiks a 10-point diop fiomthe pei- centage who iead foi the same amount of time as high school seniois. Table 2A. First-Year College Students: Time Spent Reading for Pleasure Reading Percentage as high school Percentage as college per week: seniors in 2004 freshmen in 2005 Change None 21% 39% +18 pp Less than 1 hour 26% 26% 0 pp 1 to 2 hours 27% 20% -7 pp 3 or more hours 27% 15% -12 pp pp = percentage points Source: University of California, Los Angeles, Higher Education Research Institute Table 2B. College Seniors: Time Spent Reading for Pleasure Reading Percentage as high school Percentage as college per week: seniors seniors in 2005 Change None 21% 35% +14 pp Less than 1 hour 28% 28% 0 pp 1 to 2 hours 27% 23% -4 pp 3 or more hours 24% 14% -10 pp pp = percentage points Source: University of California, Los Angeles, Higher Education Research Institute To Read or Not To Read 35 10 See NSSE Web site: Oui Oii- gins and Potential (http:iinsse. iub.eduihtmlioiigins.cfm). 11 Te coiiesponding item on the questionnaiie is Numbei of books iead on youi own (not assigned) foi peisonal enjoyment oi academic eniichment duiing the cuiient school yeai. National Survey of Student Engagement Results fiom anothei laige-scale, institutional suivey tell a dieient stoiy. Indiana Univeisity has polled iandomsamples of ist-yeai and senioi college students eveiy yeai since 1999, focusing its questions on items that aie known to be ielated to impoitant college outcomes. 10 Unlike the UCLAsuiveys, the National Suivey of Stu- dent Engagement (NSSE) asks about leisuie ieading in teims of volume of books iead, not houis spent ieading. NSSE is not designed as a longitudinal studyand theiefoie does not tiack the same cohoit of students as they pass thiough collegebut the ieseaichei can com- paie ist-yeai and senioi book-ieading iates foi a given yeai. Towaid the end of theii fieshman yeai, 27 of college students iepoited ieading zeio books foi pleasuie oi eniichment in 2007. 11 Foi outgoing college seniois, the coiiesponding guie is 21. Similaily, while only 18 of ist-yeai college students had iead ve oi moie books duiing the school yeai, college seniois iepoited doing so at a iate of 25. See Table 2C. Despite the appaiently signicant gains in college senioi ieading iates when com- paied with students ioughly foui yeais theii junioi, this analysis does not iepoit whethei the same seniois iead fewei oi gieatei numbeis of books than in theii ist yeai of college. Similaily, the study does not ieveal whethei college students expeii- enced a change fiomtheii ieading levels in high school. Still, if we accept that volun- taiy ieading habits aie cential to a libeial aits education, then suiely it is tioubling to nd that the majoiity of fieshmen and seniois alike iead only 14 books foi pleas- uie thioughout the entiie school yeai oi they iead no unassigned books at all. As when ieviewing ieading iates of high school students, we might ask whethei inciementally moie challenging couise iequiiements aie stunting the giowth of vol- untaiy ieading in undeigiaduates. Te question cannot be answeied with the NSSE data alone. Still, the 2007 data showthat seniois aie not assigned moie college texts, on aveiage, than fieshmen of the same yeaisee Table 2Dand that seniois, on aveiage, do not spend moie time on class piepaiation. Table 2E claiies the lattei point. Fiom these data, it still is plausible that college seniois, in aggiegate, aie assigned moie iigoious couisewoik in geneial than ist-yeai students, though not ieected in the amount of assigned texts. Yet this is by no means the only way to inteipiet the data. Te NSSE iesults do not explain, aftei all, whethei the students completely iead eveiy assigned text, whethei the texts ianged in complexity fiomfieshman to senioi yeai, oi whethei the piesciibed ieading mateiials giew piogiessively moie complex duiing the same college yeai. Similaily, we lack a numbei foi othei, non-ieading assignments and activities. At Table 2C. Comparison of First-Year and Senior College Student Reading Rates in 2007 Percentage of Percentage of Gap between first-year students seniors groups Number of unassigned None 27% 21% -6 pp books read 14 55% 54% -1 pp 5 or more 18% 25% +7 pp pp = percentage points Source: Indiana University Bloomington, National Survey of Student Engagement 36 To Read or Not To Read 12 See Table 2C, p. 35. the end of this exeicise, we aie left with a cheeiless statistic: 74%80% of college freshmen and seniors read 04 books on their own duiing the school yeai. 12 We aie also left with a fuithei question: if we cannot ciedit school and homewoik assignments entiiely with displacing eaily ieading habits, then what othei factois aie iesponsible? To exploie these issues, we must tuin to a fedeial study of how Ameii- cans spend theii leisuie time. Table 2E. Comparison of Time Spent on College Preparation in 2007 Percentage of Percentage of Gap between first-year students seniors groups Preparing for class 0 hours/wk 0% 0% 0 pp (studying, reading, 15 hours/wk 17% 18% +1 pp writing, doing 610 hours/wk 27% 26% -1 pp homework, etc.) 1115 hours/wk 22% 19% -3 pp 16 hours or more/wk 34% 35% +1 pp Numbers do not total 100% due to rounding. pp = percentage points Source: Indiana University Bloomington, National Survey of Student Engagement Table 2D. Comparison of College-Prescribed Reading Levels in 2007 Percentage of Percentage of Gap between first-year students seniors groups Number of assigned None 1% 1% 0 pp textbooks, books, or Between 14 22% 28% +6 pp book-length packs of Between 510 44% 39% -5 pp course readings Between 1120 24% 20% -4 pp More than 20 10% 12% +2 pp pp = percentage points Source: Indiana University Bloomington, National Survey of Student Engagement To Read or Not To Read 37 13 Robinson, John P. and Godbey, Geoiey, Time for Life: e Sur- prising Ways Americans Use eir Time: Penn State Piess, Univeisity Paik, PA. 1997, 67. 14 Ibid. CHAPTER THREE 4. Teens and young adults spend less time reading than people of other age groups. 5. Even when reading does occur, it competes with other media. BACKGROUND T he iapid technological shifts that maiked the second half of the last centuiy bieakthioughs in electionics, computeis, and communicationsieveibeiated fai beyond the elds wheie they occuiied. Paiallel developments in medicine, commeice, media, and manufactuiing have continued to benet the aveiage con- sumei. Yet a subtlei ievolution is dictating the way Ameiicans live and woik today. With the advent of time-saving technologies, we have moie time to spend on leisuiebut we also have moie ways to spend time on woik. (Blackbeiiies, pageis, and cell-phones attest to this paiadox, as does the giowing populaiity of telecommuting, which collapses conventional boundaiies of home and woik.) To some extent, the Dig- ital Age meiely acceleiated an eailiei piocess. Moie fundamental changes in woik and leisuie patteins had oiiginated with 18th- and 19th-centuiy industiialization, which heightened public awaieness of time as a commodity to be managed. In eaily-to-mid-20th-centuiy Ameiica, two tiends placed time management undei gieatei sciutiny than befoie. Fiist weie impiovements to manufactuiing eciencies, iepiesented by the automobile industiy and the assembly line. Innovations in scalable pioduction, involving the subdivision of time and tasks into disciete units, ensuied Ameiicas competitiveness in a global maiket. Te second change was the commeicialization of leisuie in the two decades aftei Woild Wai II, a peiiod of uniivalled piospeiity foi the nation. Pioduct vendois and adveitiseis began vying moie aggiessively foi the leisuie houis of a giowing middle- class. Tey also taigeted the fiee time of Ameiicas laigest geneiational cohoit evei, the Baby Boomeis. Roughly concuiient with those tiends, academic ieseaicheis, coipoiations, and public policy planneis began to ciave a moie sophisticated undeistanding of how Ameiicans use leisuie time. In 1954, moie than 8,000 Ameiicans paiticipated in a time-use study conducted by the Mutual Bioadcasting Coipoiation. 13 Tis exeicise involved time diaiies in which subjects iepoited all theii activities within a two- day peiiod. Time diaiies weie again used in a 1965 multinational study including moie than 1,200 Ameiicans. Subsequent majoi time-use studies occuiied in 1975, 1985, and thioughout the 1990s. 14 Tis chaptei examines leisuie ieading habits in the context of moie iecent time- use studies. Te data deiive fiom foui independent souicesa piivate foundation, two univeisity ieseaich teams, and the U.S. goveinment: Depaitment of Labois Buieau of Laboi Statistics: American Time Use Survey (ATUS), 2006. Univeisity of MichiganiAnn Aibois Institute foi Social Reseaich: Changing Times of American Youth: 19812003, 2004. 38 To Read or Not To Read 15 Foi details, see American Time Use Survey Oveiview section of BLS website (http:iiwww.bls.govi tusioveiview.htm#puipose). 16 Socializing and communicat- ing involves 1 houi and 7 minutes of Ameiicans aveiage leisuie timebut only on weekends and holidays. On weekdays, the activ- ity consumes 36 minutes. Indiana Univeisity Bloomington: 2006 High School Survey of Student Engagement (HSSSE), 2007. Te Heniy J. Kaisei Family Foundation: Media Multitasking Among American Youth: Prevalence, Predictors and Pairings, (# 7592), 2006. Federal Data on Time Use Patterns Since 2003, the Depaitment of Labois Buieau of Laboi Statistics (BLS) has spon- soied the annual American Time Use Survey, conducted by the U.S. Census Buieau. Consisting of telephone inteiviews, this nationally iepiesentative suivey included about 13,000 people in 2006. Te inteiviewees, who must be at least 15 yeais old, aie asked about the activities they did duiing the last 24 houis. (To avoid obtaining vaiied iesponse iates thioughout the week, the inteiviews aie pie-assigned.) 15 Te suivey iesponses aie then used to iepoit the aveiage numbei of houis and minutes pei day spentby the total civilian population oi a demogiaphic gioupin peifoiming vaiious activities. BLS designates seveial categoiies of majoi activity, including leisuie and spoits, of which ieading is a pait. Accoiding to the suivey iesults foi 2006, Ameiicans leisuie and spoits activities accounted foi an aveiage of 4 houis and 32 minutes on weekdays and 6 houis and 22 minutes pei day on weekends and holidays. Foi teenageis and veiy young adults, the shaie of leisuie time is slightly gieatei, exceeding that foi all othei age gioups undei 55. See Table 3A. Befoie we considei the aveiage numbei of houis pei day spent ieading, it is woith knowing what othei types of activity compose the leisuie and spoits categoiy. Tey aie: paiticipating in spoits, exeicise, and iecieation, socializing and communicat- ing, watching TV, ielaxingithinking, playing games and computei use foi leisuie, and othei leisuie and spoits activities, including tiavel. When we ieviewthe aveiage numbei of houis that Ameiicans daily devote to these activities, howevei, an anomaly aiises. As Table 3B ieveals, only one categoiy of leisuie activity claims moie than an houi of Ameiicans daily timeclaims, indeed, moie than 2 houis on weekdays and, on weekends, moie than 3. Tis activity is TV- watching. 16 On aveiage, TV-watching consumes about half of the total daily leisure time of all Americans ages 15 and older. Equally signicant, of all the leisuie categoiies, only TV-watching is wholly dependent on electionic media. Foi example, the iecie- ation in spoits, exeicise, and iecieation may iepiesent many dieient types of activity. Likewise, playing games and computei use foi leisuie is not iestiicted to computei games oi computei use. Socializing and communicating is desciibed as face-to-face social communication and hosting oi attending social functions. 17 How does TV-watching time compaie with time spent ieading? Table 3C shows two sets of columns: the amounts of time spent ieading and TV-watching by the vai- ious age gioups. On weekdays, most Ameiicans undei 55 watch about 2 houis of TV. (Oldei adults watch signicantly moie.) By contiast, this gioup spends less than 20 minutes pei weekday on ieading, with teens and young adults of 1534 yeais old spending only 79 minutes. Nowsee Table 3D, which gives the same time amounts as a peicentage of all leisuie time. Although all age gioups iead fai less than they watch TV, we may take heait that 15- to 24-yeai-olds spend a lowei peicentage of theii leisuie time, ielative to othei age gioups, on TV-watching. Yet 15- to 24-year-olds still spend less than 3% of their daily leisure time reading, and 25- to 34-yeai-olds spend ioughly 4. To Read or Not To Read 39 17 BLS economic news ielease, Ameiican Time Use Suivey 2006 Results, Technical Note. Academic Time-Use Studies In 1981, Univeisity of Michigan ieseaicheis began conducting nationally iepiesenta- tive time-use studies of the behavioi patteins of childien and adolescents. Te data involve Ameiican youth ages 617, and the studies allowcompaiisons of vaiious age subgioups. Table 3B. Hours and/or Minutes Per Day Spent on Leisure and Sports Activities, by Activity 2006 Annual Averages Ages 15 Years and Over Weekdays Weekends and holidays Participation in sports, exercise and recreation 0:16 0:20 Socializing and communicating 0:36 1:07 Watching TV 2:21 3:06 Reading 0:20 0:26 Relaxing and thinking 0:17 0:20 Playing games and computer use for leisure 0:18 0:22 Other leisure and sports activities, including travel 0:24 0:41 Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics Table 3C. Hours and/or Minutes Per Day Spent Watching TV or Reading 2006 Annual Averages Hours/minutes spent watching TV Hours/minutes spent reading Weekdays Weekends Weekdays Weekends and holidays and holidays Total, 15 years and over 2:21 3:06 :20 :26 15 to 24 years 1:57 2:33 :07 :10 25 to 34 years 1:55 2:51 :09 :11 35 to 44 years 1:53 2:39 :12 :16 45 to 54 years 2:07 3:02 :17 :24 55 to 64 years 2:35 3:35 :30 :39 65 years and over 3:56 4:10 :50 1:07 Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics Table 3A. Hours and/or Minutes Per Day Spent on Leisure and Sports Activities, by Age Group 2006 Annual Averages Weekdays Weekends and holidays Total, 15 years and over 4:32 6:22 15 to 24 years 4:39 6:33 25 to 34 years 3:38 5:52 35 to 44 years 3:34 5:20 45 to 54 years 3:54 5:59 55 to 64 years 4:47 6:54 65 years and over 7:08 7:57 Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics 40 To Read or Not To Read 18 F. Tomas Justei, et al., Univei- sity of Michigans Institute foi Social Reseaich, Changing Times of American Youth: 19812003, 2004. Table 1. Foi a 20022003 study, published in late 2004, ieseaicheis inteiviewed 2,017 fam- ilies who had paiticipated in a 1997 time-use study. Te 20022003 inteiviews gen- eiated data foi neaily 3,000 childien and adolescents. Co-sponsoied by the National Institutes of Healths National Institute of Child Health &Human Development, the study had childien and teens ll out 24-houi time-use diaiies foi iandomly selected weekdays and weekends, with 6- to 9-yeai-olds ieceiving paiental help. Not suipiisingly, given what we have seen with the American Time Use Survey, TV-watching occupied the most weekly leisuie time of 6- to 17-yeai-olds in the Uni- veisity of Michigan study. (Among non-leisuie activities, only sleep and school atten- dance claimed moie houis pei week than TV-watching. 18 ) Table 3E bieaks down weekly aveiage houis andioi minutes that 6- to 17-yeai-olds spent on a iange of leisuie activities foi the 20022003 study peiiod. Table 3E. Weekly Average Hours and/or Minutes Spent on Various Activities by American Children Ages 617, 20022003 Leisure activity 20022003 Visiting, socializing 4:47 Sports 2.59 Outdoor activities 0:50 Hobbies 0:12 Art activities 0:48 Television 14:36 Other passive leisure 2:46 Playing 8:05 Reading 1:17 Being read to 0:05 Computer activities 2:45 Source: University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Institute for Social Research Table 3D. Percentage of Daily Leisure Time Spent Watching TV or Reading 2006 Annual Averages Percentage spent watching TV Percentage spent reading Weekdays Weekends Weekdays Weekends and holidays and holidays Total, 15 years and over 51.8% 48.7% 7.3% 6.9% 15 to 24 years 41.9% 38.9% 2.6% 2.6% 25 to 34 years 52.7% 48.6% 4.1% 3.2% 35 to 44 years 52.8% 49.6% 5.6% 4.9% 45 to 54 years 54.1% 50.7% 7.4% 6.7% 55 to 64 years 54.2% 52.0% 10.5% 9.4% 65 years and over 55.3% 52.5% 11.6% 14.0% Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics To Read or Not To Read 41 Reading and TV-Watching Why focus on TV-watching time in a report on voluntary read- ing habits? Admittedly, there is no single barrier, which, if removed, would raise reading rates for young Americans. Moreover, there is no assurance that a decline in one type of leisure habit would spur greater participation in another. We can, on the other hand, use statistics from the 2002 Survey of Public Partici- pation in the Arts (SPPA) to gauge the strength of the correlation between leisure reading and TV-watching. Although the SPPA survey revealed that readers of literature watch the same average amount of TV per day as non-readersroughly 2 hoursthe likelihood of reading diminishes with additional hours watched. According to a regres- sion analysis, the odds of literary reading by Americans who watch 3 or more hours of TV are significantly less than (or 13% below) the odds of literary reading by Americans who watch 2 hours or less per day. For all types of book reading not only fiction, plays, or poetrynon-readers watch an average of 3 hours per day, while Americans who read at least one book per year watch, on average, 2 hours daily. As Reading at Risk concedes, the SPPA results cannot show whether people would read more if they watched less TV, or whether they would use this extra time in other ways. Elsewhere, the report adds: television does not seem to be the culprit in the 10- and 20-year declines of American literary reading rates. It is not the culprit, perhaps, but certainly a culprit in subtracting time and work from the development of young readersespecially when we regard the SPPA statis- tics alongside American time-use data and recent medical articles. (See, for example, Jeffrey Johnson, et al., Extensive Television Viewing and the Develop- ment of Attention and Learning Difficulties During Adolescence, in the May 2007 Archives of Pediatrics & Adolescent Medicine.) In their comprehensive study of U.S. time use in the latter part of the 20th century, Time for Life: The Surprising Ways Americans Use Their Time (1997), John P. Robinson and Geoffrey Godbey conclude: The real adversary of the artsis television. Amusing Ourselves to Death: Public Discourse in the Age of Show Business (1985), Neil Postmans classic polemic against popular media culture, is more dire and less empirically driven, but its metaphor still resonates: We are now a culture whose information, ideas and epistemology are given form by television, not by the printed word. To be sure, there are still readers and there are many books published, but the uses of print and reading are not the same as they once were; not even in schools, the last institutions where print was thought to be invincible. They delude themselves who believe that television and print coexist, for coexistence implies parity. There is no parity here. Print is now merely a residual epistemology, and it will remain so, aided to some extent by the computer, and newspapers and mag- azines that are made to look like television screens. Like the fish who sur- vive a toxic river and the boatmen who sail on it, there still dwell among us those whose sense of things is largely influenced by older and clearer waters. (p. 28) 42 To Read or Not To Read 19 Data piovided by HSSSE, Indiana Univeisity Bloomington. Te 2004 and 2005 suiveys also asked students how much time they spent on peisonal ieading onlineiweb. In 2004, 71 of stu- dents iead online foi 03 houis pei week, 17 iepoited ieading online foi 46 houis pei week, and the iemaindei iead online foi 7 oi moie houis pei week. In 2005, the shaie of online ieadeis in the 03-houis categoiy iose to 84. Still moie iecent data suggest that online ieading does not con- tiibute gieatly to the oveiall iead- ing iates of high school students. In the 2007 HSSSE, online aiti- cles was included as an option in the suivey question about ieading foi youiself. Of college fieshmen and seniois alike, moie than half said they spent only 1 houi pei week, less, oi no time at all on this activity. (Complete 2007 HSSSE iesults weie unavailable at the time of publication.) 20 Ibid. 21 Ibid. Reading accounts foi 1 houi and 17 minutes of the weekly aveiage leisuie time of 6- to 17-yeai-olds. Tat amount iepiesents less than 9of theii TV-watching time, which aveiages 14 houis and 36 minutes pei week. But the most ievealing obseivations about childien and adolescent ieading patteins owfiomsubgioup compaiisons. Te Univeisity of Michigan study lists aveiage weekly time expendituies foi foui age ianges within the 6- to 17-yeai-old gioup: 6 to 8, 9 to 11, 12 to 14, and 15 to 17. Table 3F signals a disciepancy in the leisuie ieading patteins of oldei teenageis, com- paied with those of youngei age gioups. Foi young childien (6- to 8-yeai-olds), many of whom aie ielatively new ieadeis, the aveiage weekly time spent ieading is 1 houi and 22 minutes. Tat numbei incieases foi the 9-to-11 age gioup. Among 12- to 14- yeai-olds, the time allotment is slightly less. But the aveiage ieading time of 15- to 17-yeai-olds is maikedly dieient. Tese oldei teens iead foi just undei 50 minutes a weeknot even the full houi gianted by all the othei age gioups. Taken togethei with what we leained in Chaptei One about leisuie ieading tiends foi 17-yeai-olds, the Univeisity of Michigan time- use data suggest a decline in voluntary reading fromchildhood to adolescent age groups. Anothei study, Indiana Univeisitys High School Survey of Student Engagement (HSSSE) 2006, polled 81,499 students of all high school giades fiom 110 schools acioss the U.S. Responding to questions about vaiious activities, 56 of high school students attiibuted only 01 houi pei week to ieading foi self. An additional 30 iead 25 houis a week. As with the fedeial American Time Use Survey, tiend data aie limited foi the pui- pose of accuiate yeai-ovei-yeai compaiisons. Still, when a similai question was asked in the 2005 veision of the high school suivey, 54 iepoited peisonal ieading of books, magazines, newspapeis, etc. foi 01 houis a week. Anothei 34of students iead those mateiials 2-5 houis weekly foi pleasuie. 19 In 2004, the high school suivey asked iespondents whethei they gave 0 houis, 13 houis, 46 houis, 710 houis, oi 1114 houis to weekly peisonal ieading of books, magazines, newspapeis, etc. Te majoiity by fai (70) iepoited ieading those mate- iials foi 03 houis a week. Yet in 2005, a gieatei peicentage of high school students (77) weie in the 03 houis categoiy. 20 In Chapteis One and Two, we asked whethei homewoik is ciowding out students leisuie time devoted to voluntaiy ieading. Fuithei data fiomthe High School Survey of Student Engagement appeai to dispel this notion. In 2004, 2005, and 2006, the majority of high school students read only minimally for class. In 2004, as we have seen, 70 spent 03 houis weekly on leisuie ieading. Tat yeai, 76 of high school students iepoited ieading assigned texts oi couise mateiials foi only 03 houis a week. 21 Te following yeai, that guie was 81. In 2006, the question on compulsoiy ieading was phiased dieiently. Students weie asked about the amount of time ieadingistudying foi class, and they selected Table 3F. Weekly Average Hours and/or Minutes Spent Reading by American Children, By Age: 20022003 68 911 1214 1517 1:22 1:33 1:25 0:49 Source: University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Institute for Social Research To Read or Not To Read 43 22 HSSSE, Indiana Univeisity Bloomington, Voices on Student Engagement: A Report on the 2006 High School Survey of Student Engagement, 2007. 23 Pew Inteinet & Ameiican Life Pioject, Teens and Technology, 2005, 22. 24 Steve Lohi, Slow Down, Biave Multitaskei, and Dont Read Tis in Tiac, e New York Times, Maich 25, 2007. 25 Shamsi Iqbal, Univeisity of Illi- nois, and Eiic Hoivitz, Miciosoft Reseaich, Disiuption and Recov- eiy of Computing Tasks: Field Study, Analysis, and Diiections (San Jose, Calif.: CHI 2007). fiom ve possible choices: 0 houis, 1 oi fewei, 25, 610, and 10 oi moie. Fifty-ve peicent selected 0-1 houis. 22 Yet as shown above, a compaiable peicentage (56) also iepoited ieading foi self foi 01 houis. Generation M: Reading While Doing Other Activities Ameiicans laigely accept the iole of multitasking in theii daily ioutines at home and at woik. Tey may even view the ability to accomplish seveial disciete tasks, simul- taneously, as a souice of piide in theii eciency. Economic piessuies and time con- stiaintsthe one factoi scaicely distinguishable fiom the otheihave combined with incieasingly usei-fiiendly technologies to cieate a scenaiio wheie it no longei seems unnatuial to talk on the phone while diiving, to giab lunch while Web-suing, oi to compose an oce memo while a 24-houi TV news channel blaies in the back- giound. Eaily data suggest that the use of some types of digital media foi multitasking is moie pievalent among youth. 23 Much moie ieseaich is needed to weigh the ielative costs and benets of IT multitasking. Neveitheless, a Maich 2007 New York Times aiticle posed the question, citing seveial published and unpublished studies by neu- ioscientists, psychologists and management piofessois. 24 Foi example, the aiticle iefeiences a eld study of Miciosoft employees woik habits. Te study showed that aftei inteiiupting theii computei tasks to iespond to e-mail oi instant messages, employees took, on aveiage, an additional 1015 minutes to iesume woik. In 27 of the cases, the inteiiuptions iesulted in employees taking moie than two houis until task iesumption. 25 Te Times quotes the studys co-authoi, a Miciosoft ieseaichei, as saying: If its this bad at Miciosoftit has to be bad at othei companies, too. Taking time o in the middle of the woikday to iespond to a peisonal e-mail is one type of ineciency, but a mattei best left foi the employei to iesolveif the costs aie signicant enough to meiit attention in the ist place. By contiast, theie is no easy method to account foi the costs incuiied by ITmultitasking while attempting to iead a book. Still, while we may lack substantive data on any tiadeos associated with this behavioi, we do know that the tendency is iampant among Ameiican youth. In late 2006, the Heniy J. Kaisei Family Foundation issued the iepoit Media Multitasking Among American Youth: Prevalence, Predictors and Pairings. Te iepoit built on an eailiei study by the foundation. Titled Generation M: Media in the Lives of 8-18 Year-Olds, the eailiei study iepoited, among othei ndings, that young peo- ple use multiple media 26of the time that they use any media at allwhethei listen- ing to music, using the computei, watching TV, oi ieading. Tis peicentage maiks a 10-point climb fiom1999, when 16of childien and adolescents iepoited multime- dia use. Te Generation M study iesults came fiom a nationally iepiesentative sample exceeding 2,000 students in giades 312. In addition, the study involved 694 weekly diaiies on media use. Tese data allowed the Kaisei Family Foundation to analyze youth multitasking foi the 2006 study, Multitasking Among American Youth. Tables 3G and 3H display two of the analysis coie ndings: 58% of 7th- to 12th- graders multitask while reading, some oi most of the time. To considei multitask- ing in othei teims: 35 of total weekly ieading time foi childien and teens is shaied with othei media. Scieen media alonevideoicomputei games, e-mail oi instant messaging, Web suing and, of couise, TV-watchingaccount foi 20 of ieading time, accoiding to the analysis. 44 To Read or Not To Read 26 David Touve and Steven Teppei, Cuib Centei foi Ait, Enteipiise and Public Policy, Vandeibilt Univeisity, Leisure in America: Searching for the Forest Amongst the Trees, 2007, 1718. Again, moie data aie needed to show conclusively that multitasking, especially with infoimation technology, helps oi hindeis pioductivity in any single task. But given what we know about ieading as a sustained act of paiticipation with a text, an act iequiiing gieat iesouices of memoiy, imagination, and intent questioning, it seems unlikely that multiple diveisions during the reading process itself can do any- thing but dilute the ieadeis expeiience and enjoyment of a liteiaiy woik. Add to this possibility that the dilution is occuiiing at the foimative stages of a ieadeis developmentwhen any ieading at all competes heavily with othei demands on a youths leisuie timeand the piospect giows moie tioubling. In a iecent white papei, Vandeibilt Univeisity ieseaicheis David Touve and Steven Teppei posit that the multitasking way is heie to stay: Leisuie is fully embedded within the context of eveiyday ioutines, woik and social obligations. We may expect those who oei leisuie choices to t into this polychionic, punctuated, even inteiiupted lifestyle. 26 In the next chaptei, we will considei how book buying has been aected by this evei-expanding, sometimes deafening aiiay of leisuie choices. Table 3H. Percentage of Time Spent Reading While Using Other Media 7th- to 12th-Graders in 20032004 Percentage of reading time Reading while: Watching TV 11% Listening to music 10% Doing homework on the computer 3% Playing videogames 3% Playing computer games 2% Using the computer (other) 2% Instant messaging 2% E-mailing 1% Surfing websites 1% Using any of the above media 35% Source: The Henry J. Kaiser Family Foundation, Media Multitasking Among Youth: Prevalence, Predictors and Pairings, (# 7592), 2006 Table 3G. Percentage Using Other Media While Reading 7th- to 12th-Graders in 20032004 % who use other media while reading Most of the time 28% Some of the time 30% Most/some 58% Little of the time 26% Never 16% Little/never 42% Source: The Henry J. Kaiser Family Foundation, Media Multitasking Among Youth: Prevalence, Predictors and Pairings, (# 7592), 2006 To Read or Not To Read 45 Table 3I. Book-Reading Rates as Measured by Multiple Surveys Survey Surveying Number of Response Survey Year Organization Respondents Rate Question Result 2002 U.S. Census Bureau 17,135 adults 70% With the exception of 57% and the National books required for work or Endowment for the Arts school, did you read any books during the last 12 months? 2005 The Gallup Organization 1,006 adults 20% Do you happen to be reading *47% any books or novels at present? 2005 Mediamark Research, Inc. 9,823 adults 38% Checklist of leisure activities, 35% including reading books, under Participated in the last 12 months. 2006 Pew Research Center 3,204 adults plus 29% for landline, Not including school or 38% for the People & the 250 cell-phone-only 24% for cell- work-related books, did you Press (with Princeton respondents phone only spend any time reading a book Survey Research yesterday? Associates International) 2007 Associated Press/Ipsos 1,003 adults N/A Have you read any books in *73% the past year or havent you had the chance to read a book in the past year? * Does not exclude reading required for work or school. Different Questions, Different Answers Since 2004, when the Arts Endowment published its Reading at Risk report, several organizations have conducted surveys of book-reading by the general adult population. The surveys vary by sample size, methodology, questions asked, and data reported. For that reason, specific characteristics of each survey are provided with the results below. 46 To Read or Not To Read 27 Also, while the peicentage of 45- to 54-yeai-olds in the geneial population giew foui points fiom 1991 to 2004 (fiom 10.2 to 14.2), its shaie of the U.S. book- buying maiket iemained at. (Population data foi the age gioups deiive fiom the U.S. Census Buieau.) 28 NEA, Reading at Risk: A Survey of Literary Reading in America, 2004, xi. 29 Bowkei piess ielease, May 9, 2006. 30 Albeit N. Gieco, e Book Pub- lishing Industry, 2nd ed. (Mahwah, N.J.: Lawience Eilbaum Associ- ates, 2005), 341. 31 In contiast to the boom in title output, book sales have been chai- acteiized as sluggish. New book pioduction jumped 64 between 99 and 04, but sales incieased by baiely 10, the industiy tiade magazine Publishers Weekly iepoited in 2005 (Cianking It Out, May 30). CHAPTER FOUR 6. American families are spending less on books than at almost any other time in the past two decades. BACKGROUND W ith the 21st centuiy baiely begun, the woid matuie can desciibe both the U.S. book maiket and its customei base. In 1991, Ameiicans in the 25- to 44-yeai-old age gioup accounted foi about 42of the book maiket (excluding childiens books). Tiiteen yeais latei, they iepiesented only 28. Ovei the same peiiod, the peicentage of book buyeis in the 55-and-oldei categoiy leapt 13 points to 44. See Table 4A. Not suipiisingly, the aging of Ameiicas baby boomeisa demogiaphic shift that has alteied business piactices acioss the commeicial sectoi, in elds such as health- caie, tiavel, insuiance, and tianspoitationhas also aected book buying and pub- lishing tiends. Howevei, the peicentage shifts in Table 4A do not unifoimly ieect changes in the age of the geneial population. Foi example, fiom 1991 to 2004, the shaie of 25- to 34-yeai-olds nationwide slipped by two peicentage pointsfiom 16 to 14and this gioups stake of the total book-buying maiket also decieased, fiom19to 11. But the 3544 age gioup exhibited a dieient tiend: while the gioup held laigely steady as a peicentage of the total population, it too made up a signicantly lowei shaie of book puichaseis in 2004, compaied with the 1991 level. 27 Beyond the matuiing of baby boomeis, then, we must look elsewheie to explain the decline in 25- to 44-yeai-olds as a peicentage of the book-buying public. Pait of the ieason exists in theii leisuie ieading patteins ielative to othei age gioups. Te National Endowment foi the Aits 2004 Reading at Risk iepoit ievealed that the demogiaphic gioup with the highest peicentage of liteiaiy ieadeis (ieadeis of novels, shoit stoiies, plays, oi poetiy) was no longei young adults. In 1982, Ameii- cans ages 1834 weie the most likely to iead liteiatuieat a iate of about 60. Twenty yeais latei, howevei, 45- to 54-yeai-olds had the highest liteiaiy ieading iate: 52. 28 Te study also found a foui-point decline in the peicentage of Ameiicans who iead any book at all within the past 12 months: 61 in 1992 veisus 57 in 2002. Behind this tiend weie substantial declines in the book ieading iates of 18- to 44-yeai-olds, as noted eailiei in this iepoit (see Table 1A on p. 27). Table 4A. Percentage of Book Purchasers, by Age 1991 2004 Under 25 years old 4.4% 5.1% 25 to 34 years old 18.7% 11.0% 35 to 44 years old 23.7% 17.4% 45 to 54 years old 22.4% 22.8% 55 to 64 years old 15.6% 21.0% 65 years and older 15.2% 22.8% Source: Ipsos-NPD, reported in the U.S. Census Bureaus Statistical Abstract of the United States, 2003 (Table 1138) and 2006 (Table 1128) To Read or Not To Read 47 32 Albeit N. Gieco and Robeit M. Whaiton, Book Industry TRENDS 2007 (New Yoik, N.Y.: Book Industiy Study Gioup, 2007), vaii- ous pages. Total book sales include data foi the following categoiies: adult and juvenile tiade, mass- maiket papeiback iack size, book clubs, mail-oidei publications, ieligious, piofessional, univeisity piess, elementaiy-high school, college, and subsciiption iefei- ence, excluding standaidized tests. 33 Te annual iepoiting schedules vaiy foi Amazon, Baines & Noble, and Boideis. 34 Baines & Noble, Inc., 2006 Annual Report, 2, and Boideis, Annual Report 2006, Shaieholdeis Lettei. 35 Te Ameiican Bookselleis Asso- ciation, which iepiesents inde- pendently owned bookstoies, diaws attention to a 6.6 dip in bookstoie sales in June 2007, com- paied with the piioi-yeai peiiod. Te gioups newslettei, Bookselling is Week (Aug. 13, 2007), cites U.S. Census Buieau estimates of $1.13 mil. in ietail bookstoie sales foi June 2007, compaied with June 2006 sales of $1.21 mil. Tis was the twelfth month in a iow that book sales failed to keep pace with the pievious [yeais] iesults, the newslettei states. Retail bookstoie sales tiend data foi 19922005 aie available thiough the Census Buieaus Annual Retail Tiade Suivey. Ovei the 13-yeai peiiod, ietail book sales giew 49 to $8.45 mil., aftei adjusting foi ination. A steady giowth pattein was undeicut aftei 2000, with declines in 2001 (-1.2), 2002 (-0.1), and 2005 (-0.9), and incieases in 2003 (3.3) and 2004 (1.8). 36 Unit sales aie computed by dividing net publishei ievenues by the wholesale piice of books. Net publishei ievenue numbeis come fiom publisheis quaiteily and annual iepoits and confeience calls. Bowkei piovides the whole- sale piice numbeis. All unit sale numbeis aie net, thus ieecting total sales aftei ietuins. 37 Albeit N. Gieco and Robeit M. Whaiton, Book Industry TRENDS 2007 (New Yoik, N.Y.: Book Industiy Study Gioup, 2007), vaiious pages. Industry Book Sales Figures How aie these declines being iegisteied by the book industiy? On the suiface, theie is no connection. In 2005, U.S. publisheis biought out 172,000 new titles and edi- tions. 29 Tat total iepiesents an 18,000-unit diop fiom 2004the ist decline in annual title output since 1999, accoiding to the industiy data publishei Bowkei. Nonetheless, the 2005 amount is almost thiee times the title output of a decade eai- liei: 62,000. 30 Publishei ievenues also have giown, albeit at a slowei iate. 31 In 2006, publisheis did $28.6 billion in total book sales (aftei ietuins). Tis amount is $800 million up fiomthe pievious yeai, and a $3.9 billion inciease ovei the 2000 level. Sales fiomcon- sumei books, which aie a subset of all books and include only adult and juvenile tiade books and mass-maiket papeiback iack-size books, contiibuted to this iise. Net con- sumei book sales weie $9.2 billion in 2006, up $1 billion fiom 2000. 32 Likewise, sales guies fiom the nations laigest bookselleis aie iobustthough in many cases it is dicult to ciedit books alone. In 2006, Amazons net sales foi Media items (including DVD ientals, DVDivideo and music pioducts, magazine subsciiptions, softwaie games and video consoles, as well as books) weie $7.1 billion, a 20 climb fiom the pievious yeai. Foi less diveisied bookselleis, 2006 net sales weie at oi slightly positive: Baines & Noble and Boideis biought in $5.3 billion and $4.1 billion, iespectively. (Bottom- line numbeis foi all thiee companies give a moie nuanced pictuie: In 2006, Baines & Nobles net income iose 3 above the 2005 level, Amazons declined by neaily half, and Boideis posted a net loss.) 33 Like theii client base, howevei, the maiket foi bookselleis and publisheis is matuie. Te industiy is peipetually chasing the next hot title oi maiket segment to achieve the high-giowth potential of othei businesses in the enteitainment sectoi. Despite Baines &Nobles lofty sales guie, the companys chaiiman acknowledged in a lettei to shaieholdeis that 2006 was a challenging yeaias a lack of high-piole titles contiibuted to softness acioss the bookselling industiy. Te CEO of Boideis Gioup sepaiately ielayed to shaieholdeis his concein that the booksellei has not moved fast enough to keep up with iapid changes in howconsumeis access infoima- tion and enteitainment. 34 Both laige booksellei chains, and seveial otheis, supplement book sales with the maiketing of coee, CDs and DVDivideo pioducts, magazines, stationeiy, and othei items. Tose additional types of ievenue aie captuied in the net sales data iepoiting foi both ims. Foi small, independent, and specialty bookstoies, a slump in yeaily book sales can be debilitating, having a palpable eect on the neighboihood and com- munity, wheie the stoie may piovide the only locus foi liteiaiy event piogiamming, book clubs, and authoi ieadings. 35 Consumer Book Unit Sales Bettei than total sales guies per se, book unit sales aie useful in quantifying book puichases. 36 Foi example, while publisheis ievenues foi consumei books iose fiom 2000 to 2006, the numbei of consumei book units sold fell. 37 Gains in publishei iev- enues, theiefoie, would have been diiven by highei book piices, not expanded book- buying. Chait 4B shows tiend data foi publishei unit sales of consumei books, fiom 2000 to 2006. Amid yeai-to-yeai uctuations, consumei book unit sales climbed thiough- 48 To Read or Not To Read 38 In 2000, unit sales of juvenile tiade haidback books iose 8, while juvenile tiade papeiback book unit sales giew neaily 12, accoiding to unpublished data fiom the Institute foi Publishing Reseaich, Inc. 39 Scholastic piess ielease, Aug. 2, 2007. 40 Albeit N. Gieco and Robeit M. Whaiton, Book Industry TRENDS 2007 (New Yoik, N.Y.: Book Industiy Study Gioup, 2007), vaiious pages. 41 Geneial tiade piint books exclude childiens books, audio, and digital puichases. 42 Dan Cullen, National Figuies Show Independents Hold Maiket Shaie in a Flat Maiket, Book- selling is Week, May 1, 2003. 43 Albeit N. Gieco and Robeit M. Whaiton, Book Industry TRENDS 2007 (New Yoik, N.Y.: Book Industiy Study Gioup, 2007), vaiious pages. out the 1980s and eaily 1990s, but have since slowed. In 2000, moie than 1.6 billion consumei books weie puichased in the U.S.a iecoid high. One possible ieason foi the spike in unit sales is the Haiiy Pottei seiies: J.K. Rowlings fouith book was ieleased in haidback in Januaiy 2000, and a papeiback veision of the second book became available in August of that yeai. 38 Residual sales fiom publication of the ist thiee Pottei books, which came out in 1998 and 1999, also may have contiibuted. Since 2001, no single title has helped to iestoie unit sales to the 2000 level. (It iemains to be seen whethei Rowlings nal Haiiy Pottei book, issued in 2007, will do the tiick. Te seiies publishei, Scholastic Coip. iepoited 8.3 million haidback copies sold in the ist 24 houis of its ielease. 39 ) By 2006, unit sales foi consumei books weie down 100 million fiom 2000, with 1.5 billion books sold. 40 Puichasing tiends foi geneial tiade piint books ieect a similai slowing. 41 Unit sales giewbetween 1992 and 1996, but tiailed o neai the tuin of the centuiy, baiely keeping pace with population giowth, accoiding to an industiy consultant quoted in Bookselling is Week, the newslettei of the Ameiican Bookselleis Association, iep- iesenting independent bookstoies. Fiom 19922002, unit sales of geneial adult tiade piint books giew 2.4, but foi the last 5 yeais of that peiiod, the giowth iate was only 1.3ioughly the same as foi the U.S. population, the newslettei iepoits. 42 Teie aie no signs that the U.S. book maiket will pick up diamatically anytime soon. Between 2001 and 2011, the compound annual giowth iate foi consumei book sales is piojected to be only 0.2. 43 Tese backgiound statistics aie intended to showhowcomplex and multi-layeied must be any analysis of the book-buying maiket that seeks to quantify the link between leisuie ieading declines and the health of the commeicial publishing indus- tiy. Instead of puisuing this aim, which exceeds the scope of oui iepoit, the iemain- dei of Chaptei Foui will iely on a laige fedeial data souice to examine book-buying in ielation to othei consumei spending patteins: 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 2000 2002 2004 2006 ( i n m i l l i o n s ) Chart 4B. Unit Sales of Consumer Books The data represent publishers unit sales net of returns. Source: Book Industry Study Group, Book Industry TRENDS, 2007 To Read or Not To Read 49 44 Foi the puipose of this analysis, family andioi household is used instead of the Buieau of Laboi Statistics technical teim consumei unit. In addition to families and households, a con- sumei unit may desciibe a pei- son living alone oi shaiing a household with otheis oi living as a ioomei in a piivate home oi lodging house oi in peimanent living quaiteis in a hotel oi motel, but who is nancially independ- ent. See Fiequently Asked Questions on the BLS Web site (http:iiwww.bls.govicexi csxfaqs.htm). 45 Unpublished data piovided by the Buieau of Laboi Statistics. 46 Anindya Ghose, New Yoik Uni- veisity, et al., Inteinet Exchanges foi Used Books: An Empiiical Analysis of Pioduct Cannibaliza- tion and Welfaie Impact, Infor- mation Systems Research, Maich 2006, 319. Depaitment of Labois Buieau of Laboi Statistics: Consumer Expenditure Survey, 19852005. Annual Consumer Spending on Books Te Consumei Expendituie Suivey, administeied by the U.S. Census Buieau foi the Buieau of Laboi Statistics, collects infoimation about Ameiican household and fam- ily buying habits, including expendituies, income, and othei chaiacteiistics. 44 Conducted annually since 1980, the suivey consists of two paits: a quaiteily intei- viewand a diaiy (oi iecoidkeeping) suivey. Te inteiviewfeatuies questions on laige expendituies such as puichases of piopeity and cais, as well as expendituies that occui on a monthly basis, such as utility payments. Te diaiy pait is intended to cap- tuie weekly expendituies on smallei, fiequently puichased items such as food and beveiages, housekeeping supplies, peisonal caie pioducts, and medications. Results fiom the suivey indicate that the aveiage annual amount that Ameiican families spend on books is neai its 20-yeai low. 45 Aftei adjusting foi ination, aveiage consumei spending on books in 1985 was $33.25. By 2003, it had diopped to $27.69, and though it gained slightly in each of the next two yeais, by 2005 the amount iep- iesented a 14 decline ovei two decades. See Table 4C and Chait 4D. Notably, the shaipest deciease occuiied aftei 2000, when unit sales staited to sag. Some of the decline in spending may be attiibuted to the giowing populaiity of used books, especially thiough online sales. On the othei hand, a iecent study has suggested that most puichaseis of used books thiough Amazon aie committed iead- eis who also buy newbooks, and that used books aie a means by which ieadeis often get intioduced to new titles and authois. 46 Reading as Entertainment Anothei way to undeistand tiend data on book puichasing is to ielate those house- hold expendituies to othei types of spending. Books aie classied as ieading mate- iials within the suiveys Enteitainment categoiy, which includes a vaiiety of potential goods and seivices, ianging fiom compact discs and musical instiuments to pets, toys, and playgiound equipment. It is useful to compaie aveiage consumei spending on ieading mateiialsnewspapeis, magazines, and newsletteis, in addition to bookswith spending on othei enteitainment options. Table 4C. Average Annual Spending on Books, by Consumer Unit 1985 2005 Change Consumer unit spending on books $37.74 $57.43 +$19.69 (current dollars) Consumer unit spending on books $33.25 $28.59 -$4.66 (inflation adjusted 1 ) Percentage change in spending, 19852005 -14.02% (inflation adjusted) 1 The Consumer Price Index, 19821984 (less food and energy), was used to adjust for inflation. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics 50 To Read or Not To Read 47 Te Heniy J. Kaisei Family Foundation, Zero to Six: Electronic Media in the Lives of Infants, Toddlers, and Preschoolers, 2003, 4. 48 Consumei spending on computeis and Inteinet seivices is categoiized as Miscellaneous Household Equipment in the suivey. Take electionic media, foi instance. In late 2003, the Heniy J. Kaisei Family Foun- dation iepoited on the peivasiveness of electionic media in eaily childhood devel- opment. Titled Zero to Six: Electronic Media in the Lives of Infants, Toddlers, and Preschoolers, the Kaisei study found that childien fiom six months to six yeais old use scieen media, on aveiage, foi about 2 houis a day, compaied with ieading oi being iead to, which occupies ioughly 40 minutes of theii aveiage daily time. Scieen time foi these childien is thiee times the amount of theii ieading time. 47 Te study also showed the omnipiesence of electionic media in childiens living spaces. Foi example, half the young childien in the study lived in a home with thiee oi moie television sets, 36 had a TV in theii bedioom, and 49 had a video game playei. Tiity-foui peicent of young childien lived in homes ieceiving a newspapei subsciiption, while almost twice as many (63) lived in homes with Inteinet access. A logical question is how this media satuiation might be ieected in Ameiican family buying patteins, paiticulaily in ielation to ieading. Although the Consumei Expendituie Suiveys Enteitainment categoiy does not include computei-based oi online enteitainment options, the data do covei television, iadios, and sound equip- menta subcategoiy that includes video games, CD playeis, cable, and satellite dishes. 48 Books and ieading mateiials aie fundamentally dieient fiomelectionic media in a vaiiety of ways. Foi the puipose of oui analysis, howevei, the key distinction is that TVs, video game consoles, and audio equipmentas single unitssimply cost moie than most books. Unlike electionic media, books aie usually not subject to techno- logical innovation oi upgiades, and they do not ieect those advances in substantial piice incieases fiom yeai to yeai. In that sense, we may expect spending on the TViaudio categoiy to fiequently outpace spending on ieading mateiials. Fai moie ievealing is to assess both ieading and electionic media as piopoitions of familyihousehold enteitainment spending, and to compaie those peicentages ovei time. Chait 4E and Table 4F do just that. As they illustiate, the shaie of Ameiican families enteitainment budget that goes towaid ieading mateiials is shiinking. $26 $28 $30 $32 $34 $36 1985 1989 1993 1997 2001 2005 Chart 4D. Average Annual Spending on Books, by Consumer Unit Adjusted for Inflation The Consumer Price Index, 19821984 (less food and energy), was used to adjust for inflation. Due to the small size of this spending category, caution should be used in interpreting year-over-year changes. Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics To Read or Not To Read 51 Between 1995 and 2005, aveiage annual spending on ieading mateiial dipped almost ve peicentage points as a shaie of total familyihousehold enteitainment spending. Yet ovei the same time peiiod, aveiage annual spending on TViaudio equipment giewalmost foui peicentage points to moie than one-thiid of total fam- ilyihousehold enteitainment spending, as shown in Table 4F. Given the Kaisei Family Foundation statisticsand the Ameiican time-use suivey data discussed in the pieceding chaptei of this iepoitit might have been expected that consumei spending patteins would ieect incieased time spent with electionic media in compaiison to books and othei ieading mateiials. Combined with the iel- atively at unit sales of books in iecent yeais, this consumei spending tiend is yet anothei indicatoi of the loss of ieading time and the iise of scieen time. 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 TV and audio equipment Reading materials Chart 4E. Average Annual Spending on TV/Audio Equipment Versus Reading Materials as a Share of All Entertainment Spending, by Consumer Unit Table 4F. Average Annual Spending on TV and Audio Equipment Versus Reading Materials as a Share of All Entertainment Spending, by Consumer Unit 1995 2005 Change TV and audio equipment 33.6% 37.2% +3.6 pp Reading materials 10.1% 5.3% -4.8 pp pp = percentage points Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics 52 To Read or Not To Read From Page to Screen: Newspapers, Blogs, and Book Reviews Books are not the only texts in decline. Newspapers, too, have lost ground. According to annual data from the Audit Bureau of Circulations, average daily circulation for major newspapers fell 2% to 3% each year from 2005 to 2007. Part of the reason lies with American youth. David T. Z. Mindich, author of Tuned Out: Why Americans Under 40 Dont Follow the News (2004), outlines the problem: In 1972, 46% of college-age Americans read a newspaper every day. Today its only 21% percent, according to research by the Roper Center for Public Opinion Researchs General Social Survey. While many point to new media as the best hope for rekindling interest in news, only 11% of 18- to 24- year-olds list news as a major reason for logging on. The Internet is a great source of news for some, but for most it is a great way of avoiding the news, to be used for e-mail, instant messages, and other personal information. (Dude, Wheres Your Newspaper? Chronicle of Higher Education, Oct. 8, 2004.) Those statistics were updated by separate national survey results published in July 2007. In Young People and News, researchers at Harvards Joan Shorenstein Center on the Press, Politics and Public Policy found that only 16% of 18- to 30- year-olds said they read newspapers daily, while 9% of 12- to 17-year-olds said they did. (By contrast, 35% of Americans over 30 read newspapers daily.) Even when they did read newspapers, teens and young adults were more likely than older readers to skim through the news sections, rather than read the stories. Young peoples lukewarm stance to newspapers extends to news from other media. Approximately one-fifth of teens and young adults alike said they use the Internet daily to access news. Yet of those readers, only 32% of teens and 46% of young adults actively seek news on the Internet, while 65% and 48% just happen to come across it. Newspapers, for their part, remain undeterred. Many maintain blogs on their Web sites, offering readers the chance to comment on reported information. Sim- ilarly, many news reporters now include their e-mail addresses in their bylines, encouraging contact with their readership. Perhaps as a result of these changes, the Newspaper Association of America was able to announce that Web sites of newspapers had increased their audience by 7.7% in the second quarter of 2007, compared with the prior-year period. And in January 2007, Nielsen/NetRatings reported that visits to blogs at the Web sites of the nations top newspapers had soared 210% year over year in December. Blogging seems a safe bet for the attraction of teen and young adult readers to news media. According to Bloggers: A Portrait of the Internets New Storytellers, a 2006 study by the Pew Internet & American Life Project, 54% of bloggers are under 30 years old. But if this interactive capability endows the average reader with a public forum to discuss news developments, it also can create a sense of vertigo, as the line between news and hearsay, between reportage and rumor, becomes increasingly blurred. Sven Birkerts, author of The Gutenberg Elegies: The Fate of Reading in an To Read or Not To Read 53 Electronic Age (1994), recently described a conflict between blogging and news- paper book reviews: Indeed, I would say we are right now at what feels like a point of vital bal- ance, and those of us involved with literary journalism and book-reviewing live with the sense of a balance teetering.The implicit immediacy and ephemerality of post and update, the deeply embedded assumption of referentiality (linkage being part of the point of blogging), not to mention a new of-the-moment ethos among so many of the bloggers (especially the younger ones) favors a less formal, less linear, and essentially unedited mode of argument. (Lost in the Blogosphere: Why Literary Blogging Wont Save Our Literary Culture, Boston Globe, July 29, 2007.) Opinions aside, there is a shortage of scientific research on the effects of screen readingnot only on long-term patterns of news consumption, but more importantly, on the development of young minds and young readers. (A good research question is whether the hyperlinks, pop-up windows, and other extra- textual features of screen reading can sharpen a childs ability to perform sus- tained reading, or whether they impose unhelpful distractions.) Some of the difficulty stems from the constantly evolving nature of information technology, which often requires equally adaptive research tools to study it effectively. The news market cannot wait, however, until the definitive study is conducted. Meanwhile, many newspapers have scaled back their print content, often in the arts or cultural sections, to make up for lost revenue. Recently, as Birkerts notes, The Boston Globe, Los Angeles Times, Chicago Tribune, and The Atlanta Journal-Constitution all have cut or reallocated space for book reviews, a form of news coverage originally designed to benefit the serious leisure reader. 54 To Read or Not To Read Gareth Brown/Corbis To Read or Not To Read 55 CHAPTER FIVE 1. Reading scores for 17-year-olds are down. 2. Among high school seniors, the average score has declined for virtually all levels of reading. BACKGROUND I n this iepoit so fai, we have seen seveial studies in suppoit of the Aits Endow- ments 2004 conclusion that ieading iates aie compaiatively lowei in young adults. But Depaitment of Education and time-use suivey data have shown that the pioblem extends to even youngei Ameiicans, and that it appeais to stait in the tiansition fiom childhood to adolescence. Te subsequent loss of potential ieadeis can be estimated, but not the lost liteiaiy expeiience. By foifeiting access to a iange of emotions and viewpointsin addition to veibal, aesthetic, and intellectual pleasuiesthe non-ieadei is impaiiing his oi hei piospects foi communication thiough the wiitten woid. And while we cannot assign value to a lost liteiaiy encountei, we can tiack the eiosion of basic skills teenageis biing to ieading a pieviously unseen text. Tis discussion will avoid the heavily studied and debated topics of childhood lit- eiacy and the piopei way to teach ieading. In 1997, Congiess asked the National Institute of Child Health & Human Development to convene a National Reading Panel to iecommend ieading instiuctional methods. Composed laigely of psycholo- gists and educatois, the panel issued a 2000 iepoit that infoimed the Reading Fiist initiative, legislated by the No Child Left Behind Act of 2001. Since the laws enactment, debate continues ovei which classioom tools and cui- iicula woik best to impiove student liteiacy. Tis chaptei will not ievisit claims foi one technique veisus anothei. Rathei, it assumes a logical, ielatively stiaightfoiwaid link between ieading often and ieading well, while iecognizing that the link may be two-diiectional. Foi statistics suppoiting this connection, tuin to Chaptei Seven. As noted in the ist chaptei of this iepoit, a piepondeiance of infoimation on teenage ieading tiends is available thiough the Depaitment of Education, which administeis the National Assessment of Educational Piogiess (NAEP). Te following data can be found in thiee NAEP iepoits: NAEP Trends in Academic Progress: ree Decades of Student Performance in Reading and Mathematics, 2005. e Nations Report Card: 12th-Grade Reading and Mathematics 2005, 2007. e Nations Report Card: Reading, 2005. Src:io To What the Declines Mean foi Liteiacy 56 To Read or Not To Read 49 See What aie the Dieiences between Long-Teim Tiend NAEP and Main NAEP? on Te Nations Repoit Caid website (http:iinces. ed.govinationsiepoitcaidiabouti ltt_main_di.asp). 50 Tey aie Level 200, Demon- stiate Paitially Developed Skills and Undeistanding, Level 250, Inteiielate Ideas and Make Genei- alizations, and Level 300, Undei- stand Complicated Infoimation. 9-, 13-, and 17-Year-Olds: Reading Score Trends Te NAEP long-teim tiends assessment, explained in Chaptei One, ieviewed 2004 ieading compiehension scoies foi 12,00013,000 students in each of thiee age gioups: 9-, 13-, and 17-yeai-olds. Te nationally iepiesentative study compaied avei- age ieading scoies foi each gioup with aveiages fiom pievious yeais. Te test has been conducted 11 times since 1971. It piesents ieadeis with biief pas- sages of text and a multiple choice foimat asking the ieadei to pinpoint infoimation, diaw infeiences, and identify the main idea of a passage. 49 A few of the questions aie open-ended, iequiiing a wiitten iesponse. Scoiing occuis on a 0- to 500-point scale, with 350 oi highei denoting the ability to leain fiom specialized ieading mateiials such as scientic, liteiaiy, oi histoiical essays. At the othei end of the scoiing iange, Level 150 ieadeis can caiiy out simple, disciete ieading tasks. Tese ieadeis can select woids, phiases, oi sentences to desciibe a simple pictuie and can inteipiet simple wiitten clues to identify a common object. Between Levels 150 and 350, theie aie thiee inteimediate ieading levels. 50 Chaptei One ievealed that in contiast to 9- and 13-yeai-olds, 17-yeai-olds iead at signicantly lowei iates than in 1999 and 1984. Howdo these age gioups faie in iead- ing compiehension? Chait 5Adepicts the pattein of aveiage ieading scale scoies foi 17-yeai-olds since 1984. Tat yeai maiked the ist statistically signicant dieience fiomthe 2004 avei- age scoie foi this age gioup since the test was ist administeied in 1971. As shown by the chait, aveiage ieading scale scoies weie at foi the thiee test yeais aftei 1984. Ten the scoies began to slip, iesulting in a ve-point loss fiom 1992 to 2004. By 2004, the aveiage scale scoie had ietieated to 285, viitually the same scoie as 275 280 285 290 295 300 1984 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1999 2004 (Test years occurred at irregular intervals.) 19922004: Down 5 points 285 288 288 288 290* 290* 290* 289* Chart 5A. Trend in Average Reading Scale Scores for Students Age 17 Test Years 19842004 * Significantly different from 2004. Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics To Read or Not To Read 57 51 Regaiding the peifoimance iange of 9-yeai-old ieadeis, the scoie at the 50th peicentile sui- passed the median scoie fiom eveiy othei yeai of the test. Tii- teen-yeai-olds showed measuiable dieiences only at the 75th and 90th peicentile scoies, which exceeded those of 1971, but not those of 1999. Only 17-yeai-olds showed no measuiable dieience in 1971 oi 1999 scoies at any of the selected peicentiles (10th, 25th, 50th, 75th, and 90th). in 1971, though not shown in the chait. Foi moie than 30 yeais, in othei woids, 17- year-olds have not sustained improvements in reading scores. Foi a vivid pictuie of 17-yeai-old ieading patteins, see Chait 5B, which displays a slowdownwaid tiend in scoie dieiences since 1984, when the aveiage scale scoie was 289. A dieient scenaiio applies to 9-yeai-old ieading scoie tiends, also captuied by Chait 5B. See Chait 5Cfoi moie detail. Fiom19842004, while 17-yeai-old aveiage ieading scoies weakened, 9-yeai-old ieadei scoies climbed eight points, with the most diamatic hike occuiiing in 2004. Tat yeai, 9-yeai-olds scoied highei than in any pievious assessment yeai11 points ahead of the 1971 aveiage scoie. 51 Tis giowth pattein stands in contiast to 17- and 13-yeai-old ieading scoie tiends. As Chait 5D illustiates, the scoies foi 13-yeai-olds have iemained laigely at fiom 19842004, with no signicant change between the 2004 aveiage scoie and the scoies fiomthe pieceding seven test yeais. Although not appaient fiomthe chait, the 2004 scoie does iepiesent a signicant impiovement ovei the 1971 aveiagea foui-point inciease. At this point, it is woith stiessing that 13- and 17-yeai-olds show piogiessively lowei voluntaiy ieading iates, fiom 19842004, compaied with 9-yeai-olds. As Chaptei One noted, in 2004 the teenage gioups showed signicant declines in the peicentage ieading almost daily, both gioups also had signicant gains in the pei- centage ieading nevei oi haidly evei foi pleasuie. Although no causal ielationship can be deteimined, 9-year-olds were the only age group that maintained an above-50%almost daily reading rate from1984- 2004and they were also the only group to showmajor improvements in read- ing test scores. Fuithei ieseaich is needed to identify age-specic social andioi academic factois undeiyling those patteins. 10 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1999 2004 Reported as differences from 1984 reading scores. Age 17 Age 9 Chart 5B. Trend in Average Reading Scores for Students Ages 17 and 9 Test years occurred at irregular intervals. Trend analysis based on data from the U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics. 58 To Read or Not To Read 219 200 205 210 215 220 225 1984 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1999 2004 (Test years occurred at irregular intervals.) 211* 212* 209* 211* 211* 212* 212* S c a l e S c o r e Chart 5C. Trend in Average Reading Scale Scores for Students Age 9 Test Years 19842004 Chart 5D. Trend in Average Reading Scale Scores for Students Age 13 Test Years 19842004 240 245 250 255 260 265 270 275 1984 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1999 2004 (Test years occurred at irregular intervals.) S c a l e S c o r e 257 257 257 260 258 258 259 259 *Significantly different from 2004. Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics. To Read or Not To Read 59 52 See What aie the Main Dieiences between Long-Teim NAEP and the Main NAEP? on Te Nations Repoit Caid website (http:iinces.ed.govi nationsiepoitcaidiabouti ltt_main_di.asp). 53 Senioi aveiage ieading scoies weie also lowei in 2005 than in 1992 acioss all levels of paiental education. 54 Te peicentage of high school seniois at the Advanced ieading level was 5 in 2005, compaied with 4 in 1992a change of no statistical signicance. 55 Examples of test passages fiom the 2005 main NAEP foi high school seniois include a guide to the Washington, D.C. Metio tian- sit system, Maitin Luthei King, Ji.s Lettei fiom a Biimingham Jail, Langston Hughes poem, Hailem, and a shoit stoiy by Lucienne S. Bloch. Te test used a multiple-choice foimat and ques- tions iequiiing shoit oi extended answeis. Reading Proficiency of 12th Graders In addition to the NAEP long-teim tiend assessment, last administeied in 2004, the Depaitment of Education tests students by giade level (4th-, 8th-, and 12th-giadeis) on a biennial basis. Foi 12th-giadeis, this main assessment occuiied most iecently in 2005, with moie than 21,000 high school seniois evaluated foi ieading compiehension. Te test featuied longei passages than the tiend assessment, and measuied a iange of ieading skills, fiom identifying explicitly stated infoimation, to making complex infeiences about themes, to compaiing multiple texts on a vaiiety of dimensions. 52 Like the tiend assessment, the 2005 test adopted a 0500 scoie scale, but it also ianked pei- foimance levels into thiee categoiies: Basic (at least 265), Piocient (at least 302), and Advanced (at least 346). Aftei oui ieview of 17-yeai-old ieading test scoies in the long-teim tiend assess- ment, the 2005 iesults foi high-school seniois may not be suipiisingbut they should iaise fiesh concein. Te 2005 test found that the aveiage NAEP ieading scoie foi 12th-giadeis was 286 out of 500. Te scoie was not signicantly dieient fiom the aveiage scoie foi the pieceding test yeai, 2002. Tis outcome ts with what we know about tiends in 17-yeai-old ieading scoies, that they often have iemained at foi seveial test yeais at a time. But go back to 1992foui tests agoand it becomes cleai that aveiage 12th-giade ieading scoies have declined by a signicant six points, placing the ieadeis 16 points shy of the Piocient level. See Chait 5E. When viewed acioss a iange of peicentile scoies (10th, 25th, 50th, 75th, and 90th), the declines appeai foi most of the peifoimance distiibution. Students peifoiming at the 10th, 25th, 50th, and 75th peicentiles all expeiienced signicant declines fiom 1992 to 2005. 53 Only the highest-scoiing students of 2005those at the 90th pei- centileexpeiienced no declines, compaied with students at theii peifoimance level in 1992. Conveisely, ieading scoies at the veiy bottomof the 2005 peifoimance iange declined the shaipest acioss the whole distiibution. See Table 5F. Tese extieme tiend dieiences foi the highest and lowest peifoiming ieadeis sug- gest a giowing dispaiity in educational needs of 12th-giade ieadeis. Bad ieadeis aie ieading woise, and outstanding ieadeis aie baiely meeting the expectations set by peifoimance levels in pievious yeais. Anothei way of undeistanding the spiead oi distiibution of 12th-giade aveiage ieading scoie declines fiom1992 to 2005 is to considei tiend dieiences foi students peifoiming at oi above the Basic and Piocient ieading levels. Tis analysis shows that the peicentage of 12th-giade ieadeis at oi above Basic slipped fiom80in 1992 to 73 in 2005, while the 1992 peicentage of ieadeis at oi above Piocient fell ve peicentage points ovei the same peiiod. 54 Also notable is that the 2005 declines occuiied in all thiee ieading contexts established by NAEP. Te assessment classies test passages into thiee categoiies: ieading foi liteiaiy expeiience (such as shoit stoiies, poems, folktales, and biogia- phies), ieading foi infoimation (e.g., textbooks, newspapei and magazine aiticles, essays, and speeches) and ieading to peifoima task (including chaits, public tians- poitation schedules, instiuctions foi games, iecipes, maps, oi insuiance foims). 55 In each of the thiee ieading contexts, 2005 aveiage scoies declined signicantly fiom1992. But ieading foi liteiaiy expeiience sueied woist: an 11-point deciease, fiom290 to 279. Independent of the statistical dieience, the decline in this ability is alaiming because imaginative liteiatuie fosteis peisonal inquiiy and identication 60 To Read or Not To Read with othei lives, peispectives, and possibilities. Denied basic skills to paiticipate in this ait foim, young Ameiicans will lose access to a vital pait of theii cultuial heiitage. 4th- and 8th-Grade Reading Proficiency Te NAEP main assessment in 2005 includes a fai laigei sample of 4th- and 8th- giadeis than 12th-giadeismoie than 165,000 and 159,000 iespectivelybecause that yeai the test involved paiticipation of states and selected uiban distiicts foi the development of sepaiate iepoits. 56 Of all the thiee giade levels tested, 4th-giadeis weie the only students to see a sig- nicant climb in the peicentage scoiing at oi above Piocient in 2005, compaied with 1992: 31veisus 29. But the laigei point is just howpooily students in all thiee giades aie ieading. 56 Te thiee ieading achievement levels foi 4th-giadeis coiiespond with the following scoies (in paientheses): Basic (at least 208), Piocient (at least 238), and Advanced (at least 268). Foi 8th- giadeis, ieading achievement levels aie: Basic (at least 243), Piocient (at least 281), and Advanced (at least 323). Published iesults of the 2005 NAEP ieading tests foi 4th-, 8th-, and 12th- giadeis do not iepoit cumulative below Basic peicentages at the national level foi public and pii- vate schools. Consequently, the below Basic peicentages in Table 5G weie obtained by subtiacting the Basic oi above peicentages fiom 100. Table 5F. Change in 12th-Grade Reading Scores, by Percentile: 1992 and 2005 Percentile 1992 2005 Change 9205 90th 333 333 0 75th 315 313 -2 50th 294 288 -6 25th 271 262 -9 10th 249 235 -14 All score changes from 1992 are statistically significant. Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics Chart 5E. Trend in Average Reading Scale Scores for 12th-Graders Test Years 19922005 275 280 285 290 295 300 1992 1994 1998 2002 2005 (Test years occurred at irregular intervals.) S c a l e S c o r e 292* 287 290* 287 286 *Significantly different from 2005. Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics To Read or Not To Read 61 Table 5Giepoits ieading achievement levels by giade. In 2005, appioximately 36 of 4th-giadeis iead at a level below Basicthe peicentage had not changed signi- cantly since 1992while 27of 8th-giadeis iead belowBasic. Te peicentage of 8th- giade ieadeis below Basic lost foui points fiom 1992 to 2005, becoming identical to the peicentage of 12th-giadeis in that categoiy: 27. Among 8th-giadeis and 12th- giadeis alike, one in foui students is a below-Basic ieadei. Foi ieasons that aie uncleai, 4th-giadeis consistently have had the gieatest pei- centage of below-Basic ieadeis. But wheie 12th-giadeis foimeily had an 11-point lead ovei 4th- and 8th-giadeis in teims of the peicentage of piocient ieadeis at each giade level, by 2005 the gap had nownaiiowed to foui points. Reading scoies of 4th- and 8th-giadeis aie impioving. 57 See Table 5H. At the lowei giades, aveiage ieading scoies weie two points highei than in 1992, small but signicant incieases. As shown eailiei, the aveiage ieading scoie of 12th-giadeis has declined by six points. Viewing the giade-level ieading test iesults alongside the tiend analysis of ieading scoies by age, we nd the ieading ability of 17-yeai-olds and 12th-giadeis has eithei declined oi failed to impiove. By contiast, 9-yeai-olds and 4th-giadeis, on one hand, and 13-yeai-olds and 8th-giadeis, on the othei, have shown signicant gains. Te dispaiity in ieading skills impiovementbetween the lowest ageigiade and the highest ageigiademiiiois the gulf in voluntaiy ieading iates of those gioups. Te deteiioiation in ieading iates and piociency of 17-yeai-olds makes possible a scenaiio wheie, accoiding to the 2003 National Assessment of Adult Liteiacy, only 5% of high school graduates are Procient readers, as we shall see in the next chaptei. 57 Results fiom the NAEP 2007 ieading assessments foi 4th- and 8th-giadeis aiiived as this iepoit was in the piocess of publication. Te iepoits ieveal that 4th-giade ieading scoies aie continuing to impiove: in 2007, the aveiage scoie foi this giade level (221) was highei than in any of the pieced- ing test yeais, and the peicentage of ieadeis at the Basic and Pio- cient levels giew by 5 and 4 points, iespectively, compaied with 1992 levels. (Like the aveiage test scoie, the peicentage of 4th-giadeis at the Basic and Piocient levels also iose signicantly fiom 2005.) Eighth-giadeis, too, showed an aveiage ieading scoie impiove- ment (fiom 260 in 1992 to 263 in 2007) and a slight but signicant gain in the peicentage ieading at oi above the Basic level (74), compaied with 1992 and 2005 lev- els. Unlike 4th-giadeis, howevei, 8th-giadeis did not see a signi- cant change in the peicentage of Piocient ieadeis, compaied with those piioi test yeais. Table 5H. Average Reading Scores of 4th-, 8th-, and 12th-Graders 1992 2005 Change Grade level: 4th 217 219 +2 8th 260 262 +2 12th 292 286 -6 Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics Table 5G. Percentage of 4th-, 8th-, and 12th-Graders, by Reading Achievement Level Below Basic Basic or above Proficient or above 1992 2005 Change 1992 2005 Change 1992 2005 Change Grade level: 4th 38% 36% *-2 pp 62% 64% *+2 pp 29% 31% +2 pp 8th 31% 27% -4 pp 69% 73% +4 pp 29% 31% *+2 pp 12th 20% 27% +7 pp 80% 73% -7 pp 40% 35% -5 pp * Not statistically significant All percentages are approximate. Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics 62 To Read or Not To Read Reading and the Gender Gap Among 12th-graders, boys and girls alike performed worse in the 2005 main NAEP reading assessment than in 1992. For girls, however, the average reading score was lower than in 2002, while for boys the score has remained constant for the past two test years. Still, because male student scores were eight points lower in 2005 than in 1992, compared with the five-point differ- ential for females over the same period, the gap between male and female reading scores has widened. Further, female students outperformed males in all three reading contextsliterary reading, reading for information, and reading to perform a task. This disparity in reading scores between the genders is not restricted to chil- dren or teenagers: as will be seen in the next chapter, women outscore men on adult prose literacy tests. What accounts for females leading males in reading ability? In many of the studies of voluntary reading that have been cited so far, females have proved more frequent readers than males, and it is hard not to credit greater exposure to books with playing a role. The American Time Use Survey, for example, has consistently shown women to spend more time on leisure reading than men. The Henry J. Kaiser Family Foun- dations 2005 Generation M: Media in the Lives of 818 Year-Olds study identified the same split along gender lines in children and teens. And The National Endow- ment for the Arts Reading at Risk (2004) report found that more than half of Americas women (55%) read a novel, short story, poem, or play in the preceding 12 months, compared with 38% of men. Yet even for women, this reading rate was down eight percentage points from 20 years earlier. The gender factor may play a role in determining reading rates and reading skills, but females are by no means out of trouble when it comes to declines in both. Table 5I. Average 12th-Grade Reading Scores by Gender 1992 2005 Female 297 292 Male 287 279 Male-female gap -10 -13 Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics To Read or Not To Read 63 CHAPTER SIX 3. Reading prociency rates are stagnant or declining in adults of both genders and all education levels. BACKGROUND T he pieceding chaptei demonstiated that 17-yeai-old and high school senioi ieading scoies have weakened ovei time. Tis nding has obvious implica- tions foi college piepaiedness, especially since two-thiids of 2008 high school giaduates, oi 2.2 million Ameiicans, aie likely to enioll that fall as ist-yeai college students. 58 In 2006, the nonpiot oiganization ACT, which administeis yeaily college entiance exams, published an analysis of the moie than 12.5 million high school stu- dents who had taken ACT tests fiom1994 to 2005. ACT concluded: Student ieadi- ness foi college-level ieading is at its lowest point in moie than a decade, with little moie than half of all students meeting ACTs benchmaik scoie. 59 Te oiganization also found, astonishingly, that moie students aie on tiack to being ieady foi college-level ieading in 8th and 10th giade than aie actually ieady by the time they ieach 12th giade. Tose data deiived fioma compaiison of ACTiead- ing test scoies foi 352,000 high school students fiom 1998 to 2005. Chaptei Eight will ieview data fiom employei suiveys assessing the knowledge gaps of high school giaduates who entei the U.S. woikfoice. But college giaduates suei similai deciencies, which may have oiiginated with the mediocie ieading iates and skills many caiiied thiough high school. Te Depaitment of Education piovides a snapshot of the ieading ability of Amei- ican adultsthose who have giaduated fiom college, but also those who have not. Tis time, oui souice is a single study: National Centei foi Education Statistics: Literacy in Everyday Life: Results from the 2003 National Assessment of Adult Literacy, 2007. Adult Prose Literacy Rates: Overview Te Depaitment of Education gave the 2003 National Assessment of Adult Liteiacy (NAAL) to 19,200 Ameiicans ages 16 and above. 60 Te NAAL test booklets consisted of a seiies of open-ended questions, each pieceding a text passage. Test-takeis weie scoied on a 0500 scale, with foui distinct piose liteiacy levels: BelowBasic (0209), Basic (210264), Inteimediate (265339), and Piocient (340500). An Inteimediate ieading scoie coiiesponds with undeistanding modei- ately dense, less commonplace piose texts as well as summaiizing, making simple infeiences, deteimining cause and eect, and iecognizing the authois puipose. 61 By contiast, a ieading scoie of Piocient shows the test-takeis ability to iead lengthy, complex, abstiact piose texts, synthesize infoimation and make complex infeiences. Accoiding to the NAAL, this liteiacy level includes the ability to compaie viewpoints fiom two dieient newspapei editoiials, to compaie and contiast the meaning of metaphois in a poem, and to infei the puipose of an event desciibed in a magazine aiticle. 58 Depaitment of Education, National Centei foi Education Statistics, Projections of Education Statistics to 2015, and NEA Reseaich piojections based on histoiical NCES data. 59 ACT, Reading Between the Lines: What ACT Reveals About College Readiness in Reading, 2006. Te benchmaik coiiesponds with an ACT Reading Test scoie of 21. Few tiend data have been pub- lished iecently foi the othei well- known entiance exam, the College Boaids SAT, which integiated a new wiiting component in 2005. In August 2007, the College Boaid iepoited a one-point decline in the aveiage ciitical ieading scoie foi 2007 test-takeis, compaied with the pievious yeai. Otheiwise, ciitical ieading scoies have iemained at foi the past seveial yeais, accoiding to test ocials. Yet male students, who histoiically have outscoied females in this test subject, aie now only two points ahead of femalescompaied with a nine-point lead in 2003. As foi the new wiiting component, females aie 11 points ahead of males: 500 veisus 489 (out of 800). 60 Tis population thus included a youngei cohoit than the NEAs Reading at Risk iepoit of liteiaiy ieading habits. Tat study dened adults as 18 oi oldei. Te NAAL tested appioximately 18,000 adults in U.S. households and 1,200 adult piisoneis. 61 Literacy in Everyday Life, p. 4. 64 To Read or Not To Read Foi this analysis, we will examine piose liteiacy scoies only. (Te NAAL also tested foi document and quantitative liteiacy. 62 ) In 2003, 43% of test-takers placed at or belowBasic, with a third of that group in the BelowBasic category. Tis gioup iepiesents 96 million Ameiicans, with 30 million at BelowBasic, and the iemaindei at Basic. 63 Te Below-Basic gioup includes the 3 of all test-takeis deemed nonliteiate in Englisha guie iepiesenting 7 million Ameiicans. Te designation does not include adults whose language baiiiei pievented themfiomtaking the test, that g- uie is estimated at 2 of the U.S. adult population. Compaiing the 2003 iesults with those of the pievious test yeai, 1992, we nd that the peicentage of piose ieadeis at the BelowBasic, Basic, and Inteimediate levels has iemained laigely constant. A statistically signicant change does aiise, howevei, in the peicentage of Ameiican adults who iead at the Piocient level. Tey slipped fiom 15 in 1992 to 13 in 2003. See Table 6A. Prose Literacy by Education Level In addition to taking the liteiacy test, NAAL paiticipants answeied a backgiound questionnaiie that sought infoimation on theii demogiaphics. Responses to the questionnaiie allowus to undeistand, among othei vaiiables, the educational piole of test-takeis. While 2003 aveiage piose liteiacy scoies iose with each incieasing level of education (excluding adults still in high school), the tiend data foi 19922003 show signicant scoie declines in almost all gioups. 64 See Table 6B. Stiangely, those declines aie steepest among the best-educated gioups. Giaduate students oi degiee-holdeis in 2003 scoied, on aveiage, 13 points lowei than theii 1992 counteipaits. Othei college giaduates in 2003 weie down 11 points, on aveiage, compaied with 1992 college giaduates who did not puisue a highei degiee. By con- 62 Document examples include job applications, payioll foims, tianspoitation schedules, maps, tables, and diug and food labels, while quantitative liteiacy iefeis to balancing a checkbook, guiing out a tip, completing an oidei foim, and deteimining the amount of inteiest on a loan fiom an adveitisement. (See Literacy in Everyday Life, p. 2.) 63 Te 96 million deiives fiom the total U.S. population iepie- sented by the 2003 NAAL study: 221,020,000 adults in U.S. house- holds and 1,340,000 incaiceiated adults. 64 Exceptions aie adults still in high school and those with a GED oi high school equivalency. In both cases, scoie changes fiom 1992 to 2003 weie not statistically signicant. Table 6B. Average Prose Literacy Scores of Adults, by Highest Level of Educational Attainment: 1992 and 2003 Education level 1992 2003 Change Less than/some high school 216 207 -9 High school graduate 268 262 -6 Vocational/trade/business school 278 268 -10 Some college 292 287 -5 Associates/2-year degree 306 298 -8 Bachelors degree 325 314 -11 Graduate study/degree 340 327 -13 Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics Table 6A. Percentage of Adults at Each Prose Literacy Level: 1992 and 2003 Below Basic Basic Intermediate Proficient 1992 14% 28% 43% 15% 2003 14% *29% *44% 13% * no statistically significant change from 1992 Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics To Read or Not To Read 65 tiast, the aveiage scoie foi 2003 high school giaduates was 6 points lowei than foi high school giaduates in 1992. Despite exposuie to highei leaining in the case of college and giaduate degiee- holdeis, then, American adults of virtually all education levels are reading less well than in the previous decade. One may conjectuie that the eiosion of ieading scoies is paitly due to less cuiiiculai emphasis on ieading at the highei education levels, but anothei plausible explanation is that adults aie losing the habit of volun- taiy ieading, which could sustain and ieinfoice theii liteiacy skills. Te NAAL iepoit notes a paiadox, howevei. Although piose liteiacy scoies declined foi high school and college giaduates fiom1992 to 2003, the aveiage piose liteiacy scoie foi the U.S. adult population iemained constant ovei that peiiod. Te iepoit explains that the declines in aveiage piose liteiacy scoies at eveiy educational level weie oset by an inciease in the peicentage of adults with postsecondaiy edu- cation fiom 1992 to 2003, and a coiiesponding deciease in the peicentage that did not complete high school. Aftei all, compaied with adults who do not complete high school, adults with postsecondaiy education tend to attain highei piose scoies. Te aveiage piose ieading scoie was stable fiom 1992 to 2003, and this tiend applied to all but the veiy best ieadeis. As we have seen, Piocient was the only lit- eiacy level to expeiience a signicant changea dipin the peicentage of qualifying ieadeis. Te decline is moie stiiking when viewed as a function of the test-takeis education status. As Table 6Cshows, the decline in the percentage of Procient readers is occur- ring at the highest educational levels. Fiom1992 to 2003, the piopoition of Pio- cient ieadeis who had attended giaduate school lost 10 peicentage points. Among college giaduates who had not pioceeded to giaduate school, the peicentage of Pio- cient ieadeis diopped nine points. Tose ieductions tianslate to a 20 iate of decline foi adults with giaduate school expeiience and a 22iate of decline foi othei college giaduates. Vocationalitiadeibusiness school giaduates also expeiienced a sig- nicant decline in the shaie of Piocient ieadeis: fiom 9 in 1992 to 5 in 2003. Prose Literacy by Gender Te dieiences in male and female adult liteiacy levels iesemble the dispaiities in ieading skills of boys and giils (see p. 62). In 2003, the aveiage piose scoie foi males Table 6C. Percentage of Adults Proficient in Reading Prose, by Highest Level of Educational Attainment Education level 1992 2003 Change Rate of decline Less than/some high school 1% 1% 0 0 High school graduate 5% *4% *-1 pp *-20% Vocational/trade/business school 9% 5% -4 pp -44% Some college 14% *11% *-3 pp *-21% Associates/2-year degree 23% *19% *-4 pp *-17% Bachelors degree 40% 31% -9 pp -22% Graduate study/degree 51% 41% -10 pp - 20% * No statistically significant change pp = percentage points Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics 66 To Read or Not To Read was a signicant foui points lowei than in 1992: 272 veisus 276. Females expeiienced no change in aveiage piose scoie ovei this peiiod (277 in both 1992 and 2003), although because of the decline in male scoies, women scoies in 2003 exceeded mens by a statistically signicant amountan event that did not occui in 1992. Piose scoies foi the best female ieadeis also iemained at fiom 1992 to 2003. Yet the peicentage of males at the Piocient ieading level did diop signicantly, as Table 6D shows. Taken togethei, the national piose liteiacy data showa lack of impiovement in the ieading skills of women and a decline in the ieading skills of men. Adults at viitually eveiy education level exhibited declines in aveiage ieading scoies. 65 Te data also showa slight but signicant decline in the oveiall peicentage of Pio- cient-scoiing ieadeis, and declines in ieading piociency among college giaduates and among adults who ieceived vocational tiaining. Although these tiends suggest the need to expand adult leaining oppoitunities in oui civic institutions and com- munities, we should not oveilookas cential to that aimthe piomotion of volun- taiy ieading habits in giown-ups no less than childien. 65 Othei signicant declines occuiied among 25- to 39-yeai- olds, whose aveiage ieading scoie diopped ve points to 283 fiom 1992 to 2003, and among 40- to 49-yeai-olds, who saw an 11-point score decrease to 282 ovei the same peiiod. Te peicentage of 25- to 39-yeai-olds in the Below Basic piose liteiacy categoiy giew a signicant two points, to 12. Table 6D. Percentage of Adults Proficient in Reading Prose, by Gender 1992 2003 Change Rate of decline Men 16% 13% -3 pp -19% Women 14% 14% 0 pp 0% pp = percentage points Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics To Read or Not To Read 67 Literacy in the Prison Population Incarcerated Americans, totaling 1.4 million in 2003, composed an important part of the National Assessment of Adult Literacy. Since the 1992 test, however, several changes occurred in this population that positively affected literacy scores in 2003. By the time of the 2003 test, U.S. prisons had gained half a million adult inmates. On average, this group was older and better educated than the 1992 prisoners; indeed, parents of the 2003 prisoners also tended to be better edu- cated than parents for the earlier test population. Related largely to those factors, the average prose literacy for 2003 was higher than in the 1992 group. Still, prisoners continued to score significantly lower than non-incarcerated Americans on prose reading tests. The average prose literacy score of prison- ers in 2003 was 257, while for non-incarcerated adults it was 275. Moreover, the percentage of prisoners at or below the Basic reading level was 56%, com- pared with 43% of non-prisoners. Forty-one percent of prisoners were Intermediate readers and only 3% were Proficient. Among non-incarcerated Americans, 44% read at the Intermediate level. This percentage was not significantly different from the proportion of pris- oners at that reading level. The proficiency rate for non-prisoners, however, was 13%10 points higher than for prisoners. A disparity in the scores of U.S. household and prison populations appears even in adults at the highest education level. The average prose score of non- incarcerated adults who had a postsecondary school education was 302, com- pared with 282 for prisoners of the same educational background, or one-fifth of incarcerated adults. Twenty-three percent of non-incarcerated adults who attended postsecondary school read at the Proficient level, while only 8% of prisoners of that background did. For adult prisoners and non-prisoners whose education ended with a high school diploma, average reading scores were almost identical: 264 and 262, respectively. Regarding the literacy gap between adult prisoners and non-prisoners, the Department of Educations Literacy Behind Bars (2007) report concludes: This would be of somewhat less concern if prison inmates who expected to be released within 2 years had higher literacy than inmates with more time left to serve on their sentences, but that was not the case. As the report observes, The literacy of inmates who are near their expected date of release may be of particu- lar concern because they will soon need to do such things as rejoin their families and find a job. Yet the 2003 literacy assessment revealed no difference in aver- age prose scores of prisoners who still had more than 2 years to serve, and those to be released within a 2-year period. 68 To Read or Not To Read CHAPTER SEVEN 4. Reading for pleasure correlates strongly with academic achievement. BACKGROUND O vei the last thiee decades, cognitive psychologists specializing in childhood development have sought to claiify the ielationship between ieading widely and ieading well. Much of that ieseaich has been distilled by Anne Cun- ningham, Univeisity of Califoinia at Beikeley, and Keith Stanovich, Univeisity of Toiontonotably in a SpiingiSummei 1998 aiticle foi the Ameiican Fedeiation of Teacheis magazine American Educator. Titled What Reading Does foi the Mind, the aiticle begins: Reading has cognitive consequences that extend beyond its immediate task of lifting meaning fioma paiticulai passage. Fuitheimoie, these consequences aie iecipiocal and exponential in natuie. Accumulated ovei timespiialing eithei upwaid oi downwaidthey caiiy piofound implications foi the development of a wide iange of cognitive capabilities. Cunningham and Stanovich go on to desciibe the iecipiocal eects of ieading volume, wheieby, iegaidless of ieading ability, childien who stait ieading foi pleas- uie at an eaily age aie exposed to exponentially highei numbeis of newwoidsand a gieatei oppoitunity to develop liteiacy skillsthan childien denied eaily ieading expeiiences. Because these skills aie associated not just with ieading compiehension, but also with gieatei cognitive development, the ieseaicheis elsewheie state: We believe that independent ieading may help explain the widening achievement dis- paiities between the educational haves and have-nots. 66 Vocabulaiy giowth is peiceived by many to be cential to ieading development, but what often gets oveilooked is the sheei quantity of woids, concepts, and types of syn- tactic stiuctuie that ieading piovides. Cunningham and Stanovich cite statistical studies of piinted texts ianging fiom childiens stoiies to adult books, fiom comic books to populai magazines, showing that each type of ieading mateiial contains a fai gieatei aveiage numbei of iaie woids than TVshows oi adult speech. 67 Te impli- cation is that childien would leain moie vocabulaiy fiom ieading juvenile ction than fiom watching a piime-time television show oi listening to theii college-edu- cated paients chat with each othei! Anothei aiticle summaiizing ieseaich on the link between voluntaiy ieading and liteiacy iates was commissioned by the Depaitment of Education in the late 1990s. 68 Its authoi postulates: Voluntaiy ieading involves peisonal choice, ieading widely fiom a vaiiety of souices, and choosing what one ieads. Aliteiates, people who have the ability to iead but choose not to, miss just as much as those who cannot iead at all. Indi- viduals iead to live life to its fullest, to eain a living, to undeistand what is going on in the woild, and to benet fiomthe accumulated knowledge of civilization. Even the benets of demociacy, and the capacity to govein ouiselves success- fully, depend on ieading. 66 Reading Can Make You Smaitei, by Anne Cunningham and Keith Stanovich, in Principal, NovembeiiDecembei 2003. Repiinted with peimission. Copy- iight (2003) National Association of Elementaiy School Piincipals. All iights ieseived. 67 Te authois iefei to Hayes, D.P. and Ahiens, M., Vocabulaiy Simplication foi Childien: A Spe- cial Case of Motheiese?, Journal of Child Language 15 (1988): 395 410, and Hayes, D.P., Speaking and Wiiting: Distinct Patteins of Woid Choice. Journal of Memory and Language 27 (1988): 572585. 68 Beinice E. Cullinan, Indepen- dent Reading and School Achieve- ment, Ameiican Association of School Libiaiians School Library Media Research, Vol. 3, 2000. To Read or Not To Read 69 Tat last pioposition will iesuiface in Chaptei Nine of this iepoit, but foi now, we aie conceined with identifying the coiielation between ieading often and ieading well. Oui ieviewwill covei the most iecent data available in Depaitment of Education studies pioling youth ieading skills and voluntaiy ieading iates: NAEP 2004 Trends in Academic Progress: ree Decades of Student Performance in Reading and Mathematics, 2005. National Centei foi Education Statistics: NAEP Data Explorer tool, available via NCES Web site. Although eailiei chapteis have hinted at a mutual ieinfoicement between ieading iates and liteiacy skills, the following giaphs make that pattein explicit. Still, because the data cannot piove a causal ielationship between the two vaiiables, it is woith iepioducing a disclaimei fiom the pieviously quoted aiticle. Longitudinal studies that show long-teim eects oi that isolate the exeicise of liteiacy, howevei, aie missing fiomthe ieseaich on voluntaiy ieading and school achievement. Such studies might indicate which factois make a dieience in establishing lifetime ieading habits, and in what inuences ieadeis choice of ieading mateiial, that peihaps could help us plan eective piogiams. 69 Reading Often and Reading Well 9-, 13-, and 17-Year-Olds: Long-Term Trend Data Te consistently documented coiielation between voluntaiy ieading iates and highei test scoies is summed up by a paiagiaph in the NAEP 2004 Trends in Academic Progress iepoit. Te study assessed the ieading skills of 9-, 13-, and 17-yeai-olds ovei thiee decades (see Chapteis One and Five). At all thiee ages, students who indicated that they iead foi fun almost eveiy day had highei aveiage ieading scoies in 2004 than those who said that they nevei oi haidly evei iead foi fun. Students at all thiee age levels who said that they iead foi fun once oi twice a week had highei aveiage scoies than those who nevei oi haidly evei iead foi fun. 70 Chait 7A displays this pattein foi 17-yeai-oldsthe age gioup least likely to iead foi pleasuie, as we have seen, and also the only gioup whose ieading scoies have declined signicantly since 1984. Although aveiage ieading scoies aie similai foi 17-yeai-olds who iead once oi twice a week and those who iead once oi twice a month, theie aie laige scoie dieiences between these ieadeis and the 17-yeai-olds who iead infiequently oi not at all. Te gulf expands foi infiequent oi non-ieadeis, compaied with those who iead almost eveiy dayyielding a 33-point gap between daily ieadeis and veiy infiequent iead- eis, and a 37-point gap between daily ieadeis and nevei-oi-haidly-evei ieadeis. 8th- and 12th-Graders: National 2005 Data Te NAEP national main assessment, administeied biennially to 4th-, 8th- and 12th-giadeis, ieects the same pattein. Test-takeis aie asked howoften they iead foi 69 Ibid. 70 NAEP Trends in Academic Progress: ree Decades of Student Performance in Reading and Mathematics, 2005, vii. 70 To Read or Not To Read fun on theii own. Chait 7B shows the 2005 test scoie pattein of 12th-giadeis in foui dieient categoiies of ieading fiequency. Although not shown heie, the ielationships between ieading iates and test scoies aie similai in pievious test yeais, and foi all thiee giade levels. Anothei question on the 2005 main NAEP assessment asked 8th- and 12th-giadeis howoften, if evei, they iead ction books oi stoiies outside school. Again, the iesults aie similaifoi both giade levels, and in pievious yeais. Chait 7C displays the 2005 pattein foi 12th-giadeis. Notably, theie is no signicant dieience in scoies between the 12th-giadeis who iead only once oi twice a month and those who iead a fewtimes a yeai. Although this anomaly does not appeai in the pievious two chaits, it ieinfoices the notion that consistently high levels of leisuie ieading aie ciucial to a positive iela- tionship between ieading and test scoies. Almost every day Once or twice a week Once or twice a month A few times a year Never or hardly ever 305 288 287 272 268 Almost every day Once or twice a week Once or twice a month Never or hardly ever 302 292 285 274 Chart 7A. Average Reading Scores by Frequency of Reading for Fun Age 17 in 2004 Chart 7B. Average Reading Scores by Frequency of Reading for Fun Grade 12 in 2005 Reading scores range from 0 to 500. Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Educational Statistics Reading scores range from 0 to 500. Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Educational Statistics To Read or Not To Read 71 Reading Often and Writing Well Te National Assessment of Educational Piogiess (also known as Te Nations Repoit Caid) featuies a wiiting component. Te test assigns students thiee types of wiiting tasks: naiiative, infoimative, and peisuasive. Assignments fiomthe 2002 test included, foi example, wiiting a lettei to the editoi of a newspapei, oeiing advice to youngei students, iepoiting to a school committee, and wiiting a stoiy based on a poem. 71 Without citing a causal ielationship between the two vaiiablesonce again, data do not exist to showconclusively that one pattein iesults fiomthe otheiwe note a piogiessive iise in test scoies by ieading fiequency. Chait 7D depicts a 29-point spiead between the 12th-giadeis who aie non- oi infiequent ieadeis and those who iead daily oi almost daily. (Foi 4th- and 8th-giadeis, the coiiesponding dieiences aie 20 and 25 points, iespectively.) Wiiting and ieading aie sepaiate skills, to be suie, but the likelihood of wiiting well is ieduced when one has minimal exposuie to piinted texts. Does the same tendency apply to ieadeis and non-ieadeis tested foi academic subjects beyond ieading and wiiting? Books in the Home Te NAEP does test foi subjects such as math, science, histoiy, and civics, but stu- dents aie not asked about theii voluntaiy ieading iates. Rathei, the NAEP inquiies about the numbei of books in the home. While this vaiiable says nothing of the stu- dents piopensity foi leisuie ieading, access to printed matter is associated posi- tively with test scores for a variety of subjects. Foi example, math, science, civics, and histoiy scoies aie highei foi 12th-giadeis who iepoit having books in the home. See Tables 7E and 7F, which iepoit, by numbei of books in the home, the aveiage math and science scoies of 12th-giadeis. Te iesults aie fiom the most iecent NAEP tests. 71 See What Does the NAEP Wiiting Assessment Measuie? on NCES Web site (http:iinces.ed. govinationsiepoitcaidiwiitingi whatmeasuie.asp). Data fiom the 2007 NAEP wiiting assessment weie unavailable at the time of piepaiing this publication. At least once a week Once or twice a month Few times a year Never or hardly ever 302 289 287 273 Chart 7C. Average Reading Scores by Frequency of Reading Fiction Books or Stories Outside School Grade 12 in 2005 Reading scores range from 0 to 500. Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Educational Statistics 72 To Read or Not To Read Te NAEP iesults of a 2006 civics test show a similai pattein, as do iesults fiom a 2006 histoiy test. In contiast to students who iepoited 010 books at home, 12th- giadeis with 26100 books at home scoied 27 points highei. If they had moie than 100 books at home, the scoie went up an additional 17 points. Tat same yeai, histoiy test-takeis with 26100 books at home scoied 24 points moie than 12th-giadeis with 010 books at home. If they had moie than 100 books, the scoie was anothei 16 points gieatei. But even foi households with 1125 books, Almost every day Once or twice a week Once or twice a month Never or hardly ever 165 154 149 136 Chart 7D. Average Writing Scores by Frequency of Reading for Fun Grade 12 in 2002 Table 7E. Average Mathematics Scores and Books in the Home: Grade 12 in 2005 Reported number Average mathematics of books at home score More than 100 163 26100 151 1125 136 010 126 Mathematics scores range from 0 to 300. Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics Table 7F. Average Science Scores and Books in the Home: Grade 12 in 2005 Reported number Average science of books at home score More than 100 161 26100 147 1125 132 010 122 Science scores range from 0 to 300. Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics Writing scores range from 0 to 300. Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics To Read or Not To Read 73 12th-giade scoies weie signicantly highei than foi households with 0-10 books. Tis tendency applies to test-takeis in all foui subjects: math, science, civics, and histoiy. At this point, we might ask whethei the ielationship between student test scoies and numbei of books in the home is masking household income as a factoi in the analysis. Te Depaitment of Educations NAEP Data Explorer tool, available on the National Centei foi Education Statistics Web site, does not supply infoimation on paients eainings, which we might have compaied with student test scoies. Yet the tool does tiack anothei vaiiable closely ielated to socioeconomic status: paients level of education. Although test scoies iise successively with the paients education, the numbei of books iemains a signicant piedictoi of bettei test scoies. Considei 12th-giade sci- ence scoies: Students whose paients had high school diplomas and lived in homes with moie than 100 books scoied 22 points highei than students whose paients weie college giaduates and who iepoited 010 books in theii home. Indeed, foi all the subjects iepoited in Table 7I, students of high school-educated paients living in homes with moie than 100 books outscoied students with college- educated paients and 010 books at home. 72 Students with high school-educated paients and 26100 books in the home also outscoied students with college-edu- cated paients and 010 books at home. Te ielationship between test scoies and the availability of books may point to ieading and liteiaiy activity as highly visible func- tions in the householdbehaviois that stiengthen the students own ieading habits. Te close ielationship between student achievement and exposuie to books and ieading has been quantied to some extent. But left untouched aie the less academ- ically ielevant benets of ieading. Bettei test scoies aside, theie is a civic and social impeiative, as subsequent pages will show. 72 Regiession analyses suppoit this nding. Test scoies aie ioughly 30 points highei foi stu- dents with 100 oi moie books at home than foi students with 010 books, iegaidless of theii paients education. Table 7G. Average Civics Scores and Books in the Home: Grade 12 in 2006 Reported number Average civics of books at home score More than 100 167 26100 150 1125 134 010 123 Civics scores range from 0 to 300. Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics Table 7H. Average U.S. History Scores and Books in the Home: Grade 12 in 2006 Reported number Average history of books at home score More than 100 305 26100 289 1125 275 010 265 History scores range from 0 to 500. Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics 74 To Read or Not To Read Reading the Numbers: Math and Reading Scores In August 2007, the Department of Education released a report comparing the U.S. educational system with those of the Group of Eight (G-8) countries, which rank among the worlds most highly developed nations. The report found a strong relationship between reading and math achievement in seven of the G-8 countries: Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the Russian Federation, and the United States. (The UK was omitted because of its low response rate.) Among 15-year-olds tested for reading and mathematics literacy in 2003, a low score in either subject was usually accompanied by a low score in the other sub- ject. For example, 82% of Americansthe highest percentage among G-8 coun- trieswho scored at the lowest proficiency level in reading also scored at the lowest level in math. Further, 62% of American 15-year-olds who scored at the lowest level in math also obtained the lowest performance level in reading. For details, see pp. 2728 of the report, Comparative Indicators of Education in the United States and Other G-8 Countries: 2006, published by the Department of Educations National Center for Education Statistics. Table 7I. 12th-Grade Test Scores by Number of Books in the Home and by Parents Education (20052006) U.S. History Civics Test scores by Test scores by parents highest level parents highest level of education of education High school College High school College diploma graduate diploma graduate Books in the home: More than 100 290 309 152 172 26100 284 294 141 156 1125 270 281 133 140 010 264 275 121 131 Mathematics Science Test scores by Test scores by parents highest level parents highest level of education of education High school College High school College diploma graduate diploma graduate Books in the home: More than 100 145 169 148 166 26100 143 157 141 152 1125 132 142 127 140 010 126 137 120 126 Data source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics 76 To Read or Not To Read Tobbe/zefa/Corbis To Read or Not To Read 77 CHAPTER EIGHT 1. Employers nowrank reading and writing as top deciencies in newhires. 2. Good readers generally have more nancially rewarding jobs. 3. Less advanced readers report fewer opportunities for career growth. BACKGROUND cademic achievement tests aie useful in distinguishing between high and low liteiacy levels in the geneial population, but they tell only half the stoiy. As with many othei life skills, often of the aitistic oi intellectual kind, ieading and wiiting uency yield intangible benets that shaipen the divide between those who have the skills and those who do not. Some of those qualitative dieiences aie all but immeasuiable, otheis can be iated by theii value in the job maiket. Te impoitance of technological innovation to the national economy has ensuied that math and science skills aie sought aftei and well-iemuneiated by many indus- tiies. Incieasingly, howevei, think-tank oiganizations and expeit panels have also cited the competitive value of advanced liteiacy in the Ameiican woikplace. Some of theii conclusions diei on the type of liteiacy iequiied. In Closing the Expectations Gap 2007, foi example, the nonpiot Achieve, Inc. iepoits: Although [state] high school standaids and couises tend to emphasize liteiatuie, most of the ieading students will encountei in college oi on the job is infoima- tional in natuie (e.g., textbooks, manuals, aiticles, biiefs and essays).Most of the wiiting students will do in college and woik is to infoimand peisuade, often iequiiing students to use evidence to suppoit a position. Reseaich also is cited as an impoitant skill foi college and woik. State standaids tend to give these types of wiiting shoit shiift, emphasizing naiiative wiiting instead. 73 In contiast to this somewhat utilitaiian peispective, anothei nonpiot public pol- icy gioup places cieativity on equal footing with tiaditional liteiacy skills. Te National Centei on Education and the Economys 2007 iepoit, Tough Times or Tough Choices, states: Tis is a woild in which a veiy high level of piepaiation in ieading, wiiting, speaking, mathematics, science, liteiatuie, histoiy, and the aits will be an indis- pensable foundation foi eveiything that comes aftei foi most membeis of oui woikfoice. It is a woild in which comfoit with ideas and abstiactions is the pass- poit to a good job, in which cieativity and innovation aie the key to the good life, in which high levels of educationa veiy dieient kind of education than most of us have hadaie going to be the only secuiity theie is. 74 73 Achieve, Inc.: Closing the Expectations Gap 2007, 9. 74 National Centei on Education and the Economy, Tough Choices or Tough Times: e Report on the New Commission on the Skills of the American Workforce, 2007, xviii. Src:io Tnvrr Why Moie Tan Reading Is At Risk A 78 To Read or Not To Read Despite the iange of opinion on futuie caieei applications foi liteiacy, a ieview of iecent employei suiveys is enough to attest that above-basic ieading and wiiting skills aie in high demand. Depaitment of Education data pioling ieadeis at compe- tent and decient liteiacy levels aie additionally helpful in identifying positive out- comes associated with ieading and wiiting well. Key souices foi this chaptei aie: Te Confeience Boaid, Coipoiate Voices foi Woiking Families, Paitneiship foi 21st Centuiy Skills, Society foi Human Resouice Management: Are ey Really Ready to Work? Employers Perspectives on the Basic Knowledge and Applied Skills of New Entrants to the 21st Century Workforce, 2006. College Entiance Examination Boaid: Writing: A Ticket to WorkOr a Ticket Out, A Survey of Business Leaders, 2004. College Entiance Examination Boaid: Writing: A Powerful Message from State Government, 2005. U.S. Depaitment of Education, National Centei foi Education Statistics, Liter- acy in Everyday Life: Results from the 2003 National Assessment of Adult Lit- eracy, 2007. Perceived Workforce Needs Ameiican businesses and ieseaich and advocacy oiganizations posed a haid question about Ameiicas new hiies in the title of a 2006 iepoit, Are ey Really Ready to Work? In Apiil and May of that yeai, the gioup polled employeis foi peispectives on the basic knowledge and applied skills of new entiants to the 21st-centuiy U.S. woikfoice, a phiase captuied by the iepoits subtitle. Te suivey sample was not nationally iepiesentative, and the iesponse iate was low5, oi 431 companies with a combined woikfoice of 2 million U.S. employees. Howevei, the sample was diveise: the highest peicentage of iespondents, 23, belonged to the manufactuiing industiies, with anothei 21of employeis in govein- ment, nonpiot, oi education sectois. Business and piofessional seivices, on the one hand, and nancial and insuiance seivices, on the othei, each claimed about 14of the iespondent pool, with some of the iemaining peicentages distiibuted acioss the healthcaie (12), enteitainmenti tiade (10), and eneigyiutilitiesiconstiuctionitianspoitation sectois (7). About 80 of companies weie small (less than 500 employees) oi mid-sized (5004,999), with the iemaining iespondents each having 5,000 oi moie employees. 75 Despite the iange of employei-iespondents, a cleai majoiity viewed two basic skills as veiy impoitant foi newwoikfoice entiants, iegaidless of education level. Tose skills aie ieading and wiiting. See Table 8A. Shown a list of nine basic skill aieasincluding math, science, and economics 90of employeis named wiiting in English as veiy impoitant foi the job success of newhiies that had giaduated fioma foui-yeai college oi univeisity. Reading com- piehension also ianked high among the basic skill needs foi this gioup, placing the skill in the top thiee, just undei English Language skills. We might expect college-educated employees to be valued moie highly foi theii wiiting ability than employees with less education, if we can assume that the skill was iened as pait of the college expeiience. But employeis expectations foi less- educated woikeis, those who stopped at high school oi junioi college, also empha- size the skill. Wiiting is the thiid most commonly selected skill deemed veiy impoitant foi high school and junioi college giaduates alike. Among these hiies, 75 Foity-foui peicent of iespond- ing employeis iecoided annual ievenues undei $100 million, while 29 had annual ievenues of $1 billion and moie. Twenty-seven peicent had ievenues fiom $100 million to $999,999,999. Peisonnel with the job title of diiectoi accounted foi just ovei half of the suiveys iespondents. Othei iespondents weie company vice- piesidents, senioi VPs, manageisi supeivisois, human iesouice spe- cialists, and othei HR sta. (See p. 61 of Are ey Really Ready to Work?) To Read or Not To Read 79 reading comprehension claimed the top spot, earning the most employer rat- ings of very important. In addition to asking employeis about basic skill needs, the suivey listed 11 applied skills such as ciitical thinking and pioblem solving, piofessionalism and woik ethic, and asked which ones would be consideied veiy impoitant, impoitant, oi not impoitant. Reading compiehension was not among the applied skills fiom which employeis could choose, but wiitten communications was. (Te suivey denes this skill as the ability to wiite memos, letteis and complex technical iepoits cleaily and eectively.) According to the majority of employers, written communications are essential for newhires among two-year or four-year college graduates. See Table 8B. Moie than 93of employeis iated the skill veiy impoitant foi job entiants with a college education, while 72iated the skill veiy impoitant foi two-yeai oi technical college giaduates. Foi two-yeai and foui-yeai college giaduates alike, wiitten communica- tions ianks in the top ve applied skills valued most highly by employeis. Foi new hiies whose education stopped at high school, employei expectations do not appeai to value wiitten communications as gieatly as foi job entiants with highei education. Yet just ovei half of iespondents (52) deemed the skill veiy impoitant even foi this gioup of employees. Top Deficiencies in New Hires How do the skills of new hiies stack up with these peiceived job needs? Foi job entiants of all levels of educational attainment, wiiting is faiing pooily. Among high school giaduates, wiiting in English was the most commonly iepoited basic skill Table 8A. Basic Skills Rated Very Important by Employers (Top Five) Percentage of employers who rate the following basic skills as very important for: High School Graduates Two-Year College Graduates Four-Year College Graduates Reading Comprehension 63% Reading Comprehension 72% Writing in English 90% English Language 62% English Language 71% English Language 88% Writing in English 49% Writing in English 65% Reading Comprehension 87% Mathematics 30% Mathematics 44% Mathematics 64% Foreign Language 11% Science 21% Science 33% Source: The Conference Board, Are They Really Ready to Work? (2006) Table 8B. Applied Skills Rated Very Important by Employers (Top Five) Percentage of employers who rate the following basic skills as very important for: High School Graduates Two-Year College/Technical Four-Year College Graduates School Graduates Professionalism/Work Ethic 80% Professionalism/Work Ethic 83% Oral Communications 95% Teamwork/Collaboration 75% Teamwork/Collaboration 83% Teamwork/Collaboration 94% Oral Communications 70% Oral Communications 82% Professionalism/Work Ethic 94% Ethics/Social Responsibility 63% Critical Thinking/Problem Solving 73% Written Communications 93% Critical Thinking/Problem Solving 58% Written Communications 72% Critical Thinking/Problem Solving 92% Source: The Conference Board, Are They Really Ready to Work? (2006) 80 To Read or Not To Read deciency iepoited by employeis (72). Wiitten communications, meanwhile, was the most commonly iepoited applied skill deciency: 81%of employers reported this problemwith high school graduates, as Table 8C notes. Newhiies with two-yeai oi foui-yeai college backgiounds display a similai weak- ness, accoiding to employeis, albeit at a lowei iate. Foity-six peicent of employeis judged two-yeai college giaduates decient in wiiting in English, while 26 of employeis iepoited this deciency in foui-yeai college giaduates. In both cases, the basic skill ianked as the second gieatest deciency found in the new hiies. Among applied skills, the job ielevance of liteiacy is even cleaiei. Foi both two- yeai and foui-yeai giaduates, wiitten communications claimed the top spot in applied skill deciencies cited by employeis. See Table 8D. Befoie tuining to a sepaiate analysis of wiiting skill needs in the woikplace, we should look moie closely at ieading compiehension, though not shown in the pie- ceding table. As demonstiated in Table 8A, 63 of employeis ianked ieading com- piehension veiy impoitant foi high school giaduates. Yet 38 considei most high school giaduates decient in this basic skill. Te suivey also ievealed that employeis in the manufactuiing sectoi weie moie likely than othei employeis to iepoit ieading compiehension as a deciency in new Table 8C. Skill Deficiencies in High School Graduates (Top Five) Percentage of employers who rate high school graduates as deficient in basic and applied skills: Basic Skills Applied Skills Writing in English 72% Written Communications 81% Foreign Languages 62% Leadership 73% Mathematics 54% Professionalism/Work Ethic 70% History/Geography 46% Critical Thinking/Problem Solving 70% Government/Economics 46% Lifelong Learning/Self-Direction 58% Source: The Conference Board, Are They Really Ready to Work? (2006) Table 8D. Skill Deficiencies in College Graduates (Top Five) Percentage of employers who rate two-year and four-year college graduates as deficient in basic and applied skills: Two-Year College Graduates Four-Year College Graduates Basic Skills Basic Skills Foreign Languages 50% Foreign Languages 41% Writing in English 46% Writing in English 26% Government/Economics 32% Government/Economics 17% History/Geography 26% History/Geography 17% Mathematics 25% Science 13% Applied Skills Applied Skills Written Communications 47% Written Communications 28% Leadership 43% Leadership 24% Professionalism/Work Ethic 31% Professionalism/Work Ethic 19% Lifelong Learning/Self-Direction 28% Creativity/Innovation 17% Creativity/Innovation 28% Lifelong Learning/Self-Direction 14% Source: The Conference Board, Are They Really Ready to Work? (2006) To Read or Not To Read 81 hiies. Foity-nine peicent of employeis in manufactuiing cited this basic skill as lack- ing in job entiants, compaied with 36 of employeis in all othei industiies. Math and science weie the two othei basic skills that manufactuieis found lacking in new hiies moie often than othei industiies did. Te impoitance of ieading compiehension to the manufactuiing sectoi is pio- jected to giow, accoiding to a sepaiate suivey, the 2005 Skills Gap ReportASurvey of the American Manufacturing Workforce, conducted by the National Association of Manufactuieis and Deloitte Consulting LLP. In iesults fiomthe 800-employei sui- vey, ieadingiwiitingicommunication skills ianked among the top thiee types of skills that employeis will demand incieasingly. Moie than half of suiveyed employeis said the need foi those skills would expand ovei the next thiee yeais. 76 Writing Skills in Demand Chaptei Seven identied a coiielation between students ieading patteins and National Assessment of Educational Piogiess (NAEP) wiiting test scoies. Anecdo- tally, wiiting instiuctois have long witnessed the inspiiation, stylistic lessons, and vocabulaiy giowth that the best student-wiiteis deiive fiom authois they iead on theii own initiative. In this iespect, ieading widely and ieading well can be a caieei investment. Two iepoits, issued by the National Commission on Wiiting foi Ameiicas Families, Schools, and Colleges, undeiscoie the peiceived demand of todays job maiket foi advanced wiiting skills in newemployees. Te Commission was founded by the Col- lege Entiance Examination Boaid in 2005, the yeai the boaid launched its new SAT exam, which now includes a wiiting component. Te ist iepoit, Writing: A Ticket to Workor a Ticket Out (2004), desciibed iesults fioma mailed suivey with intensive phone call follow-up. Focused on wiiting needs in the woikplace, the questionnaiie was distiibuted to 120 human iesouice leadeis belonging to the Business Roundtable, a CEO membeiship oiganization. Te suivey yielded a 53 iesponse iate. Like the suivey in Are ey Really Ready to Work?, the wiiting data cannot be viewed as nationally iepiesentative, and a fui- thei caveat applies. Unlike that pieviously discussed suivey, the wiiting suivey data do not ieect a bioad iange of employment sectois. Te National Commission on Wiiting notes, foi example, that manufactuieis aie oveiiepiesented among Business Roundtable membeiship, and they accounted foi 69of suivey iespondents. An additional 15of iespondents belonged to the tians- poitation oi utilities sectois, with anothei 7in nanceiinsuianceiieal estate, 6in seivices, with the iemaindei in constiuction oi mining. Some industiies with Business Roundtable membeiship weie not captuied by the suivey: wholesale and ietail tiade and agiicultuie, foiestiy, and shing. Te Com- mission also wains that the studys ndings cannot be applied to small business oi goveinment employment. (Te aveiage employee base foi the 64 iesponding ims was 54,503.) Howdo human iesouice peisonnel in laige coipoiations iate the need foi wiiting ability in the woikplace? Neaily 70 of iesponding ims said at least two-thiids of theii employees have wiiting in theii job desciiptions. 77 Moie than half of iespon- dents claimed they fiequently oi almost always considei wiiting ability in hiiing decisions. Accuiacy (95), claiity (75), and spelling, punctuation, and giammai (59) weie the top thiee wiiting chaiacteiistics valued by employeis. Tey cited e-mail coiie- 76 National Manufactuieis Associ- ation and Deloitte Consulting, 2005 Skills Gap ReportA Survey of the American Manufacturing Workforce, 2005, 8. See p. 25 foi suivey methodology. 77 Unless noted otheiwise, the employee data culled fiom both National Commission on Wiiting suiveys ielate to salaiied oi pio- fessional employees, and not houily oi cleiicalisuppoit sta. 82 To Read or Not To Read spondence, piesentations and visuals, memos, and foimal iepoits as some of the most fiequently iequiied communication foimats. As foi woikeis wiiting ability, 34 of employeis iepoited that adequate wiiting skills aie lacking in two-thiids oi moie of the cuiient woikfoice. Almost the same peicentage36found wiiting skills lacking in at least two-thiids of incoming employees. Te Commission concludes: Since up to one-thiid of the employees in these blue-chip coipoiations do not possess adequate wiiting skills, wiiting decien- cies may be even moie pionounced elsewheie in the bioadei piivate sectoi, paiticu- laily among employees of small- and medium-sized businesses. In 2005, the National Commission on Wiiting iepoited iesults fioma smallei but moie iepiesentative employei suivey. Tis time, the Commission asked the National Goveinois Association to poll state human iesouices diiectoisthiough an online suiveyon wiiting skill needs of state goveinment employees. Foity-nine of 50 state human iesouice diiectois iesponded. Table 8E displays key iesults fiom the two wiiting suiveys side by side. On the whole, state employeis appeai to value wiiting even moie highly than the laige com- panies suiveyed. All of the state peisonnel diiectois said two-thiids oi moie of theii employees have wiiting as a job iesponsibility. (Two-thiids of laige coipoiations said the same foi theii employees.) Eighty peicent of state human iesouices diiectois fie- quently oi almost always considei wiiting in hiiing new employees, compaied with just 51 of laige companies. When it comes to woikfoice wiiting ability, the coipoiate and state employei sui- veys yield maikedly dieient conclusions: While 70 of state peisonnel diiectois iepoited that two-thiids of cuiient and newemployees possess this skill, the shaie of companies claiming this view is only half as gieat. Costs of Remediation Te compaiatively highei iate of satisfaction iecoided by state employeis foi theii woikeis wiiting ability may ieect, at least in pait, a gieatei emphasis on tiaining. Accoiding to the National Commission on Wiiting, two-thiids of state employei- iespondents said they fiequently oi almost always piovide tiaining foi woikeis whose wiiting abilities aie pooi, and less than 10of state employeis said they nevei piovide such tiaining. Among laige coipoiations, just ovei 40fiequently oi almost always piovide such tiaining foi employees who iequiie it. Even if tiaining foi wiiting is emphasized moie stiongly by state employeis, the ielative costs aie iepoitedly gieatei foi the piivate sectoi. State employeis iepoit pay- Table 8E. Selected Results from National Commission on Writing Surveys: A Comparison Percentage who said: Corporate State employers employers Writing is a job responsibility for at least two-thirds of employees 67% 100% Writing is frequently or almost always a factor in hiring decisions 51% 80% Writing is frequently or almost always a factor in promotion decisions 50% 60% The majority of new and current employees possess this skill 35% 70% Some percentages are approximate. Sources: College Entrance Examination Board, Writing: A Ticket to Work Or a Ticket Out (2004) and Writing: A Powerful Message from State Government (2005) To Read or Not To Read 83 ing, on aveiage, $425 pei employee foi wiiting tiaining, which the National Com- mission on Wiiting estimates as costing state agencies $221 million annually. Foi laige coipoiations, the aveiage spent on wiiting tiaining, acioss industiies, is $950 pei employee, yielding a National Commission on Wiiting estimate of $3.1 bil- lion pei yeai. Because of the iange of iepoited costs, howevei, the total estimates must be viewed cautiously. 78 Prospects for Promotion Accoiding to the National Commission on Wiiting, moie than 60of state employ- eis take wiiting skills into account in making piomotion decisions, compaied with almost half of laige coipoiate employeis. In industiy, manufactuieis aie moie likely than the constiuction sectoi to base piomotion decisions on wiiting skills: 58 of manufactuieis veisus one-thiid of constiuction companies. Te Depaitment of Educations 2003 National Assessment of Adult Liteiacy (NAAL) piovides anothei indiiect measuie of the link between liteiacy skills and job advancement. In addition to gauging U.S. adults ieading ability, the NAAL culled self-iepoited backgiound chaiacteiistics fiomthe test-takeis. Seveial of these back- giound chaiacteiistics covei woikplace expeiience. As shown by Table 8F, foi example, the majoiity of adults at the Below-Basic ieading level (70) expiessed theii belief that low ieading skills had hindeied theii job options. Tat peicentage dwindles in ielation to impioved ieading ability: 38of Basic ieadeis said theii caieei giowth sueied, while only 16and 4of Inteimedi- ate and Piocient ieadeis, iespectively, iepoited this expeiience. Te NAAL also obtained self-iepoited data on salaiies of full-time employed adults who took the test. Heie, too, advanced ieading skills coiielate with moie positive out- comes, discounting othei factois. Te majoiity of Basic and Below-Basic ieadeis 62 and 77, iespectivelyiepoit eaining weekly incomes below $650, while the majoiity of Piocient ieadeis fall within the $850-oi-moie-pei-week categoiy. Fifty- seven peicent of Inteimediate ieadeis eain $650 oi moie pei week. See Table 8G. What about the types of jobs that people of dieient liteiacy levels tend to have? Accoiding to Table 8H, moie than 60 of Piocient ieadeis aie employed in the management, business, and nancial oi piofessional and ielated sectois, wheie aveiage weekly eainings aie typically the highest. Moieovei, piogiessively highei iates of employment in those categoiies aie associated with highei ieading levels, with 7of Below-Basic ieadeis, 18of Basic ieadeis, and 36of Inteimediate iead- eis woiking in those sectois. Also notewoithy is that signicantly higher percent- ages of readers at or above Basic are now employed in those sectors than in 1992. 79 78 Foi example, the Commission iepoits that coipoiate wiiting tiaining seivices iange fiom online tutoiing piogiams costing veiy little to full-scale wiiting woikshops piiced in the thou- sands. State agencies, by contiast, iepoited estimates ianging fiom $35 pei employee to $5,000 pei employee. Te estimates include houily oi cleiicalisuppoit sta, and not just the piofessional oi salaiied employees discussed elsewheie in this section. 79 Te peicentage of Basic ieadeis in management, business and the nancial sectoi iose thiee points fiom 5 in 1992, the peicentage of ieadeis at that skill level who weie employed in piofessional and ielated elds giew two points fiom 8 to 10ovei the same peiiod. Table 8F. Percentage of Adults Who Said Their Reading Skills Limited Their Job Opportunities, by Reading Level in 2003 Prose literacy level Not at all A little Some A lot Below Basic 30% 13% 22% 35% Basic 62% 14% 15% 9% Intermediate 85% 7% 6% 3% Proficient 96% 2% 1% 1% Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics 84 To Read or Not To Read Compaied with Piocient ieadeis, Below-Basic ieadeis do claim highei peicent- ages of employment in ceitain sectoisconstiuction, pioduction, tianspoitation, and seivice industiiesbut not in oce and administiative suppoit. Equal peicent- ages of Below-Basic and Basic ieadeis, on the one hand, and Inteimediate and Pio- cient ieadeis, on the othei, occupy the sales and ielated sectoi. Fiomthese data, we cannot conclude that decient oi mediocie ieadeis univeisally expeiience less job satisfaction oi less oppoitunity foi advancement than good iead- eis. But when it comes to highei salaiies, self-iepoited condence in job success, and employment in sectois with high-giowth potentialmanagement, business, and piofessional caieeisieading skills aie in abundance. Data fiomothei souices indicate that not only do employeis viewadvanced liteiacy as ciitical to job success, but many Ameiicans iecognize theii ieading and wiiting deciencies as potentially haimful to theii caieeis. Accoiding to suivey iesults iepoited in 2005, one-thiid of high school giaduates who did not attend college iden- tied the ability to iead and undeistand complicated mateiials as a gap in theii piepaiation foi achieving goals in life. Even 29of college students iepoited this gap. 80 As foi wiiting ability, 35 of college students and 38 of high school giaduates who did not attend college iepoited a gap between theii wiiting skills and the quality of wiiting that is expected of them by futuie employeis, the suivey concluded. An inteinational study, conducted by Statistics Canada with the Oiganization foi 80 Petei D. Hait AssociatesiPublic Opinion Stiategies, Rising to the Challenge: Are High School Students Prepared for College and Work? A Study of High School Graduates, College Instructors, and Employers, conducted foi Achieve, Inc., 2005, 5. Table 8G. Percentage of Full-Time Workers, by Weekly Earnings and Reading Level in 2003 Prose literacy level Less than $300- $500- $650- $850- $1,150- $1,450- $1,950 $300 $499 $649 $849 $1,149 $1,449 $1,949 or more Below Basic 18% 41% 18% 12% 7% 3% 1% 2% Basic 12% 31% 19% 16% 12% 5% 2% 4% Intermediate 8% 19% 17% 18% 17% 8% 6% 8% Proficient 4% 10% 11% 17% 20% 13% 13% 12% Numbers do not total 100% due to rounding. Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics Table 8H. Percentage of Adults in Each Occupational Group, by Reading Level in 2003 Prose literacy level Management, Professional Service Sales Office and business, and financial and related and related administrative support Below Basic 3% 4% 30% 8% 8% Basic 8% 10% 24% 12% 14% Intermediate 15% 21% 16% 12% 16% Proficient 19% 42% 10% 7% 13% Prose literacy level Farming, fishing, Construction Installation, Production Transportation and forestry and extraction maintenance, repair and material moving Below Basic 3% 15% 2% 15% 11% Basic 1% 9% 4% 11% 9% Intermediate 0% 5% 4% 7% 4% Proficient 0% 3% 2% 3% 2% Numbers do not total 100% due to rounding. Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics To Read or Not To Read 85 Economic Coopeiation & Development, has attempted to quantify the distiibution of decient ieadeis in the global woikfoice. By the studys estimates, 1920 of Ameiicans ages 1665 aie mismatched foi theii jobs on the basis of theii ielatively low scoies on liteiacy tests. Te studys authois explain: Skill decits aie appaient in eveiy countiy, but the extent of the pioblemvaiies. Appioximately 1030of the woikfoice can fall into this categoiy, depending on the countiy. Some countiies have a compaiatively high skills decit.Pie- sumably, a ceitain level of mismatch is expected in the laboi maiket but whethei 10, foi example, is noimal cannot be answeied with ceitainty. Highei iates, howevei, aie likely to suggest a need foi adjustment, in paiticulai, the need foi an incieased eoit to tiain peisons in those jobs. 81 81 Statistics Canada and the Oiganisation foi Economic Co- opeiation and Development, Learning a Living: First Results of the Adult Literacy and Life Skills Survey, Copyiight OECD, 2005, 144. Average Reading Scores: A Double Meaning? In 2004, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Devel- opment published Learning for Tomorrows World: First Results from the OECD Programme for International Student Assessment. Known as PISA, the program is a schools-based study the OECD conducted in 2000 and again in 2003 to assess literacy skills and student achievement outcomes based on an internationally accepted framework. The 2003 assessment revealed that average American reading scores are truly average. U.S. 15-year-olds barely placed in the top half of average reading scores for 31 participating nations. Their scores lagged far behind those of readers in such countries as Australia, Canada, Ireland, Korea, Finland, Sweden, and The Netherlands. Especially in a global marketplace, with highly skilled and educated workers increasingly in supply, such mediocrity may become untenable. Table 8I. Average Reading Scores of 15-Year-Olds in Selected Countries: 2003 Country Score Rank Country Score Rank Finland 543 1 Denmark 492 16 Korea 534 2 Iceland 492 16 Canada 528 3 Austria 491 17 Australia 525 4 Germany 491 17 New Zealand 522 5 Czech Republic 489 18 Ireland 515 6 Hungary 482 19 Sweden 514 7 Spain 481 20 Netherlands 513 8 Luxembourg 479 21 Belgium 507 9 Italy 476 22 Norway 500 10 Portugal 478 22 Switzerland 499 11 Greece 472 23 Japan 498 12 Slovak Republic 469 24 Poland 497 13 Turkey 441 25 France 496 14 Mexico 400 26 United States 495 15 Source: Learning for Tomorrows World: First Results from PISA 2003, Copyright OECD, 2004 86 To Read or Not To Read CHAPTER NINE 5. Good readers play a crucial role in enriching our cultural and civic life. 6. Good readers make good citizens. BACKGROUND R eadeis of poetiy may iecognize, in the second statement above, a faint allusion to Robeit Fiosts poem Mending Wall. Te poem depicts two neighbois mending a stone wall on a spiing day. Wintei has eioded the wall in paits, leaving gaps that even two can pass abieast. As the neighbois toil on eithei side of the wall, the speakei of the poem asks why a wall must divide theii piopeities in the ist place. Tis neighboi is moie open and playful and peihaps moie geneious than the othei, who comes o as sti and piickly by compaiison. (In a chaiming metaphoi, the speakei explains: He is all pine and I amapple-oichaid.) Te second neighboi justies the wall, howevei, with a now-famous sentence: Good fences make good neighbois. Te line iecuis at the end of the poem, but this time the meaning is iionic. By con- tiast, no iiony is intended in the second statement heading this chaptei. Like the two chaiacteis in Fiosts poem, advanced oi fiequent ieadeis and decient oi iiiegulai ieadeis can be shown to exhibit unique sets of behaviois, and it is tempting to imag- ine a wall dividing the two gioups. Tis chaptei diaws fiom two publications, one an analysis conducted by the Aits Endowment as pait of the 2002 Suivey of Public Paiticipation in the Aits, and the othei a Depaitment of Education iepoit iefeienced in eailiei chapteis. Although none of the data showcause and eect wheie ieading and ieadei tiaits aie conceined, the two iepoits do highlight seveial shaied behavioi patteins linked with positive individual, civic, and social outcomes. National Endowment foi the Aits: e Arts and Civic Engagement: Involved in Arts, Involved in Life, 2006. National Centei foi Education Statistics: Literacy in Everyday Life: Results from the 2003 National Assessment of Adult Literacy, 2007. Literary Readers and Civic Engagement Te 2002 Suivey of Public Paiticipation in the Aits (SPPA), designed by the National Endowment foi the Aits and executed by the U.S. Census Buieau, is the most iecent souice of nationally iepiesentative, statistically ieliable data on adult paiticipation in aits events and activities. Foi the benet of aits oiganizations, aitists, academic ieseaicheis, policy makeis, news media, and the geneial public, the 2002 data have been iepoited in multiple NEA publications. 82 Tat yeai, the SPPAwas administeied as a supplement to the Census Cuiient Pop- ulation Suivey. Te SPPA involved a sample of 17,135 adults (dened as 18 yeais of age oi oldei), and the iesponse iate was 70. Because the suivey collected data not only on aits paiticipation, but also on iespondent backgiound chaiacteiistics and a iange of leisuie activities, the iesults peimit compaiisons of self-iepoited behavioi 82 Tey aie, in oidei of publication: Suivey of Public Paiticipation in the Aits (Reseaich Note #81), Bonnie Nichols, Demogiaphic Chaiacteiistics of Aits Atten- dance (Reseaich Note #82), 2002 Survey of Public Participation in the Arts (Reseaich Repoit #45), Reading at Risk: A Survey of Liter- ary Reading in America (Reseaich Repoit #46), Bonnie Nichols, Aits and Leisuie Activities: Evidence fiom the 2002 Suivey of Public Paiticipation in the Aits (Reseaich Note, #89), and Bonnie Nichols, Volunteeiing and Pei- foiming Aits Attendance: Moie Evidence fiom the SPPA (Reseaich Note #94). To Read or Not To Read 87 patteins acioss the geneial population. Fuithei, because the suivey has been con- ducted ve times since 1982, tiend compaiisons aie available. Te 2004 NEA iepoit Reading at Risk was based on an analysis of the 2002 SPPA data and identied declines in liteiaiy ieading iates (the peicentage of adults who had iead a novel, shoit stoiy, poem, oi play in the last 12 months) among Ameiicans of both gendeis, all education levels, and most age gioups. Te iepoit also diew attention to measuiable links between liteiaiy ieading and paiticipation in aits and civic activity. Tose coiielations weie the focus of a sepaiate NEAieseaich biochuie, e Arts and Civic Engagement (2006). Table 9Ademonstiates the statistical stiength of those links, between liteiaiy iead- ing and aits paiticipation and othei types of activities. Liteiaiy ieadeis aie well ovei thiee times as likely as non-ieadeis to visit ait museums and attend plays oi musicals oi classical oi jazz conceits. Although not shown heie, they aie even moie likely than non-ieadeis to go out to the movies and listen to classical oi jazz iadio stations. Fuithei, liteiaiy ieadeis aie signicantly moie likely than non-ieadeis to play spoits oi attend amateui oi piofessional spoiting events. Tey do outdooi activities (e.g., camping, hiking, and canoeing), exeicise at home oi in a gym, and cieate ait thiough photogiaphs, paintings, oi wiitingsall at highei iates than Ameiicans who do not iead ction, diama, oi poetiy. Reading at Risk found that young adults (18- to 34-yeai-olds) in paiticulai weie ieading liteiatuie at fai lowei iates than befoieat a 45 iate in 2002, the shaipest decline (16 points) among all adults undei 65. Given the stiong coiielation between liteiaiy ieading and othei positive individual and social behavioi, one would expect to see declines in young adult paiticipation in those activities as well. Tables 9B and 9Cbeai out this hypothesis. Liteiaiy ieading is among a host of cul- tuial and civic activities that have expeiienced declines in young adult paiticipation ovei a peiiod of two decades. Readers Serve Their Communities Volunteeiing is the most diiectly civic activity tiacked by the suivey. Heie the iesults aie even moie stiiking than foi the othei leisuie activities done by liteiaiy ieadeis. As Table 9D shows, liteiaiy ieadeis aie moie than twice as likely as non- ieadeis to volunteei oi do chaiity woik. Table 9A. Participation Rates for Literary Readers in 2002 Activity Literary readers Non-readers Gap between groups Visit art museums 43% 12% -31 pp Attend plays or musicals 36% 10% -26 pp Attend jazz or classical concerts 29% 9% -20 pp Create photographs, paintings, or writings 32% 10% -22 pp Attend sporting events 44% 27% -17 pp Play sports 38% 24% -14 pp Exercise 72% 40% -32 pp Do outdoor activities 41% 22% -19 pp pp = percentage points Source: National Endowment for the Arts 88 To Read or Not To Read Te stiong link between liteiaiy ieading and volunteeiing was obseived in viitually all demogiaphic gioups captuied by the SPPA: acioss all age gioups, education levels, income gioups, and Census iegions. Moieovei, when contiolling foi education level, gendei, age, and ethnicity, the study found that liteiaiy ieadeis weie thiee times as likely as non-ieadeis to volunteei. 83 Finally, not only liteiaiy ieadeis but readers of 83 Bonnie Nichols, Volunteeiing and Peifoiming Aits Attendance: Moie Evidence fiom the SPPA (Reseaich Note #94), 2006, 9. Table 9C. Participation in Sports and Physical Activities (Ages 18-34) Participation trends 1982 1992 2002 19822002 Rate of decline Percentage who: Attended a sporting event 62% 48% 43% -19 pp -31% Played sports 60% 55% 43% -17 pp -28% Did outdoor activities 50% 42% 38% -12 pp -24% Exercised 67% 67% 60% -7 pp -10% pp = percentage points Source: National Endowment for the Arts Table 9B. Literary Reading and Performing Arts Attendance (Ages 1834) Participation trends 1982 1992 2002 19822002 Rate of decline Percentage who read literature 61% 54% 45% -16 pp -26% Percentage who attended a: Jazz concert 16% 13% 11% -5 pp -31% Classical concert 12% 10% 9% -3 pp -25% Musical 19% 16% 15% -4 pp -21% Ballet 4% 5% 3% -1 pp -25% pp = percentage points Source: National Endowment for the Arts Table 9E. Percentage of Adults Who Volunteered, by Prose Literacy Level in 2003 Less than once Once a week Total who a week or more volunteered Proficient 32% 25% 57% Basic 16% 15% 31% Below Basic 8% 10% 18% Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics Table 9D. Percentage of Adults Who Volunteered or Did Charity Work: 2002 Literary readers Non-readers Gap between groups 43% 16% -27 pp pp = percentage points Source: National Endowment for the Arts To Read or Not To Read 89 books in general aie moie likely than non-ieadeis to do chaiity woik. As Reading at Risk demonstiatedsee pp. 67 of that eailiei iepoitvolunteeiing iates iose with the numbei of books (liteiaiy oi nonction) iead ovei the past yeai. Te Depaitment of Educations 2003 National Assessment of Adult Liteiacy (NAAL) also contains statistics on volunteeiing. Figuies aie piesented not in ielation to liteiaiy ieading, but by ieading skill level. Table 9E ieveals that not only do advanced ieadeis, on aveiage, volunteei at a highei iate than Basic oi Below-Basic ieadeisthey also volunteei moie fiequently. Anothei measuiement of civic paiticipation is the peicentage of ieadeis who choose to vote. Te assessment asked U.S. adults whethei they had voted in the most iecent piesidential election, which had occuiied in 2000. As with the NAAL data on Table 9F. Percentage of Adults Who Voted in the 2000 Presidential Election, by 2003 Prose Literacy Level Proficient 84% Basic 62% Below Basic 53% Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics Table 9G. Percentage of Adults Who Got Information About Current Events, Public Affairs, and the Government from Various Media Sources, by Prose Literacy Level: 2003 Source and literacy level None A little Some A lot Newspapers Proficient 7% 26% 32% 35% Intermediate 8% 23% 36% 33% Basic 12% 23% 35% 30% Below Basic 29% 25% 26% 20% Magazines Proficient 16% 37% 37% 10% Intermediate 18% 35% 37% 10% Basic 25% 30% 34% 12% Below Basic 42% 23% 25% 9% Books or Brochures Proficient 21% 39% 30% 9% Intermediate 20% 34% 35% 11% Basic 26% 30% 33% 11% Below Basic 44% 23% 25% 8% Internet Proficient 16% 22% 31% 31% Intermediate 31% 18% 25% 26% Basic 53% 13% 17% 17% Below Basic 77% 6% 9% 8% Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics 90 To Read or Not To Read volunteeiing, voting activity incieases in ielation to ieading skill level: fiom53and 62of Below-Basic and Basic ieadeis, iespectively, to 84of Piocient ieadeis. See Table 9F. Piocient ieadeis also exhibit gieatei cuiiosity about cuiient events, public aaiis, and goveinment activity, as measuied by theii use of media to obtain this infoima- tion. Table 9Gdisplays the peicentages of ieadeis at all skill levels who ieceived infoi- mation on the afoiementioned subjects thiough thiee types of piint media and the Inteinet. Based on the links we alieady have obseived between voluntaiy ieading and iead- ing piociency, the stiong ielationship between ieading skills and engagement with piint media is less suipiising than anothei fact: even Internet usage for information on current events, public aairs, and government rises in relation to reading skillsfiom Below-Basic to Piocient. Reading as an Act of Empathy What accounts foi these dispaiities in civic engagement between decient and advanced ieadeis? Foi some of the outcomes measuied in this chaptei, bioadei social dynamics may be at woik. Foi example, the lowei income levels often associated with less-skilled ieadeis may iesult in less access to the Inteinet foi news puiposes, let alone othei types of com- putei use. Oi the compaiatively lowei income level of the aveiage decient ieadei may iequiie him oi hei to woik moie than one jobyielding fewei leisuie houis to spend on volunteeiing and othei civic activities. Alteinatively, uniemaiked factois unique to the household, neighboihood, oi health status of the individual may play a iole. In the absence of haid data explaining the reason foi incieased civic engagement among liteiaiy and skilled ieadeis, we might considei the question moie abstiactly. Te NEAs 2006 Arts and Civic Engagement ieseaich biochuie noted: By eveiy measuie captuied by the Suivey of Public Paiticipation in the Aits, liteiaiy ieadeis lead moie iobust lifestyles than non-ieadeis. Tese ndings contiadict commonly held assumptions that ieadeis and aits paiticipants aie passive, isolated, oi self- absoibed. Anothei quotation, this one fiom the novelist, liteiaiy ciitic, and populai theolo- gian C.S. Lewis (authoi of e Chronicles of Narnia), piesents a peisonal ieason foi expecting ieadeis to identify moie closely with community than non-ieadeis: Liteiaiy expeiience heals the wound, without undeimining the piivilege, of indi- viduality. Teie aie mass emotions which heal the wound, but they destioy the piivilege.But in ieading gieat liteiatuie I become a thousand men and yet iemain myself.Heie, as in woiship, in love, in moial action, and in knowing, I tianscend myself, and am nevei moie myself than when I do. 84 Good ieadeis, and not only liteiaiy ones, enjoy this piivilege of undeistanding and appieciating the outlook of otheis while enlaiging theii own identity. Peihaps because of this active empathy, they contiibute in measuiable ways to civic and social impiovements. Ultimately, ieading skills and eaily habits of leisuie ieading may come to occupy the same ielationship to aitistic, cultuial, and civic piogiess as basic science skills 84 C.S. Lewis, An Experiment in Criticism, Cambiidge Univeisity Piess, 1995, 140141. To Read or Not To Read 91 have had to technological bieakthioughs. Just as fundamental knowledge of math and science has enabled piactical innovations in eveiyday life, so might young ieadeis of today yield unfoieseen benets foi health policy, business, law, the social sciences, aits and cultuie, jouinalism, and civic planning. But why limit theii accomplishments to the humanities? In an eia of specialization, the imaginative and analytical skills unlocked by ieading can fuel a biiskei dialogue between the aits and sciences. As this iepoit has attempted to show, ieading often and ieading well aie pieiequisites foi achievement in aieas fai beyond liteiatuie and liteiacy alone. 92 To Read or Not To Read Patterns of Disengagement: A Corollary Despite positive findings about the civic engagement levels of literary and advanced readers (see the preceding pages), the reverse trend for deficient or non-readers is worthy of special attention. As the tables below indi- cate, adults who are deficient readers are more likely than skilled readers to be high school dropoutsand they are more likely to be absent from the workforce. The NAAL recorded education and employment background statistics of test- takers in 2003, and provided a comparison with 1992 levels. One-third of Basic readers have a history of not completing high school, while one half of Below- Basic readers share that history. Significantly, the percentage of Below-Basic readers who are high school dropouts expanded by five points since 1992. (The percentage of Proficient readers who dropped out of high school was only 1%.) Measured on the basis of reading score, and not level of proficiency, the fol- lowing table shows a gap of 55 points between the prose reading scores of 2003 high school graduates and high school dropouts. In addition to the gap, the aver- age reading scores of both of those groups have decreased over time. The nonprofit Editorial Projects in Education has reported that only 70% of all high school students graduate on time with their peerssuggesting a high dropout rate already for the general population. In this context, and given the profound disadvantages facing high school dropouts later in life, the NAAL num- bers for Below-Basic and Basic readers are especially grim. These findings are significant because they stress the erosion of reading scores for high school graduates and dropouts alike. The data also show that Table 9H. Percentage of Adults at or Below Basic Prose Literacy Level Who Did Not Complete High School: 1992, 2003 Prose literacy level Below Basic Basic 1992 2003 Change 1992 2003 Change 45% 50% +5 pp 38% 33% -5 pp pp = percentage points Adults are defined as people 16 years of age and older living in households or prisons. Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics Table 9I. Average Prose Literacy Scores for Adult High School Graduates and Those Who Did Not Complete High School: 1992, 2003 Prose literacy score 1992 2003 Change 9203 High school graduate 268 262 -6 Less than/some high school 216 207 -9 Gap between groups -52 -55 Adults are defined as people 16 years of age and older living in households or prisons. Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics To Read or Not To Read 93 dropouts retain far worse reading skills than graduates, which, as we have seen in this report, places the former group at greater risk in a number of areas throughout life. Independent of what we have learned about employer preferences for good readers, the following table shows a familiar pattern: greater societal risks linked with poorer reading skills. Seventy-eight percent of Proficient readers are employed, compared with far lower percentages of less-skilled readers. Specifically, half of Americas Below-Basic readers and 38% of Basic readers are classified as not in the labor forcea term that includes adults still in school or keeping homecompared with only 18% of Proficient readers. An additional 6% of Basic readers and 5% of Below-Basic readers are unemployed or looking for work, compared with 3% of Proficient readers. Although Chapter Eight pro- vided some estimates on employer costs associated with remedial skills training, there is no reliable estimate of the economic damage done to society by the lost contributions of deficient readers. Table 9J. Percentage Employed Full-Time or Part-Time, by 2003 Prose Literacy Level Proficient 78% Basic 56% Below Basic 45% Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics 94 To Read or Not To Read CONCLUSION S elf-iepoited data on individual behavioial patteins, combined with national test scoies fiomthe Depaitment of Education and othei souices, suggest thiee distinct tiends: a histoiical decline in voluntaiy ieading iates among teenageis and young adults, a giadual woisening of ieading skills among oldei teens, and declining piociency in adult ieadeis. Te Depaitment of Educations extensive data on voluntaiy ieading patteins and piose ieading scoies yield a fouith obseivation: fiequency of ieading foi pleasuie coiielates stiongly with bettei test scoies in ieading and wiiting. Fiequent ieadeis aie thus moie likely than infiequent oi non-ieadeis to demonstiate academic achievement in those subjects. Fiom the diveisity of data souices in this iepoit, othei themes emeige. Analyses of voluntaiy ieading and ieading ability, and the social chaiacteiistics of advanced and decient ieadeis, identify seveial disciepancies at a national level: Less ieading foi pleasuie in late adolescence than in youngei age gioups Declines in ieading test scoies among 17-yeai-olds and high school seniois in contiast to youngei age gioups and lowei giade levels Among high school seniois, a widei iift in the ieading scoies of advanced and decient ieadeis A male-female gap in ieading pioclivity and achievement levels A shaip divide in the ieading skills of incaiceiated adults veisus non-piisoneis Gieatei academic, piofessional, and civic benets associated with high levels of leisuie ieading and ieading compiehension Longitudinal studies aie needed to conimand monitoi the eects of these diei- ences ovei time. Futuie ieseaich also could exploie factois such as income, ethnicity, iegion, and iace, and howthey might altei the ielationship between voluntaiy iead- ing, ieading test scoies, and othei outcomes. Ciitically, fuithei studies should weigh the ielative eectiveness and costs and benets of piogiams to fostei lifelong ieading and skills development. Foi instance, such ieseaich could tiace the eects of elec- tionic media and scieen ieading on the development of ieadeis in eaily childhood. Recent studies of Ameiican time-use and consumei expendituie patteins highlight a seiies of choices luiking in the question to iead oi not to iead. Te futuie of iead- ing iests on the daily decisions Ameiicans will continue to make when confionted with an expanding menu of leisuie goods and activities. Te impoit of these national ndings, howevei, is that ieading fiequently foi pleasuie is a behavioi to be cultivated with the same zeal as academic achievement, nancial oi job peifoimance, and global competitiveness. To Read or Not To Read 95 I have sometimes dreamt, at least, that when the Day of Judgment dawns and the great conquerors and lawyers and statesmen come to receive their rewards their crowns, their laurels, their names carved indelibly upon imperishable marblethe Almighty will turn to Peter and will say, not without a certain envy when he sees us coming with our books under our arms, Look, these need no reward. We have nothing to give them here. ey have loved reading. Viiginia Woolf, How Should One Read a Book? 96 To Read or Not To Read LIST OF CHARTS AND TABLES 27 Table 1A. Peicentage of Adults Who Read a Book Not Requiied foi Woik oi School, by Age Gioup: 1992, 2002 29 Table 1B. Peicentage of Students Ages 9, 13, and 17, by Fiequency of Reading foi Fun: 1984, 1999, and 2004 30 Table 1C. Peicentage of Students Ages 9, 13, and 17, by Pages Read Pei Day in School and foi Homewoik: 1984, 1999, and 2004 31 Table 1D. Peicentage Who Read Books foi Fun the Pievious Day: 2004 32 Table 1E. Peicentage of High School Seniois Who Read foi Pleasuie, by Houis Pei Week: 1994, 2006 32 Chait 1F. Peicentage of High School Seniois Who Read foi Pleasuie andioi Did Homewoik foi 6 oi Moie Houis Pei Week: 19942006 34 Table 2A. Fiist-Yeai College Students: Time Spent Reading foi Pleasuie: 2004, 2005 34 Table 2B. College Seniois: Time Spent Reading foi Pleasuie: 2001, 2005 35 Table 2C. Compaiison of Fiist-Yeai and Senioi College Student Reading Rates in 2007 36 Table 2D. Compaiison of College-Piesciibed Reading Levels in 2007 36 Table 2E. Compaiison of Time Spent on College Piepaiation in 2007 39 Table 3A. Houis andioi Minutes Pei Day Spent on Leisuie and Spoits Activities, by Age Gioup: 2006 39 Table 3B. Houis andioi Minutes Pei Day Spent on Leisuie and Spoits Activities, by Activity: 2006 39 Table 3C. Houis andioi Minutes Pei Day Spent Watching TV oi Reading: 2006 40 Table 3D. Peicentage of Daily Leisuie Time Spent Watching TV oi Reading: 2006 40 Table 3E. Weekly Aveiage Houis andioi Minutes Spent on Vaiious Activities by Ameiican Childien: 20022003 To Read or Not To Read 97 42 Table 3F. Weekly Aveiage Houis andioi Minutes Spent Reading by Ameiican Childien, by Age: 20022003 44 Table 3G. Peicentage Using Othei Media While Reading: 20032004 44 Table 3H. Peicentage of Time Spent Reading While Using Othei Media: 20032004 45 Table 3I. Book-Reading Rates as Measuied by Multiple Suiveys 46 Table 4A. Peicentage of Book Puichaseis, by Age: 1991, 2004 48 Chait 4B. Unit Sales of Consumei Books: 2006 49 Table 4C. Aveiage Annual Spending on Books, by Consumei Unit: 1985, 2005 50 Chait 4D. Aveiage Annual Spending on Books, by Consumei Unit: 19852005 51 Chait 4E. Aveiage Annual Spending on TViAudio Equipment Veisus Reading Mateiials as a Shaie of All Enteitainment Spending, by Consumei Unit: 19952005 51 Table 4F. Aveiage Annual Spending on TV and Audio Equipment Veisus Reading Mateiials as a Shaie of All Enteitainment Spending, by Consumei Unit: 1995, 2005 56 Chait 5A. Tiend in Aveiage Reading Scale Scoies foi Students Age 17: 19842004 57 Chait 5B. Tiend in Aveiage Reading Scoies foi Students Ages 17 and 9: 19842004 58 Chait 5C. Tiend in Aveiage Reading Scale Scoies foi Students Age 9: 19842004 58 Chait 5D. Tiend in Aveiage Reading Scale Scoies foi Students Age 13: 19842004 60 Chait 5E. Tiend in Aveiage Reading Scale Scoies foi 12th-Giadeis: 19922005 60 Table 5F. Change in 12th-Giade Reading Scoies, by Peicentile: 1992 and 2005 61 Table 5G. Peicentage of 4th-, 8th-, and 12th-Giadeis, by Reading Achievement Level: 1992, 2005 61 Table 5H. Aveiage Reading Scoies of 4th-, 8th-, and 12th-Giadeis: 1992, 2005 62 Table 5I. Aveiage 12th-Giade Reading Scoies by Gendei: 1992, 2005 98 To Read or Not To Read 64 Table 6A. Peicentage of Adults at Each Piose Liteiacy Level: 1992 and 2003 64 Table 6B. Aveiage Piose Liteiacy Scoies of Adults, by Highest Level of Educational Attainment: 1992 and 2003 65 Table 6C. Peicentage of Adults Piocient in Reading Piose, by Highest Level of Educational Attainment (1992, 2003) 66 Table 6D. Peicentage of Adults Piocient in Reading Piose, by Gendei (1992, 2003) 70 Chait 7A. Aveiage Reading Scoies by Fiequency of Reading foi Fun: Age 17 in 2004 70 Chait 7B. Aveiage Reading Scoies by Fiequency of Reading foi Fun: Giade 12 in 2005 71 Chait 7C. Aveiage Reading Scoies by Fiequency of Reading Fiction Books oi Stoiies Outside School: Giade 12 in 2005 72 Chait 7D. Aveiage Wiiting Scoies by Fiequency of Reading foi Fun: Giade 12 in 2002 72 Table 7E. Aveiage Mathematics Scoies and Books in the Home: Giade 12 in 2005 72 Table 7F. Aveiage Science Scoies and Books in the Home: Giade 12 in 2006 73 Table 7G. Aveiage Civics Scoies and Books in the Home: Giade 12 in 2006 73 Table 7H. Aveiage U.S. Histoiy Scoies and Books in the Home: Giade 12 in 2006 74 Table 7I. 12th-Giade Test Scoies by Numbei of Books in the Home and by Paients Education: 20052006 79 Table 8A. Basic Skills Rated Veiy Impoitant by Employeis (Top Five) 79 Table 8B. Applied Skills Rated Veiy Impoitant by Employeis (Top Five) 80 Table 8C. Skill Deciencies in High School Giaduates (Top Five) 80 Table 8D. Skill Deciencies in College Giaduates (Top Five) 82 Table 8E. Selected Results fiom National Commission on Wiiting Suiveys: A Compaiison To Read or Not To Read 99 83 Table 8F. Peicentage of Adults Who Said Teii Reading Skills Limited Teii Job Oppoitunities, by Reading Level in 2003 84 Table 8G. Peicentage of Full-Time Woikeis, by Weekly Eainings and Reading Level in 2003 84 Table 8H. Peicentage of Adults in Each Occupational Gioup, by Reading Level in 2003 85 Table 8I. Aveiage Reading Scoies of 15-Yeai-Olds in Selected Countiies: 2003 87 Table 9A. Paiticipation Rates foi Liteiaiy Readeis in 2002 88 Table 9B. Liteiaiy Reading and Peifoiming Aits Attendance: Ages 1834 in 2002 88 Table 9C. Paiticipation in Spoits and Physical Activities: Ages 1834 in 2002 88 Table 9D. Peicentage of Adults Who Volunteeied oi Did Chaiity Woik: 2002 88 Table 9E. Peicentage of Adults Who Volunteeied, by Piose Liteiacy Level in 2003 89 Table 9F. Peicentage of Adults Who Voted in the 2000 Piesidential Election, by 2003 Piose Liteiacy Level 89 Table 9G. Peicentage of Adults Who Got Infoimation About Cuiient Events, Public Aaiis, and the Goveinment fiom Vaiious Media Souices, by Piose Liteiacy Level: 2003 92 Table 9H. Peicentage of Adults at oi Below Basic Piose Liteiacy Level Who Did Not Complete High School: 1992, 2003 92 Table 9I. Aveiage Piose Liteiacy Scoies foi Adult High School Giaduates and Tose Who Did Not Complete High School: 1992, 2003 93 Table 9J. Peicentage Employed Full-Time oi Pait-Time, by 2003 Piose Liteiacy Level