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Not So Glittery
ValuEngine Forecast Model Short US Gold (UXG,$UXG) Declines 27% in 11 Days
For today's bulletin, we take a look at yet another short pick from our Forecast Model Portfolio Strategy, US Gold Corp (UXG,$UXG). U.S. GOLD CORP. is primarily engaged in the precious metal mining business in the continental United States, however, it may also evaluate properties outside the United States. UXG was the Basic Materials Sector short pick of our model on September 15th. Since then, the stock has declined more than 27%. Gold has been declining as investors sell assets, the dollar rallies, and inflation seems less likely a prospect with the slowing global economy. ValuEngine has issued a HOLD recommendation for U.S. GOLD CORP on Sep. 26, 2011. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that U.S. GOLD CORP has the probability to EQUAL average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits UNATTRACTIVE 1-M Forecast Return, expected EPS growth and volatility.
Forecast
Target Price* 1-Month 3-Month 6-Month 1-Year 4.54 4.52 4.47 4.54 Expected Return 0.61% 0.30% -0.85% 0.63%
MARKET OVERVIEW
Summary of VE Stock Universe
Stocks Undervalued Stocks Overvalued Stocks Undervalued by 20% Stocks Overvalued by 20% 90.83% 9.17% 67.73% 3.57%
SECTOR OVERVIEW
Sector
Aerospace Auto-Tires-Trucks Basic Materials Business Services Computer and Technology Construction Consumer Discretionary Consumer Staples Finance Industrial Products Medical Multi-Sector Conglomerates Oils-Energy Retail-Wholesale Transportation Utilities
Change
1.09% 0.89% -1.86% 0.84% 1.24% 1.51% 0.96% 0.96% 0.82% 0.80% 0.87% 0.05% -0.43% 1.00% 1.43% 1.04%
MTD
-8.71% -13.56% -15.94% -6.93% -7.10% -11.50% -7.70% -7.10% -8.61% -11.28% -6.71% -10.73% -13.62% -5.74% -11.30% -6.49%
YTD
-0.70% -37.14% -26.70% -12.35% -14.83% -31.97% -17.13% -19.40% -16.67% -22.14% -8.44% -21.56% -25.59% -7.48% -22.06% -7.84%
Valuation
26.61% undervalued 34.15% undervalued 32.64% undervalued 27.77% undervalued 29.54% undervalued 35.05% undervalued 27.84% undervalued 22.45% undervalued 27.44% undervalued 31.29% undervalued 30.27% undervalued 26.99% undervalued 31.95% undervalued 23.22% undervalued 28.69% undervalued 12.70% undervalued
Last 12MReturn
1.91% 2.14% 3.15% -1.84% 0.95% -16.37% 2.10% -0.89% -5.37% 2.27% 2.65% -1.34% 7.15% 10.94% -11.55% 4.30%
P/E Ratio
15.84 15.56 28 35.51 31.34 32.74 23.53 15.48 22.39 20.84 23.81 19.48 33 23.48 19.47 23.17