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That is,
This implies
n n
Problem 4.2.4
First, we note that a and b must be chosen such that the above PDF integrates to 1.
1 0
For x 2 3, the requirement holds for all a. However, the problem is tricky because we must consider the cases 0 x 2 3 and 2 3 x 1 separately because of the sign change of the inequality.
a2 3
0 1 , we must have ax
Hence, b
x ax
fX x
ax2
bx dx
a 3
b 2
2a 3
ax2 0
bx 0 x 1 otherwise
lim
nx n
lim x
nx n
nx n
nx n
nx
nx
nx
nx
1 n
1 n
2a 3
0 for all x
0 1 . This
When 0 x 2 3, we have 2 3 x 0 and the requirement is most stringent at x 0 where we 2. In require 2a 3 2 or a 3. When 2 3 x 1, we can write the constraint as a x 2 3 this case, the constraint is most stringent at x 1, where we must have a 3 2 or a 6. Thus our a complete expression for our requirements are
As we see in the following plot, the shape of the PDF fX x varies greatly with the value of a.
3 2.5 2 fX(x) 1.5 1 0.5 0 0 0.2 0.4 x 0.6 0.8 1
a=6 a=3 a=0 a=3
Problem 4.3.7 nd the PDF of U by taking the derivative of FU u . The CDF and corresponding PDF are
3 5
49 3
E U2
EU
37 3.
'
24
u3
5 u3
'
(
'
E U2
u2 fU u du
u2 du 8
'
16
u2
3 2 5 3u
'
' '
'
EU
u fU u du
u du 8
3u du 8
16
5 3
3u2 du 8
3 8 3 u
u 5
' '
FU u
fU u
$
$
5 3
& $
& $
% %
0 u 5 8 1 4 1 4 3u 1
5 u u
2a 3
0 u 5 1 8 5 u 3 3 u 3 0 3 8 3 u 5 0 u 5
$ $ #"
Problem 4.4.10 For n 1, we have the fact E X 1 that is given in the problem statement. Now we assume that n 1 n 1 . To complete the proof, we show that this implies that E X n n 1! n! n . E X Specically, we write
Problem 4.4.11
EX
x fX x dx
x fX x dx
!
x fX x dx
3
(a) Since fX x
0 and x
'
1 ! n
E Xn
'
n E Xn
0 1
xn 1 e
which implies
n! n
r fX x dx
'
'
E Xn
xn e
nxn 1 e
x
dx
' '
dx
rP X
2
Now we use the integration by parts formula u dv e x so that This implies du nxn 1 dx and v
uv
v du with u
xn and dv
'
E Xn
xn e
dx
x dx.
&
'
5 2u
2u fU u du
3 2u 8 ln 2
2u du 8
'
' '
'
'
2u du
e ln 2 u du
) 0
0 )
'
'
'
0 ) '
3 2u du 8
'
'
Hence,
r 0
Problem 4.5.6 We are given that there are 100 000 000 men in the United States and 23 000 of them are at least 7 feet tall, and the heights of U.S men are independent Gaussian random variables with mean 5 10 . (a) Let H denote the height in inches of a U.S male. To nd X , we look at the fact that the probability that P H 84 is the number of men who are at least 7 feet tall divided by the total number of men (the frequency interpretation of probability). Since we measure H in inches, we have
(b) The probability that a randomly chosen man is at least 8 feet tall is 4
Unfortunately, Table 4.2 doesnt include Q 6 5 , although it should be apparent that the probability is very small. In fact, Q 6 5 4 0 10 11 .
&
&
PH
96
96
3 5 or X
Q 14 X
2 3 10 4.
' 1 &
&
Since
Qx,
70
Q 65
&
PH
84
70 84 X
0 00023
CC C
rP
FX x
FX x dx
x fX x dx
EX
!
8 A8 ! @ B9 A9 @
x1
FX x
lim r 1
FX r
lim rP X
A9 @
8
FX x dx
x1
FX x
x fX x dx
0. Thus,
(c) We can use the integration by parts formula and dv dx. This yields
u dv
uv
2 !
7 !
Since rP X
0 for all r
rP
r 0
0.
v du by dening u
5
6
4 !
lim rP X
EX
lim
x fX x dx
EX
5
4 !
rP X
x fX x dx
EX
x fX x dx
EX
FX x
Now we can begin to nd the probability that no man is at least 76. This can be modeled as 100,000,000 repetitions of a Bernoulli trial with parameter 1 . The probability that no man is at least 76 is
(d) The expected value of N is just the number of trials multiplied by the probability that a man is at least 76.
Problem 4.6.8 good, that is, no foul occurs. The CDF of D obeys
yG
However, when we take the derivative, either expression for the CDF will yield the PDF. However, taking the derivative of the rst expression perhaps may be simpler:
Taking the derivative of the second expression for the CDF is a little tricky because of the product of the exponential and the step function. However, applying the usual rule for the differentation of a product does give the correct answer:
y 60 10
0 3 y
0 07u y e
60 e
60 1
y 60 10
60, e
fD y
0 3 y
0 7 y
60 1
y 60 10
0 07u y
60 e
IH0 ' ) ' & Q & SH0 ' )' & R IH0 ' ) ' & Q &
fD y
& Q &
FD y
0 3u y
0 7u y
60 1
0 3 y 0 07e
y 60 10
y 60 10
y y
60 60
0 3u y 03 07 1
y 60 10
y y
@
& &
P1
where u
PD
y Gc
uy
0 7, we can write y Gc 60 60
P Gc P D
@ @
yG
PX
60
y 60 10
@
6 @
FD y
PD
yGPG
PD
EN
D &
G G
94
10
14
30
y Gc P Gc
60
y 60 10
y 60 10
2 87 10 7 .
' 1 &
1.
'
E F
&
PH
90
Q5
3 10
' 1
7
90
70
Problem 4.6.9 The professor is on time and lectures the full 80 minutes with probability 0.7. That is, P T 80 0 7. Likewise when the professor is more than 5 minutes late, the students leave and a 0 minute lecture is observed. Since he is late 30% of the time and given that he is late, his arrival is uniformly distributed between 0 and 10 minutes, the probability that there is no lecture is
The only other possible lecture durations are uniformly distributed between 75 and 80 minutes, because the students will not wait longer then 5 minutes, and that probability must add to a total of 1 0 7 0 15 0 15. So the PDF of T can be written as
0 we have
@ @
fY y
fY y
1 fX a
1 fX a
b a
FY y
PY
P X
FX
fY y
1 fX a
FY y
PY
P X
FX
Problem 4.7.14 We can prove the assertion by considering the cases where a the case where a 0 we have
&
fT t
0 15 t 0 03 0 7 t 80 0
t 0 75 7 80 t 80 otherwise
&
PT
03 05
0 15
0 and a y b a
0, respectively. For
b a
&
& &
&
Problem 4.7.15 1, we Understanding this claim may be harder than completing the proof. Since 0 F x know that 0 U 1. This implies FU u 0 for u 0 and FU u 1 for u 1. Moreover, since F x is an increasing function, we can write for 0 u 1,
That is, U is a uniform 0 1 random variable. Problem 4.7.16 First, we must verify that F 1 u is a nondecreasing function. To show this, suppose that for u u , x F 1 u and x F 1 u . In this case, u F x and u F x . Since F x is nondecreasing, F x F x implies that x x . Hence, we can write
Problem 4.8.3 W is
@
EWC
'
32 32
w2 32, we obtain
'
@
EWC
w fW C w dw
we
0
dv
32 32
H '
2 4 2
fW C w
w2 32
dw
fW w P C 0
w C otherwise
2e 0
w2 32
32 w 0 otherwise
!
(a) Since W has expected value 0, fW w is symmetric about w 0. Hence P C 1 2. From Denition 4.15, the conditional PDF of W given C is
H '
fW w
H '
1 e 32
w2 32
8
B
FX x
P F
PU
F x
F x
PW
8C
F '
FU u
FU u
F F
% '
'
C 9C '
C 3 ' C
Since FX x
F x , we have for 0
1,
1
0 u u 0 1 u
7
FU u
PF X
P X
FX F
0 u 1
'
'
Problem 4.8.4 (a) To nd the conditional moments, we rst nd the conditional PDF of T. The PDF of T is
0 02
0 02
&
! @
E T2 T
0 02
t 2 100 e
100 t 0 02
0 X ')
0 0
ET
'
&
ETT
0 02
0 02 100 e
0 02 fT d 0 03
0 02
'
! @ &
The substitution
0 02 yields
&
! @
ETT
0 02
t 100 e
100 t 0 02
0 X ')
'
X Y V
fT T
0 02
dt
100
dt
&
&
fT t P T 0 02
t 0 02 otherwise
100e 0
100 t 0 02
0 X ')
'
a X)Y ` 0
&
!
PT
0 02
fT t dt
'
'
fT t
100e 0
100t
t 0 otherwise
100t 0 02
&
W @ @
'
@
Var W C
E W2 C
EWC
16
32
5 81
t 0 02 otherwise
'
E W2 C
w2 fW w dw
w2 fW w dw
E W2
'
E W2 C
w2 fW C w dw
w2 fW w dw
16
0 0
E T
0 02
E T
Var T
Var T
&
! @
Var T T
0 02
E T2 T
0 02
2
ETT
0 02
ET
0 02
0 01
&
& &
&
! @
E T2 T
0 02
0 02
100 e
0 02 2 fT d
'
&
The substitution
0 02 yields
100
0 02
2
0 02