Scribd Logo
Carica

Benvenuto in Scribd!

  • Pax Forecast Infographic 2020 Final

    Caricato da

    libardo silva
    97 visualizzazioni1 pagina
    The document summarizes IATA's 20-year air passenger forecast. It finds that while COVID-19 will sharply reduce air travel demand in 2020, air passenger growth is still expected to average 3.7% annually over the next 20 years. However, there remains uncertainty around the near-term impact of the pandemic. The forecast models scenarios where global passenger numbers reach 8 billion or 3.9 billion by 2039, depending on the pace of economic recovery and policies around globalization and climate change. Asia Pacific is expected to see the strongest passenger growth of any region at 5.0% annually through 2039.

    Descrizione originale:

    Titolo originale

    pax-forecast-infographic-2020-final

    Copyright

    © © All Rights Reserved

    Formati disponibili

    PDF, TXT o leggi online da Scribd

    Hai trovato utile questo documento?

    Questo contenuto è inappropriato?

    Segnala questo documento
    The document summarizes IATA's 20-year air passenger forecast. It finds that while COVID-19 will sharply reduce air travel demand in 2020, air passenger growth is still expected to average 3.7% annually over the next 20 years. However, there remains uncertainty around the near-term impact of the pandemic. The forecast models scenarios where global passenger numbers reach 8 billion or 3.9 billion by 2039, depending on the pace of economic recovery and policies around globalization and climate change. Asia Pacific is expected to see the strongest passenger growth of any region at 5.0% annually through 2039.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Scarica in formato PDF, TXT o leggi online su Scribd
    Segnala contenuti inappropriati
    97 visualizzazioni1 pagina

    Pax Forecast Infographic 2020 Final

    Caricato da

    libardo silva
    The document summarizes IATA's 20-year air passenger forecast. It finds that while COVID-19 will sharply reduce air travel demand in 2020, air passenger growth is still expected to average 3.7% annually over the next 20 years. However, there remains uncertainty around the near-term impact of the pandemic. The forecast models scenarios where global passenger numbers reach 8 billion or 3.9 billion by 2039, depending on the pace of economic recovery and policies around globalization and climate change. Asia Pacific is expected to see the strongest passenger growth of any region at 5.0% annually through 2039.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Scarica in formato PDF, TXT o leggi online su Scribd
    Segnala contenuti inappropriati
    di 1

    COVID�19 HAS A PROFOUND IMPACT ON

    OUR FORECAST PROFILE IN THE NEAR�TERM


    WITH A SHARP FALL IN 2020 AND
    STRONG RECOVERY IN 2021 AND 2022. 2019-2039
    There remains considerable uncertainty surrounding the CURRENT TRENDS
    near-term impact of the pandemic on air travel demand.

    Growth and change in passenger Country pairs with the biggest


    journeys by region changes in passenger numbers
    (% 2019-2039)
    Our scenario analysis International country pairs only
    indicates that global air
    passenger growth Country pair Annual % growth
    North America could plausibly be in
    2.2% the range of 3.2% China - Thailand 6.2%
    and 5.3% over the
    next 20 years.
    India - UAE 8.1%

    Asia Pacific China - Japan 5.0%


    Latin America 5.0%
    3.4%
    Domestic Markets
    Country pair Annual % growth
    Middle East
    Africa
    4.4% Within China 5.3%
    4.4%
    Europe
    2.2% Within India 7.2%
    Source: IATA/Tourism Economics
    Air Passenger Forecasts, May 2020 Within US 2.0%

    Source: IATA/Tourism Economics


    Air Passenger Forecasts, May 2020

    3.7% 2.1x
    annual average growth in global air number of air passenger
    passenger journeys over the next journeys in 2039
    20 years. compared with today

    SHORT -TERM LONG -TERM


    SCENARIO ANALYSIS SCENARIO ANALYSIS
    The short-term scenario is based on a slower than The ‘Return to globalization’ scenario constructs a set
    expected recovery in economic activity from the virus.
    1 of consistent alternative assumptions regarding
    government trade and air transport policies.
    As a starting point, the pandemic is assumed to be worse
    n ngers e per

    2.8itiobnal pas9stehan innathrio.


    (i.e. of longer duration) than that anticipated in the base
    case. The ‘Climate sentiment intensifies’ scenario is based
    add by 203 s sce around a widening and deepening of recent
    The Asia Pacific and Africa&Middle East regions are r d developments in Northern Europe, where consumers
    yea nt tren
    expected to recover more quickly than the more
    2
    e have reduced air travel and governments have
    curr
    mature air transport markets of North America and r introduced carbon taxes on air travel.
    Europe. ea t
    ry
    b n rs pe urren

    0.7
    ge the c
    en
    Short-term downside scenario, 2019 -2025 p ass an in . Scenario results
    er th rio
    few 2039 cena Passengers (billion, O-D basis)
    160 by nds s 11
    Index, 2019=100
    tre Climate sentiment intensifies scenario
    Return to globalization scenario
    Current trends scenario 8.0bn
    100

    3.9bn

    0 0
    Africa &
    World Asia Pacific Europe Americas 2019 2039
    Middle East

    Source: IATA/Tourism Economics


    Air Passenger Forecasts, May 2020
    Learn more what's inside the IATA 20-year Air Passenger Forecast
    www.iata.org/pax-forecast

    Potrebbero piacerti anche