Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
3 Activity overview
7 Defense technology
15 Component manufacturing
31 European update
Contact information
Ian Cookson
Director, Investment Banking
Grant Thornton Corporate Finance
226 Causeway Street
Boston, MA 02114, USA
T +1.617.848.4982
E ian.cookson@us.gt.com
Executive summary
Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment 1
The operating environment: In Europe, defense and commercial aerospace companies
Aircraft orders increase; reprioritizing of a flat defense experienced broadly the same conditions as those affecting the
budget creates winners and losers; Europe mirrors U.S. U.S. markets. Conflict in the Middle East and procurement
activity; government contractors insulated from recession spending realignment dominated the defense arena, while
Despite a challenging economic environment, the aerospace cost-cutting and consolidation by Europe’s airlines continued
industry was relatively flat in 2010, with sales increasing just against a backdrop of gradual recovery in the civil aviation
under 1%. While commercial revenues fell slightly, the decline market. After two quiet years, M&A returned to the European
was more than offset by increased military aircraft spending. corporate agenda, although activity remained below U.S. levels.
Going forward, the Aerospace Industries Association (AIA) With Europe’s major contractors sitting on huge cash piles,
projects a sales increase of roughly 2% in 2011, to nearly $220 further consolidation is inevitable as portfolios are reshuffled;
billion, on the back of increased demand from Asia-Pacific. the U.S. remains a favored destination for acquisition activity;
After two years of back-to-back declines, aircraft industry alliances in emerging markets feature on the strategic agendas
orders rose 16% in 2010, driven by strong growth in civil of large and mid-sized players; and concerns about cyber
aircraft and parts. Jet leasing firms played a significant role in security, piracy and terrorism drive interest in targets with
the recovery, accounting for 27% of aircraft orders at Boeing intelligence and sensor capabilities.
and Airbus last year, the highest proportion since 2000. Grant Thornton’s annual survey of government contractors
In the defense budget, despite the rhetoric regarding cutting highlighted how government contractors are less vulnerable
costs, the DoD’s financial condition is generally sound. There than commercial companies to recession. During the past year,
are significant challenges, including reductions of Overseas the amount of revenue from government prime contracts grew
Contingency Operations funds, poor performance of some for 55% of survey participants, with 23% experiencing no
major weapons systems acquisitions and general “over- significant change and only 22% showing reductions. The profit
programming” in the budget. At this writing, Congress has rates reported by survey participants followed a predictable
yet to pass a 2011 Defense Appropriations Act, opting for pattern given guidelines in procurement regulations. As a
a Continuing Resolution that precludes new program starts percentage of revenue, 40% of participants reported profit
and requires operating at 2010 funding levels. However, the rates of 1%–5%, 35% reported profit rates of 5%–10%, 15%
“Global War on Contractors” will affect a large number of reported profit above 10%, and 10% either had no profit or
firms, and challenges will not be limited to those in service experienced a loss. Regarding the M&A environment, 48% of
support. Cuts proposed to major weapons system acquisitions respondents expected an improvement in the coming year and
will hit losing primes and their suppliers, and general cost- 41% expected it to remain the same. The sale of a company
cutting will have an unanticipated impact on many firms. continued to be the most favored exit route, with private
But there are bright spots: the DoD has over $700 billion to shareholder liquidity needs and market opportunities being
spend; manufacturers of proven legacy systems – filling the the most frequently cited reasons for sale. Thirty-six percent of
void left by the cancellation of new systems – will prosper; respondents planned to raise capital during the year, primarily
firms providing assistance to enable the DoD to become more for acquisitions or growth and operations. Forty-seven percent
efficient will see continued demand; and companies in the 21st of respondent companies stated they had lost employees as a
century warfare renaissance of cyber security, soft power and result of government in-sourcing.
unmanned vehicles will see robust investments.
2 Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment
Mergers and acquisitions update
Activity increases on the back of
defense technology transactions
Aerospace and defense North American aerospace and defense M&A activity
280
160
120
80
40
0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment 3
Buyers and sellers
Buyer composition within the A&D sector remained broadly
The greater amount of private
the same in 2010, with strategic acquirers accounting for three-
quarters of activity. Private equity groups accounted for 30%
equity divestitures during
of acquisitions in the more traditional areas of component
manufacturing and MRO and related activities, while strategic
the year can be attributed to
players were dominant in defense technology. rising valuations combined
Seller composition, on the other hand, shifted slightly with
sales by corporations and founders declining, and sales by with portfolio companies
private equity increasing (as a percentage of total deal volume).
The greater amount of private equity divestitures during the reaching the end of their
year can be attributed to rising valuations combined with
portfolio companies reaching the end of their holding periods. holding periods.
Nearly 70% of sector portfolio companies were bought and
sold within the three to five year investment window (median
holding period of four years for divestitures). However,
private equity was still a net investor in the sector during 2010,
accounting for 24% of buyers and 18% of sellers.
The past year also saw an increasing number of publicly
traded businesses being taken over by both larger companies
and financial sponsors (21 in 2010 vs. 7 in 2009), with an
average transaction value of over $500 million.
4 Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment
Earnings and valuation A&D disclosed M&A transaction values were generally
The market value of our public company A&D index rose higher than those of their publicly traded counterparts,
11% in 2010 (compared with a 13% increase in the S&P), and which was not surprising given the vast majority of disclosed
reflected a 10% increase in earnings (EBITDA). Component transactions were takeovers of public companies at a premium
manufacturing experienced the greatest increase (37%) and was to the stock price. Defense IT and electronics players
the only subsector to climb back to the market highs witnessed commanded the highest multiples at 18x and 14x EBITDA,
in 2008. respectively, reflecting either premiums paid in large public
Public A&D company enterprise value multiples remained company takeovers or the prices demanded for high-growth
broadly the same as one year ago, with the exception of cutting-edge technologies.
component manufacturers, which increased from 8x to 10x
EBITDA. Valuations of prime defense contractors lagged
at around 6x EBITDA as investors showed concern over
future growth in defense spending. Defense IT providers
traded slightly higher at roughly 7x EBITDA, while defense
electronics manufacturers remained at around 9x EBITDA.
Public company aerospace/defense index valuation multiples by sector Public company aerospace/defense index earnings by sector
12.0x
250%
11.0x
10.0x
9.0x 200%
8.0x
7.0x
150%
6.0x
5.0x
4.0x 100%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
*MRO valuation skewed by weighting to Asia-Pacific market Sources: Company press releases; certain financial information provided by Capital IQ, Inc.
Sources: Company press releases; certain financial information provided by Capital IQ, Inc.
Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment 5
M&A outlook • Private equity groups are actively seeking to deploy capital.
Looking to the future, we expect these M&A trends to The backlog of private equity capital seeking investment
continue, driven by both strategic considerations and financial is at an all-time high of over $400 billion, particularly
availability: among larger funds. Debt capital, which has traditionally
• Prime defense contractors are proactively seeking out accounted for two-thirds of private equity acquisition
acquisition targets in growth areas of the defense budget capital, is also becoming increasingly available. Loan terms
and cutting-edge defense technology. They have near have eased and banks are again demonstrating competitive
record cash piles to deploy and are ideally seeking behavior for attractive credits. On middle-market
acquisitions large enough to positively impact their group’s transactions we are seeing a variety of flexible private
overall financial results. equity transaction structures.
• Large component manufacturers maintain their
consolidation ambitions of building primary suppliers
of integrated systems to OEM airframe and engine
manufacturers. Commercial business is improving with
requests for commercial parts to be released and orders
picking up. Larger public component companies can be
expected to capitalize on their favorable capital market
valuations.
6 Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment
Defense technology:
A driver of M&A activity
10
0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment 7
Growth in defense IT transactions: As strategic buyers Meanwhile, government IT providers, not wanting to cede
make ISR, LogC2 and cyber security acquisitions ground, also pursued acquisitions that added capabilities and
Within defense IT, M&A transaction activity increased 22%. expertise. Serial acquirers included:
Subsectors C4ISR/LogC2, cyber security and SETA/systems • SAIC’s acquisition of infrastructure protection provider
integration each accounted for around 30% of activity in CloudShield, the online simulation assets of Forterra
2010, while simulation, training or other services comprised Systems, and multisensor and information system solutions
the remainder. Not surprisingly, strategic buyers accounted designer SET Corp.;
for the majority of defense software and services purchases at • CACI’s acquisition of C4ISR players Applied Systems
around 80% of acquisitions, with prime defense contractors, Research and TechniGraphics; and
government IT providers, and software and electronics players • ManTech’s purchase of the North American security and
all being active acquirers. intelligence assets of QinetiQ (Analex) and engineering and
Prime contractors Boeing, Raytheon and BAE were systems integration services provider MTCSC.
involved in transactions within ISR/LogC2 and cyber security
(each making two or more subsector acquisitions in 2010), as Defense software and electronics providers, including
they sought to shift their core operations to mirror priority KEYW, Kratos, Cubic and Global Defense Technology
areas of the defense budget. Illustrative sector acquisitions by & Systems, were also active as they continued to build out
prime contractors included: growth areas of the defense budget via acquisition. Increased
• Boeing’s acquisitions of C4ISR systems and solutions DoD attention on protecting against cyber threats has also
provider Argon ST ($775 million), decision supporter encouraged investment by nondefense buyers, as highlighted
CDM Technologies and IP network traffic manager Narus; by Hewlett Packard’s acquisition of cyber security player
• BAE’s purchase of L-1 Identity Solutions’ security and ArcSight for $1.5 billion.
intelligence assets ($303 million) and defense consulting
firm Durango Group; and
• Raytheon’s acquisition of cyber security experts
Technology Associates ($42 million) and Trusted
Computer Solutions.
8 Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment
Despite the increased acquisitions by large public acquirers, As proof of the need to acquire leading players within
25% of sector sales were strategic divestitures. Organizational defense IT, sector transactions changed hands at disclosed
conflict of interest (OCI) legislation passed in 2009 was the median enterprise values (EV) of around 18x EBITDA and
impetus behind a number of sales, as corporations audited 1.5x revenue. Explanation of higher sector valuation multiples
existing contracts and assessed potential conflicts within large is twofold, reflecting premiums paid for:
acquisition programs. OCI-related divestitures included sales of: • large public companies that allow buyers to rapidly expand
• Lockheed Martin’s Enterprise Integration Group to private within the sector; or
equity firm Veritas Capital; • cutting-edge software and technology supporting high-
• QinetiQ’s North America’s Security and Intelligence growth areas of defense spending including cyber warfare/
Solutions business to ManTech; and security, critical intelligence and counterterrorism.
• ITT Corp.’s defense weapon system analysis contractor
(CAS Inc.) to Court Square Capital portfolio business Wyle. Size also played a significant role in valuation. Top quartile
businesses (by revenue multiple) – most of which were
purchased for more than $150 million – were acquired at a
median of 2.5x revenue, while bottom quartile companies –
which were generally smaller transactions acquired for less
than $70 million – changed hands at around 1.1x revenue.
Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment 9
Illustrative defense IT transactions
Sources: Company press releases; certain financial information provided by Capital IQ, Inc.
10 Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment
Deal volume within A&D electronics rose by more
than 30% in 2010.
Growth in defense electronics transactions: Fueled by Transactions within defense electronics were acquired at a
communication equipment and homeland security systems median disclosed valuation of 13.5x EBITDA and 1.4x revenue.
Deal volume within A&D electronics rose over 34% in 2010, The majority of transactions disclosing valuation data were of
highlighted by the increase in larger sector acquisitions. publicly traded businesses and reflect premiums paid in public
Companies providing communication- and radar-related takeovers, including:
products accounted for 30% of activity, as acquirers • Raytheon’s purchase of C4ISR solutions provider Applied
strengthened product offerings within secure satellite Signal Technology (1.9x revenue, 14x EBITDA),
communication equipment and microwave- and radio- • Danaher’s acquisition of electronic instrument
frequency components and systems. Electronics surrounding manufacturer Keithley Instruments (2.5x revenue, 13x
homeland security accounted for 40% of activity, as buyers EBITDA),
secured technologies within optics/imaging, intrusion • Safran’s purchase of identification electronics provider L-1
detection, biometrics/identification and security inspection. Identity Solutions (2.5x revenue, 24x EBITDA), and
Traditional electrical components and systems comprised the • Veritas Capital’s takeover of microwave- and radio-
remaining third and included power transmission, electrical frequency product manufacturer CPI International (1.5x
testing, interconnect devices and enclosures/packaging. Revenue, 9x EBITDA).
Acquisitions were led by players within A&D (e.g., L-3
and Safran), specialty components/systems (e.g., Aeroflex, Again, size played a significant role in valuation. Top
Microsemi and Spectrum), electronic instrumentation (e.g., quartile businesses (by revenue multiple), all of which were
Ametek and Danaher) and private equity (e.g., Veritas Capital). purchased for more than $150 million, were acquired at a
median 2.1x revenues. Meanwhile, bottom quartile companies,
which were all smaller transactions acquired for less than $40
North American defense electronics M&A activity million, changed hands at around 0.9x revenue.
Sales of portfolio companies by financial sponsors
Financial accounted for a quarter of sellers in 2010 (vs. 7% in 2009), with
Strategic
notable divestitures including:
# of transactions • ABRY Partners’ sale of satellite communication provider
70 CapRock Communications to Harris Corp.,
60 • Ares Capital’s sale of electronic component manufacturer
50 TSI Group to BE Aerospace, and
40 • Milestone Partner’s sale of electronic contact and connector
30
manufacturer Interconnect Devices to Smiths Group.
20
10
0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment 11
Illustrative defense electronics transactions
Sources: Company press releases; certain financial information provided by Capital IQ, Inc.
12 Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment
SBIR-funded businesses: Acquired by large corporations Acquired SBIR companies can be broadly categorized:
Large firms within defense technology, prime defense and • 42% are involved in software for systems integration or
government IT have continued to actively acquire businesses engineering, simulation or modeling, cyber security, or
that have received funds under the federal government’s Small command and control;
Businesses Innovation Research (SBIR) program, as they seek • 36% are involved in electronics and electrical components,
to stay on the cutting edge of defense technology. particularly in communication, surveillance and optical
Approximately 15% of A&D businesses acquired equipment, as well as UAV support systems, and
in the past five years have received government funding microelectronics or semiconductors; and
under SBIR, and roughly a quarter of acquired defense • 22% are active in components and materials for aerospace,
technology businesses have received awards. In total, over naval and UAV applications.
160 SBIR businesses have been purchased since 2006,
with L-3 Communications, SAIC, Raytheon, Boeing and
Lockheed Martin being particularly acquisitive. QinetiQ, API
Technologies, Rockwell Collins and Textron were also active,
each purchasing three SBIR businesses over that time period.
A quarter of defense
technology businesses
acquired over the past
five years have received
federal funding under
SBIR programs.
Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment 13
The DoD has spent over $10 billion to help fund Major acquirers
research and development of military technologies by small
Prime defense Government IT
U.S. companies through SBIR and STTR (Small Business Raytheon 6 SAIC 6
Technology Transfer) programs since 2000, with annual Boeing 6 QinetiQ 3
funding rising to $1.4 billion in 2009 (more than a twofold Lockheed Martin 4 CACI 2
BAE Systems 2 MacDonald Dettwiler 2
fold increase compared with 2000 levels). In 2009, California
and Massachusetts combined received over a third of the SBIR Defense technology
budget, while the remainder of the top 10 states (Virginia, L-3 Communications 8 Components
API Technologies 3 Textron 3
Maryland, Colorado, New York, Texas, Ohio, Pennsylvania Rockwell Collins 3 Teledyne Technologies 2
and Alabama) combined to receive 40% of the funding. Ultra Electronics 2
Phase I, which supports six months of funding to test CAE 2
ITT Corp. 2
the technical merit or feasibility of an idea or technology,
Alion Science and Technology 2
received on average $90,000 per award. Phase II, which
facilitates the expansion of Phase I to develop potential plans
Sources: DOD SBIR filing and company press releases; certain information taken from Capital IQ Inc.
for commercialization, received on average over $700,000 per
award. For FY 2011, the Small Business Administration (SBA)
has proposed amendments to raise the Phase I award threshold
to $100,000-$150,000 and the Phase II award threshold to
$750,000-$1 million.
SBIR acquisitions by target type (2006 - 2010) SBIR acquisitions by buyer type (2006 - 2010)
Sources: DOD SBIR filing and company press releases; Sources: DOD SBIR filing and company press releases;
certain financial information provided by Capital IQ, Inc. certain financial information provided by Capital IQ, Inc.
14 Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment
Component manufacturing:
A return of larger transactions
Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment 15
Component transaction size trends upward
Sellers of North American aerospace/defense component businesses
As the economy recovers, the appetite for larger sector by ownership type – 2010
acquisitions within component manufacturing has improved,
with the average disclosed deal size increasing to over $250 Founders 55%
million 2010 (vs. $127 million in 2009). Illustrative larger Private equity 22%
acquisitions within the sector included: Corporations 18%
Public 5%
• TransDigm’s (the most active buyer) purchase of
McKechnie Aerospace ($1.3 billion) to expand its product
portfolio,
• Triumph’s acquisition of Vought Aircraft from the Carlyle
Group ($1.6 billion) to advance aerostructure systems, and
• Allegheny Technologies’ purchase of component Transactions where target is headquartered in U.S. or Canada.
manufacturer Ladish Co. ($853 million) to move the Sources: Company press releases, certain financial information provided by Capital IQ, Inc.
company upstream.
16 Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment
Illustrative aerospace and defense component manufacturer transactions
Sources: Company press releases; certain financial information provided by Capital IQ, Inc.
Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment 17
MRO, component repair, distribution
and support services: Higher value
transactions
North American M&A transaction activity within MRO and As the airline industry recovers, we can expect to see
other related services was flat in 2010; however, deal sizes this continuing dynamic between building in-house MRO
were slightly larger than in the previous few years. Earnings capabilities versus outsourcing fleet maintenance services.
within our MRO index rose by nearly 5% (EBITDA), as the Larger established carriers such as Delta, Lufthansa and
larger MRO players gained market share. However, despite British Airways have reinvested in maintenance personnel
increasing passenger air traffic (up 4.5% in 2010 vs. down 4.1% and infrastructure after cutting heavily over the last few years.
in 2009), MRO spending overall fell 7.5% in 2010 to $43 billion, Some airlines have hedged their bets by hiring temporary
with the average annual maintenance cost per plane declining employees, allowing for easy downsizing when work slows.
to $2.1 million (vs. $2.4 million in 2008). The drop in MRO However, low-cost and startup carriers such as JetBlue,
spending can be primarily attributed to the implementation AirTran, Southwest and Spirit continue to depend heavily on
of newer, less maintenance-intensive aircraft combined with third-party MROs for heavy maintenance, component repair
declines in utilization. However, industry commentators expect and engine overhaul, as their smaller fleet sizes do not justify
maintenance activity to increase over the next decade at an bringing work in-house.
annual rate of 3.2%, reaching $58 billion by 2019. Sector activity continued to comprise a large portion of
smaller transactions; however, the average deal size trended
upward in 2010, with nearly a third of acquired businesses
employing more than 200 people (vs. 15% in 2009 and 9%
North American MRO and support services M&A activity in 2008). MROs comprised 60% of sector M&A activity, of
which half were spinoffs of subsidiaries or divisions of larger
Financial businesses, and the other half were sales by private owners.
Strategic Notable divestitures include Volvo’s sale of VAS Aero Services
to HIG Capital and ExelTech Aerospace’s sale of its Canadian
# of transactions
40 division to Sun Capital’s portfolio company, Pemco World Air
Services. Component repair and distribution accounted for just
30 over 20% of activity.
20
10
0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
18 Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment
Illustrative MRO and other services transactions
Sources: Company press releases; certain financial information provided by Capital IQ, Inc.
Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment 19
Private security contractors account for around 20% of the
DoD’s armed forces in Iraq and 30% of the DoD’s armed
forces in Afghanistan. Contractors outnumber U.S. troops.
Private security contractors come under institutional As proof of its transition from a cottage industry, we saw
ownership significant acquisitions of private security contractor firms by
Private security contractors (PSCs) have become an integral part private equity groups in 2010, including:
of the U.S. response to the conflicts in Iraq and Afghanistan. A • DynCorp, a security and facilities services provider, taken
June 2010 report to Congress estimated that PSCs accounted private by Cerberus;
for around 20% of the DoD’s armed forces in Iraq and 30% of • Xe (formerly known as Blackwater), a training solutions
the DoD’s armed forces in Afghanistan. The report highlighted and security services provider, which was acquired by
that the total number of private contractors outnumbered Forte Capital Advisors and Manhattan Capital; and
U.S. troops in Iraq and Afghanistan by over 30,000 (207,000 • Blue Hackle Group, a U.K. private security firm, purchased
contractors compared with troop levels of 175,000). Of these by Torch Hill Capital.
contractors, over 13% or 27,000, were armed PSCs. Between
2003 and 2007, the DoD, State Department and USAID M&A activity among suppliers of products and services to
collectively awarded $85 billion in contracts – mostly in support private security and other ground forces included:
of the wars in the Middle East – accounting for roughly 20% of • Kratos’ purchase of tactical and logistics shelter provider
total war funding in the Iraq and Afghan theaters. Arguments Gichner systems, as well as border patrol product
for the use of PSCs include increased flexibility and the reduced manufacturer SCT Acquisition;
costs due to the ease of hiring and firing, the freeing up of • Metalmark Capital’s purchase (through portfolio company
uniformed troops for combat missions, and being able to access Hunter Defense Technologies) of military heating and
unique skills as required. cooling equipment manufacturer Nordic Air and parachute
survival equipment provider Airborne Systems; and
Contractor and U.S. troop levels in Iraq and Afghanistan • Torch Hill Capital’s acquisition of camp lighting
manufacturer Jameson LLC.
Armed contractors
Unarmed contractors
U.S. troops
Personnel levels
240,000
200,000
160,000
120,000
80,000
40,000
0
Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr
2007 2008 2009 2010
Sources: DoD, Use of PSCs in Iraq and Afghanistan, June 22, 2010
20 Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment
The operating environment
Aerospace market outlook:
Orders rise on return of lessors
10
0
1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 (E)
Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment 21
Sales, orders and backlog
U.S. aerospace, backlog, orders and shipments
After two years of back-to-back declines, aircraft industry
orders rose 16% in 2010, driven by strong growth in civil Shipments
aircraft and parts. This increase reflects a rising demand for air Orders
travel and general improvement in the overall economy. After Backlog
a decline in 2009, backlog increased slightly in 2010 to $422
$ billions
billion, and stated backlog levels still remain more than double
500
annual shipments.
450
As a result of the weakening orders and increased
400
cancellations of 2009, commercial aircraft sales fell nearly
6% in 2010; however, the decline was more than offset by an 350
a significant role in the decline of the civil sector, while military 250
sales benefitted from record defense spending (which will 200
likely remain flat in fiscal 2011 and 2012) and the increased 150
exporting of helicopters, missiles and rockets. Space sales were
100
flat during the year and are expected to remain so through FY
50
2015, with NASA’s year-to-year budget growth projected to
0
average 2.5%. General aviation (including business jets and 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 (P)
other private planes) declined for the second year in a row, as
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders; and
the sector continued to face a tight credit environment and an
Aerospace Industry Association (AIA) estimates
abundance of used aircraft on the market. However, sales of
larger cabin business jets are beginning to rebound, especially
in the Middle East.
22 Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment
U.S. aerospace industry sales by segment The economic downturn
Civil
Military
Related products
Missiles
played a significant role in
Space
the decline of the civil sector,
while military sales benefitted
$ billions
180
160
140
from record defense spending
120 and the increased exporting
100
of helicopters, missiles and
80
60 rockets.
40
20
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 (P) 2011 (E)
Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment 23
Commercial outlook Asia-Pacific will be increasingly important for Boeing and
Over the next 20 years, the commercial aircraft industry Airbus as they expect the region to account for over a third of
expects similar growth to that of the last two decades deliveries (by value) over the next 20 years—tripling its fleet
increasing roughly 5% per year. Growth will likely be driven in that region over the period and nearly matching deliveries
by a number of factors, including the replacement of older to North America and Europe combined. Boeing forecasts air
aircraft with newer fuel-efficient and less maintenance- traffic involving the Asia-Pacific region to grow at a rate of
intensive models, demand for flights within emerging markets, 6.8% over the next 20 years, driven by economic development
and the expansion of low-cost carriers. and loosening regulations. China currently accounts for 22%
Both Boeing and Airbus recently released favorable 20- of Airbus orders and 15% of Boeing orders.
year outlooks – both expecting that fleet sizes will double in Development in China is also a cause of concern for the
the next two decades – however, there are dissenting opinions two major aircraft manufacturers, as state-owned businesses
regarding composition, which reflect the markets in which AVIC and Commercial Aircraft Corporation of China
they themselves are based. Boeing expects smaller, economical (COMAC) take aim at the Boeing-Airbus Duopoly. AVIC’s
single- and twin-aisle airplanes to account for over 92% (by ARJ21 is expected to target the large Chinese domestic
value) of new deliveries, as customers seek direct flights to a short-haul market in 2011. Meanwhile, COMAC has built
wider range of destinations. Very large aircraft (VLAs) are relationships with Airbus and Boeing suppliers including GE,
expected to account for 6% (by value) of new deliveries over United Technologies and Honeywell and is developing the
the next 20 years. Airbus, meanwhile, believes international 168-passenter C919 (maiden flight set for 2014), which will
long-haul demand will continue, as airlines trend to hub and compete with the Airbus A320 and Boeing 737. Activity is not
spoke routes as opposed to point-to-point travel. Airbus limited to commercial aircraft, with China now developing
believes VLAs will comprise 18% of deliveries (by value) due high-tech military jets like the J-11B and stealth J-20.
to increased traffic concentrated around mega-city hubs and
growth in the size and number of mega cities, especially within
the Asia-Pacific region.
24 Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment
Defense budget outlook:
Talk of cost cuts masks unchanged
budget; reprioritizing of spending
creates winners and losers
General considerations
First and foremost is the fact that the DoD’s financial
condition heading into the new year is generally sound, despite
the large amount of rhetoric and modest amount of action
regarding cutting costs, saving money and increasing efficiency
at the DoD. There are pressures to be sure that will present
significant challenges to the DoD leadership in running the
Lou Crenshaw business of the department. Most notable are the reductions
Defense and Intelligence
Grant Thornton LLP
of Overseas Contingency Operations (OCO) funds, the poor
performance of some major weapons systems acquisitions and
Lou Crenshaw, Vice Admiral U.S. Navy (Ret.), is the general state of “over-programming” present in the budget.
Partner of the Defense and Intelligence
Nonetheless, even in the face of a cost-reduction imperative
Sector of Grant Thornton’s Global Public Sector
Group. Prior to joining Grant Thornton, he was the driven by daunting financial realities, Congress will certainly
senior resource and requirements manager for the continue to invest significant amounts of the national treasure
U.S. Navy, where he was responsible for overseeing in our nation’s defense.
an annual budget of $130 billion.
At this writing, Congress has yet to pass a 2011 Defense
Appropriations Act, opting instead for a Continuing
Resolution through March 4, 2011, which precludes the start of
any new programs and requires operating under 2010 funding
Predicting what will happen with defense budgets is always an levels. Even this state of affairs is no reason for despair since it
uncertain enterprise, even in the most stable of environments. will leave at least $700 billion in base and supplemental funding
The current situation appears to be unusually unstable, and available to the DoD. That is a lot of money, and we can be
there are many indications that there may be substantial certain that the DoD will make every effort to spend it all,
shrinkage in the number and amount of certain types of plus whatever supplementary funding Congress may award
contracting opportunities at the DoD. I do believe that even during the year to sustain military operations. Furthermore,
with this level of uncertainty, however, there is some degree the adoption of a Continuing Resolution means that the DoD
of order and logic that those of us in the defense and defense- budget cuts included in the president’s fiscal 2011 budget
related industries can rely on as we assess the future. request will most likely fail to materialize.
On the other hand, Congress may attempt to put limits
on spending within the Continuing Resolution, most likely
targeted at major weapons systems procurements. Continued
stalemate could mean that none of the cuts in the president’s
fiscal 2012 request would be adopted as well, though some in
Congress say they plan to attach a full military appropriations
bill to a further Continuing Resolution.
Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment 25
Economic challenges facing the United States Budget reduction pressures
One cannot discuss the funding of government programs There is a growing chorus of support for budget reform and
without immediately focusing on the effects of the growing deficit reduction. In the defense spending area, this can be
federal deficit. The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has seen on at least three fronts. The first involves the internal
estimated that the 2010 deficit exceeded $1.3 trillion. At 9.1% cost-cutting initiatives announced by Defense Secretary
of GDP, this is the second-largest deficit in the past 65 years, Robert Gates. Two other significant sources of pressure are
exceeded only by 2009’s 9.9% of GDP. the Defense Business Board and the National Commission
Sustained growth can be expected in mandatory spending on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform, the so-called “Debt
accounts, up 8.3% in 2011, and outlays for net interest on the Commission.”
public debt will grow as well, from 62% of GDP this year to The Defense Business Board reported its preliminary
66% by the end of 2011. Between 2010 and 2013, the CBO findings in Reducing Overhead and Improving Business
predicts that discretionary spending as a percentage of total Operations to Secretary Gates in July 2010. The findings that
outlays will remain around 38%, and that it will fall during that have the most implications for the defense industry include:
time period from 8.7% of GDP to 8.4%. In other words, there • there has been an explosion of overhead work relative to
is a very low likelihood that additional discretionary spending, warfighting due to a lack of adequate controls;
which includes defense spending, will grow significantly. • more personnel have been assigned to conduct that work,
Budget pundits for some time have been predicting minimal adding immense costs;
growth – in the 1% range – of the DoD budget. Given the • the majority of that work is being done by contractors at a
economic outlook, some are now predicting a decline. At an cost that the DoD is unable to determine since it is buried
October 2010 TechAmerica Foundation Vision Conference, in Operations and Maintenance accounts; and
the DoD budget was predicted to be subject to “low real • large numbers of military personnel (over 340,000), who
growth” in 2011–2012 and to suffer a “real decline” from 2013– cost more and are needed for warfighting, are performing
2015, resulting in “a major shock” for the defense market. work that is “non-inherently government” or should be
The good news in all this is that nondefense discretionary assigned to DoD civilians.
spending is projected to fall from 49% of total discretionary
spending in 2010 to 46% in 2013, indicating that some cuts
are expected in the non-defense accounts. Baseline defense
spending as a percentage of discretionary spending is therefore Despite the rhetoric around
predicted to grow slightly, from $657 billion to $744 billion.
Thus, even in the midst of the direst economic predictions, cutting costs, the DoD’s
there is room for optimism with regard to well-positioned
defense-related businesses. financial condition is
generally sound.
26 Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment
In November 2010, the Debt Commission co-chairs • Reducing levels of “other procurement” by $48.5
proposed savings that would affect the entire defense industrial billion by 2015. The commission specifically singled
community and would include cuts to major procurement out communications and electronic equipment (e.g.,
programs in addition to those recommended by Secretary tactical SINCGARs radios, radar, communications and
Gates in August. Those with the most significance to defense- information security), tactical vehicles (e.g., High Mobility
related industries include: Multipurpose Wheeled Vehicles (HMMWV), armored
• Applying the $100 billion savings from Secretary Gates’ security vehicles, trailers, materials-handling equipment,
initiatives to deficit reduction instead of using those funds ship support equipment) and other support equipment and
elsewhere in the DoD. The commission’s emphasis on spares (e.g., night vision goggles). This would still allow the
continuing efforts to improve audit readiness and financial services to conduct other procurement at levels 50% higher
management within the DoD should benefit firms engaged than in 2000.
in assisting the DoD in those areas. As an example of the
benefits that could result, the commission noted that the • Reducing spending in Research, Development, Test and
“Marine Corps recently realized approximately $3 for Evaluation by 10% to save $7 billion in 2015, with particular
every $1 it invested in improvements to its rudimentary reference to R&D associated with the major procurements
financial operations.” identified by the commission for reduction or elimination.
There is a significant contractor component in this account
• Doubling the proposal in Secretary Gates’ initiatives to and the effect of this cut could have a major impact.
cut defense contractor personnel who aid or augment
the DoD headquarters staff by 30% over three years in • Reducing base support by $2 billion and facilities
order to achieve a savings of $5.4 billion by 2015. Even maintenance spending by $1.4 billion.
after doubling those savings and reducing the number of
contractor personnel by half, the commission notes that the We can be certain that the chances of all of these
contractor workforce would still number over 30,000 and recommendations actually being implemented are very low.
remain 40% higher than it was in 2000. Nevertheless, there are obviously winners and losers in the
face of these recommendations, and it is difficult to draw any
• Reducing procurement by 15% by 2015 through the solid conclusions in light of the myriad of possibilities and
elimination or reduction of production of several major combinations that may emerge from the discussion. Generally,
weapons systems. These include the V-22 Osprey, the however, it appears that:
Expeditionary Fighting Vehicle, the Marine Corps’ • companies providing service support contractor personnel
STOVOL version of the F-35, the Navy’s Maritime Future can expect a tough future;
Prepositioning Force, the Joint Light Tactical Vehicle • major hardware manufacturers and their suppliers will be helped
(JLTV), the Ground Combat Vehicle, and the Joint Tactical or hurt depending on what is cut and what replaces the cuts;
Radio System. In addition, reduce the buy of Navy and Air • suppliers of base support and maintenance contracts can
Force F-35s by half and replace them with less expensive expect challenges to current levels of spending; and
F-16s and F- or A-18s. Even with this 15% reduction, • firms involved in improving the efficiency and effectiveness
procurement would remain only slightly below the average of the DoD financial operations can expect continued
for the past 10 years. investment.
Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment 27
Congressional actions Secretary of Defense Gates’ initiatives
It is clear now that there will not be a 2011 Defense In August 2010, Secretary Gates announced a series of savings
Appropriations Act and that the DoD will be operating under a and efficiency initiatives that he explained would allow
Continuing Resolution at least through March 4, 2011, if not for the DoD to reallocate $100 billion over the next five years,
the remainder of FY 2011. The result will be essentially the FY including:
2010 budget with no new program starts. • A 30% reduction over three years in funding for service
While it appears the 112th Congress will concentrate on support contractors. This could result in the elimination of
non-defense cost-cutting measures, there will be unintended 30,000 contractors.
consequences that will affect the defense industry. The • A freeze in the number of OSD, defense agency and
most notable example is the desire to eliminate earmarks. combatant commander billets as well as a freeze at the 2010
The DoD typically omits some required budget items with levels of DoD senior uniformed and civilian leadership ranks.
the knowledge that Congress will fund them as earmarks. • The achievement of greater benefits in cost and efficiency
Unfortunately, as these earmarks are eliminated, DoD through economies of scale and the consolidation of IT
organizations will be forced to either add them to an already infrastructure.
oversized baseline budget or let them die. Many of these • A reduction in the enormous amount of reports and studies
programs support small and mid-size local businesses, and they being conducted by the DoD as a result of congressional
can therefore expect their congressionally sponsored funding action, administrative oversight and internal tasking.
to dry up. • A zero-based review of all DoD intelligence organizations,
Congress may also intervene in several recommendations to including all contracts, with the goal of eliminating
reduce major procurements. Capitol Hill will also continue the duplication.
pressure to eliminate Overseas Contingency Operations funds • Flattening and trimming the DoD’s structure, including
and force the DoD to focus on re-establishing baseline funding the elimination of the position of Assistant Secretary of
levels appropriate for the security environment. This will put Defense for Networks, Integration and Information.
the operations and support accounts of the armed services
under enormous pressure. Many service support contracts In January 2011, the secretary announced that the services
reside in those accounts and vendors can expect a decline in had been successful in finding over $100 billion in cost-savings
money available to fund these contracts. measures.
It is very important in assessing the impact of these actions
to note that even if they are fully successful in ways that
previous cost-cutting efforts at the DoD have not been, they
are not intended to represent cuts to the DoD budget, but
reallocations in the name of efficiency and effectiveness.
28 Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment
Initiatives by the undersecretary for acquisition, technology Operational imperatives
and logistics (AT&L) While there are and will continue to be many calls to reduce
As part of his effort to cut costs at the DoD, Secretary Gates DoD procurement spending, especially in major hardware
announced that AT&L Undersecretary Ashton Carter had accounts, the defense industry can expect to see continued
launched an initiative to improve efficiency and reduce costs in investment by DoD in certain key areas:
the contracting area, “the goal being to get better buying power • Cyber security will undoubtedly continue to be a growth
for the taxpayer and warfighter in defense goods and services.” area in the defense budget, and vendors in that space can
Although a part of Secretary Gates’ initiatives, the AT&L expect growth in DoD investments.
actions – announced in June 2010 and explained further in • Unmanned systems will continue to prosper as the
September 2010 – are significant in their own right and deserve DoD has clearly established its intent to continue robust
separate treatment. investment in that area.
They fall into five focus areas: target affordability and • Soft power will remain a key focus area, and elements of
control cost growth; incentivize productivity and innovation the defense industry associated with this area and other
in industry; promote real competition; improve tradecraft in unconventional and special warfare programs will see a
services acquisitions; and reduce non-productive processes and sustained investment by the DoD.
bureaucracy.
Unlike the other major areas discussed that have the And then, of course, there is the unknown but certain
potential to impact the defense industry, these AT&L initiatives influence of future, unforeseeable global events that will
have been or will be implemented. In general, vendors can force reconsideration of budget cuts and result in additional
expect greater scrutiny by the DoD in the performance of their expenditures in the defense area.
contracts, and this is likely to increase costs.
Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment 29
In summary
The supposed “Global War on Contractors” will certainly
affect a large number of firms in that industry, and the
challenges will not be limited to just those in the service
support industry. The fact is that even though the DoD
leadership stresses “service support contractors,” there is the
danger that field personnel will only hear the “contractor”
part. Any “contractor” can therefore expect pressure from
local contracting officers to reduce their numbers.
The cuts proposed to major weapons system acquisitions
will hit losing primes and their suppliers hard. General
budget cuts and cost-cutting measures will undoubtedly have
unanticipated impacts on almost every firm doing business
with the DoD.
But there are some bright spots on the horizon:
• The DoD has over $700 billion to spend.
• The manufacturers of proven legacy systems, which will
fill the void left by the cancellation of new systems, will
prosper.
• Those firms providing assistance to the DoD to help it
become more efficient or manage its money better will see
a continued demand for their services (assuming they can
overcome the “contractor” label).
• Those industries in the 21st century warfare renaissance
of cyber security, soft power and unmanned vehicles will
continue to see robust investments by the DoD.
This is a shortened version of a full article that can be obtained from Lou Crenshaw:
T 703.837.4430 or E Lou.Crenshaw@us.gt.com
30 Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment
European update: View from across
the pond mirrors U.S. activity
Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment 31
Rebirth of M&A: After two quiet years, mergers and Fiscal constraints: Ballooning budget deficits combined with
acquisitions activity returned to the European corporate an economic recession have forced most European governments
agenda in 2010, although activity remained substantially below to take a scalpel to public expenditures. As one of the least
U.S. levels. Notable deals included Babcock International’s politically-sensitive areas of outlay, defense budgets have been
acquisition of VT Group for $2.1 billion and the acquisition hardest hit. The impact of drastic cuts is particularly acute,
of energetic materials group SNPE by France’s Safran for given the need to invest in technologies and assets to combat
$405 million. Having survived both dramatic declines in new and emerging threats. Most notable is the U.K., where
commercial aerospace activity and the worst credit market the new Conservative-led coalition government is attempting
conditions in many years, European aerospace and defense to upgrade its military capabilities in priority areas, while
companies found renewed confidence last year. Dramatic cost- cutting overall expenditures and plugging a £36 billion ($57
cutting and a relatively robust defense spending environment billion) hole in the procurement budget accumulated under the
resulted in substantial cash balances for primes, supplemented outgoing Labour government. Among the more controversial
by recovering public debt markets. The combined liquidity decisions of the long-awaited Strategic Defense and Security
(cash plus undrawn facilities) of Europe’s three largest primes Review (SDSR) were the early withdrawal of the Harrier and
currently exceeds $32 billion. More attractive pricing in most Tornado fast jet fleets along with the brand new Nimrod MRA4
segments of the commercial aerospace sector, combined with maritime surveillance capability and the Sentinel R1 Airborne
shifting defense procurement priorities, also contributed to Stand-Off Radar (ASTOR) program, while committing to the
higher levels of activity. By contrast, smaller companies – construction of two new aircraft carriers at the cost of almost
lacking access to public debt markets and therefore reliant £6 billion ($9.5 billion). Undoubtedly, these decisions will
upon bank debt – were less active in 2010, preferring to retain impact not only the primes, but also numerous subsystem and
liquidity balances for what is widely expected to be a bumpy component suppliers and the service providers supporting them.
road to recovery. While most commercial aerospace M&A However, the associated need to bolster Eurofighter Typhoon’s
activity tended to be domestic or intra-European, the United multirole capability to allow the withdrawal of the Tornado
States remained the focus for defense acquisitions, where U.K. and the potential for unmanned surveillance platforms will
defense group’s BAE Systems and Chemring were active. soften the blow for some. The only other European country
European defense primes and their Tier 1 suppliers recognize with a significant defense budget, France has also recently
that despite growing budget pressures, the U.S. spends as much been considering its procurement priorities in light of fiscal
on equipment and services as the rest of the world combined, constraints. President Sarkozy and the French government are
and it is therefore critical to have a presence “on the ground.” under pressure from the opposition party for a similar defense
spending review to the U.K.’s SDSR.
32 Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment
Afghanistan conflict: The continuing involvement of several the U.K. to ensure that they adopt appropriate anti-corruption
European nations in Operation Enduring Freedom has measures before April 2011. While larger corporations
boosted acquisitions of Urgent Operational Requirements typically have appropriate policies and procedures in place,
(UOR) equipment and supplies. Companies engaged in the these additional administrative burdens represent yet another
manufacturing of such products – from body armor to IED- competitive disadvantage to smaller defense enterprises.
jamming devices –prospered during 2010 and, in some cases,
attracted the attention of acquirers. One such example is Growing interest in emerging markets: Like their U.S.
Rheinmetall’s acquisition of personal armor manufacturer counterparts, European defense primes acknowledge the
Verseidag Ballistic Protection GmbH. importance of establishing a presence in “friendly”’ emerging
markets, such as the Middle East, Asia and Latin America.
Anti-corruption legislation: A number of European nations Among the near-term targets are India’s Medium Multi-Role
introduced new laws in 2010 aimed at curbing corporate Combat Aircraft (MMRCA) program of at least 126 fighters,
corruption impacting a number of industries, most notably which is currently being pursued by Saab (Sweden), Eurofighter
defense. The U.K.’s Bribery Act, passed into statute in April, (European multinational), Dassault (France) and Boeing. Other
is considered to be the most robust legislation of its kind. The markets in the crosshairs of Europe’s defense primes include the
act puts significant pressure on corporations doing business in United Arab Emirates and Brazil.
Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment 33
Outlook for 2011 International collaboration: A union born of economic
We expect that the key trends in 2011 for both the defense and necessity, the recent Anglo-French defense treaty is billed as
commercial sectors will represent a continuation of those that a move to reduce some of the pressure on spending as well as
began in 2010. reshape Europe’s military industrial landscape. However, a
primary motivation for collaboration among European nations
Defense outlook and their prime contractors is to avoid buying “off the shelf”
Continuing fiscal austerity measures: Defense primes will from U.S. primes. Joint procurement and sharing of capabilities
bear much of the brunt of cost-cutting demands and reforms has been attempted in various guises in the past with few
resulting from the U.K.’s SDSR and similar initiatives across tangible results. The most recent attempt at collaboration was
mainland Europe. Similarly, the numerous contractors involved the A400M airlifter, which encountered significant delays and
in the F-35 program will suffer the same pricing pressures as substantial cost overruns. However, if properly conceived and
their U.S. counterparts. implemented, such a grand plan has the potential to ensure
Europe retains existing capabilities as well as invests in R&D
M&A activity: With Europe’s major contractors sitting on for future programs. A notable example of successful industrial
huge cash piles, further consolidation is inevitable as portfolios collaboration is MBDA, which resulted from the merger of
of both defense and commercial assets are reshuffled. The U.S. the missile capabilities of the U.K. and France to produce a
market will remain a favored destination for acquisition activity “European champion.” However, the potential for a defacto
and joint ventures, and alliances in emerging markets will also single European prime in other areas of defense procurement
feature on the strategic agendas of both large and mid-sized may raise objections from smaller competitors.
players. Increasing concerns about cyber security, piracy and
terrorism will drive interest in targets with intelligence and
sensor capabilities.
34 Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment
Civil outlook Supply chain pressures: Assuming Airbus and Boeing proceed
Airline mergers (Iberia-British Airways): Europe’s airlines with their expected production ramp-ups, the increased activity
– from large state carriers to regional players – are looking at levels will test their supply chains as they look to build more than
consolidation as a way to deal with the continuing pressures of 1,200 aircraft in 2012. Airbus is planning to boost single-aisle
economic headwinds and union unrest. The merger of British production to 40 aircraft per month, having dropped to 34 units
Airways and Iberia to form International Airlines Group in 2009. The airframe giants are most concerned about the smaller
will create three giant carriers (along with Air France-KLM Tier 2 and Tier 3 suppliers, which both Boeing and Airbus have
and Lufthansa), which is likely to prompt the restructuring encouraged to consolidate to better handle the financial and
of regional players. While the budget carriers are expected to organizational pressures imposed by their customers. Having
continue to expand their fleets, it is unclear what impact this cut skilled labor and resources in 2009, many of these companies
consolidation activity will have on medium-term delivery may struggle in the continuing credit-constrained environment to
schedules for Airbus, Boeing and their emerging rivals in the ramp up production to the required levels.
regional jet market.
Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment 35
16th Annual Government Contractor
Industry Survey
The sale of a company ESOPs (20%) a distant second. The most frequently cited
reasons for exit were private shareholder liquidity needs
continues to be the most (50%) and market opportunities (28%). Thirty-six percent of
respondents planned to raise capital during the year and were
favored exit route for equally divided between issuing stock and incurring additional
debt. Acquisitions were cited as the primary reason for raising
satisfying private shareholder capital (44%), followed by growth and operations (41%).
liquidity needs.
36 Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment
Profit before interest and taxes Bid protests
The profit rates reported by survey participants followed Surveyed companies filed a total of 22 bid protests during the
a predictable pattern given the profit guidelines in the past year, and 11 were sustained by the GAO or the court
government procurement regulations. As a percentage of hearing the bid protest. This appears to be a higher sustainment
revenue, 40% of participants reported profit rates of 1%–5%, rate than has historically been the case, and we’ll be monitoring
35% reported profit rates of 5%–10%, 9% reported profit this closely in the future to see if a new trend is emerging.
rates of 10%–15%, and 6% reported profit rates above 15%.
The remaining 10% of surveyed companies either had no Government in-sourcing
profit or experienced a loss. Historically, government regulations gave a preference to
outsourcing work to commercial companies rather than
Revenue from the stimulus program performing the work in-house by government employees.
We asked surveyed companies whether they anticipated any Recently, the government reversed this policy and has begun
significant revenue impact from the government stimulus recruiting contractor employees into government service. We
program over the next 18 months. Seventy-two percent of asked surveyed companies whether they had lost employees as
respondents anticipated no significant growth from stimulus, a result of government in-sourcing and 47% reported having
while the remaining 28% expected modest growth. lost employees.
Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment 37
Earned value management systems Codes of business ethics and conduct
We asked a series of questions about earned value management Government procurement regulations impose requirements on
systems (EVMS). Twenty-eight percent of surveyed government contractors regarding Codes of Business Ethics
participants reported having contracts that required EVMS. and Conduct. Eighty-one percent of surveyed companies have
Of those, only 37% believed that EVMS is a cost-effective established formal policies and procedures to satisfy these
management tool. Further, only 25% of companies required to requirements. Nine percent of surveyed companies reported
report under EVMS would adopt that system if not required that they have faced allegations of violations of the Codes of
by the contract. Business Ethics and Conduct.
38 Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment
Grant Thornton Aerospace and
Defense contacts
*Grant Thorton International Ltd and its member firms are not a worldwide partnership, as each member firm is a separate and distinct legal entity.
Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment 39
About Grant Thornton
The factual statements contained herein are taken from sources About Grant Thornton Corporate Finance LLC
believed to be reliable, but such statements are made without Grant Thornton Corporate Finance provides boutique
any representation as to accuracy or completeness or otherwise. investment banking services to privately held middle-market
Grant Thornton Corporate Finance LLC does not engage in the businesses in the United States and around the world. As a
business of recommending or effecting transactions in securities. recognized advisor on middle-market mergers and acquisitions,
The above information is presented solely in connection with we offer a range of investment banking services including
describing Grant Thornton Corporate Finance LLC’s mergers sell-side advisory, buy-side advisory, management buyouts,
and acquisitions services, and should not be considered as restructurings and capital raising. Grant Thornton LLP
constituting a research report or as providing information provides investment banking services through its wholly owned
reasonably sufficient upon which to base an investment decision. broker-dealer subsidiary Grant Thornton Corporate Finance
LLC, member FINRA, SIPC.
40 Aerospace & Defense Update: Mergers, Acquisitions and the Operating Environment
Offices of Grant Thornton