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Contents..
Indian Economy Present Status Indian Power Scenario An Update The 11th Five year plan & beyond Industry capacity Challenges
Indian Economy on revival path? Economy estimated to grow at 6 % in 2009-10 according to RBI, weakest GDP growth projection in seven years due to weak monsoon & impact of global downturn. Indian business has started showing signs of recovery driven by strong domestic demand after the dismal performance during last year. Fiscal & monetary stimulus measures initiated in 2008-09 coupled with lower commodity prices has catalyzed domestic demand. Encouraging IIP data rekindles revival hope, Industrial output jumped by 7.8% and power by 8% in June 09. Constrained private investment in Infrastructure projects due to inadequate shelf of bankable projects and shortage of long term finance for projects
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Power deficit has increased over the year to 11.1% in FY09 with peak deficit at 11.9%. Regional situation is chronic with western region having peak deficit of 19% in FY09. T&D losses continue to be on the higher side. (approx 27%) Under Investment in T&D Sector . The present investment in Generation and T &D Sector is 1:0.5 as against the desired ratio of 1:1.
Against target Generation capacity addition of 78,700 MW generating capacity of 80,610 MW is under execution
15,036 MW 19% already been commissioned (Aug09) -
Inter-regional transmission capacity addition to reach 37,700 MW by March 2012, as of now 20,700 MW has already been reached.
Transmission Lines
Unit
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YEAR 2006-07- 10th Plan 2011-12- 11th Plan 2016-17 12th Plan 2121-22 13th Plan
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Bidders selected through Competitive Tariff based bidding. WRSS-II B & C are the 1st projects in India to be implemented by IPTC selected through Tariff based bidding at an estimated cost of Rs.1500 Cr. RFQ invited for 3 new project in Dec08. Nodal Agencies to Co-ordinate the bidding Process : REC and PFC. Projects Comprising of 765KV & 400KV Lines & Sub Stations. Post RFQ the selected Bidders to submit RFP for : North Karanpura Talcher II Transmission System NER/ER Surplus power to NR Rs. 2,700Cr. Rs. 1,400Cr. Rs. 1,700 Cr.
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Transmission Industry
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Type 765 400 HVDC bipole HVDC back to back HVDC monopole 220 Total
RATINGS
765 KV 500HVDC 400KV 220KV TOTAL cKm cKm cKm cKm cKm
XI Plan
5,428 5,206 49,278 35,371 95,283
XII Plan
8,000 4,500 51,000 50,000 113,500
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transmission systems. The majority of the new projects are 400 KV voltage ratings with twin, triple and Quad bundle configurations. Different utilities follow different specifications and in many cases the specifications have not been updated for last several years. PPP (Public Private Partnership) model is being adopted by many utilities to attract private investment in transmission sector
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11TH Plan & Beyond Capacity Requirement ( 2009-2012) Expected : CKT Kms - 181,050 Kms
Annual requirement for next 8 years Tower Supply 620,000 MT Stringing 22,650 Kms
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B) STRINGING
PGCIL SEBs/ IPTC Total ~ ~ ~ 16,000 KMS 6,650 KMS 22,650 KMS
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700000 600000
Tonnage in MT
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Capacity Build-up
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Stringing Capabilities
2004-05 75 25%
2005-06 88 17%
Stringing execution capacity increased by over 30% from 2007. TSE machines added after 2005-06 are suitable for Quad conductor stringing 400/765 KV. Recently new TSE M/c additions are being done for Hexagonal conductor stringing for 800 kV HVDC lines.
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Challenges
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Challenges
Timely Placement of Orders for capacity planning & utilization. Long gestation period between NIT and Award of Contract. Delays in Right of way and Forest clearances. Technology up gradation in construction. Acute skilled Manpower Crunch both Managerial and supervisory. Non - Standardization of Specification among Utilities in many cases not updated for many years. Commercial conditions such as terms of payment, Price Variation clauses are often not rational and lead to unrealistic price levels. Fast resolution of Contractual Issues and early closure of contract.
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