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Fairfax – Twenty Five Years
1985 2010
($ millions)
Net Premiums Written 12 4,449
Net Earnings (1) 471
Investment Portfolio 24 23,305
Total Assets 30 31,738
Common Shareholders' Equity 8 7,762
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Fairfax Value Creation
(RE)INSURANCE = IT’S ALL ABOUT COMPOUNDING BOOK VALUE
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Guiding Principles
Structure
Our companies are decentralized and run by the presidents
except for performance evaluation, succession planning,
acquisitions and financing, which are done by or with
Fairfax. Cooperation among companies is encouraged to
the benefit of Fairfax in total
Complete and open communication between Fairfax and its
subsidiaries is an essential requirement at Fairfax
Share ownership and large incentives are encouraged
across the Group
Fairfax head office will always be a very small holding
company and not an operating company
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Guiding Principles
Values
Honesty and integrity are essential in all of our relationships
and will never be compromised
We are results-oriented — not political
We are team players — no "egos”. A confrontational style is
not appropriate. We value loyalty — to Fairfax and our
colleagues
We are hard working but not at the expense of our families
We always look at opportunities but emphasize downside
protection and look for ways to minimize loss of capital
We are entrepreneurial. We encourage calculated risk-taking.
It is all right to fail but we should learn from our mistakes
We will never bet the company on any project or acquisition
We believe in having fun — at work! 7
Financial Results
Common Shareholders'
Equity ($ billions) 2.7 7.4 7.8
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Why Lower Investment Returns in
2010 ?
($ millions)
1. Common Stocks
Realized gains 536
Unrealized gains 421
957
Unrealized hedging losses (937)
Net gains 20
2. Fixed Income
Realized gains 523
Unrealized losses (412)*
Total 111
* Government (190)
Municipal (216)
Other (6)
Total (412) 9
2010 Subsidiary Financial Results
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Accident Year Combined Ratios
2002-2010
Cummulative Net Average
Premiums Combined Ratio
Written (fully developed)
($ billions)
11
Accident Year Reserve Redundancies
Average Annual
Reserve
Redundancies
2002-2009
Northbridge 7.6%
Crum & Forster 8.9%
OdysseyRe 9.6%
Fairfax Asia 2.6%
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Strong Capital
Net Premiums
Written/
Net Premiums Statutory Statutory
Written Surplus Surplus
($ millions) ($ millions)
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Subsidiary Growth in
Book Value per Share
2001-2010
Compound Annual
Growth Rate
Northbridge 17.2%
Crum & Forster 17.0%
OdysseyRe 20.4%
Fairfax Asia (1) 23.6%
(1)
Since commencement in 2002
Built on:
Underwriting culture
Conservative reserving
Total return investing
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Acquisitions in 2010
First Mercury – 100% ownership
Nine year average combined ratio of 93%
Excess and surplus lines writer in the United States
Fairfax Share
Gross Gross
Shareholders' Premiums Investment Shareholders' Premiums
Equity Written Portfolio Equity Written
Fairfax Asia 665 1,301 1,560 380 607
Insurance - Other 672 1,277 1,628 212 334
Reinsurance - Other 212 401 717 212 401
• Commercial Auto • Commercial Auto • Casualty ● Commercial • Marine / Hull • Commercial • Workers
• Std Lines Casualty • Commercial Reinsurance Auto • Industrial Risks Property Compensation
• Std Lines Property Property • Property • Crime • Employee Comp • Motor
• A&E
• Accident & Health Reinsurance • Direct • Commercial Auto • General
• Commercial Liab Accident
• Other Latent
• Workers Comp • Trucking • Surety Property • Personal • Reinsurance
• Medical
• Excess&Surp.Lines • Personal Lines • Marine • General Accident • Insurance
• Marine
• Umbrella • Direct Agency • Casualty Fac. Liability • Personal Lines • Surety • Lloyds
• D&O • Property Fac. • Property • Commercial Prop. • Personal Lines
• Professional Liability • Aerospace Reinsurance • Commercial
• Medical Malpractice • Accident & Health • Energy Auto.
• Crop • Prof. Liability • Professional
• Surety • Medical Liab.
• Offshore Energy • Aviation
Malpractice • Energy Offshore
• Marine • Marine & Onshore
Well Positioned for a Turn in the Cycle
3,000
Northbridge (C$)
Gross Premiums Written ($ millions)
Odyssey Re
Crum & Forster
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
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Dividend Capacity
Operating Companies
Northbridge 229
Crum & Forster 133
Zenith National 69
OdysseyRe 315
Total 746
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Importance of Float
Average Float
(Operating
Companies)
1986 $ 22 million
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Importance of Float
Year-End 2010
($ millions) Per Share
Total Float 13,110 $ 641
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Pre-Tax Interest and Dividend Income
Interest &
Dividend
Income Per Share
($ millions)
1985 3 70¢
2010 762 $ 37
2010 - Adjusted
for "Munis" 869 $ 42
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Pre-Tax Realized & Unrealized Gains
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Long Term Common Stock Holdings
At December 31, 2010
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Investment Performance
Hamblin Watsa Investment Performance
2009 2010
($ millions)
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U.S. Debt as % of GDP 1870-2010
Annual
380% 380%
2009 = 372
360% 360%
340% 340%
320% 1933 = 299.8 320%
2003 = 301.4
300% 300%
280% 280%
2000
260% 260%
1998
240% 240%
220% 220%
1928
200% 200%
180% 180%
1875 = 156.4 1916 = 170.4 Total
160% 160%
140% 140%
Private
120% 120%
100% 100%
80% 80%
60% 60%
Federal
40% 40%
20% 20%
0% 0%
1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
4,000
300%
3,000
250%
Year over Year Change ($ Billions)
2,000
1,000 200%
b
0 150%
-1,000
100%
-2,000
50%
-3,000
-4,000 0%
1953 1958 1964 1970 1976 1981 1987 1993 1999 2004 2010
Total Private Sector Debt Total Private Sector Debt/GDP
(1) Household, business and financial sector 29
Source: Gluskin Sheff and Hoisington Investment Management
Bank Credit plus Commercial Paper
Monthly ($ trillion)
12 12
11 11
10 10
9 9
8 8
7 7
6 6
5 5
4 4
3 3
1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010
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Source: Hoisington Investment Management.
Velocity of Money
Equation of Exchange: GDP (nominal) = M*V
Annual
2.25 2.25
1997 = 2.12
1918 = 1.95
2.00 2.00
Avg. 1900
1.75 to present = 1.67 1.75
1.50 1.50
1928 = 1.5 Avg. 1953
to 1980 = 1.675
1.25 1.25
Cumulative decline during Great
Depression = -22%
1932 = 1.17
% change Q3 2010 level to 1.17 = 31%
1.00 1.00
1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Source: Merrill Lynch 32
Fairfax Investment Portfolio
Positioned For Income & Capital Gains
2007 2008 2009 2010
(2)
Common Stocks 17% 22% 26% 23%
Other Investments 7% 3% 3% 5%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
Notional Weighted
Amount Average Dec 31, 2010
Underlying CPI Index ($ billions) Strike Price (CPI) CPI
U.S. 16 217 219
European Union 17 109 111
U.K. 1 216 228
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($ millions)
Total cost 302
Total market value 329
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Fairfax’s Strengths
Demonstrated Over 25 Years
1. Operations – Disciplined operating management focused on
underwriting profitability and prudent reserving
P&C Insurance Operations
• Canada – One of the leading commercial insurance
operations
• United States – large commercial operation across the
country
• Asia – Hong Kong, Singapore, Thailand, China, Malaysia
and largest private operation in India
• South America – Fairfax Brasil
• Middle East – Dubai and Kuwait
• Eastern Europe – Poland
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Ready for the Next Decade -
Building on Fairfax’s Strengths
Our guiding principles have remained intact
Excellent long term performance
Demonstrated strengths
Strong operating subsidiaries focused on
underwriting profitability and prudent reserving
Conservative investment management providing
excellent long term returns
Well positioned for the future
Fair and friendly Fairfax culture
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