RECHARGE PH

we RECOVER as ONE
Rosemarie G. Edillon, Ph.D., CESO I
Undersecretary, Policy and Planning Group
National Economic and Development Authority
COVID19
ROCKED
our core

https://www.simplypsychology.org/maslow.html
Address uncertainty by:
- Providing the right Information
- Addressing losses experienced during ECQ
- Preparing for the “new normal”

http://www.neda.gov.ph/we-recover-as-one/
Mitigating losses
 Survey results corroborate the economic decline
Key variables Consumer survey MSME + large survey Agriculture survey

Respondents 389,859 44,097 6,863

Period of survey April 5 to 8, 2020 April 4 to 8, 2020 April 3 to 8, 2020

Estimated -87.2% in March vs February

65% were able to sell
revenue/income 44% say income is not (extrapolated: 767 billion)
35% were not able to sell
impact enough to meet basic needs (66% zero sales,
(108.5 million in losses)
33% decreased sales)

Estimated job loss 44%

-10.5% in March vs February
(of non-government worker
(extrapolated: 2,240,610 workers) 86% continued to farm
respondents
(74.4% no lay-off, 25.4% with lay-off)
lost their job or source of income)

Estimated firm closures N/A 33,041 firms (74.9%) 35% were not able to sell

Top 3 needs More efficient health system Payment deferment to Cash assistance
Access to food supply and government, banks, and utilities Production support (seeds, planting
essentials Tax discounts or tax credits materials, fertilizers, etc.)
Transportation Low interest loans Machinery and equipment (tractors,
from government and banks cultivators, pumps, etc.)
7
Sources: NEDA and DOF
Defining the new normal
NEW NORMAL – General context

Physical distancing Sporadic lockdowns

1 meter will still be possible
observed; face
covering required

Strict hygiene Looming COVID-19

and sanitation threat will be foremost in
protocols the minds of individuals

9
 Characterizing Political
the “new normal” • Increased attention towards
managing multi-dimensional risks i.e.,
public health emergencies and
natural hazard event
• LGUs taking on greater responsibility
to deliver public services, especially
health and social safety nets
• Greater need for targeted
interventions
• Greater need for disaggregated data
 Not for circulation

Change in Demand: Higher household demand for

Household
• Health products; health-boosting goods
Expenses • Soap, hand sanitizer, alcohol
• Face masks
• Internet
• Electronics
• Utilities (EGW)
• Bikes, motorbikes

Lower household demand for

• Durables
• Non-essentials
• Tourism and travel
 Not for circulation

Change in Demand: Higher investment demand for

Investments • Delivery vans, motorbikes
• Digital connectivity
• Electronics equipment
• Storage facilities

Lower investment demand for

• Air transport
• Office space
 Not for circulation

Change in Demand: Higher demand for

Government
• Digital connectivity
• Electronics equipment
• Health care services
• Health care personnel
• Social protection

Lower demand for

• Office space
 Not for circulation

Change in Demand: Higher export demand for

Rest of the world
(Exports) • Electronics equipment
• Health care supplies and
equipment
• Health care services
• Health care personnel
• Business process outsourcing (?)

Lower export demand for

• Travel and tourism

 Updated Overall PDP 2017-2022 Strategic Framework
MATATAG, MAGINHAWA AT PANATAG NA BUHAY

A HEALTHY AND RESILIENT PHILIPPINES

“MALASAKIT” “PAGBABAGO” “PATULOY NA PAG-UNLAD”

Transforming towards equity and resiliency Increasing growth potential
Building a high-trust society

Expand access to Scale-up

Ensure people-centered, Expand Stimulate
economic opportunities technology creativity and
clean, technology-enabled & opportunities
including the digital adoption innovation
responsive governance across regions
economy

Pursue swift, fair & humane Implement strategic trade and responsive fiscal policy
administration of justice Maintaining macroeconomic stability and promoting competition

Transform human Ensure food Maximize demographic dividend

Promote Philippine culture capital development security & reduce across the different regions in the
and values towards towards greater vulnerabilities of country
bayanihan agility Filipinos

Protect the welfare of & expand opportunities for Overseas Filipinos to contribute to the country’s development

Ensure Accelerate strategic Build safe, resilient & Ensure ecological

peace and infrastructure sustainable communities integrity, clean &
security development healthy environment
 Banner Programs
• Health Systems Improvement
• Food Security Workforce agility
Business resiliency
• Digital government; digital Healthy population
economy
• Balik Probinsya
Updated Overall PDP 2017-2022 Strategic Framework

MATATAG, MAGINHAWA AT PANATAG NA BUHAY

A HEALTHY AND RESILIENT PHILIPPINES

“MALASAKIT” “PAGBABAGO” “PATULOY NA PAG-UNLAD”

Transforming towards equity and resiliency Increasing growth potential
Building a high-trust society

Expand access to Scale-up

Ensure people-centered, Expand Stimulate
economic opportunities technology creativity and
clean, technology-enabled & opportunities
including the digital adoption innovation
responsive governance across regions
economy

Pursue swift, fair & humane Implement strategic trade and responsive fiscal policy
administration of justice Maintaining macroeconomic stability and promoting competition

Transform human Ensure food Maximize demographic dividend

Promote Philippine culture capital development security & reduce across the different regions in the
and values towards towards greater vulnerabilities of country
bayanihan agility Filipinos

Protect the welfare of & expand opportunities for Overseas Filipinos to contribute to the country’s development

Ensure Accelerate strategic Build safe, resilient & Ensure ecological

peace and infrastructure sustainable communities integrity, clean &
security development healthy environment
 Objectives of the Task Group & sTGs

TG Recovery: To formulate action plans, and monitor the same, that will facilitate
the restarting of social and economic activities, while engaging all of
society in preventing the spread and mitigating the ill effects of the
COVID19 pandemic.

sTG on Economic sTG on Governance

Recovery sTG on Social Recovery
To ensure people-
To engage business and To improve the capability centered, clean,
the workforce in the fight of Filipinos – individuals, technology-enabled and
against COVID19 and families and communities responsive governance in
expand economic to thrive under the “new addressing COVID19 and
opportunities amid the normal”. restarting social and
pandemic economic activities
Specific tasks of the sTG
1. To identify “regular” PAPs that should have implementation continuity
2. To develop innovative delivery mechanisms considering the “new normal”
3. To develop program components that contribute to the fight against
COVID19
4. To integrate the anti-COVID components into identified programs and
projects
5. To identify PAPs for the sectors most adversely affected
6. To ensure complementation and convergence of efforts of agencies and
other TG/sTG to maximize available resources.
7. To recommend a communication strategy to achieve the objectives of the
TG on Recovery
8. To monitor and evaluate the implementation of PAPs
9. To provide feedback to the NTF for appropriate response
1

Proposed members of sTG on

Economic Recovery

Chair: DTI

Members: NEDA, DA, SSS, Pag-IBIG,

DOT, DOST DENR, DILG
DOTr, DICT, DepEd
DPWH, DOLE,
TESDA, CHED
2

Members of sTG on Social

Recovery

Chair: DSWD

Members: DOH, NNC, DILG, ECCDC, DA,

TESDA, CHED, DepEd, DICT, PNP,
AFP, PHIC, DOLE
3

Members of sTG on Governance

Chair: DILG

Members: BJMP, CWC, NCDA, NCIP, NCMF, NYC,

PCW, PNP, CSC, DTI , PNVSCA, POPCOM,
ULAP, Leagues (LPP, LnB), BFP, CSC, COA,
DICT, DILG, DOH, DOTr, DPWH, LGA, PNP,
PPSC, OCD, ULAP Leagues (LCP, LMP),
ARTA, DBM, DICT, DILG , NAPOLCOM,
PNP, PSA
Stimulating the Economy Amid COVID19: the primacy
of anti-COVID strategies
COVID19
DEMAND threat
C+I+G+X-M

Revitalize demand

Empower production capacities to

capture demand
A+I+S SUPPLY

24
Diagram of COVID19
Health Surveillance
transmission Tracing seed
Testing Iu Ru
Citizen-engagement seed

Co-morbidity Viral load Id,s Rd,s

People density Isolation
protocol
S E I
Id,h Rd,h
Treatment|Co-morbidity
Mobility
Restrictions seed
Crowd restrictions Epidemiological studies Dd,h Clinical trials
Travel ban

Natural mortality/natality dynamic

Adapted from Ivorra et. Al. (2020), DOI link: http://www.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.21543.29604

 TG on Recovery
To formulate action plans, and monitor the same, that will facilitate the restarting of social and economic activities,
while engaging all of society in preventing the spread and mitigating the ill effects of the COVID19 pandemic

Recovery Possible Means of Frequency of

Focus Areas Outcome Indicators
Principle Verification Reporting
▪ New COVID19 clusters in workplaces/malls ▪ DOH monitoring of clusters ▪ Daily
▪ WHO Situation Reports in the ▪ Weekly (latest: July
Philippines 7)
▪ Reports from NGAs ▪ Monthly
▪ Reports from LGUs ▪ Monthly
▪ Monitoring reports from malls ▪ Monthly
▪ DOLE reports ▪ Quarterly
Balance ▪ IPAs reports ▪ Quarterly
between Work and business operations
▪Percentage of firms open and operating at full/ ▪WB Survey ▪ Every 6 wks.
Rebuilding and resumed while ensuring
higher capacity ▪DTI monitoring report ▪Monthly
keeping a prevention of spread of
▪Percentage of firms with hours of operation
Healthy and COVID19
increased or remaining the same relative to pre-
Resilient PH
COVID status

▪Percentage of displaced workers (both local and ▪DOLE/POEA/DFA reports of ▪ Monthly

OFWs) that has returned to work or has new work displaced OFWs
▪Percentage of workers currently working (either ▪DOLE report on Job ▪ Monthly
on-site or remotely) Displacement
▪Percentage of workers able to work as usual ▪WB Survey ▪ Every 6 wks.
▪LFS
 TG on Recovery
To formulate action plans, and monitor the same, that will facilitate the restarting of social and economic activities,
while engaging all of society in preventing the spread and mitigating the ill effects of the COVID19 pandemic

Recovery Possible Means of Frequency of

Focus Areas Outcome Indicators
Principle Verification Reporting
New COVID19 cases among schoolchildren ▪ DepEd monitoring ▪ Monthly
Basic and secondary reports
education classes or ▪ Monthly
learning
activities resumed while ▪ Proportion of children engaged in ▪ DepEd monitoring ▪Monthly
Balance ensuring prevention of any education or learning activities reports
between spread of COVID19 ▪ WB Survey ▪Every 6 wks.
Rebuilding
and keeping a
Healthy and Social protection prvided ▪Incidence of food insecurity among ▪ WB survey ▪Every 6 wks.
Resilient PH while ensuring prevention households
of spread of COVID19
▪New COVID19 cases among social welfare ▪ DSWD monitoring
program beneficiaries reports
▪ Monitoring
reports from LGUs
 TG on Recovery
To formulate action plans, and monitor the same, that will facilitate the restarting of social and economic activities,
while engaging all of society in preventing the spread and mitigating the ill effects of the COVID19 pandemic

Recovery Possible Means of Frequency of

Focus Areas Outcome Indicators
Principle Verification Reporting
▪ New COVID19 clusters associated with public ▪DOH monitoring of ▪Daily
spaces clusters ▪Weekly
▪ WHO Situation Reports (latest: July 7)
▪ New COVID19 clusters associated with in the Philippines ▪Monthly
government (incl) LGU offices ▪ Reports from NGAs ▪Monthly
Balance ▪ Reports from LGUs
between ▪ Percentage of people satisfied with national ▪ WB Survey ▪ Every 6 wks.
Rebuilding Public services government response to coronavirus crisis
and keeping a at national/sub-national ▪ Percentage of people satisfied with local
Healthy and level delivered while government response to coronavirus crisis
Resilient PH ensuring prevention of ▪ Percentage of people believing that the
spread of COVID19 government is trustworthy in the way it
manages the coronavirus crisis
▪ Percentage of firms believing that national
and local government regulations and
guidelines are easy to access
 TG on Recovery
To formulate action plans, and monitor the same, that will facilitate the restarting of social and economic activities,
while engaging all of society in preventing the spread and mitigating the ill effects of the COVID19 pandemic

Recovery Possible Means of Frequency of

Focus Areas Outcome Indicators
Principle Verification Reporting
Balance ▪ % of tests initiated through contact tracing by ▪COVID19 testing form ▪Daily
between Public services government
Rebuilding at national/sub-national ▪ % of tests initiated through contact tracing by
and keeping a level delivered while workplaces
Healthy and ensuring prevention of ▪ % of confirmed cases discovered through
Resilient PH spread of COVID19 contact tracing by government
▪ % of confirmed cases discovered through
contact tracing by workplaces
▪ % of households covered by health ▪WB hh survey • Every 6
surveillance protocol weeks
 Strong family and community ties
MATATAG
✔ Family is together
✔ Time with friends
✔ Work-life balance
✔ Strong sense of community
Comfortable lifestyle Secure future
MAGINHAWA PANATAG
✔ Free from hunger ✔ Enough Resources for day-
and poverty to-day needs and
✔ Secure home ownership unexpected expenses
✔ Good transport ✔ Peace and security
✔ Travel and vacation ✔ Long and healthy life
✔ Comfortable retirement
 RECHARGE PH
we RECOVER as ONE
Rosemarie G. Edillon, Ph.D., CESO I
Undersecretary, Policy and Planning Group
National Economic and Development Authority