Note: for office use only

Question Marks Obtained K. J. SOMAIYA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT ,Vidyavihar, Mumbai- 400077

1 Subject: Business Statistics-(MBA-IMC-I Trim)
2 Mid Term Exam : MM 10
3 Time: 1.5 hours (4.15 p.m.-5.45 p.m.)
4 Date: 17 Sept,2020
5
0 Instructions
1. Attempt all 5 questions. (2 marks each)
2. Take assumptions wherever necessary and make a note of it.
3. Submission on or before 6 pm.

Name:
Roll No:
bai- 400077
ID number Area Gender Satisfaction Salary
1 1 1 3 51 Q1 (2marks) An Alumni department of a leading BBA college in India takes a survey from the
2 4 1 3 38 2003. Among several questions asked data was collected on the fields given in the Excel shee
employment are:
3 5 1 3 51 1. Accounting
4 1 1 2 52 2. Finance
5 2 1 3 49 3. General Management
4 marketing /sales
6 2 1 3 54 5 Others
7 3 1 2 45
8 1 1 2 51
9 4 1 2 52
10 1 1 3 48 Additional questions were asked and the questions were recorded in the following way:
11 1 1 2 57 column Variable
12 4 1 1 49 1 Identification No.
13 3 1 4 45 2 Area
14 1 1 3 51 3 Gender: 1 Female, 2 Male
15 4 1 1 49 4 Jobsatisfaction : 1: none, 2 little,3 quiet,4 very
16 1 1 3 56
17 5 1 1 34 1. The Alumni officer wants to know the following descriptive stastics based on the data abo
of 2000-2003
18 4 1 2 45 2. Do the female and male Graduates differ in their areas of employment? If so how?
19 5 1 2 37 3. The area of employment and job satisfaction is related? If so how?
20 1 1 2 52 4. Comment on the skewness of the salary. Ans: As mean > media it is positively skewed
21 4 1 1 47
22 1 1 2 50
23 3 1 1 46
24 4 1 2 47
25 2 1 1 58
26 4 1 2 44 ID NumbeArea Gender JS
27 1 1 3 55 mean 127 2.69169960474308
28 4 1 1 35 median 127 3
29 4 1 4 42 min 1
30 2 1 1 62 max
31 2 1 1 53 SD
32 1 1 2 43 Var
33 1 1 2 49 CV
34 3 1 3 41
35 4 1 2 45
36 1 1 1 62
37 5 1 1 45 correlati 0.119127660107328 Area and JS
38 1 1 1 57 coeff of d 0.014191399402647
39 2 1 1 64
40 1 1 2 51
41 1 1 2 55
42 4 1 2 48
43 5 1 3 45
44 3 1 2 41
45 2 1 2 53
46 4 1 3 40
47 4 1 3 54
48 4 1 1 44
49 4 1 1 52
50 3 1 3 43
51 1 1 3 50
52 3 1 1 41
53 1 1 1 52
54 5 1 2 37
55 1 1 4 44
56 2 1 3 51
57 4 1 2 38
58 3 1 1 48
59 2 1 2 49
60 1 1 2 48
61 1 1 3 47
62 1 1 1 44
63 1 1 3 57
64 1 1 2 46
65 3 1 2 34
66 2 1 3 48
67 1 1 2 48
68 1 1 1 47
69 3 1 3 47
70 4 1 3 37
71 4 1 1 47
72 1 1 2 44
73 3 1 2 45
74 2 1 3 53
75 4 1 4 47
76 4 1 1 42
77 3 1 1 36
78 4 1 3 49
79 4 1 4 45
80 1 1 1 44
81 4 1 2 39
82 3 1 1 41
83 4 1 1 45
84 2 1 1 55
85 1 1 2 56
86 1 1 2 54
87 2 1 2 58
88 1 1 1 50
89 1 1 2 56
90 2 1 3 37
91 2 1 2 53
92 2 1 1 52
93 5 1 2 46
94 1 1 3 51
95 4 1 1 41
96 4 1 2 42
97 2 1 1 54
98 2 1 1 55
99 4 1 3 39
100 4 1 3 44
101 4 1 3 44
102 4 1 2 50
103 5 1 2 36
104 1 1 2 55
105 3 1 3 42
106 4 1 2 48
107 4 1 1 47
108 5 1 2 47
109 2 1 2 58
110 1 1 2 52
111 4 1 3 35
112 1 1 2 51
113 4 1 2 43
114 1 1 2 53
115 3 1 2 41
116 5 1 3 38
117 2 1 1 43
118 1 1 2 48
119 4 1 1 44
120 1 1 1 44
121 5 1 2 39
122 3 1 1 45
123 1 1 1 55
124 1 2 1 55
125 1 2 2 42
126 5 1 2 36
127 1 2 3 50
128 4 1 2 49
129 1 2 2 51
130 4 1 1 46
131 2 1 2 53
132 2 2 2 47
133 4 1 3 49
134 2 2 2 59
135 1 2 2 53
136 2 2 1 59
137 1 2 3 53
138 4 2 2 45
139 3 1 1 45
140 1 2 2 58
141 4 2 4 51
142 1 2 3 45
143 2 2 2 60
144 4 2 1 42
145 4 2 3 49
146 2 2 3 44
147 3 1 1 46
148 2 2 2 39
149 3 2 3 42
150 5 1 4 50
151 5 2 4 37
152 2 2 3 54
153 2 2 2 55
154 4 2 2 42
155 1 2 1 44
156 5 2 3 36
157 5 2 2 44
158 1 2 1 61
159 3 2 1 37
160 2 2 1 53
161 2 2 1 46
162 2 2 1 60
163 2 2 1 65
164 1 2 3 43
165 1 2 2 49
166 4 2 2 48
167 5 2 2 36
168 4 2 3 41
169 2 2 2 51
170 2 2 2 59
171 1 2 2 40
172 3 2 1 43
173 4 2 3 51
174 2 2 3 53
175 3 2 2 38
176 5 2 2 33
177 1 2 2 52
178 1 2 3 60
179 3 2 2 48
180 1 2 1 47
181 1 2 3 51
182 4 2 4 50
183 2 2 2 53
184 4 2 1 40
185 4 2 1 52
186 1 2 2 46
187 2 2 1 49
188 4 2 3 47
189 4 2 1 43
190 1 2 2 42
191 4 2 1 45
192 4 2 2 43
193 5 2 2 35
194 3 2 3 54
195 2 2 1 51
196 1 2 3 54
197 2 2 1 41
198 2 2 2 45
199 5 2 3 38
200 1 2 1 40
201 3 2 2 44
202 3 2 2 44
203 5 2 1 43
204 2 2 2 45
205 4 2 3 44
206 4 2 4 46
207 4 2 3 46
208 5 2 2 34
209 2 2 1 63
210 1 2 2 49
211 4 2 2 42
212 3 2 1 49
213 5 2 2 46
214 5 2 3 44
215 4 2 2 48
216 2 2 1 45
217 4 2 1 42
218 5 2 3 46
219 3 2 1 52
220 5 2 1 32
221 4 2 2 38
222 3 2 2 40
223 4 2 2 33
224 2 2 1 46
225 1 2 3 51
226 2 2 2 55
227 3 2 1 44
228 2 2 2 46
229 1 2 2 49
230 3 2 1 48
231 1 2 1 59
232 2 2 1 46
233 2 2 2 59
234 1 2 2 46
235 3 2 1 35
236 1 2 2 44
237 4 2 3 43
238 1 2 2 54
239 3 2 1 41
240 1 2 1 51
241 3 2 3 47
242 2 2 1 44
243 5 2 2 26
244 2 2 1 58
245 2 2 1 46
246 3 2 2 45
247 5 2 2 29
248 1 2 3 60
249 1 2 1 49
250 3 2 3 49
251 4 2 3 48
252 1 2 2 54
253 1 2 1 45
 takes a survey from the batch of 2000-
s given in the Excel sheet. The area of

in the following way:

tics based on the data about the batch

yment? If so how?
w?
t is positively skewed

Salary
47.126482213
47
26
65
6.8434746376
46.833145116
14.521505354
Area and JS
Year Month U.S. Imports from X U.S. Exports to X trade balance
1985 1 1303.3 1135.4 167.9
1985 2 1501.6 1117.1 384.5 Q2 (2 marks)Economists use the BOT to measure t
strength of a country's economy. The balance of tr
1985 3 1698.2 1260.9 437.3 referred to as the trade balance or the internation
1985 4 1937 1236.7 700.3 balance. A country that imports more goods and se
1985 5 1327.5 863.3 464.2 exports in terms of value has a trade deficit. The w
1985 6 1719.6 1377.3 342.3 to calculate this balance of trade is to take the tota
imports and subtract the total value of all exports b
1985 7 1708 820.3 887.7 two countries, or between one country and the res
1985 8 1461 1405.7 55.3 world.
1985 9 1479.4 1015.7 463.7
The value of monthly U.S. exports to 'X' country an
1985 10 1562.7 1170.8 391.9 from 'X'country (in $ million) since 2000 is recorded
1985 11 1647.1 1214.1 433
1985 12 1786.3 1017.4 768.9 1.Draw a chart that depicts the Export and Import
2. Compute a trade balance and graph these data.
1986 1 1501.1 1023.2 477.9 this data depicts about the relative strength of U.S
1986 2 1474.4 1064.8 409.6
1986 3 1487.7 1029.4 458.3
1986 4 1376.9 1100.9 276
1986 5 1707.2 1121 586.2
1986 6 1237.9 1060.7 177.2
1986 7 1667 1039.1 627.9
1986 8 1249.7 1009.6 240.1
1986 9 1381.3 964.9 416.4 US ImporUS Exports
1986 10 1311.3 1087.1 224.2 2352937 1785498
1986 11 1525.1 945.8 579.3 Trade Balance -567439
1986 12 1382.1 945.2 436.9
As balance of trade is negative this data depicts
1987 1 1155.9 1016.7 139.2 dependent and there is trade deficit.
1987 2 1827.3 1030.9 796.4
1987 3 1712.9 1276.8 436.1
1987 4 1601.6 1120.9 480.7
1987 5 1764.1 1192.5 571.6
TRADE BALANCE
1987 6 1838.3 1243.6 594.7
1987 7 1653.3 1225.5 427.8 281
1987 8 1630.9 1192.8 438.1 261
241
1987 9 1724.4 1327.7 396.7 221
1987 10 1871.4 1258.2 613.2 201
181
161
141
121
101
81
 281
261
241
221
201
181
1987 11 1783.3 1414.6 368.7 161
1987 12 1707.4 1282.1 425.3 141
121
1988 1 1742.3 1286 456.3 101
1988 2 1961.4 1382.8 578.6 81
1988 3 2021.2 1667.6 353.6 61
41
1988 4 1795.9 1540.4 255.5 21
1988 5 1953.3 1852.5 100.8 -2000
1
0 2000 4000 6000 8000
1988 6 2117.5 1593.7 523.8
1988 7 1688.5 1621.1 67.4 Month trade balance
1988 8 2013.8 1828.5 185.3
1988 9 1943.8 1936.1 7.7
1988 10 1998.3 2047.4 -49.1
1988 11 2056.7 1954.5 102.2
1988 12 1967.1 1917.9 49.2
1989 1 2017.1 1901.1 116
1989 2 2094.3 2029.3 65
1989 3 2289.6 2180.8 108.8
1989 4 2361.3 2044.4 316.9
1989 5 2529.9 2096.6 433.3
1989 6 2244.2 2151 93.2
1989 7 2173.1 2061.2 111.9
1989 8 2360.6 2148.1 212.5
1989 9 2210.8 1956.5 254.3
1989 10 2463.6 2351.7 111.9
1989 11 2359.4 2004.1 355.3
1989 12 2058.2 2057.2 1
1990 1 2380.3 2131.3 249
1990 2 2373.2 2063.2 310
1990 3 2636.4 2295.1 341.3
1990 4 2180.3 2047.8 132.5
1990 5 2497.4 2483.6 13.8
1990 6 2488.6 2532.4 -43.8
1990 7 2309.9 2339.9 -30
1990 8 2570.7 2499.4 71.3
1990 9 2625.3 2384.3 241
1990 10 3067.7 2903.4 164.3
1990 11 2789 2485.7 303.3
1990 12 2238 2112.9 125.1
1991 1 2476.2 2395.1 81.1
1991 2 2194.2 2364.2 -170
1991 3 2409.2 2353 56.2
1991 4 2678.9 2758.8 -79.9
1991 5 2642 2838 -196
1991 6 2573.2 2860.9 -287.7
1991 7 2479.8 2929 -449.2
1991 8 2642.5 2849.1 -206.6
1991 9 2695.5 2740.2 -44.7
1991 10 3150.9 3225.4 -74.5
1991 11 2778 3042.7 -264.7
1991 12 2409.2 2920.8 -511.6
1992 1 2493.6 3060.6 -567
1992 2 2612.4 3201.1 -588.7
1992 3 2944.4 3527.8 -583.4
1992 4 2940.8 3514.1 -573.3
1992 5 2962.6 3404.8 -442.2
1992 6 3147.4 3472.4 -325
1992 7 2860.8 3522.6 -661.8
1992 8 2996 3149.7 -153.7
1992 9 3007.7 3532.1 -524.4
1992 10 3398.4 3437.2 -38.8
1992 11 3014.9 3400.9 -386
1992 12 2832.1 3369 -536.9
1993 1 2796.1 3192.5 -396.4
1993 2 2991.5 3288.5 -297
1993 3 3455 3754.8 -299.8
1993 4 3354.9 3613.6 -258.7
1993 5 3263.6 3503.9 -240.3
1993 6 3527.2 3648.2 -121
1993 7 3083.8 3180 -96.2
1993 8 3157.6 3253.6 -96
1993 9 3472.7 3392 80.7
1993 10 3748.2 3346.2 402
1993 11 3774.8 3956.3 -181.5
1993 12 3292.1 3451.2 -159.1
1994 1 3496.2 3799 -302.8
1994 2 3613.5 3682.1 -68.6
1994 3 4207 4378.2 -171.2
1994 4 3828 3822.3 5.7
1994 5 4032.7 4380.9 -348.2
1994 6 4193.6 4416.9 -223.3
1994 7 3614.3 4207 -592.7
1994 8 4355.4 4455.1 -99.7
1994 9 4376.5 4381.2 -4.7
1994 10 4581.3 4499.7 81.6
1994 11 4929.9 4557.1 372.8
1994 12 4265.3 4264 1.3
1995 1 4722.1 4001.2 720.9
1995 2 4787.1 3672.4 1114.7
1995 3 5480.8 3920.6 1560.2
1995 4 4727.8 3382.5 1345.3
1995 5 5305 3781.2 1523.8
1995 6 5262.9 3704 1558.9
1995 7 4773.4 3466 1307.4
1995 8 5353.2 4186.9 1166.3
1995 9 5388.6 4062.3 1326.3
1995 10 5717.1 4312.5 1404.6
1995 11 5677.6 3967.8 1709.8
1995 12 4904.8 3834.7 1070.1
1996 1 5607.1 4276.4 1330.7
1996 2 5582.3 4264.7 1317.6
1996 3 5700.9 4459.3 1241.6
1996 4 5993.6 4358.7 1634.9
1996 5 6419.5 4740.4 1679.1
1996 6 6166.1 4560.4 1605.7
1996 7 6040.5 4567.1 1473.4
1996 8 6471.8 4830.1 1641.7
1996 9 6497.2 4950 1547.2
1996 10 7116 5627.2 1488.8
1996 11 6603.2 5116 1487.2
1996 12 6099 5041.3 1057.7
1997 1 6187.2 4917.4 1269.8
1997 2 6533.6 5329.9 1203.7
1997 3 6957.5 5424.5 1533
1997 4 7096.9 5720.8 1376.1
1997 5 7111.9 5419.7 1692.2
1997 6 7108.3 5912.8 1195.5
1997 7 7022.9 5984.3 1038.6
1997 8 7279.3 6271.1 1008.2
1997 9 7706.7 6325.8 1380.9
1997 10 8458.4 7165.2 1293.2
1997 11 7518.4 6618.3 900.1
1997 12 6956.5 6298.7 657.8
1998 1 7005.6 6234.2 771.4
1998 2 6959.7 6421.1 538.6
1998 3 8325.6 6911.4 1414.2
1998 4 7812.7 6396.2 1416.5
1998 5 7942.6 6408.3 1534.3
1998 6 7982.8 6448.7 1534.1
1998 7 7345.8 6141.9 1203.9
1998 8 7960.9 6181.3 1779.6
1998 9 8335.1 6896.1 1439
1998 10 8979.5 7268.8 1710.7
1998 11 8200.2 6979.1 1221.1
1998 12 7778.5 6485.5 1293
1999 1 7442.8 6021.1 1421.7
1999 2 7930.2 6016.6 1913.6
1999 3 9304.2 6909.7 2394.5
1999 4 8430.8 6648 1782.8
1999 5 8940.1 6658.5 2281.6
1999 6 9550 7069.1 2480.9
1999 7 9161.1 7120.5 2040.6
1999 8 9671.9 7474.7 2197.2
1999 9 9843.5 7805.2 2038.3
1999 10 10018.8 8460.9 1557.9
1999 11 10001.4 8201.8 1799.6
1999 12 9425.7 8522.8 902.9
2000 1 9583.1 7964.5 1618.6
2000 2 10365.4 8464.3 1901.1
2000 3 11652.5 9641.1 2011.4
2000 4 10554.9 9043.5 1511.4
2000 5 11366.7 9143.8 2222.9
2000 6 11944.2 9407.5 2536.7
2000 7 10946.5 9084.4 1862.1
2000 8 12305.9 10448.8 1857.1
2000 9 12344 9755.9 2588.1
2000 10 12814 10331.5 2482.5
2000 11 11939.7 9927.1 2012.6
2000 12 10109.4 8136.6 1972.8
2001 1 10706 8648 2058
2001 2 10297 8768.1 1528.9
2001 3 12045.2 9272.2 2773
2001 4 10480.8 8198.4 2282.4
2001 5 11430.8 8649.4 2781.4
2001 6 11437.5 8404.7 3032.8
2001 7 10578.2 7675.2 2903
2001 8 11564.7 9023.4 2541.3
2001 9 10687.4 7700.4 2987
2001 10 11908.5 9273.4 2635.1
2001 11 10873.1 8346 2527.1
2001 12 9328.7 7337.3 1991.4
2002 1 9981.9 7734 2247.9
2002 2 10022.5 7249.8 2772.7
2002 3 11054.8 7624.1 3430.7
2002 4 11471.3 8257.5 3213.8
2002 5 11928.5 8530.3 3398.2
2002 6 11311.3 8087.9 3223.4
2002 7 11292.7 7962.9 3329.8
2002 8 11854 8559.4 3294.6
2002 9 11409.2 8282.8 3126.4
2002 10 12657.9 9220.8 3437.1
2002 11 11483.8 8606.4 2877.4
2002 12 10148.1 7354.2 2793.9
2003 1 10830.5 7780.1 3050.4
2003 2 10957.7 7092.8 3864.9
2003 3 11782.9 7804.9 3978
2003 4 11154.8 7815.6 3339.2
2003 5 11494.7 8082.3 3412.4
2003 6 11419.8 8011.6 3408.2
2003 7 11124.7 7904.3 3220.4
2003 8 11403 7941.4 3461.6
2003 9 11816.9 8533.6 3283.3
2003 10 12965.7 9519.7 3446
2003 11 11692.5 8621.3 3071.2
2003 12 11416.9 8304.1 3112.8
2004 1 11200.7 8084 3116.7
2004 2 11709.2 8073.4 3635.8
2004 3 13593.8 9712.1 3881.7
2004 4 12575.9 9341.9 3234
2004 5 13049.7 9216.3 3833.4
2004 6 13850 9171.7 4678.3
2004 7 12213.1 8744.4 3468.7
2004 8 13278.7 9493.7 3785
2004 9 13520.9 9616.6 3904.3
2004 10 14475.1 10076.3 4398.8
2004 11 13908.9 9977.2 3931.7
2004 12 12525.6 9223.7 3301.9
2005 1 12073.9 9217.1 2856.8
2005 2 12607.1 9010.1 3597
2005 3 14114.4 9914.4 4200
2005 4 14281.7 9840 4441.7
2005 5 14413.5 9929.3 4484.2
2005 6 14848.6 10113.5 4735.1
2005 7 12710.2 9200.9 3509.3
2005 8 14895.6 10626.1 4269.5
2005 9 14517.6 10284.5 4233.1
2005 10 15720.3 10941.5 4778.8
2005 11 15499.1 10939.4 4559.7
2005 12 14426.7 10230.7 4196
2006 1 15227.9 10483.9 4744
2006 2 14820.1 10031.2 4788.9
2006 3 17363.4 11968 5395.4
2006 4 15665.3 10772.5 4892.8
2006 5 17154.6 11569.6 5585
2006 6 17787.3 11714.6 6072.7
2006 7 15464.5 10408.1 5056.4
2006 8 18038.7 11715.2 6323.5
2006 9 16897.5 10980.4 5917.1
2006 10 17515.2 12300.9 5214.3
2006 11 17246.6 11736.3 5510.3
2006 12 15072.1 10041.1 5031
2007 1 15373.4 10683.5 4689.9
2007 2 15142.8 9980 5162.8
2007 3 18190.6 11493.5 6697.1
2007 4 16254.9 10893.2 5361.7
2007 5 18018.9 11956 6062.9
2007 6 17977.4 11561.2 6416.2
2007 7 16896.9 11188.7 5708.2
2007 8 19115.3 12282.9 6832.4
2007 9 17810.1 11364.6 6445.5
2007 10 19855.8 12330.2 7525.6
2007 11 19356.1 12127.2 7228.9
2007 12 16721.8 10057 6664.8
2008 1 17054.5 11990.6 5063.9
2008 2 17674.5 11961.9 5712.6
2008 3 17707.1 11793.1 5914
2008 4 19364.9 12492.9 6872
2008 5 18837.2 12297.9 6539.3
2008 6 19179.9 13383.3 5796.6
2008 7 19238 13800.8 5437.2
2008 8 19522.8 13749.7 5773.1
2008 9 17926.2 12789.2 5137
2008 10 19695.7 14875.5 4820.2
2008 11 15471.6 11944.7 3526.9
2008 12 14269.1 10140.5 4128.6
2009 1 12474.6 9790.6 2684
2009 2 12371.7 9277 3094.7
2009 3 13929.9 10020.1 3909.8
2009 4 13697.1 9580.1 4117
2009 5 13339.6 9397.8 3941.8
2009 6 13995.8 10569 3426.8
2009 7 14084.7 11151 2933.7
2009 8 15022.3 11072.4 3949.9
2009 9 16150.3 11590.6 4559.7
2009 10 17292.1 12737.8 4554.3
 s use the BOT to measure the relative
economy. The balance of trade is also
balance or the international trade
imports more goods and services than it
ue has a trade deficit. The way
e of trade is to take the total value of all
e total value of all exports between the
een one country and the rest of the

.S. exports to 'X' country and imports

llion) since 2000 is recorded.

picts the Export and Import

ance and graph these data. What does Balance of Trade
the relative strength of U.S economy
40000
35000
30000
25000
20000
15000
US Exports
10000
5000

s negative this data depicts that US is more import 0

1 14 27 40 53 66 79 92 105118131144157170183196209222235248261274287
e is trade deficit.
U.S. Imports from X U.S. Exports to X

BALANCE
000 6000 8000 10000

trade balance
 Table-3
Region
South West Northeast Midwest
Q3 (2 marks)The decision about where to built a new plant is a major
<High school 0.024 0.024 0.059 0.036 0.143 decision about any Multi National company having operations across
High school 0.063 0.078 0.117 0.059 0.317 the globe. One of the attributes which is taken is the educational
Some college 0.023 0.039 0.061 0.045 0.168 level of the local residents. after analysisng the recent Census, a
Associate's 0.015 0.021 0.03 0.02 0.086 company produced the following Joint probabilities(refer table3).
Bachelor's 0.038 0.04 0.065 0.046 0.189 1. Determine the probability that a person living in west has a
Advanced 0.024 0.02 0.032 0.023 0.099 bachelor's degree
Total 0.187 0.222 0.364 0.229 2. Find the probability that a High school graduate lives in North East
3. What is the probability that a person selected at random does not
live in south?
4. What is the probability that a person selected at random lives in
a. P(living in w 0.1801801802 south?

b. P(high school0.3690851735

c. P(does not liv 0.813

d. P(lives in sou 0.187

 nt is a major
ations across
cational
ensus, a
r table3).

has a

n North East
om does not

om lives in
 Q4 (2 marks) You follow Indian Premier League (IPL) and your favourite
team is in the final payoffs. You have assigned a probability of 60% that
it will win the championship. Past records indicate that when teams
win IPL championship, they win the first game of the series 70% of the
times. When they lose the series they win the first game 25% of the
time.

1. What is the prior probability of winnig the game as per the given
information
2Assume first game is over ; your favourite team has lost. What is the
posterior probability that it will win the series.

P(L) prob of loosing first game

p(w) winning first game
X: Winning/loosing series

X p(x) p(w/x) joint posterior 1) Prior Prob 0.6

Success 0.6 0.7 0.42 0.80769
Failure 0.4 0.25 0.1 0.19231 2) Required Prob 0.375
0.52

X P(X) P(L/X) Joint P(X/L)

Success 0.6 0.3 0.18 0.375
Failure 0.4 0.75 0.3 0.625
0.48
Brand Tar Nicotine CO Q5 (2 marks)Cigarette trade commission rates the cigarette brands according to their levels
Alpine 14.1 0.86 13.6 of Tar and Nicotine, substances that are hazardous to human health. Besides, this
Benson&Hedges 16 1.06 16.6 department also collects the data on amount of carbon monoxide, which is the by-product of
burning tobacco that seriously affects the heart. A random sample of 25 brands was taken
BullDurham 29.8 2.03 23.5 and required data is collected.
CamelLights 8 0.67 10.2
Carlton 4.1 0.4 5.4 1. Show graphically if the levels of tar and nicotine are linearly related. Comment on the your
findings. Ans. Yes, level of tar and nicotine are linerly related and give a positive slope.
Chesterfield 15 1.04 15 2. Are the levels of nicotine and carbon monoxide linearly related? Show graphically using
GoldenLights 8.8 0.76 9 scatter plot and comment. Ans. Yes level of nicotine and CO are linerly related, and the slope
Kent 12.4 0.95 12.3 is positive.
Kool 16.6 1.12 16.3
L&M 14.9 1.02 15.4
LarkLights 13.7 1.01 13
Marlboro 15.1 0.9 14.4
Merit 7.8 0.57 10
MultiFilter 11.4 0.78 10.2
PART2
NewportLights 9 0.74 9.5 25
f(x) = 12.3954056669999 x + 1.66466647344125
Now 1 0.13 1.5 R² = 0.857378411932382
OldGold 17 1.26 18.5 20
PallMallLight 12.8 1.08 12.6 2.5
15
Raleigh 15.8 0.96 17.5
Column D 2
CO
SalemUltra 4.5 0.42 4.9 Linear (Column D)
10 f
Tareyton 14.5 1.01 15.9 R
1.5

NICOTINE
Trues 7.3 0.61 8.5 5
ViceroyRichLight 8.6 0.69 10.6
1
VirginiaSlims 15.2 1.02 13.9 0
WinstonLights 12 0.82 14.9 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 0.5
NICOTINE
0
0

NICOTINE AND CO
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.92595
R Square 0.85738
Adjusted 0.85118
Standard 1.82845
Observati 25

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regressio 1 462.256 462.256 138.266 3.31E-11
Residual 23 76.8945 3.34324
Total 24 539.15

Coefficients
Standard Errort Stat P-valueLower 95%
Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 1.66467 0.9936 1.67539 0.1074 -0.39076 3.72009 -0.39076 3.72009
X Variabl 12.3954 1.05415 11.7587 3.31E-11 10.2147 14.5761 10.2147 14.5761
ng to their levels
es, this
the by-product of
ands was taken TAR & NICOTINE

mment on the your
itive slope.
aphically using
ed, and the slope
R R^2
correlati 0.97661 0.95376
level of tar and nicotine in cigerets is highly correlated

NICOTINE&CO

R R^2
correlati 0.92595 0.85738
level of nicotine and co in cigerets is highly correlated

PART 1
2.5

2
f(x) = 0.061028542888057 x + 0.130875320079498
R² = 0.953762471704064
1.5
NICOTINE

Nicotine
1 Linear (Nicotine)

0.5

0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
TAR