Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
A PROJECT REPORT
Submitted by
M.PAVITHRA
Reg. No. 088001306029
BONAFIDE CERTIFICATE
3
BONAFIDE CERTIFICATE
ERODE - 638052
PROJECT WORK
MAY 2010
---------------- ----------------------------
Project Guide Head of the Department
---------------------- ---------------------
Internal Examiner External Examiner
4
DECLARATION
5
DECLARATION
M.PAVITHRA
Reg No :088001306029
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
7
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
reputed institution.
experience.
granting me permission to do my project and also for his guidance and suggestion.
parents who have helped me to carry out this work, last but not the least I
thank the almighty God for the blessing showered on me during this period.
8
CONTENTS
9
CONTENTS
CHAPTER
DESCRIPTION PAGE NO.
NO.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
LIST OF TABLES
LIST OF CHARTS
1 INTRODUCTION
3 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 37
FINDINGS,RECOMMENDATIONS AND
5
CONCLUSION
5.1 FINDINGS 95
5.2 RECOMMENDATIONS 97
5.3 CONCLUSION 99
BIBLIOGRAPHY 101
10
LIST OF TABLES
11
LIST OF TABLES
LIST OF CHARTS
13
LIST OF CHARTS
ABSTRACT
15
ABSTRACT
In India most of the industries require huge amount of investments. Funds are
raised mostly through the issue of share. An investor is satisfied from the reasonable
return from investment in shares. An investor can succeed in his investment only
when he is able to select the right shares. The investors should keenly watch the
situations like market price, economy, company progress, returns, and the risk
involved in a share before taking decision on a particular share. This study made will
help the investors know the behavior of share prices and thus can succeed.
The stocks on an exchange with the highest trading volume, especially on a
given trading day, a stock often becomes one of the most actively traded when
relevant information on the company becomes available. Being one of the most
actively traded stocks is not necessarily positive; that is, the information could be
either good or bad and investors could buy or sell accordingly. Technical
analysts may use the high trading volume to determine how strong or sustainable
a bullish or bearish trend.
Using data from 5 of the most actively traded stocks from the Single
Windows Securities Limited in Coimbatore the study analyze that the maximum
buying stocks, the price fluctuations in various scrip using technical analysis and the
fundamental factors such as inflation, Gross Domestic Product (GDP),Bank interest
change, Foreign Direct investment (FDI), Foreign Institutional Investors (FII) interest
level, Reserve Bank of India(RBI) rules, Securities and Exchange Board of
India(SEBI) rules, Global market impact.
16
CHAPTER I
INTRODUCTION
17
CHAPTER 1
Various Acts
The Securities Contract Regulation Act 1956 became the parent regulation after
the Indian Contract Act 1872, a basic law to be followed by security markets in India.
To regulate the issue of share prices, the Controller of Capital Issues Act (CCI) was
passed in 1947. The stock markets have had many turbulent times in the last 140 years
of their existence. The imposition of wealth and expenditure tax in 1957 by Mr.
T.T.Krishnamachari, the then finance minister, led to a huge fall in the markets. The
dividend freeze and tax on bonus issues in 1958-59 also had a negative impact. War
with China in 1962 was another memorably bad year, with the resultant shortages
increasing prices all round. This led to a ban on forward trading in commodity
markets in 1966, which was again a very bad period, together with the introduction of
the Gold Control Act in 1963.
Retail Investors
The markets have witnessed several golden times too. Retail investors began
participating in the stock markets in a small way with the dilution of the FERA in
1978. Multinational companies, with operations in India, were forced to reduce
foreign share holding to below a certain percentage, which led to a compulsory sale of
shares or issuance of fresh stock. Indian investors, who applied for these shares,
encountered a real lottery because those were the days when the CCI decided the price
at which the shares could be issued. There was no free pricing and their formula was
very conservative.
1980 Boom
The next big boom and mass participation by retail investors happened in 1980,
with the entry of Mr. Dhirubhai Ambani. Dhirubhai can be said to be the father of
modern capital markets. The Reliance public issue and subsequent issues on various
Reliance companies generated huge interest. The general public was so unfamiliar
with share certificates that Dhirubhai is rumoured to have distributed them to educate
people. Mr. V.P. Singh’s fiscal budget in 1984 was path breaking for it started the era
of liberalization. The removal of estate duty and reduction of taxes led to a swell in
the new issue market and there was a deluge of companies in 1985.
21
1990’s market
Mr. Manmohan Singh as Finance Minister came with a reform agenda in 1991
and this led to a resurgence of interest in the capital markets, only to be punctured by
the Harshad Mehta scam in 1992. The mid-1990s saw a rise in leasing company
shares, and hundreds of companies were mainly listed in Gujarat, and got listed in the
BSE. The end-1990s saw the emergence of Ketan Parekh and the information;
communication and entertainment companies came into the limelight. This period
also coincided with the dotcom bubble in the US, with software companies being the
most favoured stocks.
There was a meltdown in software stock in early 2000. Mr. P Chidambaram
continued the liberalization and reform process, opening up of the companies, lifting
taxes on long-term gains and introducing short-term turnover tax. The markets have
recovered since then and we have witnessed a sustained rally that has taken the index
over 13000. Several systemic changes have taken place during the short history of
modern capital markets. The setting up of the Securities and Exchange Board (SEBI)
in 1992 was a landmark development. It got its act together, obtained the requisite
powers and became effective in early 2000.
The setting up of the National Stock Exchange in 1984, the introduction of online
trading in 1995, the establishment of the depository in 1996, trade guarantee funds
and derivatives trading in 2000, have made the markets safer. The introduction of the
Fraudulent Trade Practices Act, Prevention of Insider Trading Act, Takeover Code
and Corporate Governance Norms, are major developments in the capital markets
over the last few years that has made the markets attractive to foreign institutional
investors. This history shows us that retail investors are yet to play a substantial role
in the market as long-term investors. Retail participation in India is very limited
considering the overall savings of households. Investors who hold shares in limited
companies and mutual fund units are about 20-30 million. Those who participated in
secondary markets are 2-3 million. Now it has grown still more. A stock market is a
public market for the trading of company stock and derivatives at an agreed price;
these are securities listed on a stock exchange as well as those only traded privately.
The size of the world stock market was estimated at about $36.6 trillion US at the
beginning of October 2008. The total world derivatives market has been estimated at
about $791 trillion face or nominal value, 11 times the size of the entire world
economy. The value of the derivatives market, because it is stated in terms of
22
The Bond Market Association classifies the broader bond market into five
specific bond markets.
1) Corporate
2) Government & Agency
3) Municipal
4) Mortgage Backed, Asset Backed, and Collateralized Debt Obligation
5) Funding
Market structure
Bond markets in most countries remain decentralized and lack common
exchanges like stock, future and commodity markets. This has occurred, in part,
because no two bond issues are exactly alike, and the number of different securities
outstanding is far larger.
Stock market
A stock market is a market for the trading of company stock, and derivatives of
same; both of these are securities listed on a stock exchange as well as those only
traded privately.
Purpose of stock market
The stock market is one of the most important sources for companies to raise
money. This allows businesses to go public, or raise additional capital for expansion.
The liquidity that an exchange provides affords investors the ability to quickly and
easily sell securities. This is an attractive feature of investing in stocks, compared to
other less liquid investments such as real estate.
Market participants
Many years ago, worldwide, buyers and sellers were individual investors, such as
wealthy businessmen, with long family histories (and emotional ties) to particular
corporations. Over time, markets have become more "institutionalized"; buyers and
sellers are largely institutions (e.g., pension funds, insurance companies, mutual
funds, hedge funds, investor groups, and banks). The rise of the institutional investor
has brought with it some improvements in market operations. Thus, the government
was responsible for "fixed" (and exorbitant) fees being markedly reduced for the
'small' investor, but only after the large institutions had managed to break the brokers'
solid front on fees (they then went to 'negotiated' fees, but only for large institutions).
Primary market
25
The primary is that part of the capital markets that deals with the issuance of new
securities. Companies, governments or public sector institutions can obtain funding
through the sale of a new stock or bond issue. This is typically done through a
syndicate of securities dealers. The process of selling new issues to investors is called
underwriting. In the case of a new stock issue, this sale is an initial public offering
(IPO). Dealers earn a commission that is built into the price of the security offering,
though it can be found in the prospectus. Features of Primary Market are:-
1) This is the market for new long term capital. The primary market is the market
where the securities are sold for the first time. Therefore it is also called New
Issue Market (NIM).
2) In a primary issue, the securities are issued by the company directly to investors.
3) The company receives the money and issue new security certificates to the
investors.
4) Primary issues are used by companies for the purpose of setting up new business
or for expanding or modernizing the existing business.
5) The primary market performs the crucial function of facilitating capital
formation in the economy.
6) The new issue market does not include certain other sources of new long term
external finance, such as loans from financial institutions. Borrowers in the new
issue market may be raising capital for converting private capital into public
capital; this is known as ‘going public’.
26
1.3.1 HISTORY
The core promoters of the company started their operations as trading
members in Coimbatore stock trading company during the year 1990. When
Coimbatore stock exchange was formed in 1992, they became members of CSX.
When NSE opened its window in Coimbatore in 1995, SWSL became one of
the pioneering members of NSE. SWSL was listed in
Coimbatore/Chennai/Ahmadabad Stock Exchanges in 1995. When NSE introduced
Futures and Options in 2000, SWSL was in the forefront in providing this service to
its clients.
SWSL has seen the upheavals in the stock market in the last several years and
has maintained its success through excellent client relationships, robust risk
management and significant investment in infrastructure, both physical and
technology.
1.3.2 PROFILE
BOARD OF DIRECTORS
R.KRISHNASWAMY
KRK is a Chartered Accountant with 20 years experience in professional
practice and is a renowned investment advisor. He specializes in Mid and Small Cap
stocks.
P.SIVAKUMAR
Sivakumar is a Mechanical Engineer from PSG Tech and has an experience
spanning twenty-three years in Paper mill Machineries and Stock market. He takes
care of technology assessment of various companies.
K.GNANASEKARAN
KGS is a Chartered Accountant with three decades of experience in Industry
and stock market. He is a professional investor and trader in equities and
commodities, both in India as well as US. He specializes in Nifty stocks.
C.ASHWINTHAKKER
Ashwin is a Chartered Accountant with 25 years experience in professional
practice and is a renowned Investment Advisor and Corporate Finance specialist.
29
BHARATHI.V.MUDALIAR
Bharathi is a Civil Engineer with experience spanning twenty-seven years in
civil construction and stock market. He specializes in Infrastructure stocks.
CHANDRAMOHANDAWAR
Chandramohan is a Chartered Accountant with experience spanning years in
professional practice and stock market. He specializes in IT and Pharma stocks.
V.SRINIVASAN
VS is a Chartered Accountant with experience spanning thirty years in
consulting and stock market. He specializes in fundamental analysis.
PARTHASARATHY
CHAPTER II
CHAPTER 2
CHAPTER III
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
37
CHAPTER 3
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
Research methodology is a way to systematically solve the research problem.
It may be understood as a science of studying how research is done scientifically. It
not only tells about the research method used but also considers the logic behind
them. It involves steps that are adopted by the researcher in studying how research is
done scientifically.
According to Clifford woody research comprises defining and redefining
problems, formulating hypothesis or suggested solutions; collecting, organizing and
evaluating data; making deductions and reaching conclusions; and at last carefully
testing the conclusions to determine whether they fit the formulating hypothesis.
The secondary data means data that are already available. i.e. Referring to the
data which have already been collected and analyzed by someone else and which have
already been passed through the statistical process. The information about the
company and its type were collected from the organizations records.
Journal
Books
Websites
38
Axis Bank previously called UTI Bank was the first of the new private banks
to have begun operations in 1994, after the Government of India allowed new private
banks to be established. The Bank was promoted jointly by the Administrator of the
Specified Undertaking of the Unit Trust of India (UTI-I), Life Insurance Corporation
of India (LIC), General Insurance Corporation Ltd., National Insurance Company
Ltd., The New India Assurance Company, The Oriental Insurance
Corporation and United India Insurance Company UTI-I holds a special position in
the Indian capital markets and has promoted many leading financial institutions in the
country.
public in 1973, and Japanese company Daiichi Sankyo gained majority control in
2008 Ranbaxy Pharmaceuticals Inc. (RPI), a wholly owned subsidiary of Ranbaxy
Laboratories Limited. (RLL) was established in the U.S. in 1994. Ranbaxy
Laboratories Inc. (RLI), also a wholly owned subsidiary of Ranbaxy Laboratories
Limited. (RLL), is the branded prescription division in the U.S. RLI has been
expanding and growing on the strength of Ranbaxy’s R&D efforts, and continuing
exploration of novel drug delivery systems (NDDS), licensing activities, mergers and
acquisitions.
3.2.4 Bharti Airtel
Bharti Airtel formerly known as Bharti Tele-Ventures LTD (BTVL) is the
largest cellular service provider in India, with more than 131 million subscribtions as
of April 2010. With this, Bharti is now the world’s third-largest, single-country
mobile operator and sixth-largest integrated telecom operator. It also offers fixed line
services and broadband services. It offers its TELECOM services under
the Airtel brand and is headed by Sunil Bharti Mittal. The company also provides
telephone services and broadband Internet access (DSL) in top 95 cities in India.
Globally, Bharti Airtel is the 3rd largest in-country mobile operator by subscriber
base, behind China Mobile and China Unicom
3.2.5 Hindustan Construction Company (HCC)
Hindustan Construction Company is a construction company based in India,
founded in 1926. HCC works in various sectors including transportation, power,
marine, oil and gas pipeline construction, irrigation, utilities and urban infrastructure.
HCC specializes in large-scale civil engineering, and developing construction
technologies. It was the first construction company in India to be certified for ISO
9001, ISO 14001 and OHSAS 18001 for its quality, environmental and occupational
health and safety management systems.
100
RSI = 100 -
______
1 + RS
CHAPTER IV
CHAPTER – 4
TABLE - 4.1
1-Feb-10 1,046.60 0 0 0
2-Feb-10 1,026.60 0 0 0
3-Feb-10 1,033.75 1021.53 0 0
4-Feb-10 1,019.40 1011.48 1013.964 0
5-Feb-10 981.3 1004.91 1005.114 0
8-Feb-10 996.35 995.09 1003.3 0
9-Feb-10 993.75 993.99 1000.471 0
10-Feb-10 984.65 1000.52 998.7643 0
11-Feb-10 1,013.90 1002.74 1003.921 0
12-Feb-10 1,013.95 1007.47 1009.014 0
15-Feb-10 1,007.45 1016.94 1009.536 1000.005
16-Feb-10 1,017.40 1013.64 1009.479 997.0048
17-Feb-10 1,032.00 1007.7 1004.479 996.3929
18-Feb-10 997.4 1001.99 998.9 995.2595
19-Feb-10 984.25 993.49 994.5786 994.5833
22-Feb-10 978.9 982.53 987 995.0071
23-Feb-10 974.9 975.92 979.2857 995.5643
24-Feb-10 977.2 974.67 976.5143 996.65
25-Feb-10 964.35 974.49 976.4214 998.3929
26-Feb-10 978 976.23 981.4 999.0524
1-Mar-10 978 983.54 986.4071 1001.569
2-Mar-10 983.6 992.66 990.4071 1004.383
4-Mar-10 1,013.75 998.1 994.1 1007.129
5-Mar-10 1,009.95 1000.54 998.3929 1009.881
8-Mar-10 1,005.20 1005.43 1003.9 1013.524
43
CHART- 4.1
INFERENCE:
The above moving average charts shows that the investor sold the stock in February they
got loss for Rs.68.6, the investor sold the stock in march they got gain for Rs.96.65, the
investor sold the stock in April they got the loss for 61.15.
46
TABLE - 4.2
LOGIC 30 BUY
70 SELL
49
CHART - 4.2
INFERENCE:
The above curve analyzes shows that the RSI of reliance industries is
48%, which is near to buy and sell signal. In this period the investor can buy the
stock.
50
TABLE-4.3
CHART - 4.3
INFERENCE:
During February the price fluctuation of Reliance Industries is between
the high of Rs.1129 and low of Rs.964.35. According to ROC method, the changes
fluctuated which is above high 100, that’s to be considered as sell signal. Here, in this
chart, it shows 96% of ROC. At this time the investor can buy this stock.
53
TABLE - 4.4
1-Feb-10 1,063.35 0 0 0
2-Feb-10 1,033.05 0 0 0
3-Feb-10 1,069.90 1047.34 0 0
4-Feb-10 1,047.05 1039.27 1042.514 0
5-Feb-10 1,023.35 1040.24 1037.007 0
8-Feb-10 1,023.00 1031.22 1037.286 0
9-Feb-10 1,037.90 1028.81 1032.3 0
10-Feb-10 1,024.80 1031.14 1029.564 0
11-Feb-10 1,035.00 1032.12 1029.929 0
12-Feb-10 1,035.00 1029.72 1036.293 0
15-Feb-10 1,027.90 1038.27 1045.279 1064.5
16-Feb-10 1,025.90 1051.43 1055.45 1068.755
17-Feb-10 1,067.55 1063.63 1065.393 1072.974
18-Feb-10 1,100.80 1078.97 1074.443 1074.54
19-Feb-10 1,096.00 1093.46 1083.793 1078.414
22-Feb-10 1,104.60 1098.62 1094.086 1082.798
23-Feb-10 1,098.35 1098.05 1102.271 1087.888
24-Feb-10 1,093.35 1103.82 1105.707 1093.286
25-Feb-10 1,097.95 1107.87 1113.807 1099.34
26-Feb-10 1,124.85 1118.74 1116.243 1104.331
1-Mar-10 1,124.85 1124.4 1116.879 1109.576
2-Mar-10 1,152.70 1125.37 1121.886 1115.186
4-Mar-10 1,121.65 1126.08 1124.379 1121.805
5-Mar-10 1,102.80 1124.19 1125.1 1125.976
8-Mar-10 1,128.40 1119.63 1128.871 1128.167
9-Mar-10 1,115.40 1125.55 1128.764 1131.245
10-Mar-10 1,129.90 1135.38 1131.357 1133.914
11-Mar-10 1,151.25 1137.66 1137.407 1136.583
54
29-Apr-10 1,271.70 0 0 0
30-Apr-10 1,268.20 0 0 0
CHART - 4.4
INFERENCE:
. The above moving average charts shows that the investor sold the stock in February they
got gain for Rs.61.5, the investor sold the stock in march they got gain for Rs.44.25, the
investor sold the stock in April they got the gain for 94.5.
57
TABLE – 4.5
1-Feb-10 1,063.35 0 0
2-Feb-10 1,033.05 0 30.3
3-Feb-10 1,069.90 36.85 0
4-Feb-10 1,047.05 0 22.85
5-Feb-10 1,023.35 0 23.7
8-Feb-10 1,023.00 0 0.3
9-Feb-10 1,037.90 14.85 0
10-Feb-10 1,024.80 13.1 0
11-Feb-10 1,035.00 10.2 0
12-Feb-10 1,035.00 0 0
15-Feb-10 1,027.90 0 7.1
16-Feb-10 1,025.90 0 2
17-Feb-10 1,067.55 41.65 0
18-Feb-10 1,100.80 33.25 0
19-Feb-10 1,096.00 0 4.8
22-Feb-10 1,104.60 8.6 0
23-Feb-10 1,098.35 0 6.25
24-Feb-10 1,093.35 0 5
25-Feb-10 1,097.95 4.6 0
26-Feb-10 1,124.85 26.9 0
1-Mar-10 1,124.85 0 0
2-Mar-10 1,152.70 27.85 0
4-Mar-10 1,121.65 31.05 0
5-Mar-10 1,102.80 18.85 0
8-Mar-10 1,128.40 25.6 0
9-Mar-10 1,115.40 0 13
10-Mar-10 1,129.90 14.5 0
58
LOGIC 30 BUY
70 SELL
CHART-4.5
INFERENCE:
The above curve analyzes shows that the RSI of axis bank is 62%, which is
near to sell signal. In this period the investor can sell the stock.
60
TABLE – 4.6
CHART-4.6
INFERENCE:
During February the price fluctuation of Axis Bank is between the high of
Rs.1271.70 and low of Rs.1023. According to ROC method, the changes fluctuated
which is above high 100, that’s to be considered as sell signal. Here, in this chart, it
shows 103% of ROC. At this time the investor can sell this stock.
63
TABLE – 4.7
TABLE SHOWING MOVING AVERAGE OF RANBAXY LABORATORIES
LIMITED
1-Feb-10 457.15 0 0 0
2-Feb-10 440.9 0 0 0
3-Feb-10 438.75 433.59 0 0
4-Feb-10 426.3 422.5 425.0286 0
5-Feb-10 404.85 415.43 418.1214 0
8-Feb-10 401.7 409.44 414.5571 0
9-Feb-10 405.55 407.37 411.3 0
10-Feb-10 408.8 409.59 409.0857 0
11-Feb-10 415.95 411.41 414.1786 0
12-Feb-10 415.95 418.4 419.8786 0
15-Feb-10 410.8 424.96 425.2071 434.5143
16-Feb-10 440.5 430.34 430.05 435.5714
17-Feb-10 441.6 435.69 433.7429 437.1024
18-Feb-10 442.85 441.89 438.4286 438.5262
19-Feb-10 442.7 443.54 444.2786 440.1429
22-Feb-10 441.8 445.57 446.2143 442.4452
23-Feb-10 448.75 447.81 449.85 444.9667
24-Feb-10 451.75 452.68 453.3071 447.5643
25-Feb-10 454.05 457.73 458.5429 450.1524
26-Feb-10 467.05 463.85 463.0071 452.5024
1-Mar-10 467.05 468.11 465.85 455.2905
2-Mar-10 479.35 471.03 467.0643 458.2381
4-Mar-10 473.05 469.67 466.9429 459.6262
5-Mar-10 468.65 466.9 465.1714 460.8381
8-Mar-10 460.25 461.96 464.1786 461.631
9-Mar-10 453.2 459.37 461.8643 462.9762
10-Mar-10 454.65 458.27 460.7571 464.3643
11-Mar-10 460.1 459.28 461.5929 465.3286
12-Mar-10 463.15 463.54 463.3714 466.469
64
CHART – 4.7
CHART SHOWING MOVING AVERAGE OF RANBAXY LABORATORIES
LIMITED
INFERENCE:
The above moving average chart of Ranbaxy Laboratories Limited shows that the investor sold
the stock in February they Got gain for Rs.9.9, the investor sold the stock in March they got gain for
Rs.7.85, the investor sold the Stock in April they got the loss for 32.9.
66
TABLE – 4.8
1-Feb-10 457.15 0 0
2-Feb-10 440.9 0 16.25
3-Feb-10 438.75 0 2.15
4-Feb-10 426.3 0 12.45
5-Feb-10 404.85 0 21.45
8-Feb-10 401.7 0 3.15
9-Feb-10 405.55 3.85 0
10-Feb-10 408.8 3.25 0
11-Feb-10 415.95 7.15 0
12-Feb-10 415.95 0 0
15-Feb-10 410.8 0 5.15
16-Feb-10 440.5 29.7 0
17-Feb-10 441.6 1.1 0
18-Feb-10 442.85 1.25 0
19-Feb-10 442.7 0 0.15
22-Feb-10 441.8 0 0.9
23-Feb-10 448.75 6.95 0
24-Feb-10 451.75 3 0
25-Feb-10 454.05 2.3 0
26-Feb-10 467.05 13 0
1-Mar-10 467.05 0 0
2-Mar-10 479.35 12.3 0
4-Mar-10 473.05 0 6.3
5-Mar-10 468.65 0 4.4
8-Mar-10 460.25 0 8.4
9-Mar-10 453.2 0 7.05
10-Mar-10 454.65 1.45 0
67
27-Apr-10 447.25 2 0
28-Apr-10 434.3 0 12.95
29-Apr-10 437.65 3.35 0
30-Apr-10 443.1 5.45 0
TOTAL 157.9 162.55
N 30 27
TOTAL/N 5.56 6.02
CHART – 4.8
INFERENCE:
The above curve analyzes shows that the RSI of Ranbaxy industries is
48%, which is near to buy signal. In this period the investor can buy the stock.
70
TABLE – 4.9
CHART – 4.9
INFERENCE:
During February the price fluctuation of Ranbaxy Laboratories Limited is
between the high of Rs.482.05 and low of Rs.434.3. According to ROC method, the
changes fluctuated which is above high 100, that’s to be considered as sell signal.
Here, in this chart, it shows 101% of ROC. At this time the investor can sell this
stock.
73
TABLE – 4.10
TABLE SHOWING MOVING AVERAGE OF BHARTHI AIRTEL LIMITED
1-Feb-10 310.7 0 0 0
2-Feb-10 307.1 0 0 0
3-Feb-10 308.5 306.06 0 0
4-Feb-10 303.7 305.58 307.4857 0
5-Feb-10 300.3 306.92 308.1429 0
8-Feb-10 308.3 308.28 309.1857 0
9-Feb-10 313.8 310.42 305.8857 0
10-Feb-10 315.3 307.44 301.4214 0
11-Feb-10 314.4 300.27 298.3929 0
15-Feb-10 285.4 293.33 294.5071 0
16-Feb-10 272.45 286.49 289.4286 292.7857
17-Feb-10 279.1 279.26 283.9357 291.9476
18-Feb-10 281.1 277.55 278.9857 291.5405
19-Feb-10 278.25 279.01 277.6286 290.7643
22-Feb-10 276.85 278.37 278.1857 290.1762
23-Feb-10 279.75 277.42 278.2071 289.5976
24-Feb-10 275.9 277.62 279.5 288.9095
25-Feb-10 276.35 280.28 281.4429 288.2071
26-Feb-10 279.25 282.7 283.7643 287.4571
1-Mar-10 290.15 286.14 286.45 286.5214
2-Mar-10 291.85 290.58 288.7786 287.119
4-Mar-10 293.1 293.17 290.9214 288.431
5-Mar-10 298.55 293.41 292.1929 289.9905
8-Mar-10 292.2 292.67 292.7214 291.6667
9-Mar-10 291.35 292.82 293.75 293.0262
10-Mar-10 288.15 292.92 294.6714 294.7833
11-Mar-10 293.85 294.39 294.1286 296.231
12-Mar-10 299.05 295.07 294.95 297.8976
15-Mar-10 299.55 297.03 296.1857 299.5452
74
CHART – 4.10
INFERENCE:
The above moving average chart of Bharti airtel shows that the investor sold the stock
in February they got loss for Rs.31.45, the investor sold the stock in March they got gain for
Rs.21.75, the investor sold the Stock in April they got the loss for 3.75.
77
TABLE – 4.11
1-Feb-10 310.7 0 0
2-Feb-10 307.1 0 3.6
3-Feb-10 308.5 1.4 0
4-Feb-10 303.7 0 4.8
5-Feb-10 300.3 0 3.4
8-Feb-10 308.3 8 0
9-Feb-10 313.8 5.5 0
10-Feb-10 315.3 1.5 0
11-Feb-10 314.4 0 0.9
15-Feb-10 285.4 0 29
16-Feb-10 272.45 0 12.95
17-Feb-10 279.1 6.65 0
18-Feb-10 281.1 2 0
19-Feb-10 278.25 0 2.85
22-Feb-10 276.85 0 1.4
23-Feb-10 279.75 2.9 0
24-Feb-10 275.9 0 3.85
25-Feb-10 276.35 0.45 0
26-Feb-10 279.25 2.9 0
1-Mar-10 290.15 10.9 0
2-Mar-10 291.85 1.7 0
4-Mar-10 293.1 1.25 0
5-Mar-10 298.55 5.45 0
8-Mar-10 292.2 0 6.35
9-Mar-10 291.35 0 0.85
10-Mar-10 288.15 0 3.2
11-Mar-10 293.85 5.7 0
78
LOGIC 30 BUY
70 SELL
80
CHART – 4.11
INFERENCE:
The above curve analyzes shows that the RSI of Bharti airtel is 49%,
which is near to buy signal. In this period the investor can buy the stock.
TABLE – 4.12
CHART – 4.12
INFERENCE:
During February the price fluctuation of Bharti Airtel is between the high
of Rs.316.05 and low of Rs.272.45. According to ROC method, the changes
fluctuated which is above high 100, that’s to be considered as sell signal. Here, in this
chart, it shows 100% of ROC. At this time the investor can sell this stock.
84
TABLE – 4.13
1-Feb-10 137.75 0 0 0
2-Feb-10 133.65 0 0 0
3-Feb-10 137.7 133.87 0 0
4-Feb-10 132.35 132.19 132.9857 0
5-Feb-10 127.9 131.9 132.4714 0
8-Feb-10 129.35 131.19 132.9286 0
9-Feb-10 132.2 132.09 132.8071 0
10-Feb-10 134.15 133.88 133.5929 0
11-Feb-10 136.85 135.58 134.6286 0
12-Feb-10 136.85 136.17 135.7929 0
15-Feb-10 137.85 136.84 136.5214 134.4762
16-Feb-10 135.15 136.93 136.1 134.531
17-Feb-10 137.5 135.8 135.4857 134.9595
18-Feb-10 137.3 134.74 135.0429 135.4286
19-Feb-10 131.2 134.46 134.7786 136.0929
22-Feb-10 132.55 134.16 134.9214 136.8452
23-Feb-10 133.75 133.93 134.4071 137.5
24-Feb-10 136 134.47 133.9214 138.0262
25-Feb-10 136.15 134.74 135.0214 138.4381
26-Feb-10 133.9 135.77 136.4643 138.5857
1-Mar-10 133.9 137.1 138.4357 138.869
2-Mar-10 138.9 139.38 139.9071 138.8929
4-Mar-10 142.65 141.86 140.9857 138.9976
5-Mar-10 147.55 143.82 142.3 138.9976
8-Mar-10 146.3 144.66 143.6357 138.8405
9-Mar-10 143.7 144.78 144.1929 139.1929
10-Mar-10 143.1 143.83 143.8071 139.481
85
CHART – 4.13
INFERENCE:
TABLE – 4.14
1-Feb-10 137.75 0 0
2-Feb-10 133.65 0 4.1
3-Feb-10 137.7 4.05 0
4-Feb-10 132.35 0 5.35
5-Feb-10 127.9 0 4.45
8-Feb-10 129.35 1.45 0
9-Feb-10 132.2 2.85 0
10-Feb-10 134.15 1.95 0
11-Feb-10 136.85 2.7 0
12-Feb-10 136.85 0 0
15-Feb-10 137.85 1 0
16-Feb-10 135.15 0 2.7
17-Feb-10 137.5 2.35 0
18-Feb-10 137.3 0 0.2
19-Feb-10 131.2 0 6.1
22-Feb-10 132.55 1.35 0
23-Feb-10 133.75 1.2 0
24-Feb-10 136 2.25 0
25-Feb-10 136.15 0.15 0
26-Feb-10 133.9 0 2.25
1-Mar-10 133.9 0 0
2-Mar-10 138.9 5 0
4-Mar-10 142.65 3.75 0
5-Mar-10 147.55 4.9 0
8-Mar-10 146.3 0 1.25
9-Mar-10 143.7 0 2.6
10-Mar-10 143.1 0 0.6
89
LOGIC 30 BUY
70 SELL
91
CHART – 4.14
INFERENCE:
The above curve analyzes shows that the RSI of Hindustan Construction
Company is 49%, which is near to buy signal. In this period the investor can buy the
stock.
TABLE – 4.15
CHART – 4.15
INFERENCE:
During February the price fluctuation of Hindusthan Construction Company is
between the high of Rs.147.5 and low of Rs.129.25. According to ROC method, the
changes fluctuated which is above high 100, that’s to be considered as sell signal.
Here, in this chart, it shows 97% of ROC. At this time the investor can buy this stock.
95
CHAPTER V
FINDINGS
96
FINDINGS
The moving average of Reliance Industries shows that on February 2010 the
scrip goes downwards,
in March the scrip goes upwards and in April the scrip goes downwards.
The moving average of Axis bank shows that during February, March and
April 2010 the scrip goes upwards.
The moving average of Ranbaxy laboratories limited shows that on
February2010 the scrip goes upwards, in March the scrip goes upwards and in
April the scrip goes downwards.
The moving average of Bharti Airtel shows that on February 2010 the scrip
goes downwards,
in March the scrip goes upwards and in April the scrip goes downwards.
The moving average of Hindustan Construction Company shows that on
February 2010 the scrip goes downwards, in march the scrip goes upwards and
in April the scrip goes downwards.
The relative strength index of reliance industries shows buy signal.
The relative strength index of Ranbaxy laboratories limited shows buy signal.
The rate of change of reliance industries shows that the investor can buy the
stock..
The rate of change of Axis bank shows that the investor can buy the stock.
The rate of change of Ranbaxy laboratories limited shows that the investor can
buy the stock.
The rate of change of Bharti Airtel shows that the investor can buy the stock.
SUGGESTIONS
98
SUGGESTIONS
The company is suggested to send some email through which tips to trade
using technical analysis would be given. Company may also send email regarding the
trend reversals. The weekly review is given to the traders likewise an email with the
technical analysis research may also be sent to the investors. A special session may be
arranged for the investors or the traders can even tell simple interpretation where it
will be useful for at least placing stop loss.
Before making the investment decision investor should analyze about the
performance, profit level, dividend policy of the specific scrip. To obtain this
information fundamental analyses should be considered. If the risk is high and more
volatility in the market the investor can sell the stock.
The investors should analyze the technical analysis chart for making buying
and selling orders. Usually the market price of shares goes upward at the end of the
financial year so that the investor can make orders.
99
CONCLUSION
100
CONCLUSION
Many investors are aware about the technical analysis. And some of them
were using it for trading and they are willing to learn more about technical analysis.
Company may conduct more training session for the investors it will help them to
predict the market and find out where to enter and exit in the market. In this project
report nine companies technical charts were taken and interpreted which can be used
to find out where to enter and exit the market. So Technical analysis provide a
precaution for the investors which when followed correctly will avoid major loss. The
fundamental factors also play a major role in market movement. So, the investors can
also consider the fundamental factors while making investment decisions.
101
BIBLIOGRAPHY
102
BIBLIOGRAPHY
BOOKS:
Punithavathy pandian, “Security Analysis and Portfolio Management”,
Vikas Publishing House, New Delhi, 3rd Edition, 2003.
Preethi Singh, “Investment Management”, Himalaya Publishing House,
Mumbai, 14th Edition, 2006.
Bhalla V.K, “Investment Management”, Sultan Chand & co., Ltd, New
Delhi, 2nd Edition, 1997.
Natarajan Gordon, “Financial Markets and Services”, Himalaya
Publishing House, Mumbai, 15th Edition.
Kothari.C.R, “Research Methodology Methods and Techniques”, New
Age International (P) Ltd., Publishers, New Delhi, 2nd 2007.
WEBSITES:
1. www.nseindia.com
2. www.bseindia.com
3. www. single window securities.com
4. www.moneycontrol.com
5. www.investopedia.com
6. www.yahoofinance.com
7. www.googlefinance.com