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LTE 4G World Wide Developments, Deployments,

Revenue Models and Forecasts 2010-15


(March 2010 Edition)

#Includes 20+ Pages Free Handbook


Containing Telecom's Latest News

No. of Pages - 150+


Companies Listed - 100+
Case Studies - 40+
Forecasts Listed - 100+

“A decisional handbook for Telecoms to stay Eveready, as LTE/ 4G chutes up and becomes a Universal GSM
standard; a must read for leaders within the Industry to understand its Scope, Risks and Growth opportunities”
Oscar Mine (Sr. Research Analyst)

www.teleresearchlabs.com
Key Findings and Forecasts from
the Report

Key Findings from the Report


 80% of the MNOs are expected to upgrade to 4G around 2015.

 Operators currently requiring large OpEx in serving legacy networks must start
deploying LTE to reduce costs.

 LTE deployment needs significant investments in terms of network backhaul,


infrastructure, devices etc.

 Payback period of investments can go as high as 6.5; expected to happen in the


range of 4-5 years.

 Network Sharing will be essential to reduce CapEx and OpEx by 2015.

 LTE may not be the prime most choice for some Greenfield MNOs in western
and emerging markets; WiMax will offer a competitive edge to these MNOs due
to cheaper rates.

 70% of WiMAX deployments will happen in emerging markets like Africa


followed by Asia Pacific and Middle East, due to lower broadband penetration.

 MNOs, delaying decisions to deploy LTE Networks will face strong competition
from established leaders after 2013; however, CapEx for LTE deployment is
expected to drop by 7-10% (due to strong competition and vendor variety
available in the market).

”Vodafone will not need additional spectrum for LTE in some markets,
as it will be able to use existing frequencies in new ways”

Professor Michael Walker, Group R&D Director at Vodafone.


Key Findings and Forecasts from
the Report (Continues…)

Key Forecasts from the Report


 “LTE is expected to reach 200mn subscribers by 2015”
 “Legacy Networks to stay upto 2018”
 “MNOs will face 75% less hardware, 25-30% lower cost and 10% energy saving
with LTE/ 4G Networks”

 “Bandwidth hungry apps, during the LTE era, will result in a substantial increase of
ARPU by 15-20%”

 “WiMAX subscribers will slowly and steadily increase from 5.5mn (current) to
65mn by 2015 due to delay in LTE rollouts”

 “90% of WCDMA vendors will upgrade to HSPA+ or LTE by 2H2014. Whereas,


majority of CDMA operators will opt for LTE”

 ”No. of subscribers using GSM/ GPRS/ EDGE will still be larger in size i.e. 60%
(3.2bn of 4.8bn) of global mobile subscribers”

 “SMS and International Roaming services will not happen soon during the early
years of LTE/ 4G era”.

 North America will outpace European MNOs in LTE deployments; UK seems to


delay the most”.

 “LTEs complex All-IP based networks will raise security threats for Identity
Management, Roaming Management and Security of Routing”
Key Questions Answered by the
Report

Key Questions Answered


 How much service revenue and ARPU will LTE generate for MNOs? Worldwide
review (2010-2015).

 How many LTE mobile broadband subscribers are expected each year and
where? Worldwide analysis (2010-2015).

 What is the right time to launch LTE? Should LTE be deployed throughout the
entire market or just the hot spots?

 Who should or should not adopt LTE and why? On what scale will LTE be
adopted and by when? Worldwide MNOs forecasts (2010-2015).

 How do MNOs integrate or transition the LTE offering to their existing services
and users without adversely affecting them?

 What are the new business models for MNOs with LTE? Scope of these models
and pricing structure(s) – Worldwide review (2010-2015).

 Will LTE generate more revenue for Vendors and 3rd Parties? Opportunities for
Vendors and 3rd Parties to generate more revenues.

 Are there any low-cost alternatives proven successful and are achieving
similar satisfaction levels amongst end customers? Find out risks associated
and scope of the so called “alternatives”.

 Small operators: Should they build or lease an LTE Network? After effects in
terms of ability to customize the network topology, X2 handovers etc.

 Policy control and charging mechanisms best suited for LTE? What is the
importance of deep packet inspection and billing in LTE Networks?

 What are MNOs 2G/3G fallback plans for non coverage areas?

 Comparison with WiMax? Will WiMAX MNOs switch to LTE or 802.16m/ 802.20?

 Strategies of the top infrastructure/ handset/ chipset providers in the LTE


domain? What is the timeframe for LTE services and handsets availability?

 Will MNOs decision be influenced by industry rumors, market share or vendors’


global monopolies on introducing favorable technologies?

 What is TeleResearch Labs’ outlook on LTE adaptation worldwide in


comparison to HSPA+, WiMAX and other alternatives?
Table of Contents
1 Executive Summary
1.1. LTE→4G: A Technology beyond 2.5G/ 3G, a Revolution!
1.2. LTE→4G: Integration of Heterogeneous Systems
1.3. LTE→4G: Comparison with WiMAX: MNOs, Vendors
and Subscribers Forecasts (2010-2015)
1.4. LTE→4G: Acceptance - A Big Question
1.5. LTE→4G: Mass Market Adaptation: Scaled Analysis till
2015
1.6. LTE→4G: Effect on the Market: Vendors, MNOs and
Subscribers Forecasts (2010-2020)
1.7. LTE→4G: A Door to Improve ARPU and Stairway to
New Apps
1.8. Key Findings of the Report

 
2 Overview of LTE/4G
 

2.1. LTE Overview: Standards and System Requirements


2.1.1. Table: System Requirements for LTE→4G

2.2. Market Overview: Is the Market Ready to Accept 4G?


2.2.1. Chart: Success of iPhone

2.2.2. Chart: Exponential Increase in Smart Phones

2.2.3. Why can 4G be successful? What are the supporting factors?

2.2.4. Forecasts on Subscriber Base (2010-2015)

2.2.5. Effect of 4G on the Society


2.2.6. Is there really a Need for 4G or just a Market Derivation?
2.2.6.1. Push Strategy
2.2.6.2. Pull Strategy

2.3. Is this the Right Time to Launch 4G?


2.3.1. Table: Periodic Evolution of Legacy Networks
2.3.2. Survey Poll: What Factors Drive MNOs to Innovate?
2.3.3. Chart: Vendors Global Performance from 2006 to 2020 (In
Terms of Support for Latest Technologies Time after Time)

2.4. Benefit for Operators: Evaluation of ARPU, OpEx/


CapEx and CAGR (2010-2015)
2.4.1. Chart: Evaluation of ARPU with New Apps during the 4G Era
(2010-2015)
2.4.2. Chart: Estimates on CapEx/ OpEx (2010-2015)

 
2 Overview of LTE/4G (Continues…)
 

2.4.3. Chart: Common Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Chart for


Subscribers and Operators Revenues (2010-2015)

2.5. Motivational and De-Motivational Factors behind LTE


2.6. Aim of the Report
2.7. LTE→4G Assessment: MNOs and Vendors Agenda
2.7.1. LTE→4G: Decision Making Skeleton

2.8. Key Questions Answered by the Report


2.9. Scope of the Report
2.10. Report Structure

 
3 Evolution of 4G
 

3.1. 1st Generation


3.1.1. Introduction to Technology

3.1.2. Applications

3.1.3. Effect on the Market

3.1.4. Advantages and Disadvantages

3.1.5. Need for 2G

3.2. 2/ 2.5 Generation


3.2.1. Introduction to Technology

3.2.2. Applications

3.2.3. Effect on the Market

3.2.4. Advantages and Disadvantages

3.2.5. Need for 3G

3.3. 3rd Generation


3.3.1. Introduction to Technology

3.3.2. Applications

3.3.3. Effect on the Market

3.3.4. Advantages and Disadvantages

3.3.5. Need for 4G/ WiMax

3.4. WiMax
3.4.1. Introduction to Technology

 
3 Evolution of 4G (Continues…)
 

3.4.2. Applications

3.4.3. Effect on the Market

3.4.4. Advantages and Disadvantages

3.5. 4th Generation


3.5.1. Introduction to Technology

3.5.2. Applications

3.5.3. Effect on the Market

3.5.4. Advantages and Disadvantages

3.6. Comparison between 2G, 3G, 4G and WiMAX


3.7. Summary

 
4 LTE→4G: Hurdles, Challenges and Risk
Assessment
4.1. LTE Hurdles
4.1.1. Licensing and Spectrum Harmonization
4.1.1.1. Digital Dividend

4.1.1.2. 2G/3G Re-Farming

4.1.1.3. 2.6 GHz Spectrum

4.1.1.4. Table: Spectrum Analysis for Future LTE Deployments

4.1.2. Voice over LTE (VoLTE)


4.1.2.1 Circuit Switch Fallback (CS Fallback)

4.1.2.2. VOIP Approach as Proposed by NSN

4.1.2.3. IMS based VoIP


4.1.3. Coverage
4.1.4. Small or Large Cells
4.1.5. Traffic Management
4.1.6. Backhaul Costs and Options
4.1.6.1. Evolving to an All-IP Network

4.1.6.2. VoLGA Approach

4.1.7. Self Organizing Networks (SON)


4.1.8. Securing All-IP Network and IP-Enabled Devices
4.1.9. Flat Rate Plans
4.1.10. Flexible and Interoperable Systems
4.1.11. Intellectual Property Rights (IPR)
4.1.12. LTE Handset Availability and Compatibility Issues

 
4 LTE→4G: Hurdles, Challenges and Risk
Assessment (Continues…)
4.2. Uncertainties with LTE
4.2.1. Alternative Technologies that may turn out to be more Cost
Effective
4.2.1.1. WiMAX

4.2.1.2. UMB

4.2.2. Uncertain ROI


4.2.3. Internal Research and Development Investments
4.2.4. If LTE becomes a GSM Community Standard!
4.2.5. LTE Field Tests and Trials

4.3. Summary

 
5 LTE→4G: Technical Understanding and
Recommendations
5.1. Technical Understanding of LTE Networks
5.1.1. Table: Benefits of Deploying LTE
5.1.2. Table: LTE Facts and Figures

5.2. Understanding the LTE Architecture


5.3. Figure: Elements of LTE Networks
5.4. Fundamental Elements of LTE Networks
5.4.1 ENodeB Solutions
5.4.1.1. Technical Necessities for Effective eNodeB

5.4.1.2 .Types of eNodeB

5.4.2. Backhaul Solutions

5.4.3 Multi- Standard RANs

5.4.4 Distinct LTE Overlay Solutions

5.4.5 MIMO (Multiple Input Multiple Output)

5.4.6 Evolved Packet Core

5.4.7 Flat Network Architecture

5.4.8. Spectrum Utilization

5.4.9 OFDM/ OFDMA/ SC-FDMA

5.4.10. Evolutionary Upgrades

5.4.11. Intra/ Inter Compatibility with Existing Networks

5.4.12. Universal Approach

5.4.13. Backbone of LTE

 
5 LTE→4G: Technical Understanding and
Recommendations (Continues…)
5.5. LTE Top Ten Infrastructure Providers
5.5.1. Table: Top Ten LTE Infrastructure Providers

5.5.2. Nokia Siemens Networks

5.5.3. Ericsson

5.5.4. Huawei

5.5.5. Alcatel Lucent

5.5.6. Nokia Siemens and Nortel

5.5.7. ADC

5.5.8. Fujitsu

5.5.9. Motorola

5.5.10. ZTE

5.5.11. Tecore Networks

5.6. LTE Top Ten Handset Vendors


5.6.1. Nokia

5.6.2. LG

5.6.3. Samsung

5.6.4. Sony Ericsson

5.6.5. ZTE

5.6.6. Apple

5.6.7. Kyocera

 
5 LTE→4G: Technical Understanding and
Recommendations (Continues…)
5.6.8. Signalion
5.6.9. Blue Wonders Communication
5.6.10. RIM

5.7. LTE Top Ten Chipset Providers


5.7.1. Qualcomm
5.7.1.1. Table: Qualcomm's LTE Chipset Offering

5.7.2. Wavesat

5.7.3. ST-Ericsson

5.7.4. Samsung

5.7.5. DoCoMo

5.7.6. Intel-LTE

5.7.7. Altair Semiconductors

5.7.8. Infineon Solutions

5.7.9. Innofeidei

5.7.10. Discretix

5.7.11. Sequans Com

5.7.12. Skyworks Solutions


5.7.13. TriQuint Semiconductors

5.8. LTE Top Ten Backhaul Solution Vendors


5.8.1. Alcatel-Lucent

5.8.2. Ceragon Networks

 
5 LTE→4G: Technical Understanding and
Recommendations (Continues…)
5.8.3. Dragon Wave

5.8.4. RAD Data Communication

5.8.5. Tellabs/ SwissCom Collaboration

5.8.6. Harris Stratex Networks (Aviat Networks)

5.8.7. Proxim Wireless

5.8.8. Axerra Networks

5.8.9. Accedian Networks


5.8.10. Conterra Telecom Services

5.9. Top Ten EPC Solution Providers


5.9.1. Starent Networks

5.9.2. NSN (Nokia Siemens Networks)

5.9.3. RAD Data Communications

5.9.4. NEC Corporation

5.9.5. Motorola

5.9.6. Bridgewater Systems

5.9.7. WiChorus

5.9.8. RadiSys Corporation

5.9.9. Aricent

5.9.10. Hitachi

 
5 LTE→4G: Technical Understanding and
Recommendations (Continues…)

5.10. Other Companies/ Communities Participating in LTE


Developments
5.10.1. CISCO

5.10.2. Continuous Computing/ Cavium Networks partnership

5.10.3. Aeroflex

5.10.4. Tensilica

5.10.5. Via Licensing Corporation

5.10.6. Acme Packet

5.10.7. Application Development Communities

5.11. LTE Guidelines: Setting Standards and Regulations


5.11.1. Table: LTE Standards Bodies

5.11.2. 3GPP

5.11.3. LSTI (LTE/SAE Trial Initiative)

5.11.4. IMT Advanced

5.11.5. Next Generation Mobile Network Alliance (NGMN)

5.11.6. IPR Framework for LTE/SAE

5.12. World Wide Telecom Regulations Favoring / Not


Favoring LTE
5.13. Growth Prospects and Benefits with LTE
Deployments:

 
5 LTE→4G: Technical Understanding and
Recommendations (Continues…)
5.13.1. Network Operators Benefits
5.13.1.1. Investment Protection

5.13.1.2. Improvement in Coverage and Capacity

5.13.1.3. Increase in ARPU, Reduction in CapEx/OpEx

5.13.1.4. Additional Advantage over Key Competitors

5.13.1.5. Cheaper call rates: VOIP (VoLTE) Approach

5.13.1.6. Customer Satisfaction

5.13.1.7. Flexibility to Re-use Existing Infrastructure

5.13.2. End User Benefits


5.13.2.1. Better Experience

5.13.2.2. Fast Access

5.13.2.3. Dynamic RIAs

5.13.2.4. Variety of Rate Plans offering excellent Broadband Services (Even


for the Lowest Plan)

5.14. Logical Conclusions and Recommendations (Based


On Available Data)
5.14.1. Table: LTE SWOT Analysis

5.15. How can Operators best exploit their Strengths in


Context to Opportunities?
5.16. Summary

 
6 LTE→4G: World Wide Mobile Network
Operators’ Case Studies, Developments
 
And Forecasts (2010-2015)

6.1. MNOs Case Studies


6.2. MNOs Interested in LTE (Region Wise): World Wide
Review
6.3. LTE Launches: Expected Between 2010-2012
6.3.1. TeliaSonera
6.3.1.1. Table: TeliaSonera LTE Activities

6.3.1.2. LTE Progress Chart

6.3.1.3. LTE Development and Deployment Activities Opted by TeliaSonera


6.3.1.4. Case Study: Vendors Chosen, Subscriber Coverage, Services Offered,
Revenue Models and Forecasts (2010-2015)

6.3.2. NTT DoCoMo


6.3.2.1. Table: NTT DoCoMo LTE Activities

6.3.2.2. Chart: LTE Progress Chart

6.3.2.3. LTE Development and Deployment Activities Opted by NTT DoCoMo

6.3.2.4. Case Study: Vendors Chosen, Subscriber Coverage, Services Offered,


Revenue Models and Forecasts (2010-2015)

6.3.3. Verizon Wireless


6.3.3.1. Table: Verizon Wireless LTE Activities

6.3.3.2. LTE Progress Chart

6.3.3.3. LTE Development and Deployment Activities opted by Verizon


6.3.3.4. Case Study: Vendors Chosen, Subscriber Coverage, Services Offered,
Revenue Models and Forecasts (2010-2015)

 
6 LTE→4G: World Wide Mobile Network
Operators’ Case Studies, Developments
 
And Forecasts (2010-2015) (Continues…)
6.3.4. SingTel, Asia Pacific
6.3.4.1. Table: SingTel LTE Activities

6.3.4.2. LTE Progress Chart

6.3.4.3. LTE Development and Deployment Activities Opted by SingTel

6.3.4.4. Case Study: Vendors Chosen, Subscriber Coverage, Services Offered,


Revenue Models and Forecasts (2010-2015)

6.3.5. KDDI Corp.


6.3.5.1. Table: KDDI LTE Activities

6.3.5.2. LTE Progress Chart

6.3.5.3. LTE Development and Deployment Activities Opted by KDDI


6.3.5.4. Case Study: Vendors Chosen, Subscriber Coverage, Services Offered,
Revenue Models and Forecasts (2010-2015)

6.3.6. Tele2 and Telenor


6.3.6.1. Table: Tele2/ Telenor LTE Activities

6.3.6.2. LTE Progress Chart

6.3.6.3. LTE Development and Deployment Activities Opted by Tele2/ Telenor


6.3.6.4. Case Study: Vendors Chosen, Subscriber Coverage, Services Offered,
Revenue Models and Forecasts (2010-2015)

6.3.7. Softbank
6.3.7.1. Table: Softbank LTE Activities

6.3.7.2. LTE Progress Chart

6.3.7.3. LTE Development and Deployment Activities Opted by Softbank


6.3.7.4. Case Study: Vendors Chosen, Subscriber Coverage, Services Offered,
Revenue Models and Forecasts (2010-2015)

 
6 LTE→4G: World Wide Mobile Network
Operators’ Case Studies, Developments
 
And Forecasts (2010-2015) (Continues…)
6.3.8. China Mobile
6.3.8.1. Table: China Mobile LTE Activities

6.3.8.2. LTE Progress Chart

6.3.8.3. LTE Development and Deployment Activities Opted by China Mobile


6.3.8.4. Case Study: Vendors Chosen, Subscriber Coverage, Services Offered,
Revenue Models and Forecasts (2010-2015)

6.3.9. Telstra
6.3.9.1. Table: Telstra LTE Activities

6.3.9.2. LTE Progress Chart

6.3.9.3. LTE Development and Deployment Activities Opted by Telstra


6.3.9.4. Case Study: Vendors Chosen, Subscriber Coverage, Services Offered,
Revenue Models and Forecasts (2010-2015)

6.3.10. Telecom Italia


6.3.10.1. Table: Telecom Italia LTE Activities

6.3.10.2. LTE Progress Chart

6.3.10.3. LTE Development and Deployment Activities Opted by Telecom Italia


6.3.10.4. Case Study: Vendors Chosen, Subscriber Coverage, Services Offered,
Revenue Models and Forecasts (2010-2015)

6.3.11. STC
6.3.11.1. Table: STC LTE Activities

6.3.11.2. LTE Progress Chart

6.3.11.3. LTE Development and Deployment Activities Opted by STC


6.3.11.4. Case Study: Vendors Chosen, Subscriber Coverage, Services Offered,
Revenue Models and Forecasts (2010-2015)

 
6 LTE→4G: World Wide Mobile Network
Operators’ Case Studies, Developments
 
And Forecasts (2010-2015) (Continues…)
6.3.12. U.S. Cellular
6.3.12.1. Table: U.S. Cellular LTE Activities

6.3.12.2. LTE Progress Chart

6.3.12.3. LTE Development and Deployment Activities Opted by U.S. Cellular


6.3.12.4. Case Study: Vendors Chosen, Subscriber Coverage, Services Offered,
Revenue Models and Forecasts (2010-2015)

6.3.13. MetroPCS
6.3.13.1. Table: MetroPCS LTE Activities

6.3.13.2. LTE Progress Chart

6.3.13.3. LTE Development and Deployment Activities Opted by MetroPCS


6.3.13.4. Case Study: Vendors Chosen, Subscriber Coverage, Service Offered,
Revenue Models and Forecasts (2010-2015)

6.3.14. T-Mobile Austria


6.3.14.1. Table: T-Mobile Austria LTE Activities

6.3.14.2. LTE Progress Chart

6.3.14.3. LTE Development and Deployment Activities Opted by T-Mobile


6.3.14.4. Case Study: Vendors Chosen, Subscriber Coverage, Services Offered,
Revenue Models and Forecasts (2010-2015)

6.3.15. SmarTone-Vodafone, Hong Kong


6.3.15.1. Table: SmarTone-Vodafone LTE Activities

6.3.15.2. LTE Progress Chart

6.3.15.3. LTE Development and Deployment Activities Opted by SmarTone

 
6 LTE→4G: World Wide Mobile Network
Operators’ Case Studies, Developments
 
And Forecasts (2010-2015) (Continues…)
6.3.15.4. Case Study: Vendors Chosen, Subscriber Coverage, Services Offered,
Revenue Models and Forecasts (2010-2015)

6.3.16. SK Telecom and KTF


6.3.16.1. Table: SK Telecom & KTF LTE Activities

6.3.16.2. LTE Progress Chart

6.3.16.3. LTE Development and Deployment Activities Opted by SK Telecom and


KTF
6.3.16.4. Case Study: Vendors Chosen, Subscriber Coverage, Services Offered,
Revenue Models and Forecasts (2010-2015)

6.3.17. Sprint
6.3.17.1. Table: Sprint LTE Activities

6.3.17.2. LTE Progress Chart

6.3.17.3. LTE Development and Deployment Activities Opted by Sprint


6.3.17.4. Case Study: Vendors Chosen, Subscriber Coverage, Services Offered,
Revenue Models and Forecasts (2010-2015)

6.3.18. Vodafone - Germany


6.3.18.1. Table: Vodafone Germany LTE Activities

6.3.18.2. LTE Progress Chart

6.3.18.3. LTE Development and Deployment Activities Opted by Vodafone


Germany
6.3.18.4. Case Study: Vendors Chosen, Subscriber Coverage, Service Offered,
Revenue Models and Forecasts (2010-2015)

6.3.19. Rogers Wireless


6.3.19.1. Table: Roger Wireless LTE Activities

 
6 LTE→4G: World Wide Mobile Network
Operators’ Case Studies, Developments
 
And Forecasts (2010-2015) (Continues…)
6.3.19.2. LTE Progress Chart

6.3.19.3. LTE Development and Deployment Activities Opted by Roger Wireless


6.3.19.4. Case Study: Vendors Chosen, Subscriber Coverage, Services Offered,
Revenue Models and Forecasts (2010-2015)

6.4. LTE Launches: Expected Between 2012-2015


6.4.1. 3 Austria
6.4.1.1. Reasons for the Delay

6.4.1.2. Inside Story

6.4.2. Cox, USA


6.4.2.1. Reasons for the Delay

6.4.2.2. Inside Story

6.4.3. Claro, Puerto Rico


6.4.3.1. Reasons for the Delay

6.4.3.2. Inside Story

6.4.4. Vodafone, UK
6.4.4.1. Reasons for the Delay

6.4.4.2. Inside Story

6.4.5. AirCell
6.4.5.1. Reasons for the Delay

6.4.5.2. Inside Story

 
6 LTE→4G: World Wide Mobile Network
Operators’ Case Studies, Developments
 
And Forecasts (2010-2015) (Continues…)
6.4.6. Bell Canada and Telus
6.4.6.1. Reasons for the Delay

6.4.6.2. Inside Story

6.4.7. Genius Brand (Hutchison Telecom/ PCCW)


6.4.7.1. Reasons for the Delay

6.4.7.2. Inside Story

6.4.8. CSL Ltd.


6.4.8.1. Reasons for the Delay

6.4.8.2. Inside Story

6.4.9. Chunghwa Telecom


6.4.9.1. Reasons for the Delay

6.4.9.2. Inside Story

6.4.10. AT&T
6.4.10.1. Reasons for the Delay

6.4.10.2. Inside Story

6.4.11. T-Mobile
6.4.11.1. Reasons for the Delay

6.4.11.2. Inside Story

6.4.12. Portugal Telecom


6.4.12.1. Reasons for the Delay

6.4.12.2. Inside Story

 
6 LTE→4G: World Wide Mobile Network
Operators’ Case Studies, Developments
 
And Forecasts (2010-2015) (Continues…)
6.4.13. France Telecom (Orange)
6.4.13.1. Reasons for the Delay

6.4.13.2. Inside Story

6.4.14. Smart Communications, Philippines


6.4.14.1. Reasons for the Delay

6.4.14.2. Inside Story

6.4.15. Vodacom, SA
6.4.15.1. Reasons for the Delay

6.4.15.2. Inside Story

6.4.16. VivaCell-MTS, Armenia


6.4.16.1. Reasons for the Delay

6.4.16.2. Inside Story

6.4.17. MTS, Uzbekistan


6.4.17.1. Reasons for the Delay

6.4.17.2. Inside Story

6.4.18. Bouygues Telecom, France


6.4.18.1. Reasons for the Delay

6.4.18.2. Inside Story

6.4.19. Telefonica
6.4.19.1. Reasons for the Delay

6.4.19.2. Inside Story

 
6 LTE→4G: World Wide Mobile Network
Operators’ Case Studies, Developments
 
And Forecasts (2010-2015) (Continues…)
6.4.20. DNA, Finland
6.4.20.1. Reasons for the Delay

6.4.20.2. Inside Story

6.4.21. Elisa
6.4.21.1. Reasons for the Delay

6.4.21.2. Inside Story

6.4.22. LG Telecom
6.4.22.1. Reasons for the Delay

6.4.22.2. Inside Story

6.4.23. Sonera, Finland


6.4.23.1. Reasons for the Delay

6.4.23.2. Inside Story

6.5. Summary

 
LTE→4G: ARPU/ CapEx/ OpEx/ ROI/
7 CAGR/ Subscribers Data Forecasts
(2010-2015)
 

7.1. Revenue and Growth Benefits for MNOs with LTE


7.1.1. World Wide Industry Revenue Forecasts (2010-2015)
7.1.2. Chart: World Wide Revenue Growth with LTE (2010-2015)
7.1.3. Chart: Top 3 Operators Revenue Forecasts with LTE (2010-2015)

7.2. ROI with LTE


7.3. CapEx Savings with LTE
7.4. OpEx Savings with LTE
7.5. Revenue Generating Applications:
[Real Time Apps – Real Time Revenues: (2010-2015)]
7.5.1. List of LTE Apps and Platforms

7.5.2. Messaging Applications

7.5.3. Social Networking

7.5.4. Mobile 2.0 and Internet Browsing

7.5.5. Chart: Mobile Apps Usage (2010-2015)

7.5.6. Mobile VOIP Services

7.5.7. Case Study: Fringe and Skype

7.5.8. Chart: VOIP Apps Revenues (2007-2015)

7.5.9. Mobile Video Telephony

7.5.10. Chart: Mobile Video Apps Revenues (2010-2015)

 
7 LTE→4G: ARPU/ CapEx/ OpEx/ ROI/
CAGR/ Subscribers Data Forecasts
(2010-2015) (Continues…)
 

7.5.11. Location Based Services

7.5.12. Figure: Scope of LTE Apps in ARPU and Subscriber Growth

7.5.13. Chart: World Wide Data Revenue Models Generated with LTE
Apps and Forecasts (2010-2020)
7.5.14. Scope of Partnerships for Development of LTE Apps

7.6. Worldwide LTE ARPU/ Revenue Growth Forecasts


(2010-2015)
7.6.1. Chart: Voice and Data ARPU (Region Wise)

7.6.2. Chart: Voice and Data ARPU per Year (2010-2015)

7.6.3. Table: World Wide ARPU Strategies for LTE (Region Wise)

7.6.4. World Wide Legacy Networks ARPU/ Revenue – Current

7.6.5. World Wide Legacy Networks ARPU/ Revenue – Future

7.6.6. World Wide 3G ARPU/ Revenue – Current

7.6.7. World Wide 3G ARPU/ Revenue – Future

7.6.8. World Wide WiMAX ARPU/ Revenue – Current

7.6.9. World Wide WiMAX ARPU/ Revenue – Future

7.6.10 World Wide HSPA/W-CDMA ARPU/ Revenue – Current

7.6.11. World Wide HSPA/W-CDMA ARPU/ Revenue – Future

 
7 LTE→4G: ARPU/ CapEx/ OpEx/ ROI/
CAGR/ Subscribers Data Forecasts
(2010-2015) (Continues…)
 

7.7 World Wide LTE Subscribers Growth (2010-2015)


7.7.1 Data Analysis for Existing 2G/3G/W-CDMA/HSPA/ WiMAX/LTE
Subscribers

7.7.2 Future Growth Prospects for Legacy Network Subscribers

7.7.3 Future Growth Prospects for WiMAX Subscribers

7.7.4 Future Growth Prospects for LTE Subscribers

7.7.5 Chart: Current Market Share of Key Operators (2008-2010)

7.7.6 Expected Growth for New Subscribers with LTE (Region Wise)

7.7.7 Chart: World Wide Growth Expectancy Chart (2010-2015)

7.8 Managed Services with LTE


7.8.1 Supporting Technologies for Managed Services
7.8.1.1 XDSL Technologies

7.8.1.2 Ethernet over Fiber

7.8.2 Managed Services Requirements


7.8.2.1 Peak Data Rates

7.8.2.2 QoS

7.8.2.3 Security Issues

7.8.2.4 Sync Issues Through-Out the Entire Network

7.8.2.5 Average Data Rates

 
7 LTE→4G: ARPU/ CapEx/ OpEx/ ROI/
CAGR/ Subscribers Data Forecasts
(2010-2015) (Continues…)
 

7.8.3 Interface Issues


7.8.3.1 Between BTS and Service Provider Network

7.8.3.2 Between Service Provider Network and RNC

7.8.4 Key Vendors Offering Managed Services


7.8.4.1 Ciena

7.8.4.2 ECI Telecom

7.8.4.3 Alcatel-Lucent

7.8.4.4 Ericsson

7.8.4.5 Huawei

7.8.4.6 Nortel Networks

7.8.4.7 Nokia Siemens Networks

7.8.4.8 Chart: Managed Services with LTE (2010-2015)

7.9. Summary

 
8 LTE→4G: World Wide Deployments,
MNOs/ Vendors Strategies, Expected
 

Scenarios and Forecasts (2010-2015)


8.1. LTE Deployment Strategies and Regional Forecasts
(2010-2015)
8.2. Deployment Timelines
8.2.1. Chart: World Wide Deployments (2010-2015)

8.3. Deployment Methods


8.3.1. Overlay Approach

8.3.2. Incremental or Step by Step Approach

8.4. Deployment Strategies


8.4.1. Technical Strategies
8.4.1.1. Multi Standard RAN

8.4.1.2. Distinct LTE Overlay Strategy

8.4.1.3. Understanding Single and Multi-Standard RAN Solutions

8.4.2. Analytical Strategies


8.4.2.1. Multi Vendor Approach

8.4.2.2. Developing 3G and HSPA Networks (Side by Side)


8.4.2.3. Best Use of Spectrum

8.5. Value Added Services in LTE


8.5.1. Table: VAS Comparison of Current and LTE Networks

8.5.2. Rich Voice


8.5.3. P2F Messaging

 
8 LTE→4G: World Wide Deployments,
MNOs/ Vendors Strategies, Expected
 

Scenarios and Forecasts (2010-2015)


(Continues…)

8.5.4. VOIP

8.5.5. Internet Browsing

8.5.6. Real Time Shopping

8.5.7. Video Messaging

8.5.8. Video Conferencing


8.5.8.1. P2P Video Chatting

8.5.8.2. Virtual and Remote Education

8.5.8.3. Authentic Banking and Online Payments

8.5.9. Interviews and Seminars

8.6. What if LTE proves to be Un-Successful? Alternative


Strategies for MNOs
8.7. FemtoCell Solution
8.7.1. LTE FemtoCells

8.8. Salient Factors for LTE Success


8.9. LTE may be Un-Successful in Western and Emerging
Markets due to Lower Broadband Penetration
8.10. Expected Scenarios & Forecasts for LTE (2010-2015)
8.10.1. Existence of Legacy Networks during LTE Era

 
8 LTE→4G: World Wide Deployments,
MNOs/ Vendors Strategies, Expected
 

Scenarios and Forecasts (2010-2015)


(Continues…)

8.10.2. ARPU and Revenue Scenarios (2010-2015)

8.10.3. LTE may be Un-Successful in AMEA


8.10.4. Subscribers’ Base w.r.t Data & Voice Services with LTE (2010-
2015)
8.10.5. Chart: Subscriber Base Split: Voice and Data Usage (2010-
2015)

8.10.6. LTE Deployment Expected to be More Economical in 2013

8.10.7. Expected Partnership Programs (Vendors and 3rd Parties)


(2010- 2015)
8.10.8. Chart: Infrastructure Market Share by Vendors (2015)

8.10.9. Chart: LTE Infrastructure Sales (2008-2015)

8.11. Salient Features of LTE Smart Phones


8.11.1. Multiple Network Support

8.11.2. Network Security and Authentication

8.11.3. Automatic Change of Frequency Modes

8.11.4. International Roaming

8.11.5. VOIP Support

8.11.6. Seamless Global Coverage

8.11.7. Support for TDD-LTE and FDD-LTE

 
8 LTE→4G: World Wide Deployments,
MNOs/ Vendors Strategies, Expected
 

Scenarios and Forecasts (2010-2015)


(Continues…)

8.12. Availability of LTE Handsets: World Wide Projections


(2010-2015)
8.12.1. Smart Phones Overview

8.12.2. LTE Handset Requirements

8.12.3. When will LTE Smart Phones be Available in the Market?


Yearly Projections (2010-2015)

8.12.4. Who will be the Key Vendors in LTE Handset Market?

8.12.5. New LTE Handsets: Hot Launches (2010-2015)

8.12.6. Other LTE Enabled devices e.g. Dongles and Pen Drives
Used on LTE Networks

8.12.7. Chart: LTE Handset World Wide Sales Forecasts (2010-


2015)

8.12.8. Chart: LTE Handset World Wide Availability (2010-2015)

8.12.9. End User Experience

8.13. Factors Affecting MNOs Decision to Deploy LTE


Networks
8.14. Competitors’ Assessment, Successful Strategies and
World Wide Implementations for LTE (2010-2015)
8.15. Summary

 
9 Recommendations and Conclusions:
  Advisory for MNOs, Vendors and
Investors (2010-2015)
9.1. Recommendations & Conclusions
9.2. MNOs
9.2.1. LTE Deployments must be started by 1H-2H2011

9.2.2. Keep Legacy Customers Satisfied and Updated with LTE Plans

9.2.3. Focus on Data ARPU and Broadband Specific Apps

9.3. Vendors
9.4. Technical Heads
9.5. Device Manufacturers
9.6. Infrastructure Providers
9.7. Conclusions
9.7.1. Focus on Potential Regions

9.7.2. Classify Existing and Forthcoming Subscriber Base

9.7.3. Identify the Right Time to Market

9.8. Salient Findings of the Report


9.9. Key Suggestions for MNOs/ CEOs/ Vendors/ Investors

 
10 About Us
We are TeleResearch Labs® Inc., a Telecom Analyst firm that amalgamates focused
and precise research with a dash of innovation. The fast and dynamic telecom industry
is under the constant scrutiny of our specialists who are always in tandem with the
most recent happenings and forecasts of the industry in order to provide acutely
accurate reports to our clients.

Not only do we crave for the present and the future of the ever happening
telecom industry, but we even scrape the past to arrive at precise forecasts. We are the
hot spot for innovative insights into the industry that can guarantee beneficial
foresight for our clients.

Our aim is to help our clients foresee the opportunities and threats that await them
in the abundant global market and make a foray with greater confidence and
knowledge.

We appreciate your interest in TeleResearch Labs and welcome the opportunity to be


of further assistance in fulfilling your research needs. We will also truly appreciate any
feedback, comments and suggestions you might have to help us to improve this
study.

Thank You!
Oscar Mine (Sr. Research Analyst),
Aseem Bhardwaj (Sr. Research Analyst),
Sullivan Burns (Research Associate).

Web: www.teleresearchlabs.com
Email: Oscar@teleresearchlabs.com

Address:
TeleResearch Labs Inc.,
2516 Tunlaw Rd, 302,
Washington DC, 20007, USA.

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