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Plant & Flower Growing in the US 11142 September 2020
About IBISWorld
IBISWorld specializes in industry research with coverage on thousands of global industries. Our comprehensive
data and in-depth analysis help businesses of all types gain quick and actionable insights on industries around
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research on industries in the US, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Germany, the UK, Ireland, China and Mexico,
as well as industries that are truly global in nature.
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Covid-19
Coronavirus IBISWorld's analysts constantly monitor the industry impacts of current events in
real-time – here is an update of how this industry is likely to be impacted as a result
Impact Update of the global COVID-19 pandemic:
• Revenue for the Plant and Flower Growing industry is likely to decline in 2020 as
per capita disposable income weakens and consumer spending is trimmed due to
the COVID-19 (coronavirus) outbreak.
• Due to the fact that industry products are not a food agricultural product, they are
discretionary in nature. This reduces consumer spending during financial
uncertainty, and leads to closed operations during the pandemic's nonessential
business closures.
• Like most of the agriculture sector, the largest threat to this industry remains
supply chain disruption, whereby supply cannot get to market, causing shortage.
Note: The content in this report is currently being updated to reflect the trends
outlined above.
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Foliage plants
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Supply Chain
SIMILAR INDUSTRIES
Vegetable Farming in the US Flower & Nursery Stock Nursery & Garden Stores in Florists in the US
Wholesaling in the US the US
Nursery Production in Floriculture Production in Flower & Plant Growing in Plant & Flower Growing in
Australia Australia the UK Canada
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Industry at a Glance
Key Statistics Key External Drivers % = 2015-2020 Annual Growth
$15.1bn 0.3%
Demand from flower and nursery stock
1.8%
Demand from nursery and garden stores
Revenue wholesaling
-2.4% Regulation
Light
Competition
38,571
Medium
Businesses
NEGATIVE IMPACT
Annual Growth Annual Growth Annual Growth
2015-2020 2020-2025 2015-2025 Life Cycle Industry Assistance
Decline Low
-1.8% -0.3%
158k
Employment
-0.4% 1.0%
$4.0bn
Wages
0.3% 1.1%
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Key Trends
Adverse weather conditions harm the quality and volume of
industry products
Increased efficiency in transportation has led to nationwide
price competition
Favorable weather and cheap labor in competing countries
have boosted imports
Imports will likely continue to hamper the industry, albeit to a
lessening degree
Flower farmers will increasingly diversify their product
offerings to remain viable
Automation will continue to reduce field workers as capital
investments take over
As incomes return, spending on plants and flowers will
slowly rebound
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Nursery stock crops Annual bedding and Potted flowering plants Foliage plants Potted herbaceous Cut flowers and cut
garden plants perennials cultivated greens
Plant & Flower Growing
Source: IBISWorld
STRENGTHS
Low & Increasing Level of Assistance
Low Product/Service Concentration
Low Capital Requirements
WEAKNESSES
Decline Life Cycle Stage
Medium Imports
Low Profit vs. Sector Average
High Customer Class Concentration
Low Revenue per Employee
OPPORTUNITIES
High Revenue Growth (2020-2025)
Trade-weighted index
THREATS
Very Low Revenue Growth (2005-2020)
Low Revenue Growth (2015-2020)
Low Outlier Growth
Low Performance Drivers
Demand from florists
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Executive The Plant and Flower Growing industry has contended with a period
Summary of volatile agricultural prices, weakening demand from florists and
an influx of low-cost imports.
As a result, industry participation has exhibited a steady downward trend, while
revenue has also exhibited marginal decline. Moreover, the outbreak of COVID-19
(coronavirus) has caused a decline in consumer spending, per capita disposable
income and private spending on home improvements, which has served to undercut
demand conditions and industry revenue growth in 2020 significantly. Industry
revenue is anticipated to fall 3.2% in 2020 alone as demand conditions plummet.
But overall, a period of weak prices, import competition and declining industry
participation is estimated to push down revenue at an annualized rate of 1.6% to
$15.1 billion over the five years to 2020.
The influx of low-cost cut flower imports from Colombia and Ecuador has
challenged the domestic industry's price competitiveness in recent years, with
imports expected to rise an annualized 3.8% to $2.3 billion during the current period
and account for 13.2% of domestic demand in 2020. Additionally, price competition
with imports has also intensified due to large retailers, such as Walmart Inc. and the
Home Depot Inc., taking over a substantial portion of the retail market. These
companies have the power to set low prices, exacerbating weakness in output
prices for others. Furthermore, in 2020 the coronavirus outbreak has served to
undercut demand conditions by slashing per capita disposable income and private
spending on home improvements, which will reduce consumer spending on
industry products and hamper industry revenue and profit.
Over the five years to 2025, it is expected that industry revenue will return to growth
as prices gradually appreciate and consumers return to spending amid an
improving economy. International trade conditions are expected to slow down and
stabilize, which is expected to weaken the downward pressure on industry prices,
helping to push revenue upward. However, demand from florists is expected to
continue weakening, which will keep industry revenue from growing at a stronger
rate. Over the five years to 2025, industry revenue is expected to rise an annualized
1.7% to reach $16.4 billion.
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Industry Performance
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Trade-weighted index
Exchange rate levels affect the price competitiveness of nursery and floriculture
producers. An appreciating US dollar erodes the domestic industry's price
competitiveness abroad because imports become more affordable to US
consumers and exports become more expensive to foreign buyers. Conversely, a
depreciating US dollar will ease exports and tighten imports. The trade-weighted
index is expected to rise in 2020.
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Current The Plant and Flower Growing industry has exhibited a difficult
Performance period, capped off with the coronavirus outbreak of 2020, which is
expected to further undermine demand conditions and slash
revenue 3.2% in that year alone.
While plant and flower growing is one of the highest value-per-acre industries in the
farming sector, nursery and floriculture production is struggling to survive as
competition for the discretionary dollar and from imports remains high. Overall, low-
cost imports undermine the price of domestic plants and flowers. Growers are
trying to stay relevant by engaging in price competition. Downstream retailers are
also engaging in price wars, with large chain superstores gaining headway over
specialized retailers. Overall, industry revenue is expected to decline an annualized
1.6% over the five years to 2020 to reach an estimated $15.1 billion, with declines in
2020 expected from the pandemic.
COVID-19
Blooming imports
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than domestic flower growers. To cut purchasing costs, large-scale retailers such
as Walmart Inc. and Safeway Inc. have increasingly purchased from these
international growers, dragging down US farmers' prices, volumes and revenue.
Overall, rising imports and increased instances of large-scale purchasing have
served to exacerbate price weakness by driving up competition among industry
operators.
Although the United States is one of the world's largest producers of crops and
nursery plants, export levels for the industry are relatively low at only 3.4% of
revenue in 2020. Overall, industry exports have risen an annualized 2.6% to reach
$507.5 million over the past five years; however, this is largely due to a surge in
exports of 11.2% in 2017. Though industry exports compromise a small portion of
industry revenue, growth in exports during the current period has helped offset
greater declines in industry revenue during the period.
Pushing daisies
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Industry Outlook
Outlook The Plant and Flower Growing industry is expected to recover over
the five years to 2025, with industry exports supporting revenue
growth along with some gradual price appreciation.
As the coronavirus pandemic abates,
it is expected that the industry will
return to more healthy levels of
growth. As per capita disposable
income recovers as a result of
expected declines in unemployment,
consumer demand for industry
products is expected to rebound.
However, demand form florists is still
expected to continue declining, sped
along by the challenges of the overall
Retail Sector (IBISWorld Report 45).
During the outlook period, IBISWorld
expects industry revenue to increase
an annualized 1.7% to reach $16.4
billion. Overall, an abatement in
industry imports and rising demand
from nursery and garden stores is
expected to support industry revenue growth, while an expected decline in industry
imports is anticipated to undercut further increases in price-based competition.
Meanwhile, exports are projected to increase over the five years to 2025 at an
annualized rate of 1.7% to reach $550.9 million, which is expected to support
industry revenue. Exports as a share of revenue are expected to increase slightly
from 2020 to 2025. As the US dollar depreciates, international demand for industry
products will likely still benefit industry operators, while declining import
competition is expected to raise prices.
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The small window of opportunity for the industry, however, is in the gardening
market. As the housing market expands, a larger number of new homeowners will
likely tend to their gardens, which may boost downstream sales from nursery and
garden stores. Even so, this trend is not forecast to spur significant change in the
industry's overall state.
In the United States, genetically modified (GM) crops are at the forefront of
production. More than 90.0% of all soybean and corn crops are genetically modified
because sophisticated techniques enable producers to increase harvest size and
disease resistance. In the case of nursery plants, GM seeds have opened the door
to enhanced appearance, new varieties, better-smelling products and longer lives
for cut flowers. Further adoption of GM crops could increase production and sales,
but it could also signal a shift in production methods. GM crops are especially
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Industry Life Cycle The life cycle stage of this industry is Decline
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The Plant and Flower Growing industry is in the declining stage of its life cycle.
Increased competition from importers has constrained domestic floriculture
growth, stunting growth in both industry revenue and industry value added (IVA).
IVA, a measure of the industry's contribution to the overall economy, is expected to
grow an annualized 0.3% over the 10 years to 2025. Meanwhile, US GDP is forecast
to grow at an annualized rate of 1.4% during the same period. This industry is in
decline, despite the consistency in IVA growth. Over the five years to 2020, this
statistic has been biased upward by rising wages and profitability.
The number of enterprises is expected to fall an annualized 1.1% during the 10-year
period to 2025. Competitive forces have led to industry consolidation, with many
producers losing their market as transportation and communication become more
integrated and efficient. For example, plant and flower producers in California can
now compete with operators in Florida or South Carolina thanks to refrigerated
shipping. While this capability has led to size and efficiency gains for some
operators, it has also signaled the end for many others that can no longer remain
competitive.
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2nd Tier
Nursery & Garden Stores in the US 2nd Tier
Tractors & Agricultural Machinery
Supermarkets & Grocery Stores in the US
Manufacturing in the US
Lawn & Outdoor Equipment Stores in the
Fertilizer Manufacturing in the US
US
Coal & Natural Gas Power in the US
Products and
Services
The Plant and Flower Growing industry can be broadly divided into
two segments: nursery products and floriculture.
Overall, all segments are expected to exhibit weakness in 2020 as a result of the
COVID-19 (coronavirus) outbreak, which has slashed consumer demand and
spending amid stark increases in the national unemployment rate.
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Demand Most of the Plant and Flower Growing industry's output is sold
Determinants domestically, so one of the most important demand determinants is
the level of US flower and plant consumption.
US per capita flower consumption currently stands at levels significantly lower than
in many European countries. Anticipated increases in flower and plant consumption
in the US market are likely to result in an overall increase in demand for
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domestically grown products. Ultimately, the extent to which the local industry
benefits from any rise in domestic consumption depends on competitive action
from imports.
Activity in downstream nursery and florist retailing plays a major role in determining
domestic demand for the industry's output. Since US retailers source the majority of
their produce from local farmers, any growth in retail sales usually translates into
greater demand for domestically grown crops. Over the five years to 2020, domestic
use of locally grown flowers and plants has been threatened by intensifying
competition from imports. However, it should be noted that in 2020 retail demand
has plummeted amid forced shutdowns and mandated social distancing orders for
the first two quarters of 2020. Overall, it is expected demand from retail outlets will
expand post-pandemic, as consumers return to work and per capita disposable
income rises in line with an expected increase in consumer spending.
Demand for flowers peaks during certain holidays and seasons such as Valentine's
Day, Mother's Day and Christmas. Flowers are a common gift during these periods.
Successful floriculture establishments must adjust their growing cycles to account
for these peaks in demand. For example, production of roses must be maximized in
late January or early February to take advantage of Valentine's Day sales.
Exchange rate movements directly affect demand for US floriculture and nursery
crops in foreign markets. Similar to domestic nursery retailers, overseas customers
are highly sensitive to price increases. Any appreciation in the value of the US dollar
will likely erode the international price competitiveness of American-grown
floriculture and nursery crops. The availability of supplies from other countries
explains why overseas customers will reduce their demand for US floriculture and
nursery crops if their prices increase.
Major Markets
Floriculture and nursery stocks in the United States are sold to wholesalers,
retailers and exporters in downstream markets. These stocks are also sold within
the Plant and Flower Growing industry for propagative and reseeding purposes.
IBISWorld estimates that the wholesale market currently accounts for an estimated
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10.1% of all industry sales in 2020, having declined over the past five years due to
the growing prominence of larger retailers placing orders. Wholesalers can provide
an intermediary service to growers by transporting and storing flowers and nursery
stock before their sale to retailers. Additionally, these declines have been
exacerbated via declining demand from flower and nursery stock wholesaling. In
2020 the COVID-19 outbreak has pinched the wholesale link of the supply chain
severely, with a limited number of drivers across the nation struggling to get
products to manufacturers as well as to end markets. As a result of this pinch,
prices have been rising at the retail level while they decline at the farm gate.
Intra-industry sales
Conversely, nursery chains and major retailers such as Walmart Inc. use their
buying power to secure lower prices from growers and often buy imports to cut
purchasing costs. Nurseries also sell seedlings to other growers for finishing and
repotting before sale to wholesalers and retailers. IBISWorld estimates that 25.5%
of industry revenue is generated from intra-industry transactions in 2020, a segment
that has increased as wholesale revenue declines. It should also be noted that this
segment has held steady amid the coronavirus outbreak, demonstrating issues
stem from the logistics of getting products to market, not necessarily other farms.
Retailers also purchase products from this industry and account for an estimated
61.0% of sales in 2020, having grown slowly in their share over the past five years.
The retail market for nursery and floriculture products has two distinct
subsegments: the traditional florist market, characterized by high-quality products
and more services; and the mass market that is focused on higher volumes, smaller
products and lower prices. Concentration of ownership in the retail sector has
caused some concern among farmers. Domestic flower growers are targeting
smaller and more locally focused retail chains such as Trader Joe's and Whole
Foods Market Inc. These outlets market and promote plants based on their local
origin. Additionally, many US plant and flower growers are selling their products at
farmers' markets, where consumers seek out and value locally sourced products as
opposed to imports. This segment has weakened during the current period and
especially in 2020 as a result of the coronavirus outbreak.
In addition, the industry generates an estimated 3.4% of its total revenue from
exports in 2020. The export market consists mainly of wholesalers in Canada,
Mexico and the European Union. While this segment is small, it provides an
important source of demand for specialty species.
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Imports
Colombia mainly exports cut flowers to the United States, while Canada is
predominantly a source of live plants and trees. The Netherlands is another
prominent source for the United States because it is home to the largest
international flower market in the world. South America also boasts a favorable
growing environment due to its reversed seasonality and generally warm climate.
Exports
IBISWorld estimates that the industry export value will reach $507.5 million in 2020,
growing an annualized 2.6% over the five years to 2020. Despite the fact that the
dollar appreciated over the five years to 2020, US exports still grew. This is due in
part to the fact that Canada, a member of the North American Free Trade
Agreement (NAFTA) and the United States, Mexico, Canada Agreement, which
minimized trade barriers between member nations, accounts for over 40.0% of
industry exports in 2020. Moreover, Mexico, another NAFTA member, accounts for
16.5% of exports. Together, these nations account for over 60.0% of exports, which
helps to explain growth in trade volumes despite a strong dollar. Other major trading
partners include the Netherlands (12.1%) and Peru (3.8%). Moreover, while no
longer in the top four trading partners, exports to China have declined over the past
five years, and rising trade tensions between the two nations is expected to cause
exports to China to continue to slide over the next five years. Overall, as exports to
China weaken, it is expected that industry export revenue growth will be challenged
as industry operators are shut out from one of their largest markets.
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Business
Locations Business Concentration in the United States
WA
MT ME
ND
VT
OR MN
NH
ID WI
SD NY MA
WY MI CT RI
IA PA
NV NJ
NE
OH MD
IL IN DC DE
UT
CO WV VA
KS MO
CA KY
NC
AZ TN
OK
NM SC
AR
AL GA
MS
TX LA
FL
AK
0 6 12 18
Establishments in the Plant and Flower Growing industry are located throughout the
United States. However, their distribution varies slightly from the population
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The two largest producing states in the industry are Florida and California. Florida
has an estimated 10.0% of industry establishments in 2020, while California has
6.4%. These two states benefit from temperate climates, which enable a greater
share of production to be conducted outdoors at a lower price, rather than in
greenhouses, which involve extra costs. Further, these states have established
irrigation networks for a variety of other agricultural production, ensuring the
availability of water. Aside from these two states, the largest concentrations of
industry establishments are located in: Pennsylvania (5.7%), Oregon (6.0%), North
Carolina (5.8%), Michigan (5.0%), Ohio (3.2%) and New York (4.4%).
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Competitive Landscape
Market Share Concentration in this industry is Low
Concentration
As an agricultural industry, nursery and
floriculture production has a low level of
ownership concentration. The Plant and
Flower Growing industry consists of
national, regional and local nursery
businesses. However, small, family-run
operations dominate the industry. In terms
of employment distribution, the industry is
characterized by the presence of many
farms that employ small permanent staff.
Producers typically only supplement their
own labor and their small full-time staff
with seasonal hired labor.
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Key Success IBISWorld identifies 250 Key Success Factors for a business. The most important for this
Factors industry are:
Economies of scale: Economies of scale in production generate cost savings for nursery
and floriculture growers. Specifically, economies of scale result in lower per-unit growing
costs that ultimately result in higher net returns.
Ability to alter goods and services produced in favor of market conditions: The
ability to alter the balance between the industry's crops and other agricultural products in
response to changes in market conditions is important for a farm's viability. Farmers need
to be able to change their product mix to maximize farm returns.
Appropriate physical growing conditions: The presence of fertile soils and other
appropriate growing conditions plays a critical role in shaping the success of growing crops.
Growing conditions influence harvest levels and crop quality.
Availability of irrigation water: Water access issues can affect the quality of harvests
and the area of land devoted to nursery and floriculture production.
Cost Structure
Benchmarks
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Profit
Wages
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Purchases
Depreciation
Marketing
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Rent
Utilities
Other Costs
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Internal competition
External competition
Barriers to Entry Barriers to entry in this industry are Medium and Steady
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The time lag between commencement of production and selling of a crop may act
as a barrier to entry. In nursery production, time lags can be greater than in
horticultural production, particularly when plants are produced in the field rather
than in containers. While initial production costs are higher for a container nursery,
returns are generally realized earlier. Similar to many agricultural industries, the
profitability of nursery and floriculture production can be highly volatile as it
depends on a range of exogenous factors; such as world supply and demand
forces, which are beyond the control of farmers. Given this, traditional financing
companies and banking institutions may be reluctant to approve loans for
establishment costs. Moreover, while not a formal barrier to entry, an owner-
operator's subject matter knowledge can play a major role in an entrant's viability
when entering into the market.
Overall, it is not expected that barriers to entry will rise as a result of the COVID-19
(coronavirus) outbreak, however barriers to success are expected to rise due to
extremely weak demand conditions in 2020 alone.
While foreign ownership in the local industry is limited, farmers are still sensitive to
the effects of globalization through the industry's exposure to foreign competition
and international trade. As one of the world's major agricultural producers, the
United States is an active exporter of nursery and floriculture products. Farming
returns from exports are affected by changes in foreign exchange markets and
international prices. Domestically, the industry faces high levels of competition
from imports of cut flowers and foliage. In particular, the rising flow of Canadian
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bedding and Colombian cut flower imports has hurt the market share of domestic
growers.
Due to the nature of industry products and the industry's largest trading partners,
industry globalization is unexpected to shift dramatically as a result of the
coronavirus outbreak. Since most trade takes place within the North American
Continent, it is not expected that levels of globalization will be impacted too
severely by the pandemic.
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Major Companies
Major Players THERE ARE NO MAJOR PLAYERS IN THIS INDUSTRY
Other Players Privately owned farms characterize the Plant and Flower Growing industry. Due to
the small size of the average operator, there are few instances of vertical
integration. Forward integration into packing or retailing is largely restricted to
medium and large establishments; however, some small producers are creating
cooperatives to operate packing and distribution.
In January 2015, the company acquired Plant Introductions Inc. (PII), a small
Georgia-based breeder of ornamentals. PII continues to operate relatively
independently as an in-house breeder for Bailey Nurseries. Though the company is
private and does not release financial information, IBISWorld estimates that Bailey
Nurseries' industry-relevant revenue will total $57.4 million in 2020, which is a slight
decline as a result of the coronavirus outbreak. Overall, it is expected that declining
demand and a pinched supply chain will cause retail prices and farm gate prices to
diverge, causing company revenue to decline.
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the company's US industry-specific revenue will total $95.6 million in 2020, which
represents a slight decline as a result of the COVID-19 (coronavirus) outbreak
pinching supply chains and causing retail prices for industry products to rise while
farm gate returns dwindle.
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Operating Conditions
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The rate of new patent technologies entering the industry is low, which limits the
potential for innovations. A low rate does not mean that innovations cannot occur,
just that the likelihood of some innovation materializing as a threat is lower.
However, the concentration of technologies is high in this industry. This suggests
that industry operators have exposure to potentially unforeseen areas of innovation.
Industry operators are exposed to a low rate of new entrants and a moderate level
of entry barriers. This combination of factors creates an environment where entry
trends are not a key threat of disruption.
The major markets for this industry are highly concentrated, which implies that the
market has a focus on key customer segments. This presents an opportunity for
strategic entrance into lower-end markets or unserved markets for innovations to
take on a disruptive trajectory.
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Tensiometers have benefited the Plant and Flower Growing industry by controlling
irrigation used in nursery systems. The soil moisture is monitored in the plant root
zone, enabling producers to deliver exactly the right moisture level required by the
specific plant species. The tensiometer can turn the irrigation system on when
water is required and a trickle irrigation system delivers the water.
Intensive crop production has had some effect on the Plant and Flower Growing
industry. The adoption of intensive production is beginning to provide growers with
lower per-unit production costs arising from managing smaller areas. The adoption
of intensive growing programs has been made possible through modifications in
machinery (e.g. narrower tractors and movers).
Additionally, there has been a push in the agricultural sector at large to adopt
precision agriculture methods, which combine internet technologies, data analytics
and convention technologies to increase operational efficiencies. Though various
industry products are grown under cover and therefore have a limited capacity to
adopt these technologies, other agricultural industries have exhibited positive
trends via the adoption of technologies such as variable rate input monitors, drones,
auto-steering tractors and GPS guided harvesters.
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Note: Revenue growth and decline reflective of 5-year annualized trend. Y-axis is in
logarithmic scale. Y-axis crosses at long-run GDP. X-axis crosses at high volatility
threshold.
Revenue volatility has been moderate to low in the Plant and Flower
Growing industry over the five years to 2020.
Overall, industry revenue volatility is a function of commodity prices, weather
conditions, demand effects and the level of profitability in alternative agriculture.
Industry participants are exposed to price fluctuations in tree and flower crops and
in inputs into production, such as fertilizer and seed. Favorable conditions in other
agricultural pursuits, such as corn farming, can also encourage farmers to shift
resources away from nursery and floriculture production.
For growers engaged in field production, weather conditions provide another source
of industry volatility. Adverse weather can affect the quality and quantity of the
harvest. However, much of the industry that is engaged in greenhouse growing is
not affected by shifts in weather, and this controlled production environment
reduces revenue volatility. Finally, shifting preferences in consumer markets can
create volatility. Over the past five years, many consumers chose to spend their
discretionary dollars elsewhere, decreasing overall demand for industry products.
Lastly, it should be noted that volatility has increased in 2020 alone as the
COVID-19 (coronavirus) outbreak has roiled end markets and caused a decline in
per capita disposable income.
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Given this, the extent to which the Plant and Flower Growing industry is regulated
can vary between geographic regions. At the county level, farms must comply with
zoning bylaws and use land that has been approved for horticultural growing.
The regulation of US farming industries is generally carried out at the state level.
Most states operate agricultural departments that act as regulatory agencies.
These authorities monitor pollution levels associated with growing crops. This
typically involves the regulation of chemical usage, odor control and discharge of
materials; such as waste into the environment.
Serious breaches or failure to comply with regulations, laws and other rules
governing nursery and floriculture production can subject industry players to civil
remedies and administrative penalties. It can also result in considerable negative
publicity that can damage the reputation and public image of producers.
Noncompliance can therefore potentially have a material effect on the earnings and
competitive position of companies operating in this industry.
The USDA's Agricultural Research Service (ARS) maintains several storage facilities
and Plant Materials Centers throughout the United States. Nursery producers can
take advantage of programs aimed at helping with the research, breeding and
preservation of endangered species. In addition, farmers in this industry can access
funding through the federal government's Environmental Quality Incentives Program
(EQIP). Under the EQIP, farmers can obtain access to funding, advice, and education
services for addressing resource issues. The program is designed to help farmers
use their land in the most environmentally friendly and cost-effective manner.
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In the private sector, US growers receive assistance from the lobbying efforts of
peak industry associations. These nonprofit corporations represent the interests of
growers, shippers and processors operating in the nursery and flower supply chain.
In addition to supporting the industry through market development and lobbying
efforts, most associations also provide information and education services for
members.
The peak industry association for nurseries is the American Nursery and Landscape
Association (ANLA), which provides education, conducts research and provides
representation for its members. Its stated purpose is to advocate the industry's
interests before government, and provide its members with unique business
knowledge essential to long-term growth and profitability. The Horticultural
Research Institute is the research arm of the ANLA, which provides and supports
horticultural research that ultimately supports nursery and landscape activities.
Trade relations
The Andean Trade Promotion and Drug Eradication Act (ATPDEA) cut import tariffs
on South American goods with the goal of separating Latin American economies
from the drug trade. In connection with this program, the Trade Adjustment
Assistance (TAA) Program, a federally funded program that provides employment
opportunities for workers that have been displaced by imports. Colombia and Peru
continue to experience the benefits from free trade agreements with the United
States. The trade agreements are on the table in Congress, but a decision to keep
the programs may not occur soon because the US government is aiming to cut
costs amid a debt default threat.
Potential importers of flowers and nursery stock must obtain an agricultural import
permit and a phytosanitary certificate before their stocks are permitted to enter the
United States. Rigorous limits and inspections guarantee that no pests or diseases
enter the country through imports. Any corrections that must be made during this
process are made at the expense of the importer.
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paycheck and salaries and benefits. However, only a small portion of the industry is
expected to be eligible to receive these loans due to the fact that agricultural
operators must have sales of more than $1.0 million to qualify, despite the fact that
the majority of industry operators are considered owner-operators, which means
they do not employ more than 500.0 individuals and are thus eligible to receive SBA
loans. Therefore, the majority of this industry's companies will be left to go without
relief from the federal government.
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Key Statistics
Industry Data
Year Revenue IVA Estab. Enterprises Employment Exports Imports Wages Domestic Per capita
Demand disposable
income
($m) ($m) (Units) (Units) (People) ($m) ($m) ($m) ($m)
2011 16,886 4,948 50,338 48,066 165,290 501 1,822 3,918 18,207 38,780
2012 14,888 4,481 49,639 47,432 164,803 426 1,909 3,782 16,372 39,784
2013 15,134 4,737 47,798 45,632 162,581 455 1,942 3,799 16,621 39,004
2014 14,946 5,680 46,067 43,930 160,982 454 1,971 3,826 16,463 40,310
2015 16,339 5,711 44,395 42,290 160,897 447 1,891 3,922 17,784 41,670
2016 14,928 5,538 42,803 40,724 159,472 465 1,996 3,986 16,459 42,108
2017 15,280 5,948 41,278 39,224 158,857 517 2,069 4,038 16,832 43,056
2018 15,246 5,477 42,016 39,966 160,027 518 2,146 4,029 16,874 44,521
2019 15,596 5,637 41,764 39,647 161,891 501 2,245 4,085 17,340 45,581
2020 15,095 5,505 40,621 38,571 157,802 508 2,281 3,976 16,869 45,084
2021 15,423 5,604 40,419 38,308 159,573 516 2,305 4,029 17,212 45,457
2022 15,740 5,700 40,307 38,139 161,414 527 2,327 4,083 17,541 46,494
2023 15,995 5,768 40,241 38,027 162,945 534 2,342 4,127 17,803 47,643
2024 16,185 5,830 40,224 37,976 164,197 542 2,356 4,162 18,000 48,845
2025 16,383 5,892 40,333 38,052 165,650 551 2,377 4,202 18,210 50,141
Annual Change
Year Revenue IVA Estab. Enterprises Employment Exports Imports Wages Domestic Per capita
Demand disposable
income
(%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%)
2011 15.0 -1.23 -1 -1 -1 4.20 3.00 -4.76 14.0 1.61
2012 -11.8 -9.43 -1 -1 -0 -15.0 4.81 -3.47 -10.1 2.58
2013 1.65 5.70 -4 -4 -1 6.95 1.70 0.44 1.52 -1.97
2014 -1.25 19.9 -4 -4 -1 -0.33 1.48 0.72 -0.95 3.34
2015 9.31 0.54 -4 -4 -0 -1.53 -4.02 2.48 8.02 3.37
2016 -8.64 -3.02 -4 -4 -1 4.09 5.53 1.63 -7.45 1.05
2017 2.35 7.39 -4 -4 -0 11.2 3.67 1.30 2.26 2.25
2018 -0.22 -7.91 2 2 1 0.15 3.70 -0.22 0.25 3.40
2019 2.29 2.92 -1 -1 1 -3.21 4.62 1.38 2.76 2.38
2020 -3.22 -2.35 -3 -3 -3 1.21 1.60 -2.67 -2.72 -1.09
2021 2.17 1.79 -0 -1 1 1.71 1.04 1.33 2.04 0.82
2022 2.05 1.70 -0 -0 1 2.01 0.95 1.33 1.91 2.28
2023 1.61 1.19 -0 -0 1 1.44 0.65 1.08 1.50 2.47
2024 1.18 1.08 -0 -0 1 1.40 0.60 0.85 1.11 2.52
2025 1.22 1.05 0 0 1 1.69 0.88 0.95 1.16 2.65
Key Ratios
Year IVA/Revenue Imports/Demand Exports/Revenue Revenue per Wages/Revenue Employees per Average Wage
Employee estab.
(%) (%) (%) ($'000) (%)
2011 29.3 10.0 2.97 102 23.2 3.28 23,701
2012 30.1 11.7 2.86 90.3 25.4 3.32 22,947
2013 31.3 11.7 3.01 93.1 25.1 3.40 23,365
2014 38.0 12.0 3.03 92.8 25.6 3.49 23,768
2015 34.9 10.6 2.73 102 24.0 3.62 24,373
2016 37.1 12.1 3.11 93.6 26.7 3.73 24,994
2017 38.9 12.3 3.38 96.2 26.4 3.85 25,417
2018 35.9 12.7 3.40 95.3 26.4 3.81 25,176
2019 36.1 12.9 3.21 96.3 26.2 3.88 25,232
2020 36.5 13.5 3.36 95.7 26.3 3.88 25,197
2021 36.3 13.4 3.35 96.6 26.1 3.95 25,249
2022 36.2 13.3 3.35 97.5 25.9 4.00 25,294
2023 36.1 13.2 3.34 98.2 25.8 4.05 25,328
2024 36.0 13.1 3.35 98.6 25.7 4.08 25,349
2025 36.0 13.1 3.36 98.9 25.6 4.11 25,366
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Liquidity Ratios April 2015 - April 2016 - April 2017 - April 2018 - Small (< Medium Large (>
March 2016 March 2017 March 2018 March 2019 $10m) ($10m-50m) $50m)
Current Ratio 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.0 1.7
Quick Ratio 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.2
Sales / Receivables (Trade Receivables Turnover) 17.4 19.8 22.0 22.5 28.6 19.2 31.6
Days' Receivables 21.0 18.4 16.6 16.2 12.8 19.0 11.6
Cost of Sales / Inventory (Inventory Turnover) 2.6 3.7 3.1 3.5 13.6 2.0 2.3
Days' Inventory 140.4 98.6 117.7 104.3 26.8 182.5 158.7
Cost of Sales / Payables (Payables Turnover) 15.9 15.4 18.9 16.8 32.0 14.4 16.1
Days' Payables 23.0 23.7 19.3 21.7 11.4 25.3 22.7
Sales / Working Capital 7.5 7.6 9.7 6.9 11.7 4.3 4.2
Coverage Ratios
Earnings Before Interest & Taxes (EBIT) / Interest 4.3 4.9 4.3 4.3 5.6 3.6 2.8
Net Profit + Dep., Depletion, Amort. / Current 2.4 2.6 3.2 2.0 2.0
Maturities LT Debt
Leverage Ratios
Fixed Assets / Net Worth 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.7
Debt / Net Worth 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.5 1.8 1.2 1.4
Tangible Net Worth 30.7 29.1 27.5 29.8 20.7 39.7 39.9
Operating Ratios
Profit before Taxes / Net Worth, % 13.3 13.9 18.1 13.4 29.6 9.7 8.4
Profit before Taxes / Total Assets, % 5.7 6.6 6.6 6.7 10.3 4.3 3.5
Sales / Net Fixed Assets 5.3 5.3 5.4 5.9 6.5 5.2 5.4
Sales / Total Assets (Asset Turnover) 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.6 2.2 1.3 1.1
Cash Flow & Debt Service Ratios (% of sales)
Cash from Trading 35.7 36.6 39.8 39.2 51.0 30.6 36.8
Cash after Operations 5.3 6.0 6.4 7.0 7.1 6.9 8.1
Net Cash after Operations 5.6 6.4 6.9 7.1 7.6 5.0 9.1
Cash after Debt Amortization 1.7 1.9 1.4 1.8 2.5 0.4
Debt Service P&I Coverage 1.7 2.3 1.7 2.3 3.6 1.3 1.6
Interest Coverage (Operating Cash) 4.5 6.0 5.9 6.6 9.6 4.7
Assets, %
Cash & Equivalents 8.1 8.6 7.2 10.7 15.9 4.2 7.6
Trade Receivables (net) 11.1 12.5 11.1 12.8 13.4 12.8 9.8
Inventory 36.4 33.3 33.5 30.8 22.1 43.8 29.4
All Other Current Assets 2.4 1.9 2.4 2.7 1.2 3.8 6.1
Total Current Assets 58.0 56.3 54.2 57.0 52.6 64.6 53.0
Fixed Assets (net) 33.3 35.9 35.9 33.3 37.4 28.1 30.4
Intangibles (net) 2.4 2.1 1.9 2.6 2.2 2.3 5.3
All Other Non-Current Assets 6.3 5.8 7.9 7.2 7.8 5.0 11.4
Total Assets 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Total Assets ($m) 4,114.1 3,635.6 3,330.2 2,274.7 201.4 803.0 1,270.2
Liabilities, %
Notes Payable-Short Term 16.6 15.2 18.1 14.3 15.2 12.8 14.7
Current Maturities L/T/D 4.2 3.8 4.7 5.2 4.9 6.9 1.7
Trade Payables 9.8 9.8 9.1 9.8 9.7 10.2 9.0
Income Taxes Payable 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4
All Other Current Liabilities 7.7 8.3 8.8 9.4 10.7 7.4 10.1
Total Current Liabilities 38.7 37.6 41.1 38.9 40.7 37.4 35.9
Long Term Debt 21.7 23.8 23.7 22.9 29.3 17.7 10.3
Deferred Taxes 1.0 1.2 1.1 0.8 0.0 1.9 1.2
All Other Non-Current Liabilities 5.4 6.2 4.7 4.9 7.1 1.0 7.4
Net Worth 33.1 31.2 29.4 32.4 22.9 42.0 45.2
Total Liabilities & Net Worth ($m) 4,114.1 3,635.6 3,330.2 2,274.7 201.4 803.0 1,270.2
Maximum No. of Statements Used 185.0 181.0 145.0 130.0 68.0 47.0 15.0
Source: RMA Annual Statement Studies, rmahq.org. RMA data for all industries is derived directly from more than 260,000 statements of member
financial institution's borrowers and prospects.
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Additional Resources
Additional Agricultural Research Service
Resources http://www.ars.usda.gov
PROPAGATIVE
Plants and flowers that are used as inputs into further nursery, floriculture production and
agriculture production.
TENSIOMETER
A control irrigation system in nurseries. Soil moisture is monitored in the plant root, allowing
producers to give a specific plant species the correct moisture level it requires.
TRELLIS
Latticework used to support climbing plants.
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CAPITAL INTENSITY
Compares the amount of money spent on capital (plant, machinery and equipment) with
that spent on labor. IBISWorld uses the ratio of depreciation to wages as a proxy for capital
intensity. High capital intensity is more than $0.333 of capital to $1 of labor; medium is
$0.125 to $0.333 of capital to $1 of labor; low is less than $0.125 of capital for every $1 of
labor.
CONSTANT PRICES
The dollar figures in the Key Statistics table, including forecasts, are adjusted for inflation
using the current year (i.e. year published) as the base year. This removes the impact of
changes in the purchasing power of the dollar, leaving only the "real" growth or decline in
industry metrics. The inflation adjustments in IBISWorld’s reports are made using the US
Bureau of Economic Analysis’ implicit GDP price deflator.
DOMESTIC DEMAND
Spending on industry goods and services within the United States, regardless of their
country of origin. It is derived by adding imports to industry revenue, and then subtracting
exports.
EMPLOYMENT
The number of permanent, part-time, temporary and seasonal employees, working
proprietors, partners, managers and executives within the industry.
ENTERPRISE
A division that is separately managed and keeps management accounts. Each enterprise
consists of one or more establishments that are under common ownership or control.
ESTABLISHMENT
The smallest type of accounting unit within an enterprise, an establishment is a single
physical location where business is conducted or where services or industrial operations are
performed. Multiple establishments under common control make up an enterprise.
EXPORTS
Total value of industry goods and services sold by US companies to customers abroad.
IMPORTS
Total value of industry goods and services brought in from foreign countries to be sold in
the United States.
INDUSTRY CONCENTRATION
An indicator of the dominance of the top four players in an industry. Concentration is
considered high if the top players account for more than 70% of industry revenue. Medium
is 40% to 70% of industry revenue. Low is less than 40%.
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INDUSTRY REVENUE
The total sales of industry goods and services (exclusive of excise and sales tax); subsidies
on production; all other operating income from outside the firm (such as commission
income, repair and service income, and rent, leasing and hiring income); and capital work
done by rental or lease. Receipts from interest royalties, dividends and the sale of fixed
tangible assets are excluded.
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
The level of international trade is determined by ratios of exports to revenue and imports to
domestic demand. For exports/revenue: low is less than 5%, medium is 5% to 20%, and high
is more than 20%. Imports/domestic demand: low is less than 5%, medium is 5% to 35%,
and high is more than 35%.
LIFE CYCLE
All industries go through periods of growth, maturity and decline. IBISWorld determines an
industry's life cycle by considering its growth rate (measured by IVA) compared with GDP;
the growth rate of the number of establishments; the amount of change the industry's
products are undergoing; the rate of technological change; and the level of customer
acceptance of industry products and services.
NONEMPLOYING ESTABLISHMENT
Businesses with no paid employment or payroll, also known as nonemployers. These are
mostly set up by self-employed individuals.
PROFIT
IBISWorld uses earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) as an indicator of a company’s
profitability. It is calculated as revenue minus expenses, excluding interest and tax.
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REGIONS
West | CA, NV, OR, WA, HI, AK
Southeast | VA, WV, KY, TN, AR, LA, MS, AL, GA, FL, SC, NC
VOLATILITY
The level of volatility is determined by averaging the absolute change in revenue in each of
the past five years. Volatility levels: very high is more than ±20%; high volatility is ±10% to
±20%; moderate volatility is ±3% to ±10%; and low volatility is less than ±3%.
WAGES
The gross total wages and salaries of all employees in the industry.
50 IBISWorld.com
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