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EGCE 575
Todays lecture
Expert systems Intelligent systems AI (artificial intelligence) Neural Networks Machine Learning Knowledge process Data Mining Example of data mining in construction industry Data mining in Green Construction Green Building Design/Construction
Expert Systems
All our intellectual capabilities would be exceeded by computers.
Definition (Dym and Levitt, 1991): An expert system is a computer program that performs a task normally done by an expert or consultant and which, in so doing, uses captured, heuristic knowledge.
Computers are merely lumps of machinery that simply do what they are programmed to do. They cannot emulate human thought, creativity or feeling.
Intelligent Systems
Intelligent systems can help experts to solve difficult analysis problems Intelligent systems can help experts to design new devices Intelligent systems can learn from examples Artificial intelligence is becoming less conspicuous, yet more essential.
What is AI?
A computer system that can perceive, reason, and act Three main academic disciplines Psychology (cognitive modeling) Philosophy (philosophy of mind) Computer science or engineering Through AI research, many representations and methods that people seem to use unconsciously have been crystallized and made easier for people to deploy deliberately.
Error
Input unit INPUT x1 x2 Hidden units Output unit Target OUTPUT y1
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yN
Machine Learning - I
Computer program that makes decisions based on the accumulated experience contained in successfully solved cases
Machine Learning - II
Classification: Classify data based on the values in a classifying attribute, e.g., classify cars based on gas mileage. Prediction: Find and characterize trend, and sequential patterns. Association Rules: Find rules like buys (x, milk) buys (x, bread) Clustering: Cluster data to form new classes, e.g., cluster houses to find distribution patterns.
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Example of Classification
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Result of Classification
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Knowledge ?
- Data
Numbers / words stored in a particular media
- Information
Data + meaning
- Knowledge
Internalized information + ability to utilize the information
Data
Information
Knowledge
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Data Mining
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Providing the construction engineer with valuable information to control/manage his project efficiently.
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Data Analysis
Legal Data Geospatial Data Financial Data
Designer Data
Specifier Data
Construction Data
Environmentalist Data
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Database Query
Statistics
KDD
Machine Learning
Visualization
Mathematics
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Season, incomplete drawings, incomplete site survey, shortage of equipment, working on weekends, crew size
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RS Means
Output: 10 units worker/day Duration: 3.2 days
NN
Duration: 3.12 3.80 days
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Monte Carlo simulation based on Inverse Gaussian Distribution for an activity of 320 units of an activity of 6"-42" pipe line installation with 10 workers a day
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DM: Cost/Benefit
According to the result of this case study, the main cause of schedule delays was Inaccurate Site Survey rather than the weather related problems initially assumed by site managers. Discussions with site managers confirmed the importance of equipment, such as Ground Penetration Radar (GPR) with $5,000 investment for the equipment. Potential savings at the 4th stage: = $587,391 [$9,436 (daily construction cost) * 75 (expected number of instances) * 0.83 (the number of days to be saved through using GPR)]
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Motivation
Sustainable design and construction became an important issue in the industry Traditionally, most building energy analyses have been conducted late in design
The ability to model a performance building early in the design process does not typically occur This is due to the difficulty and expense of modeling the building and energy systems
Todays 3D-CAD/BIMs (Building Information Models) provide the user with an opportunity to explore different energy saving alternatives in early design
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Geometry (height)
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Total
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Green Construction
12%
Water Use
30%
Greenhouse
Gas Emissions
65%
Waste Output
70%
Electricity Consumption
Test
CARBON SAVINGS
50-90%
30-50%
35%
ENERGY SAVINGS
30%
Source: Capital E
Test
VERIFIED PERFORMANCE
ENHANCED PRODUCTIVITY
INCREASED VALUE
Test
VERIFIED PERFORMANCE
REDUCED ABSENTEEISM
INCREASED VALUE
PRODUCTIVITY
ENHANCED RECRUITMENT IMPROVED EMPLOYEE MORALE
Test
Increased Productivity.
SCHOOLS
HOSPITALS
EARLIER DISCHARGE
RETAIL
FACTORIES
OFFICES
INCREASED PRODUCTION
Test
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Todays lecture
Expert systems Intelligent systems AI (artificial intelligence) Neural Networks Machine Learning Knowledge process Data Mining Example of data mining in construction industry Data mining in Green Construction Green Building Design/Construction
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Questions