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Military effectiveness
is the process by which armed forcesconvertresources into fightingpower.
A fullyeffectivemilitaryis one that derives maximum combat power from
the resources physically and politicallyavailable. Effectivenessthus incor-
porates some notion of efficiency.
Combat power is the ability to inflictdamage upon the enemy while
limitingthe damage that he can inflictin return. The precise amount of
necessary damage depends on the goals of the war and the physical char-
acteristicsof the armed forces committedto its prosecution. Resources are
assets importantto militaryorganizations: human and natural resources,
money,technicalprowess, industrialbase, governmentalstructure,sociolog-
ical characteristics,political capital, the intellectualqualities of militarylead-
ers, and morale.
The constraintsthatmilitaryorganizationsmust overcomeare both natural
and political. Natural constraintsinclude such thingsas geography,natural
resources, the economic system, population, time, and weather. Political
constraintsreferto national politicaland diplomaticobjectives,popular atti-
tudes towards the military,the conditionsof engagement,and civilianmor-
ale.
Obviously, no precise calculation of the aggregatemilitaryeffectsof such
disparate elements is possible. But it is essential to reach a judgment about
thepossibilitiesopen to a particularmilitaryorganizationin a given situation.
Only thencan one compare nationalarmed forces,possessing vastlydifferent
characteristics,problems, and enemies, in a fashion that can explain their
relativeeffectiveness.
Some relationshipexistsbetween militaryeffectivenessand victory.If "vic-
tory"were the sole criterionof effectiveness,however, one would conclude
thatthe Russians were more effectivethan the Finns in the "WinterWar" of
1939-1940 or than the Germans in 1941-1945. However, a detailed exami-
nation of those strugglessuggests that this was simply not so. Rather,the
Finns and Germans functionedmore effectively at the operationallevel with
37
PoliticalEffectiveness
StrategicEffectiveness
The need for consistency between strategicmeans and political ends has
become a truism-especially since the "rediscovery"of Clausewitz. Therefore
a test of that means-ends relationshipmust be a fundamentalmeasure of
strategiceffectiveness.The Japanese decision to attackthe United States in
the Pacificis an interestingcase. Why did the Japanese believe that even a
complete initial strategicsuccess in the Pacificwould result in a victorious
peace with the United States?9An analysis demands more than an answer
to why the Japanese adopted their course of action. Rather, it must also
assess the process of Japanese strategicdecision-making.Since effectiveness
has a normative component, the critique must provide a well-supported
judgment about the fitbetween the available strategicalternativesand Jap-
anese national goals. The applicable normativestandard would be the con-
sistencyor inconsistencybetween means and ends. A gap between means
8. Thomas A. Fabyanic, "A Critique of United States Air War Planning, 1941-1944" (Ph.D.
dissertation,St. Louis University,1973); W.F. Craven and J.L. Cate, eds., TheArmyAir Forces
in WorldWarII, Vol. I, Plans and EarlyOperations
January1939 toAugust1942 (Chicago: University
of Chicago Press, 1948); and Hayward S. Hansell, Jr.,TheAir Plan thatDefeatedHitler(Atlanta,
Ga.: Higgins-McArthur/Longino & Porter,1972).
9. For an analysis of Japanese strategicthinkingboth before and during the early months of
World War II, see H.P. Willmott,Empiresin theBalance:Japaneseand Allied PacificStrategiesto
April1942 (Annapolis, Md.: Naval InstitutePress, 1982), and The Barrierand theJavelin:Japanese
and AlliedPacificStrategies,Februaryto June1942 (Annapolis, Md.: Naval InstitutePress, 1983).
See also Saburo Ienaga, The PacificWar: WorldWar II and theJapanese,1931-1945 (New York:
Pantheon Books, 1978).
Second World War faced enormous logistical problems in waging war far
fromthe centers of Allied power, in fightinga massive aerial campaign to
break German industrialpower, and in mountingand supportinggreat am-
phibious efforts on coastlineswhere well-entrenched,highlymotivatedforces
awaited Allied landings. An industrial-technical base that did not possess
enormous productivepotentialand that did not have access to large, secure
sources of raw materials would have rendered Anglo-American strategy
difficult,if not impossible, to implement. Likewise, the Anglo-American
strategythat heavily emphasized the air arm required a foundationof con-
tinuous technological innovation and the ability to translatethose refine-
ments into mass production. In addition, it demanded large numbers of
highlyskilled support personnel forthe large infrastructure of bases, main-
tenance and repairfacilities,transportationsystems,and storage-distribution
installations.Withoutthose things,a sophisticatedand effectivestrategicair
campaign was unthinkable,however well conceived in militaryterms.
The German case in World War II makes an interestingcomparison. As a
result of their victories in the spring of 1940, the Germans had acquired
access to virtuallythe entiremanufacturingcapacity of Europe. In termsof
available raw materials,the Germans could cover theirneeds in every area
except forpetroleum and a narrowband of specialized metals. At the same
time, German strategicthought clearly began to turn to the problems in-
volved in realizing the Fuhrer's grandiose dreams of destroyingthe Soviet
Union and dealing with the United States.14Throughoutthe period between
the fall of France and the opening of massive militaryoperations against
Russia, German leaders underestimatedthe capacity of Soviet industryand
the massive potential of the United States for industrialmobilization and
production. In a limitedsense Hitler perceived the dimensions of the prob-
lem. In the summerof 1940, he suggested thatGerman industryincrease the
numbersof tanks produced from100 to 1,000 a month. The army'sordnance
authoritiespersuaded the Fuhrer against implementingthat decision with
the argument that such a production level would overstrainthe German
economy.15 Generally,the German militaryechoed the sentimentsof G6ring
thatAmericanindustrycould onlyproduce radios and refrigerators, and they
shared Hitler's optimisticbeliefthatwhen one kicked in the Soviet door the
whole regimewould collapse like a house of cards.16Not untillate 1941/early
1942 with the disasterin Russia and Hitler's declarationof war on the United
States did the Germans begin to mobilize fullythe industrialand technolog-
ical resources available to them-a year and a half too late and the direct
resultof the military'sstrategicincompetence.
17. Barrie Pitt, 1918, The Last Act (New York, 1963), pp. 98-102; and JohnTerraine,To Win a
War:1918, The Yearof Victory(Garden City,N.Y.: Doubleday, 1981).
18. Knox, MussoliniUnleashed,pp. 116-133.
Operational
Effectiveness
20. AlistairHome, ThePriceofGlory(New York: St. Martin's Press, 1963), pp. 27-55.
21. Holger Herwig, "LuxuryFleet":TheImperialGermanNazy 1888-1918(London: Allen & Unwin,
1980), Chapter VIII. For the best shortanalysis of the leadership at Jutland,see ArthurMarder,
FromDreadnoughtto Scapa Flow: The RoyalNavy in theFisherEra, 1904-1919, Vol. 3, Jutlandand
After,
May 1916-December1916 (London, 1966), pp. 180-187.
The Israeli ground forcesin the Yom Kippur War provide an interesting
contrast.Afterthe 1967 victory,Israeli operational planners gradually de-
emphasized combined arms in favorof an almost pure armor-aircraft combat
doctrine. They essentially relegated artilleryand infantryto a secondary
status. This decision leftIsraeli forcesvulnerable to weapons against which
artilleryand mechanized infantrywould have been effective.It was only
afterbattlefieldreversesin the firstweek ofcombatin 1973thattheyrelearned
the basic need for a combined arms doctrine. Ultimately,the reintegrated
Israeli ground forcesbreached Egyptianair defenses which, in turn,allowed
Israeli aircraftto functionwith theirfulllethality.In termsof integration,the
Israelis were at firstoperationallyineffective,but throughrapid adaptation
recoveredtheirhigh level of effectiveness.26
Operational effectivenesshas a distincthuman element. The nature of the
professionaland personal relationshipsbetween officersof different branches
within the same service as well as between differentservices provides the
institutionaland psychologicalunderpinningsforintegratedaction. The per-
sonnel and trainingpolicies of militaryorganizationsdeterminein large part
these relationships.Attendance at a service militaryacademy can provide a
common foundationof trustand experiencethatmay endure between class-
mates who have gone into differentcombat branches. Likewise, personnel
policies, as in the German case, that rotate staffofficersthrough various
branches and assignments between line and staffmay have had the same
effect.The practice of assigning officersto a regimentfor the duration of
theircareer may have a positive impact on unit cohesion, but it also may
create narrow professional and psychological perspectives. The result of a
parochial personnel policy may be the creation of officerswith an intense
"us-them" feeling that discourages their full integrationinto an all-arms
concept. If poorly controlledby the leadership, the conflictingperspectives
held by personnel fromdifferentservices,amplifiedby interservicecompet-
itiveness,can hamper combined efforts.
30. Richard K. Morris,JohnP. Holland,1841-1914 (Annapolis, Md., 1966); Ernest Andrade, Jr.,
"Submarine Policy in the United States Navy, 1919-1941," MilitaryAffairs,
Vol. 35 (April 1971),
pp. 50-56; and Edward P. Stafford,The Far and theDeep (Philadelphia, 1967).
31. Boog et al., Das DeutscheReichund derZweiteWeltkrieg,Vol. IV, pp. 186-187.
The whole situation shows more and more clearlythat we have underesti-
mated the colossus of Russia-a Russia that had consciously prepared for
the coming war with the whole unrestrainedpower of which a totalitarian
state is capable. This conclusion is shown both on the organizationalas well
as on the economic levels, in the transportation,and above all, clearly in
infantrydivisions. We have already identified360. These divisions are ad-
mittedlynot armed and equipped in our sense, and when we destroy a
dozen, the Russians simplyestablish anotherdozen.m
38. For an intriguinganalysis of the complex problems that the First World War posed, see
Shelford Bidwell and Dominick Graham, Firepower:BritishArmyWeaponsand Theoriesof War,
1909-1945 (London: Allen & Unwin, 1982), pp. 61-148.
39. AnthonyVerrier,TheBomberOffensive (New York:Macmillan, 1968), p. 170; and Craven and
Cate, U.S. ArmyAir Forcesin WorldWarII, pp. 681-687.
concentrations.The result was that Bomber Command did not place its
strengthsagainst German weaknesses. Rather it placed strengthagainst
strengthand a terriblebattle of attritionculminated in the disastrous raid
against Nurembergin March 1944. Harris came close to wreckinghis com-
mand withoutachieving his goals.40
The German campaign against France and the Low Countries in 1940
stands out in starkcontrastto the Berlinair campaign. By takingconsiderable
risks,the Germans placed theirarmored forceswhere theywere most likely
to utilizeoperationalmaneuverabilityand flexibility. Because the Frenchhigh
command had placed virtuallyall its motorized and mechanized forces on
the left wing, it did not possess forces in the area that could meet the
operational capabilities of German forces.Once the German armored forces
had broken out into the open behind the Meuse River,the French did not
have the reserves available in the area to react effectively.
In this campaign
the Germans must be judged effectivein pittingstrengthagainst weakness.4
TacticalEffectiveness
40. For a thoroughdiscussion of Harris's failurein the Battleof Berlin,see Sir Charles Kingsley
Websterand Noble Frankland, The StrategicAir Offensive AgainstGermany,1939-1945, Vol. II,
Endeavour(London: H.M. StationeryOffice,1961), pp. 190-213. See also Max Hastings, Bomber
Command(London: M. Joseph,1979), pp. 306-363; and MartinMiddlebrook,TheNuremberg Raid,
30-31 March 1944 (New York, 1974), pp. 30-31. See also Lee B. Kennett,A Historyof Strategic
Bombing(New York: Scribner,1982), pp. 125-162.
41. For the best accounts of the 1940 campaign, see TelfordTaylor,TheMarchofConquest(New
York, 1958); AlistairHorne, To Lose a Battle,France1940 (London, 1969); and Hans-Adolf Jacob-
sen, Fall Gelb,Der Kampfumdendeutschen Operationsplanzur Westoffensive
1940 (Wiesbaden, 1957).
42. Barbara Tuchman, The Guns ofAugust(New York: Macmillan, 1962), pp. 28-43.
43. For a descriptionof the gulf between strategicarms and operational capabilities,see Leon
Wolff,In FlandersFields,The 1917 Campaign(New York: VikingPress, 1963), pp. 103-129.
44. Bidwell and Graham, Firepower, p. 71.
45. TimothyLupfer,The DynamicsofDoctrine:The Changesin GermanTacticalDoctrineDuringthe
First WorldWar (Leavenworth: Combat Studies Institute,U.S. Army Command and General
StaffCollege, 1981), pp. 11-23.
Conclusion