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Lecture 9
Survey Research & Design in Psychology
James Neill, 2011
Readings - MLR
1. Howell (2009). Correlation & regression [Ch 9]
2. Howell (2009). Multiple regression [Ch 15; not 15.14 Logistic Regression] 3. Tabachnick & Fidell (2001). Standard & hierarchical regression in SPSS (includes example write-ups) [Alternative chapter from eReserve]
Summary of MLR I
Check assumptions LOM, N,
Normality, Linearity, Homoscedasticity, Collinearity, MVOs, Residuals
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12
.18
.46
.34
.32 .52
X1
X2
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Residual analysis
Residual analysis
Three key assumptions can be tested using plots of residuals: 1. Linearity: IVs are linearly related to DV 2. Normality of residuals 3. Equal variances (Homoscedasticity)
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Residual analysis
Assumptions about residuals: Random noise Sometimes positive, sometimes negative but, on average, 0 Normally distributed about 0
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Residual analysis
Residual analysis
The Normal P-P (Probability) Plot of Regression Standardized Residuals can be used to assess the assumption of normally distributed residuals. If the points cluster reasonably tightly along the diagonal line (as they do here), the residuals are normally distributed. Substantial deviations from the diagonal may be cause for concern.
Allen & Bennett, 2008, p. 183
Residual analysis
Residual analysis
The Scatterplot of standardised residuals against standardised predicted values can be used to assess the assumptions of normality, linearity and homoscedasticity of residuals. The absence of any clear patterns in the spread of points indicates that these assumptions are met.
Allen & Bennett, 2008, p. 183
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work when residuals are wellbehaved. If the residuals dont meet assumptions these formulae tend to underestimate coefficient standard errors giving overly optimistic pvalues and too narrow CIs. 23
Interactions
Interactions
Additivity refers to the assumption that the IVs act independently, i.e., they do not interact. However, there may also be interaction effects - when the magnitude of the effect of one IV on a DV varies as a function of a second IV. Also known as a moderation effect.
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Interactions
Some drugs interact with each other to reduce or enhance other's effects e.g.,
Pseudoephedrine Arousal Caffeine Arousal Pseudoeph. X Caffeine Arousal
X
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Interactions
Physical exercise in natural environments may provide multiplicative benefits in reducing stress e.g.,
Natural environment Stress Physical exercise Stress Natural env. X Phys. ex. Stress
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Interactions
Model interactions by creating crossproduct term IVs, e.g.,:
Pseudoephedrine Caffeine Pseudoephedrine x Caffeine (cross-product)
Interactions
Y = b1x1 + b2x2 + b12x12 + a + e b12 is the product of the first two slopes (b1 x b2)
b12 can be interpreted as the amount of
change in the slope of the regression of Y on b1 when b2 changes by one unit.
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Interactions
Conduct Hierarchical MLR Step 1: Pseudoephedrine Caffeine Step 2: Pseudo x Caffeine (cross-product) Examine R2, to see whether the interaction term explains additional variance above and beyond the direct effects of Pseudo and Caffeine.
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Interactions
Possible effects of Pseudo and Caffeine on Arousal: None Pseudo only (incr./decr.) Caffeine only (incr./decr.) Pseudo + Caffeine (additive inc./dec.) Pseudo x Caffeine (synergistic inc./dec.) Pseudo x Caffeine (antagonistic inc./dec.)
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Interactions
Cross-product interaction terms may be highly correlated (multicollinear) with the corresponding simple IVs, creating problems with assessing the relative importance of main effects and interaction effects. An alternative approach is to run separate regressions for each level of the interacting variable.
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Analysis of Change
Analysis of change
Example research question: In group-based mental health interventions, does the quality of social support from group members (IV1) and group leaders (IV2) explain changes in participants mental health between the beginning and end of the intervention (DV)?
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Analysis of change
Hierarchical MLR
DV = Mental health after the intervention
Step 1
IV1 = Mental health before the intervention
Step 2
IV2 = Support from group members IV3 = Support from group leader
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Analysis of change
Strategy: Use hierarchical MLR to partial out pre-intervention individual differences from the DV, leaving only the variances of the changes in the DV b/w pre- and postintervention for analysis in Step 2.
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Analysis of change
Results of interest 2 Change in R how much variance in change scores is explained by the predictors Regression coefficients for predictors in step 2
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Residual analysis
A way to test key assumptions.
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Analysis of change
Use hierarchical MLR to partial out baseline scores in Step 1 in order to use IVs in Step 2 to predict changes over time.
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Student questions
?
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ANOVA I
Analysing differences t-tests One sample Independent Paired
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Analysing differences
Correlations vs. differences Which difference test? Parametric vs. non-parametric
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Independent groups
Dependent groups
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Some Commonly Used Parametric & Nonparametric Parametric Non-parametric Purpose Tests
t test (independent) Mann-Whitney U; Wilcoxon rank-sum Wilcoxon matched pairs signed-rank
Compares two independent samples Compares two related samples Compares three or more groups Compares groups classified by two different factors
t test (paired)
t-tests
t-tests One-sample t-tests Independent sample t-tests Paired sample t-tests
t-tests
One-sample
One group of participants, compared with fixed, pre-existing value (e.g., population norms)
Independent
Compares mean scores on the same variable across different populations (groups)
Paired
Same participants, with repeated measures
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Use of t in t-tests
t reflects the ratio of between group variance to within group variance Is the t large enough that it is unlikely that the two samples have come from the same population? Decision: Is t larger than the critical value for t? (see t tables depends on critical and N)
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One-sample t-test
Assumptions
(Indep. samples t-test)
LOM IV is ordinal / categorical DV is interval / ratio Homogeneity of Variance: If variances unequal (Levenes test), adjustment made Normality: t-tests robust to modest departures from normality, otherwise consider use of Mann-Whitney U test Independence of observations (one participants score is not dependent on any other participants score) 66
Independent Samples Test Levene's Test for Equality of Variances t-test for Equality of Means 95% Confidence Interval of the Difference Lower Upper -1.067 -1.066 -.725 -.725
F 4.784
Sig. .029
t -10.268 -10.306
df 2517 2511.570
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Independent Samples Test Levene's Test for Equality of Variances t-test for Equality of Means 95% Confidence Interval of the Difference Lower Upper -8.48E-02 -8.26E-02 .1929 .1906
Sig. .897
t .764 .778
df 489 355.220
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Independent Samples Test Levene's Test for Equality of Variances t-test for Equality of Means 95% Confidence Interval of the Difference Lower Upper -8.48E-02 -8.26E-02 .1929 .1906
Sig. .897
t .764 .778
df 489 355.220
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Assumptions
LOM: (Paired samples t-test)
IV: Two measures from same participants
(w/in subjects)
a variable measured on two occasions or two different variables measured on the same occasion
Normal distribution of difference scores (robust to violation with larger samples) Independence of observations (one
participants score is not dependent on anothers score) 73
There was no significant difference between pretest and posttest scores (t(19) = 1.78, p = .09).
Pair 1
SSR OSR
Paired Samples Test Paired Differences 95% Confidence Interval of the Difference Lower Upper .6675 .7903
Pair 1
SSR - OSR
Mean .7289
t 23.305
df 950
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Summary
(Analysing Differences) Non-parametric and parametric tests can be used for examining differences between the central tendency of two of more variables Develop a conceptualisation of when to each of the parametric tests from one-sample t-test through to MANOVA (e.g. decision
chart).
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Summary
(Analysing Differences) t-tests
One-sample Independent-samples Paired samples
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References
Allen, P. & Bennett, K. (2008). SPSS for the health and behavioural sciences. South Melbourne, Victoria, Australia: Thomson. Francis, G. (2007). Introduction to SPSS for Windows: v. 15.0 and 14.0 with Notes for Studentware (5th ed.). Sydney: Pearson Education. Howell, D. C. (2010). Statistical methods for psychology (7th ed.). Belmont, CA: Wadsworth.
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http://www.openoffice.org/product/impress.html
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