Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
MrcioNunes DiretordeEngenharia
Mobile Broadband Outlook for the Americas, Rio de Janeiro, 26 April 2010
BroadbandinBrazil
Numberofsubscribers(inmillions)
CAGR25% CAGR155%
10,0 11,5 14,0 15,0
Broadbandpenetration
CAGR23%
7,2%
7,8%
CAGR155%
5,2%
6,0%
7,7 5,7
7,0
4,1% 3,1%
3,6%
Fixed Broadband
MobileBroadbandislikelytoovertakeFixedBroadbandin2010
Mobile Broadband Outlook for the Americas, Rio de Janeiro, 26 April 2010
Source:Teleco;Huawei
BroadbandinBrazil
BroadbandPenetrationin2009
9,5 7,1 6,0 3,6 2,1 2,5 0,5 World Brazil Argentina Chile Mexico 10,0 9,8 9,2
Fixed
Mobile
MobileBroadbandParticipationinCellPhonesBase
World
12,8% 8,2% 5,7% 1,6% 2004 3,3%
1,4%
Brazil
6,0% 4,0% 2,0% 2,5% 2,9%
10,1%
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
4Q09
jan/10
3yearsdelay
MobileBroadbandinBrazilhasroomtogrow
Mobile Broadband Outlook for the Americas, Rio de Janeiro, 26 April 2010
Source:Teleco;Huawei
Trends Devicesophistication
WebBrowsing Websearch PublishingandSharing
520MHzprocessor runningWindowsCE5.0. MicrosoftOfficeMobile, 256MBofRAM,20GBhard drive,WiFi,Bluetoothand triband GSM/EDGE/CDMAEVDO networkaccess,Ethernet andUSBports,LCDtouch screen,Webvideo SXGenultramobilecomputer camera,andafoldout QWERTYkeyboard.
SamsungSGHV820L
1GBmemory, WiFi,HSDPA, 2Mpixels camera
Web
BlackBerryBold
Entertainment
Communication
iPodTouch SonyPlaystationPortable
GSM/HSDPA, 160MB memory,GPS, 5Mpixels camera,WiFi, Mp3player
HTCShift
Sony Playstation3
Nokia N95
iPhone
ThedeviceweformerlyknewasthecellphoneisevolvingintoanInternetenabledconsumerdevice
Mobile Broadband Outlook for the Americas, Rio de Janeiro, 26 April 2010
Source:Vendorsites
Trends Devicesophistication
GlobalDevicesSales(inmillions) SmartphonesmarketshareinBrazil
SmartphonesareagainingmomentuminBrazil
Mobile Broadband Outlook for the Americas, Rio de Janeiro, 26 April 2010
Source:Teleco;Huawei
59% 50%
30% 25% 13% 7% Email Web search Web services iPhone 6% Social Networks 7% MobileTV/ Video 2% Online games 21%
Marketaverage
Improveduserexperiencedrivebroadbandgrowth
Mobile Broadband Outlook for the Americas, Rio de Janeiro, 26 April 2010
Source:MMetrics;Nielsen;Cisco
Trends MobileDataTrafficGrowth
3,6EB
4% 5% 8%
CAGR108%
17%
2,2EB
1,2EB
66%
0,6EB 0,09EB
2009
0,2EB
2010 Video 2011 Web/Data/Other 2012 P2P Gaming VoIP 2013 2014
Videowilldrivemobiledatatrafficgrowth
*EB=Exabyte=1.000.000TB;Source:CiscoVisualNetworkingIndex2009 2014
Mobile Broadband Outlook for the Americas, Rio de Janeiro, 26 April 2010
Source:Cisco
MobileBroadbandevolution
Devicesevolution
Convergenceofcommunications
Communications Webcapabilities Multimedia
Connectivitytovariousaccessnetworks
Usersevolution
UserbehaviourtrendfromWired toWireless Endusersutilizingincreasingly advancedcommunications servicesandapplications
SameRichAppsandServicesinall environments(Multimedia,High bandwidth,latencydependent) ConsistentQualityofExperience
Networkevolution
Highdatarates AllIPNetwork QoS Coexistenceandintegrationof differentaccessnetworks
Mobile Broadband Outlook for the Americas, Rio de Janeiro, 26 April 2010
RANTechnologiesEvolution
RANtechnologiesevolvingtowardsLTE
Mobile Broadband Outlook for the Americas, Rio de Janeiro, 26 April 2010
9
HSPAEvolution
84
y e nc enc cie eri ffi xp re re he s e g Hi r u ste Fa
Combinations
42
MIMO
WRAN P7FP
Multi Carrier
WRAN W10A
28
21
15 codes, 64QAM
WRAN P7
10 codes, 16QAM
WRAN P5
Mobile Broadband Outlook for the Americas, Rio de Janeiro, 26 April 2010
Portugal
AllonHSPAEvolution
Thousands 3 500 3 000 2 500 2 000 1 500 1 000 500 0 Q107 Q207 Q307 Q407 Q108 Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Mobile Broadband Fixed Broadband
21
Mbps
RANEvolution
IndustryforecastshighadoptionratesforLTE
Mobile Broadband Outlook for the Americas, Rio de Janeiro, 26 April 2010
Source:Qualcomm
12
RANEvolution
UMTS Networksin service Countriesin service Networks Planned/In deployment 346 140 79 HSPA 325 137 92 HSPA+ 42 24 N/A LTE 2 2 135
HighnumberofLTEcommitments
Mobile Broadband Outlook for the Americas, Rio de Janeiro, 26 April 2010
Source: 3GAmericas
13
Backhaulbottleneck
GSM
14.4Kbps
RBS
2.5G/3G
384Kbps
RBS
RBS
HSPA
3.6Mbps
RBS
RBS
BSC
RBS
14Mbps
RBS
HSPA+ 42Mbps
RBS
RNC
RBS
RBS
LTE
Source: Ericsson
80160Mbps
Backhaul
1
14
Mobile Broadband Outlook for the Americas, Rio de Janeiro, 26 April 2010
NetworkArchitectureevolution
Verticalnetworks Transition ALLIP
MobileService
Transport
FrameRealy
Transport
Access
Evolution
Mobile Broadband Outlook for the Americas, Rio de Janeiro, 26 April 2010
FrameRealy
Ethernet
TDM
IP
ATM
Access
IntegrateandSimplify
15
NetworkArchitectureevolution
IPextensiontoaccesslayers Trafficoptimization Flexibilityinexpansions
RAN
2 IPRANMETROETHERNET CoreIPMPLS 1
MetroEthernet IPRANenabler
Mobile Broadband Outlook for the Americas, Rio de Janeiro, 26 April 2010
16
RANevolution Coverageexpansion
GSMcoverageoftodaynormallyverygood HSPAcoveragestillnotshowingitsfull potential LTEisaroundthecornerbutwillnotprovide countrywidecoverageinmanyyears
HSPA HSPA LTE
HSPA
GSM/EDGE
GSM/EDGE
HSPAcoveragewillgrowbeforeLTElargescaledeployments
Mobile Broadband Outlook for the Americas, Rio de Janeiro, 26 April 2010
17
BTS
BSC
ATM/IP
NodeB
RNC
eNB
CGW
BTS/NodeB/eNodeB CommonSite
BSC/RNC/CGW
GOAL:ONESINGLEIPTRANSPORTINTERFACE@RAN
Mobile Broadband Outlook for the Americas, Rio de Janeiro, 26 April 2010
Source: Ericsson
NetworkArchitectureevolution
Airinterface MobileBackhaul RANEDGE
BTS
SDHRings
GGSN
NodeB
PSTN
RNC
IP/MPLS MGW
Internet
BTS
BSC
MSS
NodeB
SDH/PDH Microwaves
RNC
CellSites
Aggregation
Core
19
Mobile Broadband Outlook for the Americas, Rio de Janeiro, 26 April 2010
NetworkArchitectureevolution
Airinterface MobileBackhaul RANEDGE CoreIP/MPLS SGSN MGW GMSC
BSC
BTS
PSTN
GGSN
NodeB
RNC
IP/MPLS
IP/MPLS MGW
Internet
BTS
BSC
MSS
NodeB
RNC
CellSites
Aggregation
Core
20
Mobile Broadband Outlook for the Americas, Rio de Janeiro, 26 April 2010
NetworkArchitectureevolution IMS
RedesSegmentadas Services IMS Services
Transport,SwitchingandAccess
KeyTakeaways
TrendsaredrivingRANevolution MobileBroadbandislikelytoovertakeFixedBroadbandin2010 ThedeviceweformerlyknewasthecellphoneisevolvingintoanInternetenabledconsumerdevice Videowilldrivemobiledatatrafficgrowth RANtechnologiesevolvingtowardsLTE StrongindustrydriversforLTE IndustryforecastshighadoptionratesforLTE HighnumberofLTEcommitmentsworldwide Backhaulbottleneck Networkarchitectureevolutiondemands AllIPTransportconvergence RANevolvestoIPandtheBackhaulevolvestoEthernet IMSastheenablerofLTEandcurrentaccessnetworksintegration
Mobile Broadband Outlook for the Americas, Rio de Janeiro, 26 April 2010
22
Thankyou!
MrcioNunes Marcio.Nunes@claro.com.br
Mobile Broadband Outlook for the Americas, Rio de Janeiro, 26 April 2010
23