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Figure ) 1.2 : Circular Income Flow Model with Government ' Source; Subho (2016)
Government purchases goods and services just as households and firms do. Government
expenditure may be financed through taxes, out of assets or by borrowing. The money flows from
households and business firms to the government in the form of tax payments. This money flow
includes all the tax payments made by households less transfer payments received from the
Government. Transfer payments are treated as negative tax payments.
Another method of financing Government expenditure is borrowing from the financial
institutions. This can be represented by the money flow from the financial institutions to the
Government. This is known as Government borrowing. Government borrowing increases the
demand for credit, which causes rate of interest to rise. The government borrowing through its
influence on the rate of interest affects the behaviour of firms and households. Business firms see
the interest rate as the cost of borrowing and an increase in the interest rate as a result of borrowing
by the Government lowers private investment. Nonetheless, households who view the rate of
interest as a return on savings will be spurred to save more.
It follows from above that the inclusion of the Government sector significantly affects the
overall economic situation. Total expenditure (low in the economy is now the sum of Consumption
expenditure (denoted by C), Investment expenditure (I) and Government expenditure (denoted by
G). Thus Total expenditure (E) = C + I + G ... (i)
Total income (K) received is allocated to consumption (C), savings (S) and taxes (T). Thus
Y = C + S + T... (ii)
Since expenditure) made must be equal to the income received (Y), from equations (i) and (ii)
above we have
C + I + G = C + S + T ... (iii).
Since C occurs on both sides of the equation (iii) and will therefore be cancelled out, we have
I + G = S + T ... (iv).
By rearranging we obtain
G - T = S - I … (v)
Equation (v) is very significant as it shows what would be the effects if government budget is not
balanced, that is, if Government expenditure (G) is greater than the tax revenue (T), that is, G > T,
the government will have a deficit budget. To finance the deficit budget, the Government will
borrow from the financial institutions.
For this purpose, then private investment by business firms must be less than the savings of the
households. Thus Government borrowing reduces private investment in the economy. In other
words, Government borrowing crowds out private investment.
Figure 1.3: Circular Flow of Income in an Open Economy wills Government and Foreign Sectors
Source: Subho {2016). .
Here, we explain the money flows that occur when a foreign sector is included. The
inclusion of the foreign sector will show to us the interaction of the domestic economy with foreign
countries. Foreigners interact with the domestic firms and households through exports and imports
of goods and services as well as through borrowing and lending operations through financial
market. There is flow of money spending when importing from the domestic business firms to the
foreign countries (i.e., rest of the world). On the contrary, there is also a flow of money spending
on exports from foreign countries to the business firms of a domestic economy.
If exports are equal to the imports, then there exists a balance of trade. Generally, exports
and imports are not equal to each other. If value of exports exceeds the value of imports, trade
surplus occurs. On the other hand, if value of imports exceeds the value of exports of a country,
trade deficit occurs. In the open economy, there is interaction between countries not only through
exports and imports of goods and services but also through borrowing and lending funds or what
is also called international financial market. When there is a trade surplus in the economy, that is,
when exports (X) exceed imports (M), net capital inflow will take place. By net capital inflow, it
is meant that foreigners will borrow from domestic savers to finance their purchases of domestic
exports. In this way as a result of net capital inflow, domestic savers will lend to foreigners, that
is, acquire foreign financial assets.
On the contrary, in case of import surplus, that is, when imports are greater than exports,
trade deficit will occur. Therefore, in case of trade deficit, domestic consumer households and
business firms will borrow from abroad to finance their excess of imports over exports. As a result,
foreigners will acquire domestic financial assets. From the circular flows that occur in the open
economy, the national income must be measured by aggregate expenditure that includes net
exports, that is, X - M where X represents exports and M represents imports. Imports must be
subtracted from the total spending on foreign produced goods and services to derive the value of
net exports. Thus, in the open economy,
National Income = C + I + G + NX
Where NX represents net exports, X - M,
Since national income can be either consumed, saved or paid as taxes to the Government we have
C + I + G + NX = C + S + T
1.14 The Concept of Aggregate Savings and Aggregate Demand (Consumption and
Investment)
Savings
People do not always wish to spend all their income on consumption. In fact, they normally set
aside a part of their income which will be saved. In other words, one can say that income is
disposed of in two ways: (i) spent on goods and services (consumption) and (ii) kept for a later
date (savings). Mathematically, we can say that disposable income (Y) is made up of consumption
spending (C) and the amount available for savings, i.e. Y = C + S.
From the foregoing definition, we can see that what is not consumed is saved, it then
follows that the saving function is only the mirror image of the consumption function. It also means
that the sum of the average propensity to consume and the average propensity to save would be
unity. On the same vein, the sum of the marginal propensity to consume and the marginal
propensity to save would be one.
ΔYd = AC + AS
Or
ΔC/ΔYd + ΔS/ΔYd = 1
Where
ΔC = Change in consumption
ΔYd = Disposable income
ΔS = Change in savings
Thus, if the empirical value of MFC is 0.7, that of the MRS becomes 0.3. While aggregate saving
is the sum total of the amount of money saved by individual households.
Consumption
When a family receives income, it spends the income on consumption goods like food, clothing,
shelter and other needs, and keeps what remains from the income after meeting these current needs.
Put differently, a family can spend its income on consumption or savings. Putting it in an equation,
it becomes: Y= C + I (Where Y stands for income. C for consumption and I for investment.)
Families generally spend their incomes on necessities of life but as their incomes increase,
expenditure on many consumption goods increases. However, with lime there will be limits to the
extra money people will spend on these goods when their incomes rise. Statistically, many attempts
have been made to find the precise form of relationship between income and consumption. In
general, it has been established that every increment to income involves a constant increment to
consumption.
The constant proportion of additional income that will be consumed is called the marginal
propensity to consume (MFC). It is called marginal because it applies only to additions to income.
Consumption refers to household consumption over a given period of time. Household
consumption could either be autonomous or induced. By autonomous consumption, one refers to
consumption one makes regardless of the amount of income, hence, even if income is zero, the
autonomous consumption would be the total consumption. By induced consumption, one refers to
the level of consumption dependent on the level of income. That said, on a macro level, interest is
on aggregate consumption, which is a sum total of all households' consumption. This is so because
aggregate consumption determines aggregate saving, because saving is defined as part of income
not consumed. Another is, consumption spending accounts for most of national output.
Investment
Saving is normally done by different people and for different reasons. Whatever the reason for or
motivation to save or the individual, it has little to do with the investment opportunities of business
and society. That is to say, even when there are no real investment opportunities, an individual
may still wish to save. However, the availability of individual and household savings in the bank
will encourage firms to borrow and invest. Banks, as we know, depending on the interest rates that
accrue from loans will make funds available for such investment. This presents two situations.
First, the higher the interest rate, the more funds are made available by the hanks to the investors.
Second, the lower the interest rate, the more loans the investors want. The process will continue
until all savings are invested.
Coming under review at this point is the interaction of savings and investment. The saving
function shows that at a higher interest rate, individuals would be more willing to forego their
consumption and save more. This action will affect the level of output of goods and services, since
less and less of them are now being purchased. The level of investment will, eventually, fall. For
equilibrium, savings must equal to an investment. Putting it in equation we have:
Y=C+I
Y=C+S
Therefore, S = I
Aggregate expenditure is normally derived from all the components of aggregate demand, which
investment is among. Aggregate investment is the sum total of the amount of money individual
firms chose to invest on capital goods. By aggregate demand, one refers to the sum total of goods
that are demanded in an economy over a period and thus, aggregate demand is normally defined
by the planned total expenditure in an economy for a given price level.
REVISION QUESTIONS
1. What is circular flow of income?
2. Explain with an illustration a circular income flow in an economy with no government.
3. Explain with an illustration a circular income flow in an economy with government.
4. Explain with an illustration a circular income flow in an economy with government and
foreign sector.
5. Briefly explain the following concepts: savings, consumption and investment.
6. Explain the following:
i. Gross National Product (GNP)
ii. Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
iii. Net National Product (NNP)
iv. Personal Income (PI)
v. Disposable Income (DI)
7. What are the methods of estimating national income?
8. What possible-problems could arise from national income measurement?
9. Give three determinants of national income statistics?
10. What are the uses of national income statistics?
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