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Edward Cameron Director, International Climate Initiative Asian Urban Forum | 17 November 2011
"It's obvious where the fight for a sustainable civilization will be decided and that's in large cities"
Peter Loescher, CEO Siemens Business Week, June 2010
Meta-trends are shaping our cities and changing our world Addressing these trends means building effective enabling environments across scales of governance Strategies for success: What can we do to catalyze sustainable cities in Asia?
Key messages
"The human drama of climate change will largely be played out in Asia, where over 60% of the world's population live. Over half of these live near the coast".
Sources: up in Smoke: Asia and Pacific. New Economics Foundation, 2007.
30%-50% of the entire population of cities in developing countries live in settlements that have been developed in environmentally fragile areas.
If all production and consumption based emissions are included urban residents likely account for more than 80% of the world's GHG emissions
If all announced policies are implemented, 58% of new capacity installed by 2035 will be renewable - much of that innovation will need to come from cities
Sources: IPCC Special Report on Renewable Energy Sources and IEA World Energy Outlook 2010 New Policy Scenario.
In 1900 14% of the World's population lived in urban areas. This reached 50% in 2007. According to the UN urbanites could make up 65% of the global population by 2030. China and India are expected to build more new city area by 2030 than all of humanity built throughout history. The city of tomorrow will be built in the developing world.
We often hear of the problems in cities relating to poverty, poor planning and governance, environmental problems, and mobility issues
China has about 90 cities with a middle class population of 250,000 or more. By 2020 that number will increase to 400. 50 cities will have more than 1m middle class inhabitants.
6.5% of the global population live in the world's ten largest city regions. These regions account for 43% of all economic activity. Clustering Force the concentration of talented and productive people generate new ideas, enhance productivity and increases in output and wealth.
"It is the predicament of mankind that man can perceive the problematic, yet despite his considerable knowledge and skills he does not understand the origins, significance, and interrelationships of its many components and is thus unable to devise an effective response"
Think Differently!
Scale, channelling institutions, form, new and additional, accessibility, pace, conditionality
Appropriations, absorption capacity, governance challenges, project pipeline, value for money, financial constraints
Decarbonize the city of tomorrow transport, energy efficiency, and renewable energy Develop the right tools, incentives and processes for municipal environmental infrastructure
Think Differently!
Decarbonizing Cities
Understand the problem: complete GHG inventories and develop reduction action plans through the GHGP for cities.
Reduce transport emissions, switch to accessible, lower emissions integrated transport systems. Avoid, Shift, and Improve!
Concessional loans, local appropriations, loan refinancing, EPCs, risk guarantees, tax incentives