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Wendell Zerb
604.643.7485 wzerb@canaccordgenuity.com
Nicholas Campbell
604.643.7027 ncampbell@canaccordgenuity.com
Junior Mining Weekly will resume publication the week of 11 January 2011.
Figure 1: Gold price versus average value US$/oz in situ
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global Canaccord Genuity is the global capital markets group of Canaccord Financial Inc. (CF : TSX | CF. : AIM) The recommendations and opinions expressed in this Investment Research accurately reflect the Investment Analysts personal, independent and objective views about any and all the Designated Investments and Relevant Issuers discussed herein. For important information, please see the Important Disclosures section in the appendix of this document or visit Canaccord Genuitys Online Disclosure Database.
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
2011 overview ........................................................................................................................4 Key junior mining sector drivers........................................................................................8 2010 watch list performance ............................................................................................9 2011 watch list company profiles.......................................................................................10 Alhambra Resources Ltd. (ALH : TSX-V : C$0.99 | Not rated) .......................................12 Almaden Minerals Ltd. (AMM : TSX : C$4.49 | Not rated).............................................13 Auryx Gold Corp. (AYX : TSX : C$0.94 | Not rated) .........................................................14 Batero Gold Corp. (BAT : TSX-V : C$2.58 | Not rated) ...................................................15 Bowmore Exploration Ltd. (BOW : TSX-V : C$0.58 | Not rated).....................................16 Dorato Resources Inc. (DRI : TSX-V : C$1.28 | Not rated).............................................17 Edgewater Exploration Ltd. (EDW : TSX-V : C$1.29 | Not rated) ...................................18 Full Metal Minerals Ltd. (FMM : TSX-V : C$0.29 | Not rated)........................................19 Goldgroup Mining Inc. (GGA : TSX : C$1.27 | Not rated)...............................................20 Indicator Minerals Inc. (IME : TSX-V : C$0.12 | Not rated) ............................................21 international PBX Ventures Ltd. (PBX : TSX-V : C$0.30 | Not rated).............................22 Iron Creek Capital Corp. (IRN : TSX-V : C$0.96 | Not rated)..........................................23 Mansfield Minerals Inc. (MDR : TSX-V : C$2.47 | Not rated) ........................................24 Newstrike Capital Inc. (NES : TSX-V : C$0.69 | Not rated) ............................................25 North Country Gold Corp. (NCG : TSX-V : C$1.20 | Not rated) ......................................26 Polar Star Mining Corporation (PSR : TSX : C$1.95 | Not rated) ..................................27 Queenston Mining Inc. (QMI : TSX : C$5.48 | Not rated) ..............................................28 Riverstone Resources Inc. (RVS : TSX-V : C$0.72 | Not rated) .....................................29 Rockgate Capital Corp. (RGT : TSX : C$1.98 | Not rated)..............................................30 Sulliden Gold Corporation Ltd. (SUE : TSX : C$2.26 | Not rated)..................................31 Sunridge Gold Corp. (SGC : TSX-V : C$1.30 | Not rated) ...............................................32 Trelawney Mining and Exploration Inc. (TRR : TSX-V : C$2.64 | Not rated)..................33 Research universe ................................................................................................................35 Gold in situ ............................................................................................................................36 Silver in situ...........................................................................................................................37 Uranium in situ......................................................................................................................39 Copper in situ ........................................................................................................................41 Zinc in situ .............................................................................................................................43 Nickel in situ..........................................................................................................................44 Ink spots ................................................................................................................................45 Junior Mining Weekly Index previous 12 months ...............................................................53
Note: All prices are as of close of market on 10 December 2010.
295 2,000
S&P/TSX Venture Composite Index Selected companies Price 10) Highly active by % (6-10 Dec 10) Symbol 10 Dec 10 % Ashburton Ventures Inc. ABR $0.20 200% 1,180 g/t Au sampled at Deep Creek, NV. $600k investment by PG-T. Cadillac Mining Corporation CQX $0.33 94% VGD-V option for 60% of CQXs Break project, Rouyn-Noranda, Quebec. Themac Resources Group Ltd. MAC.H $1.38 73% No news. currency CG commodity price and currency forecasts 2010E Aluminum US$/lb 0.93 Copper US$/lb 3.34 Nickel US$/lb 9.85 Zinc US$/lb 0.97 Lead US$/lb 0.95 Uranium US$/lb 43.1 Molybdenum US$/lb 15.85 Cobalt US$/lb 20.9 Gold US$/oz 1,215.0 Silver US$/oz 19.06 Platinum US$/oz 1,613 Palladium US$/oz 495.7 C$/US$ A$/US$ US$/Euro Rand/US$ 0.97 0.91 1.31 7.51
1,600
220
400 Jul-07 Jul-08 Jul-09 Jun-07 Jun-08 Jun-09 Jun-10 Oct-09 Oct-07 Oct-08 Oct-10 Feb-07 Feb-08 Feb-09 Mar-07 Mar-08 Mar-09 May-07 May-08 May-09 May-10 Nov-07 Nov-08 Sep-07 Sep-08 Dec-10 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Nov-09 Sep-09 Aug-10 Apr-10 Sep-10
70
2011E 0.90 3.75 9.75 0.95 1.00 52.5 15.0 17.5 1,400.0 23.50 1,800 550 1.00 0.95 1.30 8.00
2012E 0.90 3.75 9.25 0.90 1.00 60.0 15.0 15.0 1,300.0 22.50 1,550 400 0.95 0.90 1.30 8.00
Long Term 0.85 2.25 8.00 0.85 0.60 70.0 15.0 12.5 950.0 17.25 1,550 400 0.95 0.85 1.30 8.00
Value 10 Dec 10 1.04 4.10 10.85 1.03 1.08 60.00 16.02 17.00 1,386.00 28.67 1,681.75 735.50 0.99 0.99 1.32 6.87
% Change YTD 4.0% 23.1% 29.6% -10.1% -0.9% 33.3% 40.8% -17.1% 26.4% 69.9% 14.8% 80.4% 4.2% 9.8% -7.6% -7.2%
WoW 0.0% 3.0% 1.9% 3.0% 2.9% -1.6% 0.0% 0.0% -2.0% -2.5% -2.7% -4.3% -0.6% -0.8% -1.4% -0.2%
WoW (week over week). CG - Canaccord Genuity The CG commodity price and currency forecasts updated as of October 2010. In Situs: The basket of companies might vary quarterly. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Source: Canaccord Genuity estimates, Capital IQ, Bloomberg, TSX DataGroup
Index S&P/TSX Venture Composite Index S&P/TSX Composite Index S&P/TSX Global Gold Index S&P/TSX Div. Metals & Mining (SPDR) Streettracks Gold Trust IShares Comex Gold Trust AMEX Gold Bugs
445 3,200
2,800
370
2,400
2011 OVERVIEW
In 2010, we again celebrated higher investor risk tolerance and the resulting reallocation of speculative capital to the junior mining sector. The resultant S&P/TSX Venture rally since we published our 2010 junior mining watch list equates to a 46.4% return. Selective stocks, however, commonly gapped up 20-30% in a days trading session. Over the year, good performances are measured in gains of over 300% and gains of over 1,000% are not uncommon. Our 2010 watch list returned a one-year gain of 147.1% as compared with 46.4% for the S&P/TSX Venture Index, 13.6% for the S&P/TSX Composite Index, 25.5% for the S&P/TSX Global Gold Index and 43.3% for the S&P/TSX Diversified Metals & Mining Index. (Figure 8, page 9). [Performance (percentage gain or loss) calculated from the publishing date of the 2010 watch list (23 December 2009) to present (10 December 2010)]. For 2011, we remain generally optimistic, again citing Chinas growth benefitting metals demand, additional US-dollar weakness (or lack of relative strength) supporting commodity prices, contingency government stimulus programs to support the global economy, and moderate North American economic expansion underpinning the broad equity markets. We stress, however, that the years following significant one-year rallies have often produced negative or flat returns (Figure 3). Figure 3: VSE, CDNX and TSX Venture Exchange (January 1983 to December 2010)
4000.00
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CDNX Index
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VSE Inde x
CDNX Inde x
VSE and CDNX values adjusted for S&P/TSX Venture values. Source: Canaccord Genuity, TSX Datagroup, Bloomberg
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The S&P Volatility Index (VIX, Figure 5) is a relatively reliable reverse barometer for investor risk tolerance. As the index goes up, investor risk tolerance goes down. As indicated in the figure above, the index spiked in late 2008 and has since returned to more moderate levels. In 2010, the VIX was relatively well-behaved from February to April, but the European financial crisis began to spike fear and volatility in the middle of Q2/10. With an interim easing of risk aversion in June 2010, the junior sector started its current rally. Between 1 January 2010 and 6 July 2010 the S&P/TSX Venture Index was down 11% (1,521 to 1,348), back to the equivalent of mid-year 2003 levels, but since 7 July 2010, the S&P/TSX Venture Index is up 58% (1,348 to 2,124). We believe risk tolerance will continue to be an integral factor in determining junior mining sector market valuations, so investors should be aware of the potential macroeconomic factors that help to shape broad investor risk tolerance. Strong metal prices, renewed belief in global growth, and a thawing of risk capital have all contributed to speculative capital flowing to junior mining equities.
Volume
The TSX Venture Exchange established a new record for daily volume on 9 November 2010, when 526,512,252 shares traded, surpassing the previous record of 422,028,135 on 13 October 2010, and 411,550,319 set on 17 October 2007. We track the TSX Venture Index volume as a measure of the speculative capital being deployed into the small cap mining sector. We generally consider daily volumes of 200 million shares to be the minimum level of liquidity for supporting the S&P/TSX Venture Index. Higher volume levels are often associated with selective or broad advances in the junior sector. That being said, rallies driving the index to recent highs have come with liquidity levels of over 400 million shares traded daily. Higher volume levels are often associated with selective or broad advances in the junior sector. However, we caution that, according to our observations, downside pressure on the small cap mining sector is often related to periods of above-average volume followed by gaps down to lower daily volume (which translates to lower liquidity). Figure 6: S&P/TSX Venture Exchange Index and Volume (December 2001 to December 2010)
3,300 385 2,900 S&P/TSX Venture Index Value
2,500
2,100
235
500 Dec-01 Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03 Feb-03 Apr-03 May-03 Jun-03 Jul-03 Aug-03 Sep-03 Oct-03 Nov-03 Dec-03 Jan-04 Feb-04 Mar-04 Apr-04 May-04 Jun-04 Jul-04 Aug-04 Sep-04 Oct-04 Nov-04 Dec-04 Feb-05 Mar-05 Apr-05 May-05 Jun-05 Jul-05 Aug-05 Sep-05 Oct-05 Nov-05 Dec-05 Jan-06 Feb-06 Mar-06 Apr-06 May-06 Jun-06 Jul-06 Aug-06 Sep-06 Oct-06 Nov-06 Jan-07 Feb-07 Mar-07 Apr-07 May-07 Jun-07 Jul-07 Aug-07 Sep-07 Oct-07 Nov-07 Dec-07 Jan-08 Feb-08 Mar-08 Apr-08 May-08 Jun-08 Jul-08 Sep-08 Oct-08 Nov-08 Dec-08 Jan-09 Feb-09 Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Mar-10 Mar-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 TSX-Venture Daily Trading Volume S&P/TSX Venture Index
10
Figure 7: S&P/TSX Venture Exchange Index and Volume (December 2009 to December 2010)
550 2,800 475
S P T XV nu In e & / S e t re d x
2,400
400
100
T XV nu V lu e( ) S e t re o m M
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
Performance (percentage gain or loss) calculated from the publishing date of the 2010 watch list (23 December 2009) to present (10 December 2010). The results presented should not and cannot be viewed as an indicator of future performance. The results presented are exclusive of any relevant costs, including commissions and interest charges or other applicable expenses. Source: Canaccord Genuity, Capital IQ, Bloomberg
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Nicholas Campbell
1.604.643.7027
Source: StockCharts.com
Alhambra Resources is a junior gold exploration and development company under the stewardship of John Komarnicki, President and CEO. The company is focused on the advancement of the Uzboy gold project in northern Kazakhstan and the exploration of the Dombraly and Shirotnaia gold projects. The Uzboy gold project hosts an NI 43-101 compliant resource estimate of 21.3 million tonnes grading 1.42 g/t gold (975,500 ounces of contained gold) in the measured and indicated category with an additional 11.3 million tonnes grading 1.17 g/t gold (421,700 ounces of contained gold) in the inferred category. Alhambra is currently producing at a rate of roughly 15,000 ounces of gold per year from the Uzboy mine with cash costs of roughly US$720/oz of gold produced. An updated preliminary economic assessment for the Uzboy mine is underway. The Dombraly gold project is a past producing gold operation with a target area of 1,700 by 240 meters. ALH is targeting an initial oxide resource of 5.0-7.0 M tonnes grading 1.4-1.8 g/t gold (230,000-410,000 ounces of gold). Waste piles from previous operations grade 1.52 g/t gold. Drilling in 2011 is to focus on delivering an initial resource estimate for the Dombraly project. The Shirotnaia gold project is a large 10.0 by 2.0 kilometre target area. Highlights from previous drilling include 73 metres grading 1.79 g/t gold, 40 metres grading 1.18 g/t gold and 62 metres grading 0.93 g/t gold. Drilling in 2011 is to focus on delivering an initial resource estimate for the Shirotnaia project. In addition to its more advanced projects, Alhambra intends to continue testing regional exploration targets to delineate new gold resources. Early-stage exploration targets include the Vasilkovskoe East, North Balusty, Zhanatobe and Kerbay prospects. For 2011, Alhambra has the objectives of releasing an updated resource estimate for the Uzboy gold deposit, providing initial resource estimates for the Dombraly and Shirotnaia projects, releasing an updated preliminary economic assessment for the Uzboy gold deposit and continuing to test regional targets to delineate new zones of mineralization.
Investment risks
The commercialization risks associated with mineral exploration and development are high; thus, investment in the shares of Alhambra Resources Ltd. is for risk accounts only.
Wendell Zerb, P. Geol Adam Melnyk, P. Eng Figure 13: AMM : TSX
1.604.643.7485 1.604.643.1655
Source: StockCharts.com
Almaden is a mineral exploration company specializing in the generation of new mineral prospects in the western half of North America. According to the company, it has over 40 properties in its portfolio at various stages of exploration and development. Almadens founder and Chairman, Duane Poliquin, is linked to numerous discoveries including: the Santa Fe gold deposit in Nevada, the Apex germanium-gallium deposit in Utah, the Nevada Scheelite Extension, and the Trinidad gold mine, Mexico. Morgan Poliquin, President and CEO, is a Ph.D geologist with a special interest in epithermal gold. In early August 2010, AMM announced initial drill results from its 100% Tuligitic project in Puebla State, Mexico. The first drill hole (TU-10-1) of an initial three-hole test program intersected 302.4 metres grading 1.01 g/t Au and 48 g/t Ag (1.7 g/t AuEq) and 1.67 metres grading 60.66 g/t Au and 2,112 g/t Ag (93.2 g/t AuEq) in the Ixtaca Zone, a new low-sulphidation epithermal gold discovery. Follow-up drilling in November 2010 confirmed the general NE trend of mineralization at Ixtaca. The company suggests that controls on mineralization are complex and that there are least two major sets of veins: one along bedding striking roughly 150 to 170 degrees and one perpendicular to bedding striking roughly 50 to 70 degrees. Recent drilling has roughly been at the same azimuth as the bedding parallel vein set, and the company is considering adjusting its drill direction to capture mineralization associated with both vein sets (approximately 100 degrees). Holes released in November include TU-10-4 and TU-10-5, which were collared at an azimuth 150 degrees and dips of -48 and -55, respectively. The company suggests the holes were designed to cross the veins intersected in TU-10-1. Both holes intersected multiple quartz-carbonate-sulphide veins. Hole TU-10-4 intersected 158.0 metres (from 189.10 to 347.10 metres) averaging 0.94 g/t gold and 61.1 g/t silver (2.2 g/t AuEq or 108 g/t AgEq). Hole TU-10-5 intersected 230.43 metres (from 146.40 to 379.13 metres) averaging 0.51 g/t gold and 42.0 g/t silver (1.3 g/t AuEq or 67 g/t AgEq). Drill hole TU-10-6 appears to be an important 110 metre NE step-out from holes TU-10-1 (in part), TU-10-4 and TU-10-5. Hole TU-10-6 was collared with an azimuth of 150 degrees and dip of -50 degrees and according to AMM intersected multiple quartz-carbonate-sulphide vein zones. The entire zone of veining averaged 0.86 g/t gold and 61.7 g/t silver (2.1 g/t AuEq or 105 g/t AgEq) over 126.22 metres from 295.58 to 421.80 metres on the drill stem. Higher-grade intervals include: 19.18 metres grading 2.84 g/t gold and 160.2 g/t silver (6.0 g/t AuEq or 302 g/t AgEq). We believe Ixtaca represents a classic hot springs/low sulphidation target. Early successful drilling results, combined with an associated high-resistivity IP anomaly and soil geochemistry with anomalous gold values that span up to 2 kilometres along the NE interpreted trend, give us encouragement that Ixtaca could represent a multi-million oz AuEq discovery. Subtle surface alteration suggests there is potential for the system to continue up to 2 kilometres to the SW. A thin layer of younger volcanic ash masks older geology in the area, including, potentially, gold mineralization.
Investment risks
The commercialization risks associated with mineral exploration and development are high; thus, investment in the shares of Almaden Minerals Ltd. is for risk accounts only.
Nicholas Campbell
1.604.643.7027
Source: StockCharts.com
Auryx Gold is a junior gold developer under the stewardship of Tim Searcy, President. The company is focused on the advancement of its 92%-owned Otjikoto gold project in Namibia. The Otjikoto gold project is located in north-central Namibia. The project hosts an NI 43-101 compliant resource estimate of 28.4 million tonnes grading 1.34 g/t gold (containing 1.2 million ounces of gold) in indicated resources with an additional 17.2 million tonnes grading 1.28 g/t gold (containing 0.7 million ounces of gold) in inferred resources. The project has excellent infrastructure with highway access and sufficient local water supply, which is particularly important in Namibia. The mineralization occurs in higher-grade shoots within a halo of lower-grade mineralization. The mineralization remains open to extension along strike to the south and up and down shoot. The company is also testing for parallel shoots laterally from the current mineralization. Previously completed metallurgical work returned 80-85% recoveries using a combination of gravity and leaching and 85-95% recoveries using gold flotation. The project is being considered as an open pit mining operation. The strip ratio for the mine is currently estimated at 4.5:1. Auryx is expected to report a resource re-estimate (recalculation of the current resource based on previous drilling) in Q1/11. A 15,000 metre diamond drilling program and 10,000 metre reverse circulation (RC) drill program is set to begin in late 2010 with initial results expected in Q1/11. Geohydrological studies and an ESIA are expected to be completed in 2011 with an initial scoping study expected to be released by late 2011 to early 2012. The Otjikoto gold project is similar to AngloGolds Navachab gold mine in Namibia, which was commissioned as a 50,000 ounce per year gold mine on a limited reserve and has since been expanded to 80,000 ounces of gold per year gold operation with a 4.2 million ounce resource. Auryx Gold is currently trading at a market value of C$79.80/oz of gold resource compared with the weighted average market value of C$104/oz that we estimate for junior gold companies.
An analyst has visited Auryx Gold Corporations material operations in Namibia. Partial payment or reimbursement was received from the issuer for the related travel costs.
Investment risks
The commercialization risks associated with mineral exploration and development are high; thus, investment in the shares of Auryx Gold Corp. is for risk accounts only.
Nicholas Campbell
1.604.643.7027
Source: StockCharts.com
Batero Gold is a junior gold exploration company under the stewardship of Brandon Rook, President and CEO. The company is focused on the advancement of the Batero-Quinchia copper-gold project in western Colombia. The Batero-Quinchia copper gold project is located 190 kilometres from Colombias capital city of Bogota, 20 kilometres southwest of Medoros Marmato gold project and 100 kilometres northwest of AngloGolds La Colosa gold project. The property is accessible by way of paved highway with local access to the regional power grid. A 15-hole diamond drill program was completed on the property by AngoGold from 2006-2007, which outlined three copper-gold porphyry mineralized zones. Three Miocene intrusive centres were identified in a north-south trend on the Batero-Quinchia property with a total strike length of 3 kilometres long by 2 kilometres wide: La Cumbre, Dos Quebradas and La Lenguita/San Luis/Mandeval. A fourth porphyry target was indentified, Metecana, to the south of the mineralized zones. The La Cumbre porphyry target area has been visually confirmed over a 1.5 by 1.1 kilometre area. Historical drilling intersected mineralization from surface with mineralization remaining open at depth and in all directions. The discovery hole returned 277 metres grading 0.747 g/t gold and 0.143% copper. Drilling returned 42 277 metre intercepts grading 0.5-0.75 g/t gold and 0.06-0.15% copper. The Dos Quebradas porphyry target area covers a 700 by 700 metre area. Five holes were drilled historically, with the highlight hole intersecting 216 metres grading 0.746 g/t gold and 0.11% copper. The La Lenguita/San Luis/Mandeval targets lie roughly 1.0 kilometre to the north of the La Cumbre zone. A 250 metre by 1.0 kilometre target area was defined by geochemistry and mapping historically at the Mandeval target. Preliminary rock chip and soil samples indicated the presence of molybdenum and copper at La Lenguita/San Luis. A 16,000 metre drill program has been budgeted for the Batero-Quinchia copper gold project in 2011, focusing on the previously defined targets with some initial testing for new zones. The company is also working to complete initial metallurgical testing and begin environmental baseline work. An initial resource estimate for the Batero-Quinchia project is expected in 2011.
Investment risks
The commercialization risks associated with mineral exploration and development are high; thus, investment in the shares of Batero Gold Corp. is for risk accounts only.
1.604.643.7485 1.604.643.7529
Source: StockCharts.com
Bowmore is a Montreal-based exploration and development company focused on gold mineral properties in Canada and Mexico. The company is led by Paul A. Dumas, President and CEO, and benefits from a strategic partnership with Osisko Mining (OSK : TSX : C$14.99 | SPECULATIVE BUY), which has a 40% interest in the company and has nominated Robert Wares, Osisko Director and COO, and Sean Roosen, Osisko President and CEO, to Bowmores board of directors. Bowmore has an option agreement with AMEX Exploration Inc (AMX : TSX-V : C$0.26 | Not rated) to acquire 70% of the Chivas project (formerly Natora-South), a 24,841 hectare property located on the Sierra Madre gold belt in Mexico. The property shares a similar geological setting with Minefinders Corp.s (MFL : TSX : C$11.45 | SPECULATIVE BUY) Dolores mine located 15 kilometres east, and Alamos Golds (AGI : TSX : C$18.54 | HOLD) Mulatos mine 40 kilometres to the south. Bowmore can initially earn 50% over a 24-month period in consideration for issuing AMEX an aggregate 150,000 shares and total cash payment of $312,500, and incurring exploration expenditures of at least $1,250,000 over the same period. A further 20% can be elected to be earned by Bowmore over the following 24month period by issuing AMEX 100,000 shares and a total cash payment of $200,000, and incurring exploration expenditures of at least $750,000 within the election period. The property is not subject to any NSR. An airborne radiometric and magnetic survey was recently completed on the Chivas property, identifying a total of 14 targets, of which three were found to have strong to intense epithermal alteration. A wide silicified zone measuring approximately 900 by 300 metres was identified within felsic volcanic rocks west southwest of the Piedra Rodante zone, where previous drilling identified low-grade to anomalous gold values. This sinter zone is similar to those found above high-grade Bonanza-type low sulphidation epithermal systems. Based on the character of the zone, and its significant size (mapped for over a strike length of 2.5 kilometres), it opens the potential for an above-average epithermal gold-silver discovery. Additional field work will establish priority targets for a Q1/11 drill program. The company also has two projects of interest in Quebec. Its St-Victor property is located in southern Quebec where the company is targeting sediment-hosted gold mineralization similar to the Sukkhoi Log deposit in Russia. The company recently announced it will conduct a total of 2,410 line kilometres of airborne magnetic and time-domain electromagnetic (TDEM)geophysics at St-Victor that will assist targeting for a January 2011 drill program. At its second area of interest in Quebec, Bowmore is exploring for Lode gold associated with the Abitibi Greenstone belt on its Duverny project.
Investment risks
The commercialization risks associated with mineral exploration and development are high; thus, investment in the shares of Bowmore Exploration Ltd. is for risk accounts only.
Wendell Zerb, P. Geol Adam Melnyk, P. Eng Figure 21: DRI : TSX-V
1.604.643.7485 1.604.643.1655
Source: StockCharts.com
Dorato is a mineral exploration company focused in the Cordillera del Condor Gold, Copper District in Peru along the Ecuador border. Dorato is led by Keith Henderson, President, a registered professional geologist with 15 years experience, primarily in precious and base metal exploration. Doratos 2010 work program has focused the Lucero bulk tonnage gold-copper target Cordillera del Condor Gold, Copper District in Peru. In October, Dorato released significant trench results at Lucero, which included 188 metres grading 2.08 g/t gold and 0.20% copper, including 56.9 metres of 3.65 g/t gold and 0.23% copper. Subsequent trenching has intersected 15 metres grading 1.66 g/t Au, 50 metres grading 1.01 g/t Au, and 63.2m grading 1.63 g/t Au. A total of 11 trenches have been excavated within the Lucero target area, totalling 668 metres in length. Trenching anomalies now cover an extensive 730 by 530 metre area within the larger Lucero anomaly. Lucero is interpreted to be an intrusion-related gold and copper system. Mineralization occurs in a hydrothermally altered package of sedimentary and intrusive rocks and is also found in massive magnetite replacement and breccia bodies. Recent results outline a geochemical anomaly over 700 metres (east-west) by over 1,100 metres (north-south). The soil anomaly is coincident with airborne geophysical EM and magnetic data (recently upgraded resolution to 50 metre line spacing from 200 metre), and confirmed by gold-copper mineralization discovered by surface rock sampling and trenching. Dorato has the right to purchase 100% of Minera Afrodita, which controls concessions in the Cordillera del Condor in Peru. This mineral belt hosts the 14.1 million ounce AuEq Fruta del Norte gold deposit, which was the subject of Kinross US$923 million acquisition of Aurelian Resources in Q3/08. Doratos primary focus has been properties (Taracori, Lucero, Cobrecon) within the Cordillera del Condor project. A combination of geological mapping, geochemical sampling, and geophysics has led to multiple target areas. As part of its ongoing airborne geophysical survey (approximately 50% complete) at the project, the company recently indentified 13 additional targets on the 1,050 square kilometre property over 80 kilometres of strike length.
Investment risks
The commercialization risks associated with mineral exploration and development are high; thus, investment in the shares of Dorato Resources Inc. is for risk accounts only.
Nicholas Campbell
1.604.643.7027
Source: StockCharts.com
Edgewater Exploration is a junior gold exploration and development company under the stewardship of George Salamis, President and CEO. The company is focused on the advancement of its 100%-owned Corcoesto gold project in Spain and its Enchi gold project in Ghana (option to earn 45.9% of the project from Kinross). The Corcoesto gold project is located in northwestern Spain. The project hosts an NI 43-101 compliant resource of 5.6 million tonnes grading 1.73 g/t gold (315,000 ounces contained) in the measured and indicated category, with an additional 16.5 million tonnes grading 1.66 g/t gold (885,000 ounces contained) of inferred gold resources. Seven gold vein systems have been identified to date, which remain open along strike and to depth. The project has the potential to support open pit and underground mining operations. Initial metallurgical results indicate potential recoveries of 90% using a conventional CIL process. The project is located in a favourable mining jurisdiction in Spain with a small-scale mining permit already in place (will need to be re-submitted for a larger operation) and good infrastructure to site. Edgewater has budgeted for a 12,000 metre drill program to begin in Q4/10 with the goal of delivering an updated resource estimate in H1/11. An initial scoping study for the project is expected to be completed by late 2011 to early 2012. The Enchi gold project is located in southwestern Ghana. Edgewater has the option to earn 45.9% of the project from Kinross Gold Corporation by spending C$5 million on the project by August 2012. Previous work focused work on the Boin gold zone (112 RC drill holes) and the Nyamebekyere gold zone (35 RC drill holes). The Boin gold zone has been documented over 10 kilometres associated with the Bibiani Shear Zone. Nyamebekyere has been drilled over a 1.5 kilometre strike length. No NI 43-101 compliant resource estimate has been completed on the Enchi project. A 15,000 metre diamond drill program is budgeted for the Enchi project beginning in Q4/10. An initial resource estimate is expected to be completed in H1/11. Edgewater Exploration is currently trading at a market value of C$53.25/oz of gold resource compared with the weighted average market value of C$104/oz that we estimate for junior gold companies.
Investment risks
The commercialization risks associated with mineral exploration and development are high; thus, investment in the shares of Edgewater Exploration Ltd. is for risk accounts only.
1.604.643.7485 1.604.643.1655
Source: StockCharts.com
Full Metal Minerals is a junior exploration company with an exploration focus in Alaska and Yukon. The company is under the stewardship of Michael Williams, President, and Rob McLeod, VP Exploration. The companys Alaska land package is extensive and includes the Aleutian Islands/Alaska Peninsula CuMo exploration projects (including Pyramid), the 40-Mile zinc-silver-lead project, the Rolling Thunder gold project in eastern Alaska, and the Pebble South copper project in southwestern Alaska. Full Metal and Antofagasta recently completed a five-hole 1,668 metre drill program at the Pyramid porphyry target at the Pyramid project, located in southwestern Alaska. All drill holes encountered meaningful chalcocite, chalcopyrite and molybdenite mineralization, starting at surface. The 2010 drill program covered an area spanning 900 metres (east-west) by 750 metres (north-south) area. PY10-05 encountered the most impressive mineralization, returning 195 metres averaging 0.63% Cu, 0.018% Mo and 0.14 g/t Au, or 0.82% copper equivalent (using US$2.00/lb for copper, US$1,000/oz for gold, and US$10/lb for molybdenum). The 37,296 hectare project lies along the southern margin of the Alaska Peninsula approximately eight kilometres from tidewater. Multiple hydrothermal centres have been identified at Pyramid, within an oval-shaped 2,300 by 1,400 metre mapped extent of phyllic and potassic alteration zones. The Pyramid area was initially explored in 1974 by the Aleut-Quintana-Duval joint venture, which drilled 19 shallow holes (maximum 168 metres depth) in late 1975 (1,695 metres total). This drilling outlined a historical resource (nonNI 43-101) of 125 million tons grading 0.403% copper (largely chalcocite) and 0.025% molybdenum near-surface. Antofagasta Minerals can earn an initial 51% Interest in Pyramid by incurring US$6 million in expenditures during the first four years (US$1.5 million in the first year) and paying Full Metal US$200,000 in cash (US$50,000 at the end of the first year). Antofagasta can then earn an additional 14% interest for a total aggregate of 65% interest by preparing and delivering, at its sole cost, a scoping study costing a minimum of US$4 million. Antofagasta can then earn an additional 15% interest for a total aggregate of 80% interest by funding at its sole cost a feasibility study on the project. Other important projects being explored by FMM include: The 40-Mile property (100%), a 90 kilometre trend of silverlead-zinc targets, as well as prospective gold and copper showings. Drilling has expanded the LWM target along a strike of about 950 metres. Recent drill results include: 4.40 metres (true width) averaging 23.63% Zn, 23.71% Pb and 314.2 g/t Ag. The Rolling Thunder project includes about 210 State of Alaska mining claims (34,000 hectares) staked to target lode gold mineralization on trend with structurally controlled, quartz-pyrite stockwork, vein and vein breccias hosted on the White Gold Property, Yukon (Kinross/Underworld). Full Metal currently has 36.1 million outstanding share purchase warrants exercisable at $0.25, which expire between December 2010 and September 2012.
An analyst has not visited Full Metal Minerals Ltd.s material operations.
Investment risks
The commercialization risks associated with mineral exploration and development are high; thus, investment in the shares of Full Metal Minerals Ltd. is for risk accounts only.
Nicholas Campbell
1.604.643.7027
Source: StockCharts.com
Goldgroup Mining is a junior gold producer and exploration company under the stewardship of Keith Piggott, CEO. The company is focused on operating its Cerro Colorado gold mine and advancing the Caballo Blanco and San Jose de Gracia gold projects in Mexico. The Cerro Colorado gold mine is an open pit heap leach operation that produces roughly 25,000 ounces of gold per year in Sonora State, Mexico. There is a current NI 43-101 compliant resource of 244,000 ounces of measured, indicated and inferred gold resources estimated at the mine. The 2011 exploration program is focused on expanding the current resource base with a new crushing system recently installed to improve gold recoveries. Goldgroup holds a 70% interest in the Caballo Blanco project in Vera Cruz State, Mexico. The project has a current NI 43-101 compliant indicated and inferred gold resource of 34.3 million tonnes grading 0.6 g/t gold, containing 656,000 ounces of gold (459,000 ozs to Goldgroups account). The current resource is based on drilling completed at the La Paila deposit, which remains open on all sides with multiple anomalies to be tested on the current land package. A 30,000 metre drill program is in progress. Initial metallurgical test work indicated potential gold recoveries of 88+%. With excellent infrastructure to site, the company intends to fast track Caballo Blanco to production over the next three years with the goal of developing a 100,000+ ounce per year operation. Goldgroup has an option to earn a 50% interest in the San Jose de Gracia gold/silver project in Sinaloa State, Mexico. The project has an NI 43-101 compliant inferred mineral resource of 3.4 million tonnes grading 5.59 g/t gold and 10.02 g/t silver, containing 618,000 ounces of gold and 1.1 million ounces of silver (309,000 ozs of gold and 655,000 ounces of silver to Goldgroups account). Combined, Goldgroup has attributable NI 43-101 compliant resources of 1,025,000 ounces of gold-equivalent. The company is currently trading at a market value of C$105.19/oz compared with the weighted average market value of C$104/oz that we estimate for junior gold companies.
An analyst has visited Goldgroup Mining Inc.s material operations in Mexico. Partial payment or reimbursement was received from the issuer for the related travel costs.
Investment risks
The commercialization risks associated with mineral exploration and development are high; thus, investment in the shares of Goldgroup Mining Inc. is for risk accounts only.
Wendell Zerb, P. Geol Adam Melnyk, P. Eng Figure 30: IME : TSX-V
1.604.643.7485 1.604.643.1655
Source: StockCharts.com
Indicator Minerals is a Vancouver-based junior mineral explorer under the stewardship of Bruce Counts. Indicator has largely been focused on diamond exploration since 2004, but has recently expanded its scope to target copper mineralization in Arizona. Mr. Counts has been involved in the Canadian diamond exploration industry for 14 years. Between 1992 and 1997 he was employed by BHP Minerals Canada Ltd. and was an integral member of the team responsible for the discovery and development of the Ekati diamond mine. In August 2010 Indicator entered into an arrangement to purchase Bluestone Resources ltd, a private company with the right to earn a 100% interest in the Mohave Cu-Mo project located in northwestern Arizona. Indicator issued 5 million of its common shares to former Bluestone shareholders and committed to total cash payments of $600,000 (due September 2011, 2012). The property is subject to a 3% NSR, of which 1% can be purchased for $1.5 million. The company is targeting large-scale copper porphyry mineralization with associated silver and molybdenum. Work conducted by Bluestone identified copper mineralization and favourable alteration over the project area, which is also associated with a coincident induced polarization (IP) anomaly and complementary structural features. The company suggests the Mohave area could be analogous to the Bagdad copper porphyry mine, located within 30 kilometres and along the same structural trend. Bagdad hosts reserves (2006) of 619 million tons grading 0.35% Cu and 0.022% Mo. The Mohave project is considered to have excellent infrastructure, including being located in close proximity to a major state highway. The project is entirely within BLM federal land designation. Indicator plans to conduct a 4,000 metre core drilling program to test the near-surface Cu oxide mineralization and a minimum three-hole deep drilling program to test the hypogene Cu-Mo mineralization. The company maintains significant exploration concessions in Nunavut Territory. The Nanuq North project is its principal diamond project, from which in mid-November a 1,008 kilogram sample returned 612 diamonds (larger than 0.075 mm) in an initial sample from the NQN-001 kimberlite. Further work programs are being considered pending additional results. Indicator currently has 47 million outstanding share purchase warrants exercisable at between $0.12 and $0.20 which expire between August 2011 and October 2012.
Investment risks
The commercialization risks associated with mineral exploration and development are high; thus, investment in the shares of Indicator Minerals Inc. is for risk accounts only.
Wendell Zerb, P. Geol Adam Melnyk, P. Eng Figure 32: PBX : TSX-V
1.604.643.7485 1.604.643.1655
Source: StockCharts.com
International PBX is a mineral exploration company with exposure to copper, molybdenum and gold projects in Chile. The companys flagship Copaquire copper molybdenum project is located in northern Chile within Chiles copper porphyry belt, to the northwest of Quebrada Blanca and Collahuasi. Subject to a 2% NSR, Minera IPBX Limitada (IPBX), a wholly owned Chilean subsidiary of PBX, owns 100% interest in Copaquire. In late March 2010, the company initiated a Phase II drilling program on the Sulfato South copper zone, located immediately to the northeast of the Cerro Moly zone. According to PBX, the drill program objective is to bring the adjacent (north) copper zone to resource level and subsequently be added to an overall resource update, including near-surface oxide and supergene mineralization as well as deeper hypogene mineralization that historically has not been systematically tested at Copaquire. On a long-term basis, new mineralization could result in modelling an expansion to the open pit anticipated as part of the 2009 Cerro Moly PEA. 2010 drill results included: CQ-100 360 metres grading 0.57% Cu and 0.02% Mo; CQ-101 42 metres grading 0.39% Cu and 0.02% Mo; CQ-102 257 metres grading 0.31% Cu and 0.04% Mo; and CQ-103 402 metres grading 0.23% Cu and 0.04% Mo. In September, a Titan 24 deep IP survey was completed at Copaquire. A 7,000 metre drill program is planned by the company to test nine geophysical targets from this survey. Drilling will investigate coincident geophysical and surface alteration anomalies, as well as deep targets interpreted to be potential feeder zones at the project. Also of interest was the discovery in September of a new copper porphyry system on the property, located 2.5 kilometres west of the Cerro Moly zone, from which 49 surface chip samples averaged 0.20% Cu. The company is currently planning an airborne magnetics and EM geophysical program to cover the entire property (only 20% explored to date). The Copaquire project occurs within the Chilean copper porphyry belt in a similar geological setting to Xstrata/Anglos neighbouring Collahuasi (5 Bt at 0.83% Cu, 0.02% Mo) operation, and Tecks Quebrada Blanca Mines 1Bt at 0.50% Cu and 0.02%Mo). The Chilean copper porphyry belt is host to over 30 porphyry Cu-Mo deposits and prospects that contains one of the largest accumulations of copper in the world (resources plus production 220 million tonnes of copper 2002). In late-November, PBX closed a $3.8 million private placement, of which $2.5 million was purchased by Ningbo Jintian Copper, the largest copper processing company in China. The company controls a series of additional projects in Chile and intends to fly airborne geophysics over its 100%-owned Tierra de Oro, Sierra Pintada, Palo Negro and Hornitos copper gold projects located in the Chilean IOCG belt.
An analyst has not visited International PBX Ventures Ltd.s material operations.
Investment risks
The commercialization risks associated with mineral exploration and development are high; thus, investment in the shares of International PBX Ventures Ltd. is for risk accounts only.
Wendell Zerb, P. Geol Adam Melnyk, P. Eng Figure 34: IRN : TSX-V
1.604.643.7485 1.604.643.1655
Source: StockCharts.com
Iron Creek is a mineral exploration and development company targeting porphyry copper and epithermal Au-Ag systems in Chile. The company is under the stewardship of Timothy Beale, President and Michael Winn, CEO. Hochschild Mining holds 8.6% of Iron Creeks issued and outstanding shares. The Victoria project is a joint venture with Hochschild (60% HOC, 40% IRN) in Chile. It is 45,000 hectares and covers 37 kilometres of the Domeyko fault zone, situated midway between the Escondida and Salvador deposits in northern Chiles porphyry belt. The project includes the Vaquillas mine (small-scale historical mining) and six undrilled porphyry targets. To earn its 60% interest in Victoria, HOC drilled 16,975 metres of RC and 715 metres of diamond drilling in 2009/2010, including 102 metres grading 0.90 g/t Au and 57 g/t Ag (1.9 g/t AuEq) at the Vaquillas mine target. The Vaquillas mine area is underlain by a large, deep IP chargeability anomaly. Exploration is currently ongoing at both the Vaquillas mine (5,000 metres program nearing completion, assays January 2011) and other targets (4,000 metres RC drilling). The Incahuasi porphyry Cu target displays a 3.5 by1.5 kilometre surface hydrothermal alteration pattern, with supergene oxidation and leaching; a surface geochemical anomaly is coincident with outcropping quartz vein stockwork and a peripheral propylitic alteration halo and tourmaline breccia. The 27,000 hectare Pampa Buenos Aires joint venture with Andina Minerals (50/50) covers 18 kilometres of the Dominador fault zone in northern Chile immediately south of Yamanas El Peon and Fortuna deposits. It includes several geochemical (arsenic, antimony) anomalies, which the company indicates are low-sulphidation epithermal Au/Ag vein targets, including the Cerro Buenos target and the Cerro Blanco porphyry target. Drilling at the project is planned for 2011. Iron Creek also has the 100%-owned 11,300 hectare Pampa Sur project (adjacent to Pampa Buenos Aires project on the Dominador fault zone), which has several Au/Ag vein targets based on geochemistry and is available for option. The company also has 100% of the 52 hectare Magallanes project, located approximately 100 kilometres north of the Pampa Buenos Aires project. An analyst has not visited Iron Creek Capital Corp.s material operations.
Investment risks
The commercialization risks associated with mineral exploration and development are high; thus, investment in the shares of Iron Creek Capital Corp. is for risk accounts only.
Wendell Zerb, P. Geol Adam Melnyk, P. Eng Figure 36: MDR : TSX-V
1.604.643.7485 1.604.643.1655
Source: StockCharts.com
Mansfield is a minerals exploration and development company focused on its 100%-owned Lindero gold project in Salta Province, northwestern Argentina. The company is led by Gordon Leask, President. In March 2010, Mansfield announced the results of an NI 43-101 pre-feasibility study for Lindero, completed by AMEC Americas. The study outlined a conventional 30,000 tpd open pit heap leach gold mine producing an average of 124,000 oz Au at cash operating costs of US$407/oz Au over a 9.5-year mine life. Using US$975/oz Au, the pre-tax project NPV 6% is estimated at US$305 million, with a pre-tax IRR of 35%. Increasing the gold price to US$1,100/oz increases the pre-tax NPV 6% to US$416 million. Higher-grade sequencing early in the first five years of the mine life (0.72 g/t Au years 1-5 vs. 0.59 g/t Au LOM) results in higher production averaging 161,000 oz Au and cash operating costs of US$373/oz Au in years 1-5, improving the projects overall economics. Gold recoveries from the heap leach operation average 70%, based on a crush of 80% passing 3/8 inch (MDR indicates recoveries can be increased to up to 78% by using high pressure grinding rolls to create an 80% passing 1/3 inch crush) and the LOM strip ratio is 0.9:1. Initial capex was estimated at US$213 million and sustaining capital was estimated at US$15 million. Proven and probable reserves, using a 0.19 g/t Au cut-off, are estimated at 1.92 million oz Au grading 0.59 g/t Au. Reserves are included in a global project resource (0.20 g/t Au cut-off) of 2.95 million oz Au, consisting of 2.20 million oz M&I grading 0.56 g/t Au and an inferred resource of 0.75 million oz grading 0.40 g/t. The Lindero project is located 240 kilometres west-southwest of the City of Salta at a peak elevation of 3,900 metres and is accessed by an all-weather road. A gas pipeline is within 100 kilometres and a powerline is within 125 kilometres. In mid-October 2010, Mansfield submitted a mine permit application, including an Environmental Impact Assessment, to Salta province for the project. The receipt of a mining permit for Lindero is expected late Q1/11. Mansfield is targeting the completion of a bankable feasibility study for the project in Q2/11. Salta Province, Argentina, is overall supportive of mining development; however, no major mining projects have been permitted in the province since new mining laws were instituted in 1994. Lindero would be subject to a 32% corporate tax rate and net 1.75% NSR royalty payable to the provincial government.
Investment risks
The commercialization risks associated with mineral exploration and development are high; thus, investment in the shares of Mansfield Minerals Inc. is for risk accounts only.
Wendell Zerb, P. Geol Adam Melnyk, P. Eng Figure 38: NES : TSX-V
1.604.643.7485 1.604.643.1655
Source: StockCharts.com
Newstrike is a gold-silver focused mineral explorer, targeting known and historical mining districts in Mexico, including the Guerrero gold belt in Guerrero State. Newstrike principals, including CEO, Richard Whittall (formerly at Miranda Mining), and Gillian Kearvell, VP Exploration, (formerly at Teck Corp.), have extensive experience in the Guerrero mining camp. Newstrike is one of the largest holders of mineral claims (88,950 hectares) covering the main trend of the Guerrero gold belt in Guerrero State, Mexico. The companys primary focus is the Santa Paula project north of and along trend of Torex Golds (TXG : TSX) Morelos project (which includes the El Limon deposit) and Goldcorps Los Filos mine. Newstrike acquired core mineral claims (3% NSR) at Santa Paula from Goldcorp in June 2010. Newstrike has a 10-year surface access agreement with the local community and has recently initiated a $3.5 million 5,000 metre drill program testing Los Filos style targets, which were previously tested sparsely in 2005. Newstrike is targeting gold mineralization associated with Tertiary aged diorite to granodiorite stocks emplaced in Cretaceous Morelos Formation carbonate rocks. Gold mineralization occurs largely on the margins of the intrusive stocks and is related to high temperature metasomatic alteration (skarn) followed by meso- to epithermal alteration. Prospective diorite to granodiorite stocks are believed to trend northwesterly onto Newstrikes concessions, opening the potential to outline gold mineralization at Santa Paula. Goldcorp is currently mining the Los Filos and El Bermejal deposits as twin open pit-heap leach operations. Annual production is currently about 250,000 oz/year. The property is located at the Village of Mezcala (230 kilometres south of Mexico City) and is accessible from Highway 95, a major paved route between Mexico City and Acapulco. Torex Golds Morelos gold project hosts measured and indicated resources of 28.8 million tonnes grading 3.2 g/t gold, with an additional 8.7 million tonnes of inferred resources at a grade of 3.2 g/t gold. Combined, the project hosts an in situ gold resource of 3.85 million ounces of gold (100%). A prefeasibility study was completed by Teck on the Morelos project in mid-2007. The 2007 study considered two development scenarios: an open-pit operation and a combined openpit/underground operation. Capex was estimated at US$300 million under both scenarios. Annual gold production was estimated at 249,000-264,000 ounces of gold with cash costs ranging from US$248 to US$283/oz over a 9- to 11-year mine life (depending on the development scenario). Torex has recently outlined a higher-grade zone of 7.45 million tonnes at 6.79 g/t Au at El Limon, which could be exploitable in an underground mining operation. Activity in the area of Los Filos by Goldcorp, Torex (Morelos project) and Cayden Resources (Morelos Sur project) could provide news flow and speculative comparables for Newstrike over the next 12 months. The Lundin family controls about 52% of the outstanding common shares of Newstrike.
Investment risks
The commercialization risks associated with mineral exploration and development are high; thus, investment in the shares of Newstrike Capital Inc. is for risk accounts only.
Wendell Zerb, P. Geol Adam Melnyk, P. Eng Figure 40: NCG : TSX-V
1.604.643.7485 1.604.643.1655
Source: StockCharts.com
North Country Gold is a junior exploration and development company under the stewardship of John Williamson, President and CEO. The company was formed in 2010 with a focus on advancing the 100%-owned Three Bluffs gold deposit in the Committee Bay Greenstone Belt, located 300 kilometres NE of Baker Lake in Nunavut, Canada. This asset was formerly held by Committee Bay Resources (under the same management group). North Country is currently the 100% beneficial owner of the mineral rights to approximately 557,323 acres (225,569 hectares) of land, comprising 216 active mineral claims and 14 mineral leases within the Committee Bay Greenstone Belt. We believe NCG controls one of the largest prospective greenstone belts in Canada and with time and capital could identify material gold resources similar to other successful mineral explorers like Cumberland Resources and Hope Bay mines. Currently, the Three Bluffs deposit, the principal gold zone controlled by NCG, hosts an NI 43-101 compliant resource of 752,000 oz Au (508,000 oz Au indicated at 5.85 g/t Au and 244,000 oz Au inferred at 5.98 g/t Au). The company indicates that the deposit is open for expansion along strike to the west and to depth. The company is planning to complete updated mineral resource estimation on Three Bluffs in late 2010 or early 2011. The Three Bluffs deposit is located in the central area of the Committee Bay Greenstone Belt and is hosted at the eastern end of a folded iron formation, which North Country indicates has been traced for over 5 kilometres to the west. According to the company, only 5% of a potential 200 kilometres of prospective stratigraphy has been drill tested. In the most recent drill program, the company has targeted zones of mineralization that are within approximately 5 kilometres of the Three Bluffs deposit. Recent results from the Antler gold target, 1.5 kilometres to the west of Three Bluffs included: 12.29 metres grading 4.51 g/t Au, 13.73 metres grading 2.61 g/t Au, and 10.00 metres grading 2.67 g/t Au. In addition, drilling at the Hayes occurrence located 1.5 kilometres west of Antler, has returned 3.7 metres grading 28.1 g/t Au In late October, North Country announced the results from a Quantec Titan-24 deep earth imaging IP survey conducted at Three Bluffs. The interpretation of the survey results by Quantec Geoscience Ltd. concludes that at the Three Bluffs project the Titan-24 survey has successfully identified at least five geophysical anomalies (DC resistivity and IP chargeability) with potential for poly-metallic mineralization from near surface to approximately the survey limits of 500 metres depth. A 2011 exploration and development program is currently being planned for Three Bluffs and is anticipated to begin in April 2011.
An analyst has not visited North Country Gold Corp.s material operations.
Investment risks
The commercialization risks associated with mineral exploration and development are high; thus, investment in the shares of North Country Gold Corp. is for risk accounts only.
Wendell Zerb, P. Geol Adam Melnyk, P. Eng Figure 42: PSR : TSX
1.604.643.7485 1.604.643.1655
Source: StockCharts.com
Polar Star Mining is a mineral exploration and development company focused on the Montezuma project, located in northern Chiles prolific copper porphyry belt. Polar Star is led by Douglas Willock, President and CEO. The 50,000 hectare (501 square kilometres) Montezuma property is 100%-owned by Polar Star, is located north of Antofagasta, Chile, and covers 25 kilometres of the West Fissure fault, which is host to some of the worlds largest Cu (+ Mo, Au, Ag) porphyry deposits, including Chuquicamata (18.2 billion tonnes), Escondida (4.4 billion tonnes), and Sierra Gorda (2.4 billion tonnes). Polar Star acquired Montenzuma through staking in 2007. The project is accessible by paved and gravel road from the city of Calama, 20 kilometres to the north. During 2009, two RC drilling programs totalled 7,256 metres. Diamond drilling began in 2010, with 12,000 metres completed to date. In total, 311 line kilometres of IP geophysical surveys have been completed at the project. Based on geophysical results, two main trends have been identified on the project: the 20 kilometres long, 1-2 kilometres wide, N-S Chuquicamata trend and the 25 kilometres long, 0.8-1.9 kilometres wide NE-SW Esperana trend. Nine target zones (each 2 by 4 kilometres) have been identified on these two trends, with the companys focus primarily directed towards two zones (porphyry targets preserved below barren litho-caps) near the intersection of the trends. Three diamond drills are currently operating at the project. The company has identified disseminated and veinlet pyritechalcopyrite mineralization in porphyry style alteration in drilling thus far, including 70 metres grading 0.37% Cu and 0.12 g/t Au and 114 metres grading 0.23% Cu, 0.07 g/t Au, and 0.002% Mo in hole 38 (November 2010). Hole 38 is continuously mineralized for 867 metres, from about 220 metres with disseminations and veinlets of pyritechalcopyrite in porphyry style phyllic alteration and averages 0.1% copper and 0.05 g/t gold. According to Polar Star, the hills that cover the north and west half of the Montezuma claims generally expose the same group of metamorphosed Palaeozoic intrusive, volcanic and sedimentary rocks that host the Chuquicamata porphyry copper deposits.
An analyst has not visited Polar Star Mining Corporations material operations.
Investment risks
The commercialization risks associated with mineral exploration and development are high; thus, investment in the shares of Polar Star Mining Corporation is for risk accounts only.
Wendell Zerb, P. Geol Adam Melnyk, P. Eng Figure 44: QMI : TSX
1.604.643.7485 1.604.643.1655
Source: StockCharts.com
Queenston controls 200 square kilometres of mineral properties in the Kirkland Lake gold camp in Ontario, which has historically produced over 40 million ounces of gold. QMI also has two properties (one 100%-owned, one 50/50 JV) covering 6 kilometres of the Cadillac Break, west of Agnico-Eagles Lapa mine in Cadillac Township, Quebec. Charles Page is President and CEO. Queenstons projects can roughly be broken down into Kirkland East and Kirkland West properties. The Kirkland East properties consist of 1,109 mineral claims (23 properties), which are 100%-owned by the company. The Kirkland West properties consist of 142 mineral claims (seven properties), which are 50/50 joint ventures with Kirkland Lake Gold, as well as a 100%-owned property adjacent to the JV land. In total, in the Kirkland Lake area, QMI has exposure to 1.24 million oz of attributable NI 43-101 Au resources (6.97 g/t) and 847,000 oz Au (5.41 g/t) of historical (non-43-101) resources. In Cadillac Township, Quebec, QMI has 525,000 attributable oz Au (5.2 g/t), primarily in historical resources. Queenstons Kirkland East projects cover 30 kilometres of the Larder Lake Break, a key structure that hosts mineralization in the Kirkland Lake camp. The Upper Canada (historical underground resource, not NI 43-101 of 422,000 oz Au at 6.91 g/t) and Bidgood and Boundary projects are open pit, potentially bulk mineable targets. Upper Canada is currently being drilled with three drill rigs, to be increased to five rigs in 2010 and an NI 43-101 resource is expected in Q1/11. The Upper Beaver project hosts a current NI 43-101 resource of 638,000 oz Au and 22.1 million lbs Cu (8.15 g/t Au and 0.41% Cu). A resource update is expected in Q1/11, based on 40,000 metres of drilling below the current resource. In 2011, Queenston intends to advance Upper Beaver toward feasibility and mine development. McBean-Anoki is host to a total of 453,000 oz Au (4.71 g/t) in two deposits. Near the Kirkland Lake Main Break mineralized structure at the west end of the camp, Queenston is exploring a series of 50/50 joint ventures with Kirkland Lake Gold immediately to the south and east of KGIs 100%-owned properties, including a portion of the South Mine Complex, currently being mined at KGIs 100%-owned Macassa mine. The portion of the SMC resource that falls onto 50% QMI land has an NI 43-101 resource of 300,000 oz Au at 44.4 g/t (50% QMI). Underground drilling on the JV land is ongoing and an exploration drift is being advanced along the JV claim boundary to further explore east of the SMC deposit. At Kirkland West, QMI also has 100% of the Amalgamated Kirkland deposit (historical resource of 382,000 oz Au at 4.5 g/t Au). In October 2010, Agnico-Eagle announced a $35 million strategic investment in QMI. The companies also agreed to a technical services agreement, providing Queenston access to Agnicos geological and mining engineering teams. Agnico now owns 11% of QMIs fully diluted shares.
An analyst has not visited International Queenston Mining Inc.s material operations.
Investment risks
The commercialization risks associated with mineral exploration and development are high; thus, investment in the shares of Queenston Mining Inc. is for risk accounts only.
Nicholas Campbell
1.604.643.7027
Source: StockCharts.com
Riverstone Resources is a junior gold exploration and development company under the stewardship of Michael McInnis, President and CEO. The company is focused on the advancement of the Karma gold project in Burkina Faso. The Karma project is located in north-central Burkina Faso. The project has an NI 43-101 compliant resource estimate of 821,000 ounces of indicated gold resources with an additional 322,000 ounces of inferred gold resources. The project is composed of the Goulagou, Kao and Rambo gold deposits as well as the recently discovered Nami prospect. Goulagou includes the GGI and GGII deposits, which host indicated NI 43-101 compliant resources of 6.6 million tonnes grading 1.83 g/t gold (390,000 ounces of contained gold) with an additional 8.4 million tonnes grading 0.7 g/t gold (189,000 ounces of contained gold). RAB drilling identified a new 700 metres long gold zone at GGI, which remains open to expansion to the west. Kao hosts indicated NI 43-101 compliant resource of 14.7 million tonnes grading 0.91 g/t gold (430,000 ounces of contained gold) with an additional 3.7 million tonnes grading 0.65 g/t gold (76,000 ounces of contained gold). The deposit is open to the north, northeast and at depth. A new gold zone was also identified 500 metres NE of the deposit. Rambo hosts inferred NI 43-101 compliant resource of 0.3 million tonnes grading 7.02 g/t gold (57,000 ounces of contained gold). Two new gold zones have been defined along strike from the current deposit. The Nami prospect was discovered in 2010 as a result of artisanal mining activities. No NI 43-101 compliant resources have been defined as of yet. The zone has been defined over a 500 metre strike with a 125 metre width and remains open to the south, west and at depth. Riverstone Resources is currently trading at a market value of C$57.31/oz of gold resource compared with the weighted average market value of C$104/oz that we estimate for junior gold companies. An updated resource estimate is expected to be reported in Q1/11 with a pre-feasibility study expected to be completed by late 2011 to early 2012.
An analyst has Riverstone Resources Inc.s material operations in Burkina Faso. Partial payment or reimbursement was received from the issuer for the related travel costs.
Investment risks
The commercialization risks associated with mineral exploration and development are high; thus, investment in the shares of Riverstone Resources Inc. is for risk accounts only.
1.604.643.7027 1.604.643.7529
Source: StockCharts.com
Rockgate Capital is a Vancouver-based exploration and development company focused on projects in West Africa. The company is managed by Karl Kottmeier as President and CEO, Lorne Warner as VP Exploration and a board of directors including Allen Ambrose of Minera Andes (MAI : TSX : C$2.82 | SPECULATIVE BUY), Gord Neal of MAG Silver (MAG : TSX : C$11.66 | Not rated) and Philip Williams of Pinetree Capital (PNP : TSX : C$3.65 | Not rated). Rockgates primary asset is the Falea uranium-silver project in Mali, located approximately 350 kilometres west of the capital city of Bamako. The Falea project straddles the edge of a plateau, which formed as resistant, intruded dolerites protected softer underlying sediments that unconformably overlie the older gold-hosting Birimian metavolcanic and metasedimentary rocks. The Brimian has, in places, been intruded by uraninite-bearing Saraya granites. Silver mineralization is in the form of both silver sulphides and native silver, and grades can run up to 17,900 g/t over 1 metre. Uranium mineralization is found predominantly in sandstones, often with improved grade beneath capping, less permeable mudstone horizons. Rockgate has been conducting exploration and progressively closer-spaced drilling since 2007 and at July 2009 had identified six zones of shallow flat-lying uranium-silver mineralization. A July 2010 NI 43-101 compliant resource estimate (using a 0.04% U3O8 cut-off grade) outlined 788,000 lbs U3O8 (at 0.076% U3O8) and 723,000 oz Ag (at 48 g/t Ag) in the indicated category, and 16.7 million lbs U3O8 (at 0.089% U3O8) and 21.4 million oz Ag (at 78 g/t Ag) in the inferred category. Golder Associates is working on an updated resource estimate expected before year-end. Drilling to date has been on 100 metre centres, but the current drilling program will tighten the drill spacing down to 25 metres. A second rig will be on site in the new year, once the river is fordable; a bridge is planned to improve yearround road access. The mineralization is relatively flat-lying, and the absence of clay alteration makes it amenable to underground room-and-pillar mining. The top of the plateau provides an excellent flat location for plant construction and nearby undulating terrain provides a good site for a tailings storage facility. Rockgates Falea project provides unique exposure to relatively high-grade uranium and silver mineralization in a prodevelopment jurisdiction. The company is well-financed, having just closed the issue of C$15 million in subscription receipts, convertible into common shares pending a shareholder vote scheduled 17 December.
Investment risks
The commercialization risks associated with mineral exploration and development are high; thus, investment in the shares of Rockgate Capital Corp. is for risk accounts only.
1.604.643.7027 1.604.643.7529
Source: StockCharts.com
Sulliden Gold is a Toronto-based explorer focused on developing the Shahuindo gold project in Cajamarca, Peru. The company is guided by President and CEO, Peter Tagliamonte, a professional engineer with 25 years of experience in mine building and operations, and VP Operations and Technical Services, Joe Millbourne, a metallurgist with over 30 years of industry experience. The Shahuindo gold project is located along the same trend that hosts Newmonts Yanacocha mine and Barricks Lagunas Norte mine, as well as a number of smaller Peruvian-operated mines. Infrastructure is quite good, the ground is unchallenging, and altitude is not an issue (below 2,900 metres ASL). Management initiatives are forging a positive environment with nearby communities. A November 2009 resource estimate focused on oxide mineralization amounting to 44.5 million tonnes indicated grading 0.58 g/t Au and 13.2 g/t Ag (830,000 oz Ag and 18.8 million oz Ag contained) plus 17.7 million tonnes inferred grading 0.49 g/t Au and 6.0 g/t Ag (280,000 oz Ag and 3.4 million oz Ag contained). A December 2009 preliminary economic assessment (PEA) examined a base case 15,000 t/d open-pit, heap-leach operation with capex of US$89 million and producing 105,000 oz Au equivalent per annum (over a sevenyear mine life and 80% gold recovery) at an average cash cost of US$403/oz Au equivalent. The pre-tax project NPV with the base case US$775/oz Au price is US$53.8 million using an 8% discount rate. Sullidens 2011 exploration program will include an ambitious 70,000 metres of drilling at Shahuindo. The focus will be on expanding the oxide mineralization in the Central Zone, as well as targeting a potential 60% increase in strike length (to 6.2 kilometres), based on 800 metres of drilling at the South-East extension and an IP survey of the NorthWest extension over 1,600 metres. Sulliden will also be turning its attention toward demonstrating the presence of sulphide mineralization below the known oxide resource. Finally, a third-party study of the structural geology at Shahuindo has suggested the possibility of several other mineral structures parallel to the Central Corridor. Two such structures, the North and South Corridors are to be explored; six historical holes were drilled in the North Corridor, of which four intersected ore grade mineralization. The company has $30 million in cash, following a C$23 million equity offering (18.4 million shares at $1.25 per share) in October 2010.
An analyst has not visited Sulliden Gold Corporation Ltd.s material operations.
Investment risks
The commercialization risks associated with mineral exploration and development are high; thus, investment in the shares of Sulliden Gold Corporation Ltd. is for risk accounts only.
Nicholas Campbell
1.604.643.7027
Source: StockCharts.com
Sunridge Gold is a junior mining development company under the stewardship of Michael Hopley, President and CEO. The company is focused on the advancement of its 100%-owned Asmara VMS (copper, zinc and gold) project in Eritrea. The Asmara gold project is a copper-zinc-gold VMS project located in central Eritrea. The project is currently comprised of four deposits: the Debarwa, Emba Derho and Adi Nefas VMS deposits and the Gupo Gold deposit. Combined, the Asmara project hosts an NI 43-101 compliant resource estimate of 1.28 billion pounds of copper, 2.5 billion pounds of zinc, 1.05 million ounces of gold and 31.8 million ounces of silver in the indicated category. There is an additional 189,000 ounces of gold in the inferred category. Debarwa Deposit: Sunridge is considering fast-tracking production at Debarwa by direct shipping the high-grade copper material associated with the supergene zone of the deposit, which can run as high as 18-20% copper with 2-6 g/t gold. A feasibility study is expected to be completed for the Debarwa deposit by late 2010 to early 2011. Emba Derho: A preliminary economic assessment was completed in June 2009 on the Emba Derho deposit. Based on a 4.0 million tonne per year (11,000 tpd) open pit mining operation, the project has the potential to produce 121.3 million pounds of zinc, 55.1 million pounds of copper, 20,000 ounces of gold and 600,000 ounces of silver per year over a 10.4year mine life. Capex is estimated at US$331.8 million. Based on $2.95/lb copper, US$0.95/lb zinc, US$835/oz gold and US$14/oz silver, the project has a pre-tax 10% discounted NPV of US$323.8 million. Sunridge is examining the potential to improve the economics of the Emba Derho deposit through the incorporation of an additional 95,000 ounces of oxide gold resources and incorporating the Adi Nefas and Gupo Gold deposits into the model. Nevsun Resources is arguably the best comparable for Sunridge as it has been a trail blazer in Eritrea with its Bisha project on track to begin production in 2011. Nevsun is more advanced and fully funded, which needs to be taken into account; nevertheless, Nevsun is currently trading at an in situ market value of C$716/oz of gold resource vs. Sunridges current in situ market value of C$100/oz of gold resource.
Investment risks
The commercialization risks associated with mineral exploration and development are high; thus, investment in the shares of Sunridge Gold Corp. is for risk accounts only.
TRELAWNEY MINING AND EXPLORATION INC. (TRR : TSX-V : C$2.64 | NOT RATED)
Figure 53: TRR : TSX-V
Shares O/S (M): Shares FD (M): Working capital (M): Market Cap (M): Website: 115.8 133.4 C$63.0 C$305.7 www.trelawneymining.com
1.604.643.7485 1.604.643.1655
Source: StockCharts.com
Trelawney is a junior mining and exploration company, focused on the development and exploration of its Chester project, located 20 kilometres southwest of Gogama Ontario, halfway between Sudbury and Timmins on highway 144. The company is led by Greg Gibson, President and CEO. TRR has up to an additional 13 million shares and $1.2 million in option payments outstanding over the next three years to acquire its full (up to 92.5% interest) in the Chester project. Last March, TRR generated interest with drill results from the Cote Lake zone (TRR earning 92.5%, 1.5% to 5.5% NSR) on the Chester project. Drill hole E10-04 returned 107 metres grading 8.2 g/t Au (carried largely by one high-grade intercept of 2.56, grading 313 g/t Au) from 222 metres depth. In November, TRR again captured market attention with hole E10-33, which intersected 520 metres grading 1.44 g/t Au. Mineralization has been traced over a strike length of 400 metres, to a depth of up to 450 metres and widths of up to 400 metres. The company suggests that the exploration potential of Cote Lake could be 3.5-6 million oz Au (at approximately 1.5 g/ Au). An initial NI 43-101 resource estimate (30 January 2011 drilling cut-off) for Cote Lake is expected in late Q1/10. The deposit is open for expansion along strike to the SW and down dip to the SE. Two rigs are currently drilling at the project, with an additional three rigs expected to be added in early 2011. The company suggests that the 8 by 4 kilometre Chester project is located just south of the southwest extension of the Cadillac-Larder Lake fault, which runs through the Kirkland Lake area. Gold mineralization at Cote Lake is described as being associated with a porphyry-style breccia-hosted mineralized body. Narrow intercepts within the body can contain multiple-ounce high-grade intercepts, which in some cases (E10-04) can profoundly skew the grade throughout the breccia. At Chester, three historical gold deposits, located 500 metres to three kilometres east of Cote Lake called Chester 1 (TRR earning 70%), Chester 2 (92.5% TRR, up to 5.5% NSR) and Chester 3 (TRR earning 92.5%, 1.5% NSR) (historically known as Murgold Chesbar, Young-Shannon and Jack Rabbit deposits) hosts a combined resource (not NI 43-101 compliant) of 467,800 oz Au at an average grade of 8.9 g/t. At Chester 1, underground infrastructure with an estimated replacement value of $30-35 million (never in production) accesses the historical resource. The company plans to drive a 1.5 kilometre haulage drift to Chester 2. Trelawney indicates it could be producing up to 30,000 oz/year by the end of 2011 and 60,000 oz/year by the end of 2012 (toll milled).
An analyst has not visited Trelawney Mining and Exploration Inc.s material operations.
Investment risks
The commercialization risks associated with mineral exploration and development are high; thus, investment in the shares of Trelawney Mining and Exploration Inc. is for risk accounts only.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
RESEARCH UNIVERSE
WENDELL ZERB AND NICHOLAS CAMPBELL
Figure 56: Research universe
Company Alamos Gold Inc. AXMIN Inc. Colossus Minerals Inc. Copper Mountain Mining Corp. Dynasty Metals & Mining Inc. East Asia Minerals Corp. Endeavour Mining Corp. Exeter Resource Corporation Extorre Gold Mines Ltd. Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. Fronteer Gold Inc. Gammon Gold Inc. GlobeStar Mining Corp. Grayd Resource Corp. Greystar Resources Ltd. International Tower Hill Mines Ltd. Keegan Resources Inc. Kimber Resources Inc. La Mancha Resources Inc. Lake Shore Gold Corp. Minefinders Corp. Ltd. Minera Andes Inc. Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. Orezone Gold Corporation Rainy River Resources Ltd. Timmins Gold Corp. Ventana Gold Corp. Symb AGI AXM CSI CUM DMM EAS EDV XRC XG FVI FRG GAM GMI GYD GSL ITH KGN KBR LMA LSG MFL MAI NDM ORE RR TMM VEN Ex T T T T T T-V T T T T T T T T-V T T T T T T T T T T T-V T-V T Analyst WZ NC NC WZ WZ WZ NC WZ WZ NC WZ WZ WZ WZ NC WZ NC WZ NC WZ WZ WZ WZ NC WZ NC NC Rating HOLD HOLD SPECULATIVE BUY SPECULATIVE BUY SPECULATIVE BUY SPECULATIVE BUY SPECULATIVE BUY SPECULATIVE BUY SPECULATIVE BUY RESTRICTED SPECULATIVE BUY SPECULATIVE BUY TENDER SPECULATIVE BUY SPECULATIVE BUY SPECULATIVE BUY SPECULATIVE BUY RESTRICTED SPECULATIVE BUY HOLD SPECULATIVE BUY SPECULATIVE BUY SPECULATIVE BUY RESTRICTED RESTRICTED SPECULATIVE BUY SPECULATIVE BUY $ C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C 10 Dec/10 P ($) $18.54 $0.13 $9.07 $5.56 $4.51 $7.16 $2.88 $5.90 $6.05 $4.57 $10.67 $7.87 $1.63 $1.50 $4.46 $9.39 $8.93 $1.35 $2.34 $4.07 $11.45 $2.82 $13.55 $3.76 $12.30 $2.49 $13.35 1212-mo Target P ($) Rtn (%) $18.25 (1.56%) $0.14 12.00% $12.00 32.30% $5.95 7.01% $6.55 45.23% $7.50 4.75% $5.00 73.61% $11.50 94.92% $8.20 35.54% R N/A $9.80 (8.15%) $9.00 14.36% $1.65 1.23% $2.80 86.67% $9.00 101.79% $12.30 30.99% $14.25 59.57% R N/A $4.50 92.31% $3.90 (4.18%) $12.65 10.48% $3.25 15.25% $14.00 3.32% R N/A R N/A $3.10 24.50% $15.50 16.10% 5252-wk Hi ($) Lo ($) $21.65 $11.31 $0.17 $0.07 $9.87 $4.00 $5.60 $1.68 $5.58 $3.15 $8.73 $2.81 $3.13 $1.64 $9.32 $5.47 $6.95 $1.30 $4.82 $1.85 $11.50 $3.88 $12.88 $5.42 $1.66 $0.86 $1.69 $0.58 $6.75 $3.11 $10.08 $5.67 $9.29 $4.92 $1.67 $0.65 $3.05 $1.47 $4.27 $2.48 $12.27 $8.51 $3.24 $0.67 $13.65 $6.50 $4.25 $0.66 $13.15 $3.41 $2.49 $1.04 $14.13 $6.12 Sh. o/s M 115.9 305.7 92.3 89.8 41.9 66.0 113.3 76.0 86.8 110.4 120.6 138.6 105.5 80.6 84.0 84.5 45.7 68.0 142.4 376.4 66.0 265.0 93.7 67.6 71.3 135.0 108.3 Market Cap ($M) $2,148.8 $38.2 $837.2 $499.3 $189.0 $472.6 $326.3 $448.4 $525.1 $504.5 $1,286.8 $1,090.8 $172.0 $88.2 $374.6 $793.5 $408.1 $91.8 $333.2 $1,531.9 $755.7 $747.3 $1,269.6 $254.2 $604.5 $336.2 $1,445.8 FYE 31-Dec 31-Dec 31-Jul 31-Dec 31-Dec 31-Aug 30-Jun 31-Dec 31-Dec 31-Dec 31-Dec 31-Dec 31-Dec 31-Aug 31-Dec 31-May 31-Mar 30-Jan 31-Dec 31-Dec 31-Dec 31-Dec 31-Dec 31-Dec 30-Sep 31-Mar 30-Jun
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27
UR Under Review. R Restricted. WZ Wendell Zerb; NC Nicholas Campbell. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Further information on the methodologies used to derive our target prices, and the risks that could impede achievement of these targets, is available upon request. Disclosure information for all Canaccord Genuity research coverage can be found at http://www.canaccordGenuity.com/research/Disclosure.htm. Source: Canaccord Genuity estimates, Capital IQ.
C$/US$ : 0.99 Au:Ag = 48:1 Source: Canaccord Genuity, company reports, Capital IQ
$ .5 3 0
$ 0 3
$ .5 0 0
$ 5
$ .0 0 0 Ju 8 l-0 Ju 9 l-0 Ju -0 n 8 Ju -0 n 9 O 8 ct-0 Ju 0 l-1 D ec-0 8 O 9 ct-0 O 0 ct-1 D ec-0 9 M 9 ar-0 Feb 0 -1 M ay-1 0 S -0 ep 9 D ec-1 0 Jan 8 -0 Feb 8 -0 Feb 9 -0 S -0 ep 8 Ag 0 u -1 A pr-0 8 A pr-0 9 A pr-1 0
$ 0
EV Ag (US /oz) $
MC (2)
WC (3)
EV (4) Project
MC/oz
EV/oz
(M) (C$M) (C$M) (C$M) Location(s) 54.1 $419.6 $7.3 $412.3 Yukon 139.7 $47.5 $1.9 $45.6 Bolivia 44.7 $33.5 $0.4 $33.1 Argentina 290.6 $110.4 $4.0 $106.5 Mexico 128.6 $81.0 -$4.4 $96.4 Texas 90.4 $895.9 $10.8 $898.8 Peru 307.3 $399.5 -$22.7 $424.7 Mexico 53.7 $120.4 $8.4 $111.9 Peru, Mexico 15.1 $409.1 $30.4 $378.7 Argentina 68.0 $91.8 $3.2 $88.6 Mexico 55.1 $642.2 $47.1 $595.1 Mexico 43.3 $280.5 $20.9 $259.5 China 82.2 $20.2 -$0.3 $20.5 Mexico 124.8 $329.6 $0.7 $328.8 Mexico 142.0 $731.3 $58.8 $672.5 Nunavut 60.2 $121.0 $1.2 $123.3 Mex., El Salvador 35.0 $18.9 $1.2 $17.8 Mexico 37.3 $23.1 $0.3 $22.9 Mexico 95.4 $210.7 $6.0 $204.7 Bolivia 176.4 $398.7 $9.2 $389.4 Peru 115.4 $1,695.7 $107.0 $1,588.7 Guatemala 34.6 $55.0 $1.5 $55.4 Peru 122.1 $916.7 $21.5 $895.2 Mexico 30.7 $6.4 $1.4 $5.0 Alaska
Ag Ag Eq Ag Ag Eq $32.24 $20.89 $31.68 $20.52 $0.79 $0.41 $0.75 $0.40 $1.01 $0.31 $1.00 $0.30 $2.58 $0.65 $2.49 $0.63 $1.68 $1.64 $2.00 $1.95 $1.69 $1.03 $1.70 $1.03 $2.64 $1.60 $2.80 $1.70 $21.21 $1.89 $19.73 $1.76 $6.76 $6.76 $6.26 $6.26 $1.61 $0.78 $1.55 $0.75 $7.70 $5.58 $7.14 $5.17 $1.99 $1.68 $1.84 $1.56 $0.41 $0.40 $0.42 $0.41 $2.44 $2.29 $2.43 $2.28 $2.76 $1.21 $2.54 $1.11 $1.96 $1.26 $2.00 $1.28 $0.76 $0.76 $0.71 $0.71 $1.26 $1.16 $1.24 $1.15 $0.65 $0.59 $0.64 $0.58 $11.33 $3.73 $11.06 $3.64 $6.14 $5.20 $5.75 $4.87 $4.77 $0.92 $4.80 $0.93 $18.67 $18.67 $18.24 $18.24 $0.19 $0.03 $0.15 $0.02 $5.55 $5.50 $3.90 $3.86 $3.31 $3.28 $1.90 $1.88 $5.37 $5.32 $3.75 $3.72 $3.22 $3.19 $1.83 $1.81
$CADUSD
$1.01
1. Priced in local currency. 2. Market Capitalization. 3. Working Capital. 4. Enterprise Value = MC + LT Debt - WC. 5. Global resource includes 43-101 compliant Measured, Indicated and Inferred resources. 6. Silver equivalent on a gross basis (no recovery factors) using current spot metal prices. 7. Implied resource is a conceptual resource indicated by the companys EV at the mean peer EV/oz Ag Eq multiple. 8. The percentage difference between the implied resource and the global resource. Source: Canaccord Genuity, Company reports, Capital IQ
$0
M C/lb
EV/lb
Spot
U3O8 Long-Term
$9.13 $1.13
$CADUSD
$1.01
1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7.
Priced in local currency Market Capitalization Working Capital Enterprise Value = MC + LT Debt - WC Global resource includes 43-101 compliant Measured, Indicated and Inferred resources Implied resource is a conceptual resource indicated by the companys EV at the mean peer EV/lb multiple The percentage difference between the implied resource and the global resource Source: Canaccord Genuity, Capital IQ, company news releases.
80,000
30.00
50,000 13.81
20.00
15.00
8.91
10.00
4.29
3.27
3.51
3.93
4.18
4.34
5.00
V-PML
V-AME
V-KMK
V-RDK
V-ANM
V-NDM
V-ML
0 V-LA V-SIR
0.23
0.47
0.68
0.77
10,000
V-CUU
V-EXO
V-TKO
T-MAI
T-WRN
T-FWM
T-ARG
T-DNT
T-NCU
T-AZC
Company Abacus Minerals & Expl Cp Amerigo Resources Ltd Antares Minerals Inc Augusta Resource Corp Candente Copper Corp. Capstone Mining Corp. Continental Minerals Cp Copper Fox Metals Inc Copper Mountain Ming Corp Equinox Minerals Limited Explorator Resources Inc. Far West Mining Ltd Imperial Metals Corp Ivanhoe Mines Limited Los Andes Copper Ltd Mercator Minerals Ltd Minera Andes Inc Nevada Copper Corp Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd Novagold Res Panoro Minerals Ltd Quadra Fnx Mining Ltd. Redhawk Resources Inc Serengeti Res Inc Taseko Mines Ltd Western Copper Corporation Average
Symbol Exch V-AME T-ARG V-ANM T-AZC T-DNT T-CS V-KMK V-CUU T-CUM T-EQN V-EXO T-FWM T-III T-IVN V-LA T-ML T-MAI T-NCU T-NDM T-NG V-PML T-QUX V-RDK V-SIR T-TKO T-WRN
Price $C 10 Dec 10 $0.24 $1.08 $9.15 $4.00 $1.43 $4.65 $2.55 $0.72 $5.56 $5.95 $0.64 $5.07 $25.50 $24.24 $0.40 $3.72 $2.80 $3.95 $13.55 $15.25 $0.32 $15.14 $0.73 $0.29 $4.95 $2.67
EV. $C M 40.8 181.8 584.8 578.6 137.0 787.4 407.6 252.5 512.5 4,398.4 45.9 313.6 881.9 11,093.4 37.8 792.3 769.1 187.6 1226.2 3,335.0 27.5 2,352.3 80.8 7.5 743.3 212.3 $1,153.4
Attri Cu M lbs 3,842 3,889 11,706 8,048 7,658 1,927 6,856 4,025 2,823 13,841 1,086 4,089 5,671 62,987 6,624 4,308 12,522 9,364 36,817 8,648 3,291 16,999 2,995 2,141 10,070 5,436 9,910
Attri Cu Eq M lbs 5,324 4,233 13,474 9,937 8,625 3,847 10,378 7,725 2,823 15,131 1,309 4,393 8,123 80,319 8,023 8,889 13,859 9,364 70,535 13,880 4,055 22,714 3,431 3,263 17,785 11,908 13,975
80,000 6.91
8.00
6.00
5.00
40,000
4.00
30,000 1.45
3.00
0 V-IZN V-SWN A-MMG T-LUN T-ZNC T-FAN T-CZN V-LTH T-BWR T-CS T-AQA T-SBB T-ADA T-ZAZ T-BAJ V-CZX V-GMI V-TV
0.10
0.13
0.19
10,000
0.82
0.93
1.09
1.20
20,000
2.00
1.00
0.00
Company Acadian Mining Corp. Aquila Resources Inc. Baja Mining Corp. Breakwater Resources Canada Zinc Metals Corp. Canadian Zinc Corp. Capstone Mining Inc. Farallon Resources Inc. Globestar Mining Corp. Iberian Minerals Corp. Lithic Resources Inc. Lundin Mining Corp. Metalline Mining Sabina Gold and Silver Corp. Selwyn Resources Ltd. Trevali Resources Corp. Zazu Metals Corp. Zincore Metals Inc. Average:
Symbol Exch T-ADA T-AQA T-BAJ T-BWR V-CZX T-CZN T-CS T-FAN V-GMI V-IZN V-LTH T-LUN A-MMG T-SBB V-SWN V-TV T-ZAZ T-ZNC
Price $C 10 Dec 10 $0.34 $1.09 $1.11 $6.45 $0.60 $0.67 $4.65 $0.79 $1.63 $0.84 $0.12 $7.14 $1.15 $5.15 $0.19 $1.61 $0.21 $0.52
EV. $C M $188 $87 $194 $380 $56 $54 $822 $378 $194 $587 $4 $4,032 $103 $561 $50 $83 $4 $47 $435
Attrib Cu M lbs 0 101 4,264 378 0 105 1,838 306 831 1,954 91 11,488 0 421 0 0 0 0
Attrib. Zn Zn eq M lbs 3,885 2,454 20,864 9,413 4,704 6,584 10,165 5,468 3,270 10,549 1,985 83,772 9,507 12,246 51,246 993 3,268 3,222 13,533
EV cents cdn /Attrib Zn eq lbs 4.83 3.56 0.93 4.03 1.20 0.82 8.09 6.91 5.93 5.57 0.19 4.81 1.09 4.58 0.10 8.40 8.40 0.13 1.45 3.48
6,000
3 7.4
40.0
5,000 EV cents cdn/M lbs Ni Eq Total Attrib. Cu Eq M lbs 30.0 4,000 20.0 3,000 7.1 7.6 9.1 12.8
2.3
0.4
2.4
3.3
2,000
4.2
5.1
5.9
10.0
1,000
0.0
0 T-HNC T-CML LN-ENK V-CRO V-CT V-SRU V-BLV V-ANF T-GMI T-LBE T-INV T-FNI T-NI
-10.0
INK SPOTS
Canaccord employs INK Research. This system reports, among other information, daily changes on insider trading. Security regulators require corporate insiders to report their trades within ten days of each transaction. We highlight recent changes below; noting the acquisition or disposition of a position. Our intention is not to evaluate or analyze any purchases or sales, but to note them for the interest of all investors. We include charts generated by INK Research that note purchase and disposition points relative to share price performance.
Source: www.squidinkbooks.com
$1,383,981 $50,000
Past 12 months purchased: Past 12 months sold: Since Nov. 25/10- acquisitions and dispositions:
Past 12 months purchased: Past 12 months sold: Since Dec. 2/10 - acquisitions: Price range: Since Dec. 2/10- dispositions: Insider: Mr. James Hutton acquisitions:
Past 12 months purchased: Past 12 months sold: Since Dec. 9/10 - acquisitions: Since Dec. 9/10 - dispositions: Price range: Insider: Mr. Richard Grass dispositions:
Past 12 months purchased: Past 12 months sold: Since Jul. 14/10 acquisitions and dispositions:
Past 12 months purchased: Past 12 months sold: Since Oct. 6/10 acquisitions and dispositions:
Past 12 months purchased: Past 12 months sold: Since Nov. 8/10 acquisitions and dispositions:
Past 12 months purchased: Past 12 months sold: Since Nov. 30/10 acquisitions and dispositions:
Past 12 months purchased: Past 12 months sold: Since Nov. 25/10 - acquisitions: Price range: Since Nov. 25/10 - dispositions: Insider: Mr. John Edward Robins - acquisitions:
Past 12 months purchased: Past 12 months sold: Since Dec. 2/10 - acquisitions: Since Dec. 2/10 - dispositions: Price range: Insider: Mr. David Waskett-Myers dispositions:
Past 12 months purchased: Past 12 months sold: Since Nov. 9/10 acquisitions and dispositions:
Past 12 months purchased: Past 12 months sold: Since Sep. 29/10 - acquisitions and dispositions:
Past 12 months purchased: Past 12 months sold: Since Sep.7/10 - acquisitions and dispositions:
Past 12 months purchased: Past 12 months sold: Since Nov. 11/10 - acquisitions and dispositions:
Past 12 months purchased: Past 12 months sold: Since Jun. 30/10- acquisitions and dispositions:
Past 12 months purchased: Past 12 months sold: Since Nov. 9/10 acquisitions and dispositions:
Past 12 months purchased: Past 12 months sold: Since Sep. 23/10 - acquisitions and dispositions:
Past 12 months purchased: Past 12 months sold: Since Dec. 3/10 - acquisitions: Since Dec. 3/10 - dispositions: Price range: Insider: Mr. Karl Eric Kottmeier dispositions:
$189,430 $435,220 Nil 250,000 shares Disposition carried out privately 250,000 shares
Past 12 months purchased: Past 12 months sold: Since May 6/10 - acquisitions and dispositions:
Past 12 months purchased: Past 12 months sold: Since Dec. 3/10 - acquisitions: Since Dec. 3/10 exercise of options: Price range: Since Dec. 3/10 - dispositions: Price range: Insider: Mr. Donald Halliday exercise of options and share dispositions:
$266,626 $643,561 Nil 118,500 options C$0.47 118,000 shares C$1.30-1.47 118,500 options and shares
Past 12 months purchased: Past 12 months sold: Since Dec. 7/10 - acquisitions: Price range: Since Dec. 7/10 - dispositions: Insider: Mr. Christopher Irwin acquisitions: Insider: Mr. Paul Anthony makuch acquisitions:
$1,140,028 $526,577 140,000 shares C$2.50 Nil 50,000 shares 40,000 shares
AUM AUM AUM AUM AUM GPD GPD GPD GPD GWG GUY HMG HUD HUD HUD HUD III III ICI ICI ICI ICI PBX PBX ITH ITH ITH IAU KAM KAM KAM KAM KAM KAM KAM KAM KAM KGN KSK KSK KSK KSK KSK KSK KSK KSK KSK KIV KIV KIV KIV KDX LMA LMA LMA LSG LSG LSG LVN LVN LVN LVN LVN LVN LVN LAC LAC LUC LUC LYD LYD
TSX TSX TSX TSX TSX TSX-V TSX-V TSX-V TSX-V TSX-V TSX TSX-V TSX-V TSX-V TSX-V TSX-V TSX TSX TSX TSX TSX TSX TSX-V TSX-V TSX-V TSX-V TSX-V TSX TSX-V TSX-V TSX-V TSX-V TSX-V TSX-V TSX-V TSX-V TSX-V TSX TSX-V TSX-V TSX-V TSX-V TSX-V TSX-V TSX-V TSX-V TSX-V TSX-V TSX-V TSX-V TSX-V TSX TSX TSX TSX TSX TSX TSX TSX-V TSX-V TSX-V TSX-V TSX-V TSX-V TSX-V TSX TSX TSX-V TSX-V TSX TSX
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research hereby certifies that (i) the recommendations and opinions expressed in this investment research accurately reflect the authoring analysts personal, independent and objective views about any and all of the designated investments or relevant issuers discussed herein that are within such authoring analysts coverage universe and (ii) no part of the authoring analysts compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed by the authoring analyst in the investment research.
Price Chart:*
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Distribution of Ratings:
Global Stock Ratings (as of 1 December 2010) Rating Rating Buy Speculative Buy Hold Sell
BUY: The stock is expected to generate risk-adjusted returns of over 10% during the next 12 months. HOLD: The stock is expected to generate risk-adjusted returns of 0-10% during the next 12 months. SELL: The stock is expected to generate negative risk-adjusted returns during the next 12 months. NOT RATED: Canaccord Genuity does not provide research coverage of the relevant issuer. Risk-adjusted return refers to the expected return in relation to the amount of risk associated with the designated investment or the relevant issuer.
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