PRONOSTICO

precio un. 1 2 3
Unidades vendidas 125,500 135,600 146,420
insumo a 5 31,375 33,880 36,420
insumo b 75 7,530 8,120 8,735
insumo c 120 2,510 2,680 2,990
insumo d 4.5 37,650 40,730 44,120
insumo e 3320 377 411 451
insumo f 1 251,000 272,140 295,003

ventas insumo c
1 125,500 2,510
2 135,600 2,680
3 146,420 2,990
4 158,130 3,220
5 170,760 3,490
lineal 6 181,875 3741.31634

ventas insumo a
1 125,500 31,375
2 135,600 33,880
3 146,420 36,420
4 158,130 39,740
5 170,760 43,025
6 181,875 45,819
 Simple (promedio)
1 125,500
4 5 2 135,600 125,500
158,130 170,760 3 146,420 130,550
39,740 43,025 4 158,130 135,840
9,610 10,470 5 170,760 141,413
3,220 3,490 6 147,282
48,005 51,890
483 520
318,187 342,082

Chart Title
4,000

3,500
f(x) = 0.0221080991796048 x − 278.12506337055
3,000 R² = 0.995575517617768

2,500

2,000

1,500

1,000

500

0
120,000 130,000 140,000 150,000 160,000 170,000 180,000

Chart Title
50,000
45,000
40,000 f(x) = 0.258206701038624 x − 1141.19934237065
R² = 0.999053568418092
35,000
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
120,000 130,000 140,000 150,000 160,000 170,000 180,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
120,000 130,000 140,000 150,000 160,000 170,000 180,000
error movil 2
1 125,500
10,100 2 135,600
15,870 3 146,420 130,550 15,870
22,290 4 158,130 141,010 17,120
29,348 5 170,760 152,275 18,485
6 164,445
19,402 17,158

movil 3
1 125,500
2 135,600
3 146,420
4 158,130 135,840 22,290
5 170,760 146,717 24,043
6 158,437
23,167
 lineal error
1 125,500 124,672 828
2 135,600 135,977 377
3 146,420 147,282 862
4 158,130 158,587 457
5 170,760 169,892 868
6 181,197
678

Chart Title
180,000
160,000 f(x) = 11305 x + 113367
140,000
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5

1 125,500 125,531 31.130455

2 135,600 135,579 21.0972115
3 146,420 146,431 10.9196827
4 158,130 158,152 21.5545422
5 170,760 170,810 50.3333525
6 184,482
27

Chart Title
180,000
160,000 f(x) = 116227.533171034 exp( 0.0769614710664776 x )

140,000
120,000
100,000
 Chart Title
180,000
160,000 f(x) = 116227.533171034 exp( 0.0769614710664776 x )

140,000
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5
 0.1
0.1
0.8
movil ponderado error
1 125,500
2 135,600
3 146,420
4 158,130 143,246 14,884
5 170,760 154,706 16,054
6 167,063
15,469