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Accounting rules are clear: the measurement and recognition of credit value adjustment (CVA) is mandatory. But IAS 39 does not specify how to evaluate CVA. It is possible to determine the appropriate accounting treatment by considering three concepts simultaneously: common fair-value measurement practices, impairment rules and nance theory.
Accounting rules are clear: the measurement and recognition of credit value adjustment (CVA) is mandatory. But IAS 39 does not specify how to evaluate CVA. It is possible to determine the appropriate accounting treatment by considering three concepts simultaneously: common fair-value measurement practices, impairment rules and nance theory.
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Accounting rules are clear: the measurement and recognition of credit value adjustment (CVA) is mandatory. But IAS 39 does not specify how to evaluate CVA. It is possible to determine the appropriate accounting treatment by considering three concepts simultaneously: common fair-value measurement practices, impairment rules and nance theory.
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Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
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Scarica in formato PDF, TXT o leggi online su Scribd
required to measure the fair value of over-the-counter derivatives trades under
International Accounting Standard (IAS) 39, which includes the recognition of
fair-value adjustments due to counterparty risk. Accounting rules are clear: the measurement and recognition of credit value adjustment (CVA) is mandatory. 1 But IAS 39 does not specify how to evaluate CVA. 2 Despite this, it is possible to determine the appropriate accounting treatment by considering three concepts simultaneously: common fair-value measurement practices, impairment rules and nance theory. ese can be thought of as boundary conditions to establish the correct treatment but it is not straightforward. is article will show how the measurement of CVA under IAS 39 implies the use of market rates to evaluate counterparty credit risk. e application of market rates under IAS 39 in turn implies active hedging and management of CVA. Three boundary conditions Figure 1 illustrates the three boundary conditions for CVA that have to be fullled for IAS 39, and should be considered to achieve consistency. IAS 39 requirements for non-defaulted derivatives: under IAS 39, the fair-value hierarchy (IAS 39.48A) has to be considered to determine CVA. For this purpose, own credit risk spreads also have to be taken into account. Since the use of the fair-value hierarchy to gauge CVA implies the application of market credit spreads and commonly used pricing models, there is a link to economic hedging. Fair value considerations and economic hedging: the starting point is represented by martingale pricing approaches (risk-neutral pricing), which are commonly used to compute the fair value of derivatives. Within these theoretical approaches, pricing and hedging come together so the hedging costs equal the price of the underlying. It follows that market participants who do not take CVA (pricing of counterparty risk) into account buy or sell at prices too high or too low and other participants can exploit this and lock in a riskless prot. As a consequence, the assumption of an absence of arbitrage forms the basis for the determination of CVA under IAS 39. e connection between IAS 39 requirements for impaired derivatives and CVA: the calculation of the CVA for non-defaulted derivatives should converge to the impairment amount considered under IAS 39 if the counterparty defaults so convergence implies the application of consistent approaches in the defaulted and non-defaulted cases. e amount Banks are required to recognise fair-value adjustments for credit value adjustment under International Financial Reporting Standards, but the rules are extremely complex. In the rst of a two-part article, Dirk Schubert explains the boundary conditions that need to be considered Banks are Fair-value accounting risk-magazine.net 111 1 IAS 39.AG73 2 For the latest discussion on CVA in connection with nancial Developing Common Fair Value Measurement and Disclosure Requirements in IFRSs and US GAAP accounting, refer to IASB, Comprehensive Project Summary July 2010 for CVA ACCOUNTING N O T
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R E P R O D U C T I O N 112 Risk January 2011 ACCOUNTING accounted for as CVA should be approximately the same as the impairment amount in the event of a default to avoid large jumps in the prot and loss (P&L) statement. e consistency stems from the fact that any hedge for counterparty risk either a credit default swap (CDS) or contingent credit default swap (CCDS) is expected to almost fully oset the losses in the case of a default.
Connection between IAS 39 requirements for impaired derivatives and CVA e following section shows that nancial accounting for defaulted derivatives denes a major criterion for determining CVA in the non-defaulted case. In the following example, it is assumed an interest rate swap is transacted under an International Swaps and Derivatives Association master agreement. In case of default, the Isda documentation stipulates a replacement cost approach, and oers two possibilities: the market quotation or loss approach. From the perspective of International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS), the following steps have to be performed to account for defaulted derivatives: Derecognition of the present value of the interest rate swap (fair value) before default, since the derivative ceases to exist. If the present value of the derivative is positive, a receivable against the counterparty is recognised on the balance sheet, which represents the claim against the defaulted counterparty in a Chapter 11 procedure. Otherwise, a liability is recognised. e carrying amount equals the replacement cost using the market quotation or loss approach. Measurement. If this results in a liability, then the carrying amount remains unchanged. Application of IFRS impairment rules (IAS 39.63 in connection with IAS 39.AG84) for the receivable against the counterparty. Estimation of the recovery rate of the interest rate swap (using the result of the CDS auction procedure). Impairment recognised in the P&L. Inferences from impairment requirements In case of default, the impairment amount under IAS 39 is derived from current market value (present values) without credit risk (discounting using an AA swap curve). is rules out simplied counterparty exposure metrics involving potential future exposure (PFE) for the evaluation of CVA, since these modelling approaches measure quantiles of future mark-to- market distributions, which are similar to value-at-risk concepts. 3 Using PFE would imply that, in case of default, the expected market value equals the current market value plus the quantiles of future mark-to-market distribution(s) so PFE cannot be an estimate of the expected market value in the event of a default. Consequently, exposure measures such as the add-on approach (the current mark-to-market value plus PFE add-ons) are not compliant with CVA measurement under IAS 39, as they do not rely on the entire mark-to-market distribution. Payout prole in default Consider the following example of an interest rate swap between party A and B. e carrying amount of an asset or liability after the default can be dened as follows, assuming party A accounts for the default of party B (see table A). A. Payout prole from the perspective of party A in case of the default of party B IRS B defaults Carrying amount PV is positive for A Rec B PV A (IRS) + = asset PV is negative for A PV A (IRS) - = liability If the present value (PV) is positive, then party A receives the positive present value of the IRS PV A (IRS) + multiplied by the recovery rate of party B (Rec B ). If the present value is negative (PV A (IRS) - ), it represents a liability. is is similar to a (counterparty default) option payout prole similarly, an own default option prole can be derived introducing an optionality component into the determination of CVA under IAS 39. Consequently, two parties entering into a vanilla xed-to-oating interest rate swap implicitly sell a default option to each other. e CVA can be regarded as the value of these implicit options. 4
Furthermore, neglecting the implicitly granted default options for the determination of fair values leads to arbitrage opportuni- ties, as they impact the fair value. is optionality property is also exploited in connection with pricing models, and suggests the following fair-value structure in order to take counterparty credit risk into account: Fair value including counterparty risk = fair value without counterparty risk +/- CVA, where CVA is dened as: 3 For the collateralised interdealer OTC market, this condition can be relaxed 4 Refer to Bin Li, Yi Tang (2007) for further discussion IAS 39 requirements (in case of non-defaulted derivatives) s If the market-quoted rate does not include credit risk or other factors that market participants would include in valuing the instrument, the entity adjusts for those factors [IAS 39.AG73] s If counterparty risk is taken into account, then the fair value at inception of the deal should not differ from the transaction price at inception (eg, zero for interest rate swap without upfront payment) [IAS 39.9] s Liabilities shall be measured with own credit spread [IAS 39.BC11Cc)] s The appropriate benchmark curve shall be applied [IAS 39.AG82a)] s Fair-value hierarchy has to be considered [IAS 39.48A] IAS 39 requirements (in case of defaulted derivatives) Impairment rules require consistency with respect to non- defaultable derivatives; otherwise unintended P&L changes occur [IAS 39.59e)] Fair value considerations and economic hedging (in case of non-defaulted derivatives) s Martingale pricing is market standard for the pricing of derivatives, s Price of economic hedging (CCDS) Consistency 1 Three boundary conditions for CVA on a stand-alone OTC interest rate swap N O T
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R E P R O D U C T I O N risk-magazine.net 113 CVA = fair value adjustment counterparty risk (counterparty default option) fair value adjustment own credit risk (option on own default) Signicantly, this fair-value structure imposes restrictions on pricing models, as the CVA component can now be seen to require an option model. Pricing models that do not assume such modelling set-ups such as discounted cashow models without discontinuities of cashows in case of default may therefore not be compliant with IAS 39. Utilisation of CDS spreads e impairment rules under IAS 39 (see IAS 39.63 in connection with IAS 39.AG84 and IAS 39.AG74-76) require the application of discounted cashow methods to determine the impairment amount. CDSs represent traded instruments for credit risk hedging in case of default, the settlement of outstanding CDS contracts will be generally carried out using an auction settlement procedure overseen by Isda. As a result of the auction, settlement prices (fair value) for debt instruments with dierent seniority levels are determined. ese prices (fair value) should be considered as evidence in determining the impairment amount under IAS 39 (IAS 39.AG84). 5
is is similar to the application of the fair-value hierarchy under IAS 39 for non-defaulted derivatives. In order to ensure the convergence of CVA calculated in the non-defaulted case and the impairment amount in default, the application of CDS spreads is necessary. ats because the recovery rate is deter- mined from auctions in the CDS settlement procedure in the event of default. e evaluation methods applied to determine CVA are supposed to converge to the impairment amount in cases where CDS spreads are available. As a consequence, it is not possible to apply probability of default parameters evaluated under Basel II for the determination of CVA under IAS 39. Use of Basel II parameters is only possible if no CDS spreads are available. In case of a counterparty default, own credit risk does not play a role. But it does if the non-default case is considered, according to IAS 39. Since fair value considerations, economic hedging and the IAS 39 requirements of non-defaulted derivatives are related, both boundary conditions are jointly described in the following section. Non-defaulted case: fair value of CVA under IAS 39: trading and hedging of counterparty risk exposure Risk-neutral pricing models e absence of arbitrage opportunities plays a signicant role in the denition of CVA and common pricing models rely on this assumption. With respect to counterparty risk, pricing models adopt commonly used credit risk models to evaluate the impact of counterparty and own credit risk adjustments. Credit risk models can be subdivided into two major classes: structural and reduced-form models. Within structural-based models, default is modelled endogenously; while in reduced- form models (intensity-based models), default is represented by an exogenous variable. Reduced-form models are widely applied to price various types of nancial instruments, since these models can be incorporated in a term structure model. 6 Within such a set-up, the modelling of counterparty risk requires a model for the following factors: A pricing model for the (risk-free) market value of the underlying OTC contracts (for example, term structure model for interest rate risk) without counterparty risk. A default model that covers the default behaviour of the counterparty and own credit risk, which includes modelling of time to default. A model for the recovery rate (loss given default (LGD)). A dependence or correlation model for market and counterparty risk. Such a model set-up also assumes liquid CDS spreads are available for both counterparty and own credit risk, which follows the application of the fair-value hierarchy according to IAS 39.48A, as well as IAS 39.BC11Cc to account for own credit risk. The absence of arbitrage opportunities plays a signicant role in the denition of CVA and common pricing models rely on this assumption Market value (fair value) of a portfolio of OTC derivatives contract including counterparty and own credit risk = Market value (fair value) of a portfolio of OTC derivatives contract without counterparty and own credit risk (PV) - + Fair-value adjustment for own credit risk Contingent leg of a CCDS EPE under martingale measure ENE under martingale measure Fair-value adjustment for counterparty credit risk F>LGDc,PJ
, Defaultc, Defaultown, DF@
F>LGDown,PJ - , Defaultc, Defaultown, DF@ 2 Decomposition of the fair value of an OTC portfolio into three parts 5 For a discussion of market quotes as predictor for recovery rates, refer to Dllmann, K; Trapp, M (2004) 6 For theoretical descriptions of these models, refer to Jarrow, RA, Turnbull, SM (1995), Blanchett- Scalliet, C, Jeanblanc, M (2004), Bielecki, TR, Rutkowski, M (2002) and Belanger, A, Shreve, SE, Wong, D (2004) 7 Refer to Brigo D, Capponi, A (2009), Assefa, S, Bielecki, TR, Crpey, S, Jeanblanc, M (2009), Gregory, J 2010 N O T
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R E P R O D U C T I O N 114 Risk January 2011 ACCOUNTING As shown in gure 2, the market value of a portfolio of OTC derivatives contracts can be decomposed into three parts. 7
Properties of the model Within the model set-up, the market value of a portfolio of OTC derivatives contracts can be decomposed into a component (fair value) that is free of counterparty risk/own credit risk and fair-value adjustments for counterparty and own credit risk. Both can be considered as functions dependent on LGD, a risk-free discount factor (swap curve) and the default processes (default probabilities and credit spreads). Additionally, it covers the optionality component, positive present value (PV + ) versus negative present value (PV - ), intro- duced in the previous section. is means counterparty risk (own credit risk) is only present if the fair value without counterparty risk (own credit risk) is positive (negative). For convenience, the pricing approach with respect to CVA described is termed option-based. Absence of arbitrage assumes the existence of a risk-neutral measure. e risk-neutral measure implies that under this probability measure, future cashows can be discounted using the risk-free market interest rate (swap curve). 8
With such a model, one cannot assume the market is complete, since completeness means that for every risk, a corresponding hedging instrument is available with zero cost (no transaction cost). Provided symmetric risk-neutral expected exposure proles of the underlying OTC derivatives portfolio and similar credit spreads and recovery rates, the fair-value adjustments for own credit risk and counterparty risk oset each other. erefore, the CVA measures the relative credit risk of two counterparties and does not measure absolute credit risk of a counterparty. Further- more, the model set-up assumes the swap curve (AA rating) is default risk free. e model also covers the situation where changes in market value and credit spreads are dependent. According to the model set-up, counterparty credit risk/own credit risk becomes model-dependent and introduces optionality features into the pricing, so the fair value depends on volatility (vega risk), the underlying fair value (delta risk), and so on. Furthermore, the introduction of optionality into the pricing or fair-value considerations implies the CVA is a non-linear function, which is especially important in case the CVA has to be evaluated across netting sets and dierent trading desks or segments. Here, it is impossible to simply add dierent CVAs the CVA has to be evaluated at every aggregation level separately. Closed-form solutions can be provided only under simplied assumptions, so numerical methods for the evalua- tion of CVA generally have to be applied. Under simplied assumptions, the fair-value adjustments can be represented by using the concept of positive expected exposure (EPE) and expected negative exposure (ENE) under the risk-neutral probability measure. is means there is a direct connection between exact pricing models and counterparty risk manage- ment concepts. 9
As an immediate consequence, EPE and ENE can be used in the calculation of CVA for IAS 39 if they are evaluated under the risk-neutral measure (market credit spreads). e absence of arbitrage and the existence of hedging instruments imply the cost of hedging and the price for counterparty (own) credit risk are almost the same. In case of a complete market model, these are identical. So within such pricing models, market participants are able to set up a dynamic hedging strategy that replicates the payout prole of the counterparty (own) credit risk. For example, if the (risk-free) market value of the underlying portfolio of OTC derivatives contracts changes, market participants can buy/sell CDS contracts in order to adjust the notional of CDSs to the current market value of the underlying OTC derivatives contract, such that the counterparty (own) credit risk is 0 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 Swaps default-risk free market value Default-adjusted swap market value 10,000 Sep 08 Dec 08 Mar 09 Jun 09 Sep 09 Mar 10 Jun10 Sep 10 Dec 09 E u r o 3 Impact of the CVA on the market value of the interest rate swap 34 35 36 37 Sep 15, 2008 Credit benefit effect 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 Sep 08 Dec 08 Mar 09 Jun 09 Sep 09 Dec 09 Mar 10 Jun 10 Sep 10 Credit charge hedged with CCDS Symmetric CVA E u r o 4 Comparison of CVA and hedging cost using CCDS 8 See Bjrk, T (1998) 9 See Gregory, J (2010), Cesari, G et al (2009) N O T
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R E P R O D U C T I O N risk-magazine.net 115 completely oset (hedged). Such a dynamic hedging strategy using CDS contracts can also be achieved by buying a CCDS. e process above can be used to model the contingent leg of a CCDS, as the fair-value adjustment for counterparty risk is identical to the contingent leg of a CCDS under simplied assumptions.
Example In gure 3, the impact of the CVA on the valuation of an interest rate swap is illustrated. In this example, the CVA lowers the overall default risk-free market value of the interest rate swap. is is due to the fact that the own credit risk spread is lower than the credit spread of the counterparty. Market values are shown from the perspective of the xed-rate receiver. As described above, counterparty credit risk can be hedged by a CCDS or a dynamic hedging strategy using CDSs. Figure 4 compares the CVA and the cost of hedging with a CCDS. e result is not surprising, as the fair-value adjustment of the counterparty risk equals the fair value of the CCDS, so the dierence between the hedging cost for the CCDS (fair-value adjustment for counterparty risk) and the total CVA is the fair-value adjustment of own credit risk (credit benet), which is not hedged by a CCDS. Important implicit assumptions of these models are: Within these pricing models, it is assumed price risk equals credit risk, which is not always the case in practice. Due to liquidity considerations or supply and demand in the CDS market, price changes can occur without changes in credit quality. is also impacts front-oce risk management/P&L. If CVA is taken into account, then based on the price sensitivities, a trader can oset the impact of CVA in terms of sensitivity without lowering counterparty credit risk. In general, hedging is also possible using bonds issued by the counterparty (a short position in the bonds of the counterparty to hedge derivatives exposure), which results in basis risk. Hedging of own credit risk fair-value adjustment is dicult, as it is possible to hedge against the price risk resulting from own credit risk, but selling CDS protection on own credit risk on a large scale would be a concern to other dealers, due to wrong- way risk exposures. In practice, the price of own credit risk does not exist. Typically, pricing models neglect the impact on the capital structure, so own credit risk is implemented using a weighted average of dierent debt nancing instruments (liabilities with dierent seniorities) to determine an own spread, in order to accurately reect the funding situation. So, in practice, CVA measures counterparty credit relative to the funding situation of the company. e impact of own credit risk is therefore twofold: it reduces the impact of fair-value adjustments of the counterparty, but it represents unhedgeable risk, as well as P&L volatility. In addition, the recognition of own credit spreads results in prices that are distinct to each bank and are not comparable. e concept of a CCDS or dynamic hedging strategy (delta hedging) using CDSs is appealing, but there currently are not many liquid CCDSs traded in the market. Furthermore, if the counterparty suers a default and the CDS/CCDS is exercised, the auction procedure determines prices (cash settlement) of bonds/loans with dierent seniority levels. e risk prole of a bond/loan has little to do with the exposure of an OTC derivatives portfolio. Additionally, a delta-hedging strategy has cost implications, which can be signicant and may prevent hedging. 10
Conclusion Based on the discussion above, the conditions under IAS 39 with respect to CVA are summarised in gure 5. is article shows the calculation of CVA under IFRS is not straightforward and is based on a number of boundary condi- tions. But then, the question arises as to how to set up a framework that makes it feasible to achieve consistency between performance measurement, counterparty risk management and IAS 39. is will be discussed in the next article. Dirk Schubert is a partner in the nancial services division at KPMG in Frankfurt. Email: dschubert@kpmg.com A full list of references for this article can be found online at www.risk.net/risk-magazine IFRS Source Boundary conditions Compliance Option based IAS 39.AG73 If the market-quoted rate does not include credit risk or other factors market participants would include in valuing the instrument, the entity adjusts for those factors IAS 39.9 & IAS 39.48A If counterparty risk is taken into account then the fair value at inception of the deal (IRS) should not differ from zero IAS 39.BC11Cc) Liabilities shall be measured with own credit spread IAS 39.AG82a) The appropriate benchmark curve shall be applied IAS 39.48A Fair-value hierarchy has to be considered IAS 39.48A Fair value of defaultable swap = fair value of swap +/- counterparty default adjustment IAS 39.59e) Impairment rules require consistency with respect to non-defaultable derivatives 5 Boundary conditions under IAS 39 and compliance with the option-based approach The concept of a CCDS or dynamic hedging strategy (delta hedging) using CDSs is appealing, but there currently are not many liquid CCDSs traded in the market 10 For related discussions on CDS spreads refer to Singh, M., Youssef, K., Price of Risk Recent Evidence from Large Financials, IMF Working Paper August 2010 N O T