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September 8, 2008
Table of Contents
1. Bangladesh Economic Backdrop 2. Industry Overview 3. Overview of Grameenphone 4. Grameenphone Operational Performance 3 5 9 18
Dinjapur
Rangapur
Median age Total: Male: Female: Literacy Rate of ages 15 and above
Sylhet
Religion Area Population Density (2007E) Legal Sy stem
BANGLADESH
Bogra Faridpur Dhaka Comilla
Economic Indicators
GDP Per Capita FY 2007E US$482.3 US$5.1 billion 7.2% 68.9 5.0% ~36.0% Reserv es of foreign exchange and gold Dec 2007
Annual CPI Inflation 2007 Av g. Exchange Rate (BDT/US$, 2007) Interest Rate (Money Market Rate 2007) Market Cap / GDP (%) (Jul 2008)
Source: Population and growth from Bangladesh Bank. Other figures from Economist Intelligence Unit, July 2008. CIA T he World Factbook, July 2008. 2001 Bangladesh Census. 4
2. Industry Overview
Pakis tan 115% Vietnam 95% India 75% Sri Lanka 55% 35% Singapore 15% (5%) Hong Kong Taiw an 100.0% 80.0% 60.0% 40.0% 20.0% 0.0% Thailand Malays ia Korea Japan Philippines China Indonesia Banglade sh
140.0%
120.0%
Developing Market
21.5
24 .4%
15.5%
1.9
1.4 % 20 03
4.2
3.1% 2004 6.8 % 2005 200 6 2007 Q2 '08
4 6.5%
20 03
200 4
2 005
20 06
200 7
Q2 08 (e)
(1) Subscribers for 2007 and Q208 from BT RC, subscribers for 2006 from Pyramid Research and subscribers for 2003-2005 taken from Ministry of Finance Economic Review. 7
Tariff Range fixed between Taka 0.25 to Taka 2.00 ( 0.4cents - 3cents ) Promotional tariffs allowed for a maximum of three consecutive months
Interconnection Interconnection
New interconnection regime in 3Q08 and 4Q08 to replace bilateral connections between operators with operators connecting to an interconnection exchange (ICX) for routing domestic call and to International gateways (IGW) for international calls with revenue sharing agreement between all parties
Spectrum Spectrum
Bangladesh Telecom Regulatory Commission (BTRC) manages and distributes spectrum amongst various parties Spectrum Management Committee has been set up to manage radio frequency
However foreign companies were prohibited from participating in the bidding process for licensing of international voice and data gateways (IGW, ICX). The draft guidelines for Wi-Max license however allows foreign companies to participate if 60% or less foreign ownership of the applicant company. Current operators may not apply
- USD:BDT = 68.58 (As on March 31, 2008. Source: Bangladesh Bank.)
3. Overview of Grameenphone
Introduction to Grameenphone
The largest telecommunications operator in Bangladesh by revenue and subscriber base.
Grameenphone Limited (GP, the Company) was established in 1996 and commenced services on March 1997 as a joint venture between Telenor of Norway and Grameen Telecom GP is a strong wireless operator in Bangladesh with approximately 20.3 million subscribers at June 30, 2008 with 46.5% of the Bangladesh wireless market For the fiscal year ended December 2007, GP generated total revenues of US$792 mn and underlying EBITDA of US$396 mn, representing an EBITDA margin of 50.1% GP operates on the GSM 900 standard with a total bandwidth of 7.4 MHz; and the GSM 1800 standard with a total bandwidth of 7.2 MHz The Company has a comprehensive network, with over 10,000 base stations, covering 97% of Bangladeshs population and is GPRS/EDGE enabled
10
GP Milestones
Jan 2006 Launc h of Business Soluti ons, customized offering for businesses Jan 2006 Reached 6 million subscribers Apr 2005 Reached 3 million subscribers Jul 2006 Launc h Cellbazaar Feb 2007 Re-launc hing of Business Soluti ons Jan 2008 Introduc es Bl ac kBerr y services to Banglades h Apr 2008 Brand positioning and launc hing of stay close campaign
Apr 2005 Launc hed Elec tronic Recharge s ystem (Flexi load)
Feb 2007 Launc hing New VAS ; Bull Stoc k Information, Missed Call Alert
19971999
Jun 1998 Launc hed mobile to mobile ser vice (without PSTN acc ess) Aug 1999 Launc hed first Prepai d Ser vice in the c ountry
20002002
2001 Launc hed WAP service 2002 Banglades h Business Award for Best Joint venture Enterprise
2003
Oct 2003 Launc hed Prepai d product with PSTN connecti vity
2004
Aug 2004 Reached 2 million subscribers
2005
Apr 2005 Launc h of Djuice brand targeting the youth s egment Aug 2005 Reached 4 million subscribers
2006
Nov 2006 Celebrated 10 million subscribers i n 10 yrs & launc hed new GP logo Nov 2006 Launc h of Healthline
2007
Apr 2007 Re-Brandi ng of Djuic e
2008
May 2008 Launc hed Customer Care Campaign
Sep 2005 Launc hed EDGE and Voice SMS for the first time i n Banglades h Oct 2005 Reached 5 million subscribers
Dec 2006 Launc hed Smile Prepaid & xplor e Postpaid Dec 2006 Launc hed Bill Pay Ser vice
11
Exploit Untapped Potential Exploit Untapped Potential in Rural / Low Income in Rural / Low Income Subs Subs
Tailored strategy envisaged, including bundled product with handsets Increase distribution and penetration into rural areas
Capex and Operational Capex and Operational Efficiencies to Improve Efficiencies to Improve FCF Generation FCF Generation
Continued discipline over operating costs and capital expenditures Recently entered into long term capex contract with Huawei
Continue to Reinforce GP Continue to Reinforce GP Brand and Brand Values Brand and Brand Values
Launch of Stay Close Campaign in April 2008 360 degree media campaign to reinforce key messages across all customer sub-segments
Increase Revenue from Increase Revenue from Non Voice Services Non Voice Services
Substantial scope for increasing revenues from non-voice services Further expand presence as one of the largest providers of Internet access in Bangladesh
12
GP Smile Prepaid
Target Market: Youth Product Type: Prepaid Focus on Music, Messaging and Community to appeal to the youth Completely separate from the Grameenphone brand Target Market: Mass Consumers Product Type: Prepaid Offering competitive tariff, easy recharge and balance check facilities etc.
GP xplore Postpaid
Target Market: High Income Mass and Professionals Product Type: Postpaid Offering competitive tariff with features such as unlimited internet, flat call tariff, easy bill payment facilities etc.
GP Business Solutions
Target Market: Business Product Type: Postpaid & Prepaid Customized solutions for Corporations, SME and SOHO businesses Provides closed user group functionality, business messaging, Blackberry services, priority customer service etc.
GP Public Phone
Target Market: Urban Low Income Segment Product Type: Prepaid for calling businesse s Low tariff appealing to use the phone to generate businesse s with bonus on usage
GP Village Phone
Target Market: Rural Product Type: Prepaid for calling businesse s Catered specifically to the rural subscribers to generate income from phone business through subsidized tariff
Source: Company. 13
Messaging Services
MMS and mobile email services, Blackberry service and PayForMe service
Infotainment
Wide range of services to keep subscribers updated with latest news, stock information, beauty tips etc.
Innovative Services
Offers award winning CellBazaar and Healthline service. Community Info centers provide internet to rural population
Instant Messenger
Bull Stock Inf ormation Missed call Alerts Business SMS Internet
Network Overview
Advanced, countrywide GSM network Voice Coverage (Mar. 2008) Data Coverage (Mar. 2008) Key Network Equipment Vendors
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Bonarp N ara Bogra SYALH1 Jawar Bazar Sylh Pearpur Netrokona Bogra Jam et alpu Santahar Switch r Saris habari Mymons ingh Mohongan Gouripur j Lalabazar RSTWNR RSTALT Atrai G F Hatikamrul Switch Atharobari o e Natore Kulaura Sirajgong Gafargaon Kis horgong n NandangasNTBNP1 i Tangail Rajs hahi c Ullapara Shaes tganj Abdulpur h Bajitpur Srimangal Mirzapur u Bhangora Elenga Joydebpur Bharob bazar Sais tagong g Paks hi I s hwardi o Tongi Brahmon baria n Nars ingdi Kus tia Poradhaha Pangs ha Rajbari g Akhaura Kamlapur Chuadanga Gandaria Narayangong NGMGGP DHHBD1 CMELTP CMMNMP FPBBR1 Jes s ore Jes s ore Switch Noapara Siramoni Khulna Batazore Kaukhali Khulna Switch Bagerhat Vandaria Tus hkhali Baris hal Switch Chandpur Chatkhil
Joypurhat
Mubarakgang
CGSKDP Hathazar CGHTZP CGOR i CGSLCP S Old Railway s tation Central Railway Building
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Flagship sales and service point shops designed to serve GP subscribers Typical GP Center Inauguration
More than 550 CICs at 64 Districts in 427 Upzillas as of June 30, 2008
GP v alue added services such as FlexiLoad, Ring tones downloading etc. Internet surfing & e-mailing Content on health, agriculture, etc.
GP CIC
Telemedicine services
17
18
GP Key Metrics
GP Mobile Subscribers
(mm)
132.1% 1 09.4% 16.5 10.8 48 .3% 5.5 1.1 20 03 2.4 8.0% 14.0% 94.1% 53 .2% 286. 2 182. 6 17 .8 4 3.3% 429. 8 20.3 5 6.8% 4 9.6% 54.9% 1 9.0% 665.5
Revenue
(US$ mm)
791.8
217.0
215.0
2004
2005
200 6
20 07 Y -o-Y Gro w th
Q2 08
Q2 08
2 003
2 004
2 005
2 006
Q10 8
Q20 8
GP Su bscribers (mm)
Reven ue ($mm)
EBITDA(1)
(US$ mm)
396.5
64.5 % 61.0 % 57.6% 247 .4 1 75.3 118.3 3 74.2 38 9.0 47.3%
50.1%
5 6.2% 49 .1%
43.3%
28.2%
103 .0
93.3
60.7
GP achieved significant subscriber and revenue growth during the rapid growth of Bangladeshs wireless sector
200 3
2004
2005
2006
2007 Marg in %
Q108
Q2 08
EBITDA ($mm)
Note: (1)2007 and Q208 EBIT DA (in Blue) is normalized and excludes extraordinary expenses/charges. USD:BDT = 68.58 (As on March 31, 2008. Source: Bangladesh Bank.) : Source: Company. 19
Operational Performance
GP Subscribers (mm), Prepaid as % Total
20.3 16.5 93.1% 5.5 2.4 96.5% 17.8 97.9%
GP Market Share(1)
59.8% 57.5% 59.8% 50.1% 48.0% 45.7% 46.5%
87.6% 78.8%
10.8 95.1%
97.6%
1.1 2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Q108
Q208
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
1Q 2008
2Q 2008
2,503 2,032 884 945 1,355 1,354 1,867 1,165 1,338 1,322
GP has built a commanding market share and has strong subscriber additions despite intense competition
Q106
Q206 Q106
Q306
Q406 Q406
Q107 Q107
Q207 Q207
Q307 Q307
Q407 Q407
Q108 Q108
Q208 Q208
Q206
Q306
Source: Company. (1) Subscribers for 2007 and 1Q08 from BT RC. Subscribers for 2003-2005 taken from Ministry of Finance Economic Review and subscribers for 2006 taken from Pyramid Research. 20