Metodo de tendecia.

Años Y Z YZ Z^2
2016 $ 11,952,000 -2 -$ 23,904,000 4
2017 $ 10,658,000 -1 -$ 10,658,000 1
2018 $ 10,705,000 0 $ - 0
2019 $ 9,119,000 1 $ 9,119,000 1
2020 $ 14,505,000 2 $ 29,010,000 4
Total $ 3,567,000 10

Δ= £YZ *(n/2) R://

£Z^2

Metodo incremental

Años Ventas Incremento Δ% año anterior %

2016 $ 11,952,000
2017 $ 10,658,000 $ 1,294,000 0.108266398929 10.83%
2018 $ 10,705,000 $ 47,000 0.004409832989 0.44%
2019 $ 9,119,000 $ 1,586,000 0.148155067725 14.82%
2020 $ 14,505,000 $ 5,386,000 0.590634938041 59.06%
Total 85.15%

x%= 0.21

Δ= $ 3,087,629.44 2021= $ 17,592,629.44

Metodo minimo cuadrado

Años Ventas Año obsequiado X XY

2016 $ 11,952,000 1 -2 -$ 23,904,000
2017 $ 10,658,000 2 -1 -$ 10,658,000
2018 $ 10,705,000 3 0 $ -
2019 $ 9,119,000 4 1 $ 9,119,000
2020 $ 14,505,000 5 2 $ 29,010,000
Total $ 56,939,000 15 $ 3,567,000

Promedio
A $ 11,387,800
B $ 3,567,000

Formula 2021 $ 22,088,800

y=a+bx 2022 $ 25,655,800
$ 713,400

2021= $ 11,418,400

X^2
4
1
0
1
4
10