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Objective This spreadsheet allows you to compute the optimal capital structure for a non-financial
service firm
Before you start Open preferences in excel, go into calculation options and put a check in the iteration box.
If it is already checked, leave it as is.
Inputs The inputs are primarily in the input sheet. If your company has operating leases,
use the operating lease worksheet to enter your lease or rental commitments.
Units Enter all numbers in the same units (000s, millions or even billions)
Income inputs The key income input is the earnings before long term interest expenses and depreciation
Enter the most updated numbers you have for each (even if they are 12-month trailing
numbers). If the most recent period for which you have data has an operating income that
is abnormal, either because of extraordinary losses/gains or some other occurrence, use
an average operating income over the last few years.
Balance Sheet Enter the book value of total debt. If you have a market value enter that
number. Alternatively, input the average maturity of the debt and I will estimate the
market value of debt.
Market Data Enter the current stock price, the current risk free rate, the equity risk
premium you would like to use to estimate your cost of equity and the current rating for
your firm. If you do not have a rating, there is an option for you at the very bottom of
the spreadsheet to compute a synthetic rating.
Tax Rate Enter a marginal tax rate, if you can find it. Otherwise, use the marginal tax rate of country
Default Spreads This spreadsheet has interest coverage ratios, ratings and default spreads built into it in
the worksheet. You can choose between two tables, one for large and stable
firms, and the other for small or risky firms. If you want you can change the interest
coverage ratios and ratings in these tables.
READING THE OUTPUT
Summary The summary provides a picture of your firm's current cost of capital and debt ratio, and
compares it to your firm's optimal debt ratio and the cost of capital at that level. The
firm value is computed at each debt ratio, based upon how the expected operating income
and the cost of capital. The optimal debt ratio is that ratio at which firm value is
maximized. It might not be the same point at which cost of capital is minimized.
Details The details of the calculation at each debt ratio are below the summary.
References
Corporate Finance: Theory and Practice, Chapter 18
Applied Corporate Finance: Chapter 8
ure for a non-financial
perating leases,
Sure. If your operating income is either negative or very low, relative to your firm value,
you can end up at an optimal debt ratio of 0%. For instance, if you have EBIT of 100 on a
firm value of 10000, a 10% debt ratio would probably push you into a C rating and give
you a very high cost of capital.
Generally, you are right. However, I would suggest that you look at three factors:
- If your optimal is just slightly higher or lower than your current debt ratio, it is possible that you
are closer to the optimal than the stated optimal. Let me explain. Assume that you are at a 24% debt ratio
and the optimal comes out to 30%. The true optimal is really somewhere around 30% since
I am constrained to work in 10% increments of the debt ratio. If the true optimal were
26%, your current debt ratio of 24% is closer to the optimal.
- Rating Differences: One of the costs of rating a company based only on the interest
coverage ratio is that the rating might be very different from the actual rating. Thus, your
current cost of capital is based upon your current rating, and the optimal is based upon
the synthetic ratings, and the two don't match, the current and the optimal cost of capital
can be mismatched. You can get around this by switching to a synthetic rating for computing
the current cost of capital (in the input sheet).
- Existing debt at low rates: I assume in the spreadsheet that existing debt gets refinanced at
the new pre-tax cost of debt at each debt ratio. Consequently, if you have a lot of old debt on
your books at much lower rates, the interest expense that I report will be much higher than
your actual interest expense. This, in turn, can affect your interest coverage ratio and rating.
This, too, you can fix by locking in debt at current rates in the input sheet.
Not necessarily. If you chose to build in indirect bankruptcy costs (an option on the input page),
your operating income also changes as your debt ratio changes. Since the objective ultimately is to
maximize firm value, it is possible that the net effect (lower cost of capital is good but it could be offset
by lower operating income) is resulting in an optimal at a higher debt ratio.
Inputs
Please enter the name of the company you are analyzing: Dell
Please enter the date that you are doing this analysis Apr-13
Financial Information
Earnings before interest expenses, depreciation & amortization $4,156.00
Can you estimate the market value of the interest bearing debt? No
If so, enter the market value of "interest bearing" debt:
Do you want to incorporate indirect bankruptcy costs into your opt Yes
If yes, specify the magnitude of your indirect bankruptcy costs Low
General Data
Which spread/ratio table would you like to use for your anlaysis? 1
Do you want to assume that existing debt is refinanced at the 'new' Yes (Yes or No)
Do you want the firm's current rating & cost of debt to be adjusted No (Yes or No)
Country Tax Rate
Afghanistan 20.00%
Albania 10.00%
Angola 35.00%
Argentina 35.00%
Armenia 20.00%
Aruba 28.00%
Australia 30.00%
Austria 25.00%
Bahamas 0.00%
Bahrain 0.00%
Bangladesh 27.50%
Barbados 25.00%
Belarus 18.00%
Belgium 33.99%
Bermuda 0.00%
Bolivia 25.00%
Bonaire 0.00%
Bosnia and H 10.00%
Botswana 22.00%
Brazil 34.00%
Bulgaria 10.00%
Cambodia 20.00%
Canada 26.00%
Cayman Islan 0.00%
Chile 18.50%
China 25.00%
Colombia 33.00%
Costa Rica 30.00%
Croatia 20.00%
Curacao 27.50%
Cyprus 10.00%
Czech Republ 19.00%
Denmark 25.00%
Dominican Re 29.00%
Ecuador 23.00%
Egypt 25.00%
Estonia 21.00%
El Salvador 30.00%
Fiji 28.00%
Finland 24.50%
France 33.33%
Georgia 0.00%
Germany 29.48%
Gibraltar 10.00%
Greece 20.00%
Guatemala 31.00%
Guernsey 0.00%
Honduras 35.00%
Hong Kong 16.50%
Hungary 19.00%
Iceland 20.00%
India 32.45%
Indonesia 25.00%
Ireland 12.50%
Isle of Man 0.00%
Israel 25.00%
Italy 31.40%
Jamaica 33.33%
Japan 38.01%
Jersey 0.00%
Jordan 14.00%
Kazakhstan 20.00%
Kenya 30.00%
Korea, Republ 24.20%
Kuwait 15.00%
Latvia 15.00%
Libya 20.00%
Liechtenstein 12.50%
Lithuania 15.00%
Luxembourg 28.80%
Macau 12.00%
Macedonia 10.00%
Malawi 30.00%
Malaysia 25.00%
Malta 35.00%
Mauritius 15.00%
Mexico 30.00%
Montenegro 9.00%
Mozambique 32.00%
Namibia 34.00%
Netherlands 25.00%
New Zealand 28.00%
Nigeria 30.00%
Norway 28.00%
Oman 12.00%
Pakistan 35.00%
Panama 25.00%
Papua New G 30.00%
Paraguay 10.00%
Peru 30.00%
Philippines 30.00%
Poland 19.00%
Portugal 25.00%
Qatar 10.00%
Romania 16.00%
Russia 20.00%
Saba 0.00%
Samoa 27.00%
Saudi Arabia 20.00%
Serbia 10.00%
Singapore 17.00%
Slovak Repub 19.00%
Slovenia 18.00%
South Africa 34.55%
Spain 30.00%
Sri Lanka 28.00%
St Eustatius 0.00%
St Maarten 34.50%
Sudan 35.00%
Sweden 26.30%
Switzerland 21.17%
Syria 28.00%
Taiwan 17.00%
Tanzania 30.00%
Thailand 23.00%
Trinidad and 25.00%
Tunisia 30.00%
Turkey 20.00%
Uganda 30.00%
Ukraine 21.00%
United Arab 55.00%
United King 24.00%
United States 40.00%
Uruguay 25.00%
Vanuatu 0.00%
Venezuela 34.00%
Vietnam 25.00%
Yemen 20.00%
Zambia 35.00%
Zimbabwe 25.75%
Africa averag 29.02%
North Americ 33.00%
Asia average 22.89%
Europe avera 20.50%
Latin Americ 28.30%
Oceania aver 28.60%
EU average 22.60%
OECD averag 25.25%
Global avera 24.43%
Operating Lease Converter
Operating lease expenses are really financial expenses, and should be treated as such. Accounting standards allow th
be treated as operating expenses. This program will convert commitments to make operating leases into debt and
adjust the operating income accordingly, by adding back the imputed interest expense on this debt.
Inputs
Operating lease expense in current year = $137.00
Operating Lease Commitments (From footnote to financials)
Year Commitment ! Year 1 is next year, ….
1 $ 137.00
2 $ 132.00
3 $ 106.00
4 $ 86.00
5 $ 53.00
6 and beyond $ 99.00
Pre-tax Cost of Debt = 3.05% ! If you do not have a cost of debt, use the attached ratings estimator
Restated Financials
Operating Income with Operating leases reclassified as debt = $ 3,029.04
Interest expenses with Operating leases classified as debt = $ 287.04
unting standards allow them to
g leases into debt and
Inputs for synthetic rating estimation
Enter the type of firm = 1 (Enter 1 if large financial service firm, 2 if smaller financial service firm)
Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) = $3,029.04 (Add back only long term interest expense for financial f
Current interest expenses = $287.04 (Use only long term interest expense for financial firms)
Current long term government bond rate = 1.75%
Output
Interest coverage ratio = 10.55
Estimated Bond Rating = Aaa/AAA
Estimated Default Spread = 0.40%
Estimated Cost of Debt = 2.15%
Dell
April 1, 2013 Drivers of the optimal debt ratio
Capital Structure Financial Market Income Statement Marginal tax rate = 35.90%
Current MV of Equity = $24,531 Current Beta for Stock 1.74 Current EBITDA = $4,173 EBITDA/ Firm value = 12.42%
Market Value of interest-b $9,056 Current Bond Rating = A3/A- Current Depreciation = $1,144 EBIT/ Firm value = 9.02%
# of Shares Outstanding = 1747.22 Summary of Inputs Current Tax Rate = 35.90% Unlevered beta = 1.39
Debt Value of Operating le $559 Long Term Government 1.75% Current Capital Spendi $513
Equity Risk Premium = 6.71% Pre-tax cost of debt = 3.05% Current Interest Expens $287
We use the following default spreads in our analysis. Change them in the input sheet if Ratings comparison at current debt ratio
Rating Coverage g and lt Spread Drop in EB Current Interest coverage ratio = 10.55
AAA 8.5 100000 0.40% 0.00% Rating based upon coverage = Aaa/AAA
AA 6.5 8.499999 0.70% 0.00% Interest rate based upon coverage = 2.15%
A+ 5.5 6.499999 0.85% 0.00% Current rating for company = A3/A-
A 4.25 5.499999 1.00% 0.00% Current interest rate on debt = 3.05%
A- 3 4.249999 1.30% 0.00% Drop in operating income based on c 0.00%
BBB 2.5 2.999999 2.00% -5.00%
BB 2 2.2499999 4.00% -10.00%
B+ 1.75 1.999999 5.50% -10.00%
B 1.5 1.749999 6.50% -10.00%
B- 1.25 1.499999 7.25% -15.00%
CCC 0.8 1.249999 8.75% -25.00%
CC 0.65 0.799999 9.50% -25.00%
C 0.2 0.649999 10.50% -25.00%
D -100000 0.199999 12.00% -30.00%
CAPITAL STRUCTURE 18
Pre-tax Int. co ∞ 41.26 20.63 13.75 10.32 7.24 0.92 0.74 0.59 0.53
Funds/Debt ∞ 0.89 0.44 0.29 0.21 0.17 0.05 0.03 0.01 0.00
Likely Rating Aaa/AAA Aaa/AAA Aaa/AAA Aaa/AAA Aaa/AAA Aa2/AA C2/C Ca2/CC Caa/CCC Caa/CCC
Pre-tax cost of 2.15% 2.15% 2.15% 2.15% 2.15% 2.45% 10.50% 11.25% 12.25% 12.25%
Eff. Tax Rate 35.90% 35.90% 35.90% 35.90% 35.90% 35.90% 33.14% 26.51% 21.30% 18.94%
COST OF CAPITAL CALCULATIONS
D/(D+E) 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 70.00% 80.00% 90.00%
D/E 0.00% 11.11% 25.00% 42.86% 66.67% 100.00% 150.00% 233.33% 400.00% 900.00%
$ Debt $0 $3,415 $6,829 $10,244 $13,658 $17,073 $20,487 $23,902 $27,316 $30,731
Cost of equity 11.08% 11.75% 12.58% 13.64% 15.07% 17.06% 20.44% 27.08% 40.45% 79.16%
Cost of debt 1.38% 1.38% 1.38% 1.38% 1.38% 1.57% 7.02% 8.27% 9.64% 9.93%
Cost of Capital 11.08% 10.71% 10.34% 9.96% 9.59% 9.32% 12.39% 13.91% 15.80% 16.85%
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
Value (perpetu $30,632 $32,017 $33,532 $35,199 $37,039 $38,534 $19,681 $17,059 $14,638 $13,569
Debt
Book Value of Straight D $ 9,085.00
Interest Expense on Debt $270.00
Average Maturity = 4.44
Pre-tax Cost of Debt = 3.05%
Tax Rate = 35%
Preferred Stock
Number of Preferred Shar 0
Current Market Price per 70
Annual Dividend per Shar 5
Output
Estimating Market Value of Straight De $9,055.96
Estimated Value of Straight Debt in Co $0.00
Value of Debt in Operating leases = $558.65
Estimated Value of Equity in Convertib $0.00
Levered Beta for equity = 1.74