Sei sulla pagina 1di 42

market report

N u m B E r 1 ✱ A p r I L 2 0 11 ✱ S K A G E N F U N D S . C O M

defied tragedies
and turmoil
2011 has so far given us natural disasters, unrest in the middle east and
north africa as well as inflation fears in the emerging markets. despite this
the global equity markets have pulled through and expectations of global
growth are still high.

read more in The porTFolio manaGerS’ reporT on paGe 18

6
Cleaning up
Japan pulls together after
the disaster.

12
against the tide
In turbulent times Brazilian
power company Eletrobras
often goes its own way.

15
next stop Switzerland
SKAGEN receives marketing
permission in a ninth
European country

5
Torkell eide
don’t buy
economic growth

T he a rT oF Common Se nSe
2 Co n T e n T S

SK aGen FundS
marKeT reporT no. 1 2011
Contents
SK aGen Funds invests in under valued,
under-researched and unpopular compa-

12
nies all over the world. SKAGEN AS was
established in Stavanger in 1993 and is one of
Norway’s leading fund managers.

postal address:
SKAGEN AS
postbox 160
4001 Stavanger, Norway
www.skagenfunds.com

Telephone no.:
+47 51 21 38 58

editorial team:
parisa Lemaire, news editor
tore Bang, technical editor
trygve meyer, journalist
Samantha Skurtveit, journalist

SKAGEN seeks to the best of its ability to ensure


that all information given in this report is cor-
rect, however, makes reservations regarding
possible errors and omissions. Statements in
the report reflect the portfolio managers’ view-
point at a given time, and this viewpoint may
be changed without notice.
the report should not be perceived as an offer or
recommendation to buy or sell financial instru-
ments. SKAGEN does not assume responsibility
for direct or indirect loss or expenses incurred brazilian power company eletrobras succeeds going against tide.
through use or understanding of the report.
SKAGEN recommends that anyone wishing to

14 6
invest in our funds contacts a qualified custo-
mer adviser by telephone on +47 51 21 38 58 or
by email at contact@skagenfunds.com.

phoTo: bloomberG
Market Report
N U M B E R 1 ✱ A P R I L 2 0 11 ✱ S K A G E N F U N D S . C O M

Defied tragedies michiel Krauss took on the role of SKaGen’s managing extreme discipline is an advantage when it comes to the
and turmoil director in the netherlands in February clean-up work following the natural disaster in Japan, ac-
2011 has so far given us natural disasters, unrest in the Middle East and
North Africa as well as inflation fears in the emerging markets. Despite this
cording to portfolio manager Søren milo Christensen.
the global equity markets have pulled through and expectations of global
growth are still high.

READ MORE IN THE PORTFOLIO MANAGERS’ REPORT ON PAGE 18

3 SKaGen Funds – returns 14 new to the team


6

4 leader and Comment


Cleaning up
Japan pulls together after
the disaster.
15 Switzerland here we come
12

5 Comment: don’t buy economic growth


Against the tide

16 morningstar qualitative ratings


In turbulent times Brazilian
power company Eletrobras
often goes its own way.

15

6 Japan – a phoenix in the east


Next stop Switzerland
SKAGEN receives marketing

18 portfolio managers’ report


permission in a ninth
European country

8 earthquakes are no recipe for prosperity


5
31 Fixed income market
Torkell Eide
Don’t buy

10 a letter from arabia


economic growth

T HE A RT OF COMMON SE NSE
33 return and risk measurements
12 eletrobras – swimming against the tide
34 portfolios
photo: iStock photo
41 Financial statement

S K A G E N F u N d S m A r K E t r E p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
our funds 3

SKAGEN Funds -
Returns
The following tables show the returns for SKAGEN’s
funds versus their respective benchmarks in euro.
The figures are updated as of 31 March 2011.

Equit y fund SK AGEN vekst Equit y fund SK AGEN Global

Portfolio manager: Beate Bredesen Start: 1 December 1993 Portfolio manager: Kristian Falnes Start: 7 August 1997

Return past 12 months Average annual return since start Return past 12 months Average annual return since start
25 25 25 25

20 20 20 20
17.2 % 17.1 %
14.4 % 15.4 %
15 15 15 15
10.6 % 10.1 %
10 10 10 8.9 % 10

5 5 5 5
1.6 %
0 0 0 0
■ SKAGEN Vekst ■ OSEBX/MSCI AC (50/50) ■ SKAGEN Global ■ MSCI World Linked Index

Bond fund SK AGEN tellus Equit y fund SK AGEN kon-tiki

Portfolio manager: Torgeir Høien Start: 29 September 2006 Portfolio manager: Kristoffer Stensrud Start: 5 April 2002

Return past 12 months Average annual return since start Return past 12 months Average annual return since start
8 8 25 25
21.1 %
20 20
6 6
5.62 % 16.3 %
4.86 % 15 15
3.97 %
4 4 12.8 %
10.9 %
10 10
2.53 %
2 2
5 5

0 0 0 0
■ SKAGEN Tellus ■ Barclays Capital Global Treasury Index 3 - 5 years (euro) ■ SKAGEN Kon-Tiki ■ MSCI Emerging Markets Index (Daily Traded Net Total Return)

Unless otherwise stated all figures quoted in this report are in euro, except for the quarterly financial statement, which is in Norwegian kroner.

SKAGEN Funds only has authorisation to market its money market funds SKAGEN Høyrente and SKAGEN Høyrente Institusjon in Norway and SKAGEN
Krona in Sweden. SKAGEN Avkastning has a limited market area. Information regarding these funds is included in the official accounts but is
excluded elsewhere.

The quarterly financial statement was originally prepared in Norwegian. The translated version is published with reservations regarding possible
errors and omissions as well as erroneous translation. In case of conflict between the Norwegian accounts and the English translation, the former
shall prevail. The Norwegian version of the quarterly financial statement is available at www.skagenfondene.no.

S K A G E N F u n d s m a r ke t Re p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
4 l e a d e r  Co m m e n T

leader
Timothy Warrington,
Head of International,
SKAGEN F unds We live in interesting times
tcsw skagenfunds.com

In the histories of our age, the tragic death Egypt, have been impacted by general mar- in this report, including an examination of
of mohamed Bouazizi will be recorded as ket movements – dipping and then recove- SKAGEN’s approach to investing in the region.
a footnote in the events that have come to ring in part. For now we continue to see good Internally within SKAGEN we have been
be referred to as the ‘Arab Spring’. His self- reason to hold them, reasons based on solid busy also. We have added portfolio manager
immolation in Sidi Bouzid, tunisia, sparked valuations and strong fundamentals. Here capacity to the SKAGEN Vekst team in the
off riots and unrest that have continued in SKAGEN we make investment decisions shape of ole Søeberg – a long time friend of
along the mediterranean coast and even based on what we know, not conjecture. the SKAGEN. We’ve appointed michiel Krauss,
further afield. the speed and frequency of latest views on the SKAGEN portfolios start formerly a private banker and wealth manager
often unforeseen events have surprised. And on page 18. with our partner distributor Van Lanschot, to
behind these momentous events are equally the catastrophic events that befell Japan head our business in the Netherlands where
significant developments in grand strategy. It in march were equally surprising – even if we will be establishing a client-facing office
seems that Chinese abstention in the Security long predicted. While the local consequences during this year. And we’ve been granted
Council debate over Libya and a no-fly zone have been tragic and profound, it is a sad fact permission to actively market our funds in
arose not from western political pressure, but that material losses in Japan do create opp- Switzerland where we have a slowly gro-
at the request of the African union. If this is ortunities elsewhere. Even for our Japanese wing client base. more information on each
true then perhaps the world order really is in listed companies prices have quickly retur- of these events comes later in this report.
a state of motion. ned to pre-disaster levels – Kyocera, a large For certain we live in interesting times, but
For a boutique like SKAGEN Funds, such holding in the SKAGEN Global portfolio, fell here at SKAGEN such times do not diminish
events are not to be avoided. political risk is from 8520¥ to below 7000¥ mid-march, and our unswerving belief in a company-focused
often hard to measure. Where it is evident has now returned to 8480¥. As with political investment philosophy and process that
it can be a reason for not doing something; risk events, such catastrophes trigger over- believes that valuations lie at the heart of
where it is unexpected then it is part of the reaction in the financial markets, swiftly fol- successful investing.
background noise to long term investing. At lowed by recovery as the facts are clarified
the time of writing our holdings in the regions and uncertainty banished. there are a clutch
affected, companies like EFG Hermes in of excellent articles on events in Japan later

no pushover
the refrain at the Bank Credit Analyst’s (BCA) 20 months. correlation in the stock markets this year
annual autumn conference in New York six Bond investors can take small comfort than was the case in 2010. this will allow
months ago was that there would be record from the fact that there has been no party our unit holders to benefit even more from
low bond yields for a sustained period of time. in the stock markets either. Still, the stock the undervalued, unpopular and under-
deflation was the big danger. only one person markets have been remarkably resilient consi- researched stocks that we pick. At the end
disagreed. Hedge fund manager Barton Biggs dering the formidable combination of turmoil of the quarter, SKAGEN Global and SKAGEN
was of the opinion that inflation would pick in the middle East, civil war in Libya, debt Kon-tiki are outperforming their benchmark
up in the uS within one year and that the long fears in Southern Europe, record high com- indices by a good margin while SKAGEN Vekst
interest rates would soon start to climb. modity prices. Admittedly the inflation fears is slightly ahead.
Biggs was correct. three and a half months and ensuing flight to safety caused investors
after the conference the uS 10-year bond yield in the emerging markets to experience a slight
had climbed from 2.5 percent to 3.75 per- decline in value. But the developed markets
cent. Admittedly the long interest rates did have come through almost unscathed.
fall somewhat during the recent turbulence, Some of the credit for the recent stock
but not by much. market developments must be given to the
In the rest of the developed markets, deflation scaremongers. the vast amounts of
those who bet on permanent low interest money that flowed into bond funds from 2009 CommenT
rates have been duly disappointed. the long until late 2010 are now finding their way into Tore bang
Technical editor,
interest rates are on the rise. the German the stock markets.
tb skagenfunds.com
10-year bond yield has not been higher for We are pleased to note that there is less

S K A G E N F u N d S m A r K E t r E p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
Co m m e n t 5

Don’t buy
economic growth
A recurring theme in the financial market relates to so-called top-down investments,
whereby the principal focus of equity investors is on developments in the real economy.
It is especially popular to focus on economic growth in a particular region or country,
writes portfolio manager Torkell Eide in a guest commentary in Norwegian business
magazine Kapital. Portfolio manager, Torkell Eide

The advantage of this type of investment phi- on the equity that shareholders have given developments in Sweden and Switzerland. For
losophy is that it is easy to come up with a to a company is paramount to shareholders’ all three companies it is developments in the
seemingly sensible analysis. return. Globally attitudes widely differ as emerging markets that are the driving force.
When deciding which company should be regards the focus on capital efficiency and An example of how the reverse can be the
included in a portfolio, however, the disad- shareholder remuneration. In countries like case is Brazilian oil company Petrobras. Here
vantage of basing one’s analysis on econo- Japan there has historically been less focus the oil price and decisions regarding domestic
mic growth is that you can quickly end up on capital efficiency. Capital which could have energy policy are more important to the price
with popular and relatively expensive shares. been paid out to shareholders in the form of development than economic developments in
Having as your fundamental guiding principle dividends appeared on the balance sheet in the emerging market country of Brazil.
that a country with high growth also gives the form of golf courses, cross ownership in
high returns in the stock market is not an other businesses and cash. When you realise Valuation
obvious recipe for success. If anything, the that in the long term dividends account for The final and most important point that dis-
reverse is true. around 50 percent of the return for equities, torts the correlation between growth and
In 2010 MSCI Barra published a study it is easy to see that an ineffective capital equity returns is the valuation of companies.
analysing the correlation between econo- structure goes a long way in explaining the Strong economic growth and general opti-
mic growth and stock market returns. The differences in equity returns between Japan mism around the future of a country often
conclusion was unambiguous: the correlation and the US for example.  go hand in hand with optimistic valuations of
between equity returns and GDP growth is A secondary effect, which is becoming the stock market. Those who bought Chinese
non-existent. As an example, between 1958 increasingly evident, is that large and stron- stocks in 2007 with a top-down perspective
and 2008, annual economic growth in Japan – gly growing economies, like China, attract a were correct about economic developments,
the first Asian miracle – was around five per- lot of risk-willing capital. The result may be but wrong about valuation. As a consequence
cent. The return in the stock market was two weaker returns on capital than the growth they have lost almost half their money. 
percent. Switzerland on the other hand had rate might indicate, with a negative impact As a top-down investor you often pay a
economic growth of just below 2.5 percent on the equity returns. high price to be a shareholder in a company
in the same period, while the stock market listed in a country in which macroeconomic
rose 3.5 percent. Globalisation prospects are exemplary. Also, there are far
As we see it, there are three important The fact that stock markets in countries like more people analysing the economic deve-
reasons why economic growth is not (neces- Sweden and Switzerland have provided relati- lopment of a country than that of the compa-
sarily) the path to economic nirvana for equity vely good returns despite small home markets nies in it, as is the case in India, you end up
investors:  and relatively weak economic growth, is a with a top-down climate which we in SKAGEN
good illustration of the effects of globalisa- abbreviate to POO - Popular, Over-researched
Return on equity tion. Value creation in companies such as and Overvalued.
The first reason has to do with return on Nestlé, ABB and Atlas Copco is mainly fuel-
equity. Over the long run generating return led by factors that are unrelated to economic

S K A G E N F u n d s m a r ke t Re p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
6 Theme

Japan
A phoenix in the east
The Japanese stock market took a nosedive after the country was struck by earthquake,
tsunami and nuclear disaster simultaneously. The market has since recovered somewhat.
Japanese companies are cheap measured by stock price to book value, but are still not
delivering returns to shareholders.

The human cost of the disaster in Japan on Fri- Warren Buffett – to recommend buying shares but given the size of the market we have rela-
day 11 March has been enormous. The most in Japanese companies. tively few in the SKAGEN portfolios.
recent estimates point towards more than “The steep drop was understandable. Full “There are many companies in Japan that
24,000 casualties with hundreds of thou- or partial evacuation of Tokyo, which was a appear cheap if one looks only at the price
sands of people having been made homeless real fear for a while, would have had far-reach- to book ratio. On more thorough evaluation
and an unsettled bill of between EUR 130 ing consequences for Japan and would also one also sees that they have low return on
and 215 billion. have hurt the global economy,” says SKAGEN equity,” says Søren Milo Christensen.
Unexpected and destructive events often portfolio manager Søren Milo Christensen. “When we analyse individual companies,
influence the stock markets, especially in the initial investment case often evaporates
the immediately affected areas. In the case Cheap book because we cannot find credible reasons for
of Japan, earthquakes are actually an expec- Historically natural disasters and other major the company’s management to change their
ted event and something the country is well events have often provided a buying oppor- existing behaviour and increase the return on
prepared for. Both residential and commer- tunity. Particularly in the developed markets, equity, which is important if the shares are
cial properties are secured. Still, the ensu- where it is easier to rebuild than it is in less not to remain undervalued,” he adds.
ing tsunami hit the north eastern port cities developed countries, according to research Søren Milo Christensen is the SKAGEN
hard. This was followed by the problems at from 2010 by the economists Eduardo Cavallo portfolio manager with the deepest know-
the Fukushima nuclear plant, which could and Ilan Noy from the Inter-American Deve- ledge of Japan, both in terms of culture and
seemingly withstand an earthquake but not lopment Bank. society. He has been to Japan more than 20
the subsequent flood waters. The Japanese stock market has somewhat times and has met with numerous companies
When the Japanese stock market botto- recovered as the nuclear threat against the over the years.
med out, it had declined by 16 percent mea- world’s most densely populated city, Tokyo,
sured in yen. The steep decline prompted a has diminished. There may be good compa- Japanese chips in China
number of people – including investor legend nies listed on the stock exchanges in Japan, Despite much talk about China becoming
the new economic super power, Japan is
still the third largest economy in the world.
LOW VALUE OF JAPANESE Equit y capital
The island still delivers many vital electronic
P/B
components to Chinese assembly lines. The
6,0x
Chinese point to their achievements, but the
5,0x
Japanese are still very reluctant to move core
TOPIX
4,0x MSCI World production to China.
3,0x “The relationship between Japan and
2,0x China has not been based on the highest
1,0x degree of trust. Japan has kept critical pro-
0,0x duction of parts for electric cars and elec-
80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10
tronic components in domestic factories, for
Source: Bloomberg
example, even when setting up joint ventures
with Chinese companies,” says Søren Milo
Japanese companies are still a long way off their peak level in 1989, when investors paid five times book equity. Today
Christensen.
Japan limps after companies in the rest of the world. Time will tell what will happen to the

S K A G E N F u n d s m a r ke t Re p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
Theme 7

Photo: POLFOTO
Japan has a massive task ahead of it following the earthquake, tsunami and nuclear disaster.

Japanese companies that withstood the the products. are able to hold on to their jobs despite a lack
earthquakes and were not engulfed by the “Samsung Electronics has understood that of return on equity and dividends and con-
tsunami. The coming months will show if design, user-friendliness and marketing are tinuing decline in valuations. According to
evacuations from the nuclear disaster, lack essential for creating global consumer brands. Søren Milo Christensen the explanation is in
of electricity and other disruptions will create The Japanese have historically been more into the Japanese mentality.
lasting problems for industrial production. technologically advanced solutions,” says “If anything is to change, domestic inves-
The Japanese electricity grid is divided into Søren Milo Christensen. tors have to put pressure on the management
an eastern and western part, and the two are of the companies. But they don’t. This comes
based on different technology. This means Japanese corporate governance down to their culture. One would be percei-
that there is no countrywide grid. One will For a European or American investor it is asto- ved as doing the bidding of foreign investors,
therefore have to expect a summer with nishing that managers of Japanese companies something that is looked down upon. The
restrictions on the use of electricity.

Engineering-focused business LOWER return on equit y IN JAPAN

SKAGEN’s three equity funds have been much ROE


18%
more invested in Korean companies than in 16% MSCI World
Japanese ones. The SKAGEN evergreen, Sam- 14%
sung Electronics, has been in the portfolios 12%
10%
since 1997, providing good gains for our 8%
unitholders. 6%
The engineering-focused and technology- 4% TOPIX
2%
fixated Japanese companies have been at the 0%
forefront of many of the innovations within 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10

consumer electronics such as flat screen Source: Bloomberg

TVs and 3G mobile phones. Still, once the


innovation has taken place other companies Japanese companies have consistently lower return on equity than companies in the rest of the world. This helps support
have tended to run off with the market for lower valuation of these companies.

S K A G E N F u n d s m a r ke t Re p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
8 Theme

A man contemplates the tsunami damage in the Myagi harbour in Japan.

companies are therefore able to continue hol- stocks were highly overvalued at the end of the to be credible, and should not be motivated by
ding large amounts of cash without putting the 1980s and the decline has been continuous external shareholders or funds. One of Japan’s
assets to use,” says Søren Milo Christensen. ever since. largest pension providers, Tokio Marine Asset
Another challenge for shareholders is that For SKAGEN there has never been any doubt Management, has this year set up a fund to
Japanese companies are notoriously bad at that the majority of Japanese companies meet engage with companies on reforms. We believe
shedding operations that are not creating our screening criteria of being undervalued that more of this type of initiative may bring
value. These are operations that would do and unpopular. Although they may sometimes about renewal in Japanese companies.
better under different owners and that should be well researched, much of this work is igno- Many have predicted that the disasters
therefore be spun off. red by disenchanted international investors. this year will bring about change and renew
“The myth that Japanese companies are The question then remains: where do we find Japan. For us this is a bit too optimistic, but
fully restructured and super efficient does not the undervalued companies? we will monitor the situation closely to try to
hold true. If it were true then return on equity “We analyse Japanese companies detect changes in corporate governance that
would not be half what it is in the rest of the thoroughly to see where there are sharehol- will make more of the cheap Japanese compa-
world. They stick to the rules and are environ- der friendly movements,” says Søren Milo nies relevant for our portfolios.
mentally friendly, but creating shareholder Christensen.
value is clearly not high on the agenda,” he It is a mistake to believe that the inclination Christian Jessen
adds. to seek consensus prevents Japanese compa- cje  skagenfunds.com
nies from renewing themselves, according to
Disenchanted portfolio managers Søren Milo Christensen. Change takes time,
Over the past fifteen years countless global but when consensus shifts then everyone
portfolio managers have watched and wai- moves forward in the same direction so as
ted, hoping to see rising share prices in Japan. not to stand out.
The returns have never materialised. Japanese The changes must hail from within in order

S K A G E N F u n d s m a r ke t Re p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
Theme 9

Earthquakes are no
recipe for prosperity
Are natural disasters actually good for the economy? Soon after the 8.9-magnitude
earthquake and the tsunami hit Japan, Larry Summers, Harvard professor and former
Treasury Secretary, told CNBC viewers that the natural disaster would boost Japan’s GDP
through the rebuilding of infrastructure.
Portfolio manager Torgeir Høien

In fact, ever since the famous British econo- recovery. Japan’s GDP has grown 6.5 percent least two quarters of negative growth in Gross
mist J.M. Keynes endorsed “pyramid buil- since the bottom in Q1 2009. Perhaps Japan’s Domestic Product, and GDP for 2011 might
ding, earthquakes and wars” as catalysts economy could have grown even faster, but it well come in lower than for 2010.
for prosperity in his 1936 treatise, a legion is highly doubtful that the problem is lack of
of economists have uttered views similar to aggregate demand. Except for in deep reces- Small comfort
those of Professor Summers. Ruins as the sions, it is the supply side that constrains A mitigating factor is that some businesses
foundation for prosperity, in other words. It economic growth. Hence, spending more were insured overseas. Hence transfers to
sounds ludicrous, and it is. does not result in more goods and services; Japan from abroad will increase over the
it only increases imports and curbs exports. coming quarters, so Japan’s disposable
Greater public expenditure Aside from the effect on increased aggre- income will not fall as much as its Net Domes-
When J.M. Keynes first put forward his theory, gate demand in the aftermath of a natural tic Product.
his focus was on what governments could disaster, what Larry Summers and his kind Japan also has substantial foreign savings.
do to promote growth when the economy is overlook is the fact that the calamity that Since it is unlikely that Japanese consumption
in deep recession due to lack of demand - a befell Japan naturally has a negative impact will be cut back enough to finance all the new
lack of demand so deep that the economy’s on Japan’s capital stock. An earthquake investment undertakings, Japan might be a
supply side is nowhere in sight. And what causes material damage which decreases net importer of capital for some quarters. This
Keynes in fact argued in favour of was greater the capital stock. When it comes to natio- means somewhat less net foreign income,
public expenditure on useful investment pro- nal accounting this means that even if Gross but helps to increase income produced on
jects. Should a lack of understanding stand Domestic Product does not fall substantially domestic soil.
in the way of loose fiscal policy, however, he from Q4 2010 to Q1 2011, the Net Domestic On the positive side one could also
thought that natural or man-made calamities Product surely has. The difference between argue that the economy gets a boost from
might be able to do the job for politicians. the two concepts is that the latter takes into the increased work effort in the aftermath of
Macroeconomics has advanced somewhat account capital depreciation. (Exactly how disasters. Even apart from rescue operations,
since Keynes wrote his then revolutionary much capital was destroyed is too soon to humanitarian aid and the increased hours
work. And one thing that most economists say.) It is Net Domestic Product, rather than that businessmen and the self-employed
now agree on is that if monetary policy is its more familiar Gross counterpart, that gives have to put in in order to avoid ruin, there
used efficiently, a recession will bring about the better indication about how much a nation may also be a more general willingness to
low enough interest rates to stimulate both can consume without reducing its capacity to increase work efforts in the aftermath of a
investment and consumption so that the consume in the future. disaster.
gap between demand and supply closes. Of Since both savings and time are needed Natural disasters can hardly be said to
course, if a slump is severe enough, the lower to replenish capital stock, for the time being increase well-being, however. Leisure too is a
zero limit on nominal interest rates might be Japan will have less capital available for the consumer good, even though it is not counted
binding. And then there is indeed a case to production of goods and services. Less labour as such in national accounts. As an analogy,
make for timely and targeted, i.e. producti- too, of course, since according to official data if governments were to outlaw vacations for
vity enhancing, public investment projects. the earthquake and tsunami killed at least a year, output would certainly rise, but we
24 000. In addition supply chains have been would not therefore conclude that we were
More imports, fewer exports broken up, and businesses need to figure out better off.
The economy has just gone through such a new ways to produce and transport goods. Just a couple of years ago a very Keyne-
slump, and some countries, including Japan, In short, Japan’s economy will suffer. In the sian senior figure in the Japanese Ministry
were probably in a so-called liquidity trap short term via a sharp drop in Net Domestic of Finance told the Financial Times that what
between the autumn of 2008 and the autumn Product, and over the medium term with a Japan needed was a huge earthquake. I won-
of 2009. Since then, however, the global eco- Gross Domestic Product that is lower than der whether the tsunami washed away that
nomy has been through a strong, if not full, it could have been. We will probably see at dubious thought.

S K A G E N F u n d s m a r ke t Re p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
10 Theme

A Letter From Arabia


Midhat Syed works in the International department of SKAGEN Funds. She grew up in Saudi Arabia until leaving for university in the UK
in 2003, returning for short annual visits. In this travel letter from Jeddah in March 2011, she offers us a glimpse into a region currently
dominating news headlines.

gest city are humble. From starting out as a partnership projects and these have proved
sleepy fishing village, it has grown to a city very successful, drawing foreign capital as
of around four million with a broad mix of well. Further, the economy is very open for
ethnicities. Visitors to Jeddah find a unique trade, making local businesses quite com-
blend of the conservative and the cosmopo- petitive and improving the supply chain for
litan in the people who live here. This is a key consumer goods.
commercial town and a gateway for Muslim
pilgrims. Across the country to the East lie Social value to provide
the main oil-drilling and industrial towns, Women’s rights are also a hot topic. Basic
while in the centre of the Kingdom you find rights, such as being allowed to drive, nor-
the capital of Riyadh. mally make quite conservative women (never
mind feminists) hot under the collar. The
So what challenges does the Kingdom face? discussion has been opened up for parlia-
The most commonly-mentioned problems mentary debate and a decision is currently
here relate to the “disaffected youth” of Saudi awaited. A move by the king two years ago to
Arabia and high unemployment, currently introduce the first female minister (the deputy
running over 10%. However, there are great minister of female education) was lauded glo-
Following unrest in Arab states there has class divides. While there is a shortage of bally as a step towards granting women more
been a substantial increase in interest in the skills among some of the youth from the lower rights and power, but little else has followed.
Middle Eastern region of late. This region is classes, typical middle class families increa- This, however, overlooks the social values
a major global supplier of both energy and singly enrol their children in higher educa- instilled in men from childhood who take
capital. tion programs abroad (normally the US or seriously their responsibility to provide for
My visit home to Jeddah is slightly diffe- Europe). This has to some extent initiated a their mothers, sisters, wives and daughters.
rent this time. As well as meeting friends and “brain drain”. Everyone, however, feels entit- There was some public unease about
family, I am also working, trying to view the led to well-paying jobs with status attached. infrastructure following floods in Jeddah in
place where I grew up from an outsider’s per- This, combined with a steady flow of cheap January. Infrastructure, while mostly newish
spective – capture every quirk that I would skilled and unskilled labour from South and and rapidly developing, still suffers from
have otherwise missed and give you a glimpse South-East Asia, contributes to the problem. bureaucracy when it comes to maintenance
into a region dominating the headlines. The government’s bid to combat the issue and repairs. In fact, most aspects of com-
Whenever I come back, I am amazed at involves promoting “Saudisation” (industry merce involve going through a layer of offi-
how many new structures have gone up in quotas to hire a minimum percentage of Sau- cial procedure which requires personal con-
the space of just one year – a new mega mall dis), leading to labour market inefficiencies tacts and influences. Still, doing business
(one of the biggest in the Middle East), a few and social resentment. in Saudi Arabia is easier than it is in Sweden
office buildings, an underpass, and a bridge There are some economic issues brewing and France, according to the World Bank (one
to name but a few. 4x4s, luxury saloons and as well. These include a shortage in hou- should bear in mind the more restrictive legis-
taxis chaotically hurtle around roundabouts sing for the steadily expanding indigenous lations that these countries have in place).
of epic proportions housing open-air art pro- population, a culture more geared to spen-
jects, horns blaring at the Audi too slow to ding than saving, and historically largely Decisions through consensus
react when the traffic light turns green. government-driven economic projects. Still, People also tend to ask about local politics,
for every issue, there are some opportunities. a topic generally conducted behind a heavy
The unique Jeddah blend While parts of the economy have appeared veil. In this region, religion and politics, all
If your mind is starting to wander to images of stagnant for the past decade or so, there has wrapped within the context of a tribal society,
Dubai at this point, let me pull you back from been notable growth in mining, telecoms, have moved hand-in-hand for centuries. As
a vision of a city on steroids. and construction. Recently, the government the home of two of the most holy sites for
The origins of Saudi Arabia’s second lar- has started pushing for more public-private Muslims, it is not hard to see why.

S K A G E N F u n d s m a r ke t Re p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
Theme 11

large-scale demonstrations have become an everyday occurrence in many arab countries, such as the one pictured here in Cairo. in Saudi arabia, a lack of direct unified opposition and no
viable alternative to the current monarchy means that an uprising is less unlikely, says midhat Syed.

the presiding political system is an abso- low cost of living dah is just one city in Saudi Arabia, and argu-
lute monarchy, and monarchist systems have the Saudi economy is very competitive – with ably the most liberal one. the pulse taken
governed this region for centuries. the royal low fiscal taxes, low customs duties and an here doesn’t represent religious resentment
family numbers in the thousands and a suc- open international trade policy. Both local in the Shia’a-dominant East, which may be
cessor is chosen according to the Basic Law and foreign businesses enjoy a level playing particularly strong following the military sup-
of Saudi Arabia. In 2007, the Crown prince field. this leads to a liberal supply chain, port provided by Saudi Arabia to the Bahraini
was elected by members of the royal family which in turn keeps the general cost of living royal family, or in the centre, where hard-line
representing each line of succession from low. Further, basic goods such as gasoline, religious police can stop you from whatever
Abdul Aziz Al Saud (father of the current king). food and water are heavily subsidised by the else you are doing at prayer time to send you
decisions of national importance are made government. You can buy a packet of bread or to a mosque or ask your wife to cover herself
through consensus in the family and consul- small bottle of water for 1 Saudi riyal (about more thoroughly. resentments there may
tation with major local business families and Eur 0.19). A litre of petrol is 0.60 Saudi riyals still brew and the unruly few may yet unite
religious clerics (via a pseudo-parliament (just Eur 0.11). to throw the country into turmoil.
formed of key representatives from society, Saudis are very charitable as a social
called majlis Ash-Shura). norm so there is little visible poverty. occa-
For people to rise up and protest against sionally you will see someone meandering
the current monarch, there has to be a viable between cars at intersections when the traf- abouT The auThor
alternative. It is difficult to envisage a full fic lights turn red, but this typically tends to
upheaval of the monarchy given the lack of be someone selling flowers, chewing gum, midhat Syed is of Indian-pakistani origin
direct unified opposition. the current king is water, toys or some other knick-knack, rather and grew up in Saudi Arabia. She has a
financial education and holds economics
well-liked for his progressive policies towards than begging. As most basic social needs are
and finance degrees from the universities
infrastructure, higher education, the progres- met – something that was lacking in some of of York (BSc) and Warwick (mSc). Syed
sion of women’s rights, limiting the power of the newly revolutionised Arab states – there works in SKAGEN Fund’s International de-
clerics, and opening up the country. But the is one less reason to revolt here. partment. this travelogue represents the
pace of development is glacial. writer’s own views on the developments in
other parts of the Kingdom the middle East and Saudi Arabia.
reading this, you must bear in mind that Jed-

S K A G E N F u N d S m A r K E t r E p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
12 Co m pa n y c a s e

Eletrobras
– swimming against the tide
Patience is a virtue for an active manager. A good example of this is our long-term invest-
ment in Brazilian power company Eletrobras, which for a long time has been the company in
SKAGEN’s equity funds with both the lowest valuation and the highest price target.

Eletrobras has for many years played a stabi- The most important price trigger for Eletro- these companies has only been five percent
lising role in the portfolios of SKAGEN’s three bras, however, is a higher return on equity. over the past five years.
equity funds. In turbulent years Eletrobas has
tended to go against the tide, and this has Largest in Kon-Tiki Pulled down by currency
also been the case this year. After the first Ten years ago portfolio manager Kristoffer “A return on equity of only five percent in a
quarter the share price is up nine percent, Stensrud bought his first shares in what was country where the interest rate is 11 percent is
whilst the emerging markets are down four at that time a particularly Unpopular, Under- of course not good,” admits Kristoffer Stens-
percent, measured in EUR. valued and Under-researched Brazilian power rud, portfolio manager in SKAGEN Kon-Tiki.
Eletrobras’s share price was given a boost company, Eletrobras. Over the past seven years the Brazilian
when the natural disaster in Japan clearly Over the last seven years Eletrobras has real has doubled in value against the US dol-
highlighted the risks associated with nuclear been amongst the largest holdings in SKA- lar. Since Eletrobras has large outstanding
energy. With the nuclear reactors in Japan GEN Kon-Tiki, accounting for 6.5 percent of claims in dollars, this has had a negative
now out of control, many countries have put the fund at the end of March. As of this date impact on the accounts, and on the return
a temporary halt on the construction of new Eletrobras was also the third largest holding on equity. If we use a rough cash flow con-
nuclear plants, particularly in China. What in both SKAGEN Global and SKAGEN Vekst. cept, like earnings before interest, taxes,
the longer term effect will be is hard to say. Our investment in Eletrobras has provided depreciation and amortization (EBITDA), the
However, it seems obvious that hydroelec- a satisfactory return of approximately 19 per- picture is somewhat different. In this case
tric power, which is a more environmen- cent annually since 2004, measured in EUR. Eletrobras is trading at 6-7 times cash flow,
tally friendly and less risky alternative, will Yet the share is still priced at only 0.4 times which corresponds to a return on equity of
become more attractive. book value. This makes the holding a good 14-15 percent.
The curtailed construction of new nuclear contributor to the overall relatively low price
plants is one of several triggers that could to book (P/B) ratio in our portfolio, both in Rising electricity prices and profitability
push Eletrobras towards our price target of absolute and relative terms. Brazil is a socially democratic country with
65-70 Brazilian real (BRL). This is more than There is nevertheless a good reason why widespread poverty, and the government
twice the share price level at the beginning state dominated power companies like Eletro- would like electricity to be available to as
of the second quarter. bras have a low price tag. Return on equity for many people as possible, as quickly as pos-

S K A G E N F u n d s m a r ke t Re p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
Co m pa n y c a s e 13

sible. This means that there are strict rules


when it comes to the pricing of electricity.
With new licences the return on contract
prices for electricity is pre-agreed and is part of
the licensing conditions for new investments.
The contract price is based on a minimum
quantity. For any production over and above
this quantity there is a well functioning spot
market which is more profitable, albeit within
the geographical limitations.
The power market in Brazil was liberalised
in 2004. This was one of the reasons why SKA-
GEN bought into Eletrobras. Since then the
contract prices for electricity have increased
by 60-70 percent, to 80-90 reais/MWh.
“The contract prices for new projects, for
example the world’s third largest hydro power
plant Belo Monte, are around 70 reais/MWh for
70 percent of the minimum volume. The spot
price is in the range of 90 to 125 reais/MWh.
Over time the average price will converge on
the spot price, so that earnings at older plants
The world’s largest: Eletrobras owns 50 percent of the world’s largest hydroelectric plant, Itaipu Binacional, on the border
will increase,” explains Kristoffer. between Brazil and Paraguay.

Much to gain on the cost side


“Eletrobras has a great deal of upside in terms company at the beginning of 2000. Kristoffer is official owner, with Eletrobras owning 50 per-
of costs. There also seems to be a political wil- hoping for a similar outcome as a shareholder cent of the shares.
lingness to act here”, says Kristoffer. Initially in Eletrobras. Itaipu today supplies 20 percent of Brazil’s
the government will look to optimise earnings. “In terms of value development I estimate electricity, and 95 percent of Paraguay’s requi-
As is the case in Norway, there are huge geo- that we are about five to seven years behind rements. There is 14 GW of installed capa-
graphical differences in both the price and Petrobras. From a global perspective the valu- city whilst the annual production amounts to
availability of electricity. This will encourage ation of Eletrobras’s hydroelectric activities is slightly over 90 TWh. By way of comparison,
the development of a good transmission net- extremely low. The first steps were taken in the world’s sixth largest producer of hydroelec-
work. 2004, followed by the ensuing contract pro- tric power, Norway, produces approximately
cess. The next step will be this year’s renewal 130 TWh annually.
Vast power resources of concessions, which could have the same There is a lot of regulatory uncertainty
Eletrobras has vast power resources and positive effect on the share price that the allo- associated with the power sector, and it is
further development will substantially increase cation of licences had on the Petrobras share difficult to put a concrete price on Eletrobras’s
the supply of electricity. Investments of this price in 2004-2006”, says Kristoffer. ownership in Itaipu. Portfolio manager Torkell
scale require foreign capital, which is in turn Eide, who recently visited Eletrobras in Brazil,
dependent on a more predictable revenue Catalysts for doubling believes that a valuation of between 20 and 40
(lower political risk) and the potential for a According to Kristoffer triggers that could billion dollars for the entire Itaipu plant is not
higher return on equity. push Eletrobras towards SKAGEN Kon-Tiki’s unreasonable. At the end of March Eletrobras
“Making it more attractive to invest in Brazil price target of 70 reais include higher contract was valued at 21 billion dollars.
is one of the many objectives of the new politi- prices, increased production, new and more
cal leadership, led by President Dilma Rouseff. profitable investments and less capital tied up
Power shortages are starting to become evi- in claims against other electricity producers.
Price triggers
dent. It is therefore reassuring to see that large “All of this could boost return on equity,
projects started three to four years ago are and hopefully lift the share price,” concludes • Greater market liberalisation and
higher electricity prices in Brazil
keeping to budget and schedule”, says Kristof- a patient and optimistic Kristoffer Stensrud.
fer who adds that 2011 is the year when con- • Increased production
cessions granted in the 1970s and 1980s will A 20-40 billion dollar dam • New profitable investments
be renegotiated. The market is still at a loss Much of the complexity and value in Eletrobras • Reduction of capital tied up in claims
as to how to price these. However Eletrobras is tied up in Itaipu Binacional (see picture), the against other electricity producers
is indicating relatively good terms, precisely world’s largest hydropower plant in terms of
to attract long term capital. production. Greatest risk factors
The dam lies on the border between Brazil • Unpredictability of leading politicians
Could be a new Petrobras and Paraguay. Due to this geographical loca- • Continued unfocused leadership
SKAGEN Kon-Tiki and SKAGEN Global had a tion there is a special set of rules governing • Poor corporate governance
fantastic value development in the oil com- all aspects of the hydropower plant and dam.
pany Petrobras after they first bought into the The company Itaipu Binacional is listed as the

S K A G E N F u n d s m a r ke t Re p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
14 NE W S

New Managing director


in the Netherlands
Michiel Krauss has been appointed Managing Director SKAGEN Netherlands and assu-
med the position on 1 February 2011. The Netherlands is an important and growing
market for SKAGEN.

Michiel comes to SKAGEN from Wilton Invest- viding the best possible service and com- retail and HNW clients.
ment Services where he was Managing Direc- munication to our existing Dutch clients. He To further strengthen our presence and
tor. Prior to this he worked 18 years for Van will also contribute to the careful and mea- commitment in the Netherlands, SKAGEN
Lanschot Bankiers where he held various sured growth of a balanced client base in will be opening an office in Amsterdam over
senior management roles in the Nether- the Netherlands and reinforce SKAGEN’s the summer. The Amsterdam office will be
lands, Luxembourg and Switzerland within reputation as a well regarded boutique fund SKAGEN’s eleventh office – in addition to the
private banking, investment advisory and manager. six in Norway, and our offices in Stockholm,
wealth management. Altogether Michiel has SKAGEN received approval to market our Copenhagen, Gothenburg and London. Local
25 years experience in the industry, including funds in the Netherlands in 2006. Since then personnel in the Netherlands are currently
previous positions at Robeco Group and IS we have had good traction in the market and being recruited. In the meantime the exis-
Nederland. currently have approximately 1 billion euro ting client facing team from the International
In his new role Michiel will focus on pro- under management, predominantly from department in Stavanger will support Michiel.

Ole Søeberg new


portfolio manager
Ole Søeberg is to join SKAGEN Funds as a portfolio manager to further strengthen the
global and Norwegian equity fund SKAGEN Vekst.

Ole Søeberg will be responsible for analysing director of Investor Relations at TDC A/S, follo- “With his experience of capital markets,
existing and potential investments alongside wing positions at Alfred Berg and Carnegie in Ole Søeberg will be an excellent addition to
a team comprising 9 fund managers. Denmark where he built up broad experience the portfolio managers that already make up
Ole Søeberg has extensive experience analysing global equities. He began his career the SKAGEN Vekst team. We are very pleased
in both global and Danish capital markets. at Copenhagen-based research firm, Dansk that he has accepted the position of portfolio
He joins SKAGEN from his position as Mana- Aktie Analyse. For the past four years Søeberg manager,” says Kristian Falnes, Investment
ging Director of the insurance company Tryg has been a member of the Board of Directors Director at SKAGEN.
where he was responsible for Investor Rela- of SKAGEN AS. He has stepped down from the Ole Søeberg will take up his new role at
tions since 2006. Previously, Søeberg was Board to assume his new position. SKAGEN in the first half of 2011.

S K A G E N F u n d s m a r ke t Re p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
neWS 15

Switzerland here we come


SKaGen Funds has received permission from the Swiss Financial market Supervisory
authority (Finma) to market its funds SKaGen Global, SKaGen Kon-Tiki, SKaGen vekst
and SKaGen Tellus in Switzerland.

In addition to its home markets in the Nordic building up our activities in Switzerland,” SKAGEN employees will service Switzerland
countries, SKAGEN currently markets its says tim Warrington, Head of International remotely from our International office based
funds in Luxembourg, the Netherlands and in SKAGEN. in Stavanger, Norway, responding to client
the uK. the decision to expand operations the defining ambition of SKAGEN is to enquiries and following up existing clients
into Switzerland was based on a growing provide clients with the best possible risk as required.
interest and demand from Swiss investors. adjusted return at the same time as offering “We look forward to learning more about
“thanks to strong returns for our existing the best possible client service and commu- Switzerland and to meeting interesting
clients and excellent ratings for our funds, we nication. Asset gathering has never been, clients, partners and prospects,” says tim
have experienced increasing interest from the and never will be, a goal for SKAGEN. As Warrington. “With its long tradition of excel-
Swiss market over the past few years. We are has previously been done in other interna- lence in financial services, we are confident
delighted to now have the necessary permis- tional markets, SKAGEN plans to develop its that we can learn a lot from the Swiss market;
sion in place to be able to actively respond footprint in Switzerland in a controlled and lessons that we can recycle to the benefit of
to these enquiries, and hope to slowly start measured manner. Initially a team of three all our clients.”

inFormaTion For inveSTorS


in SWiTZerland

Acolin Fund Services AG, Stadelho-


ferstrasse 18, CH-8001 Zürich, is the
representative of the above funds in
Switzerland. Frankfurter Bankgesells-
chaft (Schweiz) AG, Börsenstrasse 16,
8001 Zürich, is the paying Agent in Swit-
zerland. the prospectuses, the simpli-
fied prospectuses and the semi-annual
and annual reports may be obtained,
free of charge, from the representative.

Team Switzerland (from left to right): Samantha Skurtveit, barbara Willoughby, Stein haben, midhat Syed.

a great place to work


SKAGEN is one of the best places to work ted to be the largest employee survey world- has offices in several European countries.
in Norway according to a survey carried out wide. Following this year’s survey, SKAGEN is the organisation is in a period of growth
by the Great place to Work Institute. Each ranked number 9 of 68 companies in Norway and development and has gone from being
year the Institute carries out a survey among in the category 50-250 employees. a Scandinavian to a European fund manager
employees and ranks companies on how What distinguishes SKAGEN is that it is and is now a multicultural workplace.
satisfied people are with their workplace. a founder company, although it has gradu- the awards ceremony this year took place
the Great place to Work survey is repu- ally grown to employ over 150 people and in oslo on 9 march.

S K A G E N F u N d S m A r K E t r E p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
16 neWS

morningstar qualitative ratings


for SKaGen’s equity funds
internationally renowned fund research firm morningstar has for the past two years
produced qualitative ratings on our equity funds SKaGen Kon-Tiki, SKaGen Global and
SKaGen vekst. We are now making the reports available to our clients.

the morningstar fund evaluation is based the scale. Also in this report, morningstar
on the research firm’s own principles, which spends time evaluating the portfolio mana-
it believes to be predictive of future perfor- gers. Beate Bredesen and ross porter, who
mance. the research approach only partially manage SKAGEN Vekst, took over the fund a
puts weight on past performance and back- year ago when Falnes moved on to SKAGEN
ward-looking risk measures. more important Global. morningstar notes that “this fund’s
is an assessment of the fund’s portfolio mana- good parent and process are key strengths, nal investors,” according to the independent
ger team and processes, coupled with an eva- but we would like to see more from the new Chicago-based company’s documentation
luation of the parent company behind the managers.” about the reports.
fund. the reports contain views on strengths morningstar’s qualitative research aims the morningstar reports on SKAGEN’s
and weaknesses based on assessments of “to help investors determine a fund’s over- equity funds can be downloaded from our
people, parent, process, performance and all investment merit to help them construct website where they can be found in the right
price associated with the funds. diversified portfolios and achieve their hand column of the respective fund pages.
the morningstar qualitative rating sys- goals.” the reports can thereby “be used the Standard & poor’s ratings for the funds
tem has five levels. the lowest is “Impai- within an investment decision making pro- are also available here. Alternatively, go to
red” and the highest is “Elite”. According to cess by individuals, advisers, and institutio- the ratings page of our web site.
morningstar, the highest rating is awarded
to those funds believed to be capable of out-
performing their peers in the long run.
SKAGEN Kon-tiki has been assigned an
“Elite” rating in the four page morningstar
report for the fund. the report states that
“the managers have executed SKAGEN’s firm
wide investment process skilfully” and that
the fund is “one of the best emerging market
funds available.”
SKAGEN Global has been assigned a
“Superior,” which is the ranking just below
“Elite” on the scale. “Superior” means that
the fund is above average and capable of
outperforming its peers. the morningstar
report for SKAGEN Global evaluates the new
portfolio managers of the fund following the
change in management that took place a year
ago. the report highlights portfolio manager
Kristian Falnes’s long experience and con-
cludes that “there’s a lot to like” about this
global equity fund.
our third equity fund, SKAGEN Vekst, has
been assigned a “Standard” rating, which
is the middle rating of the five levels on

S K A G E N F u N d S m A r K E t r E p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
NE W S 17

Our investment philosophy


PORTFOLIO MANAGERS

Beate Bredesen Kristian Falnes Elisabeth A. Gausel Søren Milo Christensen Torgeir Høien Knut Harald Nilsson Ross Porter

Chris-Tommy Simonsen Ola Sjöstrand Kristoffer Stensrud Jane Sirevåg Tvedt Cathrine Gether Torkell Eide

The companies show the way rewarded as handsomely as possible for the analysis. That reduces the risk. One important
The objective of SKAGEN Funds is to provide risk assumed. Two funds with equal returns element in our research is ethics. In the long
our unitholders with the best possible return may in fact have completely different risk pro- term, it does not pay to invest in companies
on the risk they assume. We subscribe to a files. In that case, the fund with the lowest that are unethical, whether we are talking
value based management philosophy and absolute risk is clearly best. That way, you get about environmental sinners, companies
have a broad mandate, which means that the highest risk-adjusted return. benefiting from illegal child labour or other
our managers may freely choose shares in illegalities.SKAGEN Funds also carefully con-
companies on stock exchanges worldwide. Avoiding bubbles siders political and other risks. We are atten-
Risk is reduced by investing in a number As opposed to many other managers, who tive to industry imbalances and too narrow
of companies in different industries world- invest in companies because they are repre- geographic diversification, and we keep a
wide. SKAGEN Funds focuses on values. We sented in an index, we buy the companies close watch on corporate leverage.
search for companies that are Undervalued, we think are the most attractive, regardless
Underresearched and Unpopular. Thoroughly of indices. That way, we avoid being led into Belief in common sense
researched and popular companies tend to be index temptation – which at times results in In recent years we have visited – or been visi-
overvalued, with an equally high downside popular industries and shares achieving a far ted by – hundreds of companies at home and
potential when the share goes out of fashion. too high price relative to what they can defend abroad, in order to gather first hand infor-
Historically speaking, SKAGEN Funds’ mana- with respect to values and earnings. Bubbles mation. The financial strength, price and
gement philosophy, combined with our focus form, and sooner or later burst. Such bubble profit development are thoroughly analysed
on values, has produced good returns. We periods create a good climate for us active before decisions are made. We put more stock
have competent managers who are faithful managers to find Undervalued, Unpopular in our own analysis than in others, and are
to the investment philosophy. and Under-researched companies. Over time, confident that our own research contributes
however, it is always corporate values and to us always knowing something extra about
Rewarded for risk-taking value creation that form the basis for stock our investments.
One of the portfolio managers’ tasks is to exchange pricing. We don’t believe in rumours and whims.
balance the risk in the securities markets on Rather we rely on common sense and hard
behalf of the unitholders. As a unit owner, Thorough analysis reduces risk work – without disregarding the sound intui-
you should therefore be interested in being Behind everything we do there is thorough tion you gain with experience.

S K A G E N F u n d s m a r ke t Re p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
18 p o r tf o l i o m a n a g e r s r e p o r t

Equity markets show strength


G
 lobal equity markets have
managed surprisingly well in a
quarter characterised by disaster
in Japan, unrest in the Middle
East and North Africa, as well as
inflation fear in the emerging
markets.

 E xpectations of global economic


growth are still at a high level,
and long bond yields continue to

PHOTO: Bloomberg
tick up.

 L ittle debt and a lot of cash in


Massive destruction: the earthquake in Japan and ensuing tsunami caused wide-scale damage and resulted in one of the
companies have led to increased worst nuclear accidents ever. Parts of the energy supply in Japan are out of action with significant immediate consequences
for the country’s industry.
dividend payments to sharehol-
ders, share buy-back and greater
M&A activity.

 uring the first quarter there


D
were bids on three of our
portfolio companies – Pride
International, Parmalat and
Kim Eng Holding. All bids were
well above market price.

 E quities are priced in line with


historic averages, and there are
PHOTO: Bloomberg

PHOTO: Bloomberg
still expectations of strong
growth in company earnings.
Uprising: As a result of the unrest and uprising in several countries in the Middle East and North Africa, the UN undertook
military intervention in Libya while the Egyptian president Hosni Mubarak was forced to abdicate. The country’s stock ex-
C
 ompanies’ share prices have change was closed for almost two months.

this year developed in a way


that is less governed by and
synchronised with macroecono-
mic events than was the case
in 2010. That is positive for
value based stockpickers like
SKAGEN.

 e therefore believe that our


W
investment philosophy will be a
good tool for creating good
PHOTO: Bloomberg

absolute and relative return for


our unitholders in 2011.
Stock market winner: Despite the accidents, turmoil and inflation fears that characterized the first quarter, the global equi-
ty markets have held their own. The winning sector was energy. On the company side Gazprom was high up the list. The
Russian gas giant joined the portfolios of SKAGEN Kon-Tiki and SKAGEN Global last autumn.

S K A G E N F u n d s m a r ke t Re p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
p o r tf o l i o m a n a g e r s r e p o r t 19

Financial markets weathered the storm


INVESTORS SCARED OFF BY INFLATION
Global equities did well in fending off the
tragic earthquake in Japan, the unrest in the Billion USD

120
Middle East and inflation worries in the first 96
100
quarter 2011. The MSCI All Country Index 80
83

fell by 1.1 percent measured in euro. Unsur- 60 54

prisingly the sector winner was the energy 40 33 34


20 16
sector which gained 7 percent. It was the only 7 0
8
0
sector with meaningful positive return. -20
-3 -4 -4
Among the larger markets, energy-inten- -40
-24

sive Russia, up 9 percent, was the winner, -60 -49


1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
while the stock market in Egypt lost almost Source: MDSW, EPFR Global - 30 March 2011
one third of its value after the market reope-
ned following an almost two-month closure. Rapid mood swings: USD 96 billion flowed into emerging markets funds in 2010. Inflation fears led to USD 24 billion finding its
way out again in the first quarter. The flow of money has changed direction again over the past few weeks.
Japan lost 12 percent amid fears of the impact
of the earthquake while India fell 10 percent
on fragile valuations. Most markets in Eastern GROWTH SLOWED DOWN SOMEWHAT IN 2011
Europe performed relatively well after weak
returns in 2010. China 8,7 %
9,4 %
10,3 %

Despite a flurry of political and macroeco- Asia ex. Japan 4,6 %


6,0 %
7,5 %
9,1 %

Emerging economies
nomic news, long term yields in the US were 1,0 %
4,3 %
7,2 %

Latin-America 6,1 %
slightly up throughout the first quarter. In the Emerging Europe
-2,9 %
4,1 %
4,3 %
-5,0 %
Eurozone, however, the ECB set a hawkish Japan -5,2 %
0,9 %
4,0 %
2,9 %
tone after its March meeting, and the market’s US -2,4 %
2,3 %
2,8 % 2011e
Developed economies
expectations for the overnight interest rate -3,4 %
2,5 %
2,2 %
2010

Eurozone 1,7 % 2009


in the euro money market doubled from 0.7
-4,0 %

-7 % -5 % -3 % -1 % 1% 3% 5% 7% 9% 11 %
per cent. Long term yields too have risen in
Source: JP Morgan
the Eurozone, with the benchmark German
10 year bond yield up from 3.0 percent to
The major drivers decelerated: While the global economy experienced economic growth of 4.8 percent last year, growth is now
3.4 percent. expected to be around 4 percent. It is primarily tightening in the large emerging markets drivers of China, India and Brazil that are
pulling down. Among developed countries only disaster-struck Japan is experiencing a significant fall in growth.
While 2010 was characterised by record
flows into emerging markets funds of USD
96bn, inflation fears have reversed this trend
in 2011 and there have been large outflows. Surprised on the upside again 95 per barrel at the end of 2010 to USD 117;
At the same time global equity mandates Results for the last quarter of 2010 were again its highest level since August 2008. Libya pro-
received inflows amounting to USD 18bn. solid with all regions reporting in line or bet- duced 1.6m barrels of oil per day, equivalent
Emerging markets equities have under- ter than expected results. US companies beat to 2 percent of the global supply, before the
performed developed market equities by 4.5 net profit expectations by 5 percent to deli- upheaval. At present production is running
percentage points since the relative peak in ver earnings growth of 39 percent. This was at only 300k, but with very limited, if any,
November and by 2.5 percentage points since driven by a strong recovery for financials. shipment out of the country. The unrest in
the beginning of the year, after making up for Earnings excluding financials grew 19 per- the region has not yet impacted oil supply in
some of the lag recently. cent which was also ahead of expectations. other countries.
In Europe, results grew rapidly but were in
Good in relative though not absolute terms line with expectations. In emerging markets, Not so bad – for the economy
For our equity funds, both SKAGEN Global Asia delivered results above consensus fore- The tragic earthquake in Japan sent a new
and SKAGEN Kon-Tiki delivered solid relative, casts. In Latin America, Brazil surprised on wave of worries over the financial markets
albeit not satisfactory absolute returns. SKA- the upside while earnings for Mexico were in mid-March. A near term negative impact
GEN Global gained 1.9 percent, three percen- below expectations. on the Japanese economy is inevitable, but
tage points more than its benchmark index, the Kobe disaster in 1995 proved that the
while SKAGEN Kon-Tiki was down 0.2 percent Political unrest in MENA impact should be short lived. It is also worth
bringing it 3.4 percentage points ahead of The world is an uncertain place. Motivated mentioning that the impact on world econo-
the index. SKAGEN Vekst fell 0.1 percent, by the opposition which resulted in the fall mic growth should be negligible as Japan
slightly ahead of the 0.3 percent loss for its of the 30-year Mubarak regime in Egypt, we has contributed only 3-4 per cent to global
benchmark index. have seen a wave of opposition to the ruling growth in the past five years.
Our bond fund SKAGEN Tellus has intentio- regimes in other Middle Eastern and African Japan is a supplier of a number of key com-
nally kept a short duration, amid expectations countries. The unrest will obviously impact ponents for the automotive, engineering and
of a yield expansion at the long end of the near term economic growth negatively but electronics industries. In most cases, there
yield curve. SKAGEN Tellus also performed democratisation may improve the long term are alternative suppliers that can ramp up
better than its benchmark index, ending the growth prospects of the MENA region. production, but some companies will still
quarter 29 basis points ahead of the latter. The recent war in Libya has further sup- feel the near term effects of the damaged
ported the oil price which spiked from USD manufacturing capacity in Japan. We have

S K A G E N F u n d s m a r ke t Re p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
20 porTFolio manaGerS reporT

Cotton prices skyrocket: A sharp increase in cotton prices is having a strong negative impact on clothing retailers.

reviewed the supply chain for our core hol- of the shortfall will need to be replaced by poor CounTrieS hardeST hiT by
dings and believe that any impact on our com- liquefied natural gas, LNG. hiGher
enerGy Food
Share oFpriCeS
inFlaTion index
panies should be negligible and short lived, Food Share oF enerGy Share oF
apart from toyota Industries (1.3 percent of Global economic growth set to moderate CounTry inFlaTion index inFlaTion index
SKAGEN Global). the Korean auto makers Global Gdp growth reached 4.8 percent emerGinG marKeTS
Combined 31.4 6.0
and Samsung Electronics could benefit from in 2010 driven by emerging countries. In India 46.2 6.4
supply problems among Japanese competi- 2011, growth is expected to fall slightly to China 33.6 5.7
tors, although to what extent is as yet unclear. four percent with a deceleration of growth thailand 33.0 5.1
russia 32.2 2.4
the impact on energy supply is critical. in emerging markets where the tightening
Brazil 30.0 6.3
Nuclear power represents 25 percent of cycle in Brazil and a number of other markets turkey 27.6 7.7
energy demand in Japan and about a third is set to slow growth to six percent. China poland 24.6 15.4

of its capacity – or 8 percent of total energy and India, the two growth drivers in Em, are Hungary 23.0 9.9
Indonesia 19.6 5.9
supply – is out of production. rebuilding expected to deliver growth of nine and eight
mexico 19.0 7.9
capacity will likely be a long process and most percent respectively. Compared to three South Korea 14.0 4.4
months ago, global growth expectations
Source: Morgan Stanley
are only marginally down. We have seen a

more expenSive CoTTon, Silver and GaSoline

Cotton 39 %
Silver 22 %
Gasoline 21 %
Corn 10 %
Live cattle 9%
Coffee 9%
Lean hogs 9%
Nickel 5%
Aluminium 5%
Gold 1%
Soybeans -1 %
Natural gas -3 %
Copper -3 %
Sugar -6 %
Wheat -6 %

-10 % 0% 10 % 20 % 30 % 40 % 50 %

Source: Bache Commodity Index

Falling wheat prices: prices for food commodities such as Sharp price increase: during the first quarter of this year prices of several soft and hard commodities have risen substan-
wheat and sugar fell in the first quarter. that is music to tially. the price of gold is only just in positive territory while the price of food commodities such as sugar and wheat has
the ears of consumers in emerging markets. actually fallen six percent.

S K A G E N F u N d S m A r K E t r E p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
p o r tf o l i o m a n a g e r s r e p o r t 21

MERGER AND ACQUISITIONS PICK UP SPEED com sector to be in focus, as organic growth
is low and balance sheets are healthy. The
Mill. USD
1600 000 de-rated pharmaceutical sector is also as
1400 000 an obvious candidate for industry consoli-
1200 000 dation.
1000 000 In our equity funds, we have seen three
800 000 full or partial takeovers this year. These are, in
600 000
order of importance, Pride International, Par-
400 000
malat and Kim Eng Holding and have resulted
200 000
in a combined transaction value of EUR 736
0
million for our equity funds.
1. qtr. 95

3. qtr.95

1. qtr.96

3. qtr.96

1. qtr.97

3. qtr.97

1. qtr.98

3. qtr.98

1. qtr.99

3. qtr.99

1. qtr.00

3. qtr.00

1. qtr.01

3. qtr.01

1. qtr.02

3. qtr.02

1. qtr.03

3. qtr.03

1. qtr.04

3. qtr.04

1. qtr.05

3. qtr.05

1. qtr.06

3. qtr.06

1. qtr.07

3. qtr.07

1. qtr.08

3. qtr.08

1. qtr.09

3. qtr.09

1. qtr.10

3. qtr.10

1. qtr.11
Source: Dealogic, Goldman Sachs
Equities remain good value
Still some way off the peak: Following a period of moderate activity, merger and acquisition activity is now picking up
With stock prices more or less where they
speed again but is still some way off pre financial crisis levels. were at year-end and only marginal changes
to earnings expectations and government
LOWER PRICED EMERGING MARKETS bond yields, the appeal of equities conti-
nues to hold. Global equities now trade at
P/E
35x a P/E of 12.6 times consensus estimates for
MSCI EM MSCI World
2011 with an expected earnings growth of
30x
15%. Valuation is thus at the bottom end of
25x
its two year range and in line with the long
20x term average.
15x 14,1x We have recently stressed that the severe
13,2x
10x underperformance of larger companies, both
5x
in developed and emerging markets, has cre-
ated a situation in which large caps now offer
Dec-87

Dec-88

Dec-89

Dec-90

Dec-91

Dec-92

Dec-93

Dec-94

Dec-95

Dec-96

Dec-97

Dec-98

Dec-99

Dec-00

Dec-01

Dec-02

Dec-03

Dec-04

Dec-05

Dec-06

Dec-07

Dec-08

Dec-09

Dec-10

superior relative value. This still holds true as


Source: MSCI, Morgan Stanley Research - 31 march 2011. large caps continued to underperform slightly
in the first quarter of 2011. One exception to
No cause for vertigo: Based on current earnings, emerging markets are now priced at a P/E of 13.2 versus 14.1 for the deve-
loped markets. None of the price tags should cause vertigo. this observation is Norwegian equities, where
large caps have outperformed and we now
see better value in selected small and mid
slight downgrade for US and Japan and minor data. Much of the inflationary pressure is dri- cap companies.
upgrades for Emerging Asia. ven by escalating food and energy prices. 2010 was a year which proved difficult for
Data from the US has been mixed lately High soft commodity prices are partly explai- a number of active fund managers as stock
with the Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook ned by abnormal weather conditions in 2010. and sector correlation was high. In early 2011,
Index at a 27 year high, but durable goods Bearing in mind the short harvesting cycle we saw a notable decline in correlation, which
orders slipping into the red and private con- of commodities and the fact that high prices has increased somewhat again lately. We
sumption data on the weak side. A continu- stimulate supply, we expect to see inflation believe 2011 will be a year in which strong
ous decline in US residential housing prices, pressure from food prices to taper off in the franchises, pricing power and control of the
which have improved affordability to a level second half of the year. This is good news supply chain will prove to be critical and a
not seen since the index started in 1971, has for emerging countries, as the food share of year in which great opportunities will open
failed to attract buyers while existing home household consumption in EM is around 30 up to active managers. It is therefore encou-
sales continue to decline. The US 30 year percent versus 10-15 percent for developed raging that returns for all our equity funds, as
treasury yield went up 17bps during the first countries. Energy only comprises six percent well as our fixed income funds, are ahead of
quarter of 2011 to 4.49 percent. of the CPI basket in emerging countries versus their benchmark indices year-to-date.
ten percent for the US for example.
Belief in lower inflation
The Brazilian minister of finance introduced M&A picks up By Knut Harald Nilsson
the expression “currency war” last autumn, Merger and acquisition activity has, as we
when several emerging countries aimed to expected, picked up in the past year, but
stem speculative flows and weaken their is still far off the pre-crises level we saw in
currencies to sustain competitiveness. After 2007/2008. Across the globe, balance sheets
lengthy discussions at the G-20 summit in have seldom been stronger, with net debt for
Seoul in October, the FX discussion has the global universe at less than four times
waned this year as central banks have turned EBITDA. This combined with the thawing
their near focus on curbing inflation. of the credit market, low interest rates and
CPI is now running at six percent in emer- modest equity valuation, sets the scene for
ging countries while global inflation is hove- continuous strong M&A activity.
ring slightly south of three percent on recent We would expect the cash generative tele-

S K A G E N F u n d s m a r ke t Re p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
22 porTFolio manaGerS reporT

SKaGen vekst SKaGen veKST Key FiGureS For The larGeST holdinGS (aS oF 31 marCh 2011)

Company Size of holding, % price p/e 10e p/e 11e p/b last price target
perFormanCe (eur) January-marCh* laST 12 monThS* Kongsberg Gruppen 5,1 % 153,5 12,2 11,4 3,8 200
Samsung Electronics 3,2 % 625 000 6,6 6,9 1,0 750 000
SKAGEN Vekst -0.1 % 10.6 %
Eletrobras 3,0 % 30,6 10,0 9,5 0,4 65
mSCI AC/ oSEBX Index -0.3 % 14.4 % doF 2,6 % 55,8 11,2 1,3 70
Norsk Hydro 2,5 % 45,4 34,1 14,2 1,3 75
*As of 31 march 2011 Solstad offshore 2,5 % 130,0 10,0 1,1 160
Carnival Corp 2,5 % 38,4 15,3 12,0 1,3 60
SKaGen vekst team Gjensidige Forsikring 2,3 % 66,7 11,3 10,3 1,4 80
Wilh Wilhelmsen Holding 2,2 % 168,5 9,6 8,4 1,1 210
petroleo Brasileiro 2,1 % 28,5 8,0 8,6 1,1 45
Ganger rolf 2,0 % 151,5 15,6 6,6 1,2 205
Bonheur 2,0 % 167,0 11,1 6,0 1,1 220
Top 12 weighted average 32,0 % 13,1 9,3 1,1 42%
oSebx 13,9 11,4 1,8
World index 14,9 12,6 1,9

portfolio managers beate bredesen and ross porter

ahead of the index oslo Stock Exchange. investment in discovery offshore and Seadrill
In march we celebrated our first year at the In the global stock market we believe that offshoot North Atlantic drilling.
helm of SKAGEN Vekst and after a relatively it is still the largest companies that provide North Atlantic drilling’s rigs are amongst
poor start the fund has now beaten its bench- the best opportunities. In contrast to the Nor- the best in Norway, but the company is not
mark index for two consecutive quarters. wegian part of the portfolio, the international directly cheap based purely on the value of
We look forward to ole Søeberg joining the part consists of companies with a considera- the steel. discovery offshore, on the other
team in may. the addition of a third portfolio bly higher market value. At the same time we hand, does seem cheap based on the market
manager will in no way change how the fund still hold relatively few of the really large com- value of harsh environment jack-up rigs. the
is managed however. panies in the mSCI All Country World Index as company has ordered two rigs for delivery in
We continue to strive to construct a robust these are often not under-researched. 2013 and has options to buy a further two.
portfolio, that is to say a portfolio which falls In short, we maintain a no compromise We have raised our stakes in petrobras
less than the market in downturns yet also approach to the management of the fund; and seismic company tGS Nopec. the lat-
keeps up with the market when it rises. If managing money as if it were our own. ter has a unique asset light business model,
we succeed this will translate into a good something that should provide an extra pre-
absolute return over time to the benefit of impressive Kongsberg Gruppen mium compared to other seismic companies.
our unitholders. Although the fund’s return in the first quar- tGS Nopec is priced at 4.6 times the enter-
ter was moderate, it was nevertheless an prise value (EV) to cash flow from operations
Further from the index eventful first three months. Several of our
to achieve the desired portfolio construction larger holdings did well. Kongsberg Gruppen,
we have distanced ourselves further from the which is our largest holding, was once again ConTribuTorS FirST quarTer
largest companies in the benchmark index. the best contributor in absolute terms. the
largest positive contributors
For example at the end of the first quarter we company has an operating margin that is far
Company mnoK
only held one of the 13 largest companies on better than we could have dreamed of. the
Kongsberg Gruppen + 68
the oslo Stock Exchange. We continue to find order backlog is still good and the outlook Eltek + 46
better value in the smaller companies on the for a new framework agreement with the uS pride International + 42

military for the protector remote weapon sta- doF + 31


Eletrobras + 30
tion seems positive. Kongsberg maritime also
larGeST purChaSeS/SaleS has a strong order intake, for instance within
GjensidigeForsikring + 30
January-marCh
enerGy Share oF inFlaTion index
Solstadoffshore + 29
their dp systems (dynamic positioning) for marine Accurate Well + 28
largest purchases largest sales
new oil rigs. Norske Skogindustrier + 23
tGS Nopec Geophysical + 19
CompANY mNoK CompANY mNoK We still believe that a price to earnings
tGS Nopec 101 pride International -252
ratio of less than 12 is too cheap for a solid largest negative contributors
royal Caribbean
Carnival 98
Cruises
-104
company with good growth prospects. Kongs- Company mnoK
France telecom 97 pfizer -88 berg Gruppen also looks likely to be able to dixons retail -51
russland 66 Stolt-Nielsen -68 Carnival -51
raise its dividend in the coming years. this
morpol 50 rezidor -61 Aveng -23
Eletrobras 44 Farstad Shipping -60 should encourage further interest in the com- Norwegian Energy -22
Benetton 38 Superior Energy -49 pany. LG Electronics -19
Northland tevapharma -18
dixons retail 35 -44
resources
rig switch Samsung Electronics -17
Norwegian LG Corp -16
Kesko 34 -36
property After Ensco offered to buy pride International, Ganger rolf -16
Norwegian Car
29 Solstad offshore -36 we sold all our shares in pride at a solid profit. Bonheur -15
Carriers
Some of the proceeds were used to buy an

S K A G E N F u N d S m A r K E t r E p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
p o r tf o l i o m a n a g e r s r e p o r t 23

for 2011. These are extremely conservative


earnings expectations.

Noreco – the loser of the quarter


After the failure of its “garage sale”, Noreco
ended up being the worst performer in the
first quarter. The managing director has step-
ped down and we expect new management
and board members to restore some of the
lost trust in the company. The level of confi-
dence in the company is at record lows, to put
it mildly. We have chosen to keep our stake in
the company – for the time being.
The offshore supply companies have been
good contributors in the quarter. We have uti-
lised the increased interest and rising share
prices to exit Havila Shipping and reduce our
stakes in Solstad Offshore and Farstad Off-
shore. The offshore supply companies still
constitute a little more than seven percent
of the total portfolio.
We exited Northland Resources and
booked a good profit. The company is still in
the developmental stage. If the current iron
ore prices prevail until the Kaunasvari mine
opens in 2014 there will be a large upside.
If, however, the iron ore prices drop back to
historic levels, the negative impact could be
significant.
Our stake in Turkish gold producer Koza
Altin Islet was increased significantly. This
company extracts gold at a quarter of the
current gold price. The company is also cur-
rently priced at ten times this year’s expected
earnings.

Debt-free Swedish pulp


We have built up a significant position in the
Swedish pulp producer Rottneros. After we
bought shares the company published good
earnings figures and introduced a dividend
corresponding to a dividend yield of four PHOTO: Bloomberg

percent. This has resulted in a good share


price increase. Rottneros is debt free and is
benefitting from rising pulp prices.
Norwegian Car Carriers, which also ships Poor fashion and high cotton prices: The share price of Italian clothing retailer Benetton was affected by low sales growth,
freight other than cars, came into the portfolio a poor clothes collection last autumn and high prices of the company’s central input, cotton.
in February when the shipping company was
raising money to buy a new vessel. Norwegian region and an ongoing cost cutting program growth in new markets, especially in India
Car Carriers is priced at less than book value did not prevent the company from also beco- and Turkey, and an expansion in children’s
and from the autumn will be able to enter ming this year’s worst contributor so far. clothing, coupled with falling cotton prices,
into new freight agreements at higher prices. will make the company more popular.
Some of our investment in Norwegian Car Unpopular Italian clothing Another newcomer is Kesko of Finland.
Carriers was financed by reducing our stake Another new holding is Italian clothing retailer The company has a 35 percent market share
in Wilh. Wilhelmsen. Benetton. As a result of low sales growth, in food trade in Finland and healthy margin
Unfortunately we increased our holding poor autumn clothing lines and high prices levels. Kesko also has activities within the
in electronics retailer Dixons, which was last for its main raw material, cotton, the company building and home improvement, car and
year’s worst contributor to the fund’s return. is very unpopular at the moment. We couldn’t machinery and home and specialty goods
After we bought shares the company announ- resist the temptation of a solid balance sheet, trades. In addition to its operations in Finland
ced lower sales in Great Britain and southern huge values within property, high dividend the company has activities in Russia and the
Europe. Good sales figures from the Nordic and a downtrodden stock price. Substantial Baltic countries, where it has considerable

S K A G E N F u n d s m a r ke t Re p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
24 p o r tf o l i o m a n a g e r s r e p o r t

market shares.
Kesko is cheap measured in terms of price
to sales, but its margins are currently low
within the building and home improvement
trade. Margin improvement in this business
segment, in addition to a possible sale of the
car division, may be triggers for a revaluation
of the stock. The company also has a strong
balance sheet, which can be utilised for further
expansion in Russia.

Stranded cruise
Increased fuel costs and turmoil in the Middle
East and North Africa resulted in a bruising for
cruise operators’ share prices in the quarter.
We completed our switch from RCCL to Carni-
val, which we believe represents better value
for money. Carnival was one of the fund’s lar-
gest negative contributors in the quarter. The
share price decline seems excessive based
on what the increased fuel cost and turmoil

PHOTO: Rottneros
in the Middle East and North Africa actually
mean for the company.
The pharmaceutical sector was a mixed
bag in the first quarter. One of the winners
Into Swedish pulp: SKAGEN Vekst bought a relatively large holding in Swedish pulp producer Rottneros just before the
in the quarter was Axis-Shield. At the same company reported good quarterly figures, which resulted in a good price lift for the share.
time Teva Pharma was one of the largest nega-
tive contributors. Axis-Shield is showing good With a price to cash flow of less than nine outlook for return on capital has been much
development in new markets and had better and an expected growth rate of 10 percent better within, for example, P&C insurance. Our
earnings than the year before. going forward, we still find the company att- holding Gjensidige became one of the quarter’s
Some analysts reacted negatively to Teva’s ractively priced. winners.
presentation of last year’s fourth quarter num- After good gains for Pfizer we sold our hol- Despite our aversion to banks we still ventu-
bers, with guidance for 2011 being lowered ding in the quarter. red into Danske Bank and invested about one
somewhat. The fact that the company was one percent of the fund in this Danish bank. The
of the price losers in the first quarter this year Venturing into Danish bank shares were bought both before and during the
was largely due to a weakening of the dollar Within finance our strategy has been to be cau- bank’s raising of capital at the end of March/
against the Norwegian kroner. tious when it comes to traditional banks. The beginning of April. After the share sale the
bank has better capital coverage than most of
the Nordic banks. For this we paid well below
the book value
Like SKAGEN’s two other equity funds we
have also participated in the equity issue in
Eletrobras and benefitted from the subsequent
increased stock price. Our stake in France
Telecom was also increased somewhat in the
quarter.
We believe that the SKAGEN Vekst portfolio
is now well balanced and we appreciate the
opportunity to rejuvenate the portfolio with
new and cheaper companies. We are optimistic
as we head into spring.
PHOTO: Bloomberg

Read more about the fund on page 34


Danish bank: Despite our doubt about traditional banks, we took a chance and bought a stake corresponding to one per- SKAGENFUNDS.COM/SKAGEN-VEKST
cent of the fund in Danske Bank, at a price well below the bank’s book equity. Following a share sale at the end of the quar-
ter, the bank’s capital coverage is among the best of the large banks in Scandinavia.

S K A G E N F u n d s m a r ke t Re p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
porTFolio manaGerS reporT 25

SKaGen Global SKaGen Global Key FiGureS For The larGeST holdinGS (aS oF 31 marCh 2011)

Company Size of holding, % price p/e 10e p/e 11e p/b last price target
perFormanCe (eur) January-marCh* laST 12 monThS* Samsung Electronics 6,7 % 625 000 7,0 6,5 1,0 780 000
Eletrobras 4,5 % 30,6 11,7 10,7 0,4 50
SKAGEN Global 1.9% 15.4%
tyco International 4,3 % 44,8 16,2 14,7 1,5 50
mSCI AC -1.1% 8.9% pfizer 3,4 % 20,3 8,9 9,1 1,9 22
Accenture 2,7 % 55,0 18,6 17,2 10,7 60
*As of 31 march 2011 Citigroup 2,6 % 4,4 12,6 10,5 0,8 8
Bunge 2,2 % 72,3 17,4 12,3 0,9 75
SKaGen Global team
pride International 2,1 % 43,0 30,2 16,6 1,7 42
Kyocera 2,1 % 8430 13,0 14,1 1,2 11 000
Gazprom 2,0 % 32 6,5 5,7 0,9 50
Top 12 weighted average 32,8 % 10,9 9,8 1,0 29 %
World index n.a. 14,9 12,6 1,9 n.a.

be relatively high in 2011, with the large of our pride shares were bought in 2005 and
emerging markets countries as the most 2006, the annual return is only satisfactory
portfolio managers Kristian Falnes, Torkell eide, important contributors to growth. however.
Søren milo Christensen and Chris-Tommy Simonsen.

accepted offer for parmalat longed for lift for eletrobras


For SKAGEN Global the most important the long heralded share issue in Eletrobras
event of the quarter was the decision to sell took place in February. We used our rights
relatively good our entire stake in Italian dairy producer par- to subscribe shares in the company. Since
this year has so far been characterised by malat. At the time of selling, we owned five the share issue resulted in an overhang of
natural disasters in Japan, New Zealand and percent of the company, which was equal to shares for sale in the market, we also used
Australia, as well turmoil in oil-exporting sta- 4.3 percent of the total portfolio. the opportunity to increase our position in
tes in the middle East and North Africa. together with Swedish Zenit Asset mana- the company at attractive prices. once the
In this turbulent climate SKAGEN Global gement and Canadian mackenzie Financial flotation was carried out, we saw the longed
has experienced a positive and relatively Corp. we put forward a list of candidates to for price lift for Eletrobras, which was one of
good first quarter, with an excess return of the new Board of directors to be decided at the largest negative contributors last year.
3.0 percentage points relative to the world the forthcoming general meeting in parmalat. We believe that Eletrobras is still largely
index. Since the manager change at the begin- the rationale behind our proposal was a wish undervalued relative to current earnings, but
ning of march last year, SKAGEN Global is to bring in a Board that was better suited to
eight percentage points ahead of the fund’s exploit the company’s strong financial posi-
ConTribuTorS FirST quarTer
benchmark index. tion to find attractive growth opportunities.
despite rising oil prices and a tight mar- French Groupe Lactalis then increased
largest positive contributors
ket for a number of other commodities, the their holding in the company substantially
Company mnoK
inflation pressure has so far not put a damper and offered us Eur 2.80 euro per share. We parmalat + 421
on economic developments. most indicators accepted the bid, which was 40 percent more pride International + 234
are still signalling that global growth will also than when we first entered the company in the Eletrobras + 149
pfizer + 126
summer of 2009. the lion’s share of the value
Gazprom + 112
increase came in the first quarter of this year, Baker Hughes + 104
larGeST purChaSeS/SaleS making parmalat by far the best contributor Cliffs Natural resources + 93
January-marCh
enerGy Share oF inFlaTion index of the quarter. Bunge + 77
largest purchases largest sales Nabors + 74
Accenture + 70
CompANY mNoK CompANY mNoK down in pride following bid
tesco 757 parmalat -1511 Another of the fund’s larger investments, largest negative contributors
China mobile 349 renault -587 namely rig operator pride International, Company mnoK
Samsung Electronics -138
Gazprom 301 pride International -464
received a bid from competitor Ensco at the
Citigroup -94
unilever 287 Bunge -399
beginning of February. pride shareholders ternium -75
Eletrobras 267 Noble -279 were offered uSd 15.6 in cash and 0.4778 microsoft -69
Vimpelcom 259 Cheung Kong -122 shares in Ensco for each pride share held. China mobile -69
Citigroup 215 time Warner Cable -95 LG Corp -55
the offer price represented a premium of 21
Asya Katilim Vimpelcom -53
Bankasi
147 Calpine -45 percent to the market price. tesco -45
petrobras 97 Kyocera -40 We have reduced our holding in pride by Finnair -43

Comcast 95
Chaoda modern
Agriculture
-36 around 35 percent since the bid was laun- EFG Hermes -42

ched, at a good profit. Given that the majority

S K A G E N F u N d S m A r K E t r E p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
26 p o r tf o l i o m a n a g e r s r e p o r t

not least relative to the estimated market


value of the company’s distribution network
and energy-producing assets. The share price
constitutes only 40 percent of the book value
of the equity. Following the share issue and
conversion of public debt to equity, the com-
pany has a very healthy balance sheet, with
very little net interest bearing debt. See the
separate article on Eletrobras on page 14.

Disasters to the tune of half a billion euro


The tragic earthquake in Japan had a relatively
large impact on our portfolio company Han-
nover Re. The company recently announced
an estimated loss of 250 million euro as a
result of the disaster. Taking into account the

PHOTO: Bloomberg
earthquake in New Zealand and flooding in
Australia, the total payments for these natural
disasters are estimated at 440-500 million
euro. To put things into perspective, the com- Out of Parmalat: We accepted an offer from French Groupe Lactalis for our shares in Italian Parmalat. We noted a value in-
crease of over 40 percent since we first bought into the company in the summer of 2009.
pany has budgeted 530 million euro for total
disaster payments for the full year.
Following the earthquake in Japan, the
market value of Hannover Re has fallen by
around 360 million euro, corresponding to
a price drop of around seven percent. One
consequence of the natural disasters this
year is that the premium level for disaster
insurance will rise markedly.

Our Japanese stocks are doing fine


Although the earthquake resulted in seve-
ral Japanese factories having to shut down
temporarily, for the time being it appears
that there will not be any long term negative
effects on our Japanese portfolio companies.
A general consequence of the disaster is that
the energy situation in Japan will be negati-
vely affected, with a subsequent shortage of
energy and higher electricity prices.
At the end of the quarter, around 5.5 per-
cent of the portfolio was invested in Japanese
equities, of which the largest holdings were
the industrial conglomerates Kyocera and
Toyota Industries.

Satisfactory results
On the whole the earnings results for the
fourth quarter were very satisfactory for our
portfolio companies. The majority of the com-
panies reported better results than expec-
ted. But there were a few that also stood out,
though for negative reasons.
Both our US banks, Bank of America and
Citigroup, reported poorer figures than expec-
ted. Weaker results from securities trading,
PHOTO: Bloomberg

pressure on interest margins and higher


general costs must take much of the blame
for this. On the positive side, the default and
loss situation in banks is steadily improving Down in Pride: After competitor Ensco made an offer for Pride International that was 21 percent above the prevailing mar-
and a larger part of the balance sheets can ket price, we sold around 35 percent of our shareholding in Pride.

S K A G E N F u n d s m a r ke t Re p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
p o r tf o l i o m a n a g e r s r e p o r t 27

PHOTO: Bloomberg
Unilever at a bargain: We believe that the stock market has focused far too much on weaker growth in mature markets and low margins as a result of higher commodity prices rather than
the growth Unilever is experiencing in emerging markets, and that the share price is therefore far too low.

be reported fit for duty. investors’ minds, it was important for the cast, Bank Asya, Citigroup, Vimpelcom and
As a result of pressure on profit margins company to prove they were back on profita- China Mobile.
from higher commodity costs, South American ble ground. Agricultural operations delivered Besides selling the Parmalat stake and trim-
steel company Ternium also delivered poorer substantially better figures than expected, ming our position in Pride International, we
results than expected. while the sugar operations in Brazil reported have substantially reduced our positions in
The list of positive results surprises is long. disappointing results. Poor crops as a result Bunge, Renault, Time Warner Cable, Cheung
It was most gratifying that several of our ten of drought must take the blame for this. Bunge Kong and Noble. The common denominator to
largest investments reported impressive has poor visibility over its future earnings and all the sales was a price upturn which in turn
results, well above expectations. Security – sensibly enough – declines to give estimates brought us closer to our fundamental price
company Tyco International delivered a net on annual earnings. If Bunge does not repeat target.
income that was ten percent above expecta- last year’s blunder by increasing the risk on
tions. Five percent organic sales growth, higher future contracts, there is a good chance that Less concentrated
operating margins, signs of higher dividends the company will present substantial earnings The cash position in SKAGEN Global at the end
as well as new share buyback programs, were improvements this year. of the quarter was 8.0 percent. This is unusu-
well received both by us and the stock market. ally high and a result of the sale of Parmalat
Tesco and Unilever on sale carried out at the end of the quarter.
A rare shining pharmaceutical star Newcomers to the portfolio are British-based Following the sale and cutback of several of
US Pfizer has this year been one of the few grocery retailer Tesco and Anglo-Dutch consu- our larger holdings the portfolio concentration
shining stars in a dark pharmaceutical sky. mer goods company Unilever. has been reduced somewhat. The ten largest
The company reported somewhat better figu- As a result of expectations of weak growth investments in SKAGEN Global now constitute
res than expected, at the same time as they in mature developed markets, as well as mar- 32.8 percent of the fund.
announced large cuts in development costs gin pressures due to higher commodity prices, We still find our companies to be attracti-
over the next few years. Higher dividends and both companies have low valuation based on vely priced. The weighted average of the top
share buyback programs are also signs of grea- current earnings. Based on expected results ten companies in our portfolio have an esti-
ter investor friendliness. for this year, Unilever and Tesco are priced at mated price/earnings ratio of only 10 for 2011,
Accenture reported an impressive orga- 13 and 11 times earnings. Dividend yield is and a price/book ratio of 1.0. This is substan-
nic results growth of 18 percent compared around four percent. tially lower than for the market in general.
to the same quarter last year. Both turnover We believe that the stock market is forget- Attractive ratios and expected results growth
and net income were far better than expec- ting that Unilever and Tesco are heavily expan- should be a good starting point for a positive
ted. The company’s business model requires ding in the emerging markets. More than 50 development of SKAGEN Global’s fund price
little capital, so earnings improvements here percent of Unilever’s turnover comes from going forward.
are also resulting in increased dividends and these markets, while for Tesco the correspon-
share buyback. ding figure is around 25 percent. In other words
both companies are well exposed to consumer
Bunge hit back growth in these markets going forward.
Read more about the fund on page 36
With last year’s catastrophic half year results In the first quarter we have also increased
from agricultural company Bunge fresh in our shareholding in Gazprom, Petrobras, Com- SKAGENFUNDS.COM/SKAGEN-GLOBAL

S K A G E N F u n d s m a r ke t Re p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
28 porTFolio manaGerS reporT

SKaGen Kon-Tiki
perFormanCe (eur) January-marCh* laST 12 monThS* SKaGen Kon-TiKi Key FiGureS For The larGeST holdinGS (aS oF 31 marCh 2011)
SKAGEN Kon-tiki -0.2% 16.3%
Company Size of holding, % price p/e 10e p/e 11e p/b last price target
mSCI Emerging markets Index -3.6% 12.8%
Eletrobras 6,5 % 30,8 8,8 8,8 0,4 70
*as of 31 march 2011 Samsung Electronics 5,5 % 625 000 6,6 6,8 1,0 780 000
Baker Hughes 5,3 % 73,7 35,8 14,7 2,0 100
SKaGen Kon-Tiki team
Hyundai motor 5,0 % 66 000 3,4 3,1 0,6 100 000
Sistema 3,7 % 29,1 9,7 7,3 2,1 30
Vale 3,0 % 47,4 8,2 6,3 2,0 65
Banrisul 2,9 % 20,0 11,1 8,9 2,2 22
Gazprom 2,8 % 32,4 6,5 8,5 0,9 40
Standard Chartered 2,6 % 1639 10,2 8,9 1,7 2 000
Hon Hai precision Industry 2,6 % 103 9,5 8,5 2,1 200
VtB Bank 2,5 % 7,00 17,5 11,7 2,2 9
portfolio managers Kristoffer Stensrud, richter Gedeon 2,4 % 39 095 10,8 10,9 1,7 50 000
Knut harald nilsson and Cathrine Gether Top 12 weighted average 44,7 % 8,1 7,1 1,0
Top 35 weighted average 77,8 % 9,2 7,8 1,2
World index 14,0 11,5 2,1

Flight of capital was swept under the carpet, has resurfaced. visible signs that the company’s organisa-
unlike last year, when we saw record amounts unrest in the middle East and North Africa has tional turnaround is now bearing fruit, Baker
of money flowing into emerging markets, the pushed up the oil price and led to concerns Hughes was the largest contributor in the
first quarter this year has been characterised that the economic growth in the world is slo- period. Last year’s acquisition of BJ Services
by a flight of capital. Almost 30 percent of wing. to top it all, there was the disaster in has now been integrated. the restructuring
the money that came in last year has found Japan, the global ripple effects of which have towards geographical focus rather than pro-
its way out again in the first three months been difficult to predict up to now. duct focus is starting to have an effect. At the
of this year. this money has moved back to But the main reason for the flight from same time the combination of cost savings,
what are perceived to be the safer developed emerging markets has been the rising infla- changes to the supply chain and a strong
markets. the emerging markets index has tion we have seen in these markets, with the oil service market is leading to substanti-
therefore underperformed the world index accompanying economic tightening. ally better operational leverage than many
by 2.5 percentage points. SKAGEN Kon-tiki Higher food prices have been the main expected.
has managed relatively well and ended the contributor to rising inflation. recently, howe- We sold our holding in pride International
quarter 3.4 percentage points ahead of the ver, we have seen a stabilisation of, and in following a bid from Ensco for the company
emerging markets index. fact a slight decline in food prices. If this at a price that was 21 percent above the last
development continues, inflation in emer- closing price. We found the bid price to be
inflation fears should wane ging markets should wane in the second half
there are many reasons why the risk appe- of the year. In addition we are now also see- ConTribuTorS FirST quarTer
tite of investors in the global equity markets ing signs that the recent tightening in China
largest positive contributors
in general, and in the emerging markets in might abate.
Company mnoK
particular, has declined in the period. the With a much higher trend growth in
Baker Hughes + 491
debt problem in Europe, which for a while emerging markets than in developed mar- Great Wall motor + 353
kets, coupled with the fact that global equity Eletrobras + 308

funds are substantially underweight these pride International + 294


larGeST purChaSeS/SaleS Gazprom + 233
January-marCh regions, we believe that the long term trend
enerGy Share oF inFlaTion index Hyundai motor + 196
of money flow into emerging markets is intact. Sistema + 178
largest purchases largest sales
And provided that there are no unforeseen Banrisul + 139
CompANY mNoK CompANY mNoK events, this spring should bring more light GolarLNG Energy + 70
Gjensidige Forsikring + 58
VtB Bank 548 pride International -1727
and warmth to those who have invested their
richter Gedeon 453 Kim Eng Holding -204
equity assets in emerging markets. largest negative contributors
Eletrobras 448 Seadrill -184
Company mnoK
First Quantum
Softbank 444
minerals
-143 popular oil and gas HonHai precision Industry -249
Harbin power Equipment -186
Equinox minerals 399 petrobras -138 the events of the past few weeks in the
EFG-Hermes -166
Hon Hai precision
Industry
286
marine Harvest
Group
-127 middle East and Japan have led to rising oil Samsung Electronics -164

Haci omer Sabanci


and gas prices. It is therefore no surprise that Aveng -154
132 polaris Securities -87
Holding energy was the fund’s best sector in the quar- China mobile -141
mahindra & mahindra -104
China mobile 119 Sistema -83 ter. But positive specific events linked to our LG Electronics -99
Indo tambanraya
Vale 111
megah
-64 companies also contributed. Empresas ICA -94

Aveng 96
Aberdeen Asset
-61
Having delivered a 2010 result that was Vale -90
management
well above expectations, as well as showing

S K A G E N F u N d S m A r K E t r E p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
p o r tf o l i o m a n a g e r s r e p o r t 29

reasonable and believe it is unlikely that a


higher bid will be made.
Following a strong share price develop-
ment, we also sold out of Indo Tambangraya
Megah, and bought a stake in Seadrill’s newly
established company of North Sea rigs, North
Atlantic Drilling. At the same time we used the
opportunity to reduce our position in Seadrill
slightly after a good run.
A recent acquisition from the end of last
year, Russian Gazprom, also ended up on the
winners’ list after the gas market in Europe
tightened. Geopolitical events, in Libya in par-
ticular, have reduced gas exports to Europe
at the same time as the situation in Japan is
leading to increased demand from the region.
At a price of 5.5 times the year’s expected
earnings, Gazprom still stands out as very
attractively priced.

Buoyant Golar
Golar LNG Energy, one of the world’s largest
independent owners and operators of LNG
ships, experienced a price lift of 76 percent in
the period. With a quarter of Japan’s nuclear
power out of action, there is now a greater
demand for imports of liquified natural gas,
or LNG. This has led to higher spot rates in
an already tight market for LNG ships. Golar
may now be able to reactivate three old ships
which are laid up, as well as achieve higher
rates on its four modern LNG ships when they
finish their current contracts in the first half
of 2012.
We did not make major changes in the
commodity sector in the period. We conti-
nued to add to our position in copper produ-

PHOTO: Baker Hughes


cer Equinox Minerals before they received a
bid from Chinese Minmetals Resources in
April.

Weak construction companies US oil service on top: With a value increase of half a billion Norwegian kroner, US oil services company Baker Hughes was
the best contributor to SKAGEN Kon-Tiki’s result in the first quarter.
There was a negative contribution from the
industrial sector, largely owing to our two
construction companies, Empresas ICA and Fantastic Chinese cars tions downwards as a result of power outages
Aveng. Mexican ICA delivered relatively good After an exceptionally good year in 2010, our and possible damage to production plants.
results, but the stock was affected by con- companies within consumer discretionary Hyundai Motor buys only one percent of com-
cerns that the company’s debt situation may continue their good development. Our Chi- ponents from Japan, and these can mostly be
hamper future growth. South African Aveng nese car manufacturer, Great Wall Motor, was replaced by other suppliers.
continued to report disappointing figures, particularly noteworthy and is up 50 percent We have continued to add to our position
but the order book is growing and prospects so far this year. Higher growth, a better pro- in Malaysian conglomerate DRB-Hicom. The
appear somewhat brighter. duct mix, higher prices and not least good company is still trading well below book value.
Our Chinese manufacturer of power plant cost efficiency has resulted in the company In Marine Harvest Group we took advantage
equipment, Harbin Power Equipment, was reporting far better figures than expected this of strong price development to reduce our
also one of the big losers in the period. quarter. After a fantastic journey, we used position slightly.
Nuclear power is one of the company’s growth the opportunity to trim our position slightly.
areas and the stock was badly affected by Hyundai Motor was also a good contribu- Poor health
China’s decision to put new projects on hold tor. In the short term many global car com- The pharmaceutical sector was the weakest
following the disaster in Japan. We added to panies are affected by a shortage of compo- sector in the quarter, both in emerging mar-
our positions in all three “loser companies” nents from Japan. In addition Japanese car kets and for SKAGEN Kon-Tiki. Following wea-
in the period. manufacturers must adjust sales expecta- ker guidance than expected, and the ensu-

S K A G E N F u n d s m a r ke t Re p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
30 p o r tf o l i o m a n a g e r s r e p o r t

PHOTO: Bloomberg
Softbank has hidden values: The head of Japanese Softbank, Masayoshi Son, can confirm that iPad has also been a great sales success for them. We believe that the company has signi-
ficant hidden values in Chinese internet companies.

ing downgrading of earnings estimates, our price a month earlier. We have also exited ling an increased focus on better corporate
generic drugs producer Richter Gedeon faced Aksigorta and Yapi Kredi Bankasi. governance. This is something that has been
strong headwinds in the stock market. We lacking and it bodes well for the future. (See
took advantage of the price drop to add to our Affected by component fears the separate article on Eletrobras on page
position in the company. Richter Gedeon has Information technology turned out to be a 14).
a tendency to be conservative. So now that dismal sector for SKAGEN Kon-Tiki. Following
the estimates have come down, we believe the earthquake in Japan, the world’s largest More wind in the sails
there is a good chance there will be positive maker of electronic components, Hon Hai Pre- We are still comfortable with the pricing of the
surprises later in the year. cision Industry, was impacted by the fear of a emerging markets in general. An estimated
component shortage. Having looked into this, price/earnings ratio (P/E) for 2011 of 11.5 and
Egyptian brokerage gets a beating however, we believe that the risk is exaggera- a price relative to book value of 2.1, are just
Financials also provided a negative contribu- ted and have therefore added to our position below historic average.
tion. The unrest in Egypt meant that Egyptian in the company. The 35 largest holdings in SKAGEN Kon-
EFG-Hermes performed particularly poorly. A newcomer in the portfolio is Softbank, Tiki, corresponding to 78 percent of the port-
It is obviously unfavourable for a brokerage Japan’s second largest telecommunications folio, are priced at a P/E of 7.8 and 1.2 times
company when the stock market remains clo- operator. The company also has large stakes book value. Lower inflation fears, still strong
sed for two months. in various Chinese internet companies, where economic growth and a flow of money that
Following the decision by the Russian we believe there is significant hidden value. has started to make its way back into emer-
government to sell 10 percent of VTB Bank, we This may become visible by listing the com- ging markets may put more wind in Kon-Tiki’s
doubled our position in the company. After panies, among other things. sails going forward.
the government’s sale and the announcement It is gratifying to note that Eletrobras has
that they had bought a controlling and exci- come to life again, as we expected. The share
ting stake in Bank of Moscow, the VTB share issuance had been weighing down the stock
price rose around 10 percent. and acted like a clamp on the share price.
We exited Kim Eng Holding after the com- SKAGEN Kon-Tiki took advantage of the sale
pany received a bid from Maybank. The bid to subscribe in line with the existing holding. Read more about the fund on page 38
was 13 percent higher than the previous tra- The company has a new managing director,
SKAGENFUNDS.COM/SKAGEN-KON-TIKI
ding day and 37 percent more than the share who together with the management, is signal-

S K A G E N F u n d s m a r ke t Re p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
porTFolio manaGerS reporT 31

macro turmoil
on solid ground
the global economy was hit by four macro hing which might be difficult to agree on. poli- ment. Currently portugal is run by a caretaker
shocks in the first quarter. First, the massive ticians will come to an agreement at the end of government. A new election will be held late
earthquake and concomitant tsunami in Japan the day, but all the big decisions that have an in early June, with a new government forming
dealt a severe blow to the world’s third largest impact on long term fiscal prospects will be in late June at the earliest. In the meantime
economy, where growth had already faltered postponed. Hence the government is wholly Lisbon has to roll over substantial amounts
in the last quarter of 2010. In addition to the dependent on growth in tax revenues to shrink of public debt. this could be very difficult, so
weight of human suffering, we now expect two the alarmingly high federal deficit. Lisbon has now asked for an international bail-
further quarters of negative growth and lower Fourth, the fiscal situation in the Eurozone out. the portuguese situation is very proble-
growth from 2010 to 2011 than previously continues to worsen. Ireland just released the matic though since the caretaker government
anticipated. results of the final stress test on its remaining does not have sufficient power to negotiate
Second, the ongoing revolutions in the banks. they showed the need for yet a new a bail-out.
Arab world turned violent in Libya, a rather round of capital injections. Since most of the While troublesome, none of these events
large opEC-member. oil and gas prices had capital is going to be provided by Irish tax is likely to reverse global expansion. Hence
already been rising quite fast due to higher payers, thanks to the bank guarantee that we think that growth and somewhat higher
demand, and the curtailment of Libyan oil was issued to dublin in 2008, this means inflation will push up long term government
production pushed them even higher. more yet another layer of public debt. Ireland is of yields further in the months ahead. But it could
recently Saudi increased its oil production course “bailed out” by the ImF and the Euro- be a rather rocky ride, with short term flow
though and that may keep a lid on prices. We zone, but this does not reduce the Irish public effects at times pushing interest rates and
view the Arab revolutions as very positive debt, it just reduces interest expenses somew- currency rates back and forth.
for the global economy in the long run; more hat relative to market financing. the situation
minds will be set free and resource use will in Ireland is looking increasingly similar to the
probably be increasingly guided by market one in Greece, which is clearly insolvent. It is
principles. But in the short term, they create just a matter of time now before the ImF, the
turbulence in the markets and hurt growth Eurozone or the ECB pull the plug and decide
prospects somewhat. that Athens needs “restructuring” of its debt. Fixed inCome
third, uS law makers have recently come to the same may very well happen in portugal Torgeir høien
an agreement about public expenditure up to too. the fragile political situation in portugal Portfolio manager
SKAGEN Tellus
1 october 2011, but Congress needs to lift the turned messy in march when the socialist
th skagenfunds.com
federal debt ceiling during may or June, somet- government lost a vote of confidence in parlia-

reCord hiGh riSK premiumS in debT-laden euroZone

Spread to 10-year Germand bund


10 10
9 Greece Portugal Italy 9
8 Belgium 8
Ireland Spain
7 7
Percentage points

Percentage points

6 6
5 5
4 4
3 3
2 2
1 1
0 0
-1 -1
jan mar mai jul sep nov jan mar mai jul sep nov jan mar mai jul sep nov jan mar mai jul sep nov jan mar
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Source: Reuters EcoWin

S K A G E N F u N d S m A r K E t r E p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
32 p o r tf o l i o m a n a g e r s r e p o r t

SKAGEN Tellus
Performance (EUR) January-March* Last 12 months* coming quarter, and still position the fund sation of the policy rate. As markets become
for higher long term yield. The fund’s relative aware of this prospect, we expect the dollar
SKAGEN Tellus -4.38% 3.97%
outperformance was due to the weakening of to appreciate noticeably versus the euro and
Barclays Capital Index -4.67% 2.53% the yen, a currency that we did not hold. the other main currencies. Hence a dollar bet
*As of 31 March 2010 Short term interest rates are on the move, is part of our strategy for the coming months.
SKAGEN Tellus
and the ECB hiked its policy rate from 1 to As for the euro, we expect it to hold up
1.25 percent on 7 April. As inflation is way in the coming weeks thanks to the ECB’s
above target in the UK, we expect the Bank of expected tightening. However, as the finan-
England to follow suit at the end of the quar- cial turmoil in the Eurozone escalates, we
ter. The US markets are proving remarkably think that the common currency will take a
resilient, and the overnight interest rate on hit. Fundamentally the euro is quite strong
the dollar is still expected to remain around when measured at purchasing power pari-
Portfolio manager Torgeir Høien 0.25 percent for the next 12 months. ties. Also, a union that crumbles under the
We view the outlook for the Federal weight of rapidly escalating public debt is not
Reserve’s interest rate setting committee dif- a sustainable framework for a strong common
A discomforting winter ferently. While the Fed typically disregards currency.
SKAGEN Tellus took at hit during the first quar- movements in headline inflation, they are Prudent navigation in these waters should
ter, with the fund’s net asset value down 4.4 wary of any sign of increasing core inflation. help us recoup the first quarter loss and hope-
percent as measured in euro. The only comfort And core inflation clearly bottomed out last fully give our unit holders a decent return in
lies in the fact that we beat the benchmark autumn. As it climbs further and the employ- 2011.
index which fell 4.7 percent. ment situation continues to improve, we
At the start of the quarter we had positio- expect the Fed to shift gear and begin to tigh-
ned our fund for a substantial increase in long ten monetary policy this autumn. Modestly
term government bond yield. Thus the fund’s at first, but then from early 2012 they will
duration was very low, as we only have short probably move quite fast toward a normali-
term government paper in our portfolio. The
exception is a four-year renminbi bond issued
Expected average overnight interest rates next 12 months
by the European Bank of Reconstruction and
Development that we hold for the currency 6 6
exposure. So far long term yields have not 5 5
Sweden UK Switzerland
risen nearly as much as we anticipated. The Eurozone US Japan
4 4
real risk free 10-year yield is hovering just
Precent

Precent
3 3
above zero, all too low in our opinion, as the
recovery in the global economy is now two 2 2

years old. There are many reasons for lagging 1 1


long term yields, mostly related to geo-poli- 0 0
tical disturbances in the Arab world and, of jan mar may jul
2008
sep nov jan mar may jul
2009
sep nov jan mar maiy jul
2010
sep nov jan mar
2011
course, the tragedy that hit Japan. We expect Source: Reuters EcoWin

markets to shrug off these tremors during the

S K A G E N F u n d s m a r ke t Re p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
R e t u r n a n d r i sk m e a s u r e m e n ts 33

Return and risk


measurements
Returns in euro*
as of 31-03-2011 Year to 1 year 2 year 3 year 5 year 10 year Since
date start NOTICE
SKAGEN Vekst -0,1 % 10,6 % 43,5 % 4,3 % 4,4 % 14,1 % 17,2 %
OSEBX/MSCI AC Total Return Index (50/50) -0,3 % 14,4 % 47,7 % 2,5 % 2,0 % 8,8 % 10,1 % Historical returns are no guarantee for future
SKAGEN Global 1,9 % 15,4 % 39,4 % 6,5 % 5,0 % 12,1 % 17,1 % returns. Future returns will depend, inter alia,
MSCI AC Total Return Index -1,1 % 8,9 % 27,5 % 3,7 % -1,0 % -0,5 % 1,6 % on market developments, the fund manager’s
SKAGEN Kon-Tiki -0,2 % 16,3 % 51,8 % 15,0 % 11,8 % 21,1 % skill, the fund’s risk profile and subscription
MSCI Emerging Markets Index -3,6 % 12,8 % 41,6 % 8,2 % 7,2 % 10,9 % and management fees. The return may become
SKAGEN Tellus -4,38 % 3,97 % 12,31 % 8,92 % 5,62 % negative as a result of negative price develop-
Barclays Capital Global Treasury Index 3 - 5 years -4,67 % 2,53 % 3,95 % 7,56 % 4,86 %
ments. Investments in foreign currencies are
normally not hedged.

SKAGEN Vekst has a fixed management fee


Risk and performance measurements of 1% pro anno. Returns exceeding 6 % p.a.
are shared 90/10 between the unitholders
as of 31-03-2011 SKAGEN Vekst SKAGEN Global SKAGEN Kon-Tiki SKAGEN
Tellus (Euro) and the management company.
Mean variance analysis last 5 years
Standard deviation, fund 24,6 % 19,6 % 24,7 % SKAGEN Global has a fixed management fee
Standard deviation, benchmark index 31,6 % 15,4 % 23,3 % of 1% pro anno. Better value development
Sharpe-ratio, fund 0,07 0,12 0,37 measured in percent in the fund’s net asset
Sharpe-ratio, benchmark index -0,02 -0,24 0,19 value compared with the MSCI AC World
Relative volatility/tracking error 10,7 % 8,2 % 5,6 % Index (in NOK) is shared 90/10 between
Information ratio 0,22 0,73 0,82 the unitholders and the management com-
Alpha 2,2 % 8,6 % 7,5 % pany.
Beta 0,75 1,18 1,04
R2 91 % 82 % 94 % SKAGEN Kon-Tiki has a fixed management
Correlation 0,96 0,91 0,97 fee of 2% pro anno. Better value develop-
ment measured in percent in the fund’s net
Gain/loss analysis last 5 years asset value compared with the MSCI Emer-
Relative gain 81 % 136 % 109 % ging Markets Index (in NOK) is shared 90/10
Relative loss 77 % 106 % 97 % between the unit holders and the manage-
Relative gain/loss ratio 1,06 1,28 1,13 ment company. However, the total annual
Positive index divergence 14,53 13,78 10,28 management fee charged may not exceed 4
Negative index divergence 12,52 7,90 6,14 % of the fund’s average annual asset value.
Index divergence ratio 1,16 1,74 1,67 If the fund’s net asset value shows a poorer
Percentage positive index divergence 54 % 64 % 63 %
development measured in percent than the
Percentage positive index divergence when market is up 20 % 77 % 65 %
MSCI Emerging Markets Index, 10 % of the
Percentage positive index divergence when market is down 91 % 52 % 60 %
poorer value development is deducted from
Percentage of number of positive index divergence 45 % 65 % 65 %
the fixed management fee. However, the total
Percentage of number of positive index divergence when market is up 25 % 71 % 67 %
Percentage of number of positive index divergence when market is down 75 % 58 % 63 %
annual management fee charged may not be
lower than 1 % of the fund’s average annual
Value at risk last 5 years; 2.5 % confidence
asset value.
Value at risk: observed, NAV -20,4 % -15,0 % -19,0 %
Value at risk: observed, Benchmark -26,9 % -10,0 % -16,8 % SKAGEN Global and SKAGEN Kon-Tiki may
Relativ Value at Risk, observed -5,5 % -6,4 % -4,2 % be charged a variable management fee
even if the fund’s return has been negative,
Gain/loss analysis since inception as long as the fund has outperformed the
Relative gain 96 % 163 % 125 % 99 % benchmark. Conversely, the fund may have
Relative loss 75 % 102 % 99 % 94 % a positive return without being charged a
Relative gain/loss ratio 1,29 1,60 1,26 1,06 variable management fee, as long as there is
Positive index divergence 15,80 22,11 14,52 12,53 no outperformance of the benchmark.
Negative index divergence 9,54 8,40 5,87 12,07
Index divergence ratio 1,66 2,63 2,47 1,04 The fixed management fees are calculated
daily and charged quarterly. The variable
management fees are calculated daily and
charged annually.
* All return figures beyond 12 months are annualised.
For SKAGEN Tellus there are no costs asso-
ciated with the purchase and sale of shares.
Neither are there any withdrawal limits. The
annual management fee is 0.8% for SKAGEN
Right of Cancellation Tellus. The management fee is calculated
When you buy fund units, according to the Right of Cancellation Act (Act no. 105 of 2001-12-12, ref. §22b, litra a), clients have no right daily and charged quarterly.
of cancellation. However, when subscriptions are sent to us by mail/fax or are carried out via the Investor client at VPS (My Account), Please refer to the product sheets and pro-
you are entitled to information about the fund and the management company immediately after the purchase. The information is avail- spectuses for a detailed description of the
able in the fund’s product sheet (simplified prospectus) and the general commercial terms. Statutory information is sent to unit holders cost, etc. They are available upon request
in the welcome letter immediately after the first subscription. Subsequently, unit holders can find all information on our website www. from SKAGEN Funds or at
skagenfunds.com as well as in the annual report. www.skagenfunds.com

S K A G E N F u n d s m a r ke t Re p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
34 S e C u r i T i e S p o r T F o l i o S K a G e n v e K S T a S o F 31- 03 -2 011

hiSToriCal priCe developmenT SK aGen veKST (eur)


320 SKAGEN Vekst
Benchmark Index (EUR)
20 % annual return
1 60

NAV SKAGEN Vekst


80

40

20
SKaGen veKST 10
Handpicked for you* 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11

a minimum of 50 percent of the Security number


acquistion
value noK *
market
price
Cur-
rency
market-
value noK*
unrealised
gain/loss *
Share of
fund
Stock-
exchange
assets of the SKaGen vekst equity
fund will at all times be invested in enerGy
doF ASA 4 935 100 78 246 55,75 NoK 275 131 196 885 2,69 % oslo Børs
norway. The rest will be invested SoLStAd oFFSHorE ASA 1 948 750 94 361 130,00 NoK 253 337 158 976 2,48 % oslo Børs
in the global equity market. pEtroLEo BrASILEIro prEF Adr 1 102 415 110 313 35,50 uSd 216 575 106 261 2,12 % New York
SKaGen vekst is suitable for GANGEr roLF ASA 1 348 555 138 055 151,50 NoK 204 306 66 250 2,00 % oslo Børs
BoNHEur ASA 1 197 092 88 449 167,00 NoK 199914 111 464 1,95 % oslo Børs
investors who want an equity fund tGS NopEC GEopHYSICAL Co ASA 1 300 000 97 070 148,40 NoK 192 920 95 849 1,89 % oslo Børs
with a good balance between trANSoCEAN Ltd 346 900 153 116 78,52 uSd 150 736 -2 379 1,47 % New York
SIEm oFFSHorE 8 036 317 68 364 12,45 NoK 100 052 31 687 0,98 % oslo Børs
norwegian and global companies.
NorWEGIAN ENErGY Co ASA 5 713 731 90 613 14,45 NoK 82 563 -8 050 0,81 % oslo Børs
The fund has a broad mandate SEVAN mArINE ASA 12 975 000 96 176 6,06 NoK 78 628 -17 547 0,77 % oslo Børs
which gives it the freedom to EIdESVIK oFFSHorE ASA 1 680 541 64 139 38,20 NoK 64 196 56 0,63 % oslo Børs
mArINE ACCurAtE WELL ASA 68 997 076 52 277 0,90 NoK 62 097 9 819 0,61 % unotert
invest in a number of companies,
FArStAd SHIppING ASA 287 809 20 159 182,00 NoK 52 381 32 222 0,51 % oslo Børs
industries and regions. ELECtromAGNEtIC GEoSErVICES 4 422 474 44 888 10,80 NoK 47 762 2 874 0,47 % oslo Børs
NortHErN oFFSHorE Ltd 2 940 000 28 386 14,70 NoK 43 218 14 831 0,42 % oslo Børs
SEABIrd EXpLorAtIoN Ltd 07/12 FrN CALL 43 000 000 11 850 93,00 NoK 40 368 28 518 0,39 % unotert
risk Bp pLC Adr 165 000 52 614 44,12 uSd 40 286 -12 328 0,39 % New York
FrEd oLSEN produCtIoN ASA 3 000 000 18 734 10,20 NoK 30 600 11 865 0,30 % oslo Børs
mINor ItEmS 187 788 142 953 -44 835 1,40 %
Total energy 1 495 608 2 278 030 782 422 22,27 %
Standard & poor’s
qualitative rating
raW maTerialS
morningstar quantitative NorSK HYdro ASA 5 583 010 133 214 45,36 NoK 253 245 120 030 2,48 % oslo Børs
rating
★★★★ NorSKE SKoGINduStrIEr ASA 5 622 000 340 640 17,90 NoK 100 633 -240 006 0,98 % oslo Børs
rottNEroS AB 12 119 718 59 827 5,05 SEK 53 645 -6 181 0,52 % Stockholm
morningstar qualitative HINdALCo INduStrIES Ltd 1 950 673 46 051 209,15 INr 50 634 4 582 0,49 % Nat. India
rating
KWS SAAt AG 34 724 23 484 148,95 Eur 40 587 17 102 0,40 % Frankfurt
KoZA ALtIN ISLEtmELErI AS 546 250 38 589 20,25 trY 39 628 1 039 0,39 % Istanbul
Fund start date 1 december 1993 NordIC mINING ASA 12 380 000 21 650 2,26 NoK 27 978 6 328 0,27 % oslo Axess
mINor ItEmS 56 606 79 854 23 247 0,78 %
return since start 1466.4% Total raw materials 720 065 646 209 -73 856 6,32 %

Average annual return 17.2% induSTrialS


KoNGSBErG GruppEN ASA_ 3 367 028 127 179 153,50 NoK 516 838 389 659 5,05 % oslo Børs
Assets under Eur 1304 million WILH. WILHELmSEN HoLdING ASA
management A-AKSJEr 1 304 351 92 271 168,50 NoK 219 783 127 511 2,15 % oslo Børs
StoLt-NIELSEN LImItEd 1 229 002 152 404 138,00 NoK 169 602 17 197 1,66 % oslo Børs
Number of unitholders 100 384
doCKWISE Ltd 1 032 108 173 044 150,50 NoK 155 332 -17 712 1,52 % oslo Børs
NorWEGIAN AIr SHuttLE ASA 1 416 510 74 200 107,50 NoK 152 274 78 074 1,49 % oslo Børs
Subscription fee 0%
odFJELL SE-A 2 134 725 95 549 48,60 NoK 103 747 8 198 1,01 % oslo Børs
redemption fee 0% LG Corp 233 515 46 417 81800,00 KrW 96 211 49 793 0,94 % Seoul
I.m. SKAuGEN SE 1 679 916 21 062 44,70 NoK 75 092 54 029 0,73 % oslo Børs
management fee 1.0 % per year + 10 % AVENG Ltd 2 575 700 75 193 35,67 ZAr 75 062 -131 0,73 % Johannesb.
of return exceeding 6% KoNGSBErG AutomotIVE ASA 15 151 251 108 807 4,38 NoK 66 362 -42 444 0,65 % oslo Børs
per year
KVErNELANd ASA 9 945 616 54 939 6,40 NoK 63 651 8 712 0,62 % oslo Børs
GLAmoX ASA 5 944 034 5 852 8,50 NoK 50 524 44 671 0,49 % unotert
minimum subscription one-time subscription
amount Eur 150 FAIrStAr HEAVY trANSport NV 4 408 585 46 608 11,15 NoK 49 155 2 547 0,48 % oslo Børs
GoodtECH ASA 20 511 694 46 786 2,18 NoK 44 715 -2 070 0,44 % oslo Børs
Authorised for Norway, Sweden, A p moLLEr - mAErSK A 811 38 032 48350,00 dKK 41 270 3 237 0,40 % København
marketing in denmark, Finland, trELLEBorG AB-B 645 000 28 763 64,75 SEK 36 605 7 842 0,36 % Stockholm
Netherlands, Luxem-
bourg, Iceland, uK and LG Corp prEF 224 482 25 796 28000,00 KrW 31 659 5 862 0,31 % Seoul
Switzerland NorWEGIAN CAr CArrIErS ASA 7 918 227 29 050 3,65 NoK 28 901 -148 0,28 % oslo Børs
rEdErI AB trANSAtLANtIC 1 118 676 27 428 27,90 SEK 27 356 -71 0,27 % Stockholm
Benchmark index oSEBX/mSCI AC mINor ItEmS 190 312 107 220 -83 091 1,05 %
(50/50)
Total industrials 1 459 699 2 111 369 651 669 20,64 %

uCIts Yes

portfolio managers Beate Bredesen


ross porter

S K A G E N F u N d S m A r K E t r E p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
S e C u r i T i e S p o r T F o l i o S K a G e n v e K S T a S o F 31- 03 -2 011 35
acquistion Cur- market- unrealised Share of Stock-
Security number value noK * market price rency value noK* gain/loss * fund exchange

ConSumer diSCreTionary
CArNIVAL Corp 1188 770 2 94 904 38,38 uSd 252 486 -42 417 2,47 % New York
HurtIGrutEN ASA 2 6692 352 91 197 4,72 NoK 125 987 34 790 1,23 % oslo Børs
LG ELECtroNICS INC prEF 600 000 1 44 987 38 800,00 KrW 117 257 -27 729 1,15 % Seoul
rENAuLt SA 294 488 89 048 39,01 Eur 90 150 1 101 0,88 % paris
dIXoNS rEtAIL pLC 57 626 905 2 84 227 0,13 GBp 64 312 -219 915 0,63 % London
HANKooK tIrE Co Ltd 297 931 27 633 35 850,00 KrW 53 797 26 164 0,53 % Seoul
mAHINdrA & mAHINdrA Ltd Gdr 591 300 10 522 15,93 uSd 52 126 41 604 0,51 % London Int.
FJord LINE AS 2 850 000 28 500 15,00 NoK 42 750 14 250 0,42 % unotert
BENEttoN Group SpA 946 940 37 699 5,29 Eur 39 309 1 610 0,38 % BrsaItaliana

SKaGen veKST
NHSt mEdIA Group ASA 60 000 31 447 570,00 NoK 34 200 2 752 0,33 % unotert
mINor ItEmS 31 273 21 214 -10 058 0,21 %
Total Consumer discretionary 1 071 441 893 593 -177 847 8,74 %
Handpicked for you*
ConSumer STapleS
morpoL ASA 8 623 320 180 551 22,40 NoK 193 162 12 610 1,89 % oslo Børs
CErmAQ ASA 1 792 956 71 312 97,75 NoK 175 261 103 949 1,71 % oslo Børs SeCTor diSTribuTion
CHIQuItA BrANdS INtL 1 246 505 102 395 15,20 uSd 104 851 2 455 1,02 % New York Utilities 3,0% Telecom 4,8%
WINN-dIXIE StorES INC 2 172 770 89 871 7,08 uSd 85 129 -4 741 0,83 % NASdAQ
Cash 1,2%
AuStEVoLL SEAFood ASA 1 371 382 48 182 43,00 NoK 58 969 10 786 0,58 % oslo Børs IT 7,3%
YAZICILAr HoLdING AS 750 000 25 622 13,50 trY 36 273 10 651 0,35 % Istanbul Energy
22,3%
KESKo oYJ-B SHS 131 948 34 052 33,00 Eur 34 169 117 0,33 % Helsinki
pEopLE'S Food HoLdING Ltd 9 364 000 24 106 0,80 SGd 33 097 8 990 0,32 % Singapore Finance 11,6%

mINor ItEmS 182 472 135 981 -46 491 1,33 %


Total Consumer Staples 758 568 856 896 98 328 8,38 % Raw Health 5,8%
Materials
healTh Care 6,3%
Consumer
tEVA pHArmACEutICAL-Sp Adr 711 351 215 807 50,25 uSd 197 813 -17 993 1,93 % NASdAQ Staples 8,4%
AXIS-SHIELd pLC GBp 2 809 221 82 551 3,25 GBp 81 059 -1 492 0,79 % London
CLAVIS pHArmA ASA 1 710 477 56 464 36,00 NoK 61 577 5 112 0,60 % oslo Børs Consumer
Industrials 20,6% Discretionary 8,7%
pHotoCurE ASA 1 114 401 44 889 49,70 NoK 55 385 10 495 0,54 % oslo Børs
mEdI-StIm ASA 1 710 000 21 366 21,00 NoK 35 910 14 543 0,35 % oslo Børs
ALGEtA ASA 269 080 26 361 130,50 NoK 35 114 8 753 0,34 % oslo Børs
AXIS-SHIELd pLC 1 017 998 25 837 29,50 NoK 30 030 4 193 0,29 % oslo Børs GeoGr aphiCal diSTribuTion
mINor ItEmS 83 294 93 451 10 157 0,91 %
Total health Care 556 572 590 343 33 770 5,77 % Asia ex Cash 1,2% South America 5,5%
Japan 10,9%
FinanCialS Peripheral EU 5,8%
GJENSIdIGE ForSIKrING ASA 3 594 300 211 847 66,70 NoK 239 739 27 891 2,34 % oslo Børs Oceania 0,1%
EMEA 3,6%
oLAV tHoN EIENdomSSELSKAp ASA_ 180 000 33 812 896,00 NoK 161 280 127 467 1,58 % oslo Børs
HANNoVEr ruECKVErSICHEruNG AG 435 000 87 663 38,52 Eur 131 508 43 845 1,29 % Frankfurt
Japan 0,6%
AArEAL BANK AG 426 382 64 227 22,63 Eur 75 719 11 492 0,74 % Frankfurt
NortHErN LoGIStIC propErtY ASA 2 500 050 76 104 26,50 NoK 66 251 -9 852 0,65 % oslo Børs
KorEAN rEINSurANCE Co 952 093 11 484 12800,00 KrW 61 383 49 898 0,60 % Seoul Eurozone
6,5%
ImArEX ASA 1 026 100 65 708 59,00 NoK 60 539 -5 168 0,59 % oslo Børs
dANSKE BANK A/S 468 213 60 058 116,50 dKK 57 410 -2 647 0,56 % København
SpArEBANKEN ØSt 1 500 000 26 585 36,40 NoK 54 600 28 014 0,53 % oslo Børs North
America 6,7% Norway 59,1%
SpArEBANKEN VESt 995 506 45 056 44,50 NoK 44 300 -756 0,43 % oslo Børs
HItECVISIoN AS 762 746 5 183 53,00 NoK 40 425 35 242 0,40 % unotert
HACI omEr SABANCI HoLdING AS 1501 444 23 339 7,18 trY 38 621 15 282 0,38 % Istanbul
IrSA SA Adr 397 502 31 351 14,01 uSd 30 818 -532 0,30 % New York
NorWEGIAN FINANS HoLdING ASA 14 900 000 29 215 2,00 NoK 29 800 585 0,29 % unotert 10 L ArGESt HoLdINGS
mINor ItEmS 69 830 90 057 20 226 0,88 %
Total Financials 841 468 1 182 455 340 986 11,56 % Kongsberg Gruppen AS 5.1 %
inFormaTion TeChnoloGy
Samsung Electronics Co Ltd 3.3 %
SAmSuNG ELECtroNICS Co Ltd prEF Gdr 135 832 107 711 286,10 uSd 215 057 107 345 2,10 % London Int.
SAmSuNG ELECtroNICS Co Ltd Gdr 50 000 19 712 426,10 uSd 117 900 98 188 1,15 % London Int. Eletrobras SA 3.0 %
ELtEK ASA 19 000 000 102 369 5,70 NoK 108 300 5 930 1,06 % oslo Børs
proACt It Group AB 468 000 15 542 130,00 SEK 53 326 37 783 0,52 % Stockholm doF ASA 2.7 %
Q-FrEE ASA 2 900 000 39 742 17,60 NoK 51 040 11 297 0,50 % oslo Børs
SAmSuNG SdI Co Ltd 51 320 21 573 168000,00 KrW 43 426 21 853 0,42 % Seoul Solstad offshore ASA 2.5 %
EdB ErGoGroup ASA 2 734 240 33 268 14,60 NoK 39 919 6 651 0,39 % oslo Børs
KYoCErA Corp 63 565 45 929 8430,00 JpY 35 796 -10 133 0,35 % tokyo Norsk Hydro ASA 2.5 %
mINor ItEmS 120 904 86 520 -34 384 0,85 %
Total information Technology 506 754 751 287 244 533 7,34 % Carnival Corp 2.5 %

TeleCom Gjensidige Forsikring ASA 2.3 %


FrANCE tELECom SA 1 290 000 164 895 15,81 Eur 160 045 -4 849 1,56 % paris
SIStEmA JSFC Gdr 573 709 19 189 29,10 uSd 92 388 73 199 0,90 % London Int. Wilh Wilhelmsen Holding ASA 2.2 %
moBILE tELESYStEmS Adr 645 000 41 050 21,43 uSd 76 492 35 441 0,75 % New York
totAL ACCESS tELECommuNICAtIoN pLC_ 8 560 000 7 587 48,00 tHB 75 149 67 562 0,73 % Bangkok petroleo Brasileiro SA 2.1 %
tELEKomuNIKASI INdoNESIA tBK Adr 290 000 16 154 33,56 uSd 53 858 37 704 0,53 % New York
INdoSAt tBK pt Adr 200 000 33 264 30,25 uSd 33 480 215 0,33 % New York totAL 10 LArGESt HoLdINGS 28.0 %
mINor ItEmS 7 842 2 204 -5 637 0,02 %
Total Telecom 289 984 493 620 203 635 4,83 %

uTiliTieS
CENtrAIS ELEtrICAS BrASILEIrAS SA prEF 2 610 818 126 051 30,85 BrL 273 405 147 354 2,67 % Sao paulo
CENtrAIS ELEtrICAS BrASILEIrAS SA 357 348 29 055 24,72 BrL 29 985 930 0,29 % Sao paulo
Total utilities 155 106 303 391 148 284 2,97 %

Total equity portfolio* 7 855 271 10107 198 2 251 926 98,80 % * Children and young women picking flowers
disposable liquidity 122 290 1,20 % in a field north of Skagen, 1887. detail.
Total share capital 10 229 488 100,00 % By michael Ancher, one of the Skagen painters.
Base price as of 31.03.2011 1471,5102 the picture is owned by the Skagens museum.
* Figures in 1000 NoK

the market value as of 31.03.2011 is the last quoted price from the stock exchange. the average cost method is used for the calculation of sales gain.

S K A G E N F u N d S m A r K E t r E p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
36 S e C u r i T i e S p o r T F o l i o S K a G e n G l o b a l a S o F 31- 03 -2 011

hiSToriCal priCe developmenT SK aGen Global (eur)

160 SKAGEN Global


World Index
20 % annual return

NAV SKAGEN Global


80

40

20

SKaGen Global 10
A world of opportunities*
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

The SKaGen Global equity fund Security number


acquistion
value noK *
market
price
Cur-
rency
market-
value noK*
unrealised
gain/loss *
Share of
fund
Stock-
exchange
invests in stocks worldwide.
The fund seeks to maintain a enerGy
balanced industry exposure. prIdE INtErNAtIoNAL INC 3 091 787 511 555 43,41 uSd 742 279 230 724 2,09 % New York
GAZprom oAo Adr 3 992 957 606 713 32,37 uSd 714 834 108 121 2,02 % London Int.
SKaGen Global is suitable for pEtroLEo BrASILEIro prEF Adr 2 928 604 530 447 35,65 uSd 577 415 46 967 1,63 % New York
investors who want an equity BAKEr HuGHES INC 1 369 227 377 282 73,70 uSd 558 136 180 854 1,58 % New York
fund which invests over the NABorS INduStrIES Ltd 2 362 679 374 445 30,30 uSd 395 992 21 547 1,12 % New York
KAZmuNAIGAS EXpLorAtIoN -Gdr 2 853 374 390 519 22,50 uSd 355 066 -35 453 1,00 % London Int.
whole world and is therefore
trANSoCEAN Ltd 766 100 370 211 79,58 uSd 337 176 -33 034 0,95 % New York
diversified both geographically Bp pLC 4 432 578 227 566 4,57 GBp 179 848 -47 717 0,51 % London
and by industry. The fund is Bp pLC Adr 564 260 176 229 44,24 uSd 138 058 -38 171 0,39 % New York
also suitable for those who NoBLE Corp 504 593 113 576 46,28 uSd 129 152 15 575 0,36 % New York
mINor ItEmS 56 110 57 034 923 0,16 %
already have exposure towards Total energy 3 734 659 4 184 997 450 337 11,81 %
the norwegian equity market,
but who wish to strengthen raW maTerialS
their portfolio and reduce risk. SVENSKA CELLuLoSA AB-B 7 193 756 572 080 101,60 SEK 641 015 68 934 1,81 % Stockholm
CLIFFS NAturAL rESourCES INC 1 069 875 211 701 97,68 uSd 577 972 366 271 1,63 % New York
HEIdELBErGCEmENt AG 1 137 483 363 322 49,74 Eur 444 100 80 778 1,25 % Xetra
risk NorSK HYdro ASA 8 271 604 241 031 45,55 NoK 376 771 135 740 1,06 % oslo Børs
tErNIum SA Adr 1 757 735 272 199 36,42 uSd 354 047 81 847 1,00 % New York
mAYr-mELNHoF KArtoN AG 442 235 198 445 82,64 Eur 286 862 88 417 0,81 % Wien
AKZo NoBEL 707 796 241 939 48,74 Eur 270 812 28 873 0,76 % Amsterdam
Standard & poor’s KWS SAAt AG 121 802 79 888 148,45 Eur 141 927 62 038 0,40 % Frankfurt
qualitative rating
mINor ItEmS 84 122 71 455 -12 667 0,20 %
Total raw materials 2 264 732 3 164 965 900 233 8,93 %
morningstar qualitative
rating ★★★★★
induSTrialS
morningstar qualitative tYCo INtErNAtIoNAL Ltd 6 190 352 1 269 813 44,85 uSd 1 535 486 265 673 4,33 % New York
rating BuNGE Ltd 1 938 791 630 110 72,81 uSd 780 711 150 600 2,20 % New York
Wassum SIEmENS AG 894 319 522 346 97,03 Eur 681 129 158 782 1,92 % Frankfurt
LG Corp 1 646 420 375 208 81800,00 KrW 678 806 303 597 1,92 % Seoul
Lipper rANdStAd HoLdING NV 1 220 116 306 131 39,76 Eur 380 783 74 652 1,07 % Amsterdam
Europe 2011 Best Fund tE CoNNECtIVItY Ltd 1 797 319 279 506 34,80 uSd 345 917 66 411 0,98 % New York
10 Years Equity Global
StoLt-NIELSEN LImItEd 1 730 217 319 311 137,00 NoK 237 039 -82 271 0,67 % oslo Børs
BAYWA-BAYErISCHE WArENVErmIt
Fund start date 7 August 1997 AG 731 155 219 454 31,97 Eur 183 477 -35 976 0,52 % Frankfurt
FINNAIr oYJ 4 850 820 263 458 3,87 Eur 147 352 -116 106 0,42 % Helsinki
return since start 762.5% mINor ItEmS 64 864 94 513 29 648 0,27 %
Total industrials 4 250 205 5 065 217 815 012 14,29 %
Average annual return 17.1%

Assets under Eur 4514 million ConSumer diSCreTionary


management ComCASt Corp 4 147 589 406 027 23,14 uSd 530 795 124 768 1,50 % NASdAQ
toYotA INduStrIES Corp 2 782 642 469 865 2516,00 JpY 467 024 -2 841 1,32 % tokyo
Number of unitholders 103 659 rENAuLt SA 1 157 627 327 608 39,29 Eur 357 011 29 403 1,01 % paris
HYuNdAI motor prEF (2pB) 541 808 151 334 71200,00 KrW 194 436 43 101 0,55 % Seoul
Subscription fee 0% tELEVISIoN BroAdCAStS Ltd 5 866 571 142 014 45,70 HKd 190 647 48 632 0,54 % Hong Kong
LG ELECtroNICS INC prEF 961 448 261 187 38800,00 KrW 188 022 -73 165 0,53 % Seoul
redemption fee 0%
YAmAHA motor Co Ltd 1 896 311 153 944 1452,00 JpY 183 673 29 729 0,52 % tokyo
tImE WArNEr CABLE 432 523 115 401 71,53 uSd 171 106 55 704 0,48 % New York
management fee 1.0 % per years + 10 %
of return exceeding the SHANGrI-LA ASIA Ltd 6 709 614 62 025 20,10 HKd 95 901 33 876 0,27 % Hong Kong
benchmark index mINor ItEmS 118 901 136 709 17 807 0,39 %
Total Consumer discretionary 2 208 309 2 515 327 307 017 7,10 %
minimum subscription one-time subscription
amount Eur 150

Authorised for Norway, Sweden,


marketing in denmark, Finland,
Netherlands, Luxem-
bourg, Iceland, uK and
Switzerland

Benchmark index mSCI AC

uCIts Yes

portfolio managers Kristian Falnes


torkell Eide
Søren Christensen

S K A G E N F u N d S m A r K E t r E p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
S e C u r i T i e S p o r T F o l i o S K a G e n G l o b a l a S o F 31- 03 -2 011 37

acquistion market Cur- market- unrealised Share of Stock-


Security number value noK * price rency value noK* gain/loss * fund exchange

ConSumer STapleS
tESCo pLC 20 877 830 756 848 3,84 GBp 711 770 -45 077 2,01 % London
uNILEVEr NV-CVA 1 649 701 286 637 22,25 Eur 288 179 1 542 0,81 % Amsterdam
YAZICILAr HoLdING AS 3 965 257 95 714 13,50 trY 191 787 96 072 0,54 % Istanbul
uNItEd INtL ENtErprISES 172 931 25 545 684,00 dKK 124 518 98 973 0,35 % København
mINor ItEmS 168 939 215 227 46 288 0,61 %
Total Consumer Staples 1 333 684 1 531 484 197 799 4,32 %

healTh Care
pFIZEr INC 10 695 621 1 254 986 20,36 uSd 1 204 289 -50697 3,40 % New York
roCHE HoLdING AG-GENuSSCHEIN
mINor ItEmS
471 300 410 042
33 888
131,60 CHF 374 923
12 129
-35119
-21759
1,06 %
0,03 %
Zürich
SKaGen Global
Total health Care 1 698 917 1 591 341 -107576 4,49 % A world of opportunities*

FinanCialS
CItIGroup INC 37 705 500 983 481 4,42 uSd 922 754 -60 726 2,60 % New York SeCTor diSTribuTion
BANCo do EStAdo rIo GrANdE do Utilities Telecom 7,3%
SuL prEF 8 289 877 156 714 20,03 BrL 564 723 408 008 1,59 % Sao paulo 5,1%
GJENSIdIGE ForSIKrING ASA 8 437 000 497 630 66,65 NoK 562 326 64 695 1,59 % oslo Børs IT 13,3%
Cash
HANNoVEr ruECKVErSICHEruNG 8,0%
AG 1 508 407 314 685 38,37 Eur 454 298 139 613 1,28 % Frankfurt
Financials
BANK oF AmErICA Corp 5 789 030 546 165 13,33 uSd 426 853 -119 311 1,20 % New York Energy 15,3%
CHEuNG KoNG HoLdINGS Ltd 3780 674 283 779 126,80 HKd 340 893 57 114 0,96 % Hong Kong 11,8%
ASYA KAtILIm BANKASI AS 28 282 168 280 220 3,01 trY 304 995 24 775 0,86 % Istanbul
HACI omEr SABANCI HoLdING AS 10 049 870 184 442 7,18 trY 258 523 74 080 0,73 % Istanbul Raw
Materials Health 4,5%
KINNEVIK INVEStmENt AB-B 1 969 910 92 277 146,90 SEK 253 797 161 520 0,72 % Stockholm 8,9%
Consumer
oSAKA SECurItIES EXCHANGE Co 8 912 169 869 417 500,00 JpY 248 200 78 330 0,70 % tokyo Staples 4,3%
ABErdEEN ASSEt mANAGEmENt pLC 10 659 589 92 206 2,12 GBp 200 527 108 320 0,57 % London
ALBArAKA turK KAtILIm BANKASI Consumer
AS 18 859 400 216 075 2,30 trY 155 406 -60 668 0,44 % Istanbul Industrials 14,3% Discretionary 7,1%

JApAN SECurItIES FINANCE Co 4 207 375 244 798 550,00 JpY 154 363 -90 434 0,44 % tokyo
IrSA SA Adr 1 815 671 151 638 13,99 uSd 14 048 -11 155 0,40 % New York
mIZuHo FINANCIAL Group INC 14 880 000 143 639 138,00 JpY 136 978 -6 660 0,39 % tokyo
EFG-HErmES HoLdING SAE 5 695 991 157 113 21,96 EGp 116 102 -41 010 0,33 % Cairo GeoGr aphiCal diSTribuTion
mINor ItEmS 179 450 180 238 788 0,51 %
South America 9,5% Peripheral
Total Financials 4 694 189 5421 468 727 279 15,30 %
Cash 8,0% EU 14,2%

inFormaTion TeChnoloGy
North
SAmSuNG ELECtroNICS Co Ltd Asia ex
Africa
prEF 635 430 1 454 224 625000,00 KrW 2 001 703 547 479 5,65 % Seoul Japan 17,9%
0,3%
ACCENturE pLC 3 201 763 782 279 54,91 uSd 972 317 190 038 2,74 % New York
KYoCErA Corp 1 258 268 661 411 8430,00 JpY 707 574 46 162 2,00 % tokyo Norway
3,3%
mICroSoFt Corp 3 681 898 546 138 25,58 uSd 520 883 -25 255 1,47 % NASdAQ
SAmSuNG ELECtroNICS Co Ltd EMEA 4,6%
prEF Gdr 146 978 148 488 286,10 uSd 232 561 84 073 0,66 % London Int.
Japan 5,4%
SAmSuNG ELECtroNICS Co Ltd Gdr 64 277 54 716 426,10 uSd 151 473 96 756 0,43 % London Int.
orACLE Corp 493 000 72 161 33,15 uSd 90 385 18 224 0,26 % NASdAQ Eurozone North
11,5% America 25,2%
mINor ItEmS 45 267 49 362 4095 0,14 %
Total information Technology 3 764 686 4 726 262 961 576 13,34 %

TeleCom
VImpELCom Ltd-SpoN Adr 8 098 603 687 886 14,03 uSd 628 399 -59 486 1,77 % New York 10 L ArGESt HoLdINGS
totAL ACCESS tELECommuNICA-
tIoN pLC_ 47 428 100 146 600 48,00 tHB 416 266 269 666 1,17 % Bangkok Samsung Electronics Co Ltd 6.7 %
BHArtI AIrtEL Ltd 8 455 753 355 980 357,40 INr 374 878 18 898 1,06 % Nat. India
CHINA moBILE Ltd Adr 1 386 102 379 876 46,19 uSd 354 088 -25 788 1,00 % New York Eletrobras SA 4.5 %
CHINA moBILE Ltd 6 605 200 387 574 71,65 HKd 336 537 -51 037 0,95 % Hong Kong
tELECom ItALIA SpA 22 442 086 151 300 0,95 Eur 167 435 16 134 0,47 % BrsaItaliana tyco International Ltd 4.3 %
INdoSAt tBK pt Adr 921 819 137 600 30,18 uSd 153 862 16 262 0,43 % New York
totAL ACCESS tELECommuNICA- pfizer Inc 3.4 %
tIoN NVdr pLC 13 644 940 106 570 48,00 tHB 119 758 13 188 0,34 % Bangkok
mINor ItEmS 30 223 32 595 2 372 0,09 % Accenture pLC 2.7%
Total Telecom 2 383 613 2 583 823 200 209 7,29 %
Citigroup Inc 2.6 %
uTiliTieS
CENtrAIS ELEtrICAS BrASILEIrAS Bunge Ltd 2.2 %
SA prEF 11 295 481 698 456 30,77 BrL 1 182 058 483 602 3,34 % Sao paulo
CENtrAIS ELEtrICAS BrASILEI- pride International Inc 2.1 %
rAS SA 4 907 659 426 428 24,70 BrL 412 266 -14 162 1,16 % Sao paulo
CALpINE Corp 2 413 298 171 937 15,90 uSd 212 215 40 278 0,60 % New York
Kyocera Corp 2.1 %
Total utilities 155 106 303 391 148 284 2,97 %
Gazprom oAo 2.0 %
Total equity portfolio* 27 629 821 32 591 429 4 961 607 91,98 %
disposable liquidity 2 842 219 8,02 % totAL 10 LArGESt HoLdINGS 32.7%
Total share capital 35 433 649 100,00 %

Base price as of 31.03.2011


832,0553
* Figures in 1000 NoK
the market value as of 31.03.2011 is the last quoted price from the stock exchange. the average cost method is used for the calculation of sales gain.

* From the moor north of Skagen, 1885. detail.


By p.S. Krøyer, one of the Skagen painters.
the picture is owned by the Skagens museum.

S K A G E N F u N d S m A r K E t r E p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
38 S e C u r i T i e S p o r T F o l i o S K a G e n K o n -T i K i a S o F 31- 03 -2 011

hiSToriCal priCe developmenT SK aGen Kon-TiKi (eur)


80
SKAGEN Kon-Tiki
Emerging Markets Index
20 % annual return

NAV SKAGEN Kon-Tiki


40

20

10
SKaGen Kon-TiKi
Leading the way in new waters* 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

The SKaGen Kon-Tiki equity fund acquistion market Cur- market- unrealised Share of Stock-
will invest at least 50 percent of its Security number value noK * price rency value noK* gain/loss * fund exchange
assets in emerging markets. These
are markets that are not included in enerGy
the mSCi World index. neverthe- BAKEr HuGHES INC 6 079 956 1 712 190 73,7 uSd 2 478 367 766 176 5,27 % New York
less, following on from our require- GAZprom oAo Adr 7 250 284 982 068 32,37 uSd 1 297 974 315 905 2,76 % London Int.
ment to have a reasonable industry pEtroLEo BrASILEIro prEF Adr 4 846 964 847 080 35,65 uSd 955 647 108 566 2,03 % New York
SEAdrILL Ltd 4 200 000 369 995 200,8 NoK 843 360 473 364 1,79 % oslo Børs
balance, 50 percent of the fund’s
tuLLoW oIL pLC 2 194 900 133 809 14,67 GBp 285 721 151 911 0,61 % London
assets may be invested in markets
GoLAr LNG ENErGY Ltd 8 031 151 99 649 22 NoK 176 685 77 035 0,38 % oslo Børs
that are included in the mSCi World
SEAWELL Ltd 4 245 148 108 938 38,2 NoK 162 164 53 225 0,34 % oslo Børs
index. SKaGen Kon-Tiki is suitable
dEEp SEA SuppLY pLC 11 096 000 109 900 14,45 NoK 160 337 50 437 0,34 % oslo Børs
for an investor who wants to benefit mINor ItEmS 130 321 92 612 -37 708 0,20 %
from the value creation taking place Total energy 4 493 953 6 452 869 1 958 916 13,71 %
in the world’s emerging markets.
The fund offers the opportunity of raW maTerialS
extraordinary returns, but at a VALE SA SpoNS Adr 7 422 364 734 507 29,48 uSd 1 210 146 475 639 2,57 % New York
higher risk than with a global/ EQuINoX mINErALS Ltd 28 331 000 83 477 5,78 CAd 931 993 97 216 1,98 % toronto
norwegian equity fund. VALE SA-prEF A 1 231 900 210 807 47,39 BrL 198 549 -12 257 0,42 % Sao paulo
ASIA CEmENt CHINA HoLdINGS 46 742 500 172 551 4,87 HKd 161 871 -10 679 0,34 % Hong Kong
risk
mINor ItEmS 391 506 347 411 -44 094 0,74 %
Total raw materials 2 344 148 2849 972 505 823 6,06 %

Standard & poor’s induSTrialS


qualitative rating ABB Ltd 6 985 681 772 466 152,7 SEK 935 549 163 083 1,99 % Stockholm
AVENG Ltd 19 495 215 575 546 35,67 ZAr 568 484 -7 062 1,21 % Johannesb.
morningstar quantitative ★★★★★ EmprESAS ICA S.A.B 41 000 000 601 175 26,9 mXN 512 462 -88 712 1,09 % mexico
rating
A p moLLEr - mAErSK A 10 000 456 235 48350 dKK 508 980 52 745 1,08 % København
HArBIN poWEr EQuIpmENt Co Ltd 57 918 000 557 093 8,05 HKd 331 543 -225 550 0,70 % Hong Kong
morningstar qualitative
AIrASIA BHd 62 078 300 145 080 2,69 mYr 305 275 160 195 0,65 % Kuala Lumpur
rating
StrABAG SE 1 625 310 235 502 22,39 Eur 285 641 50 139 0,61 % Wien
NordIC AmErICAN tANKEr SHIppING LtC 1 722 600 299 544 25 uSd 238 173 -61 371 0,51 % New York
Wassum
BArLoWorLd Ltd 3 626 000 181 674 74,7 ZAr 221 429 39 755 0,47 % Johannesb.
ENKA INSAAt VE SANAYI AS 9 166 665 107 998 5,96 trY 195 736 87 737 0,42 % Istanbul
Lipper
Europe 2011, Best Fund 5 years tEKFEN HoLdING AS 7 521 955 113 250 6,06 trY 163 311 50 061 0,35 % Istanbul
Equity Emerging markets NorWEGIAN AIr SHuttLE ASA 1 509 026 110 549 108 NoK 162 974 52 425 0,35 % oslo Børs
mINor ItEmS 344 597 315 648 -28 948 0,67 %
Fund start date 5 April 2002 Total industrials 4 500 714 4 745 212 244 498 10,08 %

return since start 458.6%


ConSumer diSCreTionary
HYuNdAI motor prEF (2pB) 3589 600 570 521 71200 KrW 1288 184 717 663 2,74 % Seoul
Average annual return 21.1%
GrEAt WALL motor Co Ltd 107 000 000 161 213 14,38 HKd 1094 141 932 927 2,32 % Hong Kong
Assets under Eur 5996 million HYuNdAI motor prEF (1p) 3 248 610 517 371 66000 KrW 1080 671 563 299 2,30 % Seoul
management mAHINdrA & mAHINdrA Ltd Gdr 7 634 388 137 004 15,93 uSd 672 602 535 597 1,43 % London Int.
LG ELECtroNICS INC prEF 3 150 000 850 969 38800 KrW 616 019 -234 949 1,31 % Seoul
Number of unitholders 91 921 SHANGrI-LA ASIA Ltd 16 034 213 143 985 20,1 HKd 229 178 85 193 0,49 % Hong Kong
drB-HICom BHd 51 886 300 194 985 2,3 mYr 218 162 23 177 0,46 % Kuala Lumpur
Subscription fee 0% mINor ItEmS 122 559 89 278 -33 280 0,19 %
Total Consumer discretionary 2698 611 5288 238 2 589 627 11,24 %
redemption fee 0%

management fee 2 % per year plus/


ConSumer STapleS
minus variable CoSAN Ltd-CLASS A SHArES 8 179 730 410 941 12,94 uSd 585 384 174 443 1,24 % New York
management fee SHoprItE HoLdINGS Ltd 6 491 588 302 950 103,77 ZAr 550 694 247 744 1,17 % Johannesb.
YAZICILAr HoLdING AS 9 654 470 239 353 13,5 trY 466 957 227 603 0,99 % Istanbul
minimum subscription one-time subscription
KuLIm mALAYSIA BErHAd 67 500 400 213 083 3,33 mYr 410 913 197 830 0,87 % Kuala Lumpur
amount Eur 150
mArINE HArVESt ASA 51 713 589 198 067 6,88 NoK 355 789 157 722 0,76 % oslo Børs
Authorised for Norway, Sweden, pZ CuSSoNS pLC 8 730 032 146 456 3,27 GBp 253 005 106 548 0,54 % London
marketing in denmark, Finland, roYAL uNIBrEW A/S 489 758 82 208 362,5 dKK 186 893 104 685 0,40 % København
Netherlands, Luxem- podrAVKA prEHrAmBENA INd dd 406 584 111 935 325 HrK 140 544 28 609 0,30 % Zagreb
bourg, Iceland, uK and
Switzerland mINor ItEmS 205 954 177 639 -28 315 0,38 %
Total Consumer Staples 1 910 949 3 127 821 1 216 871 6,65 %
Benchmark index mSCI Emerging
markets Index (NoK)

uCIts Yes

portfolio managers J. Kristoffer Stensrud


Knut Harald Nilsson
Cathrine Gether

S K A G E N F u N d S m A r K E t r E p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
S e C u r i T i e S p o r T F o l i o S K a G e n K o n -T i K i a S o F 31- 03 -2 011 39

acquistion market Cur- market- unrealised Share of Stock-


Security number value noK * price rency value noK* gain/loss * fund exchange

healTh Care
rICHtEr GEdEoN NYrt 968 258 1 070 376 39 095 HuF 1 117 640 47 264 2,37 % Budapest
StAdA ArZNEmIttEL AG 2 597 658 383 691 27 Eur 559 699 176 008 1,19 % Frankfurt
HANmI pHArm Co Ltd 724 500 315 456 87 500 KrW 319 520 4 064 0,68 % Seoul
EIS ECZACIBASI ILAC VE SANAYI 21 268 365 145 692 2 trY 179 829 34 136 0,38 % Istanbul
mINor ItEmS 277 121 207 481 -69 640 0,44 %
Total health Care 2 192 337 2 384 171 191 834 5,07 %

FinanCialS
BANCo do EStAdo rIo GrANdE do
SuL prEF
StANdArd CHArtErEd pLC
20 063 929
8 325 000
430 207
965 167
20,03
16,39
BrL
GBp
1 366 795
1 210 767
936 587
245 599
2,90 %
2,57 %
Sao paulo
London SKaGen Kon-TiKi
VtB BANK oJSC Gdr 30 931 536 1026 881 7 uSd 1 197 478 170 597 2,54 % London Int. Leading the way in new waters*
HACI omEr SABANCI HoLdING AS 39 547 688 777 734 7,18 trY 1 017 326 239 591 2,16 % Istanbul
GJENSIdIGE ForSIKrING ASA 6 134 212 361 918 66,65 NoK 408 845 46 926 0,87 % oslo Børs
KIWoom SECurItIES Co Ltd 1 180 000 215 647 59400 KrW 353 281 137 634 0,75 % Seoul SeCTor diSTribuTion
ASYA KAtILIm BANKASI AS 31 004 245 319 850 3,01 trY 334 350 14 499 0,71 % Istanbul
Telecom 9,8%
JSE LImItEd 5 694 251 214 587 70 ZAr 325 853 111 265 0,69 % Johannesb. Utilities
KorEAN rEINSurANCE Co 4 671 633 181 790 12800 KrW 301 391 119 600 0,64 % Seoul 6,5% IT 9,6%

EFG-HErmES HoLdING SAE 11 959 505 353 506 21,96 EGp 243 773 -109 732 0,52 % Cairo
Cash
A.F.p. proVIdA SA Adr 573 981 114 169 75,01 uSd 238 114 123 944 0,51 % New York 3,8%
Financials
BANGKoK BANK puBLIC Co-NVdr 7 530 000 189 242 172 tHB 236 820 47 577 0,50 % Bangkok 17,5%
GHANA CommErCIAL BANK Ltd 17 697 904 8 503 2,5 GHS 161 528 76 496 0,34 % Ghana Energy
13,7%
NordNEt AB 7 034 191 97 675 19,7 SEK 121 534 23 859 0,26 % Stockholm
KIAtNAKIN BANK pCL-NVdr 18 754 400 139 342 35,25 tHB 120 880 -18 462 0,26 % Bangkok Raw
Materials Health 5,1%
tISCo FINANCIAL Group NVdr 16 668 600 62 098 39 tHB 118 866 56 768 0,25 % Bangkok 6,1%
mINor ItEmS 406 197 471 848 65 651 1,00 % Consumer
Staples 6,7%
Total Financials 5 941 050 8 229 456 2 288 405 17,49 %
Industrials Consumer
10,1% Discretionary 11,2%
inFormaTion TeChnoloGy
SAmSuNG ELECtroNICS Co Ltd prEF 565 556 1 397 250 625 000 KrW 1 781 589 384 339 3,79 % Seoul
HoN HAI prECISIoN INduStrY 62 000 000 1 474 995 103 tWd 1 199 290 -275 704 2,55 % taipei
SAmSuNG ELECtroNICS Co Ltd GeoGr aphiCal diSTribuTion
prEF Gdr 509 038 500 004 286,1 uSd 805 445 305 441 1,71 % London Int.
SoFtBANK Corp 2 000 000 443 592 3 320 JpY 442 934 -658 0,94 % tokyo Cash 3,8% West Africa 1,5%
Asia ex
Japan 32,5% South
NASpErS Ltd 686 999 161 812 364 ZAr 204 430 42 618 0,43 % Johannesb. America 17,3%
mINor ItEmS 225 472 75 928 -149 543 0,16 %
Total information Technology 4 203 127 4 509 619 306 492 9,58 %
Perpheral EU
6,9%
TeleCom
East North
SIStEmA JSFC Gdr 10 813 965 846 594 29,1 uSd 1 740 388 893 794 3,70 % London Int.
Africa Africa 0,5%
CHINA moBILE Ltd Adr 4 166 081 1 275 335 46,19 uSd 1 064 250 -211 085 2,26 % New York 2,1%
BHArtI AIrtEL Ltd 19 324 305 885 063 357,4 INr 856 727 -28 336 1,82 % Nat. India Norway 5,7%
INdoSAt tBK pt Adr 4 154 595 708 198 30,18 uSd 693 451 -14 746 1,47 % New York North
America 5,3%
totAL ACCESS tELECommuNICA-
tIoN pLC_ 15 933 600 36 013 48 tHB 1 398 46 103 832 0,30 % Bangkok EMEA 22,3% Japan 1,0% Eurozone 1,2%
mINor ItEmS 62 762 1067 33 43 970 0,23 %
Total Telecom 3 813 969 4 601 398 787 429 9,78 %

uTiliTieS
10 L ArGESt HoLdINGS
CENtrAIS ELEtrICAS BrASILEIrAS
SA prEF 27 648 063 2 051 697 30,77 BrL 2 893 335 841 638 6,15 % Sao paulo
CENtrAIS ELEtrICAS BrASILEIrAS Eletrobras SA 6.5 %
SA 2 050 451 160 437 24,7 BrL 172 247 11 809 0,37 % Sao paulo
Total utilities 2 212 135 3 065 583 853 447 6,51 % Samsung Electronics Co Ltd 5.5 %

Total equity portfolio* 34 310 998 4 5254 345 10 943 346 96,16 % Baker Hughes Inc 5.3 %

disposable liquidity 1 807 538 3,84 %


Total share capital 4 7061 884 100,00 % Hyundai motor Co 5.0 %

Sistema JSFC 3.7 %


Base price as of 31.03.2011 573,1411

* Figures in 1000 NoK Vale SA 3.0 %


the market value as of 31.03.2011 is the last quoted price from the stock exchange. the average cost method is used for the calculation of sales gain.
Banrisul 2.9 %

Gazprom oAo 2.8 %

Standard Chartered pLC 2.6 %

Hon Hai precision Industry Co 2.6 %

totAL 10 LArGESt HoLdINGS 39.8 %

* Skagen reef’s lightship, 1892. detail.


By Carl Locher, one of the Skagen painters.
the picture is owned by the Skagens museum.

S K A G E N F u N d S m A r K E t r E p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
40 S e C u r i T i e S p o r T F o l i o S K a G e n T e l l u S a S o F 31- 03 -2 011

unrealised
Face value

value incl.
Cost price

gain/loss
value ***
maturity

Share of
accrued
interest

interest
accrued
Coupon

market

market

market
price

fund
***

***

***

***

***
Security

GovernmenT bondS
SVEItSISK StAt 11.02.2013 4,00 6 500 41 760 640,68 213 41 644 41 857 -116 5,48 %
EuropEAN BANK rECoN & dEV 17.06.2015 0,50 31 300 28 361 86,25 103 26 996 27 100 -1 365 3,55 %
HoNG KoNG StAt 07.12.2011 0,00 50 000 38 626 70,78 0 35 391 35 391 -3 234 4,63 %
mALAYSIAN GoVErNmENt 28.04.2011 3,76 17 900 33 118 182,51 518 32 669 33 188 -449 4,35 %
NorSK StAt 16.05.2011 6,00 40 000 40 250 100,43 2097 40 172 42 269 -78 5,53 %
tAIWAN StAt 10.02.2012 0,21 150 000 28 375 18,67 8 28 010 28 018 -365 3,67 %
uSA StAt 31.07.2011 1,00 13 000 77 919 553,38 116 71 939 72 056 -5 979 9,43 %

SKaGen TelluS tYSK StAt


uK StAt
11.05.2011
15.08.2011
0,00
0,00
24 500
7 000
190 413
63 024
783,31
883,81
0
0
191 909
61 866
191 909
61 866
1 496
-1 158
25,13 %
8,10 %
A doorway to global interest rates* SVENSK StAt 15.06.2011 0,00 95 000 84 690 87,31 0 82 941 82 941 -1 748 10,86 %

Total equity portfolio 626 541 30 58 613 542 616 601 -12 998 80,73 %
disposable liquidity 149 676 0 147 210 147 210 -2 466 19,27 %
SKaGen Tellus is an actively
ToTal 776 217 3 058 760 753 763 811 -15 464 100,00 %
managed global bond fund
investing in bonds issued by portfolio Key Figures
Effective underlying return 0,69 %
governments, regional autho- Effective return to clients* -0,11 %
rities and financial institutions duration** 0,43
all over the world. SKaGen
unit price as of 31.03.2011 101,9348
Tellus is a good option for
investors who wish to invest * Effective underlying return adjusted for managment fee.
** duration is a simplified expression of how much the price of the security will
in global bonds and who have change if the interest rate changes by one percentage point.
an investment horizon of at *** Figures in 1000 NoK

least 12 months. investors Effective interest is the average annual return of an interest bearing security until maturity.
Securities are valued at market price as of 31.03.2011.
must be tolerant of exchange Bonds and notes for which there are no market maker prices are at all times valued against the applicable yield curve.

rate fluctuations.

risk

morningstar ★★★★★
Fund start date 29 September 2006

return since start 27.91%

Average annual return 5,62%

Assets under Eur 97 million


management

Number of unitholders 2 414

Subscription fee 0%

redemption fee 0%

management fee 0,8 % per year

minimum subscription one-time subscription


amount Eur 150

Authorised for Norway, Sweden,


marketing in denmark, Finland,
Netherlands, Luxem-
bourg, Iceland, uK and
Switzerland

Benchmark index Barclays Capital


Global treasury Index
3-5 years

uCIts Yes

portfolio managers torgeir Høien

* Interior. Brøndum’s annex, ca. 1920. detail.


By Anna Ancher, one of the Skagen painters.
the picture is owned by the Skagens museum.

S K A G E N F u N d S m A r K E t r E p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
F i n a n c i a l stat e m e n t 41

Financial statement
As of 31-03-11

Inocme Statement SKAGEN Vekst


31-03-2011
SKAGEN Global
31-03-2011
SKAGEN Kon-Tiki SKAGEN Avkastning
31-03-2011 31-03-2011
SKAGEN Høyrente
31-03-2011
SKAGEN Høyrente
Institusjon
SKAGEN Tellus
31-03-2011
SKAGEN Krona**
31-03-2011
(all figures in NOK 1000) 31-03-2011
PORTFOLIO REVENUE AND COSTS
Income interest and costs 2 390 3 811 2 365 11 405 29 491 11 569 3 134 1 410
Dividends 18 959 98 842 121 426 - - - - -
Realised capital gain/loss 297 201 922 246 1 157 835 -8 554 75 -455 -23 069 -
Change unrealised capital gain/loss -211 125 9 408 -802 540 653 2 436 1 113 -12 189 106
Guarantee commission - - - - - - - -
Broker's fee -2 646 -14 313 -20 438 -4 -38 -16 -9 -18
Currency gain/loss -27 640 -13 620 -20 430 5 687 - - -419 -
Portfolio result 77 139 1 006 374 438 218 9 187 31 965 12 210 -32 553 1 498

MANAGEMENT REVENUE AND COSTS


Fixed management fee -25 369 -85 037 -233 704 -1 653 -2 272 -535 -1 601 -113
Calculated variable management fee* - -110 348 -177 130 - - - - -
Asset management result -25 369 -195 385 -410 834 -1 653 -2 272 -535 -1 601 -113
Result before tax 51 770 810 989 27 384 7 534 29 693 11 676 -34 153 1 385

Tax cost -564 -10 953 -11 522 - - - -106 -


Net income for the period 51 206 800 036 15 862 7 534 29 693 11 676 -34 260 1 385

Balance sheet SKAGEN Vekst


31-03-2011
SKAGEN Global
31-03-2011
SKAGEN Kon–Tiki SKAGEN Avkastning
31-03-2011 31-03-2011
SKAGEN Høyrente
31-03-2011
SKAGEN Høyrente
Institusjon
SKAGEN Tellus
31-03-2011
SKAGEN Krona**
31-03-2011
31-03-2011
ASSETS
Norwegian securities at cost price 4 373 225 753 619 1 497 353 1 003 147 2 767 530 831 768 40 250 -
Foreign securities at cost price 3 482 047 26 855 707 32 813 645 - - - 586 291 246 706
Unrealised capital gains/loss 2 250 376 4 979 252 10 943 347 1 388 2 879 897 -12 998 -162
Accrued interest securities 1 551 2 852 - 3 545 13 887 4 759 3 058 1 035
Total securities portfolio 10 107 198 32 591 430 45 254 345 1 008 080 2 784 297 837 424 616 601 247 579
Dividend receivable 29 242 166 481 194 078 - - - - -
Accrued interest bank 6 207 151 1 - - 2 -
Total accrued income 29 248 166 688 194 229 1 - - 2 -
Accounts receivable - brokers 25 328 61 926 27 354 81 426 60 367 45 610 - 4 992
Accounts receivable - management company 1 1 2 - - - 1 -
Tax receivable on dividends 2 793 33 374 1 900 - - - 1 308 -
Other receivables - - - - - - - -
Total other receivables 28 122 95 302 29 256 81 426 60 367 45 610 1 309 4 992
Bank deposits 159 576 3 106 770 1 959 389 134 907 934 690 640 121 147 514 4 285
Total assets 10 324 145 35 960 190 47 437 221 1 224 413 3 779 353 1 523 154 765 426 256 855

Equit y capital
Unit capital at par value 694 918 4 258 949 8 215 179 922 038 3 648 408 1 451 145 748 086 244 375
Premium -37 787 18 101 027 20 662 970 319 944 33 497 -2 898 54 970 1 086
Total paid-in equity capital 657 131 22 359 977 28 878 149 1 241 981 3 681 904 1 448 247 803 056 245 461
Retained earnings 9 568 548 13 076 255 18 087 994 -49 878 30 091 11 372 -40 551 1 248
Total equity capital 10 225 679 35 436 232 46 966 143 1 192 103 3 711 995 1 459 620 762 505 246 709

Debt
Accounts payable - to brokers 60 966 254 250 3 825 29 986 53 178 63 000 - 4 931
Accounts payable - to management company 25 369 195 385 410 834 1 653 2 272 535 1 601 113
Other debt 12 131 74 323 56 418 671 11 908 - 1 320 5 103
Total debt 98 466 523 958 471 078 32 310 67 358 63 535 2 921 10 146
Total debt and equity capital 10 324 145 35 960 190 47 437 221 1 224 413 3 779 353 1 523 154 765 426 256 855

Number of units issued 6 949 177,87 42 589 493,02 82 151 788,11 9 220 375,71 36 484 076,10 14 511 452,45 7 480 858,75 2 443 753,35
Base price per unit 1471,5102 832,0553 573,1411 129,2880 101,7332 100,5801 101,9348 100,9428

Note: Divergence in price relative to the portfolios is due to accruals divergence as of 31.03.2011.
* Calculated variable management fee as of 31.03.11: pursuant to the regulations, the definitive statement shall take place as of 31.12.2011 based on value developments during the rest of the year.

S K A G E N F u n d s m a r ke t Re p o r t ✱ n u m b e r 1 ✱ a p r i l 2 0 11
SKaGen continues
to expand in europe offices:
head office
SKAGEN Funds
postbox 160
4001 Stavanger,
Norway
or
Skagen 3, torgterrassen
Stavanger, Norway

telephone:
+47 51 21 38 58
Fax: +47 51 86 37 00

Email: contact@skagenfunds.com
www.skagenfunds.com

london
Albemarle House
1 Albemarle Street
London W1S 4HA
uK

Stockholm
drottningsgatan 8
111 36 Stockholm,
Sweden

Copenhagen
Nyhavn 63A, (2nd floor)
1051 Copenhagen K.
denmark
Countries highlighted in dark blue are a home market.
Countries highlighted in light blue are those in which SKaGen has an office.
Countries highlighted in green are those in which SKaGen has marketing permission. Contact Customer Services
Customer Services is open from
monday to Friday from 9 a.m. to
5 p.m. (CEt)
SKAGEN’s International department has over the past few years grown to meet increasing interest and demand
Either visit us at our office, send
from outside the home market in the Nordic region. an email or call us and we will do
our utmost to assist you.
the department now handles inquiries and clients from countries as diverse as the Netherlands, Luxembourg,
Finland, Iceland, the uK and Switzerland. SKAGEN’s international department has grown alongside the
international expansion and now consists of a total of fourteen people and is based between Stavanger,
Norway and London, uK.
Graphical production:
printting produksjon as

p h o n e : + 47 51 21 3 8 5 8 * e m a i l : Co n Ta C T@ S K a G e n F u n d S . Co m

Potrebbero piacerti anche