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Food Quality and Preference 41 (2015) 180–188

Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

Food Quality and Preference


journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/foodqual

Linking intrinsic quality attributes of agricultural produce to revealed


consumer preferences
Mohamud Hussein a,⇑, Andres Silva b, Iain Fraser c
a
Food and Environment Research Agency, Sand Hutton, YO41 1LZ York, United Kingdom
b
Kent Business School, University of Kent, Canterbury, CT2 7PE Kent, United Kingdom
c
School of Economics, University of Kent, Canterbury, CT2 7PE Kent, United Kingdom

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: The quality of agricultural produce, such as fruit and vegetables, is defined by grading criteria based on
Received 7 May 2014 the assessment of primary product attributes determined at harvest. These quality measures, which
Received in revised form 28 November 2014 characterize important end-product intrinsic attributes such as flavor and texture, are used by processors
Accepted 30 November 2014
and retailers to differentiate retail products; hence they determine farm-gate and retail prices for each
Available online 11 December 2014
crop variety. Despite their importance, limited published research has systematically linked these
attributes at harvest to consumer preference at retail level.
Keywords:
In this article, we adopt a demand system, the Almost Ideal Demand Systems, to assess the effects of
Intrinsic
Quality
the intrinsic quality attributes on consumers’ purchase choices across six different quality grades that
Attributes relate to 41 vegetable products sold by a leading United Kingdom (UK) retailer over a two year period.
Revealed preferences Findings suggest that consumers are both able to differentiate products based on the attributes
Demand system determined at harvest and willing to pay a premium for these attributes. These findings are relevant
to both industry and public health practitioners intending to maintain or expand demand for vegetables
in the UK.
Ó 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

1. Introduction juiciness and succulence), color and shape (Moser et al., 2011;
Tan, 2000).
Food producers and retailers offer consumers a wide array of This intrinsic attribute-based differentiation is clearly feasible
differentiated products with ever increasing numbers of attributes. for minimally-processed products, such as short shelf-life cut and
The differentiations are based on differences in the intrinsic attri- pre-packed fruit and vegetables for ready use, because such mini-
butes which underpin the experiential eating quality of products mal processing operations do not significantly affect most of the
and claims about credence attributes related to other environmen- natural product attributes. Therefore, these attributes can reach
tally and socially desirable features, such as sustainable methods of consumers almost intact and, hence, are likely to have a stronger
food production (Caswell, 2002; Grolleau & Caswell, 2006; Sogn- effect on preferences compared to more intensively processed
Grundvåg, Larsen, & Young, 2014). In particular, experiential eating foods (Ragaert, Verbeke, Devlieghere, & Debevere, 2004). Some
quality strongly influences consumer preference and demand other processing operations, such as freezing, can also preserve
(Moser, Rafaelli, & Thilmany-McFadden, 2011). These attributes intrinsic product attributes effectively if carried out carefully. The
are typically associated with inherent natural product characteris- rapid freezing prevents both post-harvest structural deterioration
tics such as nutritive, organoleptic or other biochemical and bio- and the loss of the distinctive cultivar-specific volatile compounds
physical characteristics valued by consumers (Westgren, 1999). underlying characteristic flavors, such as alcohols, hydrocarbons,
Distinctive variety-specific attributes of agricultural produce such ketones, terpenes and esters (Azarnia, Boye, Warkentin, &
as fruit and vegetables are often used to differentiate retail Malcolmson, 2011a; Azarnia et al., 2011b). Hence, it is reasonable
products. These attributes include flavor (or taste as determined to assume that the intrinsic quality attributes of these products
by sweetness, acidity, astringency and aroma), texture (firmness, available at harvest can also reach consumers intact and conse-
quently affect consumer preference and demand at the retail level.
From the producer’s perspective, the choice of crop variety and
⇑ Corresponding author. Tel.: +44 (0)1904 462787. timing of harvest are therefore, both critical to ensure the presence
E-mail address: mohamud.hussein@fera.gsi.gov.uk (M. Hussein). and correct concentration of desirable organoleptic attributes at

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.foodqual.2014.11.018
0950-3293/Ó 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
M. Hussein et al. / Food Quality and Preference 41 (2015) 180–188 181

maturity (Miller, Smith, Boldingh, & Johansson, 1998). However, number of other less healthy products that are marketed in a man-
the effectiveness of producers’ efforts can be largely dependent ner that influences food perceptions and preferences, often beyond
on the processing and storage conditions at the manufacturing volitional control and sometimes outside conscious awareness
and retailing stages so as to preserve quality throughout the supply (Adamowicz & Swait, 2013; Chandon & Wansink, 2012). In prac-
chain. While producers improve the quality of varieties through tice, this complex choice environment is difficult, if not impossible,
genetic selection of desirable traits, advances in analytical methods to recreate in hypothetical markets. Consequently, stated prefer-
for quality assessments enable processors and retailers to map the ence studies can give rise to what is known as ‘hypothetical biases’.
end-product attributes against the traits of selected cultivars and Thus, there is good reason to assess consumers’ valuations of
accordingly determine appropriate farm-gate prices for producers attributes of fruits and vegetables by employing an approach that
(Azarnia et al., 2011a; Azarnia et al., 2011b; Everaarts & Sukkel, is capable of linking more strongly the intrinsic attributes to
2000). As such, the intrinsic attributes, as measured at harvest, observed actual purchase behavior.
determine both consumer demand for healthy products and the In this article, we go some way toward filling the gap in the
farmers’ crop choices. research. In our study, we adopt the Almost Ideal Demand Systems
Despite the importance of intrinsic quality attributes only a lim- to link these attributes to actual consumer preferences, using
ited number of papers have systematically linked intrinsic quality appropriate farm level grading criteria and revealed preference
attributes to demand. Several studies which examined consumer data. A relative advantage of our approach is that it allows us to
perception of quality and their effect on food choice link different impose and test restrictions on price and total expenditure
quality attributes to demand. These studies use either a generic responses based on demand theory (Anderson & Blundell, 1983;
conceptual framework, such as Total Food Quality model Hayes, Wahl, & Williams, 1990). First, we develop a criterion that
(Bredahl, Grunert, & Fertin, 1998; Grunert, 2005) and more specific enables us to establish a direct link between intrinsic attributes
perceived quality models (Bello Acebrón & Calvo Dopico, 2000), or of vegetables at harvest and consumer preferences via the industry
choice-based approaches (Enneking, Neumann, & Henneberg, specifications for product grading. Second, we then adopt a
2007) to establish the link between consumers perception and demand system modeling approach to estimate consumer price
demand. Other relevant research includes hedonic studies which and expenditure elasticities of demand across six different quality
have examined the effect of different quality attributes on demand grades which account for 41 different pea products sold in the Uni-
for food and industry profits. Among them, Parker and Zilberman ted Kingdom (UK) by a leading retailer. In addition, we take
(1993) adopted a hedonic price approach to assess the profit account of how preferences are formed by UK consumers over time
margin achieved by producers and retailers of fresh peaches in Cal- by using retail data on repeated purchases over a two year period.
ifornia. Huang and Lin (2007) used a similar approach to estimate Our approach differs from previous research in demand systems
the price premiums and discounts associated with fresh tomatoes as we use industry quality grading standards at farm level to estab-
among regional markets in the United States (US), focusing on the lish a direct link between the intrinsic of each grade and consumer
organic attribute. A limitation of these studies is that, unlike preferences for resulting differentiated retail products. According
demand systems which make use of the restrictions suggested by to the theory of demand, consumers make food purchases on the
demand theory, they frequently lack a clear functional form justi- basis of anticipated utility or satisfaction from consumption of a
fication for the relationship between price and product attributes product with certain attributes. However, as the actual or realized
(Bello & Calvo, 2000; Costanigro, Mccluskey, & Jill, 2011; utility does not enter into empirical demand functions, the
Unnevehr et al., 2010). Thus, it is difficult to generalize their infer- resulting derived demand curves are simply interpreted as a will-
ences beyond specific context they are applied. This is not the case ingness to make purchases on the basis of anticipated satisfaction
in terms of the analysis and results presented in our study as dis- (Jones, 1997). Although the quality of food is widely recognized as
cussed below. a key determinant of purchase choice or preference – that is to say
Another branch of research has also examined consumer buying superior quality induces greater consumer willingness to pay for a
behavior and the relative importance of food product attributes product as contrasted to one with poor quality attributes (Cox &
employing stated preference techniques such as contingent valua- Wohlgenant, 1986; Deaton, 1988; Yu & Abler, 2009), nevertheless
tion and choice experiments (For a review, see Moser et al., 2011). the specific products attributes are not properly examined due to
Some of this literature in particular has sought to link intrinsic lack of appropriate data.
attributes of agricultural produce to consumers’ willingness to Unlike these demand studies in which economists define qual-
pay (WTP), see Jaeger and Rose (2008). Researchers employing ity in terms of aggregate utility and, therefore, make no distinction
these methods typically use hypothetical surveys and/or experi- between the intrinsic and extrinsic qualities of a product, we use
ments in which people are asked to express their preferences the above-discussed industrial criteria for grading and sales data
through a choice between a baseline product with certain attri- which captures consumer preferences for the resulting differenti-
butes and one or more alternatives (Jaeger & Rose, 2008; ated retail products to estimate the demand elasticities. Specifi-
Mitchell & Carson, 1989; Moser et al., 2011; Naidoo & cally, we exploit the strong relationship between the intrinsic
Adamowicz, 2005). As such, these methods elicit the intentional pea attributes at harvest and the farm-gate and retail prices to esti-
WTP for a product attribute, as opposed to actual buying behavior. mate the effect of the intrinsic attributes on consumption of the six
Although some researchers report good matches between quality grades, thus accounting for consumer preferences and will-
estimates from analyses of stated and revealed preference data ingness to pay for the entire range of differentiated products in the
(e.g., Carlsson & Martinsson, 2001; Loureiro, McCluskey, & UK market.1
Mittelhammer, 2003), others find significant divergence between In terms of the choice of commodity we focus on peas as a
stated and revealed preferences when answering survey questions suitable case study as they are economically and nutritionally
compared to when actually shopping in a grocery store (e.g., symbolic for the UK industry and healthy diets respectively. Frozen
Brooks & Lusk, 2010; Loomis, Gonzalez-Caban, & Englin, 2001; peas are the archetypal green vegetable; they were the first to be
Murphy, Allen, Stevens, & Weatherhead, 2005). Consequently, the available in a frozen form in the 1950s and the first to have their
elicited WTP may not accurately reflect actual preferences. This
is particularly true for basic agricultural commodities, such as
fruits and vegetables. The choices of these produce in a grocery 1
Data used includes sales for all retail products, apart from the loose (in the pod)
environment typically take place alongside choices of a large pea range which accounts for less than 1% of total weekly sales by the retailer.
182 M. Hussein et al. / Food Quality and Preference 41 (2015) 180–188

intrinsic quality in a preserved ‘fresh’ form - detached from their attributes at the point of consumption are often determined by
seasonality (Green & Foster, 2005). Hence, they allow linking farm taste panels, the textural properties such as firmness are
level grading criteria to consumer preference more clearly. Peas particularly used by producers as indices of readiness of harvest
and other legumes are also rich in protein, fiber, starch, vitamins (maturity) to meet the requirements for handling, storage and
and minerals and therefore have significant nutritional and acceptability for consumers (Chen & Opara, 2013). Three methods
health advantages for consumers (Lisiewska, Słupski, Kmiecik, & of texture analysis commonly employed are: (i) the compression
Gebczynski, 2008; Mitchell, Lawrence, Hartan, & Curran, 2009). test for assessment of the quality of carrots for example (De
On this basis, they are among the most recommended products Roeck, Mols, Duvetter, van Loey, & Hendrickx, 2010), (ii) the punc-
in dietary guidelines aimed at encouraging eating patterns that ture test used for apples (Brookfield, Nicoll, Gunson, Harker, &
reduce the risk of diet-related disease and improve well-being Wohlers, 2011) and (iii) the shear for peas (Everaarts & Sukkel,
(Department of Health, 2010; Pollard, Nicolson, Pulker, & Binns, 2000; Martin, 1937). The shear test is used for determining quality
2009). at harvest including attributes such as tenderness measured using
Our study makes two contributions to the literature. First, we a mechanical methods such as Warner–Bratzler or tenderometer
are employing a novel approach to incorporating intrinsic attri- methods which measure the force needed to shear and press a
butes of a key agricultural produce into the well-established sample through a standard grid (AHDB, 2012; Chen & Opara, 2013).
framework of traditional demand systems. Second, the approach The advantages of these mechanical methods are that they pro-
allows a meaningful aggregation of the 41 retail products based vide objective measures of intrinsic quality, and also are less costly
on industrial grading criteria which underlie the product differen- and time consuming compared to subjective taste panels (Chen &
tiations. Our approach thus permits the avoidance of a well-known Opara, 2013). Table 1 provides a summary of the commonly used
intrinsic quality effect encountered when modeling the demand for methods of texture analysis and their advantages and disadvan-
differentiated products. In fact, without suitable criteria for tages, as well as example of foods they are used for.
aggregation, averaged weighted implicit prices for a product group As noted in Section 1 we use peas as a case study in our analysis
encompassing two or more products with significantly different and we assess the role that mechanically-determined quality attri-
quality attributes may lead to biased estimates (Capps, 1989; Cox butes at harvest can play on the consumers’ purchase choices at
& Wohlgenant, 1986; Nelson, 1991). the retail level. As mentioned above, choice for this commodity is
The two empirical questions addressed by this article are: based on both its nutritional and economic importance, and the
fact that fresh (in the pod) and vining peas, which account for bulk
a. Are UK consumers able to consistently differentiate the of UK consumption, are typically frozen within 140 min of harvest-
retail products on the basis of their intrinsic attributes as ing to preserve their attributes at harvest, while canning of the
determined at harvest and regardless of any differences in same commodity may cause some minor changes, such as discolor-
their extrinsic quality? ation (Green & Foster, 2005). Hence, their quality reaches retail
b. And, if so, are consumers willing to pay a premium for these consumers almost intact. Tenderometer readings (TRs) character-
intrinsic quality attributes? ize the level of maturity of these two categories at harvest and
hence, the presence of desirable attributes for a marketed pea vari-
The answers to these questions are relevant for producers and ety. As result, TRs underpin product grading at farm-level and the
food policymakers since any significant changes in consumer pref- processing of the end-products. Within pre-defined TR limits, the
erences can have important implications for both groups. For pro- harvest of immature fresh and vining peas is graded into different
ducers, they may affect strategies to promote consumption, review classes according to quality and these are then used in the process-
product grading criteria, or to alter the characteristics of varieties ing of a range of retail products. A lower than optimal tenderness
through, for example, genetic improvements (Unnevehr & Bard, at maturity is associated with more desirable quality attributes
1993). In this regard, price and expenditure elasticities of demand and therefore greater palatability of the end products. Other phys-
across the quality grades provide valuable information. For food ical attributes, such as greenness and bleaching properties at full
policymakers, information relating to consumer preferences and maturity, influence the palatability of dry harvested peas, and
the relative price and expenditure sensitivity of consumption hence the prices (Bepa, 2013).
across the quality grades can also potentially help to improve The implication of this approach to grading is that the TRs taken
effectiveness of health campaigns designed to promote consump- at harvest determine farm-gate and consequently retail prices: the
tion of vegetables as part of a healthy diet- by, for example, empha- processing company or retailer decides the harvest timing and the
sizing the health benefits of vegetables whose consumption is most growers are paid according to a sliding price scale based on the
susceptible to price changes. recorded TR range at time of harvest (Everaarts & Sukkel, 2000).
The remainder of the article is structured as follows: In Typically, a farmer is paid a higher price for peas with lower TR
Section 2, we briefly describe the current UK industry specification readings, while for peas with a higher than optimum tenderness,
limits for pea quality grading and identify retail product categories receive a lower price. Therefore, in order to maintain and improve
within each grade. In Section 3, we discuss the demand systems the quality, the producers map the desirable attributes against new
model and the retail data. We present the results and discuss key marketed varieties. This, in turn, permits the processors and retail-
findings in Sections 4 and 5, respectively. Finally, in Section 6, we ers to offer a range of vertically differentiated pea products that
draw conclusions from the analysis and indicate a direction for can meet the demands of heterogeneous consumers. By definition,
future research in this area. vertical differentiation is a marketing strategy that enables con-
sumers to uniformly rank the products based on one or more
intrinsic product attributes. Thus, if pea products from different
2. Criteria for vegetable quality grading grades were offered at the same price, consumers would consis-
tently prefer the same high quality attributes (Giannakis, 2011).
For a number of key fruit and vegetables, such as apples, peas,
tomatoes, asparagus and broccoli, the quality measures such as 2.1. Role played by intrinsic attributes in product differentiations
firmness and tenderness encompasses key desirable attributes at
maturity (Barrett, Beaulieu, & Shewfelt, 2010; Chen & Opara, The economic assumption underlying product grading at farm
2013; Everaarts & Sukkel, 2000; Martin, 1937). While intrinsic level is that, if consumers are able to differentiate the resulting
M. Hussein et al. / Food Quality and Preference 41 (2015) 180–188 183

Table 1
Advantages and disadvantages of methods for food texture analysis.

Method Foods applied to Advantage Disadvantage Texture properties


Compression test Apples, carrots, cheese and Easy to perform, imitates mastication, Destructive are used usually and Tenderness,
meat and therefore, predicts sensory quality these lack guidelines for operation springiness and
chewiness
Puncture test Fruits and dry solid foods such Easy to perform and many choices of Destructive, lack of guidelines for use Firmness and
potato slices and cereal snacks devices crispiness
Shear force test (e.g. Meat, peas and beans Available guidelines, easy to perform Less information compared to some Tenderness
Warner–Bratzler, FTCa and low cost to some compression tests.
tenderometer) Destructive

Adopted from Chen and Opara (2013).


a
Food Technology Corporation, http://www.foodtechcorp.com/tu.html.

retail products on a quality basis, they will be willing to pay more in the outbreak of Escherichia coli in Germany in May 2011. The
for higher quality attributes. Indeed, there is a large body of micro- authors conclude that the products intrinsic aspects, such as fresh-
economic theory that asserts that the choice of any product in a ness, are the most important vegetable attributes for German con-
market can be viewed as a choice among bundles of non-separable sumers as opposed to country of origin.
attributes (Costanigro & Mccluskey, 2011; Lancaster, 1971). Typi-
cally, the consumers’ choice of a product would be influenced by 2.2. Retail quality classes and product range
both the intrinsic and extrinsic product-related cues (Bello &
Calvo, 2000; Enneking et al., 2007; Grunert, 2005). So in the case Table 2 provides a schematic representation of existing pea
in hand, intrinsic cues include the organoleptic attributes quality grades and the retail products processed under each of
discussed above that are linked to crop varieties; whereas extrinsic grade. In order to simplify the analysis, we adopt criteria governing
cues include other non-variety specific factors such as price, brand their grouping into the six different grades that are based on the
name, place of origin, type of outlet, presentation, influence of existing industry specifications. We aggregate the vining and fresh
store personnel, promotion, packaging, and advertising peas according to TRs, whereas the aggregation of marrowfat
(Steenkamp, 1989). The TRs and other physical parameters for products is based on the visual and processing quality attributes
commodity grading are therefore, measures of the intrinsic or for dry harvested peas, as discussed above.
objective quality attributes (Grunert, Oude Ophuis, & Van Tripj, This classification criterion allows 41 different retail products in
1995). As such, they are important for the manufacturing part of the market to be neatly grouped into just six quality grades
the supply chain, which requires that clear specifications are estab- underpinning their specifications and, hence, their supply con-
lished for raw materials so that it can be ascertained that these tracts. All fresh pea products are grouped under the single quality
meet the requirements for further processing (Stringer & Hall, grade 1. For the frozen pea category, four premium products, four
2007). medium quality products, and nine value products are grouped
There is, however, another facet of this problem that is worth under grades 1, 2 and 3, respectively. For the canned pea category,
noting: as the direct link between producers and consumer has there are eight dry pea products grouped under grade 1 and thir-
vanished (for many goods) with the introduction of modern food teen products from vining under grade 2. The lowest grade (1) of
distribution systems, consumers rely on the extrinsic attributes product represents the highest quality for that product category;
such as brand or country of origin as a signal about product quality therefore my a priori expectation is that consumers would pay
and safety (Fernqvist & Ekelund, 2014). This is particularly true more for grade 1 than for other grades within the same category.
when consumers are unable to evaluate certain intrinsic attributes,
such as taste, before making a purchase and consuming product.
3. Material and methods
For example, Mueller and Szolnoki (2010), who evaluate the
relative influence of extrinsic attribute of packaging, labeling,
In our article, we adopt Deaton and Muellbauer’s (1980) model
branding and (intrinsic) sensory attributes on liking and purchase
which also underpins some of the specifications of demand studies
intent for wine purchase, found that label style and brand
discussed above. However, unlike these studies, which not only
evaluation are the strongest drivers for liking in a controlled
define quality in aggregate utility terms but also largely rely on
experimental setting. They use the extrinsic attributes to create
annual cross-sectional or survey data, we use retailer data on
priori expectation of intrinsic attributes for consumer taste actual
actual purchases to estimate UK consumers’ response to changes
wines. However, the authors acknowledge that the relative impor-
in price and expenditure across the six different quality grades.
tance of the intrinsic and extrinsic attributes may be different on
The retail products for real repeated purchases permit us to reveal
the aggregate and segment level for other wines, for instance when
product-specific information about consumer preferences (Capps,
selecting more polarising wines that are strongly liked by some
1989; Capps, & Love, 2002; Jones, 1997).
and disliked by other consumers.
The model consists of a system of expenditure share equations,
Furthermore, the use of extrinsic cues depends largely on the
assuming m (m = 6) quality categories purchased over the two
extent to which consumers trust the signals to be indicative of
years (or 104 weeks):
quality (Lobb & Mazzocchi, 2007). As some credence attributes
X
m  
cannot be verified by consumers in the market environment, even yt
after purchase (Darby & Karni, 1973) consumer habit and hedonic
wit ¼ Xit þ cij ln pjt þ bi ln þ eit ð1Þ
j¼1
f ðpÞ
appreciation formed by repeated purchases overtime are usually
better predictors of actual food choice behavior (Köster, 2009). In Eq. (1) wit is the expenditure share of a quality grade, i (i = 1,
For example, Jiménez-Guerrero, Gázquez-Abad, Huertas-García, 2..6) in time, t, (t = 1, 2. . .104 weeks) equal to Pityqt it , where pit is the
and Mondéjar-Jiménez (2012) found that preferences formed by price of product i, qit is the quantity of product i and yt is total
German consumers in the past for Spanish vegetables were not expenditure. In addition, Xit is the intercept, cij is the change in
affected by negative reports which implicated imports from Spain the ith product expenditure share with respect to pt, holding
184 M. Hussein et al. / Food Quality and Preference 41 (2015) 180–188

Table 2
Pea quality categories and tenderometer readings.

Category Quality grade Tenderometer reading Items


Fresh peas 1 <100 Three fresh pea products
Frozen peas 1 100–105 Four premium brand pea products
2 106–120 Four products of high/medium quality retailers’ own and other brands
3 121–130 Nine products of low/medium quality and value brands
Canned peas 1 Marrowfat, dry peas Eight high quality dry pea products
2 121–130 Thirteen value products of vining peas

Note: the first column refers to the quality category of the pea product. The second column shows the quality, (of which ‘‘1’’ is the highest quality and ‘‘3’’ is the lowest
quality). The last column shows the number of retail products packed under in each quality grade.

constant total expenditure. The term bi is the change in the 2011 (the week starting on the 12th of September). The data
expenditure share with respect to a change in real expenditure, captures approximately 80% of the total weekly sales for a leading
holding price constant. In our case, the term bi > 0 means a retailer in the UK (Felgate, Fearne, & di Falco, 2012). The data
premium or luxury quality category and bi > 0 indicates a basic includes quantity sold and the unit values; the latter correspond-
or value product category (Deaton & Muellbauer, 1980). Finally, ing to the total sales value across the stores divided by the total
ei is the error term and f ðpÞ is a unit value or price index (a proxy quantity of each of the forty-one 41 products sold by the retailer.
for unit price thereafter called price) which takes the following These include seventeen types of frozen pea products,
non-linear form: twenty-one types of canned pea products and three types of fresh
pea products. The loyalty card data does not include loose fresh
X
m
1X m X m
f ðpÞ ¼ a0 þ ai lnpi þ c ln pi ln pj ð2Þ peas as these are usually weighted at the check-out till and there-
i¼1
2 i¼1 j¼1 ij fore their value is not recorded by scanning as are pre-packaged
products.
This non-linear price index is commonly linearly approximated Table 3 shows the proportion of the aggregated consumers’
using the Stone index. The Stone price index is built in the follow- budget for each quality grade and its average unit value. The total
ing way: pea expenditure per week for all products is around £700 k. More-
X
m over, 62% of shoppers’ spending on peas went on frozen peas, and
f ðpÞ ¼ wi lnðpi Þ ð3Þ the quality grade 1 accounts for 27% of the spending on all peas.
i¼1 The canned quality grade 1 (marrowfat) accounts for 23% of the
The variables pi and pij capture own-price and cross-price spending, whereas fresh peas and other canned products from vin-
effects on consumption across the quality grades. From these ing peas account for a relatively small share of the expenditure.
parameters, uncompensated price ðgij Þ and expenditure ðgiy Þ elas- However, fresh peas are the most expensive products (£4.35/kg);
ticities are usually computed as follows (Green & Alston, 1990): followed by the premium frozen product (£1.43/kg) and high-
medium quality frozen products (£1.11/kg). The data confirms that
cij bi wj higher quality pea products have a higher unit value than lower
gij ¼ d þ  ; ð4Þ
wi wi quality pea products. This is the case for both canned peas and
frozen products.
where d is the Kronecker delta (d = 1 for i = j; d = 0 for i – j).
The main advantage of this dataset is that, compared aggregate
bi annual, quarterly or monthly time series data on consumer
giy ¼ 1 þ ð5Þ
purchases and prices using by the previous traditional demand
wi
The own price elasticities are expected to have a negative sign,
whereas the signs of the cross price elasticities may be negative or
positive depending on whether or not the quality grades in ques- Table 3
Descriptive statistics of retail data over 104 weeks.
tion are substitutes or complements (i.e., purchases as distinct
products in this context) (Barnett & Serletis, 2008). In line with n Mean Std. Dev. Min Max
previous studies (see Downing & Harker, 2012; Eales & Expenditure share
Unnevehr, 1988; Jin & Kim, 2012), we include in the intercept a Canned quality-1 104 0.23 0.02 0.18 0.27
set of variables as controls: a lagged dependent variable which Canned quality-2 104 0.08 0.01 0.07 0.09
Frozen quality-1 104 0.27 0.03 0.21 0.36
accounts for the changes in consumption habits; quarterly binary
Frozen quality-2 104 0.22 0.03 0.15 0.27
variables capturing the potential seasonality in expenditure; two Frozen quality-3 104 0.15 0.01 0.11 0.17
variables for in-store promotions of the frozen and canned catego- Fresh 104 0.06 0.06 0.01 0.20
ries2; an end-of-year variable that corresponds to a binary variable Unit value (£/kg)
to identify the last week of the year; and a linear trend to account Canned quality-1 104 0.87 0.04 0.80 0.97
for structural breaks in the data. Canned quality-2 104 0.72 0.05 0.59 0.86
Frozen quality-1 104 1.43 0.08 1.18 1.55
Frozen quality-2 104 1.11 0.11 0.77 1.36
3.1. Retail data Frozen quality-3 104 0.80 0.05 0.72 0.92
Fresh 104 4.35 1.27 1.94 6.89
Loyalty card data containing weekly retail sales were obtained Total expenditure (£) 104 672,888 65,464 467,655 888,139
for all pea products sold over a two year period from week 38 of
Note: the expenditure shares correspond to the category expenditure divided by the
2009 (the week starting on the 21st September), to week 37 of total expenditure. The unit values are the expenditure divided by quantity per
category. The first column corresponds to the type of quality category. The second
2
In-store promotions for frozen and canned peas were run for 98 out of 104 weeks. column is the sample size (number of weeks in two years). The subsequent columns
No promotion was run for fresh peas. are the mean, standard deviation, minimum and maximum respectively.
M. Hussein et al. / Food Quality and Preference 41 (2015) 180–188 185

studies, scanned data from loyalty cards indicate current market Based on the Eqs. (4) and (5), the above estimates for coeffi-
conditions for a range of differentiated products (Capps, 1989). cients are then used to calculate the elasticities.4 Table 5 summa-
As mentioned above, the aggregation of the different products in rizes the results for the estimated elasticities and respective
the data (in our case based on the respective TRs and other physical standard errors. The own price elasticities are reported as diagonal
attributes) allows a direct link between attributes at farm level and elements of the table (i.e. vertical and horizontal intersections for
observed retail purchases to be established more strongly. Further- one quality grade). The cross-price are reported as the non-diagonal
more, given that the products in the data include both those of the elements (i.e. vertical and horizontal intersections for two different
retailer and third party brands, the promotions variable included in quality grades), while expenditure elasticities for the six quality
the intercept allows control of the price elasticities for possible grades are given in the last column. The figures in brackets are stan-
effects of key extrinsic quality attributes. The promotions variable dard errors.
captures the retailer pricing policy for peas: buy one get on free, The results indicate that canned product categories and quality
half price, better than half prices, buy any three for £1 and other grade 3 of frozen peas can be considered as price inelastic – i.e.
price reductions by saving ranging from four pence to 11 pence their consumption response to change in respective (own) prices
per item. Possible effect of branding is also accounted for as pre- is less than one. This is expected as the products within this group
mium product ranges for each brand are grouped under the same have the lowest retail prices compared to other products and as
grade. We therefore expect a consistent ranking of the aggregated such can be largely considered as basic or value products. In con-
products on the basis of their intrinsic quality, regardless of trast, the quality grade 1 (1.19) and quality grade 2 (1.11) of fro-
differences in the extrinsic attributes. zen peas are price elastic as their response to changes in respective
However, the data is an aggregate records of weekly purchases prices is greater than one (in absolute value). These two quality
of each of the 41 products across retailer’s stores in the UK regions, grades, which include the branded premium and high-medium
and as such does not include socio-demographic information3 such quality product range, also have the highest unit price, with the
as individual consumers’ location, age, income, education etc. – fac- exception of that for fresh peas.
tors that can affect household demand (Thiele & Weiss, 2003). With regard to cross-price elasticity, in most cases fresh, frozen
and canned pea products behave as complementary products (as
indicated by the negative sign). This means that consumers con-
4. Results sider them as distinct quality categories and, consequently, buy a
bundle of categories. A clear exception is the frozen quality-
In the Table 4, we present the full parameter estimates from the grade-2/quality-grade-3 and frozen quality-grade-1/fresh pea cat-
demand systems. Each column of the data provides results for a egories which behave as substitutes; indicating that consumers
single quality grade. The first sub-column for each grade lists vari- purchase one or another of these pairs of quality products as alter-
ables and dummies included in the model specification, the second natives (see cross price elasticities with positive signs in Table 5).
column reports coefficient estimates and the third standard errors. With respect to expenditure elasticities, all pea products are
Theoretically, pea expenditure can be characterised by habit pat- responsive to total expenditure changes as their respective coeffi-
terns, price and expenditure indexes, seasonal expenditure, linear cients are statistically significant. Fresh peas emerge as a luxury
trend and some promotion variables. With regard to pea promo- product, indicating that 1% increase in the total pea expenditure
tions, the impact needs to be considered with some caution as each would result in 2.5% increase in the quantity demanded. Quality
of the promotion variables in the model is binary (i.e. promoted or grade-1 and grade-2 canned peas, and quality grade 3 frozen peas
not). Even when the overall impact of promotion is not signifi- can be classified as necessity products, as their respective expendi-
cantly different from zero, it may be that the promotions of a spe- ture elasticity (or response to a change in total pea expenditure) is
cific product can cause a significant change in expenditure. significantly less than one. On the other hand, quality grades-1 and
Especially, in the case of frozen peas, promotions are very frequent. 2 of frozen peas and fresh peas have expenditure elasticity around
In 98 out of 104 weeks of the data, one or more frozen pea products one.
were on promotion.
With regard to robustness of the results, we calculate the good- 5. Discussion
ness of fit and tested the properties of the residuals. Each of the six
equations in the demand system is significantly different from zero There is strong evidence that UK consumers are able to differen-
and have r-squared higher than 0.65. Moreover, the complete sys- tiate retail products on the basis of grading at farm-level and,
tem r-squared is 0.50, which means that the demand system is able moreover, that they are willing to pay more for quality. Although
to explain 50% of the data variability. Additionally, the Portman- we estimate elasticities here, it is understood that these revealed
teau test shows that there is no significant information remaining preference estimates are akin to hedonic prices (Griffith &
in the residuals. The Augmented Dickey-Fuller test shows that the Nesheim, 2013; Scotchmer, 1985). The fact that a consumer paid
residuals are stationary. Consequently in each case, residuals are at some premium to purchase a basket of (quality ranked) goods
least white noise and stationary, which provides reasonable implies that the consumer must have been willing to pay at least
evidence that the observed relationships are not spurious. The as much as that premium (Griffith & Nesheim, 2013).
goodness of fit and residual test results are available from authors Overall, the willingness to pay for a premium for quality across
upon request. the six grades confirms our priori expectation that the aggregation
criteria adopted would allow a reliable utility ranking of quality
3
Nevertheless, in response to a reviewer’s request to test our result for grades based on their intrinsic attributes, and regardless of the
demographic effects, we used UK Living Cost and Food (LCF) survey data to verify
whether socio-demographics affect the expenditure of peas during the same period.
4
Specifically, we used an unrestricted double-log linear demand model of unit value The elasticity measures the degree of response of a variable. It corresponds to the
explained by quantity purchased, demographics and seasonal dummies as control percentage change in a dependent variable entailed by a percentage change in an
variables. The interactions between the variables for log of unit price and independent variable. For instance, own price elasticity is a measure of the percentage
demographics were found to be insignificant in most cases; hence we conclude that change in the quantity demanded, as own price changes by one percent. The cross
demographic differences among UK households in the survey data do not affect price elasticity corresponds to the percentage change in the quantity demanded after
significantly the demand for peas. These results are available on request. Information a one percent change in the price of another product (substitute or complementary).
on LCFS data is available here: <http://discover.ukdataservice.ac.uk/catalogue/ Finally, expenditure elasticity is the percentage change in the quantity demanded
?sn=7472&type=Data%20catalogue>. caused by a one percent change in total expenditure – in this study, pea expenditure.
186 M. Hussein et al. / Food Quality and Preference 41 (2015) 180–188

Table 4
Demand system estimation.

Canned quality-1 Coef. SE Canned quality-2 Coef. SE Frozen quality-1 Coef. SE


Habit Habit Habit
Lagged exp. share 0.42⁄⁄ (0.06) Lagged exp. share 0.21⁄⁄ (0.05) Lagged exp. share 0.62⁄⁄ (0.06)
Ln of unit values Ln of unit values Ln of unit values
Canned quality-1 0.10⁄⁄ (0.02) Canned quality-1 0.01⁄⁄ (0.01) Canned quality-1 0.00 (0.01)
Canned quality-2 0.01⁄⁄ (0.01) Canned quality-2 0.05⁄⁄ (0.00) Canned quality-2 0.01⁄⁄ (0.00)
Frozen quality-1 0.00 (0.01) Frozen quality-1 0.01 (0.00) Frozen quality-1 0.05 (0.03)
Frozen quality-2 0.02⁄⁄ (0.01) Frozen quality-2 0.01⁄⁄ (0.00) Frozen quality-2 0.01 (0.02)
Frozen quality-3 0.04⁄⁄ (0.01) Frozen quality-3 0.01 (0.00) Frozen quality-3 0.02⁄⁄ (0.01)
Fresh 0.04⁄⁄ (0.01) Fresh 0.03⁄⁄ (0.01) Fresh 0.04⁄⁄ (0.02)
Expenditure 0.04⁄⁄ (0.01) Expenditure 0.02⁄⁄ (0.00) Expenditure 0.02 (0.02)
Seasonal variables Seasonal variables Seasonal variables
January–March 0.01⁄⁄ (0.00) January–March 0.00⁄⁄ (0.00) January–March 0.01 (0.01)
April–June 0.01⁄⁄ (0.00) April-June 0.00⁄⁄ (0.00) April–June 0.01 (0.01)
July–October 0.01⁄⁄ (0.00) July–October 0.00⁄⁄ (0.00) July–October 0.01 (0.01)
Canned promotion 0.01⁄⁄ (0.00) Canned promotion 0.00 (0.00) Canned promotion 0.004 (0.01)
Frozen promotion 0.00 (0.00) Frozen promotion 0.00 (0.00) Frozen promotion 0.01 (0.01)
End-of-year 0.00 (0.01) End-of-year 0.00 (0.00) End-of-year 0.03 (0.01)
Linear trend 0.00⁄⁄ (0.00) Linear trend 0.00 (0.00) Linear trend 0.00⁄⁄ (0.00)
Constant 0.74⁄⁄ (0.14) Constant 0.33⁄⁄ (0.05) Constant 0.20 (0.23)

Frozen quality-2 Coef. SE Frozen quality-3 Coef. SE Fresh Coef. SE


Habit Habit Habit
Lagged exp. Share 0.77⁄⁄ (0.05) Lagged exp. share 0.42⁄⁄ (0.06) Lagged exp. share 2.45⁄⁄ (0.14)
Ln of prices Ln of prices Ln of prices
Canned quality-1 0.02⁄⁄ (0.01) Canned quality-1 0.04⁄⁄ (0.01) Canned quality-1 0.04⁄⁄ (0.01)
Canned quality-2 0.01⁄⁄ (0.00) Canned quality-2 0.01 (0.00) Canned quality-2 0.03⁄⁄ (0.01)
Frozen quality-1 0.01 (0.02) Frozen quality-1 0.02⁄⁄ (0.01) Frozen quality-1 0.04⁄⁄ (0.02)
Frozen quality-2 0.02 (0.01) Frozen quality-2 0.05⁄⁄ (0.01) Frozen quality-2 0.01 (0.01)
Frozen quality-3 0.05⁄⁄ (0.01) Frozen quality-3 0.01 (0.02) Frozen quality-3 0.03⁄⁄ (0.01)
Fresh 0.01 (0.01) Fresh 0.03⁄⁄ (0.01) Fresh 0.03 (0.02)
Expenditure 0.00 (0.01) Expenditure 0.04⁄⁄ (0.01) Expenditure 0.08⁄⁄ (0.02)
Seasonal variables Seasonal variables Seasonal variables
January-March 0.01⁄⁄ (0.00) January–March 0.00 (0.00) January–March 0.02⁄⁄ (0.00)
April-June 0.01⁄⁄ (0.01) April–June 0.01⁄⁄ (0.00) April–June 0.04⁄⁄ (0.01)
July–October 0.00 (0.01) July–October 0.01⁄⁄ (0.00) July–October 0.04⁄⁄ (0.01)
Canned promotion 0.01⁄⁄ (0.00) Canned promotion 0.00 (0.00) Canned promotion 0.00 (0.00)
Frozen promotion 0.01 (0.01) Frozen promotion 0.00 (0.00) Frozen promotion 0.01⁄⁄ (0.01)
End-of-year 0.01 (0.01) End-of-year 0.01 (0.01) End-of-year 0.05⁄⁄ (0.01)
Linear trend 0.00 (0.00) Linear trend 0.00 (0.00) Linear trend 0.00⁄⁄ (0.00)
Constant 0.06 (0.16) Constant 0.60⁄⁄ (0.12) Constant 0.53⁄⁄ (0.25)

Note: Table 4 shows the estimated coefficients in the demand system. Standard errors in parenthesis. (⁄⁄) means significant at 5% level. The equations are estimated jointly. In
each equation, the expenditure shares are explained as function of habits (lagged expenditure share), log of prices, expenditure index, seasonal variables, promotion variables
and a Christmas indicator.

Table 5
Demand uncompensated elasticities.

Canned q-1 Canned q-2 Frozen q-1 Frozen q-2 Frozen q-3 Fresh Expenditure
Canned q-1 0.50⁄⁄ 0.03 0.07 0.05 0.15⁄⁄ 0.15⁄⁄ 0.80⁄⁄
(0.08) (0.02) (0.06) (0.04) (0.06) (0.05) (0.04)
Canned q-2 0.07 0.34⁄⁄ 0.04 0.05 0.08 0.43⁄⁄ 0.77⁄⁄
(0.07) (0.04) (0.06) (0.03) (0.06) (0.13) (0.04)
Frozen q-1 0.01 0.04⁄⁄ 1.19⁄⁄ 0.05 0.06 0.14⁄⁄ 1.08⁄⁄
(0.06) (0.02) (0.12) (0.06) (0.04) (0.07) (0.06)
Frozen q-2 0.10⁄⁄ 0.04⁄⁄ 0.04 1.11⁄⁄ 0.24⁄⁄ 0.05 1.00⁄⁄
(0.04) (0.01) (0.08) (0.07) (0.03) (0.05) (0.05)
Frozen q-3 0.21⁄⁄ 0.04 0.21⁄⁄ 0.41⁄⁄ 0.89⁄⁄ 0.20⁄⁄ 0.72⁄⁄
(0.10) (0.03) (0.08) (0.05) (0.13) (0.06) (0.06)
Fresh 0.97⁄⁄ 0.73⁄⁄ 0.30 0.14 0.75 0.53 2.46⁄⁄
(0.23) (0.18) (0.38) (0.24) (0.18) (0.35) (0.32)

Diagonal elements of the table are own price elasticities; non-diagonal elements are cross-price elasticities whereas the last column reports the expenditure elasticities.
⁄⁄
Significant at 5% level.

possible difference in extrinsic attributes of products they encom- quality grades. In other words, if market prices rise, consumers
pass. However, the premium (branded) and high quality grades of do not only alter the quantity of peas they buy, they also alter
frozen peas are more sensitive to both own price and expenditure the quality grade they consume. Or, put more precisely, they alter
changes compared to lower quality grades. The sizeable cross-price the composition of their purchases within the frozen product cat-
elasticities suggest that, as price increases, a significant degree of egory (Deaton, 1988). On that basis, both price and income (i.e.
substitution occurs between expenditure of higher and lower share of expenditure) emerge as limiting factors for expansion of
M. Hussein et al. / Food Quality and Preference 41 (2015) 180–188 187

demand for the more expensive premium and higher/medium vegetables, especially if it significantly affects the frozen products
quality products. range that forms an integral part of UK diets. This supports earlier
Given that these two quality grades alone account for almost literature indicating that the promotion of consumption in one or
49% of overall consumer spending, and 40% of all peas sold by another segment of the retail market may cause a beggar-
the retailer, the highly significant expenditure elasticities across thy-neighbor effect such that any increase in the consumption of
the quality grade further indicate that future price-related events, one quality grade is offset by a fall in consumption of other quality
such as general increases in food prices, may negatively affect the grades (Alston, Freebairn, & James, 2001). This indicates that
consumption of peas, as well as potentially limiting consumers’ broader promotion of an entire agricultural produce range as a
choices for high/medium quality peas as part of a healthy eating generic commodity may be more effective than a grade or brand
diet. Consumption by low income households may be of particular specific promotion applied by industry to maintain or expand
concern in this regard as they tend to have a greater percentage of demand (Rickard, Liaukonyte, Kaiser, & Richards, 2011). An area
spending on food and as such may face greater income pressures of potential further empirical research is therefore to explore if
when food prices increase (Defra, 2012; Tiffin, Balcombe, Salois, there is scope for coordinated industry–government efforts to
& Kehlbacher, 2011). Although consumers consistently rank these expand or maintain the consumption of certain commodities
vertically differentiated products based on intrinsic attributes, they through, for example, the alignment of industry marketing strate-
clearly differ in their willingness to pay for quality according to dif- gies and public health promotion campaigns.
ferences in their incomes. A second potential area for methodological research is to
From both food policy and industry perspectives, avoiding employ the attribute-based approach developed by this study in
price-induced substitution within the frozen pea category is there- hedonic price analysis. In particular, this approach might be used
fore strategically important, especially since freshly frozen are to assess the role intrinsic attributes play relative to the extrinsic
both nutritionally and economically important. The data summa- attributes of differentiated food products in the estimated willing-
rized in Table 2 indeed highlights the importance for the frozen ness of consumers to pay higher prices. This analysis can poten-
product category on aggregate account for 64% of the expenditure tially also inform more reliably the industry marketing strategies
on peas. As such, knowledge of TR-based price and expenditure and public health campaigns targeted to expand the demand of
elasticities for this core product category is critical both for policy- vegetables.
makers aiming at expanding demand for vegetables across income
groups and for retailers and other brand owners aiming at effec-
tively managing shortage or surplus situations so as to minimize Acknowledgments
any price volatility which may result in demand and revenue
fluctuations. The authors wish to acknowledge funding from UK Biotechnol-
ogy and Biological Sciences Research Council (BBSRC) and Depart-
ment for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) for the
6. Conclusion research on which this article is based. This research was a compo-
nent of the LINK project, QDiPS: Understanding Quality Determi-
Our article set out to establish the extent to which UK consumers nants in Pea Seeds to improve market opportunities that
are able to appreciate, and therefore willing to pay for, intrinsic qual- promote sustainable agriculture (BBSRC: BB/H009787/1; Defra:
ity attributes determined at a farm level. Results from analysis of our LK09126; HDC: FV 351). We also wish to acknowledge the valuable
case study commodity suggest that consumers are clearly able to advice and support given by industry members of the QDiPS pro-
differentiate retail pea products and willing to pay a price premium ject consortium, in particular the British Growers Association, Pro-
for higher quality. However, price and income emerged as poten- cessors & Growers Research Organisation, Birds Eye and Princes
tially limiting factors on demand for high quality frozen peas. Foods. We thank the Kent Business School, University of Kent, for
Affordability of quality is therefore an issue to bear in mind when helping to access the retail data, and Dr Glyn Jones (Fera) and Dr
devising industry and policy strategies aimed at expanding demand. Claire Domoney (John Innes Centre, Norwich) for the helpful advice
Although findings are based on the pea sales data, this approach given during the research on which this paper is based. We finally
can be applied to fruits and other vegetables whose quality is acknowledge the very useful suggestions and comments received
assessed by using similar grading criteria and processing condi- from two anonymous referees.
tions. The overall indication is that consumers of these products
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