BA3360003:ManagerialMethodsinDecisionMakingUnderUncertainty Fall2011 TuTh10:00AM11:15AM SOM2.722 Aug25,2011 Dec6,2011 Professor:GaneshJanakiraman SOM3.403 9728835846 email:PleaseuseeLearningONLY OfficeHours:MondayandWednesday10:00a.m.11:00a.m. TA:LiyingMu SOM3.

.205 9728832382 email:PleaseuseeLearningONLY OfficeHours:MondayandWednesday4p.m.5p.m. RecommendedText(NOTRequired):ModernBusinessStatisticswithMicrosoftOfficeExcelcustom editionforTheUniversityofTexasatDallas.Authors:Anderson,SweeneyandWilliams. Prerequisites:MATH1326 CourseDescription:Thiscoursewillintroducetheconceptsofprobabilityandstatisticsasappliedto managerialdecisionmaking.Theseconceptswillbedevelopedvialecturesandexercisesusing MicrosoftExcel.Topicsinclude:summarizingandpresentingdata,probabilitytheory, sampling,estimation,confidenceintervals,hypothesistesting,regression,andANOVA. EmphasiswillbegiventomodelingandsolvingproblemsinFinance,Marketing,Accounting, andOperationsMangement. Grades: Therewillbethreeinclassexamseachcarryingaweightof25points,summingupto75points.These examsarenotcumulative,thatis,onlytopicscoveredafterExam1areincludedinExam2andonly topicscoveredafterExam2areincludedinExam3.Assignmentswillcountfor20points.Aweightof5 pointswillbegiventoclassparticipationtheonlyreasonforastudentnotobtainingthese5pointswill bepoorconduct(forexample,walkingintoclasslate,leavingclasswhileitisinsession,distractingother studentsetc.)thisparticipationgradeisunaffectedbyattendance.Themaximumtotalscoreinthe courseis25*3+20+5=100. Thefollowingtablegivesyouthelistoflettergradescorrespondingtoyourtotalscoreinthecourse(out of100). A+:95100A:9095A:8590 B+:8085B:7580B:7075 C+:6570C:6065C:5560 D+:5055F:Lessthan50 ExamDates:Exam1September27,Exam2October27,Exam3December6. ClassDates:AllTuesdaysandThursdaysfromAugust25toDecember6EXCEPTNovember24 (ThanksgivingHoliday).

eLearning:YourcourseeLearningsitewillbeusedinseveralimportantwaysthroughoutthe semester.eLearningemailisalsotheappropriateavenueforsendingemailtoyourprofessor. SpecialAssistance:Forhelpwithtestanxietyortimemanagement,thefollowingresourcesare available:youracademicadvisor,theLearningResourceCenter(MC2.402),theCounseling Center(SU1.608),theNewStudentProgramsOffice(SU1.610),yourinstructor. Expectation:Universityguidelinesrecommendthatyoustudy23hoursperweekforevery credithourinwhichyouareenrolled.Thatis,Universityexpectationssuggestyouspend69 hoursoutsideofclasseveryweekonhomeworkandstudyingforthiscourse. StudentConduct&Discipline TheUniversityofTexasSystemandTheUniversityofTexasatDallashaverulesandregulationsforthe orderlyandefficientconductoftheirbusiness.Itistheresponsibilityofeachstudentandeachstudent organizationtobeknowledgeableabouttherulesandregulationswhichgovernstudentconductand activities. TheUniversityofTexasatDallasadministersstudentdisciplinewithintheproceduresofrecognizedand establisheddueprocess.ProceduresaredefinedanddescribedintheRulesandRegulationsofthe BoardofRegentsoftheUniversityofTexasSystem,Part1,ChapterVI,Section3,andinTitleV,Ruleson StudentServicesandActivitiesoftheCourseSyllabusPage8,UniversitysHandbookofOperating Procedures.CopiesoftheserulesandregulationsareavailabletostudentsintheOfficeoftheDeanof Students,wherestaffmembersareavailabletoassiststudentsininterpretingtherulesandregulations (SSB4.400,972/8836391). Astudentattheuniversityneitherlosestherightsnorescapestheresponsibilitiesofcitizenship.Heor sheisexpectedtoobeyfederal,state,andlocallawsaswellastheRegentsRules,university regulations,andadministrativerules.Studentsaresubjecttodisciplineforviolatingthestandardsof conductwhethersuchconducttakesplaceonoroffcampus,orwhethercivilorcriminalpenaltiesare alsoimposedforsuchconduct. AcademicIntegrity(SpecialCommentsforthisCourse) Theexamsinthiscourseareopennotesexams.Therefore,commentsinthenextsectiononAcademic Integritywhichspecificallystatethatstudentsarenotallowedtohavewiththemcoursematerials duringtests/examsdonotapplytothiscourse.Also,thenatureoftheassignmentsinthiscourseissuch thatIfinditunnecessarytouseturnitin.comforthiscourse. ThefollowingsectiononAcademicIntegrityexplainsthegeneralrulesandexpectationsoftheSchoolof Management.Wherethissectionisnotconsistentwiththespecialcommentsaboveregardingopen notesexamsandturnitin.com,thespecialcommentsapplyinplaceofthegeneralrules.

AcademicIntegrity ThefacultyandadministrationoftheSchoolofManagementexpectfromourstudentsahighlevelof responsibilityandacademichonesty.Becausethevalueofanacademicdegreedependsuponthe absoluteintegrityoftheworkdonebythestudentforthatdegree,itisimperativethatastudent demonstrateahighstandardofindividualhonorinhisorherscholasticwork.Wewanttoestablisha reputationforthehonorablebehaviorofourgraduates,whichextendsthroughouttheircareers.Both yourindividualreputationandtheschoolsreputationmattertoyoursuccess. TheJudicialAffairswebsitelistsexamplesofacademicdishonesty.Dishonestyincludes,butisnot limitedtocheating,plagiarism,collusion,facilitatingacademicdishonesty,fabrication,failureto contributetoacollaborativeprojectandsabotage.Someofthewaysstudentsmayengageinacademic dishonestyare: Coughingand/orusingvisualorauditorysignalsinatest; Concealingnotesonhands,caps,shoes,inpocketsorthebackofbeveragebottlelabels; Writinginbluebookspriortoanexamination; Writinginformationonblackboards,desks,orkeepingnotesonthefloor; Obtainingcopiesofanexaminadvance; Passinginformationfromanearlierclasstoalaterclass; Leavinginformationinthebathroom; Exchangingexamssothatneighborshaveidenticaltestforms; Havingasubstitutetakeatestandprovidingfalsifiedidentificationforthesubstitute; Fabricatingdataforlabassignments; Changingagradedpaperandrequestingthatitberegraded; Failingtoturninatestorassignmentandlatersuggestingthefacultymemberlosttheitem; Stealinganotherstudentsgradedtestandaffixingonesownnameonit; Recordingtwoanswers,oneonthetestform,oneontheanswersheet; Markingananswersheettoenableanothertoseetheanswer; Encirclingtwoadjacentanswersandclaimingtohavehadthecorrectanswer; Stealinganexamforsomeoneinanothersectionorforplacementinatestfile; Usinganelectronicdevicetostoretestinformation,ortosendorreceiveanswersforatest; Destroyingorremovinglibrarymaterialstogainanacademicadvantage; Consultingassignmentsolutionspostedonwebsitesofpreviouscourseofferings; Transferringacomputerfilefromonepersonsaccounttoanother; Transmittingpostedanswersforanexamtoastudentinatestingareaviaelectronicdevice; DownloadingtextfromtheInternetorothersourceswithoutproperattribution; Citingtofalsereferencesorfindingsinresearchorotheracademicexercises; Unauthorizedcollaboratingwithanotherpersoninpreparingacademicexercises. Submittingasubstantialportionofthesameacademicworkmorethanoncewithoutwritten authorizationfromtheinstructor. http://www.utdallas.edu/judicialaffairs/UTDJudicialAffairsBasicexamples.html Updated:August,2011

Plagiarismonwrittenassignments,especiallyfromtheweb,fromportionsofpapersforotherclasses, andfromanyothersourceisunacceptable.Onwrittenassignments,thiscoursewillusetheresourcesof turnitin.com,whichsearchesthewebforplagiarizedcontentandisover90%effective. Duringtestsandquizzes,studentsinthissectionarenotallowedtohavewiththemanyfoodordrinks, scratchpaper,coursematerials,textbooks,notes,invisibleinkpens,orelectronicdevices,including IPads,IPhones,IPods,MP3Players,earphones,radios,smartphones,cameras,calculators,multi functiontimepieces,orcomputers.Whenpossible,studentsshouldsitinalternatingseats,faceforward atalltimes,andremoveanyclothingwhichmightconcealeyemovements,reflectimagesofanothers work,orhidecoursematerialforcopying.Examproctorswillmonitoranycommunicationorsignaling betweenstudentsbytalking,whispering,ormakingsounds,orbyusingyourhands,feet,otherbody movements,thetestpaperitselforyourwritingimplement. Studentsinthiscoursesuspectedofacademicdishonestyaresubjecttodisciplinaryproceedings,andif foundresponsible,thefollowingminimumsanctionswillbeapplied: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. HomeworkZerofortheAssignment CaseWriteupsZerofortheAssignment QuizzesZerofortheQuiz PresentationsZerofortheAssignment GroupWorkZerofortheAssignmentforallgroupmembers TestsFforthecourse

Thesesanctionswillbeadministeredonlyafterastudenthasbeenfoundofficiallyresponsiblefor academicdishonesty,eitherthroughwaivingtheirrightforadisciplinaryhearing,orbeingdeclared responsibleafterahearingadministeredbyJudicialAffairsandtheDeanofStudentsOffice. Intheeventthatthestudentreceivesafailinggradeforthecourseforacademicdishonesty,thestudent isnotallowedtowithdrawasawayofpreventingthegradefrombeingenteredontheirrecord.Where astudentreceivesanFinacourseandchoosestotakethecourseovertoimprovetheirgrade,the originalgradeofFremainsontheirtranscript,butdoesnotcounttowardscalculationoftheirGPA. TheSchoolofManagementalsoreservestherighttoreviewastudentsdisciplinaryrecord,onfilewith theDeanofStudents,asoneofthecriteriafordeterminingastudentseligibilityforascholarship. JudicialAffairsProcedures UnderauthoritydelegatedbytheDeanofStudents,afacultymemberwhohasreasontosuspectthata studenthasengagedinacademicdishonestymayconductaconferencewiththestudentincompliance withthefollowingprocedures: (i)thestudentwillbeinformedthathe/sheisbelievedtohavecommittedanactoractsofacademic dishonestyinviolationofUniversityrules; (ii) the student will be presented with any information in the knowledge or possession of the instructorwhichtendstosupporttheallegation(s)ofacademicdishonesty;

(iii)thestudentwillbegivenanopportunitytopresentinformationonhis/herbehalf; (iv) after meeting with the student, the faculty member may choose not to refer the allegation if he/shedeterminesthattheallegationsarenotsupportedbytheevidence;or (v) after meeting with the student, the faculty member may refer the allegations to the dean of studentsalongwithareferralformandallsupportingdocumentationoftheallegedviolation. Under separate cover, the faculty member should forward the appropriate grade to be assessedifastudentisfoundtoberesponsibleforacademicdishonesty; (vi) the faculty member may consult with the dean of students in determining the recommended grade; (vii)thefacultymembermustnotimposeanyindependentsanctionsuponthestudentinlieuofa referraltoJudicialAffairs; (viii)thefacultymembermaynotimposeasanctionofsuspensionorexpulsion,butmaymakethis recommendationinthereferraldocumentation Ifthefacultymemberchoosesnottomeetwiththestudentandinsteadforwardstheappropriate documentationdirectlytothedeanofstudents,theyshouldattempttoinformthestudentofthe allegationandnotifythestudentthattheinformationhasbeenforwardedtotheOfficeofDeanof Studentsforinvestigation. The student, pending a hearing, remains responsible for all academic exercises and syllabus requirements.Thestudentmayremaininclassifthestudentspresenceintheclassdoesnotinterfere withtheprofessorsabilitytoteachtheclassortheabilityofotherclassmemberstolearn.(SeeSection 49.07,pageV494forinformationregardingtheremovalofastudentfromclass). Uponreceiptofthereferralform,classsyllabus,andthesupportingmaterial/documentationfromthe facultymember,thedeanshallproceedundertheguidelinesintheHandbookofOperatingProcedures, Chapter49,SubchapterC.Iftherespondentdisputesthefactsuponwhichtheallegationsarebased,a fairandimpartialdisciplinarycommitteecomprisedofUTDfacultyandstudents,shallholdahearing anddeterminetheresponsibilityofthestudent.Iftheyfindthestudentinviolationofthecodeof conduct,thedeanwillthenaffirmtheminimumsanctionasprovidedinthesyllabus,andsharethis informationwiththestudent.Thedeanwillreviewthestudentspriordisciplinaryrecordandassess additionalsanctionswhereappropriatetothecircumstances.Thedeanwillinformthestudentandthe facultymemberoftheirdecision. EmailUse:TheUniversityofTexasatDallasrecognizesthevalueandefficiencyof communicationbetweenfaculty/staffandstudentsthroughelectronicmail.Atthesametime, emailraisessomeissuesconcerningsecurityandtheidentityofeachindividualinanemail exchange.Theuniversityencouragesallofficialstudentemailcorrespondencebesentonlytoa studentsU.T.Dallasemailaddressandthatfacultyandstaffconsideremailfromstudents officialonlyifitoriginatesfromaUTDstudentaccount.Thisallowstheuniversitytomaintaina highdegreeofconfidenceintheidentityofallindividualcorrespondingandthesecurityofthe transmittedinformation.UTDfurnisheseachstudentwithafreeemailaccountthatistobe usedinallcommunicationwithuniversitypersonnel.TheDepartmentofInformationResources atU.T.DallasprovidesamethodforstudentstohavetheirU.T.Dallasmailforwardedtoother accounts.

WithdrawalfromClass:Theadministrationofthisinstitutionhassetdeadlinesforwithdrawal ofanycollegelevelcourses.Thesedatesandtimesarepublishedinthatsemester'scourse catalog.Administrationproceduresmustbefollowed.Itisthestudent'sresponsibilitytohandle withdrawalrequirementsfromanyclass.Inotherwords,Icannotdroporwithdrawany student.Youmustdotheproperpaperworktoensurethatyouwillnotreceiveafinalgradeof "F"inacourseifyouchoosenottoattendtheclassonceyouareenrolled. IncompleteGradePolicy:Asperuniversitypolicy,incompletegradeswillbegrantedonlyfor workunavoidablymissedatthesemestersendandonlyif70%ofthecourseworkhasbeen completed.Anincompletegrademustberesolvedwithineight(8)weeksfromthefirstdayof thesubsequentlongsemester.Iftherequiredworktocompletethecourseandtoremovethe incompletegradeisnotsubmittedbythespecifieddeadline,theincompletegradeischanged automaticallytoagradeofF. StudentGrievanceProcedures:ProceduresforstudentgrievancesarefoundinTitleV,Rules onStudentServicesandActivities,oftheuniversitysHandbookofOperatingProcedures. Inattemptingtoresolveanystudentgrievanceregardinggrades,evaluations,orother fulfillmentsofacademicresponsibility,itistheobligationofthestudentfirsttomakeaserious efforttoresolvethematterwiththeinstructor,supervisor,administrator,orcommitteewith whomthegrievanceoriginates(hereaftercalledtherespondent).Individualfacultymembers retainprimaryresponsibilityforassigninggradesandevaluations.Ifthemattercannotbe resolvedatthatlevel,thegrievancemustbesubmittedinwritingtotherespondentwithacopy oftherespondentsSchoolDean.Ifthematterisnotresolvedbythewrittenresponseprovided bytherespondent,thestudentmaysubmitawrittenappealtotheSchoolDean.Ifthe grievanceisnotresolvedbytheSchoolDeansdecision,thestudentmaymakeawrittenappeal totheDeanofGraduateorUndergraduateEducation,andthedealwillappointandconvenean AcademicAppealsPanel.ThedecisionoftheAcademicAppealsPanelisfinal.Theresultsof theacademicappealsprocesswillbedistributedtoallinvolvedparties. CopiesoftheserulesandregulationsareavailabletostudentsintheOfficeoftheDeanof Students,wherestaffmembersareavailabletoassiststudentsininterpretingtherulesand regulations. DisabilityServices:ThegoalofDisabilityServicesistoprovidestudentswithdisabilities educationalopportunitiesequaltothoseoftheirnondisabledpeers.DisabilityServicesis locatedinroom1.610intheStudentUnion.OfficehoursareMondayandThursday,8:30a.m. to6:30p.m.;TueandWednesday,8:30a.m.to7:30p.m.;andFriday,8:30a.m.to5:30p.m. ThecontactinformationfortheOfficeofDisabilityServicesis: TheUniversityofTexasatDallas,SU22 POBox830688 Richardson,Texas750830688 (972)8832098(voiceorTTY) Essentially,thelawrequiresthatcollegesanduniversitiesmakethosereasonableadjustments necessarytoeliminatediscriminationonthebasisofdisability.Forexample,itmaybe necessarytoremoveclassroomprohibitionsagainsttaperecordersoranimals(inthecaseofdog guides)forstudentswhoareblind.Occasionallyanassignmentrequirementmaybe substituted(forexample,aresearchpaperversusanoralpresentationforastudentwhois

hearingimpaired).Classesenrolledstudentswithmobilityimpairmentsmayhavetobe rescheduledinaccessiblefacilities.Thecollegeoruniversitymayneedtoprovidespecial servicessuchasregistration,notetaking,ormobilityassistance. Itisthestudentsresponsibilitytonotifyhisorherprofessorsoftheneedforsuchan accommodation.DisabilityServicesprovidesstudentswithletterstopresenttofaculty memberstoverifythatthestudenthasadisabilityandneedsaccommodations.Individuals requiringspecialaccommodationshouldcontacttheprofessorafterclassorduringofficehours. ReligiousHolyDays:TheUniversityofTexasatDallaswillexcuseastudentfromclassor otherrequiredactivitiesforthetraveltoandobservanceofareligiousholydayforareligion whoseplacesofworshipareexemptfrompropertytaxunderSection11.20,TaxCode,Texas CodeAnnotated. Thestudentisencouragedtonotifytheinstructororactivitysponsorassoonaspossible regardingtheabsence,preferablyinadvanceoftheassignment.Thestudent,soexcused,will beallowedtotaketheexamorcompletetheassignmentwithinareasonabletimeafterthe absence:aperiodequaltothelengthoftheabsence,uptoamaximumofoneweek.Astudent whonotifiestheinstructorandcompletesanymissedexamorassignmentmaynotbepenalized fortheabsence.Astudentwhofailstocompletetheexamorassignmentwithintheprescribed periodmayreceiveafailinggradeforthatexamorassignment. Ifastudentoraninstructordisagreesaboutthenatureoftheabsence[i.e.,forthepurposeof observingareligiousholyday]orifthereissimilardisagreementaboutwhetherthestudenthas beengivenareasonabletimetocompleteanymissedassignmentsorexaminations,eitherthe studentortheinstructormayrequestarulingfromthechiefexecutiveofficeroftheinstitution, orhisorherdesignee.Thechiefexecutiveofficerordesigneemusttakeintoaccountthe legislativeintentofTEC51.911(b),andthestudentandinstructorwillabidebythedecisionof thechiefexecutiveofficerordesignee.