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C-HFAMF: A New Way to Accident Analysis

Considering Human Factor


Jie Wu, Tingdi Zhao
Department of System Engineering of Engineering Technology
Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics
Beijing 100191 China
Email: wujiejie@hotmail.com

Abstract—Reason’s (1990) “Swiss cheese” model of human error fly. Indeed, estimates in the literature indicate that somewhere
integrates the human error perspectives into a single unified between 70 and 80 percent of all aviation accidents can be
framework. The original description of his modal was geared attributed, at least in part, to human error[1].
toward academicians rather than practitioners. The Human It is difficult to obtain satisfactory solutions to problems in
Factors Analysis and Classification System, HFACS (Douglas A. the field of safety science by using traditional theories and
Wiegmann and Scott A. Shappell, 2003) was specifically techniques. The existing types and techniques of hazard
developed to define the latent and active failure implicated in analysis, such as event tree analysis and fault tree analysis,
Reason’s “Swiss cheese” modal so it could be used as an accident
generally pay little attention to software and to human factors
investigation and analysis tool.
But the hardware failure and human-machine interaction
[2–7], which are often overlooked as a minor factor or dealt
failure are not considered in HFACS. However, in complex with in the same way as the hardware. The existing techniques
systems, the human-machine interaction failure is the main cannot adequately reflect the interdependence between
reason for the accident, in this paper, based on the HFACS and software, humans, and systems, and the interaction between
the energy-based accident causation theory, Complex Human them. Moreover, the current probabilistic safety assessment
Factor Analysis and Classification Framework (C-HFACF) is methods encounter difficulties in dealing with complex
proposed. It contains not only the human error, but also the dynamic systems that include human and software interactions
failure to consider the human-machine interaction. The and process variables, and have characteristics such as
framework provides an effective way for accident analysis, which multiple states, no coherence, and failure correlations. New
will help to effectively find out the key nodes and core events in modeling and assessment methods are desired. In most cases,
the accident. At last, it illuminates how to apply C-HFACF to we can obtain only an approximate solution because of the
accident analysis with an actual accident. exponential increase in the amount of computation with the
Keywords--HFACS; C-HFACF; Human Factor; Accident size of the system. The existing approximate formula applies
Analysis only to a dimorphism monotonic system. Although the use of
a continuous event tree to represent a dynamic safety
I. INTRODUCTION assessment can handle some of the process variables and
components of the dynamic state of the interaction, the theory
Human error and reliability are always interdependent. is too complex and the model is difficult to build. At the same
The safety and reliability of system and equipments were time, we lack a high-efficiency algorithm and reference
much more studied. The reason may be that the reliability of software. For these reasons, we are limited in what we can do
system and equipments is directly related to flight safety and in practice.
has much developed experience to follow. Meanwhile, the Reason’s (1990) “Swiss cheese” model of human error
complexity, variability and uncertainty what exist in the integrates the human error perspectives into a single unified
human and the machine of the system brought much difficulty framework. The original description of his modal was geared
into the research of the reliability of the pilot during flight. toward academicians rather than practitioners. The Human
Moreover, human is a complex giant system and motivation Factors Analysis and Classification System, HFACS (Douglas
and pressure of human also put great influences on human A. Wiegmann and Scott A. Shappell, 2003) was specifically
reliability, which in turn increase uncertainty in the prediction developed to define the latent and active failure implicated in
of the reliability of human. For these reasons, the study is still Reason’s “Swiss cheese” model so it could be used as an
accident investigation and analysis tool. Specifically, HFACS
based on the classical theory of probability and drawing on the
describes four levels of failure, each of which corresponds to
mechanical system failure and reliability of research methods
one of the four layers contained within Reason’s modal. These
to expand. include: 1.Unsafe Acts, 2. Preconditions for Unsafe Acts,
In the early years of aviation it could reasonably be said 3.Unsafe Supervision, 4.Organization Influence [1].
that the aircraft itself was responsible for the majority of But the hardware failure and human-machine interaction
aircraft accidents. That is, early aircraft were intrinsically failure are not considered in HFACS. However, in complex
unforgiving and, relative to their counterparts today, systems, the human-machine interaction failure is the main
mechanically unsafe. However, it now appears to some that reason for the accident.
the aircrew themselves are more deadly than the aircraft they

978-1-61284-666-8/11$26.00 2011 IEEE 319


II. COMPLEX HUMAN FACTOR ANALYSIS AND factor analysis is proposed which is just Complex Human
CLASSIFICATION FRAMEWORK (C-HFACF) Factor Analysis and Classification Framework (C-HFACF)
which is shown in Figure3.
A. The role of accident model of human error in the
accident analysis in a complex system III. ACCIDENT RESEARCH ON C-HFACF
The main purpose of human reliability analysis is to
A. Accident description
provide a reasonable and credible probability of human error
On April 21, 1981, a BO105 helicopter 763 of No.20
of the personnel actions in accident sequences, while to
Battalion of No.2 Flying Corps of Beijing Civil Aviation
provide decision-making in improving the reliability of the Administration of China was send to the South China Sea to
system. However, due to the diversity and highly complexity
of human error, there exists no reliability analysis which is
applicable to any pattern of behavior. The role of accident
model of human error in the accident analysis in a complex
system is shown in Figure 1.

Figure1. The role of accident model of human error in the accident analysis in Figure 2 The accident-energy theory
a complex system conduct maritime transport for Petroleum Authority. After a
flight of a busy morning, the captain and co-pilot had a rest in
B. The accident-energy theory the 4th platform and then get ready to fly back to Suixi airport
The accidental release of energy is an abnormal event, and at 1:00 pm. The weather conditions were wet, covered with
we do not want to release and transfer energy into the human thick dense cloud. The sea looked a little brighter because of
body [8]. When human beings use energy, they must take the reflection of water. The captain decided to fly when
measures to control it, so that the energy is produced, is thinking of the task at night. Pre-flight inspection, start and
transformed, and does work in accordance with people’s calibration of all the normal navigation were right. Because
intentions. The energy flow in the system should be controlled the captain was not sure about the weather, the flight was
in accordance with the requirements of the distribution manipulated by the authority in the left seat. Pilot and
channels. If we lose control of energy for some reason, energy passengers were wet before boarding, when they sat on the
will be released or escape contrary to our wishes, and so plane; the windshield was confused by the evaporation of
activities must be suspended when an accident happens. If an water of their clothes. The captain opened the wiper installed
accidental release of energy acts on the human body, and the on the right side of BO105 and cleaned the both sides of the
amount of energy is greater than the threshold that the human windshield again, but the left hit by heavy rain was still
body can withstand, it will inevitably harm the body, and may blurred. The helicopter taken off at 12:40, then it flied into the
act on the equipment or environment at the same time. The sea after one minute. Three people were killed and other two
improved accident-energy theory is shown in Figure 2. were wounded[11].
The energy point of view of the accident model has five
B. Accident analysis
levels of failure led to the accident, including 1) management
failure, 2) personal reasons and environmental reasons, and 3) When making accident analysis with CHFACF, it is from
unsafe behavior of human and unsafe state of the system, 4) the left to the right of Figure3.
the release of energy or hazardous substances, 5) remedial 1) Crew issues
measures. a. Although the weather was below the standard (the
C. Complex Human Factor Analysis and Classification visibility is 5km and the cloud height is 500 meters in
Framework (C-HFACF) contract), the crew was so eager to perform the task
Compared to Reason’s “Swiss cheese” model, the energy to take off which is the most important reason of the
point of view of the accident model can provide more accident.
effective analysis approach, particularly the human-machine ķ Obviously, the captain decided to take off whether to
interaction in the accident analysis of complex system.
meet the conditions is not only a violation of provisions but
However, there are many problems in the specific
also decision error. At the same time, it is exceptional
implementation process. For example, the relations of the five
levels are difficult to deal with. In practice, there have been violation of violation.
some specific accident analysis techniques such as MORT [3, b. Because bad weather, heavy rain and poor vision,
9-10] and Barrier analysis [3], but human error is not fully pilot made a false impression to make the sea as the
considered in these methods. A new framework for human

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Figure3 Complex Human Factor Analysis and Classification Framework (C-HFACF)

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sky is the direct cause of the accident. http://nri.eu.com/NRI1.pdf, 2009.
[10] MORT-Management Oversight& Risk Tree, The Noordwijk Risk
ķ It was heavy rain and poor visibility when taking-off, Initiative Foundation , http://nri.eu.com/NRI2.pdf, 2009.
obviously it is physical environment of environmental [11] EuropeanBO105armed-helicopter-accident,
factors. http://baike.plane.cc/index.php?doc-view-757.html.
ĸ At that time, bad weather conditions made the sea
look brighter than the sky led to unable to distinguish between
water and sky. At the same time, pilot did not pay attention to
the indication of the cockpit altimeter. However, witnesses
saw the helicopter was down, but the co-pilot’s feeling was
rising. All this shows that the skill of this crew is not that
good what is a skill-based error.
Ĺ From the debris analysis, the helicopter manipulated
by the pilot went to the sea with a dip. However, pilot should
take emergency measures instinctively to make an emergency
landing when the helicopter was forced into the sea, but there
are no signs of survey results which show that the pilot once
took any actions when the helicopter went into the sea. So it is
obviously not only no effective implement of emergency
measures but also the skill-based error.
ĺ The captain decided to take off even in the case of
bad weather and a busy morning flight, which is the pressure
what were made by the crew on themselves. So it is adverse
mental state.
Ļ After an observation of the sky, co-pilot asked pilot
whether to fly, he hesitated a moment and decided to fly
considering the subsequent mission. So it is the failure of
human resource management.
2) Supervision and organizational issues
ķ The crew was arranged heavy mission including not
only the busy morning flight but also the night mission by
Airlines without considering the bad weather, which shows
that it is planned inappropriate operations.
ĸ That the same crew was assigned to implement two
transition missions is obviously the failure of resource
management.
Ĺ There are emergency measures which were not taken
by the pilot, so it may be the failure of technological
environment.

REFERENCES
[1] Douglas A. Wiegmann and Scott A. Shappell. “A Human Error
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[3] Nancy G. Leveson, A New Approach to System Safety Engineering,
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[4] Clifton A. Ericson, II, Hazard Analysis Techniques for System Safety,
Hoboken, New Jersey, USA. John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 2005.
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[8] Suipeng Cheng, Chen Baozhi, and Sui Jing, Safety Principles,
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[9] NRI MORT User’s Manual, The Noordwijk Risk Initiative Foundation,

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