Sei sulla pagina 1di 6

Resumen de censos

CENSO POBLACION
(Año) (Habitantes)
1,981 8,834
1,993 14,739
2,005 16,931
2,007 18,619
2,017 17,374

Mínimos cuadrados : Pf = Po + Po i t

5.0. MÉTODO MALTHUS


Pf = Pa (1 + Δ )^x
Metodo de Malthus
Pf (hab) 19625
Po (hab) 17374
r1 -
r2 0.6308%
r3 0.8827%
r4 0.9180%
r5 1.0643%
R 0.8740%
T 4 decenios

2,005 16,931
2,007 18,619
2,017 17,374 17,374
Base 2,020 17,852 17,834
0 2,021 18,015 17,989
1 2,022 18,179 18,147
2 2,023 18,344 18,305
3 2,024 18,511 18,465
4 2,025 18,679 18,627
5 2,026 18,849 18,789
6 2,027 19,021 18,954
7 2,028 19,194 19,119
8 2,029 19,369 19,286
9 2,030 19,545 19,455
10 2,031 19,723 19,625
0.91%
POBLACION (Hab)

METODO MALTHUS
20,000
19,500
19,000

18,500
18,000
17,500
17,000

16,500
2,018 2,020 2,022 2,024 2,026 2,028 2,030 2,032
TIEMPO (Años)
2,030 2,032

Potrebbero piacerti anche