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This 2019 edition of The Military Balance is published 60 Global defence spending in 2018 amounted to over
years after it first appeared as an 11-page pamphlet in late US$1.67 trillion. This was an increase of more than US$80bn
1959. The international security environment is again as over the previous year and reflected higher spending in
uncertain today as it was then. Great-power competition still Western states, notably the United States. Indeed, the US
dominates contemporary Western policy discussions, but has driven the global rise in spending, with a 5% real-terms
now it is not only Moscow’s actions that generate attention. budget increase between 2017 and 2018; in 2018, the US
China perhaps represents even more of a challenge, as accounted for 45% of the global increase in defence spending,
it introduces yet more advanced military systems and in constant 2010 dollars.
is engaged in a strategy to improve its forces’ ability to
operate at distance from the homeland. At the same time, China sets the pace
while Western armed forces – particularly after Russia China’s military modernisation has been striking for the speed
seized Crimea in 2014 – are refocusing on more traditional of development and breadth of its ambition to modernise the
security challenges, though characterised by disruptive new People’s Liberation Army by 2035 and create ‘world-class
elements, they are having to do this alongside, not instead forces’ by 2049. This ambition is supported by defence spending
of, the range of post-9/11 tasks. that has been on a relentlessly upward trajectory. Between 1998
The threat from terrorists persists, as does the impact of and 2018, China’s official defence budget grew, on average,
conflict and instability in Africa. And while the war in the annually by 10% in real terms. Between 2017 and 2018, there
Middle East against the Islamic State, also known as ISIS or was a slight deceleration caused by slower economic growth,
ISIL, might have succeeded in eradicating its territorial base, but the defence budget still grew year-on-year by nearly 6%.
ISIS could revert to insurgent tactics. Meanwhile, the civil war Naval shipbuilding is focusing more than before on large,
in Syria grinds on, with the regime in the ascendant. Tentative high-capability surface combatants. Indeed, Chinese naval
diplomatic progress at the end of 2018 raised hopes that the capability is entering a new phase, designed to facilitate
effects of the conflict in Yemen might be alleviated, if not an long-distance operations and heighten operational tempo.
immediate end brought to the war. In Asia, the unexpected The simultaneous launch of two Type-055 cruisers in June
North Korean moratorium on missile testing led to renewed 2018 meant that four had been launched in just over a year,
diplomatic contact on the peninsula, and between Pyongyang and at least four more are under construction. China’s first
and Washington. However, although summits continued, indigenous aircraft carrier began sea trials in 2018, as did the
there remained no progress on the issue of North Korea’s first Type-055. The carrier is based on the Liaoning, formerly a
denuclearisation. In Europe, NATO’s eastern members worry Soviet vessel: China’s next carrier looks set to be its first truly
about Russia, while simmering conflict continues in eastern domestic design, with improved capability to undertake
Ukraine. In late 2018, Russia began flexing its muscles once more conventional carrier operations.
more, this time in the Sea of Azov. China’s air force, meanwhile, continues to improve its
capacity for tactical air combat. Testing of the Chengdu J-20
Defence spending heavy fighter continued in 2018 and entry into front-line
In early April 2019, NATO foreign ministers are due to service seems closer. It appears that the PL-15 extended range
convene to mark the Alliance’s 70th anniversary, just days active-radar-guided air-to-air missile (AAM) has started
after the United Kingdom’s scheduled departure from the entering service. Likely fitted with an active electronically
European Union. They will celebrate the Alliance’s accom- scanned array seeker, it marks a considerable improvement
plishments, though likely be aware that while external actors in the air force’s AAM inventory. Furthermore, China’s long-
may be bent on undermining Euro-Atlantic cohesion, uncer- rumoured next-generation bomber moved closer to public
tainty also comes from within. recognition, when the H-20 designation was mentioned in
US President Donald Trump returned to a familiar theme state-controlled media in 2018.
at the July 2018 NATO summit. The US, he said, ‘might do China is making these moves during a time Beijing terms
its own thing’ unless European allies started spending more a ‘strategic opportunity’. It has decided that any risk involved
on defence. Although defence spending in NATO’s European in implementing these changes is worth bearing now, because
members grew by 4.2% in 2018, it is likely that Trump will, at the danger of major conflict with a large power is relatively
the Alliance’s anniversary gathering, again press Europe to low. As a result, Beijing hopes that when this period of stra-
spend more. In mid-2018 he said that European states should tegic opportunity ends, its armed forces will be able to match
increase defence spending to 2% of GDP ‘immediately’. As or even outmatch those of peer competitors. For the moment,
of late 2018, doing this would mean that NATO European though, China’s military power remains latent and there are
states would have to find an extra US$102 billion, on top of still areas of weakness, such as in anti-submarine warfare and
the amount they currently spend. amphibious operations. However, China continues to take
6 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
strides towards addressing these deficiencies and is engaged systems are fielded. Innovation could be improved so that the
on an improved training and exercise regime enabling it to urgency of operational innovation is maintained in peace-
test operational capability, as well as assess progress towards time, and that risk-taking in innovation is encouraged. In
its modernisation goals. addition, more highly qualified people need to be recruited
and retained by armed forces, which also need more flexible
Russia matters career structures.
Russia too remains a focus of Western security concern, not Another approach is to accept this situation: not just
only because of its own military-modernisation programme that contestation is normal but that there is an increasingly
but also because of its use of military power in seizing Crimea; level playing field. Western states could look to adapt plans
its continued and sometimes provocative military behaviour and capabilities to this reality. One way would be to create
in the Euro-Atlantic area; and continuing support for the ‘moments of advantage’, where rapidly focused military
Syrian regime of President Bashar al-Assad. New airborne- power across all domains could create operational overmatch
forces formations were activated in Crimea, a key air base was even in an environment that is routinely contested. This idea
modernised and S-400 (SA-21 Growler) air-defence system is associated in the US with the multi-domain-battle concept.
replaced the previous S-300 (SA-10 Grumble/SA-20 Gargoyle) Whatever strategies may be pursued, armed forces need
on the peninsula. The S-400 system has increased Moscow’s also to plan on the assumption that their networks will be
potential reach in the Black Sea region. targeted by adversaries and that jamming and, more insidi-
There has been renewed interest from Moscow in nuclear- ously, spoofing, may become routine. They also need to
and dual-capable weapons systems. The Avangard hyper- become used to operating in a consistently contested informa-
sonic glide vehicle reportedly entered series production in tion environment. Indeed, this may be more apparent as inno-
2018, while Russia also revealed the Burevestnik (SSC-X-9 vative adversaries seek to achieve strategic effect by operating
Skyfall) nuclear-powered cruise missile. So far, two batches of below the threshold of war; attacks may happen as much in
the SSC-X-9 have been manufactured and tested, with only peacetime as in war. More resilient weapons and networks
limited results. More successfully, and less publicly, Moscow may help, enabling troops to fight in a degraded electromag-
is assessed to have continued to deploy the 9M729 (SSC-8 netic environment, but so too will better training and ensuring
Screwdriver) ground-launched cruise missile. The SSC-8 is that the lessons of recent wars are not lost: the next fight might
the cruise missile that, Washington said, led it at the end of be at range and over the horizon, but it might also be urban.
2018 to initiate the 60-day formal withdrawal process from Russia is a worry for Washington, but perhaps not so
the 1987 Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty. But much in the long term. For the US, the ‘pacing threat’ in the
economic challenges mean that Russia’s defence acquisitions 2025–30 time frame remains China. Signs of Washington’s
have slowed in recent years. In contrast, because of more concern were again evident in 2018. US Air Force chiefs began
consistent increases in its defence spending, China does not publicly advocating that squadron numbers increase to 386
face the same restrictions. by 2025–30; this came just a couple of years after US Navy
leaders advocated that the fleet increase to 355 ships. One
Ways of war reason for this is that, in the Asia-Pacific, the US is aware it
Advanced military systems and technical knowledge faces the ‘tyranny of distance’.
continue to spread. Some of these systems, such as hyper- It is clear that China’s military modernisation is leading
sonic weapons, might hold at risk distant targets previously others to reassess their own plans. Some states in the Asia-
deemed safe; they might also compress the decision space Pacific, such as Australia and Japan, are reshaping their
for the defending force. Armed forces are looking to develop procurements to include more advanced weapons systems,
capabilities in other areas like cyber, space, robotics, directed including next-generation combat aircraft, advanced air-
energy and quantum technologies. China, for instance, has a defence weapons and better submarines. China fields – and is
national plan to develop artificial intelligence technology and developing – a range of weapons that would complicate the
is accelerating moves to improve civil–military integration. planning of armed forces trying to enter the South China Sea,
Western states are reassessing previously held assump- particularly under combat conditions. While China may have
tions of advantage; for instance, that access to the global halted its land-reclamation and island-building programme
commons and freedom to operate in the electromagnetic in the South China Sea, it has instead concentrated on
spectrum are uncontested. They still retain an edge over building up facilities and weapons on features there, implic-
adversaries, but the gap is narrowing. The pace of change itly exerting pressure on both its near neighbours and other
may mean that in future, advantages – if they exist at all – regional states looking to exercise freedom of navigation.
may be held only fleetingly, before the other side catches up. China’s modernising armed forces are being seen more
Western states can try to stay ahead by investing signifi- often in more places. But while they may be engaged on a
cantly in research and development and by boosting ties with wider range of missions, they are still developing and remain
the commercial high-technology sector. But in the West this operationally untested. China may have arrived strategically,
is not always a smooth process. Faster acquisitions processes but it has yet to arrive militarily. However, the progress it is
and improved coordination between armed services over making towards fielding better-equipped and -trained armed
military procurements might improve the speed with which forces means that day continues to grow closer.
Domain trends
Defence economics
Global defence spending picked up by 1.8% in real terms According to available data, Middle Eastern states continued
between 2017 and 2018. The rise in 2018 was driven by the to dedicate the largest share of GDP to defence and security by
United States, which increased its defence budget by 5% in a wide margin. Among the world’s top ten defence spenders
real terms between 2017 and 2018. The US thereby accounted by share of GDP, eight were from the Middle East (Algeria, Iran,
for 45% of global defence-spending increases in 2018. Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Oman and Saudi Arabia), ranging
As a result of this increase, global military expenditure has from more than 4% to 11% of GDP. This reflects security
bounced back from its low point in 2014, when lower energy concerns in a conflict-torn region but also over-prioritisation
prices led oil and gas exporters in particular to curb their of defence compared to other policy sectors. The rest of the
defence outlays. top-ten list comprises other states facing security challenges
– Afghanistan and Mali.
There is still a serious lack of transparency over military expen-
ditures in the Middle East and North Africa. There is no assess- Defence-related revenue for eight out of the ten defence-
ment available for conflict-afflicted countries (Libya, Syria, focused Chinese state-owned enterprises indicates that,
Yemen) or particularly opaque states (Qatar, UAE), while data in 2016, seven of these were in the top 20 of the world’s
is unreliable for other countries in the region (Bahrain, Oman, largest defence firms. Three of these – China South Industries
Saudi Arabia) because of lack of detailed publicly released Group Corporation (CSGC), Aviation Industry Corporation of
information and likely off-budget funding. China (AVIC) and China North Industries Group Corporation
(NORINCO) – appeared in the top ten.
Land
Armoured fighting vehicle inventories are being modernised saries. In turn, this trend is helping to drive rising interest in
rather than simply replaced. The high cost of producing new missile-defence systems.
designs, in light of the quantities required, has resulted in Development work continues on advanced unmanned
many new vehicle programmes being delayed or cancelled. ground vehicles. However, initial military interest seems more
This has led many countries to instead upgrade and extend directed towards unmanned or optionally manned logistics
the life of existing platforms rather than replacing them. and support vehicles, rather than in the development of
Armoured utility vehicles, cheaper and less complex than tra- combat platforms.
ditional land platforms, are continuing to prove popular with The renewed possibility of high-intensity conflict with peer
armies engaged in operations against asymmetric adversaries competitors continues to preoccupy Western armies, though
and with nascent armoured-vehicle manufacturers, as they the operations on which they are currently engaged largely
offer a cheaper entry point into the market. consist of training, logistics and fires support to local actors. At
The proliferation of surface-to-surface conventional ballis- the same time, they are increasingly aware that the growing
tic- and cruise-missile capabilities continues, albeit slowly, as trend of urbanisation may make future combat increasingly
states see them as usefully cost-effective ways to hold at risk challenging. Adequately addressing this will require more
the military and civilian targets of stronger potential adver- investment in bespoke, including urban, training facilities.
Maritime
There is an increasing emphasis on blue-water capabilities. reductions. This is driven by a more complex and competitive
Power-projection capabilities, such as amphibious and land- maritime domain and is leading states to examine ways not
attack capabilities, remain in demand and will continue to just of increasing new procurements but also sustaining exist-
spread, but there is a renewed focus on the ability to engage ing capabilities in service for longer.
at sea as well as from the sea. In turn, the growing complexity The proliferation of submarine capabilities is driving a new or
of the maritime domain is leading to a general rise in capa- renewed focus on anti-submarine capabilities. This is shifting
bility requirements for naval vessels, particularly for principal the emphasis not only of procurements but also of training
surface combatants like frigates, but also for smaller surface and deployments compared to recent experience.
combatants and patrol vessels.
The proliferation and renewal of conventional offensive capa-
Navies, particularly long-established forces, are emphasis- bilities continues, particularly of anti-ship missiles. This will
ing the need to boost ship numbers, following years of fleet drive requirements for new means of distributing offensive
8 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
capabilities ever more widely among fleets. At the same time, There is increased interest in introducing innovative capa-
the increased missile threat is driving greater interest in mari- bilities in the maritime domain, such as uninhabited and
time missile defences, and investment in this area will likely directed-energy systems; a number of these systems have
increase. started to be fielded and this will likely increase in pace. This
will inevitably influence judgements over fleet composition
and employment.
Aerospace
Very high-speed glide vehicles and cruise missiles are being force to extend the life of some of its fighter fleet, including
pursued by China, Russia and the United States as a means of the F-16C/D.
countering missile defences. Russia could field a hypersonic Several air forces are in the process of revamping their air-to-
glide vehicle, the Avangard, as early as 2019. Several other air missile (AAM) inventories. The United Kingdom is introduc-
countries, including France, India and Japan, are also explor- ing the Meteor rocket-ramjet-powered beyond-visual-range
ing the possible development of weapons capable of hyper- radar-guided AAM; the US is exploring what might follow the
sonic (Mach 5+) speed. AIM-120 AMRAAM; and China now looks to be introducing
Russia and the US are looking to break a speed barrier that into service the PL-15 radar-guided AAM. Meanwhile, Russia
has limited the maximum speed of helicopters for almost 50 has introduced into service the R-77-1 (AA-12B Adder) and
years. Both countries have high-speed designs in flight-test, continues upgrade work, while testing of the Indian Astra
both exploring different means of raising significantly the top radar-guided AAM is nearing completion.
speed of new designs. China, Russia and the US all now have next-generation
Although the US and partner nations are introducing into bombers in various stages of design and development. The
their inventories the F-35 fighter/ground-attack aircraft, US B-21 Raider will enter service during the second half of the
several are also extending the lives of the previous aircraft 2020s and could be joined by a Chinese design before the end
‘generation’. This is in part due to F-35 programme delays of that decade. Russia, while working on a low-observable
and, in the US in particular, the annual rate of acquisition. design to meet its PAK-DA future-bomber requirement, also
Lower funding for this than originally planned has led the air plans to put an upgraded Tu-160 Blackjack into production.
Cyber
The past year witnessed significant changes in national poli- In order to improve deterrence, moves are under way to
cies and military doctrines regarding cyberspace. EU and change the perceived utility of cyber operations for foreign
NATO states have taken a firmer stance in publicly attributing actors. To this end, the US is increasingly producing criminal
cyber attacks, and they have also declared their intentions indictments, identifying individuals from China, Iran, North
to engage adversaries in cyberspace and through concerted Korea and Russia. They may never face extradition and pros-
diplomatic and economic sanctions. ecution, but the professional disadvantages associated with
Multinational companies are improving their own cyber being publicly revealed in such a way may in the future alter
defences, as well as influencing internet-governance policy the personal decision calculus of foreign hackers. The EU and
and adapting to regulatory measures at the global level. the US are seeking to use economic sanctions against individ-
ual hackers and corporate entities in a similar way.
Governments and regional blocs are beginning to impose
incentives and disincentives at the level of individual persons Several nations, including Australia, France, Germany, the UK
or companies – perhaps because extraterritorial pressures and the US, have all publicised both their offensive cyber capa-
have so far proven largely ineffective vis-à-vis other sovereign bilities and their willingness to use them for national defence.
states. There were four major examples in 2018 of the public US military doctrine, in particular, has adopted a more con-
attribution of cyber operations: the attribution by seven frontational tone, asserting in the Department of Defense
nations of the NotPetya malware attack to the Russian armed 2018 Cyber Strategy that the US will ‘defend forward to
forces; US indictments of Russian military-intelligence organ- disrupt or halt malicious cyber activity at its source, including
isations for interference in the 2016 US presidential election; activity that falls below the level of armed conflict’. Coupled
German, UK and US alerts that Russia was targeting their criti- with commitments from Denmark, Estonia, the Netherlands,
cal-infrastructure networks; and the Dutch-led response to an the UK and US to use their cyber capabilities for NATO’s collec-
attempted Russian cyber operation against the Organisation tive defence, such doctrines may presage a more conflictual
for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons. These indicate col- online environment. While nation-states are drawing lines in
lective Western resolve to publicly confront perceived Russian the sand regarding foreign cyber operations, they are break-
cyber activities. ing down the silos among their own military units to capitalise
on, and boost, functional cooperation.
66 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Chapter Four
Europe
While NATO continued to implement a demanding The EU’s PESCO initiative released two batches
transformation agenda but struggled to shake off the of projects, and while the second list (released in
discomfort of internal divisions, the EU progressed a November) contains more projects related to specific
large number of defence-cooperation initiatives. This military requirements, it still does not fully address
demonstrated political convergence on the issue, but strategic-capability gaps, including in strategic airlift,
these had yet to yield any significant improvement to that were identified in the EU’s June 2018 Capability
military capability. Development Plan.
At its Brussels Summit, NATO said it would create a Industrial and military logic supports a single
Cyber Operations Centre and two new commands: a European combat-aircraft development, but politics
Joint Force Command dealing with transatlantic lines has seen two rival projects emerge, one from France
of communication, and a Joint Support and Enabling and Germany and another from the UK.
Command to strengthen logistics capacity and There is renewed emphasis in NATO on the maritime
military mobility. domain, intended to add credibility to the Enhanced
Exercise Trident Juncture, which took place in and Forward Presence and particularly NATO’s ability to
offshore Norway in October, was NATO’s largest sustain this through transatlantic reinforcement.
exercise in decades. It saw the deployment of the NATO European member states increased their total
VJTF, and some 50,000 troops in total, plus partner defence spending by 4.2% between 2017 and 2018.
countries Finland and Sweden.
Germany 179,400
Italy 171,050
Spain 120,350
Romania 69,300
Netherlands 35,400
56.1 53.4 45.7 24.9 15.1
Europe 67
Europe
Top 5 operational
deployments
NATO’s Enhanced Forward Presence
Estonia
Denmark – 186: 1 armd inf coy
United Kingdom – 900: 1 armd inf bn
HQ; 1 armd inf coy(+); 1 engr sqn
Latvia Germany
Albania – 21: 1 EOD pl Afghanistan – (Operation
Canada – 350: 1 mech inf bn HQ; Resolute Support) – 1,300
1 mech inf coy(+)
Czech Republic – 60: 1 mortar pl
Italy – 160: 1 mech inf coy
Poland – 160: 1 tk coy
Slovakia – 150: 1 mech inf coy
Slovenia – 50: 1 recce pl
Spain – 300: 1 armd inf coy(+)
Lithuania
Belgium – 100: 1 tpt coy Italy
Croatia – 230: 1 mech inf coy Iraq/Kuwait (Operation
Germany – 580: 1 mech inf bn HQ; 1 Prima Parthica) – 1,100
mech inf coy(+)
Netherlands – 250: 1 armd inf coy
Norway – 13: 1 int unit
Poland
Croatia – 69: 1 MRL bty
Romania – 120: 1 ADA bty; 1 MP coy Turkey
United Kingdom – 115: 1 recce sqn Iraq – est 2,000
United States – 774: 1 armd bn
France
Does not include US deployments Chad, Mali, Niger (Operation
under Operation Atlantic Resolve Barkhane) – 3,750 Turkey
Syria – est 5,000
Main battle tank fleets, 2018 Tactical combat aircraft fleets, 2018
(250 per unit) (25 per unit)
Turkey
Turkey 308
2,379
Greece 1,328 Greece 231
Europe
Defence establishments in Europe have continued to recurring rumours that Mattis might either resign or
adapt in the face of a complex threat environment. be fired added to the unease in European capitals.
There are sustained efforts to increase defence
spending, adjust military forces and equipment Strategic autonomy and European ambition
capabilities, and introduce additional multinational German Chancellor Angela Merkel concluded in
defence initiatives. Concern about Russia’s military 2017 that the US was no longer necessarily a reliable
modernisation and its application of force in Syria partner. In a series of speeches and opinion-editorial
and Ukraine was matched in 2018 by a growing sense pieces in July and August 2018, Heiko Maas, foreign
among policymakers that Moscow was acting within minister in the Merkel cabinet, began ‘making plans
European societies, seeking to undermine societal for a new world order’ in which Europe would
coherence and exert political coercion. For example, form a counterweight for situations in which the US
in March 2018, former Russian military-intelligence ‘crosses the line’. Maas suggested that an alliance
officer Sergei Skripal was poisoned by a weapons- of multilateralists, including Canada, Japan and
grade nerve agent, believed to be of Russian origin. South Korea, as well as like-minded Europeans, was
Skripal had been convicted in Russia of spying for the needed to protect the international order, based on
United Kingdom, and after his release in a spy swap multilateralism, cooperation and the rule of law.
had been living in the UK. In April, Russian military- In contrast, the UK took a more measured
intelligence officers were caught by the Dutch security approach. Still consumed by domestic political
services as they attempted to mount a surveillance divisions over its exit from the European Union
and cyber operation against the Organisation for the (Brexit) and negotiations over the terms of withdrawal,
Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW), based on 16 July Prime Minister Theresa May referred to
in The Hague. The OPCW had earlier identified the the crisis created by Trump’s suggestion merely as
agent used against Skripal. These events added to an ‘additional session’ of the NATO summit. Indeed,
a growing list of Russian meddling conducted on May suggested that Trump ‘has made a difference’
European soil. primarily by focusing ‘the eyes of those around
Meanwhile, amid fears that external actors were the table on the question of the 2% commitment’.
bent on undermining cohesion in Europe, uncertainty Earlier, May explained at February’s Munich Security
also came from within. During the July 2018 NATO Conference that the UK was ‘unconditionally
summit in Brussels, US President Donald Trump, committed’ to European security and that a new
ignoring recent and planned future increases in security partnership should govern this policy area
defence spending among European NATO allies, between the EU and the UK after Brexit. While many
suggested that the US ‘might do its own thing’ of her counterparts across the continent welcomed
unless European allies started to spend more on the sentiment, a final agreement on Brexit – at least
defence. While several European governments found one that was agreed in the UK – proved elusive well
reassurance in the commitment to NATO expressed into the autumn. The possibility that an acrimonious
by Secretary of Defense James Mattis, others argued withdrawal from the EU would make security and
that it was not sustainable to expect US policy to defence cooperation more difficult was as real as it
proceed against the expressed position of the US was unintended.
president. Mattis, visiting Paris in October 2018, had In contrast, France was pursuing ideas for a more
urged European observers to ignore some of the autonomous posture, first outlined in September
divisive headlines, suggesting that ‘actions speak 2017 in a speech by President Emmanuel Macron.
loudest’. Indeed, the US government had reinforced This is perhaps unsurprising given the long-standing
its military presence in Europe and, notwithstanding desire in Paris for a significant degree of European
Trump’s rhetoric, funds for the Pentagon’s European independence in security and defence matters.
Deterrence Initiative continued to grow. Nonetheless, Macron’s major idea was for a European Intervention
Europe 69
Initiative. Though details remained sketchy, this European Intervention Initiative should contribute
would see a group of European nations use existing to ongoing defence-collaboration efforts within the
military assets and units to provide rapid-response EU. Nonetheless, the fact that Denmark, which has
capabilities for crisis management. In June 2018, an opt-out from EU military cooperation, and Brexit-
nine countries (Belgium, Denmark, Estonia, France, focused Britain joined France’s initiative showed the
Germany, the Netherlands, Portugal, Spain and the benefits of not directly associating it with Brussels.
UK) signed a letter of intent (LOI) to pursue this Among European governments, there seem to
initiative. The LOI makes clear that the initiative is not be at least three different schools of thought over
Europe
about creating formations for operations, but rather is what European strategic autonomy might ultimately
meant to establish a ‘non-binding forum of European mean. For the UK , strategic autonomy – to the extent
participating states’ with the ‘ultimate objective … that it was seen as desirable at all – seems to mean the
to develop a shared strategic culture’. Participating ability to provide a stronger European contribution
governments have discussed some associated to transatlantic burden sharing. For Germany,
measures, including enhanced cooperation on strategic autonomy referred to the ability to provide
strategic foresight and intelligence sharing; scenario a counterweight to the US in face of existing policy
development and planning; support to operations; differences, while for France it implied the ability to
and an exchange on lessons learned and doctrine. take military action independent of the US. On the
Paris was keen to maintain some distance between multinational level, an interesting paradox emerged
its initiative and formal EU security and defence in 2018. Whereas NATO continued to implement
structures but some partners, including Berlin, a demanding transformation agenda started at its
wanted a closer link, and the LOI suggests that the Wales Summit in 2014, but struggled to shake off
Europe
Prioritise enhanced cyber Improved national
defences for national networks resilience in the face of to drive policies, plans and information
and infrastructure cyber attacks exchange in this area
NATO Baseline NATO support to civil Strengthened capacity to Reminder that NATO allies, according
Requirements for preparedness in areas such as deal with hybrid threats to Article 3 of the North Atlantic
National Resilience continuity of government and Agreed resilience Treaty, need to contribute to collective
essential services or the security guidelines defence by being able to resist attack
of critical national infrastructure
Intelligence and Establish Joint Intelligence and Improve NATO’s ability to ASG appointed in December 2016 and
Security Division Security Division (JISD) draw on a wide range of JISD stood up in 2017
Appoint assistant secretary- intelligence resources Increased production of joint
general (ASG) for Intelligence and Make efficient use of intelligence, but beyond the JISD
Security intelligence provided by intelligence work in NATO remains
allies fragmented
Joint Declaration Define priority areas for Revive EU–NATO List of 74 specific actions agreed,
EU–NATO substantial cooperation: strategic partnership across the identified priority areas
countering hybrid threats, Strengthen the case Regular progress reports presented
operational cooperation, cyber for complementary to EU and NATO; some evidence of
security and defence; capability capabilities increased exercise coordination
development; defence industrial
Task staffs with Joint declaration in July 2018 focused
and R&D cooperation, increased
implementation on military mobility, CBRN, and the
coordination of exercises; defence
women, peace and security agenda
and security capacity building
Brussels Meeting of Heads of State and Government (2017)
Action Plan for NATO membership in the Global Demonstrate NATO NATO AWACS flights now conduct
the Fight Against Coalition to Defeat ISIS contributions to the air-surveillance and airspace-
Terrorism Establish a terrorism intelligence international fight against management tasks for the coalition;
cell and appoint a coordinator to terrorism NATO nations to provide air-to-air
oversee NATO’s efforts in the fight Increase activity on refuelling capability
against terrorism NATO’s southern flank Training mission in Iraq launched
by NATO in 2018 to strengthen the
capacity of Iraqi forces
Brussels Summit (2018)
NATO Readiness Allies will offer an additional 30 Ensure NATO has access Readiness initiative to be implemented
Initiative major naval combatants, 30 heavy to combat-ready forces at by 2020
or medium manoeuvre battalions, high readiness Initiative will not lead to new forces
30 combat air squadrons and Strengthen NATO’s being stood up, but focus on the
enabling forces at 30 days capacity for rapid readiness of existing forces
readiness or less (the ’four 30s’ response and Driven by the US; European buy-in
concept) reinforcement of forward- unclear at end of 2018
deployed forces
Military Mobility Improve military mobility by: Strengthen NATO NATO aims to cooperate with the EU,
shortening border-crossing times; capacity to rapidly deploy which has regulatory responsibility
diplomatic clearance for military and sustain forces in key areas. The EU also can make
movements; identifying main and Achieve better money available to support the
alternative supply routes; and coordination in development of mobility-relevant
exercising military-mobility tasks peacetime, crisis and defence infrastructure
conflict
NATO Command Create a Cyberspace Operations Enhance situational A review of NATO’s command structure
Structure (NCS) Centre awareness of operational said the NCS was not fit for purpose
Establish a Joint Force Command activity in cyberspace after significant post-Cold War cuts
and a Joint Support and Enabling Rebuild NATO capacity New elements in the NCS reflect
Command to conduct large-scale new threats, as well as a return to
collective-defence supporting large troop movements and
operations complex logistics for collective defence
72 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
the discomfort created by internal divisions, the EU military capabilities than the EU’s recent operational
progressed a large number of defence-cooperation activity would imply. Coordination with the NATO
initiatives, demonstrating political convergence on Defence Planning Process is also foreseen.
the issue, but these had yet to yield any significant The priorities set in the CDP would feed into the
improvement to military capability. Coordinated Annual Review on Defence (CARD),
which would see member states report on their
EU defence cooperation takes shape capability plans, with EU institutions monitoring
The EU focused on implementing plans drawn alignment with CDP priorities and identifying
up in 2017 to strengthen defence cooperation. In opportunities for cooperation among member states.
December 2017, member states formally launched A CARD pilot phase was under way in 2018. Then,
Permanent Structured Cooperation (PESCO), a PESCO would draw on CARD results to plan and
concept that foresees far-reaching defence collabo- implement projects in support of the CDP. PESCO
ration among EU member states to develop their projects in turn would at least partially draw on the
military capability. When originally conceived, European Defence Fund (EDF) that would make
access to PESCO was supposed to be governed by EU funds available to support defence research and
demanding criteria regarding military capability and development, and ultimately capability development.
political will. In contrast, PESCO as adopted in 2017 PESCO projects would be eligible for a higher rate of
is a much more inclusive undertaking, with softer EDF funding than other projects (30% instead of 20%),
criteria for those wishing to join. As a result, all EU and some governments have already indicated their
member states except for Denmark, Malta and the preference to restrict EDF funding to PESCO projects
UK are taking part. A first batch of 17 projects was altogether. The plan is that enhanced European
launched in March 2018. European governments, military capabilities result from this process of
perhaps surprised themselves by the rapid progress priority setting, de facto harmonisation of capability-
during 2017 towards agreement on PESCO, largely development processes and planning of projects
committed to projects that were already under way. co-financed with EU funding. These capabilities
It was hardly a surprise, therefore, when initial state- would be directly related to the EU’s level of ambition
ments from participating governments suggested and compatible with NATO. At the end of 2018, this
that more ambitious ventures would be put forward theory of EU capability development had crystallised
for the second batch of PESCO projects. This second into the EU’s main defence effort, though it remained
list, released in November, contains more projects essentially untested.
directly focused on specific military requirements,
but still does not address strategic capability gaps DEFENCE ECONOMICS
including in the areas of heavy transport and stra-
tegic airlift. Ten years after the financial crash, European
During summer 2018, it became apparent that economies have broadly recovered. In 2017, the euro
the EU felt it had succeeded, for the first time, in area boasted its fastest growth rate in the past decade,
putting in place all elements necessary to generate at 2.4%, but the rate of economic output slowed
military capabilities to support EU security and down in 2018 to 2.0%. Central and Eastern European
defence aspirations. The Capability Development states, such as Slovakia (3.9% GDP growth in 2018),
Plan (CDP) sets common capability-development Latvia (3.7%) and Slovenia (4.5%), were particularly
priorities for EU members. The CDP was revised in dynamic. Outside the eurozone, Romania and Poland
2018 to take account of the suggestion, in the 2016 also achieved strong economic output in 2018, at 4.0%
EU Global Strategy, that the Union should be able and 4.4% respectively.
to protect its citizens. It singled out as priority items European Union Structural and Investment Funds
ground-combat capabilities, enhanced logistics and contributed to the recovery in Central and Eastern
medical capabilities, air mobility, air superiority, Europe. For example, in 2017, the IMF calculated that
the integration of military air capabilities, naval EU funds made up half of the public investment in
manoeuvrability, underwater control, space- Romania and Hungary. According to the World Bank,
based information and communications services, EU funding was equivalent to more than 4% of GDP
information superiority and cyber operations. This for some Central European countries, often in the
revised set of priorities points to more high-end form of Cohesion Funds for infrastructure projects.
Europe 73
Iceland
Finland
Norway
Sweden
Europe
Estonia
Latvia
Denmark
Lithuania
Netherlands
United Kingdom
Belgium
Ireland Poland
Germany
BiH Serbia
Italy Bulgaria
Montenegro FYROM
Albania
Spain
Turkey
Portugal Greece
0.5
Italy, 8.7%
France
0.0 Other Central 18.8%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Europe, 4.9%
Europe
operations. (DKKbn)
While the increase in defence spending in France Defence budget 4.2 4.3 4.6 4.9 5.5 6.3
benefits from a political consensus, there was less (US$bn)
unanimity in Germany after the new coalition Source: Danish Defence Agreement 2018–2023
Table 9 EU PADR projects: companies involved per EU member involved respectively across three
Pythia Ocean GOSSRA Vestlife AcamsII Total per
project areas.
2020 country With the EDF, the EU is
Austria 0 introducing a mechanism to
support innovation in defence
Belgium • 1
research: 5% of the fund will be
Bulgaria • 1
dedicated to disruptive technology
Croatia 0
and innovative equipment. This
Cyprus 0 comes in the wake of a broader
Czech Republic 0 push across large European
Denmark • 1 arms-producing states to foster
Estonia • 1 innovation in light of defence-
technology advances elsewhere,
Finland • • 2
particularly those led by China
France • •••• • 6
and the US.
Germany ••••• • • 7
This motivation could also
Greece •••• 4 be seen in France, where the
Hungary 0 2018 budget allocated €4.7bn
Ireland 0 (US$5.6bn) for defence research
Italy ••• ••••• •• • 15 and development (R&D). There
•••• have also been a range of new
Latvia 0 institutional frameworks in recent
Lithuania •• • 3 years. To rationalise these various
Luxembourg 0 mechanisms, in early 2018 the
French defence ministry created
Malta 0
an agency dedicated to defence
Netherlands • • • • 4
innovation, linked to the DGA,
Poland • •• • 4 the defence-procurement and
Portugal • • • •• 5 technology agency, with a €1bn
Romania • 1 (US$1.2bn) budget. Within this,
Slovakia 0 an Innovation Defence Lab will
Slovenia 0 be tasked to identify civilian
innovations that can be used for
Spain •••• •• •• 8
military purposes.
Sweden •• • • 4
The UK has also set up new
United Kingdom • ••• 4 mechanisms to facilitate defence
Total per project 8 41* 9 6 7 innovation. The 2017 Defence R&D
*Total excludes NATO participation. Source: EDA budget came to £3.1bn (US$4.0bn).
Pythia: strategic technology foresight; Ocean 2020: demonstrator for uninhabited systems
to support maritime-security missions; GOSSRA: Generic Open Soldier System Reference
A UK Defence Solutions Centre
Architecture; Vestlife: ballistic and CBRN protection of military personnel; AcamsII: adaptive (UKDSC), established in 2017,
camouflage system
runs an innovation competition to
generate new technologies relevant
The PADR currently supports five projects, for defence. The UKDSC also hosts an Innovation and
which reveal interesting patterns (see Table 9). Collaborative Engagement Lab that brings together
Italy is the most involved state, with 15 firms experts from innovative technology sectors. In 2016,
and research organisations committed to four the UK launched the Defence Innovation Initiative,
out of the five projects. Leonardo leads the most which includes a Defence and Security Accelerator
significant, Ocean 2020, which received a €35m and a Defence Innovation Fund, which was allocated
grant (US$41.5m) and aims to integrate uninhabited £800m (US$1.1bn) over ten years.
platforms for naval surveillance. Spain and Germany Germany is looking to establish similar
come behind Italy, with eight and seven bodies institutional frameworks. Berlin allocated €1.1bn
Europe 77
(US$1.3bn) for defence R&D in 2018. The Bundeswehr Nonetheless, Russian force levels – including
created a Cyber Innovation Hub in 2017, funded submarines – remain substantially lower than
with €15m (US$17m) over three years. Germany’s those of Soviet forces at the end of the Cold War. It
new defence-innovation agency, the Agentur für is also difficult to assess the numbers of submarine
Disruptive Innovationen in der Cybersicherheit und sorties. These may remain relatively low by historical
Schlüsseltechnologien, was due to be established standards, but the potency of individual Russian
before the end of 2018. platforms, together with the reduction in NATO
Turkey’s defence-industrial base is also strongly anti-submarine-warfare (ASW) and blue-water naval
Europe
backed by the government. The lira’s fall in mid-2018 capabilities since the end of the Cold War, suggest
could complicate Turkish procurement of foreign that Russian capabilities would pose a significant
platforms, in particular F-35 combat aircraft, but challenge to Alliance forces.
also foreign-supplied parts for Turkish programmes, NATO navies have been interested in the arrival of
such as the indigenous combat aircraft (the TF-X) the Yasen (Severodvinsk)-class cruise-missile submarine
and the Altay main battle tank. However, indigenous (SSGN) Severodvinsk. Although the design has its
procurements are relatively sheltered from the origins in the Cold War, it only became operational
currency crisis. in 2016, is notably quiet, and carries a significant
Turkey has an ambitious goal to become self- inventory of both land-attack and anti-ship missiles.
sufficient in defence procurement by 2023. According A number of improved versions of this submarine
to NATO, Turkey allocates more than 30% of its are under construction or planned. Modernisation of
defence expenditure to weapons procurement and Russia’s Antey (Oscar-II)-class SSGNs is also under
defence R&D. In 2018, 28.5% of all the country’s R&D way.
spending was dedicated to defence, amounting to There is also a renewed emphasis on traditional
TL3.26bn (US$636m). This has allowed Turkey to maritime strategic focal points, such as the transit
develop its defence industry and become a significant routes of the Greenland–Iceland–United Kingdom
exporter. In 2017, according to the Defence and (GIUK) Gap, but the character of the potential threat
Aerospace Industry Manufacturers Association, to these is less certain. It may be less a general threat
aerospace and other defence exports reached to sea lines of communication and more one of
US$1.8bn. Turkey’s total aerospace (including civil individual platforms putting specific high-level NATO
aviation) and defence-industry revenue grew by 7.2% assets at risk. The UK, for example, has highlighted
between 2013 (US$5.1bn) and 2018 (US$6.7bn). increased Russian activity associated with the Royal
Navy’s ballistic-missile-submarine base at Faslane,
NORTH ATLANTIC AND THE HIGH NORTH in Scotland. However, there might also be a threat
to specific high-value naval formations: for example,
There is now renewed emphasis in NATO on the targeting just one vessel carrying transatlantic
maritime domain, centred on the North Atlantic and reinforcements could have significant strategic effect.
the ‘High North’. This is intended to add credibility Among other responses, the US has been
to the Alliance’s Enhanced Forward Presence (EFP) refurbishing its base facilities in Keflavik, Iceland, in
strategy, and particularly NATO’s ability to sustain order to station P-8A Poseidon maritime-patrol aircraft
this through transatlantic reinforcement, within the there, in part to cover the GIUK Gap. Norway and the
context of a perceived growth in the potential Russian UK are also buying P-8s, and cooperation between all
threat in this arena, notably in submarine activity. three is planned. A critical US capability in the Cold
NATO’s response has included the agreement to War was its underwater sound-surveillance system
create a new joint-force command based in Norfolk, (SOSUS), placed in the vicinity of the GIUK Gap to
Virginia. This command will be focused on maritime track submarines. There have been reports of recent
security and sustaining transatlantic reinforcement. upgrade work, and further development of NATO
Meanwhile, in July 2018, the US Navy re-established and US acoustic-surveillance capabilities may be
its 2nd Fleet in order to refocus its activities in the under consideration.
North Atlantic area. In addition, 2018 saw an extended Meanwhile, Russia has continued to invest
US Navy aircraft-carrier deployment in European in precision long-range weapons, ranging from
waters, including a first foray by a US Navy carrier air-defence to land-attack cruise missiles. All of
into the Arctic Circle in more than two decades. these pose a potential challenge to NATO’s ability
78 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
to manoeuvre and add to Russia’s ability to defend planning and preparatory actions involving national
in depth – including protecting Russia’s ballistic- and local government agencies, as well as private
missile-submarine force through a revived ‘bastion’ enterprises and civil society. Another outcome was
concept in the Arctic Circle. that the trend of falling defence expenditure levelled
In late 2017, the then-chief of the UK Defence Staff out and started to rise in absolute terms, although not
highlighted concerns about the potential Russian as a percentage of GDP.
threat to the undersea-cable infrastructure. Threats to
such infrastructure are not new, but modern societies Defence priorities
are more reliant on these cables than previously. There These new priorities are notable in part because of
are particular concerns about Russia’s development the limited interest that hitherto had been paid to
of surface ‘mother ships’ and submarines that can defence-related issues across the political spectrum.
host a variety of deep-ocean mini-submarines. During the Cold War, defence issues were prominent
There is also concern that the ‘High North’ could in Swedish society and in government policy.
become an arena of strategic competition. Reducing Sweden’s priorities changed during the 1980s, and
sea ice will potentially increase significantly the utility particularly after the collapse of the Soviet Union in
of polar shipping routes, particularly the Northern Sea 1991, in light of the development of a more favourable
Route, and increase access to and the value of energy security situation in the Baltic region and the desire by
and other natural resources. Russia has a direct stake politicians to release defence funds for other areas of
in this and has been taking steps to strengthen its government spending. Swedish defence policy in the
capabilities in the High North. However, other states 1990s and early 2000s was largely focused on peace-
are also being prompted to refocus on and revive support operations, first in the western Balkans and
their ability to operate in this region (hence the return later in Afghanistan. Other areas of importance were
in 2018, after more than a decade, of a Royal Navy procurement and defence-industry issues, such as the
submarine to an under-ice exercise) and also drawing recurrent upgrades to the JAS-39C/D Gripen combat
in other major actors, notably China. aircraft and related export drives.
In the wake of the deep force reductions that took
SWEDEN place between 1990 and 2005 and the suspension
of peacetime conscription in 2010, the armed forces
Russia’s annexation of Crimea in 2014 and its and security issues had become less ‘visible’ to the
support of separatists in eastern Ukraine were a population. About two-thirds of defence-related
clear indication to the Swedish security and defence infrastructure was closed in the years after the Cold
community that Russia’s increased involvement in the War, with this process accelerating in the late 1990s
affairs of neighbouring states now posed a challenge and early 2000s. Before 1990, almost every county in
to the hitherto-benign security environment in the Sweden hosted either an army garrison, an air-force
Baltic. This situation was reflected in a May 2014 wing or a naval base, and the vast majority of men
report by the Swedish Defence Commission. This had military experience from their time as conscripts.
document, which set out objectives for security policy (Until it was suspended in 2010, only Swedish men
and defence developments over the next five years, were conscripted.) In recent years, administrations
noted that the territorial defence of Sweden was have therefore tried to revive awareness of defence
once again the primary task for the Swedish Armed issues among the population. An example of this
Forces (SAF). At the same time, having been subject was the distribution in June 2018 of a civil-defence
to repeated reductions in the 1990s and early 2000s, brochure called ‘If crisis or war comes’. Sent to
no further cuts were announced in defence spending all Swedish households, this pamphlet contained
or organisation. information on emergency preparedness, total
The subsequent defence bill, agreed by parliament defence and the warning systems used to alert citizens
in 2015, said that the war-fighting capability of the in various contingencies.
SAF needed to be strengthened along with defence The renewed interest in security and defence has
cooperation with other countries and organisations, spurred debate on the merits of Swedish military
within the restrictions of a non-aligned policy. In non-alignment versus NATO membership. Sweden’s
addition, initial steps were taken to reactivate the political parties are divided on this issue. The Social
Cold War-era ‘total defence’ concept, in terms of Democrats, the Green Party, the Left Party and
Europe 79
the Swedish Democrats are in favour of continued Sweden is a firm supporter of Nordic Defence
non-alignment. The Social Democrats say that a shift Cooperation (NORDEFCO), and is due to chair the
in Swedish policy would be destabilising for the mechanism in 2019. However, the most significant
Baltic Sea region. Others say that NATO membership recent developments in defence cooperation are
would force Sweden to raise its defence spending, several agreements on peacetime cooperation with
and this money would be better spent on areas countries such as the United Kingdom and the
including foreign aid and domestic welfare. Concerns United States in order to, among other things, boost
about Alliance membership also include the politics interoperability. Bilateral cooperation with Finland
Europe
of some members, and the possession of nuclear is particularly important and includes operational
weapons by three allies. planning for joint action in various contingencies
At the other end of the spectrum are parties that including war, if activated by the political authorities
formed the government between 2006 and 2014. in the two countries.
The Moderate Party, the Liberal Party, the Center
Party and the Christian Democratic Party are all The armed forces
publicly in favour of Swedish NATO membership, The present-day Swedish Armed Forces is largely a
though it is not high on their agenda. Proponents product of the 2004 defence bill. This was the third in a
of membership say that this should have the succession of defence decisions (1995/1996, 1999/2001
support of a majority of the population and that and 2004) that reduced the size of the armed forces
any application should be made in tandem with and defence funding. Parliament stated in 2004 that
Finland. However, opinion polls show that Swedish the basis for the SAF’s posture should be that there
opinion is divided. A poll in Sweden’s biggest were no military threats of any significance and that
daily newspaper in January 2018 showed that the this would be the case for the foreseeable future. An
public was 43% in favour of NATO membership, additional assumption was that any changes would
37% against and 25% undecided. A previous poll come with at least ten years’ notice (the ten-year
from July 2017 published by the public television rule was dropped in 2010, two years after the war in
company showed 32% in favour, 43% against and Georgia). This move meant that operational planning
25% undecided. Historically, the percentage of the for territorial defence was discontinued; consequently,
Swedish population against NATO membership there was no need for wartime organisation or a
has been higher than that in favour. mobilisation system. The armed forces were mainly
tasked with taking part in international operations
Defence cooperation and maintaining existing military skills. Readiness
Despite its non-aligned status, Sweden has continued requirements differed between units, ranging from
a policy of close cooperation with NATO in several days to years, in order to economise because of scarce
areas, in addition to long-standing membership resources. With the exception of coastal artillery,
of the Partnership for Peace programme and most military units were maintained to some degree,
contributions to Alliance-led operations. Cooperation although numbers were in many cases small, with
has been deepened by membership of the enhanced- correspondingly limited operational capability. In
opportunities programme for partner countries, 2010, the government suspended conscription, as part
along with Finland, and implementation of the of a move towards an all-volunteer force. However, the
2014 host-nation support agreement with NATO. end of conscription was not matched by the number
Sweden has also taken part, as a partner country, of volunteers needed to fill posts. According to the
in several NATO exercises, such as CMX 2016 and ministry, ‘all-volunteer recruitment hasn’t provided
Trident Juncture 2018. Aside from cooperation with the Armed Forces with enough trained personnel’
NATO, as a member of the European Union Sweden and readiness was suffering. The armed forces were
has supported the development of the Permanent short of ‘1,000 active squad leaders, soldiers and
Structured Cooperation (PESCO), launched in sailors as well as 7,000 reservists’ in 2016. Announcing
late 2017. In terms of peace-support operations, the return of conscript service from the beginning of
Sweden’s major troop contribution has since 2015 2018, defence authorities said that recruitment would
been an intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance be both voluntary and conscript-based and would
unit deployed to the UN-led operation in Mali, be gender-neutral, with both men and women now
MINUSMA. subject to the draft.
80 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
of the CV90 and Leopard 2 MBT fleets, delivered in the was significantly boosted by the integration in 2016 of
1990s, are being refurbished and upgraded. In August the Meteor long-range air-to-air missile; its armament
2018, in order to boost the capability of its air-defence till then included AIM-120 AMRAAM and IRIS-T
network, the government decided to acquire the air-to-air missiles, RBS-15 air-to-surface missiles
US-made Patriot surface-to-air missile system. This and GBU-49 laser-guided bombs. Alternative bases
will replace the 1960s-vintage Hawk and is one of for fighter wings exist at Uppsala and at Gotland.
Sweden’s major defence procurements in the near However, the deteriorating security environment
term. has highlighted the need to disperse the fighter
Europe
squadrons to wartime locations during periods of
Navy heightened readiness. This concept was developed
Sweden’s main naval base is at Karlskrona, with a by the air force during the Cold War but only limited
supplementary base located outside Stockholm. infrastructure, materiel and dedicated personnel
There is also a harbour and replenishment remain after the reductions of the 1990s and early
facilities in Gothenburg on the west coast. The 2000s.
main operational components of the navy are two For airlift, a transport squadron of six C-130Hs is
naval-warfare flotillas, a submarine flotilla and an based at Såtenäs. Sweden is also a member of the SAC
amphibious battalion equipped with fast assault Heavy Airlift Wing in Hungary, which operates three
craft. The navy was the principal beneficiary of C-17s. The SAF’s fleet of AW 109, UH-60M Black Hawk
the change to voluntary recruitment in 2010, as it and NH90 helicopters is organised in a combined
was able to recruit specialists more directly, and helicopter wing, with three squadrons for ground-
its units operate modern vessels such as the Visby- based and naval operations. The naval version of
class corvettes and the Gotland-class submarines. The NH90 is capable of conducting anti-submarine
level of interoperability with other countries is high, operations.
especially so in the case of Finland; the navy plays The air force is the dominant service in terms of
an important role in bilateral operational defence research and development and procurement. Indeed,
cooperation. the largest proportion of the defence-materiel budget
The navy frequently takes part in multilateral is taken up by development and production of the
exercises, such as BALTOPS. Like the army, its new JAS-39 Gripen E. The Swedish government has
main limitation is its small size (five corvettes, five ordered 60 in total. The ‘E’ variant’s first flight took
submarines, four missile boats, as well as smaller place in mid-2017. The aircraft are expected to be
vessels for counter-mine operations, logistics support delivered between 2020 and 2026.
and surveillance), though it has responsibility for one
of the longest coastlines in Europe. Home Guard
Current naval procurements include a new signals- The volunteer-based Home Guard serves as
intelligence ship, the new A26 submarine class (with Sweden’s territorial force. It includes nearly 22,000
two on order) and new anti-ship missiles (RBS-15 troops in 40 battalions and can be mobilised in hours,
Mk4) for the Visby corvettes. In addition, two Gotland- according to the armed forces. This was tested in a
class submarines, two Göteborg-class corvettes and the large mobilisation exercise in mid-2018. Its main
amphibious battalion’s fleet of fast assault craft are tasks include the protection of military installations
being refurbished and upgraded. and navy and air-force bases, as well as surveillance
and intelligence gathering. The Home Guard also
Air force supports the emergency services in disasters, such as
The air force’s main task of monitoring Swedish the forest fires in summer 2018.
airspace and securing the territorial integrity has Some elements of the Home Guard are tactically
proven more demanding over the last few years due mobile and the coastal units are equipped with
to the assertive behaviour of Russian forces in the fast boats. Mortars, radio equipment and transport
Baltic Sea area. Its inventory includes Saab JAS-39 vehicles have recently been either procured or
C/D Gripen multi-role fighters organised into six transferred from the army. The Home Guard’s
squadrons based at Luleå, Ronneby and Såtenäs. personnel establishment has in recent years been
The last C/D version was delivered to the Swedish stable. However, the reintroduction of conscription
Air Force in 2015. The Gripen’s operational capability and basic military training will also be important for
82 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
future capabilities. Williamson has said he would the MoD, with a high probability of further cuts to
press for more funds, while he and the service chiefs the armed forces’ conventional capability. These
have made explicit statements about the increasing circumstances also increase the considerable
Russian threat to the UK and its forces. At the time challenge of funding any capability enhancements
of writing, it was unclear when this plan would be that might be proposed by the Modernising Defence
published. Programme.
However, in November 2018 the UK’s National
Audit Office assessed the equipment plan as Equipment and operations
Europe
‘unaffordable’, pointing towards a major shortfall in Amid this challenging financial environment, the UK
the forward equipment programme’s funding. The nonetheless continued to order and introduce new
£186.4-billion (US$249bn) plan had an affordability equipment into service. In 2018, fixed-wing trials
gap of at least £7.0bn (US$9.4bn), of which £5.9bn began for HMS Queen Elizabeth. The carrier transited
(US$7.9bn) will occur in the next four years. The MoD to the US east coast where the UK’s newly acquired
is looking for efficiency and costs-saving measures F-35B aircraft landed on the vessel for the first time.
as a result of these funding challenges. During 2018, The MoD also announced it would procure the E-7
leaks indicated three operational-capability-reduction airborne early-warning aircraft and rejoin the Boxer
packages under consideration. The combination of an armoured-vehicle programme for its Mechanised
unaffordable equipment plan, a high proportion of Infantry Vehicle requirement. Together with Ajax
new equipment projects being at risk and increasing tracked vehicles, the wheeled Boxer is envisaged as
levels of under-staffing raise difficult choices for being a key component of the army’s future Strike
HMS Queen Elizabeth and its sister ship Prince of Wales will, in full carrier-strike are doubts as to whether they will regularly deploy their full complement (at least 36) of
configuration, offer a power-projection capability far greater than that of their immediate F-35s. The 2015 Strategic Defence and Security Review announced that the ships would be
predecessors, and probably second only to US Navy strike carriers. Studies to replace the given enhanced amphibious assault carrier (LPH) features likely to include improved
Invincible-class light aircraft carriers began in the mid-1990s. The 1998 Strategic Defence accommodation and equipment facilities for an embarked force. There is some concern over
Review announced plans for two new larger vessels, able to carry up to 50 aircraft. The using such high-value platforms in the LPH role, and that adding such a requirement could
project was controversial from the start and suffered multiple delays and cost increases. have a detrimental effect on the development of a full carrier-strike capability. Nevertheless,
The two ships themselves are unique for their size (of 65,000 tonnes) in being configured for it seems likely that they will be employed as more flexible platforms for joint operations than
short take-off and vertical landing (STOVL) without catapults or arrestor gear. Some critics traditional carriers. Notwithstanding an abortive plan in 2010 to fit them with catapults and
regard this as sub-optimal, because of the relatively short range and payload limitations of arrestor gear, this remains an option during their expected 50-year service lives – not least to
the F-35B STOVL variant of the Joint Strike Fighter, as well as the ships’ inability to accommodate new uninhabited air systems – and they possess features to enable such
accommodate conventional fixed-wing airborne early-warning aircraft. Furthermore, there adaption.
THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Twin-island design
Allows separation of main
propulsion units for increased
survivability
▼ Figure 8 Queen Elizabeth-class aircraft carriers
Briefing rooms
Integrated and
comprehensive complex
Optimised aviation-
mission planning
Lean crewing with extensive use of remote systems to Magazines Two gas turbines
reduce full-life costs Highly automated Four diesel generators
Original complement of 679 likely to rise to nearer 900, weapons-handling system 112MW power
Ski-jump
with an air group of 900 Significant reduction in Maximum speed of 27+ knots
Built at 12.5 degrees
Reduced crewing an area of innovation and potential crew requirement
Improves F-35B short- Capacity for future systems,
operational risk including electromagnetic
take-off performance
New USS Gerald R. Ford (at 100,000 tonnes) will likely catapult and directed-energy
have a crew of about 2,600 and an air group of 2,400 weapons
© IISS © IISS
Flight deck and flying operations Notional carrier air groups
Crowsnest Merlin HM2 F-35B Lightning II
In full carrier-strike configuration, Carrier strike
Airborne surveillance and
Merlin HM2 this will be the only class of carriers 24-36 F-35B Lightning II
control system, employing
Anti-submarine-warfare Searchwater radar helicopter with a complete complement of 5 Crowsnest Merlin HM2
helicopter for force protection for force protection fifth-generation fixed-wing aircraft 9 Merlin HM2
Thermal metal spray coating ‘Bedford array’ flight deck Shipborne rolling vertical landing (SRVL) Hangar and lifts Notional carrier strike groups
To protect flight deck lighting system Developed for the F-35B Hangar capacity for
Carrier task group: UK sovereign
from F-35B jet efflux For stabilised glide Employs combined downward jet thrust at least 20 F-35Bs
Applied to three landing path alignment for and wing lift for rolling landing at reduced Large lifts can take
spots and section of F-35B SRVL approach speeds without the need for arrestor gear two F-35Bs each or
runway for take-offs Improves recovery capability for aircraft one CH-47 Chinook
weapons and fuel without folded rotors
1 carrier
2 Type-45 destroyers
UK aircraft-carrier capability-regeneration timeline, 2016–26 2 Type-23/-26 frigates
1 Astute-class submarine
Crowsnest Queen Crowsnest Crowsnest full 2 auxiliaries
Airborne Elizabeth initial operating Prince of Wales
Surveillance commissioned operating capability full operating
and Control Coalition task group: possible additional units
Prince of capability capability in LPH
contract Queen
role Carrier-Enabled
Wales Elizabeth
signed Carrier Queen Elizabeth Power Projection
officially F-35B flying strike initial first operational Carrier strike full full operating
named trials begin 2 US Arleigh Burke-class destroyers
Royal Navy operating deployment with operating capability (full
Queen accepts capability UK and possibly capability (24 range of 2 European frigates
Elizabeth Prince of US Marine Corps F-35Bs available capabilities and full The Royal Navy has postulated a sovereign carrier
begins sea Wales from F-35Bs for carrier task group with new group as above for a high-threat environment. The
trials builders embarked operations) support shipping) more contested the environment, the more support,
including from allies, that would be required. Two
carriers will allow a continuous availability of one
ship, but operating both together would likely
Europe
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 overstretch RN resources for the foreseeable future,
except in an extreme emergency.
85
© IISS
Europe
86 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Brigades. Although the defence secretary said financial difficulties. The July 2018 Major Projects
that there were no plans to decommission the two Review said that there is considerable risk in many
landing-platform-dock (LPD) amphibious ships, the future equipment projects, with almost half being
landing-platform-helicopter (LPH) HMS Ocean was graded amber (‘successful delivery is in doubt’) or
decommissioned and sold to Brazil. red (‘successful delivery appears to be unachievable’),
While the UK’s global deployments persist, the latter including future nuclear reactors, Astute
personnel strength has continued to fall across the submarines, Protector UAVs and the upgraded Warrior
services. Under-staffing increased by 1.3% in 2018, infantry fighting vehicle. Many of the programmes at
an overall deficit of 6.2%, compared with 3.3% in risk are crucial to delivering the capabilities required
2016. There are particular deficiencies in numbers by Joint Force 2025. Furthermore, without significant
of pilots, intelligence specialists and engineers, improvements in pay, allowances, accommodation
especially nuclear engineers. These shortages result, and training, the chances of the services approaching
in part, from pay being below comparable civilian full strength are likely to be remote.
levels. The MoD claims it has sufficient personnel Financial commitments to other areas by the
to meet its operational requirements, and while the government, and uncertainty over the near-term
army could probably draw on its reserve, the navy trajectory of the economy after the UK withdraws
and air force reserves are smaller and lack many key from the EU, make it unlikely that there will be
capabilities. a significant increase in the defence budget. This
reduces the MoD’s room for manoeuvre in balancing
Uncertain prospects existing and future capability requirements, and
It is unlikely that efficiency savings alone will release means that further reductions to the conventional
funds of the order required to tackle the current capabilities of the UK’s armed forces may be likely.
Europe 87
MANOEUVRE
Albania ALB Light
3 lt inf bn
Albanian Lek 2017 2018 2019
COMBAT SUPPORT
GDP lek 1.55tr 1.65tr 1 mor bty
US$ 13.1bn 15.1bn 1 NBC coy
per capita US$ 4,545 5,261 EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Growth % 3.8 4.0 ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
Inflation % 2.0 2.3 APC • PPV 3 Maxxpro Plus
ARTILLERY • MOR 93: 82mm 81; 120mm 12
Europe
Def exp [a] lek 17.2bn 19.5bn
US$ 145m 178m
Def bdgt [b] lek 13.0bn 14.3bn 15.7bn
Naval Force 650
US$ 110m 131m
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS • PBF 5
FMA (US) US$ 2.4m 0m
Archangel
US$1=lek 118.80 109.35
[a] NATO definition Coast Guard
[b] Excludes military pensions EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 22
Population 3,057,220
PB 9: 4 Iluria (Damen Stan Patrol 4207); 3 Mk3 Sea
Ethnic groups: Albanian 82.6%; Greek 0.9%; Romani 0.3%; Spectre; 2 (other)
Macedonian 0.2%; other or unspecified 15.7%
PBR 13: 4 Type-227; 1 Type-246; 1 Type-303; 7 Type-2010
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
Male 9.5% 4.2% 4.9% 4.8% 20.5% 5.6%
Air Force 550
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Female 8.5% 3.8% 4.6% 4.6% 22.5% 6.3%
HELICOPTERS
TPT 27: Medium 4 AS532AL Cougar; Light 22: 1 AW109; 5
Capabilities Bell 205 (AB-205); 7 Bell 206C (AB-206C); 8 Bo-105; 2 H145
Principal missions for Albania’s armed forces include territo-
rial defence, internal security, disaster-relief tasks, and small- Regional Support Brigade 700
scale peacekeeping or training deployments. Tirana is looking
to improve the operational readiness of its mechanised infantry
FORCES BY ROLE
battalion in order to fulfil obligations to NATO, which it joined in COMBAT SUPPORT
2009. Other priorities include improving border management and 1 cbt spt bde (1 engr bn, 1 (rescue) engr bn, 1 CIMIC det)
information sharing to prevent transnational crime and terrorism.
Greece and Italy police Albania’s airspace. Albania contributes to Military Police
EU missions but does not possess an independent expedition- FORCES BY ROLE
ary capability. Most Soviet-era equipment has been sold. Limited
COMBAT SUPPORT
defence modernisation under the Long-term Development Plan
1 MP bn
2016–25 is proceeding, but progress has so far been restricted
to small numbers of helicopters. However, the contract for the EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
purchase of the Integrated Surveillance System for Albanian Air- ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
space was approved in November 2017. The navy is expected to AUV IVECO LMV
receive upgrades to vessels that have been or still are deployed in
the Aegean Sea. In late 2018, the prime minister announced that Logistics Brigade 1,200
NATO will invest in modernising the Kucove air base. Albania has
little in the way of domestic defence industry, with no ability to FORCES BY ROLE
design and manufacture modern military platforms. Nevertheless, COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
the country has some publicly owned defence companies that are 1 log bde (1 tpt bn, 2 log bn)
capable of producing small arms, explosives and ammunition.
ACTIVE 8,000 (Land Force 3,000 Naval Force 650 Air DEPLOYMENT
Force 550 Other 3,800) Paramilitary 500 AFGHANISTAN: NATO • Operation Resolute Support 136
BOSNIA-HERZEGOVINA: EU • EUFOR • Operation Althea
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE 1
LATVIA: NATO • Enhanced Forward Presence 21; 1 EOD pl
Land Force 3,000 MALI: EU • EUTM Mali 4
FORCES BY ROLE
MEDITERRANEAN SEA: NATO • SNMG 2: 1 PB
SPECIAL FORCES
1 SF bn SERBIA: NATO • KFOR 28; OSCE • Kosovo 3
1 cdo bn UKRAINE: OSCE • Ukraine 9
88 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Europe
Turbo Porter
1 log coy; OSCE • Kosovo 1
TRG 32: 12 PC-7 Turbo Trainer; 18 Saab 105Oe*; 2
DA40NG UKRAINE: OSCE • Ukraine 14
HELICOPTERS WESTERN SAHARA: UN • MINURSO 7 obs
MRH 24 SA316/SA319 Alouette III
ISR 10 OH-58B Kiowa
TPT 32: Medium 9 S-70A-42 Black Hawk; Light 23 Bell
Belgium BEL
212 (AB-212) Euro € 2017 2018 2019
AIR DEFENCE GDP € 437bn 452bn
SAM • Point-defence Mistral
US$ 494bn 536bn
GUNS 35mm 24 Z-FIAK system (6 more in store)
per capita US$ 43,488 46,979
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES • AAM • IIR IRIS-T
Growth % 1.7 1.5
Special Operations Forces Inflation % 2.2 2.2
ACTIVE 26,550 (Army 9,750 Navy 1,450 Air 5,700 Air Component 5,700
Medical Service 1,250 Joint Service 8,400) FORCES BY ROLE
FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK/ISR
RESERVE 5,100
4 sqn with F-16AM/BM Fighting Falcon
SEARCH & RESCUE
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE 1 sqn with Sea King Mk48
TRANSPORT
Land Component 9,750 1 sqn with A321; ERJ-135 LR; ERJ-145 LR; Falcon 900B
FORCES BY ROLE 1 sqn with C-130H Hercules
SPECIAL FORCES TRAINING
1 spec ops regt (1 SF gp, 1 cdo bn, 1 para bn) 1 OCU sqn with F-16AM/BM Fighting Falcon
MANOEUVRE 1 sqn with SF-260D/M
Mechanised 1 BEL/FRA unit with Alpha Jet*
1 mech bde (1 ISR bn; 3 mech bn; 2 lt inf bn; 1 arty bn; 2 1 OCU unit with AW109
engr bn; 2 sigs gp; 2 log bn) TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
COMBAT SUPPORT 2 sqn with AW109 (ISR)
1 EOD unit ISR UAV
1 MP coy 1 sqn with RQ-5A Hunter (B-Hunter)
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
1 log bn AIRCRAFT 76 combat capable
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE FTR 58: 48 F-16AM Fighting Falcon; 10 F-16BM Fighting
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES Falcon
ASLT 18 Piranha III-C DF90 TPT 16: Medium 10 C-130H Hercules; Light 4: 2 ERJ-135
RECCE 36 Pandur Recce LR; 2 ERJ-145 LR; PAX 2: 1 A321; 1 Falcon 900B
IFV 19 Piranha III-C DF30 TRG 50: 18 Alpha Jet*; 9 SF-260D; 23 SF-260M
APC • APC (W) 78: 64 Piranha III-C; 14 Piranha III-PC (CP) HELICOPTERS
AUV 656: 220 Dingo 2 (inc 52 CP); 436 IVECO LMV ASW 4 NH90 NFH opcon Navy
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES MRH 3 SA316B Alouette III opcon Navy
AEV 8 Piranha III-C SAR 3 Sea King Mk48 (to be replaced by NH90 NFH)
ARV 13: 4 Pandur; 9 Piranha III-C TPT 17: Medium 4 NH90 TTH; Light 13 AW109 (ISR) (7
VLB 4 Leguan more in store)
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES
MSL • MANPATS Spike-MR ISR • Heavy 12 RQ-5A Hunter (B-Hunter) (1 more in store)
ARTILLERY 60 AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES
TOWED 105mm 14 LG1 MkII AAM • IR AIM-9M Sidewinder; IRR AIM-9X Sidewinder
MOR 46: 81mm 14; 120mm 32 II; ARH AIM-120B AMRAAM
BOMBS
Naval Component 1,450 Laser-guided: GBU-10/GBU-12 Paveway II; GBU-24
Paveway III
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
INS/GPS guided: GBU-31 JDAM; GBU-38 JDAM; GBU-
PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS 2
54 Laser JDAM (dual-mode)
FRIGATES • FFGHM 2 Leopold I (ex-NLD Karel Doorman)
with 2 quad lnchr with Harpoon AShM, 1 16-cell Mk48
VLS with RIM-7P Sea Sparrow SAM, 4 single Mk32
Medical Service 1,250
324mm ASTT with Mk46 LWT, 1 Goalkeeper CIWS, 1 FORCES BY ROLE
76mm gun (capacity 1 med hel) COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 4 med unit
PCC 2 Castor 1 fd hospital
MINE WARFARE • MINE COUNTERMEASURES EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
MHC 5 Flower (Tripartite) ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 3 APC • APC (W) 10: 4 Pandur (amb); 6 Piranha III-C (amb)
AGFH 1 Godetia (log spt/comd) (capacity 1 Alouette III) AUV 10 Dingo 2 (amb)
AGOR 1 Belgica
AXS 1 Zenobe Gramme Cyber
The defence ministry released the Belgian Defence Cyber
Naval Aviation Security Strategy in 2014, outlining three pillars of its cyber-
(part of the Air Component) security capability: Cyber Defence, Cyber Intelligence and
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Cyber Counter-Offensive, with ‘full operational capacity’
HELICOPTERS by 2020. A ‘Strategic Vision for Defence’ covering the
ASW 4 NH90 NFH period 2016–30 was published in June 2016. In this, the
MRH 3 SA316B Alouette III cyber mandate was updated, including not only cyber
Europe 91
Europe
sional and represent all three ethnic groups. However, low salaries
All other types of cyber operations (response, exploitation, likely negatively affect recruitment and retention. Bosnia-Herze-
influence, offensive) are the responsibility of the centralised govina contributes to NATO missions and has deployed personnel
cyber capability. to Operation Resolute Support in Afghanistan, but the armed forces
have no capacity to independently deploy and self-sustain beyond
national borders. The inventory comprises mainly ageing Soviet-
DEPLOYMENT era equipment. There is an aspiration to procure new Western
AFGHANISTAN: NATO • Operation Resolute Support 78 armoured vehicles and helicopters, but financial constraints have
limited progress. Bosnia-Herzegovina has little in the way of a
DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO: UN • domestic defence industry, with only the capability to produce
MONUSCO 1; 1 obs small arms, ammunition and explosives.
FRANCE: NATO • Air Component 28 Alpha Jet located at ACTIVE 10,500 (Armed Forces 10,500)
Cazaux/Tours
IRAQ: Operation Inherent Resolve 30 ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
JORDAN: Operation Inherent Resolve (Desert Falcon) 30
LITHUANIA: NATO • Enhanced Forward Presence 100; Armed Forces 10,500
1 tpt coy; NATO • Baltic Air Policing 4 F-16AM Fighting 1 ops comd; 1 spt comd
Falcon FORCES BY ROLE
MALI: EU • EUTM Mali 20; UN • MINUSMA 130; 1 recce MANOEUVRE
unit; 1 tpt flt with 1 C-130H Hercules Light
3 inf bde (1 recce coy, 3 inf bn, 1 arty bn)
MIDDLE EAST: UN • UNTSO 1 obs
COMBAT SUPPORT
NORTH SEA: NATO • SNMCMG 1: 1 MHC 1 cbt spt bde (1 tk bn, 1 engr bn, 1 EOD bn, 1 int bn, 1
UKRAINE: OSCE • Ukraine 1 MP bn, 1 CBRN coy, 1 sigs bn)
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
1 log comd (5 log bn)
FOREIGN FORCES
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
United States US European Command: 900 ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
MBT 45 M60A3
Bosnia-Herzegovina BIH APC • APC (T) 20 M113A2
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
Convertible Mark 2017 2018 2019 VLB MTU
GDP mark 31.5bn 33.0bn MW Bozena
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE • MSL
US$ 18.2bn 20.0bn
SP 60: 8 9P122 Malyutka; 9 9P133 Malyutka; 32 BOV-1;
per capita US$ 5,181 5,704
11 M-92
Growth % 3.0 3.2 MANPATS 9K11 Malyutka (AT-3 Sagger); 9K111 Fagot
Inflation % 1.2 1.4 (AT-4 Spigot); 9K115 Metis (AT-7 Saxhorn); HJ-8; Milan
Def bdgt mark 286m 284m ARTILLERY 224
US$ 165m 172m TOWED 122mm 100 D-30
FMA (US) US$ 4m 0m MRL 122mm 24 APRA-40
MOR 120mm 100 M-75
US$1=mark 1.74 1.65
Population 3,849,891 Air Force and Air Defence Brigade 800
Ethnic groups: Bosniac 50.1% Serb 30.7% Croat 15.4% Other or FORCES BY ROLE
unspecified 3.7% HELICOPTER
1 sqn with Bell 205; Mi-8MTV Hip; Mi-17 Hip H
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
1 sqn with Mi-8 Hip; SA-342H/L Gazelle (HN-42/45M)
Male 6.9% 2.8% 3.1% 3.7% 26.5% 5.7% AIR DEFENCE
Female 6.4% 2.7% 2.9% 3.5% 27.0% 8.8% 1 AD bn
92 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Europe
mor, 2 twin 76mm guns
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 3
Army 16,300 PCFG 1 Mulnaya† (ex-FSU Tarantul II) with 2 twin lnchr
with P-15M Termit-M (SS-N-2C Styx) AShM, 2 AK630M
FORCES BY ROLE
CIWS, 1 76mm gun
MANOEUVRE
PCT 2 Reshitelni (ex-FSU Pauk I) with 4 single 406mm TT,
Reconnaissance
2 RBU 1200 A/S mor, 1 76mm gun
1 recce bn
MINE COUNTERMEASURES 6
Mechanised
MHC 1 Tsibar (Tripartite – ex-BEL Flower)
2 mech bde (4 mech inf bn, 1 SP arty bn, 1 cbt engr bn, 1
MSC 3 Briz (ex-FSU Sonya)
log bn, 1 SAM bn)
MSI 2 Olya (ex-FSU)
Light
AMPHIBIOUS 1
1 mtn inf regt LCM 1 Vydra (capacity either 3 MBT or 200 troops)
COMBAT SUPPORT LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 8: 2 AGS; 2 AOL; 1 ARS; 2
1 arty regt (1 fd arty bn, 1 MRL bn) ATF; 1 AX
1 engr regt (1 cbt engr bn, 1 ptn br bn, 1 engr spt bn)
1 NBC bn Naval Aviation
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
1 log regt HELICOPTERS • ASW 2 AS565MB Panther
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES Air Force 6,700
MBT 90 T-72M1/M2 FORCES BY ROLE
IFV 160: 90 BMP-1; 70 BMP-23 FIGHTER/ISR
APC 120 1 sqn with MiG-29A/UB Fulcrum
APC (T) 100 MT-LB TRANSPORT
APC (W) 20 BTR-60 1 sqn with An-30 Clank; C-27J Spartan; L-410UVP-E;
AUV 17 M1117 ASV PC-12M
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES TRAINING
AEV MT-LB 1 sqn with L-39ZA Albatros*
ARV T-54/T-55; MTP-1; MT-LB 1 sqn with PC-9M
VLB BLG67; TMM ATTACK HELICOPTER
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE 1 sqn with Mi-24D/V Hind D/E
MSL TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
SP 24 9P148 Konkurs (AT-5 Spandrel) 1 sqn with AS532AL Cougar; Bell 206 Jet Ranger; Mi-17
MANPATS 9K111 Fagot (AT-4 Spigot); 9K111-1 Konkurs Hip H
(AT-5 Spandrel); (9K11 Malyutka (AT-3 Sagger) in store) EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
GUNS 126: 85mm (150 D-44 in store); 100mm 126 MT-12 AIRCRAFT 21 combat capable
ARTILLERY 311 FTR 15: 12 MiG-29A Fulcrum†; 3 MiG-29UB Fulcrum†
SP 122mm 48 2S1 FGA (Some MiG-21bis Fishbed/MiG-21UM Mongol B in
TOWED 152mm 24 D-20 store)
MRL 122mm 24 BM-21 ISR 1 An-30 Clank
MOR 120mm 215 2S11 SP Tundzha TPT 7: Medium 3 C-27J Spartan; Light 4: 1 An-2T Colt; 2
SURFACE-TO-SURFACE MISSILE LAUNCHERS L-410UVP-E; 1 PC-12M
SRBM • Conventional 9K79 Tochka (SS-21 Scarab) TRG 12: 6 L-39ZA Albatros*; 6 PC-9M (basic)
AIR DEFENCE HELICOPTERS
SAM • Point-defence 9K32 Strela (SA-7 Grail)‡; 24 9K33 ATK 6 Mi-24D/V Hind D/E
Osa (SA-8 Gecko) MRH 5 Mi-17 Hip H
GUNS 400 TPT 18: Medium 12 AS532AL Cougar; Light 6 Bell 206
SP 23mm ZSU-23-4 Jet Ranger
TOWED 23mm ZU-23; 57mm S-60; 100mm KS-19 UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES • EW Yastreb-2S
94 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
APC (W) 132: 6 BOV-VP; 126 Patria AMV (incl LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT
variants) AKL 1 PT-71
PPV 52: 32 Maxxpro Plus; 20 RG-33 HAGA (amb) AX 2
AUV 172: 10 IVECO LMV; 162 M-ATV
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES Air Force and Air Defence 1,300
ARV M84AI; WZT-3; 6 Maxxpro Recovery
FORCES BY ROLE
VLB 5 MT-55A
FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
MW 2: 1 Bozena; 1 Rhino
1 (mixed) sqn with MiG-21bis/UMD Fishbed
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE • MSL
TRANSPORT
SP 41 POLO BOV 83
Europe
1 sqn with An-32 Cline
MANPATS 9K11 Malyutka (AT-3 Sagger); 9K111 Fagot
(AT-4 Spigot); 9K111-1 Konkurs (AT-5 Spandrel); 9K115 TRAINING
Metis (AT-7 Saxhorn) 1 sqn with PC-9M; Z-242L
ARTILLERY 259 1 hel sqn with Bell 206B Jet Ranger II
SP 20: 122mm 8 2S1; 155mm 12 PzH 2000 TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
TOWED 107: 122mm 53 D-30; 130mm 36 M-46H1; 2 sqn with Mi-8MTV Hip H; Mi-8T Hip C; Mi-171Sh
155mm 18 M1H1 EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
MRL 28: 122mm 27: 6 M91 Vulkan; 21 BM-21 Grad; AIRCRAFT 11 combat capable
128mm 1 LOV RAK M91 R24 FGA 11: 8 MiG-21bis Fishbed; 3 MiG-21UMD Fishbed
MOR 104: 82mm 29 LMB M96; 120mm 75: 70 M-75; 5 TPT • Light 2 An-32 Cline
UBM 52 TRG 22: 17 PC-9M; 5 Z-242L
AIR DEFENCE HELICOPTERS
SAM • Point-defence 8 Strela-10; 9K310 Igla-1 (SA-16 MRH 27: 11 Mi-8MTV Hip H; 16 OH-58D Kiowa Warrior
Gimlet) TPT 21: Medium 13: 3 Mi-8T Hip C; 10 Mi-171Sh; Light
GUNS 96 8 Bell 206B Jet Ranger II
SP 20mm 39 BOV-3 SP
UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES
TOWED 20mm 65 M55A4
ISR • Medium Hermes 450
AIR DEFENCE • SAM
Navy 1,300
Point-defence 9K31 Strela-1 (SA-9 Gaskin); 9K34 Strela-3
Navy HQ at Split
(SA-14 Gremlin); 9K310 Igla-1 (SA-16 Gimlet)
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 5 AAM • IR R-3S (AA-2 Atoll)‡; R-60; R-60MK
PCFG 1 Končar with 2 twin lnchr with RBS15B Mk I
(AA-8 Aphid)
AShM, 1 AK630 CIWS, 1 57mm gun
ASM AGM-114 Hellfire
PCG 4:
2 Kralj with 4 single lnchr with RBS15B Mk I AShM,
1 AK630 CIWS, 1 57mm gun (with minelaying
Special Forces Command
capability) FORCES BY ROLE
2 Vukovar (ex-FIN Helsinki) with 4 single lnchr with SPECIAL FORCES
RBS15B Mk I AShM, 1 57mm gun 2 SF gp
MINE WARFARE • MINE COUNTERMEASURES •
MHI 1 Korcula Paramilitary 3,000
AMPHIBIOUS • LANDING CRAFT 5:
LCT 2 Cetina (with minelaying capability) Police 3,000 armed
LCVP 3: 2 Type-21; 1 Type-22
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT • AKL 1 DEPLOYMENT
COASTAL DEFENCE • AShM 3 RBS15K
AFGHANISTAN: NATO • Operation Resolute Support 123
Marines INDIA/PAKISTAN: UN • UNMOGIP 9 obs
FORCES BY ROLE
LEBANON: UN • UNIFIL 1
MANOEUVRE
Amphibious LITHUANIA: NATO • Enhanced Forward Presence 230; 1
1 indep mne coy mech inf coy with Patria AMV; M-ATV
POLAND: NATO • Enhanced Forward Presence 69; 1
Coast Guard MRL bty with M91 Vulkan
FORCES BY ROLE
SERBIA: NATO • KFOR 35; 1 hel unit with Mi-8 Hip
Two divisions, headquartered in Split (1st div) and Pula
OSCE • Kosovo 1
(2nd div)
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE UKRAINE: OSCE • Ukraine 11
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS • PB 4 Mirna WESTERN SAHARA: UN • MINURSO 6 obs
96 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Light
Cyprus CYP 1 (4th) lt inf bde
2 (2nd & 8th) lt inf regt
Euro € 2017 2018 2019
COMBAT SUPPORT
GDP € 19.2bn 20.2bn 1 arty comd (8 arty bn)
US$ 21.7bn 24.0bn COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
per capita US$ 25,380 27,865 1 (3rd) spt bde
Growth % 3.9 4.0 EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Inflation % 0.7 0.8 ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
Def bdgt € 352m 352m 357m MBT 134: 82 T-80U; 52 AMX-30B2
US$ 397m 417m RECCE 69 EE-9 Cascavel
IFV 43 BMP-3
US$1=€ 0.89 0.84
APC 294
Population 1,237,088 APC (T) 168 Leonidas
APC (W) 126 VAB (incl variants)
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
Male 8.0% 3.1% 4.4% 4.8% 25.5% 5.2% ARV 3: 2 AMX-30D; 1 BREM-1
Female 7.6% 2.7% 3.6% 4.0% 24.2% 6.9% ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
MSL
Capabilities SP 33: 15 EE-3 Jararaca with Milan; 18 VAB with HOT
The National Guard is focused on protecting the island’s territo- MANPATS Milan
rial integrity and sovereignty, and safeguarding Cyprus’s EEZ. Its RCL 106mm 144 M40A1
main objective is to deter any Turkish incursion, and to provide GUNS • TOWED 100mm 20 M-1944
enough opposition until military support can be provided by ARTILLERY 432
Greece, its primary ally. Cyprus has been enhancing its defence SP 155mm 24: 12 Mk F3; 12 Zuzana
cooperation with Greece, including on cyber defence. Nicosia TOWED 84: 105mm 72 M-56; 155mm 12 TR-F-1
has also pledged deeper military ties with Israel, while France has MRL 22: 122mm 4 BM-21; 128mm 18 M-63 Plamen
renewed and enhanced its defence-cooperation agreement with
MOR 302: 81mm 170 E-44 (70+ M1/M9 in store); 107mm
Cyprus, with plans to develop facilities for French vessels on the
island. Having reduced conscript liability in 2016, Nicosia began 20 M2/M30; 120mm 112 RT61
recruiting additional contract-service personnel, as part of the AIR DEFENCE
effort to modernise and professionalise its forces. Cyprus exer- SAM
cises with several international partners, most notably France, Medium-range 4 9K37M1 Buk M1-2 (SA-11 Gadfly)
Greece and Israel. External deployments have been limited to Short-range 18: 12 Aspide; 6 9K331 Tor-M1 (SA-15
some officers joining EU and UN missions. Cyprus has little logis- Gauntlet)
tics capability to support operations abroad. Equipment com- Point-defence Mistral
prises a mix of Soviet-era and modern European systems. Cyprus
GUNS • TOWED 60: 20mm 36 M-55; 35mm 24 GDF-003
has little in the way of a domestic defence industry, with no
(with Skyguard)
ability to design and manufacture modern equipment. The gov-
ernment is looking for opportunities to cooperate with the Greek
defence industry.
Maritime Wing
FORCES BY ROLE
ACTIVE 15,000 (National Guard 15,000) COMBAT SUPPORT
Paramilitary 750 1 (coastal defence) AShM bty with MM40 Exocet
Conscript liability 14 months AShM
RESERVE 50,000 (National Guard 50,000) EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Reserve service to age 50 (officers dependent on rank; PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 6
military doctors to age 60) PCC 2: 1 Alasia (ex-OMN Al Mabrukha) with 1 hel
landing platform; 1 OPV 62 (ISR Sa’ar 4.5 derivative)
PBF 4: 2 Rodman 55; 2 Vittoria
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE COASTAL DEFENCE • AShM 3 MM40 Exocet
Europe
APC • APC (W) 2 VAB VTT EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
HELICOPTERS • MRH 4: 2 AW139; 2 Bell 412SP
MSL • MANPATS Milan
Maritime Police 250 RCL • 106mm 36
ARTILLERY • MOR • 120mm 73
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 10
PBF 5: 2 Poseidon; 1 Shaldag; 2 Vittoria
Paramilitary
PB 5 SAB-12 Armed Police ε150
FORCES BY ROLE
DEPLOYMENT SPECIAL FORCES
1 (police) SF unit
LEBANON: UN • UNIFIL 2
Coast Guard
FOREIGN FORCES PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 6
PCC 5: 2 SG45/SG46; 1 Rauf Denktash; 2 US Mk 5
Argentina UNFICYP 244; 2 inf coy; 1 hel flt
PB 1
Austria UNFICYP 5
Bangladesh UNFICYP 2
Brazil UNFICYP 2
FOREIGN FORCES
Canada UNFICYP 1 TURKEY
Chile UNFICYP 12 Army ε33,800
Greece Army: 950; ε200 (officers/NCO seconded to Greek- FORCES BY ROLE
Cypriot National Guard) 1 corps HQ; 1 SF regt; 1 armd bde; 2 mech inf div; 1
mech inf regt; 1 arty regt; 1 avn comd
Hungary UNFICYP 11
Pakistan UNFICYP 1 EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
Paraguay UNFICYP 12
MBT 287 M48A5T2
Serbia UNFICYP 2 IFV 147 ACV AIFV
Slovakia UNFICYP 242; 1 inf coy; 1 engr pl APC • APC (T) 492: 106 ACV AAPC (incl variants);
United Kingdom 2,260; 2 inf bn; 1 hel sqn with 4 Bell 412 386 M113 (incl variants)
Twin Huey • Operation Inherent Resolve (Shader) 500: 1 FGA ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
sqn with 8 Tornado GR4; 6 Typhoon FGR4; 2 Sentinel R1; 1 MSL
A330 MRTT Voyager KC3; 2 C-130J Hercules • UNFICYP SP 60 ACV TOW
(Operation Tosca) 278: 1 recce coy MANPATS Milan
RCL 106mm 219 M40A1
ARTILLERY 643
TERRITORY WHERE THE GOVERNMENT SP 155mm 174: 30 M44T; 144 M52T1
DOES NOT EXERCISE EFFECTIVE TOWED 84: 105mm 36 M101A1; 155mm 36 M114A2;
CONTROL 203mm 12 M115
Data here represents the de facto situation on the northern MRL 122mm 9 T-122
section of the island. This does not imply international MOR 376: 81mm 171; 107mm 70 M30; 120mm 135
recognition as a sovereign state. HY-12
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 1 PB
AIRCRAFT • TPT • Light 3 Cessna 185 (U-17)
Capabilities HELICOPTERS • TPT 3 Medium 2 AS532UL Cougar
ACTIVE 3,000 (Army 3,000) Paramilitary 150 Light 1 Bell 205 (UH-1H Iroquois)
Conscript liability 15 months AIR DEFENCE
SAM Point-defence FIM-92 Stinger
RESERVE 15,000 GUNS • TOWED 150: 20mm 122: 44 Rh 202; 78
Reserve liability to age 50 GAI-D01; 35mm 28 GDF-003
98 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Armoured
Czech Republic CZE 1 (7th) mech bde (1 tk bn, 2 armd inf bn, 1 mot inf bn)
Mechanised
Czech Koruna Kc 2017 2018 2019
1 (4th) rapid reaction bde (2 mech inf bn, 1 mot inf bn,
GDP Kc 5.05tr 5.24tr 1 AB bn)
US$ 216bn 245bn COMBAT SUPPORT
per capita US$ 20,402 23,085 1 (13th) arty regt (2 arty bn)
Growth % 4.3 3.1 1 engr regt (3 engr bn, 1 EOD bn)
Inflation % 2.4 2.3 1 CBRN regt (2 CBRN bn)
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
Def exp [a] Kc 52.7bn 58.8bn
1 log regt (2 log bn, 1 maint bn)
US$ 2.26bn 2.74bn
Def bdgt [b] Kc 52.5bn 58.9bn 66.7bn Active Reserve
US$ 2.25bn 2.75bn FORCES BY ROLE
US$1=Kc 23.38 21.43 COMMAND
[a] NATO definition 14 (territorial defence) comd
[b] Includes military pensions MANOEUVRE
Armoured
Population 10,686,269 1 armd coy
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus Light
14 inf coy (1 per territorial comd) (3 inf pl, 1 cbt spt pl,
Male 7.8% 2.3% 2.7% 3.4% 25.2% 7.9%
1 log pl)
Female 7.4% 2.1% 2.5% 3.2% 24.5% 11.1%
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
Capabilities MBT 30 T-72M4CZ (89 T-72 in store)
The 2015 national-security strategy states that NATO is central to RECCE (34 BPzV Svatava in store)
Czech security, while the 2017 defence strategy points to Russian IFV 227: 120 BMP-2; 107 Pandur II (incl variants); (98
assertiveness, an arc of instability to the south and southeast of
BMP-1; 65 BMP-2 all in store)
Europe and information warfare, including cyber attacks, as core
security challenges. In February 2017, the Czech Republic signed APC
a letter of intent with Germany to affiliate the 4th Czech Rapid APC (T) (17 OT-90 in store)
Deployment Brigade with the 10th German Armoured Division AUV 21 Dingo 2; IVECO LMV
under NATO’s Framework Nations Concept. In the same year, a ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
bilateral agreement with Slovakia addressed mutual air-defence ARV 10 VPV-ARV (12 more in store); VT-55A; VT-72M4
issues. It was announced in 2018 that the two countries will coop- VLB 6 MT-55A (3 more in store)
erate on procurement tenders. The government plans to increase
MW Bozena 5; UOS-155 Belarty
personnel numbers and adopted an Active Reserve Law in 2016,
which aims to incentivise engagement in the reserves. However, ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
recruitment and retention remains a challenge. The armed forces MSL • MANPATS 9K111-1 Konkurs (AT-5 Spandrel);
are able to deploy on a variety of international crisis-management FGM-148 Javelin; Spike-LR
operations, including NATO’s Enhanced Forward Presence in the RCL 84mm Carl Gustaf
Baltic states. The defence ministry announced plans at the end of ARTILLERY 96
2017 to upgrade existing military training and simulation facilities SP 152mm 48 M-77 Dana (38 more in store)
by 2025. The government is trying to replace legacy equipment
MOR 48: 120mm 40 M-1982; (45 more in store); SP
in order to both modernise the armed forces and reduce depen-
dence on Russia for spare parts and services. Modernisation pri-
120mm 8 SPM-85
orities include infantry fighting vehicles, self-propelled howitzers,
multi-role helicopters, transport aircraft, short-range air-defence Air Force 5,850
systems and UAVs. The defence-industrial base includes develop- Principal task is to secure Czech airspace. This mission is
ment and manufacturing capability, in particular relating to small fulfilled within NATO Integrated Extended Air Defence
arms, vehicles, and training and light attack aircraft. The holding System (NATINADS) and, if necessary, by means of the
company Czechoslovak Group brings together several companies
Czech national reinforced air-defence system. The air force
across the munitions, vehicles and aerospace sectors.
also provides CAS for army SAR, and performs a tpt role
ACTIVE 23,200 (Army 12,250 Air 5,850 Other 3,650) FORCES BY ROLE
FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE 1 sqn with Gripen C/D
1 sqn with L-159 ALCA; L-159T
Army 12,250 TRANSPORT
FORCES BY ROLE 2 sqn with A319CJ; C295M; CL-601 Challenger; L-410
MANOEUVRE Turbolet; Yak-40 Codling
Reconnaissance TRAINING
1 ISR/EW regt (1 recce bn, 1 EW bn) 1 sqn with L-39ZA Albatros*; L-159 ALCA; L-159T
Europe 99
ATTACK HELICOPTER
1 sqn with Mi-24/Mi-35 Hind
DEPLOYMENT
TRANSPORT HELICOPTER AFGHANISTAN: NATO • Operation Resolute Support 281
1 sqn with Mi-17 Hip H; Mi-171Sh BOSNIA-HERZEGOVINA: EU • EUFOR • Operation Althea
1 sqn with Mi-8 Hip; Mi-17 Hip H; PZL W-3A Sokol 2; OSCE • Bosnia and Herzegovina 1
AIR DEFENCE
1 (25th) SAM regt (2 AD gp) CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC: UN • MINUSCA 3 obs
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO: UN •
AIRCRAFT 44 combat capable MONUSCO 1; 1 obs
FGA 14: 12 Gripen C; 2 Gripen D EGYPT: MFO 18; 1 C295M
Europe
ATK 21: 16 L-159 ALCA; 5 L-159T
IRAQ: Operation Inherent Resolve 30
TPT 15: Light 12: 4 C295M; 6 L-410 Turbolet; 2 Yak-40
Codling; PAX 3: 2 A319CJ; 1 CL-601 Challenger LATVIA: NATO • Enhanced Forward Presence 60; 1 mor pl
TRG 9 L-39ZA Albatros* MALI: EU • EUTM Mali 41; UN • MINUSMA 3; 2 obs
HELICOPTERS SERBIA: NATO • KFOR 10; OSCE • Kosovo 1; UN •
ATK 17: 7 Mi-24 Hind D; 10 Mi-35 Hind E UNMIK 2 obs
MRH 5 Mi-17 Hip H
SYRIA/ISRAEL: UN • UNDOF 3
TPT • Medium 30: 4 Mi-8 Hip; 16 Mi-171Sh; 10 PZL W3A
Sokol UKRAINE: OSCE • Ukraine 14
AIR DEFENCE • SAM
Point-defence 9K35 Strela-10 (SA-13 Gopher); 9K32
Strela-2‡ (SA-7 Grail) (available for trg RBS-70 gunners);
Denmark DNK
RBS-70 Danish Krone kr 2017 2018 2019
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES GDP kr 2.15tr 2.23tr
AAM • IR AIM-9M Sidewinder; ARH AIM-120C-5
US$ 326bn 355bn
AMRAAM
per capita US$ 56,631 61,227
BOMBS
Laser-guided: GBU Paveway Growth % 2.3 2.0
Inflation % 1.1 1.4
Other Forces Def exp [a] kr 25.0bn 26.7bn
FORCES BY ROLE US$ 3.78bn 4.25bn
SPECIAL FORCES Def bdgt [b] kr 25.0bn 26.7bn 27.5bn
1 SF gp US$ 3.78bn 4.25bn
MANOEUVRE
US$1=kr 6.60 6.29
Other
[a] NATO definition
1 (presidential) gd bde (2 bn)
1 (honour guard) gd bn (2 coy) [b] Includes military pensions
COMBAT SUPPORT Population 5,809,502
1 int gp
1 (central) MP comd Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
3 (regional) MP comd Male 8.4% 3.3% 3.4% 3.2% 22.3% 8.6%
1 (protection service) MP comd Female 8.0% 3.1% 3.3% 3.1% 22.6% 10.6%
Cyber Capabilities
A Cyber Security Act entered into force in January 2015
Danish military capabilities remain compact but effective despite
and a new National Cyber Security Strategy and an Action
pressures on spending and deployments. In January 2018, the gov-
Plan for 2015–20 were published. The former states that ernment issued a new defence agreement for 2018–23, envisaging
the country will look ‘to increase national capacities for increased defence spending to deal with a deteriorating security
active cyber defence and cyber attack countermeasures’. environment. In particular, it is intended to strengthen deterrence,
The National Cyber and Information Security Agency was cyber defence and Denmark’s role in international operations, as
established on 1 August 2017 as the central body of state well as the armed forces’ ability to support civilian authorities in
administration for cyber security, including the protection national-security tasks. Denmark plans to set up a heavy brigade
of classified information in the area of information and with ground-based air-defence capabilities and a light infantry
communications systems and cryptographic protection, battalion to take on patrol and guard missions in support of the
police. Denmark also intends to strengthen naval air defence, as
which was previously the responsibility of the National
well as anti-submarine-warfare capabilities. Ties to NATO, NOR-
Security Agency. The defence ministry is developing its DEFCO and other regional neighbours have increased. A defence
own cyber-defence capabilities according to specific tasks agreement, aimed at deterring Russia, was signed in April 2015
based on EU or NATO documents and the requirements with other Nordic states. Denmark is an EU member but has opted
of the National Action Plan. The defence ministry security out of military cooperation under the Common Security and
director also leads on cyber security. Defence Policy. The new defence agreement foresees that national
100 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
service is retained and that the annual conscript intake should rise. ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
Procurement of the F-35A to replace the country’s ageing F-16AM/ RCL 84mm 186 Carl Gustav
BM fleet was confirmed in June 2016. However, the strain of tran- ARTILLERY 24
sitioning to the new platform could temporarily reduce Denmark’s SP 155mm 12 M109A3 (being replaced by CAESAR)
ability to contribute to NATO air-policing tasks. Industrial support
MOR • TOWED 120mm 12 Soltam K6B1
from Terma, Denmark’s largest defence company, may have
been important to the F-35 procurement decision, as some key AIR DEFENCE • SAM • Point-defence FIM-92 Stinger
sub-components and composites are produced by the firm. The
defence-industrial base is focused on exports to Europe and North Navy 2,200
America and is mainly active in defence electronics and the design EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
and manufacture of components and subsystems. PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS 3
ACTIVE 14,500 (Army 6,900 Navy 2,200 Air 2,900 DESTROYERS • DDGHM 3 Iver Huitfeldt with 4 quad
Joint 2,500) lnchr with RGM-84L Harpoon Block II AShM, 1 32-cell
Conscript liability 4–12 months, most voluntary Mk41 VLS (to be fitted with SAM), 2 12-cell Mk56 VLS
with RIM-162 SAM, 2 twin 324mm TT with MU90
RESERVES 45,700 (Army 34,300 Navy 5,300 Air LWT, 1 Millennium CIWS, 2 76mm guns (capacity 1
Force 4,750 Service Corps 1,350) med hel)
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 13
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE PSOH 4 Thetis 1 76mm gun (capacity 1 MH-60R Seahawk)
PSO 3 Knud Rasmussen with 1 76mm gun, 1 hel landing
platform
Army 6,900 PCC 6 Diana
Div and bde HQ are responsible for trg only; if necessary, MINE WARFARE • MINE COUNTERMEASURES 6
can be transformed into operational formations MCI 4 MSF MK-I
FORCES BY ROLE MSD 2 Holm
COMMAND LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 11
1 div HQ ABU 2 (primarily used for MARPOL duties)
2 bde HQ AE 1 Sleipner
MANOEUVRE AG 2 Absalon (flexible support ships) with 4 quad lnchr
Reconnaissance with RGM-84L Harpoon Block II AShM, 3 12-cell Mk
1 recce bn 56 VLS with RIM-162 ESSM SAM, 2 twin 324mm TT
1 ISR bn with MU90 LWT, 2 Millennium CIWS, 1 127mm gun
Armoured (capacity 2 AW101 Merlin; 2 LCP, 7 MBT or 40 vehicles;
1 tk bn
130 troops)
Mechanised
AGS 2 Holm
3 mech inf bn
AKL 2 Seatruck
2 mech inf bn(-)
AXS 2 Svanen
COMBAT SUPPORT
1 SP arty bn
1 cbt engr bn
Air Force 2,900
1 CBRN/construction bn Tactical Air Command
1 EOD coy
FORCES BY ROLE
1 int bn
1 MP bn FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
3 sigs bn 2 sqn with F-16AM/BM Fighting Falcon
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT ANTI-SUBMARINE WARFARE
2 log bn 1 sqn with Super Lynx Mk90B
1 maint bn SEARCH & RESCUE/TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
1 spt bn 1 sqn with AW101 Merlin
1 sqn with AS550 Fennec (ISR)
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
TRANSPORT
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
1 sqn with C-130J-30 Hercules; CL-604 Challenger (MP/
MBT 38 Leopard 2A5 (12 more in store)
VIP)
IFV 44 CV9035 MkIII
APC 226 TRAINING
APC (T) 125 M113 (incl variants); (306 more in store 1 unit with MFI-17 Supporter (T-17)
awaiting disposal) EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
APC (W) 101: 79 Piranha III (incl variants); 22 Piranha V AIRCRAFT 44 combat capable
AUV 120: 84 Eagle IV; 36 Eagle V FTR 44: 34 F-16AM Fighting Falcon; 10 F-16BM Fighting
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES Falcon (30 operational)
ARV 10 Bergepanzer 2 TPT 8: Medium 4 C-130J-30 Hercules; PAX 4 CL-604
VLB 6 Biber Challenger (MP/VIP)
MW 14 910-MCV-2 TRG 27 MFI-17 Supporter (T-17)
Europe 101
Europe
INS/GPS guided GBU-31 JDAM UNITED ARAB EMIRATES: Operation Inherent Resolve 20
Control and Air Defence Group
1 Control and Reporting Centre, 1 Mobile Control and Estonia EST
Reporting Centre. 4 Radar sites
Euro € 2017 2018 2019
Special Operations Command GDP € 23.0bn 24.8bn
FORCES BY ROLE US$ 26.0bn 29.5bn
SPECIAL FORCES per capita US$ 19,735 22,417
1 SF unit Growth % 4.9 3.7
1 diving unit Inflation % 3.7 3.0
Def Exp [a] € 479m 524m
Reserves US$ 541m 624m
Home Guard (Army) 34,300 reservists (to age 50) Def bdgt [b] € 481m 538m 614m
FORCES BY ROLE US$ 544m 641m
MANOEUVRE FMA (US) US$ 10m 0m
Light US$1=€ 0.89 0.84
2 regt cbt gp (3 mot inf bn, 1 arty bn)
[a] NATO definition
5 (local) def region (up to 2 mot inf bn)
[b] Includes military pensions
Home Guard (Navy) 4,500 reservists (to age 50) Population 1,244,288
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Ethnic groups: Estonian 70%; Russian 25%; Ukranian 1.7%;
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 30 Belarusian 1%; other or unspecified 2.3%
PB 30: 17 MHV800; 1 MHV850; 12 MHV900
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
Home Guard (Air Force) 4,750 reservists (to age 50)
Male 8.3% 2.2% 2.4% 3.6% 23.4% 6.7%
Home Guard (Service Corps) 1,350 reservists Female 7.9% 2.1% 2.2% 3.3% 24.6% 13.1%
Cyber Capabilities
A National Strategy for Cyber and Information Security was Estonia has small active armed forces and is reliant on NATO mem-
released in December 2014. The Centre for Cyber Security bership as a security guarantor. Security policy is predicated on the
(CFCS) is situated within the Danish Defence Intelligence goals of ensuring sovereignty and territorial integrity, and there is
Service. The CFCS is Denmark’s national information and concern over Russian security policy and military activity. The gov-
communications technology (ICT) security authority with ernment’s 2017–26 National Defence Development Plan (NDDP)
three primary responsibilities: contribute to protecting reflects the worsening security environment in the Baltic region.
Denmark against cyber threats; assist in securing a solid The active armed forces are supplemented by a reserve compo-
nent. In June 2018 Estonia joined the French-inspired European
and robust ICT critical infrastructure; and warn of, protect
Intervention Force. A NATO battlegroup based in Estonia became
against and counter cyber attacks. The 2018–23 Defence operational in mid-2017 as part of the Alliance’s Enhanced Forward
Agreement will lead to a significant increase in the Presence. The country’s Amari air base hosts a NATO Baltic Air
CFCS’s resources. In addition to existing cyber-defence Policing detachment. Estonia is also a member of the UK-led mul-
capabilities, Denmark has developed a capacity to conduct tinational Joint Expeditionary Force. Cyber security is a strength,
defensive and offensive military operations in cyberspace and Tallinn hosts NATO’s Cybersecurity Centre of Excellence. The
that will become fully operational in 2019. NDDP notes a desire to increase the annual conscript intake and
the total number of active personnel. There is very limited organic
capability to deploy beyond borders, though Estonian forces take
DEPLOYMENT part in EU, NATO and UN missions abroad on a small scale. The
NDDP identifies the need for additional armoured mobility and
AFGHANISTAN: NATO • Operation Resolute Support 160
armoured firepower, anti-armour weapons and increased muni-
ESTONIA: NATO • Enhanced Forward Presence 186; 1 tions stocks. The country has a niche defence-industrial capability,
armd inf coy with CV9035 including ship repair and digital systems.
102 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
ACTIVE 6,600 (Army 5,700 Navy 400 Air 500) EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Defence League 15,800 AIRCRAFT • TPT • Light 2 An-2 Colt
Conscript liability 8 or 11 months (depending on specialisation; HELICOPTERS • TPT • Light 4 R-44 Raven II
conscripts cannot be deployed)
Special Operations Forces
RESERVE 12,000 (Joint 12,000)
FORCES BY ROLE
SPECIAL FORCES
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE 1 spec ops bn
Navy 300; 100 conscript (total 400) MIDDLE EAST: UN • UNTSO 3 obs
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE MOLDOVA: OSCE • Moldova 1
MINE WARFARE • MINE COUNTERMEASURES 4 SERBIA: NATO • KFOR 2
MCCS 1 Tasuja (ex-DNK Lindormen)
UKRAINE: OSCE • Ukraine 3
MHC 3 Admiral Cowan (ex-UK Sandown) (1 in refit)
cycles, each for about 13,500 conscripts, take place each year.
Finland FIN After conscript training, reservist commitment is to the age of
60. Reservists are usually assigned to units within their local
Euro € 2017 2018 2019
geographical area. All service appointments or deployments
GDP € 224bn 233bn outside Finnish borders are voluntary for all members of the
US$ 253bn 277bn armed services. All brigades are reserve based
per capita US$ 45,927 50,068
Growth % 2.8 2.6
Reserve Organisations 170,000
Inflation % 0.8 1.2
FORCES BY ROLE
SPECIAL FORCES
Europe
Def bdgt [a] € 2.83bn 2.87bn 3.14bn
1 SF bn
US$ 3.20bn 3.41bn MANOEUVRE
US$1=€ 0.89 0.84 Armoured
[a] Excludes military pensions 2 armd BG (regt)
Mechanised
Population 5,537,364
2 (Karelia & Pori Jaeger) mech bde
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus Light
3 (Jaeger) bde
Male 8.4% 2.8% 3.1% 3.2% 22.6% 9.2%
6 lt inf bde
Female 8.0% 2.6% 2.9% 3.1% 22.2% 11.9% COMBAT SUPPORT
1 arty bde
Capabilities 1 AD regt
Finland’s armed forces are primarily focused on territorial defence. 7 engr regt
The country’s long border with Russia has focused attention on 3 sigs bn
Russia’s military capabilities and plans. The 2017 Defence Report COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
argues that changes in the security environment have increased Some log unit
the demands on the armed forces and stresses that financial con- HELICOPTER
straints are forcing trade-offs between long-term procurement
1 hel bn
plans and operational readiness. An EU member state, Finland’s
principal multilateral defence relationships include NORDEFCO EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
and the Northern Group, as well as strong bilateral cooperation ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
with Sweden and the US; it is building close ties with NATO short MBT 80 Leopard 2A6 (100 Leopard 2A4 in store)
of membership. In 2017, Finland joined a multinational coop- IFV 212: 110 BMP-2/-2MD; 102 CV9030FIN
eration programme for air-to-ground precision-guided munitions APC 613
set up by a group of NATO member states. The country’s largest APC (T) 142: 40 MT-LBu; 102 MT-LBV
deployment is to the UNIFIL mission but it also contributes to
APC (W) 471: 260 XA-180/185 Sisu; 101 XA-202 Sisu
NATO operations and the international counter-ISIS coalition. In
2015, the air force launched the HX Fighter Programme to replace (CP); 48 XA-203 Sisu; 62 AMV (XA-360)
its F/A-18s. A request for quotations was issued in April 2018 and ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
the replacement aircraft is expected to be selected in 2021. Under ARV 27: 15 MTP-LB; 12 VT-55A
Finland’s Squadron 2020 programme, the navy will replace patrol VLB 27: 12 BLG-60M2; 6 Leopard 2S; 9 SISU Leguan
boats and minelayers with corvette-sized vessels capable of oper- MW Aardvark Mk 2; KMT T-55; 6 Leopard 2R CEV; RA-
ating in shallow water and cold weather. Finland’s defence indus- 140 DS
try consists largely of privately owned SMEs, concentrating on ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
niche products for international markets, but it also features some MSL • MANPATS NLAW; Spike-MR; Spike-LR
internationally competitive larger companies producing wheeled
ARTILLERY 681
armoured vehicles and turreted mortar systems.
SP 122mm 40: 4 K9 Thunder; 36 2S1 Gvozdika (PsH 74)
ACTIVE 21,500 (Army 15,300 Navy 3,500 Air 2,700) TOWED 324: 122mm 234 D-30 (H 63); 130mm 36 M-46
Paramilitary 2,700 (K 54); 155mm 54 K 83/GH-52 (K 98)
Conscript liability 165, 255 or 347 days (latter for NCOs, officers or MRL 56: 122mm 34 RM-70; 227mm 22 M270 MLRS
those on ‘especially demanding’ duties) MOR 279+: 81mm Krh/71; 120mm 261 Krh/92; SP 120mm
RESERVE 216,000 (Army 170,000 Navy 20,000 Air 18 XA-361 AMOS
26,000) Paramilitary 11,500 HELICOPTERS
18,000 reservists a year do refresher training: total obligation 80 MRH 7: 5 Hughes 500D; 2 Hughes 500E
days (150 for NCOs, 200 for officers) between conscript service and TPT • Medium 20 NH90 TTH
age 50 (NCOs and officers to age 60) UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES
ISR • Medium 11 ADS-95 Ranger
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE AIR DEFENCE
SAM
Army 5,000; 10,300 conscript (total 15,300) Short-range 44: 20 Crotale NG (ITO 90); 24 NASAMS
FORCES BY ROLE II FIN (ITO 12)
Finland’s army maintains a mobilisation strength of about Point-defence 16+: 16 ASRAD (ITO 05); FIM-92 Stinger
285,000. In support of this requirement, two conscription (ITO 15); RBS 70 (ITO 05/05M)
104 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
GUNS 400+: 23mm ItK 95/ZU-23-2 (ItK 61); 35mm ItK 88; EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
SP 35mm Leopard 2 ITK Marksman AIRCRAFT 107 combat capable
FGA 62: 55 F/A-18C Hornet; 7 F/A-18D Hornet
Navy 1,600; 1,900 conscript (total 3,500) MP 1 F-27-400M
FORCES BY ROLE ELINT 1 C295M
Naval Command HQ located at Turku; with two TPT • Light 10: 2 C295M; 3 Learjet 35A (survey; ECM
subordinate Naval Commands (Gulf of Finland and trg; tgt-tow); 5 PC-12NG
Archipelago Sea); 1 Naval bde; 3 spt elm (Naval Materiel TRG 74: 1 G-115EA; 29 Hawk Mk50/51A*; 16 Hawk
Cmd, Naval Academy, Naval Research Institute) Mk66*; 28 L-70 Vinka
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 20 AAM • IR AIM-9 Sidewinder; IIR AIM-9X Sidewinder;
PCGM 4 Hamina with 4 RBS15SF3 (MTO-85M) AShM, ARH AIM-120C AMRAAM
1 octuple VLS with Umkhonto-IR (ITO2004) SAM, 1 LACM Conventional AGM-158 JASSM
57mm gun BOMBS
PBF 12 Jehu (U-700) (capacity 24 troops) INS/GPS-guided GBU-31 JDAM; AGM-154C JSOW
PBG 4 Rauma with 6 RBS15SF3 (MTO-85M) AShM
MINE WARFARE 15 Paramilitary
MINE COUNTERMEASURES 10
MCC 3 Katanpää Border Guard 2,700
MSI 7: 4 Kiiski; 3 Kuha Ministry of Interior. 4 Border Guard Districts and 2 Coast
MINELAYERS • ML 5: Guard Districts
2 Hameenmaa with 1 octuple VLS with Umkhonto-IR FORCES BY ROLE
(ITO2004) SAM, 2 RBU 1200 A/S mor, up to 100–120 MARITIME PATROL
mines, 1 57mm gun 1 sqn with Do-228 (maritime surv); AS332 Super Puma;
3 Pansio with 50 mines Bell 412 (AB-412) Twin Huey; Bell 412EP (AB-412EP)
AMPHIBIOUS • LANDING CRAFT 51 Twin Huey;AW119KE Koala
LCM 1 Kampela
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
LCP 50
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 45
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 7
PSO 1 Turva with 1 hel landing platform
AG 3: 1 Louhi; 2 Hylje
PCC 3: 2 Tursas; 1 Merikarhu
AX 4: 3 Fabian Wrede; 1 Lokki
PB 41
Coastal Defence AMPHIBIOUS • LANDING CRAFT • UCAC 6
FORCES BY ROLE AIRCRAFT • TPT • Light 2 Do-228
MANOEUVRE HELICOPTERS
Amphibious MRH 5: 3 Bell 412 (AB-412) Twin Huey; 2 Bell 412EP
1 mne bde (AB-412EP) Twin Huey
COMBAT SUPPORT TPT 9: Medium 5 AS332 Super Puma; Light 4
1 cbt spt bde (1 AShM bty) AW119KE Koala
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Reserve 11,500 reservists on mobilisation
COASTAL DEFENCE
AShM 4 RBS15K
ARTY • 130mm 30 K-53tk (static)
Cyber
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE The 2017–20 Implementation Plan for Finland’s Cyber
MSL • MANPATS Spike (used in AShM role) Security said that the defence ministry would develop and
maintain a comprehensive cyber-defence capability for
Air Force 1,950; 750 conscript (total 2,700) their statutory tasks, including a cyber-attack capability.
3 Air Comds: Satakunta (West), Karelia (East), Lapland The 2013 national cyber strategy and the defence forces
(North) internal concept encompass intelligence as well as
offensive and defensive cyber capabilities. Full operating
FORCES BY ROLE
capability is planned by 2020. The defence forces published
FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
a Cyber Defence Concept in 2016 and created an internal
3 sqn with F/A-18C/D Hornet
implementation plan to generate the required capabilities.
ISR
1 (survey) sqn with Learjet 35A The cyber division is organised under the defence forces’ C5
TRANSPORT Agency. The European Centre of Excellence for Countering
1 flt with C295M Hybrid Threats was established in Helsinki in April 2017.
4 (liaison) flt with PC-12NG
TRAINING DEPLOYMENT
1 sqn with Hawk Mk50/51A/66* (air-defence and
ground-attack trg) AFGHANISTAN: NATO • Operation Resolute Support 29
1 unit with L-70 Vinka IRAQ: Operation Inherent Resolve 100; 1 trg team
Europe 105
LEBANON: UN • UNIFIL 300; elm 1 mech inf bn; 1 maint ACTIVE 203,900 (Army 114,450 Navy 35,300 Air
coy 40,800, Other Staffs 13,350) Paramilitary 103,400
MALI: EU • EUTM Mali 1; UN • MINUSMA 4
RESERVE 36,300 (Army 21,650 Navy 5,400 Air 5,550
MIDDLE EAST: UN • UNTSO 18 obs Other Staffs 3,700) Paramilitary 40,000
SERBIA: NATO • KFOR 20
SOMALIA: EU • EUTM Somalia 7 ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
UKRAINE: OSCE • Ukraine 23
Strategic Nuclear Forces
Europe
France FRA Navy 2,200
Euro € 2017 2018 2019 EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
SUBMARINES • STRATEGIC • SSBN 4
GDP € 2.29tr 2.36tr
1 Le Triomphant with 16 M45 SLBM with 6 TN-75
US$ 2.59tr 2.79tr nuclear warheads, 4 single 533mm TT with F17 Mod
per capita US$ 39,933 42,931 2 HWT/SM39 Exocet AShM (in refit until 2018/19)
Growth % 2.3 1.6 3 Le Triomphant with 16 M51 SLBM with 6 TN-75
Inflation % 1.2 1.9 nuclear warheads, 4 single 533mm TT with F17 Mod
Def exp [a] € 40.9bn 42.7bn 2 HWT/SM39 Exocet AShM
AIRCRAFT • FGA 20 Rafale M F3 with ASMPA msl
US$ 46.1bn 50.7bn
Def bdgt [b] € 43.1bn 45.0bn 46.5bn Air Force 1,800
US$ 48.7bn 53.4bn
US$1=€ 0.89 0.84 Air Strategic Forces Command
[a] NATO definition FORCES BY ROLE
STRIKE
[b] Includes pensions
1 sqn with Rafale B with ASMPA msl
Population 67,364,357 1 sqn with Rafale B with ASMPA msl (forming)
TANKER
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus 1 sqn with C-135FR; KC-135 Stratotanker
Male 9.5% 3.1% 2.9% 3.0% 22.0% 8.4% EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Female 9.1% 2.9% 2.8% 2.9% 22.2% 11.1% AIRCRAFT 20 combat capable
FGA 20 Rafale B
Capabilities TKR/TPT 11 C-135FR
France maintains globally deployed forces that are also engaged TKR 3 KC-135 Stratotanker
on enduring operations in Africa. The 2017 Strategic Review reit-
erated operational commitments in sub-Saharan Africa and the Paramilitary
Middle East, as well as a continued presence in the Asia-Pacific.
The Programme Budget Law for 2019–25 set out defence-budget
Gendarmerie 40
increases to support these goals. France plays a leading military
role in the EU, NATO and the UN. In 2018, Paris launched the Euro- Space
pean Intervention Initiative, joined by nine other European coun- EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
tries, intended to foster a common strategic culture and develop SATELLITES 7
the ability to jointly deploy quickly in case of crises. French forces COMMUNICATIONS 3: 2 Syracuse-3 (designed to inte-
are experienced and well trained, taking part in a range of NATO grate with UK Skynet & ITA Sicral); 1 Athena-Fidus (also
and other multinational exercises. Deployments abroad have
used by ITA)
demonstrated the ability to support expeditionary forces inde-
ISR 4: 2 Helios (2A/2B); 2 Pleiades
pendently; however, the more recent focus on domestic security
has reduced training levels and limited the ability to deploy more
troops overseas. Some strategic military air-transport require- Army 114,450
ments are dependent on allies and external contractors. The Regt and BG normally bn size
high operational tempo has increased the stress on equipment. FORCES BY ROLE
The Programme Budget Law seeks to remedy this with a budget COMMAND
increase for maintenance, reform of aerospace maintenance, and 1 corps HQ (CRR-FR)
accelerated modernisation of multi-role tanker transport and
2 div HQ
refuelling aircraft. France has a sophisticated defence industry,
exemplified by companies such as Dassault, MBDA and Nexter,
MANOEUVRE
with most procurements undertaken domestically and strong Reconnaissance
exports. However, President Macron has called for increased Euro- 1 recce regt
pean defence-industrial cooperation. France is also seeking to Armoured
invest in future technologies and supports start-ups and innova- 1 (2nd) armd bde (2 tk regt, 3 armd inf regt, 1 SP arty
tion in the defence domain. regt, 1 engr regt)
106 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
1 (7th) armd bde (1 tk regt, 1 armd BG, 3 armd inf regt, EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
1 SP arty regt, 1 engr regt)
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
1 armd BG (UAE) MBT 200 Leclerc
Mechanised ASLT 248 AMX-10RC
1 (6th) lt armd bde (2 armd cav regt, 1 armd inf regt, 1 RECCE 1,516: 70 ERC-90F4 Sagaie; 1,446 VBL/VB2L
mech inf regt, 1 mech inf regt(-), 1 SP arty regt, 1 engr IFV 627: 517 VBCI VCI; 110 VBCI VPC (CP)
regt) APC 2,338
1 (FRA/GER) mech bde (1 armd cav regt, 1 mech inf APC (T) 53 BvS-10
regt) APC (W) 2,285: 2,200 VAB; 85 VAB VOA (OP)
1 mech regt (Djibouti) AUV 16 Aravis
Light ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
1 (27th) mtn bde (1 armd cav regt, 3 mtn inf regt, 1 arty AEV 54 AMX-30EBG
regt, 1 engr regt) ARV 48+: 30 AMX-30D; 18 Leclerc DNG; VAB-EHC
3 inf regt (French Guiana & French West Indies) VLB 67: 39 EFA; 18 PTA; 10 SPRAT
1 inf regt (New Caledonia) MW 24+: AMX-30B/B2; 4 Buffalo; 20 Minotaur
1 inf bn (Côte d’Ivoire) NBC VEHICLES 40 VAB NRBC
1 inf coy (Mayotte) ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE • MSL
Air Manoeuvre SP 110 VAB Milan
1 (11th) AB bde (1 armd cav regt, 4 para regt, 1 arty regt, MANPATS Eryx; FGM-148 Javelin; Milan; MMP
1 engr regt, 1 spt regt) ARTILLERY 273+
1 AB regt (La Réunion) SP 155mm 109: 32 AU-F-1; 77 CAESAR
1 AB bn (Gabon) TOWED 155mm 12 TR-F-1
Amphibious MRL 227mm 12 M270 MLRS
1 (9th) amph bde (2 armd cav regt, 1 armd inf regt, 2 MOR 140+: 81mm LLR 81mm; 120mm 140 RT-F-1
mech inf regt, 1 SP arty regt, 1 engr regt) AIRCRAFT • TPT • Light 13: 5 PC-6B Turbo Porter; 5 TBM-
Other 700; 3 TBM-700B
4 SMA regt (French Guiana, French West Indies & HELICOPTERS
Indian Ocean) ATK 70: 38 Tiger HAP; 32 Tiger HAD
3 SMA coy (French Polynesia, Indian Ocean & New MRH 110: 18 AS555UN Fennec; 92 SA341F/342M Gazelle
Caledonia) (all variants)
COMBAT SUPPORT TPT 157: Heavy 8 H225M Caracal (CSAR); Medium 114:
1 MRL regt 26 AS532UL Cougar; 36 NH90 TTH; 52 SA330 Puma;
2 engr regt Light 35 H120 Colibri (leased)
2 EW regt UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES
1 int bn ISR • Medium 23 SDTI (Sperwer)
1 CBRN regt AIR DEFENCE • SAM • Point-defence Mistral
5 sigs regt
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT Navy 35,300
5 tpt regt EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
1 log regt SUBMARINES 10
1 med regt STRATEGIC • SSBN 4:
3 trg regt 1 Le Triomphant opcon Strategic Nuclear Forces with 16
HELICOPTER M45 SLBM with 6 TN-75 nuclear warheads, 4 single
1 (4th) hel bde (3 hel regt) 533mm TT with F17 Mod 2 HWT/SM39 Exocet AShM
ISR UAV (currently undergoing modernisation programme to
1 UAV regt install M51 SLBM; expected completion 2018/19)
AIR DEFENCE 3 Le Triomphant opcon Strategic Nuclear Forces with 16
1 SAM regt M51 SLBM with 6 TN-75 nuclear warheads, 4 single
533mm TT with F17 Mod 2 HWT/SM39 Exocet AShM
Special Operation Forces 2,200 TACTICAL • SSN 6:
FORCES BY ROLE 6 Rubis with 4 single 533mm TT with F17 Mod 2 HWT/
SPECIAL FORCES SM39 Exocet AShM
2 SF regt PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS 24
HELICOPTER AIRCRAFT CARRIERS 1
1 hel regt CVN 1 Charles de Gaulle with 4 Sylver A43 octuple VLS
with Aster 15 SAM, 2 sextuple Sadral lnchr with
Reserves 21,650 reservists Mistral SAM (capacity 35–40 Rafale M/E-2C Hawkeye/
Reservists form 79 UIR (Reserve Intervention Units) of AS365 Dauphin)
about 75 to 152 troops, for ‘Proterre’ – combined land DESTROYERS • DDGHM 12:
projection forces bn, and 23 USR (Reserve Specialised 2 Cassard with 2 quad lnchr with MM40 Exocet Block
Units) of about 160 troops, in specialised regt 2 AShM, 1 Mk13 GMLS with SM-1MR SAM, 2
Europe 107
Europe
Sadral lnchr with Mistral SAM, 2 single 533mm ASTT FORCES BY ROLE
with L5 HWT, 1 100mm gun (capacity 2 Lynx hel) STRIKE/FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
3 Georges Leygues (mod) with 2 quad lnchr with MM40 2 sqn with Rafale M F3
Exocet AShM, 1 octuple lnchr with Crotale SAM, 2 1 sqn (forming) with Rafale M F3
twin Simbad lnchr with Mistral SAM, 2 single 324mm ANTI-SURFACE WARFARE
ASTT with MU90 LWT, 1 100mm gun (capacity 2 1 sqn with AS565SA Panther
Lynx hel) ANTI-SUBMARINE WARFARE
4 Aquitaine with 2 8-cell Sylver A70 VLS with MdCN 2 sqn (forming) with NH90 NFH
(SCALP Naval) LACM, 2 quad lnchr with MM40 1 sqn with Lynx Mk4
Exocet Block 3 AShM, 2 8-cell Sylver A43 VLS with MARITIME PATROL
Aster 15 SAM, 2 twin B515 324mm ASTT with MU90 2 sqn with Atlantique 2
LWT, 1 76mm gun (capacity 1 NH90 NFH hel) 1 sqn with Falcon 20H Gardian
FRIGATES • FFGHM 11: 1 sqn with Falcon 50MI
6 Floreal with 2 single lnchr with MM38 Exocet AShM, AIRBORNE EARLY WARNING & CONTROL
1 twin Simbad lnchr with Mistral SAM, 1 100mm gun
1 sqn with E-2C Hawkeye
(capacity 1 AS565SA Panther hel)
SEARCH & RESCUE
5 La Fayette with 2 quad lnchr with MM40 Exocet Block
1 sqn with AS365N/F Dauphin 2
3 AShM, 1 octuple lnchr with Crotale SAM (space for
TRAINING
fitting 2 octuple VLS lnchr for Aster 15/30), 1 100mm
1 sqn with EMB 121 Xingu
gun (capacity 1 AS565SA Panther/SA321 Super Frelon
1 unit with SA319B Alouette III
hel)
1 unit with Falcon 10MER
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 20
1 unit with CAP 10M
FSM 7 D’Estienne d’Orves with 1 twin Simbad lnchr with
Mistral SAM, 4 single ASTT, 1 100mm gun EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
PSO 3 d’Entrecasteaux with 1 hel landing platform AIRCRAFT 54 combat capable
PCC 5: 2 L’Audacieuse; 3 Flamant FGA 42 Rafale M F3
PCO 5: 2 La Confiance, 1 Lapérouse; 1 Le Malin; 1 Fulmar ASW 12 Atlantique 2 (10 more in store)
MINE WARFARE • MINE COUNTERMEASURES 17 AEW&C 3 E-2C Hawkeye
MCD 4 Vulcain SAR 4 Falcon 50MS
MHC 3 Antarès TPT 26: Light 11 EMB-121 Xingu; PAX 15: 6 Falcon
MHO 10 Éridan 10MER; 5 Falcon 20H Gardian; 4 Falcon 50MI
AMPHIBIOUS TRG 7 CAP 10M
PRINCIPAL AMPHIBIOUS SHIPS 3 HELICOPTERS
LHD 3 Mistral with 2 twin Simbad lnchr with Mistral ASW 38: 16 Lynx Mk4; 22 NH90 NFH
SAM (capacity up to 16 NH90/SA330 Puma/AS532 MRH 45: 9 AS365N/F/SP Dauphin 2; 2 AS365N3; 16
Cougar/Tiger hel; 2 LCAC or 4 LCM; 13 MBTs; 50 AS565SA Panther; 18 SA319B Alouette III
AFVs; 450 troops) AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES
LANDING CRAFT 38 AAM • IR R-550 Magic 2; IIR Mica IR; ARH Mica RF
LCT 4 EDA-R ASM AASM; AS-30L
LCM 9 CTM AShM AM39 Exocet
LCVP 25
LACM Nuclear ASMPA
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 34 BOMBS
ABU 1 Telenn Mor Laser-guided: GBU-12 Paveway II
AG 3 Chamois
AGE 2: 1 Corraline; 1 Lapérouse (used as trials ships for Marines 2,000
mines and divers)
AGI 1 Dupuy de Lome Commando Units 550
AGM 1 Monge FORCES BY ROLE
AGOR 2: 1 Pourquoi pas? (used 150 days per year by MANOEUVRE
Ministry of Defence; operated by Ministry of Research Reconnaissance
and Education otherwise); 1 Beautemps-beaupré 1 recce gp
108 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Europe
PB 38: 2 Athos; 4 Géranium; 24 VCSM; 8 VSMP
HELICOPTERS • TPT • Light 60: 25 AS350BA Ecureuil; naval base at Fort de France (Martinique); 4 gendarmerie
20 H135; 15 H145 coy; 1 PB; 2 AS350BA Ecureuil
GABON: 350; 1 AB bn
Cyber GERMANY: 2,000 (incl elm Eurocorps and FRA/GER bde);
In mid-December 2016, the French defence ministry
1 (FRA/GER) mech bde (1 armd cav regt, 1 mech inf regt)
published a new cyber-security doctrine based on a concept
of active defence, whereby a newly formed military-cyber GULF OF GUINEA: Operation Corymbe 1 LHD; 1 FSM
corps is authorised to pre-emptively identify, trace and INDIAN OCEAN: 2,000 (incl La Réunion and TAAF); 1
track potential attackers, neutralise such attacks on a pre- (Marine) para regt; 1 (Foreign Legion) inf coy; 1 SMA
emptive basis and retaliate against attacks on the basis of regt; 1 SMA coy; 2 FFGHM; 1 PCO; 1 LCM; 1 naval HQ at
an escalation model that also allows for kinetic responses. Port-des-Galets (La Réunion); 1 naval base at Dzaoudzi
Cyber defence is formally designated an art of war and is (Mayotte); 1 Falcon 50M; 1 SAR/tpt sqn with 2 CN235M; 5
to be taught to France’s entire officer corps. The military- gendarmerie coy; 1 SA319 Alouette III
cyber corps, staffed largely by the foreign-intelligence
service, will report directly to the chief of the general staff. IRAQ: Operation Inherent Resolve (Chammal) 500; 1 SF gp; 1
The new doctrine acknowledges the presence of a Tailored trg unit; 1 SP arty bty with 4 CAESAR
Access Unit, which has been in existence for over 30 years JORDAN: Operation Inherent Resolve (Chammal) 8 Rafale F3;
and is deployed overseas to provide covert coverage of 1 Atlantique 2
specific targets. The military-cyber corps personnel level
LEBANON: UN • UNIFIL 669; 1 mech inf bn(-); 1 maint
is scheduled to rise to 2,600, supplemented by a reserve
coy; VBL; VBCI; VAB; Mistral
force, which itself is scheduled to rise to 4,400. The
February 2018 strategic review of cyber defence noted MALI: Operation Barkhane 1,750; 1 mech inf BG; 1 log bn; 1
four operational areas for cyber: protection, intelligence, hel unit with 4 Tiger; 3 NH90 TTH; 6 SA330 Puma; 4 SA342
judicial investigation and ‘military action’, which can Gazelle; EU • EUTM Mali 13; UN • MINUSMA 24
use ‘active cyber warfare’ and allow ‘national defence NEW CALEDONIA: 1,660; 1 (Marine) mech inf regt; 1
operations’. SMA coy; 6 ERC-90F1 Lynx; 1 FFGHM; 1 PSO; 2 PCC;
1 base with 2 Falcon 200 Gardian at Nouméa; 1 tpt unit
DEPLOYMENT with 2 CN235 MPA; 3 SA330 Puma; 4 gendarmerie coy; 2
AS350BA Ecureuil
ARABIAN SEA: Combined Maritime Forces • CTF-150: 2
FFGHM NIGER: Operation Barkhane 500; 1 FGA det with 2 Mirage
2000C; 2 Mirage 2000D; 1 tkr/tpt det with 1 C-135FR; 1
BURKINA FASO: Operation Barkhane 250; 1 SF gp; 1 H225M;
1 SA342 Gazelle C-160 Transall; 1 UAV det with 4 MQ-9A Reaper
CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC: EU • EUTM RCA 40 QATAR: Operation Inherent Resolve (Chammal) 1 E-3F Sentry
UN • MINUSCA 10; 1 UAV unit SENEGAL: 350; 1 Falcon 50MI
CHAD: Operation Barkhane 1,500; 1 mech inf BG; 1 FGA SYRIA: Operation Inherent Resolve (Chammal) 1 SF unit
det with 4 Mirage 2000C/D; 1 tpt det with 1 C-130H; 4
UKRAINE: OSCE • Ukraine 18
CN235M
UNITED ARAB EMIRATES: 650: 1 armd BG (1 tk coy, 1
CÔTE D’IVOIRE: 950; 1 (Marine) inf bn
arty bty); Leclerc; CAESAR; •: Operation Inherent Resolve
DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO: UN • (Chammal); 1 FGA sqn with 6 Rafale F3
MONUSCO 2
WESTERN SAHARA: UN • MINURSO 2 obs
DJIBOUTI: 1,450; 1 (Marine) combined arms regt with (2
recce sqn, 2 inf coy, 1 arty bty, 1 engr coy); 1 hel det with
2 SA330 Puma; 1 SA342 Gazelle; 1 LCM; 1 FGA sqn with FOREIGN FORCES
4 Mirage 2000-5; 1 SAR/tpt sqn with 1 C-160 Transall; 2 Belgium 28 Alpha Jet trg ac located at Cazaux/Tours
SA330 Puma Germany 400 (GER elm Eurocorps)
EGYPT: MFO 1 Singapore 200; 1 trg sqn with 12 M-346 Master
110 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Europe
6 Type-212A with 6 single 533mm TT with DM2A4
Seehecht HWT Air Force 27,600
PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS 14 FORCES BY ROLE
DESTROYERS • DDGHM 7: FIGHTER
4 Brandenburg with 2 twin lnchr with MM38 Exocet 3 wg (2 sqn with Eurofighter Typhoon)
AShM, 1 16-cell Mk41 VLS with RIM-7M/P, 2 Mk49 FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
GMLS with RIM-116 RAM SAM, 2 twin 324mm 1 wg (2 sqn with Tornado IDS)
ASTT with MU90 LWT, 1 76mm gun (capacity 2 Sea 1 wg (2 sqn with Eurofighter Typhoon (multi-role))
Lynx Mk88A hel) ISR
3 Sachsen with 2 quad Mk141 lnchr with RGM-84F 1 wg (1 ISR sqn with Tornado ECR/IDS; 2 UAV sqn with
Harpoon AShM, 1 32-cell Mk41 VLS with SM-2MR/ Heron)
RIM-162B ESSM SAM, 2 21-cell Mk49 GMLS with TANKER/TRANSPORT
RIM-116 RAM SAM, 2 triple Mk32 324mm ASTT 1 (special air mission) wg (3 sqn with A310 MRTT;
with MU90 LWT, 1 76mm gun (capacity; 2 Sea Lynx A319; A340; AS532U2 Cougar II; Global 5000)
Mk88A hel) TRANSPORT
FRIGATES 7 1 wg (total: 1 sqn with C-160D Transall)
FFGHM 2 Bremen with 2 quad Mk141 lnchr with RGM- 1 wg (3 sqn (forming) with A400M Atlas)
84A/C Harpoon AShM, 1 octuple Mk29 GMLS with TRAINING
RIM-7M/P Sea Sparrow SAM, 2 Mk49 GMLS with 1 sqn located at Holloman AFB (US) with Tornado IDS
RIM-116 RAM SAM, 2 twin 324mm ASTT with Mk46 1 unit (ENJJPT) located at Sheppard AFB (US) with T-6
LWT, 1 76mm gun (capacity 2 Sea Lynx Mk88A hel) Texan II; T-38A
FFGM 5 Braunschweig (K130) with 2 twin lnchr with 1 hel unit located at Fassberg
RBS15 AShM, 2 Mk49 GMLS each with RIM-116 TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
RAM SAM, 1 76mm gun, 1 hel landing platform 1 tpt hel wg (3 sqn with CH-53G/GA/GE/GS Stallion; 1
MINE WARFARE • MINE COUNTERMEASURES 24 sqn with H145M)
MHO 10 Frankenthal (2 used as diving support) AIR DEFENCE
MSO 2 Ensdorf 1 wg (3 SAM gp) with MIM-104C/F Patriot PAC-2/3
MSD 12 Seehund 1 AD gp with ASRAD Ozelot; C-RAM Mantis and trg unit
AMPHIBIOUS • LCU 1 Type-520 1 AD trg unit located at Fort Bliss (US) with MIM-
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 22 104C/F Patriot PAC-2/3
AFSH 3 Berlin (Type-702) (capacity 2 Sea King Mk41 hel; 3 (tac air ctrl) radar gp
2 RAMs)
AG 4: 2 Schwedeneck (Type-748); 2 Stollergrund (Type-745) Air Force Regiment
AGI 3 Oste (Type-423) FORCES BY ROLE
AGOR 1 Planet (Type-751) MANOEUVRE
AOR 6 Elbe (Type-404) with 1 hel landing platform Other
(2 specified for PFM support; 1 specified for SSK 1 sy regt
support; 3 specified for MHC/MSC support) EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
AOT 2 Rhön (Type-704) AIRCRAFT 217 combat capable
APB 2: 1 Knurrhahn; 1 Ohre FTR 129 Eurofighter Typhoon
AXS 1 Gorch Fock ATK 68 Tornado IDS
ATK/EW 20 Tornado ECR*
Naval Aviation 2,000 TKR/TPT 4 A310 MRTT
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE TPT 53: Heavy 21 A400M; Medium 23 C-160D Transall;
AIRCRAFT 8 combat capable PAX 9: 1 A310; 2 A340 (VIP); 2 A319; 4 Global 5000
ASW 8 AP-3C Orion TRG 109: 69 T-6A Texan II, 40 T-38A
TPT • Light 2 Do-228 (pollution control) HELICOPTERS
HELICOPTERS MRH 15 H145M
ASW 22 Lynx Mk88A TPT 73: Heavy 70 CH-53G/GA/GS/GE Stallion; Medium
SAR 21 Sea King Mk41 3 AS532U2 Cougar II (VIP)
112 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES • ISR • Heavy 8 advancing technical cyber/IT capabilities and guiding
Heron 1 cyber policies. A Cyber and Information Space Command
AIR DEFENCE (KdoCIR) led by a chief of staff for Cyber and Information
SAM Space (InspCIR) was launched in April 2017. The overall aim
Long-range 30 MIM-104C/F Patriot PAC-2/PAC-3 of these reforms is to assign current capabilities to areas of
Point-defence 10 ASRAD Ozelot (with FIM-92 Stinger) responsibility, protect Bundeswehr and national cyber and
GUNS 35mm 12 C-RAM Mantis IT infrastructure, and improve capabilities in order to better
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES respond to cyber attacks. Germany’s defence minister stated
AAM • IR AIM-9L/Li Sidewinder; IIR IRIS-T; ARH in April 2017 that the armed forces could respond with
AIM-120B AMRAAM offensive cyber operations if networks are attacked.
LACM Taurus KEPD 350
ARM AGM-88B HARM DEPLOYMENT
BOMBS
Laser-guided GBU-24 Paveway III, GBU-54 JDAM AFGHANISTAN: NATO • Operation Resolute Support 1,300;
1 bde HQ; 1 recce bn; 1 hel flt with CH-53; 1 UAV flt with
Joint Support Service 27,400 3 Heron 1 UAV
FORCES BY ROLE
ALBANIA: OSCE • Albania 3
COMBAT SUPPORT ARMENIA/AZERBAIJAN: OSCE • Minsk Conference 1
3 MP regt
BLACK SEA: NATO • SNMCMG 2: 1 AOR
2 NBC bn
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT BOSNIA-HERZEGOVINA: OSCE • Bosnia & Herzegovina 1
6 log bn DJIBOUTI: EU • Operation Atalanta 1 AP-3C Orion
1 spt regt ESTONIA: NATO • Baltic Air Policing 6 Eurofighter
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Typhoon
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES FRANCE: 400 (incl GER elm Eurocorps)
APC • APC (W) 74 TPz-1 Fuchs (inc variants)
AUV 451: 206 Dingo 2; 245 Eagle IV/V IRAQ: 110 (trg spt)
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES JORDAN: Operation Inherent Resolve 300; 4 Tornado ECR; 1
ARV 59: 29 BPz-2; 30 BPz-3 Büffel A310 MRTT
NBC VEHICLES 35 TPz-1 Fuchs A6/A7/A8 NBC LEBANON: UN • UNIFIL 112; 1 FFGM
LIBYA: UN • UNISMIL 2 obs
Joint Medical Services 19,900
LITHUANIA: NATO • Enhanced Forward Presence 580; 1
FORCES BY ROLE
mech inf bn HQ; 1 mech inf coy(+) with Leopard 2A6; Boxer
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
4 med regt MALI: EU • EUTM Mali 147; UN • MINUSMA 430; 1 sy
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE coy; 1 int coy; 1 UAV sqn
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES MEDITERRANEAN SEA: EU • EU NAVFOR MED: 1
APC • APC (W) 109: 72 Boxer (amb); 37 TPz-1 Fuchs (amb) FFGHM; NATO • SNMG 2: 1 FFGHM
AUV 42 Eagle IV/V (amb) MOLDOVA: OSCE • Moldova 1
NIGER: Operation Barkhane 2 C-160 Transall
Cyber & Information Command 12,700
NORTH SEA: NATO • SNMCMG 1: 1 MHO
FORCES BY ROLE
COMBAT SUPPORT POLAND: 100 (GER elm MNC-NE)
4 EW bn SERBIA: NATO • KFOR 440; OSCE • Kosovo 7
6 sigs bn
SOUTH SUDAN: UN • UNMISS 3; 11 obs
United Kingdom 3,750; 1 armd bde(-) (1 tk regt, 1 armd armed forces are conscript based, although Athens is looking to
inf bn); 1 SP arty regt; 1 maint regt; 1 med regt become fully professional. However, financial difficulties and wide-
United States spread abuse of the deferment process have slowed plans. Train-
ing levels are reportedly good, with a focus by the armed forces
US Africa Command: Army; 1 HQ at Stuttgart on joint operational training. Greece’s deployments involve limited
US European Command: 37,950; 1 combined service HQ numbers of personnel and focus on the near abroad, although the
(EUCOM) at Stuttgart-Vaihingen country contributes to EU, NATO and UN missions. Greece is mod-
Army 23,000; 1 HQ (US Army Europe (USAREUR) at ernising and upgrading its stored P-3B Orion aircraft to strengthen
Heidelberg; 1 div HQ (fwd); 1 SF gp; 1 recce bn; 2 armd its maritime-patrol and anti-submarine-warfare capability. Rotary-
bn; 1 mech bde(-); 1 arty bn; 1 (cbt avn) hel bde(-); 1 (cbt wing transport capability is being boosted and most of the F-16
fleet is being upgraded. Procurement priorities include the pro-
Europe
avn) hel bde HQ; 1 int bde; 1 MP bde; 1 sigs bde; 1 spt
curement of multi-purpose frigates and a new combat aircraft.
bde; 1 ARNG SAM bde(-); 1 (APS) armd bde eqpt set; Greece has an extensive defence industry focused on the domestic
M1A2 SEPv2 Abrams; M2A2 Bradley; Stryker Dragoon; market, capable of manufacturing and developing naval vessels,
M109A6; M119A3; M777A2; AH-64D Apache; CH-47F subsystems, ammunition and small arms.
Chinook; UH-60L/M Black Hawk; HH-60M Black Hawk;
M1097 Avenger ACTIVE 142,350 (Army 93,500 Navy 16,250 Air
Navy 500 21,000 Joint 11,600) Paramilitary 4,000
Conscript liability 9 months army; 12 months navy and air force
USAF 13,100; 1 HQ (US Airforce Europe (USAFE)) at
Ramstein AB; 1 HQ (3rd Air Force) at Ramstein AB; 1 RESERVE 220,500 (Army 181,500 Navy 5,000 Air
ftr wg at Spangdahlem AB with 1 ftr sqn with 24 F-16CJ 34,000)
Fighting Falcon; 1 airlift wg at Ramstein AB with 14
C-130J-30 Hercules; 2 Gulfstream V (C-37A); 5 Learjet
35A (C-21A); 1 B-737-700 (C-40B) ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
USMC 1,350
Army 48,500; 45,000 conscripts (total 93,500)
Units are manned at 3 different levels – Cat A 85% fully
Greece GRC ready, Cat B 60% ready in 24 hours, Cat C 20% ready in 48
Euro € 2017 2018 2019 hours (requiring reserve mobilisation). 3 military regions
GDP € 178bn 183bn FORCES BY ROLE
COMMAND
US$ 201bn 218bn
2 corps HQ (incl NRDC-GR)
per capita US$ 18,637 20,311 1 armd div HQ
Growth % 1.4 2.0 3 mech inf div HQ
Inflation % 1.1 0.7 1 inf div HQ
Def exp [a] € 4.21bn 4.11bn SPECIAL FORCES
US$ 4.76bn 4.90bn 1 SF comd
1 cdo/para bde
Def bdgt [b] € 4.19bn 4.11bn 4.23bn
MANOEUVRE
US$ 4.73bn 4.90bn
Reconnaissance
US$1=€ 0.89 0.84 4 recce bn
[a] NATO definition Armoured
[b] Includes military pensions 4 armd bde (2 armd bn, 1 mech inf bn, 1 SP arty bn)
Mechanised
Population 10,761,523
10 mech inf bde (1 armd bn, 2 mech bn, 1 SP arty bn)
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus Light
2 inf regt
Male 7.1% 2.4% 2.5% 2.7% 24.9% 9.2%
Air Manoeuvre
Female 6.7% 2.3% 2.4% 2.7% 25.3% 11.8%
1 air mob bde
1 air aslt bde
Capabilities Amphibious
Greece’s 2014 National Military Strategy identifies the country’s 1 mne bde
principal defence objectives as safeguarding sovereignty and COMBAT SUPPORT
territorial integrity. The armed forces would also be expected 2 MRL bn
to support Cyprus in the event of a conflict. The Force Structure 3 AD bn (2 with I-Hawk, 1 with Tor M1)
2013–27 document set out plans to make the armed forces more 3 engr regt
flexible, rapidly deployable and cost-effective. Greece is a NATO
2 engr bn
member and leads an EU battlegroup. In recent years, defence-
cooperation agreements have been signed with Cyprus, Egypt
1 EW regt
and Israel. In 2018, talks began on an enhanced US presence in 10 sigs bn
the country. The Mutual Defense Cooperation Agreement is the COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
cornerstone of US–Greece defence cooperation and provides for 1 log corps HQ
a naval-support facility and an airfield at Souda Bay in Crete. The 1 log div (3 log bde)
114 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Europe
LANDING SHIPS • LST 5: IIR IRIS-T; Mica IR; ARH AIM-120B/C AMRAAM;
5 Chios (capacity 4 LCVP; 300 troops) with 1 76mm Mica RF
gun, 1 hel landing platform ASM AGM-65A/B/G Maverick
LANDING CRAFT 15 LACM SCALP EG
LCU 5 AShM AM39 Exocet
LCA 7 ARM AGM-88 HARM
LCAC 3 Kefallinia (Zubr) with 2 AK630 CIWS (capacity BOMBS
either 3 MBT or 10 APC (T); 230 troops) Electro-optical guided: GBU-8B HOBOS
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 25 Laser-guided: GBU-10/12/16 Paveway II; GBU-24
ABU 2 Paveway III; GBU-50 Enhanced Paveway II
AG 2 Pandora INS/GPS-guided GBU-31 JDAM; AGM-154C JSOW
AGOR 1 Naftilos
AGS 2: 1 Stravon; 1 Pytheas Air Defence
AOR 2 Axios (ex-GER Luneburg) FORCES BY ROLE
AORH 1 Prometheus (ITA Etna) with 1 Phalanx CIWS AIR DEFENCE
AOT 4 Ouranos 6 sqn/bty with MIM-104A/B/D Patriot/Patriot PAC-1
AWT 6 Kerkini SOJC/Patriot PAC-2 GEM
AXS 5 2 sqn/bty with S-300PMU-1 (SA-10C Grumble)
12 bty with Skyguard/RIM-7 Sparrow/guns; Crotale NG/
Coastal Defence GR; Tor-M1 (SA-15 Gauntlet)
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
COASTAL DEFENCE • AShM 2 MM40 Exocet AIR DEFENCE
SAM
Naval Aviation Long-range 48: 36 MIM-104A/B/D Patriot/Patriot
FORCES BY ROLE PAC-1 SOJC/PAC-2 GEM; 12 S-300PMU-1 (SA-10C
ANTI-SUBMARINE WARFARE Grumble)
1 div with S-70B Seahawk; Bell 212 (AB-212) ASW Short-range 13+: 9 Crotale NG/GR; 4 9K331 Tor-M1
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE (SA-15 Gauntlet); some Skyguard/Sparrow
AIRCRAFT • ASW (5 P-3B Orion in store undergoing GUNS • 30mm 35+ Artemis-30
modernisation)
HELICOPTERS Air Support Command
ASW 18: 7 Bell 212 (AB-212) ASW; 11 S-70B Seahawk FORCES BY ROLE
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES SEARCH & RESCUE/TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
ASM AGM-114 Hellfire 1 sqn with AS332C Super Puma (SAR/CSAR)
AShM AGM-119 Penguin 1 sqn with AW109; Bell 205A (AB-205A) (SAR); Bell
212 (AB-212 - VIP, tpt)
Air Force 18,800; 2,200 conscripts (total 21,000) TRANSPORT
1 sqn with C-27J Spartan
Tactical Air Force 1 sqn with C-130B/H Hercules
FORCES BY ROLE 1 sqn with EMB-135BJ Legacy; ERJ-135LR; Gulfstream V
FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
1 sqn with F-4E Phantom II AIRCRAFT
3 sqn with F-16CG/DG Block 30/50 Fighting Falcon TPT 26: Medium 23: 8 C-27J Spartan; 5 C-130B Hercules;
3 sqn with F-16CG/DG Block 52+ Fighting Falcon 10 C-130H Hercules; Light 2: 1 EMB-135BJ Legacy; 1
2 sqn with F-16C/D Block 52+ ADV Fighting Falcon ERJ-135LR; PAX 1 Gulfstream V
1 sqn with Mirage 2000-5EG/BG Mk2 HELICOPTERS
1 sqn with Mirage 2000EG/BG TPT 31: Medium 12 AS332C Super Puma; Light 19: 12
AIRBORNE EARLY WARNING Bell 205A (AB-205A) (SAR); 4 Bell 212 (AB-212) (VIP,
1 sqn with EMB-145H Erieye Tpt); 3 AW109
116 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Europe
1 EOD/rvn regt
1 CBRN bn Paramilitary 12,000
1 sigs regt
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT Border Guards 12,000 (to reduce)
1 log regt Ministry of Interior
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE FORCES BY ROLE
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES MANOEUVRE
MBT 44 T-72M1 Other
IFV 120 BTR-80A 1 (Budapest) paramilitary district (7 rapid reaction coy)
APC 272 11 (regt/district) paramilitary regt
APC (W) 260 BTR-80 EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
PPV 12 Maxxpro Plus ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES APC • APC (W) 68 BTR-80
AEV BAT-2
ARV VT-55A Cyber
VLB BLG-60; MTU; TMM A National Cyber Security Centre was established in
NBC VEHICLES 24+: 24 K90 CBRN Recce; PSZH-IV CBRN 2015 by uniting the GovCERT-Hungary and the National
Recce Electronic Information Security Authority. The centre is
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE supervised by the interior ministry (MoI). There is also a
MSL • MANPATS 9K111 Fagot (AT-4 Spigot); 9K111-1 National Cybersecurity Coordination Council, a National
Konkurs (AT-5 Spandrel) Cybersecurity Forum and a cyber coordinator for cyber
ARTILLERY 31 security at the governmental level. The Information
TOWED 152mm 31 D-20 Security Centre for Critical Systems and Facilities operated
MOR 82mm by the MoI’s National Disaster Management Directorate
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS • PBR 2 has responsibility for critical-infrastructure protection,
MINE COUNTERMEASURES • MSR 4 Nestin including of information. The Cyber Defence Centre
(CDC) was established in 2016 within the Military National
Air Component 5,750 Security Service for security management, vulnerability
FORCES BY ROLE assessment and for incident handling in the defence
FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK sector. Since the end of 2017, the CDC has operated a 24/7
1 sqn with Gripen C/D computer-incident response capability.
TRANSPORT
1 sqn with An-26 Curl
DEPLOYMENT
TRAINING
1 sqn with Z-143LSi; Z-242L AFGHANISTAN: NATO • Operation Resolute Support 111
ATTACK HELICOPTER BOSNIA-HERZEGOVINA: EU • Operation Althea 164; 1 inf
1 sqn with Mi-24 Hind coy; OSCE • Bosnia & Herzegovina 1
TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC: UN • MINUSCA 2; 2 obs
1 sqn with Mi-8 Hip; Mi-17 Hip H
AIR DEFENCE CYPRUS: UN • UNFICYP 11
1 SAM regt (9 bty with Mistral; 3 bty with 2K12 Kub IRAQ: Operation Inherent Resolve 164
(SA-6 Gainful))
LEBANON: UN • UNIFIL 10
1 radar regt
MALI: EU • EUTM Mali 7
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
AIRCRAFT 14 combat capable MOLDOVA: OSCE • Moldova 1
FGA 14: 12 Gripen C; 2 Gripen D SERBIA: NATO • KFOR 388; 1 inf coy (KTM)
TPT 6: Light 4 An-26 Curl; PAX 2 A319
SOMALIA: EU • EUTM Somalia 4
TRG 4: 2 Z-143LSi; 2 Z-242L
HELICOPTERS UKRAINE: OSCE • Ukraine 28
ATK 11: 3 Mi-24D Hind D; 6 Mi-24V Hind E; 2 Mi-24P Hind F WESTERN SAHARA: UN • MINURSO 2 obs
118 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
Male 10.4% 3.3% 3.6% 3.7% 22.4% 6.8% Male 11.0% 3.1% 2.9% 3.1% 23.8% 6.0%
Female 10.0% 3.2% 3.4% 3.5% 22.1% 7.7% Female 10.5% 3.0% 2.8% 3.1% 23.6% 7.0%
Capabilities Capabilities
Iceland is a NATO member but maintains only a coastguard service. The armed forces’ core mission is defending the state against
In 2016, the country established a National Security Council to armed aggression, although a 2015 white paper broadened the
implement and monitor security policy. The coastguard controls scope of the national-security risk assessment beyond traditional
the NATO Iceland Air Defence System, as well as a NATO Control military and paramilitary threats. It listed inter- and intra-state con-
and Reporting Centre that feeds into NATO air- and missile- flict, cyber attacks, terrorism, emergencies and natural disasters,
defence and air-operations centres. Increased Russian air and among others. The army maintains substantial EOD capabilities.
naval activities in the Atlantic and close to NATO airspace have led Ireland is active in EU defence cooperation and continues to con-
to complaints from Iceland. Iceland considers its bilateral defence tribute to multinational operations. Its forces are well trained for
agreement with the US as an important pillar of its security policy their roles. Ireland is also working to establish a specialist reserve
and participates in the security-policy dialogue of NORDEFCO. with relevant professional qualifications. It has sufficient logistic
Iceland hosts NATO and regional partners for exercises, transits capability to sustain its UN deployments but has no strategic-airlift
capacity. After the white paper, Dublin identified a large number of
and naval task groups, as well as the Icelandic Air Policing mission.
defence projects to be completed over a ten-year period. Key pri-
Despite there being no standing armed forces, Iceland makes
orities include a mid-life upgrade for the army’s Piranha armoured
financial contributions and on occasion deploys civilian person-
personnel carriers, EOD robots and UAVs. Ireland has a small
nel to NATO missions. In late 2016, following a June joint declara-
defence industry. Specialist firms export drive-train technologies
tion between the two countries, the US Navy began operating P-8
for land systems while aviation maintenance, repair and overhaul
Poseidon maritime-patrol aircraft from Keflavik air base, and was is principally focused on the civil sector.
reportedly upgrading hangars and other infrastructure at the site
to enable regular, rotational patrols. ACTIVE 9,500 (Army 7,500 Navy 1,100 Air 900)
ACTIVE NIL Paramilitary 250 RESERVE 4,050 (Army 3,850 Navy 200)
Europe
PPV 27 RG-32M
MIDDLE EAST: UN • UNTSO 13 obs
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTURCTURE
MSL • MANPATS FGM-148 Javelin MOLDOVA: OSCE • Moldova 1
RCL 84mm Carl Gustav SERBIA: NATO • KFOR 12; OSCE • Kosovo 3
ARTILLERY 299 SYRIA/ISRAEL: UN • UNDOF 126; 1 inf coy
TOWED • 105mm 23: 17 L118 Light Gun; 6 L119 Light
Gun UKRAINE: OSCE • Ukraine 11
MOR 275: 81mm 180; 120mm 95 WESTERN SAHARA: UN • MINURSO 3 obs
AIR DEFENCE
SAM • Point-defence RBS-70
GUNS • TOWED 40mm 32 L/70 each with 8 Flycatcher
Italy ITA
Euro € 2017 2018 2019
Reserves 3,850 reservists
GDP € 1.72tr 1.76tr
FORCES BY ROLE
US$ 1.94tr 2.09tr
MANOEUVRE
Reconnaissance per capita US$ 31,997 34,349
1 (integrated) armd recce sqn Growth % 1.5 1.2
2 (integrated) cav sqn Inflation % 1.3 1.3
Mechanised Def exp [a] € 21.2bn 21.2bn
1 (integrated) mech inf coy US$ 23.9bn 25.1bn
Light
Def bdgt [b] € 20.3bn 21.0bn 21.0bn
14 (integrated) inf coy
COMBAT SUPPORT US$ 22.9bn 24.9bn
4 (integrated) arty bty US$1=€ 0.89 0.84
2 engr gp [a] NATO definition
2 MP coy [b] Includes military pensions
3 sigs coy
Population 62,246,674
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
2 med det Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
2 tpt coy
Male 7.0% 2.4% 2.5% 2.7% 24.4% 9.3%
Naval Service 1,100 Female 6.7% 2.3% 2.5% 2.8% 25.3% 12.3%
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 8
Capabilities
PSOH 1 Eithne with 1 57mm gun Italy is concerned by security challenges in the Euro-Atlantic envi-
PSO 5: 2 Roisin with 1 76mm gun; 3 Samuel Beckett with ronment, as well as from Europe’s southern flank. The 2017–19
1 76mm gun defence plan, building on the 2015 defence white paper, outlined
a goal to reduce personnel numbers and improve joint activity
PCO 2 Orla (ex-UK Peacock) with 1 76mm gun
between the services. NATO member Italy takes part in the Alli-
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT • AXS 2
ance’s air-policing mission and since early 2017 has deployed to
Latvia as part of the Enhanced Forward Presence. The EUNAVFOR-
Air Corps 880 MED force is headquartered in Rome, while the US Navy 6th Fleet
2 ops wg; 2 spt wg; 1 trg wg; 1 comms and info sqn is based in Naples. Italian forces are well equipped and trained,
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE though the white paper indicated a desire to improve joint train-
ing. The country takes part in and hosts NATO and other multi-
AIRCRAFT
national exercises and continues to support NATO, EU and UN
MP 2 CN235 MPA
operations abroad. However, Italy is planning to gradually reduce
TPT • Light 5: 4 Cessna FR-172H; 1 Learjet 45 (VIP) its presence overseas to focus on Europe’s southern flank. Italy’s
TRG 8 PC-9M logistics capability is enabled by a fleet of medium transport air-
HELICOPTERS: craft and tankers. The white paper detailed capability-enhance-
MRH 6 AW139 ment programmes including upgrades to main battle tanks and
TPT • Light 2 H135 (incl trg/medevac) procurement of armoured fighting vehicles, counter-UAV systems
120 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
(capacity mixed air group of 18 AV-8B Harrier II; ARSH 1 Anteo (capacity 1 Bell 212 (AB-212) hel)
AW101 Merlin; NH90; Bell 212) ATS 6 Ciclope
DESTROYERS • DDGHM 11: AWT 7: 1 Bormida; 2 Simeto; 4 Panarea
2 Andrea Doria with 2 quad lnchr with Otomat Mk2A AXL 3 Aragosta
AShM, 1 48-cell VLS with Aster 15/Aster 30 SAM, 2 AXS 8: 1 Amerigo Vespucci; 1 Palinuro; 1 Italia; 5 Caroly
single 324mm ASTT with MU90 LWT, 3 76mm guns
(capacity 1 AW101 Merlin/NH90 hel) Naval Aviation 2,200
2 Luigi Durand de la Penne (ex-Animoso) with 2 quad FORCES BY ROLE
lnchr with Otomat Mk 2A AShM/Milas A/S, 1 Mk13 FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
GMLS with SM-1MR SAM, 1 octuple Albatros lnchr 1 sqn with AV-8B Harrier II; TAV-8B Harrier II
Europe
with Aspide SAM, 2 triple 324mm ASTT with Mk46 ANTI-SUBMARINE WARFARE/TRANSPORT
LWT, 1 127mm gun, 3 76mm guns (capacity 1 NH90 5 sqn with AW101 ASW Merlin; Bell 212 ASW (AB-
or 2 Bell 212 (AB-212) hel) 212AS); Bell 212 (AB-212); NH90 NFH
3 Bergamini (GP) with 2 quad lnchr with Otomat Mk2A MARITIME PATROL
AShM, 1 16-cell VLS with Aster 15/Aster 30 SAM, 2 1 flt with P-180
triple 324mm ASTT with MU90 LWT, 1 127mm gun, AIRBORNE EARLY WANRING & CONTROL
1 76mm gun (capacity 2 AW101/NH90 hel) 1 flt with AW101 AEW Merlin
4 Bergamini (ASW) with 2 quad lnchr with Otomat EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Mk2A AShM, 1 16-cell VLS with Aster 15/Aster AIRCRAFT 17 combat capable
30 SAM, 2 triple 324mm ASTT with MU90 LWT, 2 FGA 17: 14 AV-8B Harrier II; 2 TAV-8B Harrier II; 1
76mm gun (capacity 2 AW101/NH90 hel) F-35B Lightning II
FRIGATES • FFGHM 5 Maestrale with 4 single lnchr with MP 3 P-180
Otomat Mk2 AShM, 1 octuple Albatros lnchr with Aspide HELICOPTERS
SAM, 2 triple 324mm ASTT with Mk46 LWT, 1 127mm ASW 47: 10 AW101 ASW Merlin; 9 Bell 212 ASW; 28
gun (capacity 1 NH90 or 2 Bell 212 (AB-212) hel) NH90 NFH
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 15 AEW 4 AW101 AEW Merlin
CORVETTES • FSM 1 Minerva 1 8-cell Albatros lnchr TPT 15: Medium 11: 8 AW101 Merlin; 3 NH-90 MITT;
with Aspide SAM, 1 76mm gun
Light 4 Bell 212 (AB-212)
PSOH 10: AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES
4 Cassiopea with 1 76mm gun (capacity 1 Bell 212 (AB- AAM • IR AIM-9L Sidewinder; ARH AIM-120
212) hel AMRAAM
4 Comandante Cigala Fuligosi with 1 76mm gun (capacity ASM AGM-65 Maverick
1 Bell 212 (AB-212)/NH90 hel) AShM Marte Mk 2/S
2 Sirio (capacity 1 Bell 212 (AB-212) or NH90 hel)
PB 4 Esploratore Marines 3,000
MINE WARFARE • MINE COUNTERMEASURES 10 FORCES BY ROLE
MHO 10: 8 Gaeta; 2 Lerici
MANOEUVRE
AMPHIBIOUS
Amphibious
PRINCIPAL AMPHIBIOUS SHIPS 3
1 mne regt (1 recce coy, 2 mne bn, 1 log bn)
LHD 3:
1 (boarding) mne regt (2 mne bn)
2 San Giorgio with 1 76mm gun (capacity 3-4 AW101/
1 landing craft gp
NH90/Bell 212; 3 LCM 2 LCVP; 30 trucks; 36 APC
Other
(T); 350 troops)
1 sy regt (3 sy bn)
1 San Giusto with 1 76mm gun (capacity 2 AW101
Merlin/ NH90/Bell 212; 3 LCM 2 LCVP; 30 trucks; EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
36 APC (T); 350 troops) ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
LANDING CRAFT 24: 15 LCVP; 9 LCM APC (T) 27: 24 VCC-1; 3 VCC-2
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 63 AAV 18: 15 AAVP-7; 2 AAVC-7
ABU 5 Ponza ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
AFD 9 ARV 1 AAVR-7
AGE 3: 1 Leonardo (coastal); 1 Raffaele Rosseti; 1 Vincenzo ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
Martellota MSL• MANPATS Milan; Spike
AGI 1 Elettra ARTILLERY
AGOR 1 Alliance MOR 32: 81mm 18 Brandt; 120mm 10 Brandt; SP
AGS 3: 1 Ammiraglio Magnaghi with 1 hel landing 120mm 4 M106
platform; 2 Aretusa (coastal) AIR DEFENCE • SAM • Point-defence FIM-92 Stinger
AKSL 6 Gorgona
AORH 3: 1 Etna with 1 76mm gun (capacity 1 AW101/ Air Force 41,100
NH90/Bell 212 hel); 2 Stromboli with 1 76mm gun FORCES BY ROLE
(capacity 1 AW101/NH90 hel) FIGHTER
AOT 7 Depoli 4 sqn with Eurofighter Typhoon
122 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
AIRCRAFT • TPT • Light: 1 P-180 Avanti SERBIA: NATO • KFOR 538; 1 mtn inf BG HQ; 1
HELICOPTERS Carabinieri unit; OSCE • Kosovo 10
MRH 24 Bell 412 (AB-412)
SOMALIA: EU • EUTM Somalia 123
TPT • Light 19 AW109
TURKEY: NATO • Operation Active Fence 130; 1 SAM bty
Customs 68,100 with SAMP/T
(Servizio Navale Guardia Di Finanza) UKRAINE: OSCE • Ukraine 26
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE UNITED ARAB EMIRATES: 120; 1 tpt flt with 2 C-130J
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 179 Hercules
PCF 1 Antonio Zara
Europe
WESTERN SAHARA: UN • MINURSO 2 obs
PBF 146: 19 Bigliani; 24 Corrubia; 9 Mazzei; 62 V-2000;
32 V-5000/V-6000
PB 32: 24 Buratti; 8 Meatini
FOREIGN FORCES
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT • AX 1 Giorgio Cini United States US European Command: 12,750
Army 4,200; 1 AB IBCT(-)
Cyber Navy 4,000; 1 HQ (US Navy Europe (USNAVEUR)) at
A Joint Integrated Concept on Computer Network Naples; 1 HQ (6th Fleet) at Gaeta; 1 ASW Sqn with 4
Operations was approved in 2009, as was a Joint Interagency P-8A Poseidon at Sigonella
Concept on Cyberwarfare in 2014. The National Strategic USAF 4,350; 1 ftr wg with 2 ftr sqn with 21 F-16C/D
Framework for Cyberspace Security, released in 2013, says Fighting Falcon at Aviano; 1 CSAR sqn with 8 HH-60G
that the defence ministry ‘plans, executes and sustains Pave Hawk
Computer Network Operations in the cyber domain in USMC 200
order to prevent, localize and defend (actively and in-
depth), oppose and neutralise all threats and/or hostile Latvia LVA
actions in the cyber domain’. Following the 2015 defence
white paper, Italy created a Joint Cyber Command. This Euro € 2017 2018 2019
will achieve full operational capability in 2019. Initial focus GDP € 26.9bn 28.9bn
is on network protection, including of deployed forces. US$ 30.3bn 34.3bn
per capita US$ 15,550 17,634
DEPLOYMENT Growth % 4.5 3.7
AFGHANISTAN: NATO • Operation Resolute Support 800; 1 Inflation % 2.9 2.7
mech inf bde HQ; 1 mech inf regt(-); 1 hel regt(-); AW129 Def exp [a] € 454m 576m
Mangusta; NH90; RQ-7 US$ 513m 684m
ALBANIA: OSCE • Albania 1 Def bdgt [b] € 470m 576m 601m
counter hybrid threats. The armed forces are volunteer-based, Navy 480 (incl Coast Guard)
although the option of moving to conscription was discussed, Naval Forces Flotilla separated into an MCM squadron and
and rejected, in 2017. Latvia has no requirement and therefore no
a patrol-boat squadron. LVA, EST and LTU have set up a
capacity to independently deploy and sustain forces beyond its
joint naval unit, BALTRON, with bases at Liepaja, Riga,
national boundaries, although the armed forces have taken part
Ventspils (LVA), Tallinn (EST), Klaipeda (LTU). Each nation
in a range of NATO operations, and EU civilian and military mis-
contributes 1–2 MCMVs
sions. Land capabilities are part of the focus of the armed forces
development plan – particularly for the mechanised land-force EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
brigade and National Guard. Acquisition requirements include self- PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 5
propelled howitzers, CVR(T), MANPADS and ATGW systems. The PB 5 Skrunda (GER Swath)
defence ministry also plans to improve combat readiness. Latvia MINE WARFARE • MINE COUNTERMEASURES 6
has only niche defence-industrial capability, with cyber security a MHO 5 Imanta (ex-NLD Alkmaar/Tripartite)
focus. MCCS 1 Vidar (ex-NOR)
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 1
ACTIVE 6,210 (Army 1,400 Navy 480 Air 430 Joint AXL 1 Varonis (comd and spt ship, ex-NLD)
Staff 3,300 National Guard 600)
Coast Guard
RESERVE 15,900 (National Guard 7,750; Joint Under command of the Latvian Naval Forces
8,150) EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE PB 6: 1 Astra; 5 KBV 236 (ex-SWE)
Europe
FOREIGN FORCES
RESERVE 6,700 (Army 6,700)
All NATO Enhanced Forward Presence unless stated
Albania 21; 1 EOD pl
Canada 350; 1 mech inf bn HQ; 1 mech inf coy(+)
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
Czech Republic 60; 1 mor pl
Italy 160; 1 mech inf coy Army 7,350; 5,050 active reserves (total 12,400)
Poland 169; 1 tk coy FORCES BY ROLE
Slovakia 150; 1 mech inf coy MANOEUVRE
Mechanised
Slovenia 50; 1 CBRN pl(+)
1 (1st) mech bde (1 recce coy, 4 mech inf bn, 1 arty bn)
Spain 300; 1 armd inf coy(+)
Light
United States Operation Atlantic Resolve: 1 tpt hel flt; 5 UH- 1 (2nd) mot inf bde (2 mot inf bn, 1 arty bn)
60M Black Hawk COMBAT SUPPORT
1 engr bn
Lithuania LTU COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
1 trg regt
Euro € 2017 2018 2019 EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
GDP € 41.9bn 44.2bn ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
US$ 47.3bn 52.5bn IFV 4 Boxer (Vilkas) (in test)
per capita US$ 16,731 18,857 APC • APC (T) 238: 234 M113A1; 4 M577 (CP)
Growth % 3.9 3.5
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
AEV 8 MT-LB
Inflation % 3.7 2.5
ARV 6: 2 BPz-2; 4 M113
Def exp [a] € 724m 873m ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
US$ 817m 1.04bn MSL
Def bdgt [b] € 724m 891m 952m SP 10 M1025A2 HMMWV with FGM-148 Javelin
US$ 817m 1.06bn MANPATS FGM-148 Javelin
FMA (US) US$ 10m 0m RCL 84mm Carl Gustav
ARTILLERY 64
US$1=€ 0.89 0.84
SP 16 PzH 2000
[a] NATO definition TOWED 105mm 18 M101
[b] Includes military pensions MOR 120mm 30: 5 2B11; 10 M/41D; 15 M113 with
Population 2,793,284 Tampella
AIR DEFENCE • SAM • Point-defence GROM
Ethnic groups: Lithuanian 84.2%; Polish 6.6%; Russians 5.8%;
Belarusian 1.2%
Reserves
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
National Defence Voluntary Forces 5,050 active
Male 7.7% 2.7% 3.0% 3.4% 22.6% 6.7% reservists
Female 7.3% 2.6% 2.8% 3.2% 25.0% 13.0% FORCES BY ROLE
MANOEUVRE
Capabilities Other
Lithuania’s small armed forces focus on maintaining territorial 6 (territorial) def unit
integrity and national sovereignty but the country relies on NATO
membership for its security. Like the other Baltic states, it is reliant Navy 760
on NATO’s air-policing deployment for a combat-aircraft capac- LVA, EST and LTU established a joint naval unit,
ity. Russia is the country’s predominant security concern, and
BALTRON, with bases at Liepaja, Riga, Ventpils (LVA),
this shapes Lithuanian defence policy. In January 2017, Lithuania
adopted a new National Security Strategy, reflecting the worsen-
Tallinn (EST), Klaipeda (LTU)
ing regional security environment. Better combat readiness is an EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
objective. Compulsory military service was reintroduced in 2015. PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 4
126 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
PCC 4 Zemaitis (ex-DNK Flyvefisken) with 1 76mm gun and is now responsible for shaping national cyber-security
MINE WARFARE • MINE COUNTERMEASURES 4 policy. A unified National Cyber Security Centre under the
MHC 3: 1 Sūduvis (ex-GER Lindau); 2 Skulvis (ex-UK Hunt) defence ministry operates as the main national computer
MCCS 1 Jotvingis (ex-NOR Vidar) emergency-response unit for management of cyber inci-
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT • AAR 1 Šakiai dents related to critical information infrastructure and SIR,
public services, ISPs and digital-services providers. The
Air Force 1,200 law on cyber security was amended in mid-2018. The de-
FORCES BY ROLE fence ministry prepared a National Cyber Security Strategy
AIR DEFENCE
in cooperation with other state institutions and the private
1 AD bn
sector; this was adopted in August 2018. Lithuania is estab-
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
lishing a Regional Cyber Security Defense Center that will
AIRCRAFT
concentrate on practical aspects of cyber defence, including
TPT 5: Medium 3 C-27J Spartan; Light 2 L-410 Turbolet
for NATO and its partners. Lithuania also in 2018 started
TRG 1 L-39ZA Albatros
HELICOPTERS a Cyber Rapid Response Teams and Mutual Assistance in
MRH 3 AS365M3 Dauphin (SAR) Cybersecurity project within the PESCO framework.
TPT • Medium 3 Mi-8 Hip (tpt/SAR)
AIR DEFENCE • SAM • Point-defence FIM-92 Stinger; DEPLOYMENT
RBS-70
AFGHANISTAN: NATO • Operation Resolute Support 50
Special Operation Force CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC: EU • EUTM RCA 1
FORCES BY ROLE MALI: EU • EUTM Mali 2; UN • MINUSMA 38; 1 obs
SPECIAL FORCES
1 SF gp (1 CT unit; 1 Jaeger bn, 1 cbt diver unit) NORTH SEA: NATO • SNMCMG 1: 1 MHC
SERBIA: NATO • KFOR 1
Logistics Support Command 1,350 UKRAINE: JMTG-U 40; OSCE • Ukraine 2
FORCES BY ROLE
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
1 log bn FOREIGN FORCES
All NATO Enhanced Forward Presence unless stated
Training and Doctrine Command 1,550 Belgium 250; 1 mech inf coy • NATO Baltic Air Policing 4
FORCES BY ROLE F-16AM Fighting Falcon
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
Croatia 230; 1 mech inf coy
1 trg regt
Germany 580; 1 armd inf bn HQ; 1 mech inf coy(+)
Other Units 2,600 Netherlands 250; 1 armd inf coy
FORCES BY ROLE Norway 13; 1 int unit
COMBAT SUPPORT
1 MP bn
Luxembourg LUX
Paramilitary 14,400 Euro € 2017 2018 2019
Europe
Lithuania as part of NATO’s Enhanced Forward Presence. It is part Inflation % 1.4 1.8
of the European Multi-Role Tanker Transport Fleet programme, Def bdgt d 6.24bn 6.50bn
partially funding one A330 MRTT, but the Belgian and Dutch air
US$ 114m 125m
forces are responsible for policing Luxembourg’s airspace. Sus-
taining the army’s personnel strength depends on better recruit- FMA (US) US$ 3.6m 0m
ing and retention and being able to recruit from other EU states. US$1=d 54.53 51.92
A review is under way, examining a specialised reserve of civilian
experts. The defence guidelines envisage considerable equipment Population 2,118,945
improvements and cooperative development of UAV capabilities Ethnic groups: Macedonian 64.2%; Albanian 25.2%; Turkish 3.9%;
with Belgium and the Netherlands. Ambitions for the new air com- Romani 2.7%; Serbian 1.8%; Bosniac 0.9%
ponent include tactical-airlift and medical-evacuation capabilities.
There is a small but advanced space industry and some foreign Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
defence firms have a presence, but the country is otherwise Male 8.9% 3.3% 3.6% 3.8% 24.5% 5.8%
reliant on imports. A strategy for defence industry, innovation and
research is to be developed as part of the new defence guidelines. Female 8.3% 3.1% 3.4% 3.6% 24.2% 7.7%
AFGHANISTAN: NATO • Operation Resolute Support 2 ACTIVE 8,000 (Army 8,000) Paramilitary 7,600
MALI: EU • EUTM Mali 2 RESERVE 4,850
MEDITERRANEAN SEA: EU • EUNAVFOR MED 2 Merlin
IIIC (leased) ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
Army 8,000
FORCES BY ROLE
SPECIAL FORCES
1 SF regt (1 SF bn, 1 Ranger bn)
MANOEUVRE
Mechanised
1 mech inf bde (1 tk bn, 4 mech inf bn, 1 arty bn, 1 engr
bn, 1 NBC coy)
128 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Europe
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE years. Reform and professionalism of the armed forces has been
ARTILLERY • MOR 81mm L16 slow, and developments have been focused on structural issues
AIR DEFENCE • GUNS 14.5mm 1 ZPU-4 around improving recruitment, outflow and professional develop-
ment. The armed forces are not designed to have an expedition-
Maritime Squadron ary capability, and as such have little logistics capability to support
Organised into 5 divisions: offshore patrol; inshore patrol; rap- deployments beyond national borders. Nevertheless, personnel
id deployment and training; marine engineering; and logistics have deployed to Afghanistan with NATO, affording them valuable
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE experience. Podgorica intends to replace ageing Soviet-era equip-
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 8 ment. Procurement priorities include light and medium helicop-
PCO 1 Emer ters and light armoured vehicles as well as improved communica-
PCC 1 Diciotti tions capacities according to NATO standards. Future plans include
PB 6: 4 Austal 21m; 2 Marine Protector the formation of a SOF unit and intelligence unit in the land forces.
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 2 The country’s defence industry is capable of producing small arms
AAR 2 Cantieri Vittoria and ammunition.
Air Wing ACTIVE 1,950 (Army 875 Navy 350 Air Force 225
1 base party. 1 flt ops div; 1 maint div; 1 integrated log div; Other 500) Paramilitary 10,100
1 rescue section
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
AIRCRAFT
TPT • Light 5: 3 Beech 200 King Air (maritime patrol); 2
BN-2B Islander
Army 875
TRG 3 Bulldog T MK1 FORCES BY ROLE
HELICOPTERS MANOEUVRE
MRH 6: 3 AW139 (SAR); 3 SA316B Alouette III Reconnaissance
1 recce coy
Montenegro MNE Light
1 mot inf bn
Euro € 2017 2018 2019 COMBAT SUPPORT
GDP € 4.24bn 4.53bn 1 MP coy
1 sigs coy
US$ 4.78bn 5.39bn
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
per capita US$ 7,678 8,644
1 log bn
Growth % 4.3 3.7
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Inflation % 2.4 2.8
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
Def exp [a] € 59m 71m APC • APC (W) 8 BOV-VP M-86
US$ 66m 85m ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
Def bdgt [b] € 66m 67m SP 9 BOV-1
US$ 75.0m 79.2m MSL • MANPATS 9K111 Fagot (AT-4 Spigot); 9K111-1
FMA (US) US$ 1m 0m Konkurs (AT-5 Spandrel)
US$1=€ 0.89 0.84 ARTILLERY 135
TOWED 122mm 12 D-30
[a] NATO definition
MRL 128mm 18 M-63/M-94 Plamen
[b] Includes military pensions MOR 105: 82mm 73; 120mm 32
Population 614,249
Ethnic groups: Montenegrian 45% Serbian 28.7% Bosniac 8.6% Navy 350
Albanian 4.9% Croatian 1% 1 Naval Cmd HQ with 4 operational naval units (patrol
boat; coastal surveillance; maritime detachment; and SAR)
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus with additional sigs, log and trg units with a separate
Male 7.5% 2.0% 2.3% 3.5% 28.4% 6.1% coastguard element. Some listed units are in the process of
Female 7.6% 2.6% 2.7% 3.3% 24.9% 9.0% decommissioning
130 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Europe
manufactures engine components for the F-35. The country also
collaborates with Germany on the Boxer and Fennek armoured VLB 13 Legaun
vehicles. MW Bozena
NBC VEHICLES 6 TPz-1 Fuchs NBC
ACTIVE 35,400 (Army 18,850 Navy 8,500 Air 8,050) ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE • MSL
Military Constabulary 5,900 SP 40 Fennek MRAT
RESERVE 4,500 (Army 4,000 Navy 80 Air 420) Military Constabulary MANPATS Spike-MR (Gil)
160
Reserve liability to age 35 for soldiers/sailors, 40 for NCOs, 45 ARTILLERY 119:
for officers SP 155mm 18 PzH 2000
MOR 101: 81mm 83 L16/M1; 120mm 18 Brandt
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE AIR DEFENCE • SAM
Long-range 20 MIM-104D/F Patriot PAC-2 GEM/PAC-3
(TMD capable)
Army 18,850 Short-range 6 NASAMS II
FORCES BY ROLE Point-defence 18+: FIM-92 Stinger; 18 Fennek with FIM-
COMMAND 92 Stinger
elm 1 (1 GNC) corps HQ
SPECIAL FORCES Navy 8,500 (incl Marines)
4 SF coy EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
MANOEUVRE
Reconnaissance SUBMARINES • TACTICAL • SSK 4 Walrus with 4 single
1 ISR bn (2 armd recce sqn, 1 EW coy, 2 int sqn, 1 UAV 533mm TT with Mk48 Sea Arrow HWT
bty) PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS 6
Mechanised DESTROYERS • DDGHM 4:
1 (43rd) mech bde (1 armd recce sqn, 2 armd inf bn, 1 3 De Zeven Provinciën with 2 quad Mk141 lnchr with
engr bn, 1 maint coy, 1 med coy) RGM-84F Harpoon AShM, 1 40-cell Mk41 VLS
1 (13th) mech bde (1 recce sqn, 2 mech inf bn, 1 engr bn, with SM-2MR/ESSM SAM, 2 twin 324mm ASTT
1 maint coy, 1 med coy) with Mk46 LWT, 1 Goalkeeper CIWS, 1 127mm gun
Air Manoeuvre (capacity 1 NH90 hel)
1 (11th) air mob bde (3 air mob inf bn, 1 engr coy, 1 med 1 Zeven Provinciën with 2 quad Mk141 lnchr with RGM-
coy, 1 supply coy, 1 maint coy)
84F Harpoon AShM, 1 40-cell Mk41 VLS with SM-2MR/
COMBAT SUPPORT ESSM SAM, 2 twin 324mm ASTT with Mk46 LWT, 2
1 SP arty bn (3 SP arty bty) Goalkeeper CIWS, 1 127mm gun (capacity 1 NH90 hel)
1 AD comd (1 AD sqn; 1 AD bty) FRIGATES • FFGHM
1 CIMIC bn 2 Karel Doorman with 2 quad Mk141 lnchr with RGM-
1 engr bn 84A/C Harpoon AShM, 1 16-cell Mk48 VLS with
2 EOD coy
1 (CIS) sigs bn
1 CBRN coy RIM-7P Sea Sparrow SAM, 2 twin 324mm ASTT
with Mk46 LWT, 1 Goalkeeper CIWS, 1 76mm gun
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
(capacity 1 NH90 hel)
1 med bn
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS
5 fd hospital
PSOH 4 Holland with 1 76mm gun (capacity 1 NH90 hel)
3 maint coy
MINE WARFARE • MINE COUNTERMEASURES
2 tpt bn
MHO 6 Alkmaar (Tripartite)
Reserves 2,700 reservists
AMPHIBIOUS
PRINCIPAL AMPHIBIOUS SHIPS • LPD 2:
National Command 1 Rotterdam with 2 Goalkeeper CIWS (capacity 6 NH90/
Cadre bde and corps tps completed by call-up of
AS532 Cougar hel; either 6 LCVP or 2 LCM and 3
reservists (incl Territorial Comd) LCVP; either 170 APC or 33 MBT; 538 troops)
FORCES BY ROLE 1 Johan de Witt with 2 Goalkeeper CIWS (capacity 6
MANOEUVRE NH90 hel or 4 AS532 Cougar hel; either 6 LCVP or
Light 2 LCM and 3 LCVP; either 170 APC or 33 MBT; 700
3 inf bn (could be mobilised for territorial def) troops)
132 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
LITHUANIA: NATO • Enhanced Forward Presence 250; 1 ment announced that it would procure four submarines as part
armd inf coy of a strategic partnership with Germany. Large procurements will
stretch budgets, with the F-35 alone reportedly taking up 32% of
MALI: UN • MINUSMA 241; 1 recce coy all procurement spending between 2018 and 2025. In June 2018,
MEDITERRANEAN SEA: NATO • SNMG 1: 1 DDGHM it was announced that a planned upgrade to Norway’s main battle
tank fleet would be abandoned until the mid-2020s. Norway has
MIDDLE EAST: UN • UNTSO 13 obs
an advanced and diverse defence-industrial base with a high per-
NORTH SEA: NATO • SNMCMG 1: 1 MHO centage of SMEs and a mix of private and state-owned companies.
SERBIA: OSCE • Kosovo 1
ACTIVE 23,250 (Army 8,100 Navy 3,900 Air 3,600
SOUTH SUDAN: UN • UNMISS 6 Central Support 7,000 Home Guard 650)
Europe
SYRIA/ISRAEL: UN • UNDOF 2 Conscript liability 19 months maximum. Conscripts first serve 12
months from 19–28, and then up to 4–5 refresher training periods
UKRAINE: OSCE • Ukraine 6
until age 35, 44, 55 or 60 depending on rank and function. Con-
UNITED STATES: 1 hel trg sqn with AH-64D Apache; CH- scription was extended to women in 2015
47D Chinook based at Fort Hood (TX)
RESERVE 40,000 (Home Guard 40,000)
Readiness varies from a few hours to several days
FOREIGN FORCES
United States US European Command: 400
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
Norway NOR Army 3,700; 4,400 conscript (total 8,100)
Norwegian Kroner kr 2017 2018 2019 The armoured infantry brigade – Brigade North – trains
new personnel of all categories and provides units for
GDP kr 3.30tr 3.57tr
international operations. At any time around one-third of
US$ 399bn 441bn the brigade will be trained and ready to conduct operations.
per capita US$ 75,389 82,372 The brigade includes one high-readiness armoured
Growth % 1.9 2.1 battalion (Telemark Battalion) with combat support and
Inflation % 1.9 1.9 combat service support units on high readiness
Def exp [a] kr 53.5bn 57.5bn FORCES BY ROLE
US$ 6.46bn 7.11bn MANOEUVRE
Reconnaissance
Def bdgt [b] kr 51.2bn 54.9bn 59.0
1 (GSV) bn (1 (border) recce coy, 1 ranger coy, 1 spt coy,
US$ 6.20bn 6.80bn
1 trg coy)
US$1=kr 8.27 8.08 Armoured
[a] NATO definition 1 armd inf bde (1 ISR bn, 2 armd bn, 1 lt inf bn, 1 arty
[b] Includes military pensions bn, 1 engr bn, 1 MP coy, 1 CIS bn, 1 spt bn, 1 med bn)
Light
Population 5,372,191
1 lt inf bn (His Majesty The King’s Guards)
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Male 9.2% 3.1% 3.4% 3.6% 23.4% 7.7% ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
MBT 36 Leopard 2A4
Female 8.8% 2.9% 3.2% 3.5% 22.2% 9.0%
RECCE 21 CV9030
IFV 91: 76 CV9030N; 15 CV9030N (CP)
Capabilities APC 390
Norway sustains small but well-equipped and highly trained APC (T) 315 M113 (incl variants)
armed forces. Territorial defence is at the heart of security policy. APC (W) 75 XA-186 Sisu/XA-200 Sisu
The Long Term Defence Plan, published in 2016, said that the
AUV 190: 20 Dingo 2; 170 IVECO LMV
armed forces needed further adjustments to address evolving
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
security challenges at home and abroad. In October 2017, the
defence ministry announced measures to strengthen capability AEV 25: 16 CV90 STING; 8 M113 AEV; 1 Wisent-2
in the High North. A USMC contingent has deployed to Vaernes, ARV 6 BPz-2
on a rotational basis, since January 2017. In August 2018, this VLB 35: 26 Leguan; 9 Leopard 1
was extended for up to five years and a second location at Seter- MW 9 910 MCV-2
monden added. The US will invest, through its European Deter- NBC VEHICLES 6 TPz-1 Fuchs NBC
rence Initiative, in infrastructure upgrades at Rygge Air Station ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
to enable reinforcements in case of conflict. Norway is not an EU MANPATS FGM-148 Javelin
member, but it signed a cooperation agreement with the Euro-
RCL 84mm Carl Gustav
pean Defence Agency in 2006. At any one time, around one-third
of troops are conscripts. Norway maintains a small presence in a ARTILLERY 202
range of international crisis-management missions, including in SP 155mm 24 M109A3GN
Afghanistan, Iraq and in Jordan. Equipment recapitalisation is MOR 202: 81mm 150 L16; SP 81mm 28: 16 CV9030; 12
ongoing. Norway’s first F-35A arrived in late 2017 and the govern- M125A2
134 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Europe
domestic defence-industrial base, much of which is now consoli-
MIDDLE EAST: UN • UNTSO 14 obs dated in the state-owned holding company PGZ, using technology
NORTH SEA: NATO • SNMG 1: 1 DDGHM; NATO • transfers and international partnering. Beyond PGZ, several inter-
SNMCMG 1: 1 MHC national defence primes have subsidiaries in Poland.
SERBIA: NATO • KFOR 2; OSCE • Kosovo 1 ACTIVE 117,800 (Army 61,200 Navy 7,000 Air Force
SOUTH SUDAN: UN • UNMISS 14 18,700 Special Forces 3,400 Territorial 14,000 Joint
UKRAINE: OSCE • Ukraine 12 13,500) Paramilitary 73,400
APC (W) 227: 211 Rosomak APC; 16 AWD RAK (CP) MINE WARFARE • MINE COUNTERMEASURES 21
PPV 30 Maxxpro MCCS 1 Kontradmirał Xawery Czernicki
AUV 85: 40 Cougar (on loan from US); 45 M-ATV MHO 3 Krogulec
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES MSI 17: 1 Gopło; 12 Gardno; 4 Mamry
AEV 25+: IWT; MT-LB; 17 Rosomak WRT; 8 MID Bizon AMPHIBIOUS 8
ARV 69: 28 BPz-2; 15 MT-LB; 26 WZT-3M LANDING SHIPS • LSM 5 Lublin (capacity 9 tanks; 135
VLB 62: 4 Biber; 48 BLG67M2; 10 MS-20 Daglezja troops)
MW 18: 14 Bozena 4; ISM Kroton; 4 Kalina SUM LANDING CRAFT • LCU 3 Deba (capacity 50 troops)
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 20
MSL • MANPATS 9K11 Malyutka (AT-3 Sagger); 9K111 AGI 2 Moma
Fagot (AT-4 Spigot); Spike-LR AGS 8: 2 Heweliusz; 4 Wildcat 40; 2 (coastal)
ARTILLERY 815 AORL 1 Baltyk
SP 427: 122mm 292 2S1 Gvozdika; 152mm 111 M-77 Dana; AOL 1 Moskit
155mm 24 Krab ARS 4: 2 Piast; 2 Zbyszko
MRL 122mm 180: 75 BM-21; 30 RM-70; 75 WR-40 ATF 2
Langusta AX 1 Wodnik with 1 twin AK230 CIWS
MOR 216: 98mm 89 M-98; 120mm 95 M120; SP 120mm AXS 1 Iskra
32 SMK120 RAK COASTAL DEFENCE • AShM 12+: 12 NSM; MM40 Exocet
HELICOPTERS AIR DEFENCE • SAM
ATK 28 Mi-24D/V Hind D/E Short-range Crotale NG/GR
MRH 64: 7 Mi-8MT Hip; 3 Mi-17 Hip H; 1 Mi-17AE Hip
(aeromedical); 5 Mi-17-1V Hip; 16 PZL Mi-2URP Hoplite; Naval Aviation 1,300
24 PZL W-3W/WA Sokol; 8 PZL W-3PL Gluszec (CSAR) FORCES BY ROLE
TPT 34: Medium 9: 7 Mi-8T Hip; 2 PZL W-3AE Sokol ANTI SUBMARINE WARFARE/SEARCH & RESCUE
(aeromedical); Light 25 PZL Mi-2 Hoplite 1 sqn with Mi-14PL Haze A; Mi-14PL/R Haze C
AIR DEFENCE 1 sqn with PZL W-3RM Anakonda; SH-2G Super Sea-
SAM sprite
Short-range 20 2K12 Kub (SA-6 Gainful) MARITIME PATROL
Point-defence 84+: 9K32 Strela-2‡ (SA-7 Grail); 64 9K33 1 sqn with An-28RM; An-28E
Osa-AK (SA-8 Gecko); 20 ZSU-23-4MP Biala; GROM; TRANSPORT
Poprad 1 sqn with An-28TD; M-28B TD Bryza
GUNS 332 1 sqn with An-28TD; M-28B; Mi-17 Hip H; PZL Mi-2
SP 23mm 8 ZSU-23-4 Hoplite; PZL W-3T; 1 PZL W-3A
TOWED 23mm 324; 252 ZU-23-2; 72 ZUR-23-2KG/PG EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
AIRCRAFT
Navy 7,000 MP 10: 8 An-28RM Bryza; 2 An-28E Bryza
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE TPT • Light 4: 2 An-28TD Bryza; 2 M-28B TD Bryza
SUBMARINES • TACTICAL 3 HELICOPTERS ASW 11: 7 Mi-14PL Haze; 4 SH-2G Super
SSK 3: Seasprite
2 Sokol (ex-NOR Type-207) with 8 single 533mm TT MRH 1 Mi-17 Hip H
1 Orzel (ex-FSU Kilo) with 6 single 533mm TT each with SAR 8: 2 Mi-14PL/R Haze C; 4 PZL W-3RM Anakonda; 2
53-65 HWT (currently non-operational; has been in PZL W-3WA RM Anakonda
refit since 2014; damaged by fire in 2017) TPT • Light 7: 4 PZL Mi-2 Hoplite; 1 PZL W-3A; 2 PZL-
PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS 2 W-3T
FRIGATES • FFGHM 2 Pulaski (ex-US Oliver Hazard
Perry) with 1 Mk13 GMLS with RGM-84D/F Harpoon Air Force 18,700
AShM/SM-1MR SAM, 2 triple 324mm ASTT with FORCES BY ROLE
MU90 LWT, 1 Phalanx Block 1B CIWS, 1 76mm gun FIGHTER
(capacity 2 SH-2G Super Seasprite ASW hel) (1 vessel 2 sqn with MiG-29A/UB Fulcrum
used as training ship) FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 4 3 sqn with F-16C/D Block 52+ Fighting Falcon
CORVETTES • FSM 1 Kaszub with 2 quad lnchr with FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK/ISR
9K32 Strela-2 (SA-N-5 Grail) SAM, 2 twin 533mm ASTT 2 sqn with Su-22M-4 Fitter
with SET-53 HWT, 2 RBU 6000 Smerch 2 A/S mor, 1 SEARCH AND RESCUE
76mm gun 1 sqn with Mi-2; PZL W-3 Sokol
PCFGM 3: TRANSPORT
3 Orkan (ex-GDR Sassnitz) with 1 quad lnchr with 1 sqn with C-130E; PZL M-28 Bryza
RBS15 Mk3 AShM, 1 quad lnchr (manual aiming) 1 sqn with C295M; PZL M-28 Bryza
with Strela-2 (SA-N-5 Grail) SAM, 1 AK630 CIWS, 1 TRAINING
76mm gun 1 sqn with PZL-130 Orlik
Europe 137
Europe
FTR 32: 25 MiG-29A Fulcrum; 7 MiG-29UB Fulcrum tasks needed in order to build a national cyber-security
FGA 66: 36 F-16C Block 52+ Fighting Falcon; 12 F-16D capability. It was reported that the document noted
Block 52+ Fighting Falcon; 12 Su-22M4 Fitter; 6 Su- the need to pursue ‘active cyber defence, including
22UM3K Fitter offensive actions in cyberspace’ and maintain ‘readiness
TPT 46: Medium 5 C-130E Hercules; Light 39: 16 C295M; for cyberwar’. In November 2018, the defence ministry
23 M-28 Bryza TD; PAX 2: 1 Gulfstream G550; 1 737-800 announced that the classified 2017–26 armed forces
TRG 68: 8 M-346; 28 PZL-130 Orlik; 32 TS-11 Iskra development plan had been agreed, noting references to
HELICOPTERS the creation of cyber-defence forces.
MRH 8 Mi-17 Hip H
TPT 69: Medium 29: 9 Mi-8 Hip; 10 PZL W-3 Sokol; 10 DEPLOYMENT
PZL W-3WA Sokol (VIP); Light 40: 16 PZL Mi-2 Hoplite;
AFGHANISTAN: NATO • Operation Resolute Support 315;
24 SW-4 Puszczyk (trg)
UN • UNAMA 1 obs
AIR DEFENCE • SAM
Long-range 1 S-200C Vega (SA-5 Gammon) ARMENIA/AZERBAIJAN: OSCE • Minsk Conference 1
Short-range 17 S-125 Neva SC (SA-3 Goa) BOSNIA-HERZEGOVINA: EU • EUFOR • Operation Althea 39
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC: EU • EUTM RCA 1
AAM • IR R-60 (AA-8 Aphid); R-73 (AA-11 Archer);
AIM-9 Sidewinder; R-27T (AA-10B Alamo); IIR AIM-9X DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO: UN •
Sidwinder II; ARH AIM-120C AMRAAM MONUSCO 1 obs
ASM AGM-65J/G Maverick; Kh-25 (AS-10 Karen); Kh-29 IRAQ: Operation Inherent Resolve 130
(AS-14 Kedge) LATVIA: NATO • Enhanced Forward Presence 160; 1 tk coy
LACM Conventional AGM-158 JASSM
ROMANIA: NATO • MNB-SE 225; 1 mech inf coy;
Rosomak
Special Forces 3,400
SERBIA: NATO • KFOR 252; 1 inf coy; OSCE • Kosovo 1;
FORCES BY ROLE
UN • UNMIK 1 obs
SPECIAL FORCES
3 SF units (GROM, FORMOZA & cdo) SOUTH SUDAN: UN • UNMISS 1 obs
COMBAT SUPPORT/ UKRAINE: OSCE • Ukraine 41
1 cbt spt unit (AGAT)
WESTERN SAHARA: UN • MINURSO 2 obs
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
1 spt unit (NIL)
FOREIGN FORCES
Territorial Defence Forces 14,000 All NATO Enhanced Forward Presence unless stated
FORCES BY ROLE Croatia 69; 1 MRL bty with M91 Vulkan
MANOEUVRE Germany MNC-NE corps HQ: 100
Other Romania 120; 1 ADA bty; 1 MP coy
3 sy bde United Kingdom 115; 1 recce sqn
10 sy bde (forming) United States: 774; 1 ARNG armd bn with M1A1 AIM
Abrams; M2A2 ODS Bradley; M109A6 • Operation Atlantic
Paramilitary 73,400 Resolve 2,100; 1 armd bde HQ; 1 armd cav sqn(-); 1 SP arty
bn; M1A2 SEPv2 Abrams; M3A3 Bradley; M109A6; 1 atk hel
Border Guards 14,300 flt with AH-64D Apache; 1 tpt hel flt with 8 UH-60 Black
Ministry of Interior Hawk
Maritime Border Guard 3,700
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 18
PCC 2 Kaper
PBF 6: 2 Straznik; 4 IC16M
PB 10: 2 Wisloka; 2 Baltic 24; 1 Project MI-6
138 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
FORCES BY ROLE
Portugal PRT SPECIAL FORCES
1 SF bn
Euro € 2017 2018 2019
MANOEUVRE
GDP € 193bn 201bn Reconnaissance
US$ 218bn 238bn 1 ISR bn
per capita US$ 21,159 23,176 Mechanised
Growth % 2.7 2.3 1 mech bde (1 cav tp, 1 tk regt, 1 mech inf bn, 1 arty bn,
Inflation % 1.6 1.7
1 AD bty, 1 engr coy, 1 sigs coy, 1 spt bn)
1 (intervention) bde (1 cav tp, 1 recce regt, 2 mech inf bn,
Def exp [a] € 2.40bn 2.73bn
1 arty bn, 1 AD bty, 1 engr coy, 1 sigs coy, 1 spt bn)
US$ 2.71bn 3.24bn Air Manoeuvre
Def bdgt € 2.24bn 2.18bn 1 (rapid reaction) bde (1 cav tp, 1 cdo bn, 2 para bn, 1
US$ 2.53bn 2.58bn arty bn, 1 AD bty, 1 engr coy, 1 sigs coy, 1 spt bn)
US$1=€ 0.89 0.84 Other
[a] NATO definition
1 (Azores) inf gp (2 inf bn, 1 AD bty)
1 (Madeira) inf gp (1 inf bn, 1 AD bty)
Population 10,355,493 COMBAT SUPPORT
1 STA bty
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
1 engr bn (1 construction coy; 1 EOD unit; 1 ptn br coy;
Male 8.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.2% 23.8% 7.9% 1 CBRN coy)
Female 7.4% 2.7% 2.6% 2.8% 24.2% 11.5% 1 EW coy
1 MP bn
Capabilities 1 psyops unit
Principal tasks for Portugal’s all-volunteer armed forces are home-
1 CIMIC coy (joint)
land defence, maritime security, multinational operations and 1 sigs bn
responding to humanitarian disasters. The 2013 strategic review COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
set out key defence tasks and envisaged a reduction in army 1 maint coy
strength and organisational change dividing the services into 1 log coy
immediate reaction forces, permanent defence forces and modular 1 tpt coy
forces. Investment plans support Portugal’s ambition to field 1 med unit
rapid-reaction and maritime-surveillance capabilities for territorial AIR DEFENCE
defence and multinational operations. The government in Decem- 1 AD bn
ber 2018 approved a new military programme law for 2019–30;
this has to be approved by parliament. The proposal is expected to Reserves 210,000
boost local defence industry, leading to the acquisition of up to six
KC-390 aircraft; six offshore patrol vessels; a replenishment tanker; FORCES BY ROLE
and a multi-purpose logistics ship. There will be new investments MANOEUVRE
in cyber security and in dual-use technologies. Portugal is an Light
active member of NATO, and NATO’s new cyber-security academy 3 (territorial) def bde (on mobilisation)
is being built there. It also contributes to EU military structures. EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
There is a close relationship with former dependencies and with
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
the US, which operates out of Lajes air base. The army plans to
MBT 37 Leopard 2A6
enhance electronic-warfare capacity, light armour and upgrade its
Leopard 2A6s. The navy intends to upgrade its frigates and subma- RECCE 30: 14 V-150 Chaimite; 16 VBL
rines and acquire patrol vessels and a logistic-support ship, while IFV 30 Pandur II MK 30mm
the air force plans to modernise its remaining F-16s and its P-3C APC 397
Orion maritime-patrol aircraft. There is an active defence industry, APC (T) 239: 176 M113A1; 14 M113A2; 49 M577A2 (CP)
though principally in relation to shipbuilding, broader mainte- APC (W) 158: 12 V-200 Chaimite; 146 Pandur II (incl
nance tasks and the manufacture of components and small arms variants)
and light weapons. ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
ACTIVE 27,200 (Army 13,700 Navy 7,600 Air 5,900) AEV M728
ARV 13: 6 M88A1, 7 Pandur II ARV
Paramilitary 24,700
VLB M48
RESERVE 211,950 (Army 210,000 Navy 1,250, Air ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
Force 700) MSL
Reserve obligation to age 35 SP 26: 17 M113 with TOW; 4 M901 with TOW; 5 Pandur
II with TOW
MANPATS Milan; TOW
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE RCL • 84mm Carl Gustav; 90mm M67; 106mm 45
M40A1
Army 13,700 ARTILLERY 321
5 territorial comd (2 mil region, 1 mil district, 2 mil zone) SP 155mm 24: 6 M109A2; 18 M109A5
Europe 139
TOWED 63: 105mm 39: 17 L119 Light Gun; 21 M101A1; 1 Air Force 5,900
Model 56 pack howitzer; 155mm 24 M114A1 FORCES BY ROLE
MOR 234: 81mm 143; SP 81mm 12: 2 M125A1; 10 FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
M125A2; 107mm 11 M30; SP 107mm 18: 3 M106A1; 15 2 sqn with F-16AM/BM Fighting Falcon
M106A2; 120mm 50 Tampella MARITIME PATROL
AIR DEFENCE 1 sqn with P-3C Orion
SAM • Point-defence 20+: 1 M48A2 Chaparral; 19 M48A3 ISR/TRANSPORT
Chaparral; FIM-92 Stinger 1 sqn with C295M
GUNS • TOWED 20mm 20 Rh 202 COMBAT SEARCH & RESCUE
Europe
1 sqn with with AW101 Merlin
Navy 7,600 (incl 1,250 Marines) TRANSPORT
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE 1 sqn with C-130H/C-130H-30 Hercules
SUBMARINES • TACTICAL • SSK 2 Tridente (GER 1 sqn with Falcon 50
Type-214) with 8 533mm TT with UGM-84L Harpoon TRAINING
Block II AShM/Black Shark HWT 1 sqn with SA316 Alouette III
PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS 5 1 sqn with TB-30 Epsilon
FRIGATES • FFGHM 5: EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
2 Bartolomeu Dias (ex-NLD Karel Doorman) with 2 quad AIRCRAFT 35 combat capable
Mk141 lnchr with RGM-84C Harpoon AShM, 1 16-cell FTR 30: 26 F-16AM Fighting Falcon; 4 F-16BM Fighting
Mk48 VLS with RIM-7M Sea Sparrow SAM, 2 Mk32 Falcon
twin 324mm ASTT with Mk46 LWT, 1 Goalkeeper ASW 5 P-3C Orion
CIWS, 1 76mm gun (capacity: 1 Lynx Mk95 (Super ISR: 7: 5 C295M (maritime surveillance), 2 C295M (photo
Lynx) hel) recce)
3 Vasco Da Gama with 2 quad Mk141 lnchr with RGM- TPT 13: Medium 5: 2 C-130H Hercules; 3 C-130H-30
84C Harpoon AShM, 1 octuple Mk 29 GMLS with Hercules (tpt/SAR); Light 5 C295M; PAX 3 Falcon 50 (tpt/
RIM-7M Sea Sparrow SAM, 2 Mk32 triple 324mm VIP)
ASTT with Mk46 LWT, 1 Phalanx Block 1B CIWS, 1 TRG 16 TB-30 Epsilon
100mm gun (capacity 2 Lynx Mk95 (Super Lynx) hel) HELICOPTERS
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 20 MRH 6 SA316 Alouette III (trg, utl)
CORVETTES • FS 2: TPT • Medium 12 AW101 Merlin (6 SAR, 4 CSAR, 2
1 Baptista de Andrade with 1 100mm gun, 1 hel landing fishery protection)
platform AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES
1 Joao Coutinho with 1 twin 76mm gun, 1 hel landing AAM • IR AIM-9L/I Sidewinder; ARH AIM-120C
platform AMRAAM
PSO 3 Viana do Castelo with 1 hel landing platform ASM AGM-65A Maverick
PCC 4: 2 Cacine; 2 Tejo (ex-DNK Flyvisken) AShM AGM-84A Harpoon
PBR 11: 1 Albatroz; 5 Argos; 4 Centauro; 1 Rio Minho BOMBS
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 11 Laser-guided/GPS GBU-49 Enhanced Paveway II
AGS 4: 2 D Carlos I (ex-US Stalwart); 2 Andromeda INS/GPS guided GBU-31 JDAM
AORL 1 Bérrio (ex-UK Rover) with 1 hel landing platform
(for medium hel) Paramilitary 24,700
AXS 6: 1 Sagres; 1 Creoula; 1 Polar; 2 Belatrix; 1 Zarco
National Republican Guard 24,700
Marines 1,250 EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
FORCES BY ROLE PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 32
SPECIAL FORCES PBF 12
1 SF det PB 20
MANOEUVRE HELICOPTERS • MRH 7 SA315 Lama
Light
2 lt inf bn Cyber
COMBAT SUPPORT The 2013 Cyber Defence Policy Guidance established
1 mor coy
a national cyber-defence structure. Portugal released
1 MP det a National Cyberspace Security Strategy in 2015. The
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE strategic-military aspects of cyber defence are the
ARTILLERY • MOR 120mm 30 responsibility of the Council of the Chiefs of Staff. A Cyber
Defence Centre, under the chief of defence, reached full
Naval Aviation operating capability in 2017. Cyber-defence units within
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE the three branches of the armed forces are responsible for
HELICOPTERS • ASW 5 Lynx Mk95 (Super Lynx) responding to cyber attacks.
140 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Europe
SP 122mm 24: 6 2S1; 18 Model 89 ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
TOWED 449: 122mm 98 (M-30) M-1938 (A-19); 152mm AUV 14: 11 ABC-79M; 3 TABC-79M
351: 247 M-1981; 104 M-1985
MRL 122mm 188: 134 APR-40; 54 LAROM Air Force 10,300
MOR 426: SP 82mm 160: 80 TAB-71AR; 80 TABC-79AR;
FORCES BY ROLE
120mm 266 M-1982
FIGHTER
AIR DEFENCE 2 sqn with MiG-21 Lancer C
SAM • Short-range 32 2K12 Kub (SA-6 Gainful) FIGHTER GROUND ATTACK
GUNS 60 1 sqn (forming) with with F-16AM/BM Fighting Falcon
SP 35mm 36 Gepard GROUND ATTACK
TOWED 35mm 24 GDF-003 1 sqn with IAR-99 Soim
TRANSPORT
Navy 6,500 1 sqn with An-30 Clank; C-27J Spartan
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE 1 sqn with C-130B/H Hercules
PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS 3 TRAINING
DESTROYERS 3 1 sqn with IAR-99 Soim*
DDGH 1 Marasesti with 4 twin lnchr with P-15M 1 sqn with SA316B Alouette III (IAR-316B); Yak-52 (Iak-52)
Termit-M (SS-N-2C Styx) AShM, 2 triple 533mm TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
ASTT with 53–65 HWT, 2 RBU 6000 Smerch 2 A/S 2 (multi-role) sqn with IAR-330 SOCAT Puma
mor, 2 twin 76mm guns (capacity 2 SA-316 (IAR-316) 3 sqn with SA330 Puma (IAR-330)
Alouette III hel) AIR DEFENCE
DDH 2 Regele Ferdinand (ex-UK Type-22), with 2 triple 1 AD bde
324mm TT, 1 76mm gun (capacity 1 SA330 (IAR-330) COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
Puma) 1 engr spt regt
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 24 EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
CORVETTES 4 AIRCRAFT 56 combat capable
FSH 2 Tetal II with 2 twin 533mm ASTT, 2 RBU 6000 FTR 12: 8 F-16AM Fighting Falcon; 4 F-16BM Fighting Falcon
Smerch 2 A/S mor, 2 AK630 CIWS, 1 76mm gun FGA 24: 6 MiG-21 Lancer B; 18 MiG-21 Lancer C
(capacity 1 SA316 (IAR-316) Alouette III hel) ISR 2 An-30 Clank
FS 2 Tetal I with 2 twin 533mm ASTT with 53-65E TPT • Medium 12: 7 C-27J Spartan; 4 C-130B Hercules; 1
HWT, 2 RBU 2500 Smerch 1 A/S mor, 2 twin 76mm C-130H Hercules
guns TRG 32: 10 IAR-99*; 10 IAR-99C Soim*; 12 Yak-52 (Iak-52)
PCFG 3 Zborul with 2 twin lnchr with P-15M Termit-M HELICOPTERS
(SS-N-2C Styx) AShM, 2 AK630 CIWS, 1 76mm gun MRH 30: 22 IAR-330 SOCAT Puma; 8 SA316B Alouette III
PCFT 3 Naluca with 4 single 533mm ASTT (IAR-316B)
PCR 8: TPT • Medium 36: 21 SA330L Puma (IAR-330L); 15
5 Brutar II with 2 BM-21 MRL, 1 100mm gun SA330M Puma (IAR-330M)
3 Kogalniceanu with 2 BM-21 MRL, 2 100mm guns AIR DEFENCE • SAM • Medium-range 14: 6 S-75M3
PBR 6 VD141 (ex-MSR now used for river patrol) Volkhov (SA-2 Guideline); 8 MIM-23 Hawk PIP III
MINE WARFARE 11 AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES
MINE COUNTERMEASURES 10 AAM • IR AIM-9M Sidewinder; R-73 (AA-11 Archer);
MSO 4 Musca with 2 RBU 1200 A/S mor, 2 AK230 R-550 Magic 2; Python 3 ARH AIM-120C AMRAAM
CIWS ASM Spike-ER
MSR 6 VD141 BOMBS
MINELAYERS • ML 1 Corsar with up to 120 mines, 2 Laser-guided GBU-12 Paveway
RBU 1200 A/S mor, 1 57mm gun INS/GPS guided GBU-38 JDAM
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 8
AE 2 Constanta with 2 RBU 1200 A/S mor, 2 twin 57mm Paramilitary ε57,000
guns
AGOR 1 Corsar Gendarmerie ε57,000
AGS 2: 1 Emil Racovita;1 Catuneanu Ministry of Interior
142 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Cyber Capabilities
Romania’s 2013 and 2015 cyber-security strategies define
Serbia’s armed forces focus on territorial defence, internal secu-
the conceptual framework, aim, objectives, priorities rity and limited support to peacekeeping missions. According to
and courses of action for providing cyber security at the the 2018 draft security strategy, key threats include separatism,
national level. Romania’s 2016 Military Strategy said the religious and political extremism, and further international rec-
country needed to develop the legal framework to conduct ognition of Kosovo. The armed forces are modernising to address
operations in cyberspace. The defence ministry contains a long-term capability shortfalls and personnel shortages. Priorities
military CERT. Romania is in 2019 due to join the NATO include procurements; improving availability, maintenance and
Cooperative Cyber Defence Centre of Excellence. readiness levels; and bolstering air-defence systems. Serbia has
agreed to deepen cooperation with NATO through an Individual
Partnership Action Plan, though Belgrade does not aspire to join
DEPLOYMENT the Alliance. Serbia also maintains a close relationship with Russia,
which in recent years has transferred military equipment to Serbia.
AFGHANISTAN: NATO • Operation Resolute Support 742; The armed forces have reduced in size over the last decade, though
1 inf bn annual recruitment goals are not being met. The armed forces also
BOSNIA-HERZEGOVINA: EU • EUFOR • Operation Althea 48 lack skilled technicians to operate and maintain advanced systems
and suffer from a shortage of pilots. Serbia mostly trains with its
CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC: EU • EUTM RCA 14
Balkan neighbours, as well as Belarus, Russia and NATO countries.
DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO: UN • Serbia contributes to EU, OSCE and UN peacekeeping missions.
MONUSCO 4; 7 obs Serbia’s defence industry focuses on missile and artillery systems,
and small arms and ammunition, but the country is reliant on
INDIA/PAKISTAN: UN • UNMOGIP 2 obs
external suppliers for major platforms. Serbia continues to develop
IRAQ: Operation Inherent Resolve 50 its defence industry with a focus on the aerospace industry.
MALI: EU • EUTM Mali 3; UN • MINUSMA 3 ACTIVE 28,150 (Army 13,250 Air Force and Air
POLAND: NATO • Enhanced Forward Presence 120; 1 Defence 5,100 Training Command 3,000 Guards
ADA bty; 1 MP coy 1,600 Other MoD 5,200) Paramilitary 3,700
SERBIA: NATO • KFOR 71; UN • UNMIK 1 obs Conscript liability 6 months (voluntary)
SOMALIA: EU • EUTM Somalia 3 RESERVE 50,150
SOUTH SUDAN: UN • UNMISS 2; 5 obs
UKRAINE: OSCE • Ukraine 36 ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
Europe
RCL 90mm 6 M-79 AIRCRAFT 63 combat capable
ARTILLERY 443 FTR 13+ : 2+ MiG-21bis Fishbed; 2+ MiG-21UM Mongol
SP 67+: 122mm 67 2S1 Gvozdika; 155mm B-52 NORA B; 5 MiG-29 Fulcrum; 4 MiG-29UB Fulcrum
TOWED 132: 122mm 78 D-30; 130mm 18 M-46; 152mm FGA 17 J-22 Orao 1
36 M-84 NORA-A ISR 12: 10 IJ-22R Orao 1*; 2 MiG-21R Fishbed H*
MRL 81: 128mm 78: 18 M-63 Plamen; 60 M-77 Organj; TPT • Light 10: 1 An-2 Colt; 4 An-26 Curl; 2 Do-28
262mm 3 M-87 Orkan Skyservant; 2 Yak-40 (Jak-40); 1 PA-34 Seneca V
MOR 163: 82mm 106 M-69; 120mm 57 M-74/M-75 TRG 42: 21 G-4 Super Galeb*; 11 Utva-75; 10 Lasta 95
AIR DEFENCE HELICOPTERS
SAM ATK 2 Mi-24 Hind
Short-range 77 2K12 Kub (SA-6 Gainful); MRH 52: 1 Mi-17 Hip H; 2 Mi-17V-5 Hip; 2 SA341H
Point-defence 17+: 12 9K31M Strela-1M (SA-9 Gaskin); Gazelle (HI-42); 34 SA341H Gazelle (HN-42)/SA342L
5 9K35M Strela-10M; 9K32M Strela-2M (SA-7 Grail)‡; Gazelle (HN-45); 13 SA341H Gazelle (HO-42)/SA342L1
Šilo (SA-16 Gimlet) Gazelle (HO-45)
GUNS • TOWED 40mm 36 Bofors L/70 TPT • Medium 8 Mi-8T Hip (HT-40)
AIR DEFENCE
River Flotilla SAM
The Serbian–Montenegrin navy was transferred to Short-range 15: 6 S-125 Pechora (SA-3 Goa); 9 2K12 Kub
Montenegro upon independence in 2006, but the (SA-6 Gainful)
Danube flotilla remained in Serbian control. The flotilla Point-defence 9K32 Strela-2 (SA-7 Grail)‡; 9K310 Igla-
1 (SA-16 Gimlet)
is subordinate to the Land Forces
GUNS • TOWED 40mm 24 Bofors
L/70
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 5 AAM • IR R-60 (AA-8 Aphid)
PBR 5: 3 Type-20; 2 others ASM AGM-65 Maverick; A-77 Thunder
MINE WARFARE • MINE COUNTERMEASURES 4
MSI 4 Nestin with 1 quad lnchr with Strela 2M (SA-N- Guards 1,600
5 Grail) SAM
FORCES BY ROLE
AMPHIBOUS • LANDING CRAFT • LCVP 5 Type-22
MANOEUVRE
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 2
Other
AGF 1 Kozara
1 (ceremonial) gd bde (1 gd bn, 1 MP bn, 1 spt bn)
AOL 1
Paramilitary 3,700
Air Force and Air Defence 5,100
FORCES BY ROLE Gendarmerie 3,700
FIGHTER EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
1 sqn with MiG-21bis Fishbed; MiG-29 Fulcrum ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK APC • APC (W) 12+: some Lazar-3; 12 BOV-VP M-86
1 sqn with G-4 Super Galeb*; J-22 Orao AUV BOV M-16 Milos
ISR
2 flt with IJ-22 Orao 1*; MiG-21R Fishbed H*
DEPLOYMENT
TRANSPORT
1 sqn with An-2; An-26; Do-28; Yak-40 (Jak-40); 1 PA-34 ALBANIA: OSCE • Albania 1
Seneca V BOSNIA-HERZEGOVINA: OSCE • Bosnia and
TRAINING Herzegovina 1
1 sqn with G-4 Super Galeb* (adv trg/light atk);
CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC: EU • EUTM RCA 7; UN •
SA341/342 Gazelle; Utva-75 (basic trg)
MINUSCA 73; 2 obs; 1 med coy
ATTACK HELICOPTER
1 sqn with SA341H/342L Gazelle; (HN-42/45); Mi-24 Hind CYPRUS: UN • UNFICYP 2
TRANSPORT HELICOPTER DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO: UN •
2 sqn with Mi-8 Hip; Mi-17 Hip H; Mi-17V-5 Hip MONUSCO 1
144 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
AIR DEFENCE
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE 1 bde with 2K12 Kub (SA-6 Gainful); 9K32 Strela-2 (SA-7
Grail); S-300 (SA-10 Grumble)
Central Staff 2,550
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
FORCES BY ROLE
AIRCRAFT 24 combat capable
SPECIAL FORCES
FTR 12: 10 MiG-29AS Fulcrum; 2 MiG-29UBS Fulcrum;
1 (5th) spec ops bn
TPT 10: Medium 2 C-27J Spartan; Light 8: 2 L-410FG
Army 6,250 Turbolet; 2 L-410T Turbolet; 4 L-410UVP Turbolet
TRG 12: 6 L-39CM Albatros*; 5 L-39ZA Albatros*; 1
FORCES BY ROLE L-39ZAM Albatros*
Europe
MANOEUVRE HELICOPTERS
Armoured ATK (15: 5 Mi-24D Hind D; 10 Mi-24V Hind E all in store)
1 (2nd) armd bde (1 recce bn, 1 tk bn, 1 armd inf bn, 1 MRH 13 Mi-17 Hip H
mot inf bn, 1 mixed SP arty bn) TPT 9: Medium 3: 1 Mi-8 Hip; 2 UH-60M Black Hawk
Mechanised Light 6 PZL MI-2 Hoplite
1 (1st) mech bde (3 armd inf bn, 1 MRL bn, 1 engr bn, 1 AIR DEFENCE • SAM
NBC bn) Long-range S-300PS (SA-10 Grumble)
COMBAT SUPPORT Short-range 2K12 Kub (SA-6 Gainful)
1 MP bn Point-defence 9K32 Strela-2 (SA-7 Grail)‡
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES
1 spt bde (2 log bn, 1 maint bn, 1 spt bn) AAM • IR R-60 (AA-8 Aphid); R-73 (AA-11 Archer)
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
SARH R-27R (AA-10A Alamo)
ARMOURED FIGHITING VEHICLES ASM S5K/S5KO (57mm rockets); S8KP/S8KOM (80mm
MBT 30 T-72M rockets)
RECCE 18 BPsVI
IFV 249: 148 BMP-1; 91 BMP-2; 10 BVP-M
APC 101+
APC (T) 72 OT-90 DEPLOYMENT
APC (W) 22: 7 OT-64; 15 Tatrapan (6×6) AFGHANISTAN: NATO • Operation Resolute Support 36
PPV 7+ RG-32M
BOSNIA-HERZEGOVINA: EU • EUFOR • Operation Althea 41
AUV IVECO LMV
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES CYPRUS: UN • UNFICYP 242; 1 inf coy; 1 engr pl
ARV MT-55; VT-55A; VT-72B; WPT-TOPAS LATVIA: NATO • Enhanced Forward Presence 150; 1
VLB AM-50; MT-55A mech inf coy
MW Bozena; UOS-155 Belarty
MIDDLE EAST: UN • UNTSO 2 obs
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
SP 9S428 with Malyutka (AT-3 Sagger) on BMP-1; 9P135 UKRAINE: OSCE • Ukraine 12
Fagot (AT-4 Spigot) on BMP-2; 9P148 Konkurs (AT-5
Spandrel) on BRDM-2 Slovenia SVN
MANPATS 9K11 Malyutka (AT-3 Sagger); 9K111-1
Konkurs (AT-5 Spandrel) Euro € 2017 2018 2019
RCL 84mm Carl Gustav GDP € 43.3bn 46.3bn
ARTILLERY 68
US$ 48.9bn 55.0bn
SP 19: 152mm 3 M-77 Dana; 155mm 16 M-2000 Zuzana
TOWED 122mm 19 D-30 per capita US$ 23,654 26,586
MRL 30: 122mm 4 RM-70; 122/227mm 26 RM-70/85 Growth % 5.0 4.5
MODULAR Inflation % 1.4 2.1
AIR DEFENCE • SAM Def exp [a] € 422m 466m
Point-defence 48+: 48 9K35 Strela-10 (SA-13 Gopher);
US$ 477m 553m
9K32 Strela-2 (SA-7 Grail); 9K310 Igla-1 (SA-16 Gimlet)
Def bdgt [b] € 420m 449m
Air Force 3,950 US$ 474m 532m
FORCES BY ROLE US$1=€ 0.89 0.84
FIGHTER [a] NATO definition
1 sqn with MiG-29AS/UBS Fulcrum [b] Includes military pensions
TRANSPORT
1 flt with C-27J Spartan Population 2,102,126
1 flt with L-410FG/T/UVP Turbolet Ethnic groups: Slovenian 83%; Serbian 2%; Croatian 1.8%;
TRANSPORT HELICOPTER Bosniac 1%; other or unspecified 12.2%
1 sqn with Mi-8 Hip; Mi-17 Hip H
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
1 sqn with PZL MI-2 Hoplite
TRAINING Male 6.9% 2.3% 2.5% 3.0% 26.0% 8.0%
1 sqn with L-39CM/ZA/ZAM Albatros Female 6.5% 2.2% 2.4% 2.9% 25.9% 11.5%
146 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Europe
Def exp [a] € 10.5bn 11.4bn
NATO Rapid Deployment Corps HQ (NRDC-ESP)
US$ 11.9bn 13.5bn
FORCES BY ROLE
Def bdgt [b] € 11.8bn 12.7bn
COMMAND
US$ 13.4bn 15.1bn
1 corps HQ (CGTAD/NRDC-ESP) (1 int regt, 1 MP bn)
US$1=€ 0.89 0.84 2 div HQ
[a] NATO definition SPECIAL FORCES
[b] Includes military pensions 1 comd (4 spec ops bn, 1 int coy, 1 sigs coy, 1 log bn)
MANOEUVRE
Population 49,331,076
Reconnaissance
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus 1 armd cav regt (2 armd recce bn)
Mechanised
Male 7.9% 2.5% 2.5% 2.9% 26.0% 7.7%
3 (10th, 11th & 12th) mech bde (1 armd regt (1 armd recce
Female 7.5% 2.3% 2.3% 2.6% 25.6% 10.3%
bn, 1 tk bn), 1 mech inf regt (1 armd inf bn, 1 mech inf
bn), 1 lt inf bn, 1 SP arty bn, 1 AT coy, 1 AD coy, 1 engr
Capabilities bn, 1 int coy, 1 NBC coy, 1 sigs coy, 1 log bn)
The 2017 National Security Strategy indicated that Spain’s 1 (1st) mech bde (1 armd regt (1 armd recce bn, 1 tk bn),
defence policy was global in scope, though concerned by 1 mech inf regt (1 armd inf bn, 1 mtn inf bn), 1 mtn inf
threats emanating from the Middle East and sub-Saharan bn, 1 SP arty bn, 1 AT coy, 1 AD coy, 1 engr bn, 1 int
Africa. The army began a force-structure review in 2015, which coy, 1 NBC coy, 1 sigs coy, 1 log bn)
resulted in a reorganisation into multipurpose brigades with 2 (2nd/La Legion & 7th) lt mech bde (1 armd recce bn, 1
heavy, medium and light capabilities, optimised for deployable mech inf regt (2 mech inf bn), 1 lt inf bn, 1 fd arty bn,
operations and with a greater emphasis on mechanised forma- 1 AT coy, 1 AD coy, 1 engr bn, 1 int coy, 1 NBC coy, 1
tions and special-operations forces. Spain is a member of NATO sigs coy, 1 log bn)
and continues to support NATO, EU and UN operations abroad. Air Manoeuvre
The country hosts one of NATO’s two Combined Air Operations 1 (6th) bde (1 recce bn, 2 para bn, 1 lt inf bn, 1 fd arty bn,
Centres, and the country’s Joint Special Operations Command 1 AT coy, 1 AD coy, 1 engr bn, 1 int coy, 1 NBC coy, 1
will provide the Special Operations Component Command for sigs coy, 1 log bn)
the NATO Response Force in 2018. The armed forces are well Other
trained and there is a routine exercise programme for both 1 (Canary Islands) comd (1 lt inf bde (2 mech inf regt (1
domestic and multinational exercises. The country’s equipment mech inf bn), 1 lt inf regt (1 lt inf bn), 1 fd arty regt, 1
and logistic-support capability appears to be sufficient to meet AT coy, 1 engr bn, 1 int coy, 1 NBC coy, 1 sigs coy, 1 log
its national commitments and contribution to NATO operations bn); 1 spt hel bn; 1 AD regt)
and exercises. In early 2018, Spain launched an equipment- 1 (Balearic Islands) comd (1 inf regt)
modernisation plan, with funding for the modernisation of army 2 (Ceuta and Melilla) comd (1 recce regt, 1 mech inf bn, 1
Chinook helicopters, for the S-80 submarine programme and inf bn, 1 arty regt, 1 engr bn, 1 sigs coy, 1 log bn)
for military-communications satellites. Spain has reportedly COMBAT SUPPORT
expressed interest in acquiring the F-35 to replace its AV-8Bs. 1 arty comd (1 arty regt; 1 MRL regt; 1 coastal arty regt)
Madrid has also expressed willingness to join European combat 1 engr comd (2 engr regt, 1 bridging regt)
aircraft replacement projects such as the Franco-German FCAS 1 EW/sigs bde (2 EW regt, 3 sigs regt)
and announced that it will participate in funding the European
1 NBC regt
MALE UAV project. Spain’s defence industry manufactures across
1 CIMIC bn
all domains and exports globally. Navantia is the principal, state-
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
owned, shipbuilding firm. The industry is largely integrated
1 log bde (5 log regt; 1 tpt regt)
within the European defence-industrial manufacturing base.
1 med bde (1 log unit, 2 med regt, 1 fd hospital unit)
ACTIVE 120,350 (Army 69,250 Navy 20,100 Air HELICOPTER
19,350 Joint 11,650) Paramilitary 75,800 1 hel comd (1 atk hel bn, 2 spt hel bn, 1 tpt hel bn, 1 sigs
bn, 1 log unit (1 spt coy, 1 supply coy))
RESERVE 15,150 (Army 9,200 Navy 2,900 Air 2,350 AIR DEFENCE
Other 700) 1 AD comd (3 SAM regt, 1 sigs unit)
148 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Europe
Marines 5,350 1 sqn with T-35 Pillan (E-26)
2 (LIFT) sqn with F-5B Freedom Fighter
FORCES BY ROLE
1 hel sqn with H120 Colibri
SPECIAL FORCES
1 hel sqn with S-76C
1 spec ops bn
TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
MANOEUVRE
Amphibious 1 sqn with AS332M1 Super Puma; AS532UL Cougar (VIP)
1 mne bde (1 recce unit, 1 mech inf bn, 2 inf bn, 1 arty EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
bn, 1 log bn) AIRCRAFT 170 combat capable
Other FTR 83: 64 Eurofighter Typhoon; 19 F-5B Freedom Fighter
1 sy bde (5 mne garrison gp) FGA 84: 20 F/A-18A Hornet (EF-18A); 52 EF-18A MLU;
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE 12 EF-18B MLU
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES ASW 3 P-3M Orion
MBT 2 M60A3TTS MP 8 CN235 VIGMA
APC • APC (W) 34: 32 Piranha IIIC; 1 Piranha IIIC ISR 2 CN235 (TR-19A)
(amb); 1 Piranha IIIC EW (EW) EW 3: 1 C-212 Aviocar (TM.12D); 2 Falcon 20D
AAV 18: 16 AAV-7A1/AAVP-7A1; 2 AAVC-7A1 (CP) TKR 5 KC-130H Hercules
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES TPT 77: Heavy 3 A400M; Medium 7: 6 C-130H Hercules;
AEV 4 Piranha IIIC 1 C-130H-30 Hercules; Light 59: 3 Beech C90 King Air;
ARV 2: 1 AAVR-7A1; 1 M88; 1 Piranha IIIC 22 Beech F33C Bonanza; 10 C-212 Aviocar (incl 9 trg); 13
ARTILLERY 30 C295; 8 CN235; 3 Cessna 550 Citation V (ISR); PAX 8: 2
SP 155mm 6 M109A2 A310; 1 B-707; 5 Falcon 900 (VIP)
TOWED 105mm 24 Model 56 pack howitzer TRG 98: 61 C-101 Aviojet; 37 T-35 Pillan (E-26)
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE HELICOPTERS
MSL • MANPATS Spike-LR; TOW-2 TPT 40: Medium 18: 9 AS332B/B1 Super Puma; 4 AS332M1
AIR DEFENCE • SAM • Point-defence Mistral Super Puma; 3 AS332C1 Super Puma; 2 AS532UL Cougar
(VIP); Light 22: 14 H120 Colibri; 8 S-76C
Air Force 19,350 AIR DEFENCE • SAM
The Spanish Air Force is organised in 3 commands – Short-range Skyguard/Aspide
General Air Command, Combat Air Command and Canary
Point-defence Mistral
Islands Air Command
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES
FORCES BY ROLE AAM • IR AIM-9L/JULI Sidewinder; IIR IRIS-T; SARH
FIGHTER AIM-7P Sparrow; ARH AIM-120B/C AMRAAM
2 sqn with Eurofighter Typhoon ARM AGM-88B HARM
FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK ASM AGM-65G Maverick
5 sqn with F/A-18A/B MLU Hornet (EF-18A/B MLU)
AShM AGM-84D Harpoon
MARITIME PATROL
LACM Taurus KEPD 350
1 sqn with P-3A/M Orion
BOMBS
ISR
Laser-guided: GBU-10/12/16 Paveway II; GBU-24
1 sqn with Beech C90 King Air
Paveway III; EGBU-16 Paveway II; BPG-2000
1 sqn with Cessna 550 Citation V; CN235 (TR-19A)
ELECTRONIC WARFARE INS/GPS guided: GBU-38 JDAM
1 sqn with C-212 Aviocar; Falcon 20D
SEARCH & RESCUE
Emergencies Military Unit (UME) 3,500
1 sqn with AS332B/B1 Super Puma; CN235 VIGMA FORCES BY ROLE
1 sqn with AS332B Super Puma; CN235 VIGMA COMMAND
1 sqn with C-212 Aviocar; CN235 VIGMA 1 div HQ
TANKER/TRANSPORT MANOEUVRE
1 sqn with KC-130H Hercules Other
TRANSPORT 5 Emergency Intervention bn
1 VIP sqn with A310; Falcon 900 1 Emergency Support and Intervention regt
150 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
COMBAT SUPPORT TURKEY: NATO • Operation Active Fence 149; 1 SAM bty
1 sigs bn with MIM-104C Patriot PAC-2
HELICOPTER
UKRAINE: OSCE • Ukraine 16
1 hel bn opcon Army
Europe
SUBMARINE • TACTICAL • SSK 5:
Reconnaissance 3 Gotland (AIP fitted) with 2 single 400mm TT with Typ
1 recce bn 431 LWT/Typ 451 LWT, 4 single 533mm TT with Typ
Armoured 613 HWT/Typ 62 HWT
5 armd bn 2 Sodermanland (AIP fitted) with 3 single 400mm TT
1 armd BG with Typ 431 LWT/Typ 451LWT, 6 single 533mm TT
Mechanised with Typ 613 HWT/Typ 62 HWT
1 mech bn PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 143
Light CORVETTES • FSG 5 Visby with 8 RBS15 AShM, 4
1 mot inf bn single 400mm ASTT with Tp45 LWT, 1 57mm gun, 1
1 lt inf bn hel landing platform
Air Manoeuvre PCGT 4:
1 AB bn 2 Gälve with 4 twin lnchr with RBS15 Mk2 AShM, 4
Other single 400mm ASTT with Tp431 LWT, 4 Saab 601 A/S
1 sy bn mor, 1 57mm gun
COMBAT SUPPORT 2 Stockholm with 4 twin lnchr with RBS15 Mk2 AShM, 4
2 arty bn Saab 601 mortars, 4 single 400mm ASTT with Tp431
2 engr bn LWT, 1 57mm gun
2 MP coy PBF 129 Combat Boat 90E/H/HS (capacity 18 troops)
1 CBRN coy PB 5 Tapper (Type 80)
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT MINE WARFARE • MINE COUNTERMEASURES 7
1 tpt coy MCC 5 Koster
AIR DEFENCE MCD 2 Spårö (Styrsö mod)
2 AD bn AMPHIBIOUS • LANDING CRAFT 11
LCVP 8 Trossbat
Reserves LCAC 3 Griffon 8100TD
FORCES BY ROLE LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 15
MANOEUVRE AG 2: 1 Carlskrona with 2 57mm gun, 1 hel landing
Other platform (former ML); 1 Trosso (spt ship for corvettes
40 Home Guard bn and patrol vessels but can also be used as HQ ship)
AGF 2 Ledningsbåt 2000
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
AGI 1 Orion
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
AKL 1 Loke
MBT 120 Leopard 2A5 (Strv 122)
ARS 2: 1 Belos III; 1 Furusund (former ML)
IFV 396: 354 CV9040 (Strf 9040; incl CP); 42 Epbv 90 (OP)
AX 5 Altair
APC 1,083
AXS 2: 1 Falken; 1 Gladan
APC (T) 408: 258 Pbv 302; 150 BvS10 MkII
APC (W) 315: 34 XA-180 Sisu (Patgb 180); 20 XA-202
Amphibious 850
Sisu (Patgb 202); 148 XA-203 Sisu (Patgb 203); 113
FORCES BY ROLE
Patria AMV (XA-360/Patgb 360)
MANOEUVRE
PPV 360 RG-32M
Amphibious
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
1 amph bn
AEV 6 Kodiak
ARV 40: 14 Bgbv 120; 26 Bgbv 90
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
VLB 3 Brobv 120 ARTILLERY • MOR 81mm 12 M/86
MW 33+: Aardvark Mk2; 33 Area Clearing System COASTAL DEFENCE • AShM 8 RBS-17 Hellfire
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
MSL • MANPATS NLAW; RBS-55 Air Force 2,700
RCL 84mm Carl Gustav FORCES BY ROLE
ARTILLERY 305 FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK/ISR
SP 155mm 23 Archer 6 sqn with JAS 39C/D Gripen
152 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
TRANSPORT/ISR/AEW&C Cyber
1 sqn with C-130H Hercules (Tp-84); KC-130H Hercules Sweden has a national CERT, is involved in informal
(Tp-84); Gulfstream IV SRA-4 (S-102B); S-100B/D
CERT communities and is a member of the European
Argus
Government CERTs group. A national cyber-security
TRAINING
1 unit with Sk-60 strategy has also been adopted. Four ministries have a
AIR DEFENCE cyber remit: defence, foreign affairs, justice, and enterprise
1 (fighter control and air surv) bn and industry. The Swedish Civil Contingencies Agency,
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE which reports to the defence ministry, is in charge
AIRCRAFT 96 combat capable of supporting and coordinating security nationwide.
FGA 96 JAS 39C/D Gripen According to the 2015 defence bill, ‘cyber defence
ELINT 2 Gulfstream IV SRA-4 (S-102B) capabilities are an important part of the Swedish Defence.
AEW&C 3: 1 S-100B Argus; 2 S-100D Argus Vital systems must be protected from attack. This also
TKR 1 KC-130H Hercules (Tp-84) requires the ability to carry out active operations in the
TPT 8: Medium 5 C-130H Hercules (Tp-84); Light 2 Saab cyber domain.’ As well as strengthening capacity as part
340 (OS-100A/Tp-100C); PAX 1 Gulfstream 550 (Tp- of the total-defence concept, Sweden sees international
102D) cooperation in cyber as vital.
TRG 67 Sk-60W
UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES
ISR • Medium 8 RQ-7 Shadow (AUV 3 Örnen) DEPLOYMENT
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES AFGHANISTAN: NATO • Operation Resolute Support 29
ASM AGM-65 Maverick (RB-75)
AShM RB-15F CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC: EU • EUTM RCA 9
AAM • IR AIM-9L Sidewinder (RB-74); IIR IRIS-T (RB- DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO: UN •
98); ARH AIM-120B AMRAAM (RB-99); Meteor MONUSCO 1; 1 obs
BOMBS
INDIA/PAKISTAN: UN • UNMOGIP 5 obs
Laser-Guided GBU-12 Paveway II
INS/GPS guided GBU-39 Small Diameter Bomb IRAQ: Operation Inherent Resolve 66
KOREA, REPUBLIC OF: NNSC • 5 obs
Armed Forces Hel Wing
FORCES BY ROLE MALI: EU • EUTM Mali 6; UN • MINUSMA 241; 1 int
TRANSPORT HELICOPTER coy
3 sqn with AW109 (Hkp 15A); AW109M (Hkp-15B); MIDDLE EAST: UN • UNTSO 6 obs
NH90 (Hkp-14) (SAR/ASW); UH-60M Black Hawk
SERBIA: NATO • KFOR 2; OSCE • Kosovo 3
(Hkp-16)
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE SOMALIA: EU • EUTM Somalia 4
HELICOPTERS SOUTH SUDAN: UN • UNMISS 2 obs
ASW 5 NH90 ASW
UKRAINE: OSCE • Ukraine 11
TPT 48: Medium 28: 15 UH-60M Black Hawk (Hkp-
16); 13 NH90 TTH (Hkp-14); Light 20: 12 AW109 WESTERN SAHARA: UN • MINURSO 2 obs
(Hkp-15A); 8 AW109M (Hkp-15B)
Europe
ment in UN or OSCE missions. Switzerland does not participate
IFV 186: 154 CV9030CH; 32 CV9030 (CP)
in combat operations for peace-enforcement purposes and its
APC 914
deployments are limited in size. The 2016 armed-forces develop-
ment plan emphasises improvements in readiness, training and APC (T) 238 M113A2 (incl variants)
equipment. The approach to readiness is changing to a flexible APC (W) 676: 346 Piranha II; 330 Piranha I/II/IIIC (CP)
model in which different units are called up for active service grad- AUV 441 Eagle II
ually and on different timelines. Plans to replace F-5 Tiger II combat ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
aircraft with the Gripen were scrapped after a national referendum AEV 12 Kodiak
rejected the proposal in May 2014. With Switzerland’s air-policing ARV 25 Büffel
capabilities diminished, in July 2018 the government relaunched MW 46: 26 Area Clearing System; 20 M113A2
its attempt to procure a new combat aircraft. The multi-stage NBC VEHICLES 12 Piranha IIIC CBRN
selection process is expected to be completed by the end of 2020
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
and now includes replacement of the F/A18 Hornet, which will be
life-extended through to 2030. Other priorities include upgrades MSL • SP 106 Piranha I TOW-2
to Switzerland’s air-surveillance systems and transport helicopters. ARTILLERY 433
Switzerland’s defence industry has limited design and manufac- SP 155mm 133 M109 KAWEST
turing capabilities, with recognised capacity in the land-vehicles MOR • 81mm 300 Mw-72
sector, which has links to North American companies. PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS • PBR 11
Aquarius
ACTIVE 21,450 (Armed Forces 21,450) AIR DEFENCE • SAM • Point-defence FIM-92 Stinger
Conscript liability 260-600 compulsory service days depending on
rank. 18 or 23 weeks’ training (depending on branch) generally at Air Force 17,200 on mobilisation
age 20, followed by 6 refresher trg courses (3 weeks each). Alterna-
tive service available. FORCES BY ROLE
FIGHTER
RESERVE 134,800 3 sqn with F-5E/F Tiger II
3 sqn with F/A-18C/D Hornet
Civil Defence 73,000 (51,000 Reserve)
TRANSPORT
1 sqn with Beech 350 King Air; DHC-6 Twin Otter;
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE PC-6 Turbo Porter; PC-12
1 VIP Flt with Beech 1900D; Cessna 560XL Citation;
Armed Forces 2,950 active; 18,500 conscript Falcon 900EX
(21,450 total) TRAINING
1 sqn with PC-7CH Turbo Trainer; PC-21
Operations Command 72,600 on 1 sqn with PC-9 (tgt towing)
mobilisation 1 OCU Sqn with F-5E/F Tiger II
4 Territorial Regions. With the exception of military TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
police all units are non-active 6 sqn with AS332M Super Puma; AS532UL Cougar;
FORCES BY ROLE H135M
COMMAND ISR UAV
4 regional comd 1 sqn with ADS 95 Ranger
SPECIAL FORCES EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
2 SF bn AIRCRAFT 85 combat capable
MANOEUVRE FTR 54: 42 F-5E Tiger II; 12 F-5F Tiger II
Armoured FGA 31: 25 F/A-18C Hornet; 6 F/A-18D Hornet
2 (1st & 11th) bde (1 recce bn, 1 tk bn, 2 armd inf bn, 1 TPT 22: Light 21: 1 Beech 350 King Air; 1 Beech 1900D;
SP arty bn, 1 engr bn, 1 sigs bn) 1 Cessna 560XL Citation; 1 DHC-6 Twin Otter; 15 PC-6
Mechanised Turbo Porter; 1 PC-6 (owned by armasuisse, civil
1 (4th) bde (2 recce bn, 2 SP arty bn, 1 ptn br bn) registration); 1 PC-12 (owned by armasuisse, civil
Light registration); PAX 1 Falcon 900EX
10 inf bn TRG 44: 28 PC-7CH Turbo Trainer; 8 PC-9; 8 PC-21
7 mtn inf bn HELICOPTERS
1 mtn inf unit MRH 20 H135M
154 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Europe
4 army HQ AIRCRAFT
9 corps HQ ISR 5 Beech 350 King Air
SPECIAL FORCES TPT • Light 8: 5 Beech 200 King Air; 3 Cessna 421
8 cdo bde TRG 49: 45 Cessna T182; 4 T-42A Cochise
1 mtn cdo bde HELICOPTERS
1 cdo regt ATK 77: 18 AH-1P Cobra; 12 AH-1S Cobra; 5 AH-1W
MANOEUVRE Cobra; 4 TAH-1P Cobra; 9 T129A; 29 T129B
Armoured MRH 28 Hughes 300C
1 (52nd) armd div (2 armd bde, 1 mech bde) TPT 225+: Heavy 7 CH-47F Chinook; Medium 77+: 29
7 armd bde AS532UL Cougar; 48+ S-70A Black Hawk; Light 141: 12
Mechanised Bell 204B (AB-204B); ε45 Bell 205 (UH-1H Iroquois); 64
2 (28th & 29th) mech div Bell 205A (AB-205A); 20 Bell 206 Jet Ranger
14 mech inf bde UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES
Light CISR • Medium 33 Bayraktar TB2
1 (23rd) mot inf div (3 mot inf regt) ISR • Heavy Falcon 600/Firebee; Medium CL-89; Gnat;
7 mot inf bde Light Harpy
COMBAT SUPPORT AIR DEFENCE
2 arty bde SAM • Point-defence 148+: 70 Altigan PMADS octuple
1 trg arty bde Stinger lnchr, 78 Zipkin PMADS quad Stinger lnchr; FIM-
6 arty regt 92 Stinger
2 engr regt GUNS 1,664
AVIATION SP 35mm Korkut; 40mm 262 M42A1
4 avn regt TOWED 1,402: 20mm 439 GAI-D01/Rh-202; 35mm 120
4 avn bn GDF-001/GDF-003; 40mm 843: 803 L/60/L/70; 40 T-1
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES ASM Mizrak-U (UMTAS)
MBT 2,379: 316 Leopard 2A4; 170 Leopard 1A4; 227 Leopard BOMBS
1A3; 100 M60A1; 650 M60A3; 166 M60T; 750 M48A5 T2 Laser-guided MAM-L; MAM-C
(2,000 M48A5 T1 in store)
RECCE ε250 Akrep Navy ε45,000 (including conscripts)
IFV 645 ACV AIFV EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
APC 4,336 SUBMARINES • TACTICAL • SSK 12:
APC (T) 3,636: 823 ACV AAPC; 2,813 M113/M113A1/ 4 Atilay (GER Type-209/1200) with 8 single 533mm ASTT
M113A2 with SST-4 HWT
PPV 700+: 50+ Edjer Yaclin 4×4; ε650 Kirpi 8 Preveze/Gür (GER Type-209/1400) with 8 single 533mm
AUV 882: 800+ Cobra; 82 Cobra II ASTT with UGM-84 Harpoon AShM/Tigerfish Mk2
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES HWT/DM2A4 HWT
AEV 12+: AZMIM; 12 M48; M113A2T2 PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS 19
ARV 150: 12 Leopard 1; 105 M48T5; 33 M88A1 FRIGATES • FFGHM 19:
VLB 88: 36 Leguan; 52 Mobile Floating Assault Bridge 4 Barbaros (mod GER MEKO 200 F246 & F247) with 2
MW Husky 2G; Tamkar quad Mk141 lnchr with RGM-84C Harpoon AShM, 2
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE 8-cell Mk41 VLS with RIM-162B ESSM SAM, 2 Mk32
MSL triple 324mm ASTT with Mk46 LWT, 3 Sea Zenith
SP 365 ACV TOW CIWS, 1 127mm gun (capacity 1 Bell 212 (AB-212) hel)
MANPATS 9K135 Kornet-E (AT-14 Spriggan); Cobra; 4 Gabya (ex-US Oliver Hazard Perry class) with 1 Mk13
Eryx; Milan GMLS with RGM-84C Harpoon AShM/SM-1MR
RCL 3,869: 57mm 923 M18; 75mm 617; 106mm 2,329 M40A1 SAM, 1 8-cell Mk41 VLS with RIM-162B ESSM
ARTILLERY 7,799+ SAM, 2 Mk32 triple 324mm ASTT with Mk46 LWT,
SP 1,080: 155mm 825: ε150 M44T1; 365 M52T (mod); ε310 1 Phalanx Block 1B CIWS, 1 76mm gun (capacity 1
T-155 Firtina; 175mm 36 M107; 203mm 219 M110A2 S-70B Seahawk/AB-212 ASW hel)
156 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
4 Gabya (ex-US Oliver Hazard Perry class) with 1 Mk13 Naval Aviation
GMLS with RGM-84C Harpoon AShM/SM-1MR
FORCES BY ROLE
SAM, 2 Mk32 triple 324mm ASTT with Mk46 LWT,
ANTI-SUBMARINE WARFARE
1 Phalanx Block 1B CIWS, 1 76mm gun (capacity 1
2 sqn with Bell 212 ASW (AB-212 ASW); S-70B Seahawk
S-70B Seahawk/AB-212 ASW hel)
1 sqn with ATR-72-600; CN235M-100; TB-20 Trinidad
4 Yavuz (GER MEKO 200TN) with 2 quad Mk141 lnchr
with RGM-84C Harpoon AShM, 1 octuple Mk29 EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
GMLS with Sea Sparrow SAM, 2 Mk32 triple 324mm AIRCRAFT
ASTT with Mk46 LWT, 3 Sea Zenith CIWS, 1 127mm MP 6 CN235M-100
gun (capacity 1 Bell 212 (AB-212) hel) TPT • Light 7: 2 ATR-72-600; 5 TB-20 Trinidad
3 Ada with 2 quad lnchr with RCM-84C Harpoon HELICOPTERS
AShM, 1 Mk49 21-cell lnchr with RIM-116 SAM, 2 ASW 29: 11 Bell 212 ASW (AB-212 ASW); 18 S-70B
Mk32 twin 324mm ASTT with Mk46 LWT, 1 76mm Seahawk
gun (capacity 1 S-70B Seahawk hel)
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 52:
Air Force ε50,000
2 tac air forces (divided between east and west)
CORVETTES • FSGM 6:
6 Burak (ex-FRA d’Estienne d’Orves) with 2 single lnchr FORCES BY ROLE
with MM38 Exocet AShM, 4 single 324mm ASTT FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
with Mk46 LWT, 1 Mk54 A/S mor, 1 100mm gun 1 sqn with F-4E Phantom 2020
PCFG 19: 8 sqn with F-16C/D Fighting Falcon
4 Dogan (GER Lurssen-57) with 2 quad lnchr with ISR
RGM-84A/C Harpoon AShM, 1 76mm gun 1 sqn with F-16C/D Fighting Falcon
9 Kilic with 2 quad Mk 141 lnchr with RGM-84C 1 unit with King Air 350
Harpoon AShM, 1 76mm gun AIRBORNE EARLY WARNING & CONTROL
4 Rüzgar (GER Lurssen-57) with 2 quad lnchr with 1 sqn (forming) with B-737 AEW&C
RGM-84A/C Harpoon AShM, 1 76mm gun EW
2 Yildiz with 2 quad lnchr with RGM-84A/C Harpoon 1 unit with CN235M EW
AShM, 1 76mm gun SEARCH & RESCUE
PCC 16 Tuzla 1 sqn with AS532AL/UL Cougar
MINE WARFARE • MINE COUNTERMEASURES 15: TANKER
MHO 11: 5 Engin (FRA Circe); 6 Aydin 1 sqn with KC-135R Stratotanker
MSC 4 Seydi (US Adjutant) TRANSPORT
AMPHIBIOUS 1 sqn with A400M; C-160D Transall
LANDING SHIPS • LST 5: 1 sqn with C-130B/E/H Hercules
2 Bayraktar with 1 hel landing platform (capacity 20 1 (VIP) sqn with Cessna 550 Citation II (UC-35); Cessna
MBT; 250 troops) 650 Citation VII; CN235M; Gulfstream 550
1 Osman Gazi with 1 Phalanx CIWS (capacity 4 LCVP; 3 sqn with CN235M
17 tanks; 980 troops) (with 1 hel landing platform) 10 (liaison) flt with Bell 205 (UH-1H Iroquois); CN235M
2 Sarucabey with 1 Phalanx CIWS (capacity 11 tanks; TRAINING
600 troops) (with 1 hel landing platform) 1 sqn with F-16C/D Fighting Falcon
LANDING CRAFT 30 1 sqn with F-5A/B Freedom Fighter; NF-5A/B Freedom
LCT 21: 2 C-120/130; 11 C-140; 8 C-151 Fighter
LCM 9: 1 C-310; 8 LCM 8 1 sqn with SF-260D
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 35 1 sqn with KT-IT
ABU 2: 1 AG5; 1 AG6 with 1 76mm gun 1 sqn with T-38A/M Talon
AGS 2: 1 Cesme (ex-US Silas Bent); 1 Cubuklu 1 sqn with T-41D Mescalero
AOR 2 Akar with 1 twin 76mm gun, 1 Phalanx CIWS, 1 AIR DEFENCE
hel landing platform 4 sqn with MIM-14 Nike Hercules
AOT 2 Burak 2 sqn with Rapier
AOL 1 Gurcan 8 (firing) unit with MIM-23 Hawk
AP 1 Iskenderun MANOEUVRE
ASR 3: 1 Alemdar with 1 hel landing platform; 2 Isin II Air Manoeuvre
ATF 9: 1 Akbas; 1 Degirmendere; 1 Gazal; 1 Inebolu; 5 Onder 1 AB bde
AWT 3 Sogut EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
AXL 8 AIRCRAFT 308 combat capable
AX 2 Pasa (ex-GER Rhein) FTR 27: 17 NF-5A Freedom Fighter; 10 NF-5B Freedom
Fighter (48 F-5s being upgraded as LIFT)
Marines 3,000 FGA 281: 20 F-4E Phantom 2020; 27 F-16C Fighting Falcon
FORCES BY ROLE Block 30; 162 F-16C Fighting Falcon Block 50; 14 F-16C
MANOEUVRE Fighting Falcon Block 50+; 8 F-16D Block 30 Fighting
Amphibious Falcon; 33 F-16D Fighting Falcon Block 50; 16 F-16D
1 mne bde (3 mne bn; 1 arty bn) Fighting Falcon Block 50+; 1 F-35A Lightning II
Europe 157
ISR 5 Beech 350 King Air TPT 35: Medium 12 S-70A Black Hawk; Light 23: 8 Bell
EW 2+ CN235M EW 204B (AB-204B); 6 Bell 205A (AB-205A); 8 Bell 206A
AEW&C 4 B-737 AEW&C (AB-206A) Jet Ranger; 1 Bell 212 (AB-212)
TKR 7 KC-135R Stratotanker UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES
TPT 88: Heavy 7 A400M; Medium 31: 6 C-130B Hercules; CISR • Medium 12 Bayraktar TB2
12 C-130E Hercules; 1 C-130H Hercules; 12 C-160D Transall; BOMBS
Light 49: 2 Cessna 550 Citation II (UC-35 - VIP); 2 Cessna Laser-guided MAM-L; MAM-C
650 Citation VII; 45 CN235M; PAX 1 Gulfstream 550
TRG 168: 33 SF-260D; 70 T-38A/M Talon; 25 T-41D Coast Guard 4,700
Mescalero; 40 KT-IT EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Europe
HELICOPTERS PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 104
TPT 35: Medium 20: 6 AS532AL Cougar (CSAR); 14 PSOH 4 Dost with 1 76mm gun
AS532UL Cougar (SAR); Light 15 Bell 205 (UH-1H PBF 60
Iroquois) PB 40
UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES 29+ AIRCRAFT • MP 3 CN235 MPA
CISR • Heavy 8 ANKA-S HELICOPTERS • MRH 8 Bell 412EP (AB-412EP – SAR)
ISR 27+: Heavy 9+: some ANKA; 9 Heron; Medium 18
Gnat 750 DEPLOYMENT
AIR DEFENCE
AFGHANISTAN: NATO • Operation Resolute Support 506; 1
SAM
mot inf bn(-)
Long-range MIM-14 Nike Hercules
Medium-range MIM-23 Hawk ARABIAN SEA & GULF OF ADEN: Combined Maritime
Point-defence Rapier Forces • CTF-151: 1 FFGHM
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES BLACK SEA: NATO • SNMCMG 2: 1 MHO
AAM • IR AIM-9S Sidewinder; Shafrir 2(‡); IIR AIM- BOSNIA-HERZEGOVINA: EU • EUFOR • Operation Althea
9X Sidewinder II; SARH AIM-7E Sparrow; ARH AIM- 249; 1 inf coy
120A/B AMRAAM
CYPRUS (NORTHERN): ε33,800; 1 army corps HQ; 1 SF
ARM AGM-88A HARM
regt; 1 armd bde; 2 mech inf div; 1 mech inf regt; 1 arty
ASM AGM-65A/G Maverick; Popeye I
regt; 1 avn comd; 287 M48A5T2; 147 ACV AIFV; 106
LACM Coventional AGM-84K SLAM-ER
ACV AAPC (incl variants); 386 M113 (incl variants); 36
BOMBS
M101A1; 36 M114A2; 12 M115; 30 M44T; 144 M52T1; 9
Electro-optical guided GBU-8B HOBOS (GBU-15)
T-122; 171 81mm mor; 70 M30; 135 HY-12; Milan; 60 ACV
INS/GPS guided AGM-154A JSOW; AGM-154C JSOW
TOW; 219 M40A1; FIM-92 Stinger; 44 Rh 202; 78 GAI-D01;
Laser-guided MAM-C; MAM-L; Paveway I; Paveway II
16 GDF-003; 3 Cessna 185 (U-17); 2 AS532UL Cougar; 1
Bell 205 (UH-1H Iroquois); 1 PB
Paramilitary 156,800
IRAQ: Army: 2,000; 1 armd BG
Gendarmerie 152,100 LEBANON: UN • UNIFIL 86; 1 PCFG
Ministry of Interior; Ministry of Defence in war MEDITERRANEAN SEA: NATO • SNMG 2: 1 FFGHM; 1 PCC
FORCES BY ROLE
QATAR: Army: 200 (trg team); 1 mech inf coy; 1 arty unit;
SPECIAL FORCES 12+ ACV AIFV/AAPC; 2 T-155 Firtina
1 cdo bde
MANOEUVRE SERBIA: NATO • KFOR 291; 1 inf coy
Other UN • UNMIK 1 obs
1 (border) paramilitary div SOMALIA: 200 (trg team); UN • UNSOM 1 obs
2 paramilitary bde SYRIA: ε5,000; 1 cdo unit; 2 armd BG; 1 SAM unit; 1
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE gendarmerie unit
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES UKRAINE: OSCE • Ukraine 10
RECCE Akrep
APC 560+
APC (W) 560: 535 BTR-60/BTR-80; 25 Condor
FOREIGN FORCES
PPV Kirpi Italy Active Fence: 130; 1 SAM bty with SAMP/T
AUV Cobra; Cobra II Saudi Arabia Inherent Resolve: 6 F-15S Eagle
AIRCRAFT Spain Active Fence: 149; 1 SAM bty with MIM-104C Patriot
ISR Some O-1E Bird Dog PAC-2
TPT • Light 2 Do-28D United States US European Command: 1,700; 1 tkr sqn
HELICOPTERS with 14 KC-135; 1 ELINT flt with EP-3E Aries II; 1 spt facility
ATK 4 T129B at Izmir; 1 spt facility at Ankara; 1 air base at Incirlik • US
MRH 19 Mi-17 Hip H Strategic Command: 1 AN/TPY-2 X-band radar at Kürecik
158 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
The 2018 National Security Capability Review highlighted a range Army 80,400; 3,100 Gurkhas (total 83,500)
of security challenges, including from state-based threats and from
Regt normally bn size. Many cbt spt and CSS regt and bn
terrorists. UK defence policy is based on using the armed forces
have reservist sub-units
to reduce direct threats by projecting stability abroad. Principal
defence priorities are contributing to the counter-ISIS coalition FORCES BY ROLE
and NATO tasks, including in Afghanistan and in Eastern Europe. COMMAND
The ministry of defence oversees all-volunteer armed forces. Joint 1 (ARRC) corps HQ
Forces Command comprises key joint force elements, such as MANOEUVRE
special-forces and military-cyber capabilities. The armed forces Armoured
are relatively well balanced between combat, combat support and 1 (3rd) armd div (3 armd inf bde (1 armd recce regt, 1 tk
logistics, but many key capabilities are close to critical mass and
regt, 2 armd inf bn, 1 mech inf bn); 1 log bde (5 log regt;
all three services are short of personnel. A Modernising Defence
3 maint regt; 3 med regt))
Programme has been ongoing for most of 2018, but without addi-
tional funding further capability reductions are likely. This puts at Light
risk the delivery of the ‘Future Force 2025’ intended to conduct 1 (1st) lt inf div (1 (4th) inf bde (1 recce regt, 1 lt mech
combat against peer opponents. The US is the country’s closest inf bn; 2 lt inf bn); 1 (7th) inf bde (1 recce regt, 3 lt inf
military ally. There is also a close intelligence relationship with the bn); 2 (11th & 160th) inf bde (2 lt inf bn); 1 (51st) inf
‘Five Eyes’ nations and a growing military partnership with France. bde (1 recce regt; 1 lt mech inf bn; 1 lt inf bn); 1 (38th)
The UK has decided to retain military forces in Germany and leads inf bde (1 lt inf bn); 1 (Spec Inf Gp) inf bde(-) (3 inf
the Combined Joint Expeditionary Force. A naval base has recently bn(-)); 1 log bde (2 log regt; 2 maint bn; 2 med regt))
opened in Bahrain and the UK continues to support the FPDA in 2 lt inf bn (London)
Southeast Asia. Force modernisation continues, but the defence 1 (Gurkha) lt inf bn (Brunei)
budget is under pressure because of the fall in the value of the
Air Manoeuvre
pound, the cost growth of major equipment programmes and the
1 (16th) air aslt bde (1 recce pl, 2 para bn, 1 (Gurkha)
difficulty of achieving savings targets. Expeditionary logistic capa-
bility meets policy requirements, but peacetime logistic support air mob bn, 1 fd arty regt, 1 cbt engr regt, 1 log regt, 1
within the UK is dependent on contractors. The country’s sophis- med regt)
ticated defence industry is a world leader in defence exports but COMBAT SUPPORT
cannot meet all of the UK’s requirements. 1 arty bde (3 SP arty regt, 2 fd arty regt)
1 engr bde (5 cbt engr regt, 2 EOD regt, 1 (MWD) EOD
ACTIVE 148,350 (Army 83,500 Navy 32,350 Air
search regt, 1 engr regt, 1 (air spt) engr regt, 1 log regt)
32,500)
1 (geographic) engr regt
RESERVE 80,000 (Regular Reserve 43,600 (Army 1 ISR bde (1 STA regt, 1 EW regt, 3 int bn, 1 ISR UAV regt)
29,450, Navy 6,550, Air 7,600); Volunteer Reserve 1 MP bde (3 MP regt)
34,350 (Army 27,450, Navy 3,650, Air 3,250); 1 sigs bde (7 sigs regt)
Sponsored Reserve 2,050) 1 sigs bde (2 sigs regt; 1 (ARRC) sigs bn)
Includes both trained and those currently under training within 1 (77th) info ops bde (3 info ops gp, 1 spt gp, 1 engr spt/
the Regular Forces, excluding university cadet units log gp)
Europe 159
Europe
The Army Reserve (AR) generates individuals, sub-units
and some full units. The majority of units are subordin Joint Helicopter Command
ate to regular formation headquarters and paired with Tri-service joint organisation including Royal Navy, Army
one or more regular units and RAF units
FORCES BY ROLE Army
MANOEUVRE
FORCES BY ROLE
Reconnaissance
3 recce regt ISR
Armoured 1 regt (1 sqn with BN-2 Defender/Islander; 1 sqn with
1 armd regt SA341B Gazelle AH1)
Light ATTACK HELICOPTER
15 lt inf bn 1 regt (2 sqn with AH-64D Apache; 1 trg sqn with AH-
Air Manoeuvre 64D Apache)
1 para bn 1 regt (2 sqn with AH-64D Apache)
COMBAT SUPPORT HELICOPTER
3 arty regt 1 regt (2 sqn with AW159 Wildcat AH1)
1 STA regt 1 (spec ops) sqn with AS365N3; SA341B Gazelle AH1
1 MRL regt 1 flt with Bell 212 (Brunei)
3 engr regt 1 flt with SA341B Gazelle AH1 (Canada)
4 int bn TRAINING
4 sigs regt 1 hel regt (1 sqn with AH-64D Apache; 1 sqn with
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT AS350B Ecureuil; 1 sqn with Bell 212; Lynx AH9A;
11 log regt SA341B Gazelle AH1)
6 maint regt ISR UAV
4 med regt 1 ISR UAV regt
10 fd hospital COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
AIR DEFENCE 1 maint regt
1 AD regt
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Army Reserve
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES FORCES BY ROLE
MBT 227 Challenger 2 HELICOPTER
RECCE 613: 197 Jackal; 110 Jackal 2; 130 Jackal 2A; 145 1 hel regt (4 sqn personnel only)
FV107 Scimitar; 31 Scimitar Mk2
IFV 623: 466 FV510 Warrior; 88 FV511 Warrior (CP); 51
Royal Navy
FV514 Warrior (OP); 18 FV515 Warrior (CP) FORCES BY ROLE
APC 1,291 ATTACK HELICOPTER
APC (T) 895 Bulldog Mk3 1 lt sqn with AW159 Wildcat AH1
PPV 396 Mastiff (6×6) TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
AUV 1,238: 399 Foxhound; 252 FV103 Spartan (incl 2 sqn with AW101 Merlin HC3/3A/3i
variants); 23 Spartan Mk2 (incl variants); 396 Panther
CLV; 168 Ridgback
Royal Air Force
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES FORCES BY ROLE
AEV 92: 60 Terrier; 32 Trojan TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
ARV 259: 80 Challenger ARRV; 28 FV106 Samson; 5 Samson 3 sqn with CH-47D/SD/F Chinook HC3/4/4A/6
Mk2; 105 FV512 Warrior; 41 FV513 Warrior 2 sqn with SA330 Puma HC2
MW 64 Aardvark TRAINING
VLB 70: 37 M3; 33 Titan 1 OCU sqn with CH-47D/SD/F Chinook HC3/4/4A/6;
NBC VEHICLES 8 TPz-1 Fuchs NBC SA330 Puma HC2
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE • MSL EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
SP Exactor (Spike NLOS) AIRCRAFT • TPT • Light 12: 9 BN-2T-4S Defender; 3 BN-2
MANPATS FGM-148 Javelin; NLAW Islander AL1
160 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Europe
AIR DEFENCE • SAM • Point-defence Starstreak AIM-120C-5 AMRAAM; Meteor
ASM AGM-114 Hellfire; Brimstone; Dual-Mode Brimstone;
Royal Air Force 32,500 Brimstone II
FORCES BY ROLE ALCM Storm Shadow
FIGHTER BOMBS
2 sqn with Typhoon FGR4/T3 Laser/GPS-guided GBU-10 Paveway II; GBU-24 Paveway
FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK III; Enhanced Paveway II/III; Paveway IV
3 sqn with Typhoon FGR4/T3
1 sqn with F-35B Lightning II (forming) Royal Air Force Regiment
GROUND ATTACK FORCES BY ROLE
2 sqn with Tornado GR4/4A MANOEUVRE
ISR Other
1 sqn with Sentinel R1 6 sy sqn
1 sqn with Shadow R1 COMBAT SUPPORT
ELINT 1 CBRN sqn
1 sqn with RC-135W Rivet Joint
AIRBORNE EARLY WARNING & CONTROL Tri-Service Defence Helicopter School
1 sqn with E-3D Sentry FORCES BY ROLE
SEARCH & RESCUE TRAINING
1 sqn with Bell 412EP Griffin HAR-2 1 hel sqn with Bell 412EP Griffin HT1
TANKER/TRANSPORT 2 hel sqn with AS350B Ecureuil
2 sqn with A330 MRTT Voyager KC2/3
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
TRANSPORT
1 (comms) sqn with AW109E/SP; BAe-146; BN-2A HELICOPTERS
Islander CC2 MRH 11 Bell 412EP Griffin HT1
1 sqn with A400M Atlas TPT • Light 27: 25 AS350B Ecureuil; 2 AW109E
1 sqn with C-17A Globemaster
Volunteer Reserve Air Forces
3 sqn with C-130J/J-30 Hercules
TRAINING (Royal Auxiliary Air Force/RAF Reserve)
1 OCU sqn with Typhoon MANOEUVRE
1 OCU sqn with E-3D Sentry; Sentinel R1 Other
1 sqn with Beech 200 King Air 5 sy sqn
1 sqn with EMB-312 Tucano T1 COMBAT SUPPORT
2 sqn with Hawk T1/1A/1W 2 int sqn
1 sqn with Hawk T2 COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
3 sqn with Tutor 1 med sqn
COMBAT/ISR UAV 1 (air movements) sqn
2 sqn with MQ-9A Reaper 1 (HQ augmentation) sqn
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE 1 (C-130 Reserve Aircrew) flt
AIRCRAFT 250 combat capable
FGA 154: 17 F-35B Lightning II (in test); 137 Typhoon FGR4/ UK Special Forces
T3 Includes Royal Navy, Army and RAF units
ATK 37 Tornado GR4/GR4A FORCES BY ROLE
ISR 9: 4 Sentinel R1; 5 Shadow R1 SPECIAL FORCES
ELINT 3 RC-135W Rivet Joint 1 (SAS) SF regt
AEW&C 6 E-3D Sentry 1 (SBS) SF regt
TKR/TPT 14 A330 MRTT Voyager KC2/3 1 (Special Reconnaissance) SF regt
TPT 61: Heavy 28: 20 A400M Atlas; 8 C-17A Globemaster; 1 SF BG (based on 1 para bn)
Medium 19: 6 C-130J Hercules; 13 C-130J-30 Hercules; Light AVIATION
10: 5 Beech 200 King Air (on lease); 2 Beech 200GT King Air 1 wg (includes assets drawn from 3 Army hel sqn, 1
(on lease); 3 BN-2A Islander CC2; PAX 4 BAe-146 CC2/C3 RAF tpt sqn and 1 RAF hel sqn)
162 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
COMBAT SUPPORT CYPRUS: 2,260; 2 inf bn; 1 SAR sqn with 4 Bell 412 Griffin
1 sigs regt HAR-2; 1 radar (on det); Operation Shader 500: 1 FGA sqn
with 6 Tornado GR4; 6 Typhoon FGR4; 2 Sentinel R1; 1 E-3D
Reserve Sentry; 1 A330 MRTT Voyager KC3; 2 C-130J Hercules; UN
FORCES BY ROLE • UNFICYP (Operation Tosca) 278; 1 recce coy
SPECIAL FORCES
DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO: UN •
2 (SAS) SF regt
MONUSCO (Operation Percival) 2
Cyber EGYPT: MFO 2
The National Cyber Security Centre plays a central role ESTONIA: NATO • Enhanced Forward Presence
in coordinating the UK’s cyber policy, and works with (Operation Cabrit) 900; 1 armd inf bn HQ; 1 armd inf
ministries and agencies to implement cyber-security pro- coy(+); 1 engr sqn
grammes. A Joint Forces Cyber Group was set up in 2013, FALKLAND ISLANDS: 1,200: 1 inf coy(+); 1 sigs unit; 1 AD
including a Joint Cyber Reserve, providing support to two det with Rapier; 1 PSO; 1 ftr flt with 4 Typhoon FGR4; 1 tkr/
Joint Cyber Units and other information-assurance units tpt flt with 1 A330 MRTT Voyager; 1 A400M; 1 hel flt with 2
across the defence establishment. Increased concern about Chinook
the potential of information operations in and through the
cyber domain was central to the 2015 creation of 77 Bri- GERMANY: 3,750; 1 armd inf bde(-) (1 tk regt, 1 armd inf
gade. The 2015 Strategic Defence and Security Review des- bn); 1 SP arty regt; 1 maint regt; 1 med regt
ignated cyber a tier-one risk and stated that the UK would GIBRALTAR: 570 (incl Royal Gibraltar regt); 2 PB
respond to a cyber attack in the same way as it would an IRAQ: Operation Shader 400; 2 inf bn(-); 1 engr sqn(-)
equivalent conventional attack. In October 2016, the UK ac-
KENYA: BATUK 350; 1 trg unit
knowledged publicly the use of offensive cyber capabilities
against ISIS. In April 2016, it was announced that a Cyber KUWAIT: Operation Shader 50; 1 CISR UAV sqn with 8 MQ-
Security Operations Centre would be established under 9A Reaper
the Ministry of Defence (MoD) and tasked with protecting LIBYA: UN • UNSMIL (Operation Tramal) 1 obs
the ministry’s cyberspace. The Defence Cyber School was
MALI: Operation Barkhane 90; 1 hel flt with 3 Chinook
opened in March 2018. The UK is developing specialist rap-
id-response teams, trained to isolate, defend and respond HC3; EU • EUTM Mali 8; UN • MINUSMA (Operation
to cyber threats and prepared to deploy around the UK Newcombe) 2
and to operational theatres overseas. Through the National NEPAL: 60 (Gurkha trg org)
Offensive Cyber Programme – a partnership between the NIGERIA: 50 (trg team)
MoD and Government Communications Headquarters
(GCHQ) since 2015 – the UK says it has strengthened its OMAN: 90
cyber capabilities and has continued to employ offensive PERSIAN GULF: Operation Kipion 2 MCO; 2 MHC; 1 LSD
cyber alongside the conventional capabilities of the armed POLAND: NATO • Enhanced Forward Presence 115; 1
forces. recce sqn
SERBIA: NATO • KFOR 24; OSCE • Kosovo 5
DEPLOYMENT
SOMALIA: EU • EUTM Somalia 4; UN • UNSOM
AFGHANISTAN: NATO • Operation Resolute Support 1,100; (Operation Praiser) 43; 3 obs; UN • UNSOS (Operation
1 inf bn(+); 1 hel flt with 3 Puma HC2 Catan) 40; 2 obs
ALBANIA: OSCE • Albania 2 SOUTH SUDAN: UN • UNMISS (Operations Trenton &
ARABIAN SEA: Operation Kipion 1 DDHM; 1 LPD; 1 LSD Vogul) 333; 1 engr coy
ARMENIA/AZERBAIJAN: OSCE • Minsk Conference 1 UKRAINE: Operation Orbital 53 (trg team); OSCE • Ukraine
ASCENSION ISLAND: 20 65
ATLANTIC (NORTH)/CARIBBEAN: 1 LSD UNITED ARAB EMIRATES: 200; 1 tpt/tkr flt with C-17A
Globemaster; C-130J Hercules; A330 MRTT Voyager
ATLANTIC (SOUTH): 1 PSO
BAHRAIN: 160; 1 naval base
FOREIGN FORCES
BELIZE: BATSUB 12
United States
BOSNIA-HERZEGOVINA: EU • EUFOR • Operation Althea US European Command: 9,250; 1 ftr wg at RAF Lakenheath
2; OSCE • Bosnia and Herzegovina 3
(1 ftr sqn with 24 F-15C/D Eagle, 2 ftr sqn with 23 F-15E Strike
BRITISH INDIAN OCEAN TERRITORY: 40; 1 navy/marine Eagle); 1 ISR sqn at RAF Mildenhall with OC-135/RC-135; 1
det tkr wg at RAF Mildenhall with 15 KC-135R/T Stratotanker;
BRUNEI: 1,000; 1 (Gurkha) lt inf bn; 1 jungle trg centre; 1 1 spec ops gp at RAF Mildenhall (1 sqn with 8 CV-22B
hel flt with 3 Bell 212 Osprey; 1 sqn with 8 MC-130J Commando II) • US Strategic
CANADA: BATUS 370; 1 trg unit; 1 hel flt with SA341 Command: 1 AN/FPS-132 Upgraded Early Warning Radar
Gazelle AH1 and 1 Spacetrack radar at Fylingdales Moor
Europe 163
In April, France and Germany signed an agreement to military equipment. This is simultaneous to a larger
collaborate on a Future Combat Air System (FCAS) that reform of the French procurement agency (DGA) that
aims to replace the Dassault Rafale and the Eurofighter began in 2017 that seeks to speed up the procurement
Europe
Typhoon. Dassault will lead on the project with the process and improve cooperation between the armed
aim of producing prototypes for testing in the mid- forces and industry.
2020s. A concept design issued by Airbus showed a At the EURONAVAL trade show in Paris in October,
low-observable, twin-engine fighter aircraft acting as French defence minister Florence Parly announced
part of a command-and-control network with other the start of an 18-month study phase to determine
aircraft and unmanned systems. A model displayed France’s future aircraft-carrier requirements. The
by Dassault in late 2018 was broadly similar but was options include operating more than one carrier.
tailless, unlike the Airbus design which showed twin Although only in the early stages of what will be a
outwardly canted vertical stabilisers. decades-long programme, the minister stated that
The United Kingdom launched a Combat Air a new French carrier must be capable of operating
Strategy in July and displayed a concept model of a the Franco-German FCAS and that France was in
fighter aircraft that it hopes will begin replacing the discussions with the US over the acquisition of the
Typhoon in the mid-2030s. The Tempest project is a General Atomics electromagnetic aircraft-launching
collaboration between BAE Systems, Leonardo, MBDA system (EMALS) used on the USS Gerald R. Ford carrier.
and Rolls-Royce, although the UK is open to foreign In October, Fincantieri and Naval Group announced
partners to help share costs. The Tempest is a large, a 50/50 joint venture (JV) to build ships for Italy and
low-observable, twin-engined design with a flexible France, as well as export customers. Although the
payload configuration. The UK plans to invest £2bn JV did not have any contracts at the time of writing,
(US$2.7bn) over ten years in the project. it is working towards offering a logistic-ship design
The French defence ministry created a defence- to the French Navy based on a vessel being built
innovation agency in September. The agency will focus for the Italian Navy. The JV will also bid for the mid-
on the research and development of key technologies, life upgrade of the French and Italian Horizon-class
as well as the integration of civilian technologies into destroyers.
18
Central Europe
15
Number of Countries
Northern Europe
Southern Europe
12
Purchasing
Southeastern Europe
Balkans
9 Western Europe
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ft a
Co
/H
r-D
ph
/IS
ar
ra
ium
i-R
Am
Ai
rc
ult
AE
ed
Ai
M
M
*Data reflects the number of countries with equipment-procurement contracts either ongoing or completed in 2018. Data includes only procurement programmes for which a production contract
has been signed. The data does not include upgrade programmes.
**Armoured fighting vehicles not including main battle tanks ***Includes combat-capable training aircraft IISS
©
Table 10 European frigate programmes and principal weapons systems
Country Class Prime Contract Value Quantity Anti-ship missile Surface-to-air missile Torpedo Naval gun
contractor date (US$)
FRA FREMM (FRA) Naval 2005 8.3bn 6 (anti-submarine MM40 Exocet Aster 15 (EUR) MBDA MU90 Oto Melara 76/62
Group warfare) (EUR) MBDA (FRA/ITA) Super Rapid
EuroTorp (ITA) Leonardo
2 (air defence) Aster 15/30 (EUR) MBDA
Frégates de Taille 2017 4.28bn 5 Aster 30 (EUR) MBDA
Intermédiaire
GER Baden- (GER) TKMS 2007 3.69bn 4 RGM-84 Harpoon (US) RIM-116 RAM - Oto Melara
Württemberg Boeing (will be replaced by (US) Raytheon/(GER) Diehl 127/64mm LW
(F125) NSM (NOR) Kongsberg) BGT (ITA) Leonardo
164 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Köln (K130 Batch (GER) Lürssen 2017 2.25bn 5 RBS15 Oto Melara 76/62
II) Werft (SWE) Saab Super Rapid
(ITA) Leonardo
ITA FREMM (ITA) Orrizonte 2006 6.76bn 4 (anti-submarine Otomat/Teseo Aster 15/30 MU90 Oto Melara 76/62
Sistemi Navali warfare) (EUR) MBDA (EUR) MBDA (FRA/ITA) Super Rapid
6 (multi-role) EuroTorp (ITA) Leonardo
and
Pattugliatori (ITA) Fincantieri, 2015 5.99bn* 2 (full) Aster 15, 30 & 30 Block 1NT Black Shark
Oto Melara
Polivalenti (ITA) Leonardo (EUR) MBDA (ITA) Leonardo
127/64mm LW
d’Altura
3 (light+) - Aster 30 Black Shark (ITA) Leonardo
(EUR) MBDA (ITA) Leonardo
and Black Arrow
(ITA) Leonardo
2 (light) - - Black Arrow
(ITA) Leonardo
TUR Ada (MILGEM) (TUR) Istanbul 2004 n.k. 4 RGM-84 Harpoon RIM-116 RAM Mk 46 Oto Melara 76/62
Naval Shipyard (US) Boeing and/or (US) Raytheon/(GER) Diehl (US) Raytheon Super Rapid
ATMACA BGT (ITA) Leonardo
(TUR) Roketsan
Istanbul 2005 n.k. 4 RIM-116 RAM Mk 46
(G-MILGEM) (US) Raytheon/(GER) Diehl (US) Raytheon
BGT and
RIM-162 ESSM
(US) Raytheon
UK City (Type-26) (UK) BAE 2017 4.83bn 3 (8 planned) T.B.D. Sea Ceptor (CAMM) Sting Ray BAE 5 inch
Systems (EUR) MBDA (UK) BAE 62-calibre Mk 45
Systems (US) BAE Land
Systems &
Armaments
*Contract includes construction of a support vessel
Europe 165
The A400M can trace its origins back to the early 1980s when
Aérospatiale, British Aerospace, Lockheed and MBB proposed
cooperating on a replacement for the C-130 Hercules and C-160
Transall.
A decade later, an eight-nation team (Belgium, France, Germany,
Italy, Portugal, Spain, Turkey and the United Kingdom) under the
European Future Large Aircraft Group (EUROFLAG) project, together
Europe
with Airbus, submitted its proposal for a four-engine turboprop that
would lie between the Lockheed Martin C-130J and the Boeing C-17A
Globemaster in both size and cost.
Engine selection caused some controversy when, in May 2003,
European consortium EUROPROP International’s TP400-D6 was
selected over Pratt & Whitney Canada’s PW180. A €19.7 billion
(US$22.3bn) fixed-price production contract was signed that month,
with deliveries of 180 aircraft to the (by then) seven-nation group
planned to take place between 2009 and 2021.
The programme has suffered delays and cost overruns. Issues with
the Full Automatic Digital Engine Control (FADEC) and the gearbox Prime contractor
meant that the prototype’s maiden flight did not take place until late Airbus Defence & Space (INTL)
2009, a year behind schedule. Airbus agreed to fund most
Selected subcontractors
development, and to a fixed-price contract, in part because it
anticipated export sales of up to 200 aircraft. However, the Denel Aerostructures (RSA)
cancellation of South Africa’s order, and a 2010 contract renegotiation Diehl Aerosystems (GER)
after Airbus reported cost overruns of €11.2bn (US$15.6bn), have EUROPROP International (INTL)
proven challenging.
GKN Aerospace (UK)
The overall order was cut from 180 to 170 and the seven nations
agreed to pay an additional €3.5bn (US$4.7bn). The first Indra (ESP)
series-production aircraft was not delivered until 2013. Despite this, Safran (FRA)
the aircraft has been used on operations – including in Mali – where Thales (FRA)
its ability to land on soft and short runways was demonstrated with
Turkish Aerospace Industries (TUR)
some success.
A400M deliveries
A400M deliveries
20
France 2003 contract 2010 renegotiation
Germany Approx. share Approx. share
Malaysia Country Quantity of cost* Quantity of cost*
15 Spain Belgium 7 €766.11m 7 €967.65m
Turkey France 50 €5.47bn 50 €6.91bn
UK Germany 60 €6.57bn 53 €7.33bn
Luxembourg 1 €109.44m 1 €138.34m
10
Spain 27 €2.96bn 27 €3.73bn
Turkey 10 €1.09bn 10 €1.38bn
UK 25 €2.74bn 22 €3.04bn
5 €19.7bn €23.5bn
Total 180 (US$22.3bn) 170 (US$31.2bn)
€109.44m €138.24m
Unit cost 1 (US$123.7m) 1 (US$183.4m)
*Based on division of total cost by quantity ordered
0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
© IISS
222 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Chapter Six
Asia
There is continuing concern in the West and regional Some of Asia’s top defence spenders drove the
countries over China’s military modernisation. regional increase in military expenditure. However, the
The PLAAF is moving ahead with the recapitalisation detailed picture showed some contrasts as defence
of its combat aircraft fleets, with obsolescent aircraft spending stagnated in Southeast Asia.
replaced with modern combat types. A successor to Defence-industry modernisation continues across
the H-6K medium-bomber is also in development. the region, albeit with varying degrees of success. In
China also continues to expand its military presence in particular, India’s progress remains hampered by slow
the South China Sea. and cumbersome bureaucratic processes.
Regional navies (Japan, South Korea, Australia) The unexpected North Korean moratorium on
continue to develop or renew their ability to generate missile testing led to renewed diplomatic contact
task-group-centred capabilities for enhanced blue- on the peninsula, and between Pyongyang and
water operations. Japan’s new defence programme Washington. However, while summits continued,
guidelines were expected to reinforce ‘cross-domain‘ there remained no progress on the issue of North
capabilities. Japan is buying Aegis Ashore and looking Korea’s denuclearisation.
into converting its Izumo-class vessels to carry the F-35B. I ndia reported that its Arihant nuclear-powered
Vietnam, meanwhile, continues to modernise its air and ballistic missile submarine completed its first
naval capabilities to complicate the deployment options operational patrol.
of potential adversaries in the country’s maritime littoral.
US$643.3bn China
2,035,000
India
Total Asian 1, 444,500
spending
US$411.0bn North
Korea
1,280,000
Pakistan
China 654,000
India South
Korea 625,000
Vietnam 482,000
Myanmar 406,000
57.9
168.2 Indonesia 395,500
Japan South Korea Australia
Thailand 360,850
Nepal
South Sudan (UNMISS)
– 1,758
Pakistan India
DRC (MONUSCO) DRC (MONUSCO)
– 2,776 – 2,647
India
South Sudan (UNMISS)
– 2,369 Bangladesh
DRC (MONUSCO)
– 1,715
Asia
Conventionally-powered attack China: principal surface Tanker/tanker-transport fleets,
submarines 2018 combatants, 2014–18 2018
50 48 100 30
27 (est)
87
82
75 76 25
40 80 72
20 18
30 60
15
20 20
20 40 10
16 15
10 8
6 6 5
10 20 4
6 6 5 5
4 4 1
0 0 0
US PACAF*
China
Singapore
Malaysia
India
Japan
Australia
Pakistan
Indonesia
2014
Asia
In late 2017 and early 2018, the crisis provoked by disarmament. Furthermore, analysts questioned
North Korea’s nuclear-weapons and ballistic-missile the level of destruction at Punggye-ri, and satellite
programmes became the primary focus of attention imagery showed extensive continuing activity at the
in the region and beyond. The Trump administration Yongbyon nuclear-research facility. Furthermore,
increasingly viewed Pyongyang’s capabilities US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo in late July
as posing a direct threat to the United States. Of told a Senate committee hearing that North Korea
particular concern were North Korea’s sixth nuclear was continuing to produce enriched uranium for
test in September 2017 (which Pyongyang claimed use in nuclear weapons. That same month, it was
involved a missile-ready, two-stage thermonuclear reported that Pyongyang appeared to be building
device) and the testing two months later of a new liquid-fuelled ICBMs at its Sanum-dong facility.
Hwasong-15 intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM), Nevertheless, both South Korea and the US continued
thought to be capable of reaching the continental their intensive diplomacy with North Korea. In late
US. For several months, there seemed a credible September, Pompeo said that a second Trump–Kim
prospect that the US would feel compelled to attack summit was likely, and there was speculation that the
North Korea with the aim of curtailing or eliminating US would reciprocate a commitment by Pyongyang
the perceived threat. It was widely thought that this on specific steps towards denuclearisation with a
risked the possibility of escalation, to involve not just formal agreement – to which China would be a party
the US and the two Koreas, but also China and Japan, – to end the Korean War.
with unpredictable strategic and economic effects on Concerns over North Korea and the potential
the wider Asia-Pacific region and globally. for conflict on the Korean Peninsula have exerted a
A diplomatic rapprochement between Seoul and significant influence on military developments in
Pyongyang in 2018 led the two countries’ leaders Northeast Asia. In late 2017, the US had deployed
to meet in April, May and September. As well as forces to the region on a scale that suggested to analysts
this surprising thaw in inter-Korean relations, the either that it was planning for a preventive war against
Singapore Summit in June 2018 between US President North Korea, or at the very least that the Pentagon
Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong- was keen to deliver a message that Pyongyang should
un, and bilateral negotiations over the following take its concerns seriously. B-52 and B-1 bombers and
months, removed the immediate prospect of war. F-22 and F-35 combat aircraft all flew close to the
However, these developments by no means resolved peninsula in 2016 and 2017. Displaying as well as
the protracted and acutely dangerous dispute. In deploying its advanced military capabilities seemed
exchange for unspecified ‘security guarantees’ from to be a key element of US strategy. For the first time in
the US, in Singapore Kim promised ‘unwavering more than a decade, by late October there were three
commitment to complete denuclearisation of the US Navy carrier strike groups in the 7th Fleet area of
Korean Peninsula’. This phrase reflected North operations in the western Pacific. In mid-November
Korea’s position that it would only agree to its own and early December, these forces engaged in major
denuclearisation if the supposed threat posed by the exercises with the Japanese and South Korean armed
United States’ extended nuclear guarantee to South forces. While the South Korean administration led
Korea was withdrawn. by Moon Jae-in, who became president in May 2017,
Three weeks before the Singapore Summit, has played a key role in facilitating the incipient
North Korea demolished tunnels at the Punggye-ri peace process between the US and North Korea, it
nuclear-test facility, and in July reportedly began has continued South Korea’s military-modernisation
dismantling facilities used to develop ballistic-missile initiatives. Seoul is developing a conventional
engines at the Sohae satellite-launching station. military deterrent based on the pre-emptive ‘Kill
However, these were apparently confidence-building Chain’ capability (aimed at North Korea’s missile
measures rather than substantive steps towards and nuclear infrastructure, mobile launchers, and
Asia 225
command, control and communications system); high-technology sector. In combination, these efforts
the Korean Air and Missile Defence system; and the are yielding new capabilities that, alongside other
Korean Massive Punishment and Retaliation (KMPR) improvements, will significantly strengthen China’s
strike capability targeting North Korea’s political and maritime power-projection capabilities as well as the
military leadership. credibility of its nuclear deterrent.
Some analysts, however, consider that the Military capability is a complex phenomenon,
KMPR strategy, at least, may have been somewhat however, and the PLA still suffers from important
downgraded by Seoul following the diplomatic deficiencies, not least in vital areas such as anti-
activity in 2018. Although the Moon administration in submarine warfare; intelligence, surveillance and
September 2017 allowed the ‘temporary’ deployment reconnaissance; air-to-air refuelling; and joint-service
to South Korea of four additional US Army Terminal operations. Even more significantly, it lacks recent
High-Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) missile direct experience of high-intensity operations, and
launchers, and in early 2018 reportedly ordered the scale of the continuing purge of corrupt PLA
more Taurus KEPD-350 cruise missiles, an inter- officers may indicate problems with discipline and
Korean military agreement in September saw the two morale. The Chinese Communist Party’s expressed
countries agree measures intended to lower tensions goal of developing the PLA’s capability so that it will
around the demilitarised zone, including setting up be capable of ‘winning wars’ in three decades’ time
buffer zones, dismantling border posts and clearing inadvertently highlights its present shortcomings
landmines. And in October another South Korea–US and may be an ambitious target. The PLA’s growing
military exercise (Vigilant Ace) was suspended, on top military capabilities increasingly complicate the
Asia
of the suspension of exercises including Ulchi Freedom United States’ operational planning assumptions
Guardian announced shortly after the Singapore and could almost certainly inflict serious costs on
Summit. Nonetheless, South Korea’s defence minister the US armed forces if they were to have to force
reportedly said in November that there ‘shouldn’t be operational access to China’s maritime littoral in the
any wavering’ in South Korea’s military-readiness event of conflict. Nonetheless, the US remains the
posture. Japan has also made efforts to strengthen its most important military power in the region, despite
defences against the security challenge from North its need to project that power over considerable
Korea, notably through the Cabinet decision in distances.
December 2017 to purchase the Aegis Ashore missile- Some US allies and security partners worried
defence system. about China have been unnerved by the Trump
The North Korea crisis unfolded alongside administration’s unpredictability. However,
continuing concern in the West and regional countries substantial overall increases in US defence spending
– notably Japan – over China’s growing defence as well as the Department of Defense’s continuing
spending, its efforts to enhance the capabilities of focus on strengthening US military capability –
the People’s Liberation Army (PLA), and evidence including the capacity to operate more closely with
of its further militarisation of the features that it had the armed forces of allies and partners in what it now
occupied and had physically expanded since 2012 calls the ‘Indo-Pacific’ region – are both in large part
in the South China Sea. While the US still outspends intended to mitigate China’s military challenge. While
China, Beijing’s defence budget has continued to the Trump administration nominally abandoned its
increase and the PLA has directed much of its growing predecessor’s ‘rebalance’ to the Asia-Pacific, the US
budget towards efforts to improve its capabilities. National Defense Strategy published in January 2018
The most obvious evidence of this has been the gave pre-eminent attention to the Indo-Pacific and
new equipment that is being brought into service, explicitly identified China and Russia as the primary
including a second aircraft carrier, more-capable ‘strategic competitors’.
ballistic missiles, improved submarines and new The US has not been alone in strengthening its
combat aircraft. At the same time, the PLA has been military posture in the region in response to China’s
attempting to strengthen its capacity for warfare in growing power. In Japan, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s
the cyber, space and electronic-warfare arenas, while government has continued gradually to increase
boosting the potential of China’s national defence defence spending, which has allowed the Japan
science, research and development, and industrial Self-Defense Forces to begin developing significant
base through closer cooperation with the civilian additional capabilities. While the immediate
226 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
motivation for some capability-related developments, response, the acquisition of platforms requiring fewer
such as the acquisition of Aegis Ashore, has been the personnel to operate is planned, including a new,
security challenge from North Korea, others – such as locally developed armoured fighting vehicle and a
the incipient strike capability from Japan’s growing next-generation howitzer.
force of F-35A combat aircraft – could potentially be
used to project military power for wider purposes, DEFENCE ECONOMICS
against China as well as North Korea.
Under increasing political pressure from Beijing, In 2018, Asia was the main engine of global growth,
and acutely aware that the cross-strait military according to the IMF, with GDP growth reaching
balance has been shifting increasingly in China’s 5.6%, thereby accounting for 60% of the global total.
favour, Taiwan’s government has continued its Within Asia, however, advanced economies slowed
efforts to strengthen the island’s defence posture. down between 2017 (2.4% GDP growth) and 2018
It has been led since January 2016 by President Tsai (2.1%), with the notable exception of Australia,
Ing-wen of the Democratic Progressive Party, which where growth accelerated from 2.2% to 3.2%. The
favours a more distinct political identity for Taiwan. economies of Japan, Singapore, South Korea and
The Trump administration has supported Taipei’s Taiwan all decelerated. In contrast, the region’s
defence efforts, and in September 2018 announced the emerging markets and developing economies grew
sale of spare parts and logistic support for Taiwanese by 6.5%. The fastest-growing countries in 2018 were
military aircraft; this followed the agreement in June Bangladesh and India at 7.3%, followed by Cambodia
2017 of a major arms package for Taiwan, including (6.9%) and Laos (6.8%), then China and Vietnam both
AGM-88 HARM air-to-surface anti-radiation missiles, at 6.6%. India’s economy in particular rebounded
torpedoes and technical support for early-warning after important currency and tax reforms introduced
radars. since 2016, and after the implementation of policies
In Southeast Asia, Vietnam has displayed the regarding access to bank accounts, identity numbers
greatest resolution of any Association of Southeast and mobile phones.
Asian Nations (ASEAN) member in terms of As it is an export-oriented region, Asia largely
attempting to deter Chinese interference with its benefited from improved global trade. Regional
interests in the South China Sea. To this end, Hanoi growth was also helped by infrastructure projects.
continues to modernise its naval and air arms as part Besides the investments linked to China’s Belt
of an effort to establish capabilities to complicate the and Road Initiative projects, there are important
deployment options of potential adversaries in the developments in India and Indonesia, among others.
country’s maritime littoral. Vietnam’s state-controlled
media reported during 2017 that India had not only
agreed to supply, but had started delivering, BrahMos ▼ Figure 16 Asia defence spending by country and
anti-ship cruise missiles to Vietnam, though this was sub-region, 2017
denied by New Delhi in 2017 and 2018. Thailand, 1.6% Vietnam, 1.2%
Elsewhere in Southeast Asia, more varied Indonesia, 1.8% Other Southeast
influences shape national-defence policies, strategies Singapore, 2.7% Asia, 2.4%
Asian country, and the city-state has continued to Other South Asia
1.8%
invest heavily in major acquisition programmes.
Pakistan, 2.8%
New equipment entering service in 2017–18 included
China
A330 MRTT in-flight refuelling aircraft, Aster 30 India, 14.1% 40.9%
SAMP/T medium-range ground-based air-defence
systems and locally built Independence-class Littoral
Mongolia, 0.03%
Mission Vessels, of which five of eight ships on
Taiwan, 2.7%
order are now in service. A serious challenge for the
country’s armed forces is the impact of a declining South Korea, 9.5% Japan, 11.5%
national birth rate on the size of the conscript cohort, Note: analysis excludes North Korea and Laos due to insufficient data.
Indonesia
Asia
2018 Defence Spending (US$ bn)
Estimate
57.87 Fiji
47.26
39.21 Australia
30.00
20
10
5
2
1
.25 New Zealand
.05
However, countries with growing debt will likely consequences for Asia. For instance, if the full range of
face future challenges. In 2018, East Asian countries measures so far mooted are implemented, according to
with high debt levels included China, Laos, Malaysia, the IMF the effect would be to lower Chinese GDP by
Mongolia and Thailand, while Cambodia, Laos, 1.6% over two years. The IMF also assessed that GDP
Mongolia and Vietnam all had large fiscal deficits. growth could fall by 0.9% in South Korea, by 0.7% in
This has led countries including China, Laos, Malaysia India, Indonesia and Japan, and by 0.6% in Australia,
and Vietnam to renew fiscal-consolidation efforts, Malaysia, the Philippines and Thailand.
which might limit public spending and investments Running counter to protectionist trends, some
in the near term. regional states are instead looking to new multilateral
The trade showdown between the US and China will trade agreements. The Comprehensive and
have a wider effect. Simulations run by international Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership,
financial institutions show that the hikes in trade or the TPP-11, replaces the Trans-Pacific Partnership;
tariffs could influence regional growth. At the time the US pulled out of the negotiations for this following
of writing, it was too early to fully assess the impact Donald Trump’s election as US president. Ratification
of these measures, but there are potential economic by at least six signatories is pending. In Southeast
228 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
2.0 Taiwan
Australia
1.40 1.44 1.45 1.46 1.44 1.43
1.5 South Korea
Southeast Asia
% of GDP
1.0 Japan
India
0.5 China
United States
0.0 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
US$bn current
▲ Figure 17 Asia regional defence expenditure as % of Southeast Asia includes Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar,
Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Timor-Leste and Vietnam. No data available for Laos
GDP
▲ Figure 18 Indo-Pacific defence spending, 2018
(US$bn, current)
Asia, the ASEAN Trade in Goods Agreement (ATIGA)
will reduce tariffs among its member states, with full
implementation expected in 2018. Among Southeast Asian countries, Singapore
spends the most on procurement and defence R&D,
Defence spending and procurement with the estimated US$2.18bn spent on these in 2018
Asian defence spending continues to increase. It comprising just below 20% of its total defence budget.
grew by 4.0% in real terms between 2017 and 2018, The city-state is making significant investments
picking up speed after a year of slower growth; the in its sophisticated air force. It is set to enhance its
rate had been 2.8% between 2016 and 2017. Some of rotary-wing fleet with additional H225M Caracal and
the region’s top spenders drove the increase. In real CH-47F Chinook helicopters, while the first of six A330
terms, Australia’s defence budget grew by 8.4%, MRTT tankers was delivered in August 2018. The
China’s by 5.7% and South Korea’s by 4.5%. Singaporean government is also expected to decide,
In contrast, defence spending stagnated in by the end of 2018, on whether to buy F-35 combat
Southeast Asia, with a regional decline of 0.6% aircraft as the replacement for its F-16s.
between 2017 and 2018, though there was a more Australia’s increased defence budget is also
pronounced drop in some states, notably Indonesia dedicated largely to improving aerospace capacities.
where real-terms spending fell by 9.7%. This complex Indeed, air platforms comprise four of the top five
picture is a reminder that strong economic growth acquisition projects for the Australian armed forces
does not necessarily translate into strong defence- in the coming year (see Table 12). The first is the
budget growth or high levels of defence expenditure. acquisition of F-35 combat aircraft; 72 will be bought
Governments in this sub-region are managing in total and the first two were due to arrive in Australia
competing policy priorities; in Malaysia, for instance, in December 2018.
there is a focus by the new government on healthcare. These procurement choices reflect Australia’s
Overall, Southeast Asian states’ defence budgets concerns over regional security developments,
remain modest when compared to the rest of Asia; including China’s military progress, and a desire to
combined, they reach only the level of South Korea’s acquire capabilities allowing it to act on its own as well
defence budget (see Figure 18). as with like-minded states. For instance, Australia’s
Consequently, procurement and defence research procurement of P-8 maritime-patrol aircraft mirrors
and development (R&D) spending for these countries that in India. South Korea, meanwhile, has selected
remains constrained, compared to larger spenders in the P-8 for its future maritime-patrol-aircraft
East Asia. For instance, Indonesia in 2018 dedicated requirement.
15.9% of its budget to these defence investments, Expenditures for naval programmes, such as the
which amounted to some US$1.16 billion, while in future submarines and frigates, will soon rise, with
Malaysia and Vietnam these expenditures totalled total programme costs projected at over A$50bn
US$804 million and US$821m respectively. (US$37bn) and A$30bn (US$22bn) respectively. So
Asia 229
far, total approved expenditure for Australia’s future to South Korea for its share of the expenses, which
submarine design and construction is A$2.24bn amounted to 20% of the development costs. Seoul
(US$1.66bn) under phase 1B of the Sea 1000 project maintained that this did not delay the project, and that
and A$395m (US$293m) for the future frigates under it was in discussions with Jakarta to reduce the latter’s
phase 1 of the Sea 5000 project. share in the programme. Indonesia was looking to the
KF-X project to boost technology transfer to its own
Defence industry and markets defence sector.
Contract negotiations were ongoing in late 2018 Developing a domestic defence-industrial base
Asia
between Canberra and Naval Group regarding would, in theory, avoid such complications. Many
Australia’s submarine programme. The French states in the region are looking to do so. Possessing a
company was selected in 2016 to design and build defence-industrial sector would help with sovereign
12 submarines based on the Shortfin Barracuda Block defence policymaking and would also – if they were
1A design. A series of contracts has been signed since to develop an export model – allow states to recoup
this announcement, but this situation illustrates the through foreign earnings some of the investments
lengthy processes and challenges associated with made in the sector.
implementing large equipment deals. Vietnam is looking to rationalise its state-owned
Even when it comes to long-established defence enterprises, notably through mergers. In
partnerships, arms transfers can be affected by mid-2018, a new regulation was intended to reduce
disputes. In 2018, Japan and the US discussed Tokyo’s the number of military-operated businesses from
concerns regarding the costs and processes of US 88 to 17, to focus military-owned enterprises on
Foreign Military Sales (FMS). Japan relies heavily defence tasks and to support economic development.
on FMS, and the value of FMS deliveries increased However, this process of rationalisation began a
from US$779m in 2010 to US$1.01bn in 2017. Japan’s decade ago, with little visible effect so far, though
Audit Board has expressed concerns in recent years Vietnam’s Military Telecommunications General
regarding the management of FMS, particularly Corporation changed its name to Viettel Military
over the F-35 programme. Japanese authorities, the Industry and Telecom Group in early 2018.
watchdog said, had no knowledge on why prices had In 2018, Australia took measures to support its
risen, that there were delays in the deliveries of parts defence-industrial base. The government launched
and that there was a lack of coordination with Japanese a defence-export strategy in 2018, with the aim
firms involved in the manufacturing process. In 2018, of Australia becoming one of the world’s top-ten
defence ministers from both countries discussed defence suppliers by 2028. The strategy created a new
‘improvements’ to the FMS process, relating to delays Australian Defence Export Office. The government
in implementing procurement programmes, as well also released A$20m (US$15m) of annual funding
as reimbursements of Japanese overpayments on to support arms exports and opened an export
FMS transactions. credit line of A$3.8bn (US$2.9bn) for customers of
Meanwhile, South Korea was reclaiming outlays Australian weapons systems. In April 2018, Canberra
from Indonesia, concerning the KF-X joint combat- also released its Defence Industrial Capability Plan,
aircraft programme. According to press reports, following a 2016 Defence Industry Policy Statement.
Indonesia failed to pay approximately US$200m It identified priority areas for support to the defence
230 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
industry, including on submarine capability, as well Administration (DAPA) aims to diversify local defence
as land-combat vehicles and related technology suppliers, and boosting the role of SMEs is a key plank
upgrades, and included A$17m (US$13m) per year of DAPA’s import-substitution policy. By raising
for grants to support small and medium-sized the profile of SMEs and better integrating them into
enterprises (SMEs) working in these areas. These new international defence supply chains, DAPA also hopes
policies are intended to develop and support local to enhance export results. In 2017, South Korea exported
manufacturers. Currently local companies are only weapons worth US$3.19bn but intends to raise that
dominant in shipbuilding, such as ASC and Austal. figure to US$5bn by 2022. New offset guidelines are
Other areas of Australia’s defence-industrial base are expected in early 2019 and may include requirements
dominated by foreign-owned prime contractors such for foreign arms manufacturers to integrate locally
as Raytheon Australia, BAE Systems Australia and made components into their weapons systems for
Thales Australia. South Korea’s armed forces. The ‘Defense Business
Reform initiatives were also announced in Innovation Plan’ launched in August 2018 focused on
South Korea in 2018, with a particular focus on reforming procurement processes, but also contained
developing SMEs. The Defense Acquisition Program initiatives to promote the domestic industrial base and
Table 13 India: procurements from Russia and the United States, 2000–18
Asia
Quantity: 1 Value: US$2.35bn Quantity: 11 Value: US$4.7bn
(RUS) Government surplus (US) Boeing
2004 MiG-29K/KUB Fulcrum – FGA ac 2012 Su-30MKI Flanker H – FGA ac
Quantity: 16 Value: US$794.21m Quantity: 42 Value: US$2.97bn
(RUS) United Aircraft Corporation (RUS) United Aircraft Corporation
2004 T-90S – MBT 2012 Mi-17V-5 Hip H – MRH
Quantity: 300 Value: n.k. Quantity: 71 Value: n.k.
(IND) Ordnance Factory Board (RUS) Russian Helicopters
(RUS licensed production)
2013 T-90S – MBT
2005 9A52 Smerch – MRL Quantity: 236 Value: US$991.7m
Quantity: 28 Value: εUS$396.48m (IND) Ordnance Factory Board
(RUS) NPO Splav (RUS licensed production)
2006 Talwar II class (Pr. 11356) – FFGHM 2013 C-130J-30 Hercules – Med tpt ac
Quantity: 3 Value: US$1.13bn Quantity: 6 Value: US$1.01bn
(RUS) Yantar Shipyard (US) Lockheed Martin
2006 BMP-2K – IFV 2015 AH-64E Apache – Atk hel
Quantity: 123 Value: n.k. Quantity: 22 Combined
(RUS) Kurganmashzavod CH-47F Chinook Hvy tpt hel value:
Quantity: 15 US$3bn
2007 9A52 Smerch – MRL (US) Boeing
Quantity: 14 Value: εUS$217.75m
(RUS) NPO Splav 2016 P-8I Neptune – ASW ac
Quantity: 4 Value: US$1bn
2007 Su-30MKI Flanker H – FGA ac (US) Boeing
Quantity: 40 (of which 25 kits/semi-
assembled) Value: US$1.55bn 2017 M777A2 – 155mm Arty
(RUS) United Aircraft Corporation Quantity: 145 Value: US$542.1m
(US) BAE Land Systems and Armaments
2007 T-90S – MBT
Quantity: 347 (of which 223 semi-assembled) 2018 C-17A Globemaster III – Hvy tpt hel
Value: US$1.22bn Quantity: 1 Value: US$262m
(RUS) UralVagonZavod (US) Boeing
2008 C-130J-30 Hercules – Med tpt ac 2018 S-400 (SA-21 Growler) – SAM
Quantity: 6 Value: US$962.45m Quantity: 80 Value: US$5.4bn
(US) Lockheed Martin (RUS) Almaz-Antey
232 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
strengthen defence R&D. Plans included intellectual- The PLA has undergone further organisational
property reform and the creation of a new agency change in 2018. A key message has been that the
called Defense Science and Technology Planning and PLA serves the Party, not the other way round. As
Evaluation, to focus on emerging technologies. The part of this, Xi has extended his anti-graft campaign
plan also contained measures to support arms exports, – which previously only targeted high-level PLA
also via a new agency called the Defense Industry officials – to include lower-ranking officials. During
Promotion Association. Xi’s first term as president, more than 13,000 PLA
officers, including 100 generals, were targeted in
CHINA the anti-corruption campaign by the Party’s Central
Commission for Discipline Inspection and the
President Xi Jinping continues to reform Chinese State’s National Supervision Commission. This has
governance. This includes his ambitious plan to earned Xi both respect for ridding branches of the
modernise the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) by armed forces of corrupt ‘tigers’ (high-level officials)
2035 and complete its transformation into ‘world- and ‘flies’ (rank-and-file cadres), but also criticism
class forces’ capable of winning wars by 2049. These for his use of the campaign to remove political
major policy projects have attracted significant opponents and promote his allies to positions of
attention in China and internationally, drawing power.
concern not only for the return of highly centralised However, control of the PLA by the Party and Xi
decision-making in Beijing in the hands of Xi, but also has not gone unchallenged. Years of insufficient care
for the expanding government-led military outreach have led to discontent among PLA veterans, and
that has led to an escalation of regional tensions. since 2016 – when there was a large-scale protest in
Beijing in front of the defence ministry – veterans
Centralised control have periodically staged public protests in Beijing
The primacy of the Communist Party of China over unpaid demobilisation benefits, healthcare and
(CCP), and its leadership role in government, the pensions. These protests have spread beyond Beijing
armed forces and society, was made clear at the 19th despite the CCP’s creation of the Ministry of Veterans
Party Congress in October 2017. Furthermore, the Affairs in March 2018 to deal with their concerns.
president’s theory – ‘Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism For instance, a group of over 1,000 PLA veterans
with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era’ – was staged a protest in Zhenjiang, Jiangsu province,
written into the Party’s constitution, cementing Xi’s in June 2018. While the leadership of Xi regarding
power in the manner of the precedents set by his the PLA and political leadership may be publicly
predecessors Mao Zedong and Deng Xiaoping. projected as strong, these protests nonetheless
Furthermore, at the 13th National People’s Congress raise questions. Indeed, following a speech to PLA
(NPC) in March 2018, a constitutional amendment chiefs at the 2018 Party leaders’ summer retreat at
was approved, abolishing term limits for the Beidaihe, Hebei province, Xi once again called for
presidency. Under Xi, the distinctions between party ‘absolute loyalty’ and ‘strengthening the party’s
and state have become increasingly blurred, moving leadership in the army’ in order to make China and
away from Deng’s vision whereby the two were the PLA powerful. At public appearances in 2018,
separate, and each had distinct powers. Xi’s consistent calls for unwavering PLA loyalty to
The 19th Party Congress visibly illustrated the the Party may in fact betray some concern over the
Party’s expanding control over the PLA, and the strength of this.
recentralisation of decision-making power into Xi While Xi tries to strengthen control of the PLA, he
and his allies’ hands within a slimmed-down Central is using what the 2015 defence white paper labelled
Military Commission (CMC). Before the 19th Party as China’s ‘strategic opportunity’ of a favourable
Congress, the CMC had a chairman (Xi), two vice- external environment to modernise the PLA and
chairmen and seven members. At its close, as well bolster the armed forces’ power-projection capability.
as Xi as chairman, the CMC comprised two vice- The PLA Navy and PLA Air Force (PLAAF) in
chairmen and four members. All are close allies of particular continue to modernise their equipment
Xi, with personal ties to him. The signal was that Xi inventories, and the armed forces have started to
would continue to strictly control military reform, to integrate new technologies, such as uninhabited
him a personal project. aerial vehicles (UAVs), while China continues to
Asia 233
develop its capabilities and innovation in the fields of other regional Spratly Island claimants (Malaysia,
cyber, space and electronic warfare. the Philippines, Taiwan and Vietnam). By 2016,
In 2017 and 2018, China demonstrated a more China had reclaimed approximately 12.95 square
assertive posture in relation to Taiwan and in the kilometres of land. Between 2016 and 2018, the PLA
East China Sea. In May 2018, the PLAAF flew H-6K instead intensified its efforts to fortify these features
bombers and Su-35 Flanker E combat aircraft around by building infrastructure and a range of military
Taiwan. These ‘training flights’, as the PLA put it, facilities.
were an attempt to discourage Taipei from making The three largest of the Spratly Islands (Fiery
any moves towards independence. In September Cross Reef, Mischief Reef and Subi Reef) now host
2018, Japan’s then defence minister Itsunori 3-km-long runways, hangars for combat aircraft,
Onodera warned of China’s unilateral escalation ammunition bunkers, barracks, large berthing
of military activities in the sea and airspace around facilities, anti-aircraft guns and close-in weapons
Japan. In the South China Sea, China’s militarisation systems. The seven Chinese-reclaimed Spratly
of the islands and features it occupies in the Spratlys Islands today house over 40 varying radar facilities
continues. that represent a significant enhancement of China’s
Further afield, China has expanded the reach of capabilities in the area relating not just to command
its international infrastructure-development project, and control but also intelligence, surveillance and
the Belt and Road Initiative. However, regional reconnaissance. In April 2018, reports emerged that
and international fears have yet to be realised over China had deployed jamming equipment to Mischief
dual-use ports along the ‘maritime silk route’ that Reef in the Spratlys.
Asia
China has built. In addition to its military-logistics While surface-to-air missiles and anti-ship cruise
base in Djibouti, China announced in August 2018 missiles (ASCMs) have not yet been installed in the
that it is fully funding and building a training camp Spratlys, further north, in the Paracel Islands group,
in Afghanistan that will be used to improve the China has deployed HQ-9 air-defence systems,
counter-terrorism capabilities of both Afghan troops probably YJ-62 ASCMs, as well as J-11B combat
and the PLA. Alongside numerous and increasingly aircraft on Woody Island, the latter two possibly
complex training exercises in China, the region and as short-term deployments. In May 2018, an H-6K
internationally – and continuing deployment on UN bomber landed on Woody Island, the first time that
operations – this Afghanistan mission will provide the one of these bombers had landed on one of China’s
PLA with valuable, albeit non-combat, operational South China Sea islands.
experience. While strategic and regional messaging might be
Beijing is simultaneously modernising its armed key to Beijing’s rationale, and the capability of the
forces, expanding its global reach and engaging in deployed equipment has yet to be tested in combat,
domestic reforms. Maintaining this pace and breadth Beijing has nonetheless changed the power balance
may prove a challenge, and if the veterans’ protests in the South China Sea. The calculus involved in
are indicative of morale and cohesion issues within any decision by the US or its allies on possible
the force and illustrate concerns over the extent of the military action in the South China Sea has become
Party’s influence over the PLA, they may influence more complex, and potentially with higher risk. So
Xi’s ability to deliver on the two deadlines he has set far, Washington has responded by continuing to
for China’s military progress. conduct freedom-of-navigation naval operations
and overflights. In May 2018, the US disinvited
South China Sea China from the 2018 RIMPAC exercise, citing as the
In 2015, Xi promised then US president Barack reason China’s militarisation of the South China Sea.
Obama that China would not militarise its reclaimed Meanwhile, the resurrected ‘Quad’ regional grouping
features in the Spratly Islands. Events since that date (which includes Australia, India, Japan and the US)
would seem to indicate otherwise. has yet to take shape, with New Delhi denying that
It is true that China’s large-scale dredging and the grouping has any military or defence function.
reclamation of land appears to have halted, at least While the US considers its options, China has
for now. However, between 2013 and 2015, China succeeded in dividing Association of Southeast Asian
reclaimed 17 times more land than the combined Nations (ASEAN) member states and promoting its
amount reclaimed over the past 40 years by the four strategy of bilateral multilateralism. Whether or not
234 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Pattle Island
Lincoln Island
x3
x6
CHINA Km 1,000
Paracel Islands
Money Island
Paracel Is.
H x3
China’s land reclamation in the Spratlys and Paracels seems now seem to be part of the permanent infrastructure,
to have stopped in recent years, and the focus has instead indicating the extent of Chinese command-and-control and
turned to building up permanent infrastructure. All the ISR capabilities in the South China Sea. The ports in the
Chinese-controlled features in the Spratlys have what Spratly Islands, including deep-water berths, could in the
appear to be permanent weapons emplacements but this is future support a wide range of naval vessels. Lastly, 3 km
not the case in the Paracels, though weapons have runways, aircraft hangars and weapons-storage facilities on
appeared there occasionally. This might be due to the Woody Island in the Paracels and Subi, Fiery Cross and
proximity of the Paracels to Hainan, making them less Mischief reefs in the Spratlys will enable greater reach for
vulnerable. In the Spratlys, a variety of radars and radomes Chinese airpower.
H x4 x14 x3
© IISS
Asia 235
the US and its allies in the Indo-Pacific can agree on now in service with nine of the group armies, as well
how to counter China in the near future, it seems that as with units in Tibet and Shanghai. This gives the
Beijing will continue to slowly change the strategic PLAA its first widespread medium-range air-defence
environment of the South China Sea at sea, in the air capability.
and on reclaimed land.
PLA Rocket Force (PLARF)
PLA Army (PLAA) The PLARF remains organised in a series of corps-
The process of reorganisation and rebasing begun leader-grade ‘bases’, now numbering nine in total.
in 2017 is mostly complete, although some brigade Six of them (bases 61–66) command the force’s
moves may yet take place, largely in the Northern operational missile brigades, while the other three
and Western Theatre Commands. However, the handle warhead storage and transport (67 Base),
distinction between the areas of responsibility of the specialist engineering (68 Base) and test and training
Tibet Military Command and the Western Theatre (69 Base). The multiple new missile brigades formed
Command’s 77th Group Army now seems to have during 2017 are now beginning to take shape, with
become blurred, with the latter beginning to rebase some resultant relocation of units and changes to
part of its manoeuvre force within Tibet itself. equipment and missions. In 62 Base, a combination
The focus of the PLAA now appears to be on of rebasing of existing units and the formation of
internal restructuring within the new combined arms two new brigades is likely to result in an additional
brigades and training. The first reorganised light brigade of DF-21D medium-range ballistic missiles
combined arms infantry unit, formed in 2014 and (MRBMs) and a first brigade of DF-26 intermediate-
Asia
now part of the 78th Group Army in the Northern range ballistic missiles being formed in southern
Theatre Command, was unveiled publicly in 2018. China. Both of these missile types have anti-ship
Utilising 4×4 vehicles from the Dongfeng Mengshi capabilities and when the brigades reach operational
family as personnel carriers, and truck- and jeep- capability will add to the PLARF’s ability to hold at
mounted howitzers and mortars for fire support, this risk possible targets in the South China Sea and Indian
formation – a battalion of the 48th Combined Arms Ocean. In northern China, the new brigade in 65 Base
Brigade – is a template for the rest of the PLAA’s light will also most probably equip with the DF-21D, since
combined arms units. The two newly redesignated it is currently co-located in Dalian, Liaoning province,
air-assault brigades in the Eastern and Southern with an existing DF-21D formation. This would result
theatre commands, the 121st from the 75th Group in a doubling of the PLARF’s anti-ship ballistic-
Army and the 161st from the 83rd Group Army, missile brigades, when compared to its roster before
are also now working up their capabilities and have the reorganisation began.
begun exercising in their new role. The two new brigades formed in 64 and 66 bases are
For the heavy and medium combined arms both likely to work up as road-mobile intercontinental-
brigades, progress in modernising the PLAA’s ballistic-missile (ICBM) units; one is most probably
armoured-fighting-vehicle fleet is still only charged with bringing the still-developmental DF-41
incremental; a limiting factor is that the army is a (CH-SS-X-20) ICBM into service, while the other will
relatively low priority for re-equipment. The ZTZ-99 probably equip with either the DF-31A(G) ICBM or
main battle tank, although in production for nearly additional DF-41s. Both of these missiles are believed
two decades, continues to equip less than a quarter to be capable of deploying multiple independently
of the new heavy combined arms brigades. The targetable re-entry vehicles. The new brigades would
most advanced variant of the ZTZ-99, the ZTZ-99A, mark the first expansion of the PLARF’s road-mobile
appears to remain restricted to the two formations ICBM fleet in nearly a decade.
already equipped with it prior to the reorganisation In late 2017, media reports described two test
(the 112th Mechanised Division and 62nd Combined firings of a new developmental short-range ballistic
Arms Brigade). missile or MRBM, reportedly with a hypersonic
More progress seems to have been made with glide-vehicle payload. It is reported that this missile
the army’s combat-support equipment, including may have the PLA designation DF-17, but there is
artillery, engineering and air-defence systems. The limited further information available on the missile;
indigenous HQ-16 air-defence system, which analysts its connections, if any, to existing PLARF designs; and
consider to be roughly analogous to Russia’s Buk, is its intended mission.
236 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
PLA Navy (PLAN) and China Coast Guard Shipyards continue to build smaller surface
(CCG) combatants too, particularly Type-054A frigates and
In April 2018, China deployed to the South China Sea Type-056A corvettes, and in September the PLAN
its largest assembly of naval power in modern times. commissioned its fifth Type-071 large amphibious
Led by the aircraft carrier Liaoning, what amounted to landing ship. A first Type-075 amphibious assault
a fleet review consisted of nearly 50 vessels and sent vessel is under construction in Shanghai.
a significant message. It underscored the dramatic China is also transforming its marine corps.
progress in the capabilities of the PLAN, not least in From a force a few years ago of two brigades and
its potential for blue-water operations. approximately 10,000 personnel, the US Department
The PLAN has taken further steps in developing of Defense estimates that by 2020 it will consist of
its aircraft-carrier capability. In June 2018, China some seven brigades and 30,000 personnel, with a
announced that the Liaoning had reached initial much wider scope of missions.
operating capability, and three months later said The PLAN’s four Type-094 Jin-class ballistic-
that it had carried out night-flying operations. This missile submarines appear now to be operational.
provides further evidence that China may be on However, it remains unclear whether this means
the cusp of a real, if still limited, operational carrier that China is able to deliver an effective deterrent
capability. capability. Broader submarine-modernisation
In addition, a second aircraft carrier has begun sea efforts continue, and two Type-039B Yuan II-class
trials and could be accepted into service as early as conventionally powered submarines may have
2019. Built in China, this second ship is a modified commissioned in 2018.
version of the Liaoning. There were also increasing In July, administrative control of China’s
indicators that work is under way on a third, larger coastguard was transferred from the civilian State
vessel that may be fitted with some form of catapult Oceanic Administration to the armed forces under
and arrester gear. the People’s Armed Police. The potential impact of
Shipyard output seems to be focusing even this move remained uncertain, beyond clarifying and
more than before on high-capability large surface streamlining a chain of command widely assumed to
combatants, adding to the sense that Chinese naval- already exist.
capability development may be entering a new phase. China’s consolidation of its infrastructure on
In July 2018, there were simultaneous launches of the disputed features it has developed in the South
two of the new Type-055 cruisers. This meant that China Sea, plus the ongoing enhancement of its
four had been launched in just over a year, while at naval capabilities, continued to strengthen its ability
least four more are under construction. The first of the to exert influence and potentially exercise control
Type-055s began sea trials in August 2018. there. During 2018, the incremental progress of these
It has been estimated that the Type-055s displace developments reached the point at which the US took
between 10,000 and 13,000 tonnes and will enhance the decision to disinvite the PLAN from the US-led
the navy’s capabilities in task-group operations and Rim of the Pacific exercise. This and a number of other
independent blue-water deployments. They are seen friction points between the two navies during 2018,
as most analogous to the United States’ Ticonderoga- including a significantly close encounter between
class cruisers, albeit perhaps slightly larger. The the two nations’ warships during a US freedom-
Ticonderogas act as air-defence command ships for of-navigation operation in September, portended
US Navy carrier strike groups; they have a 122-cell challenges for both nations’ navies in 2019 and
vertical-launch system, compared to 112 cells for highlighted the limits of existing agreements on
the Type-055s. A stretched version of the Type- managing incidents at sea.
052D destroyer was observed with a modified flight
deck, possibly to accommodate the new Harbin Z-20 PLA Air Force (PLAAF)
helicopter, perhaps in an anti-submarine role. The capabilities and institutional influence of the
The PLAN still has areas of relative weakness, PLAAF have advanced significantly in recent years;
notably in anti-submarine warfare and amphibious the ground forces were traditionally the dominant
operations, which continue to constrain its blue-water service. General Xu Qiliang, as vice-chairman of the
aspirations. But it also continues to make strides in CMC, is now the most senior member of the PLA
addressing these deficiencies. armed services; a career air-force officer, he was
Asia 237
formerly the PLAAF commander. Another PLAAF for new aircraft, better pilots, improved training and
officer, General Yi Xiaoguang, is the commander of more interoperability.
the Central Theatre Command, responsible for the Nonetheless, significant challenges remain. One
security of Beijing and the surrounding area. These relates to the human side of military capability. More
appointments are emblematic of the air force’s progress needs to be made in ensuring that senior
progress; they would have been nearly unthinkable, and more conservative leaders trust new ideas and
say analysts, just a decade ago. Change has been younger troops. Recruiting, training and retaining
under way since the late 1990s, but a major push high-quality personnel is a challenge for any armed
came when the PLAAF received its first service- force, and one that the PLA is facing as it struggles
specific strategy in 2004, instructing it to ‘integrate to build an NCO corps and attract more college
air and space and be simultaneously prepared for graduates.
offensive and defensive operations’. For China, this Another challenge relates to ‘jointness’. One of
is not simply a matter of improving hardware and the core objectives of the PLA’s most recent round
weapons systems. There has been a simultaneous of reforms, this relates to the employment of forces
drive to remake the PLA as an organisation as from two or more service branches such that they
well as its people, their mindset, their training and can together conduct coordinated operations. This
their roles. This has affected not only the PLAAF, is a major change for the PLA, which has long been
but also the PLAN and its naval aviation branch ground-centric, with organisationally discrete
(PLANAF). institutions. Indeed, US analysts say both the
The training and exercise regimen of both the PLAAF and PLANAF have retained a full suite of
Asia
air force and naval aviation have seen considerable aviation capacities because they have not been able
change. The PLAAF now has a series of exercises, the to draw on the other’s capabilities. This prevents
‘Four Key Brands’, which enable it to test operational them from realising economies of scale that would
capability as well as assess progress towards its result from each maintaining a limited number of
modernisation goals. These exercises exemplify a distinct capabilities. Interaction among units was
move away from scripted drills toward a focus on traditionally limited in the absence of a common
what China terms ‘back to back’ exercises, where higher-echelon command: regiments within the same
neither side in the exercise has prior knowledge corps rarely trained or exercised together because
of the other’s plans. By doing this, the PLA is of strict command-and-control relationships. This is
attempting to learn from Western armed forces and slowly beginning to change and there is evidence,
focus on preparing its next generation of pilots for albeit limited in comparison to Western experiences,
more realistic – i.e., unscripted – combat in a complex that the PLAAF and PLANAF are looking to develop
electromagnetic environment. a level of jointness through common training.
The PLAAF has also started expanding the scope The PLA is also engaged in a concerted effort
and scale of its missions, and there is greater emphasis to produce strategically effective aviation forces.
on operations over water. Less than 30 years ago, Longer-duration missions, further from the mainland,
PLAAF training manuals included the warning that and increased integration among and between
these operations included challenges such as the PLAAF and PLAN aviation will in future become
‘weather changes rapidly’ and ‘the horizon is difficult more commonplace. This effort is taking place
to detect’. PLAAF aircraft first flew to the centre line during a time Beijing terms a ‘strategic opportunity’.
of the Taiwan Strait in 1998 and over the Miyako Strait This means that the Communist Party of China has
for the first time in May 2015. Since then, however, decided that the risks required to implement these
there have been multiple flights into the Pacific, changes are worth bearing now, because the risk of
some circumnavigating Taiwan, comprising many major conflict with a large power is relatively low.
aircraft types. As it sorties farther from the mainland Consequently, Beijing hopes that when this period
and conducts patrols more frequently, the PLAAF of strategic opportunity ends, its future force will be
is improving pilot training and experience, and ready to compete with peer competitors.
increasing its interaction with the PLAN’s surface
and aviation assets. At the same time, the PLANAF Equipment progress
is developing its capabilities in carrier operations. The Chengdu J-20 combat aircraft remains on track to
Overall, the trend for the PLA’s aviation forces is be introduced into front-line service with the PLAAF
238 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
around 2020. An operational test-and-evaluation unit UAVs are increasingly joining the inventory. These
is now flying with the type and initial production- will likely take on electronic-warfare roles alongside
standard J-20A aircraft are being delivered, so far at a other intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance
modest rate. The J-20A will be the first Chinese combat tasks. The PLAAF continues to acquire UAVs with
aircraft designed from the outset with low-observable the potential to deliver capabilities from the tactical
characteristics to enter the PLAAF inventory. to theatre level.
The PLAAF has also stood up its first unit equipped
with the Sukhoi Su-35 Flanker E. All 24 Su-35s in the DEFENCE ECONOMICS
initial order were expected to be delivered by the end
of 2018 or early 2019. The deal included acquisition According to Beijing, China’s 2018 defence budget
of the export version of the Russian R-77-1 (AA-12B was RMB1.11 trillion (US$168 billion) – an increase
Adder) active-radar-guided medium-range air-to-air of 8.1% on the 2017 figure of RMB1.02trn (US$151bn).
missile, an upgrade of the basic R-77. Delivery of this Although this percentage increase was greater than
missile to the PLAAF has already begun. However, it in 2017, when the budget was 7% higher than that
is not clear whether the PLAAF will buy additional in 2016, growth is still in single digits. By contrast,
Su-35 aircraft, or if its operational experience with the between 2011 and 2016, the defence budget grew
type will lead it to favour its own defence industry’s by more than 10% each year. But 2017 and 2018
continuing development of a single-seat Flanker, the figures indicate that single-digit growth is the new
J-11D. normal, placed within the context of China’s overall
Development work on the successor to the H-6 slow economic growth. Nonetheless, despite this
medium bomber, the H-20, continues. State-owned slowdown, which it should be remembered is
media noted in October 2018 that the project was relative – China’s GDP still grew by 6.6% in 2018,
making ‘significant progress’. The H-20 is assumed down from an average of 10% growth annually
to be a low-observable – possibly tailless – design, between 2000 and 2009 – Chinese authorities have
which could enter service from the latter half of the also engaged in reforms intended to further develop
2020s. Xian, a subsidiary of the Aviation Industry defence-industrial capabilities.
Corporation of China (AVIC), continues to build Improving China’s defence sector is a priority for
upgraded variants of the H-6 and is involved with the Xi for two principal reasons: firstly, so it can develop
H-20 programme. advanced weapons systems for the PLA, and secondly,
The H-20 is a key element of the PLAAF’s to help transition China’s economic structure from
equipment recapitalisation and part of its goal to low-end processing to high-end manufacturing.
become a ‘strategic air force’. This likely includes These efforts have been focused in three areas: civil–
a nuclear role – the current bomber, the H-6K, is military integration (CMI); innovation; and industrial
assessed as not having a nuclear role – as well as other rationalisation. China’s defence industry has already
tasks. Indeed, the shift emphasises the PLAAF’s ability made significant strides. IISS assessments indicate
to conduct defensive and offensive air operations that in 2016, defence-related revenue for eight of the
beyond the Chinese mainland, as well as to carry out ten Chinese state-owned enterprises (SOEs) involved
large-scale air operations in concert with ground or in defence production would place seven of these
maritime forces. Restructuring tactical aviation from in the top 20 of the world’s most profitable defence
a regimental- to a brigade-based organisation is a part firms. Three of these – China South Industries Group
of this ambition. Corporation (CSGC), China Aviation Industry
Production of Xian’s Y-20 heavy transport aircraft Corporation (AVIC) and China North Industries
continues, and the first regiment is forming with Group Corporation (NORINCO) – appear in the top
this type. The Y-20 will also likely be the basis for a ten.
tanker aircraft that will eventually replace the H-6
in this role. There are also increasing numbers of Civil–military integration
special-mission aircraft within the PLAAF inventory. Xi has often stressed the importance of CMI, also
For example, electronic-warfare versions of the JH-7 termed civil–military fusion. It was made a national
fighter/ground-attack aircraft appear to have been priority in 2015. On 2 March 2018, Xi chaired the
fielded at unit level, while an escort jammer variant of first plenary meeting (and third overall) of the
the J-16, the J-16D, is also in test. Central Commission for Integrated Civilian–Military
Asia 239
forces and achieving a modern socialist country (‘the Dalian, Liaoning Province
Chinese Dream and the dream of building a powerful Lanzhou, Gansu Province
military’, as Xi put it to the 19th Party Congress in Luoyang, Henan Province
October 2017). The meeting approved measures Ningbo, Zhoushan, Hangzhou and Shaoxing,
including strategic-development guidelines for CMI, Zhejiang Province
the 2018 plan of action for the CCIMCD, a programme Ningde, Fujian Province
to develop CMI pilot zones focused on innovation Qingdao West Coast New Area, Shandong
and a list of the prospective pilot zones. Province
The whole party–state system has been mobilised Shenzhen, Guangdong Province
to deliver Xi’s instructions. For instance, the Office Wuhan, Hubei Province
of CCIMCD, which is responsible for routine work, Xian, Shaanxi Province
has organised workshops to promote civil–military Zhongguancun, Beijing
fusion, review progress made so far in these areas
and fix any problems identified. As part of this,
central-government officials have been dispatched town is well known as a science and manufacturing
Asia
to different locations across China as part of their centre. Its achievements include the production of
investigations. All major state-owned enterprises intelligent munitions, digital manufacturing and
are required to select areas to take part in pilot CMI digital machine-tool production, among other areas;
reform programmes, and some military officials are its total assets reportedly amount to RMB1bn (about
supposed to work for periods in their relevant civil- US$154 million).
sector industries. Analysts think that the 58th Institute case is widely
reported so that its transformation can be a model for
Innovation others to follow. The goal was to similarly overhaul
The CMI policy is strongly connected to efforts the remaining 40 institutes by the end of 2018 and,
in China to boost defence-industrial innovation. by 2020, convert the majority of defence S&T research
Priorities for 2018 included the continued overhaul institutes into corporations. However, not all defence-
of China’s defence science-and-technology (S&T) research institutes and academies are going to be
research institutes and academies. Under way since overhauled. Institutes responsible for basic research
2017, this programme aims to change the ownership will reportedly remain unchanged but those for
structure of wholly state-owned defence S&T research technological development and engineering will be
institutes and academies (those manufacturing overhauled.
sub-systems or even final assembly) so that they can However, converting these organisations is a
be listed on the stock market. This effort started in the challenging task, involving changes to areas ranging
early 2000s, though the focus at that time was on those from salaries and employee welfare to tax incentives,
firms manufacturing spare parts; it is estimated that debt arrangement, asset liquidation, the CCP’s role
at least US$30bn was raised from the stock market. in management, labour unions, and price policies for
Now the focus is shifting to research institutes and weapons and equipment.
academies. The March 2018 CCIMCD meeting approved the
In the plan, 41 defence-research institutes were first batch of 15 CMI innovation pilot zones.
identified for ownership reform, covering ordnance, These zones can be classified as one of five types:
electronics, aerospace, shipbuilding, aviation and areas with traditional heavy defence industries,
the nuclear sector. In May 2018, the Southwest though with emerging numbers of private defence
Automation Institute (or 58th Institute) of China South subcontractors – Sichuan and Shaanxi provinces
Industries Group Company Ltd was approved as the being typical cases; areas with the potential to develop
first out of the 41 institutes to complete the change. disruptive technologies – such as Shenzhen, which is
Located in Mianyang City, Sichuan province, this emerging as a tech city; areas with good infrastructure,
240 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Asia
degree of autonomy to hedge against abandonment northern Japan in January 2018 and was allocated a
by the US. At the same time, Prime Minister Shinzo budget in March for investigating the procurement
Abe has faced domestic challenges to his leadership of air-launched cruise missiles. Japan’s apparent
and security policy, despite in October 2017 winning intent is to utilise its Aegis destroyers, Aegis Ashore,
for the governing Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) a F-35As, cruise missiles and uninhabited aerial
fifth consecutive electoral victory since 2012. vehicles to create an integrated system with defensive
Japan’s principal new commitment to the US– and potentially offensive aspects to complement US
Japan alliance has been the formal decision in power projection, but also compensate for any US
December 2017 to strengthen its ballistic-missile- reluctance to defend Japan in the future. The budget
defence (BMD) capabilities with the purchase from also included a sum for research into hypersonic
the US of two Aegis Ashore units. These should systems and related propulsion.
bolster the JSDF’s ability to intercept ballistic missiles; The JMSDF launched its seventh Aegis destroyer
may enhance Japan’s defence against cruise missiles in July 2017. Onodera reported in March 2018 that
if it procures the SM-6 interceptor; and, just as the JMoD was actively studying the conversion
importantly, responds to Trump’s calls for Japan to of the Izumo-class vessels to enable the operation
procure more US equipment as a quid pro quo for of F-35Bs, confirming long-held speculation that
US security pledges. The Aegis Ashore procurement these were not only de facto helicopter carriers but
has provoked some controversy in Japan, with local designed to become eventually fully fledged fixed-
authorities voicing opposition. Furthermore, only wing aircraft carriers. Japan has long called these
one unit will likely deploy by 2023 and the estimated vessels ‘helicopter-carrying destroyers’. Though
cost has doubled to around US$3.6 billion. in the post-war period Japan has denied itself the
In the meantime, Japan is deepening cooperation procurement of carriers as an offensive capability,
with the US armed forces. The Japan Maritime Self- the conversion project was justified by referring to a
Defense Force (JMSDF) was revealed in April 2018 ‘defensive carrier’ that was focused on the protection
as having refuelled US destroyers on BMD duties of Japan’s outlying islands.
17 times in 2017. This was accomplished using the In March 2018, the Japan Ground Self-Defense
Acquisition and Cross-Servicing Agreement and the Force (JGSDF) established the Amphibious Rapid
expanded definitions of Japanese support for the Deployment Brigade (ARDB). This proto-marine
US in contingencies under new security legislation force will focus on the defence of outlying islands
passed in 2015. Then defence minister Itsunori and be equipped with AAV7 amphibious vehicles
Onodera suggested in August 2017 that collective and Osprey aircraft. In addition, the JGSDF is
242 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Asia
3rd Infantry Division
C/D, Saab 340 Erieye, Saab 340B) 21
2nd Development Division*
24 Phang-nga
Air base – 1st Wing (F-16A/B)
1st Naval Area
Naval base
Command
10 Takhli, Nakhon Sawon 25 Songkhla
Air base – 4th Wing (L-39,
Naval base (coastal vessels)
T-50TH, F-16A/B)
26 Nakhon Si Thammarat
11 Khok Ka Thiem, Lopburi
4th Army HQ
22
Air base – 2nd Wing (Bell 412,
5th Infantry Division
S-92A, Bell 205/UH-1H) 23
4th Development Division*
12 Lopburi
27 Hat Yai, Songkhla 24 25
HQ Army Aviation
Air base – 56th Wing (JAS-39
Kanchanaburi Gripen forward operating base) 26 2nd Naval Area
13 9th Infantry Division Command
28 Phuket
Kamphang Saen, Nakhon Pathom Naval base
3rd Naval Area 27
Command 28
14
Air base – training squadrons 29
29 Pattani
15th Infantry Division
scheme for insurgents. Indeed, the annual death toll who operate closely with paramilitary Border Patrol
from the conflict of 235 in 2017 was the lowest since Police units. The headquarters of the multi-agency
2004. Internal Security Operations Command Area 4 at Fort
The RTA’s 4th Army Region is headquartered Sirindhorn in Yarang District, Patani province, directs
further north in the Kra peninsula at Nakhon Si operations by all security forces in the region.
Thammarat. It includes two infantry divisions and Though the main priority for the RTARF is to
a ‘development’ division, totalling around 35,000 ensure national unity and internal security, the
troops. Along with the navy-controlled Royal Thai armed forces are nevertheless well funded, equipped
Marine Corps, the 4th Army Region provides forces and trained to deter and defend Thailand against
for operations in the troubled provinces. However, state adversaries. Over the last 40 years, a series
many front-line duties are carried out by black- of threats have arisen from Thailand’s immediate
uniformed army auxiliaries known as Thahan Pran neighbours. Border security was a priority during
(‘hunter-soldiers’, often referred to as ‘rangers’), the 1980s, after the Soviet-supported Vietnamese
244 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
invasion of Cambodia forced Khmer Rouge and other established the Southeast Asia Treaty Organisation
Cambodian forces opposed to Hanoi’s occupation (SEATO). SEATO dissolved in 1977, but the Manila
across the border, as well as the refugee populations Pact remains in force, as does the so-called Rusk–
they controlled. Thailand was one of the nations that Thanat communiqué of 1962, under which the US
supported Cambodian opposition groups and there promised to assist Thailand if it faced aggression
were frequent clashes between Thai and Vietnamese from neighbouring countries. Together with
troops, with protracted fighting in early 1987 Thailand’s post-2003 status as a Major Non-NATO
near Chong Bok, where the borders of Cambodia, Ally, these agreements provide the foundation for
Laos and Thailand intersect. In late 1987 and early US–Thai security relations. Building on support in
1988, there were border clashes between Thai- and earlier decades, Thailand allowed the US to use the
Vietnamese-supported Laotian forces over disputed naval air base at U-Tapao as a staging post for flights
territory. Sporadic security challenges to Thailand’s supporting operations in Afghanistan and Iraq.
borders continued after the end of the Cold War and Thailand’s armed forces have benefited from
the Cambodian peace settlement of 1991. There was substantial infusions of US defence equipment,
a major border clash with Myanmar in 2001, and in logistic and infrastructural support, and training,
2010–12 fighting between Myanmar government managed by the Bangkok-based Joint US Military
forces and ethnic-minority rebels spilled across Advisory Group Thailand. However, the coups of
the border into Thailand. In 2008–11, there were a 2006 and 2014 undermined bilateral security relations
series of confrontations and exchanges of fire with as well as political ties. Subsequent US restrictions on
Cambodian forces over disputed border territory the supply of military equipment notably provided an
around the Preah Vihear temple. important reason for Thailand to diversify its defence
Unlike some of its fellow members of the procurement. Nevertheless, US–Thai engagement
Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), through military exercises has endured. Indeed, the
notably Malaysia, the Philippines and Vietnam, annual Cobra Gold exercise organised in Thailand
Thailand is not a territorial claimant in the South by the US Pacific (now Indo-Pacific) Command and
China Sea and does not perceive a direct threat from RTARF remains the largest multilateral exercise
China’s growing power and maritime assertiveness. in the Asia-Pacific region. Other annual exercises
Indeed, Thailand’s relations with China have involving Thai and US forces are the CARAT Thailand
warmed during the current decade, influenced by (naval interoperability), Guardian Sea (anti-submarine
historical ties, current economic links and Thailand’s warfare), Hanuman Guardian (army) and Cope Tiger
foreign-policy recalibration following the adverse (air force) series.
Western reaction to the 2014 coup. Nevertheless, Thailand also maintains good defence relations
Thailand has substantial maritime interests due with several other regional US allies or security
to its long coastline, the economic importance of partners, including Australia, where exercise
marine resources (especially natural gas) within its cooperation includes the Chapel Gold (jungle warfare),
exclusive economic zone, its large fishing fleet, its AusThai (naval), Pitch Black (multinational air combat)
heavy economic dependence on international trade and Kakadu (multinational naval) exercise. Thailand
and its increasingly important coastal industrial cooperates with fellow ASEAN members through
development. These all provide important reasons the ASEAN Defence Ministers’ Meeting (ADMM)
for developing the country’s navy. and ADMM–Plus (also involving eight of ASEAN’s
Dialogue Partners), though its strongest bilateral
Foreign-defence relations defence cooperation in Southeast Asia is with
Since the 1950s, defence and security relations with Singapore. The Singapore Armed Forces (SAF) have
the United States have strongly influenced Thailand’s conducted extensive training activities in Thailand
defence policy, doctrine and equipment procurement. since the 1970s, and the Republic of Singapore Air
The basis for the relationship lies in Thailand’s Force organises the Cope Tiger air-force exercise
importance as a relatively stable, pro-Western bastion with its Thai and US counterparts. In November
during the Cold War: at that time, it needed external 2017, Singapore’s Ministry of Defence said that
support in the face of both external and domestic bilateral defence cooperation with Thailand would
communist threats. Thailand was a signatory to be strengthened, with particular emphasis on closer
the 1954 Manila Pact, which, among other things, naval cooperation, counter-terrorism and cyber
Asia 245
security. Thailand’s defence relations with Japan have supporting the defence ministry and armed-forces
intensified since June 2016, when the two nations’ headquarters. It is thought that around two-thirds of
defence ministers agreed on a range of exchanges, the defence budget is used to meet routine personnel,
including bilateral army staff talks and the dispatch maintenance and operational costs, including the
of RTA observers to a disaster-relief exercise in Japan. substantial sums associated with internal-security
Thailand’s alliance with the US has not prevented operations in southern Thailand. The remainder
it from developing defence relations with China, of the defence budget is used for procurement and
which have deepened since 2014. In 2015, the navy infrastructural projects. The ‘Vision 2026’ defence-
selected China to supply submarines as the basis modernisation plan, approved by Thailand’s Defence
for re-establishing a sub-surface capability; in May Council in October 2017, outlines the armed forces’
2017, Thailand ordered one S26T boat (an export capability improvements over the next decade,
variant of China’s Yuan class), with delivery by recognising that the extent of modernisation will
2023 scheduled. The contract is reported to include depend on the country’s overall economic progress
some weapons systems, spare parts and technology and the allocation of resources to the defence sector.
transfer (understood to include developing the The plan also states the objective of increasing the
Royal Thai Navy’s Sattahip dockyard such that it defence budget to 2% of GDP within the next several
can support submarine operations and construction years.
of a similar facility on the southwest coast to support
submarine operations in the Andaman Sea). Orders Industry and procurement
for another two submarines are expected in 2021– In its Defence Industry Masterplan, the government
Asia
22. Thailand has also purchased Chinese-made emphasises the importance of expanding Thailand’s
armoured vehicles: 28 VT-4 (MBT-3000) main battle presently limited defence industry as an important
tanks (MBTs) were delivered by the end of 2017. Plans component of developing the country’s military
to purchase ten more VT-4s along with 34 VN-1 (ZBL- capability, while ensuring that defence spending
08) wheeled armoured personnel carriers (APCs) benefits the national economy. The Masterplan sees
were approved in April 2017. At this time, Deputy technology transfers from foreign defence-equipment
Prime Minister Prawit Wongsuwan confirmed that suppliers – possibly mandated in the future through
an order of a further 11 VT-4s was planned, so that a more explicit offset policy – as playing a central
they could equip a full battalion. In January 2018, role in defence-industrial development, which the
Army Commander-in-Chief General Chalermchai government intends to concentrate particularly in
Sitthisart confirmed plans to collaborate with China Thailand’s Eastern Economic Corridor (EEC). The
in establishing a military-vehicle maintenance, repair naval dockyard at Sattahip in Chonburi province
and overhaul facility in Thailand. Since 2015, the two and the nearby naval air base at U-Tapao are
countries have also organised Falcon Strike, a bilateral viewed respectively as future hubs for the naval
air-force exercise series in Thailand, which was held and military-aerospace industry. In November 2017,
for the third time in September 2018. the government identified the defence industry
as the 11th key industry targeted to expand in the
Defence economics EEC. Moreover, legislative changes will allow local
Thailand’s defence spending is the third largest in defence-industrial enterprises – which are mainly
Southeast Asia (after Singapore and Indonesia), owned and operated by the armed forces – to more
and the armed forces’ political role has helped to easily collaborate with foreign defence companies.
ensure that the defence sector not only continues Already, the Royal Thai Navy’s Bangkok Dock
to receive substantial funding but that there are company is building modified River-class offshore
significant annual increases in the military budget. patrol vessels (OPVs) with the United Kingdom’s
The defence budget for the 2019 fiscal year (starting BAE Systems, and the RTA’s Weapon Production
in October 2018) of US$7.06 billion represents a 4.2% Centre is assembling ATMOS 2000 self-propelled
increase over the previous year. It comprises 7.6% of howitzers in collaboration with Israel’s Elbit Systems.
government spending and approximately 1.4% of In the aerospace sector, the private Thai company
GDP. About half the budget is allocated to the army; Avia Satcom, in which Saab has a 37% equity stake,
the remainder is more or less evenly divided between has developed tactical data links for Gripen combat
the navy and air force, with a small proportion aircraft.
246 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
In the past, Thailand’s military capability has not acquisition of 12 JAS 39 Gripen multi-role combat
been helped by the diversity of equipment operated aircraft, two Saab 340 Erieye airborne early-warning
by the RTARF and by its uncoordinated procurement (AEW) aircraft and a national air command-and-
system, with each service having responsibility control system (ACCS), based on Saab’s 9AIR C4I
for its own equipment programmes. However, the product, together with data links. This effected a
present government is making serious efforts to step change in the potential combat-effectiveness of
reform defence procurement, particularly through the RTAF, by providing the basis for an integrated
an expanded role for the defence ministry’s Defence and potentially highly effective air-defence
Technology Institute. Under legislation that was capability. According to Saab, the company
expected to come into effect by early 2019, this will provided access to the source codes for the Gripen so
become the Defence Technology Agency (DTA). The that the RTAF could ‘develop, upgrade, modify or
DTA will act as a central procurement agency for the add equipment, sensors and weapon systems in the
armed forces, as well as overseeing the development future by themselves’. There is now a requirement
of Thailand’s defence industry. for an additional six Gripen aircraft. In September
Thailand’s armed forces have benefited from 2018, Saab announced that it had been contracted
limited re-equipment programmes during the to upgrade Thailand’s ACCS with ‘new hardware
present decade, but there are still major outstanding and software enhancements’. The next-most-
requirements. important air-force procurement has involved 12
T-50TH Golden Eagle armed lead-in training aircraft
Army from South Korea, with deliveries under way from
Following contracts with Ukraine’s Ukroboronprom, January 2018.
the army has taken delivery of more than 200 BTR-3E1
APCs and 49 T-84 Oplot MBTs. Delays in fulfilling that Navy
contract probably provide an additional reason for Much media coverage of Royal Thai Navy (RTN)
the RTA’s increased interest in China as a source of procurement has justifiably focused on its submarine
armoured vehicles. Given an overall requirement for programme, which is significant not just in terms
150 new MBTs to replace US-made M48s and M60s, of Thailand’s prospective acquisition of a new
further orders for Chinese tanks are possible. Since capability, but also because of its opportunity costs
2015, the army has been bringing into service 12 locally for the service. Nevertheless, a significant surface-
produced Elbit Systems ATMOS 2000 howitzers, with ship procurement programme is also under way,
the Marine Corps taking another six. Twenty-six more involving a DW 3000F frigate modelled on the South
may be ordered for the army, with possibly ten units Korean Gwanggaeto class. The ship began sea trials
for the Marine Corps. The army has also purchased in December 2017 and was scheduled for delivery
Oerlikon Skyguard 3 air-defence fire-control systems, during 2018. However, funding constraints seem at
as part of a package with eight 35 mm Oerlikon least temporarily to have stymied plans for a second
GDF-007 Twin Guns and ammunition. The already DW 3000F frigate. In addition, a second Krabi-class
diverse inventory of the army’s aviation component OPV (one of the modified River-class vessels) is
has received more helicopters from Russia (Mi-17V5s), under construction at Sattahip; the navy is expected
the US (UH-60Ms), Italy (AW139s) and the European to order more ships in the same class. While the
Airbus company (EC145s and UH-72As). Reports procurement of new vessels has been limited, during
suggest that the RTA may buy additional Mi-17V5s. the present decade the RTN has upgraded important
The army also reportedly has a requirement for surface units, notably its two Chinese-built Type-25T
additional fixed-wing transport aircraft. Naresuan-class frigates (commissioned in 1994–95),
which Saab equipped with new combat-management
Air Force systems, fire-control radars and data links allowing
The most important procurement by the Royal Thai direct communication with the RTAF’s Erieye AEW
Air Force (RTAF) over the last ten years involved the platforms.
Asia 247
FORCES BY ROLE
Afghanistan AFG SPECIAL FORCES
1 spec ops div (1 (National Mission) SF bde (1 SF gp; 1
New Afghan Afghani Afs 2017 2018 2019
mech inf bn (2 mech inf coy)); 2 cdo bde (1 mech inf coy,
GDP Afs 1.38tr 1.45tr 4 cdo bn); 1 (1st MSF) mech bde (2 mech inf bn); 1 (2nd
US$ 20.2bn 20.4bn MSF) mech bde (3 mech inf bn))
per capita US$ 570 565 MANOEUVRE
Growth % 2.7 2.3 Light
Inflation % 5.0 3.0 1 (201st) corps (3 inf bde (4 inf bn, 1 sy coy, 1 cbt spt bn,
1 CSS bn), 1 inf bde (3 inf bn, 1 sy coy, 1 cbt spt bn, 1
Def bdgt [a] Afs 148bn 147bn
CSS bn), 1 engr bn, 1 int bn, 2 MP coy, 1 sigs bn)
US$ 2.17bn 2.06bn
1 (203rd) corps (2 inf bde (5 inf bn, 1 sy coy, 1 cbt spt bn,
US$1=Afs 68.08 71.27 1 CSS bn), 2 inf bde (4 inf bn, 1 sy coy, 1 cbt spt bn, 1
[a] Security expenditure. Includes expenditure on Ministry of CSS bn), 1 engr bn, 1 int bn, 2 MP coy, 1 sigs bn)
Defence, Ministry of Interior, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, National
Security Council and the General Directorate of National Security.
1 (205th) corps (4 inf bde (4 inf bn, 1 sy coy, 1 cbt spt bn,
Also includes donor funding. 1 CSS bn), 1 engr bn, 1 int bn, 2 MP coy, 1 sigs bn)
1 (207th) corps (3 inf bde (4 inf bn, 1 sy coy, 1 cbt spt bn,
Population 34,940,837
1 CSS bn), 1 engr bn, 1 int bn, 2 MP coy, 1 sigs bn)
Ethnic groups: Pashtun 38%; Tajik 25%; Hazara 19%; Uzbek 12%;
1 (209th) corps (1 div HQ; 3 inf bde (4 inf bn, 1 sy coy, 1
Aimaq 4%; Baluchi 0.5%
cbt spt bn, 1 CSS bn), 1 engr bn, 1 int bn, 2 MP coy, 1
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus sigs bn)
Male 20.8% 5.8% 5.3% 4.3% 13.3% 1.2% 1 (215th) corps (3 inf bde (4 inf bn, 1 sy coy, 1 cbt spt bn,
Asia
Female 20.1% 5.6% 5.2% 4.1% 12.9% 1.4% 1 CSS bn), 1 inf bde (2 inf bn, 1 cbt spt bn, 1 CSS bn), 1
engr bn, 1 int bn, 2 MP coy, 1 sigs bn)
Capabilities 1 (111st Capital) div (1 inf bde (1 tk bn, 1 mech inf bn, 2
inf bn, 1 sy coy, 1 cbt spt bn, 1 CSS bn), 1 inf bde (4 inf
The Afghan National Defence and Security Forces (ANDSF) are
bn, 1 sy coy, 1 cbt spt bn, 1 CSS bn), 1 int bn)
optimised for counter-insurgency and counter-terrorist operations
against the Taliban and other groups. Although ANDSF casualties EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
are no longer reported by the US and NATO, credible media reports ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
suggested that already high losses due to casualties and desertion MBT 20 T-55/T-62 (24 more in store†)
further increased in 2018. These losses have operational effect. APC 996
Overall, the ANDSF had a personnel shortage of 12%, struggling APC (T) 173 M113A2†
to retain key specialists including pilots, aircraft mechanics, techni-
APC (W) 623 MSFV (inc variants)
cal specialists and special-operations forces. Army and police SOF
are well regarded by NATO and bear the brunt of offensive opera- PPV 200 Maxxpro
tions and intelligence-led strike operations against insurgent net- ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
works. NATO advisers remain embedded in the defence and inte- ARV 20 Maxxpro ARV
rior ministries, although the ANDSF are now responsible for the MW Bozena
majority of training, albeit with NATO support. The additional US ARTILLERY 775
forces authorised to support the new US Afghan strategy reached TOWED 109: 122mm 85 D-30†; 155mm 24 M114A1†
full strength in the middle of 2018 and the UK announced a sig-
MOR 82mm 666: 521 2B14†; 105 M-69†; 40 M252†
nificant increase in its troop numbers. Indigenous logistic support
is slowly improving but remains a source of weakness. Efforts are
also under way to improve leadership, intelligence, logistics and Afghan Air Force (AAF) 7,300
coordination between different service arms. The ANDSF Road Including Special Mission Wing
Map contains ambitious plans to improve capability but depends EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
on continued international support. Air-force modernisation con-
AIRCRAFT 19 combat capable
tinues, but maintenance difficulties reduce aircraft availability.
Afghan forces’ logistics are optimised for internal deployments, but TPT 47: Medium 4 C-130H Hercules; Light 42: 24 Cessna
their effectiveness is limited by a shortage of sufficiently educated 208B; 18 PC-12 (Special Mission Wing); PAX 1 B-727 (2
and trained personnel. Afghan forces depend greatly on imported more in store)
military equipment. TRG 19 EMB-314 Super Tucano* (of which 7 in the US
for trg)
ACTIVE 174,300 (Army 167,000 Air Force 7,300)
HELICOPTERS
Paramilitary 148,700
ATK 4 Mi-35 Hind
MRH 101: 3 Cheetal; 25 MD-530F (11 armed); 73 Mi-17
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE Hip H (incl 28 Special Mission Wing hel)
TPT • Medium 16 UH-60A+ Black Hawk
Afghan National Army (ANA) 167,00 BOMBS
5 regional comd Laser-guided GBU-58 Paveway II
248 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Asia
Aviation AMPHIBIOUS 15 LCM-8 (capacity either 1 MBT or 200
1 (16th) avn bde (1 regt (2 ISR hel sqn), 1 regt (3 tpt troops)
hel sqn), 1 regt (2 spec ops hel sqn, 1 avn sqn)) HELICOPTERS
COMBAT SUPPORT ATK 22 Tiger
1 (6th) cbt spt bde (1 STA regt (1 STA bty, 1 UAV bty, TPT 82: Heavy 10 CH-47F Chinook; Medium 72: 38 NH90
1 CSS bty), 1 AD/FAC regt (integrated), 1 engr regt TTH (MRH90 TTH); 34 S-70A Black Hawk
(2 construction sqn, 1 EOD sqn), 1 EW regt, 1 int UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES
bn) ISR • Medium 15 RQ-7B Shadow 200
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT AIR DEFENCE • SAM • Point-defence RBS-70
1 (17th) CSS bde (3 log bn, 3 med bn, 1 MP bn)
2014, the ACSC in July 2018 became part of the ASD, which tion plan is under way, called Forces 2030. Counter-terrorism oper-
became a statutory agency. Australian government cyber- ations increased following a July 2016 attack and it is mounting
security expertise from CERT Australia and the Digital coordinated patrols of the Bay of Bengal with India. In the recent
Transformation Agency also moved into the ACSC. past, Bangladesh has relied on Chinese and Russian aid and credit
to overcome its limited procurement funding. It has increased
defence collaboration with India. The country has a long record
DEPLOYMENT of UN peacekeeping deployments, with UN payments reportedly
providing an important income source. In Autumn 2017, the army
AFGHANISTAN: NATO • ISAF Operation Resolute Support deployed to the country’s eastern border to provide humanitarian
(Highroad) 270; 1 SF unit; 1 sy unit; 1 sigs unit assistance to Rohingya refugees fleeing Myanmar. A major naval-
ARABIAN SEA: Combined Maritime Forces • CTF-150 recapitalisation and -expansion programme is under way to better
(Operation Manitou) 1 FFGHM protect the country’s large EEZ, including procurement of Chinese
corvettes. A requirement for modern howitzers and light armoured
EGYPT: MFO (Operation Mazurka) 27 vehicles for peacekeeping missions has been announced. Substan-
IRAQ: Operation Inherent Resolve (Okra) 380; 1 SF gp; 1 trg unit tial efforts have been made to strengthen the nascent shipbuilding
industry and work has begun on a new submarine-support facility.
MALAYSIA: 120; 1 inf coy (on 3-month rotational tours); 2 The armed forces reportedly retain extensive business interests, in
AP-3C Orion (on rotation) real estate, banks and other businesses.
MIDDLE EAST: UN • UNTSO (Operation Paladin) 12 obs
ACTIVE 157,050 (Army 126,150 Navy 16,900 Air
PHILIPPINES: Operation Augury 100 (trg team) 14,000) Paramilitary 63,900
SOUTH SUDAN: UN • UNMISS (Operation Aslan) 23; 1 obs
UNITED ARAB EMIRATES: Operation Accordion 500: 1 tpt det ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
with 2 C-130J-30 Hercules; Operation Inherent Resolve (Okra)
150; 1 B-737-700 Wedgetail (E-7A); 1 A330 MRTT (KC-30A)
Army 126,150
Asia
FORCES BY ROLE
FOREIGN FORCES COMMAND
9 inf div HQ
New Zealand 9 (air navigation trg) SPECIAL FORCES
Singapore 230: 1 trg sqn at Pearce with PC-21 trg ac; 1 trg 1 cdo bn
sqn at Oakey with 12 AS332 Super Puma; AS532 Cougar MANOEUVRE
United States US Pacific Command: 1,500; 1 SEWS at Pine Armoured
Gap; 1 comms facility at NW Cape; 1 SIGINT stn at Pine 1 armd bde
Gap • US Strategic Command: 1 detection and tracking 3 indep armd regt
radar at Naval Communication Station Harold E. Holt Light
23 inf bde
1 (composite) bde
Bangladesh BGD COMBAT SUPPORT
9 arty bde
Bangladeshi Taka Tk 2017 2018 2019 1 engr bde
GDP Tk 21.1tr 23.9tr 1 sigs bde
US$ 262bn 286bn AVIATION
per capita US$ 1,603 1,736 1 avn regt (1 avn sqn; 1 hel sqn)
AIR DEFENCE
Growth % 7.4 7.3
1 AD bde
Inflation % 5.6 6.0
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Def bdgt Tk 236bn 264bn 291bn
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
US$ 2.93bn 3.16bn MBT 276: 174 Type-59; 58 Type-69/Type-69G; 44 Type-
FMA (US) US$ 2m 0m 90-II (MBT-2000)
US$1=Tk 80.63 83.62 LT TK 8 Type-62
RECCE 8+ BOV M11
Population 159,453,001
APC 481
Religious groups: Muslim 90%; Hindu 9%; Buddhist 1% APC (T) 134 MT-LB
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus APC (W) 347: 330 BTR-80; 17 Cobra
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
Male 13.9% 5.0% 4.7% 4.1% 18.6% 3.0%
AEV MT-LB
Female 13.4% 4.8% 4.7% 4.4% 20.1% 3.4% ARV 3+: T-54/T-55; Type-84; 3 Type-654
VLB MTU
Capabilities ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
Bangladesh has limited military capability that is optimised for MSL • MANPATS 9K115-2 Metis M1 (AT-13 Saxhorn-2)
border and domestic security. A wide-ranging defence modernisa- RCL 106mm 238 M40A1
252 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
ARTILLERY 853+ 1 Nirbhoy (ex-PRC Hainan) with 4 RBU 1200 A/S mor;
SP 155mm 12 NORA B-52 2 twin 57mm gun
TOWED 363+: 105mm 170 Model 56 pack howitzer; 5 Padma
122mm 131: 57 Type-54/54-1 (M-30); 20 Type-83; 54 PBFG 5 Durbar (PRC Hegu) with 2 single lnchr with
Type-96 (D-30), 130mm 62 Type-59-1 (M-46) SY-1 AShM
MRL 122mm 6 (PRC) PBFT 4 Huchuan (PRC) with 2 single 533mm TT each
MOR 472: 81mm 11 M29A1; 82mm 366 Type-53/type- with YU-1 Type-53 HWT
87/M-31 (M-1937); 120mm 95 AM-50/UBM 52 PBF 4 Titas (ROK Sea Dolphin)
AMPHIBIOUS • LANDING CRAFT 3: 1 LCT; 2 LCVP PB 11: 1 Barkat (ex-PRC Shanghai III); 2 Karnaphuli; 1
AIRCRAFT • TPT • Light 7: 1 C295; 5 Cessna 152; 1 PA- Salam (ex-PRC Huangfen); 7 Shaheed Daulat (PRC
31T Cheyenne Shanghai II)
HELICOPTERS MINE WARFARE • MINE COUNTERMEASURES 5
MRH 2 AS365N3 Dauphin MSO 5: 1 Sagar; 4 Shapla (ex-UK River)
TPT 6: Medium 3 Mi-171Sh Light 3 Bell 206L-4 Long AMPHIBIOUS
Ranger LANDING SHIPS • LSL 1
AIR DEFENCE LANDING CRAFT 14
SAM LCT 2
Short-range FM-90 LCU 4 (of which 2†)
Point-defence QW-2; HN-5A (being replaced by QW-2) LCVP 3†
GUNS • TOWED 166: 37mm 132 Type-65/74; 57mm 34 LCM 5 Darshak (Yuchin)
Type-59 (S-60) LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 9
AG 1
Navy 16,900 AGHS 2: 1 Agradoot; 1 Anushandhan
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE AOR 2 (coastal)
SUBMARINES • TACTICAL • SSK 2 Nabajatra (ex-PRC AOT 1 Khan Jahangir Ali
Ming Type-035G) with 8 single 533mm TT AR 1†
PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS • FRIGATES 4 ATF 1†
FFGHM 1 Bangabandhu (ROK modified Ulsan) with 2 AX 1 Shaheed Ruhul Amin
twin lnchr with Otomat Mk2 AShM, 1 octuple HHQ-7
SAM, 2 triple 324mm TT with A244 LWT, 1 76mm gun Naval Aviation
(capacity: 1 AW109E hel) EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
FFG 3: AIRCRAFT • TPT • Light 2 Do-228NG (MP)
2 Abu Bakr (ex-PRC Jianghu III) with 2 twin lnchr with HELICOPTERS • TPT • Light 2 AW109E Power
C-802A AShM, 2 RBU 1200 A/S mor, 2 twin 100mm
gun Special Warfare and Diving Command 300
1 Osman (ex-PRC Jianghu I) with 2 quad lnchr with
C-802 (CH-SS-N-8 Saccade) AShM, 2 RBU 1200 A/S Air Force 14,000
mor, 2 twin 100mm gun
FORCES BY ROLE
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 52
FIGHTER
CORVETTES 8
1 sqn with MiG-29B/UB Fulcrum
FSGM 2 Shadhinota (PRC C13B) with 2 twin lnchr with
FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
C-802 (CH-SS-N-8 Saccade) AShM, 1 octuple FL-3000N
1 sqn with F-7MB/FT-7B Airguard
lnchr with HHQ-10 SAM, 1 76mm gun, 1 hel landing
1 sqn with F-7BG/FT-7BG Airguard
platform
1 sqn with F-7BGI/FT-7BGI Airguard
FSG 4:
GROUND ATTACK
2 Durjoy with 2 twin lnchr with C-704 AShM, 1 76mm
gun 1 sqn with Yak-130 Mitten*
2 Bijoy (ex-UK Castle) with 2 twin lnchr with C-704 TRANSPORT
AShM, 1 76mm gun, 1 hel landing platform 1 sqn with An-32 Cline
FS 2 Durjoy with 2 triple 324mm ASTT, 1 76mm gun 1 sqn with C-130B Hercules
PSOH 2 Somudra Joy (ex-USCG Hero) with 1 76mm gun, 1 sqn with L-410UVP
hel landing platform TRAINING
PCFG 4 Durdarsha (ex-PRC Huangfeng) with 4 single 1 sqn with K-8W Karakorum*; L-39ZA Albatros*
lnchr with HY-2 (CH-SS-N-2 Safflower) AShM 1 sqn with PT-6
PCO 6: 1 Madhumati (Sea Dragon) with 1 57mm gun; 5 TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
Kapatakhaya (ex-UK Island) 1 sqn with AW139; Mi-17 Hip H; Mi-17-1V Hip H; Mi-
PCC 8: 171Sh
2 Meghna with 1 57mm gun (fishery protection) 1 sqn with Mi-17 Hip H; Mi-17-1V Hip H; Mi-171Sh
Asia 253
Asia
Security Guards Ethnic groups: Malay 65.7%; Chinese 10.3%; indigenous 3.4%;
other or unspecified 23.6%
Rapid Action Battalions 5,000
Ministry of Home Affairs Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
Paramilitary 400–500
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
Gurkha Reserve Unit 400–500
Army 4,900 FORCES BY ROLE
FORCES BY ROLE MANOEUVRE
MANOEUVRE Light
Light 2 inf bn(-)
3 inf bn
COMBAT SUPPORT
1 cbt spt bn (1 armd recce sqn, 1 engr sqn) DEPLOYMENT
LEBANON: UN • UNIFIL 30
Reserves 700
FORCES BY ROLE PHILIPPINES: IMT 9
MANOEUVRE
Light FOREIGN FORCES
1 inf bn
Singapore 1 trg camp with infantry units on rotation; 1 trg
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE school; 1 hel det with AS332 Super Puma
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES United Kingdom 1,000; 1 Gurkha bn; 1 jungle trg centre; 1
LT TK 20 FV101 Scorpion (incl FV105 Sultan CP) hel flt with 3 Bell 212
APC • APC (W) 45 VAB
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
ARV 2 Samson Cambodia CAM
ARTILLERY • MOR 81mm 24
Cambodian Riel r 2017 2018 2019
ment donations and second-hand procurements, including from Navy ε2,800 (incl 1,500 Naval Infantry)
China and South Korea. Cambodia has no domestic defence indus-
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
try, with no ability to design and manufacture modern equipment
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 14
for its armed forces.
PBF 3 Stenka
ACTIVE 124,300 (Army 75,000 Navy 2,800 Air 1,500 PB 9: 4 (PRC 46m); 3 (PRC 20m); 2 Shershen
Provincial Forces 45,000) Paramilitary 67,000 PBR 2 Kaoh Chhlam
AMPHIBIOUS • LANDING CRAFT
Conscript liability 18 months service authorised but not imple-
LCU 1
mented since 1993
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT • AFDL 1
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE Naval Infantry 1,500
FORCES BY ROLE
Army ε75,000 MANOEUVRE
6 Military Regions (incl 1 special zone for capital) Light
FORCES BY ROLE 1 (31st) nav inf bde
SPECIAL FORCES COMBAT SUPPORT
1 (911th) AB/SF Bde 1 arty bn
MANOEUVRE
Light Air Force 1,500
2 (2nd & 3rd Intervention) inf div (3 inf bde) FORCES BY ROLE
5 (Intervention) indep inf bde ISR/TRAINING
8 indep inf bde 1 sqn with P-92 Echo (L-39 Albatros* in store)
Other TRANSPORT
Asia
1 VIP sqn (reporting to Council of Ministers) with An-
1 (70th) sy bde (4 sy bn)
24RV Coke; AS350 Ecureuil; AS355F2 Ecureuil II
17 (border) sy bn
1 sqn with BN-2 Islander; Y-12 (II)
COMBAT SUPPORT
TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
2 arty bn 1 sqn with Mi-17 Hip H; Mi-8 Hip; Z-9; (Mi-26 Halo in
4 fd engr regt store)
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
1 (construction) engr regt
AIRCRAFT
2 tpt bde TPT • Light 12: 2 An-24RV Coke; 1 BN-2 Islander; 2 MA60;
AIR DEFENCE 5 P-92 Echo (pilot trg/recce); 2 Y-12 (II)
1 AD bn TRG (5 L-39 Albatros* in store)
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
HELICOPTERS
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES MRH 14: 3 Mi-17 Hip H; 11 Z-9
MBT 200+: 50 Type-59; 150+ T-54/T-55 TPT 8: Heavy (2 Mi-26 Halo in store); Medium 4 Mi-8
LT TK 20+: Type-62; 20 Type-63 Hip; Light 4: 2 AS350 Ecureuil; 2 AS355F2 Ecureuil II
RECCE 4+ BRDM-2
IFV 70 BMP-1 Provincial Forces 45,000+
APC 230+
Reports of at least 1 inf regt per province, with varying
APC (T) M113 numbers of inf bn (with lt wpn)
APC (W) 230: 200 BTR-60/BTR-152; 30 OT-64
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES Paramilitary
ARV T-54/T-55 Police 67,000 (including gendarmerie)
MW Bozena; RA-140 DS
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
RCL 82mm B-10; 107mm B-11
DEPLOYMENT
ARTILLERY 433+ CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC: UN • MINUSCA 221; 6
TOWED 400+: 76mm ZIS-3 (M-1942)/122mm D-30/ obs; 1 engr coy
122mm M-30 (M-1938)/130mm Type-59-I
LEBANON: UN • UNIFIL 184; 1 engr coy
MRL 33+: 107mm Type-63; 122mm 13: 8 BM-21; 5 RM-
70; 132mm BM-13-16 (BM-13); 140mm 20 BM-14-16 (BM- MALI: UN • MINUSMA 303: 2 engr coy; 1 EOD coy
14) SOUTH SUDAN: UN • UNMISS 79; 6 obs; 1 MP unit
MOR 82mm M-37; 120mm M-43; 160mm M-160 SUDAN: UN • UNAMID 1 obs
AIR DEFENCE
SAM • Point-defence FN-6; FN-16 (reported)
GUNS • TOWED 14.5mm ZPU-1/ZPU-2/ZPU-4; 37mm
M-1939; 57mm S-60
256 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Space TRAINING
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE 4 hel trg regt
SATELLITES 103 AIR DEFENCE
COMMUNICATIONS 6 Zhongxing (dual-use telecom 15 AD bde
satellites for civ/mil comms)
Reserves
NAVIGATION/POSITIONING/TIMING 33: 3 Beidou-
The People’s Liberation Army Reserve Force is being
2(M); 6 Beidou-2(G); 6 Beidou-2(IGSO); 1 Beidou-3(G); 16
restructured, and the army component reduced. As a
Beidou-3(M); 1 Beidou-3 (ISGO)
result some of the units below may have been re-roled
ISR 49: 2 Haiyang (remote sensing); 46 Yaogan Weixing
or disbanded
(remote sensing); 1 Ziyuan (ZY-2 – remote sensing)
ELINT/SIGINT 15: 8 Shijian 6 (4 pairs – reported ELINT/ FORCES BY ROLE
SIGINT role); 7 Shijian 11 (reported ELINT/SIGINT role) MANOEUVRE
Armoured
Ground Forces ε975,000 2 armd regt
In late 2015, a single, separate headquarters was established Light
for the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) ground forces, in 18 inf div
place of the four general departments 4 inf bde
3 indep inf regt
FORCES BY ROLE
COMBAT SUPPORT
COMMAND
3 arty div
13 (Group) army HQ
7 arty bde
SPECIAL FORCES
15 engr regt
15 spec ops bde
1 ptn br bde
MANOEUVRE
Asia
3 ptn br regt
Armoured
10 chem regt
27 (cbd arms) armd bde
10 sigs regt
1 hy mech inf div (1 armd regt, 2 mech inf regt, 1 arty
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
regt, 1 AD regt)
9 log bde
Mechanised
1 log regt
1 (high alt) mech inf div (1 armd regt, 2 mech inf regt, 1
AIR DEFENCE
arty regt, 1 AD regt)
17 AD div
23 (cbd arms) mech inf bde
8 AD bde
Light
8 AD regt
3 (high alt) mot inf div (1 armd regt, 2 mot inf regt, 1 arty
regt, 1 AD regt) EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
24 (cbd arms) inf bde ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
Air Manoeuvre MBT 5,800: 600 ZTZ-59; 650 ZTZ-59-II; 600 ZTZ-59D; 200
2 air aslt bde ZTZ-79; 300 ZTZ-88A/B; 1,000 ZTZ-96; 1,500 ZTZ-96A;
Amphibious 600 ZTZ-99; 250 ZTZ-99A; 100 ZTQ-15
6 amph aslt bde LT TK 450: 250 ZTD-05; 100 ZTQ-62; 100 ZTS-63A
Other ASLT 600 ZTL-11
1 (OPFOR) mech inf bde IFV 5,000: 400 ZBD-04; 1,000 ZBD-04A; 1,200 ZBL-08; 600
1 mech gd div (1 armd regt, 2 mech inf regt, 1 arty regt, ZBD-86; 650 ZBD-86A; 550 ZSL-92; 600 ZSL-92B
1 AD regt) APC 3,950
1 sy gd div (4 sy regt) APC (T) 2,700: 750 ZSD-63; 200 ZSD-63C; 1,750 ZSD-
16 (border) sy bde 89
15 (border) sy regt APC (W) 1,250: 700 ZSL-92A; 500 ZSL-10; 50 ZSL-93
1 (border) sy gp AAV 300+ ZBD-05
COMBAT SUPPORT AUV Dongfeng Mengshi; Tiger 4×4
15 arty bde ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
13 engr/NBC bde ARV Type-73; Type-84; Type-85; Type-97; Type-654
2 engr regt VLB KMM; MTU; TMM; Type-84A
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT MW Type-74; Type-79; Type-81-II; Type-84
13 spt bde ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
COASTAL DEFENCE MSL
19 coastal arty/AShM bde SP 1,000: 450 HJ-8 (veh mounted); 100 HJ-10; 450 ZSL-
AVIATION 02B
1 mixed avn bde MANPATS HJ-73D; HJ-8A/C/E; HJ-11
HELICOPTER RCL 3,966: 75mm PF-56; 82mm PF-65 (B-10); PF-78;
12 hel bde 105mm PF-75; 120mm PF-98
258 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Sunburn) AShM, 2 Yezh (SA-N-12 Grizzly) SAM, 2 Luda IV (Type-051G) with 4 quad lnchr with YJ-
2 twin 533mm ASTT, 2 RBU 1000 Smerch 3 A/S 83 AShM, 1 octuple lnchr with HHQ-7 SAM, 2
mor, 2 Kortik CIWS with 9M311E (SA-N-11 Grison) FQF 2500 A/S mor, 2 triple 324mm ASTT, 2 twin
SAM, 1 twin 130mm gun (capacity 1 Z-9C/Ka-28 100mm gun
Helix A hel) FFG 15:
1 Luhai (Type-051B) with 2 quad lnchr with YJ-12A 6 Jianghu I (Type-053H1) with 2 twin lnchr with
AShM, 1 32-cell VLS with HHQ-16 SAM/Yu-8 A/S HY-2 (CH-SS-N-2) AShM, 2 RBU 1200 A/S mor, 1
msl,2 triple 324mm ASTT with Yu-7 LWT, 1 twin twin 100mm gun (capacity 1 Z-9C hel)
100mm gun (capacity 2 Z-9C/Ka-28 Helix A hel) 1 Jianghu III (Type-053H2) with 2 quad lnchr with YJ-
2 Luhu (Type-052) with 4 quad lnchr with YJ-83 AShM, 83 AShM, 2 RBU 1200, 2 twin 100mm gun
1 octuple lnchr with HHQ-7 SAM, 2 triple 324mm 6 Jianghu I Upgrade (Type-053H1G) with 2 quad
ASTT with Yu-7 LWT, 2 FQF 2500 A/S mor, 2 H/PJ- lnchr with YJ-83 AShM, 2 RBU 1200, 2 twin 100mm
12 CIWS, 1 twin 100mm gun (capacity 2 Z-9C hel) gun
2 Luyang (Type-052B) with 4 quad lnchr with YJ-83 2 Luda I (Type-051) with 2 triple lnchr with HY-2 (CH-
AShM, 2 single lnchr with Yezh (SA-N-12 Grizzly) SS-N-2) AShM, 2 triple 324mm ASTT, 2 FQF 2500
SAM, 2 triple 324mm TT with Yu-7 LWT, 2 H/PJ-12 A/S mor, 2 twin 130mm gun (minelaying capability)
CIWS, 1 100mm gun (capacity 1 Ka-28 Helix A hel) PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS ε205
6 Luyang II (Type-052C) with 2 quad lnchr with YJ-62 CORVETTES • FSGM 41:
AShM, 8 sextuple VLS with HHQ-9 SAM, 2 triple 21 Jiangdao I (Type-056) with 2 twin lnchr with YJ-83
324mm TT with Yu-7 LWT, 2 H/PJ-12 CIWS, 1 AShM, 1 8-cell GMLS with HHQ-10 SAM, 2 triple
100mm gun (capacity 2 Ka-28 Helix A hel) 324mm ASTT with Yu-7 LWT, 1 76mm gun, 1 hel
10 Luyang III (Type-052D) with 8 octuple VLS with landing platform
YJ-18A (CH-SS-N-13) AShM/HHQ-9ER SAM/ 20 Jiangdao II (Type-056A) with 2 twin lnchr with YJ-83
Yu-8 A/S msl, 1 24-cell GMLS with HHQ-10 SAM,
Asia
AShM, 1 8-cell GMLS with HHQ-10 SAM, 2 triple
2 triple 324mm TT with Yu-7 LWT, 1 H/PJ-12 CIWS
324mm ASTT with Yu-7 LWT, 1 76mm gun, 1 hel
(1 with H/PJ-11 CIWS), 1 130mm gun (capacity 2
landing platform
Ka-28 Helix A hel)
PCFG ε60 Houbei (Type-022) with 2 quad lnchr with YJ-
DDGM 2:
83 AShM, 1 H/PJ-13 CIWS
2 Luzhou (Type-051C) with 2 quad lnchr with YJ-83
PCG 26
AShM; 6 sextuple VLS with S-300FM (SA-N-20
6 Houjian (Type-037-II) with 2 triple lnchr with YJ-8
Grumble) SAM, 2 H/PJ-12 CIWS, 1 100mm gun, 1
(CH-SS-N-4) AShM, 1 76mm gun
hel landing platform
20 Houxin (Type-037-IG) with 2 twin lnchr with YJ-8
FRIGATES 59
(CH-SS-N-4) AShM
FFGHM 40:
PCC 48
2 Jiangkai (Type-054) with 2 quad lnchr with YJ-83
2 Haijiu (Type-037-I) with 4 RBU 1200 A/S mor, 1 twin
AShM, 1 octuple lnchr with HHQ-7 SAM, 2 triple
324mm TT with Yu-7 LWT, 2 RBU 1200 A/S mor, 57mm gun
4 AK630 CIWS, 1 100mm gun (capacity 1 Ka-28 30 Hainan (Type-037) with ε4 RBU 1200 A/S mor, 2
Helix A/Z-9C hel) twin 57mm gun
16 Jiangkai II (Type-054A) with 2 quad lnchr with 16 Haiqing (Type-037-IS) with 2 FQF-3200 A/S mor
YJ-83 AShM, 1 32-cell VLS with Yu-8 A/S msl/ PB ε30 Shanghai III (Type-062-1)
HHQ-16 SAM, 2 triple 324mm TT with Yu-7 LWT, MINE WARFARE 42
2 FQF 2300 A/S mor, 2 H/PJ-12 CIWS, 1 76mm gun MINE COUNTERMEASURES 50
(capacity 1 Ka-28 Helix A/Z-9C hel) MCO 16: 4 Wochi (Type-081); 6 Wochi mod (Type-
12 Jiangkai II (Type-054A) with 2 quad lnchr with 081A); 6 Wozang (Type-082II)
YJ-83 AShM, 1 32-cell VLS with Yu-8 A/S msl/ MSC 16: 4 Wosao I (Type-082); 12 Wosao II (Type-082-II)
HHQ-16 SAM, 2 triple 324mm TT with Yu-7 LWT, MSD 18 Wonang (Type-529) (operated by Wozang
2 FQF 2300 A/S mor, 2 H/PJ-11 CIWS, 1 76mm gun MCO)
(capacity 1 Ka-28 Helix A/Z-9C hel) AMPHIBIOUS
7 Jiangwei II (Type-053H3) with 2 quad lnchr with PRINCIPAL AMPHIBIOUS SHIPS • LPD 5 Yuzhao
YJ-83 AShM, 1 octuple lnchr with HHQ-7 SAM, 2 (Type-071) with 4 AK630 CIWS, 1 76mm gun (capacity
RBU 1200 A/S mor, 1 twin 100mm gun (capacity 4 Yuyi LCAC plus supporting vehicles; 800 troops; 60
2 Z-9C hel) armoured vehs; 4 hel)
3 Jiangwei II (Type-053H3) with 2 quad lnchr with LANDING SHIPS 49
YJ-83 AShM, 1 8-cell GMLS with HHQ-10 SAM, LSM 21:
2 RBU 1200 A/S mor, 1 twin 100mm gun (capacity 1 Yudeng (Type-073-II) (capacity 5 tk or 500 troops)
2 Z-9C hel) 10 Yuhai (Type-074) (capacity 2 tk; 250 troops)
FFGM 4: 10 Yunshu (Type-073A) (capacity 6 tk)
2 Luda IV (Type-051DT) with 4 quad lnchr with YJ-83 LST 28:
AShM, 1 octuple lnchr with HHQ-7 SAM, 2 FQF 4 Yukan (Type-072-IIG) (capacity 2 LCVP; 10 tk; 200
2500 A/S mor, 2 130mm gun, 3 twin 57mm gun troops)
260 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Asia
MSL • MANPATS HJ-73; HJ-8 TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
RCL 120mm Type-98 1 regt with AS332 Super Puma; H225 (VIP)
ARTILLERY 40+ ISR UAV
SP 122mm 40+: 20+ PLZ-07; 20+ PLZ-89 2 bde with GJ-1
MRL 107mm PH-63 AIR DEFENCE
MOR 82mm 1 SAM div
AIR DEFENCE • SAM • Point-defence HN-5 21 SAM bde
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Air Force 395,000 AIRCRAFT 2,413 combat capable
FORCES BY ROLE BBR 172: ε12 H-6 (trg role); ε60 H-6H/M; ε100 H-6K
Fighter/ground-attack units adopted bde structure in 2017 FTR 759: 200 J-7 Fishcan; 192 J-7E Fishcan; 120 J-7G
BOMBER Fishcan; 50 J-8F Finback; 50 J-8H Finback; 95 J-11; 20 Su-
1 regt with H-6M 27SK Flanker; 32 Su-27UBK Flanker
2 regt with H-6H FGA 702+: 78 J-10 Firebird; 142 J-10A Firebird; 55+ J-10B
5 regt with H-6K Firebird; 80+ J-10C Firebird; 48 J-10S Firebird; 130 J-11B/
FIGHTER BS Flanker L; 60+ J-16 Flanker; 12+ J-20A (in test); 73 Su-
5 bde with J-7 Fishcan 30MKK Flanker; 24 Su-35 Flanker
5 bde with J-7E Fishcan ATK 140 JH-7A Flounder
3 bde with J-7G Fishcan EW 14: 4 Y-8CB High New 1; 6 Y-8G High New 3; 2 Y-8XZ
4 bde with J-8F/H Finback High New 7; 2 Y-9XZ
2 bde with J-11A/Su-27SK/Su-27UBK Flanker ELINT 4 Tu-154M/D Careless
4 bde with J-11A/J-11B/Su-27UBK Flanker ISR 51: 24 JZ-8 Finback*; 24 JZ-8F Finback*; 3 Y-8H1
3 bde with J-11B/BS Flanker L AEW&C 13: 4 KJ-200 Moth; 5 KJ-500; 4 KJ-2000
C2 5: 2 B-737; 3 Y-8T High New 4
FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
TKR 13: 10 H-6U; 3 Il-78 Midas
8 bde with J-10A/J-10S Firebird
TPT 335+ Heavy 27: 20 Il-76MD/TD Candid; 7 Y-20;
2 bde with J-10B/S Firebird
Medium 42+: 30 Y-8C; 12+ Y-9; Light 239: 170 Y-5; 41
1 bde with J-10B/C/S Firebird
Y-7/Y-7H; 20 Y-11; 8 Y-12; PAX 27: 9 B-737 (VIP); 5 CRJ-
2 bde with J-10C/S Firebird 200; 5 CRJ-700; 8 Tu-154M Careless
1 bde with Su-35 Flanker; Su-30MKK Flanker TRG 1,004+: 400 CJ-6/-6A/-6B; 12+ HY-7; 50 JJ-7*; 150 JJ-
3 bde with J-16 Flanker 7A*; 350 JL-8*; 30 JL-9*; 12+ JL-10*
3 bde with Su-30MKK Flanker HELICOPTERS
GROUND ATTACK MRH 22: 20 Z-9; 2 Mi-17V-5 Hip H
6 bde with JH-7A Flounder TPT 31+: Heavy 18+ Z-8; Medium 13+: 6+ AS332 Super
ELECTRONIC WARFARE Puma (VIP); 3 H225 (VIP); 4+ Mi-171
2 regt with Y-8CB/G/XZ UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES
ISR CISR • Heavy 12+ GJ-1; GJ-2
1 regt with JZ-8F Finback* ISR • Heavy 7+ EA-03
262 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
AIR DEFENCE exercised by the PLA’s 3rd and 4th departments and
SAM 754+ other central functions. It reports to the Central Military
Long-range 356+: 180+ HQ-9/-9B; 32 S-300PMU Commission and is believed to be responsible for the PLA’s
(SA-10 Grumble); 64 S-300PMU1 (SA-20 Gargoyle); space and cyber capabilities
64 S-300PMU2 (SA-20 Gargoyle); 16 S-400 (SA-21B
Growler) Theatre Commands
Medium-range 320+: 120+ HQ-2/-2A/-2B; 150 HQ-12
In early 2016, the previous seven military regions were
(KS-1A); 50+ HQ-22
consolidated into five new theatre commands
Short-range 78+: 24+ HQ-6A; 24 HQ-6D; ε30 HQ-7
GUNS 16,000 100mm/85mm
Eastern Theatre Command
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES
AAM • IR PL-5B/C; PL-8; R-73 (AA-11 Archer); IIR PL- Eastern Theatre Ground Forces
10; IR/SARH R-27 (AA-10 Alamo); SARH PL-11; ARH 71st Group Army
PL-12; PL-15 (entering service); R-77 (AA-12A Adder);
(1 spec ops bde, 3 armd bde, 2 mech inf bde, 1 inf bde,
R-77-1 (RVV-SD) (AA-12B Adder)
1 arty bde, 1 engr/NBC bde regt, 1 spt bde, 1 hel bde,
ASM AKD-9; AKD-10; KD-88; Kh-29 (AS-14 Kedge); Kh-
1 AD bde)
59M (AS-18 Kazoo)
AShM Kh-31A (AS-17B Krypton) 72nd Group Army
ARM Kh-31P (AS-17A Krypton); YJ-91 (Domestically (1 spec ops bde, 1 armd bde, 1 mech inf bde, 2 inf bde,
produced Kh-31P variant) 2 amph bde, 1 arty bde, 1 engr/NBC bde, 1 spt bde, 1
ALCM • Conventional CJ-20; YJ(KD)-63 hel bde, 1 AD bde)
BOMBS 73rd Group Army
Laser-guided: LS-500J; LT-2 (1 spec ops bde, 1 armd bde, 1 mech inf bde, 2 inf bde,
TV-guided: KAB-500KR; KAB-1500KR 2 amph bde, 1 arty bde, 1 engr/NBC bde, 1 spt bde, 1
hel bde, 1 AD bde)
Airborne Corps
FORCES BY ROLE Eastern Theatre Navy
SPECIAL FORCES Coastal defence from south of Lianyungang to
1 spec ops bde Dongshan (approx. 35°10´N to 23°30´N), and to
MANOEUVRE seaward; HQ at Ningbo; support bases at Fujian,
Air Manoeuvre
Zhoushan, Ningbo
6 AB bde
17 SSK; 10 DDGHM; 18 FFGHM; 6 FFG; 19 FSGM;
Aviation
ε30 PCFG/PCG; ε22 MCMV; 2 LPD; ε22 LST/M
1 hel regt
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
Eastern Theatre Navy Aviation
1 spt bde
1st Naval Aviation Division
TRANSPORT
(1 bbr regt with H-6DU/G; 1 ASW regt with KQ-200; 1
1 bde with Y-7; Y-8
hel regt with Ka-27PS; Ka-28; Ka-31)
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Other Forces
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
(1 FGA bde with JH-7; 1 FGA bde with Su-30MK2;
ABCV 180 ZBD-03
J-10A)
APC • APC (T) 4 ZZZ-03 (CP)
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE Eastern Theatre Air Force
SP some HJ-9
10th Bomber Division
ARTILLERY 162+
(1 bbr regt with H-6H; 1 bbr regt with H-6K; 1 bbr regt
TOWED 122mm ε54 PL-96 (D-30)
with H-6M)
MRL 107mm ε54 PH-63
26th Special Mission Division
MOR 54+: 82mm some; 100mm 54
(1 AEW&C regt with KJ-200/KJ-500/Y-8T; 1 AEW&C
AIRCRAFT • TPT 20: Medium 6 Y-8; Light 14: 2 Y-7;
12 Y-12D regt with KJ-2000/Y-8T)
HELICOPTERS Fuzhou Base
ATK 8 WZ-10K (1 ftr bde with J-7E; 1 ftr bde with J-11A/B; 1 FGA bde
CSAR 8 Z-8KA with J-16; 1 FGA bde with Su-30MKK; 2 SAM bde)
MRH 12 Z-9WZ Shanghai Base
AIR DEFENCE (1 ftr bde with J-7E; 1 ftr bde with J-8F; 1 ftr bde with
SAM • Point-defence QW-1 J-11B; 1 FGA bde with J-10A; 1 FGA bde with J-16; 1
GUNS • TOWED 25mm 54 PG-87 FGA bde with Su-30MKK; 2 atk bde with JH-7A; 1 trg
bde with J-7/JJ-7A; 2 SAM bde)
Strategic Support Force ε175,000 Other Forces
At the end of 2015, a new Strategic Support Force was (1 ISR bde with JZ-8F; 1 CSAR bde; 1 Flight Instructor
established by drawing upon capabilities previously Training Base with CJ-6; JL-8; JL-9; JL-10)
Asia 263
Asia
2 FFGM; 7 FFG; 14 FSGM; ε38 PCFG/PCG; ε16 (1 SAM bde)
MCMV; 3 LPD; ε21 LST/M Xi’an Flying Academy
(1 trg bde with JJ-7A; 1 trg bde with JL-9; 2 trg bde with
Southern Theatre Navy Aviation JL-8; 1 trg bde with Y-7; Y-8)
3rd Naval Aviation Division Other Forces
(1 ASW/AEW&C regt with KJ-500; KQ-200; 1 bbr regt (1 surv regt with Y-8H1; 1 CSAR regt)
with H-6DU/G/J; 1 tpt/hel regt with Y-7G; Z-8; Z-8J;
Z-8S; Z-9C/D) Northern Theatre Command
Other Forces
(1 FGA bde with J-11B; 1 FGA bde with J-11B; JH-7A; Northern Theatre Ground Forces
1 SAM bde) 78th Group Army
(1 spec ops bde, 4 armd bde, 1 mech inf bde, 1 inf bde,
Southern Theatre Air Force 1 arty bde, 1 engr/NBC bde, 1 spt bde, 1 hel bde, 1 AD
8th Bomber Division bde)
(2 bbr regt with H-6K) 79th Group Army
20th Special Mission Division (1 spec ops bde, 2 armd bde, 3 mech inf bde, 1 inf bde,
(3 EW regt with Y-8CB/G/XZ)
1 arty bde, 1 engr/NBC bde, 1 spt bde, 1 hel bde, 1 AD
Kunming Base
bde)
(1 FGA bde with J-10A; 1 FGA bde with J-10C; 1 trg
80th Group Army
bde with JJ-7A; 1 SAM bde)
(1 spec ops bde, 1 armd bde; 1 mech inf bde, 4 inf bde,
Nanning Base
1 arty bde, 1 engr/NBC bde, 1 spt bde, 1 hel bde, 1 AD
(2 FGA bde with J-10A; 1 FGA bde with J-10B/C; 1 FGA
bde)
bde with Su-35; 1 FGA bde with J-7; 1 FGA bde with
Su-30MKK; 1 atk bde with JH-7A; 2 trg bde with J-7/ Northern Theatre Navy
JJ-7A; 1 SAM bde) Coastal defence from the DPRK border (Yalu River)
Other Forces to south of Lianyungang (approx 35°10´N), and to
(1 tkr bde with H-6U; 1 CSAR bde)
seaward; HQ at Qingdao; support bases at Lushun,
Other Forces Qingdao.
Marines 4 SSN; 15 SSK; 1 CV; 5 DDGHM; 2 DDGM; 10
(2 mne bde) FFGHM; 2 FFGM; 4 FFG; 8 FSGM; ε18 PCFG/PCG;
ε12 MCMV; ε7 LST/M
Western Theatre Command
Northern Theatre Navy Aviation
Western Theatre Ground Forces 2nd Naval Air Division
76th Group Army (2 EW/ISR/AEW regt with Y-8J/JB/W/X; Y-9JZ; 1 MP/
(1 spec ops bde, 4 armd bde, 2 inf bde, 1 arty bde, 1 hel regt with SH-5; AS365N; Ka-28; SA321; Z-8J/JH;
engr/NBC bde, 1 spt bde, 1 hel bde, 1 AD bde) Z-9C/D)
264 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
PCC 103: 25+ Type-618B-II; 45 Hailin I/II; 1 Shuzao of a Central Commission for Integrated Military and
II; 14 Shuzao III; 9 Zhongeng; 2 Zhongmel; 7 Zhongsui Civilian Development, which seeks to integrate civilian
PB/PBF ε200 technologies, including in the fields of information and
AMPHIBIOUS • LST 2 Yuting I (Type-072-II) (Ex- communications technologies and artificial intelligence,
PLAN; used as hospital vessels and island supply) into the PLA. China is investing heavily in quantum
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 28 technology and announced in September 2017 that it would
AG 7: 5+ Kaobo; 2 Shutu build the largest quantum-research facility in the world
AGB 1 Yanbing (Type-071) (ex-PLAN) to support technology developments that can be used by
AGOR 9: 4 Haijian; 3 Shuguang 04 (ex-PLAN); 2 the armed forces, including codebreaking capabilities and
Xiang Yang Hong 9 covert navigational capacities for submarines.
ATF 11
AIRCRAFT
MP 1+ MA60H
DEPLOYMENT
TPT • Light Y-12 (MP role) DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO: UN •
HELICOPTERS MONUSCO 223; 9 obs; 1 engr coy; 1 fd hospital
TPT • Light Z-9 DJIBOUTI: 240; 1 mne coy(-); 1 med unit; 2 ZTL-11; 8 ZBL-
Maritime Militia 08; 1 LPD; 1 ESD
Made up of full- and part-time personnel. Reports to GULF OF ADEN: 1 DDGHM; 1 FFGHM; 1 AORH
PLA command and trains to assist PLAN and CCG in LEBANON: UN • UNIFIL 418; 2 engr coy; 1 med coy
a variety of military roles. These include ISR, maritime
MALI: UN • MINUSMA 403; 1 sy coy; 1 engr coy; 1 fd
law enforcement, island supply, troop transport and
hospital
supporting sovereignty claims. The Maritime Militia
operates a variety of civilian vessels including fishing MIDDLE EAST: UN • UNTSO 5 obs
Asia
boats and oil tankers. SOUTH SUDAN: UN • UNMISS 1,040; 5 obs; 1 inf bn; 1
engr coy; 1 fd hospital
Cyber SUDAN: UN • UNAMID 374; 1 engr coy
The PLA has devoted much attention to information warfare
over the past decade, in terms of both battlefield electronic WESTERN SAHARA: UN • MINURSO 11 obs
warfare (EW) and wider cyber-warfare capabilities. The
main doctrine is the ‘Integrated Network Electronic Fiji FJI
Warfare’ (INEW) document, which guides PLA computer-
network operations. PLA thinking appears to have moved Fijian Dollar F$ 2017 2018 2019
beyond INEW, towards a new concept of ‘information GDP F$ 10.1bn 10.7bn
confrontation’ (xinxi duikang), which aims to integrate
US$ 4.89bn 5.22bn
both electronic and non-electronic aspects of information
per capita US$ 5,528 5,877
warfare within a single command authority. PLA thinking
sees warfare under informationised conditions as Growth % 3.0 3.2
characterised by opposing sides using complete systems of Inflation % 3.4 3.9
ground, naval, air, space and electromagnetic forces. Since Def bdgt F$ 105m 102m
2008, major PLA military exercises have had cyber and US$ 51.0m 49.7m
information-operations components that have been both
US$1=F$ 2.06 2.05
offensive and defensive in nature. The PLA reorganised
in 2015 and established three new support branches Population 926,276
including the Strategic Support Force (SSF). Although Ethnic groups: Fijian 51%; Indian 44%; European/other 5%
precise responsibilities remain unclear, the SSF reportedly
has three sections: the first dealing with intelligence Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
and military operations in cyberspace (defensive and Male 14.0% 4.0% 4.2% 4.0% 21.5% 3.1%
offensive); the second responsible for military space Female 13.4% 3.8% 4.0% 3.8% 20.5% 3.7%
operations (surveillance and satellite); and the third in
charge of defensive and offensive EW and electronic Capabilities
intelligence. In March 2017, China released an International
Strategy for Cooperation in Cyberspace, which stated that The Republic of Fiji Military Forces (RFMF) are an infantry-dom-
the PLA will play an ‘important role’ in cyberspace. The inated defence force with a small naval element. The RFMF has
intervened heavily in Fiji’s domestic politics, and between a third
strategy also stated that the country would ‘expedite the
coup in 2006 and 2014, democracy was effectively suspended.
development of a cyber force and enhance capabilities in
The RFMF is constructing a deployable force headquarters, which
terms of situational awareness, cyber defense, supporting will administer all peacekeeping and HADR forces. International
state activities and participating in international peacekeeping operations are an important revenue source for the
cooperation, to prevent major cyber crisis, safeguard government. Fiji’s principal allies are Australia and New Zealand,
cyber security and maintain national security and social with whom the RFMF regularly conducts training and maritime
stability’. In 2017, China also announced the establishment patrols. In 2016, the RFMF announced that it planned to recruit
266 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Asia
SUBMARINES • STRATEGIC • SSBN 1 Arihant with 4
1-cell VLS with K-15 Sagarika SLBM, 6 533mm TT
Territorial Army 160,000 reservists (only 40,000
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES
regular establishment)
ALCM • Nuclear Nirbhay (likely nuclear capable; in FORCES BY ROLE
development) MANOEUVRE
Some Indian Air Force assets (such as Mirage 2000H or Su- Light
30MKI) may be tasked with a strategic role 42 inf bn
COMBAT SUPPORT
Space 6 (Railway) engr regt
2 engr regt
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
1 sigs regt
SATELLITES 12 COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
NAVIGATION, POSITONING, TIMING: 7 IRNSS 6 ecological bn
COMMUNICATIONS: 2 GSAT
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
ISR 3: 1 Cartosat 2C; 2 RISAT
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
MBT 3,565+: 122 Arjun; 2,418 T-72M1; 1,025+ T-90S
Army 1,237,000 (ε1,100 various models in store)
6 Regional Comd HQ (Northern, Western, Central, South- RECCE Ferret (used for internal-security duties along
ern, Eastern, Southwestern), 1 Training Comd (ARTRAC) with some indigenously built armd cars)
FORCES BY ROLE IFV 3,100: 700 BMP-1; 2,400 BMP-2 Sarath (incl some
COMMAND BMP-2K CP)
4 (strike) corps HQ APC 336+
10 (holding) corps HQ APC (W) 157+ OT-64
SPECIAL FORCES PPV 179: 165 Casspir; 14+ Yukthirath MPV
8 SF bn ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
MANOEUVRE AEV BMP-2; FV180
Armoured ARV 730+: T-54/T-55; 156 VT-72B; 222 WZT-2; 352 WZT-
3 armd div (2–3 armd bde, 1 arty bde (2 arty regt)) 3
8 indep armd bde VLB AM-50; BLG-60; BLG T-72; Kartik; MTU-20; MT-55;
Mechanised Sarvatra
6 (RAPID) mech inf div (1 armd bde, 2 mech inf bde, 1 MW 24 910 MCV-2
arty bde) ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
2 indep mech bde MSL
Light SP 110 9P148 Konkurs (AT-5 Spandrel)
15 inf div (2–5 inf bde, 1 arty bde) MANPATS 9K113 Konkurs (AT-5 Spandrel); Milan 2
1 inf div (forming) RCL 3,000+: 84mm Carl Gustav; 106mm 3,000+ M40A1
7 indep inf bde (10 per inf bn)
268 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Asia
PSOH 10: 4 Saryu with 2 AK630 CIWS, 1 76mm gun 2 sqn with MiG-29K/KUB Fulcrum
(capacity 1 Dhruv); 6 Sukanya with 4 RBU 2500 A/S mor ANTI-SUBMARINE WARFARE
(capacity 1 SA316 Alouette III (Chetak)) 1 sqn with Ka-28 Helix A
PCFGM 8 1 sqn with Sea King Mk42B
6 Veer (FSU Tarantul) with 4 single lnchr with MARITIME PATROL
P-15M Termit (SS-N-2D Styx) AShM, 2 quad lnchr 2 sqn with BN-2 Islander; Do-228-101; Il-38SD
(manual aiming) with 9K32M Strela-2M (SA-N-5 May
Grail), 2 AK630 CIWS, 1 76mm gun
1 sqn with P-8I Neptune
2 Prabal (mod Veer) each with 4 quad lnchr with
AIRBORNE EARLY WARNING & CONTROL
3M24E Uran-E (SS-N-25 Switchblade) AShM, 1
1 sqn with Ka-31 Helix B
quad lnchr (manual aiming) with 9K32M Strela-
SEARCH & RESCUE
2M (SA-N-5 Grail) SAM, 2 AK630 CIWS, 1 76mm
1 sqn with SA316B Alouette III (Chetak); Sea King
gun
Mk42C
PCMT 3 Abhay (FSU Pauk II) with 1 quad lnchr (manual
1 sqn with Dhruv
aiming) with 9K32M Strela-2M (SA-N-5 Grail) SAM, 2
TRANSPORT
twin 533mm ASTT, 2 RBU 1200 A/S mor, 1 76mm gun
1 sqn with HS-748M (HAL-748M)
PCC 15: 4 Bangaram; 10 Car Nicobar; 1 Trinkat (SDB Mk5)
TRAINING
PCF 4 Tarmugli (Car Nicobar mod)
1 sqn with Do-228
PBF 58: 9 Immediate Support Vessel (Rodman 78);
1 sqn with HJT-16 Kiran MkI/II, Hawk Mk132
13 Immediate Support Vessel (Craftway); 15 Plascoa
1 hel sqn with Sea King Mk42B
1300 (SPB); 5 Super Dvora; 16 Solas Marine Interceptor
TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
(additional vessels in build)
1 sqn with UH-3H Sea King
MINE WARFARE • MINE COUNTERMEASURES 1
MSO 1 Pondicherry (FSU Natya) with 2 RBU 1200 A/S mor ISR UAV
AMPHIBIOUS 1 sqn with Heron; Searcher MkII
PRINCIPAL AMPHIBIOUS VESSELS 1 EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
LPD 1 Jalashwa (ex-US Austin) with 1 Phalanx CIWS AIRCRAFT 75 combat capable
(capacity up to 6 med spt hel; either 9 LCM or 4 FTR 45 MiG-29K/KUB Fulcrum
LCM and 2 LCAC; 4 LCVP; 930 troops) ASW 13: 5 Il-38SD May; 8 P-8I Neptune
LANDING SHIPS 8 MP 13 Do-228-101
LSM 3 Kumbhir (FSU Polnocny C) (capacity 5 MBT or 5 TPT 37:
APC; 160 troops) Light 27: 17 BN-2 Islander; 10 Do-228
LST 5: PAX 10 HS-748M (HAL-748M)
2 Magar (capacity 15 MBT or 8 APC or 10 trucks; TRG 29: 6 HJT-16 Kiran MkI; 6 HJT-16 Kiran MkII; 17
500 troops) Hawk Mk132*
3 Magar mod (capacity 11 MBT or 8 APC or 10 HELICOPTERS
trucks; 500 troops) ASW 30: 12 Ka-28 Helix A; 18 Sea King Mk42B
270 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
MRH 58: 10 Dhruv; 25 SA316B Alouette III (Chetak); 23 Some units with An-32; Do-228; Hawk Mk 132*; HJT-16
SA319 Alouette III Kiran MkI/II; Jaguar IS/IM; MiG-21bis; MiG-21FL;
AEW 11 Ka-31 Helix B MiG-21M/MF; MiG-27ML; PC-7 Turbo Trainer MkII;
TPT • Medium 11: 5 Sea King Mk42C; up to 6 UH-3H SA316B Alouette III (Chetak)
Sea King ATTACK HELICOPTER
UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES 2 sqn with Mi-25 Hind; Mi-35 Hind
ISR 10: Heavy 4 Heron; Medium 6 Searcher Mk II TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES 5 sqn with Dhruv
AAM • IR R-550 Magic/Magic 2; R-73 (AA-11 Archer) IR/ 7 sqn with Mi-17/Mi-17-1V Hip H
SARH R-27 (AA-10 Alamo); ARH: R-77 (AA-12A Adder) 12 sqn with Mi-17V-5 Hip H
AShM AGM-84 Harpoon (on P-8I ac); Kh-35 (AS-20 2 sqn with SA316B Alouette III (Chetak)
Kayak; on May ac); Sea Eagle (service status unclear) 1 flt with Mi-26 Halo
2 flt with SA315B Lama (Cheetah)
Marines ε1,200 (Additional 1,000 for SPB 2 flt with SA316B Alouette III (Chetak)
duties) ISR UAV
After the Mumbai attacks, the Sagar Prahari Bal (SPB), 5 sqn with Heron; Searcher MkII
with 80 PBF, was established to protect critical maritime AIR DEFENCE
infrastructure 25 sqn with S-125 Pechora (SA-3B Goa)
FORCES BY ROLE 6 sqn with 9K33 Osa-AK (SA-8B Gecko)
SPECIAL FORCES 2 sqn with Akash
1 (marine) cdo force 10 flt with 9K38 Igla-1 (SA-18 Grouse)
MANOEUVRE EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Amphibious AIRCRAFT 814 combat capable
1 amph bde FTR 62: 55 MiG-29 Fulcrum (incl 12+ MiG-29UPG); 7
MiG-29UB Fulcrum
Air Force 127,200 FGA 534: 114 MiG-21 Bison; 39 MiG-21U/UM Mongol;
5 regional air comds: Western (New Delhi), Southwestern 60 MiG-27ML Flogger; 20 MiG-23UB Flogger; 40 Mirage
(Gandhinagar), Eastern (Shillong), Central (Allahabad), 2000E/I (2000H); 10 Mirage 2000ED/IT (2000TH); 242 Su-
Southern (Trivandrum). 2 support comds: Maintenance 30MKI Flanker; 9 Tejas
(Nagpur) and Training (Bangalore) ATK 115: 28 Jaguar IB; 79 Jaguar IS; 8 Jaguar IM
FORCES BY ROLE ISR 3 Gulfstream IV SRA-4
FIGHTER AEW&C 4: 1 EMB-145AEW Netra (2 more in test); 3
3 sqn with MiG-29 Fulcrum; MiG-29UB Fulcrum Il-76TD Phalcon
FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK TKR 6 Il-78 Midas
4 sqn with Jaguar IB/IS TPT 242: Heavy 27: 10 C-17A Globemaster III; 17 Il-76MD
6 sqn with MiG-21 Bison Candid; Medium 10 C-130J-30 Hercules; Light 141: 57
3 sqn with MiG-27ML/MiG-23UB Flogger An-32; 45 An-32RE Cline; 35 Do-228; 4 EMB-135BJ; PAX
3 sqn with Mirage 2000E/ED/I/IT (2000H/TH – 64: 1 B-707; 4 B-737; 3 B-737BBJ; 56 HS-748
secondary ECM role) TRG 311: 103 Hawk Mk132*; 91 HJT-16 Kiran MkI/IA; 42
11 sqn with Su-30MKI Flanker HJT-16 Kiran MkII; 75 PC-7 Turbo Trainer MkII
ANTI SURFACE WARFARE HELICOPTERS
1 sqn with Jaguar IM ATK 19 Mi-25/Mi-35 Hind
ISR MRH 390: 60 Dhruv; 35 Mi-17 Hip H; 45 Mi-17-1V Hip
1 unit with Gulfstream IV SRA-4 H; 149 Mi-17V-5 Hip H; 59 SA315B Lama (Cheetah); 39
AIRBORNE EARLY WARNING & CONTROL
SA316B Alouette III (Chetak); 3+ Rudra
1 sqn with Il-76TD Phalcon TPT • Heavy 1+ Mi-26 Halo
TANKER UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES
1 sqn with Il-78 Midas ISR • Heavy 9 Heron; Medium some Searcher MkII
TRANSPORT AIR DEFENCE • SAM
1 sqn with C-130J-30 Hercules Medium-range Akash
1 sqn with C-17A Globemaster III Short-range S-125 Pechora (SA-3B Goa)
5 sqn with An-32/An-32RE Cline Point-defence 9K33 Osa-AK (SA-8B Gecko); 9K38 Igla
1 (comms) sqn with B-737; B-737BBJ; EMB-135BJ
(SA-18 Grouse)
4 sqn with Do-228; HS-748 AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES
1 sqn with Il-76MD Candid AAM • IR R-60 (AA-8 Aphid); R-73 (AA-11 Archer)
1 flt with HS-748 R-550 Magic; IIR Mica IR; IR/SARH R-27 (AA-10 Alamo);
TRAINING SARH Super 530D ARH R-77 (AA-12A Adder); Mica RF
1 OCU sqn with Su-30MKI Flanker AShM AGM-84 Harpoon; AM39 Exocet; Kh-31A (AS-17B
1 sqn (forming) with Tejas Krypton); Sea Eagle†
Asia 271
ASM Kh-29 (AS-14 Kedge); Kh-59 (AS-13 Kingbolt); Kh- Central Industrial Security Force 144,400
59M (AS-18 Kazoo); AS-30; Kh-23 (AS-7 Kerry)‡; Popeye II (lightly armed security guards)
(Crystal Maze)
Ministry of Home Affairs. Guards public-sector locations
ARM Kh-25MP (AS-12 Kegler); Kh-31P (AS-17A Krypton)
ALCM • Nuclear Nirbhay (likely nuclear capable; in Central Reserve Police Force 313,650
development)
Ministry of Home Affairs. Internal-security duties, only
BOMBS • Laser-guided Paveway II
lightly armed, deployable throughout the country
Coast Guard 12,600 FORCES BY ROLE
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE MANOEUVRE
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 115 Other
PSOH 16: 2 Sankalp (capacity 1 Chetak/Dhruv hel); 4 236 paramilitary bn
Samar with 1 76mm gun (capacity 1 Chetak/Dhruv hel); 10 (rapid action force) paramilitary bn
6 Samarth; 1 Vikram (capacity 1 Dhruv hel); 3 Vishwast 10 (CoBRA) paramilitary bn
(capacity 1 Dhruv hel) 6 (Mahila) paramilitary bn (female)
PSO 3 Samudra Prahari with 1 hel landing platform 2 sy gp
PCO 1 Vikram with 1 hel landing platform COMBAT SUPPORT
PCC 40: 20 Aadesh; 8 Rajshree; 5 Rani Abbakka; 7 Sarojini 5 sigs bn
Naidu
PBF 55: 6 C-154; 2 C-141; 11 C-143; 39 C-401 Defence Security Corps 31,000
PB 1 Priyadarshini Provides security at Defence Ministry sites
AMPHIBIOUS
UCAC 18: 6 H-181 (Griffon 8000TD); 12 H-187 (Griffon Indo-Tibetan Border Police 89,450
8000TD) Ministry of Home Affairs. Tibetan border security SF/
Asia
AIRCRAFT • TPT • Light 23 Do-228
guerrilla-warfare and high-altitude-warfare specialists
HELICOPTERS • MRH 21: 4 Dhruv; 17 SA316B Alouette
III (Chetak) FORCES BY ROLE
MANOEUVRE
Paramilitary 1,585,950 Other
56 paramilitary bn
Rashtriya Rifles 65,000
Ministry of Defence. 15 sector HQ National Security Guards 12,000
FORCES BY ROLE Anti-terrorism contingency deployment force, compris-
MANOEUVRE ing elements of the armed forces, CRPF and Border
Other Security Force
65 paramilitary bn
Railway Protection Forces 70,000
Assam Rifles 63,750
Ministry of Home Affairs. Security within northeastern Sashastra Seema Bal 76,350
states, mainly army-officered; better trained than BSF Guards the borders with Nepal and Bhutan
FORCES BY ROLE
Equipped to roughly same standard as an army inf bn Special Frontier Force 10,000
COMMAND Mainly ethnic Tibetans
7 HQ
MANOEUVRE Special Protection Group 3,000
Other Protection of ministers and senior officials
46 paramilitary bn
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE State Armed Police 450,000
ARTILLERY • MOR 81mm 252 For duty primarily in home state only, but can be moved
to other states. Some bn with GPMG and army-standard
Border Security Force 257,350 infantry weapons and equipment
Ministry of Home Affairs
FORCES BY ROLE
FORCES BY ROLE MANOEUVRE
MANOEUVRE
Other
Other
144 (India Reserve Police) paramilitary bn
186 paramilitary bn
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Reserve Organisations
Small arms, lt arty, some anti-tank weapons
ARTILLERY • MOR 81mm 942+ Civil Defence 500,000 reservists
AIRCRAFT • TPT some (air spt) Operate in 225 categorised towns in 32 states. Some units
HELICOPTERS • MRH 2 Mi-17V-5 Hip for NBC defence
272 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
MBT 79: 42 Leopard 2A4; 37 Leopard 2RI
Army ε300,400 LT TK 350: 275 AMX-13 (partially upgraded); 15 PT-76;
Mil Area Commands (KODAM) 60 Scorpion 90
14 comd (I, II, III, IV, V, VI, VII, IX, XII, XVI, XVII, XVIII, RECCE 142: 55 Ferret (13 upgraded); 69 Saladin (16
Jaya & Iskandar Muda) upgraded); 18 VBL
FORCES BY ROLE IFV 64: 22 Black Fox; 42 Marder 1A3
MANOEUVRE APC 634+
Mechanised APC (T) 267: 75 AMX-VCI; 34 BTR-50PK; 15 FV4333
3 armd cav bn Stormer; 143 M113A1-B
5 cav bn APC (W) 367+: ε150 Anoa; some Barracuda; 40 BTR-
Light 40; 45 FV603 Saracen (14 upgraded); 100 LAV-150
1 inf bde (1 cav bn, 3 inf bn) Commando; 32 VAB-VTT
3 inf bde (2 cdo bn, 1 inf bn) PPV some Casspir
1 inf bde (1 cdo bn, 2 inf bn) AUV 39: 14 APR-1; 3 Bushmaster; 22 Commando Ranger;
3 inf bde (3 inf bn) ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
32 indep inf bn AEV 4: 3 Leopard 2; 1 M113A1-B-GN
16 cdo bn ARV 15+: 2 AMX-13; 6 AMX-VCI; 3 BREM-2; 4 BPz-3
COMBAT SUPPORT Buffel; Stormer; T-54/T-55
12 fd arty bn
VLB 16: 10 AMX-13; 4 Leguan; 2 Stormer
7 cbt engr bn
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
Asia
MSL • MANPATS SS.11; Milan; 9K11 Malyutka (AT-3
4 construction bn
AVIATION Sagger)
1 composite avn sqn RCL 90mm M67; 106mm M40A1
HELICOPTER RL 89mm LRAC
1 hel sqn with Bo-105; Bell 205A; Bell 412; AH-64E ARTILLERY 1,198+
Apache Guardian SP 74: 105mm 20 AMX Mk61; 155mm 54: 36 CAESAR;
1 hel sqn Mi-35P Hind; Mi-17V-5 Hip H 18 M109A4
AIR DEFENCE TOWED 133+: 105mm 110+: some KH-178; 60 M101; 50
1 AD regt (2 ADA bn, 1 SAM unit) M-56; 155mm 23: 5 FH-88; 18 KH-179
6 ADA bn MRL 127mm 36 ASTROS II Mk6
3 SAM unit MOR 955: 81mm 800; 120mm 155: 75 Brandt; 80 UBM 52
AMPHIBIOUS • LCU 17: 1 ADRI XXXII; 4 ADRI XXXIII;
Special Forces Command (KOPASSUS)
1 ADRI XXXIX; 1 ADRI XL; 3 ADRI XLI; 2 ADRI XLIV; 2
FORCES BY ROLE
ADRI XLVI; 2 ADRI XLVIII; 1 ADRI L
SPECIAL FORCES
AIRCRAFT • TPT • Light 9: 1 BN-2A Islander; 6 C-212
3 SF gp (total: 2 cdo/para unit, 1 CT unit, 1 int unit)
Aviocar (NC-212); 2 Turbo Commander 680
Strategic Reserve Command (KOSTRAD) HELICOPTERS
FORCES BY ROLE ATK 14: 6 Mi-35P Hind; 8 AH-64E Apache Guardian
COMMAND MRH 40: 6 H125M Fennec; 17 Bell 412 Twin Huey (NB-
3 div HQ 412); 17 Mi-17V-5 Hip H
MANOEUVRE TPT • Light 29: 7 Bell 205A; 20 Bo-105 (NBo-105); 2 H120
Armoured Colibri
2 armd bn TRG 12 Hughes 300C
Mechanised AIR DEFENCE
1 mech inf bde (3 mech inf bn) SAM • Point-defence 95+: 2 Kobra (with 125 GROM-2
Light msl); TD-2000B (Giant Bow II); 51 Rapier; 42 RBS-70; QW-3
1 inf bde (3 cdo bn)
GUNS • TOWED 411: 20mm 121 Rh 202; 23mm Giant
1 inf bde (2 cdo bn)
Bow; 40mm 90 L/70; 57mm 200 S-60
1 inf bde (2 inf bn)
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES
Air Manoeuvre
ASM AGM-114 Hellfire
3 AB bde (3 AB bn)
COMBAT SUPPORT
2 fd arty regt (1 SP arty bn; 2 arty bn) Navy ε65,000 (including Marines and Aviation)
1 arty bn
2 cbt engr bn Three fleets: East (Sorong), Central (Surabaya) and West
AIR DEFENCE (Jakarta). Two Forward Operating Bases at Kupang (West
2 AD bn Timor) and Tahuna (North Sulawesi)
274 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Asia
TOWED 50: 105mm 22 LG1 MK II; 122mm 28 M-38
SARH R-27 (AA-10 Alamo)
MRL 122mm 21: 4 PHL-90B; 9 RM-70; 8 RM-70 Vampir
ARH R-77 (AA-12A Adder)
MOR 81mm
ASM AGM-65G Maverick
AIR DEFENCE • GUNS • 40mm 5 L/60/L/70; 57mm S-60
ARM Kh-31P (AS-17A Krypton)
Air Force 30,100 Special Forces (Paskhasau)
3 operational comd (East, Central and West) plus trg comd FORCES BY ROLE
FORCES BY ROLE SPECIAL FORCES
FIGHTER 3 (PASKHASAU) SF wg (total: 6 spec ops sqn)
1 sqn with F-5E/F Tiger II 4 indep SF coy
1 sqn with F-16A/B/C/D Fighting Falcon EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK AIR DEFENCE
1 sqn with F-16C/D Fighting Falcon SAM • Point QW-3
1 sqn with Su-27SK/SKM Flanker; Su-30MK/MK2 Flanker GUNS • TOWED 35mm 6 Oerlikon Skyshield
2 sqn with Hawk Mk109*/Mk209*
1 sqn with T-50i Golden Eagle* Paramilitary 280,000+
GROUND ATTACK
1 sqn with EMB-314 (A-29) Super Tucano* Police ε280,000 (including 14,000 police
MARITIME PATROL ‘mobile bde’ (BRIMOB) org in 56 coy, incl CT
1 sqn with B-737-200; CN235M-220 MPA unit (Gegana))
TANKER/TRANSPORT EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
1 sqn with C-130B/KC-130B Hercules ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
TRANSPORT APC (W) 34 Tactica
1 VIP sqn with B-737-200; C-130H/H-30 Hercules; L-100- AIRCRAFT • TPT • Light 5: 2 Beech 18; 2 C-212 Aviocar
30; F-27-400M Troopship; F-28-1000/3000; AS332L (NC-212); 1 Turbo Commander 680
Super Puma (NAS332L); SA330SM Puma (NAS300SM) HELICOPTERS • TPT • Light 22: 3 Bell 206 Jet Ranger;
1 sqn with C-130H/H-30 Hercules; L-100-30 19 Bo-105 (NBo-105)
1 sqn with C-212 Aviocar (NC-212)
1 sqn with CN235M-110; C295M KPLP (Coast and Seaward Defence
TRAINING Command)
1 sqn with Grob 120TP Responsible to Military Sea Communications Agency
1 sqn with KT-1B EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
1 sqn with SF-260M; SF-260W Warrior PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 31
TRANSPORT HELICOPTER PCO 4: 2 Arda Dedali; 2 Trisula
2 sqn with H225M; AS332L Super Puma (NAS332L); PB 27: 4 Golok (SAR); 5 Kujang; 3 Rantos; 15 (various)
SA330J/L Puma (NAS330J/L); H120 Colibri LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT • ABU 1 Jadayat
276 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Bakamla (Maritime Security Agency) previously organised into five regional commands. An Amphibi-
ous Rapid Deployment Brigade was also created, tasked mainly
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE with the defence of remote islands. Japan’s alliance with the US
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 7 remains the cornerstone of its defence policy, reflected by the con-
PSO 1 Tanjung Datu with 1 hel landing platform tinued US basing, the widespread use of US equipment across all
PB 6 Bintang Laut (KCR-40 mod) three services and regular training with US forces. The JSDF trains
regularly, including in US-led international exercises. However,
Reserve Organisations personnel recruitment and retention are an issue in the context
of an ageing population. Due to their defensive mandate, JSDF
Kamra People’s Security ε40,000 deployments are mostly for peacekeeping purposes. The ongoing
Report for 3 weeks’ basic training each year; part-time military-procurement drive has focused for the first time on power
projection, mobility and ISR, with the first domestically produced
police auxiliary.
F-35 combat aircraft rolled out in mid-2017. Japan has expressed a
desire to boost its ballistic-missile-defence capability by purchas-
DEPLOYMENT ing the Aegis Ashore system. Budget documents also note research
on a hypersonic glide body and new anti-ship missiles. Japan has
CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC: UN • MINUSCA 208; 4 an advanced defence-industrial base, which produces modern
obs; 1 engr coy equipment for the JSDF.
DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO: UN •
ACTIVE 247,150 (Ground Self-Defense Force
MONUSCO 180; 9 obs; 1 engr coy
150,850 Maritime Self-Defense Force 45,350 Air
LEBANON: UN • UNIFIL 1,295; 1 inf bn; 1 MP coy; 1 Self-Defense Force 46,950 Central Staff 4,000)
FSGHM
Paramilitary 14,000
MALI: UN • MINUSMA 9; 1 obs
RESERVE 56,000 (General Reserve Army (GSDF)
PHILIPPINES: IMT 9
46,000 Ready Reserve Army (GSDF) 8,100 Navy 1,100
SOUTH SUDAN: UN • UNMISS 2; 3 obs Air 800)
SUDAN: UN • UNAMID 800; 4 obs; 1 inf bn
UN • UNISFA 2 obs
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
WESTERN SAHARA: UN • MINURSO 3 obs
Space
Japan JPN EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
SATELLITES 11
Japanese Yen ¥ 2017 2018 2019
COMMUNICATIONS 2: 1 Kirameki-1; 1 Kirameki-2
GDP ¥ 547tr 557tr ISR 9 IGS
US$ 4.87tr 5.07tr
per capita US$ 38,449 40,106 Ground Self-Defense Force 150,850
Growth % 1.7 1.1 FORCES BY ROLE
Inflation % 0.5 1.2 COMMAND
5 army HQ (regional comd)
Def bdgt ¥ 5.13tr 5.19tr 5.29tr
SPECIAL FORCES
US$ 45.7bn 47.3bn
1 spec ops unit (bn)
US$1=¥ 112.17 109.85 MANOEUVRE
Population 126,168,156 Armoured
1 (7th) armd div (1 armd recce sqn, 3 tk regt, 1 armd inf
Ethnic groups: Korean <1%
regt, 1 hel sqn, 1 SP arty regt, 1 AD regt, 1 cbt engr bn,
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus 1 sigs bn, 1 NBC bn, 1 log regt)
Male 6.5% 2.5% 2.6% 2.4% 22.0% 12.4% 1 indep tk bn
Mechanised
Female 6.2% 2.2% 2.3% 2.4% 22.4% 16.0%
1 (2nd) inf div (1 armd recce sqn, 1 tk regt, 3 inf regt, 1 hel
sqn, 1 SP arty regt, 1 AT coy, 1 ADA bn, 1 cbt engr bn,
Capabilities 1 sigs bn, 1 NBC bn, 1 log regt)
Japan’s concerns over its regional security environment have 1 (4th) inf div (1 armd recce sqn, 3 inf regt, 1 inf coy, 1
heightened, as evidenced in its 2018 defence white paper. These hel sqn, 1 fd arty regt, 1 AT coy, 1 SAM bn, 1 cbt engr
principally relate to an emerging security challenge from China bn, 1 sigs bn, 1 NBC bn, 1 log regt)
and an established concern over North Korea. This has stimulated
1 (9th) inf div (1 armd recce sqn, 1 tk bn, 3 inf regt, 1 hel
defence-budget increases and defence-policy and legislative
reforms to enable Japan to play a more active international secu-
sqn, 1 fd arty regt, 1 SAM bn, 1 cbt engr bn, 1 sigs bn,
rity role. While the offensive capacity of the Japan Self-Defense 1 NBC bn, 1 log regt)
Force (JSDF) remains weak, the navy has strengths in anti-sub- 2 (5th & 11th) inf bde (1 armd recce sqn, 1 tk bn, 3 inf
marine warfare and air defence. In 2018, a Ground Component regt, 1 hel sqn, 1 SP arty bn, 1 SAM coy, 1 cbt engr coy,
Command was created to oversee the Ground Self-Defense Force, 1 sigs coy, 1 NBC coy, 1 log bn)
Asia 277
Light ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
2 (1st & 3rd) inf div (1 recce sqn, 1 tk bn, 3 inf regt, 1 hel MSL
sqn, 1 fd arty bn, 1 SAM bn, 1 cbt engr bn, 1 sigs bn, 1 SP 37 Type-96 MPMS
NBC bn, 1 log regt) MANPATS Type-79 Jyu-MAT; Type-87 Chu-MAT;
2 (6th & 10th) inf div (1 recce sqn, 1 tk bn, 3 inf regt, 1 hel Type-01 LMAT
sqn, 1 fd arty regt, 1 SAM bn, 1 cbt engr bn, 1 sigs bn, 1 RCL • 84mm Carl Gustav
NBC bn, 1 log regt)
ARTILLERY 1,716
1 (8th) inf div (1 recce sqn, 3 inf regt, 1 hel sqn, 1 SAM bn, SP 172: 155mm 105 Type-99; 203mm 67 M110A2
1 cbt engr bn, 1 sigs bn, 1 NBC bn, 1 log regt) TOWED 155mm 340 FH-70
1 (13th) inf bde (1 recce sqn, 1 tk coy, 3 inf regt, 1 hel sqn, MRL 227mm 99 M270 MLRS
1 fd arty bn, 1 SAM coy, 1 cbt engr coy, 1 NBC coy, 1 MOR 1,105: 81mm 652 L16 120mm 429; SP 120mm 24
sigs coy, 1 log bn) Type-96
1 (14th) inf bde (1 recce sqn, 1 lt armd coy, 2 inf regt, 1 COASTAL DEFENCE • AShM 104: 22 Type-12; 82 Type-
hel sqn, 1 SAM coy, 1 cbt engr coy, 1 NBC coy, 1 sigs 88
coy, 1 log bn) AIRCRAFT • TPT • Light 7 Beech 350 King Air (LR-2)
1 (15th) inf bde (1 recce sqn, 1 inf regt, 1 avn sqn, 1 AD HELICOPTERS
regt, 1 cbt engr coy, 1 NBC coy, 1 sigs coy, 1 log bn) ATK 103: 59 AH-1S Cobra; 11 AH-64D Apache; 33 OH-1
Air Manoeuvre ISR 44 OH-6D
1 (1st) AB bde (3 AB bn, 1 fd arty bn, 1 cbt engr coy, 1 sigs TPT 272: Heavy 69: 24 CH-47D Chinook (CH-47J); 45
coy, 1 log bn) CH-47JA Chinook; Medium 42: 3 H225 Super Puma MkII+
1 (12th) air mob inf bde (1 recce sqn, 3 inf regt, 1 avn sqn, (VIP); 39 UH-60L Black Hawk (UH-60JA); Light 161: 131
1 fd arty bn, 1 SAM coy, 1 cbt engr coy, 1 NBC coy, 1 Bell 205 (UH-1J); 30 Enstrom 480B (TH-480B)
sigs coy, 1 log bn) AIR DEFENCE
Amphibious SAM
Asia
1 amph bde(-) (1 amph regt) Medium-range 163: 43 Type-03 Chu-SAM; 120 MIM-
COMBAT SUPPORT 23B I-Hawk
1 arty bde (2 SP arty regt; 3 AShM regt) Short-range 5 Type-11 Tan-SAM
1 (Western Army) fd arty regt
Point-defence 159+: 46 Type-81 Tan-SAM; 113 Type-
2 arty unit (1 MRL bn; 1 AShM regt)
93 Kin-SAM; Type-91 Kei-SAM
1 (Central Army) fd arty bn
GUNS • SP 35mm 52 Type-87
4 engr bde
1 engr unit
1 EW bn
Maritime Self-Defense Force 45,350
5 int bn Surface units organised into 4 Escort Flotillas with a mix
1 MP bde of 8 warships each. Bases at Yokosuka, Kure, Sasebo,
1 sigs bde Maizuru, Ominato. SSK organised into two flotillas with
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT bases at Kure and Yokosuka
5 log unit (bde) EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
5 trg bde SUBMARINES • TACTICAL • SSK 20:
HELICOPTER 2 Oyashio (trg role) with 6 single 533mm TT with T-89
1 hel bde (5 tpt hel sqn; 1 VIP tpt hel bn) HWT/UGM-84C Harpoon AShM
5 hel gp (1 atk hel bn, 1 hel bn) 9 Oyashio with 6 single 533mm TT with T-89 HWT/UGM-
AIR DEFENCE 84C Harpoon AShM
2 SAM bde (2 SAM gp) 9 Soryu (AIP fitted) with 6 single 533mm TT with T-89
2 SAM gp HWT/UGM-84C Harpoon AShM
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS 49
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES AIRCRAFT CARRIERS • CVH 4:
MBT 667: 76 Type-10; 250 Type-74; 341 Type-90 2 Hyuga with 1 16-cell Mk41 VLS with ASROC/RIM-
ASLT 36 Type-16 MCV 162B ESSM SAM, 2 triple 324mm ASTT with Mk46/
RECCE 111 Type-87 Type-97 LWT, 2 Phalanx Block 1B CIWS (normal ac
IFV 68 Type-89 capacity 3 SH-60 Seahawk ASW hel; plus additional
APC 795 ac embarkation up to 7 SH-60 Seahawk or 7 MCH-
APC (T) 226 Type-73 101)
APC (W) 569: 204 Type-82; 365 Type-96 2 Izumo with 2 11-cell SeaRAM lnchr with RIM-
AAV 4 AAV-7 116 SAM, 2 Phalanx Block 1B CIWS (normal
AUV 8 Bushmaster ac capacity 7 SH-60 Seahawk ASW hel; plus
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES additional ac embarkation up to 5 SH-60 Seahawk/
ARV 70: 4 Type-11; 36 Type-78; 30 Type-90 MCH-101 hel)
VLB 22 Type-91 CRUISERS • CGHM 2:
NBC VEHICLES 57: 41 Chemical Reconnaissance Vehicle; 1 Atago with Aegis Baseline 7 C2, 2 quad lnchr with
16 NBC Reconnaissance Vehicle SSM-1B AShM, 1 64-cell Mk41 VLS with ASROC A/S
278 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
msl/SM-2 Block IIIA/B SAM/SM-3 Block IA SAM, 1 FFG 6 Abukuma with 2 quad Mk141 lnchr with RGM-
32-cell Mk41 VLS with ASROC A/S msl/SM-2 Block 84C Harpoon AShM, 2 triple ASTT with Mk 46 LWT,
IIIA/B SAM/SM-3 Block IA SAM, 2 triple 324mm 1 octuple Mk112 lnchr with ASROC, 1 Phalanx CIWS,
ASTT with Mk46 LWT, 2 Phalanx Block 1B CIWS, 1 1 76mm gun
127mm gun (capacity 1 SH-60 Seahawk ASW hel) PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 6
1 Atago with Aegis Baseline 9 C2, 2 quad lnchr with PBFG 6 Hayabusa with 4 SSM-1B AShM, 1 76mm gun
SSM-1B AShM, 1 64-cell Mk41 VLS with ASROC A/S MINE WARFARE • MINE COUNTERMEASURES 27
msl/SM-2 Block IIIA/B SAM/SM-3 Block IA/IB SAM, MCCS 5:
1 32-cell Mk41 VLS with ASROC A/S msl/SM-2 Block 1 Ieshima
IIIA/B SAM/SM-3 Block IA/IB SAM, 2 triple 324mm 1 Uraga with 1 76mm gun, 1 hel landing platform (for
ASTT with Mk46 LWT, 2 Phalanx Block 1B CIWS, 1 MCH-101 hel)
127mm gun (capacity 1 SH-60 Seahawk ASW hel) 1 Uraga with 1 hel landing platform (for MCH-101)
DESTROYERS 33 2 Uwajima
DDGHM 27: MSC 19: 3 Hirashima; 12 Sugashima; 1 Uwajima; 3 Enoshima
8 Asagiri with 2 quad Mk141 lnchr with RGM-84C MSO 3: 2 Awaji; 1 Yaeyama
Harpoon AShM, 1 octuple Mk29 lnchr with Sea AMPHIBIOUS
Sparrow SAM, 2 triple 324mm ASTT with Mk46 PRINCIPAL AMPHIBIOUS SHIPS • LHD 3 Osumi
LWT, 1 octuple Mk112 lnchr with ASROC, 2 with 2 Phalanx CIWS (capacity for 2 CH-47 hel) (capacity
Phalanx CIWS, 1 76mm gun (capacity 1 SH-60 10 Type-90 MBT; 2 LCAC(L) ACV; 330 troops)
Seahawk ASW hel) LANDING CRAFT 8
4 Akizuki with 2 quad lnchr with SSM-1B AShM, 1 LCM 2 LCU-2001
32-cell Mk41 VLS with ASROC/RIM-162B ESSM LCAC 6 LCAC(L) (capacity either 1 MBT or 60 troops)
SAM, 2 triple 324mm ASTT with Type-97 LWT, LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 21
2 Phalanx CIWS, 1 127mm gun (capacity 1 SH-60 AGBH 1 Shirase (capacity 2 AW101 Merlin hel)
Seahawk ASW hel) AGEH 1 Asuka with 1 8-cell VLS (wpn trials) (capacity 1
1 Asahi (Akizuki mod) with 2 quad lnchr with SSM- SH-60 Seahawk hel)
1B AShM, 8 4-cell Mk41 VLS with RIM-162B ESSM AGOS 2 Hibiki with 1 hel landing platform
SAM/Type-07 A/S msl, 2 triple HOS-303 324mm AGS 3: 1 Futami; 1 Nichinan; 1 Shonan
ASTT with Type-12 LWT, 2 Mk 15 Phalanx Block AOE 5: 2 Mashu (capacity 1 med hel); 3 Towada with 1 hel
1B CIWS, 1 127mm gun (capacity 1 SH-60 Seahawk landing platform
ASW hel) ARC 1 Muroto
9 Murasame with 2 quad lnchr with SSM-1B AShM, ASR 2: 1 Chihaya with 1 hel landing platform; 1 Chiyoda
1 16-cell Mk48 VLS with RIM-162C ESSM SAM, 2 II with 1 hel landing platform
triple 324mm TT with Mk46 LWT, 1 16-cell Mk41 AX 6:
VLS with ASROC, 2 Phalanx CIWS, 2 76mm gun 1 Kashima with 2 triple 324mm ASTT, 1 76mm gun, 1
(capacity 1 SH-60 Seahawk ASW hel) hel landing platform
5 Takanami (improved Murasame) with 2 quad lnchr 1 Kurobe with 1 76mm gun (trg spt ship)
with SSM-1B AShM, 1 32-cell Mk41 VLS with 3 Shimayuki with 2 quad lnchr with RGM-84 Harpoon
ASROC/RIM-7M/RIM-162B ESSM SAM, 2 triple AShM, 1 octuple Mk29 lnchr with RIM-7M Sea
324mm TT with Mk46 LWT, 2 Phalanx CIWS, 1 Sparrow SAM, 1 octuple Mk112 lnchr with ASROC,
127mm gun (capacity 1 SH-60 Seahawk ASW hel) 2 triple 324mm ASTT with Mk46 LWT, 2 Phalanx
DDGM 6: CIWS, 1 76mm gun
2 Hatakaze with 2 quad Mk141 lnchr with RGM- 1 Tenryu (trg spt ship); with 1 76mm gun (capacity: 1
84C Harpoon AShM, 1 Mk13 GMLS with SM-1 med hel)
MR SAM, 2 triple 324mm ASTT with Mk46 LWT,
1 octuple Mk112 lnchr with ASROC, 2 Phalanx Naval Aviation ε9,800
CIWS, 2 127mm gun, 1 hel landing platform 7 Air Groups
4 Kongou with Aegis Baseline 4/5 C2, 2 quad Mk141 FORCES BY ROLE
lnchr with RGM-84C Harpoon AShM, 1 29-cell ANTI SUBMARINE/SURFACE WARFARE
Mk41 VLS with SM-2/3 SAM/ASROC, 1 61-cell 5 sqn with SH-60B (SH-60J)/SH-60K Seahawk
Mk41 VLS with SM-2/3 SAM/ASROC, 2 triple MARITIME PATROL
324mm ASTT, 2 Phalanx Block 1B CIWS, 1 127mm 1 sqn with P-1; P-3C Orion
gun 3 sqn with P-3C Orion
FRIGATES 10 ELECTRONIC WARFARE
FFGHM 4 Hatsuyuki with 2 quad Mk141 lnchr with 1 sqn with EP-3 Orion
RGM-84C Harpoon AShM, 1 octuple Mk29 lnchr MINE COUNTERMEASURES
with RIM-7F/M Sea Sparrow SAM, 2 triple ASTT with 1 sqn with MCH-101
Mk46 LWT, 1 octuple Mk112 lnchr with ASROC, SEARCH & RESCUE
2 Phalanx CIWS, 1 76mm gun (capacity 1 SH-60 1 sqn with Shin Meiwa US-1A/US-2
Seahawk ASW hel) (of which 2 in trg role) 2 sqn with UH-60J Black Hawk
Asia 279
Asia
H135 (TH-135)
1 AD gp with Type-81 Tan-SAM; M167 Vulcan
Air Self-Defense Force 46,950 EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
AIR DEFENCE
7 cbt wg
SAM
FORCES BY ROLE Long-range 120 MIM-104D/F Patriot PAC-2 GEM/
FIGHTER PAC-3
7 sqn with F-15J Eagle Point-defence Type-81 Tan-SAM
2 sqn with F-4EJ (F-4E) Phantom II GUNS • TOWED 20mm M167 Vulcan
3 sqn with Mitsubishi F-2
1 sqn (forming) with F-35A Lightning II Paramilitary 14,000
ELECTRONIC WARFARE
2 sqn with Kawasaki EC-1; YS-11E Coast Guard 14,000
ISR Ministry of Land, Transport, Infrastructure and Tourism
1 sqn with RF-4EJ (RF-4E) Phantom II* (no cbt role)
AIRBORNE EARLY WARNING & CONTROL EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
2 sqn with E-2C Hawkeye PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 367
1 sqn with E-767 PSOH 14: 2 Mizuho (capacity 2 hels); 2 Shikishima
SEARCH & RESCUE (capacity 2 hels); 1 Soya (capacity 1 hel) (icebreaking
1 wg with U-125A Peace Krypton; UH-60J Black Hawk capability); 9 Tsugaru (Soya mod) (capacity 1 hel)
TANKER PSO 43:
1 sqn with KC-767J 3 Hida with 1 hel landing platform
TRANSPORT 1 Izu with 1 hel landing platform
1 (VIP) sqn with B-747-400 9 Hateruma with 1 hel landing platform
2 sqn with C-1; C-2 6 Iwami
1 sqn with C-130H Hercules 1 Kojima (trg) with 1 hel landing platform
Some (liaison) sqn with Gulfstream IV (U-4); T-4* 2 Kunigami with 1 hel landing platform
TRAINING 1 Miura with 1 hel landing platform
1 (aggressor) sqn with F-15J Eagle 6 Ojika with 1 hel landing platform
TEST 14 Taketomi with 1 hel landing platform
1 wg with F-15J Eagle; T-4* PCO 16: 3 Aso; 6 Katori; 7 Teshio
TRANSPORT HELICOPTER PCC 26: 4 Amami; 22 Tokara
4 flt with CH-47JA Chinook PBF 47: 20 Hayagumo; 5 Mihashi; 14 Raizan; 2 Takatsuki;
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE 6 Tsuruugi
AIRCRAFT 547 combat capable PB 54: 4 Asogiri; 4 Hamagumo; 11 Hayanami; 12 Katonami;
FTR 189: 147 F-15J Eagle; 42 F-15DJ Eagle 1 Matsunami; 4 Murakumo; 2 Natsugiri; 6 Shimoji; 10
FGA 148: 58 F-2A; 30 F-2B; 51 F-4E Phantom II (F-4EJ); 9 Yodo
F-35A Lightning II (in test) PBI 167: 2 Hakubai; 1 Hayagiku; 164 Himegiku
280 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 16 12 MH-60R Seahawk; 1 tpt hel sqn with MH-60S Knight
ABU 1 Teshio Hawk; 1 base at Sasebo; 1 base at Yokosuka
AGS 12: 6 Hamashio; 1 Jinbei; 2 Meiyo; 1 Shoyo; 1 Takuyo; USAF: 12,50; 1 HQ (5th Air Force) at Okinawa–Kadena
1 Tenyo AB; 1 ftr wg at Misawa AB (2 ftr sqn with 22 F-16C/D
AX 3 Fighting Falcon); 1 ftr wg at Okinawa–Kadena AB (2 ftr
AIRCRAFT sqn with 27 F-15C/D Eagle; 1 FGA sqn with 14 F-22A
MP 2 Falcon 900 MPAT Raptor; 1 tkr sqn with 15 KC-135R Stratotanker; 1 AEW
SAR 4 Saab 340B sqn with 2 E-3B Sentry; 1 CSAR sqn with 10 HH-60G Pave
TPT 25: Light 23: 5 Cessna 172; 9 Beech 350 King Air Hawk); 1 tpt wg at Yokota AB with 10 C-130J-30 Hercules;
(LR-2); 9 DHC Dash-7 (Bombardier 300) (MP); PAX 2 2 Beech 1900C (C-12J); 1 spec ops gp at Okinawa–Kadena
Gulfstream V (MP) AB with (1 sqn with 5 MC-130H Combat Talon; 1 sqn with
HELICOPTERS 5 MC-130J Commando II; 1 unit with 5 CV-22A Osprey);
MRH 5 Bell 412 Twin Huey 1 ISR sqn with RC-135 Rivet Joint; 1 ISR UAV flt with 5
SAR 11 S-76D RQ-4A Global Hawk
TPT 36: Medium 8: 3 AS332 Super Puma; 5 H225 Super USMC 18,800; 1 mne div; 1 mne regt HQ; 1 arty regt HQ;
Puma; Light 28: 18 AW139; 3 Bell 206B Jet Ranger II; 4 1 recce bn; 1 mne bn; 1 amph aslt bn; 1 arty bn; 2 FGA sqn
Bell 505 Jet Ranger X; 3 S-76C at Iwakuni with 12 F/A-18D Hornet; 1 FGA sqn at Iwakuni
with 12 F-35B Lightning II; 1 tkr sqn at Iwakuni with 15
Cyber KC-130J Hercules; 2 tpt sqn at Futenma with 12 MV-22B
In 2014, an ‘Office of Cyber’ was established in the C4 Osprey
Systems Planning Division, Joint Staff Office (JSO) of the US Strategic Command: 1 AN/TPY-2 X-band radar at
Japan Ministry of Defense to consolidate the cyber-plan- Shariki; 1 AN/TPY-2 X-band radar at Kyogamisaki
ning functions of the JSO and to create a more systematic
structure for responding to cyber attacks. The National
Defense Program Guidelines for FY2014 and beyond stated
Korea, Democratic People’s
that ‘Japan will build up persistent ISR [intelligence, sur- Republic of DPRK
veillance and reconnaissance] capabilities to prevent any North Korean Won 2017 2018 2019
acts that could impede efficient action by the SDF’. The
GDP US$
2014 Mid-Term Defense Program (FY2014–18) said that the
Self-Defense Forces would develop specialist training for per capita US$
cyber personnel. The document also said that ‘through its Def exp won
efforts to secure response capabilities in cyberspace where US$
attackers have an overwhelming advantage, the SDF may US$1=won
consider the acquisition of capabilities to prevent them
*definitive economic data not available
from using cyberspace’. A Cyber Defense Group, which
integrates the cyber-warfare functions of the three armed Population 25,381,085
services, was launched in March 2014 to respond to cyber
threats. The group monitors defence-ministry and SDF net- Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
works and provides responses to cyber attacks. A revised Male 10.5% 3.8% 4.0% 4.1% 23.0% 3.3%
Cybersecurity Strategy was developed in mid-2018. Female 10.1% 3.7% 3.9% 3.9% 23.5% 6.2%
DEPLOYMENT Capabilities
ARABIAN SEA & GULF OF ADEN: Combined Maritime Renewed diplomacy reduced tensions on the Korean Peninsula
in 2018, though the prospect of limiting Pyongyang’s nuclear
Forces • CTF-151: 2 DDGHM
ambitions remains uncertain. Aware of the qualitative inferiority
DJIBOUTI: 170; 2 P-3C Orion of its conventional forces, North Korea has invested in asymmet-
ric capabilities, particularly the development of nuclear weapons
SOUTH SUDAN: UN • UNMISS 4
and ballistic-missile delivery systems. Throughout 2017, several
new nuclear-capable road-mobile ballistic-missile designs were
FOREIGN FORCES revealed and successfully tested. North Korea remains diplomati-
cally isolated. While foreign defence cooperation is restricted by
United States international pressure and sanctions, Pyongyang has nonetheless
US Pacific Command: 53,900 often found ways to develop military ties. Official conscription for
Army 2,700; 1 corps HQ (fwd); 1 SF gp; 1 avn bn; 1 SAM both men and women is often extended, sometimes indefinitely.
bn Training is focused on fighting a short intensive war on the penin-
Navy 20,250; 1 CVN; 3 CGHM; 2 DDGHM; 8 DDGM (2 sula, but the armed forces’ overall effectiveness in a modern con-
flict against technologically superior opposition is unclear. Internal
non-op); 1 LCC; 4 MCO; 1 LHD; 1 LPD; 2 LSD; 3 FGA sqn
exercises are conducted regularly, but those shown are staged and
with 10 F/A-18E Super Hornet; 1 FGA sqn with 10 F/A-18F are not necessarily representative of wider operational capability.
Super Hornet; 2 ASW aqn with 6 P-8A Poseidon; 1 ASW flt North Korea’s conventional forces remain reliant on increasingly
with 2 P-3C Orion; 2 EW sqn with 5 EA-18G Growler; 1 obsolete equipment, with older Soviet-era and Chinese-origin
AEW&C sqn with 5 E-2D Hawkeye; 2 ASW hel sqn with equipment supplemented by a number of indigenous designs and
Asia 281
upgrades. Overall effectiveness and serviceability of some equip- Special Purpose Forces Command 88,000
ment remains in doubt but there is local maintenance, repair and
overhaul capacity. Local defence-industrial capacity includes the FORCES BY ROLE
manufacture of light arms, armoured vehicles, artillery and missile SPECIAL FORCES
systems. North Korea has exported arms in the past. It is unclear 8 (Reconnaissance General Bureau) SF bn
whether the country would have had the capability to indig- MANOEUVRE
enously develop some of the technical advances it has demon- Reconnaissance
strated, including in rocket propulsion. 17 recce bn
ACTIVE 1,280,000 (Army 1,100,000 Navy 60,000 Light
9 lt inf bde
Air 110,000 Strategic Forces 10,000) Paramilitary
6 sniper bde
189,000
Air Manoeuvre
Conscript liability Army 5–12 years, Navy 5–10 years, Air Force 3–4
years, followed by compulsory part-time service to age 40. There- 3 AB bde
after service in the Worker/Peasant Red Guard to age 60 1 AB bn
2 sniper bde
RESERVE ε600,000 (Armed Forces ε600,000), Amphibious
Paramilitary 5,700,000 2 sniper bde
Reservists are assigned to units (see also Paramilitary)
Reserves 600,000
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE FORCES BY ROLE
MANOEUVRE
Light
Strategic Forces ε10,000
40 inf div
North Korea’s ballistic missiles and obsolete H-5 (Il-
18 inf bde
Asia
28) bombers could be used to deliver nuclear warheads
or bombs. At present, however, there is no conclusive EQUIPMENT BY TYPE (ε)
evidence to verify that North Korea has successfully ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
produced a warhead or bomb capable of being delivered MBT 3,500+ T-34/T-54/T-55/T-62/Type-59/Chonma/Pokpoong
by these systems LT TK 560+: 560 PT-76; M-1985
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE (ε) IFV 32 BTR-80A
SURFACE-TO-SURFACE MISSILE LAUNCHERS APC 2,500+
ICBM 6+: Hwasong-13/Hwasong-13 mod/Hwasong-14 (in APC (T) BTR-50; Type-531 (Type-63); VTT-323
test); Hwasong-15 (in test) APC (W) 2,500 BTR-40/BTR-60/M-1992/1/BTR-152/M-2010
IRBM Hwasong-12 (in test) (6×6)/M-2010 (8×8)
MRBM ε10 Nodong mod 1/mod 2 (ε90+ msl); some Scud- ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
ER; Bukkeukseong-2 (in test); Hwasong-10 (Musudan) (in MSL
test) SP 9K11 Malyutka (AT-3 Sagger); M-2010 ATGM
SBRM 30+ Hwasong-5 (SS-1C Scud-B)/Hwasong-6 (SS-1D MANPATS 2K15 Shmel (AT-1 Snapper); 9K111 Fagot
Scud-C) (ε200+ msl); some Scud (mod) (in test) (AT-4 Spigot); 9K113 Konkurs (AT-5 Spandrel)
RCL 82mm 1,700 B-10
Army ε1,100,000 ARTILLERY 21,100+
FORCES BY ROLE SP/TOWED 8,500:
COMMAND SP 122mm M-1977; M-1981; M-1985; M-1991; 130mm
2 mech corps HQ M-1975; M-1981; M-1991; 152mm M-1974; M-1977;
10 inf corps HQ M-2018; 170mm M-1978; M-1989
1 (Capital Defence) corps HQ TOWED 122mm D-30; D-74; M-1931/37; 130mm M-46;
MANOEUVRE 152mm M-1937; M-1938; M-1943
Armoured GUN/MOR 120mm (reported)
1 armd div MRL 5,100: 107mm Type-63; VTT-323 107mm; 122mm
15 armd bde BM-11; M-1977 (BM-21); M-1985; M-1992; M-1993; VTT-
Mechanised 323 122mm; 200mm BMD-20; 240mm BM-24; M-1985;
4 mech div M-1989; M-1991; 300mm some
Light MOR 7,500: 82mm M-37; 120mm M-43; 160mm M-43
27 inf div SURFACE-TO-SURFACE MISSILE LAUNCHERS
14 inf bde SBRM 24 FROG-3/5/7; some Toksa (SS-21B Scarab mod)
COMBAT SUPPORT AIR DEFENCE
1 arty div SAM • Point-defence 9K35 Strela-10 (SA-13 Gopher);
21 arty bde 9K310 Igla-1 (SA-16 Gimlet); 9K32 Strela-2 (SA-7 Grail)‡
9 MRL bde GUNS 11,000
5–8 engr river crossing/amphibious regt SP 14.5mm M-1984; 23mm M-1992; 37mm M-1992;
1 engr river crossing bde 57mm M-1985
282 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Asia
Growth % 3.1 2.8
Medium-range 179+: some Pongae-5 (status unknown);
179+ S-75 Dvina (SA-2 Guideline) Inflation % 1.9 1.5
Short-range 133 S-125 Pechora (SA-3 Goa) Def bdgt won 40.6tr 43.2tr 46.7tr
Point-defence 9K32 Strela-2 (SA-7 Grail)‡; 9K36 US$ 35.9bn 39.2bn
Strela-3 (SA-14 Gremlin); 9K310 Igla-1 (SA-16 Gimlet) US$1=won 1,130.42 1,100.67
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES
AAM • IR R-3 (AA-2 Atoll)‡; R-60 (AA-8 Aphid); R-73 Population 51,418,097
(AA-11 Archer); PL-5; PL-7; SARH R-23/24 (AA-7 Apex);
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
R-27R/ER (AA-10 A/C Alamo)
ASM Kh-23 (AS-7 Kerry)‡; Kh-25 (AS-10 Karen) Male 6.7% 2.8% 3.6% 3.6% 27.1% 6.2%
Female 6.3% 2.6% 3.2% 3.1% 26.3% 8.3%
Paramilitary 189,000 active
Capabilities
Security Troops 189,000 (incl border guards, South Korea’s defence policy remains focused on its difficult rela-
public-safety personnel) tionship with North Korea, notwithstanding recent diplomatic
Ministry of Public Security re-engagement. Seoul has looked to recapitalise conventional
military capabilities to ensure a qualitative edge over Pyongyang.
Worker/Peasant Red Guard ε5,700,000 It also has prioritised acquiring new capabilities for a three-axis
reservists approach of ‘Kill Chain’, ‘Korea Air and Missile Defence’ and ‘Korea
Org on a province/town/village basis; comd structure is Massive Punishment and Retaliation’. The Defence Reform 2.0
bde–bn–coy–pl; small arms with some mor and AD guns project announced in 2018 sets out ambitions to modernise and
(but many units unarmed) restructure the armed forces, placing emphasis on new technolo-
gies. The established alliance with the US is a major element of
defence strategy, though the planned transfer of wartime opera-
Cyber tional control of forces to Seoul is now ‘conditions based’ with no
Since the 1970s, the North Korean military (the Korean firm date set. A large number of US military personnel and equip-
People’s Army, KPA) maintained a modest electronic ment remained stationed in South Korea; the US THAAD missile-
warfare (EW) capability. As a result of strategic reviews defence system was deployed in 2017 in light of concerns over
following Operation Desert Storm, the KPA established North Korea’s missile capabilities. South Korea’s forces remain
an information-warfare capability under the concept of some of the best equipped and trained in the region. South Korea
‘electronic intelligence warfare’. The two key organisations has demonstrated the capacity to support small international
are the Reconnaissance General Bureau (RGB), which deployments, including contributions to UN missions and counter-
piracy operations in the Arabian Sea. The inventory increasingly
conducts covert operations in peacetime, and the General
comprises modern systems. South Korea has developed a broad
Staff Department (GSD), which is responsible for cyber range of domestic defence industries, which are capable of sup-
operations in support of conventional military efforts. The plying the majority of military requirements. However, there is still
General Staff Department is responsible for operational reliance on the US in areas such as front-line combat aircraft. Local
command and oversees cyber, EW and psychological defence industries are finding growing export success, particularly
operations. This includes the Electronic Warfare Bureau, with the T-50 jet trainer and K-9 self-propelled howitzer.
284 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Navy 70,000 (incl marines) FFG 7 Ulsan with 2 quad Mk141 lnchr with RGM-84C
Three separate fleet elements: 1st Fleet Donghae (East Sea/ Harpoon AShM, 2 triple Mk32 324mm ASTT with
Sea of Japan); 2nd Fleet Pyeongtaek (West Sea/Yellow Sea); Mk46 LWT, 2 76mm gun
3rd Fleet Busan (South Sea/Korea Strait); independent PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS ε101
CORVETTES • FSG 32:
submarine command; three additional flotillas (incl SF,
18 Gumdoksuri with 2 twin lnchr with Hae Sung I
mine warfare, amphibious and spt elements) and 1 Naval
AShM, 1 76mm gun
Air Wing (3 gp plus spt gp)
8 Po Hang (Flight IV) with 2 twin lnchr with RGM-84
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Harpoon AShM, 2 triple 324mm ASTT with Mk46
SUBMARINES • TACTICAL 22 LWT, 2 76mm gun
SSK 16: 6 Po Hang (Flight V) with 2 twin lnchr with Hae Sung
6 Chang Bogo I (GER Type-209/1200; KSS-1) with 8 I AShM, 2 KMk. 32 triple 324mm ASTT with K745
single 533mm TT with SUT HWT/K731 White Shark Blue Shark LWT, 2 76mm gun
HWT PCF 1 Chamsuri II with 1 12-cell 130mm MRL, 1 76mm gun
3 Chang Bogo I (GER Type-209/1200; KSS-1) with 8 PBF ε68 Sea Dolphin
single 533mm TT with SUT HWT/K731 White Shark MINE WARFARE 10
HWT/UGM-84 Harpoon AShM MINE COUNTERMEASURES 9
7 Chang Bogo II (GER Type-214; KSS-2; AIP fitted) with MHO 6 Kan Kyeong
8 single 533mm TT with SUT HWT/K731 White Shark MSO 3 Yang Yang
HWT/Hae Sung I AShM/Hae Sung III LACM MINELAYERS • ML 1 Won San with 2 triple Mk32
SSC 6 Cosmos 324mm ASTT, 1 76mm gun, 1 hel landing platform
PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS 26 AMPHIBIOUS
CRUISERS • CGHM 3: PRINCIPAL AMPHIBIOUS SHIPS 5
LHD
Asia
3 Sejong (KDD-III) with Aegis Baseline 7 C2, 6 8-cell K-VLS
with Hae Sung II LACM/Red Shark A/S msl, 4 quad 1 Dokdo with 1 Mk49 GMLS with RIM-116 SAM, 2
lnchr with Hae Sung I AShM, 10 8-cell Mk41 VLS with Goalkeeper CIWS (capacity 2 LCAC; 10 tanks; 700
SM-2 Block IIIA/B SAM (6 fwd, 4 aft), 1 21-cell Mk49 troops; 10 UH-60 hel)
GMLS with RIM-116 RAM SAM, 2 triple Mk32 324mm LPD 4:
ASTT with K745 LWT, 1 Goalkeeper CIWS, 1 127mm 4 Cheonwangbong (LST-II) (capacity 3 LCM; 2 MBT; 8
gun (capacity 2 Lynx Mk99/AW159 Wildcat hels) AFV; 300 troops; 2 med hel)
DESTROYERS • DDGHM 6: LANDING SHIPS • LST 4 Go Jun Bong with 1 hel
6 Chungmugong Yi Sun-Sin (KDD-II) with 2 8-cell landing platform (capacity 20 tanks; 300 troops)
K-VLS with Hae Sung II LACM/Red Shark A/S msl, LANDING CRAFT 22
2 quad Mk141 lnchr with RGM-84C Harpoon AShM/ LCAC 5: 3 Tsaplya (capacity 1 MBT; 130 troops); 2 LSF-II
(capacity 150 troops or 1 MBT & 24 troops)
Hae Sung I AShM, 4 8-cell Mk41 VLS with SM-2 Block
LCM 10 LCM-8
IIIA/B SAM, 1 21-cell Mk49 GMLS with RIM-116
LCT 3 Mulgae II
RAM SAM, 2 triple Mk32 324mm ASTT with Mk46
LCU 4 Mulgae I
LWT, 1 Goalkeeper CIWS, 1 127mm gun (capacity 1
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 7
Lynx Mk99/AW159 Wildcat hel)
AG 1 Sunjin (trials spt)
FRIGATES 17
AORH 3 Chun Jee
FFGHM 10:
ARS 1 Cheong Hae Jin
3 Gwanggaeto Daewang (KDD-I) with 2 quad Mk141
ASR 1 Tongyeong
lnchr with RGM-84 Harpoon AShM, 2 8-cell Mk48 AX 1 MTB
VLS with RIM-7P Sea Sparrow SAM, 2 triple Mk32
324mm ASTT with Mk46 LWT, 2 Goalkeeper CIWS, Naval Aviation
1 127mm gun (capacity 1 Lynx Mk99/AW159 EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Wildcat hel) AIRCRAFT 16 combat capable
6 Incheon with 2 quad lnchr with Hae Sung I AShM/ ASW 16: 8 P-3C Orion; 8 P-3CK Orion
TSLM LACM, 1 21-cell Mk49 lnchr with RIM-116 TPT • Light 5 Cessna F406 Caravan II
SAM, 2 triple 324mm ASTT with K745 Blue Shark HELICOPTERS
LWT, 1 Mk15 1B Phalanx CIWS, 1 127 mm gun ASW 31: 11 Lynx Mk99; 12 Lynx Mk99A; 8 AW159 Wildcat
(capacity 1 Lynx Mk99/AW159 Wildcat hel) MRH 3 SA319B Alouette III
1 Daegu (Incheon Batch II) with 2 8-cell K-VLS with TPT 15: Medium 8 UH-60P Black Hawk Light 7 Bell 205
Hae Sung II LACM/TSLM LACM/K-SAAM SAM/ (UH-1H Iroquois)
Red Shark A/S msl, 2 quad lnchr with TSLM LACM/
Hae Sung I AShM, 2 KMk. 32 triple 324mm ASTT Marines 29,000
with K745 Blue Shark LWT, 1 Mk 15 Phalanx Block FORCES BY ROLE
1B CIWS, 1 127mm gun (capacity 1 Lynx Mk99/ SPECIAL FORCES
AW159 Wildcat hel) 1 SF regt
286 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
HELICOPTERS
MRH 7: 5 AS565MB Panther; 1 AW139; 1 Bell 412SP Laos LAO
SAR 1 S-92
New Lao Kip 2017 2018 2019
TPT • Medium 8 Ka-32 Helix C
GDP kip 140tr 152tr
Cyber US$ 17.0bn 18.2bn
Defense Cyber Command was established in the Ministry per capita US$ 2,541 2,690
of National Defense in February 2015, but reports in 2018 Growth % 6.9 6.8
indicated that it would be renamed as the Cyber Operations
Inflation % 0.8 0.9
Command in light of the mid-2018 Defense Reform 2.0
initiative, and the findings of a Defense Cybersecurity Def exp kip n.k. n.k.
Development Plan. The group will no longer be concerned US$ n.k. n.k.
with ‘cyber psychological operations’, reports said. A US$1=kip 8245.79 8324.69
Korea–US National Cyber Defense Cooperation Working
Group shares information and enhances cooperation Population 7,234,171
including over policy, strategy, doctrine and training. Ethnic groups: Lao 55%; Khmou 11%; Hmong 8%
There are also trilateral meetings with Japan and the US
on cyber issues. In 2015, a unit responsible for overseeing
cyber operations was established within the Joint Chiefs Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
of Staff (JCS). The renamed Cyber Operations Command Male 16.3% 5.5% 4.9% 4.6% 16.5% 1.8%
will reportedly be under the control of the chairman of the Female 15.9% 5.5% 5.0% 4.7% 17.1% 2.2%
JCS, with the JCS in charge of ‘operational plans to cope
with cyberattacks’. The defence ministry is preparing a Capabilities
National Defense Cybersecurity Strategy, and announced
Asia
in April 2017 that it would allocate US$218 million for The Lao People’s Armed Forces (LAPF) have considerable military
cyber capabilities in 2018–22. experience from the Second Indo-China War and the 1988 border
war with Thailand. They are closely linked to the ruling Communist
Party and their primary role is internal security. A lack of financial
DEPLOYMENT resources has limited defence spending and military procurement
for two decades. Contacts continue with the Chinese and Viet-
ARABIAN SEA & GULF OF ADEN: Combined Maritime
namese armed forces, while there is strong defence cooperation
Forces • CTF-151: 1 DDGHM with Russia. Laos also participates in ADMM–Plus military exer-
INDIA/PAKISTAN: UN • UNMOGIP 7 obs cises, and in 2014–15 was co-chair with Japan of the ADMM–Plus
LEBANON: UN • UNIFIL 335; 1 mech inf coy; 1 engr coy; expert working group on HADR. Training support is provided by
friendly countries such as Russia and Vietnam. The LAPF have par-
1 sigs coy; 1 maint coy
ticipated in regional exercises with neighbouring countries but
SOUTH SUDAN: UN • UNMISS 273; 2 obs; 1 engr coy have made no international deployments and have little capac-
SUDAN: UN • UNAMID 2 ity for sustained operations. In 2017, Russia and Laos signed a
military-technical agreement to strengthen existing armaments
UNITED ARAB EMIRATES: 139 (trg activities at UAE Spec
cooperation. Laos still operates Soviet-era military equipment, and
Ops School) relies on Russian technical assistance. The country lacks a tradi-
WESTERN SAHARA: UN • MINURSO 4 obs tional defence industrial base and maintenance capacity is limited,
reflected in a support contract for a Russian firm to maintain the air
force’s Mi-17 helicopters.
FOREIGN FORCES
Sweden NNSC: 5 obs ACTIVE 29,100 (Army 25,600 Air 3,500) Paramilitary
Switzerland NNSC: 5 obs 100,000
United States US Pacific Command: 28,500 Conscript liability 18 months minimum
Army 19,200; 1 HQ (8th Army) at Yongsan; 1 div HQ
at Ujieongbu; 1 armd bde with M1A2 SEPv2 Abrams; ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
M2A2/M3A3 Bradley; M109A6; 1 (cbt avn) hel bde with
AH-64 Apache; CH-47 Chinook; UH-60 Black Hawk; 1
Space
MRL bde with M270A1 MLRS; 1 AD bde with MIM-104
Patriot/FIM-92A Avenger; 1 SAM bty with THAAD; 1 EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
(APS) armd bde eqpt set SATELLITES • ISR 1 LaoSat-1
Navy 250
USAF 8,800; 1 HQ (7th Air Force) at Osan AB; 1 ftr wg at Army 25,600
Kunsan AB (2 ftr sqn with 20 F-16C/D Fighting Falcon); FORCES BY ROLE
1 ftr wg at Osan AB (1 ftr sqn with 20 F-16C/D Fighting 4 mil regions
Falcon, 1 atk sqn with 24 A-10C Thunderbolt II); 1 ISR sqn MANOEUVRE
at Osan AB with U-2S Armoured
USMC 250 1 armd bn
288 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Light
5 inf div Malaysia MYS
7 indep inf regt
Malaysian Ringgit RM 2017 2018 2019
65 indep inf coy
COMBAT SUPPORT GDP RM 1.35tr 1.42tr
5 arty bn US$ 312bn 347bn
1 engr regt per capita US$ 9,755 10,704
2 (construction) engr regt
Growth % 5.9 4.7
AIR DEFENCE
9 ADA bn Inflation % 3.8 1.0
Asia
Light
HELICOPTER 16 inf regt (3 inf bn)
1 hel sqn Other
1 tpt sqn with S-61A-4 Nuri (forming) 5 (highway) sy bn
AIR DEFENCE COMBAT SUPPORT
3 ADA regt 5 arty bty
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE 2 fd engr regt
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES 1 int unit
MBT 48 PT-91M Twardy 3 sigs sqn
LT TK 21 Scorpion-90 COMBAT SUPPORT
RECCE 214: 130 AML-60/90; 74 SIBMAS (some†); 10 VBL 4 med coy
IFV 136: 31 ACV300 Adnan (25mm Bushmaster); 13 5 tpt coy
ACV300 Adnan AGL; 46 AV8 Gempita IFV25; 46 AV8
Gempita IFV30 (incl 10 with Ingwe ATGM) Navy 18,000
APC 832 3 Regional Commands: Kuantan (East Coast), Kinabalu
APC (T) 265: 149 ACV300 Adnan (incl 69 variants); (Borneo) and Langkawi (West Coast)
13 FV4333 Stormer (upgraded); 63 K200A; 40 K200A1
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
APC (W) 538: 32 Anoa; 26 AV8 Gempita APC (incl 13
SUBMARINES • TACTICAL • SSK 2 Tunku Abdul
CP; 3 sigs); 300 Condor (incl variants); 150 LAV-150
Rahman (FRA Scorpène) with 6 single 533mm TT with
Commando; 30 M3 Panhard
PPV 29: 9 IAG Guardian; 20 Lipanbara WASS Black Shark HWT/SM39 Exocet AShM
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS 10
AEV 3 MID-M FRIGATES 10
ARV 47+: Condor; 15 ACV300; 4 K288A1; 22 SIBMAS; 6 FFGHM 2:
WZT-4 2 Lekiu with 2 quad lnchr with MM40 Exocet Block
VLB 5+: Leguan; 5 PMCz-90 2 AShM, 1 16-cell VLS with Sea Wolf SAM, 2 B515
NBC VEHICLES K216A1 ILAS-3 triple 324mm ASTT with A244/S LWT, 1
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
• MSL 57mm gun (capacity 1 Super Lynx hel)
SP 8 ACV300 Baktar Shikan FFG 2:
MANPATS 9K115 Metis (AT-7 Saxhorn); 9K115-2 2 Kasturi with 2 quad lnchr with MM40 Exocet Block
Metis-M (AT-13 Saxhorn 2); Eryx; Baktar Shihan (HJ-8); 2 AShM, 2 B515 ILAS-3 triple 324mm ASTT with
SS.11 A244/S LWT, 1 100mm gun, 1 57mm gun, 1 hel
RCL 260: 84mm 236 Carl Gustav; 106mm 24 M40 landing platform
ARTILLERY 424 FF 6:
TOWED 134: 105mm 100 Model 56 pack howitzer; 6 Kedah (GER MEKO) with 1 76mm gun, 1 hel
155mm 34: 12 FH-70; 22 G-5 landing platform (fitted for MM40 Exocet AShM
MRL 36 ASTROS II (equipped with 127mm SS-30) & RAM CIWS)
290 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES Mongolia MNG
RECCE 192: ε100 S52 Shorland; 92 FV701 Ferret (60 mod)
Mongolian Tugrik t 2017 2018 2019
APC • APC (W) 140 AT105 Saxon
AUV ε30 SB-301 GDP t 27.2tr 31.2tr
US$ 11.1bn 12.7bn
Malaysian Maritime Enforcement Agency per capita US$ 3,640 4,098
(MMEA) ε4,500 Growth % 5.1 6.2
Controls 5 Maritime Regions (Northern Peninsula; Inflation % 4.6 7.6
Southern Peninsula; Eastern Peninsula; Sarawak;
Def bdgt t 207bn 257bn 261bn
Sabah), subdivided into a further 18 Maritime Districts.
US$ 84.8m 105m
Supported by one provisional MMEA Air Unit
FMA (US) US$ 2.6m 0m
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
US$1=t 2439.79 2452.15
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 130
PSO 4: 1 Arau (ex-JPN Nojima) with 1 hel landing platform; Population 3,103,428
2 Langkawi with 1 57mm gun, 1 hel landing platform; 1 Ethnic groups: Khalkh 81.9%; Kazakh 3.8%; Dorvod 2.7%; other or
Pekan (ex-JPN Ojika) with 1 hel landing platform unspecified 11.6%
PCC 3 Bagan Datuk
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
PBF 57: 18 Penggalang 17 (TUR MRTP 16); 2 Penggalang
18; 6 Penyelamat 20; 16 Penggalang 16; 15 Tugau Male 13.8% 3.8% 4.1% 4.9% 20.5% 1.8%
PB 66: 15 Gagah; 4 Malawali; 2 Nusa; 3 Nusa 28; 1 Female 13.2% 3.7% 4.0% 5.0% 22.5% 2.6%
Peninjau; 7 Ramunia; 2 Rhu; 4 Semilang; 6 Sipadan (ex-
Capabilities
Asia
Kris/Sabah); 8 Icarus 1650; 10 Pengawal; 4 Penyelamat; 2
Perwira; 1 Sugut Mongolia’s latest defence-policy document, from 2015, stresses
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT • AX 1 Marlin the importance of peacekeeping and anti-terrorist capabili-
AIRCRAFT • MP 2 Bombardier 415MP ties. The country has no formal military alliances, but pursues
HELICOPTERS defence ties and bilateral training with multiple regional powers
SAR 3 AW139 and others including India, Turkey and the US. Mongolia is also
seeking to develop its security relationship with China. Mongo-
MRH 3 AS365 Dauphin
lia hosts the annual Khaan Quest multinational peacekeeping-
training exercises. The country’s main exercise partners are India
Area Security Units 3,500 reservists
and Russia, with each country running regular bilateral exercises.
(Auxiliary General Ops Force)
Mongolia’s most significant deployments are to the UN peace-
FORCES BY ROLE keeping mission in South Sudan and Afghanistan. The armed
MANOEUVRE forces remain reliant on Soviet-era equipment, although this
Other has been supplemented by deliveries of second-hand Russian
89 paramilitary unit weapons. Barring maintenance facilities, there is no significant
defence-industrial base, and Mongolia relies on imports from
Border Scouts 1,200 reservists Russia to equip its armed forces.
in Sabah, Sarawak ACTIVE 9,700 (Army 8,900 Air 800) Paramilitary
People’s Volunteer Corps 240,000 reservists 7,500
Conscript liability 12 months for males aged 18–25
(some 17,500 armed)
RELA RESERVE 137,000 (Army 137,000)
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES Myanmar MMR
MBT 420: 370 T-54/T-55; 50 T-72A
Myanmar Kyat K 2017 2018 2019
RECCE 120 BRDM-2
IFV 310 BMP-1 GDP K 91.3tr 97.7tr
APC • APC (W) 210: 150 BTR-60; 40 BTR-70M; 20 BTR- US$ 67.3bn 71.5bn
80 per capita US$ 1,278 1,354
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES Growth % 6.8 6.4
ARV T-54/T-55
Inflation % 4.0 6.0
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
Def bdgt K 2.92tr 2.66tr
GUNS • TOWED 200: 85mm D-44/D-48; 100mm
M-1944/MT-12 US$ 2.15bn 1.95bn
ARTILLERY 570 US$1=K 1356.68 1365.23
TOWED ε300: 122mm D-30/M-30 (M-1938); 130mm Population 55,622,506
M-46; 152mm ML-20 (M-1937)
Ethnic groups: Burman 68%; Shan 9%; Karen 7%; Rakhine 4%;
MRL 122mm 130 BM-21 Chinese 3+%; Other Chin, Kachin, Kayan, Lahu, Mon, Palaung, Pao,
MOR 140: 120mm; 160mm; 82mm Wa, 9%
AIR DEFENCE
SAM Medium-range 2+ S-125 Pechora-2M (SA-26) Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
GUNS • TOWED 23mm ZU-23-2 Male 13.6% 4.4% 4.4% 4.0% 20.4% 2.5%
Female 13.0% 4.3% 4,4% 4.2% 21.6% 3.2%
Air Force 800
FORCES BY ROLE Capabilities
TRANSPORT Since the country’s independence struggle in the 1940s, Myan-
1 sqn with An-24 Coke; An-26 Curl mar’s large, army-dominated Tatmadaw (armed forces) has been
ATTACK/TRANSPORT HELICOPTER intimately involved in domestic politics. Even though the National
1 sqn with Mi-8 Hip; Mi-171 League for Democracy (NLD) won the November 2015 election,
AIR DEFENCE the armed forces remain politically powerful. A defence white
paper published in 2016 placed as a key priority ending conflicts
2 regt with S-60/ZPU-4/ZU-23
with domestic armed groups. It also gives a ‘state-building’ role to
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE the Tatmadaw, legitimising continued intervention in the coun-
AIRCRAFT • TPT • Light 3: 2 An-24 Coke; 1 An-26 Curl try’s politics. In its counter-insurgency operations, the Tatmadaw
HELICOPTERS has been accused by international organisations of human-rights
TPT • Medium 12: 10 Mi-8 Hip; 2 Mi-171 abuses, and concerns have increased after military actions against
AIR DEFENCE • GUNS • TOWED 150: 14.5mm ZPU-4; the Rohingya minority in 2017. China and Russia are key defence-
23mm ZU-23; 57mm S-60 cooperation partners, including bilateral military exercises and
the provision of weapons. In 2016, Myanmar and Russia signed a
Paramilitary 7,500 active broad cooperation agreement including military training. Due to
long-running domestic conflicts, the Tatmadaw has experience
Border Guard 1,300; 4,700 conscript (total with counter-insurgency operations and jungle warfare. Although
there have been small deployments to UN missions, the Tatmadaw
6,000)
remains essentially an internally focused force. Since the 1990s, the
Internal Security Troops 400; 800 conscript armed forces have attempted to develop limited conventional-
warfare capabilities, and have brought into service new armoured
(total 1,200) vehicles, air-defence weapons, artillery, combat aircraft and ships
FORCES BY ROLE procured mainly from China and Russia. There is limited defence-
MANOEUVRE industrial capacity. The Aircraft Production and Maintenance Base
Other has assembled Chinese K-8 trainer aircraft and Myanmar allegedly
4 gd unit aims to negotiate license-production for the Chinese JF-17 combat
aircraft. Myanmar also has growing shipbuilding capabilities,
Construction Troops 300 notably through the Naval Dockyard in Yangon, which launched
patrol and utility vessels in 2018.
Asia
69-II Sardine) AShM; 1 FAC(M) mod with 2 twin lnchr with
LT TK 105 Type-63 (ε60 serviceable) C-802 (CH-SS-N-8 Saccade) AShM, 1 AK630 CIWS
ASLT 24 PTL-02 mod PCO 2 Indaw
RECCE 87+: 12+ EE-9 Cascavel; 45 Ferret; 30 Mazda; MAV- PCC 11: 2 Admirable (ex-US); 9 Hainan with 4 RBU 1200
1 A/S mor, 2 twin 57mm gun
IFV 10+ BTR-3U PBG 4 Myanmar with 2 single lnchr with C-801 (CH-
APC 431+ SS-N-4 Sardine) AShM
APC (T) 331: 26 MT-LB; 250 Type-85; 55 Type-90 PBF 3: 1 Type-201; 2 Super Dvora Mk III
APC (W) 90+: 20 Hino; 40 Humber Pig; 30+ Type-92 PB 32: 3 PB-90; 6 PGM 401; 6 PGM 412; 14 Myanmar; 3 Swift
PPV 10 MPV PBR 14: 4 Sagu; 9 Y-301†; 1 Y-301 (Imp)
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES AMPHIBIOUS • LANDING CRAFT 15
ARV Type-72 LCU 5; LCM 10
VLB MT-55A LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 13
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE ABU 1
RCL 84mm Carl Gustav; 106mm M40A1 AGHS 2: 1 Innya; 1 (near shore)
GUNS • TOWED 60: 57mm 6-pdr; 76mm 17-pdr AGS 1
AH 2
ARTILLERY 422+
AK 1
SP 155mm 42: 30 NORA B-52; 12 SH-1
AKSL 5
TOWED 264+: 105mm 132: 36 M-56; 96 M101; 122mm
AP 1 Chindwin
100 D-30; 130mm 16 M-46; 140mm; 155mm 16 Soltam
M-845P Naval Infantry 800
MRL 36+: 107mm 30 Type-63; 122mm BM-21 Grad FORCES BY ROLE
(reported); Type-81; 240mm 6+ M-1985 mod MANOEUVRE
MOR 80+: 82mm Type-53 (M-37); 120mm 80+: 80 Soltam; Light
Type-53 (M-1943) 1 inf bn
SURFACE-TO-SURFACE MISSILE LAUNCHERS
SRBM • Conventional some Hwasong-6 (reported) Air Force ε15,000
AIR DEFENCE FORCES BY ROLE
SAM FIGHTER
Medium-range 4+: 4 KS-1A (HQ-12); S-125 Pechora-2M 4 sqn with F-7 Airguard; FT-7; MiG-29B Fulcrum; MiG-
(SA-26); 2K12 Kvadrat-M (SA-6 Gainful) 29SM Fulcrum; MiG-29UB Fulcrum
Point-defence Some 2K22 Tunguska (SA-19 Grison); GROUND ATTACK
HN-5 Hong Nu/Red Cherry (reported); 9K310 Igla-1 2 sqn with A-5M Fantan
(SA-16 Gimlet) TRANSPORT
GUNS 46
SP 57mm 12 Type-80 1 sqn with An-12 Cub; F-27 Friendship; FH-227; PC-6A/B
TOWED 34: 37mm 24 Type-74; 40mm 10 M1 Turbo Porter
294 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
TRAINING Capabilities
2 sqn with G-4 Super Galeb*; PC-7 Turbo Trainer*; PC-9*
1 (trg/liaison) sqn with Cessna 550 Citation II; Cessna The principal role of Nepal’s armed forces is maintaining territorial
integrity, but they have also traditionally focused on internal secu-
180 Skywagon; K-8 Karakorum*
rity and humanitarian relief. Nepal has a policy of providing con-
TRANSPORT HELICOPTER tingents to UN peacekeeping operations in the Middle East and
4 sqn with Bell 205; Bell 206 Jet Ranger; Mi-17 Hip H; Mi-35P Africa. Training support is provided by several countries, includ-
Hind; PZL Mi-2 Hoplite; PZL W-3 Sokol; SA316 Alouette III ing China, India and the US. Following a 2006 peace accord with
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE the Maoist People’s Liberation Army, Maoist personnel underwent
AIRCRAFT 153 combat capable a process of demobilisation or integration into the armed forces.
Gurkhas continue to be recruited by the British and Indian armed
FTR 63: 21 F-7 Airguard; 10 FT-7; 11 MiG-29 Fulcrum; 6
forces and the Singaporean police. The small air wing provides a
MiG-29SE Fulcrum; 10 MiG-29SM Fulcrum; 5 MiG-29UB limited transport and support capacity but mobility remains a
Fulcrum challenge, in part because of the country’s topography. This deficit
FGA 6 JF-17 Thunder (FC-1 Block 2) was highlighted by Nepal’s dependence on foreign-military logisti-
ATK 22 A-5M Fantan cal and medical assistance following the earthquake in April 2015.
TPT 20: Medium 5: 4 Y-8D; 1 Y-8F-200W Light 16: 3 Beech This dependence remains. Nepal’s logistic capability appears to
1900D; 4 Cessna 180 Skywagon; 1 Cessna 550 Citation II; 3 be sufficient for internal-security operations, including counter-
F-27 Friendship; 5 PC-6A/B Turbo Porter; PAX 1+ FH-227 ing IEDs, however its contingents on UN peacekeeping opera-
tions appear to largely depend on contracted logistic support.
TRG 82: 11 G-4 Super Galeb*; 20 Grob G120; 24+ K-8
Modernisation plans include a very limited increase in the size of
Karakorum*; 12 PC-7 Turbo Trainer*; 9 PC-9*; 6 Yak-130 its air force. Barring maintenance capacities there is no defence-
Mitten* industrial base, and Nepal is dependent on foreign suppliers for
HELICOPTERS modern equipment.
ATK 10 Mi-35P Hind
MRH 23: 3 AS365; 11 Mi-17 Hip H; 9 SA316 Alouette III ACTIVE 96,600 (Army 96,600) Paramilitary 15,000
TPT 45: Medium 10 PZL W-3 Sokol; Light 35: 12 Bell 205;
6 Bell 206 Jet Ranger; 17 PZL Mi-2 Hoplite ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES
CISR • Heavy 4 CH-3 Army 96,600
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES • AAM • IR PL-5; R-73 FORCES BY ROLE
(AA-11 Archer); IR/SARH R-27 (AA-10 Alamo) COMMAND
6 inf div HQ
Paramilitary 107,000 1 (valley) comd
SPECIAL FORCES
People’s Police Force 72,000 1 bde (1 SF bn, 1 AB bn, 1 cdo bn, 1 ranger bn, 1 mech
People’s Militia 35,000 inf bn)
MANOEUVRE
Light
DEPLOYMENT 16 inf bde (total: 62 inf bn; 32 indep inf coy)
SOUTH SUDAN: UN • UNMISS 1; 1 obs COMBAT SUPPORT
4 arty regt
5 engr bn
Nepal NPL AIR DEFENCE
2 AD regt
Nepalese Rupee NR 2017 2018 2019
4 indep AD coy
GDP NR 2.64tr 3.01tr
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
US$ 24.9bn 28.8bn ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
per capita US$ 848 971 RECCE 40 Ferret
Growth % 7.9 6.3 APC 253
Inflation % 4.5 4.2
APC (W) 13: 8 OT-64C; 5 WZ-551
PPV 240: 90 Casspir; 150 MPV
Def bdgt NR 35.7bn 45.0bn 44.9bn
ARTILLERY 92+
US$ 336m 431m TOWED 105mm 22: 8 L118 Light Gun; 14 pack howitzer
FMA (US) US$ 1.7m 0m (6 non-operational)
US$1=NR 106.21 104.37 MOR 70+: 81mm; 120mm 70 M-43 (est 12 op)
AIR DEFENCE • GUNS • TOWED 32+: 14.5mm 30 Type-
Population 29,717,587 56 (ZPU-4); 37mm (PRC); 40mm 2 L/60
Religious groups: Hindu 90%; Buddhist 5%; Muslim 3%
Air Wing 320
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE†
Male 15.4% 5.5% 5.4% 4.2% 15.7% 2.6% AIRCRAFT • TPT 2: Light 2: 1 BN-2T Islander; 1 M-28
Female 14.1% 5.2% 5.4% 4.8% 18.9% 2.7% Skytruck
Asia 295
Asia
MIDDLE EAST: UN • UNTSO 4 obs ACTIVE 9,000 (Army 4,500 Navy 2,050 Air 2,450)
SOUTH SUDAN: UN • UNMISS 1,745; 13 obs; 2 inf bn RESERVE 2,300 (Army 1,650 Navy 450 Air Force 200)
SUDAN: UN • UNAMID 359; 7 obs; 2 inf coy; UN •
UNISFA 5; 1 obs ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
SYRIA/ISRAEL: UN • UNDOF 333; 2 mech inf coy
WESTERN SAHARA: UN • MINURSO 5 obs
Army 4,500
FORCES BY ROLE
SPECIAL FORCES
FOREIGN FORCES 1 SF regt
United Kingdom 60 (Gurkha trg org) MANOEUVRE
Light
New Zealand NZL 1 inf bde (1 armd recce regt, 2 lt inf bn, 1 arty regt (2 arty
bty), 1 engr regt(-), 1 MP coy, 1 sigs regt, 2 log bn, 1
New Zealand Dollar NZ$ 2017 2018 2019 med bn)
GDP NZ$ 283bn 296bn EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
US$ 201bn 206bn
IFV 93 NZLAV-25
per capita US$ 41,572 41,616
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
Growth % 3.0 3.1 AEV 7 NZLAV
Inflation % 1.9 1.4 ARV 3 LAV-R
Def bdgt NZ$ 3.31bn 3.40bn 3.75bn ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
US$ 2.35bn 2.37bn MSL • MANPATS FGM-148 Javelin
RCL 84mm Carl Gustav
US$1=NZ$ 1.41 1.44
ARTILLERY 60
Population 4,545,627 TOWED 105mm 24 L118 Light Gun
MOR 81mm 36
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
Male 10.1% 3.3% 3.4% 3.4% 22.3% 7.2% Reserves
Female 9.6% 3.2% 3.2% 3.4% 22.5% 8.4% Territorial Force 1,650 reservists
Responsible for providing trained individuals for
Capabilities augmenting deployed forces
New Zealand has a strong military tradition. The New Zealand FORCES BY ROLE
Defence Force (NZDF) is well trained and has operational COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
experience. The June 2016 defence white paper foresaw a range 3 (Territorial Force Regional) trg regt
296 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Navy 2,050
Fleet based in Auckland. Fleet HQ at Wellington
Pakistan PAK
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Pakistani Rupee Rs 2017 2018 2019
PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS • FRIGATES • GDP Rs 32.0tr 34.4tr
FFHM 2: US$ 305bn 307bn
2 Anzac (GER MEKO 200) with 1 octuple Mk41 VLS per capita US$ 1,546 1,527
with RIM-7M Sea Sparrow SAM, 2 triple Mk32 324mm Growth % 5.4 5.8
TT with Mk46 mod 5 LWT, 1 Mk15 Phalanx Block Inflation % 4.1 3.9
1B CIWS, 1 127mm gun (capacity 1 SH-2G(I) Super
Def bdgt [a] Rs 1.02tr 1.26tr 1.36tr
Seasprite ASW hel)
US$ 9.75bn 11.2bn
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 6
FMA (US) US$ 242m 100m
PSOH 2 Otago (capacity 1 SH-2G(I) Super Seasprite ASW
US$1=Rs 104.81 112.08
hel) (ice-strengthened hull)
[a] Includes defence allocations to the Public Sector
PCC 4 Lake
Development Programme (PSDP), including funding to the
AMPHIBIOUS • LANDING CRAFT • LCM 2 Defence Division and the Defence Production Division
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT • 1
Population 207,862,518
AKRH 1 Canterbury (capacity 4 NH90 tpt hel; 1 SH-
Religious groups: Hindu less than 3%
2G(I) Super Seasprite ASW hel; 2 LCM; 16 NZLAV; 14
NZLAV; 20 trucks; 250 troops) Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
Male 15.8% 5.5% 5.3% 4.9% 17.7% 2.1%
Air Force 2,450 Female 15.0% 5.1% 5.0% 4.6% 16.6% 2.4%
FORCES BY ROLE
MARITIME PATROL Capabilities
1 sqn with P-3K2 Orion The armed forces have considerable domestic political influence,
TRANSPORT including a strong voice on security policy. Pakistan’s nuclear and
1 sqn with B-757-200 (upgraded); C-130H Hercules conventional forces have traditionally been oriented and struc-
(upgraded) tured against a prospective threat from India. Since 2008, however,
counter-insurgency and counter-terrorism have been of increasing
ANTI-SUBMARINE/SURFACE WARFARE importance and are now the forces’ main effort. While an army-
1 (RNZAF/RNZN) sqn with SH-2G(I) Super Seasprite led counter-terrorism operation has improved domestic security,
TRAINING terrorist attacks continue. The armed forces have a major role in
1 sqn with T-6C Texan II disaster relief and are well practised in such operations. China is
Pakistan’s main defence partner, with all three services employing
1 sqn with Beech 200 King Air (leased)
a large amount of Chinese equipment. Military cooperation with
TRANSPORT HELICOPTER the US is limited by sanctions aiming to improve cooperation on
1 sqn with AW109; NH90 counter-terrorism. Recruitment is good, retention is high and the
forces are well trained. The army and air force have considerable
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
operational experience from a decade of counter-insurgency
AIRCRAFT 6 combat capable operations in Pakistan’s tribal areas. Major investment in military
ASW 6 P-3K2 Orion nuclear programmes continue, including the commissioning of a
TPT 11: Medium 5 C-130H Hercules (upgraded); Light 4 VLF submarine-communications facility and the continued devel-
Beech 200 King Air (leased); PAX 2 B-757-200 (upgraded) opment of a submarine-launched cruise missile. The air force is
modernising its inventory while improving its precision-strike
TRG 11 T-6C Texan II
and ISR capabilities. Recent and likely future naval investment in
HELICOPTERS Chinese-supplied frigates, missile craft and submarines would
ASW 8 SH-2G(I) Super Seasprite improve sea-denial capabilities. The indigenous defence industry
TPT 13: Medium 8 NH90; Light 5 AW109 exports defence equipment, weapons and ammunition. There is
considerable defence-industrial collaboration with China, notably
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES • AShM AGM-119 Penguin
through the co-development of the JF-17 combat aircraft.
Mk2 mod7
ACTIVE 653,800 (Army 560,000 Navy 23,800 Air
DEPLOYMENT 70,000) Paramilitary 282,000
The SPD also commands a reportedly 25,000-strong APC (W) 120 BTR-70/BTR-80
military security force responsible for guarding military PPV 225 Maxxpro
nuclear infrastructure AUV 10 Dingo 2
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE
VEHICLES
Army Strategic Forces Command 12,000– ARV 117+: 65 Type-653; Al-Hadeed; 52 M88A1; T-54/T-55
15,000 VLB M47M; M48/60
Commands all land-based strategic nuclear forces
MW Aardvark Mk II
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
SURFACE-TO-SURFACE MISSILE LAUNCHERS 60+ MSL
MRBM • Nuclear ε30 Ghauri/Ghauri II (Hatf-5)/ SP M901 TOW
Shaheen-2 (Hatf-6 – in test); Shaheen-3 (in test)
MANPATS HJ-8; TOW
SRBM • Nuclear 30+: ε30 Ghaznavi (Hatf-3 – PRC
RCL 75mm Type-52; 106mm M40A1
RL 89mm M20
M-11)/Shaheen-1 (Hatf-4); some Abdali (Hatf-2); some
GUNS 85mm 200 Type-56 (D-44)
Nasr (Hatf-9)
GLCM • Nuclear Babur (Hatf-7); Ra’ad (Hatf-8 – in test) ARTILLERY 4,472+
SP 375: 155mm 315: 200 M109A2; ε115 M109A5 203mm
Air Force 60 M110/M110A2
1–2 sqn of F-16A/B or Mirage 5 may be assigned a TOWED 1,659: 105mm 329: 216 M101; 113 M-56; 122mm
nuclear-strike role 570: 80 D-30 (PRC); 490 Type-54 (M-1938); 130mm 410
Type-59-I; 155mm 322: 144 M114; 148 M198; ε30 Panter;
Army 560,000
203mm 28 M115
FORCES BY ROLE MRL 88+: 107mm Type-81; 122mm 52+: 52 Azar (Type-
COMMAND 83); some KRL-122; 300mm 36 A100
9 corps HQ MOR 2,350+: 81mm; 120mm AM-50
Asia
1 (area) comd SURFACE-TO-SURFACE MISSILE LAUNCHERS
SPECIAL FORCES MRBM • Nuclear ε30 Ghauri/Ghauri II (Hatf-5); some
2 SF gp (total: 4 SF bn)
Shaheen-2 (Hatf-6 – in test); Shaheen-3 (in test)
MANOEUVRE
SRBM 135+: Nuclear 30+: ε30 Ghaznavi (Hatf-3 – PRC
Armoured
M-11)/Shaheen-1 (Hatf-4); some Abdali (Hatf-2); some
2 armd div
Nasr (Hatf-9); Conventional 105 Hatf-1
7 indep armd bde
Mechanised GLCM • Nuclear some Babur (Hatf-7)
2 mech inf div AIRCRAFT
1 indep mech bde TPT • Light 14: 1 Beech 200 King Air; 1 Beech 350 King
Light Air; 3 Cessna 208B; 1 Cessna 421; 1 Cessna 550 Citation;
18 inf div 1 Cessna 560 Citation; 2 Turbo Commander 690; 4 Y-12(II)
5 indep inf bde TRG 87 MFI-17B Mushshak
Other HELICOPTERS
1 sy div (1 more div forming) ATK 42: 38 AH-1F/S Cobra with TOW; 4 Mi-35M Hind (1
COMBAT SUPPORT Mi-24 Hind in store)
1 arty div MRH 115+: 10 H125M Fennec; 7 AW139; 26 Bell 412EP
14 arty bde Twin Huey; 38+ Mi-17 Hip H; 2 Mi-171E Hip; 12 SA315B
7 engr bde Lama; 20 SA319 Alouette III
AVIATION TPT 76: Medium 36: 31 SA330 Puma; 4 Mi-171; 1 Mi-
1 VIP avn sqn 172; Light 40: 17 H125 Ecureuil (SAR); 5 Bell 205 (UH-
4 avn sqn
1H Iroquois); 5 Bell 205A-1 (AB-205A-1); 13 Bell 206B Jet
HELICOPTER
Ranger II
3 atk hel sqn
TRG 10 Hughes 300C
2 ISR hel sqn
UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES
2 SAR hel sqn
2 tpt hel sqn ISR • Light Bravo; Jasoos; Vector
1 spec ops hel sqn AIR DEFENCE
AIR DEFENCE SAM
1 AD comd (3 AD gp (total: 8 AD bn)) Medium-range LY-80
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Short-range FM-90
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES Point-defence M113 with RBS-70; Anza Mk1/Mk2;
MBT 2,496+: 300 Al-Khalid (MBT 2000); ε50 Al-Khalid I; FIM-92 Stinger; HN-5A; Mistral; RBS-70
320 T-80UD; 51 T-54/T-55; 1,100 Type-59/Al-Zarrar; 400 GUNS • TOWED 1,933: 14.5mm 981; 35mm 248 GDF-
Type-69; 275+ Type-85 (270 M48A5 in store) 002/GDF-005 (with 134 Skyguard radar units); 37mm 310
APC 1,605 Type-55 (M-1939)/Type-65; 40mm 50 L/60; 57mm 144
APC (T) 1,260: 1,160 M113/Talha; ε100 Type-63 Type-59 (S-60); 85mm 200 Type-72 (M-1939) KS-12
298 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Asia
TPT 35: Medium 16: 5 C-130B Hercules; 10 C-130E
Hercules; 1 L-100-20; Light 14: 2 Cessna 208B; 1 Cessna National Guard 185,000
560XL Citation Excel; 4 CN235M-220; 4 EMB-500 Phenom Incl Janbaz Force; Mujahid Force; National Cadet Corps;
100; 1 F-27-200 Friendship; 2 Y-12 (II); PAX 5: 1 B-707; 1 Women Guards
Falcon 20E; 2 Gulfstream IVSP; 1 Saab 2000
TRG 142: 38 K-8 Karakorum*; 80 MFI-17B Mushshak; 24 Pakistan Rangers 25,000
T-37C Tweet Ministry of Interior
HELICOPTERS
MRH 19: 15 SA316 Alouette III; 4 AW139 DEPLOYMENT
TPT • Medium 4 Mi-171Sh
ARABIAN SEA: Combined Maritime Forces • 1 FFGH
UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES
CISR • Heavy CH-3 (Burraq) CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC: UN • MINUSCA 1,259; 10
ISR • Medium Falco obs; 1 inf bn; 1 engr coy; 1 hel sqn
AIR DEFENCE • SAM 190+ CYPRUS: UN • UNFICYP 1
Medium-range 6 HQ-2 (SA-2 Guideline) DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO: UN •
Short-range 184: 144 Crotale; ε40 SPADA 2000 MONUSCO 2,758; 18 obs; 4 inf bn; 1 hel sqn
Point-defence 9K310 Igla-1 (SA-16 Gimlet)
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES MALI: UN • MINUSMA 3
AAM • IR AIM-9L/P Sidewinder; U-Darter; PL-5; SARH SOMALIA: UN • UNSOM 1 obs; UN • UNSOS 1 obs
Super 530; ARH PL-12; AIM-120C AMRAAM SOUTH SUDAN: UN • UNMISS 4; 2 obs
ASM AGM-65 Maverick; Raptor II
SUDAN: UN • UNAMID 1,170; 6 obs; 1 inf bn, 1 engr pl;
AShM AM39 Exocet
1 med pl
ARM MAR-1
ALCM • Nuclear Ra’ad (in test) WESTERN SAHARA: UN • MINURSO 14 obs
BOMBS
INS/SAT-guided FT-6 (REK) FOREIGN FORCES
Laser-guided Paveway II Figures represent total numbers for UNMOGIP mission in
India and Pakistan
Paramilitary 282,000 active Chile 2 obs
Pakistan Coast Guards Croatia 9 obs
Ministry of Interior Italy 2 obs
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Korea, Republic of 7 obs
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 5 Philippines 6 obs
PBF 4 Romania 2 obs
PB 1 Sweden 5 obs
300 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
ment in 2018 of an AFP Special Operations Command to command ARTILLERY 260+
TOWED 220: 105mm 204 M101/
all special-forces units. Military leaders said this resulted from M102/Model 56 pack howitzer; 155mm 16: 10 M114/M-68;
lessons learned in the Zamboanga City attack in 2013 and the 6 Soltam M-71
Marawi siege in 2017. Lessons learned after Marawi will also likely MOR 40+: 81mm M29; 107mm 40 M30
lead to renewed focus on the capabilities and tactics needed for AIRCRAFT
urban operations. Although President Duterte announced in 2016 TPT • Light 4: 1 Beech 80 Queen Air; 1 Cessna 170; 1
a ‘separation’ from the US and the pursuit of closer relations with
Cessna 172; 1 Cessna P206A
China, he described the US as an important security ally, especially
UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES • ISR • Medium Blue
in support of counter-terrorism, in September 2017. The Philip-
pines is an ASEAN member. In 2017 it began trilateral joint mari- Horizon
time patrols and joint Sulu Sea patrols with Indonesia and Malaysia
to counter regional terrorist activity. The armed forces continue to Navy 23,750
be deployed on internal-security duties in the south, where Manila EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
faces continuing challenges from insurgent groups. The second PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 69
phase (2018–22) of the ‘second horizon’ AFP modernisation pro- PSOH 3 Gregorio del Pilar (ex-US Hamilton) with 1 76mm
gramme was approved in 2018. Plans include new artillery systems, gun (capacity 1 Bo 105)
multi-role fighters, radars, transport aircraft and frigates. Feasibility PCF 1 General Mariano Alvares (ex-US Cyclone)
studies are under way for the creation of a defence-industry zone
PCO 10:
in Limay, Bataan, to better enable technology transfer. The Philip-
3 Emilio Jacinto (ex-UK Peacock) with 1 76mm gun
pine Aerospace Development Corporation has assembled a variety
of small helicopters and aircraft for the AFP, as well as providing 5 Miguel Malvar (ex-US) with 1 76mm gun
maintenance, repair and overhaul services for military aircraft. 2 Rizal (ex-US Auk) with 2 76mm gun
PBFG 3 MPAC Mk3 with 1 Typhoon MLS-ER quad lnchr
ACTIVE 142,350 (Army 101,000 Navy 23,750 Air with Spike-ER SSM
17,600) Paramilitary 11,100 PBF 16: 2 Conrado Yap (ex-ROK Sea Hawk); 5 Tomas Batilo
(ex-ROK Chamsuri); 6 MPAC Mk1/2
Asia
RESERVE 131,000 (Army 100,000 Navy 15,000 Air PB 30: 22 Jose Andrada; 2 Kagitingan; 2 Point (ex-US); 4
16,000) Paramilitary 50,000 (to age 49) Swift Mk3 (ex-US)
PBR 6 Silver Ships
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE AMPHIBIOUS
PRINCIPAL AMPHIBIOUS SHIPS 2
LPD 2 Tarlac (IDN Makassar) (capacity 2 LCU; 2 hels; 13
Army 101,000 tanks; 500 troops)
5 Area Unified Comd (joint service), 1 National Capital LANDING SHIPS • LST 4:
Region Comd 2 Bacolod City (US Besson) with 1 hel landing platform
FORCES BY ROLE (capacity 32 tanks; 150 troops)
SPECIAL FORCES 2 LST-1/542 (ex-US) (capacity 16 tanks; 200 troops)
1 spec ops comd (1 ranger regt, 1 SF regt, 1 CT regt) LANDING CRAFT 11
MANOEUVRE LCM 2: 1 Manobo; 1 Tagbanua (capacity 100 tons; 200
Mechanised troops)
1 mech inf div (2 mech bde (total: 3 lt armd sqn; 7 armd LCT 5 Ivatan (ex-AUS Balikpapan)
cav tp; 4 mech inf bn; 1 cbt engr coy; 1 avn bn; 1 cbt engr LCU 4: 3 LCU Mk 6 (ex-US); 1 Mulgae I (ex-RoK)
coy, 1 sigs coy))
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 6
Light AGOR 1 Gregorio Velasquez (ex-US Melville)
1 div (4 inf bde; 1 arty bn, 1 int bn, 1 sigs bn) AOL 1
9 div (3 inf bde; 1 arty bn, 1 int bn, 1 sigs bn) AO 1 Lake Caliraya
Other AP 1
1 (Presidential) gd gp AWT 2
COMBAT SUPPORT
Naval Aviation
1 arty regt HQ
5 engr bde EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
AIRCRAFT • TPT • Light 11: 4 BN-2A Defender; 2
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Cessna 177 Cardinal; 5 Beech 90 King Air (TC-90) (leased)
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES HELICOPTERS • TPT 13: Medium 4 Mi-171Sh; Light 9:
LT TK 7 FV101 Scorpion 3 AW109; 2 AW109E; 4 Bo-105
IFV 54: 2 YPR-765; 34 M113A1 FSV; 18 M113A2 FSV
APC 387 Marines 8,300
APC (T) 168: 6 ACV300; 42 M113A1; 120 M113A2 FORCES BY ROLE
APC (W) 219: 73 LAV-150 Commando; 146 Simba SPECIAL FORCES
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES 1 (force recon) spec ops bn
ARV ACV-300; Samson; M578; 4 M113 ARV MANOEUVRE
ANTI-TANK-ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE • RCL 75mm Amphibious
M20; 90mm M67; 106mm M40A1 4 mne bde (total: 12 mne bn)
302 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Asia
The Singapore Armed Forces (SAF) are the best equipped in South- 2 sy bn
east Asia. They are organised essentially along Israeli lines, with the
COMBAT SUPPORT
2 arty bn
air force and navy staffed mainly by professional personnel while,
1 STA bn
apart from a small core of regulars, the much larger army is based
2 engr bn
on conscripts and reservists. Although there are no publicly avail-
1 EOD bn
able defence-policy documents, it is widely presumed that the
1 ptn br bn
SAF’s primary role is to deter attacks on the city state or interfer-
1 int bn
ence with its vital interests – particularly its sea lines of commu-
2 ISR bn
nication – by potential regional adversaries. There is now an addi-
1 CBRN bn
tional focus on counter-terrorist operations. The defence budget
3 sigs bn
has increased to the extent that Singapore outspends all its South-
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
east Asian counterparts. With an ageing population and declin- 3 med bn
ing conscript cohort, there is a significant personnel challenge, 2 tpt bn
which the defence ministry is looking to address by lean staffing 3 spt bn
and increased use of technology. There is routine overseas train-
ing, and plans have been announced to further improve domestic Reserves
training areas. The SAF also engages extensively in bilateral and Activated units form part of divisions and brigades listed
multilateral exercises with regional and international partners. Sin- above; 1 op reserve div with additional inf bde; People’s
gaporean forces have gradually become more involved in multi- Defence Force Comd (homeland defence) with 12 inf bn
national operations, including the US-led air offensive against ISIS. FORCES BY ROLE
While such deployments have provided some operational experi- SPECIAL FORCES
ence, and training standards and operational readiness are high, 1 cdo bn
the army’s reliance on conscripts and reservists limits its capacity MANOEUVRE
for sustained operations abroad. Equipment modernisation con- Reconnaissance
tinues, with Littoral-Mission Vessels commissioned and progress 6 lt armd/recce bn
on the procurement of armoured vehicles and surface-to-air mis- Mechanised
siles. There is a small but sophisticated defence industry. ST Engi- 6 mech inf bn
neering group manufactures several types of armoured vehicles Light
and corvettes for the SAF. ε56 inf bn
COMBAT SUPPORT
ACTIVE 72,500 (Army 50,000 Navy 9,000 Air 13,500) ε12 arty bn
Paramilitary 8,400 ε8 engr bn
Conscription liability 22–24 months EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
RESERVE 312,500 (Army 300,000 Navy 5,000 Air MBT 96 Leopard 2SG (80–100 Tempest (upgraded
7,500) Centurion) reported in store)
Annual trg to age 40 for army other ranks, 50 for officers LT TK 372: 22 AMX-10 PAC 90; ε350 AMX-13 SM1
304 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
IFV 572+: 22 AMX-10P; 250 Bionix IFV-25; 250 Bionix IFV- Naval Diving Unit
40/50; 50+ M113A1/A2 (some with 40mm AGL, some
FORCES BY ROLE
with 25mm gun)
SPECIAL FORCES
APC 1,576+
1 SF gp
APC (T) 1,100+: 700+ M113A1/A2; 400+ ATTC Bronco
1 (diving) SF gp
APC (W) 415: 250 LAV-150 Commando/V-200
COMBAT SUPPORT
Commando; 135 Terrex ICV; 30 V-100 Commando
PPV 61+: 6+ Belrex; 15 MaxxPro Dash; 40 Peacekeeper 1 EOD gp
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
Air Force 13,500 (incl 3,000 conscript)
AEV 94: 18 CET; 54 FV180; 14 Kodiak; 8 M728
5 comds
ARV Bionix; Büffel; LAV-150; LAV-300
VLB 72+: Bionix; LAB 30; Leguan; M2; 60 M3; 12 M60 FORCES BY ROLE
MW 910-MCV-2; Trailblazer FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE 2 sqn with F-15SG Eagle
MSL • MANPATS Milan; Spike-SR; Spike-MR 3 sqn with F-16C/D Fighting Falcon (some used for ISR
RCL 90+: 84mm Carl Gustav; 106mm 90 M40A1 with pods)
ARTILLERY 798+ ANTI-SUBMARINE WARFARE
SP 155mm 54 SSPH-1 Primus 1 sqn with S-70B Seahawk
TOWED 88: 105mm (37 LG1 in store); 155mm 88: 18 MARITIME PATROL/TRANSPORT
FH-2000; ε18 Pegasus; 52 FH-88 1 sqn with F-50
MRL 227mm 18 M142 HIMARS AIRBORNE EARLY WARNING & CONTROL
MOR 638+ 1 sqn with G550-AEW
SP 90+: 81mm; 120mm 90: 40 on Bronco; 50 on M113 TANKER
TOWED 548: 81mm 500 120mm 36 M-65; 160mm 12 1 sqn with KC-135R Stratotanker; A330 MRTT
M-58 Tampella TANKER/TRANSPORT
UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES • ISR • Light Skylark 1 sqn with KC-130B/H Hercules; C-130H Hercules
TRAINING
Navy 3,000; 1,000 conscript; ε5,000 active 1 (FRA-based) sqn with M-346 Master
reservists (total 9,000) 4 (US-based) units with AH-64D Apache; CH-47D
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Chinook; F-15SG: F-16C/D
SUBMARINES • TACTICAL • SSK 4: 1 (AUS-based) sqn with PC-21
2 Challenger (ex-SWE Sjoormen) with 2 single 400mm TT, 1 hel sqn with H120 Colibri
4 single 533mm TT ATTACK HELICOPTER
2 Archer (ex-SWE Västergötland) (AIP fitted) with 3 single 1 sqn with AH-64D Apache
400mm TT, 6 single 533mm TT for WASS Black Shark TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
HWT 1 sqn with CH-47SD Super D Chinook
PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS 6: 2 sqn with AS332M Super Puma; AS532UL Cougar
FRIGATES • FFGHM 6 Formidable with 2 quad lnchr ISR UAV
1 sqn with Hermes 450
with RGM-84 Harpoon AShM, 4 octuple VLS with Aster 2 sqn with Heron 1
15 SAM, 2 triple B515 324mm ASTT with A244 LWT, 1 AIR DEFENCE
76mm gun (capacity 1 S-70B Sea Hawk hel) 1 AD bn with Mistral opcon Army
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 26 3 AD bn with RBS-70; 9K38 Igla (SA-18 Grouse) opcon
CORVETTES 11 Army
FSGM 6 Victory with 2 quad Mk140 lnchr with RGM-84C 1 ADA sqn with Oerlikon
Harpoon AShM, 2 octuple lnchr with Barak SAM, 2 triple
1 AD sqn with MIM-23 Hawk; SAMP/T
B515 324mm ASTT with A244S LWT, 1 76mm gun
1 AD sqn with Spyder
FSM 5 Independence (Littoral Mission Vessel) with 1
1 radar sqn with radar (mobile)
12-cell CLA VLS with VL-MICA, 1 76mm gun, 1 hel
1 radar sqn with LORADS
landing platform
MANOEUVRE
PCO 7 Fearless with 1 76mm gun (can be fitted with 2
Other
sextuple Sadral lnchr with Mistral SAM)
4 (field def) sy sqn
PBF 8: 2 SMC Type 1; 6 SMC Type 2
MINE WARFARE • MINE COUNTERMEASURES EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
MCC 4 Bedok AIRCRAFT 105 combat capable
AMPHIBIOUS FGA 100: 40 F-15SG Eagle; 20 F-16C Block 52 Fighting
PRINCIPAL AMPHIBIOUS SHIPS • LPD 4 Endurance Falcon; 20 F-16D Block 52 Fighting Falcon; 20 F-16D Block
with 2 twin lnchr with Mistral SAM, 1 76mm gun 52+ Fighting Falcon (incl reserves)
(capacity 2 hel; 4 LCVP; 18 MBT; 350 troops) ATK (4 A-4SU Super Skyhawk; 10 TA-4SU Super Skyhawk
LANDING CRAFT 23 in store)
LCVP 23: ε17 FCEP; 6 FCU MP 5 F-50 Maritime Enforcer*
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 2 AEW&C 4 G550-AEW
ASR 1 Swift Rescue TKR 5: 1 KC-130H Hercules; 4 KC-135R Stratotanker
AX 1 TKR/TPT 5: 1 A330 MRTT; 4 KC-130B Hercules
Asia 305
TPT 9: Medium 5 C-130H Hercules (2 ELINT); PAX 4 F-50 networks. Meanwhile, under the DCO, the Cyber Security
TRG 31: 12 M-346 Master; 19 PC-21 Division is the first responder to cyber attacks; the Plans and
HELICOPTERS Policy Directorate oversees cyber capability development;
ATK 19 AH-64D Apache and the Cyber Security Inspectorate conducts vulnerability
ASW 8 S-70B Seahawk assessment. The Singapore Armed Forces (SAF) Cyber
TPT 51: Heavy 16: 6 CH-47D Chinook; 10 CH-47SD Super Defence Group (CDG) was created under the SAF C4
D Chinook; Medium 30: 18 AS332M Super Puma (incl 5 Command (itself created in 2017) to provide round-the-clock
SAR); 12 AS532UL Cougar; Light 5 H120 Colibri (leased) cyber defence of SAF networks. According to MINDEF,
UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES ‘The CDG consists of dedicated cyber defence units that are
ISR 17+: Heavy 8+ Heron 1; Medium 9+ Hermes 450 responsible for cybersecurity monitoring, incident response
AIR DEFENCE and audits of SAF networks.’ The SAF has created new
SAM cyber-defence positions for national servicemen (NSF) and
Long-range 4+ SAMP/T regular personnel. A Cyber NSF scheme was launched in
Medium-range MIM-23 Hawk February 2018 to help the armed forces benefit from cyber
Short-range Spyder-SR skills in the forces. When fully established, MINDEF says
Point-defence 9K38 Igla (SA-18 Grouse) (some on that the DCO will have about 2,600 personnel, supported by
V-200/M113); Mistral; RBS-70 specialists in the Defence Science and Technology Agency
GUNS 34 and the Defence Science Organisation.
SP 20mm GAI-C01
TOWED 34 20mm GAI-C01; 35mm 34 GDF (with 25
Super-Fledermaus fire control radar) DEPLOYMENT
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES AUSTRALIA: 2 trg schools – 1 with 12 AS332 Super Puma/
AAM • IR AIM-9N/P Sidewinder; Python 4 (reported); AS532 Cougar (flying trg) located at Oakey; 1 with PC-21
IIR AIM-9X Sidewinder II; SARH AIM-7P Sparrow; ARH (flying trg) located at Pearce. Army: prepositioned AFVs
Asia
(AIM-120C5/7 AMRAAM in store in US) and heavy equipment at Shoalwater Bay training area
ASM: AGM-65B/G Maverick; AGM-114 Hellfire; AGM-
BRUNEI: 1 trg camp with inf units on rotation; 1 hel det
154A/C JSOW
with AS332 Super Puma
AShM AGM-84 Harpoon; AM39 Exocet
ARM AGM-45 Shrike FRANCE: 200: 1 trg sqn with 12 M-346 Master
BOMBS KUWAIT: Operation Inherent Resolve 11
INS/GPS guided GBU-31 JDAM
TAIWAN: 3 trg camp (incl inf and arty)
Laser-guided Paveway II
THAILAND: 1 trg camp (arty, cbt engr)
Paramilitary 8,400 active UNITED STATES: Trg units with F-16C/D; 12 F-15SG; AH-
64D Apache; 6+ CH-47D Chinook
Civil Defence Force 5,600 (incl conscripts);
500 auxiliaries (total 6,100)
FOREIGN FORCES
Singapore Police Coast Guard 1,000 United States US Pacific Command: 200; 1 naval spt
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE facility at Changi naval base; 1 USAF log spt sqn at Paya
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 102 Lebar air base
PBF 81: 25 Angler Ray; 2 Atlantic Ray; 1 Marlin; 11
Sailfish; 10 Shark; 32 other
PB 21: 19 Amberjack; 2 Manta Ray Sri Lanka LKA
Sri Lankan Rupee Rs 2017 2018 2019
Singapore Gurkha Contingent 1,800
Under the Police GDP Rs 13.3tr 14.5tr
Asia
Other New Taiwan Dollar NT$ 2017 2018 2019
1 (SLAF) sy regt
GDP NT$ 17.4tr 18.1tr
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
US$ 573bn 603bn
AIRCRAFT 13 combat capable
FTR 5: 3 F-7GS; 2 FT-7 (3 F-7BS; 1 F-7GS non-operational) per capita US$ 24,292 25,534
FGA 1 Kfir C-2 (2 Kfir C-2; 1 Kfir C-7; 2 Kfir TC-2; 6 MiG- Growth % 2.9 2.7
27M Flogger J2; 1 MiG-23UB Flogger C non-operational) Inflation % 1.1 1.5
TPT 21: Medium 2 C-130K Hercules; Light 19: 3 An-32B Def bdgt NT$ 319bn 332bn 346bn
Cline; 6 Cessna 150L; 1 Cessna 421C Golden Eagle; 7 Y-12
US$ 10.5bn 11.0bn
(II); 2 Y-12 (IV)
TRG 14: 7 K-8 Karakoram*; 7 PT-6 US$1=NT$ 30.44 30.05
HELICOPTERS Population 23,545,963
ATK 11: 6 Mi-24P Hind; 3 Mi-24V Hind E; 2 Mi-35V Hind
Ethnic groups: Taiwanese 84%; mainland Chinese 14%
MRH 18: 6 Bell 412 Twin Huey (VIP); 2 Bell 412EP (VIP);
10 Mi-17 Hip H Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
TPT 16: Medium 4 Mi-171Sh; Light 12: 2 Bell 206A Jet
Male 6.5% 2.9% 3.5% 3.5% 26.5% 6.6%
Ranger; 2 Bell 206B Jet Ranger; 8 Bell 212
Female 6.2% 2.8% 3.3% 3.4% 27.1% 7.8%
UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES
ISR • Medium 2+: some Blue Horizon II; 2 Searcher MkII
AIR DEFENCE • GUNS • TOWED 27: 40mm 24 L/40; Capabilities
94mm 3 (3.7in) Taiwan’s relationship with China and its attempts to sustain a cred-
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES ible military capability dominate its security policy. The latest Qua-
AAM • IR PL-5E drennial Defense Review, published in March 2017, highlighted
the continued challenge from Beijing. Taiwan’s current focus is
therefore on air defence and deterrence in coastal areas, on both
Paramilitary ε62,200 sides of the island. The armed forces are well trained and exercise
regularly. Demographic pressure has influenced plans for force
Home Guard 13,000
reductions and a shift towards an all-volunteer force. Taiwan’s main
National Guard ε15,000 alliance partnership is with the US. The Taiwan Relations Act from
1979 states that ‘the United States shall provide Taiwan with arms
Police Force 30,200; 1,000 (women) (total of a defensive character’. Despite persistent US refusal to sanc-
tion the transfer of new combat aircraft, Taiwan has obtained US
31,200) 30,400 reservists assistance to modernise its current fleet of F-16s to F-16V standard.
Nevertheless, Taipei maintains an interest in the F-35. Due to the
Ministry of Defence Special Task Force 3,000 lack of potential foreign equipment suppliers, Taiwan is modernis-
Anti-guerrilla unit ing its existing holdings and developing its domestic defence-
industry capabilities through increased funding and the develop-
Coast Guard n/k ment of new weapons programmes. Taiwan’s defence-industrial
Ministry of Defence base has strengths in aerospace, shipbuilding and missiles.
308 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
An indigenous-submarine programme was officially launched NBC VEHICLES 48+: BIDS; 48 K216A1; KM453
in 2017, with the aim to locally build eight boats. The National ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
Chung-Shan Institute of Science and Technology is in charge of MSL
most defence R&D. SP TOW
ACTIVE 163,000 (Army 88,000 Navy 40,000 Air MANPATS FGM-148 Javelin; TOW
RCL 500+: 90mm M67; 106mm 500+: 500 M40A1; Type-51
35,000) Paramilitary 11,450
ARTILLERY 2,200
Conscript liability
SP 488: 105mm 100 M108; 155mm 318: 225 M109A2/A5;
(19–40 years) 12 months for those born before 1993; four
48 M44T; 45 T-69; 203mm 70 M110
months for those born after 1994 (alternative service
TOWED 1,060+: 105mm 650 T-64 (M101); 155mm 340+:
available). Conscription officially ended in January 90 M59; 250 T-65 (M114); M44; XT-69; 203mm 70 M115
2018 and it was planned that the last conscripts would MRL 330: 117mm 120 Kung Feng VI; 126mm 210: 60 Kung
demobilise by the end of 2018 Feng III/Kung Feng IV; 150 RT 2000 Thunder (KF towed
RESERVE 1,657,000 (Army 1,500,000 Navy 67,000 and SP)
Air Force 90,000) MOR 322+
SP 162+: 81mm 72+: M29; 72 M125; 107mm 90 M106A2
Some obligation to age 30
TOWED 81mm 160 M29; T-75; 107mm M30; 120mm
K5; XT-86
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE COASTAL DEFENCE
ARTY 54: 127mm ε50 US Mk32 (reported); 240mm 4
Army 88,000 (incl ε5,000 MP) M1
FORCES BY ROLE AShM Ching Feng
COMMAND HELICOPTERS
3 corps HQ ATK 96: 67 AH-1W Cobra; 29 AH-64E Apache
5 defence comd HQ MRH 38 OH-58D Kiowa Warrior
SPECIAL FORCES/HELICOPTER TPT 110: Heavy 8 CH-47SD Super D Chinook; Medium 26
1 SF/hel comd (2 spec ops gp, 2 hel bde) UH-60M Black Hawk; Light 76 Bell 205 (UH-1H Iroquois)
MANOEUVRE TRG 29 TH-67 Creek
Armoured UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES
4 armd bde ISR • Light Mastiff III
Mechanised AIR DEFENCE
3 mech inf bde SAM • Point-defence 76: 74 M1097 Avenger; 2 M48
Light Chaparral; FIM-92 Stinger
6 inf bde GUNS 400
COMBAT SUPPORT SP 40mm M42
3 arty gp TOWED 20: 35mm 20 GDF-001 (30 systems with 20
3 engr gp guns) 40mm L/70
3 CBRN gp
3 sigs gp Navy 40,000
COASTAL DEFENCE EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
1 AShM bn SUBMARINES • TACTICAL • SSK 4:
2 Hai Lung with 6 single 533mm TT with SUT HWT/
Reserves UGM-84L Harpoon Block II AShM
FORCES BY ROLE 2 Hai Shih† (ex-US Guppy II – trg role) with 10 single
MANOEUVRE 533mm TT (6 fwd, 4 aft) with SUT HWT
Light PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS 26
21 inf bde CRUISERS • CGHM 4 Keelung (ex-US Kidd) with 2
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE quad lnchr with RGM-84L Harpoon Block II AShM, 2
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES twin Mk26 GMLS with RIM-66K-2 SM-2MR Block IIIA
MBT 565: 200 M60A3; 100 M48A5; 265 M48H Brave Tiger SAM, 2 triple Mk32 324mm ASTT with Mk46 LWT, 2
LT TK 625 M41/Type-64 (230 M24 Chaffee (90mm gun) Mk 15 Phalanx Block 1B CIWS, 2 127mm gun (capacity
in store) 1 S-70 ASW hel)
IFV 225 CM-25 (M113 with 20–30mm cannon) FRIGATES 22
APC 1,220 FFGHM 21:
APC (T) 650 M113 8 Cheng Kung (US Oliver Hazard Perry mod) with 2
APC (W) 570: ε270 CM-32 Yunpao; 300 LAV-150 quad lnchr with Hsiung Feng II/III AShM, 1 Mk13
Commando GMLS with SM-1MR SAM, 2 triple 324mm ASTT
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES with Mk 46 LWT, 1 Mk 15 Phalanx Block 1B CIWS,
AEV 18 M9 1 76mm gun (capacity 2 S-70C ASW hel)
ARV CM-27/A1; 37 M88A1 2 Meng Chuan (ex-US Oliver Hazard Perry) with 1
VLB 22 M3; M48A5 Mk13 GMLS with RGM-84 Harpoon AShM/SM-
Asia 309
Asia
PCG 11: EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
1 Jin Chiang with 1 quad lnchr with Hsiung Feng II HELICOPTERS
AShM ASW 20 S-70C Seahawk (S-70C Defender)
4 Jin Chiang with 2 twin lnchr with Hsiung Feng II MRH 10 MD-500 Defender
AShM, 1 76mm gun UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES • ISR • Medium
6 Jin Chiang with 1 quad lnchr with Hsiung Feng III ε29 Chung Shyang II
AShM, 1 76mm gun
PCC 1 Jin Chiang (test platform)
Air Force 35,000
PBG 31 Kwang Hua with 2 twin lnchr with Hsiung Feng FORCES BY ROLE
II AShM FIGHTER
MINE WARFARE • MINE COUNTERMEASURES 9 3 sqn with Mirage 2000-5E/D (2000-5EI/DI)
MHC 6: 4 Yung Feng; 2 Yung Jin (ex-US Osprey) FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
MSO 3 Yung Yang (ex-US Aggressive) 3 sqn with F-5E/F Tiger II
6 sqn with F-16A/B Fighting Falcon
COMMAND SHIPS • LCC 1 Kao Hsiung
5 sqn with F-CK-1A/B/C/D Ching Kuo
AMPHIBIOUS
ANTI-SUBMARINE WARFARE
PRINCIPAL AMPHIBIOUS SHIPS • LSD 1 Shiu Hai
1 sqn with P-3C Orion
(ex-US Anchorage) with 2 Mk 15 Phalanx CIWS, 1 hel
ELECTRONIC WARFARE
landing platform (capacity either 2 LCU or 18 LCM; 360
1 sqn with C-130HE Tien Gian
troops) ISR
LANDING SHIPS 1 sqn with RF-5E Tigereye
LST 8: AIRBORNE EARLY WARNING & CONTROL
6 Chung Hai (capacity 16 tanks; 200 troops) 1 sqn with E-2T Hawkeye
2 Chung Ho (ex-US Newport) with 1 Mk 15 Phalanx SEARCH & RESCUE
CIWS , 1 hel landing platform (capacity 3 LCVP, 23 1 sqn with H225; S-70C Black Hawk
AFVs, 400 troops) TRANSPORT
LANDING CRAFT 47 2 sqn with C-130H Hercules
LCM ε35 (various) 1 (VIP) sqn with B-727-100; B-737-800; Beech 1900; F-50;
LCU 12 LCU 1610 (capacity 2 M60A3 or 400 troops) S-70C Black Hawk
(minelaying capability) TRAINING
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 12 1 sqn with AT-3A/B Tzu-Chung*
AGOR 1 Ta Kuan 1 sqn with Beech 1900
AOEH 1 Panshih with 1 quad lnchr with Sea Chaparral 1 (basic) sqn with T-34C Turbo Mentor
SAM, 2 Mk 15 Phalanx CIWS (capacity 3 med hel) EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
AOE 1 Wu Yi with 1 quad lnchr with Sea Chaparral SAM, AIRCRAFT 479 combat capable
1 hel landing platform FTR 285: 87 F-5E/F Tiger II (some in store); 143 F-16A/B
ARS 2: 1 Da Hu (ex-US Diver); 1 Da Juen (ex-US Bolster) Fighting Falcon; 9 Mirage 2000-5D (2000-5DI); 46 Mirage
ATF 7 Ta Tung (ex-US Cherokee) 2000-5E (2000-5EI)
310 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
FGA 127 F-CK-1C/D Ching Kuo cyber activity include the National Security Bureau, the
ASW 12 P-3C Orion defence ministry, and the Research, Development and
EW 1 C-130HE Tien Gian Evaluation Commission. In 2015, a Defense Policy Paper
ISR 7 RF-5E Tigereye recommended that an independent fourth service branch
AEW&C 6 E-2T Hawkeye combining cyber and electronic-warfare capabilities
TPT 33: Medium 19 C-130H Hercules; Light 10 Beech should be formed. The Information, Communications and
1900; PAX 4: 1 B-737-800; 3 F-50 Electronic Warfare Command was established in mid-2017
TRG 97: 55 AT-3A/B Tzu-Chung*; 42 T-34C Turbo Mentor and is responsible for coordinating cyber defence and
HELICOPTERS directing R&D efforts in cyber and EW.
TPT • Medium 19: 3 H225; 16 S-70C Black Hawk; 8 UH-
60M Black Hawk
AIR DEFENCE
FOREIGN FORCES
SAM • Point-defence Antelope Singapore 3 trg camp (incl inf and arty)
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES
AAM • IR AIM-9J/P Sidewinder; R-550 Magic 2; Shafrir;
Sky Sword I; IR/ARH Mica; ARH AIM-120C AMRAAM;
Thailand THA
Sky Sword II Thai Baht b 2017 2018 2019
ASM AGM-65A Maverick
GDP b 15.5tr 16.4tr
AShM AGM-84 Harpoon
ARM Sky Sword IIA US$ 455bn 490bn
LACM Conventional Wan Chien per capita US$ 6,591 7,084
BOMBS • Laser-guided Paveway II Growth % 3.9 4.6
Inflation % 0.7 0.9
Air Defence and Missile Command
Def bdgt b 214bn 217bn 224bn
FORCES BY ROLE
SURFACE-TO-SURFACE MISSILE US$ 6.29bn 6.51bn
3 SSM bty with Hsiung Feng IIE US$1=b 33.93 33.39
AIR DEFENCE
Population 68,615,858
2 AD/SAM gp (total: 13 bty with MIM-23 Hawk; 4 bty
Ethnic and religious groups: Thai 75%; Chinese 14%; Muslim 4%
with MIM-104F Patriot PAC-3; 6 bty with Tien Kung I
Sky Bow/Tien Kung II Sky Bow) Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Male 8.6% 3.3% 3.8% 3.7% 24.9% 4.8%
SURFACE-TO-SURFACE MISSILE LAUNCHERS
Female 8.2% 3.1% 3.7% 3.6% 26.2% 6.2%
GLCM • Conventional ε12 Hsiung Feng IIE
AIR DEFENCE • SAM • Medium-range 600+: 100 MIM-
23 Hawk; ε500 Tien Kung I Sky Bow/Tien Kung II Sky Bow Capabilities
MISSILE DEFENCE • Medium-range 24+ MIM-104F Thailand has large, well-funded armed forces and its air force is
Patriot PAC-3 one of the best equipped and trained in Southeast Asia, while
the introduction into service of Gripen combat aircraft and Saab
Paramilitary 11,450 340 airborne early-warning platforms has boosted Thai airpower.
The Vision 2026 defence-modernisation plan, approved by the
Coast Guard 11,450 defence council in October 2017, outlines the armed forces’ capa-
bility improvements over the next decade. Thailand is considered
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
a major non-NATO ally by the US, while the country has devel-
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 161
oped deeper defence ties with China since the military coup in
PSOH 4: 2 Tainan; 2 Yilan 2014. The armed forces regularly take part in international mili-
PSO 6: 4 Miaoli with 1 hel landing platform; 2 Ho Hsing tary exercises. A small number of personnel remain deployed on
PCO 13: 2 Kinmen; 2 Mou Hsing; 3 Shun Hu 7; 4 the UNAMID mission to Darfur, Sudan. The military-modernisation
Taichung; 2 Taipei effort includes the development of submarines, anti-submarine
PBF ε56 (various) warfare capabilities and a surface-ship procurement programme.
PB 82: 1 Shun Hu 6; ε81 (various) The armoured vehicle fleet has been recapitalised with deliveries
from Ukraine and China. The arrival of the Saab 340 AEW aircraft,
Cyber along with the Gripen combat aircraft and a command-and-con-
Although Taiwan has a highly developed civilian IT sector, trol system, has provided a step change in air capability. Under
the government has been relatively slow to exploit this its Defence Industry Masterplan, the government indicates that
expanding Thailand’s presently limited defence sector can be
advantage for national-defence purposes. However, for
an important way of developing military capability. The govern-
the past decade, Taipei has been working on its Po Sheng ment is making efforts to reform defence procurement and offsets
– Broad Victory – C4ISR programme, an all-hazards by expanding the role of its Defence Technology Institute. It is
system with a significant defence component. The main planned that this will change in 2019 to become the Defence Tech-
focus of the military component of this programme is nology Agency, acting as a central procurement agency for the
countering Chinese information-warfare and electronic- armed forces, as well as overseeing the development of Thailand’s
warfare (EW) attacks. The authorities responsible for defence industry.
Asia 311
ACTIVE 360,850 (Army 245,000 Navy 69,850 Air TOWED 617: 105mm 340: 24 LG1 MkII; 12 M-56; 200
46,000) Paramilitary 93,700 M101/M425; 12 M102; 32 M618A2; 60 L119 Light Gun;
Conscription liability 24 months 155mm 277: 90 GHN-45 A1; 48 M114; 118 M198; 21 M-71
MRL 68: 122mm 4 SR-4; 130mm 60 PHZ-85; 302mm 4: 1
RESERVE 200,000 Paramilitary 45,000 DTI-1 (WS-1B); 3 DTI-1G (WS-32)
MOR 1,926+: SP 81mm 39: 18 BTR-3M1; 21 M125A3; SP
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE 107mm M106A3; SP 120mm 20: 8 BTR-3M2; 12 M1064A3;
1,867 81mm/107mm/120mm
AIRCRAFT
Army 130,000; ε115,000 conscript (total 245,000) TPT • Light 19: 2 Beech 200 King Air; 2 Beech 1900C; 1
FORCES BY ROLE C-212 Aviocar; 1 C295W; 9 Cessna A185E (U-17B); 2 ERJ-
COMMAND 135LR; 2 Jetstream 41
4 (regional) army HQ TRG 33: 11 MX-7-235 Star Rocket; 22 T-41B Mescalero
3 corps HQ HELICOPTERS
SPECIAL FORCES ATK 7 AH-1F Cobra
1 SF div MRH 15: 8 AS550 Fennec; 2 AW139; 5 Mi-17V-5 Hip H
1 SF regt TPT 216: Heavy 5 CH-47D Chinook; Medium 12: 9 UH-
MANOEUVRE 60L Black Hawk; 3 UH-60M Black Hawk; Light 199: 93 Bell
Armoured 205 (UH-1H Iroquois); 27 Bell 206 Jet Ranger; 52 Bell 212
3 cav div (1 recce bn; 3 tk regt (3 tk bn); 1 indep tk bn; 1 (AB-212); 16 Enstrom 480B; 6 H145M (VIP tpt); 5 UH-72A
sigs bn; 1 maint bn; 1 hel sqn) Lakota
Mechanised TRG 53 Hughes 300C
1 mech inf div (1 recce coy; 1 recce sqn; 1 tk bn; 1 inf UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES
regt (4 inf bn); 3 inf regt; 1 engr bn; 1 sigs bn) ISR • Medium 4 Hermes 450; Searcher; Searcher II
Light
Asia
AIR DEFENCE
8 inf div (1 recce sqn; 3 inf regt (3 inf bn); 1 engr bn; 1 SAM
sigs bn)
Short-range Aspide
COMBAT SUPPORT
Point-defence 8+: 8 Starstreak; 9K338 Igla-S (SA-24
1 arty div
Grinch)
1 engr div
GUNS 184
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
SP 54: 20mm 24 M163 Vulcan; 40mm 30 M1/M42 SP
4 economic development div
TOWED 138: 20mm 24 M167 Vulcan; 35mm 8 GDF-007
HELICOPTER
with Skyguard 3; 37mm 52 Type-74; 40mm 48 L/70;
Some hel flt
57mm ε6 Type-59 (S-60) (18+ more non-operational)
ISR UAV
1 UAV bn with Hermes 450; Searcher II Reserves
AIR DEFENCE
FORCES BY ROLE
1 ADA div (6 bn)
COMMAND
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE 1 inf div HQ
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
MBT 360: 53 M60A1; 125 M60A3; 105 M48A5; 49 T-84 Navy 44,000 (incl Naval Aviation, Marines,
Oplot; 28 VT-4; (50 Type-69 in store)
Coastal Defence); 25,850 conscript (total
LT TK 194: 24 M41; 104 Scorpion (50 in store); 66 Stingray
RECCE 32 S52 Shorland
69,850)
IFV 168 BTR-3E1 EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
APC 1,140 PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS 9
APC (T) 880: Bronco; 430 M113A1/A3; 450 Type-85 AIRCRAFT CARRIERS • CVH 1:
APC (W) 160: 9 BTR-3K (CP); 6 BTR-3C (amb); 18 1 Chakri Naruebet with 2 sextuple Sadral lnchr with
Condor; 142 LAV-150 Commando Mistral SAM (capacity 6 S-70B Seahawk ASW hel)
PPV 100 REVA FRIGATES 8
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES FFGHM 2:
ARV 58: 2 BREM-84 Atlet; 13 BTR-3BR; 22 M88A1; 6 2 Naresuan with 2 quad Mk141 lnchr with RGM-84
M88A2; 10 M113; 5 Type-653; WZT-4 Harpoon AShM, 1 8 cell Mk41 Mod 30 VLS with
VLB Type-84 RIM-162B ESSM SAM, 2 triple Mk32 324mm TT
MW Bozena; Giant Viper with Mk46 LWT, 1 127mm gun (capacity 1 Super
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE Lynx 300 hel)
MSL FFG 4:
SP 30+: 18+ M901A5 (TOW); 12 BTR-3RK 2 Chao Phraya (trg role) with 4 twin lnchr with C-802A
MANPATS M47 Dragon AShM, 2 RBU 1200 A/S mor, 2 twin 100mm gun
RCL 180: 75mm 30 M20; 106mm 150 M40 2 Chao Phraya with 4 twin lnchr with C-802A AShM,
ARTILLERY 2,643 2 RBU 1200 A/S mor, 1 twin 100mm gun, 1 hel
SP 155mm 32: 6 ATMOS-2000; 6 CAESAR; 20 M109A5 landing platform
312 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Asia
INDIA/PAKISTAN: UN • UNMOGIP 4 obs
TPT 42: Medium 14: 6 C-130H Hercules; 6 C-130H-30
SOUTH SUDAN: UN • UNMISS 1; 2 obs
Hercules; 2 Saab 340B; Light 21: 3 ATR-72; 3 Beech 200
King Air; 8 BT-67; 1 Commander 690; 6 DA42M; PAX 7: SUDAN: UN • UNAMID 9; 1 obs
1 A319CJ; 1 A320CJ; 1 A340-500; 1 B-737-800; 3 SSJ-100-
95LR (1 A310-324 in store) FOREIGN FORCES
TRG 111: 16 Alpha Jet*; 13 CT-4A Airtrainer; 6 CT-4B United States US Pacific Command: 300
Airtrainer; 20 CT-4E Airtrainer; 26 L-39ZA Albatros*; 21
PC-9; 7 T-41D Mescalero; 2 T-50TH Golden Eagle*
HELICOPTERS Timor-Leste TLS
MRH 11: 2 Bell 412 Twin Huey; 2 Bell 412SP Twin Huey; 1
US$ 2017 2018 2019
Bell 412HP Twin Huey; 6 Bell 412EP Twin Huey
CSAR 6 H225M Super Cougar GDP US$ 2.78bn 3.16bn
TPT 20: Medium 3 S-92A Super Hawk; Light 17 Bell 205 per capita US$ 2,237 2,486
(UH-1H Iroquois) Growth % -4.6 0.8
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES Inflation % 0.6 1.8
AAM • IR AIM-9P/S Sidewinder; Python 3; IIR IRIS-T; Def bdgt US$ 25.4m 26.5m
ARH AIM-120 AMRAAM
Population 1,321,929
ASM AGM-65 Maverick
AShM RBS15F Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
BOMBS • Laser-guided Paveway II
Male 20.8% 5.8% 4.6% 3.8% 13.2% 1.9%
Female 19.6% 5.6% 4.5% 4.0% 14.2% 2.1%
Paramilitary ε93,700
Border Patrol Police 20,000 Capabilities
The small Timor-Leste Defence Force (F-FDTL) has been afflicted by
Marine Police 2,200 funding, personnel and morale challenges since it was established
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE in 2001. While the F-FDTL is responsible for external defence, its
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 98 parallel internal-security role has sometimes brought it into con-
PCO 1 Srinakrin flict with the national police force. The F-FDTL has been recon-
stituted but is still a long way from meeting the ambitious force-
PCC 2 Hameln
structure goals set out in the Force 2020 plan published in 2007.
PB 49: 2 Chasanyabadee; 3 Cutlass; 2 Ratayapibanbancha The origins of the F-FDTL in the Falintil national resistance force,
(Reef Ranger); 1 Sriyanont; 41 (various) and continuing training and doctrinal emphasis on low-intensity
PBR 46 infantry tactics, mean that the force provides a deterrent to inva-
sion. In 2017, Portugal and Timor-Leste signed a defence coop-
National Security Volunteer Corps 45,000 – eration agreement up to 2022. The F-FDTL sometimes receives
Reserves training from Australian and US personnel. Australia is donating
314 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
two Guardian-class patrol vessels as part of its Pacific Patrol Boat conflicting claims in the South China Sea. Vietnam adopted a
Replacement programme; these are due to arrive in 2023. Main- new Law on National Defence in 2018 that focused, among other
tenance capacity is unclear and the country has no traditional areas, on information warfare. Legislation is also being discussed
defence industry. that seeks to increase the role of the coastguard, including the
use of force to defend sovereignty. Vietnam is looking to diver-
ACTIVE 2,280 (Army 2,200 Naval Element 80) sify its security partnerships. Washington lifted its arms embargo
on Hanoi in 2016, while New Delhi and Seoul are understood to
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE be seeking inroads into Vietnam’s defence market. The forces are
conscript-based, and there is a plan to reduce their numbers in the
armed forces and other institutions, such as military colleges and
Army 2,200 hospitals, by 2022. Recapitalisation efforts have focused on the
Training began in January 2001 with the aim of deploying navy and air force, mainly with a view to disputes in the Spratly
1,500 full-time personnel and 1,500 reservists. Authorities Islands. While Hanoi cannot hope to balance China’s power on its
are engaged in developing security structures with own, the recent development of a submarine capability and the
international assistance procurement of additional Su-30MK2 combat aircraft and new air-
defence capabilities would complicate Beijing’s military options.
FORCES BY ROLE Vietnam may also be looking to procure assets that would increase
MANOEUVRE its surveillance capacities in the South China Sea, such as UAVs.
Light Vietnam has limited but expanding defence-industrial capacities,
2 inf bn dominated by the state-owned Viettel Military Industry and Tele-
COMBAT SUPPORT coms Group.
1 MP pl
ACTIVE 482,000 (Army 412,000 Navy 40,000 Air
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
30,000) Paramilitary 40,000
1 log spt coy
Conscript liability 2 years army and air defence, 3 years air force and
Naval Element 80 navy, specialists 3 years, some ethnic minorities 2 years
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE RESERVES Paramilitary 5,000,000
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 7
PB 7: 2 Albatros; 2 Dili (ex-ROK); 2 Shanghai II; 1 ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
Kamenassa (ex-ROK Chamsuri)
Army ε412,000
Vietnam VNM 8 Mil Regions (incl capital)
Vietnamese Dong d 2017 2018 2019 FORCES BY ROLE
COMMAND
GDP d 5006tr 5506tr
4 corps HQ
US$ 220bn 241bn SPECIAL FORCES
per capita US$ 2,353 2,553 1 SF bde (1 AB bde, 1 demolition engr regt)
Growth % 6.8 6.6 MANOEUVRE
Inflation % 3.5 3.8 Armoured
6 armd bde
Def bdgt d ε9.93tr ε1.10tr ε1.23tr
3 armd regt
US$ ε4.37bn ε4.83bn Mechanised
FMA (US) US$ 12m 0m 2 mech inf div
US$1=d 22715.61 22807.26 Light
23 inf div
Population 97,040,334
SURFACE-TO-SURFACE MISSILE
Ethnic groups: Kinh 85.7%; Tay 1.9%; Thai 1.8%; Khome 1.4%; 1 SRBM bde
Hmong 1.3%; other or unspecified 7.1%
COMBAT SUPPORT
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
13 arty bde
1 arty regt
Male 12.2% 4.0% 4.2% 4.7% 22.5% 2.5% 10 engr bde
Female 11.0% 3.7% 4.0% 4.5% 22.9% 3.9% 1 engr regt
1 EW unit
Capabilities 3 sigs bde
Vietnam has a stronger military tradition and its armed forces 2 sigs regt
have more operational experience than any of its neighbours. Its COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
defence efforts and armed forces also benefit from broad popular 9 economic construction div
support, particularly in the context of tensions with China over 1 log regt
Asia 315
Asia
Strela-2M (SA-N-5 Grail) SAM (manually operated),
GUNS
2 AK630 CIWS, 1 76mm gun
SP 100mm SU-100; 122mm SU-122
PCO 5: 1 Project FC264; 4 TT-400TP with 2 AK630 CIWS,
TOWED 100mm T-12 (arty); M-1944
1 76mm gun
ARTILLERY 3,040+
PCC 6 Svetlyak with 1 AK630 CIWS, 1 76mm gun
SP 30+: 122mm 2S1 Gvozdika; 152mm 30 2S3 Akatsiya;
175mm M107 PBFG 8 Osa II with 4 single lnchr with P-15 Termit AShM
TOWED 2,300: 105mm M101/M102; 122mm D-30/Type- PBFT 2 Shershen† (FSU) with 4 single 533mm TT
54 (M-1938)/Type-60 (D-74); 130mm M-46; 152mm D-20; PH 2 Turya† with 1 twin 57mm gun
155mm M114 PHT 3 Turya† with 4 single 533mm TT, 1 twin 57mm gun
MRL 710+: 107mm 360 Type-63; 122mm 350 BM-21 Grad; PB 20: 14 Zhuk†; 4 Zhuk (mod); 2 TP-01
140mm BM-14 PBR 4 Stolkraft
MOR 82mm; 120mm M-1943; 160mm M-1943 MINE WARFARE • MINE COUNTERMEASURES 13
SURFACE-TO-SURFACE MISSILE LAUNCHERS MSO 2 Yurka
SRBM • Coventional Scud-B/C MSC 4 Sonya
AIR DEFENCE MHI 2 Korund (Yevgenya) (Project 1258)
SAM • Point-defence 9K32 Strela-2 (SA-7 Grail)‡; 9K310 MSR 5 K-8
Igla-1 (SA-16 Gimlet); 9K38 Igla (SA-18 Grouse) AMPHIBIOUS
GUNS 12,000 LANDING SHIPS 7
SP 23mm ZSU-23-4 LSM 5:
TOWED 14.5mm/30mm/37mm/57mm/85mm/100mm 1 Polnochny A (capacity 6 Lt Tk/APC; 200 troops)
2 Polnochny B (capacity 6 Lt Tk/APC; 200 troops)
Navy ε40,000 (incl ε27,000 Naval Infantry) 2 Nau Dinh
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE LST 2 Tran Khanh Du (ex-US LST 542) with 1 hel
SUBMARINES • TACTICAL 8 landing platform (capacity 16 Lt Tk/APC; 140 troops)
SSK 6 Hanoi (RUS Varshavyanka) with 6 533mm TT with LANDING CRAFT • LCM 12
3M14E Klub-S (SS-N-30) LACM/3M54E Klub-S (SS-N-27 8 LCM 6 (capacity 1 Lt Tk or 80 troops)
Sizzler) AShM/53-65KE HWT/TEST-71ME HWT 4 LCM 8 (capacity 1 MBT or 200 troops)
SSI 2 Yugo (DPRK) LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 27
PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS 4 AFD 2
FRIGATES • FFGM 4 AGS 1 Tran Dai Nia (Damen Research Vessel 6613)
2 Dinh Tien Hoang (RUS Gepard 3.9 (Project 11661E)) AGSH 1
with 2 quad lnchr with 3M24E Uran-E (SS-N-25 AKSL 18
Switchblade) AShM, 1 Palma lnchr with Sosna-R SAM, AP 1 Truong Sa
2 AK630 CIWS, 1 76mm gun, 1 hel landing platform AT 2
2 Tran Huang Dao (RUS Gepard 3.9 (Project 11661E)) AWT 1
with 2 quad lnchr with 3M24E Uran-E (SS-N-25 AXS 1 Le Quy Don
316 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
In May, Indonesian state-owned insurance company the armed forces will only control businesses focused
PT Askrindo and the National Association of on security and defence.
Private Defense Industries (Pinhantanas) signed an
agreement to allow the former to supply private China’s first indigenously built aircraft carrier, the
Indonesian defence SMEs with credit, guarantees and Type-002, began sea trials in May and could enter
insurance. The agreement was backed by the defence service in 2019. The first Type-055 (Renhai) cruiser
ministry, which is trying to expand the country’s began sea trials in August.
defence-industrial base.
As part of the Defense Reform 2.0 plan, announced
In June, Australia announced that it had selected in August, South Korea launched a Defense Business
BAE Systems’ Global Combat Ship design for its Innovation Plan, which aims to simplify and speed
Future Frigate programme. Nine Hunter-class up the process of meeting equipment requirements,
frigates, as they will be known in Australian service, as well as address the shrinking defence-industrial
will replace the Anzac class, starting in the late workforce.
2020s. The ships will be fitted with a locally designed
and built CEAFAR2 phased-array radar and will have Indonesia began negotiations with South Korea
Asia
the Aegis combat-management system. Design in October to reduce its share of the KF-X fighter
and construction is expected to cost AU$35bn programme due to economic constraints. Since
(US$27.64bn). joining the programme in 2016, Indonesia has
reportedly struggled to keep up with payments.
Vietnam passed an amendment in June strengthening Indonesia is currently committed to 20% of the
the government’s drive to further reduce the number KF-X development cost, which is expected to be
of army-owned businesses from 88 to 16. The defence approximately US$1.9bn. The first prototype is
ministry hopes that at the end of the reform process, expected to be completed in 2021.
Australasia
14 South Asia
Southeast Asia – Peninsular and Archipelagic
12 Southeast Asia – Continental
Number of Countries
East Asia
10
Purchasing
8
6
4
2
0
s
Ar *
ry
s
He Sub iles
ter ines
str s
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ol s
ft
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els
d & l/A ry W *
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*Data reflects the number of countries with equipment-procurement contracts either ongoing or completed in 2018. Data includes only procurement programmes for which a production contract
has been signed. The data does not include upgrade programmes.
**Armoured fighting vehicles not including main battle tanks ***Includes combat-capable training aircraft IISS
©
318 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Table 15 Japan FY2019 defence-budget request: top ten new equipment acquisition programmes by value
Equipment Type Quantity Value (JPY) Value (US$) Prime contractor(s)
Aegis Ashore BMD SAM system 2 systems 234.3bn 2.13bn Lockheed Martin (US)
30FF FFGHM 2 99.5bn 906m MHI and MES (JPN)
F-35A Lightning II FGA ac 6 91.6bn 834m Lockheed Martin (US)
MHI (JPN)
SM-3 Block IIA; Ship-launched SAM n.k. 81.8bn 745m Raytheon (US)
SM-3 Block IB
Soryu class SSK 1 71.1bn 647m MHI (JPN)
Asia
T-72, the company was spending significant sums importing
the parts directly from Russia. 40
The comptroller estimated that 62% of the total cost of the
225 T-90S tanks manufactured by March 2013 was spent on
importing parts. The defence ministry made up for the 20
shortfall in local production by ordering a batch of 347
complete and kit-form T-90s in 2007. Deliveries were 0
completed several years later. It is possible that India’s T-90
4*
5*
6*
7
3
production line will run into the 2020s, but production will
–0
–0
–0
–1
–1
–1
–1
–1
–1
–1
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
have to pick up pace, or be supplemented by more imports,
if plans remain to replace the approximately 1,900 T-72M1
*Estimate based on achieved production rate
Ajeya tanks.
Chapter Seven
80 Projected spending
US$bn, constant 2010
40
20
0
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
*Note: Saudi authorities in recent years have later revised defence-spending totals upwards when the government releases its
actual spending figures. As such, it is possible that the R311bn announced for 2018 might be an underestimate.
Iran
Syria – 3,000
UAE UAE
Eritrea (Operation Yemen (Operation
Restoring Hope) – 1,000 Restoring Hope) – 3,000
Middle East
CAR (MINUSCA) – 1,024
Saudi Arabia
Yemen – 1,500
Conflict and regional rivalries continue to shape the the acquisition of new platforms to setting in motion
posture of key actors in the Middle East, as well as its defence-industrialisation plans under the recently
motivate interventions and drive defence planning established Saudi Arabian Military Industries.
and acquisition. The place of weapons procurements in Riyadh’s
Regional security debates remained dominated international strategy was made clear during a visit to
by the potential for escalation between the United the White House by Saudi Crown Prince Muhammad
States, Israel and Saudi Arabia on the one hand and bin Salman in May 2018, with US President Donald
Iran and its allies on the other. While the US sought Trump holding signs showing Saudi Arabia’s recent
to organise its Arab allies in a coalition called the arms deals with the US. Qatar is also seeking to secure
Middle East Strategic Alliance (MESA), the venture important defence partnerships. In recent years, it has
faced significant obstacles, notably rifts between embarked on ambitious aircraft-acquisition plans,
Arab states themselves. Another troubled coalition including contracts for Eurofighter Typhoons (a letter
was the Saudi-led Islamic Military Counter Terrorism of intent was signed in September 2017), F-15QAs
Coalition. Its official launch in November 2017 was (this sale was approved by the US in 2016) and the
followed by little activity, reflecting the lack of 2015 deal for Rafales.
political commitment of the member nations to the Several crises highlighted the close link between
initiative. defence sales and politics. Over the past year, Saudi
The US withdrawal from the Joint Comprehensive Arabia faced deteriorating relations with countries
Plan of Action (JCPOA) and its imposition of severe from which it bought weaponry. Some of these
sanctions to curtail Iran’s oil exports – the country’s countries had implemented measures restricting
main source of foreign currency – complicated sales based on criteria that included, for Sweden, a
Iran’s defence-modernisation plans. Tehran had ‘democracy’ clause. Spain briefly suspended the sale
approached China and Russia with a view to of ammunition and bombs over the conduct of the
modernising its air force and air defences, and to Yemen war, and Riyadh expressed displeasure after
acquire naval- and land-weapons systems, but the German foreign minister spoke of concern about
shrinking revenues threatened these plans. Beijing its regional policies.
and Moscow, themselves facing US pressure on other
issues, seemed willing to accommodate Tehran. Both Syria’s many wars
denounced the US withdrawal from the JCPOA and In 2018, the Syrian conflict entered a new phase.
indicated that they would continue to offer to Iran the International powers and regional players, as well as a
economic benefits promised under the deal. They also multitude of Syrian, militia and jihadi actors, are now
continued high-profile engagement with Tehran. Iran involved. At the beginning of the year, Iran, Russia,
played an increasingly important role in the Shanghai Turkey and the US all maintained a military presence
Cooperation Organisation, and Tehran organised a in the country, seeking to shape the battlefield,
well-attended meeting on the security of South and protect their partners and erode – if only tentatively at
Central Asia. One key question was whether China present – the position of adversaries, and ultimately
and Russia would fulfil Tehran’s ambitious defence- strengthen their position for a putative endgame.
procurement plans. Meanwhile, an agreement looked This made for a volatile landscape, with multiple
to have ended decades of tension in the Caspian Sea. military engagements taking place and a risk of
The rivalry between Saudi Arabia and the United broader escalation. Indeed, three distinct wars and
Arab Emirates on one side and Qatar on the other a mini-intervention are unfolding in the country
has led to scrutiny of these countries’ weapons simultaneously. Firstly, the last stage of the war
procurements, and the broader diplomatic factors between the now near-victorious regime of Syrian
that might underpin some of these. Saudi Arabia has President Bashar al-Assad and the remnants of the
pursued ambitious defence projects, ranging from rebellion threaten to cause yet more suffering for
Middle East and North Africa 323
the Syrian population, with the battle for heavily The US posture has changed over the year,
populated Idlib in sight. With the last rebel pockets reflecting the new focus of the Trump administration
falling in the south, around Damascus and in Homs, on containing and eventually forcing out Iran from
the regime proceeded in 2018 to consolidate its Syria. The Trump administration argued that a US
authority, forcing former rebels and others who presence was essential to ensure the enduring defeat
had fled conscription to join its ranks. Reflecting of ISIS and to disrupt Iran’s territorial reach and
the pressure that the regime’s army is under after operational freedom of action. The US armed forces
seven years of war, it was reported that amnesties have built more than a dozen operating bases across
were in place for those avoiding the draft, though the large territory from the Iraqi border to northwest
many Syrian youths still attempt to avoid service. A Syria and along the Euphrates River, and solidified
new framework to bring the various militias under the military partnership with Kurdish armed groups.
government control was put in place with Russian The degree of US involvement became clear when US
encouragement, and Moscow also undertook to troops, backed by substantial air assets, confronted
reorganise elements of the Syrian armed forces, a mix of Syrian militia forces and (it was reported)
reportedly including not just the ‘Tiger Force’ but also Russian private military contractors in Deir ez-Zor in
some division-level formations. February 2018; scores of Russians and Syrians were
Idlib became the focus of intense diplomacy in reported to have died.
mid- to late 2018. It was surrounded by regime and Reducing Iran’s footprint is also Israel’s priority.
allied militia forces intent on seizing the enclave, Israel has resigned itself to the return of Assad regime
vulnerable to Russian air attacks, and controlled by forces to southern Syria, but has sought Russian
a mix of mainstream rebel and jihadi groups. Though help to prevent Iranian and allied elements from
the regime would likely be able to capture Idlib with deploying close to its borders. Significantly, Israeli
assistance from Russia, it would in all probability be military officials disclosed that Israel had conducted
a costly operation. While the US remained principally over 200 attacks across Syria in recent years, revealing
Middle East
Idlib, the dilemma was most significant for Turkey. military activities in Syria. The targets included
Ankara was aware that its territory would likely weapons-storage facilities, missile-manufacturing
become the destination for new waves of refugees plants and key individuals. The damage to Iran’s
and be targeted by jihadi groups. Ultimately, cost military infrastructure in Syria seemed severe and
calculations in Ankara and Moscow led to an costly, though not irreparable given the commitment
arrangement to create a buffer zone between rebels that Iran seems to have to developing its presence in
in the province and government forces that was still Syria.
being negotiated at the time of writing. But Turkey Active military operations by so many powers in
was entangled in another conflict in Syria. In early such a small space has always meant that there was
2018, Ankara launched an intervention to capture a risk of accidents taking place; this is one reason
the northwest province of Afrin and expel Kurdish why Russia and the US established ‘deconfliction’
forces out of concern that they would support an procedures as far back as 2016, including a command-
insurgency inside Turkish territory. Though progress level hotline. In September, Syria’s air defences
was slow at first, Operation Olive Branch saw Turkish mistakenly shot down a Russian surveillance aircraft
forces take over the whole region in just over two shortly after an Israeli airstrike. Russia shortly
months, although Turkish troops, backed by Syrian afterwards transferred to Syria an S-300 air-defence
militias, then faced an active Kurdish insurgency system, potentially complicating Israel’s operational
and were criticised for some actions by human- freedom in Syria.
rights organisations. Meanwhile, in Syria’s northeast,
the coalition against Islamic State, also known as Yemen
ISIS or ISIL, proceeded to destroy the remaining The humanitarian toll from the war in Yemen means
military infrastructure of the jihadi group along the that not only does the war remain in the headlines,
Euphrates River Valley. However, ISIS reverted to its but there has been mounting criticism in Western
previous insurgent behaviour, taking advantage of states of their governments’ support for the Saudi-led
the absence of a state presence to harass local forces coalition. After two years of relatively static front
and populations. lines, a series of advances on the southwest coast
324 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
by UAE-backed forces signalled a new phase. UAE to 4.5%. Notably, Kuwait, Oman and Saudi Arabia,
forces and allied Yemeni factions (notably from forces which were all in recession in 2017, registered growth
loyal to former president Ali Abdullah Saleh, killed in in 2018. However, the Iranian economy contracted
December 2017 by his erstwhile Houthi allies) moved by 1.5% in 2018 and the IMF forecast that recession
to capture the port city of Hudaydah. Seizing the city would continue in 2019.
would disrupt Houthi tax revenues and weaken their In oil-exporting countries, this limited rebound was
hold over Sana’a and central Yemen. UN agencies explained by the recovery in energy prices. According
and many countries criticised the move, arguing it to the World Bank, the average price of crude oil rose
would only exacerbate the ongoing humanitarian from US$50.8 per barrel in 2015 to just over US$80
crisis. Temporary ceasefires were agreed and ideas per barrel in October 2018. This price was above, or
tabled for the management of the port by the UN, close to, most of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC)
but the lack of political progress inevitably led to a states’ fiscal break-even prices. Governments in the
resumption of the fighting. The security situation region nonetheless continued to implement fiscal-
in Aden, Taizz and elsewhere remained troubled, consolidation measures. For instance, Saudi Arabia
illustrating the difficulty facing the coalition and its and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) both introduced
local Yemeni allies in generating political stability and a 5% value-added tax (VAT) in 2018, while Bahrain
in reconstruction tasks. may introduce VAT in early 2019.
This occurred as criticism of the Saudi-led coalition Iran, however, did not benefit from the rebound
rose in Washington and elsewhere. Several coalition in oil prices as much as its neighbours. The US
airstrikes hit civilian targets, including hospitals announcement that it would reinstate sanctions on
and a school bus. While the Saudis eventually Iran weakened the rial against the dollar. As a result,
accepted responsibility for this attack, it changed inflation picked up again; it was estimated by the
the tone of the debate over the war, not least in the IMF to be 29.6% in 2018. US sanctions include an
US Congress. A non-binding resolution (invoking embargo on Iranian oil that took effect in November
the War Powers Act), was passed by the US Senate 2018, depriving Tehran of a key source of revenue.
in December. If enacted, it would remove US forces Iranian oil income as a share of total government
engaged in hostilities in Yemen (bar those on counter- revenue was estimated by the World Bank in 2016 at
terror missions), though it was likely to be vetoed by just above 33%. US sanctions will also restrict Iranian
the White House. In November, the US had ceased access to financing and investment from abroad. For
refuelling coalition aircraft. instance, despite European Union statements that it
For Riyadh, the war presents a challenge of would shield its member states’ companies from US
how, and whether, it is possible to declare victory.
Withdrawal, however, is unthinkable, not least
because the Houthis still fire missiles at Saudi Arabia ▼ Figure 21 North Africa defence expenditure 2017:
and anti-ship missiles at Saudi oil tankers in the Bab sub-regional breakdown
el-Mandeb Strait. Riyadh saw the latter as an Iranian
pressure tactic, as Iran faced a cut in oil exports. Tunisia, 4.9%
In parallel, the US and its allies continued their
fight against al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula.
Morocco
The number of special-forces operations and UAV 19.3%
Algeria, 52.7%
attacks increased, with some operations mounted in
cooperation with UAE forces, as well as local partners.
Mauritania
DEFENCE ECONOMICS 0.8%
Tunisia
Morocco Israel
Jordan Iraq
Iran
Algeria Kuwait
Libya Qatar
Egypt Bahrain
Saudi UAE
Arabia
Oman
Mauritania
Yemen
2018 Defence Spending (US$bn)
82.93
Real % Change (2017–18)
Between 3% and 10% increase
20 Between 0% and 3% increase
15 Between 0% and 3% decrease
10 [1] Map illustrating 2018 planned defence-spending levels (in US$ at market exchange rates)
5 Between 3% and 10% decrease as well as the annual real percentage change in planned defence spending between 2017 and
2018 (at constant 2010 prices and exchange rates). Percentage changes in defence spending
1 Between 10% and 20% decrease can vary considerably from year to year, as states revise the level of funding allocated to
defence. Changes indicated here highlight the short-term trend in planned defence spending
0.5
More than 20% decrease between 2017 and 2018. Actual spending changes prior to 2017, and projected spending levels
Estimate post-2018, are not reflected.
Insufficient data IISS
©
sanctions, European airlines had by late 2018 already instance, Saudi Arabia’s defence and security budget
withdrawn from Iran, as had Total, one of the world’s was first declared to be R288bn (US$76.8bn) for 2017,
Middle East
Among oil-importing states, growth was stronger As such, it is possible that the R311bn (US$82.9bn)
in North Africa than in the Levant. In Lebanon (which announced for 2018 might be an underestimate,
registered 1.0% real GDP growth in 2018) and Jordan only temporarily reducing the region’s military-
(2.3% in 2018), the effects of regional conflicts and expenditure totals. Fluctuating exchange rates also
political uncertainty negatively affected growth. contributed to the overall regional decline. For
However, Egypt’s financial situation has improved instance, Algeria projected a stable defence budget at
in recent years, with real GDP growth reaching D1.12 trillion for both 2017 and 2018, but this in fact
5.3% in 2018 (4.2% in 2017). Inflation slowed from meant a decrease in US-dollar terms, from US$10.1bn
23.5% in 2017 to 20.9% in 2018 and is forecast to fall to US$9.9bn. Similarly, the weakened Iranian rial
further to 14% in 2019, according to the IMF. Egypt’s meant Tehran’s defence spending declined (when
budget deficit also narrowed in 2018 through the
implementation of austerity measures, including the
increase in VAT and cuts in energy subsidies, and the ▼ Figure 22 Saudi Arabia defence expenditure as % of
country’s foreign reserves are being rebuilt. GDP
converted into dollars), from US$21.0bn in 2017 to laser-guided bombs to Saudi Arabia, the Spanish
US$19.6bn in 2018. authorities backtracked on this decision to try
Meanwhile, other countries are just spending and ensure, reports said, that the frigate deal was
less on defence. In Iraq, for example, total defence not jeopardised. This reflects the complexities for
and security spending declined by 10% in nominal European governments of selling weapons systems
terms, from D22.8trn (US$19.5bn) in 2017 to D20.4trn to Middle Eastern states. Similarly, although Sweden
(US$17.3bn) in 2018. This reduction can be explained, had introduced export-control regulations banning
in part, by the end of the military campaign against arms sales to non-democracies, Saab pursued
the Islamic State, also known as ISIS or ISIL. follow-on orders for the GlobalEye advanced airborne
Regional defence-spending totals are further early-warning and control aircraft sale to the UAE,
distorted by the fact that reliable data is unavailable and in late 2017 established a centre in Abu Dhabi to
for some countries, such as those in conflict (e.g., develop and produce sensor systems. Germany and
Libya and Syria) or countries with large budgets who Finland faced similar internal contradictions, with
do not publish budget figures (e.g., Qatar and the continued arms exports to the region despite political
UAE). In the latter countries, in particular Qatar, the announcements to the contrary.
list of procurement announcements in recent years Riyadh’s contract for Spanish frigates highlighted
suggests that there has been no reduction in defence the established trend in the Middle East whereby
expenditure. Furthermore, Qatar and the UAE have weapons procurements are supposed to also help
each extended their conscription requirements (from develop local production capacities. Launched in
three to 12 months and 12 to 16 months respectively), May 2017, Saudi Arabian Military Industries (SAMI)
which will likely increase military outlays. is at the forefront of procurement decisions in the
Qatar’s recent procurements have focused on Kingdom, with a mission to increase technology
combat aircraft. Having signed a deal for 36 Boeing transfers. The agreement for Avante 2200 frigates is
F-15 Eagles in December 2017 and 24 Eurofighter expected to generate 6,000 jobs over five years in Saudi
Typhoons that same month, Doha exercised an option Arabia, while a contract signed by Boeing and SAMI
for an additional 12 Dassault Rafales in March 2018, to develop a joint venture for military-helicopter
following the 2015 deal with France for a first batch maintenance is also expected to create 6,000 jobs.
of 24. Once these contracts are complete, Qatar will The new procurement system in Saudi Arabia has,
have 96 combat aircraft to replace its current fleet of however, disrupted traditional negotiating channels
12 Mirage 2000s. Qatar is not the only country in the for arms suppliers, as exemplified by the demise
region looking to modernise its combat-aircraft fleet. of France’s ODAS, an arms-brokering company
In June 2018, Bahrain signed a contract with Lockheed established in 1974. Paris and Riyadh agreed to
Martin for 16 F-16V Block 70 Fighting Falcons, while dismantle it and open up new channels.
Kuwait signed with Boeing for 28 F/A-18E/F Super Saudi Arabia’s procurement reforms were
Hornets. Kuwait had already signed a contract with modelled after the UAE’s, which has had success
Italy in April 2016 for 28 Typhoons. in developing its local defence-industrial base,
Saudi Arabia has embarked on a naval- including the creation of the Emirates Defence
modernisation programme. Key contracts signed Industries Company (EDIC) in 2014. EDIC is
in 2018 included Avante 2200 frigates from Spain’s headed by Luc Vigneron, former CEO of Thales,
Navantia, to be delivered by 2022; HSI 32 fast patrol while SAMI’s CEO is Andreas Schwer, former CEO
boats and Combattante FS56 guided-missile patrol of Rheinmetall. Qatar launched its own defence-
craft from France’s CMN; and Littoral Combat Ships procurement body, Barzan Holdings, during the
from the United States’ Lockheed Martin. These DIMDEX arms fair in March 2018. The organisation
procurements are expected to contribute to the Saudi is intended to lead on defence procurement in
Naval Expansion Programme (SNEP II), which aims Qatar and ensure that contracts include technology
to modernise the Kingdom’s Eastern Fleet. transfers benefiting Qatar’s economy. Barzan
Holdings rapidly signed a series of agreements with
Defence industry and markets major foreign defence companies, including, among
Opposition in Europe to arms sales to state parties others, with Raytheon on a new cyber academy; a
to the Yemen conflict complicated Navantia’s frigate joint venture with Kongsberg on defence technology,
contract with Saudi Arabia. After halting the sale of digitisation and the maritime industry; a joint venture
Middle East and North Africa 327
with Rheinmetall (Rheinmetall Barzan Advanced Iraqi Ministry of Defence and disbanded the Iraqi
Technologies); a joint venture with Turkey’s Aselsan armed forces: army, air force, navy, air-defence force,
to produce reconnaissance and surveillance systems; republican guard, special republican guard, and
and a letter of intent with Fincantieri for cooperation various other forces and paramilitaries. The effect
on coastal-defence surveillance. The vast array of of this was to remove the executive and leadership
suppliers and agreements reinforces the view that of Iraq’s defence and security institutions, and some
Qatar’s defence-procurement and defence-industrial 500,000 military personnel, from their duties.
strategy are motivated by diplomatic factors as well By August 2003, a US-led Coalition Military
as military imperatives. Assistance Training Team (CMATT) was training a
modest volunteer ‘New Iraqi Army’, consisting of an
IRAQ: REBUILDING THE ARMED FORCES initial nine battalions of a prospective three-infantry-
division force, to be formed within two years; a
Fifteen years after the invasion of Iraq in 2003, and coastal-defence force; and, later, a military-aviation
after multiple attempts at their effective reconstitution, arm. In March 2004, CPA order number 67 formed
Iraq’s security forces are still struggling to regain the the Iraqi Armed Forces, including air- and coastal-
necessary capabilities to take full responsibility for defence forces, and established a new ministry of
national security. The ostensible defeat in Iraq of the defence. Almost immediately, these forces faced
Islamic State, also known as ISIS or ISIL, may give developmental challenges that would persist in one
Baghdad a period of comparative stability, allowing form or another for the next ten years: short-term goals
for reflection on the lessons of the counter-ISIS (shaped if not imposed from outside the country);
campaign and time to plan for the development of concurrent capacity-building and fighting; and a
its armed forces and defence institutions. At least in variable purpose of counter-insurgency operations
the near term, NATO- and US-led capacity-building and national defence against external threats.
efforts continue, aimed at helping to produce
Middle East
effectiveness. Nonetheless, the September 2018 report By April 2004, the evolving Iraqi armed forces
by the lead inspector-general for Operation Inherent were failing to tackle a rising Sunni insurgency that
Resolve contained a stark assessment by the Pentagon: was taking hold across the country. The CMATT
it would take ‘years, if not decades’ until Iraq is able timetable for training the whole force – which was
to secure ‘enduring defeat’ of ISIS. still well under its intended strength – had already
In 2011, the Iraqi armed forces were ‘ready, been compressed from two years to one, and the
capable, and proven’, according to the architects of armed forces found themselves refocused on internal-
their reconstruction. Work had been under way for security tasks.
eight years at that point. However, three years later, During 2004–09, the large-scale creation of new
the new forces collapsed catastrophically in the face of armed forces took place alongside a nationwide
ISIS. In early 2014, operating principally from within counter-insurgency campaign. The supposed
Syria, ISIS had entered western Iraq and taken control advantages of cumulative, experiential improvement
of much of Anbar province. In June, they moved into were, however, less evident than continuous, short-
northern Iraq and advanced on Mosul. Within a week, term operational expediency and competing and
Iraq’s second city had been captured. Four divisions often overwhelming demands placed on senior
of Iraqi troops had been routed by, some estimated, decision-makers and military leaders.
1,500 ISIS fighters, while 500,000 civilians had been While the armed forces helped ensure that elections
displaced and the insurgents had advanced to within could be held at the end of January 2005, the force
150 kilometres of Baghdad. remained fragile. It had been increased in ambition,
by this time expanding to an authorised strength
First steps of ten divisions, but it was judged that only 40,000
In May 2003, the Coalition Provisional Authority troops were combat ready and that absenteeism ran
(CPA) that governed Iraq in the aftermath of the at some 40% of declared strength. Even embedding
Second Gulf War issued two orders. The first coalition ‘military transition teams’ across the army
removed the top tiers of all ministries of state, in an down to brigade level from the spring of that year
act of ‘de-Ba’athification’. The second dissolved the failed to generate the necessary rate of improvement.
328 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
In 2008, the further-expanded Iraqi armed forces security-sector reform were incomplete and that –
enjoyed some notable successes, such as the first once unsupported – decline was always more likely
‘independent’ division-level operation to resecure than continuing growth. It has also been asserted
Basra in March. However, more generally, Iraqi that because the Iraqi armed forces were rebuilt to
military achievements, capacity and self-reliance a Western design (assuming all-arms cooperation,
tended during this period to be exaggerated. with systematic logistics and sustainment) and based
Although levels of violence in Iraq had decreased upon Western doctrine and concepts (such as mission
significantly by 2010–11, the withdrawal of US command and delegated authority), which were not
combat troops by the end of 2011 was premature. integral to Iraqi military culture, such developments
Senior Iraqi military leaders were reported at the time were unlikely to be self-perpetuating.
to be expecting US support to remain in place for a Fundamental to the armed forces’ decline and
further decade. eventual collapse in 2014 was the political malaise
under the regime of then-prime minister Nouri
The 2014 collapse al-Maliki. Firstly, endemic corruption undermined
The failure of defence executive, institutional, significant aspects of military capability: ghost
managerial and support functions to develop soldiers, salaried but not recruited, concealed large-
adequately since 2003 came into sharp focus in 2014. scale undermanning; funds for combat supplies and
Across the armed forces, combat capabilities had equipment sustainment were redirected, so that
attracted greater attention and resources than combat the actual capability of units was much less than
support or service support. While the army had most it should have been, or appeared to be. Secondly,
of its main battle tanks, less than half of its artillery command of the armed forces, and their deployment
and logistical requirements had been met, with and employment, became increasingly sectarian. Shia
the US covering the shortfall. Priority also tended loyalists replaced Sunni and Kurdish professionals in
to be afforded to operational needs rather than to positions of authority, and the armed forces became
the higher management of defence. Imbalanced instrumental in political control. Their legitimacy,
capability and the defence ministry’s lack of expertise as well as their effectiveness in terms of defence and
or experience meant the forces were less robust security, was duly eroded.
and resilient than their scale suggested. Gradually
escalating insecurity and diminishing morale were Present day
exacerbated by suspicions of corruption and political The rebuilding of Iraq’s armed forces since 2014
and ethnic sectarianism. has again proceeded with international support.
But it was their precipitate collapse in northern Iraq However, defence capacity-building in Iraq today
in June 2014 and their powerlessness to prevent ISIS’s has a substantial security-sector reform component,
march south towards Baghdad that demonstrated suggesting that past shortcomings in this area may
unequivocally the Iraqi armed forces’ inability to now receive the attention they deserve. However,
secure their borders and, once breached, to defend challenges remain relating to the type of force Iraq
the country. needs for a conventional military role. While the force
Failure has been attributed to a range of factors. needs to consider the transition to performing new
There were evident shortcomings at the tactical level. roles, day-to-day internal-security taskings continue:
In the defence of Mosul, some military commanders a 2018 report by the US Department of Defense
underperformed and low morale saw troops flee in assessed that ISIS had transitioned into a ‘clandestine
large numbers rather than fight. While these may be insurgency’ in Iraq.
proximate causes, the extent and magnitude of the Some of the tactics employed by Iraq’s armed
collapse resulted from a lack of requisite fighting forces in the battle for Mosul in 2017 demonstrated
power. Physically, the armed forces were not capable impressive adaptability under fire, such as when
of conducting autonomous medium- or high-intensity armoured plant machinery was used in street-to-
operations. Even at the point when the US had left street fighting to counter flanking vehicle-borne
the country two years earlier, so-called independent improvised-explosive-device (IED) attacks, allowing
Iraqi operations were still reliant on US airpower, the main force to proceed. Yet significant challenges
intelligence and sustainment. It has been argued that remain not just in shaping the strategic direction of the
the reconstruction of the armed forces and wider armed forces, but also in terms of their organisation.
Middle East and North Africa 329
For instance, the future of the Shia-dominated Deficiencies in intelligence mean that the
Popular Mobilisation Units, the set of paramilitary Iraqi forces remain ‘years, if not decades’ away
forces that were greatly empowered during the drive from ending reliance on coalition support in this
to oust ISIS from Iraq, is unclear. These groups and area. Foreign troops remain engaged on military-
their leaders are viewed in the region as proxies for assistance tasks, including some 5,000 US personnel.
Iranian influence. Reports persist that the units are In mid-2018, NATO committed at its Brussels Summit
positioning for a more formal political role in Iraq, to build on its years of assistance to post-Saddam Iraq
which might complicate any move to disarm or by launching a Canadian-led training and capacity-
totally integrate them into the Iraqi armed forces. building mission, which began operations in late
Questions also continue over the status of Kurdish 2018. It is likely, given the factors identified by the
forces in Iraq’s north. These troops were integral to Operation Inherent Resolve inspector-general, that
holding back the advance of ISIS in the north and Iraq’s armed forces will continue to require military
then, after coalition training and military assistance, and security assistance for some time yet.
taking part in combat operations in coordination with
the main offensive by coalition troops and the Iraqi GULF REGION: TRAINING AND
security forces. SUSTAINABILITY
The overall aim is to produce non-sectarian,
politically neutral Iraqi armed forces. The army- In March 2015, a Saudi-led coalition intervened in
linked, elite Counter Terrorism Service (CTS) Yemen under a United Nations mandate to support
reportedly ‘enjoys legal autonomy’ but may President Abd Rabbo Mansour Hadi. Much of the
provide a model for some aspects of ‘force health’ coalition’s military activity has been conducted from
that are vital for the future of the armed forces. For the air, but the armed forces of the United Arab
example, their relative success in recruiting and Emirates have conducted conventional and hybrid
retention likely results from their combat record operations over complex terrain and with extended
Middle East
and then being in the vanguard of the campaign to securing their border with Yemen over extended
recapture Mosul in 2017. The stress on developing internal supply lines, while maritime and air-defence
unit cohesion within the basic and special-to-arm forces have also been engaged. Neither Saudi Arabia
training process could be a lesson, as could the nor the UAE seemed prepared for this type of conflict
reported practice within the CTS of randomly in that neither had a defence policy based on a
assigning personnel to special-operations battalions clearly defined threat – at least one that was publicly
across Iraq. A challenge for the CTS and its Western accessible – and certainly not one that discussed a
training partners will be in diffusing such lessons regional intervention. As a result, the equipment,
across the wider force, so that the CTS becomes training, doctrine and logistics priorities that
a model for other elements and is not alone in might be associated with tasks such as intervention
attracting the best recruits. operations were, analysts understand, not in place.
Overall, the challenges for the Iraqi armed forces Equipment inventories and training programmes
remain stark. New military systems have been were geared more towards conventional war fighting,
introduced in recent years, ranging from M1A1 main while exercises tended to be short and culminate in
battle tanks to F-16 combat aircraft, but according to a set-piece and heavily rehearsed final ‘serial’. The
the US, composition of some of the region’s armed forces
is also significant: the Saudi armed forces comprise
systemic weaknesses remain, many of which Saudi nationals, but the armed forces of the UAE
are the same deficiencies that enabled the rise and Qatar, for example, are not only smaller but
of ISIS in 2014. The ISF continues to suffer from in the main also have larger numbers of serving
poor management of intelligence; corruption non-nationals, usually in the ranks, alongside Emirati
and ‘ghost soldiers’; overlapping command or Qatari officers.
arrangements with conflicting chains of
command; micromanagement; and inefficient United Arab Emirates
and inadequate systems for planning and While operations in Yemen are overall conducted
transmitting orders. by the Saudi-led coalition, some analysts argue that
330 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
the UAE’s armed forces are those that have been supported by former service personnel from other
engaged in many of the ground operations, while countries. Among other things, it is intended to
also demonstrating maturity in the air environment. engender an intelligence-driven and capability-based
For the UAE, the ability to mount and maintain culture. Progress is reportedly slow, partly due to
these missions derives from its early investment in bureaucratic factors but also because the experience to
developing military experience, and in particular run a ministry of defence cannot be created overnight.
human capital, through the deployment of Emirati There is also the regular distraction (or attraction)
military units to Afghanistan, Kosovo and Somalia; of cutting-edge capabilities, which sometimes
long-standing training courses (including training overshadows the need to get the best from the people
aimed at improving air–ground integration); and and equipment already in service. While there may be
a number of programmes that engaged foreign a strong case for obtaining the support of individuals
advisers. Notably, these programmes included the and organisations with current operational skills in
engagement in 2009 of former Australian Special order to improve support functions, this tends to be
Forces commander Major-General Mike Hindmarsh less eye-catching.
as an adviser and commander of the Presidential
Guard and, more recently, appointing retired US Saudi Arabia
Army Lieutenant-Colonel Stephen Toumajan as Saudi Arabia has experienced a different set of
a UAE major-general to run the Joint Aviation challenges. With the exception, analysts assert, of
Command (JAC). pockets of good practice in the Royal Saudi Air Force
It is understood that there are now substantial (RSAF) through extended training and engagement
numbers of retired expatriate advisers, instructors with the United Kingdom and the United States, the
and aviators in both of these Emirati organisations, lack of investment in people and support capabilities
whose presence is creating small and growing has probably been the main overall lesson from
pockets of expertise. In addition, the formation of the current operations. Although the Saudi focus on the
Emirates Defence Industries Corporation (EDIC) as air domain in Yemen may indicate confidence that
an ‘umbrella’ organisation (both for the manufacture airpower will lead to the defeat of the Houthis, it may
and support of defence equipment) has the potential equally indicate a lack of confidence in land forces.
to be a further step towards the generation of a The land forces had a previous encounter with Houthi
defence sector able to support modern operational forces in 2009 but it is unclear what, if any, lessons were
armed forces. There is a growing capacity for learned. On the surface, an investment equivalent to
logistics support and sustainability through defence that made by the UAE in its deployments has been
firms such as AMMROC, EDIC MRO Land, and absent. At the pilot level, there are skilled operators,
Global Aviation Logistics, but political factors reflecting that the RSAF has trained to positive effect
and a lack of institutional experience can act as a with UK, US and NATO member states’ air forces,
brake. For instance, it is unclear whether the armed but as far as can be observed there is little depth in
forces have developed the ability to act as a truly essential supporting capabilities.
‘intelligent customer’, such that the organisation However, analysts consider that realisation of
clearly understands the work it may actually require these limitations has led to an ambitious defence-
of the contractor and is able to critically review the reform programme that is intended to have training
contractor’s performance. Analysts also consider and sustainability at its core. The programme – led
that there may be inexperience in output-based by a transformation management office (TMO)
contracting, where the focus is on the actual delivery comprising hand-picked and experienced Saudi
of a service or capability (such as the number of hours nationals, alongside consultants – is intended to
a maintained aircraft is able to remain operational ensure that human resources and a strong central
before its next service), as opposed to the physical ministry of defence are at the heart of the reform
aspects of a support contract (such as the hours spent programme. The initiative to create the post of
on servicing), as well as inexperience in managing Assistant Minister of Defence for Executive Affairs
large fleets, particularly when they are as diverse as is intended to bring private-sector experience and
the JAC’s aviation inventory. rigour to the development of the defence ministry’s
A defence-planning reform programme is enabling functions. Khalid al-Bayari, formerly CEO
under way in the UAE, driven by consultants and of Saudi Telecom Company, was appointed to the
Middle East and North Africa 331
post in February 2018. Work has simultaneously been expenditure on training amounts to handfuls of
under way to identify the personnel best suited to this individual and group hires, often of retired expatriate
new structure; more than 500 officers went through military personnel. These personnel work in silos
an assessment centre and are expected to move to directed by senior officers, few of whom have
new posts in the coming months. In parallel, the TMO experience in front-line units or on operations.
is involved in some 300 initiatives, spread over the By comparison, the authorities in Oman have
next ten years, including extensive training reform quietly created a solid base from which to grow
and improved readiness and cost-effectiveness. Here, their military capability. Working substantially
lessons might be derived from the UAE programme, with a single partner through a government-to-
where analysts considered that the experience of government arrangement, as Muscat has done
expatriate military professionals could provide with the UK, may not suit other countries, but the
insights and benefits that complement the work of durability of the Oman–UK relationship should not
consultants. be underestimated: it may be possible to buy the time
of advisers and trainers, but commitment to defence
Other states reform is required over the long term. Operations in
Meanwhile, the past three years have seen significant Yemen have highlighted the importance of human
investment by Qatar in new defence equipment. At capital and logistics: well-trained and experienced
least on the surface, this investment seems to give people are central to progress, with the ability to
little thought to integration or support. At a time sustain both forces and equipment close behind.
when many other nations are looking to rationalise Improving this may well require carefully selected
equipment and introduce more multi-role platforms advisers sharing their experience, but it also requires
to ease support demands, Qatar is broadening its an open-minded client with the patience to listen,
inventory. By contrast, observers understand that learn, accrue experience and drive change.
a period in 2017–18, Bahrain commanded Combined Task Force SURFACE-TO-SURFACE MISSILE LAUNCHERS
151, focused on countering piracy and other armed criminality SRBM • Conventional MGM-140A ATACMS (launched
at sea – the first time a GCC nation had assumed command of a from M270 MLRS)
CTF outside the Arabian Gulf. In a major enhancement to Bahrain’s AIR DEFENCE
air mobility, it has bought ex-UK C-130J transport aircraft. As part SAM
of a major air-force modernisation, Bahrain intends to buy F-16V
Medium-range 6 MIM-23B I-Hawk
fighters and to upgrade its existing F-16C/Ds to that configura-
Short-range 7 Crotale
tion. The armed forces have their own maintenance support, but
Bahrain has little in the way of a defence-industrial base beyond Point-defence FIM-92 Stinger; RBS-70
the limited naval-ship maintenance support provided by the Arab GUNS 24: 35mm 12 Oerlikon; 40mm 12 L/70
Shipbuilding and Repair Yard.
Navy 700
ACTIVE 8,200 (Army 6,000 Navy 700 Air 1,500) EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Paramilitary 11,260 PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS 1
FRIGATES • FFGHM 1 Sabha (ex-US Oliver Hazard
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE Perry) with 1 Mk13 GMLS with SM-1MR SAM/RGM-
84C Harpoon AShM, 2 triple 324mm Mk32 ASTT with
Army 6,000 Mk46 LWT, 1 Phalanx Block 1B CIWS, 1 76mm gun
(capacity 1 Bo-105 hel)
FORCES BY ROLE
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 12
SPECIAL FORCES
CORVETTES • FSG 2 Al Manama (GER Lurssen 62m)
1 SF bn
with 2 twin lnchr with MM40 Exocet AShM, 2 76mm
MANOEUVRE
guns, 1 hel landing platform
Armoured
PCFG 4 Ahmed el Fateh (GER Lurssen 45m) with 2 twin
1 armd bde(-) (1 recce bn, 2 armd bn) lnchr with MM40 Exocet AShM, 1 76mm gun
Mechanised PB 4: 2 Al Jarim (US Swift FPB-20); 2 Al Riffa (GER Lurssen
1 inf bde (2 mech bn, 1 mot bn) 38m)
Light PBF 2 Mk V SOC
1 (Amiri) gd bn AMPHIBIOUS • LANDING CRAFT 9
COMBAT SUPPORT
Middle East
1 arty bde (1 hvy arty bty, 2 med arty bty, 1 lt arty bty, LCVP 2 Sea Keeper
1 MRL bty)
1 engr coy Naval Aviation
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
1 log coy HELICOPTERS • TPT • Light 2 Bo-105
1 tpt coy
1 med coy Air Force 1,500
AIR DEFENCE
FORCES BY ROLE
1 AD bn (1 ADA bty, 2 SAM bty) FIGHTER
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE 2 sqn with F-16C/D Fighting Falcon
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
MBT 180 M60A3 1 sqn with F-5E/F Tiger II
RECCE 22 AML-90 TRANSPORT
IFV 67: 25 YPR-765 PRI; 42 AIFV-B-C25 1 (Royal) flt with B-727; B-747; BAe-146; Gulfstream
APC 203+ II; Gulfstream IV; Gulfstream 450; Gulfstream 550;
APC (T) 203: 200 M113A2; 3 AIFV-B S-92A
APC (W) Arma 6×6 TRAINING
AUV M-ATV 1 sqn with Hawk Mk129*
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES 1 sqn with T-67M Firefly
ARV 53 Fahd 240 ATTACK HELICOPTER
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE 2 sqn with AH-1E/F Cobra; TAH-1P Cobra
MSL TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
SP 5 AIFV-B-Milan; HMMWV with BGM-71A TOW 1 sqn with Bell 212 (AB-212)
MANPATS BGM-71A TOW; Kornet-EM 1 sqn with UH-60M Black Hawk
RCL 31: 106mm 25 M40A1; 120mm 6 MOBAT 1 (VIP) sqn with Bo-105; S-70A Black Hawk; UH-60L
ARTILLERY 161 Black Hawk
SP 82: 155mm 20 M109A5; 203mm 62 M110A2 EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
TOWED 36: 105mm 8 L118 Light Gun; 155mm 28 M198 AIRCRAFT 38 combat capable
MRL 13: 122mm 4 SR5; 227mm 9 M270 MLRS FTR 12: 8 F-5E Tiger II; 4 F-5F Tiger II
MOR 30: 81mm 18: 12 L16; 6 EIMOS; SP 120mm 12 FGA 20: 16 F-16C Block 40 Fighting Falcon; 4 F-16D Block
M113A2 40 Fighting Falcon
336 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Middle East
27 med bn Harpoon Block II AShM/DM2A4/SeaHake Mod 4 HWT
PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS 9
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
DESTROYERS • DDGHM 1 Tahya Misr (FRA Aquitaine)
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
with 2 quad lnchr with MM40 Exocet Block 3 AShM, 2
MBT 2,480: 1,130 M1A1 Abrams; 300 M60A1; 850 M60A3;
octuple A43 VLS with Aster 15 SAM, 2 twin B515 324mm
200 T-62 (840 T-54/T-55; 300 T-62 all in store)
RECCE 412: 300 BRDM-2; 112 Commando Scout ASTT with MU90 LWT, 1 76mm gun (capacity 1 med hel)
IFV 405+: 390 YPR-765 25mm; 15+ BMP-1 (205 BMP-1 in FRIGATES 9
store) FFGHM 5:
APC 4,701+ 4 Alexandria (ex-US Oliver Hazard Perry) with 1 Mk13
APC (T) 2,700: 2,000 M113A2/YPR-765 (incl variants); GMLS with RGM-84C Harpoon AShM/SM-1MP
500 BTR-50; 200 OT-62 SAM, 2 triple 324mm ASTT with Mk 46 LWT, 1 Mk
APC (W) 1,560: 250 BMR-600P; 250 BTR-60; 410 Fahd- 15 Phalanx CIWS, 1 76mm gun (capacity 2 SH-2G
30/TH 390 Fahd; 650 Walid Super Seasprite ASW hel)
PPV 441+: 92 Caiman; some REVA III; some REVA V 1 El Fateh (Gowind 2500) with 2 quad lnchrs with
LWB; 349 RG-33L (incl 89 amb) MM40 Exocet Block 3 AShM, 1 16-cell VLS with
AUV 95+: Panthera T6; 95+ Sherpa Light Scout VL-MICA SAM, 2 triple 324mm ASTT with MU90
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES LWT, 1 76mm gun (capacity 1 med hel)
ARV 367+: Fahd 240; BMR 3560.55; 12 Maxxpro ARV; 220 FFGH 2 Damyat (ex-US Knox) with 1 octuple Mk16
M88A1; 90 M88A2; M113 ARV; 45 M578; T-54/55 ARV GMLS with RGM-84C Harpoon AShM/ASROC, 2
VLB KMM; MTU; MTU-20 twin 324mm Mk 32 TT with Mk 46 LWT, 1 Mk 15
MW Aardvark JFSU Mk4 Phalanx CIWS, 1 127mm gun (capacity 1 SH-2G
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE • MSL Super Seasprite ASW hel)
SP 352+: 52 M901, 300 YPR-765 PRAT; HMMWV with FFG 2 Najim Al Zaffer (PRC Jianghu I) with 2 twin lnchr
TOW-2 with HY-2 (CH-SS-N-2 Safflower) AShM, 4 RBU 1200
MANPATS 9K11 Malyutka (AT-3 Sagger) (incl BRDM-2); A/S mor, 2 twin 57mm guns
HJ-73; Milan; TOW-2 PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 61
ARTILLERY 4,468 CORVETTES 7
SP 492+: 122mm 124+: 124 SP 122; D-30 mod; 130mm FSGM 6:
M-46 mod; 155mm 368: 164 M109A2; 204 M109A5 2 Abu Qir (ESP Descubierta – 1†) with 2 quad Mk141
TOWED 962: 122mm 526: 190 D-30M; 36 M-1931/37; 300 lnchr with RGM-84C Harpoon AShM, 1 octuple
M-30; 130mm 420 M-46; 155mm 16 GH-52 Albatros lnchr with Aspide SAM, 2 triple Mk32
338 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
324mm ASTT with Sting Ray LWT, 1 twin 375mm Coastal Defence
A/S mor, 1 76mm gun Army tps, Navy control
4 Ezzat (US Ambassador IV) with 2 quad lnchr with
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
RGM-84L Harpoon Block II AShM, 1 21-cell Mk49
COASTAL DEFENCE
lnchr with RAM Block 1A SAM, 1 Mk15 Mod 21
Block 1B Phalanx CIWS 1 76mm gun ARTY 100mm; 130mm SM-4-1; 152mm
FS 1 Shabab Misr (ex-RoK Po Hang) with 2 76mm guns AShM 4K87 (SS-C-2B Samlet); Otomat MkII
PCFG 12:
Naval Aviation
1 Molnya (RUS Tarantul IV) with 2 twin lnchr with
All aircraft operated by Air Force
3M80E Moskit (SS-N-22 Sunburn), 2 AK630 CIWS, 1
76mm gun AIRCRAFT • TPT • Light 4 Beech 1900C (maritime
6 Ramadan with 4 single lnchr with Otomat MkII AShM, surveillance)
1 76mm gun HELICOPTERS
5 Tiger with 2 twin lnchr with MM38 Exocet AShM, 1 ASW 10 SH-2G Super Seasprite with Mk 46 LWT
76mm gun MRH 5 SA342L Gazelle
PCC 5: UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES
5 Al-Nour (ex-PRC Hainan – 3 more in reserve†) with 2 ISR • Light 2 S-100 Camcopter
triple 324mm TT, 4 RBU 1200 A/S mor, 2 twin 57mm
guns
Coast Guard 2,000
PBFG 17: EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
4 Hegu (PRC – Komar type) with 2 single lnchr with PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 79
SY-1 AShM (2 additional vessels in reserve) PBF 14: 6 Crestitalia; 5 Swift Protector; 3 Peterson
5 October (FSU Komar – 1†) with 2 single lnchr with PB 65: 5 Nisr; 12 Sea Spectre MkIII; 15 Swiftships; 21
Otomat MkII AShM (1 additional vessel in reserve) Timsah; 3 Type-83; 9 Peterson
8 Osa I (ex-YUG – 3†) with 1 9K32 Strela-2 (SA-N-5
Grail) SAM (manual aiming), 4 single lnchr with Air Force 30,000 (incl 10,000 conscript)
P-15 Termit (SS-N-2A Styx) AShM FORCES BY ROLE
PBFM 4: FIGHTER
4 Shershen (FSU) with 1 9K32 Strela-2 (SA-N-5 Grail) 1 sqn with F-16A/B Fighting Falcon
SAM (manual aiming), 1 12-tube BM-24 MRL 8 sqn with F-16C/D Fighting Falcon
PBF 10: 1 sqn with J-7
6 Kaan 20 (TUR MRTP 20) 3 sqn with MiG-21 Fishbed/MiG-21U Mongol A
4 Osa II (ex-FIN) 2 sqn with Mirage 5D/E
PB 6: 1 sqn with Mirage 2000B/C
4 Shanghai II (PRC) FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
2 Shershen (FSU – 1†) with 4 single 533mm TT, 1 8-tube
1 sqn with Mirage 5E2
BM-21 MRL
1 sqn (forming) with Rafale DM
MINE WARFARE • MINE COUNTERMEASURES 14
1 sqn (forming) with MiG-29M/M2 Fulcrum
MHC 5: 2 Al Siddiq (ex-US Osprey); 3 Dat Assawari (US
ANTI-SUBMARINE WARFARE
Swiftships)
1 sqn with SH-2G Super Seasprite
MSI 2 Safaga (US Swiftships)
MARITIME PATROL
MSO 7: 3 Assiout (FSU T-43 class); 4 Aswan (FSU Yurka)
1 sqn with Beech 1900C
AMPHIBIOUS 20
ELECTRONIC WARFARE
PRINCIPAL AMPHIBIOUS SHIPS • LHD 2 Gamal
Abdel Nasser (FRA Mistral) (capacity 16 med hel; 2 LCT 1 sqn with Beech 1900 (ELINT); Commando Mk2E (ECM)
or 4 LCM; 13 MBTs; 50 AFVs; 450 troops) ELECTRONIC WARFARE/TRANSPORT
LANDING SHIPS • LSM 3 Polnochny A (FSU) (capacity 1 sqn with C-130H/VC-130H Hercules
6 MBT; 180 troops) AIRBORNE EARLY WARNING
LANDING CRAFT 15: 1 sqn with E-2C Hawkeye
LCM 13: 4 CTM NG; 9 Vydra (FSU) (capacity either 3 SEARCH & RESCUE
MBT or 200 troops) 1 unit with AW139
LCT 2 EDA-R TRANSPORT
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 24 1 sqn with An-74TK-200A
AOT 7 Ayeda (FSU Toplivo – 1 additional in reserve) 1 sqn with C-130H/C-130H-30 Hercules
AE 1 Halaib (ex-GER Westerwald-class) 1 sqn with C295M
AKR 3 Al Hurreya 1 sqn with DHC-5D Buffalo
AR 1 Shaledin (ex-GER Luneberg-class) 1 sqn with B-707-366C; B-737-100; Beech 200 Super
ARS 2 Al Areesh King Air; Falcon 20; Gulfstream III; Gulfstream IV;
ATF 5 Al Maks† (FSU Okhtensky) Gulfstream IV-SP
AX 5: 1 El Fateh† (ex-UK ‘Z’ class); 1 El Horriya (also used TRAINING
as the presidential yacht); 1 Al Kousser; 1 Intishat; 1 1 sqn with Alpha Jet*
other 1 sqn with DHC-5 Buffalo
Middle East and North Africa 339
Middle East
Air; 4 Beech 1900 (ELINT); 4 Beech 1900C; 24 C295M; Paramilitary ε397,000 active
9 DHC-5D Buffalo (being withdrawn) PAX 11: 1 B-707-
366C; 3 Falcon 20; 2 Gulfstream III; 1 Gulfstream IV; 4 Central Security Forces ε325,000
Gulfstream IV-SP Ministry of Interior; includes conscripts
TRG 329: 36 Alpha Jet*; 54 EMB-312 Tucano; 74 Grob ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
115EG; 120 K-8 Karakorum*; 10 L-39 Albatros; 35 L-59E* APC • APC (W) Walid
HELICOPTERS AUV Sherpa Light Scout
ATK 57+: 45 AH-64D Apache; 12+ Ka-52A Hokum B
ASW 10 SH-2G Super Seasprite (opcon Navy)
National Guard ε60,000
ELINT 4 Commando Mk2E (ECM) Lt wpns only
MRH 72: 2 AW139 (SAR); 65 SA342K Gazelle (some with FORCES BY ROLE
HOT); 5 SA342L Gazelle (opcon Navy) MANOEUVRE
TPT 96: Heavy 19: 3 CH-47C Chinook; 16 CH-47D Other
Chinook; Medium 77: 2 AS-61; 24 Commando (of which 8 paramilitary bde (cadre) (3 paramilitary bn)
3 VIP); 40 Mi-8T Hip; 3 Mi-17-1V Hip; 4 S-70 Black Hawk EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
(VIP); 4 UH-60L Black Hawk (VIP) ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
APC • APC
TRG 17 UH-12E (W) 250 Walid
UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES
CISR • Heavy 4+ Wing Loong (GJ-1) Border Guard Forces ε12,000
ISR • Medium R4E-50 Skyeye Ministry of Interior; lt wpns only
AIR LAUNCHED MISSILES FORCES BY ROLE
AAM • IR R-3 (AA-2 Atoll)‡; AIM-9M/P Sidewinder; MANOEUVRE
R-550 Magic; 9M39 Igla-V; IIR Mica IR; ARH Mica RF; Other
SARH AIM-7E/F/M Sparrow; R-530 18 Border Guard regt
ASM AGM-65A/D/F/G Maverick; AGM-114F/K Hellfire;
AS-30L; HOT; AKD-10 (LJ-7); 9M120 Ataka (AT-9 DEPLOYMENT
Spiral-2)
AShM AGM-84L Harpoon Block II; AM39 Exocet; CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC: UN • MINUSCA 1,015; 9
ARM Armat; Kh-25MP (AS-12 Kegler) obs; 1 inf bn; 1 tpt coy
BOMBS DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO: UN •
Laser-guided GBU-10/12 Paveway II MONUSCO 155; 16 obs; 1 SF coy
340 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
LIBERIA: UN • UNMIL 2 obs a network of non-state groups, such as Hizbullah and Houthi
forces. The armed forces are numerous by regional standards and
MALI: UN • MINUSMA 327; 3 obs; 2 sy coy; 1 MP coy
its personnel are reasonably well trained, with some benefiting
SAUDI ARABIA: Operation Restoring Hope 6 F-16C Fighting from operational experience. The IRGC’s Quds Force is a principal
Falcon element of Iran’s military power abroad, while elements of the
Basij militia also play a foreign role. The regular navy has limited
SOUTH SUDAN: UN • UNMISS 1; 2 obs
power-projection capabilities, while the IRGC navy is responsible
SUDAN: UN • UNAMID 854; 20 obs; 1 inf bn for maritime security close to home. The armed forces struggle
WESTERN SAHARA: UN • MINURSO 18 obs with an ageing inventory of primary combat equipment that inge-
nuity and asymmetric-warfare techniques can only partially offset.
China and Russia are potentially major suppliers. Tehran procured
FOREIGN FORCES from Russia what is believed to be the S-300PMU2 (SA-20 Gargoyle)
Australia MFO (Operation Mazurka) 27 long-range SAM system. In regional terms, Iran has a well-devel-
oped defence-industrial base, which has displayed the capacity to
Canada MFO 68 support and sustain equipment. Key sectors continue to develop,
Colombia MFO 275; 1 inf bn including missiles and guided weapons, but the defence indus-
Czech Republic MFO 18; 1 C295M try is still incapable of meeting the need for modern weapons
Fiji MFO 170; elm 1 inf bn systems.
France MFO 1 ACTIVE 523,000 (Army 350,000 Islamic
Italy MFO 78; 3 PB Revolutionary Guard Corps 125,000 Navy 18,000 Air
New Zealand MFO 26; 1 trg unit; 1 tpt unit 30,000) Paramilitary 40,000
Norway MFO 3 Armed Forces General Staff coordinates two parallel organisations:
United Kingdom MFO 2 the regular armed forces and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard
United States MFO 454; elm 1 ARNG recce bn; 1 ARNG Corps
spt bn (1 EOD coy, 1 medical coy, 1 hel coy) Conscript liability 18–21 months (reported, with variations depend-
Uruguay MFO 41 1 engr/tpt unit ing on location in which service is performed)
Middle East
M-46; 152mm 30 D-20; 155mm 205: 120 GHN-45; 70
M114; 15 Type-88 WAC-21; 203mm 20 M115 EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
MRL 1,476+: 107mm 1,300: 700 Type-63; 600 HASEB Fadjr In addition to the vessels listed, the IRGC operates a
1; 122mm 157: 7 BM-11; 100 BM-21 Grad; 50 Arash/Hadid/ substantial number of patrol boats with a full-load dis-
Noor; 240mm 19+: ε10 Fadjr 3; 9 M-1985; 330mm Fadjr 5 placement below 10 tonnes, including ε40 Boghammar-
MOR 3,000: 81mm; 82mm; 107mm M30; 120mm M-65 class vessels and small Bavar-class wing-in-ground effect
SURFACE-TO-SURFACE MISSILE LAUNCHERS air vehicles
SRBM • Conventional ε30 CH-SS-8 (175 msl); Shahin-1/ PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 126
Shahin-2; Nazeat; Oghab PBFG 56:
AIRCRAFT • TPT 17 Light 16: 10 Cessna 185; 2 F-27 5 C14 with 2 twin lnchr with C-701 (Kosar)/C-704
Friendship; 4 Turbo Commander 690; PAX 1 Falcon 20 (Nasr) AShM
HELICOPTERS 10 Mk13 with 2 single lnchr with C-704 (Nasr) AShM,
ATK 50 AH-1J Cobra 2 single 324mm TT
TPT 167: Heavy ε20 CH-47C Chinook; Medium 69: 49 10 Thondor (PRC Houdong) with 2 twin lnchr with
Bell 214; 20 Mi-171; Light 78: 68 Bell 205A (AB-205A); 10 C-802A (Ghader) AShM, 2 twin AK230 CIWS
Bell 206 Jet Ranger (AB-206) 25 Peykaap II (IPS-16 mod) with 2 single lnchr with
UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES C-701 (Kosar) AShM/C-704 (Nasr), 2 single 324mm
HELICOPTERS TT
CISR • Medium Shahed 129 6 Zolfaghar (Peykaap III/IPS-16 mod) with 2 single
ISR • Medium Mohajer 3/4; Light Mohajer 2; Ababil lnchr with C-701 (Kosar)/C-704 (Nasr) AShM
AIR DEFENCE PBFT 15 Peykaap I (IPS -16) with 2 single 324mm TT
SAM PBF 35: 15 Kashdom II; 10 Tir (IPS-18); ε10 Pashe
Short-range FM-80 (MIG-G-1900)
Point-defence 9K36 Strela-3 (SA-14 Gremlin); 9K32 PB ε20 Ghaem
Strela-2 (SA-7 Grail)‡; Misaq 1 (QW-1 Vanguard); Misaq AMPHIBIOUS
2 (QW-18); 9K338 Igla-S (SA-24 Grinch) (reported); LANDING SHIPS • LST 3 Hormuz 24 (Hejaz design
HN-5A for commercial use)
GUNS 1,122 LANDING CRAFT • LCT 2 Hormuz 21 (minelaying
SP 180: 23mm 100 ZSU-23-4; 57mm 80 ZSU-57-2 capacity)
TOWED 942+: 14.5mm ZPU-2; ZPU-4; 23mm 300 ZU- LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT • AP 3 Naser
23-2; 35mm 92 GDF-002; 37mm M-1939; 40mm 50 L/70; COASTAL DEFENCE • AShM C-701 (Kosar); C-704
57mm 200 S-60; 85mm 300 M-1939 (Nasr); C-802; HY-2 (CH-SSC-3 Seersucker)
342 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
HELICOPTERS PBG 9:
MRH 5 Mi-171 Hip 3 Hendijan with 2 twin lnchr with C-802 (Noor) (CH-
TPT • Light some Bell 206 (AB-206) Jet Ranger SS-N-8 Saccade) AShM
3 Kayvan with 2 single lnchr with C-704 (Nasr) AShM
Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps 3 Parvin with 2 single lnchr with C-704 (Nasr) AShM
Marines 5,000+ PBFT 3 Kajami (semi-submersible) with 2 324mm TT
FORCES BY ROLE PBF 1 MIL55
MANOEUVRE PB 34: 9 C14; 9 Hendijan; 6 MkII; 10 MkIII
Amphibious AMPHIBIOUS
1 marine bde LANDING SHIPS 12
LSM 3 Farsi (ROK) (capacity 9 tanks; 140 troops)
Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps LST 3 Hengam with 1 hel landing platform (capacity 9
Aerospace Force tanks; 225 troops)
Controls Iran’s strategic-missile force LSL 6 Fouque
FORCES BY ROLE LANDING CRAFT 11
MISSILE LCT 2
ε1 bde with Shahab-1/-2; Qiam-1 LCU 1 Liyan 110
ε1 bn with Shahab-3 UCAC 8: 2 Wellington Mk 4; 4 Wellington Mk 5; 2 Tondar
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE (UK Winchester)
SURFACE-TO-SURFACE MISSILE LAUNCHERS LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 18
MRBM • Conventional up to 50: Shahab-3 (mobile AE 2 Delvar
& silo); some Ghadr-1 (in test); some Emad-1 (in test); AFD 2 Dolphin
some Sajjil-2 (in devt); some Khorramshahr (in devt) AG 1 Hamzah with 2 single lnchr with C-802 (Noor) (CH-
SRBM • Conventional up to 100: some Fateh 110; SS-N-8 Saccade) AShM
Some Khalij Fars (Fateh 110 mod ASBM); some Sha- AK 3 Delvar
hab-1/-2; some Qiam-1; some Zelzal AORH 3: 2 Bandar Abbas; 1 Kharg with 1 76mm gun
UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES AWT 5: 4 Kangan; 1 Delvar
CISR • Medium AX 2 Kialas
Shahed 129 COASTAL DEFENCE • AShM C-701 (Kosar); C-704 (Nasr);
C-802 (Noor); C-802A (Ghader); Ra’ad (reported)
Navy 18,000
HQ at Bandar Abbas Marines 2,600
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE FORCES BY ROLE
In addition to the vessels listed, the Iranian Navy operates MANOEUVRE
a substantial number of patrol boats with a full-load dis- Amphibious
placement below 10 tonnes 2 marine bde
SUBMARINES 21
Naval Aviation 2,600
TACTICAL 21
SSK 3 Taregh (RUS Paltus Project-877EKM) with 6 EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
single 533mm TT AIRCRAFT
SSC 1 Fateh (in trials) TPT 16: Light 13: 5 Do-228; 4 F-27 Friendship; 4 Turbo
SSW 17: 16 Qadir with 2 single 533mm TT with Valfajar Commander 680; PAX 3 Falcon 20 (ELINT)
HWT (additional vessels in build); 1 Nahang HELICOPTERS
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 67 ASW ε10 SH-3D Sea King
CORVETTES 6 MCM 3 RH-53D Sea Stallion
FSGM 1 Jamaran (UK Vosper Mk 5 derivative – 1 TPT • Light 17: 5 Bell 205A (AB-205A); 2 Bell 206 Jet
more undergoing sea trials) with 2 twin lnchr with Ranger (AB-206); 10 Bell 212 (AB-212)
C-802 (Noor) (CH-SS-N-8 Saccade) AShM, 2 single
lnchr with SM-1 SAM, 2 triple 324mm Mk32 ASTT, 1 Air Force 30,000 (incl 12,000 Air Defence)
76mm gun, 1 hel landing platform FORCES BY ROLE
FSG 5: Serviceability probably about 60% for US ac types and about
3 Alvand (UK Vosper Mk 5) with 2 twin lnchr with 80% for PRC/Russian ac. Includes IRGC AF equipment
C-802 (CH-SS-N-8 Saccade) AShM, 2 triple Mk32 FIGHTER
324mm ASTT, 1 114mm gun 1 sqn with F-7M Airguard; JJ-7*
2 Bayandor (US PF-103) with 2 twin lnchr with C-802 2 sqn with F-14 Tomcat
(CH-SS-N-8 Saccade) AShM, 2 triple 324mm Mk32 2 sqn with MiG-29A/UB Fulcrum
ASTT, 1 76mm gun FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
PCFG 13 Kaman (FRA Combattante II) with 1–2 twin lnchr 1 sqn with Mirage F-1E; F-5E/F Tiger II
with C-802 (Noor) (CH-SS-N-8 Saccade) AShM, 1 76mm 5 sqn with F-4D/E Phantom II
gun 3 sqn with F-5E/F Tiger II
Middle East and North Africa 343
1 sqn (forming) with Su-22M4 Fitter K; Su-22UM-3K some Shabaviz 2-75 (indigenous versions in production);
Fitter G some Shabaviz 2061
GROUND ATTACK AIR DEFENCE
1 sqn with Su-24MK Fencer D SAM 514+:
MARITIME PATROL Long-range 10 S-200 Angara (SA-5 Gammon); 32
1 sqn with P-3F Orion* S-300PMU2 (SA-20 Gargoyle)
ISR Medium-range 195+: 150+ MIM-23B I-Hawk/Shahin; 45
1 (det) sqn with RF-4E Phantom II* S-75 Dvina (SA-2 Guideline);
SEARCH & RESCUE Short-range 279: 250 FM-80 (Crotale); 29 9K331 Tor-M1
Some flt with Bell 214C (AB-214C) (SA-15 Gauntlet)
TANKER/TRANSPORT Point-defence 30+: 30 Rapier; FIM-92 Stinger; 9K32
1 sqn with B-707; B-747; B-747F Strela-2 (SA-7 Grail)‡
TRANSPORT GUNS • TOWED 23mm ZU-23-2; 35mm GDF-002
1 sqn with B-707; Falcon 50; L-1329 Jetstar; Bell 412 AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES
2 sqn with C-130E/H Hercules AAM • IR PL-2A‡; PL-7; R-60 (AA-8 Aphid); R-73 (AA-
1 sqn with F-27 Friendship; Falcon 20 11 Archer); AIM-9J Sidewinder; IR/SARH R-27 (AA-10
1 sqn with Il-76 Candid; An-140 (Iran-140 Faraz) Alamo); SARH AIM-7E-2 Sparrow; ARH AIM-54 Phoenix†
TRAINING ASM AGM-65A Maverick; Kh-25 (AS-10 Karen); Kh-
1 sqn with Beech F33A/C Bonanza 25ML (AS-10 Karen); Kh-29 (AS-14 Kedge)
1 sqn with F-5B Freedom Fighter AShM C-801K
1 sqn with PC-6 ARM Kh-58 (AS-11 Kilter)
1 sqn with PC-7 Turbo Trainer BOMBS
Some units with EMB-312 Tucano; MFI-17 Mushshak; TB- Electro-optical guided GBU-87/B Qassed
21 Trinidad; TB-200 Tobago
TRANSPORT HELICOPTER Air Defence Command
1 sqn with CH-47 Chinook
Established to coordinate army, air-force and IRGC air-
Some units with Bell 206A Jet Ranger (AB-206A);
defence assets. Precise composition unclear
Shabaviz 2-75; Shabaviz 2061
AIR DEFENCE
Middle East
4 bn with S-300PMU2 (SA-20 Gargoyle) Law-Enforcement Forces 40,000–60,000
5 sqn with FM-80 (Crotale); Rapier; Tigercat; S-75M (border and security troops); 450,000 on
Volkhov (SA-2 Guideline); S-200 Angara (SA-5 Gammon); mobilisation (incl conscripts)
FIM-92A Stinger; 9K32 Strela-2 (SA-7 Grail)‡; 9K331
Part of armed forces in wartime
Tor-M1 (SA-15 Gauntlet)
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS • PB ε90
AIRCRAFT 336 combat capable
FTR 184+: 20 F-5B Freedom Fighter; 55+ F-5E/F Tiger II AIRCRAFT • TPT • Light 2+: 2 An-140; some Cessna
24 F-7M Airguard; 43 F-14 Tomcat; 36 MiG-29A/U/UB 185/Cessna 310
Fulcrum; up to 6 Azarakhsh (reported) HELICOPTERS • TPT • Light ε24 AB-205 (Bell 205)/
FGA 89: 64 F-4D/E Phantom II; 10 Mirage F-1E; up to 6 AB-206 (Bell 206) Jet Ranger
Saegheh (reported); up to 7 Su-22M4 Fitter K; 3+ Su-
Basij Resistance Force ε600,000 on
22UM-3K Fitter G
mobilisation
ATK 39: 29 Su-24MK Fencer D; 7 Su-25K Frogfoot (status
Paramilitary militia with claimed membership of 12.6
unknown); 3 Su-25UBK Frogfoot (status unknown)
million; ε600,000 combat capable
ASW 3 P-3F Orion
ISR: 6+ RF-4E Phantom II* FORCES BY ROLE
TKR/TPT 3: ε1 B-707; ε2 B-747 MANOEUVRE
TPT 117: Heavy 12 Il-76 Candid; Medium ε19 C-130E/H Other
Hercules; Light 75: 11 An-74TK-200; 5 An-140 (Iran-140 2,500 militia bn(-) (claimed, limited permanent mem-
Faraz); 10 F-27 Friendship; 1 L-1329 Jetstar; 10 PC-6B bership)
Turbo Porter; 8 TB-21 Trinidad; 4 TB-200 Tobago; 3 Turbo
Commander 680; 14 Y-7; 9 Y-12; PAX 11: 2 B-707; 1 B-747; Cyber
4 B-747F; 1 Falcon 20; 3 Falcon 50 Iran has a well-developed capacity for cyber operations.
TRG 141: 25 Beech F33A/C Bonanza; 15 EMB-312 Tucano; It has a well-educated and computer-literate young
14 JJ-7*; 25 MFI-17 Mushshak; 12 Parastu; 15 PC-6; 35 PC-7 population. The Stuxnet incident in 2010 is reported to
Turbo Trainer have been a turning point in Iran’s approach to cyber
HELICOPTERS capabilities. In 2011–12, Tehran established a Joint Chiefs of
MRH 2 Bell 412 Staff Cyber Command with emphasis on thwarting attacks
TPT 34+: Heavy 2+ CH-47 Chinook; Medium 30 Bell 214C against Iranian nuclear facilities and coordinating national
(AB-214C); Light 2+: 2 Bell 206A Jet Ranger (AB-206A); cyber warfare and information security. In September 2015,
344 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei appointed members to a Supreme level of attrition among Iraqi forces has caused concern, particu-
Council for Cyberspace, reportedly a policymaking and larly among the well-regarded Counter-Terrorism Service, which
supervisory body. The IRGC has its own Cyber Defence is often used as a spearhead force. The US has been engaged in
Command; IRGC civilian business interests will aid its a training effort, not least in regenerating air-force capabilities.
NATO announced a new training mission, starting in late 2018.
activities in this area. The precise relationship of groups
A key focus is adapting Iraqi forces to address a developing ISIS
such as the ‘Iranian Cyber Army’ to regime and military insurgency beyond the urban areas. Iraqi forces appear to have
organisations is unclear, but the former has launched improved their ability to conduct complex operations, including at
hacking attacks against a number of foreign organisations. range within the country. However, there has been a reliance on
There are continued reports of increasing investment US air support and coalition ISR assistance, suggesting continuing
in cyber capabilities, used not only for propaganda and capability limitations in this area. Significant logistical shortcom-
intelligence exploitation but also as a means for Iran ings remain, including logistics support and intelligence integra-
to attempt to offset its conventional military weakness tion. The inventory comprises Soviet-era and Russian equipment
vis-à-vis its neighbours and the US, and to exfiltrate combined with newer European- and US-sourced platforms. A
major enhancement has been the delivery and integration of F-16
commercial data. On 23 March 2018, the US Department
combat aircraft. The long-standing ambition to purchase attack
of Justice indicted nine Iranian employees of the Tehran- helicopters has been fulfilled. Barring military maintenance facili-
based Mabna Institute for a multi-year cyber-espionage ties, the Iraqi defence industry has only a limited ability to manu-
campaign against US universities, which they allegedly facture light weapons and ammunition.
carried out on behalf of the IRGC.
ACTIVE 64,000 (Army 54,000 Navy 3,000 Air 4,000
Air Defence 3,000) Paramilitary 145,000
DEPLOYMENT
GULF OF ADEN AND SOMALI BASIN: Navy: 1 FSG; 1 ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
AORH
SUDAN: UN • UNAMID 1; 3 obs Army 54,000
SYRIA: 3,000 Due to ongoing conflict with ISIS insurgents, there have
been significant personnel and equipment losses in the
Iraq IRQ Iraqi Army. Many formations are now under-strength.
Military capability has been bolstered by the activity of
Iraqi Dinar D 2017 2018 2019 Shia militias and Kurdish Peshmerga forces
GDP D 227tr 273tr FORCES BY ROLE
US$ 192bn 231bn
SPECIAL FORCES
3 SF bde
per capita US$ 4,950 5,793
1 ranger bn
Growth % -2.1 1.5 MANOEUVRE
Inflation % 0.1 2.0 Armoured
Def bdgt [a] D 22.8tr 204tr 1 (9th) armd div (2 armd bde, 2 mech bde, 1 engr bn, 1
US$ 19.3bn 17.3bn sigs regt, 1 log bde)
Mechanised
FMA (US$) US$ 250m 0m
3 (5th, 8th & 10th) mech div (4 mech inf bde, 1 engr bn,
US$1=D 1182.00 1182.00 1 sigs regt, 1 log bde)
[a] Defence and security budget 1 (7th) mech div (2 mech inf bde, 1 inf bde, 1 engr bn, 1
Population 40,194,216 sigs regt, 1 log bde)
Light
Ethnic and religious groups: Arab 75–80%, of which Shia Muslim
55%, Sunni Muslim 45%; Kurdish 20–25% 1 (6th) mot div (3 mot inf bde, 1 inf bde, 1 engr bn, 1 sigs
regt, 1 log bde)
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus 1 (14th) mot div (2 mot inf bde, 3 inf bde, 1 engr bn, 1
Male 19.9% 5.4% 4.5% 3.9% 15.3% 1.6% sigs regt, 1 log bde)
1 (1st) inf div (2 inf bde)
Female 19.1% 5.2% 4.4% 3.8% 15.1% 2.0%
1 (11th) inf div (3 lt inf bde, 1 engr bn, 1 sigs regt, 1 log
bde)
Capabilities 1 (15th) inf div (5 inf bde)
The armed forces’ capabilities and morale have improved since the 1 (16th) inf div (2 inf bde)
collapse of several divisions in the face of the ISIS advance in the 1 (17th Cdo) inf div (4 inf bde, 1 engr bn, 1 sigs regt, 1
north in 2014. The recapture of Mosul demonstrated incremental log bde)
growth in capability, in terms of combat power and tactics, as the
1 inf bde
Iraqi armed forces adapted to fight ISIS in urban areas. The future
Other
of the Kurdish Peshmerga forces and the Popular Mobilisation
Forces militias, particularly questions over their integration into a 1 (PM SF) sy div (3 inf bde)
national-security framework, remains an issue for Baghdad. The HELICOPTER
government’s most critical security relationship is with the US, and 1 atk hel sqn with Mi-28NE Havoc
other participants in the international counter-ISIS coalition. The 1 atk hel sqn with Mi-35M Hind
Middle East and North Africa 345
1 sqn with Bell 205 (UH-1H Huey II) Air Force ε4,000
3 atk hel sqn with Bell T407; H135M FORCES BY ROLE
3 sqn with Mi-17 Hip H; Mi-171Sh FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
1 ISR sqn with SA342M Gazelle 1 sqn with F-16C/D Fighting Falcon
2 trg sqn with Bell 206; OH-58C Kiowa GROUND ATTACK
1 trg sqn with Bell 205 (UH-1H Huey II) 1 sqn with Su-25/Su-25K/Su-25UBK Frogfoot
1 trg sqn with Mi-17 Hip 1 sqn with L-159A; L-159T1
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE ISR
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES 1 sqn with CH-2000 Sama; SB7L-360 Seeker
MBT 393+: ε100 M1A1 Abrams; 168+ T-72M/M1; ε50 T-55; 1 sqn with Cessna 208B Grand Caravan; Cessna AC-208B
75 T-90S Combat Caravan*
RECCE 453: ε400 Akrep; 18 BRDM 2; 35 EE-9 Cascavel; 1 sqn with Beech 350 King Air
IFV 240+: ε80 BMP-1; some BMP-3; ε60 BTR-4 (inc TRANSPORT
variants); 100 BTR-80A 1 sqn with An-32B Cline
APC 2,092+ 1 sqn with C-130E/J-30 Hercules
APC (T) 900: ε500 M113A2/Talha; ε400 MT-LB TRAINING
PPV 1,192+: 12 Barracuda; 250 Caiman; ε500 Dzik-3; ε400 1 sqn with Cessna 172, Cessna 208B
ILAV Badger; Mamba; 30 Maxxpro 1 sqn with Lasta-95
AUV M-ATV 1 sqn with T-6A
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES 1 sqn with T-50IQ Golden Eagle*
ARV 222+: 180 BREM; 35+ M88A1/2; 7 Maxxpro ARV; EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
T-54/55 ARV; Type-653; VT-55A AIRCRAFT 65 combat capable
NBC VEHICLES 20 Fuchs NBC FGA 21: 18 F-16C Fighting Falcon; 3 F-16D Fighting Falcon;
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE ATK 30: 10 L-159A; 1 L-159T1; ε19 Su-25/Su-25K/Su-
MSL • MANPATS 9K135 Kornet (AT-14 Spriggan) 25UBK Frogfoot
(reported) ISR 10: 2 Cessna AC-208B Combat Caravan*; 2 SB7L-360
ARTILLERY 1,085+ Seeker; 6 Beech 350ER King Air
SP 72+: 152mm 18+ Type-83; 155mm 30: 6 M109A1; 24 TPT 29: Medium 15: 3 C-130E Hercules; 6 C-130J-30
Middle East
M109A5
TOWED 60+: 130mm M-46/Type-59; 152mm D-20; Type- Light 14: 1 Beech 350 King Air; 5 Cessna 208B Grand
83; 155mm ε60 M198 Caravan; 8 Cessna 172
MRL 3+: 122mm some BM-21 Grad; 220mm 3+ TOS-1A TRG 45+: 8 CH-2000 Sama; 10+ Lasta-95; 15 T-6A; 12
MOR 950+: 81mm ε500 M252; 120mm ε450 M120; T-50IQ Golden Eagle*
240mm M-240 AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES
HELICOPTERS AAM • IR AIM-9L Sidewinder; AIM-9M Sidewinder
ATK 28: 11 Mi-28NE Havoc; 4 Mi-28UB Havoc; 13 Mi-35M ASM AGM-114 Hellfire
Hind BOMBS
MRH 63+: 4+ SA342 Gazelle; 17 Bell IA407; 23 H135M; ε19 Laser-Guided GBU-12 Paveway II
INS/GPS-guided FT-9
Mi-17 Hip H/Mi-171Sh
ISR 10 OH-58C Kiowa
TPT • Light 44: 16 Bell 205 (UH-1H Huey II); 10 Bell
Air Defence Command ε3,000
206B3 Jet Ranger; ε18 Bell T407 FORCES BY ROLE
UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES • CISR Heavy CH-4 AIR DEFENCE
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES • ASM 9K114 Shturm (AT-6 1 bn with 96K6 Pantsir-S1 (SA-22 Greyhound)
Spiral); AR-1; Ingwe 1 bn with M1097 Avenger
1 bn with 9K338 Igla-S (SA-24 Grinch)
Navy 3,000 1 bn with ZU-23-2; S-60
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
AIR DEFENCE
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 32
SAM
PCO 2 Al Basra (US River Hawk)
Short-range 24 96K6 Pantsir-S1 (SA-22 Greyhound)
PCC 4 Fateh (ITA Diciotti)
Point-defence M1097 Avenger; 9K338 Igla-S (SA-24
PB 20: 12 Swiftships 35; 5 Predator (PRC 27m); 3 Al Faw
Grinch)
PBR 6: 2 Type-200; 4 Type-2010
GUNS • TOWED 23mm ZU-23-2; 57mm S-60
Marines 1,000
FORCES BY ROLE
Paramilitary ε145,000
MANOEUVRE Iraqi Federal Police ε36,000
Amphibious
2 mne bn Border Enforcement ε9,000
346 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Militias ε100,000
Popular Mobilisation Forces include: Kata’ib Sayyid
Israel ISR
al-Shuhada Brigade; Kata’ib Hizbullah; Badr Brigades; New Israeli Shekel NS 2017 2018 2019
Peace Brigades and Imam Ali Battalions
GDP NS 1.26tr 1.31tr
US$ 351bn 366bn
FOREIGN FORCES
per capita US$ 40,273 41,180
Australia Operation Inherent Resolve (Okra) 380
Growth % 3.3 3.6
Belgium Operation Inherent Resolve (Valiant Phoenix) 30
Inflation % 0.2 0.9
Canada Operation Inherent Resolve (Impact) 370; 1 SF gp; 1
Def bdgt NS 68.0bn 66.3bn
med unit; 1 hel flt with 4 Bell 412 (CH-146 Griffon)
US$ 18.9bn 18.5bn
Czech Republic Operation Inherent Resolve 30
Denmark Operation Inherent Resolve 190; 1 SF gp; 1 trg FMA (US) US$ 3.2bn 3.1bn 3.3bn
team US$1=NS 3.60 3.58
Estonia Operation Inherent Resolve 7 Population 8,424,904
Fiji UNAMI 165; 2 sy unit
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
Finland Operation Inherent Resolve 100; 1 trg unit
France Operation Inherent Resolve (Chammal) 500; 1 SF gp; 1 Male 13.9% 4.1% 3.8% 3.6% 19.5% 5.2%
trg unit; 1 SP arty bty with 4 CAESAR Female 13.3% 4.0% 3.6% 3.5% 19.0% 6.4%
Germany Operation Inherent Resolve 110; some trg unit
Hungary Operation Inherent Resolve 164
Capabilities
Italy Operation Inherent Resolve (Prima Parthica) 845; 1 inf The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) are organised for territorial defence,
regt; 1 trg unit; 1 hel sqn with 4 NH90 short-term interventions in neighbouring states and limited
regional power projection. Israel is widely believed to possess a
Latvia Operation Inherent Resolve 6 nuclear-weapons capability. The IDF began a five-year defence
Nepal UNAMI 77; 1 sy unit programme (Plan Gideon) in 2015, focusing resources on its
Netherlands Operation Inherent Resolve 150; 3 trg units regular front-line combat formations. Many reserve units have
New Zealand Operation Inherent Resolve 143; 1 trg unit been disbanded and older equipment retired from service. The US
remains Israel’s key defence partner, as well as a significant source
Norway Operation Inherent Resolve 60; 1 trg unit of funding, and is instrumental in several of the IDF’s equipment
Poland Operation Inherent Resolve 130 programmes, particularly in missile defence and combat aviation.
Portugal Operation Inherent Resolve 34 Israel also maintains discreet ties with a number of Arab states.
Personnel quality and training are generally high, despite the IDF’s
Romania Operation Inherent Resolve 50
continuing reliance on national service. Ground-forces training is
Slovenia Operation Inherent Resolve 6 being overhauled, with new training centres under construction.
Spain Operation Inherent Resolve 350; 2 trg units The IDF has no requirement for out-of-area deployments and its
Sweden Operation Inherent Resolve 66 logistics capabilities are limited to sustaining operations within
Israel itself or in immediate neighbouring territories. The largely
Turkey Army 2,000; 1 armd BG
asymmetric nature of the threats faced by the IDF in recent years
United Kingdom Operation Inherent Resolve (Shader) 400; 2 has focused modernisation efforts on force-protection, missile-
inf bn(-); 1 engr sqn(-) defence and precision-strike capabilities. Israel maintains a broad
United States Operation Inherent Resolve 5,000; 1 mtn div defence-industrial base, with world-class capabilities in several
HQ; 1 cav bde(-); 1 EOD pl; 1 atk hel sqn with AH-64D areas, notably armoured vehicles, unmanned systems, guided
weapons and cyber security.
Apache
ACTIVE 169,500 (Army 126,000 Navy 9,500 Air
34,000) Paramilitary 8,000
Conscript liability Officers 48 months, other ranks 32 months,
women 24 months (Jews and Druze only; Christians, Circassians
and Muslims may volunteer)
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
Strategic Forces
Israel is widely believed to have a nuclear capability –
delivery means include F-15I and F-16I ac, Jericho 2 IRBM
and, reportedly, Dolphin/Tanin-class SSKs with LACM
Middle East and North Africa 347
Navy 7,000; 2,500 conscript (total 9,500) AIRBORNE EARLY WARNING & CONTROL
1 sqn with Gulfstream G550 Eitam; Gulfstream G550
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Shavit
SUBMARINES • TACTICAL
TANKER/TRANSPORT
SSK 5:
1 sqn with C-130E/H Hercules; KC-130H Hercules
3 Dolphin (GER HDW design) with 6 single 533mm
1 sqn with C-130J-30 Hercules
TT with UGM-84C Harpoon AShM/DM2A3/4 HWT/
1 sqn with KC-707
Kaved HWT, 4 single 650mm TT
TRAINING
2 Tanin (GER HDW design with AIP) with 6 single
1 OPFOR sqn with F-16C/D Fighting Falcon
533mm TT with UGM-84C Harpoon AShM/DM2A3/4
1 sqn with M-346 Master (Lavi)
HWT/Kaved HWT, 4 single 650mm TT
ATTACK HELICOPTER
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 45
1 sqn with AH-64A Apache
CORVETTES • FSGHM 3:
1 sqn with AH-64D Apache
2 Eilat (Sa’ar 5) with 2 quad lnchr with RGM-84 Harpoon
TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
AShM/Gabriel AShM, 1 32-cell VLS with Barak-1
2 sqn with CH-53D Sea Stallion
SAM (being upgraded to Barak-8), 2 triple 324mm TT
2 sqn with S-70A Black Hawk; UH-60A Black Hawk
with Mk 46 LWT, 1 Mk 15 Phalanx CIWS (capacity 1
1 medevac unit with CH-53D Sea Stallion
AS565SA Panther ASW hel)
UAV
1 Eilat (Sa’ar 5) with 2 quad lnchr with RGM-84 Harpoon
1 ISR sqn with Hermes 450
AShM/Gabriel AShM, 1 32-cell VLS with Barak-8 SAM,
1 ISR sqn with Heron (Shoval); Heron TP (Eitan)
2 triple 324mm TT with Mk 46 LWT, 1 Mk 15 Phalanx
1 ISR sqn with Heron (Shoval) (MP role)
CIWS (capacity 1 AS565SA Panther ASW hel)
AIR DEFENCE
PCGM 8 Hetz (Sa’ar 4.5) with 2 quad lnchr with RGM-84
3 bty with Arrow 2
Harpoon AShM (can also be fitted with up to 6 single
10 bty with Iron Dome
lnchr with Gabriel II AShM), 2 8-cell Mk56 VLS with 6 bty with MIM-104C Patriot PAC-2
Barak-1 SAM, (can be fitted with 2 triple 324mm Mk32 2 bty with David’s Sling
TT with Mk46 LWT), 1 Mk 15 Phalanx CWIS, 1 76mm SPECIAL FORCES
gun 1 SF unit
PBF 34: 5 Shaldag with 1 Typhoon CIWS; 3 Stingray; 9 1 spec ops unit
Super Dvora Mk I (SSM & TT may be fitted); 4 Super
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Dvora Mk II (SSM & TT may be fitted); 6 Super Dvora
AIRCRAFT 352 combat capable
Mk II-I (SSM & TT may be fitted); 4 Super Dvora Mk III
FTR 58: 16 F-15A Eagle; 6 F-15B Eagle; 17 F-15C Eagle; 19
(SSM & TT may be fitted); 3 Super Dvora Mk III with 1
F-15D Eagle
Typhoon CIWS (SSM may be fitted)
FGA 264: 25 F-15I Ra’am; 78 F-16C Fighting Falcon; 49
AMPHIBIOUS • LANDING CRAFT • LCVP 2 Manta
F-16D Fighting Falcon; 98 F-16I Sufa; 14 F-35I Adir
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 3
ISR 6 RC-12D Guardrail
AG 2 Bat Yam (ex-GER Type-745)
ELINT 4: 1 EC-707; 3 Gulfstream G550 Shavit
AX 1 Queshet
AEW 4: 2 B-707 Phalcon; 2 Gulfstream G550 Eitam (1 more
Naval Commandos ε300 on order)
TKR/TPT 11: 4 KC-130H Hercules; 7 KC-707
FORCES BY ROLE
TPT 62: Medium 15: 5 C-130E Hercules; 6 C-130H
SPECIAL FORCES
Hercules; 4 C-130J-30 Hercules; Light 47: 3 AT-802 Air
1 cdo unit
Tractor; 9 Beech 200 King Air; 8 Beech 200T King Air; 5
Beech 200CT King Air; 22 Beech A36 Bonanza (Hofit)
Air Force 34,000 TRG 67: 17 Grob G-120; 30 M-346 Master (Lavi)*; 20 T-6A
Responsible for Air and Space Coordination HELICOPTERS
FORCES BY ROLE ATK 43: 26 AH-64A Apache; 17 AH-64D Apache (Sarat)
FIGHTER & FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK ASW 7 AS565SA Panther (missions flown by IAF but
1 sqn with F-15A/B/D Eagle with non-rated aircrew)
1 sqn with F-15B/C/D Eagle ISR 12 OH-58B Kiowa
1 sqn with F-15I Ra’am TPT 81: Heavy 26 CH-53D Sea Stallion; Medium 49: 39
6 sqn with F-16C/D Fighting Falcon S-70A Black Hawk; 10 UH-60A Black Hawk; Light 6 Bell
4 sqn with F-16I Sufa 206 Jet Ranger
1 sqn with F-35I Adir UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES
ANTI-SUBMARINE WARFARE ISR 3+: Heavy 3+: Heron (Shoval); 3 Heron TP (Eitan); RQ-
1 sqn with AS565SA Panther (missions flown by IAF but 5A Hunter; Medium Hermes 450; Hermes 900 (22+ Searcher
with non-rated aircrew) MkII in store); Light Harpy (anti-radiation UAV)
ELECTRONIC WARFARE AIR DEFENCE
2 sqn with RC-12D Guardrail; Beech A36 Bonanza (Hofit); SAM 54+:
Beech 200 King Air; Beech 200T King Air; Beech 200CT Long-range MIM-104C Patriot PAC-2; Medium-range 24
King Air Arrow 2; some David’s Sling; Short-range ε30 Iron Dome
Middle East and North Africa 349
fleet with second-hand armour from European countries. KADDB AIR DEFENCE
produces some light armoured vehicles for domestic use, but the SAM • Point-defence 140+: 92 9K35 Strela-10 (SA-13
company currently has little export profile. Gopher); 48 9K33 Osa-M (SA-8 Gecko); 9K36 Strela-3 (SA-
ACTIVE 100,500 (Army 86,000 Navy 500 Air 14,000) 14 Gremlin); 9K310 Igla-1 (SA-16 Gimlet); 9K38 Igla (SA-18
Grouse)
Paramilitary 15,000
GUNS • SP 200: 20mm 100 M163 Vulcan; 23mm 40 ZSU-
RESERVE 65,000 (Army 60,000 Joint 5,000) 23-4; 35mm 60 Cheetah (Gepard)
TPT 12: Heavy 2 Il-76MF Candid; Medium 3 C-130E Germany Operation Inherent Resolve 300; 4 Tornado ECR; 1
Hercules (1 C-130B Hercules; 4 C-130H Hercules in store); A310 MRTT
Light 7: 5 Cessna 208B; 2 M-28 Skytruck (2 C295M in Netherlands Operation Inherent Resolve 150; 6 F-16AM
store, offered for sale) Fighting Falcon
TRG 24: up to 16 Grob 120TP; 8 PC-21 (12 Hawk Mk63* in
Norway Operation Inherent Resolve 60
store, offered for sale)
United States Central Command: Operation Inherent
HELICOPTERS
ATK 12 AH-1F Cobra (17 more in store, offered for sale) Resolve 2,300; 1 FGA sqn with 12 F-15E Strike Eagle; 1 CISR
MRH 14: 3 AW139; 11 H135M (Tpt/SAR) (6 MD-530F in sqn with 12 MQ-9A Reaper
store)
TPT 48: Heavy 1 Mi-26T2 Halo; Medium 35: 10 AS332M
Super Puma (being WFU); 25 S-70A/UH-60A/UH-60L/
Kuwait KWT
VH-60M Black Hawk; Light 12 R-44 Raven II (13 Bell 205 Kuwaiti Dinar D 2017 2018 2019
(UH-1H Iroquois) in store, offered for sale)
GDP D 36.4bn 43.6bn
UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES
CISR • Heavy some CH-4B US$ 121bn 145bn
ISR • Light up to 10 S-100 Camcopter per capita US$ 27,394 31,916
AIR DEFENCE • SAM 64: Growth % -3.3 2.3
Long-range 40 MIM-104C Patriot PAC-2 Inflation % 1.5 0.8
Medium-range 24 MIM-23B Phase III I-Hawk
Def bdgt D 1.75bn 1.87bn
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES
AAM • IR AIM-9J/N/P Sidewinder; SARH AIM-7 US$ 5.79bn 6.18bn
Sparrow; ARH AIM-120C AMRAAM US$1=D 0.30 0.30
ASM AGM-65D/G Maverick; BGM-71 TOW Population 2,916,467
BOMBS
Ethnic groups: Nationals 35.5%; other non-Arab Asian countries
Laser-guided GBU-10/12 Paveway II 37.7%; other Arab countries 17.5%; other or unspecified 9.3%
Paramilitary ε15,000 active Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
Middle East
3 regional comd Female 11.9% 3.0% 3.8% 4.3% 17.3% 1.5%
FORCES BY ROLE
SPECIAL FORCES Capabilities
2 SF unit Kuwait’s small but capable armed forces have benefited consid-
MANOEUVRE erably from the significant presence on Kuwaiti territory of size-
Other able US forces. The primary responsibility is territorial defence,
10 sy bn through a strategy of sufficient readiness to provide a holding
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE force until the mobilisation of friendly forces. The National Guard,
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES under its Strategic Vision 2020 plan, intends to boost readiness
APC • APC (W) 25+: AT105 Saxon (reported); 25+ and equipment capability. Kuwait is a member of the GCC and has
EE-11 Urutu a bilateral defence-cooperation agreement with the US, which
AUV AB2 Al-Jawad provides for a range of joint activities and mentoring, and the
stationing and pre-positioning of significant numbers of US per-
DEPLOYMENT sonnel and supplies of equipment. Since 2004, Kuwait has been
designated a US major non-NATO ally. Kuwait operates a system
CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC: UN • MINUSCA 7; 3 obs of voluntary military service but suffers from a limited population
DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO: UN • pool. Contributions of air and ground assets have been made to
MONUSCO 4; 6 obs the Saudi-led coalition in Yemen, but otherwise the country has
limited deployment ambitions. There is limited logistic-support
MALI: UN • MINUSMA 61; 1 obs
capacity, although heavy-airlift and airborne-tanking assets grant
SAUDI ARABIA: Operation Restoring Hope 6 F-16C Fighting a limited airborne-expeditionary capability. The equipment inven-
Falcon tory includes a range of modern European- and US-sourced plat-
SOUTH SUDAN: UN • UNMISS 4 forms, including advanced air-defence-missile batteries. Kuwait
is recapitalising its combat-aircraft fleet with the F/A-18E/F Super
SUDAN: UN • UNAMID 11; 5 obs Hornet and Eurofighter Typhoon, which together will significantly
WESTERN SAHARA: UN • MINURSO 2 obs enhance its air-combat capabilities. There are also indications
that it wants to upgrade its fleet of main battle tanks and seek
additional attack helicopters, and possibly new missile-armed
FOREIGN FORCES multi-mission fast attack craft for the navy. Kuwait lacks a domes-
Belgium Operation Inherent Resolve (Desert Falcon) 30 tic defence-industrial base and is reliant on imports, albeit with
France Operation Inherent Resolve (Chammal) 8 Rafale F3; 1 offset requirements to help stimulate the country’s wider indus-
Atlantique 2 trial sector.
352 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
ACTIVE 17,500 (Army 13,000 Navy 2,000 Air 2,500) AIR DEFENCE
Paramilitary 7,100 SAM
Conscript liability 12 months Short-range 12 Aspide
Point-defence Starburst; FIM-92 Stinger
RESERVE 23,700 (Joint 23,700) GUNS • TOWED 35mm 12+ Oerlikon
Reserve obligation to age 40; 1 month annual trg
Navy ε2,000 (incl 500 Coast Guard)
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 20
PCFG 2:
Army 13,000
1 Al Sanbouk (GER Lurssen TNC-45) with 2 twin lnchr
FORCES BY ROLE with MM40 Exocet AShM, 1 76mm gun
SPECIAL FORCES 1 Istiqlal (GER Lurssen FPB-57) with 2 twin lnchr with
1 SF unit MM40 Exocet AShM, 1 76mm gun
MANOEUVRE PBF 10 Al Nokatha (US Mk V Pegasus)
Reconnaissance PBG 8 Um Almaradim (FRA P-37 BRL) with 2 twin lnchr
1 mech/recce bde with Sea Skua AShM
Armoured AMPHIBIOUSLANDING CRAFT 6
3 armd bde LCM 1 Abhan (ADSB 42m)
Mechanised LCVP 5 ADSB 16m
2 mech inf bde LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT • AG 1 Sawahil with 1 hel
Light landing platform
1 cdo bn
Other Air Force 2,500
1 (Amiri) gd bde FORCES BY ROLE
COMBAT SUPPORT FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
1 arty bde 2 sqn with F/A-18C/D Hornet
1 engr bde TRANSPORT
1 MP bn 1 sqn with C-17A Globemaster III; KC-130J Hercules;
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT L-100-30
1 log gp TRAINING
1 fd hospital
1 unit with EMB-312 Tucano*; Hawk Mk64*
ATTACK HELICOPTER
Reserve 1 sqn with AH-64D Apache
FORCES BY ROLE 1 atk/trg sqn with SA342 Gazelle with HOT
MANOEUVRE TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
Mechanised 1 sqn with AS532 Cougar; SA330 Puma; S-92
1 bde EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE AIRCRAFT 66 combat capable
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES FGA 39: 31 F/A-18C Hornet; 8 F/A-18D Hornet
MBT 293: 218 M1A2 Abrams; 75 M-84 (75 more in store) TKR 3 KC-130J Hercules
IFV 492: 76 BMP-2; 180 BMP-3; 236 Desert Warrior† (incl TPT 5: Heavy 2 C-17A Globemaster III; Medium 3 L-100-30
variants) TRG 27: 11 Hawk Mk64*; 16 EMB-312 Tucano*
APC 260 HELICOPTERS
APC (T) 260: 230 M113A2; 30 M577 (CP) ATK 16 AH-64D Apache
APC (W) (40 TH 390 Fahd in store) MRH 13 SA342 Gazelle with HOT
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES TPT • Medium 13: 3 AS532 Cougar; 7 SA330 Puma; 3
ARV 24+: 24 M88A1/2; Type-653A; Warrior S-92
MW Aardvark Mk2 AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES
NBC VEHICLES 11 TPz-1 Fuchs NBC AAM • IR AIM-9L Sidewinder; R-550 Magic; SARH
ARTY 211 AIM-7F Sparrow; ARH AIM-120C7 AMRAAM
SP 155mm 106: 37 M109A3; 18 Mk F3; 51 PLZ-45 (18 AU- ASM AGM-65G Maverick; AGM-114K Hellfire; HOT
F-1 in store) AShM AGM-84D Harpoon Block IC
MRL 300mm 27 9A52 Smerch
MOR 78: 81mm 60; 107mm 6 M30; 120mm ε12 RT-F1 Air Defence Command
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE FORCES BY ROLE
MSL AIR DEFENCE
SP 74: 66 HMMWV TOW; 8 M901 1 SAM bde (7 SAM bty with MIM-104D Patriot PAC-2
MANPATS TOW-2; M47 Dragon GEM)
RCL 84mm Carl Gustav 1 SAM bde (6 SAM bty with Skyguard/Aspide)
Middle East and North Africa 353
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
AIR DEFENCE • SAM 52: Lebanon LBN
Long-range 40 MIM-104D Patriot PAC-2 GEM
Lebanese Pound LP 2017 2018 2019
Short-range 12 Skyguard/Aspide
GDP LP 81.7tr 85.5tr
Paramilitary ε7,100 active US$ 54.2bn 56.7bn
per capita US$ 12,013 12,454
National Guard ε6,600 active
Growth % 1.5 1.0
FORCES BY ROLE
SPECIAL FORCES Inflation % 4.5 6.5
1 SF bn Def bdgt LP 2.81tr 3.20tr
MANOEUVRE US$ 1.87bn 2.12bn
Reconnaissance FMA (US) US$ 80m 0m 50m
1 armd car bn
US$1=LP 1507.51 1507.51
Other
3 security bn Population 6,100,075
COMBAT SUPPORT Ethnic and religious groups: Christian 30%; Druze 6%; Armenian
1 MP bn 4%; excl ε300,000 Syrians and ε350,000 Palestinian refugees
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
RECCE 20 VBL Male 11.9% 4.1% 4.1% 4.3% 22.6% 3.0%
IFV 70 Pandur (incl variants) Female 11.4% 3.9% 3.9% 4.2% 22.5% 4.0%
APC • APC (W) 27+: 5+ Desert Chameleon; 22 S600
(incl variants) Capabilities
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
The Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) are focused on internal and
ARV Pandur
border security. However, the LAF’s ability to fulfil its missions
remains under strain from Hizbullah’s position in national politics
Coast Guard 500 and from the spillover effects of the Syrian conflict. Publication
Middle East
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 32 political divisions. Training and material support are received from
PBF 12 Manta the US, as well as from France, Italy and the UK. Previous material
PB 20: 3 Al Shaheed; 4 Inttisar (Austal 31.5m); 3 Kassir support from Saudi Arabia was curtailed for political reasons. Per-
(Austal 22m); 10 Subahi sonnel quality and capability is relatively high for the region and
AMPHIBIOUS • LANDING CRAFT • LCU 4: 2 Al US special-operations personnel continue to provide operational
Tahaddy; 1 Saffar; 1 other advice and assistance. LAF operations against ISIS have demon-
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT • AG 1 Sawahil strated improved capability. The LAF has no requirement for extra-
territorial deployment and minimal capability to do so. It remains
dependent on foreign support to replace and modernise its ageing
DEPLOYMENT equipment inventory. Barring some light maintenance facilities in
SAUDI ARABIA: Operation Restoring Hope 4 F/A-18A Hornet the services, Lebanon has no significant domestic defence indus-
try.
FOREIGN FORCES ACTIVE 60,000 (Army 56,600 Navy 1,800 Air 1,600)
Canada Operation Inherent Resolve (Impact) 1 A310 MRTT Paramilitary 20,000
(C-150T); 2 C-130J-30 Hercules (CC-130J)
Denmark Operation Inherent Resolve 20 ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
Italy Operation Inherent Resolve (Prima Parthica) 255; 4
AMX; 2 MQ-9A Reaper; 1 KC-767A Army 56,600
Singapore Operation Inherent Resolve 11
FORCES BY ROLE
United Kingdom Operation Inherent Resolve (Shader) 50; 1
5 regional comd (Beirut, Bekaa Valley, Mount Lebanon,
CISR UAV sqn with 8 MQ-9A Reaper
North, South)
United States Central Command: 14,000; 1 ARNG armd
SPECIAL FORCES
bde; 1 ARNG cbt avn bde; 1 spt bde; 2 AD bty with MIM-
1 cdo regt
104E/F Patriot PAC-2/3; 1 FGA sqn with 12 F-16C Fighting
MANOEUVRE
Falcon; 1 CISR UAV sqn with MQ-9A Reaper; 1 (APS) armd
bde eqpt set; 1 (APS) inf bde eqpt set Armoured
1 armd regt
Mechanised
11 mech inf bde
Air Manoeuvre
1 AB regt
354 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Middle East
Korea, Republic of UNIFIL 335: 1 mech inf coy; 1 engr from several military advisory and training programmes, includ-
coy; 1 sigs coy; 1 maint coy ing EUNAVFOR–MED maritime-security training for the Libyan
Navy and Coast Guard. LNA troops have combat experience from
Macedonia (FYROM) UNIFIL 2
fighting ISIS in the eastern coastal region and they have alleg-
Malaysia UNIFIL 829: 1 mech inf bn edly received training and combat support from external actors
Nepal 4 obs • UNIFIL 871: 1 mech inf bn in the region. Both organisations’ equipment is mainly of Russian
Netherlands 13 obs • UNIFIL 1 or Soviet origin, including items from the former Libyan armed
New Zealand 7 obs forces, and suffers from varying degrees of obsolescence. However,
the lack of high-technology platforms has allowed both forces
Nigeria UNIFIL 1
to maintain minimum operational standards. The country has no
Norway 14 obs domestic defence-industrial capability.
Qatar UNIFIL 2
Forces loyal to the Government of National
Russia 5 obs
Accord (Tripoli-based)
Serbia 1 obs • UNIFIL 177; 1 mech inf coy
Sierra Leone UNIFIL 3 ACTIVE n.k.
Slovakia 2 obs
Slovenia 3 obs • UNIFIL 18 ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
Spain UNIFIL 630: 1 mech bde HQ; 1 mech inf bn(-); 1
engr coy; 1 sigs coy Ground Forces n.k.
Sri Lanka UNIFIL 150: 1 inf coy EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Sweden 6 obs ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
Switzerland 12 obs MBT T-55; T-72
Tanzania UNIFIL 159: 1 MP coy IFV BMP-2
Turkey UNIFIL 86: 1 PCFG APC • APC (T) 4K-7FA Steyr
United States 2 obs AUV Nimr Ajban
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
ARV Centurion 105 AVRE
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
MSL • SP 9P157-2 Khrizantema-S (AT-15 Springer)
ARTILLERY
SP 155mm Palmaria
TOWED 122mm D-30
356 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
COMBAT SUPPORT
Mauritania MRT 3 arty bn
4 ADA bty
Mauritanian Ouguiya OM 2017 2018 2019
1 engr coy
GDP OM 1.76tr 1.86tr EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
US$ 4.94bn 5.20bn ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
per capita US$ 1,271 1,310 MBT 35 T-54/T-55
Growth % 3.5 2.5 RECCE 70: 20 AML-60; 40 AML-90; 10 Saladin
APC • APC (W) 37: 12 Cobra; 5 FV603 Saracen; ε20
Inflation % 2.3 3.8
Panhard M3
Def bdgt OM 51.6bn 56.8bn ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
US$ 145m 158m ARV T-54/55 ARV reported
US$1=OM 356.57 358.65 ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
MSL • MANPATS Milan
Population 3,840,429
RCL • 106mm ε90 M40A1
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus ARTILLERY 180
TOWED 80: 105mm 36 HM-2/M101A1; 122mm 44: 20
Male 19.2% 5.2% 4.5% 3.9% 13.8% 1.6%
D-30; 24 D-74
Female 19.0% 5.3% 4.8% 4.3% 16.3% 2.2% MRL 10: 107mm 4 Type-63; 122mm 6 Type-81
MOR 90: 81mm 60; 120mm 30 Brandt
Capabilities AIR DEFENCE
The country’s small and modestly equipped armed forces are SAM • Point-defence ε4 SA-9 Gaskin (reported); 9K32
tasked with maintaining territorial integrity and internal secu- Strela-2 (SA-7 Grail)‡
rity. In light of the regional threat from extremist Islamist groups, GUNS • TOWED 82: 14.5mm 28: 16 ZPU-2; 12 ZPU-
border security is also a key role for the armed forces, which are 4; 23mm 20 ZU-23-2; 37mm 10 M-1939; 57mm 12 S-60;
accustomed to counter-insurgency operations in the desert. The 100mm 12 KS-19
country is a member of the G5 Sahel group. Mauritania’s armed
forces take part in the US-led special-operations Flintlock train-
Navy ε600
ing exercise. The country also benefits from training with French
Middle East
ing countries without external support, but the armed forces PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 17
have demonstrated mobility and sustainability in desert regions. PCO 1 Voum-Legleita
Mauritania has a limited and ageing equipment inventory, which PCC 7: 1 Abourbekr Ben Amer (FRA OPV 54); 1 Arguin; 2
hampers operational capability. Despite some recent acquisitions, Conejera; 1 Limam El Hidrami (PRC); 2 Timbédra (PRC
including small ISR aircraft, aviation resources are insufficient con- Huangpu Mod)
sidering the size of the country. Naval equipment is geared toward PB 9: 1 El Nasr† (FRA Patra); 4 Mandovi; 2 Saeta-12; 2
coastal-surveillance missions but there are plans to increase Megsem Bakkar (FRA RPB20 – for SAR duties)
amphibious capabilities. There is no domestic defence industry.
ACTIVE 15,850 (Army 15,000 Navy 600 Air 250) Air Force 250
Paramilitary 5,000 EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Conscript liability 24 months AIRCRAFT 4 combat capable
ISR 2 Cessna 208B Grand Caravan
TPT 8: Light 7: 2 BN-2 Defender; 1 C-212; 2 PA-31T
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE Cheyenne II; 2 Y-12(II); PAX 1 BT-67 (with sensor turret)
TRG 11: 3 EMB-312 Tucano; 4 EMB-314 Super Tucano*; 4
Army 15,000 SF-260E
FORCES BY ROLE HELICOPTERS • MRH 3: 1 SA313B Alouette II; 2 Z-9
6 mil regions
MANOEUVRE Paramilitary ε5,000 active
Reconnaissance
1 armd recce sqn Gendarmerie ε3,000
Armoured Ministry of Interior
1 armd bn FORCES BY ROLE
Light MANOEUVRE
7 mot inf bn Other
8 (garrison) inf bn 6 regional sy coy
Air Manoeuvre EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
1 cdo/para bn ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
Other APC • APC (W) 12 Cobra
2 (camel corps) bn PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS • 2 Rodman
1 gd bn 55M
358 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
National Guard 2,000 for major defence equipment. However, its relative stability has
attracted Western defence companies, such as Airbus, Safran and
Ministry of Interior
Thales, to establish aerospace manufacturing and servicing facili-
ties in the country.
Customs
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE ACTIVE 195,800 (Army 175,000 Navy 7,800 Air
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS • PB 2: 1 13,000) Paramilitary 50,000
Dah Ould Bah (FRA Amgram 14); 1 Yaboub Ould Rajel (FRA Conscript liability 12 months for men and women aged 19–25
RPB18) (agreed in late 2018)
RECCE 284: 38 AML-60-7; 190 AML-90; 40 EBR-75; 16 with Aspide SAM, 2 triple 324mm ASTT with Mk46
Eland LWT, 1 76mm gun
IFV 115: 10 AMX-10P; 30 Ratel Mk3-20; 30 Ratel Mk3-90; PSO 1 Bin an Zaran (OPV 70) with 1 76mm gun
45 VAB VCI PCG 4 Cdt El Khattabi (ESP Lazaga 58m) with 4 single
APC 1,225 lnchr with MM38 Exocet AShM, 1 76mm gun
APC (T) 905: 400 M113A1/A2; 419 M113A3; 86 M577A2 PCO 5 Rais Bargach (under control of fisheries dept)
(CP) PCC 12:
APC (W) 320 VAB VTT 4 El Hahiq (DNK Osprey 55, incl 2 with customs)
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES 6 LV Rabhi (ESP 58m B-200D)
ARV 48+: 10 Greif; 18 M88A1; M578; 20 VAB-ECH 2 Okba (FRA PR-72) each with 1 76mm gun
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE PB 27: 6 El Wacil (FRA P-32); 10 VCSM (RPB 20); 10
MSL Rodman 101; 1 other (UK Bird)
SP 80 M901 AMPHIBIOUS 5
MANPATS 9K11 Malyutka (AT-3 Sagger); M47 Dragon; LANDING SHIPS 4:
Milan; TOW LSM 3 Ben Aicha (FRA Champlain BATRAL) (capacity 7
RCL 106mm 350 M40A1 tanks; 140 troops)
GUNS • SP 36: 90mm 28 M56; 100mm 8 SU-100 LST 1 Sidi Mohammed Ben Abdallah (US Newport)
ARTILLERY 2,306 (capacity 3 LCVP; 400 troops)
SP 357: 105mm 5 AMX Mk 61; 155mm 292: 84 M109A1/ LANDING CRAFT 2:
A1B; 43 M109A2; 4 M109A3; 1 M109A4; 70 M109A5; 90
LCM 1 CTM (FRA CTM-5)
Mk F3; 203mm 60 M110
LCT 1 Sidi Ifni
TOWED 118: 105mm 50: 30 L118 Light Gun; 20 M101;
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 9
130mm 18 M-46; 155mm 50: 30 FH-70; 20 M114
AG 1 Damen 3011
MRL 122mm 35 BM-21 Grad
AGHS 1 Dar Al Beida (FRA BHO2M)
MOR 1,796: 81mm 1,100 Expal model LN; SP 107mm 36
AGOR 1 Abou Barakat Albarbari† (ex-US Robert D. Conrad)
M106A2; 120mm 550 Brandt; SP 120mm 110: 20 (VAB
AGS 1 Stan 1504
APC); 90 M1064A3
AK 2
UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES
AX 1 Essaouira
ISR • Medium R4E-50 Skyeye
Middle East
SAM
Marines 1,500
Point-defence 49+: 12 2K22M Tunguska-M (SA-19
Grison); 37 M48 Chaparral; 9K32 Strela-2 (SA-7 Grail)‡ FORCES BY ROLE
GUNS 407 MANOEUVRE
SP 20mm 60 M163 Vulcan Amphibious
TOWED 347: 14.5mm 200: 150–180 ZPU-2; 20 ZPU-4; 2 naval inf bn
20mm 40 M167 Vulcan; 23mm 75–90 ZU-23-2; 100mm
17 KS-19
Naval Aviation
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Navy 7,800 (incl 1,500 Marines) HELICOPTERS • ASW/ASUW 3 AS565SA Panther
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS 6
Air Force 13,000
DESTROYERS 1 FORCES BY ROLE
DDGHM 1 Mohammed VI-class (FRA FREMM) with FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
2 quad lnchr with MM40 Exocet Block 3 AShM, 2 sqn with F-5E/F-5F Tiger II
2 octuple A43 VLS with Aster 15 SAM, 2 triple 3 sqn with F-16C/D Fighting Falcon
B515 324mm ASTT with MU90 LWT, 1 76mm gun 1 sqn with Mirage F-1C (F-1CH)
(capacity 1 AS565SA Panther) 1 sqn with Mirage F-1E (F-1EH)
FRIGATES 5 ELECTRONIC WARFARE
FFGHM 3 Tarik ben Ziyad (NLD SIGMA 9813/10513) 1 sqn with EC-130H Hercules; Falcon 20 (ELINT)
with 4 single lnchr with MM40 Exocet Block 2/3 MARITIME PATROL
AShM, 2 6-cell VLS with VL-MICA SAM, 2 triple 1 flt with Do-28
324mm ASTT with MU90 LWT, 1 76mm gun TANKER/TRANSPORT
(capacity 1 AS565SA Panther) 1 sqn with C-130/KC-130H Hercules
FFGH 2 Mohammed V (FRA Floreal) with 2 single lnchr TRANSPORT
with MM38 Exocet AShM, 1 76mm gun (can be fitted 1 sqn with CN235
with Simbad SAM) (capacity 1 AS565SA Panther) 1 VIP sqn with B-737BBJ; Beech 200/300 King Air; Falcon
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 50 50; Gulfstream II/III/V-SP/G550
CORVETTES • FSGM 1 TRAINING
1 Lt Col Errhamani (ESP Descubierto) with 2 twin lnchr 1 sqn with Alpha Jet*
with MM38 Exocet AShM, 1 octuple Albatros lnchr 1 sqn T-6C
360 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Middle East
APC (W) 190: 175 Piranha (incl variants); 15 AT-105 1 sqn with C295M
Saxon TRAINING
AUV 6 FV103 Spartan 1 sqn with MFI-17B Mushshak; PC-9*; Bell 206 (AB-206)
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES Jet Ranger
ARV 11: 4 Challenger; 2 M88A1; 2 Piranha; TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
3 Samson 4 (med) sqn; Bell 212 (AB-212); NH-90; Super Lynx
ARTILLERY 233 Mk300 (maritime/SAR)
SP 155mm 24 G-6 AIR DEFENCE
TOWED 108: 105mm 42 L118 Light Gun; 122mm 30 2 sqn with Rapier; Blindfire; S713 Martello
D-30; 130mm 24: 12 M-46; 12 Type-59-I; 155mm 12 FH-70 EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
MOR 101: 81mm 69; 107mm 20 M30; 120mm 12 Brandt AIRCRAFT 63 combat capable
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE • MSL FGA 35: 17 F-16C Block 50 Fighting Falcon; 6 F-16D Block
SP 8 VBL with TOW 50 Fighting Falcon; 12 Typhoon
MANPATS FGM-148 Javelin; Milan; TOW/TOW-2A MP 4 C295MPA
AIR DEFENCE TPT 20: Medium 6: 3 C-130H Hercules; 2 C-130J Hercules;
SAM • Point-defence 8 Mistral 2; FGM-148 Javelin; 9K32 1 C-130J-30 Hercules (VIP); Light 12: 5 C295M; 7 SC.7 3M
Strela-2 (SA-7 Grail)‡ Skyvan (radar-equipped, for MP); PAX 2 A320-300
GUNS 26: 23mm 4 ZU-23-2; 35mm 10 GDF-005 (with TRG 44: 4 Hawk Mk103*; 8 Hawk Mk166; 12 Hawk
Skyguard); 40mm 12 L/60 (Towed) Mk203*; 8 MFI-17B Mushshak; 12 PC-9*
HELICOPTERS
Navy 4,200 MRH 15 Super Lynx Mk300 (maritime/SAR)
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE TPT 26+ Medium 20 NH90 TTH; Light 6: 3 Bell 206 (AB-
PRIMARY SURFACE COMBATANTS 3 206) Jet Ranger; 3 Bell 212 (AB-212)
FFGHM 3 Al-Shamikh with 2 twin lnchr with MM40 AIR DEFENCE • SAM
Exocet Block 3 AShM, 2 6-cell VLS with VL-MICA Short-range NASAMS
SAM, 1 76mm gun Point-defence 40 Rapier
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 12 MSL
CORVETTES • FSGM 2: AAM • IR AIM-9/M/P Sidewinder; IIR AIM-9X Sidewinder
2 Qahir Al Amwaj with 2 quad lnchr with MM40 Exocet II; ARH AIM-120C7 AMRAAM
AShM, 1 octuple lnchr with Crotale SAM, 1 76mm ASM AGM-65D/G Maverick
gun, 1 hel landing platform AShM AGM-84D Harpoon
362 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
BOMBS
Laser-guided EGBU-10 Paveway II; EGBU-12 Paveway II FOREIGN FORCES
INS/GPS guided GBU-31 JDAM United Kingdom 90
Middle East
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
affected the significant Qatar–US military relationship, including
Some log units
the presence of forces from the US and other Western states at Al-
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Udeid air base, and the key US-run coalition air-operations centre.
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE • MSL • The pressure on personnel requirements is increasing significantly
MANPATS 9K11 Malyutka (AT-3 Sagger) (reported) due to Qatar’s acquisition programme. Changes were reported
ARTILLERY to national-service liabilities in 2018, increasing terms of service
and making national service voluntary for women. The speed and
MRL • Qassam rockets (multiple calibres); 122mm
scale of the equipment plan suggests that Qatar will need signifi-
Grad cant foreign help to integrate and operate its new capabilities. The
MOR some (multiple calibres) Italian Navy is supporting training for new Italian-built vessels and
a joint Eurofighter Typhoon squadron is being stood up with the
Martime Police ε600 UK. The Qatari armed forces initially sent air and ground elements
to support the Saudi-led intervention in Yemen. The country is also
acquiring platforms with potentially significant power-projection
capability. Qatar’s ambitious across-the-board re-equipment pro-
gramme includes significant purchases of combat aircraft. These
procurements will, when combined, dramatically increase the
size of the air force, and it is in terms of air capabilities that there
are the most questions about Qatar’s ability to procure the neces-
sary infrastructure, maintenance and personnel. Coastal-defence
missiles are being acquired, while an AN/FPS-132 early-warning
radar is being installed. Qatar currently has a limited indigenous
defence-industrial capability, including in ship repair.
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
Space
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
SATELLITES • COMMUNICATIONS 1 Es’hail-2
364 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Middle East
and the kingdom has displayed an increasing willingness to use APC (T) 1,190 M113A4 (incl variants)
them as part of a more assertive foreign policy. Principal roles are APC (W) 150 Panhard M3 (ε40 AF-40-8-1 Al-Fahd in
securing territorial integrity, internal security and regional stabil- store)
ity. Saudi Arabia’s defence posture continues to emphasise the AUV 333: 73 Aravis; 100 Didgori (amb); 160 M-ATV; Al-
deployment of airpower. Saudi Arabia is the leading member of Shibl 2; Terradyne Gurkha;
the GCC. However, its most critical defence relationship is with the
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
US, which is the ultimate external guarantor of its security. In 2017,
AEV 15 M728
the countries agreed to establish a Strategic Joint Consultative
ARV 278+: 8 ACV ARV; AMX-10EHC; 55 AMX-30D;
Group, and furthered existing defence and security cooperation.
Leclerc ARV; 122 M88A1; 90 M578
Riyadh also has significant security relationships with France and
VLB 10 AMX-30
the UK, though recently there has been diversification of defence
MW Aardvark Mk2
relationships, including with China. Significant training support
NBC VEHICLES 10 TPz-1 Fuchs NBC
is supplied by the US and, to a lesser extent, the UK. The armed
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
forces continue to gain combat experience from their involve-
ment in the conflict in Yemen. However, the operation has exposed
MSL
areas of comparative weakness and capability gaps, especially in SP 290+: 90+ AMX-10P (HOT); 200 VCC-1 ITOW;
the application of precision airpower, air–ground coordination M-ATV with Milan
and in logistics support, such as aerial refuelling. The US remains MANPATS Hyeongung; TOW-2A
the country’s main source of advanced weaponry, followed by the RCL 84mm Carl Gustav; 90mm M67; 106mm M40A1
UK, with whom it signed a new Military and Security Cooperation ARTILLERY 761
Agreement in September 2017. Saudi Arabia continues its equip- SP 155mm 224: 60 AU-F-1; 110 M109A1B/A2; 54 PLZ-45
ment recapitalisation, with orders for combat aircraft, corvettes TOWED 110: 105mm (100 M101/M102 in store); 155mm
and multi-mission surface combatants. There is a modest domestic 110: 50 M114; 60 M198; 203mm (8 M115 in store)
defence-industrial base, mainly in the assembly and overhaul of MRL 127mm 60 ASTROS II Mk3
land systems. Riyadh has declared an intention to spend 50% of MOR 367: SP 81mm 70; SP 107mm 150 M30; 120mm 147:
its defence outlays locally as part of its Vision 2030 initiative and 110 Brandt; 37 M12-1535
established the state-owned Saudi Arabian Military Industries to HELICOPTERS
oversee local defence production. ATK 35: 11 AH-64D Apache; 24 AH-64E Apache
MRH 21: 6 AS365N Dauphin 2 (medevac); 15 Bell 406CS
ACTIVE 227,000 (Army 75,000 Navy 13,500 Air Combat Scout
20,000 Air Defence 16,000 Strategic Missile Forces TPT • Medium 58: 12 S-70A1 Desert Hawk; 22 UH-60A
2,500 National Guard 100,000) Paramilitary 24,500 Black Hawk (4 medevac); 24 UH-60L Black Hawk
366 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Middle East
Other
L/70 in store)
Some mobile def (long-range patrol/spt) units
2 border def (patrol) units
Strategic Missile Forces 2,500 12 infrastructure def units
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE 18 harbour def units
MSL • TACTICAL Some coastal def units
IRBM 10+ DF-3 (CH-SS-2) (service status unclear) COMBAT SUPPORT
MRBM Some DF-21 (CH-SS-5 – variant unclear) (reported) Some MP units
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
National Guard 73,000 active; 27,000 (tribal ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
levies) (total 100,000) APC • PPV Caprivi Mk3
FORCES BY ROLE PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 23+
MANOEUVRE PCC 9 CSB 40
Mechanised PBF 6+: 4 Al Jouf; 2 Sea Guard; some Plascoa FIC 1650
5 mech bde (1 recce coy, 3 mech inf bn, 1 SP arty bn, 1 PB 8: 6 Damen Stan Patrol 2606; 2 Al Jubatel
cbt engr coy, 1 sigs coy, 1 log bn) AMPHIBIOUS • LANDING CRAFT 8: 5 UCAC Griffon
Light 8000; 3 other
5 inf bde (3 combined arms bn, 1 arty bn, 1 log bn) LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 4: 1 AXL; 3 AO
3 indep lt inf bn
Other Facilities Security Force 9,000+
1 (Special Security) sy bde (3 sy bn) Subordinate to Ministry of Interior
1 (ceremonial) cav sqn
COMBAT SUPPORT General Civil Defence Administration Units
1 MP bn EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE HELICOPTERS • TPT • Medium 10 Boeing Vertol 107
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
ASLT 204 LAV-AG (90mm) Special Security Force 500
IFV 640 LAV-25 EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
APC • APC (W) 806 117 LAV-A (amb); 30 LAV-AC ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
(ammo carrier); 296 LAV-CC (CP); 73 LAV-PC; 290 V-150 APC • APC (W) UR-416
Commando (810 in store) AUV Gurkha LAPV
368 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Middle East
Buk-M2 (SA-17 Grizzly) GROUND ATTACK
Short-range 96K6 Pantsir-S1 (SA-22 Greyhound) 4 sqn with Su-22 Fitter D
Point-defence 9K31 Strela-1 (SA-9 Gaskin); 9K33 Osa 1 sqn with Su-24 Fencer
(SA-8 Gecko); 9K35 Strela-10 (SA-13 Gopher); 9K32 1 sqn with L-39 Albatros*
Strela-2 (SA-7 Grail)‡; 9K38 Igla (SA-18 Grouse); 9K36 TRANSPORT
Strela-3 (SA-14 Gremlin); 9K338 Igla-S (SA-24 Grinch) 1 sqn with An-24 Coke; An-26 Curl; Il-76 Candid
GUNS 1 sqn with Falcon 20; Falcon 900
SP 23mm ZSU-23-4; 57mm ZSU-57-2; S-60 (on 2K12 1 sqn with Tu-134B-3
chassis) 1 sqn with Yak-40 Codling
TOWED 23mm ZU-23-2; 37mm M-1939; 57mm S-60; ATTACK HELICOPTER
100mm KS-19 3 sqn with Mi-25 Hind D
2 sqn with SA342L Gazelle
Navy ε4,000 TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
Some personnel are likely to have been drafted into other 6 sqn with Mi-8 Hip/Mi-17 Hip H
services EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Heavy use of both fixed- and rotary-wing assets has likely
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 32†: reduced readiness and availability to very low levels. It is
CORVETTES • FS 2 Petya III (1†) with 1 triple 533mm estimated that no more than 30–40% of the inventory is op-
ASTT with SAET-60 HWT, 4 RBU 2500 Smerch 1† A/S erational
mor, 2 twin 76mm gun AIRCRAFT 236 combat capable
PBFG 22: FTR 64: 34 MiG-23MF/ML/UM Flogger; 30 MiG-29A/SM/
16 Osa I/II with 4 single lnchr with P-15M Termit-M UB Fulcrum
(SS-N-2C Styx) AShM FGA 118: 68 MiG-21MF/bis Fishbed; 9 MiG-21U Mongol
6 Tir with 2 single lnchr with C-802 (CH-SS-N-8 A; 41 MiG-23BN/UB Flogger;
Saccade) AShM ATK 39: 28 Su-22 Fitter D; 11 Su-24 Fencer
PB 8 Zhuk† TPT 23: Heavy 3 Il-76 Candid; Light 13: 1 An-24 Coke; 6
MINE WARFARE • MINE COUNTERMEASURES 7 An-26 Curl; 2 PA-31 Navajo; 4 Yak-40 Codling; PAX 7: 2
MHC 1 Sonya with 2 quad lnchr with 9K32 Strela-2 (SA- Falcon 20; 1 Falcon 900; 4 Tu-134B-3
N-5 Grail)‡ SAM, 2 AK630 CIWS TRG 15 L-39 Albatros*
MSO 1 Natya with 2 quad lnchr with 9K32 Strela-2 (SA- HELICOPTERS
N-5 Grail)‡ SAM ATK 24 Mi-25 Hind D
370 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
ARTILLERY Capabilities
MRL 107mm Type-63; 122mm 9K132 Grad-P
Ensuring territorial sovereignty and internal security are the main
MOR 82mm 2B9 Vasilek; improvised mortars of varying
tasks of the armed forces, which have limited capacities but are
calibre undergoing a modernisation process. The civil war in Libya and
AIR DEFENCE • GUNS Islamist terrorist groups operating from there continue to pose a
SP 14.5mm ZPU-4 (tch); ZPU-2 (tch); ZPU-1 (tch); security concern. In the light of terrorist attacks, the armed forces
23mm ZU-23-2 (tch); 57mm AZP S-60 are engaged in counter-terrorism operations, and have been
TOWED 14.5mm ZPU-1; ZPU-2; ZPU-4; 23mm ZU-23-2 tasked with securing sensitive industrial sites. Designated a major
non-NATO ally by the US in 2015, Tunisia also benefits from defence
and security cooperation with US AFRICOM and with France. The
Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) ε10,000 country has received training from Algeria and is a member of the
HTS was formed by Jabhat Fateh al-Sham (formerly known Saudi-led Islamic Military Counter Terrorism Coalition. The armed
as Jabhat al-Nusra) in January 2017 by absorbing other forces are involved in multinational exercises, notably those led
hardline groups. It is designated a terrorist organisation by by the US. The country is also strengthening its intelligence capa-
bilities. Overall military capability is limited by the ageing equip-
the US for its links to al-Qaeda.
ment inventory, although Tunisia has been the recipient of surplus
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE US systems, including armed utility helicopters. The country has
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE limited defence-industrial capabilities.
MSL • MANPATS 9K11 Malyutka (AT-3 Sagger); 9K113
ACTIVE 35,800 (Army 27,000 Navy 4,800 Air 4,000)
Konkurs (AT-5 Spandrel); 9K115-2 Metis-M (AT-13
Paramilitary 12,000
Saxhorn 2); 9K135 Kornet (AT-14 Spriggan)
Conscript liability 12 months selective
RCL 73mm SPG-9; 106mm M-40
ARTILLERY
MRL 107mm Type-63 ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
MOR 120mm some; improvised mortars of varying
calibres Army 5,000; 22,000 conscript (total 27,000)
AIR DEFENCE FORCES BY ROLE
SAM SPECIAL FORCES
Middle East
GUNS 1 (Sahara) SF bde
SP 14.5mm ZPU-1; ZPU-2; 23mm ZU-23-2; 57mm S-60 MANOEUVRE
Reconnaissance
1 recce regt
FOREIGN FORCES Mechanised
France Operation Inherent Resolve (Chammal) 1 SF unit 3 mech bde (1 armd regt, 2 mech inf regt, 1 arty regt, 1
Turkey 500+; 1 SF coy; 1 armd coy(+); 1 arty unit AD regt, 1 engr regt, 1 sigs regt, 1 log gp)
COMBAT SUPPORT
United States Operation Inherent Resolve 2,000+; 1 ranger
1 engr regt
unit; 1 mne bn; 1 arty bty with M777A2; 1 MRL bty with
M142 HIMARS EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
MBT 84: 30 M60A1; 54 M60A3
Tunisia TUN LT TK 48 SK-105 Kuerassier
RECCE 60: 40 AML-90; 20 FV601 Saladin
Tunisian Dinar D 2017 2018 2019 APC 350
GDP D 96.7bn 106bn APC (T) 140 M113A1/A2
US$ 40.0bn 41.7bn APC (W) 110 Fiat 6614
PPV 114+: 4 Bastion APC: Ejder Yalcin; 100+ Kirpi
per capita US$ 3,465 3,573
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
Growth % 2.0 2.4
AEV 2 Greif
Inflation % 5.3 8.1 ARV 9: 3 Greif; 6 M88A1
Def bgt D 2.02bn 2.33bn 2.93bn ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE • MSL
US$ 833m 915m SP 35 M901 ITV TOW
FMA (US) US$ 95m 0m 40m MANPATS Milan; TOW
ARTILLERY 276
US$1=D 2.42 2.55
TOWED 115: 105mm 48 M101A1/A2; 155mm 67: 12
Population 11,516,189 M114A1; 55 M198
MOR 161: 81mm 95; SP 107mm 48 M106; 120mm 18
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus Brandt
Male 13.0% 3.3% 3.5% 4.0% 22.0% 3.9% AIR DEFENCE
Female 12.2% 3.2% 3.5% 4.0% 23.0% 4.3% SAM • Point-defence 26 M48 Chaparral; RBS-70
372 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
all in limited amphibious operations. This operation also dem- MANPATS FGM-148 Javelin; Milan; TOW
onstrates the country’s developing approach to the use of force RCL 84mm Carl Gustav
and there are signs of an acceptance of military risk. In the case ARTILLERY 600+
of Yemen, the UAE has committed air and ground forces, particu- SP 155mm 181: 78 G-6; 85 M109A3; 18 Mk F3
larly but not exclusively the presidential guard, deployed armour
TOWED 93: 105mm 73 L118 Light Gun; 130mm 20 Type-
and demonstrated the use of a range of air munitions, includ-
ing precision-guidance kits. The country is developing regional
59-I
staging posts to support the Yemen operation. The UAE has an MRL 88+: 122mm 50+: 48 Firos-25 (est 24 op); 2 Jobaria;
advanced inventory of modern equipment across the domains and Type-90 (reported); 227mm 32 M142 HIMARS; 300mm
is taking steps to upgrade its airborne ISR capabilities. In 2016, the 6 9A52 Smerch
UAE began to receive US-manufactured THAAD ballistic-missile- MOR 251: 81mm 134: 20 Brandt; 114 L16; 120mm 21
defence batteries. The country continues to develop its defence- Brandt; SP 120mm 96 RG-31 MMP Agrab Mk2
industrial base; parent company EDIC oversees a variety of subsid- SURFACE-TO-SURFACE MISSILE LAUNCHERS
iaries, including in the UAV, support, munitions, guided-weapons SRBM • Conventional 6 Scud-B (up to 20 msl); MGM-
and defence-electronic sectors. The UAE remains reliant on exter-
140A/B ATACMS (launched from M142 HIMARS)
nal providers for major weapons systems.
UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES
ACTIVE 63,000 (Army 44,000 Navy 2,500 Air 4,500 ISR • Medium Seeker II
Presidential Guard 12,000) AIR DEFENCE
Conscript liability 24 months for those with no secondary-school SAM • Point-defence Blowpipe; Mistral
certificate, 16 months for secondary-school graduates. Women – 9 GUNS 62
months regardless of education SP 20mm 42 M3 VDAA
TOWED 30mm 20 GCF-BM2
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
Navy 2,500
Space EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS 1
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
FRIGATES • FFGH 1
SATELLITES • COMMUNICATIONS 3 Yahsat
1 Abu Dhabi with 2 twin lnchr with MM40 Exocet
Block 3 AShM, 1 76mm gun
Army 44,000
Middle East
FORCES BY ROLE CORVETTES 10
MANOEUVRE FSGHM 6:
Armoured 6 Baynunah with 2 quad lnchr with MM40 Exocet
2 armd bde Block 3 AShM, 1 8-cell Mk56 VLS with RIM-162
Mechanised ESSM SAM, 1 21-cell Mk49 GMLS with RIM-116C
2 mech bde RAM Block 2 SAM, 1 76mm gun
Light FSGM 4:
1 inf bde 2 Muray Jib (GER Lurssen 62m) with 2 quad lnchr
COMBAT SUPPORT with MM40 Exocet Block 2 AShM, 1 octuple lnchr
1 arty bde (3 SP arty regt) with Crotale SAM, 1 Goalkeeper CIWS, 1 76mm gun,
1 engr gp 1 hel landing platform
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE 2 Ganthoot with 2 twin lnchr with MM40 Exocet
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES Block 3 AShM, 2 3-cell VLS with VL-MICA SAM, 1
MBT 385: 45 AMX-30; 340 Leclerc 76mm gun, 1 hel landing platform
LT TK 76 FV101 Scorpion PCFGM 2 Mubarraz (GER Lurssen 45m) with 2 twin
RECCE 73: 49 AML-90; 24 VBL lnchr with MM40 Exocet AShM, 1 sextuple lnchr with
IFV 405: 15 AMX-10P; 390 BMP-3 Mistral SAM, 1 76mm gun
APC 928 PCFG 6 Ban Yas (GER Lurssen TNC-45) with 2 twin lnchr
APC (T) 136 AAPC (incl 53 engr plus other variants) with MM40 Exocet Block 3 AShM, 1 76mm gun
APC (W) 185: 45 AMV 8×8 (one with BMP-3 turret); PBFG 12 Butinah (Ghannatha mod) with 4 single lncher
120 EE-11 Urutu; 20 VAB with Marte Mk2/N AShM
PPV 607: 465 Caiman; 115 Maxxpro LWB; 27 Nimr Hafeet PBF 12: 6 Ghannatha with 120mm mor (capacity 42
AUV 650 M-ATV; Nimr Adjban; Nimr Jais troops); 6 Ghannatha (capacity 42 troops)
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES MINE WARFARE • MINE COUNTERMEASURES 2
AEV 53 ACV-AESV; Wisent-2 MHO 2 Al Murjan (ex-GER Frankenthal-class Type-332)
ARV 143: 8 ACV-AESV Recovery; 4 AMX-30D; 85 AMPHIBIOUS 29
BREM-L; 46 Leclerc ARV; 15 Maxxpro ARV LANDING SHIPS • LST 2 Alquwaisat with 1 hel
NBC VEHICLES 32 TPz-1 Fuchs NBC landing platform
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE LANDING CRAFT 17
MSL LCM 5: 3 Al Feyi (capacity 56 troops); 2 (capacity 40
SP 20 HOT; Nimr Ajban 440A with Kornet-E troops and additional vehicles)
374 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Middle East
answer to those member states rather than Yemeni military author-
Leclerc; BMP-3; G-6; Agrab Mk2; 2 FSGHM; 2 LST; 6 LCT; 4 ities. The rebel Houthi forces, who are assumed to receive mate-
Archangel; 3 AH-64D Apache; 2 CH-47F Chinook; 4 UH-60M rial support from Iran, are largely tribal-based militias, along with
Black Hawk; Wing Loong 1 (GJ-1) UAV; 4 MIM-104F Patriot some elements of the Yemeni armed forces who were loyal to the
PAC-3 late former president Saleh. Al-Qaeda affiliates also appear active
in the country. Government forces tend to be underequipped
LIBYA: 6 AT-802; 2 UH-60M; 2 Wing Loong 1 (GJ-1) UAV and poorly paid compared to the proxy groups supported by the
SAUDI ARABIA: Operation Restoring Hope 12 F-16E Fighting Saudi-led coalition. The Houthi rebel forces gained from the train-
Falcon ing and capabilities of the former Yemeni armed forces previously
loyal to former president Saleh. The Houthi rebels appear to retain
YEMEN: Operation Restoring Hope 3,000 1 bde HQ; 2 armd most of the more capable heavy armour and armoured fighting
BG; Leclerc; BMP-3; Patria AMV; M-ATV; G-6; M109A3; vehicles. Opposition forces have maintained their ability to launch
Agrab Mk2; 4 AH-64D Apache; 2 CH-47F Chinook; 4 UH- surface-to-surface missiles at Saudi Arabia. The Saudi-led coalition
60M Black Hawk; 96K6 Pantsir-S1; 4 MIM-104F Patriot continues to provide ground and air support for the Hadi govern-
PAC-3 ment. The conflict appears to have been sustained by a combina-
tion of large existing stockpiles of weapons and ammunition and
external supplies, despite UN embargos. There is no domestic
FOREIGN FORCES defence industry, barring some limited maintenance and work-
Australia 650; 1 tpt det with 1 B-737-700 Wedgetail (E-7A); shop facilities.
1 A330 MRTT (KC-30A); 2 C-130J-30 Hercules
Denmark Operation Inherent Resolve 20 ACTIVE 40,000 (Goverment forces 40,000)
France 650: 1 armd BG (1 tk coy, 1 armd inf coy; 1 aty bty);
Leclerc; VBCI; CAESAR; 6 Rafale ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
Italy 120; 1 tpt flt with 2 C-130J Hercules
Korea, Republic of: 139 (trg activities at UAE Spec Ops Government forces ε40,000 (incl militia)
School) President Hadi’s government is nominally supported by
United Kingdom 200; 1 tkr/tpt flt with C-17A Globemaster; parts of the Yemeni armed forces, as well as a number of
C-130J Hercules; A330 MRTT Voyager militia organisations in southern and eastern Yemen. The
United States: 5,000; 1 ftr sqn with 6 F-22A Raptor; 1 ISR government’s ability to exercise direct control over most
sqn with 4 U-2; 1 AEW&C sqn with 4 E-3 Sentry; 1 tkr sqn of these forces is extremely limited, with local leaders
with 12 KC-10A; 1 ISR UAV sqn with RQ-4 Global Hawk; 2 and state sponsors, such as Saudi Arabia and the UAE,
AD bty with MIM-104E/F Patriot PAC-2/3 exercising stronger influence.
376 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Qatar launched Barzan Holdings at its DIMDEX trade negotiate the sale of unclassified equipment with
show in March. Barzan Holdings will focus on creating customers without government approval. However,
joint ventures (JVs) with other companies, in order the Defense Export Control Agency must still sign
to create a defence-industrial capability in Qatar. off deals. Under previous rules, companies had to
A number of JVs were announced at the show with acquire a marketing licence from the government
international companies such as BMC, Kongsberg, before negotiating with a customer, which could take
Raytheon, Rheinmetall and Qinetiq. several months.
Saudi Arabian Military Industries (SAMI) and Spain’s In September, Alexandria Shipyard launched the first
Navantia formed a JV to work on the design and of three Gowind 2500 frigates that are being built
construction of the five Avante 2200 corvettes that in Egypt. Naval Group was awarded a contract in
Saudi Arabia ordered in mid-2018. The JV will fit out 2014 to design and build the first vessel and provide
the final two corvettes with Navantia’s CATIZ combat- assistance, an integrated mast, and other systems
management system in Saudi Arabia. and weapons for three more frigates. Port Said (976)
is the first major warship that Egypt has built. The first
Qatar continued its recent series of big-ticket of class, El Fateh (971), was commissioned in October
procurements, with contracts for Turkish armed 2017.
uninhabited aerial vehicles, armoured vehicles,
patrol boats, Italian NH90 helicopters and, most In July, China signed cooperation agreements with
▼ Figure 23 Middle East and North Africa: selected ongoing or completed procurement priorities in 2018
14
12
Number of Countries
North Africa
10 Levant
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ph
/IS
ar
ra
ium
i-R
Am
Ai
rc
ult
AE
ed
Ai
M
M
*Data reflects the number of countries with equipment-procurement contracts either ongoing or completed in 2018. Data includes only procurement programmes for which a production contract
has been signed. The data does not include upgrade programmes.
**Armoured fighting vehicles not including main battle tanks ***Includes combat-capable training aircraft IISS
©
378 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Table 16 Reported Russian defence exports to Algeria: recently completed and ongoing, by contract date
Equipment Type Quantity Value* Prime contractor Contract Delivery
date
T-90SA MBT 185 US$1bn UralVagonZavod 2006 2006–08
96K6 Pantsir-S1 Short-range SP SAM 38 US$500m KBP Instrument 2006 2011–13
(SA-22 Greyhound) Design Bureau
S-300PMU2 Long-range SP SAM 8 US$300m Almaz-Antey 2006 2008–09
(SA-20 Gargoyle)
S-300PMU2 Long-range SP SAM 8 US$300m Almaz-Antey 2006 2010
(SA-20 Gargoyle)
Varshavyanka SSK 2 US$600m Admiralty Shipyards 2006 2009
(Improved Kilo)
Su-30MKA FGA ac 28 US$1.5bn United Aircraft 2006 2007–09
(Flanker H) Corporation
Mi-26T2 Halo Hvy Tpt Hel 8 US$1bn Russian Helicopters 2015 2017–ongoing
*All contract values are from Russian media reporting and converted into US dollars
Middle East and North Africa 379
Table 17 Saudi Arabia: top ten arms orders in 2017–18, by order date
Equipment Type Quantity Value (US$) Prime contractor(s) Order date
M1A2S Abrams MBT n.k 880m (US) General Dynamics Land Systems 2017
AH-6i Little Bird MRH Hel 24 25.52m (US) Boeing Apr 2017
UH-60M Black Hawk Med Tpt Hel 115 n.k. (US) Sikorsky Jun 2017
CH-47F Chinook Hvy Tpt Hel 8 533m (US) Boeing Aug 2017
E-3A Sentry AEW&C ac 5 240.2m (US) Boeing Oct 2017
UH-60M Black Hawk Med Tpt Hel 17 193.85m (US) Sikorsky Jan 2018
Combattante FS56 PCGM 3 ε294.1m (FRA) CMN Jan 2018
Multi-Mission Surface FFGHM 4 6bn (US) Lockheed Martin Mar 2018
Combatants (MMSC)
HSI 32 (FRA CMN) PBF 39 480m (SAU) Zamil Offshore Services Apr 2018
Avante 2200 FFGHM 5 2.12bn (ESP) Navantia Jul 2018
Table 18 Gulf Cooperation Council states: new fighter/ground-attack aircraft contracts, 2005–present
Order date Country Aircraft Quantity Value (US$) Prime contractor Deliveries
Dec 2005 Saudi Arabia Eurofighter Typhoon 72 8.87bn (UK) BAE Systems 2009–17
Dec 2011 Oman F-16C Block 50 10 600m (US) Lockheed Martin 2014
F-16D Block 50 2
Mar 2012 Saudi Arabia F-15SA Eagle 84 11.4bn (US) Boeing 2016–ongoing
Dec 2012 Oman Eurofighter Typhoon 12 3.9bn* (UK) BAE Systems 2017–18
Middle East
Apr 2016 Kuwait Eurofighter Typhoon 28 8.81bn (ITA) Leonardo 2020–23
Dec 2017 Qatar F-15QA 36 6.17bn (US) Boeing n.k.–2022
Jun 2018 Bahrain F-16V Block 70 16 1.12bn (US) Lockheed Martin n.k.–2023
Jun 2018 Kuwait F/A-18E Super Hornet 22 n.k. (US) Boeing n.k.–2021
F/A-18F Super Hornet 6
Sep 2018 Qatar Eurofighter Typhoon 24 6.43bn* (UK) BAE Systems 2022–n.k.
*Includes supply of Hawk training aircraft
Chapter Eight
Latin America and the Caribbean defence Active military personnel – top 10
spending, 2018 – top 5, including US foreign military (15,000 per unit)
financing
Brazil
United States 334,500
US$643.3bn Colombia
293,200
Mexico 277,150
Venezuela 123,000
Peru 81,000
Total
Latin America
and the Chile 77,200
Caribbean
spending Argentina 74,200
US$61.1bn
Cuba 49,000
28.0bn 10.6bn 5.23bn 4.25bn 4.23bn
Bolivia 34,100
Argentina
Cyprus (UNFICYP) – 244
Brazil
Lebanon (UNIFIL) – 222
Colombia
Egypt (MFO) – 275
Peru
Uruguay CAR (MINUSCA) – 213
DRC (MONUSCO) – 937
Persistent regional security challenges stemming states to re-examine their legislative frameworks.
from the threat from organised crime and drug For example, in late 2017 the Mexican legislature
traffickers and the need for humanitarian assistance approved an internal-security law, intended by the
and disaster relief (HA/DR) missions are among government to regulate the use of the armed forces
the issues driving developments in regional armed on internal-security operations. The Mexican military
forces. At the same time, the effects on the region has been deployed since 2006 on missions to help
of the continuing economic crisis in Venezuela tackle organised crime and drug trafficking. Amid
are becoming more apparent. This is principally criticism that more emphasis should be placed on
due to its impact on Venezuela’s population – the improving policing, President Enrique Peña Nieto
economic crisis has triggered an exodus of nationals said that, as well as the new law, local authorities were
to neighbouring countries. But it is also noticeable in also obliged to strengthen institutional capacities.
the responses that it has generated in regional states, In November, however, the law was rejected by the
such as Brazil and Colombia, which have deployed Supreme Court. President-elect Andrés Manuel
elements of security forces as a result of the influx of López Obrador discussed different approaches to
Venezuelan citizens. tackling the country’s security challenges, with a
focus on preventive strategies, as well as the creation
Reshaped domestic roles of a national guard.
It is noteworthy that, years after some Latin American Other states enacting or discussing legislative
states began to reshape military roles away from amendments include Argentina, Paraguay and Peru.
involvement in internal affairs, certain legislatures In Argentina, the Macri administration announced
have once again focused on the military role in tasks in late July wide-ranging plans to reform the defence
at home, though these are now of a significantly establishment, including legislation to modify a decree
different nature. In Brazil, the armed forces have in from 2006 which restricts the armed forces to tackling
recent years mounted security operations, notably in external state-based threats. It is understood that the
urban favela areas, to counter organised crime. A Law plan will enable a broader assessment of threats of
and Order Guarantee (Garantia da Lei e da Ordem, external origin, which would in theory allow greater
or GLO) can be invoked by presidential decree, latitude to deploy against non-traditional threats such
which has to establish a specific geographical area as organised crime. In Paraguay, changes have been
for the mission, and start and end dates, though these made to laws in recent years on domestic defence and
are flexible. The legislation has been used to enable security, reportedly allowing a military role in certain
military deployments against criminal elements in internal tasks without declaring a state of emergency.
urban areas. However, the territorial restrictions And in Peru, Law 30796 of June 2018 authorised the
on GLOs have been re-examined. In late May 2018, armed forces to intervene in the valley of the Apurimac,
to allow the armed forces to intervene after striking Ene and Mantaro rivers to tackle drug trafficking.
truck drivers blocked several roads, President Michel These legislative changes reflect the changing
Temer said that the GLO was valid across Brazil. security environment in the region. Armed forces are
The armed forces can also be deployed through envisaged as taking on an increasingly broad range
a ‘federal intervention’, one level below a state of of roles, moving away from traditional territorial-
emergency. This mechanism was included in the 1988 defence tasks towards tackling non-traditional
constitution, but first used in February 2018, when challenges such as those from transnational organised
Temer declared a federal intervention in the public crime and drug trafficking and now also including
security of Rio de Janeiro State. cyber threats, deployments overseas on peace-
The security challenge posed by organised crime support tasks and HA/DR missions. Increasingly,
and drug trafficking has prompted other regional multinational regional exercises also focus on these
Latin America and the Caribbean 383
tasks. Common challenges continue to lead more The Brazilian Army deployed to the border with
defence ministries to consider the benefits from Venezuela in August 2018 in an effort to increase
greater regional cooperation, not only through security for the local population, as well as to respond
training but also in areas such as information sharing. to the needs of the nearly 60,000 Venezuelans that
In Venezuela, however, the year also saw a had reportedly crossed into Brazil. Meanwhile, the
traditional threat to the leadership, if delivered in Brazilian armed forces reached several significant
a non-traditional way. President Nicolás Maduro milestones in 2018. In June, the navy commissioned
survived an assassination attempt during a military the PHM Atlantico, formerly the United Kingdom’s
parade on 4 August. It was claimed that this was HMS Ocean. The arrival of this helicopter carrier
engineered by a group of right-wing dissidents, marks the return to Brazil of a naval-aviation power-
who used a pair of small uninhabited aerial vehicles projection capability for the first time since the
(UAVs) packed with explosives. Earlier in the year, decommissioning of the aircraft carrier Sáo Paulo
arrests had been reported relating to the 2017 attack (the former French Navy Foch) in 2017. However, the
on government buildings by a police officer. After selection of a supplier for the Tamandaré-class corvette
the 2018 attack, Venezuela’s leadership blamed the project, Brazil’s most anticipated procurement
governments of Chile, Colombia and Mexico for their decision, was delayed in mid-2018, causing the
potential roles in supporting what was described as programme to further slip. Meanwhile, the air force
a right-wing terrorist movement inside Venezuela continued to push for the finalisation of the test and
and announced the deployment of 100,000 troops evaluation phase of the much-anticipated KC-390
to guarantee the country’s borders from a potential multi-role tanker transport; the air force is expected
military intervention by its neighbours. to receive its first three KC-390s in 2019.
The president of Ecuador, Lenín Moreno, has
Regional developments sought to improve significantly relations with the
In Colombia, the commander of the armed forces United States. Under the direction of Defence Minister
said in June 2018 that principal defence concerns (and retired general) Oswaldo Jarrín, the Ecuadorean
were sovereignty and territorial integrity, as well armed forces have launched a reorganisation
as defending against internal threats. He also noted programme that includes the creation of a joint
that other key tasks were environmental protection, command. Jarrín has been instrumental in increasing
disaster response and exporting security – including defence and security cooperation with Washington,
the Caribbean
Colombia hosted the international Unitas exercise in air assets, such as US Customs and Border Patrol P-3
late 2018 and has been active in training and skill- Orion maritime-patrol aircraft to help Ecuador monitor
sharing activities with other regional armed forces. its large exclusive economic zone. He announced in
However, the crisis in Venezuela continues to generate September that the defence ministry was working on
concern in Bogotá. Some reports indicate that up to a new defence white paper. In neighbouring Peru, the
one million Venezuelans have in recent years fled to army continues a transformation process that includes
Colombia. The Venezuelan situation has led to the the creation of a new disaster-response brigade. The
re-examination of some of Colombia’s procurement navy has launched a long-awaited programme to
priorities, although current procurement budgets modernise the submarine fleet, with the first hull
remain modest. Reports indicate that aspirations opened in May 2018 at the navy-run SIMA shipyards,
include the acquisition of air-defence systems. There which have also begun to build the second Makassar-
are also long-standing plans to procure a replacement class landing platform dock (LPD). The first LPD, BAP
or complement for Colombia’s ageing Kfir fighter- Pisco, was commissioned in June 2018.
aircraft fleet (some of which were recently upgraded), Economic challenges in Argentina continue to
as well as a surface-warship project (Plataforma prevent a major revamp of its armed forces. As a
Estratégica de Superficie). More broadly, reform result, long-awaited procurement projects have
plans continue in order to reshape the Colombian been shelved or rescheduled for 2020 and onwards.
defence establishment for the post-internal-conflict Although President Mauricio Macri announced his
environment by boosting morale, capability intent to strengthen military and industrial capacity
and transparency, and producing armed forces in a speech in July, the precise sums to be allocated for
compatible with NATO standards. this process remained unclear at the time of writing.
384 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
However, capability developments in 2018 included US$6,000 per mt in summer 2018. This benefited
delivery to the air force of more Beechcraft T-6C+ commodity exporters such as Chile, for whom
Texan II trainers; the plan is to acquire 12 airframes. copper-related exports came to 21% of its total exports
This has enabled the air force’s Tucano trainers to be in 2016, and other minerals-related exports another
repurposed for interdiction operations in the north 20%. Peru, another metal-commodity exporter, also
of the country. Their employment against non-state benefited from these rising prices.
threats reflects the shift in the country’s defence Internally, growth was fuelled by private
policy, which until 2018 confined military activities to consumption, thanks to improved business and
defending against conventional state threats. consumer confidence, as well as investments; this was
Meanwhile, in August 2018, Argentina, Brazil, the case in Chile and Colombia. Meanwhile, tourism
Chile, Colombia, Paraguay and Peru announced their grew in the Caribbean, benefiting countries such as
intention to suspend indefinitely participation in Barbados, Belize, Jamaica and St Lucia.
the Union of South American Nations (UNASUR), a However, larger countries in the region acted as a
regional organisation which was created in 2008 in an brake on the overall regional economic acceleration.
effort to foster regional political, social, defence and Argentina, for example, has experienced difficulties
economic cooperation. The move came after Bolivia since mid-2018. In the wake of the rise of interest
assumed the presidency of the organisation and rates in the US, Argentina saw its currency weaken
amid disputes with Venezuela. UNASUR’s South sharply. Between January and September 2018, the
American Defense Council had launched several peso lost more than 50% of its value against the US
multinational programmes on military education, dollar. Inflation also reached record highs, up to
equipment research and development, and procure- 34.4% year-on-year in August 2018. This led Buenos
ment, including the joint development of a primary Aires to implement an austerity programme, with
trainer aircraft and a tactical UAV, both of which hikes in export taxes and a reduction in the number
failed to materialise. of government ministries. Around the same time,
Macri announced defence-reform plans, including a
DEFENCE ECONOMICS restructuring of the ministry of defence. Nonetheless,
the government had to request a US$50-billion loan
After some difficult years, with a contraction of 0.6% from the IMF. In addition, a severe drought affected
of GDP in 2016 and only modest growth of 1.3% of Argentina’s production of soya beans and corn,
GDP in 2017, Latin America and the Caribbean is which had constituted 24% and 6% of its exports
seeing stronger figures, expected to reach 2% in 2018. respectively in 2016.
According to the IMF, countries such as Chile (3.4%),
Paraguay (4.5%), Peru (3.7%) and Uruguay (3.4%)
were some of the most dynamic economies in South ▼ Figure 24 Latin America and the Caribbean defence
America in 2018. spending by country and sub-region
This return to growth was enabled by both external
and internal factors. Overall, the region was helped Other Central America, 2.1%
Trinidad and Tobago, 1.5%
Other Caribbean
by growth in the United States, which rose from 2.5% Panama, 1.2% 2.2%
in 2017 to 3.4% in 2018. Mexico and Central American Mexico, 8.5%
and Caribbean countries are particularly dependent Other South
America, 2.2%
on the economic situation in the US. In 2016, Mexico
Ecuador, 2.8%
exported 74% of its products to the US, with Nicaragua
at 61% and Honduras at 56%. However, according to Peru, 3.7%
Brazil
the OECD, while Mexico and Central American states 45.4%
Argentina
have become more reliant on the US economy, South 6.9%
American countries have become more dependent on
China’s economy. Chile, 6.9%
Another external factor was the recovery in
commodity prices after the 2014 crash. According
to the World Bank, copper prices recovered from Colombia, 17.3%
US$5,510 per metric tonne (mt) in 2015 to over Note: analysis excludes Cuba, Suriname and Venezuela © IISS
Latin America and the Caribbean 385
The IMF assessed that Brazil’s GDP would grow in which right-leaning candidate Jair Bolsonaro was
from 1% in 2017 to 2.3% in 2018, rebounding after two victorious. Most importantly, Brazil’s economy, and
years of recession. However, weaknesses remained, in particular the government’s room for manoeuvre,
which could dampen this outlook. The Brazilian real is clouded by rising debt and large deficits. These
weakened against the US dollar by 25% between challenges, however, appear manageable when
September 2018 and January 2018. In May 2018, the compared to Venezuela’s economic crisis. The IMF
truck drivers’ strike hit the economy, hampering has estimated an inflation rate there above 1,000,000%
the shipping industry and trade, and leading to in 2018, and the authorities had to devaluate the
fuel shortages. Political uncertainty also dominated currency by replacing 100,000 bolívares fuertes with
ahead of the presidential election in October 2018, one bolívar soberano.
Bahamas
Ecuador
10
7 [1] Map illustrating 2018 planned defence-spending levels (in US$ at
market exchange rates), as well as the annual real percentage change
5 in planned defence spending between 2017 and 2018 (at constant 2010
3 prices and exchange rates). Percentage changes in defence spending
can vary considerably from year to year, as states revise the level of
1 funding allocated to defence. Changes indicated here highlight the
short-term trend in planned defence spending between 2017 and 2018.
.25 Actual spending changes prior to 2017, and projected spending levels
.05 post-2018, are not reflected.
386 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Arpia IV helicopter. Colombia also created a new again in December 2017, is introducing substantial
multipurpose squadron equipped with Bell 206 changes to the way Chilean defence is financed.
Jet Ranger helicopters and a new UAV squadron
equipped with Boeing ScanEagle and NightEagle Security policy in transition
systems for the air force, while the army took delivery Following the transition to democracy in the early
of a small number of locally produced TR12 Hunter 1990s, Chilean defence was principally shaped by
mine-resistant ambush-protected vehicles. The air three considerations: that historical rivalries with
force will likely also acquire a single C-130H Hercules Bolivia and Peru were still potential sources of conflict;
transport aircraft from surplus US Air Force stocks that the armed forces retained considerable autonomy
and announced its intention to acquire another two. in defence affairs after political arrangements agreed
Although funds remain limited in Ecuador, the during the democratic transition; and that the
government has been trying to recapitalise some of military-modernisation programme benefited from
its military capabilities, particularly air mobility. A healthy financial resources.
single M28 Skytruck light cargo plane was delivered, These factors helped to maintain a military
and it is understood that the ministry wishes to posture focused on external defence in the event of
procure at least six light helicopters for the army. conventional conflict. The army was organised as
a mechanised force with three motorised infantry
CHILE brigades and four armoured brigades equipped
with Leopard 1 and 2 main battle tanks and variants,
Chile’s armed forces are professional and capable, if the only likely role for which was the defence of the
compact. Until recently, missions and planning were desert regions in Chile’s north. The air force was
dominated by territorial-defence considerations, but conceived of as an air-superiority and strike force;
the armed forces are also now preparing for ‘missions it acquired 46 F-16 combat aircraft, mostly second-
other than war’, including peacekeeping and hand from the Netherlands but supplemented later
humanitarian assistance and disaster relief (HA/DR). with some new builds. The navy was designed to
As part of this process, they are undertaking more guarantee the protection of sea lines of communi-
exercises with regional and international partners. cation with a surface fleet of eight principal surface
Santiago’s security policy is transforming from a combatants and to carry out interdiction operations
traditional defence model to one defined by changing with a submarine fleet of two Type-209/1400 and two
the Caribbean
promoted by civilian governments. As a consequence, ated relatively autonomously, with only a limited
concepts and force structures designed to address degree of joint organisation.
territorial threats coexist with policy initiatives However, since the late 2000s, several factors have
and procurement programmes associated with combined to change this model. Closer economic ties
new tasks. At the same time, there has been a slow and political rapprochement with Chile’s neighbours
reduction in the defence budget and the cancellation have reduced the risk of a border crisis. Chile was one of
or postponement of some procurement plans for the founders of the Pacific Alliance and is an associate
conventional equipment. This strategic transition member of the Mercado Común del Sur (Common
has continued during President Sebastián Piñera’s Market of the South, or MERCOSUR). Nonetheless,
second term in office. In his first term, in 2010–14, there have been disputes with neighbours, though
he proposed initiatives to modify Chile’s defence parties have resolved to settle these through recourse
policy, an aspiration to which his successor Michelle to the International Court of Justice (ICJ). A long-
Bachelet was also committed. Chile’s defence minister standing maritime dispute between Chile and Peru
was elected president of the Conference of Defense was eventually settled only after referral to the ICJ,
Ministers of the Americas in October 2018. The which in 2014 granted Lima additional maritime
defence ministry said that Chile’s presidency of this waters. In 2013, Bolivia took a dispute with Chile to
group would be directed at strengthening regional the ICJ over its claim that it should have access to the
cooperation in HA/DR, environmental protection, Pacific Ocean via an ‘Atacama corridor’. In October
preparing for new security challenges including 2018, the court found that Chile ‘did not undertake a
cyber defence, and boosting women’s participation in legal obligation to negotiate a sovereign access to the
the armed forces. In addition, Piñera, who was elected Pacific Ocean for the Plurinational State of Bolivia’.
388 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
(Central African Republic). Chile also contributes to ▲ Map 11 Chile: key military bases and defence-
EUFOR Althea, the European Union mission respon- industrial facilities
sible for maintaining security in Bosnia-Herzegovina.
An emphasis on regional security cooperation has
been particularly visible in Chile’s growing military nations’ military units also take part in the Solidaridad
ties with Argentina. Rapprochement with Buenos series of biannual disaster-response drills.
Aires began with the signing of a memorandum of
understanding in 1995. A battalion-strength joint The armed forces
Cruz de Sur (Southern Cross) peacekeeping force The armed forces are highly professional but limited
was formed after bilateral talks in 2005 and 2006. Both in size, with just over 77,000 personnel, 46,000 of
Latin America and the Caribbean 389
whom are in the army. Military service is mandatory, ations. Likewise, the army made significant invest-
though there are usually enough volunteers to ment in 2017 to equip its engineer battalions with new
forestall compulsory notices. Only the army has construction plant and all-terrain vehicles, improving
a significant number of conscripts in its ranks (its their capabilities to manage natural disasters.
non-commissioned officers are professional), while Meanwhile, the air force will have to consider how
the navy and the air force are almost all professional. to maintain the level of platform capability that made
There has been increased emphasis on strength- it one of the most sophisticated air forces in the region.
ening ‘jointness’ and reducing the administrative A significant number of its F-16 combat aircraft are
and operational independence of the three services. approaching the limit of their operational lives, as are
After 2010, and the approval of Law 20424, the Joint the air force’s 1980s-vintage CASA C-101CC trainer/
Staff became responsible for the strategic manage- light-attack aircraft, and there are believed to be no
ment of the armed forces; they had traditionally held immediate plans to renew or extend these capabilities.
an administrative function. This decision was later Air-force efforts have instead been directed at strength-
accompanied by the creation of two regional joint ening transport aviation, by taking into service four
commands (North and South). Based on this structure, ex-US Marine Corps KC-130R Hercules, increasing to
the Joint Staff has acquired a greater role in directing seven Chile’s Hercules fleet. Chile’s aerial-surveillance
major operations. Joint Command North, for instance, capacity is also receiving attention: three Hermes 900
supports the police force’s border-security operations uninhabited aerial vehicles (UAVs) are already oper-
through the Frontera Norte Segura (Safe Northern ating as part of the Safe Northern Border Plan. A key
Border) Plan. Likewise, the Joint Staff is responsible future project will be renewing the SSOT (Sistema
for coordinating Chilean participation in international Satelital de la Observacion de la Tierra) intelligence,
peacekeeping and observation missions. surveillance and reconnaissance satellite operated by
Meanwhile, procurement priorities have been the air force’s Space Operations Group.
modified, not only in size as a result of budget The Chilean Navy has bolstered its capacity for
reductions, but because of the broadening focus of maritime-security and coastguard-related tasks.
Chile’s defence policy. Investment is mainly allocated Four domestically produced Piloto Pardo-class
to the acquisition of multipurpose equipment capable offshore-patrol vessels have been acquired, two with
of combat and non-combat operations. ice-strengthened hulls. Meanwhile, the first steel was
cut for a new icebreaker in 2017. This Ice-class vessel
the Caribbean
As a consequence, some of the capabilities required for invaluable support to expanding Chilean activities
tasks such as rapid deployment and maritime patrol in the Antarctic. Modernisation of the navy’s fleet of
have been afforded greater priority. This change is P-3ACH Orion maritime-patrol aircraft is also under
most likely to affect the army, as its structure and way. This mid-life upgrade programme will replace,
equipment holdings have been traditionally geared according to Lockheed Martin, elements including
towards conventional combat operations. To date, the ‘outer wings, centre wing, horizontal stabiliser
the last significant land-system procurement by Chile and horizontal stabiliser leading edges’.
was of US-origin M109A5+ self-propelled howitzers. Nonetheless, Chile’s principal combat platforms
The second batch of 12 arrived in December 2014 by are also receiving attention. The navy’s three Type-23
means of US Foreign Military Sales. frigates were undergoing modernisation in 2018 that
Regular army deployments in support of disaster- involved the installation of new combat-management
relief activities have helped the development of a systems and air-defence missiles. The navy’s two
more flexible force, in particular by the involvement Scorpène-class submarines have also been completely
of military-engineering contingents in such tasks (and overhauled, and one of the two Type-209/1400s is
on exercises). As a part of this process, Chile has taken undergoing a similar process that will extend its
steps to expand its rotary-wing assets, including the service life by ten years. However, the plan to acquire
acquisition of a batch of AS532AL and AS532ALe a further two Scorpène-class boats to replace the Type-
Cougar helicopters, the last of which was delivered in 209/1400s has been postponed, while a replacement
2016. These have expanded significantly the capability has yet to be identified for the submarine tender
of the aviation brigade, which provides air mobility for Almirante José Toribio Merino Castro, which had been
the army and plays a critical role in disaster-relief oper- taken out of service in 2015.
390 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
The navy is also developing its blue-water to this new scheme, the armed forces will have two
activities, increasing its capability to operate additional sources of funding apart from standard
at distance from its bases and to participate in allocations to the ministry of defence. There will be
multinational coalitions. In 2015, the navy deployed a four-year budget, initially funded with US$2.6bn
the oiler Almirante Montt northwards to supply from remaining copper-law resources and then by
Canada’s Pacific Fleet, a mission which would have new annual allocations provided by the government.
given the crew valuable lessons in operations with A Strategic Contingency Fund will also be created,
unfamiliar vessels in distant waters. A milestone was with an additional US$1bn to be used in case of a
reached in 2018 when the Chilean Navy assumed the national-security crisis or natural disaster.
leadership of the naval component of the RIMPAC A share of the profits of Chile’s state copper
multinational exercise taking place off Hawaii. company will no longer go by law to the armed forces
but will instead be transferred to the treasury in the
Defence economics same way as other copper revenues; the government
Over the past decade, Chile has consistently ranked will decide its allocation in the same way as the rest
highly in the table of Latin American defence budgets. of the national budget. By repealing the copper law,
Military expenses have traditionally been financed Chile’s civilian political leadership will gain full
from three sources: firstly, annual budget allocations control over all defence funding and expenditures.
to the defence ministry, which have typically been More broadly, the repeal of the copper law reflects
used to cover salaries, operating expenses and two key changes in the Chilean political landscape.
infrastructure-construction outlays; secondly, the It demonstrates that the civilian government has
National Defence Provident Fund (Caja de Previsión achieved full control of defence policy, while showing
de la Defensa Nacional, or CAPREDENA), which an underlying change in government priorities in
manages military-pension payments; and, lastly, favour of increased investment in areas such as health
the Copper Reserve Law (Ley Reservada del Cobre), and education. Indeed, recent governments sought to
which traditionally allocated 10% of profits from provide alternative uses for the funds generated by the
national copper exports to military procurement. copper law. To this end, legal changes were made that
Given the difficulties in calculating the precise allowed copper-law revenues for disaster relief after
proportion of armed-forces funding derived from the 2010 earthquake, during the fires in the Valparaíso
copper revenues – the government occasionally region in 2014 and in early 2015 in order to finance
diverts some of these funds for other purposes – reconstruction in flood-hit areas of the north. The bill
most estimates of Chilean defence spending tend to establishing a new financing mechanism was going
focus on the first two sources (the ministry’s annual through the legislative process at the time of writing.
budget and armed-forces pensions). Together, these It is possible that military spending might also
amounted to an average of around 1.67% of GDP come under pressure as a consequence of Chile’s
between 2010 and 2014. That said, private-sector economic situation: growth fell from 5.8% in 2010 to
analysis of the economy in August 2018 reportedly just 1.5% in 2017 according to the IMF. Between 2010
indicated that, between 2012 and 2017, the copper and 2018, the percentage of Chile’s GDP devoted to
law generated additional funds averaging more than the armed forces fell from 1.63% to 1.42%. The defence
US$1 billion annually for equipment acquisitions. budget for 2018 represents a moderate increase of 3%
Salaries are the principal component of the defence- in nominal terms in comparison to the previous year.
ministry budget; in 2018, these amounted to 64.2% of In real terms, measured in constant (2010) US dollars,
the total, while operating expenditure stood at 21.4%, this meant an increase of 1.9% between 2017 and 2018.
according to the budget presented to congress in late The reduction in available funds for the armed
2017. Most of the remainder was allocated to cover a forces could result in some challenges. Given its level
variety of financial expenses, leaving almost no room of technical sophistication, military equipment is
for the purchase of new weapons systems. In the past, expensive to maintain, not to mention the costs that
the copper law offset this funding shortfall. would be associated with new systems of similar
However, after attempts by previous governments, or better capability. Consequently, the defence
in September 2018 President Piñera announced the ministry will have to carefully manage any significant
repeal of the copper law and the creation of a new reduction in defence expenditures, in order to prevent
mechanism to fund equipment acquisition. According an adverse effect on conventional defence capabilities.
Latin America and the Caribbean 391
the Caribbean
209/1400 submarines. Its most significant foreign a challenge.
contract was for the modernisation of Ecuador’s Before assuming office, AMLO announced that the
Type-209/1300 submarines, completed in 2014. Mexican armed forces would remain represented in
ENAER has a broad manufacturing and his cabinet via two distinct ministries, the Secretariá
maintenance portfolio, spanning both civil and de la Defensa Nacional (SEDENA), comprising the
military aircraft. A well-known export is the T-35 army and air force, and the Secretariá de Marina
Pillan basic trainer, which has been exported to the (SEMAR), comprising the navy. These are headed by
Dominican Republic, Ecuador and Spain, among an active-duty four-star general and an admiral, who
others, while its most important domestic programme serve as (equally ranked) secretary of defence and
is to provide technical support to the air force’s F-16 navy respectively. While there have been reports of
combat-aircraft fleet. The company also maintains potential change in the political-military organisation,
C-130 Hercules transport aircraft – including for foreign with a likely shift towards a single civilian-staffed
customers such as Colombia. In March 2015, ENAER defence ministry and the creation of a joint chief of staff
signed an agreement with Italy’s Leonardo to provide structure, similar rumours have been heard during
support and produce components for C-27J Spartan previous transitions. Any significant adjustment to the
transport aircraft and M-345 HET advanced trainers. political-military structure will require constitutional
In November 2016, ENAER signed an agreement with changes, as it is currently mandated that active-duty
Airbus to develop capabilities for the maintenance military officers head these institutions. AMLO also
and overhaul of C212, CN235 and C295 airlifters, as announced that his administration will recruit 50,000
well as to cooperate in the production of components additional personnel to join SEDENA, SEMAR and
for space systems. the Federal Police.
392 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
The announcement that the 1,800-strong likely to continue, although SEMAR has made the
presidential guard would disband after AMLO construction of the frigates a priority and may push
takes office attracted some attention. Known as the for funding for at least three more by 2024.
Estado Mayor Presidencial, the guard had provided Mexico’s aviation assets were significantly
security and logistics for the office of the president modernised during the 2012–18 administration,
since 1926. AMLO stated that his personal security with UH-60M Black Hawk and AS565MBe Panther
would instead be guaranteed by a 20-member civilian helicopters arriving, as well as more Beechcraft T-6C+
staff. He also announced that the Presidential Air Texan IIs and eight King Air 350 turboprops. Half
Transport (CGTAP) flight will be disbanded and sold of the King Airs are configured for maritime patrol
off. This includes some 22 aircraft, including a Boeing and the remainder for intelligence, surveillance
787-8 (delivered in 2016), four Gulfstream executive and reconnaissance. The procurement of further
aircraft, one Beech 350i, one H225M and six AW109s. UH-60M Black Hawks, mainly to begin replacement
Over the past decade, the Mexican armed forces of the Mi-17 fleet, has been outlined as a priority
have expanded and modernised their internal-security for the 2018–24 administration. However, these
capabilities at the expense of their conventional requirements may be revised in early 2019, as the new
capacity. Major investment is required to modernise administration begins to redefine its procurement
their artillery, armour, air defence, fighter-aviation priorities. The acquisition of further maritime-patrol
and surface-warfare capabilities. aircraft, including a medium-altitude long-endurance
Local production of DN-XI armoured vehicles (MALE) uninhabited aerial vehicle (UAV), is part of
ceased at around 150 out of a planned 1,000, though SEMAR’s long-term plans.
there is potential to restart the production line once Mexico’s marines continue to expand and have
the army-run defence industries finalise their move now been reorganised around a brigade-level special-
to Puebla. Most of the DN-XIs, along with around forces unit (UNOPES) – an amphibious marine
250 SandCats, have been re-distributed to the newly infantry brigade, which deploys units on both the
created military police brigades. These brigades have Pacific and Gulf of Mexico coasts – and 30 battalions
been created by drawing personnel from infantry, that are in various stages of formation. Requirements
cavalry and artillery units, in lieu of additional for new amphibious and light armoured vehicles
resources to significantly expand personnel levels; have been reported.
the Mexican Army had stood up ten of 12 of these Mexico’s southern radar network, known as SIVA
units by 2018. The army expects to procure new 105 (Sistema Integrado de Vigilancia Aérea) is augmented
mm and 155 mm artillery pieces, as well as a new by a flight composed of an EMB-145AEW Erieye and
generation of 8x8 armoured fighting vehicles, during two EMB-145RS maritime-patrol aircraft, all of which
the 2018–24 administration. are scheduled for upgrade. Three new S45 tactical
In November 2018, the Mexican Navy was due UAVs have been incorporated into the SIVA flight.
to launch the Reformadora, the first of eight SIGMA An unknown number of the more capable Hermes 900
10514-class frigates, which are planned to be built MALE UAVs remain assigned to the Federal Police and
at Mexican shipyards. The navy has announced the National Security Investigations Centre (Centro
plans to equip Reformadora with RGM-84L Harpoon de Investigación y Seguridad Nacional, or CISEN), an
Block II anti-ship missiles and RIM-162 ESSM and organisation that AMLO has pledged to dissolve. The
RIM-116 Block 2 missiles, as well as MH-60R Seahawk repair and refurbishment of the air force’s sole fighter
helicopters armed with AGM-114 Hellfire missiles squadron began in late 2017, and the first two F-5Es
and APKWS II guided rockets. The ship is due to to be redelivered were operational in September
enter service in 2020. Navy shipyards have also been 2018. The procurement of a new air-surveillance
building the seventh and eighth Oaxaca-class ocean- network for Mexico’s northern border, based on
patrol vessels, ARM Jalisco and ARM Estado de Mexico, the Thales GM400 composed of up to five radars
which are due to be commissioned in 2019. SEMAR and a command-and-control centre, was suspended
expects to continue its naval construction programme due to lack of funds. Despite a US Army North/US
under AMLO; however, the exact mix of ships to be NORTHCOM cooperation programme that led to
built in the 2019–24 period remains unclear. Mexico’s the lease of TPS-70 radar as an emergency interim
ongoing requirements for ocean- and coastal-patrol solution, SEDENA authorities have announced that
vessels to monitor its exclusive economic zone are the acquisition of five new radars is a priority.
Latin America and the Caribbean 393
the Caribbean
range of mainly soft-skinned vehicles), while the coastguard main- lenges and the navy has seen its capability decline in areas such as
tains ex-US patrol vessels and a number of smaller boats. Aside anti-submarine warfare, mine warfare and airborne early warning.
from limited maintenance facilities, there is no significant indig- Argentina possesses an indigenous defence-manufacturing capac-
enous defence industry. ity covering land, sea and air systems, although industry fortunes
have dipped in recent years because of lack of investment. State-
ACTIVE 180 (Army 130 Coast Guard 50) owned aviation firm FAdeA has aircraft-maintenance capabilities,
(all services form combined Antigua and Barbuda Defence Force) but is reliant on external assistance for some manufacturing tasks.
RESERVE 80 (Joint 80) ACTIVE 74,200 (Army 42,800 Navy 18,500 Air
12,900) Paramilitary 31,250
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
Army 130
FORCES BY ROLE Army 42,800
MANOEUVRE Regt and gp are usually bn-sized
Light FORCES BY ROLE
1 inf bn HQ SPECIAL FORCES
1 inf coy 1 SF gp
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT MANOEUVRE
1 spt gp (1 engr unit, 1 med unit) Mechanised
1 (1st) div (1 armd bde (4 tk regt, 1 mech inf regt, 1 SP
Coast Guard 50 arty gp, 1 cbt engr bn, 1 int coy, 1 sigs coy, 1 log coy),
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE 1 (3rd) jungle bde (2 jungle inf regt, 1 arty gp, 1 engr
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS • PB 2: 1 bn, 1 int coy, 1 sigs coy, 1 log coy, 1 med coy); 1 (12th)
Dauntless; 1 Swift jungle bde (3 jungle inf regt, 1 arty gp, 1 engr bn, 1 int
394 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
coy, 1 sigs coy, 1 log coy, 1 med coy), 2 engr bn, 1 sigs (to be converted to ISR role); 2 DHC-6 Twin Otter; 1
bn, 1 log coy) Sabreliner 75A (Gaviao 75A)
1 (3rd) div (1 mech bde (1 armd recce regt, 1 tk regt, 2 TRG 5 T-41 Mescalero
mech inf regt, 1 SP arty gp, 1 cbt engr bn, 1 int coy, 1 HELICOPTERS
sigs coy, 1 log coy), 1 mech bde (1 armd recce tp, 1 tk MRH 5: 4 SA315B Lama; 1 Z-11
regt, 2 mech inf regt, 1 SP arty gp, 1 cbt engr bn, 1 int TPT 67: Medium 3 AS332B Super Puma; Light 64: 1 Bell
coy, 1 sigs coy, 1 log coy), 1 int bn, 1 sigs bn, 1 log coy) 212; 25 Bell 205 (UH-1H Iroquois – 6 armed); 5 Bell 206B3;
1 (Rapid Deployment) force (1 armd bde (1 recce sqn, 3 13 UH-1H-II Huey II; 20 AB206B1
tk regt, 1 mech inf regt, 1 SP arty gp, 1 cbt engr coy, AIR DEFENCE
1 int coy, 1 sigs coy, 1 log coy), 1 mech bde (1 armd SAM • Point-defence RBS-70
recce regt, 3 mech inf regt, 1 arty gp, 1 cbt engr coy, GUNS • TOWED 229: 20mm 200 GAI-B01; 30mm 21 HS
1 int coy, 1 sigs coy,1 log coy), 1 AB bde (1 recce tp, L81; 35mm 8 GDF Oerlikon (Skyguard fire control)
2 para regt, 1 arty gp, 1 cbt engr coy, 1 sigs coy, 1 log
coy), 1 AD gp (2 AD bn))
Navy 18,500
Light
Commands: Surface Fleet, Submarines, Naval Avn,
1 (2nd) mtn inf div (2 mtn inf bde (1 armd recce regt, 3
Marines
mtn inf regt, 2 arty gp, 1 cbt engr bn, 1 sigs coy, 1 log
coy), 1 mtn inf bde (1 armd recce bn, 2 mtn inf regt, FORCES BY ROLE
1 jungle inf regt, 2 arty gp, 1 cbt engr bn, 1 sigs coy, 1 SPECIAL FORCES
construction coy, 1 log coy), 1 AD gp, 1 sigs bn) 1 (diver) SF gp
1 mot cav regt (presidential escort) EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Air Manoeuvre SUBMARINES • TACTICAL • SSK 2:
1 air aslt regt 1 Salta (GER T-209/1100) with 8 single 533mm TT with
COMBAT SUPPORT Mk 37/SST-4 HWT
1 arty gp (bn) 1 Santa Cruz (GER TR-1700) with 6 single 533mm TT
1 engr bn with SST-4 HWT (undergoing MLU)
1 sigs gp (1 EW bn, 1 sigs bn, 1 maint bn) PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS 11
1 sigs bn DESTROYERS • DDH 1 Hercules (UK Type-42 –
1 sigs coy utilised as a fast troop-transport ship), with 1 114mm
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT gun (capacity 2 SH-3H Sea King hel)
5 maint bn FRIGATES • FFGHM 10:
HELICOPTER 4 Almirante Brown (GER MEKO 360) with 2 quad
1 avn gp (bde) (1 avn bn, 1 hel bn) lnchr with MM40 Exocet AShM, 1 octuple Albatros
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE lnchr with Aspide SAM, 2 triple B515 ILAS-3 324mm
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES TT with A244 LWT, 1 127mm gun (capacity 1 AS555
MBT 231: 225 TAM, 6 TAM S21 Fennec hel)
LT TK 117: 107 SK-105A1 Kuerassier; 6 SK-105A2 6 Espora (GER MEKO 140) with 2 twin lnchr with
Kuerassier; 4 Patagón MM38 Exocet AShM, 2 triple B515 ILAS-3 324mm
RECCE 47 AML-90 ASTT with A244 LWT, 1 76mm gun (capacity 1
IFV 232: 118 VCTP (incl variants); 114 M113A2 (20mm
AS555 Fennec hel)
cannon)
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 16
APC 278
CORVETTES • FSG 3 Drummond (FRA A-69) with 2
APC (T) 274: 70 M113A1-ACAV; 204 M113A2
twin lnchr with MM38 Exocet AShM, 2 triple ILAS-3
APC (W) 4 WZ-551B1
324mm ASTT with A244 LWT, 1 100mm gun
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
PSO 3:
ARV Greif
2 Irigoyen (ex-US Cherokee)
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
MSL • SP 3 M1025 HMMWV with TOW-2A 1 Teniente Olivieri (ex-US oilfield tug)
RCL 105mm 150 M-1968 PCO 2:
ARTILLERY 1,108 1 Murature (ex-US King – trg/river patrol role) with 3
SP 155mm 42: 23 AMX F3; 19 VCA 155 Palmaria 105mm gun (in refit since 2016)
TOWED 172: 105mm 64 Model 56 pack howitzer; 1 Sobral (ex-US Sotoyomo)
155mm 108: 28 CITEFA M-77/CITEFA M-81; 80 SOFMA PCGT 1 Intrepida (GER Lurssen 45m) with 2 single lnchr
L-33 with MM38 Exocet AShM, 2 single 533mm TT with
MRL 8: 105mm 4 SLAM Pampero; 127mm 4 CP-30 SST-4 HWT, 1 76mm gun
MOR 886: 81mm 492; SP 107mm 25 M106A2; 120mm PCC 1 Intrepida (GER Lurssen 45m) with 1 76mm gun
330 Brandt; SP 120mm 39 TAM-VCTM PB 6: 4 Baradero (Dabur); 2 Punta Mogotes (ex-US Point)
AIRCRAFT AMPHIBIOUS 6 LCVP
TPT • Light 14: 1 Beech 80 Queen Air; 3 C-212-200 LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 18
Aviocar; 2 Cessna 208EX Grand Caravan; 1 Cessna 500 ABU 3 Red
Citation (survey); 1 Cessna 550 Citation Bravo; 3 DA42 AFS 4 Puerto Argentina (ex-RUS Neftegaz)
Latin America and the Caribbean 395
AGB 1 Almirante Irizar (damaged by fire in 2007; 2 (tac air) sqn with IA-58 Pucara; EMB-312 Tucano (on
returned to service in mid-2017) loan for border surv/interdiction)
AGHS 3: 1 Austral; 1 Cormoran; 1 Puerto Deseado (ice- ISR
breaking capability, used for polar research) 1 sqn with Learjet 35A
AGOR 1 Commodoro Rivadavia SEARCH & RESCUE/TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
AK 3 Costa Sur (capacity 4 LCVP) 2 sqn with Bell 212; Bell 212 (UH-1N); Mi-171, SA-
AOR 1 Patagonia (FRA Durance) with 1 hel platform 315B Lama
AORL 1 Ingeniero Julio Krause TANKER/TRANSPORT
AXS 1 Libertad 1 sqn with C-130H Hercules; KC-130H Hercules; L-100-
30
Naval Aviation 2,000 TRANSPORT
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE 1 sqn with B-707
AIRCRAFT 20 combat capable 1 sqn with DHC-6 Twin Otter; Saab 340
FGA 2 Super Etendard (9 more in store) 1 sqn with F-27 Friendship
ATK 1 AU-23 Turbo Porter 1 sqn with F-28 Fellowship; Learjet 60
ASW 7: 3 S-2T Tracker†; 4 P-3B Orion 1 (Pres) flt with B-757-23ER; S-70A Black Hawk, S-76B
TPT • Light 7 Beech 200F/M King Air TRAINING
TRG 10 T-34C Turbo Mentor* 1 sqn with AT-63 Pampa
HELICOPTERS 1 sqn with EMB-312 Tucano
ASW 2 SH-3H (ASH-3H) Sea King 1 sqn with Grob 120TP
MRH 4 AS555 Fennec 1 hel sqn with Hughes 369; SA-315B Lama
TPT • Medium 4 UH-3H Sea King TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES 1 sqn with Hughes 369; MD-500; MD500D
AAM • IR R-550 Magic EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
AShM AM39 Exocet AIRCRAFT 72 combat capable
ATK 52: 20 A-4 (A-4AR) Skyhawk†; 2 OA-4 (OA-4AR)
Marines 2,500 Skyhawk†; 21 IA-58 Pucara; 9 IA-58M Pucara
FORCES BY ROLE ELINT 1 Cessna 210
MANOEUVRE TKR 2 KC-130H Hercules
Amphibious TPT 27: Medium 4: 3 C-130H Hercules; 1 L-100-30;
1 (fleet) force (1 cdo gp, 1 (AAV) amph bn, 1 mne bn, 1 Light 16: 1 Cessna 310; 6 DHC-6 Twin Otter; 4 Learjet
arty bn, 1 ADA bn) 35A (test and calibration); 1 Learjet 60 (VIP); 4 Saab
1 (fleet) force (2 mne bn, 2 navy det) 340; PAX 7: 1 B-737; 1 B-757-23ER; 5 F-28 Fellowship
1 force (1 mne bn) TRG 59: 20 AT-63 Pampa* (LIFT); 19 EMB-312 Tucano; 8
Aviation
1 (mixed) avn bn Bahamas BHS
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Bahamian Dollar B$ 2017 2018 2019
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
RECCE S52 Shorland GDP B$ 12.2bn 12.9bn
APC (W) 87: 47 Grenadier; 40 UR-416 US$ 12.2bn 12.9bn
ARTILLERY • MOR 81mm per capita US$ 32,661 34,333
AIRCRAFT Growth % 1.4 2.3
TPT 13: Light 12: 3 Cessna 152; 3 Cessna 206; 1 Cessna
Inflation % 1.4 2.5
336; 1 PA-28 Cherokee; 2 PC-6B Turbo Porter; 2 PC-12;
PAX 1 Learjet 35 Def bdgt B$ 98.7m 90.6m 92.3m
HELICOPTERS US$ 98.7m 90.6m
MRH 2 MD-500C US$1=B$ 1.00 1.00
TPT • Light 17: 5 Bell 205 (UH-1H Iroquois); 7 AS350
Ecureuil; 1 H135; 1 H155; 3 R-44 Raven II Population 332,634
TRG 1 S-300C
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
Prefectura Naval (Coast Guard) 13,250 Male 11.4% 3.9% 4.2% 4.2% 22.2% 3.1%
Ministry of Security Female 11.0% 3.8% 4.1% 4.1% 23.0% 4.9%
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 69 Capabilities
PCO 7: 1 Correa Falcon; 1 Delfin; 5 Mantilla (F30 Halcón
The Royal Bahamas Defence Force (RBDF) is an entirely naval force
– undergoing modernisation)
primarily tasked with disaster relief, maritime security and counter-
PCC 1 Mariano Moreno
ing narcotics trafficking. Its single commando squadron is tasked
PB 58: 1 Dorado; 25 Estrellemar; 2 Lynch (US Cape); 18
with base and internal security. The Bahamas is a member of the
Mar del Plata (Z-28); 1 Surel; 8 Damen Stan 2200; 3 Stan
Caribbean Community, and the RBDF maintains training relation-
Tender 1750
ships with the UK and US. The RBDF participates in US SOUTH-
PBF 2 Shaldag II COM’s multinational annual Tradewinds disaster-response exercise.
PBR 1 Tonina There is very little independent capacity to deploy abroad, aside
LOGISTICS & SUPPORT 11 from recent regional disaster-relief efforts. The second phase of
AAR 1 Tango the Sandy Bottom Project was completed in April 2017; the final
AFS 1 Prefecto Garcia phase will see further infrastructure improvements and an increase
AG 2 in RBDF personnel numbers. A new permanent naval base on
ARS 1 Prefecto Mansilla Grand Bahama is under discussion to bolster the RBDF’s counter-
AX 5: 1 Mandubi; 4 other narcotics work. The maritime wing is focused around patrol vessels
AXS 1 Dr Bernardo Houssay and smaller patrol boats, while the air wing has a small inventory
AIRCRAFT of light aircraft. Apart from limited maintenance facilities, the
MP 1 Beech 350ER King Air Bahamas has no indigenous defence industry.
TPT • Light 6: 5 C-212 Aviocar; 1 Beech 350ER King
Air ACTIVE 1,300
TRG 2 Piper PA-28 Archer III
HELICOPTERS ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
SAR 3 AS565MA Panther
MRH 1 AS365 Dauphin 2
TPT 5: Medium 3: 1 H225 Puma; 2 SA330L (AS330L)
Royal Bahamian Defence Force 1,300
Puma; Light 2 AS355 Ecureuil II FORCES BY ROLE
TRG 4 S-300C MANOEUVRE
Amphibious
DEPLOYMENT 1 mne coy (incl marines with internal- and base-security
duties)
CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC: UN • MINUSCA 2 obs
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
CYPRUS: UN • UNFICYP 244; 2 inf coy; 1 hel flt; 2 Bell 212 PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 21
MIDDLE EAST: UN • UNTSO 3 obs PCC 2 Bahamas
WESTERN SAHARA: UN • MINURSO 2 obs PBF 6 Nor-Tech
PB 13: 4 Arthur Dion Hanna; 2 Dauntless; 3 Lignum Vitae
(Damen 3007); 2 Sea Ark 12m; 2 Sea Ark 15m
LOGISTICS & SUPPORT 1
AKR 1 Lawrence Major (Damen 5612)
AIRCRAFT • TPT • Light 3: 1 Beech A350 King Air; 1
Cessna 208 Caravan; 1 P-68 Observer
Latin America and the Caribbean 397
FOREIGN FORCES
Belize BLZ
Guyana Navy: Base located at New Providence Island
Belize Dollar BZ$ 2017 2018 2019
the Caribbean
domestic defence industry other than limited maintenance facili-
ter-response exercise. There is limited capacity to independently
ties.
deploy within the region, most recently on hurricane-relief duties.
The inventory consists principally of a small number of patrol ACTIVE 1,500 (Army 1,500) Paramilitary 150
vessels. Apart from limited maintenance facilities, Barbados has no
indigenous defence industry. RESERVE 700 (Joint 700)
ACTIVE 610 (Army 500 Coast Guard 110) ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
RESERVE 430 (Joint 430)
Army ε1,500
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE FORCES BY ROLE
MANOEUVRE
Light
Army 500 2 inf bn (3 inf coy)
FORCES BY ROLE COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
MANOEUVRE 1 spt gp
Light EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
1 inf bn (cadre) ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE • RCL 84mm
Carl Gustav
Coast Guard 110 ARTILLERY • MOR 81mm 6
HQ located at HMBS Pelican, Spring Garden Air Wing
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS • PB 6: AIRCRAFT
1 Dauntless; 2 Enterprise (Damen Stan 1204); 3 Trident TPT • Light 3: 1 BN-2A Defender; 1 BN-2B Defender; 1
(Damen Stan Patrol 4207) Cessna 182 Skylane
398 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
TRG 1 T-67M-200 Firefly ACTIVE 34,100 (Army 22,800 Navy 4,800 Air 6,500)
HELICOPTERS Paramilitary 37,100
TPT • Light 3: 2 Bell 205 (UH-1H Iroquois); 1 Bell 407 Conscript liability 12 months voluntary conscription for both males
and females
Reserve
FORCES BY ROLE ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
MANOEUVRE
Light Army 9,800; 13,000 conscript (total 22,800)
1 inf bn (3 inf coy) FORCES BY ROLE
COMMAND
Paramilitary 150 6 mil region HQ
Coast Guard 150 10 div HQ
SPECIAL FORCES
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
3 SF regt
All operational patrol vessels under 10t FLD
MANOEUVRE
Reconnaissance
FOREIGN FORCES 1 mot cav gp
United Kingdom BATSUB 12 Armoured
1 armd bn
Mechanised
Bolivia BOL 1 mech cav regt
Bolivian Boliviano B 2017 2018 2019 2 mech inf regt
Light
GDP B 259bn 287bn
1 (aslt) cav gp
US$ 37.8bn 41.8bn 5 (horsed) cav gp
per capita US$ 3,413 3,719 3 mot inf regt
Growth % 4.2 4.3 21 inf regt
Inflation % 2.8 3.2 Air Manoeuvre
2 AB regt (bn)
Def bdgt B 3.73bn 3.45bn
Other
US$ 543m 503m 1 (Presidential Guard) inf regt
US$1=B 6.86 6.86 COMBAT SUPPORT
Population 11,306,341 6 arty regt (bn)
6 engr bn
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus 1 int coy
Male 16.0% 5.1% 4.7% 4.4% 16.9% 2.4% 1 MP bn
1 sigs bn
Female 15.4% 5.0% 4.6% 4.4% 18.2% 3.0%
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
2 log bn
Capabilities AVIATION
The armed forces are constitutionally tasked with maintaining 2 avn coy
sovereignty and territorial defence, but counter-narcotics and AIR DEFENCE
internal and border security are in practical terms the main tasks 1 ADA regt
of the armed forces. Joint task forces have been formed and dis- EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
patched to border regions to combat smuggling activities, and a ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
series of border posts are being established. Modest procurement
LT TK 54: 36 SK-105A1 Kuerassier; 18 SK-105A2 Kuerassier
programmes are intended to improve the services’ ability to under-
RECCE 24 EE-9 Cascavel
take these roles. Airspace control is an emerging strategic prior-
APC 148+
ity, and construction continues on 13 civilian and military radars
APC (T) 87+: 50+ M113, 37 M9 half-track
to help address this requirement. There is defence-technology
APC (W) 61: 24 EE-11 Urutu; 22 MOWAG Roland; 15
cooperation with Russia, but China remains a significant supplier
of military materiel, and delivered logistics vehicles in late 2018. V-100 Commando
An agreement was signed in September 2018 on joint operations AUV 19 Tiger 4×4
with Peru on countering illicit trafficking and disaster relief. Amid ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
greater internal deployments to border areas on counter-traffick- ARV 4 Greif; M578 LARV
ing tasks, the armed forces have stressed the need to improve con- ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
ditions for personnel. An Aerospace Research and Development MSL
Centre was created in 2018 in the military engineering school with SP 2 Koyak with HJ-8
the objective of developing munitions and ISR UAVs. There is some MANPATS HJ-8
local maintenance, repair and overhaul capacity for the services. RCL 90mm M67; 106mm M40A1
Latin America and the Caribbean 399
the Caribbean
GROUND ATTACK
1 sqn with K-8WB Karakorum CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC: UN • MINUSCA 1; 2 obs
ISR DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO: UN •
1 sqn with Cessna 206; Cessna 402; Learjet 25B/25D MONUSCO 3 obs
(secondary VIP role)
SEARCH & RESCUE SOUTH SUDAN: UN • UNMISS 3 obs
1 sqn with AS332B Super Puma; H125 Ecureuil; H145 SUDAN: UN • UNISFA 1; 3 obs
TRANSPORT
1 (TAM) sqn with B-727; B-737; BAe-146-100; MA60
1 (TAB) sqn with C-130A Hercules; MD-10-30F
1 sqn with C-130B/H Hercules
1 sqn with F-27-400M Troopship
1 (VIP) sqn with Beech 90 King Air; Beech 200 King Air
Beech 1900; Falcon 900EX; Sabreliner 60
6 sqn with Cessna 152/206; IAI-201 Arava; PA-32
Saratoga; PA-34 Seneca
TRAINING
1 sqn with DA40; T-25
1 sqn with Cessna 152/172
1 sqn with PC-7 Turbo Trainer
1 hel sqn with R-44 Raven II
TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
1 (anti-drug) sqn with Bell 205 (UH-1H Iroquois)
AIR DEFENCE
1 regt with Oerlikon; Type-65
400 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
the Caribbean
FRIGATES 9
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
FFGHM 6 Niterói with 2 twin lnchr with MM40 Exocet
AEV 6+: Greif; 2 Sabiex HART; 4+ Pioneerpanzer 2 Dachs
Block 2 AShM, 1 octuple Albatros lnchr with Aspide
ARV 4+: BPz-2; 4 M88A1; M578 LARV
SAM, 2 triple Mk32 324mm ASTT with Mk 46 LWT,
VLB 4+: XLP-10; 4 Leopard 1 with Biber
1 twin 375mm A/S mor, 2 Sea Trinity Mk3 CIWS, 1
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
115mm gun (capacity 1 Super Lynx Mk21A hel)
MSL • MANPATS Eryx; Milan; MSS-1.2 AC
FFGH 3:
RCL 194+: 84mm Carl Gustav; 106mm 194 M40A1
2 Inhaúma with 2 twin lnchr with MM40 Exocet Block
ARTILLERY 1,865 2 AShM, 2 triple Mk32 324mm ASTT with Mk 46
SP 153: 105mm 72 M7/108; 155mm 81: 37 M109A3; 44 LWT, 1 115mm gun (1 Super Lynx Mk21A hel)
M109A5/A5+ 1 Barroso with 2 twin lnchr with MM40 Exocet Block
TOWED 431 2 AShM, 2 triple Mk32 324mm ASTT with Mk
105mm 336: 233 M101/M102; 40 L118 Light Gun; 63 46 LWT, 1 Sea Trinity Mk3 CIWS, 1 115mm gun
Model 56 pack howitzer (capacity 1 Super Lynx Mk21A hel)
155mm 95 M114 PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 44
MRL 127mm 36: 18 ASTROS II Mk3M; 18 ASTROS II PSO 3 Amazonas with 1 hel landing platform
Mk6 PCO 6: 4 Bracui (ex-UK River); 1 Imperial Marinheiro with
MOR 1,245: 81mm 1,168: 453 L16, 715 M936 AGR; 1 76mm gun; 1 Parnaiba with 1 hel landing platform
120mm 77 M2 PCC 2 Macaé
HELICOPTERS PCR 5: 2 Pedro Teixeira with 1 hel landing platform; 3
MRH 51: 29 AS565 Panther (HM-1); 5 AS565 K2 Panther Roraima
(HM-1); 17 AS550U2 Fennec (HA-1 – armed) PB 24: 12 Grajau; 6 Marlim; 6 Piratini (US PGM)
TPT 38: Heavy 11 H225M Caracal (HM-4); Medium 12: PBR 4 LPR-40
8 AS532 Cougar (HM-3); 4 S-70A-36 Black Hawk (HM-2); MINE WARFARE • MINE COUNTERMEASURES •
Light 15 AS350L1 Ecureuil (HA-1) MSC 4 Aratu (GER Schutze)
402 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
the Caribbean
(CDCiber) to coordinate existing army, navy and air-force
2 sqn with UH-60L Black Hawk (H-60L)
activities. There is an active training programme, run by
ISR UAV
the Institute of Cyber Defence among others, and a Cyber
1 sqn with Hermes 450/900
Operations Simulator (SIMOC) was set up in 2013, within
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE the Integrated Electronic Warfare Centre. In July 2015,
AIRCRAFT 210 combat capable the army activated two provisional cyber-defence units
FTR 46: 43 F-5EM Tiger II; 3 F-5FM Tiger II under CDCiber, a cyber-defence command and a national
FGA 49: 38 AMX (A-1); 11 AMX-T (A-1B) school of cyber defence. Brazil’s cyber-defence command
ASW 9 P-3AM Orion (ComDCiber), set up in 2016, plans, coordinates and
MP 19: 10 EMB-111 (P-95A Bandeirulha)*; 9 EMB-111 controls operational, doctrinal, development and training
(P-95BM Bandeirulha)* activities relating to cyberspace. The 2018 Cyber Guardian
ISR: 8: 4 AMX-R (RA-1)*; 4 EMB-110B (R-95) exercise utilised the SIMOC and involved military and civil
ELINT 6: 3 EMB-145RS (R-99); 3 Learjet 35A (R-35A) organisations.
AEW&C 5 EMB-145SA (E-99)
SAR 7: 1 C295M Amazonas (SC-105); 4 EMB-110 (SC-95B),
1 SC-130E Hercules DEPLOYMENT
TKR/TPT 2 KC-130H CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC: UN • MINUSCA 4; 3 obs
TPT 198: Medium 20: 4 C-130E Hercules; 16 C-130H
CYPRUS: UN • UNFICYP 2
Hercules; Light 170: 11 C295M (C-105A); 7 Cessna 208 (C-
98); 9 Cessna 208B (C-98); 13 Cessna 208-G1000 (C-98A); DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO: UN •
52 EMB-110 (C-95A/B/C/M); 16 EMB-120 (C-97); 4 EMB- MONUSCO 7; 1 obs
120RT (VC-97); 5 EMB-121 (VU-9); 7 EMB-135BJ (VC- LEBANON: UN • UNIFIL 222; 1 FFGHM
99B); 3 EMB-201R Ipanema (G-19); 2 EMB-202A Ipanema
SOUTH SUDAN: UN • UNMISS 6; 5 obs
(G-19A); 2 ERJ-135LR (VC-99C); 7 ERJ-145 (C-99A); 1
ERJ-145LR (VC-99A); 9 Learjet 35A (VU-35); 1 Learjet SUDAN: UN • UNAMID 1 obs; UN • UNISFA 3 obs
55C (VU-55); 9 PA-34 Seneca (U-7); 12 U-42 Regente; PAX WESTERN SAHARA: UN • MINURSO 10 obs
404 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
FORCES BY ROLE
Chile CHL Currently being reorganised into 1 SF bde, 4 armd bde, 1
armd det, 3 mot bde, 2 mot det, 4 mtn det and 1 avn bde
Chilean Peso pCh 2017 2018 2019
COMMAND
GDP pCh 180tr 189tr 6 div HQ
US$ 277bn 300bn SPECIAL FORCES
per capita US$ 15,068 16,143 1 SF bde (1 SF bn, 1 (mtn) SF gp, 1 para bn, 3 cdo coy, 1
log coy)
Growth % 1.5 4.0
MANOEUVRE
Inflation % 2.2 2.4
Reconnaissance
Def bdgt [a] pCh 2.60tr 2.68tr 4 cav sqn
US$ 4.01bn 4.25bn 2 recce sqn
US$1=pCh 648.85 631.07 2 recce pl
Armoured
[a] Includes military pensions
3 (1st, 2nd & 3rd) armd bde (1 armd recce pl, 1 armd
Population 17,925,262 cav gp, 1 mech inf bn, 1 arty gp, 1 AT coy, 1 engr coy,
1 sigs coy)
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus 1 (4th) armd bde (1 armd recce pl, 1 armd cav gp, 1
Male 10.2% 3.5% 3.9% 4.2% 22.7% 4.7% mech inf bn, 1 arty gp, 1 engr coy)
Female 9.8% 3.4% 3.8% 4.0% 23.4% 6.5% 1 (5th) armd det (1 armd cav gp, 1 mech inf coy, 1 arty
gp)
Capabilities Mechanised
1 (1st) mech inf regt
Chile’s 2017 defence white paper noted core roles of assuring
Light
sovereignty and territorial integrity, but also indicated an increas-
1 (1st) mot inf bde (1 recce coy, 1 mot inf bn, 1 arty gp, 3
ing shift towards non-traditional military roles such as disaster
relief, humanitarian assistance and peacekeeping. Chile maintains AT coy, 1 engr bn)
military ties with most of it neighbours. Personnel-exchange pro- 1 (4th) mot inf bde (1 mot inf bn, 1 MRL gp, 2 AT coy, 1
grammes and R&D cooperation are under way with Brazil and engr bn)
Colombia. Defence cooperation with the US is centred on pro- 1 (24th) mot inf bde (1 mot inf bn, 1 arty gp, 1 AT coy)
curement, technical advisory and personnel training. Training 1 (6th) reinforced regt (1 mot inf bn, 1 arty gp, 1 sigs coy)
takes place regularly on a national basis, and the armed forces 1 (10th) reinforced regt (1 mot inf bn, 2 AT coy, 1 engr
routinely participate in international exercises. Chile has a limited bn)
capacity to deploy independently beyond its borders. Service- 1 (11th) mot inf det (1 inf bn, 1 arty gp)
ability challenges may arise for some equipment in the absence 1 (14th) mot inf det (1 mot inf bn, 1 arty gp, 1 sigs coy,
of upgrades. One such case is Chile’s F-16s, several of which are 1 AT coy)
reaching the end of their operational life, though an upgrade plan 7 mot inf regt
was announced in late 2018. However, because of the reduced risk
1 (3rd) mtn det (1 mtn inf bn, 1 arty gp, 1 engr coy)
of conventional conflict and border crises, priorities have changed
1 (9th) mtn det (1 mtn inf bn, 1 engr coy, 1 construction
to reflect a new focus on littoral and blue-water surveillance capa-
bn)
bilities and helicopters. Chile has a developed defence-industrial
base, with ENAER conducting aircraft maintenance. ASMAR and 2 (8th & 17th) mtn det (1 mtn inf bn, 1 arty coy)
FAMAE are key maritime and land firms respectively, with the COMBAT SUPPORT
former set to construct a new icebreaker that will enhance Chile’s 1 arty regt
ability to support operations in Antarctica. 1 engr regt
4 sigs bn
ACTIVE 77,200 (Army 46,350 Navy 19,800 Air 1 sigs coy
11,050) Paramilitary 44,700 2 int regt
Conscript liability Army 12 months; Navy 18 months; Air Force 12 1 MP regt
months. Legally, conscription can last for 2 years COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
1 log div (2 log regt)
RESERVE 40,000 (Army 40,000)
4 log regt
6 log coy
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE 1 maint div (1 maint regt)
AVIATION
Space 1 avn bde (1 tpt avn bn, 1 hel bn, 1 spt bn)
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
SATELLITES ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
ISR 1 SSOT (Sistema Satelital de Observación de la MBT 246: 115 Leopard 1; 131 Leopard 2A4
Tierra) IFV 191: 173 Marder 1A3; 18 YPR-765 PRI
APC 548
Army 46,350 APC (T) 369 M113A1/A2
6 military administrative regions APC (W) 179 Piranha
Latin America and the Caribbean 405
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES 2 Almirante Riveros (ex-NLD Karel Doorman) with
AEV 9 Pioneerpanzer 2 Dachs 2 quad lnchr with MM40 Exocet Block 3 AShM,
ARV 35 BPz-2 1 octuple Mk48 lnchr with RIM-7P Sea Sparrow
VLB 16 Biber SAM, 4 single Mk32 Mod 9 324mm ASTT with
MW 3+: Bozena 5; 3 Leopard 1 Mk46 Mod 5 HWT, 1 76mm gun (capacity 1
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE AS532SC Cougar)
MSL • MANPATS Spike-LR; Spike-ER FFGM 2:
RCL 84mm Carl Gustav; 106mm 213 M40A1 2 Almirante Lattore (ex-NLD Jacob Van Heemskerck)
ARTILLERY 1,407 with 2 twin Mk141 lnchr with RGM-84 Harpoon
SP 155mm 48: 24 M109A3; 24 M109A5+ AShM, 1 Mk13 GMLS with SM-1MR SAM, 1
TOWED 240: 105mm 192: 88 M101; 104 Model 56 pack octuple Mk48 lnchr with RIM-7P Sea Sparrow
howitzer; 155mm 48 M-68 SAM, 2 twin Mk32 324mm ASTT with Mk46 LWT,
MRL 160mm 12 LAR-160 1 Goalkeeper CIWS
MOR 1,107: 81mm 743: 303 ECIA L65/81; 175 FAMAE; PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 12
265 Soltam; 120mm 293: 173 ECIA L65/120; 17 FAMAE; PSOH 4: 2 Piloto Pardo; 2 Piloto Pardo with 1 76mm gun
93 M-65; SP 120mm 71: 35 FAMAE (on Piranha 6x6); 36 (ice-strengthened hull)
Soltam (on M113A2) PCG 3:
AIRCRAFT 2 Casma (ISR Sa’ar 4) with 4 single lnchr with Gabriel I
TPT • Light 8: 2 C-212-300 Aviocar; 3 Cessna 208 AShM, 2 76mm guns
Caravan; 3 CN235 1 Casma (ISR Sa’ar 4) with 4 single lnchr with Gabriel
HELICOPTERS I AShM, 2 twin lnchr with MM40 Exocet AShM, 2
ISR 9 MD-530F Lifter (armed) 76mm guns
TPT 17: Medium 12: 8 AS532AL Cougar; 2 AS532ALe PCO 5 Micalvi
Cougar; 2 SA330 Puma; Light 5: 4 H125 Ecureuil; 1 AMPHIBIOUS
AS355F Ecureuil II PRINCIPAL AMPHIBIOUS SHIPS
AIR DEFENCE LPD 1 Sargento Aldea (ex-FRA Foudre) with 3 twin
SAM • Point-defence Mistral Simbad lnchr with Mistral SAM (capacity 4 med hel; 1
GUNS 41: LCT; 2 LCM; 22 tanks; 470 troops)
SP 20mm 17 Piranha/TCM-20 LANDING SHIPS 3
TOWED 20mm 24 TCM-20 LSM 1 Elicura
LST 2 Maipo (FRA Batral) with 1 hel landing platform
Navy 19,800 (capacity 7 tanks; 140 troops)
5 Naval Zones; 1st Naval Zone and main HQ at Valparaiso; LANDING CRAFT 3
2nd Naval Zone at Talcahuano; 3rd Naval Zone at Punta LCT 1 CDIC (for use in Sargento Aldea)
Arenas; 4th Naval Zone at Iquique; 5th Naval Zone at LCM 2 (for use in Sargento Aldea)
Marines 3,600 FGA 10: 6 F-16C Block 50 Fighting Falcon; 4 F-16D Block
50 Fighting Falcon
FORCES BY ROLE
ATK 16 C-101CC Aviojet (A-36 Halcón)
MANOEUVRE
ISR 3 Cessna O-2A
Amphibious
AEW&C 1 B-707 Phalcon
1 amph bde (2 mne bn, 1 cbt spt bn, 1 log bn)
TKR 5: 2 KC-130R Hercules: 3 KC-135 Stratotanker
2 coastal def unit
TPT 37: Medium 3: 1 C-130B Hercules; 2 C-130H Hercules;
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Light 29: 2 C-212-200 Aviocar; 1 C-212-300 Aviocar; 4 Cessna
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
525 Citation CJ1; 3 DHC-6-100 Twin Otter; 7 DHC-6-300
LT TK 15 FV101 Scorpion
Twin Otter; 2 Learjet 35A; 10 PA-28-236 Dakota; PAX 5: 1
APC • APC (W) 25 MOWAG Roland B-737-300; 1 B-737-500; 1 B-767-300ER; 2 Gulfstream IV
AAV 12 AAV-7 TRG 46: 4 Cirrus SR-22T; 14 EMB-314 Super Tucano*; 28
ARTILLERY 39 T-35A/B Pillan
TOWED 23: 105mm 7 KH-178; 155mm 16 M-71 HELICOPTERS
MOR 81mm 16 MRH 12 Bell 412EP Twin Huey
COASTAL DEFENCE • AShM MM38 Exocet TPT 28: Medium 7: 1 S-70A Black Hawk; 6 S-70i (MH-
AIR DEFENCE • SAM • Point-defence 14: 4 M998 60M) Black Hawk; Light 21: 13 Bell 205 (UH-1H Iroquois);
Avenger; 10 M1097 Avenger 5 Bell 206B (trg); 2 BK-117; 1 Bo-105CBS-4
UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES
Coast Guard
ISR • Medium 3 Hermes 900
Integral part of the Navy
AIR DEFENCE
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE SAM
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 55 Short-range 17: 5 Crotale; 12 NASAMS
PBF 26 Archangel Point-defence Mistral (including some Mygale/Aspic)
PB 29: 18 Alacalufe (Protector-class); 4 Grumete Diaz GUNS • TOWED 20mm M163/M167 Vulcan; 35mm
(Dabor-class); 6 Pelluhue; 1 Ona Oerlikon GDF-005
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES
Air Force 11,050 AAM • IR AIM-9J/M Sidewinder; Python 3; Shafrir‡; IIR
FORCES BY ROLE Python 4; ARH AIM-120C AMRAAM; Derby
FIGHTER ASM AGM-65G Maverick
1 sqn with F-5E/F Tiger III+ BOMBS
2 sqn with F-16AM/BM Fighting Falcon Laser-guided Paveway II
FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK INS/GPS guided JDAM
1 sqn with F-16C/D Block 50 Fighting Falcon (Puma)
ISR Paramilitary 44,700
1 (photo) flt with; DHC-6-300 Twin Otter; Learjet 35A
AIRBORNE EARLY WARNING Carabineros 44,700
1 flt with B-707 Phalcon Ministry of Interior; 15 zones, 36 districts, 179 comisaria
TANKER/TRANSPORT EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
1 sqn with B-737-300; C-130B/H Hercules; KC-130R ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
Hercules; KC-135 Stratotanker APC • APC (W) 20 MOWAG Roland
TRANSPORT ARTILLERY • MOR 81mm
3 sqn with Bell 205 (UH-1H Iroquois); C-212-200/300 AIRCRAFT
Aviocar; Cessna O-2A; Cessna 525 Citation CJ1; DHC- TPT • Light 4: 1 Beech 200 King Air; 1 Cessna 208; 1
6-100/300 Twin Otter; PA-28-236 Dakota; Bell 205 (UH- Cessna 550 Citation V; 1 PA-31T Cheyenne II
1H Iroquois) HELICOPTERS • TPT • Light 16: 5 AW109E Power; 1
1 VIP flt with B-737-500 (VIP); Gulfstream IV AW139; 1 Bell 206 Jet Ranger; 2 BK-117; 5 Bo-105; 2 H135
TRAINING
1 sqn with EMB-314 Super Tucano* Cyber
1 sqn with PA-28-236 Dakota; T-35A/B Pillan The Joint Staff coordinates cyber-security policies for the
TRANSPORT HELICOPTER Ministry of National Defence and the armed forces. Each
1 sqn with Bell 205 (UH-1H Iroquois); Bell 206B (trg); Bell service has a cyber-security organisation. The Ministry of
412 Twin Huey; Bo-105CBS-4; S-70A Black Hawk Interior and Public Security (Internal Affairs) released a
AIR DEFENCE National Cyber Security Strategy in 2017. There is active
1 AD regt (5 AD sqn) with Crotale; NASAMS; Mistral; discussion with neighbouring states on cyber-security
M163/M167 Vulcan; Oerlikon GDF-005 challenges. Chile and the US signed in 2018 a joint declara-
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE tion on cooperation in cyber defence. In late 2017, Chile’s
AIRCRAFT 88 combat capable Official Gazette detailed cyber plans including the crea-
FTR 48: 10 F-5E Tigre III+; 2 F-5F Tigre III+; 29 F-16AM tion of a Joint Cyberdefence Command and defence CERT
Fighting Falcon; 7 F-16BM Fighting Falcon teams, among other measures.
Latin America and the Caribbean 407
the Caribbean
tions, though the armed forces are looking towards new security 7 mobile sy bde))
roles and organisations for the post-FARC era. In response to the 1 (4th) div (1 (7th) air mob bde (2 air mob inf bn, 1 lt
humanitarian and security challenge from Venezuela, Colombia is inf bn, 1 COIN bn, 1 engr bn, 1 cbt spt bn, 1 log bn, 1
strengthening cooperation with Brazil on border controls, while Gaula anti-kidnap gp); 1 (22nd) jungle bde (1 air mob
also housing a large number of Venezuelan refugees. Colom- inf bn, 1 lt inf bn, 1 jungle inf bn, 1 COIN bn, 1 cbt spt
bia maintains good military ties with Argentina, Chile and Peru, bn, 1 log bn); 1 (31st) jungle bde (1 lt inf bn, 1 jungle
although it withdrew from UNASUR in 2018. The US is Colombia’s inf bn))
closest international military partner, with cooperation involving
1 (5th) div (1 (6th) lt inf bde (2 lt inf bn,1 mtn inf bn, 2
equipment procurement, technical advice and personnel training.
COIN bn, 1 cbt spt bn, 1 log bn, 1 Gaula anti-kidnap
In May 2018, Colombia joined NATO as a global partner and will
participate in Alliance initiatives including in cyber and maritime gp); 1 (8th) lt inf bde (1 lt inf bn, 1 mtn inf bn, 1 arty
security. Conscription was adjusted in 2017 and the government bn, 1 engr bn, 1 cbt spt bn, 1 Gaula anti-kidnap gp); 1
intends to grow the reserve component. The forces train regu- (9th) lt inf bde (1 SF bn, 2 lt inf bn, 1 arty bn, 1 COIN
larly, including large multilateral exercises such as the US Red Flag bn, 1 cbt spt bn, 1 sy bn, 1 log bn, 1 Gaula anti-kidnap
air-combat exercise in 2018. Although the equipment inventory gp); 1 (13th) lt inf bde (2 cav recce bn, 1 airmob inf
mainly comprises legacy systems, Colombia has the capability bn, 3 lt inf bn, 1 COIN bn, 1 arty bn, 1 engr bn, 1 cbt
to independently deploy its forces beyond national borders. The spt bn, 2 MP bn, 1 log bn, 2 Gaula anti-kidnap gp); 1
army is planning to modernise its oldest APCs, while the navy may rapid reaction force (3 mobile sy bde))
look to replace both its submarine and frigate fleets in the medium 1 (6th) div (1 (12th) lt inf bde (2 lt inf bn, 2 jungle inf
term. The air force’s ground-attack capabilities remain limited,
bn, 1 COIN bn, 1 engr bn, 1 cbt spt bn, 1 Gaula anti-
although a substantial number of multi-role and transport heli-
kidnap gp); 1 (13th) mobile sy bde (4 COIN bn); 1
copters have been procured. In 2018, Colombia activated its first
UAV squadron, which is set to carry out ISR missions. Colombia’s (26th) jungle bde (1 lt jungle inf bn, 1 COIN bn, 1 cbt
defence industry is active in all domains. CIAC is developing its first spt bn); 1 (27th) lt inf bde (2 lt inf bn, 1 jungle inf bn, 1
indigenous UAVs, while CODALTEC is developing an air-defence sy bn, 1 arty bn, 1 cbt spt bn, 1 log bn))
system for regional export. COTECMAR has supplied patrol boats 1 (7th) div (1 (4th) lt inf bde (1 (urban) spec ops bn; 1
and amphibious ships for national and export markets. cav recce bn, 3 lt inf bn, 1 sy bn, 1 arty bn, 1 engr bn,
408 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
1 MP bn, 1 cbt spt bn, 1 log bn); 1 (11th) lt inf bde (2 lt Navy 56,400 (incl 12,100 conscript)
inf bn, 1 sy bn, 1 engr bn, 1 cbt spt bn); 1 (14th) lt inf HQ located at Puerto Carreño
bde (3 lt inf bn, 1 sy bn, 1 engr bn, 1 cbt spt bn, 1 log
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
bn); 1 (15th) jungle bde (1 lt inf bn, 1 COIN bn, 1 engr
SUBMARINES • TACTICAL • SSK 4:
bn, 1 log bn); 1 (17th) lt inf bde (2 lt inf bn, 1 COIN bn, 2 Pijao (GER T-209/1200) each with 8 single 533mm TT
1 engr bn, 1 cbt spt bn, 1 log bn); 1 rapid reaction force each with HWT
(1 (11th) mobile sy bde (3 COIN bn))) 2 Intrepido (GER T-206A) each with 8 single 533mm TT
1 (8th) div (1 (16th) lt inf bde (1 mech cav recce bn, 1 lt each with HWT
inf bn, 1 log bn, 1 Gaula anti-kidnap gp); 1 (18th) lt inf PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS 4
bde (1 air mob gp, 1 sy bn, 1 arty bn, 1 engr bn, 1 cbt FRIGATES • FFGHM 4 Almirante Padilla with 2 quad
spt bn, 1 log bn); 1 (28th) jungle bde (2 inf, 2 COIN, lnchr with Hae Sung I AShM, 2 twin Simbad lnchr
1 cbt spt bn); 1 rapid reaction force (1 (5th) mobile sy with Mistral SAM, 2 triple B515 ILAS-3 324mm ASTT
bde (3 COIN bn); 1 (31st) mobile sy bde (5 COIN bn))) each with A244 LWT, 1 76mm gun (capacity 1 Bo-105/
3 COIN mobile bde (each: 4 COIN bn, 1 cbt spt bn) AS555SN Fennec hel)
Other PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 62
1 indep rapid reaction force (1 SF bde, 3 mobile sy bde) CORVETTES • FS 1 Narino (ex-ROK Dong Hae) with 2
COMBAT SUPPORT triple 324mm ASTT with Mk46 LWT, 1 76mm gun
1 cbt engr bde (1 SF engr bn, 1 (emergency response) PSOH 3 20 de Julio
engr bn, 1 EOD bn, 1 construction bn, 1 demining bn, PCO 2: 1 Valle del Cauca Durable (ex-US Reliance) with 1
1 maint bn) hel landing platform; 1 San Andres (ex-US Balsam)
1 int bde (2 SIGINT bn, 1 log bn, 1 maint bn) PCC 3 Punta Espada (CPV-46)
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT PCR 10: 2 Arauca with 2 76mm guns; 8 Nodriza (PAF-II)
2 spt/log bde (each: 1 spt bn, 1 maint bn, 1 supply bn, 1 with hel landing platform
tpt bn, 1 medical bn, 1 log bn) PB 12: 1 11 de Noviembre (CPV-40) with 1 Typhoon CIWS;
AVIATION 2 Castillo y Rada (Swiftships 105); 2 Jaime Gomez; 1 José
1 air aslt div (1 counter-narcotics bde (3 counter- Maria Palas (Swiftships 110); 4 Point; 2 Toledo
PBR 31: 6 Diligente; 7 LPR-40; 3 Swiftships; 9 Tenerife; 2
narcotics bn, 1 spt bn); 1 (25th) avn bde (4 hel bn; 5
PAF-L; 4 others
avn bn; 1 avn log bn); 1 (32nd) avn bde (1 avn bn, 2
AMPHIBIOUS 23
maint bn, 1 trg bn, 1 spt bn); 1 SF avn bn)
LCM 3 LCM-8
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE LCU 12: 5 Golfo de Tribuga; 7 Morrosquillo (LCU 1466)
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES UCAC 8 Griffon 2000TD
RECCE 121 EE-9 Cascavel LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 8
IFV 60: 28 Commando Advanced; 32 LAV III ABU 1 Quindio
APC 114 AG 2: 1 Inirida; 1 Luneburg (ex-GER, depot ship for
APC (T) 54: 28 M113A1 (TPM-113A1); 26 M113A2 patrol vessels)
(TPM-113A2) AGHS 1 Roncador
APC (W) 56 EE-11 Urutu AGOR 2 Providencia
PPV 4 RG-31 Nyala AGS 1 Gorgona
AUV 38 M1117 Guardian AXS 1 Gloria
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
Naval Aviation 150
MSL
SP 77 Nimrod EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
MANPATS TOW; Spike-ER AIRCRAFT
MP 3 CN235 MPA Persuader
RCL 106mm 73 M40A1
ISR 1 PA-31 Navajo (upgraded for ISR)
ARTILLERY 1,796
TPT • Light 11: 1 C-212 (Medevac); 4 Cessna 206; 3
TOWED 120: 105mm 107: 22 LG1 MkIII; 85 M101;
Cessna 208 Caravan; 1 PA-31 Navajo; 1 PA-34 Seneca; 1
155mm 13 155/52 APU SBT-1
Beech 350 King Air
MOR 1,676: 81mm 1,507; 120mm 169
HELICOPTERS
AIRCRAFT
MRH 8: 1 AS555SN Fennec; 3 Bell 412 Twin Huey; 4
ELINT 3: 2 Beech B200 King Air; 1 Beech 350 King Air
Bell 412EP Twin Huey
TPT • Light 22: 2 An-32B; 2 Beech B200 King Air; 3 TPT • Light 9: 1 Bell 212; 5 Bell 212 (UH-1N); 1 BK-
Beech 350 King Air; 1 Beech C90 King Air; 2 C-212 Aviocar 117; 2 Bo-105
(Medevac); 7 Cessna 208B Grand Caravan; 1 Cessna 208B-
EX Grand Caravan; 4 Turbo Commander 695A Marines 22,250
HELICOPTERS FORCES BY ROLE
MRH 17: 6 Mi-17-1V Hip; 6 Mi-17MD; 5 Mi-17V-5 Hip SPECIAL FORCES
TPT 93: Medium 54: 47 UH-60L Black Hawk; 7 S-70i Black 1 SF bde (4 SF bn)
Hawk; Light 39: 24 Bell 205 (UH-1H Iroquois); 15 Bell 212 MANOEUVRE
(UH-1N Twin Huey) Amphibious
AIR DEFENCE • GUNS • TOWED 40mm 4 M1A1 1 mne bde (1 SF (Gaula) bn, 5 mne bn, 2 rvn bn, 1 spt bn)
Latin America and the Caribbean 409
1 mne bde (1 SF bn, 2 mne bn, 2 rvn bn, 1 spt bn) 1 EMB-600 Legacy; 1 F-28-1000 Fellowship; 1 F-28-3000
1 rvn bde (1 SF bn, 1 mne bn, 2 rvn bn, 1 spt bn) Fellowship; 1 Learjet 60
1 rvn bde (4 rvn bn) TRG 78: 14 EMB-312 Tucano*; 24 EMB-314 Super Tucano
1 rvn bde (3 rvn bn) (A-29)*; 23 Lancair Synergy (T-90 Calima); 17 T-37B
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT HELICOPTERS
1 log bde (6 spt bn) MRH 18: 6 AH-60L Arpia III; 8 AH-60L Arpia IV; 2 Bell
1 trg bde (7 trg bn, 1 spt bn) 412EP Twin Huey (VIP); 2 Hughes 500M
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE TPT 48: Medium 13 UH-60L Black Hawk (incl 1 VIP hel);
ARTILLERY • MOR 82: 81mm 74; 120mm 8 Light 35: 12 Bell 205 (UH-1H Iroquois); 12 Bell 206B3 Jet
AIR DEFENCE • SAM Point-defence Mistral Ranger III; 11 Bell 212
TRG 30 TH-67
Air Force 13,650 UNAMMED AERIAL VEHICLES • ISR • Medium 8: 6
Hermes 450; 2 Hermes 900
FORCES BY ROLE
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES
FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
AAM • IR Python 3; IIR Python 4; Python 5; ARH Derby;
2 sqn with Kfir C-10/C-12/TC-12
I-Derby ER (reported)
GROUND ATTACK/ISR ASM Spike-ER; Spike-NLOS
1 sqn with A-37B/OA-37B Dragonfly BOMBS
1 sqn with AC-47T Laser-guided Paveway II
1 sqn with EMB-312 Tucano* INS/GPS guided Spice
2 sqn with EMB-314 Super Tucano* (A-29)
EW/ELINT Paramilitary 187,900
2 sqn with Beech 350 King Air; Cessna 208; Cessna 560;
C-26B Metroliner; SA 2-37; 1 Turbo Commander 695 National Police Force 187,900
TRANSPORT EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
1 (Presidential) sqn with B-737BBJ; EMB-600 Legacy; Bell AIRCRAFT
412EP; F-28 Fellowship; UH-60L Black Hawk ELINT 5 C-26B Metroliner
1 sqn with B-727; B-737-400; C-130B/H Hercules; C-212; TPT • Light 42: 5 ATR-42; 3 Beech 200 King Air; 2
C295M; CN235M; ; IAI Arava; KC-767 Beech 300 King Air; 2 Beech 1900; 1 Beech C99; 4
1 sqn with Beech C90 King Air; Beech 350C King Air; BT-67; 2 C-26 Metroliner; 3 Cessna 152; 3 Cessna 172;
Cessna 208B; Cessna 550; EMB-110P1 (C-95) 9 Cessna 206; 2 Cessna 208 Caravan; 2 DHC-6 Twin
TRAINING Otter; 1 DHC-8; 3 PA-31 Navajo
1 sqn with Lancair Synergy (T-90 Calima) HELICOPTERS
1 sqn with T-37B MRH 4: 1 Bell 407GXP; 1 Bell 412EP; 2 MD-500D
1 hel sqn with Bell 206B3 TPT 75: Medium 17: 5 UH-60A Black Hawk; 9 UH-60L
the Caribbean
Black Hawk; 3 S-70i Black Hawk; Light 58: 34 Bell 205
HELICOPTER (UH-1H-II Huey II); 6 Bell 206B; 5 Bell 206L/L3/L4
1 sqn with AH-60L Arpia III Long Ranger; 8 Bell 212; 5 Bell 407
1 sqn with UH-60L Black Hawk (CSAR)
1 sqn with Hughes 500M Cyber
1 sqn with Bell 205 (UH-1H) Colombia’s 2011 policy guidelines for cyber security and
1 sqn with Bell 206B3 Jet Ranger III cyber defence set out three main organisations with cyber
1 sqn with Bell 212 responsibilities: the CERT team (colCERT); the Police
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Cyber Centre; and the armed forces’ Joint Cybersecurity
AIRCRAFT 72 combat capable and Cyberdefence Command. The defence ministry is the
FGA 22: 10 Kfir C-10; 9 Kfir C-12; 3 Kfir TC-12 coordinating body for cyber defence, and Colombia has
ATK 12: 6 A-37B/OA-37B Dragonfly; 6 AC-47T Spooky an active training and simulation programme in cyber
(Fantasma) defence, with the Higher War College also organising
ISR 13: 1 Beech C90 King Air; 1 C-26B Metroliner; 5 courses in cyber warfare for military (a staff course) and
Cessna 560 Citation II; 6 SA 2-37 civil personnel.
ELINT 13: 4 Beech 350 King Air; 6 Cessna 208 Grand
Caravan; 2 Cessna 337G; 1 Turbo Commander 695 DEPLOYMENT
TKR/TPT 1 KC-767
TPT 64: Medium 7: 3 C-130B Hercules (3 more in store); CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC: UN • MINUSCA 2 obs
3 C-130H Hercules; 1 B-737F; Light 49: 10 ATR-42; 2 EGYPT: MFO 275; 1 inf bn
Beech 300 King Air; 2 Beech 350C King Air; 1 Beech 350i LEBANON: UN • UNIFIL 1
King Air (VIP); 4 Beech C90 King Air; 4 C-212; 6 C295M;
1 Cessna 182R; 12 Cessna 208B (medevac); 1 Cessna 550;
2 CN235M; 2 EMB-110P1 (C-95); 1 EMB-170-100LR; 1 FOREIGN FORCES
IAI-201 Arava; PAX 8: 2 B-727; 1 B-737-400; 1 B-737BBJ; United States US Southern Command: 50
410 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
the Caribbean
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE Air Zone
MSL FORCES BY ROLE
SP 2K16 Shmel (AT-1 Snapper) FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
MANPATS 9K11 Malyutka (AT-3 Sagger) 3 sqn with MiG-21ML Fishbed; MiG-23ML/MF/UM Flog-
GUNS 600+: 57mm 600 ZIS-2 (M-1943); 85mm D-44 ger; MiG-29A/UB Fulcrum
ARTILLERY 1,715+ TRANSPORT
SP 40+: 100mm AAPMP-100; CATAP-100; 122mm 2S1 1 (VIP) tpt sqn with An-24 Coke; Mi-8P Hip; Yak-40
Gvozdika; AAP-T-122; AAP-BMP-122; Jupiter III; Jupiter
ATTACK HELICOPTER
IV; 130mm AAP-T-130; Jupiter V; 152mm 2S3 Akatsiya
2 sqn with Mi-17 Hip H; Mi-35 Hind
TOWED 500: 122mm D-30; M-30 (M-1938); 130mm
TRAINING
M-46; 152mm D-1; M-1937 (ML-20)
2 (tac trg) sqn with L-39C Albatros (basic); Z-142 (pri-
MRL • SP 175: 122mm BM-21 Grad; 140mm BM-14
mary)
MOR 1,000: 82mm M-41; 82mm M-43; 120mm M-43; M-38
AIR DEFENCE EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
SAM AIRCRAFT 45 combat capable
Short-range 2K12 Kub (SA-6 Gainful) FTR 33: 16 MiG-23ML Flogger; 4 MiG-23MF Flogger;
Pont-defence 200+: 200 9K35 Strela-10 (SA-13 Gopher); 4 MiG-23U Flogger; 4 MiG-23UM Flogger; 2 MiG-29A
9K33 Osa (SA-8 Gecko); 9K31 Strela-1 (SA-9 Gaskin); Fulcrum; 3 MiG-29UB Fulcrum (6 MiG-15UTI Midget;
9K36 Strela-3 (SA-14 Gremlin); 9K310 Igla-1 (SA-16 4+ MiG-17 Fresco; 4 MiG-23MF Flogger; 6 MiG-23ML
Gimlet); 9K32 Strela-2 (SA-7 Grail)‡ Flogger; 2 MiG-23UM Flogger; 2 MiG-29 Fulcrum in store)
GUNS 400 FGA 12: 4 MiG-21ML Fishbed; 8 MiG-21U Mongol A (up
SP 23mm ZSU-23-4; 30mm BTR-60P SP; 57mm ZSU- to 70 MiG-21bis Fishbed; 30 MiG-21F Fishbed; 28 MiG-
57-2 21PFM Fishbed; 7 MiG-21UM Fishbed; 20 MiG-23BN
TOWED 100mm KS-19/M-1939/85mm KS-12/57mm Flogger in store)
S-60/37mm M-1939/30mm M-53/23mm ZU-23 ISR 1 An-30 Clank
412 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
TPT 11: Heavy 2 Il-76 Candid; Light 9: 1 An-2 Colt; 3 An- Capabilities
24 Coke; 2 An-32 Cline; 3 Yak-40 (8 An-2 Colt; 17 An-26
The principal tasks for the Dominican armed forces include inter-
Curl in store)
nal- and border-security missions, as well as disaster relief. Train-
TRG 45: 25 L-39 Albatros; 20 Z-326 Trener Master ing and operations increasingly focus on counter-narcotics and
HELICOPTERS include collaboration with the police in an inter-agency task force.
ATK 4 Mi-35 Hind (8 more in store) The US sends training teams to the country under the terms of a
ASW (5 Mi-14 in store) 2015 military-partnership agreement, and the navy has trained
MRH 8 Mi-17 Hip H (12 more in store) with French forces. The Dominican Republic is a regular participant
TPT • Medium 2 Mi-8P Hip in the US SOUTHCOM’s annual Tradewinds disaster-response exer-
cise. The army has strengthened its presence along the border with
AIR DEFENCE • SAM Haiti, establishing new surveillance posts. There is little capacity to
Medium-range S-75 Dvina (SA-2 Guideline); S-75 Dvina deploy and sustain forces abroad. The army’s equipment inventory
mod (SA-2 Guideline – on T-55 chassis) is small and outdated, and the small number of armoured vehicles
Short-range S-125 Pechora (SA-3 Goa); S-125 Pechora mod are obsolete and likely increasingly difficult to maintain. The Air
(SA-3 Goa – on T-55 chassis) Force operates a modest number of light fixed- and rotary-wing
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES assets, and the Navy a small fleet of mainly ex-US patrol craft of
varying size. Aside from maintenance facilities, the country does
AAM • IR R-3‡ (AA-2 Atoll); R-60 (AA-8 Aphid); R-73
not have a domestic defence industry.
(AA-11 Archer); IR/SARH R-23/24‡ (AA-7 Apex); R-27
(AA-10 Alamo)
ACTIVE 56,050 (Army 28,750 Navy 11,200 Air
ASM Kh-23‡ (AS-7 Kerry) 16,100) Paramilitary 15,000
MANOEUVRE Capabilities
Amphibious
1 mne sy unit Ecuador’s armed forces are able to fulfil internal-security tasks,
although the crisis in Venezuela and resulting refugee flows tran-
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE siting Colombia has added to existing security challenges in the
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 17 northern border area. In 2018, Ecuador’s defence ministry drafted
PCO 1 Almirante Didiez Burgos (ex-US Balsam) an ambitious all-domain equipment-modernisation and -procure-
PCC 2 Tortuguero (ex-US White Sumac) ment plan, though this is reliant on budgetary approval. Due to
PB 14: 2 Altair (Swiftships 35m); 4 Bellatrix (US Sewart the security conditions along the northern border area, the armed
Seacraft); 2 Canopus (Swiftships 101); 3 Hamal (Damen forces are standing up a new joint task force for counter-insur-
gency and counter-narcotics operations. Greater defence coop-
Stan 1505); 3 Point
eration with Peru is focused on demining efforts on the border.
AMPHIBIOUS • LCU 1 Neyba (ex-US LCU 1675) Military ties with Washington have been revived, representing a
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 8 turning point in bilateral relations after defence ties were curtailed
AG 8 in 2009 and US troops left Manta air base. The armed forces train
regularly and have participated in large regional and international
Air Force 16,100 military exercises. There is limited capability to independently
deploy beyond its borders. The equipment inventory is derived
FORCES BY ROLE from a variety of sources and suffers from a general state of obso-
GROUND ATTACK lescence and low availability. Modernisation plans will target the
1 sqn with EMB-314 Super Tucano* small fleet of fighter aircraft, transport and training aircraft, and the
SEARCH & RESCUE army’s personnel carriers. Ecuador’s defence industries are centred
1 sqn with Bell 205 (UH-1H Huey II); Bell 205 (UH-1H on the army’s Office of Industries (DINE), which produces military
Iroquois); Bell 430 (VIP); OH-58 Kiowa (CH-136); S-333 equipment through army-run enterprises. The state-owned ship-
TRANSPORT yard ASTINAVE has some construction, maintenance and repair
capabilities; however, the navy’s submarines are being modernised
1 sqn with C-212-400 Aviocar; PA-31 Navajo
in Chile.
TRAINING
1 sqn with T-35B Pillan ACTIVE 40,250 (Army 24,750 Navy 9,100 Air 6,400)
AIR DEFENCE Paramilitary 500
1 ADA bn with 20mm guns Conscript liability Voluntary conscription
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
RESERVE 118,000 (Joint 118,000)
AIRCRAFT 8 combat capable
Ages 18–55
ISR 1 AMT-200 Super Ximango
TPT • Light 13: 3 C-212-400 Aviocar; 1 Cessna 172; 1
Cessna 182; 1 Cessna 206; 1 Cessna 207; 1 Commander ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
690; 3 EA-100; 1 PA-31 Navajo; 1 P2006T
Army 24,750
the Caribbean
HELICOPTERS FORCES BY ROLE
ISR 9 OH-58 Kiowa (CH-136) gp are bn sized
TPT • Light 16: 8 Bell 205 (UH-1H Huey II); 5 Bell 205 COMMAND
(UH-1H Iroquois); 1 H155 (VIP); 2 S-333 4 div HQ
AIR DEFENCE • GUNS 20mm 4 SPECIAL FORCES
1 (9th) SF bde (3 SF gp, 1 SF sqn, 1 para bn, 1 sigs sqn, 1
Paramilitary 15,000 log comd)
MANOEUVRE
National Police 15,000 Mechanised
1 (11th) armd cav bde (3 armd cav gp, 1 mech inf bn, 1
Ecuador ECU SP arty gp, 1 engr gp)
1 (5th) inf bde (1 SF sqn, 2 mech cav gp, 2 inf bn, 1 cbt
United States Dollar $ 2017 2018 2019 engr coy, 1 sigs coy, 1 log coy)
GDP US$ 104bn 107bn
Light
1 (1st) inf bde (1 SF sqn, 1 armd cav gp, 1 armd recce
per capita US$ 6,217 6,301
sqn, 3 inf bn, 1 med coy)
Growth % 2.4 1.1 1 (3rd) inf bde (1 SF gp, 1 mech cav gp, 1 inf bn, 1 arty
Inflation % 0.4 -0.2 gp, 1 hvy mor coy, 1 cbt engr coy, 1 sigs coy, 1 log
Def bdgt US$ 1.57bn 1.70bn coy)
1 (7th) inf bde (1 SF sqn, 1 armd recce sqn, 1 mech cav
Population 16,498,502
gp, 3 inf bn, 1 jungle bn, 1 arty gp, 1 cbt engr coy, 1
sigs coy, 1 log coy, 1 med coy)
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
1 (13th) inf bde (1 SF sqn, 1 armd recce sqn, 1 mot cav
Male 13.6% 4.7% 4.6% 4.2% 19.0% 3.6% gp, 3 inf bn, 1 arty gp, 1 hvy mor coy, 1 cbt engr coy,
Female 13.1% 4.5% 4.4% 4.2% 20.1% 4.0% 1sigs coy, 1 log coy)
414 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
2 (17th & 21st) jungle bde (3 jungle bn, 1 cbt engr coy, 1 2 Shyri (GER T-209/1300) with 8 single 533mm TT each
sigs coy, 1 log coy) with SUT HWT (1 undergoing refit in Chile)
1 (19th) jungle bde (3 jungle bn, 1 jungle trg bn, 1 cbt PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS • FRIGATES 1
engr coy, 1 sigs coy, 1 log coy) FFGHM 1 Moran Valverde† (ex-UK Leander batch II) with
COMBAT SUPPORT 4 single lnchr with MM40 Exocet AShM, 3 twin lnchr
1 (27th) arty bde (1 SP arty gp, 1 MRL gp, 1 ADA gp, 1 with Mistral SAM, 1 Phalanx CIWS, 1 twin 114mm gun
cbt engr coy, 1 sigs coy, 1 log coy) (capacity 1 Bell 206B Jet Ranger II hel)
1 (23rd) engr bde (3 engr bn) PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 9
2 indep MP coy CORVETTES • FSGM 6 Esmeraldas (3†) with 2 triple
1 indep sigs coy lnchr with MM40 Exocet AShM, 1 quad Albatros lnchr
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT with Aspide SAM, 2 triple B515 ILAS-3 324mm ASTT
1 (25th) log bde with A244 LWT (removed from two vessels), 1 76mm
2 log bn gun, 1 hel landing platform (upgrade programme
2 indep med coy ongoing)
AVIATION PCFG 3 Quito (GER Lurssen TNC-45 45m) with 4 single
1 (15th) avn bde (2 tpt avn gp, 2 hel gp, 1 mixed avn gp) lnchr with MM38 Exocet AShM, 1 76mm gun (upgrade
AIR DEFENCE programme ongoing)
1 ADA gp
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 8
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE AE 1 Calicuchima
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES AGOS 1 Orion with 1 hel landing platform
LT TK 24 AMX-13 AGS 1 Sirius
RECCE 67: 25 AML-90; 10 EE-3 Jararaca; 32 EE-9 Cascavel AK 1 Galapagos
APC 123 ATF 1
APC (T) 95: 80 AMX-VCI; 15 M113 AWT 2: 1 Quisquis; 1 Atahualpa
APC (W) 28: 18 EE-11 Urutu; 10 UR-416 AXS 1 Guayas
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
RCL 404: 90mm 380 M67; 106mm 24 M40A1 Naval Aviation 380
ARTILLERY 541+
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
SP 155mm 5 Mk F3
AIRCRAFT
TOWED 100: 105mm 78: 30 M101; 24 M2A2; 24 Model 56
MP 1 CN235-300M
pack howitzer; 155mm 22: 12 M114; 10 M198
ISR 3: 2 Beech 200T King Air; 1 Beech 300 Catpass King
MRL 122mm 24: 18 BM-21 Grad; 6 RM-70
Air
MOR 412+: 81mm 400 M29; 107mm M30; 160mm 12
TPT • Light 3: 1 Beech 200 King Air; 1 Beech 300 King
M-66
Air; 1 CN235-100
AIRCRAFT
TRG 6: 2 T-34C Turbo Mentor; 4 T-35B Pillan
TPT • Light 14: 1 Beech 200 King Air; 2 C-212; 1 CN235;
4 Cessna 172; 2 Cessna 206; 1 Cessna 500 Citation I; 3 IAI- HELICOPTERS
201 Arava TPT • Light 9: 3 Bell 206A; 3 Bell 206B; 1 Bell 230; 2
TRG 6: 2 MX-7-235 Star Rocket; 2 T-41D Mescalero; 2 CJ- Bell 430
6A UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES
HELICOPTERS ISR 5: Heavy 2 Heron; Medium 3 Searcher Mk.II
MRH 33: 7 H125M (AS550C3) Fennec; 6 Mi-17-1V Hip; 2
SA315B Lama; 18 SA342L Gazelle (13 with HOT for anti-
Marines 2,150
armour role) FORCES BY ROLE
TPT 11: Medium 7: 5 AS332B Super Puma; 2 Mi-171E; (3 SPECIAL FORCES
SA330 Puma in store); Light 4: 2 H125 (AS350B2) Ecureuil; 1 cdo unit
2 H125 (AS350B3) Ecureuil MANOEUVRE
AIR DEFENCE Amphibious
SAM • Point-defence Blowpipe; 9K32 Strela-2 (SA-7 5 mne bn (on garrison duties)
Grail)‡; 9K38 Igla (SA-18 Grouse) EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
GUNS 240 ARTILLERY • MOR 32+ 60mm/81mm/120mm
SP 20mm 44 M163 Vulcan AIR DEFENCE • SAM • Point-defence Mistral; 9K38
TOWED 196: 14.5mm 128 ZPU-1/-2; 20mm 38: 28 Igla (SA-18 Grouse)
M-1935, 10 M167 Vulcan; 40mm 30 L/70/M1A1
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES • ASM HOT Air Force 6,400
Navy 9,100 (incl Naval Aviation, Marines and Operational Command
Coast Guard) FORCES BY ROLE
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE FIGHTER
SUBMARINES • TACTICAL • SSK 2: 1 sqn with Cheetah C/D
Latin America and the Caribbean 415
FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
2 sqn with EMB-314 Super Tucano* El Salvador SLV
1 sqn with Kfir C-10 (CE); Kfir C-2; Kfir TC-2
United States Dollar $ 2017 2018 2019
Military Air Transport Group GDP US$ 24.8bn 25.9bn
FORCES BY ROLE per capita US$ 3,895 4,041
SEARCH & RESCUE/TRANSPORT HELICOPTER Growth % 2.3 2.5
1 sqn with Bell 206B Jet Ranger II
Inflation % 1.0 1.2
1 sqn with PA-34 Seneca Def bdgt US$ 146m 141m
TRANSPORT FMA (US) US$ 1.9m 0m 0m
1 sqn with C-130/H Hercules; L-100-30
1 sqn with HS-748 Population 6,187,271
1 sqn with DHC-6-300 Twin Otter Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
1 sqn with B-727; EMB-135BJ Legacy 600; Sabreliner 40
Male 13.0% 5.0% 5.0% 4.3% 17.3% 3.4%
TRAINING
Female 12.3% 4.9% 5.0% 4.5% 20.9% 4.3%
1 sqn with Cessna 206; DA20-C1; MXP-650; T-34C
Turbo Mentor
Capabilities
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
El Salvador’s armed forces’ primary challenge is tackling organ-
AIRCRAFT 42 combat capable
ised crime and narcotics trafficking in support of the National
FGA 25: 10 Cheetah C; 2 Cheetah D; 4 Kfir C-2; 7 Kfir C-10 Civil Police. The country’s 2015 security strategy focuses on tack-
(CE); 2 Kfir TC-2 ling violent crime. El Salvador switched diplomatic recognition
TPT 31: Medium 4: 2 C-130B Hercules; 1 C-130H Hercules; from Taiwan to China in 2018, a move which has halted planned
1 L-100-30; Light 16: 1 Beech E90 King Air; 3 C295M; 1 equipment donations from Taiwan. El Salvador participates in a
Cessna 206; 3 DHC-6 Twin Otter; 1 EMB-135BJ Legacy tri-national border task force with Guatemala and Honduras. The
600; 2 EMB-170; 2 EMB-190; 1 M-28 Skytruck; 1 MXP-650; armed forces have long-standing training programmes, including
with regional states and with the US, focused on internal security,
1 PA-34 Seneca; PAX 11: 2 A320; 2 B-727; 1 Falcon 7X; 1
disaster relief and support to civilian authorities. El Salvador has
Gulfstream G-1159; 5 HS-748 deployed on UN peacekeeping missions up to company strength
TRG 39: 11 DA20-C1; 17 EMB-314 Super Tucano*; 11 but lacks the logistical support to sustain independent interna-
T-34C Turbo Mentor tional deployments. The armed forces have received little new
HELICOPTERS • TPT • Light 7 Bell 206B Jet Ranger II heavy military equipment in recent years and are dependent on
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES • AAM • IR Python 3; R-550 an inventory of Cold War-era platforms; the majority of these are
operational, indicating adequate support and maintenance. El
Magic; Shafrir‡; IIR Python 4; SARH Super 530
Salvador lacks a substantive defence industry but has successfully
AIR DEFENCE
the Caribbean
SAM • Point-defence 13+: 6 9K33 Osa (SA-8 Gecko); 7 mercial vehicle chassis.
M48 Chaparral; Blowpipe; 9K32 Strela-2 (SA-7 Grail)‡;
9K310 Igla-1 (SA-16 Gimlet); 9K38 Igla (SA-18 Grouse) ACTIVE 24,500 (Army 20,500 Navy 2,000 Air 2,000)
GUNS Paramilitary 17,000
SP 20mm 28 M35 Conscript liability 12 months (selective); 11 months for officers and
NCOs
TOWED 64: 23mm 34 ZU-23; 35mm 30 GDF-002
(twin) RESERVE 9,900 (Joint 9,900)
ACTIVE 18,050 (Army 15,550 Navy 1,500 Air 1,000) AMPHIBIOUS • LANDING CRAFT • LCP 2 Machete
Paramilitary 25,000 LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT • AXS 3
RESERVE 63,850 (Navy 650 Air 900 Armed Forces Marines 650 reservists
62,300) FORCES BY ROLE
(National Armed Forces are combined; the army provides log spt MANOEUVRE
for navy and air force) Amphibious
2 mne bn(-)
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
Air Force 1,000
Army 15,550 2 air comd
15 Military Zones FORCES BY ROLE
FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK/ISR
FORCES BY ROLE
1 sqn with A-37B Dragonfly
SPECIAL FORCES
TRANSPORT
1 SF bde (1 SF bn, 1 trg bn)
1 sqn with BT-67; Beech 90/200 King Air
1 SF bde (1 SF coy, 1 ranger bn) 1 (tactical support) sqn with Cessna 206
1 SF mtn bde TRAINING
MANOEUVRE 1 sqn with T-35B Pillan
Light TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
1 (strategic reserve) mech bde (1 inf bn, 1 cav regt, 1 log 1 sqn with Bell 212 (armed); Bell 407GX; Bell 412 Twin
coy) Huey (armed); UH-1H Iroquois
6 inf bde (1 inf bn) EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Air Manoeuvre Serviceability of ac is less than 50%
1 AB bde with (2 AB bn) AIRCRAFT 1 combat capable
Amphibious ATK 1 A-37B Dragonfly
1 mne bde TPT • Light 16: 1 Beech 90 King Air; 2 Beech 200 King Air; 4
Other BT-67; 2 Cessna 206; 4 Cessna 208B; 3 Cessna 210 Centurion;
1 (Presidential) gd bde (1 gd bn, 1 MP bn, 1 CSS coy) (4 IAI-201 Arava; 5 Cessna R172K Hawk XP in store)
COMBAT SUPPORT TRG 4 T-35B Pillan† (7 PC-7 Turbo Trainer* in store)
1 engr comd (1 engr bn, 1 construction bn) HELICOPTERS
2 MP bde with (1 MP bn) MRH 4: 2 Bell 412 Twin Huey (armed); 2 Bell 407GX
TPT • Light 13: 2 Bell 205 (UH-1H Iroquois); 5 Bell 206B
Reserves Jet Ranger; 6 Bell 212 (armed) (2 Bell 206B Jet Ranger; 4 Bell
the Caribbean
MANOEUVRE
Light Tactical Security Group
ε19 inf bn Air Military Police
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Paramilitary 25,000
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
RECCE (7 M8 in store) National Civil Police 25,000
APC 47
FORCES BY ROLE
APC (T) 10 M113 (5 more in store) SPECIAL FORCES
APC (W) 37: 30 Armadillo; 7 V-100 Commando 1 SF bn
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE MANOEUVRE
RCL 120+: 75mm M20; 105mm 64 M-1974 FMK-1 Other
(ARG); 106mm 56 M40A1 1 (integrated task force) paramilitary unit (incl mil
ARTILLERY 149 and treasury police)
TOWED 105mm 76: 12 M101; 8 M102; 56 M-56
MOR 73: 81mm 55 M1; 107mm (12 M30 in store);
120mm 18 ECIA
DEPLOYMENT
AIR DEFENCE • GUNS • TOWED 32: 20mm 16 CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC: UN • MINUSCA 2; 1 obs
GAI-D01; 16 M-55 DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO: UN •
MONUSCO 150; 5 obs; 1 SF coy
Navy 1,500 LEBANON: UN • UNIFIL 2
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
MALI: UN • MINUSMA 2
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 10
PB 10: 6 Cutlass; 1 Dauntless; 1 Kukulkan (US Broadsword SOUTH SUDAN: UN • UNMISS 4; 3 obs
32m); 2 Utatlan (US Sewart) SUDAN: UN • UNISFA 1; 2 obs
418 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
ARTILLERY 54
Guyana GUY TOWED 130mm 6 M-46†
MOR 48: 81mm 12 L16A1; 82mm 18 M-43; 120mm 18
Guyanese Dollar G$ 2017 2018 2019 M-43
GDP G$ 749bn 780bn
US$ 3.56bn 3.64bn Navy 200
per capita US$ 4,578 4,649 EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Growth % 2.1 3.4 PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 5
PCO 1 Essequibo (ex-UK River)
Inflation % 2.0 1.3
PB 4 Barracuda (ex-US Type-44)
Def bdgt G$ 12.0bn 12.1bn
US$ 57.1m 56.2m Air Force 200
US$1=G$ 210.26 214.52 FORCES BY ROLE
Population 740,685
TRANSPORT
1 unit with Bell 206; Cessna 206; Y-12 (II)
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Male 12.9% 5.7% 5.4% 4.4% 19.5% 2.6% AIRCRAFT • TPT • Light 4: 2 BN-2 Islander; 1 Cessna
Female 12.5% 5.4% 5.1% 4.0% 18.7% 3.8% 206; 1 Y-12 (II)
HELICOPTERS
Capabilities MRH 1 Bell 412 Twin Huey†
TPT • Light 2 Bell 206
The Guyana Defence Force (GDF) has minimal conventional mili-
tary capability, and its activities are focused on border control
and support for law-enforcement operations and assistance to Haiti HTI
the civil power. The government is planning to restructure the
GDF to improve its flexibility. Guyana is part of the Caribbean Haitian Gourde G 2017 2018 2019
Basin Security Initiative. It has close military ties with Brazil, with GDP G 552bn 640bn
whom it cooperates on border security via annual military regional
exchange meetings. The country also has bilateral agreements US$ 8.61bn 9.72bn
with France, China and the US, who provide military training and per capita US$ 784 874
equipment. The GDF trains regularly and takes part in bilateral Growth % 1.2 2.0
and multinational exercises. A training initiative with China helped
two Guyanese pilots to acquire air-combat certification although Inflation % 14.7 13.3
Guyana has no combat aircraft in its inventory. There is no expedi- Def bdgt G 435m 514m
tionary or associated logistics capability. Equipment is mostly com- US$ 6.8m 7.8m
posed of second-hand platforms, mainly of Brazilian and North
American manufacture. The air force has expanded its modest air- FMA (US) US$ 1.2m 0m 0m
transport capabilities with some second-hand utility aircraft. Apart US$1=G 64.12 65.82
from maintenance facilities, there is no defence-industrial sector.
Population 10,788,440
ACTIVE 3,400 (Army 3,000 Navy 200 Air 200)
Active numbers combined Guyana Defence Force Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
Male 16.1% 5.4% 5.2% 4.6% 16.4% 1.9%
RESERVE 670 (Army 500 Navy 170)
Female 16.2% 5.4% 5.2% 4.6% 16.9% 2.4%
ACTIVE 14,950 (Army 7,300 Navy 1,350 Air 2,300 Air Force 2,300
Military Police 4,000) Paramilitary 8,000 FORCES BY ROLE
FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
RESERVE 60,000 (Joint 60,000; Ex-servicemen 1 sqn with A-37B Dragonfly
registered) 1 sqn with F-5E/F Tiger II
420 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
GROUND ATTACK/ISR/TRAINING
1 unit with Cessna 182 Skylane; EMB-312 Tucano; MXT- Jamaica JAM
7-180 Star Rocket
Jamaican Dollar J$ 2017 2018 2019
TRANSPORT
1 sqn with Beech 200 King Air; C-130A Hercules; Cessna GDP J$ 1.90tr 1.99tr
185/210; IAI-201 Arava; PA-42 Cheyenne; Turbo US$ 14.8bn 15.4bn
Commander 690 per capita US$ 5,193 5,393
1 VIP flt with PA-31 Navajo; Bell 412EP/SP Twin Huey
Growth % 0.7 1.2
TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
1 sqn with Bell 205 (UH-1H Iroquois); Bell 412SP Twin Inflation % 4.4 3.4
Huey Def bdgt J$ 18.2bn 29.4bn
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE US$ 142m 228m
AIRCRAFT 17 combat capable US$1=J$ 128.44 128.99
FTR 11: 9 F-5E Tiger II†; 2 F-5F Tiger II†
ATK 6 A-37B Dragonfly
Population 2,812,090
TPT 17: Medium 1 C-130A Hercules; Light 16: 1 Beech
200 King Air; 2 Cessna 172 Skyhawk; 2 Cessna 182 Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
Skylane; 1 Cessna 185; 2 Cessna 208B Grand Caravan; 2
Male 13.2% 4.8% 4.5% 3.8% 19.0% 4.1%
Cessna 210; 1 EMB-135 Legacy 600; 1 IAI-201 Arava; 1
Female 12.8% 4.6% 4.5% 3.9% 20.1% 4.6%
L-410 (leased); 1 PA-31 Navajo; 1 PA-42 Cheyenne; 1 Turbo
Commander 690
TRG 16: 9 EMB-312 Tucano; 7 MXT-7-180 Star Rocket
Capabilities
HELICOPTERS The Jamaica Defence Force (JDF) is focused principally on mari-
MRH 8: 1 Bell 412EP Twin Huey (VIP); 5 Bell 412SP Twin time and internal security, including support to police operations.
Huey; 2 Hughes 500 Jamaica maintains military ties, including for training purposes,
TPT • Light 7: 6 Bell 205 (UH-1H Iroquois); 1 H125 with Canada, the UK and the US and is a member of the Caribbean
Community. The defence force participates in US SOUTHCOM’s
Ecureuil
annual Tradewinds disaster-response exercise. In March 2018,
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES • AAM • IR Shafrir‡ financed by Canada, the JDF established the Caribbean Special
Tactics Centre, which will train special-forces units from Jamaica
Military Police 4,000 and other Caribbean nations. The JDF does not have any capac-
FORCES BY ROLE ity to support independent deployment abroad. Funds have been
MANOUEVRE allocated to procure new vehicles and helicopters, and a new King
Other Air maritime-patrol aircraft has arrived. Other than limited mainte-
nance facilities, Jamaica has no domestic defence industry.
8 sy bn
ACTIVE 3,950 (Army 3,400 Coast Guard 300 Air 250)
Paramilitary 8,000 (combined Jamaican Defence Force)
Public Security Forces 8,000 RESERVE 980 (Army 900 Coast Guard 60 Air 20)
Ministry of Public Security and Defence; 11 regional
comd ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
Army 3,400
DEPLOYMENT FORCES BY ROLE
WESTERN SAHARA: UN • MINURSO 12 obs MANOUEVRE
Mechanised
1 (PMV) lt mech inf coy
FOREIGN FORCES Light
United States US Southern Command: 380; 1 avn bn with 2 inf bn
CH-47F Chinook; UH-60 Black Hawk COMBAT SUPPORT
1 engr regt (4 engr sqn)
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
1 spt bn (1 MP coy, 1 med coy, 1 log coy, 1 tpt coy)
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
AUV 12 Bushmaster
ARTILLERY • MOR 81mm 12 L16A1
Reserves
FORCES BY ROLE
MANOEUVRE
Light
1 inf bn
Latin America and the Caribbean 421
Coast Guard 300 relationship with the US, which has provided equipment and train-
ing to Mexican forces under the Mérida Initiative, as well as via
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE bilateral programmes via the Pentagon. There has been a train-
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 10 ing focus on internal-security tasks and low-intensity warfare. The
PBF 3 armed forces have a moderate capability to deploy independently,
PB 7: 2 County (Damen Stan Patrol 4207); 4 Dauntless; 1 but do not do so in significant numbers. There are plans to recapi-
Paul Bogle (US 31m) talise diverse and ageing conventional combat platforms across all
three services. State-owned shipyards have produced patrol craft
Air Wing 250 for the navy and will produce modules for the frigates currently
under construction. Army factories have produced light armoured
Plus National Reserve
utility vehicles for domestic use. Airbus Helicopters operates a
FORCES BY ROLE manufacturing plant in Querétaro.
MARITIME PATROL/TRANSPORT
1 flt with Beech 350ER King Air; BN-2A Defender; Cessna ACTIVE 277,150 (Army 208,350 Navy 60,300 Air
210M Centurion 8,500) Paramilitary 58,900
SEARCH & RESCUE/TRANSPORT HELICOPTER Conscript liability 12 months (partial, selection by ballot) from age
1 flt with Bell 407 18, serving on Saturdays; voluntary for women; conscripts allo-
cated to reserves.
1 flt with Bell 412EP
TRAINING RESERVE 81,500 (National Military Service)
1 unit with Bell 206B3; DA40-180FP Diamond Star
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
AIRCRAFT
MP 1 Beech 350ER King Air
TPT • Light 4: 1 BN-2A Defender; 1 Cessna 210M
Space
Centurion; 2 DA40-180FP Diamond Star EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
HELICOPTERS SATELLITES • COMMUNICATIONS 2 Mexsat
MRH 2 Bell 412EP
TPT • Light 7: 2 Bell 206B3 Jet Ranger; 3 Bell 407; 2 Bell Army 208,350
429 12 regions (total: 46 army zones)
FORCES BY ROLE
Mexico MEX SPECIAL FORCES
1 (1st) SF bde (5 SF bn)
Mexican Peso NP 2017 2018 2019 1 (2nd) SF bde (7 SF bn)
1 (3rd) SF bde (4 SF bn)
GDP NP 21.8tr 23.5tr
MANOEUVRE
US$ 1.15tr 1.20tr Reconnaissance
the Caribbean
TRANSPORT HELICOPTER Federal Ministerial Police 4,500
4 sqn with Bell 206B; Bell 212; Bell 407GX
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
1 sqn with MD-530MF/MG
1 sqn with Mi-17 Hip HELICOPTERS
1 sqn with H225M Caracal; Bell 412EP Twin Huey; TPT • Light 25: 18 Bell 205 (UH-1H); 7 Bell 212
S-70A-24 Black Hawk UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES
1 sqn with UH-60M Black Hawk ISR • Heavy 2 Dominator XP
ISR UAV
1 unit with Hermes 450; S4 Ehécatl
Rural Defense Militia 17,400
FORCES BY ROLE
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
MANOEUVRE
AIRCRAFT 56 combat capable
ISR 8: 2 Cessna 501 Citation; 2 SA-2-37A; 4 SA-227-BC Light
Metro III (C-26B) 13 inf unit
ELINT 8: 6 Beech 350ER King Air; 2 EMB-145RS 13 (horsed) cav unit
AEW&C 1 EMB-145AEW Erieye
TPT 112: Medium 9: 4 C-27J Spartan; 2 C-130E Hercules; Cyber
2 C-130K-30 Hercules; 1 L-100-30; Light 90: 2 Beech 90 Press reports indicated that the cyberspace operations
King Air; 1 Beech 200 King Air; 1 Beech 350i King Air; 6 centre was completed within Sedena in 2017, the same year
C295M; 59 Cessna 182; 3 Cessna 206; 8 Cessna T206H; that Mexico published a National Cybersecurity Strategy.
1 Cessna 501 Citation; 1 Cessna 680 Citation; 2 Learjet It is understood that another cyberspace operations centre
35A; 1 Learjet 36; 1 Learjet 45XP; 3 PC-6B; 1 Turbo will be created for the navy. Key documentation includes
Commander 680; PAX 13: 6 B-737; 1 B-757; 1 B-787; 1 CL- the 2013–18 National Defence Sector Programme, the 2013–
605 Challenger; 2 Gulfstream 150; 1 Gulfstream 450; 1 18 National Development Programme and the 2014–18
Gulfstream 550 National Security Programme.
424 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Other
DEPLOYMENT 1 comd regt (1 inf bn, 1 sy bn, 1 int unit, 1 sigs bn)
CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC: UN • MINUSCA 1 1 (ecological) sy bn
MALI: UN • MINUSMA 3 COMBAT SUPPORT
1 engr bn
WESTERN SAHARA: UN • MINURSO 4 obs COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
1 med bn
Nicaragua NIC 1 tpt regt
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Nicaraguan Gold Cordoba Co 2017 2018 2019
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
GDP Co 415bn 422bn MBT 82: 62 T-55 (65 more in store); 20 T-72B1
US$ 13.8bn 13.4bn LT TK (10 PT-76 in store)
per capita US$ 2,221 2,127 RECCE 20 BRDM-2
Growth % 4.9 -4.0 IFV 17+ BMP-1
APC • APC (W) 90+: 41 BTR-152 (61 more in store); 45
Inflation % 3.9 5.9
BTR-60 (15 more in store); 4+ BTR-70M
Def bdgt Co 2.51bn 2.58bn ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
US$ 83.5m 81.7m AEV T-54/T-55 AEV
US$1=Co 30.05 31.55 VLB TMM-3
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
Population 6,085,213
MSL
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus SP 12 9P133 Malyutka (AT-3 Sagger)
MANPATS 9K11 Malyutka (AT-3 Sagger)
Male 13.6% 5.1% 5.3% 4.9% 17.4% 2.4%
RCL 82mm B-10
Female 13.0% 5.0% 5.3% 5.1% 19.8% 3.0%
GUNS 281: 57mm 174 ZIS-2; (90 more in store); 76mm 83
ZIS-3; 100mm 24 M-1944
Capabilities ARTILLERY 766
Nicaragua’s armed forces are primarily a territorial light-infantry TOWED 12: 122mm 12 D-30; (152mm 30 D-20 in store)
force, with a vestigial coastal-patrol capability. They are tasked with MRL 151: 107mm 33 Type-63: 122mm 118: 18 BM-21
border and internal security, as well as with support for disaster- Grad; 100 Grad 1P (BM-21P) (single-tube rocket launcher,
relief efforts and ecological protection. Nicaragua has training rela-
man portable)
tionships with Russia and the US, as well as with neighbouring and
regional states, including Cuba and Venezuela. Training is largely MOR 603: 82mm 579; 120mm 24 M-43; (160mm 4 M-160
focused on key internal- and border-security tasks, although the in store)
mechanised brigade has received Russian training in conven- AIR DEFENCE • SAM • Point-defence 9K36 Strela-3 (SA-
tional military operations. The armed forces do not undertake sig- 14 Gremlin); 9K310 Igla-1 (SA-16 Gimlet); 9K32 Strela-2 (SA-
nificant international deployments and lack the logistical support 7 Grail)‡
for large-scale military operations, although the strategic-reserve
mechanised brigade can deploy internally. Equipment primar-
ily consists of ageing Cold War-era platforms. Russia has supplied
Navy ε800
some second-hand tanks and armoured vehicles to help re-equip EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
the mechanised brigade and has supported the establishment of a PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS • PB 8: 3
repair workshop to maintain the vehicles in-country. Barring main- Dabur; 4 Rodman 101, 1 Zhuk
tenance facilities there is no domestic defence industry.
the Caribbean
Capabilities TPT • Light 11: 1 DHC-6-400 Twin Otter; 3 C-212M
Panama abolished its armed forces in 1990, but has a border
Aviocar; 1 Cessna 152, 1 Cessna 172; 1 Cessna 210; 1
service, a police force and an air/maritime service for low-level ERJ-135BJ; 1 PA-31 Navajo; 2 PA-34 Seneca
security tasks. The primary security focus is on the southern border TRG 6 T-35D Pillan
with Colombia, and the majority of the border service is deployed HELICOPTERS
there. Both Colombia and the US have provided training and MRH 10: 8 AW139; 1 Bell 412EP; 1 MD-500E
support. Training is focused on internal and border security rather TPT • Light 21: 2 Bell 205; 13 Bell 205 (UH-1H Iroquois);
than conventional military operations and there is no capability to 2 Bell 212; 2 Bell 407; 1 H145; 1 S-76C
mount significant external deployments. None of Panama’s secu-
rity services maintain heavy military equipment, focusing instead
on light transport, patrol and surveillance capabilities. Aside
from limited maintenance facilities, the country has no domestic
defence industry.
Paramilitary 26,000
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
Paramilitary 26,000
National Border Service 4,000
FORCES BY ROLE
SPECIAL FORCES
1 SF gp
426 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Other
Paraguay PRY 1 (Presidential) gd regt (1 SF bn, 1 inf bn, 1 sy bn, 1 log gp)
COMBAT SUPPORT
Paraguayan Guarani Pg 2017 2018 2019
1 arty bde with (2 arty gp, 1 ADA gp)
GDP Pg 219tr 238tr 1 engr bde with (1 engr regt, 3 construction regt)
US$ 38.9bn 41.9bn 1 sigs bn
per capita US$ 5,600 5,934
Reserves
Growth % 4.8 4.4
FORCES BY ROLE
Inflation % 3.6 4.0 MANOEUVRE
Def bdgt Pg 1.53tr 1.78tr 1.77tr Light
US$ 273m 313m 14 inf regt (cadre)
US$1=Pg 5618.94 5690.47 4 cav regt (cadre)
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Population 7,025,763
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
RECCE 28 EE-9 Cascavel
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
APC • APC (W) 12 EE-11 Urutu
Male 13.3% 4.3% 4.3% 4.0% 20.5% 3.9% ARTILLERY 99
Female 12.8% 4.1% 4.1% 3.8% 20.2% 4.6% TOWED 105mm 19 M101
MOR 81mm 80
Capabilities AIR DEFENCE • GUNS 22:
The armed forces are small by regional standards and the equip- SP 20mm 3 M9 half track
ment inventory for all services is ageing and largely obsolete. The TOWED 19: 40mm 13 M1A1, 6 L/60
country faces internal challenges from insurgency and transna-
tional organised crime, chiefly drug trafficking. Conscript numbers Navy 2,700
have reduced in recent years, and there are a significant number EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
of higher ranks in the force structure. Key formations have long PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 20
been under-strength. There has been some training support by the PCR 1 Itaipú
US, and the MOD reported in 2018 a training cooperation agree- PBR 19: 1 Capitan Cabral; 2 Capitan Ortiz (ROC Hai Ou);
ment with Germany. Paraguay has had a consistent if limited tra-
2 Novatec; 6 Type-701; 3 Croq 15; 5 others
dition of contributing to UN peacekeeping operations since 2001.
AMPHIBIOUS • LANDING CRAFT • LCVP 3
There is only limited ability to self-sustain forces abroad, and no
effective power-projection capacity. There is a small force of river-
patrol craft, though some of the older of these have finally been
Naval Aviation 100
retired. Armoured capability is very limited. While there are plans FORCES BY ROLE
to acquire more modern equipment, including tanks, naval equip- TRANSPORT
ment and aircraft of all types for the air force, recent acquisitions 1 (liaison) sqn with Cessna 150; Cessna 210 Centurion;
of heavier materiel have been confined to small quantities of Cessna 310; Cessna 401
engineering and transport equipment. There is some local main- TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
tenance capacity but the effectiveness of systems is limited by age 1 sqn with AS350 Ecureuil (HB350 Esquilo)
and while there is some R&D and manufacturing cooperation with
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
local research institutes, there is no traditional defence-industrial
AIRCRAFT • TPT • Light 6: 2 Cessna 150; 1 Cessna 210
base.
Centurion; 2 Cessna 310; 1 Cessna 401
ACTIVE 11,900 (Army 7,400 Navy 2,700 Air 1,800) HELICOPTERS • TPT • Light 2 AS350 Ecureuil (HB350
Paramilitary 14,800 Esquilo)
Conscript liability 12 months
Marines 700; 200 conscript (total 900)
RESERVE 164,500 (Joint 164,500) FORCES BY ROLE
MANOEUVRE
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE Amphibious
3 mne bn(-)
ARTILLERY • TOWED 105mm 2 M101
Army 7,400
Much of the Paraguayan army is maintained in a cadre Air Force 1,800
state during peacetime; the nominal inf and cav divs are FORCES BY ROLE
effectively only at coy strength. Active gp/regt are usually GROUND ATTACK/ISR
coy sized 1 sqn with EMB-312 Tucano*
FORCES BY ROLE TRANSPORT
MANOEUVRE 1 gp with C-212-200/400 Aviocar; DHC-6 Twin Otter
Light 1 VIP gp with Beech 58 Baron; Bell 427; Cessna U206
3 inf corps (total: 6 inf div(-), 3 cav div(-), 6 arty bty) Stationair; Cessna 208B Grand Caravan; Cessna 210
Latin America and the Caribbean 427
Centurion; Cessna 402B; PA-32R Saratoga (EMB-721C armed forces are primarily orientated towards preserving territo-
Sertanejo); PZL-104 Wilga 80 rial integrity and security, focusing on counter-insurgency and
TRAINING counter-narcotics operations, while strengthening their disaster-
1 sqn with T-25 Universal; T-35A/B Pillan relief capabilities. Peru maintains close military ties with Colombia.
The two countries signed a cooperation agreement on air control,
TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
humanitarian assistance and counter-narcotics. The armed forces
1 gp with AS350 Ecureuil (HB350 Esquilo); Bell 205 (UH- train regularly and take part in national and multilateral exercises.
1H Iroquois) The armed forces are capable of independently deploying exter-
MANOEUVRE nally and contribute to UN missions abroad. There has been some
Air Manoeuvre modernisation of some air-combat assets, though not across the
1 AB bde whole fleet. The navy is looking to acquire new corvettes and mod-
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE ernise its ageing submarines. The state-owned shipyard SIMA and
aviation firm SEMAN are key players in Peru’s defence industry,
AIRCRAFT 6 combat capable
both in terms of manufacturing and maintenance. SEMAN com-
TPT • Light 18: 1 Beech 58 Baron; 4 C-212-200 Aviocar; pleted in 2017 final assembly for the last Korean-designed KT-1
1 C-212-400 Aviocar; 2 Cessna 208B Grand Caravan; 1 trainer, and the navy in 2018 commissioned the first locally built
Cessna 210 Centurion; 1 Cessna 310; 2 Cessna 402B; 2 and South Korean-designed multipurpose vessel.
Cessna U206 Stationair; 1 DHC-6 Twin Otter; 1 PA-32R
Saratoga (EMB-721C Sertanejo); 2 PZL-104 Wilga 80 ACTIVE 81,000 (Army 47,500 Navy 24,000 Air 9,500)
TRG 21: 6 EMB-312 Tucano*; 6 T-25 Universal; 6 T-35A Paramilitary 77,000
Pillan; 3 T-35B Pillan Conscript liability 12 months voluntary conscription for
HELICOPTERS • TPT • Light 9: 3 AS350 Ecureuil (HB350 both males and females
Esquilo); 5 Bell 205 (UH-1H Iroquois); 1 Bell 427 (VIP) RESERVE 188,000 (Army 188,000)
Paramilitary 14,800
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
Special Police Service 10,800; 4,000 conscript
(total 14,800) Space
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
DEPLOYMENT SATELLITES • ISR PERÚSAT-1
1 (3rd) arty bde (4 arty gp, 1 AD gp, 1 sigs gp) PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS 7
1 (22nd) engr bde (3 engr bn, 1 demining coy) FRIGATES 7
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT FFGHM 6:
1 (1st Multipurpose) spt bde 3 Aguirre (ex-ITA Lupo) with 8 single lnchr with Otomat
AVIATION Mk2 AShM, 1 octuple Mk29 lnchr with RIM-7P Sea
1 (1st) avn bde (1 atk hel/recce hel bn, 1 avn bn, 2 aslt Sparrow SAM, 2 triple 324mm ASTT with A244 LWT,
hel/tpt hel bn) 1 127mm gun (capacity 1 Bell 212 (AB-212)/SH-3D
AIR DEFENCE Sea King)
1 AD gp (regional troops) 3 Carvajal (mod ITA Lupo) with 8 single lnchr with
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Otomat Mk2 AShM, 1 octuple Albatros lnchr with
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES Aspide SAM, 2 triple 324mm ASTT with A244 LWT,
MBT 165 T-55; (75† in store) 1 127mm gun (capacity 1 Bell 212 (AB-212)/SH-3D
LT TK 96 AMX-13 Sea King)
RECCE 95: 30 BRDM-2; 15 Fiat 6616; 50 M9A1 FFHM 1:
APC 295 1 Aguirre (ex-ITA Lupo) with 1 octuple Mk29 lnchr with
APC (T) 120 M113A1 RIM-7P Sea Sparrow SAM, 2 triple 324mm ASTT with
APC (W) 175: 150 UR-416; 25 Fiat 6614 A244 LWT, 1 127mm gun (capacity 1 Bell 212 (AB-
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES 212)/SH-3D Sea King) (is being fit with MM40 Exocet
ARV M578 Block 3)
ANTI-TANK-ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 12
MSL CORVETTES • FSG 6 Velarde (FRA PR-72 64m) with 4
SP 22 M1165A2 HMMWV with 9K135 Kornet E (AT-14 single lnchr with MM38 Exocet AShM, 1 76mm gun
Spriggan) PCR 6:
MANPATS 9K11 Malyutka (AT-3 Sagger); HJ-73C; 2 Amazonas with 1 76mm gun
9K135 Kornet E (AT-14 Spriggan); Spike-ER 2 Manuel Clavero
RCL 106mm M40A1 2 Marañon with 2 76mm guns
ARTILLERY 1,011 AMPHIBIOUS
SP 155mm 12 M109A2 PRINCIPAL AMPHIBIOUS SHIPS • LPD 1 Pisco (IDN
Makassar) (capacity 2 LCM; 3 hels; 24 IFV; 450 troops)
TOWED 290: 105mm 152: 44 M101; 24 M2A1; 60 M-56;
LANDING SHIPS • LST 2 Paita (capacity 395 troops)
24 Model 56 pack howitzer; 122mm; 36 D-30; 130mm 36
(ex-US Terrebonne Parish)
M-46; 155mm 66: 36 M114, 30 Model 50
LANDING CRAFT • UCAC 7 Griffon 2000TD (capacity
MRL 122mm 35: 22 BM-21 Grad; 13 Type-90B
22 troops)
MOR 674+: 81mm/107mm 350; SP 107mm 24 M106A1;
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 25
120mm 300+ Brandt/Expal Model L
AG 4 Rio Napo
AIRCRAFT
AGOR 1 Humboldt
TPT • Light 16: 2 An-28 Cash; 3 An-32B Cline; 1 Beech
AGORH 1 Carrasco
350 King Air; 1 Beech 1900D; 4 Cessna 152; 1 Cessna 208
AGS 5: 1 Carrasco (ex-NLD Dokkum); 2 Van Straelen; 1
Caravan I; 2 Cessna U206 Stationair; 1 PA-31T Cheyenne II;
La Macha, 1 Stiglich (river survey vessel for the upper
1 PA-34 Seneca
Amazon)
TRG 4 IL-103
AH 4 (river hospital craft)
HELICOPTERS
AO 2 Noguera
MRH 7 Mi-17 Hip H
AOR 1 Mollendo
TPT 36: Heavy (3 Mi-26T Halo in store); Medium 23 Mi-
AORH 1 Tacna (ex-NLD Amsterdam)
171Sh; Light 13: 2 AW109K2; 9 PZL Mi-2 Hoplite; 2 R-44
AOT 2 Bayovar
TRG 5 F-28F
ATF 1
AIR DEFENCE
AWT 1 Caloyeras
SAM • Point-defence 9K36 Strela-3 (SA-14 Gremlin);
AXS 2: 1 Marte; 1 Union
9K310 Igla-1 (SA-16 Gimlet); 9K32 Strela-2 (SA-7 Grail)‡
GUNS 165 Naval Aviation ε800
SP 23mm 35 ZSU-23-4
FORCES BY ROLE
TOWED 23mm 130: 80 ZU-23-2; 50 ZU-23
MARITIME PATROL
1 sqn with Beech 200T; Bell 212 ASW (AB-212 ASW);
Navy 24,000 (incl 1,000 Coast Guard) F-27 Friendship; Fokker 60; SH-2G Super Seasprite; SH-
Commands: Pacific, Lake Titicaca, Amazon River 3D Sea King
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE TRANSPORT
SUBMARINES • TACTICAL • SSK 6: 1 flt with An-32B Cline; Cessna 206; Fokker 50
4 Angamos (GER T-209/1200) with 8 single 533mm TT TRAINING
with AEG SST-4 HWT (of which 1 in refit) 1 sqn with F-28F; T-34C Turbo Mentor
2 Islay (GER T-209/1100) with 8 single 533mm TT with TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
AEG SUT-264 HWT 1 (liaison) sqn with Bell 206B Jet Ranger II; Mi-8 Hip
Latin America and the Caribbean 429
PSOH 1 Carvajal (mod ITA Lupo) with 1 127mm gun to design and manufacture modern military equipment and Suri-
(capacity 1 Bell 212 (AB-212)/SH-3D Sea King) name has looked to its foreign military cooperation to improve not
PCC 8: 1 Ferré (ex-ROK Po Hang) with 1 76mm gun; 2 just trade training but also military maintenance capacity.
Río Cañete (ROK Tae Geuk); 5 Rio Nepena
PB 10: 6 Chicama (US Dauntless); 1 Río Chira; 3 Río
ACTIVE 1,840 (Army 1,400 Navy 240 Air 200)
Santa (All services form part of the army)
PBR 19: 1 Río Viru; 8 Parachique; 10 Zorritos
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT • AH 1 Puno ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
AIRCRAFT
TPT • Light 3: 1 DHC-6 Twin Otter; 2 F-27 Friendship
Army 1,400
Rondas Campesinas FORCES BY ROLE
Peasant self-defence force. Perhaps 7,000 rondas ‘gp’, up MANOEUVRE
to pl strength, some with small arms. Deployed mainly Mechanised
in emergency zone 1 mech cav sqn
Light
DEPLOYMENT 1 inf bn (4 coy)
COMBAT SUPPORT
CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC: UN • MINUSCA 209; 4
1 MP bn (coy)
obs; 1 engr coy
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO: UN •
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
MONUSCO 3; 8 obs
RECCE 6 EE-9 Cascavel
SOUTH SUDAN: UN • UNMISS 1; 3 obs APC • APC (W) 15 EE-11 Urutu
SUDAN: UN • UNAMID 1; 1 obs; UN • UNISFA 2 obs ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
RCL 106mm M40A1
Suriname SUR ARTILLERY • MOR 81mm 6
the Caribbean
COMMAND pendent power projection. Maintenance work is sometimes out-
1 mne HQ sourced to foreign companies, such as Chile’s ENAER.
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE ACTIVE 21,000 (Army 13,500 Navy 4,800 Air 2,700)
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 26 Paramilitary 1,400
PCO 1 Nelson II (ex-PRC)
PCC 6: 2 Point Lisas (Damen Fast Crew Supplier 5009); 4
Speyside (Damen Stan Patrol 5009) ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
PB 19: 2 Gasper Grande; 1 Matelot; 4 Plymouth; 4 Point; 6
Scarlet Ibis (Austal 30m); 2 Wasp; (1 Cascadura (SWE Army 13,500
Karlskrona 40m) non-operational) Uruguayan units are substandard size, mostly around
30%. Div are at most bde size, while bn are of reinforced
Air Wing 50 coy strength. Regts are also coy size, some bn size, with the
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE largest formation being the 2nd armd cav regt
AIRCRAFT FORCES BY ROLE
TPT • Light 2 SA-227 Metro III (C-26) COMMAND
HELICOPTERS 4 mil region/div HQ
MRH 2 AW139 MANOEUVRE
TPT • Light 1 S-76 Mechanised
2 armd regt
1 armd cav regt
5 mech cav regt
8 mech inf regt
Light
1 mot inf bn
5 inf bn
432 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
the Caribbean
in 2017 point to some internal stresses in the armed forces. Ven- Light
ezuela is almost completely isolated regionally, with frictions relat- 4 inf bn
ing to the humanitarian crisis leading to troop deployments near 1 ranger bn
the Colombia–Venezuela border. There are close ties with China COMBAT SUPPORT
and Russia. Caracas relies on both countries for procurements and 1 arty bn
technical support. The armed forces train regularly, with a recent 2 engr regt
increase in large-scale, civil–military cooperation. Venezuela has
also taken part in joint combined exercises with China, Cuba
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
and Russia. There is little logistics capability that would support ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
deployment abroad. Equipment is relatively modern and mainly MBT 173: 81 AMX-30V; 92 T-72B1
of Chinese and Russian manufacture, with advanced Su-30MKV LT TK 109: 31 AMX-13; 78 Scorpion-90
combat aircraft and S-300VM air-defence systems in the inven- RECCE 121: 42 Dragoon 300 LFV2; 79 V-100/V-150
tory. However, the economic crisis has seriously affected the gov- IFV 237: 123 BMP-3 (incl variants); 114 BTR-80A (incl
ernment’s ability to sustain its military expenditure; maintenance variants)
and further procurement may suffer as a consequence. Venezuela’s APC 81
defence industry is based on a series of small, state-owned com- APC (T) 45: 25 AMX-VCI; 12 AMX-PC (CP); 8 AMX-
panies, mainly focused on the production of small arms, ammuni- VCTB (Amb)
tion and explosives. Venezuela has no capability to design modern APC (W) 36 Dragoon 300
defence equipment, and local platform production is limited to ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
small coastal-patrol boats.
ARV 5: 3 AMX-30D; BREM-1; 2 Dragoon 300RV; Samson
ACTIVE 123,000 (Army 63,000 Navy 25,500 Air VLB Leguan
11,500 National Guard 23,000) Paramilitary 220,000 NBC VEHICLES 10 TPz-1 Fuchs NBC
Conscript liability 30 months selective, varies by region for ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
all services MSL • MANPATS IMI MAPATS
RCL 106mm 175 M40A1
RESERVE 8,000 (Army 8,000) GUNS • SP 76mm 75 M18 Hellcat
434 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
the Caribbean
FGA 23 Su-30MKV ARTILLERY • MOR 50 81mm
ATK 7 OV-10A Bronco PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS • PB 34: 12
EW 4: 2 Falcon 20DC; 2 SA-227 Metro III (C-26B) Protector; 12 Punta; 10 Rio Orinoco II
TKR 1 KC-137 AIRCRAFT
TPT 75: Medium 14: 5 C-130H Hercules (some in store); TPT • Light 34: 1 Beech 55 Baron; 1 Beech 80 Queen Air;
1 G-222; 8 Y-8; Light 56: 6 Beech 200 King Air; 2 Beech 1 Beech 90 King Air; 1 Beech 200C King Air; 3 Cessna
350 King Air; 10 Cessna 182N Skylane; 12 Cessna 206 152 Aerobat; 2 Cessna 172; 2 Cessna 402C; 4 Cessna
Stationair; 4 Cessna 208B Caravan; 1 Cessna 500 Citation U206 Stationair; 6 DA42 MPP; 1 IAI-201 Arava; 12 M-28
I; 3 Cessna 550 Citation II; 1 Cessna 551; 1 Cessna 750 Skytruck
Citation X; 2 Do-228-212; 1 Do-228-212NG; 11 Quad City TRG 3: 1 PZL 106 Kruk; 2 PLZ M2-6 Isquierka
Challenger II; 2 Short 360 Sherpa; PAX 5: 1 A319CJ; 1 B-737; HELICOPTERS
1 Falcon 20F; 2 Falcon 900 MRH 13: 8 Bell 412EP; 5 Mi-17V-5 Hip H
TRG 84: 24 DA40NG; 6 DA42VI; 18 EMB-312 Tucano*; 24 TPT • Light 19: 9 AS355F Ecureuil II; 4 AW109; 5 Bell
K-8W Karakorum*; 12 SF-260E 206B/L Jet Ranger/Long Ranger; 1 Bell 212 (AB 212);
HELICOPTERS TRG 5 F-280C
MRH 8 Mi-17 (Mi-17VS) Hip H
TPT 23: Medium 15: 3 AS332B Super Puma; 8 AS532 Paramilitary ε220,000
Cougar; 2 AS532UL Cougar; 2 Mi-172 (VIP); Light at least
Bolivarian National Militia ε220,000
8 Enstrom 480B
436 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Spanish company Indra and Colombian company Brazil announced the shortlist for its Tamandaré
Codaltec signed in June an agreement to develop an corvette programme in October, which will see four
air-defence system. The two companies will begin vessels acquired for US$1.5bn:
work on a command-and-control system that will zz Saab and Damen Schelde with Consub – SIGMA
integrate data from different sensors. It is unclear 10514 with the Saab 9LV combat-management
if the system will eventually include ground-based system;
air defence or will comprise an air-surveillance zz TKMS with Embraer and Oceana shipyard –
network. MEKO A100;
zz Leonardo and Fincantieri with Vard Promar
In July, Boeing and Brazil’s Embraer agreed a shipyard – a modification of the Barroso-class
deal that will see Boeing acquire through a new design;
US$4.75bn joint venture (JV) a controlling stake in zz Naval Group – Gowind 2500.
Embraer’s commercial-aircraft business. Embraer will
retain control of its defence business but the two The first series-production Embraer KC-390 was
companies are also discussing creating a JV for sales, flown on its maiden flight on 9 October. This allowed
support and manufacturing of Embraer’s KC-390 the aircraft to be awarded its civil certificate of air-
transport aircraft. worthiness. The first KC-390 for the Brazilian Air Force
is expected to be delivered in the first half of 2019 with
full operating capability to be achieved by the end of
the year.
▼ Figure 26 Latin America and the Caribbean: selected ongoing or completed procurement priorities in 2018
8
Number of Countries
The Caribbean
6 Mexico and Central America
Purchasing
0
s
**
Sy ry
ms
lic bma s
ips
ter ines
s
rs
Fri rs
Co tes
M t
V
els
d & l/A ry W *
Ro SW ing)
s
rs
Vs
in ts
f
nk
le
er
tte
ter
ra
CM
ra
e
pte
Ta g)
Vs
y W se
UA
ste
ts/ ol Sh
rri
uis
oy
Ta
iss
lC
irc
rve
or icop
r
n
AF
& rcra
tar As
ium lico
Ca
str
Ar
tro
Cr
vy
M
r
De
l
lt)
ea
l B Pat
He
e
Pa
ce
Ai
ile
H
au
S
/H
p
iss
en
op
ck
t
s
Co Ass
n
f
oa
eM
xe ro
De
ra
sp
itim xed
He
ba
s(
ed
T
an
tal
nc
vy
ou
m
tro
M
nd
/Tr
e
as
efe
ea
ibi
Pa
ft a
Co
/H
r-D
ph
/IS
ar
ra
ium
i-R
Am
W
Ai
rc
ult
AE
ed
Ai
M
M
*Data reflects the number of countries with equipment-procurement contracts either ongoing or completed in 2018. Data includes only procurement programmes for which a production contract
has been signed. The data does not include upgrade programmes.
**Armoured fighting vehicles not including main battle tanks ***Includes combat-capable training aircraft IISS
©
Latin America and the Caribbean 437
© IISS
Chapter One
Sixty years of The Military Balance
This 2019 edition of The Military Balance marks 60 Balance – contained information on just 15 states. The
years since the publication first appeared, in late 1959, tenth edition in 1968–69, now solely titled The Military
as a slim pamphlet of just 11 pages. The latest edition Balance (as it had been since the 1963–64 edition),
has been compiled by the IISS’s Defence and Military contained information on 59 states; in the 2019 book,
Analysis Programme, the Institute’s largest research the tally is at 171. As Sir Michael Howard has pointed
team with 14 permanent staff. That first volume was out, Alastair Buchan and his successors were ‘later to
produced single-handedly by Alastair Buchan, the lament that they had got themselves stuck with the
first Director of what was then called The Institute title The Military Balance, providing as it does so stark
for Strategic Studies. The Foreword stated that it was and conceptually misleading an idea of the complex
published ‘as a contribution to the growing concern nature of military power’. But, he continued, ‘stuck
that is developing throughout the world about the they are, and “MilBal” has become the Institute’s flag-
arms race’. It is apparent, from these early editions, ship’.
that the focus was very much on nuclear capabilities In some respects the increase in the number of
and missile systems. The rationale behind the first countries assessed in the book has reflected the inter-
pamphlet was that there would be considerable value nationalisation of the Institute, from the early 1960s
in collating published information ‘into one simple onwards, in terms of the composition of its Council,
comparative analysis […] in order to provide a firmer the scope of its research activity as well as its staffing.
basis, not only of the discussion of “the balance of The word ‘International’ was adopted as a prefix
terror”, but of the problems of disarmament’. by the organisation in the early 1970s. Not 20 years
It is also true that the appearance of that first ago, the editorial team for The Military Balance was
volume stemmed in part from concerns expressed mainly composed of former commissioned officers
to the Director by senior Western defence officials from the UK armed forces. Today we are an over-
about a lack of public understanding over the size whelmingly civilian and increasingly international
and nature of the Soviet military challenge to Europe. team. The way in which we display our data has
Indeed, the short paper Making Headway, The First also changed significantly over the years. Today, the
Five Years of the ISS said that ‘the responsible private book contains detailed lists of military organisations
citizen ... had little but occasional official statements subdivided according to role, while military equip-
and the sensational reports of newspapers to judge ment is broken down according to its type. In doing
whether, for instance, there was a “missile gap”, how this, we are mindful of the need to maintain catego-
strong the Russian army was, or what was the state of ries that can be compared between states, as well as
India’s defences’. the wish of the Institute’s Council in 1964 that The
Today, the problem is of a different character. Military Balance retain the compression of the original
There is a torrent of accessible information from edition, so making it easier to find information. This
a profusion of sources. But making sense of it all is also helps ensure that the book remains portable.
another matter. Indeed, for an audience that is reac- The 2019 edition may be heavier than the first, but it
quainting itself with the degree to which information remains a one-volume publication that can easily be
can be manipulated, there is still a place for sober, carried in an attaché case.
evidence-based and independent sources of informa- This is one of the features that continues to distin-
tion and analysis, like The Military Balance. guish The Military Balance from other publications in
the field. In deciding which information to prioritise
The book evolves in the book, we are mindful that we cannot accommo-
The amount of data in the book has significantly date the complete range of military systems operated
increased over the years. The first volume – called by states. We display data that we think is essen-
The Soviet Union and The NATO Powers, The Military tial to national military power. Naturally, this starts
10 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
with strategic systems, and then progresses through The Military Balance+
combat weapons systems and combat support equip- The launch, in early 2017, of the Military Balance+
ment. We are more selective on the latter and partic- interactive digital database started a new era not
ularly so when it comes to combat service support just in the way we present our defence information,
(such as logistics and transport) although, of course, but also in the way that it can be used. We created
we realise that these capacities are vital to armed a searchable system that allows users to query the
forces. And it means that some readers may disagree data for themselves and provides the option to down-
with us on our choices. load our defence data in spreadsheet form. This is
a significant change for our customers, who now
A comparable dataset no longer have to laboriously type our information
Another distinguishing feature, enabled by the into their own database; now they can download
book’s concision, is the capacity it provides to our information and integrate it in a fraction of the
compare data categories between country entries. time taken previously. The database also allows us to
Indeed, this quickly became one of its principal diverge from the focus on concision. We do not have
features, exemplified early on by its comparative to employ so many abbreviations online and have the
tables of strategic nuclear systems. The ability to ability to include more data categories without the
compare, over time, the same categories of organisa- restrictions imposed by a bound book. It also allows
tion and equipment (as well as defence economics) us to move away from an annual publication cycle.
data was helped by the introduction of formal data We will retain the printed book, but this will in time
categorisation. This function developed incremen- provide us with a platform to present perhaps more
tally, though for equipment it was greatly helped discrete datasets, as well as conduct more analysis of
by the public emergence of equipment definitions our information.
as part of the discussions over conventional arms
control in Europe. Importantly, these were then Assessing military power
used by the states that were party to these agree- In its early years, senior Institute staff were concerned
ments. The same could be said for the emergence of not just that The Military Balance remain concise, but
counting rules associated with strategic-arms-limi- that it remain a primarily quantitative publication.
tation agreements. Indeed, one of the reasons for the establishment of
Of course, because of the breadth of our data, even the complementary Strategic Survey in 1967 was that
developments like this did not meet all our needs. the Institute needed a publication where matters of
For instance, the equipment lists for arms-control defence policy could be analysed, allowing The Military
agreements might only contain definitions for the Balance to focus on quantitative assessments. But over
equipment within the scope of these agreements – so recent decades, we have again introduced into the
excluding a range of national military equipment. The book analysis of defence plans, and the regional secu-
Institute therefore has its own ways of more formally rity environments within which nations frame their
categorising military equipment, again to assist in the defence policies. This reflects the view that solely
process of comparing across countries. We publish examining equipment, and examining military capa-
information on these judgements in our ‘Explanatory bilities quantitatively, tells only part of the story of
Notes’. Sometimes, countries disagree with them and national military power. Understanding more about
tell us so. But we have to adopt a system that enables national defence policy is important too, as it gives
the comparison of equipment and forces between the analyst information about what a nation might
states. These comparative approaches remain valu- envisage as tasks for its armed forces. Policies can be
able. The Military Balance still publishes its table of used as guides against which to measure inventories
‘international comparisons of defence expenditure and procurement plans: are these, for instance, well
and military personnel’ as well as a range of other matched against the roles intended for armed forces?
comparative tables and charts. These days, govern- A range of other factors are also important in these
ments use our data in public forums for reasons more qualitative assessments. Operational experience
including its reliability and its accessibility; indeed, is one, as is robust military training, and we track in
because it is unclassified, governments may feel more our database information on key military exercises
comfortable publishing Military Balance data than undertaken by states as well as their deployments.
releasing their own. Also noteworthy is an understanding of the legisla-
Sixty years of The Military Balance 11
tive steps that countries need to take before they can New capabilities are emerging, like cyber power,
actually deploy their armed forces; it is easier for autonomous systems, robotics and more technologi-
some than others. We cover additional areas in our cally enabled systems, such as command-and-control
‘capability summaries’, such as a country’s alliance networks improved with artificial intelligence and
relations and its defence-industrial base. But these are machine learning. A key challenge for analysts, and
only indicators. Indeed, if The Military Balance was to certainly for us working with comparative data, is first
engage in more thoroughgoing qualitative studies, to begin understanding how to assess these. In recent
it might have to also compare between states factors years we have begun to look at proxies for making
including doctrine, organisation, training, materiel, judgements about military cyber power; for instance,
leadership and education, personnel, facilities and does a country have a military cyber organisation,
interoperability (collectively termed DOTMLPFI by or has it declared an offensive cyber capability? We
NATO), with the trade-offs between thoroughness are now engaged on a more thoroughgoing project
and concision that this would entail. to define metrics to measure cyber power. Of course,
a key problem we will face is that cyber power is not
Focusing on the future solely a military phenomenon. It is critical to military
That said, there are questions now over what areas of systems, but also vital to economic and energy secu-
military power we may look to assess, and to quan- rity, and much of the expertise may lie in the private
tify, so as to still generate useful comparative assess- sector. Nonetheless, our task is to identify categories
ments in future. Should we sharpen our focus on that the Institute can begin to assess, and a method-
aspects of ‘traditional’ post-Second World War mili- ology that it can apply in doing so.
tary power that are once more absorbing the attention As we gather our data, now and in the future,
of governments, such as strategic nuclear forces and we adhere to an established formula. The Institute is
manoeuvre warfare capabilities, at the expense of, independent and owes no allegiance to any govern-
say, systems useful in constabulary roles? Of course, ment. We still, each year, solicit comments from
an answer to the question ‘how important are these countries on the data we publish, and to this end we
weapons’ may depend in large part on the location in maintain lines of communication with ministries of
which you happen to be sitting when the question is defence and armed forces. These contacts allow us
posed. And the Institute is mindful of the interests of not just to solicit information, but also to engage in
its global membership and worldwide readership, as a dialogue about data points through the year. We
well as the reality that ‘non-traditional’ security chal- also regularly contact specialists outside govern-
lenges can fairly rapidly become more traditional. ment and we conduct continual open-source infor-
Whether to include some new weapons systems mation gathering. With the volume of information
may be seen as relatively clear-cut decisions – in time in the public domain growing near-exponentially,
we can perhaps expect hypersonic systems to begin this cuts two ways. For instance, increasing print and
featuring in aerospace inventories – though these online imagery is a valuable aid to the analyst, but
would still require clear methodological guidelines. its practical utility depends on judgements we make,
But these decisions are harder to make for dual-use including over veracity. However, the judgements we
systems. For instance, in the 1980s there were sugges- make are ours alone.
tions that we should include more on space-based From its inception, The Military Balance proved its
capabilities – the US Strategic Defense Initiative value. Its data was used as a key source by the media
was noted in mid-decade by an external analyst as a from the first editions, and over the years it has also
possible area of focus. For space, which has relatively been used by governments and officials compiling
recently emerged as a conflict domain, it is difficult their own defence publications. Examples include
to determine how relevant some civilian satellites Marshal Vasily Sokolovsky’s 1962 book Military
may be to military power. For example, armed forces Strategy, documents, speeches and publications by
may have access to bandwidth on civilian commu- ministries of defence including the UK Ministry of
nications satellites, but determining which satellites Defence and the US Department of Defense, testi-
are subject to these agreements may be problematic. mony to the US Congress, reports by other think tanks
They may also have access to remote-sensing satel- and even the 1980s Soviet propaganda pamphlets
lites. However, these judgements are more straight- entitled Whence the Threat to Peace, issued as a riposte
forward when it comes to early-warning satellites. to the Pentagon’s Soviet Military Power. In some cases,
12 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
of course, organisations will use our information aircraft (variants of the latter serving as China’s H-6
selectively. Selecting and collating the information bomber) and the U-2 and B-52. The current plan is
is not straightforward. In 1964, it was said that four for the B-52 to still be in service in 2050 (it first flew in
months of intensive work went into the production 1952, six years before the ISS was founded). Sherman
of the book. By 1968, this had grown to six to nine main battle tanks only disappeared from our data in
months. Now, production of the book and database is the last year, when we assessed that they were no
a year-round activity. longer in active Paraguayan service (three remain as
For many of those who work on and use our recovery vehicles in Mexico). At the same time, for the
data, the book is a mine of information. Equipment defence specialist the books offer a window on plans
has come and gone during these 60 years, such as that failed to carry through – the first edition notes
the F-111 and the SR-71, but careful examination of that ‘the supersonic TSR-2 will replace the Canberra
the information indicates that there are also signif- for tactical purposes’. Those who began producing
icant elements of continuity. For instance, some the book intended it to provide an authoritative basis
defence equipment has been in service throughout of accessible information on which debates around
the 60 years. This includes the Centurion, T-34, T-54 military affairs could be centred. We still retain that
and T-55 tanks and the MiG-21, Tu-95 and Tu-16 ambition.
Challenges in nuclear-arms control:
past and present
Nuclear-arms control is back at the centre of interna- This book defined the term to include ‘all the forms
tional-security debates. Although agreements related of military cooperation between potential enemies
to the control of arms and the conduct of warfare in the interest of reducing the likelihood of war, its
have existed for centuries, the modern concept of scope and violence if it occurs, and the political and
arms control emerged as a result of the scholarly economic costs of being prepared for it’. They also
debate at the dawn of the Cold War about how to highlighted how ‘common interest’ between adver-
avoid a future conflict, particularly one involving saries could lead to cooperation to avoid conflict,
nuclear weapons. The current group of treaties that as well as asserting that arms control could include
define arms control – conventional, nuclear and other reductions or increases in weapons – as long as it
‘weapons of mass destruction’ (WMD) – served the focused on establishing stability and reducing the
world well in managing the Cold War and the period incentive for either side to initiate conflict.
of relative peace that followed. Arms control was seen as a way not just to prevent
However, arms-control regimes have come under nuclear war, but also to manage the arms race and
increasing pressure since the late 1990s and are competition for new weapons systems, as well as a
now in a period of unprecedented crisis. Should the means to buy time in order to solve underlying polit-
Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty and ical conflicts. Setting a clearer context and meaning
New START collapse, the world may be without any for arms control and its adoption within national
bilateral nuclear-arms-control agreements between strategies helped policymakers and publics alike not
the two states with the largest nuclear arsenals – only to embrace arms control but also begin to find
Russia and the United States – for the first time since ways of implementing it.
the 1960s. The risk is that the absence of arms control
between these two powers may lead to an arms race The Cuban Missile Crisis focuses minds
with unpredictable consequences and instability that The US, USSR and UK had been discussing a ban
could lead to a new Cold War or potentially even to on testing since the late 1950s, but it was the Cuban
conflict. Missile Crisis in 1962 that gave the US and Soviet
political and military leadership the political will to
Defining terms embrace arms control, and particularly nuclear-arms
The US launched the first nuclear-arms-control effort, control, as a way to manage tensions and risks during
the Baruch Plan, in 1946, under which the US would the Cold War.
transfer control of its arsenal to the United Nations The first tentative steps towards limiting the
in exchange for a verifiable ban on nuclear weapons, nuclear-arms race came days after the end of the
to be followed by the elimination of the US nuclear Cuban Missile Crisis, with then Soviet premier Nikita
inventory. This proposal failed, not least because the Khrushchev’s proposals to limit nuclear risks. This led
Soviet Union was quickly developing its own nuclear to an agreement that established a direct communica-
arsenal. Early efforts towards disarmament (including tions link between Moscow and Washington in June
competing proposals throughout the 1950s and 1960s 1963 (the ‘hotline’ agreement) and the Partial Nuclear
in the Committee on Disarmament) failed largely Test Ban Treaty in August 1963, which limited tests
because they focused on eliminating the weapons, as by the Soviet Union, the United Kingdom and the US
though they were the cause of international conflicts, (but not China or France). The goodwill achieved led
rather than a symptom of them. Scholars therefore to the start of US–USSR talks on stopping the spread
sought a better approach. of nuclear weapons, first in space, resulting in the
The best definition of arms control to emerge Outer Space Treaty of January 1967, and then glob-
from the early thinking of Cold War theorists is by ally, resulting in a joint draft treaty by the US and
Thomas C. Schelling and Morton H. Halperin in USSR on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons
their seminal 1961 book, Strategy and Arms Control. (NPT) in August 1967. The NPT entered into force
14 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
in 1970, legally limiting the number of countries that shorter-range nuclear systems) to knock out NATO
could possess nuclear weapons. command-and-control systems and key airfields and
seaports in Europe and prevent the US and Canada
The golden age of Cold War arms control from bringing reinforcements from North America.
Early successes in US–USSR talks helped build This scenario would give Washington a stark choice
support among NATO members for arms control, after a first strike: to retaliate against Soviet targets
as expressed in the December 1967 Report of the and risk strikes on the continental US, or to ‘de-couple’
Council on the Future Tasks of the Alliance (known from Europe and allow the battlefield to be contained
as the Harmel Report). The Harmel Report defined only on the territory of European NATO and Warsaw
the original dual-track approach of deterrence and Pact states.
dialogue, which led directly to NATO’s so-called NATO reacted to the introduction of the SS-20 by
‘Reykjavik signal’ of 1968, which called for multi- reaching a second ‘dual-track’ decision in December
lateral nuclear- and conventional-arms-control talks 1979, declaring that, on the one hand, NATO would
with the Warsaw Pact, known as the Mutual and restore deterrence through basing a similar nuclear-
Balanced Force Reductions (MBFR). The Harmel weapon system in Europe – the Pershing II ground-
Report also led NATO to support the launch of the launched ballistic missile (GLBM) and BGM-109G
Conference on Security and Co-operation in Europe Gryphon ground-launched cruise missile (GLCM)
(CSCE), which led to the Helsinki process, resulting – thus eliminating any perceived Soviet first-
in the Helsinki Final Act of 1975 (which included strike advantage. On the other hand, NATO would
transparency over large-scale military exercises). In offer a route to reduce now-mutual risks through
parallel, bilateral US–USSR negotiations resulted in nuclear-arms control: specifically, a ban on ground-
three key agreements in May 1972: the Agreement launched missiles with a range between 1,000 kilo-
on the Prevention of Incidents On and Over the metres and 5,500 km in the European theatre. NATO
High Seas (INCSEA); the Strategic Arms Limitation member states met intensively from 1979 onwards
Talks (SALT); and the Anti-Ballistic Missile (ABM) to design and agree to the parameters of a treaty,
Treaty. This momentum also led to the negotiation which continued through the negotiations. Bilateral
and signature (but not ratification) of SALT II (1979). US–USSR talks, augmented by consultation among
Global efforts to address other WMD resulted in the NATO member states before and after each round
Biological and Toxin Weapons Convention (BTWC) of talks, began in 1981 but collapsed in 1983 with the
of 1972, which entered into force in 1975. deployment of the Pershing II ballistic-missile and
Gryphon cruise-missile systems in Europe. Like the
The SS-20 crisis and the INF Treaty SS-20, both of these systems were road-mobile and
Despite the progress on arms control, tensions solid-fuelled. However, following a pivotal summit
between the US and USSR increased through the between then US president Ronald Reagan and then
1970s. A notable escalation occurred with the Soviet Soviet premier Mikhail Gorbachev in Reykjavik in
introduction of a new, destabilising nuclear missile in 1986, both sides agreed to a global ban on Soviet and
Europe, the 15Zh45 (SS-20 Saber) in 1977. The SS-20 US intermediate-range ground-launched missiles
was a direct threat to stability because of its effective- and shorter-range systems. The INF Treaty, signed
ness as a first-strike weapon. Critically, it was road- in 1987, banned GLBMs and GLCMs with ranges
mobile and harder to strike than a fixed launcher. It between 1,000 km and 5,500 km (‘intermediate-range
was also solid-fuelled, and therefore ready to launch missiles’, according to the treaty text) and ‘shorter-
in minutes rather than the hours it took to prepare a range’ GLBMs and GLCMs with ranges between 500
liquid-fuelled rocket. The SS-20 also was highly accu- km and 1,000 km.
rate, with multiple warheads, unlike the 8K63 (SS-4
Sandal) and 8K65 (SS-5 Skean) missiles it replaced, Helsinki and the end of the Cold War
which required far higher-yield nuclear warheads to Meanwhile, through the CSCE process, the Helsinki
damage their targets reliably. Because of this, the SS-4 Final Act chapter on military transparency became
and SS-5 missiles were seen as retaliatory rather than the Stockholm Document of 1986, which contained
first-strike weapons. However, the introduction of the more extensive and mandatory military-transpar-
SS-20 led NATO allies to worry that the Soviet Union ency rules, especially over military exercises, known
intended to launch a first strike (including SS-20s and as Confidence- and Security-Building Measures. The
Challenges in nuclear-arms control: past and present 15
Stockholm Document was expanded and updated strategic missile systems. Then US president George
in 1990, renamed the Vienna Document, further W. Bush sought to introduce a new paradigm for
updated in 1992, 1994 and 1999, and is now known bilateral nuclear-arms control with Russia, submit-
as the Vienna Document 2011. The MBFR talks ended ting a short and simple draft of a politically binding
in 1989 without producing a treaty, but the wide- agreement to limit deployed systems. However,
ranging talks, which included discussion of nuclear Russia insisted the treaty be legally binding, and
weapons and aerial verification, resulted in the the result was the Strategic Offensive Reductions
Conventional Armed Forces in Europe (CFE) Treaty Treaty (SORT). SORT lacked verification, instead
in 1990. The aerial-verification regime was turned into requiring each side to declare that it had reduced
its own treaty, the Open Skies Treaty, which provides the total number of its operationally deployed stra-
the right to overfly all territory of each party (signed tegic nuclear warheads. SORT was superseded
in 1992, but did not enter into force until 2002). On the by the 2010 Treaty on Measures for the Further
bilateral track, success on the INF Treaty led to agree- Reduction and Limitation of Strategic Offensive
ment on START in 1991, which, along with the CFE Arms, known as New START. Russia and the US
Treaty, provided verifiable, transparent reductions in returned to a pattern of more complex agreements
the Cold War conventional and nuclear arsenals. that included verifiable elimination of nuclear
Enthusiasm for arms control and disarmament delivery systems and limits on strategic delivery
continued after the end of the Cold War, with the systems and deployed weapons that would reduce
US and USSR (later Russia) announcing unilateral numbers down to levels not seen since the late 1950s.
limits on short-range nuclear forces, known as the In February 2018, both parties announced they had
Presidential Nuclear Initiatives (PNI) of 1991 and reached the central limits of New START. However,
1992. A year later, Russia and the US subsequently the treaty did not limit MIRV-capable systems and,
agreed to ban multiple independently targetable with the new administration of President Donald
re-entry vehicles (MIRVs) in START II (which did not Trump, the US may be returning to the SORT
enter into force). Other successful arms-control efforts approach of simple but non-verifiable agreements,
included the ban on chemical weapons, known as instead of verifiable arms control. (For instance, John
the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC), which Bolton – now national security advisor to President
was signed in 1993 and entered into force in 1997. Trump – as long ago as 2010 wrote critically of New
Less successful was the call for a ban on the produc- START’s ‘myopic focus on Russian arms levels’ and
tion of fissile material, the proposed Fissile Material advocated greater flexibility over launchers.) Russia,
Cut-Off Treaty, which has been on the agenda of the in the meantime, rejected then US president Barack
UN Conference on Disarmament since 1995 without Obama’s offer of further reductions in strategic
leading to a treaty, and the Comprehensive Nuclear- nuclear weapons as proposed in his Berlin speech
Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT), which was signed in 1996, but of June 2013.
is still not in force. The Agreement on the Adaptation
of the CFE Treaty suffered a similar fate in 1999, with SS-20 crisis redux
the treaty signed but still not in force. Critics of arms Since then, the crisis of arms-control compliance has
control began to push back on the underlying concept worsened. Russia’s willingness to violate the INF
and framework (especially regarding the reliance on Treaty in pursuit of dual-capable, precision ground-
bilateral US–Russia treaties), while concerns over launched cruise missiles of short and intermediate
unaddressed non-compliance with existing agree- range, in the context of its pursuit of a broader set of
ments emerged in the context of a range of agree- strike capabilities, is of particular concern for stability.
ments, including the BTWC, CFE, CWC, INF, NPT Its introduction of the 9M729 (SSC-8 Screwdriver), a
and PNI. road-mobile, dual-capable GLCM with a range likely
greater than 2,000 km, has reintroduced the spectre of
A new form of arms control credible nuclear first strike to Europe for the first time
Discussion over the utility of arms control came to in a generation. At the very least, Russia’s unwilling-
the forefront of security debates with the US deci- ness to take decisive and transparent steps to allay
sion to withdraw from the ABM Treaty in 2002. any concerns about the system or, more specifi-
Russia retaliated by withdrawing its ratification of cally, to destroy it in a verifiable way, has unsettled
the START II Treaty and pursuing MIRV-capable European states.
Major landmarks in arms control, 1944–2017 16
1954 US nuclear weapons 1970 NPT entry into force 1990 CFE Treaty; Vienna 2010 New START Treaty
deployed in Europe Document
1972 Strategic Arms Limitation Talks 2017 Nuclear Weapon
1955 Warsaw Pact formed (SALT), Anti-Ballistic Missile 1991 Strategic Arms Reduction Ban Treaty signed
Treaty; Agreement on the Treaty (START) I signed
Prevention of Incidents on and
1992 Open Skies Treaty signed
over the High Seas, Biological
and Toxin Weapons Convention 1993 START II signed; Chemical
signed Weapons Convention
signed (1997 entry into
1974 Threshold Test Ban Treaty force)
1975 Helsinki Final Act
1995 NPT indefinite extension
1977 Russia deploys SS-20 missiles 1999 Adapted CFE Treaty signed;
1979 NATO dual-track decision; Comprehensive Nuclear
SALT II Test Ban Treaty signed
Challenges in nuclear-arms control: past and present 17
Instead, Russia has pursued counter-charges that missile technology, as other advanced systems suited
the US had considered settled in the 1990s, while to first-strike capabilities pass from drawing board
denying the existence of the system in bilateral talks to deployment, including long-range cruise missiles,
from 2013 to 2017. In response, first the Obama admin- hypersonic missiles and boost-glide systems.
istration and then the Trump administration sought One possible way forward was proposed by the
to increase political, military and economic pres- US and Russia in October 2007 in a joint statement
sure on Russia to return to compliance and maintain at the 62nd session of the UN General Assembly.
allied support (including NATO and Asian allies). In In the face of the proliferation of intermediate- and
December 2017, Russia admitted the existence of the shorter-range missiles, both sides proposed that addi-
system, but denied it was a treaty violation, though tional countries (especially China) could join a call
it gave no further explanation and made no effort to renounce ‘ground-launched ballistic and cruise
to resolve US concerns during 2018. As a result of missiles with ranges between 500 and 5,500 kilome-
Russia’s action, the US declared Russia in violation ters, leading to the destruction of any such missiles,
of the INF Treaty in July 2014 and has been seeking and the cessation of associated programs’. While this
support from allies for additional steps, while Russia proposal did not gain traction at the time, the spread
continues to deny it is in violation. On 4 December, of such systems – both nuclear-capable and conven-
the US said it had found Russia in ‘material breach’ tional – has grown and the potential threat they pose
of the treaty and that it would suspend its obligations has become clearer. (In addition, the current impasse
‘as a remedy effective in 60 days unless Russia returns over membership in the Missile Technology Control
to full and verifiable compliance’. Regime (MTCR), with Russia blocking applications
for new membership and China not yet permitted to
What’s next? join due to concerns over its export-control regime, has
With little prospect of a positive resolution of the chal- prevented the MTCR from fully achieving its aims.)
lenges facing the INF Treaty, nuclear-arms control is The joint 2007 proposal could even be expanded to
at a critical stage. If Russia continues to violate the INF include a ban on the development, production and
Treaty, the extension of New START, which expires in deployment of such systems, along with verifiable
2021, is hard to envision. Some in the Trump adminis- destruction provisions. It is likely that, to succeed
tration suggest that they could pursue another SORT- today, such an agreement would also have to involve
type agreement, but while that likely is not Russia’s air- and sea-launched systems. It could mean revis-
preference – Moscow arguably would prefer verifi- iting the idea – discussed as part of the original INF
cation, plus legal limitations – both sides may find Treaty proposals – of introducing regional limits on
that they currently have neither the funds nor the intermediate-range missile systems, rather than an
inclination to engage in a strategic nuclear-arms race. outright ban.
Both Moscow and Washington are already investing Other issues will need to be addressed too,
significant sums in nuclear-force modernisation, including shorter-range nuclear weapons and new
as they strive to reach their modernisation targets technical problems. The latter includes long-distance
within New START limits. However, both countries hypersonic weapons and the challenge they pose in
have been developing air- and sea-launched inter- compressing a defender’s decision space; the related
mediate-range missile systems for some time, and role of artificial intelligence in military decision-
ground-launched systems are more likely to join the making loops; lethal autonomous weapons; and
mix should the INF Treaty collapse. In addition, other how to (and whether it is possible to) deter cyber
states are developing and deploying such missile attacks (which could potentially target early-warning
systems, in particular China, with the majority of its or nuclear-command-and-control facilities). While
nuclear weapons delivered by intermediate-range arriving at the frameworks capable of managing
ground-launched systems. Indeed, it has been argued even one of these challenges could be problematic,
that technology and the proliferation of related know- surviving a new, more complex, less predictable and
how are passing the INF Treaty by. More countries more multipolar equivalent of the Cold War could be
are seeking precision-guided, dual-capable cruise- even more difficult.
Quantum computing and defence
The integration of quantum technologies currently irreversibly changes it, QKD offers a valuable means
represents one of the most anticipated advances of knowing if communications have been intercepted
for armed forces, yet their precise impact remains and examined (e.g., through a ‘man-in-the-middle’
difficult to predict. Although economical applica- attack). This is analogous to using tamper-resistant
tions and widespread use are still years away, there envelopes for sending letters via the standard postal
is little doubt that they will have disruptive effect network. QKD technology is applicable to existing
when they are employed at scale. In May 2018, the systems for encrypted communications, but until the
head of quantum computing at technology firm last few years it had faced implementation challenges
Intel suggested that ‘if 10 years from now we have a over long distances, thereby rendering it impractical
quantum computer with a few thousand qubits, that outside limited environments.
would certainly change the world in the same way the Quantum cryptanalysis refers to the specific
first microprocessor did’. (A qubit, or quantum bit, is application of quantum computing for decrypting
the basic unit of information in a quantum computer, encoded messages. Current encryption standards
analogous to a bit in a standard computer.) But while primarily rely upon mathematical algorithms for
quantum technology is expected to eventually have encoding data, which are effectively unbreakable in
far-reaching effects for military forces, intelligence any reasonable period of time. For example, US mili-
services and law-enforcement agencies, it is unclear tary-grade, Advanced Encryption Standard 256-bit
how far it will alter the traditional balance of power encryption would theoretically require billions
among states, or between states and non-state actors. of years for modern computers to crack the code
through brute-force methods (i.e., ‘trial-and-error’ of
Potential military applications all possible solutions). Quantum computers, however,
The field of quantum information science is giving will eventually be able to replace sequential trial-and-
rise to multiple new defence-related applications that error methods for processing such complex math-
are often grouped together under the single moniker ematical problems with alternate means to consider
‘quantum’, but which merit independent consider- many possibilities simultaneously. The promise
ation. Quantum key distribution (QKD), quantum of quantum cryptanalysis is so alluring that some
cryptanalysis and quantum sensing all promise to countries are already beginning to collect encrypted
significantly affect strategic security in differing foreign communications with the expectation that
ways. For example, QKD provides a near-term they will be able to extract valuable secrets from that
advantage for defenders to secure their communica- data in the future. When quantum cryptanalysis does
tions, while quantum cryptanalysis is an inherently become available, it will significantly affect interna-
offensive capability, though one that is maturing at tional relations by making broadcast (or intercepted)
a slower pace. Generalised quantum computing will communications open to decryption. For countries
offer many other possibilities, but they are too uncer- that extensively rely on encryption to secure mili-
tain at this stage to permit concerted analysis of their tary operations, diplomatic correspondence or other
second-order effects. sensitive data, this could be a watershed event.
The most common form of quantum encryption In September 2018, the United States published
is the transmission of cryptographic keys (i.e., QKD) its National Strategic Overview for Quantum
using quantum ‘superpositions’ of photons during Information Science, which defined quantum sensing
the initiation of secure communications sessions. In as ‘leveraging quantum mechanics to enhance the
keeping with Heisenberg’s uncertainty principle, the fundamental accuracy of measurements and/or
exact states of the photons are indeterminate until enabling new regimes or modalities for sensors and
they are isolated and measured – only then do they measurement’. Such new capabilities would afford
exhibit a specific state of polarisation. As the very clear military advantages. The United Kingdom’s
process of intercepting (or ‘eavesdropping’ on) a qubit Defence Science Expert Committee has highlighted
Quantum computing and defence 19
the potential importance of improved gravity photon to Earth in 2017. The Micius satellite has now
sensors (quantum gravimeters), which could detect successfully completed QKD from orbit to ground
moving masses under water, such as submarines. stations in Xinglong, China, and Graz, Austria. In
Superconducting magnetometers that use quantum 2017, China also established the first long-distance,
technology to measure miniscule changes in magnetic terrestrial quantum-communication link between
fields could also be used to locate enemy submarines, Beijing and Shanghai. These scientific achievements
while quantum radar could be used to detect even represent landmark initiatives that could secure
low-observable aircraft. As the UK Defence Science China’s government communications against foreign
and Technology Laboratory has said, ‘it is anticipated observation – at least until post-quantum crypt-
that new militarily disruptive technologies (e.g., analysis becomes a functional reality. The planned
novel communications or radar modalities) will be US$10-billion National Laboratory for Quantum
enabled’. Quantum technologies already form part of Information Sciences in Hefei, Anhui province, will
developments related to the miniaturisation of atomic lead the nation’s drive for quantum computing and
clocks, which are useful for position, navigation and sensing.
timing purposes. The US is another possible leader in the race to
Quantum computing will likely provide other realise quantum applications for defence. Since 2016,
disruptive applications, although it is too early in the government has sponsored over US$200 million
the research-and-development phase to foresee what in quantum research, and in 2018 the Department
inventions lie ahead or how friendly forces or adver- of Energy and the National Science Foundation
saries may leverage them. Quantum computing will committed another US$250m to support quantum
not entirely supplant classical computing methods sensing, computing and communications through
based on transistors and silicon microchips. Instead, two- to five-year grant awards. Among the armed
quantum computing should best be conceived of as forces, the US Army Research Office funds extensive
an alternative, complementary and even synergistic research in quantum computing, while the US Air
technology that will be able to solve some prob- Force sees it as transformative technology for infor-
lems that current computers cannot, but which will mation and space warfare. But even more relevant
most likely also be comparatively ineffective, or may be private-sector companies such as Google,
only marginally better, for solving other problems at IBM, Intel and Microsoft, which have been conducting
which current computers excel. quantum research for almost a decade. In the West,
they – along with the Canadian company D-Wave
National programmes Systems – are leading the development of quantum
Several nations are heavily investing in quantum computers that may run the quantum-enabled mili-
research to gain economic and military advantage. tary platforms of the future.
The dual-use nature of quantum computing means Collectively, European nations are also investing
that private companies and universities will also substantially and making significant advances. The
play key roles in inventing and adapting these new European Commission’s quantum-technologies flag-
technologies. In its March 2018 submission to the ship programme will be a large-scale research initia-
UK House of Commons Science and Technology tive in the order of €1bn (US$1.1bn) over a ten-year
Committee, the Institute of Physics asserted that ‘the period. It is intended to focus on four main areas
UK needs to convert its strong research base into of quantum technology: communication, compu-
commercial products, by deepening connections tation, simulation and sensing. In 2013, the UK
between academia and industry, and capitalising on government announced a five-year investment of
relevant industrial strengths’. The extent to which a ₤270m (US$422m) for its own National Quantum
nation-state can marshal resources to prioritise the Technologies Programme, which is intended
development of military applications may prove a to ‘create a coherent government, industry and
decisive edge in this new technological race. academic quantum technology community’, and
China was an early leader in quantum research quantum technologies were in late 2018 the subject
and development. In 2016, Beijing initiated an effort of a UK Parliamentary inquiry. French President
to achieve major breakthroughs in quantum tech- Emmanuel Macron signed a memorandum of
nologies by 2030, and that same year it launched the understanding with Australia’s then-prime minister
world’s first quantum satellite, which teleported a Malcolm Turnbull in May 2018 on a joint venture
20 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
between the two countries to develop and commer- it can perform before errors proliferate – affect the
cialise a quantum silicon integrated circuit. This joint true computational power that IBM researchers have
venture will combine the efforts of the Australian termed ‘quantum volume’. Intel shares the view that
company Silicon Quantum Computing and the quantum technologies are incredibly complex and
French research institute Commissariat à l’énergie will require significant time to perfect commercial
atomique et aux énergies alternatives. Finally, in applications.
September 2018, Germany announced new funding It is also worth considering what quantum tech-
for quantum-technologies research worth €650m nologies might mean for geopolitics. There are
(US$771m) for the period 2018–22. grounds for concern that the advent of quantum
Russia is also investing in quantum computing, technologies will only exacerbate the digital divide
at the Russian Quantum Center, but it has not among nations and increase security disparities. For
committed the same level of resources as other example, quantum cryptanalysis could theoretically
nations and remains behind China and the US. That be a great equaliser, but in reality it may only become
may partially correlate with the overall decline in available to wealthy, advanced countries who can
Russian scientific-research capacity since the 1990s. afford to operate the required assets. If a select
President Vladimir Putin has, however, reportedly handful of countries can both force transparency on
raised national spending on research and devel- their adversaries’ communications and safeguard
opment (R&D) to 1% of Russia’s gross domestic their own through QKD or post-quantum-encryp-
product, with R187bn (US$3bn) earmarked for funda- tion algorithms, then hegemonic relationships might
mental scientific R&D in 2018. Nonetheless, the recent persist. The same could hold true for massive data
breakthroughs in quantum information science have processing to deliver real-time intelligence and opera-
not been driven by Russian researchers, as is evident tional advantages to technically advanced states. This
from vocal US concerns about a growing ‘quantum potential new security dilemma was raised during
gap’ with China, without similar attention to threats the 4th European Cybersecurity Forum in Krakow,
from Russia in this field. Poland, in October 2018.
Conversely, the development and widespread
Quantum supremacy diffusion of quantum technologies might over time
The term ‘quantum supremacy’ refers to the ability reduce the comparative advantage of some powers.
of a quantum computer to perform tasks beyond If every government can secure its communications,
the capability of today’s most powerful conven- process intelligence data with heretofore-unprece-
tional supercomputers. Google announced a 72-qubit dented scale and speed, and detect foreign military
processor in 2018 – surpassing IBM’s record the assets in the air or under the sea, then a levelling effect
previous year of 50 qubits – and said that its new chip might be observed. All that can be certain at this stage
might achieve quantum supremacy within a year. But is that technical quantum supremacy is both inevi-
it is not just the number of qubits that matters; rather, table and close to hand, and that the disruptive effects
a combination of factors – including the ‘depth’ of of quantum technologies will likely lead countries to
a quantum circuit, or how many logical operations change their defence postures.
Chapter Two
Comparative defence statistics
Top 15 defence budgets 2018† US$bn
1. United States 2. China US$bn
3. Saudi Arabia 4. Russiaa
700
600
300
Note: US dollar totals are calculated using average market exchange rates for 2018, derived using IMF data. The relative position of countries will vary not only as a result of actual adjustments in defence spending
levels, but also due to exchange-rate fluctuations between domestic currencies and the US dollar. The use of average exchange rates reduces these fluctuations, but the effects of such movements can be significant
in a number of cases. ©IISS
11.0% 10.8% 10.1% 7.5% 5.9% 5.3% 4.7% 4.6% 4.3% 4.1% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 3.9% 3.8%
* Analysis only includes countries for which sufficient comparable data is available. Notable exceptions include Cuba, Eritrea, Libya, North Korea, Qatar, Syria and the UAE. ©IISS
Planned global defence expenditure by region 2018† Planned defence expenditure by country 2018†
Latin America
Latin America and
and the Caribbean, 3.6% Other NATO, 7.5%
the Caribbean
3.6% Sub-Saharan Africa Non-NATO Europe, 1.2%
Asia and 1.0%
Australasia
Other Eurasia, 0.5%
24.3%
Other Middle East
North America and North Africa, 5.8% United States
39.2% 38.1%
Other Asia, 5.8%
South Korea, 2.3%
Middle East Germany, 2.7%
and North Africa Japan, 2.8%
10.7% France, 3.2%
Sub-Saharan Africa United Kingdom, 3.3%
1.0% Europe China, 10.0%
Russia and Eurasia 16.9% India, 3.4% Russia Saudi
4.2% 3.7% Arabia
4.9%
Figures do not sum due to rounding effects ©IISS
† At current prices and exchange rates
22 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
26.8 26.6 25
40 25.3
% of defence budget
24.0
US$bn current
20
20.1 20.8
19.8
15 18.3
17.0 16.9 15
15.4 15.9
14.9
10
11.5 10
5 6.9 5
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©IISS
† At current prices and exchange rates. ‡ At constant 2010 prices and exchange rates.
Medium 1989 2000 2010 2018
Russia’s Aerospace Forces (VKS) have benefited from a decade of sustained investment
bomber Tu-22M3
allowing the delivery of new and upgraded combat aircraft and air-launched weapons. Tu-22M3M
This, however, has relied on designs already in development or service when the Soviet upgrade
Union collapsed; plans then for successor types of combat aircraft were abandoned in the
Tu-22M Upgraded variant Upgraded variant
early 1990s.
While upgrades of types already in service – such as the Su-27 Flanker – have belatedly Successor: Successor:
entered the inventory, all new designs were shelved. As of late 2018, the VKS is once again Sukhoi T-60S PAK DA
attempting to address those same requirements. Ambitions to introduce the Sukhoi Su-57
heavy fighter into service are yet to be realised, while other military-aircraft plans are
Cancelled programme Future requirement
being revised. A mix of budgetary constraints combined with overly optimistic development
schedules have combined to slow the introduction of the Su-57.
Heavy 1989 2000 2010 2018
Ambitions to acquire a new bomber to meet the PAK DA requirement also appear to have
fighter Su-27M (Su-35)
been revised, with the project delayed and the aircraft re-cast as a complement to the new Su-35S
Tu-160M2 variant of the Soviet-era Tu-160 Blackjack. upgrade
0 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 MiG-31 Upgraded variant Upgraded variant
Successor: Successor:
Soviet (VVS and PVO) and Russian Aerospace Forces (VKS), 1989–2018
© IISS
*1989 figure combines air-force and air-defence-force aircraft
24
The armies of the United States (from 2003), Russia (from team (BCT) designs are relatively light on fires and combat of Russian air capabilities. The new Chinese design appears
2008) and China (from 2017) have shifted from division- support. While subsequent revisions have added a third to be a compromise between the two, with more support
based structures to new brigade-centric organisations for manoeuvre battalion and another combat-engineer units than the US approach, but not as many as the Russian
their manoeuvre forces. Combat support and combat company, the latest iteration of the US armored BCT still has version, though there is possibly a higher headcount than
service-support units, previously held separately at only one battalion allocated to fire support, combat support either. In recent years there has been renewed attention in
divisional level, have been moved into combat brigades. For and combat service support, and no organic air defence. Russia and the West on potential high-intensity operations
Russia and the US, these changes were originally based on The equivalent Russian motor-rifle brigade, by contrast, and both Russia and the US have begun re-emphasising
a judgement that there was a reduced prospect of high- allocates more battalions to these roles, reflecting the division-level operations, Moscow going so far as to
intensity operations and, in the US case, on the ability to importance of ground-based fire support in Russian re-establish some previously downsized divisions. Whether
achieve air dominance. As a result, the US brigade combat doctrine and, perhaps, concerns over the relative weakness the Chinese will eventually follow suit remains to be seen.
7
9
Battalions 15
3,300
Reconnaissance Armoured Armoured Armoured Self-propelled Engineer/ Support 5,000
squadron battalion battalion infantry artillery combat-support battalion
Personnel 4,500
(bn sized) battalion battalion battalion
Fire/combat support Combat
87
China: Combined Arms Brigade (Heavy) service support
Brigade structures: China, Russia and the United States
100
Tanks 41
125
100
IFVs/APCs 129
Reconnaissance Tank Motor-rifle Motor-rifle Motor-rifle Self-propelled- Self-propelled- Multiple-rocket- Anti-tank Air-defence Air-defence Engineer Signals Maintenance Support
battalion battalion battalion battalion battalion artillery artillery launcher battalion battalion battalion battalion battalion battalion battalion
battalion battalion battalion
Fire/combat support Combat service support
© IISS
The US Navy brought into service the Aegis combat first Aegis-equipped warship, the cruiser USS developed their own systems. From 2005, China joined the
management system in the 1980s. Introduced after lengthy Ticonderoga, was commissioned in 1983. A further club, and now has Type-052C and Type-052D destroyers,
research and development, this was a step change in significant development took place in 1986 with the and will have Type-055 cruisers, though there may be
surface-ship anti-air-warfare (AAW) capabilities. Aegis introduction of the multiple-cell vertical launch system question marks over the capabilities of some of the
was developed in response to a significant increase in the (VLS) in place of trainable twin-arm missile launchers. combat systems involved. But while Asia has nearly
aircraft and anti-ship-missile threat, particularly that of Other navies followed suit, either by adopting Aegis or caught up with Europe in terms of numbers of these
saturation attack. Compared to existing systems, it developing phased-array/active electronically scanned platforms, and looks set to forge ahead, the United States
comprised fixed phased-array radar and an integrated radar systems and VLS. Japan was an early adopter of still fields more surface combatants with these
combat system, as well as better surface-to-air missiles. Aegis. A number of medium-sized European navies rapidly capabilities than all other operators combined. US and
This improved processing, reaction time and channels of made the step up in capability, either adopting Aegis or Japanese Aegis ships also have a ballistic-missile-
fire, and provided an extended engagement envelope. The parts of it, whereas France, Italy and the United Kingdom defence capability.
Denmark 3 Australia 1
2018: 87
France 1 2 1998: 5 2008: 4 2018: 5
China 2 15 Russia’s first platform with modern phased
Germany 3 3 array/VLS area-air-defence capability is the new
frigate Admiral Gorshkov, a system that has had
Italy 1 2 significant development delays. However, for some
India 3
time the Russian Navy has deployed a handful of
2008: 74 Netherlands 4 4
very large surface combatants with high-
Norway 5 5* performance SA-N-6 and SA-N-20 missiles, albeit
Japan 4 5 6 with more limited fire-control and combat systems.
Spain 4 5 These vessels are included here.
Selected AAW vessels: estimated available firepower VLS cells associated with advanced
AAW platforms
The US Navy’s Ticonderoga-class cruisers are the oldest Aegis- estimated 10,000–13,000 tonnes with 112 cells. US and Asian
equipped platforms, though they have been significantly updated. Their combatants in this class tend to have larger VLS magazines than their
Principal advanced anti-air-warfare surface combatants and operators, 1998–2018
replacement will be critical for the US Navy. South Korea’s KDD III European counterparts (including Australia’s Spanish-designed Hobart US (Ticonderoga/Arleigh Burke class)
Sejong class is the largest Aegis platform so far. China’s Type-052D class). However, the cells cannot be reloaded at sea, although the US
destroyers are about to be joined by the Type-055 cruisers, at an Navy is looking into this.
US: Ticonderoga class South Korea: KDD III China: Type-052D Australia: Hobart class France: Forbin class
10,000 tonnes FLD 11,000 tonnes FLD 7,500 tonnes FLD 6,300 tonnes FLD 7,050 tonnes FLD
122 VLS cells 80 (+48 ASW/LACM) VLS cells 64 VLS cells 48 VLS cells 48 VLS cells 8,720
Comparative defence statistics
864 China
(Type-052C/D)
25
© IISS
*Helge Ingstad, foundered 8 Nov 2018. Salvage doubtful. FLD: full-load displacement. AAW: the capability to engage airborne threats, including aircraft and missiles
26 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
ICBM (Launchers) (25 per unit) Bomber aircraft (25 per unit)
Cruis
70 193
334 139 23
400 157
19
Ballistic-missile nuclear-powered submarines (10 per unit)
4 4 1 10 4 14
Active personnel (100,000 per unit) Reserve personnel (100,000 per unit)
2,035,000 510,000
1,444,500 1,155,000
900,000
2,000,000
148,350 80,000
Attack
1,359,450 845,600
70
19
Armoured infantry fighting vehicles Main battle tanks
(1,000 per unit) (1,000 per unit)
5,060 5,800 50
627 200
3,100 3,565
6,221 3,110 Heavy/m
623 227
3,419 2,833
6,883 53
er unit)
Cruisers, destroyers and frigates Principal amphibious ships
193 (25 per unit) (25 per unit)
86
5
139 23
3
27
157 1
33
19 5
101
32
14
Tactical aircraft (500 per unit)
00 per unit)
1,932 1,146
250 191
,155,000
756 3,421
2,000,000
Attack helicopters (250 per unit) Heavy/medium transport helicopters
278 383 (500 per unit)
70 158
19 12
383 374
50 108 2,665
5,800
928
65
10 Heavy/medium transport aircraft Tanker and multi-role tanker/transport aircraft
(100 per unit) (100 per unit)
missile submarines
18 15 6 15 14
per unit) 85 48 37 178 47
530
54 682
19 6 13 Some 9
53
29 7 4 18 6 111
11
514
© IISS
28 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Chapter Three
North America
The 2018 Nuclear Posture Review committed to of delivery of replacement types. USAF chiefs are
nuclear modernisation, including development of low- advocating an expanded number of operational
yield warheads for SLBMs and, in the longer term, a squadrons: the target mentioned is 386 by 2030.
modern nuclear-armed sea-launched cruise missile. Any question of whether the Pentagon wanted to
Pentagon efforts to partner with Silicon Valley and tech- sustain two combat aircraft manufacturers (Lockheed
nology firms to accelerate innovation have met some Martin plus one other) appears to have been resolved
opposition from the sector, including refusal by Google with Boeing picking trainer, tanker UAV, and
staff to participate in the Project Maven AI initiative. helicopter orders that will help sustain its military
The US army is fielding specially trained Security Force business.
Assistance Brigades to provide trainers, advisors and The US Navy continues to try to balance rebuilding
mentors to partner other nations’ forces. It continues readiness with achieving early progress towards
to balance the requirements of ongoing missions with increasing platform numbers to achieve a 355-ship
the reorientation to traditional tasks, also improving battle force target.
its combat-training centres and hastening their After delays, Canada announced that a consortium
reorientation to high-end combat. led by Lockheed Martin (with the UK Type-26 design)
The US Air Force continues to face the challenge of was the preferred bidder for its Canadian Surface
an ageing inventory combined with the lower pace Combatant programme.
Lockheed Martin F-35 fleet numbers Boeing P-8A Poseidon fleet numbers
243
250 80 75
200
200 175 55
60
45
150 131
40 30
100 87
18
20
50
0 0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
0 0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
(aircraft carriers, cruisers, destroyers, frigates)
North America 29
North America
Armed forces data section 44 ►
Germany
37,950 Japan
53,900
Republic of Korea
28,500
Afghanistan
16,475
Kuwait
14,000
700 12
600
8
US$bn, constant 2010
Year-on-year % change
500
4
400
300 0
200 -4
100
-8
0
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
30 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
North America
first to restore readiness that had eroded under Budget a ‘bloody nose’ attack under consideration by the US
Control Act (BCA) 2011 spending caps. The US$33bn on North Korea alarmed both South Korea and Japan.
North America
shortfall identified in 2017 by Secretary of Defense Meanwhile, personal diplomacy by the president
James Mattis has been filled, mostly by Congress with North Korea and Russia left a trail of confusion
ignoring the administration’s reduction of Overseas about what he had agreed – North Korea maintains
Contingency Operations (OCO) funding. A Congress the US agreed to sign a peace treaty as a precursor
led by the president’s own party has been activist in to denuclearisation, while the White House maintains
foreign and defence policy to stay the president’s the opposite.
hand. Examples include continuing State Department Those insults and alarms have come despite
funding despite administration efforts to reduce it strenuous efforts by the departments of state and
by nearly 30%; supporting NATO in advance of the defense to sustain policy cooperation, and similarly
Brussels Summit; rejecting Russia’s request to ques- strenuous restraint by allies in consenting to give
tion US diplomats (which Trump had agreed with President Trump the policy successes he claims.
President Vladimir Putin to allow); and legislating The 2018 NATO summit produced policy outcomes
against the withdrawal of US troops from South Korea that could have been a significant success for the
or Europe without the secretary of defense’s approval. administration: renewed commitment by all allies to
increased defence spending; a new Atlantic Command,
Alliance relations headquartered in Norfolk, Virginia, to protect
The authors of the NSS have been commended for reinforcement routes and data cables in the Atlantic;
blunting the tone of President Trump’s ‘America and formal agreement on a force of 30 battalions, 30
First’ campaign speeches and producing a strategy air squadrons and 30 ships to be deployable within
document more amenable to sustaining existing rules, 30 days. (The US had, earlier in May, announced it
alliances and institutions. However, the president’s would reinstate its 2nd Fleet, focused on the Atlantic;
own views were unchanged, as the gap between the fleet had been disestablished in 2011.) President
his speech presenting the document and the NSS Trump, however, preferred friction with allies before
illustrated: ‘We have made clear that countries that his Helsinki summit with President Putin. Indeed,
are immensely wealthy should reimburse the United where the administration has made advances, this
States for the cost of defending them. This is a major has arguably been down to the work of government
departure from the past, but a fair and necessary one.’ departments. Examples include the DoD’s trilateral
While President Trump considers that he is cooperation with Finland and Sweden, intelligence-
‘strengthening even our strongest alliances’, other sharing arrangements with India and further
members of these alliances do not agree. NATO allies rotational deployments of US troops to Poland and
have been left reeling from their interactions with the the Baltic states.
president, who refers to their own defence spending Secretary of Defense Mattis, meanwhile, adroitly
as money owed to the US and seems not to consider worked with both parties in Congress and closely
as relevant the legacy of shared sacrifice in war. with allies. That task became more difficult with
Trump derailed the G7 meeting in June 2018, refusing the firing of Secretary of State Rex Tillerson and
to sign the communiqué and publicly denigrating National Security Advisor H.R. McMaster. Their
Canada’s Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. Trump replacements, Mike Pompeo and John Bolton, are
also seems to consider the European Union as much more closely aligned with the president’s views than
of a foe as China, at least in trade terms. Unilateral their predecessors and are reshaping their staffs in
US withdrawal from the Iranian nuclear deal – even similar directions, leaving the DoD less latitude for
after acknowledgement by the director of national independent policies. At the same time, President
intelligence and the secretaries of state and defense Trump appears to be growing in confidence about
that Iran was in compliance with the agreement – and his own judgement on national-security issues and,
the subsequent imposition of secondary sanctions on analysts understand, impatient at the legal, legislative
European firms, led Heiko Maas, the German foreign and bureaucratic processes that make the DoD less
minister, to suggest an international payments system responsive than he expects it to be. Examples include
independent of US influence. Trump’s announcement the Space Force, proposed as the sixth US military
that the US would withdraw from the INF Treaty also service, and Trump’s desire for a large military
unsettled Washington’s European allies. And talk of parade.
32 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
The incoherent policy atmosphere of the there were 20 rotations to these centres, including
Trump administration always held the prospect four for reserve components. According to General
for significant DoD changes, such as ending Milley’s testimony, these rotations are ‘focused on
military exercises on the Korean Peninsula or the high-end fight, replicating near-peer competitor
banning military service by transgender or non-US capabilities, including increased enemy lethality,
citizens, and corroding civil–military norms by degraded communications, persistent observation,
giving political speeches to military audiences or and a contested environment’.
associating the DoD with immigration policies. But The army is also balancing the demand to produce
administration-personnel appointments in 2018 ready units with high-end combat skills with the
increase the likelihood of White House activism and enduring missions in Afghanistan and elsewhere to
effectiveness in imposing the president’s political counter irregular adversaries. In February 2018, the
agenda on the Pentagon. army established and deployed its first Security Force
Assistance Brigade (SFAB) to Afghanistan. SFABs are
US Army designed to provide focused attention and expertise
The 2018 US NDS’s emphasis on inter-state strategic to the advisory mission. General Milley said that the
competition has led the US Army to continue its SFAB comprises ‘the chain of command of an infantry
refocus from counter-insurgency towards also brigade combat team from staff sergeant on up’. This
preparing for high-intensity combat against peer approach means conventional BCTs will no longer
competitors. The Fiscal Year (FY) 2017 NDAA need to be repurposed from their conventional-
allocated resources for this task, and the 2019 NDAA warfare focus. SFABs also serve as a hedge for
accelerates this trend. high-end missions, as they can be rapidly filled with
Readiness gains have been significant. Army Chief junior officers and soldiers to become a full infantry
of Staff General Mark Milley testified before the Senate BCT. The army plans to field a total of six SFABs,
Armed Services Committee on 12 April 2018 that including one in the National Guard.
the readiness of active army brigade combat teams Some 150,000 soldiers remain deployed in support
(BCTs) had increased from 30% a year before to 50% of US combatant commands. For the European
in May 2018. The army’s goal is to achieve 66% for the Deterrence Initiative (EDI), 1,500 additional soldiers
regular army and 33% for the reserve component by are planned join the 33,000 already in Europe by 2020.
2022. Readiness, in this context, means that the units This increase includes a field-artillery brigade head-
are fully staffed and equipped and immediately able quarters, two multiple-rocket-launcher battalions and
to conduct decisive operations if ordered. This status a short-range air-defence battalion. The 2019 NDAA
is validated by a rotation though one of the Combat continues to increase authorised army-personnel
Training Centers (CTCs). levels to support improved readiness and meet new
The army continues to improve the CTCs and missions. Active-duty end-strength is expected to
hasten their reorientation to high-end combat. In 2018, rise by 4,000 in FY2019 to 487,500 (the army’s goal is
500,000), while the National Guard and army reserve and Concepts; Combat Development; and Combat
will remain at 343,500 and 199,500 respectively. Systems. These are drawn principally from the AMC
North America
Army equipment programmes are also and TRADOC and include the Army Capabilities
accelerating, particularly plans to modernise Integration Center; the Capability Development and
Armored BCTs. The 2019 NDAA authorises a range Integration Centers and their battle labs, currently
of equipment for this purpose (see Table 1). part of the TRADOC Centers of Excellence (such
The army is also upgrading two BCT sets of Stryker as manoeuvre and fires); the TRADOC Analysis
vehicles to the latest version and Abrams tanks with the Center; the Research, Development and Engineering
Trophy active-protection system, a battle-tested Israeli Command; and the Army Materiel Systems Analysis
design. Nevertheless, these modernisation efforts are, Activity.
as Milley told the Senate Armed Services Committee, As a result, TRADOC is no longer responsible
upgrading ‘technologies and ideas that come out for building the future army. Instead, as the order
of the ‘60s and ‘70s’. Congress allocated additional announcing the creation of the AFC noted, ‘TRADOC
funds for modernisation programmes during the recruits, trains, and educates the Army’s Soldiers;
committee stages of the NDAA, particularly for develops leaders; supports training in units; develops
research, development, test and evaluation. doctrine; establishes standards; and builds the Army
by developing and integrating operational and
Addressing peer competitors functional concepts and organizational designs for
The army took several important decisions in the fielded force’.
2017–18 in a bid to close capability gaps with peer
competitors. In December 2017, it published ‘Multi- US Navy and US Coast Guard
Domain Battle: Evolution of Combined Arms for The US Navy (USN) spent 2018 dealing with issues
the 21st Century: 2025–2040’, since renamed ‘Multi- including the continuing fallout from the ship
Domain Operations’. This is the service’s evolving collisions in the western Pacific in 2017; the debate
concept for how it intends to seize the advantage over how – and how quickly – to achieve the target
from potential adversaries and restore a credible of a 355-ship fleet; and the beginnings of a change in
conventional deterrent and war-fighting capability posture arising from the NDS’s reference to the return
against peer competitors. of great-power competition.
Addressing peer-competitor challenges has Multiple senior officers, chiefly based in the western
spurred the army to prioritise modernisation efforts. Pacific, left their posts in the wake of the collisions.
In October 2017, it created eight cross-functional teams Investigations identified some specific and systemic
to address its most important capability challenges: failures. A particular problem among forward-
long-range precision fires; next-generation combat deployed surface forces in the western Pacific was
vehicles; future vertical lift; network command, that training and readiness standards were affected
control, communication and intelligence; assured by the demands of a growing operational tempo.
positioning, navigation and timing; air and missile While the lessons identified have focused particularly
defence; soldier lethality; and the synthetic training on surface naval forces in the Pacific, many are seen to
environment. apply to other parts of the surface navy.
In November 2017, the army created an Army Some recommendations have proved
Modernization Task Force, which culminated in June contentious – such as consolidating force-generation
2018 with the establishment of US Army Futures responsibilities, including for the Pacific, under Fleet
Command (AFC), the most significant reorganisation Forces Command in Norfolk, Virginia. The challenge
of the service since the creation of the Training and is that operational demands are, if anything,
Doctrine Command (TRADOC) in the 1970s. AFC increasing, and thereby sharpening the dilemma over
began operations on 1 July. how to restore readiness levels while also seeking to
grow the fleet.
Army Futures Command As if to underline the operational tempo, in May
AFC is the army’s fourth four-star command, joining 2018 the USN carried out its first two-ship freedom-
TRADOC, US Army Forces Command and US Army of-navigation operation in its recent series of such
Materiel Command (AMC). Based in Austin, Texas, missions in the South China Sea, and a two-destroyer
AFC has three subordinate organisations: Futures transit of the Taiwan Strait in July. At the same
34 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
time, mechanical problems sidelined two major the navy is looking to reshape its posture to move
amphibious ships that were due to participate in the away from inflexible standing commitments in order
2018 Rim of the Pacific (RIMPAC) exercise, an indicator to prepare for more high-end operations. Another
of readiness challenges in the amphibious force. was the re-establishment of the 2nd Fleet to refocus on
Meanwhile, the discussion continues over the delivering naval capability across the North Atlantic.
target for a 355-ship fleet, including over whether it The 2nd Fleet’s area of operations will extend
is even an appropriate goal. There is also pressure into the Arctic, an area of increased significance
from the navy, Congress and defence companies over also for the US Coast Guard. In March 2016, the
how best to achieve early results in terms of growing navy and coastguard issued a request for proposals
numbers and capability. Some estimates have for the design and construction of up to three new
suggested that reaching the 355-ship goal could take heavy icebreakers. The coastguard was also due to
until 2050, unless more urgent approaches are found. commission a seventh new Legend-class national-
Strategies proposed have included modernising security cutter as Congress continued to debate
and extending the lives of current platforms – for adding numbers to the inventory. Originally intended
example, keeping Arleigh Burke-class destroyers in to be a class of eight ships, Congress has approved
service for at least 45 years – and accelerating aircraft- funding for 11, and has been considering adding
carrier and submarine procurement schedules. At the a twelfth. The coastguard is also trying to balance
same time, the navy has been preparing a new force- requirements for smaller offshore-patrol cutters and
structure assessment that could modify the target fast-response cutters as it seeks to recapitalise its fleet.
fleet size, though this depends on new estimates of
the likely requirement for key platforms, such as US Air Force
submarines; the likely impact on the capabilities of The US Air Force (USAF) has for the better part of this
new programmes like the FFG(X) next-generation decade been focused on the challenge from current
frigate; as well as, possibly, a new squeeze on funding and emerging competitors, while at the same time
in the coming years. maintaining a commitment to counter-insurgency
The USN has looked to fill capability gaps in and counter-terrorism operations. Its problem is not
response to an increasingly contested maritime space. that China is now emerging as a major aerospace
It chose the Norwegian-designed Naval Strike Missile power, which it had anticipated, but that Russia is
to fulfil its requirement for an over-the-horizon anti- attempting to reclaim its great-power status. The
ship weapon for the Littoral Combat Ship, while the USAF again has to plan for European contingencies
firing of a submarine-launched Harpoon anti-ship in parallel to the Indo-Pacific. Air Force Secretary
missile by the USS Olympia during RIMPAC – the first Heather Wilson has said that ‘the Air Force is too
such launch from a US submarine in more than two small for what the nation is asking us to do’.
decades – signalled the likely return of the weapon Moreover, the air force does not have time to
and capability to the US inventory. draw breath as it moves to address the deteriorating
In April, there was no fleet carrier in the Middle security environment, nor can it rely solely on over-
East region when USN forces launched Tomahawk matching the technology of a potential peer or near-
cruise-missile strikes on Syrian targets following peer adversary. The absolute gap between the US and
an alleged chemical-weapons attack by the Assad China and Russia continues to close. Both are close
regime. This highlights a situation that seems set to to introducing fifth-generation combat aircraft, while
become increasingly regular as the navy adopts a China might begin to field a bomber aircraft with
more dynamic deployment model, in part to increase a reduced radar signature in the second half of the
tactical unpredictability. Indeed, the navy is likely next decade. Beijing and Moscow are also pursuing
to rely increasingly on allies and the use of big-deck advanced guided weapons.
amphibious ships to provide limited fixed-wing Sustained combat operations are placing stress on
naval-aviation capabilities to supplement its carriers. the air force. William Roper, then air-force assistant
The carrier USS Harry S. Truman, which might secretary, said in March 2018 that ‘cost-effective
normally have been expected to deploy to the Middle modernization is a top Air Force priority, and the
East, remained instead in the Mediterranean and need for it has never been more pressing. Twenty-six
North Atlantic for a shortened period of three months years of continuous combat operations has done more
at sea. This was one of the clearest examples of how than just take a toll on Airmen and equipment; it has
The Lockheed Martin F-35 will, if all current plans are met, become the most Radar band
numerous combat aircraft among NATO states. In service currently with the sections on wings
US and Israeli air forces, the aircraft was in 2018 used for the first time in
combat operations. Nonetheless, it has had a troubled development history,
and as the Pentagon’s largest procurement has often been criticised. While Radar-warning receiver antennas
often publicly associated with ‘stealth’, the aircraft’s integrated sensor suite Distributed
– covering radar, electro-optical and electronic-warfare systems – is as aperture
important as the aircraft’s signature management. Indeed, in parts of the system (DAS)
flight envelope the F-35 has only relatively modest performance for a
multi-role combat aircraft. Proponents say that this misses the point, and the
information and domain-awareness superiority provided by the aircraft’s AESA radar Electro-optical targeting
integrated sensor suite will allow it to prevail in combat. But the aircraft’s system (EOTS)/infrared
long development has meant that some of its electro-optical systems already search and track (IRST)
require upgrades to address component obsolescence.
© IISS
North America
36 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
allowed the national security environment to change programme at the end of 2018, and the first aircraft are
while our time, talent, and treasure were otherwise meant to begin entering the inventory in the second
engaged.’ That said, it also provided the USAF with half of the 2020s. This aggressive schedule continues
greater operational experience than China or Russia. to suggest that the still-classified detailed design may
The USAF is operating combat-aircraft types for be well progressed. The air force’s bomber road map
longer, and at a higher rate of use, than expected. sees the B-2 leave the inventory by 2032, with the
This is the cumulative result of funding constraints, B-1B following by 2036. The B-52H Stratofortress will
development delays, shifting priorities, and a more remain in service until the 2050s, supplementing the
demanding and unpredictable security environment. planned 100-plus B-21s.
Legacy tactical fleets are being retained for longer Critical to the B-52H in the nuclear-deterrent role
than previously planned. The F-15E Strike Eagle is is the Long-range Stand-off (LRSO) cruise missile,
now expected to remain in the inventory until 2040, which will replace the AGM-86 nuclear-armed
while the last F-16C/D Fighting Falcons might not be cruise missile. Lockheed Martin and Raytheon
withdrawn until almost 2050. The average age of an are developing designs for the LRSO – which is
aircraft in the air force’s tactical combat fleet is 25 associated with the AGM-180/181 designation – under
years. Stresses on people and aircraft, and changing technology-maturation and risk-reduction contracts.
security challenges, have led the air-force hierarchy Performance characteristics of the LRSO
to advocate an expanded number of operational requirement have not been made public, though
squadrons. The ‘air force we need’, said Wilson in the air force has been more forthcoming about two
September, ‘has 386 operational squadrons by 2030’. high-speed-weapons projects, both being developed
by Lockheed Martin – the AGM-183A Air-launched
Modernisation priorities Rapid Response Weapon (ARRW) and the Hypersonic
The workhorse of the future fighter fleet, the F-35A Conventional Strike Weapon (HCSW). The USAF’s
Lightning II, entered operational squadron service in renewed and public activity in the hypersonic domain
2017, and the air force plans to buy 258 aircraft between is in part a response to Chinese and Russian pursuit
2019 and 2024. Development concerns appear to have of such technology. Meanwhile, the air-launched
been for the most part overcome, while the aircraft’s Hypersonic Air-breathing Weapon Concept (HAWC)
unit cost is also reducing. The cost for the low-rate is also being pursued by the air force. Other notable
initial production (LRIP) 10 batch was US$94.3 announcements in the year included the selection of
million, and this is expected to be cut further in LRIP a Boeing–SAAB team as the preferred bidder for the
11. That said, the USAF and other F-35 customers T-X trainer contract – giving Boeing a continuing stake
were during the course of 2018 increasingly worried in the design and manufacture of combat-capable
by support costs. USAF Chief of Staff General David fixed-wing aircraft – and the firm’s contract-win,
Goldfein said he was ‘concerned’ about the issue. alongside Leonardo, in the programme to replace
The risk is that greater-than-anticipated sustainment the UH-1N with the MH-139 in the liaison role for
costs over the life of the programme would affect the intercontinental-ballistic-missile personnel.
planned procurement budget. The USAF is also having to navigate President
As of September 2018, the air force planned to Trump’s demand that an independent Space Force be
receive its first 18 Boeing KC-46A Pegasus tanker set up, and the implications of this for the air force’s
aircraft by the end of April 2019, 20 months later Space Command. The president’s idea to create a
than originally planned. Development problems space service has not met with universal approval,
with some of the aircraft’s systems continued to be with some opponents arguing it is a distraction.
an issue during 2018. The air force intends to buy 179
KC-46As, with the type being used to first replace the DEFENCE ECONOMICS
McDonnell Douglas KC-10A Extender, 59 of which
remain in service. The FY2019 budget for national-defence (discretionary
The air force’s third procurement priority is the 050 budget authority) spending totalled US$716
Northrop Grumman B-21 Raider low-observable billion. This funding breaks down into US$617.1bn in
bomber. This will replace the B-2 Spirit and the base spending for the DoD, augmented by US$69bn
B-1B Lancer in the nuclear and conventional roles in OCO funding. Of the remainder, US$21.9bn is
respectively. A critical design review was due for the requested for atomic-energy defence activities,
North America 37
North America
3.77
principally counter-terrorism operations conducted 4
3.44 3.28 3.17
by the Federal Bureau of Investigation. 3.07 3.14
Discretionary 050 budget authority is the most 3
% of GDP
commonly cited measure of US defence spending.
2
It is the value classified as ‘national defense’ for the
purposes of the spending caps instituted by the BCA
1
of 2011, though the OCO account is exempt from
these caps. The discretionary 050 budget authority
0
request excludes US$10.8bn in mandatory defence 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
spending, such as concurrent-receipt military
[1] Figures refer to the National Defense (050) Budget Function (Outlays) as a % of GDP
retirement benefits; US$5.3bn in discretionary Foreign
Military Financing (FMF) programmes managed by ▲ Figure 3 US defence expenditure as % of GDP1
the State Department; US$11.7bn of discretionary
and mandatory spending for the US Coast Guard
(which operates under the Department of Homeland
Security); and US$193bn for discretionary and outlays between 1 October 2018 and 30 September
mandatory veterans’ benefits and services. 2019, if spent according to plan. The IISS uses annual
Budget authority is distinct from annual federal outlays for its defence-budget figures.
outlays in that it authorises some spending for later The DoD component of the 050 spending request
years. The 050 discretionary and mandatory budget breaks down as follows: US$182bn for the US Army,
requests for FY2019 would result in US$688.9bn in US$194.1bn for the US Navy and US Marine Corps,
Table 2 US National Defense Budget Function1 and other selected budgets2 1999, 2009–19
US$ in National Atomic Other Total National Defense Department Department Total Total
billions, Defense Energy Defense of of Federal Federal
current Budget Defense Activities Homeland Veterans Government Budget
year Function Activities Security Affairs Outlays Surplus/
dollars Deficit
Discretionary
FY BA Outlay BA BA BA BA Outlay BA BA
1999 278.4 261.2 12.4 1.4 292.2 288.3 274.8 N/A 44.1 1,701.8 125.6
2009 667.5 636.7 23.0 7.1 697.6 694.8 661.0 46.0 96.9 3,517.7 -1,412.7
2010 695.6 666.7 18.2 7.3 721.2 714.1 693.5 45.4 124.3 3,457.1 -1,294.4
2011 691.5 678.1 18.5 7.0 717.0 710.1 705.6 41.6 122.8 3,603.1 -1,299.6
2012 655.4 650.9 18.3 7.7 681.4 669.6 677.9 45.9 124.0 3,536.9 -1,087.0
2013 585.2 607.8 17.5 7.4 610.2 600.4 633.4 61.9 136.0 3,454.6 -679.5
2014 595.7 577.9 18.4 8.2 622.3 606.2 603.5 44.1 165.7 3,506.1 -484.6
2015 570.9 562.5 19.0 8.5 598.4 585.9 589.7 45.3 160.5 3,688.4 -438.5
2016 595.7 565.4 20.1 8.3 624.1 606.9 593.4 46.0 163.3 3,852.6 -584.7
2017 626.2 568.9 21.4 8.7 656.3 634.1 598.7 62.3 178.8 3,981.6 -665.4
2018* 652.9 612.5 21.9 8.4 683.2 674.6 643.3 73.8 184.2 4,173.0 -832.6
2019* 696.1 656.9 23.1 8.6 726.8 716.0 688.6 51.0 192.7 4,406.7 -984.4
Notes Selective Service System). It does not include 2
Early in each calendar year, the US government
FY = Fiscal Year (1 October–30 September) funding for International Security Assistance presents its defence budget to Congress for
* (request) (under International Affairs), the Veterans the next fiscal year, which begins on 1 October.
Administration, the US Coast Guard (Department The government also presents its Future Years
1
The National Defense Budget Function of Homeland Security), nor for the National Defense Program (FYDP), which covers the next
subsumes funding for the DoD, the Department Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA). fiscal year plus the following five. Until approved
of Energy Atomic Energy Defense Activities Funding for civil projects administered by the by Congress, the budget is called the Budget
and some smaller support agencies (including DoD is excluded from the figures cited here. Request; after approval, it becomes the Budget
Federal Emergency Management and Authority (BA).
38 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
US$194.2bn for the air force and US$115.8bn for respectively – an increase of US$165bn. Along with
defence-wide activities. The army receives nearly half OCO spending and a series of additional smaller
of all OCO, while the air force is allocated one-quarter, emergency-spending requests owing to North
and the remainder is more or less evenly divided Korean provocations and hurricane relief, Congress
between the navy and defence-wide activities. The appropriated a total of US$700.9bn in discretionary
distributions of both base and OCO spending by 050 budget authority for 2018. This figure was above
department are typical of recent years. the 2018 budget request, but in line with unofficial
By functional category, the DoD funding request top-line figures advanced by the House and Senate
for 2019 equates to US$283.5bn for operations and Armed Services committees in late 2016 and early
maintenance, US$152.9bn for military personnel, 2017. As such, Congress was the primary driving
US$144.3bn for procurement, US$92.4bn for research, force behind the defence-budget increases.
development, test and evaluation (RDT&E), US$9.8bn Unusually, the president’s 2019 defence-budget
for military construction, US$1.6bn for family housing, request was released before appropriations for
and US$1.6bn for revolving and management funds. FY2018 were fully known. The final appropriation
Relative to FY2018-enacted appropriations, this for FY2018 did not occur until 23 March 2018, about a
represents a 2.3% decline in nominal procurement month after the release of the FY2019 request and 175
spending and a 4.8% increase to military personnel. days into FY2018. White House and Pentagon officials
There are nominal increases to both the operations and based their 2019 request on the two-year BBA18 deal
maintenance and RDT&E accounts. Each is less than a reached earlier in the year by Congress. BBA18 raised
percentage point above inflation, which is estimated spending caps on defence and non-defence spending
by the Congressional Budget Office at 2.2% in FY2018 to pave the way for 2018 appropriations and the 2019
and 2.0% in FY2019. Using enacted appropriations as request.
a baseline better reflects congressional involvement in
the budget process. Force structure
The final 2018 defence appropriations added 8,500
Two-year budget deal to amend the BCA active-duty military personnel above the FY2018
Annual 050 defence-budget growth from 2018 to request: 7,500 for the army and 1,000 for the marine
2019 was 2.1% in nominal terms, or roughly pacing corps. The 2019 budget requests a further 15,600
inflation, which means that there has been no real active-duty personnel from 2018 levels: 4,000 soldiers,
increase in buying power. The 2018 Bipartisan Budget 7,500 sailors, 4,000 airmen and 100 marines. The pay
Act (BBA18) essentially reset the floor of base defence raise for 2018 was 2.4%, and the requested pay raise
spending in 2018. This led to 10.6% growth in enacted for 2019 is 2.6%, the largest in nine fiscal years.
appropriations from 2017 to 2018 before allowing the While the 2019 NDAA resources the 2019
2019 budget to grow with inflation from that new military-personnel request completely, congressional
spending floor. Taken together, the 2018 and 2019 appropriators, who actually allocate the spending,
budgets represent a US$165bn increase above BCA only funded about 7,000 of the 15,600 personnel
spending caps for 050 discretionary budget authority requested to instead fund modernisation priorities. A
in those two years. In FY2019, combined base and similar approach was adopted by the Senate in their
OCO discretionary 050 budget authority will be the draft NDAA, but abandoned in the final law (P.L.
highest since 2011, when adjusted for inflation. 115-232, signed by the president on 13 August 2018).
How did these higher budgets transpire? President Most of this bolstered end-strength will address
Donald Trump and the DoD leadership requested combat-readiness shortfalls by restoring ground
US$603bn in base discretionary national-defence units and naval-vessel crews to optimal strengths,
spending in FY2018, far in excess of the US$549bn and by addressing the air force’s shortages in pilots
spending cap for that year. However, this is typical of and maintenance personnel. In FY2019, the army will
budget requests after passage of the BCA: the Obama continue to stand up its Security Force Assistance
administration similarly submitted requests in excess Brigades. The air force is adding a net of one active
of the spending caps for discretionary spending fighter squadron to its total force. The Department
each year. On 9 February 2018, Congress passed of the Navy projects no changes to marine-corps
the BBA18, which raised the base defence-spending force structure and the addition of seven new active
caps to US$629bn and US$647bn in 2018 and 2019, warships.
North America 39
The 2019 defence-budget request also includes for 2019 that was included in last year’s budget
end-strength projections out to 2023. The navy and request. Programmes with notable decreases include
North America
army would like to grow by 9,500 personnel each the request for nine F-35C Joint Strike Fighters (down
(active and reserve) above the FY2019 request, while from ten in FY2018), 20 F-35Bs (down from 24), four
the air force would like to add 11,400 and the marines KC-130J tanker/transport aircraft (down from six) and
just 300. These levels suggest few major force- seven V-22 Osprey tilt-rotor aircraft (down from 14).
structure changes in the near future. To use the army Conversely, the procurement picture for the
as an example, the projected active force of 495,500 marines is relatively positive, with notable additions
in FY2023 would be just over the troop levels in the including US$191m for communications equipment
last full year of the Obama presidency, but far below and an extra US$94m to procure new HIMARS rocket
President Trump’s campaign promise of a 540,000- artillery systems.
person active army. The army in late 2017 unveiled its ‘big six’
modernisation priorities: long-range precision fires;
Modernisation and the National Defense next-generation combat vehicles; future vertical
Strategy lift; networks and communications/intelligence,
The 2019 defence budget is the first to implement the surveillance and reconnaissance; air and missile
precepts of the new NDS, released in January 2018. defence; and soldier lethality. The service has
Pursuant to the strategy’s reorientation of threats, the reallocated over 80% of its science and technology
character of the budget suggests the DoD is pursuing funding to support these, although this encompasses
a capability-based build-up rather than a capacity- just 22% of army RDT&E, or US$2.4bn dollars.
driven one. Force structure will remain more or While the army pursues new equipment, it
less steady, and modernisation will concentrate on is slowing procurement of legacy systems. After
developing next-generation systems. expanded helicopter purchases in 2018, aviation-
Navy shipbuilding is a prime example. Congress procurement funding is down by more than 30% in
appropriated 14 ships in 2018 and the White House the 2019 request. Nonetheless, upgrades continue
requested ten more in FY2019 (see Table 3). Congress unabated. More Abrams tanks have been slated for
ended up adding two Littoral Combat Ships, an the Abrams improvement programme, and the 2019
Expeditionary Fast Transport Vessel and a cable ship, request funds enough commercial off-the-shelf active
as well as funds for the future procurement of another protection systems to outfit 261 tanks (enough for three
destroyer and two amphibious ships. But despite plans brigades). And procurement of the new armoured
to sustain similar production rates for the next few personnel carrier (AMPV) to replace the M113 is up
years, the overall fleet is projected to peak at 326 vessels by 90 units compared to 2018 appropriations (for a
in 2023. It will not attain this size again until 2036, as total request of 197).
the retirement rate of hulls outpaces production. In 2019, the air force is due to receive 87% of all
Naval-aviation procurement is down relative to new research and development dollars relative to
2018 appropriations, but tracks closely to the planning 2018 appropriations. Importantly, this increase is to
unclassified air-force accounts: there is no nominal 2019 budget requests only 48 F-35As, compared to 56
increase to classified RDT&E. The majority of new included in 2018 appropriations.
funding is directed into four space programmes:
Evolved Expendable Launch Vehicles, Evolved OCO and emergency spending
Space-based Infrared Radar System, Navstar GPS The 2019 request for OCO totals US$69bn, a slight
and research into ‘operationally responsive space’. increase from 2018’s appropriated US$65.9bn.
While space programmes benefited from increased However, the 2018 OCO appropriation was bolstered
RDT&E, the procurement picture is less bright, falling by a further US$5.8bn in emergency funding passed
by US$1.2bn relative to 2018 appropriations. This separately in December 2017 and February 2018.
decline is exaggerated by Congress’s contentious US$1.2bn of that amount was for hurricane relief,
decision to add two Wideband Global SATCOM with the rest intended to repair the USS Fitzgerald
satellites, which the air force did not request, into and USS John S. McCain, augment ballistic-missile-
2018 appropriations at a cost of US$595m. defence capabilities and increase troop levels in
Aircraft procurement is also lagging for three Afghanistan. There is no equivalent supplemental
main reasons. The first relates to the cancelled plan to budget request for any type of emergency spending
recapitalise the JSTARS surveillance aircraft, possibly in 2019.
with a new aircraft, in favour of alternatives still in The significant change to OCO is the US$6.5bn
development. Secondly, delays in KC-46 tanker request for the EDI, significantly more than that
production have resulted in US$151m in further requested in 2018 or enacted in 2017 (US$4.8bn and
losses to the procurement programme. Finally, the US$3.4bn, respectively).
More than US$3.2bn of the EDI increase is allocated known as ISIS or ISIL, was US$1.8bn; the 2019 request
to prepositioning equipment, which represents totals US$1.4bn. Like FY2018, the 2019 request
North America
half of the total EDI request. Of that US$3.2bn, supports an end-strength of 11,958 in Afghanistan
77% goes toward the army’s goal of establishing and 5,765 in counter-ISIS operations in Iraq and
equipment sets to support a division-sized force Syria, but increases personnel assigned to in-theatre
based around two Armored Brigade Combat Teams support of both operations from 56,310 to 59,463.
(one upgraded with active protection systems), two
fires brigades, supporting air defence and ancillary Future Years Defense Program
units. Ten percent of the total is for additional Patriot The 2019 defence-budget request was the first
PAC-3 MSE air-defence systems and long-range completed by the Trump administration to include
air-launched cruise missiles (JASSM-ER), with most a Future Years Defense Program (FYDP), which
of the remainder allocated to Air Force Deployable projects spending from FY2019 through FY2023.
Airbase Systems. In general, trends in future years are consistent
Total spending for Central Command train-and- with the approach of the 2019 budget request.
equip operations remains steady, though with a shift Annualised growth in discretionary national-defence
away from Iraq and Syria toward Afghanistan. The spending between FY2018 and FY2023 is 2.1%, nearly
Afghan Security Forces Fund request is for US$5.2bn, identical with projected annual inflation in the US.
up from the 2018 appropriation of US$4.7bn. The result is flat or declining defence spending when
Conversely, the 2018 appropriation for train-and- measured in constant dollars. Projected expenditures
equip activities to counter the Islamic State, also closely track the spending levels advanced by the last
Navy, meanwhile, is fielding the 3M14 (SS-N-30A Kalibr) maritime surveillance, and this is likely to feature further
cruise missile on both ships and submarines, which in the architecture of a replacement NWS. The extent to
has an engagement range in excess of 2,000 km. While which satellites will provide elements of the required
these missiles are subsonic, Russia is also developing aerospace surveillance has yet to become clear.
hypersonic cruise missiles for its aerospace and naval Maritime surveillance will also be supported by the
forces. acquisition of a long-range uninhabited aerial vehicle.
These, however, are far from the only demands that Delivery of the yet-to-be-selected system is due in
will be placed upon the NWS replacement architecture. the mid-2020s. Maritime surveillance is increasing in
Low-observable combat-aircraft technology is no longer prominence with the impact of climate change on the
limited to the US and a handful of its allies. Russia Northwest Passage, and the waterways across Canada’s
continues to develop a design to meet its PAK DA bomber north linking the Pacific and Atlantic oceans on average
requirement that is widely held to have signature becoming navigable for longer periods each year.
management at the heart of its design, though progress Other considerations include the extent to which
on this design is likely to depend on the trajectory of resilience is required. During the Cold War, the DEW
the Russian defence budget. NORAD’s new surveillance and NWS were tripwire systems. Their static radars
network, however, is planned to be in operation well were vulnerable to attack but were unlikely to be
beyond 2050. particularly high-value targets. It is likely that resilience
considerations will form part of the planning process for
Surveillance requirements the replacement architecture.
Canada’s All Domain Situational Awareness programme While the exact suite of sensors remains to be
is attempting to identify the relevant technologies and determined, as does the degree to which these are
approaches for future surveillance needs. As well as ground- or space-based, the requirement for them is
aerospace, maritime surface and sub-surface surveillance enduring. Economic, ecological and security interests in
are part of the requirement. The notional timescale is to the Arctic region will only grow, and because of these
identify an approach by 2021, select the contractor(s) by factors, the recapitalisation of Canada’s and the United
2023 and award a contract in 2024. The overall upgrade States’ northern air-, and now maritime-, surveillance
programme will likely take at least a decade to implement. capacity will almost certainly remain a priority for Ottawa
Canada already uses its RADARSAT constellation for and Washington.
42 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
DoD plans completed before the enactment of the between 2019 and 2028. One condition of that deal
BCA 2011. In other words, the Pentagon is planning is a gradual elimination of Israel’s ability to convert
to restore funding to pre-sequestration levels without one-quarter of received FMF funds into local currency
factoring in real growth to undo shortfalls brought to purchase Israeli products. Elsewhere, requested
about by the spending caps. FMF spending on Pakistan reduced from US$100m
Projections of spending by public law title are to US$80m. Meanwhile, the 2018 request for a single
available only for base accounts. They show that ‘Global’ account worth US$201m was reduced to
spending on base RDT&E is projected to decline by US$75m to improve budgetary oversight. This was
6% in nominal terms by 2023. Spending on military augmented by a series of new, separate requests
personnel and procurement both outpace inflation for individual countries (Colombia, Lebanon, the
and average overall budget growth. Because these Philippines, Tunisia, Ukraine and Vietnam) totalling
accounts often have significant OCO components, it US$172m. However, requests for Egypt (US$1.3bn),
is not possible to project their exact values. Jordan (US$350m) and general administration remain
While Pentagon and White House leaders seem unchanged.
intent on quickly folding OCO back into the base
budget, owing to both real and imagined criticisms of CANADA
OCO, they are likely to have as little success as recent
administrations – mostly due to the continuation of Delivering on the pledges of the Liberal government’s
the BCA into 2020 and 2021. Yet FYDP plans beyond 2017 defence-policy review remains the focus of
2019 may not come to fruition. The BCA remains Canadian defence. This report promised adaptation
in effect for FY2020 and FY2021, meaning a further to a new and more challenging security environment,
two-year budget agreement is necessary to secure the with a subtext that Canada would aim to maintain
requested administration budgets. Without such a and strengthen international commitments and
deal, base national-defence spending in FY2020 and engagement.
FY2021 would fall by US$171bn, or about 13% of the
total request. Deployments
Resourcing the FYDP would require a budget deal Canada has been deploying small but significant
even larger than BBA18, which was over twice as large capability packages. In some areas, these
as the 2013 and 2015 budget deals combined, making commitments have been modestly boosted. At the
it unlikely. The decline of OCO spending (which is July NATO summit in Brussels, Prime Minister Justin
exempt from budgets caps), compounding national Trudeau announced a four-year extension – to March
debt and potential legislative changes stemming from 2023 – of Canada’s contribution to the Alliance’s
the 2018 midterm elections could all prevent such a Enhanced Forward Presence in Europe. Canada
large deal from materialising. leads the multinational battlegroup in Latvia. The
announcement also indicated that the mission would
Foreign Military Financing programmes grow from 455 to 540 personnel.
Outside the national-defence account, the State Canada’s maritime commitment to NATO – a
Department requested US$5.3bn in discretionary frigate deployed to the European theatre – was
spending for FMF. This amount is in line with last year’s bolstered from February 2018 by the extended
request for US$5.1bn. Both of these figures reflect the deployment to European waters of the submarine
Trump administration’s objective of reducing State HMCS Windsor. While these Victoria-class vessels
Department spending. Given congressional pushback have operated before in the North Atlantic, this was
to such proposals, the request should be viewed as a the first-ever deployment of one by Canada to the
poor predictor of actual expenditures. Last year, for Mediterranean. Trudeau also announced in July
example, Congress appropriated US$6.1bn for FMF – that Canada would take command of a new NATO
close to the 2017 request (US$6.3bn). training and capacity-building mission in Iraq. Up to
Comparing the 2018 and 2019 requests still 250 Canadian personnel will deploy up to late 2019.
reveals useful information about relative changes A submarine also featured in Canada’s broader
in priorities. Funding for Israel increased from efforts to project power, particularly in the Asia-
US$3.1bn to US$3.3bn, reflecting a new bilateral Pacific. From September 2017, the Vancouver Island-
ten-year agreement for US$34bn in FMF contributions homeported HMCS Chicoutimi began a seven-month
North America 43
deployment to the region, the first by a Royal Canadian Canada’s Joint Support Ship programme is intended
Navy (RCN) submarine since the 1960s. At the end of to provide a new long-term afloat-support capability
North America
July, the frigate HMCS Calgary also deployed to the based on the German Navy’s Berlin class. However,
region for five months, while Canada deployed 1,000 by 2018 the estimated cost of the project had increased
personnel to the US-led Rim of the Pacific (RIMPAC) by more than 40%. Initial construction began in June
exercise, including two frigates, two coastal-defence 2018, although detailed design of the two planned
vessels and the new interim auxiliary oiler MV vessels had yet to be finalised, raising fears about
Asterix, which joined the fleet in January, thereby potential additional cost increases and further delays.
filling a major capability gap. The Asia-Pacific saw The RCN had been targeting delivery dates of 2022
other capabilities deployed, including to help monitor and 2023 for the two ships, already somewhat later
compliance with UN sanctions against North Korea. than originally planned, but these may now stretch
And, after some delay, in July 2018 Canada began by a further year or two.
deploying the first of eight helicopters, plus some 250 In October 2018, after a series of delays, the
personnel, to support the UN stabilisation mission Canadian government announced that it had
in Mali. Amid these activities, questions continued selected the consortium led by Lockheed Martin,
about the Canadian forces’ capabilities, their ability offering the BAE Systems Type-26 design, as the
to sustain operational tempo and the future defence preferred bidder for its future Canadian Surface
programme. Combatant (CSC) programme. The other contending
consortiums were offering versions of the Dutch
Procurement De Zeven Provinciën and the Spanish F-105 frigate
Canada’s long-running plans to recapitalise its designs. A fixed-price bid from Italy’s Fincantieri in
combat-aircraft fleet, currently based on ageing November 2017, based on the FREMM design, was
CF-18 Hornets, have been further complicated by rejected by Canada as being outside the prescribed
a trade dispute between Ottawa and Boeing over a procurement process.
complaint by the latter against the Canadian firm Canada still intends for construction of the
Bombardier. Canada abandoned an expected interim CSC to begin in the early 2020s, and that a ‘full
purchase of 18 F/A-18E/F Super Hornets. Instead, it is complement’ of 15 vessels will be procured to replace
purchasing a similar number of second-hand F/A-18s the current frigates and recently retired destroyers
from Australia. on a one-for-one basis. This remains an ambitious
Also, in December 2017, Canada formally launched target. Meanwhile, the navy aims to modernise the
a new competition to find a long-term successor current Victoria-class submarines in order to keep
aircraft to replace the previous administration’s them effective until the mid-2030s. By then, however,
contentious plan to purchase 65 F-35A Lightning IIs their age will make this a challenge (the boats were
(although Canada remains an industrial partner in launched in the UK between 1986 and 1993), as will
the programme). The aim of the new plan is to select any ambition to replace them.
a design by early 2022, with the first of 88 new aircraft The first Harry DeWolf-class Arctic offshore-
to be delivered in 2025. The list of ‘eligible suppliers’ patrol ship was launched in September 2018, and the
for the procurement comprises Airbus Defence and government later said it will buy a sixth. There has
Space (with Eurofighter Typhoon), Boeing Defense been criticism that these vessels are under-equipped
(Super Hornet), Dassault Aviation (Rafale), Lockheed for their roles in what could become an increasingly
Martin (F-35 Lightning) and Saab (Gripen). challenging theatre of operations. The Canadian
The arrival of the converted merchant ship Asterix government has also been negotiating for the
heralded a welcome revival of Canada’s own afloat- conversion of three modern commercial icebreakers
support capacity. Until then, since the retirement to Canadian Coast Guard service on the model of the
of the Protecteur and Preserver, the RCN had been urgent requirement that led to the conversion of the
relying on help from the Chilean and Spanish navies. MV Asterix.
44 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
Canada CAN
Canadian Dollar $ 2017 2018 2019 Space
GDP CS$ 2.15tr 2.24tr EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
SATELLITES • SPACE SURVEILLANCE 1 Sapphire
US$ 1.65tr 17.3tr
per capita US$ 45,095 46,733 Army 23,000
Growth % 3.0 2.1 FORCES BY ROLE
Inflation % 1.6 2.6 MANOEUVRE
Def exp [a] CS$ 29.2bn 27.6bn Mechanised
US$ 22.5bn 21.4bn 1 (1st) mech bde gp (1 armd regt, 2 mech inf bn, 1 lt inf
Def bdgt [b] CS$ 24.1bn 23.5bn bn, 1 arty regt, 1 cbt engr regt, 1 log bn)
2 (2nd & 5th) mech bde gp (1 armd recce regt, 2 mech
US$ 18.6bn 18.9bn
inf bn, 1 lt inf bn, 1 arty regt, 1 cbt engr regt, 1 log bn)
US$1= CS$ 1.298 1.291
COMBAT SUPPORT
[a] NATO definition 1 engr regt
[b] Department of National Defence and Veterans Affairs 3 MP pl
Population 35,881,659 AIR DEFENCE
1 SAM regt
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Male 7.9% 2.8% 3.2% 3.5% 23.7% 8.5% ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
Female 7.5% 2.7% 3.0% 3.3% 23.4% 10.6%
MBT 82: 42 Leopard 2A4 (trg role); 20 Leopard 2A4M
(upgraded); 20 Leopard 2A6M (52 Leopard 1C2 in store)
RECCE ε120 LAV-25 Coyote
Capabilities IFV 550: 141 LAV-III Kodiak; 409 LAV 6.0
Canada’s armed forces are focused principally on territorial APC 443
defence, as well as contributing important capabilities to inter- APC (T) 268: 235 M113; 33 M577 (CP)
national missions, principally through NATO. The 2017 defence APC (W) 175 LAV Bison (incl 10 EW, 32 amb, 32 repair,
review reaffirmed commitments to NATO, but also to mod- 64 recovery)
ernising capabilities, including cyber power. Canada operates AUV 455: 7 Cougar; 448 TAPV
a volunteer force with high standards of training. The review ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
promised to increase regular and reserve forces, with particular AEV 23: 5 Buffalo; 18 Wisent 2
enhancements in the areas of cyber and intelligence. Deploy- ARV 12 BPz-3 Büffel
ments, although relatively small scale, underscore a determi- ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
nation to maintain a power-projection capability and interna- MSL • MANPATS TOW-2
tional engagement. Canada’s leadership of a NATO battlegroup RCL 84mm Carl Gustav
in Latvia highlights a continuing capability to deploy medium- ARTILLERY 287
sized land formations. It has also contributed to NATO’s air- TOWED 163 105mm 126: 98 C3 (M101); 28 LG1 MkII;
policing mission. Meanwhile, the deployments of frigates and 155mm 37 M777
submarines to the NATO theatre and the Pacific demonstrate MOR 124: 81mm 100; SP 81mm 24 LAV Bison
continuing blue-water naval capabilities. The 2017 review UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES • ISR • Light Skylark
pledged to finally deliver on a range of delayed procurements AIR DEFENCE • SAM • Point-defence Starburst
aimed at making the services more suitable to future opera-
tions. It raised the target for a new-generation fighter to 88 Reserve Organisations 17,000
aircraft, but a trade dispute with Boeing saw Canada turn to
Australia to purchase second-hand F/A-18s to supplement its
Canadian Rangers 5,000 Reservists
current fleet. In October 2018, the government selected the
Provide a limited military presence in Canada’s northern,
Lockheed Martin-led consortium and its BAE Systems Type-26
coastal and isolated areas. Sovereignty, public-safety and
frigate design as the preferred bidder for Canada’s future surveillance roles
surface combatant. Canada maintains a well-developed range FORCES BY ROLE
of mainly small and medium-sized defence firms. The strongest MANOEUVRE
sector is in combat vehicles and components, though the naval Other
sector has recently developed. 5 (patrol) ranger gp (187 patrols)
ACTIVE 66,600 (Army 23,000 Navy 8,300 Air Force Army Reserves 12,000 Reservists
12,000 Other 23,300) Paramilitary 4,500 Most units have only coy-sized establishments
FORCES BY ROLE
RESERVE 27,000 (Army 17,000 Navy 4,600 Air 2,100 COMMAND
Other 3,300) 10 bde gp HQ
North America 45
North America
18 recce regt (sqn) TRAINING
Light 1 OCU sqn with F/A-18A/B Hornet (CF-18AM/BM)
51 inf regt (coy) 1 OCU sqn with C-130H/H-30/J (CC-130) Hercules
COMBAT SUPPORT 1 OCU sqn with CH-148 Cyclone
16 fd arty regt (bty) 1 OCU sqn with Bell 412 (CH-146 Griffon)
3 indep fd arty bty 1 sqn with P-3 Orion (CP-140 Aurora)
10 cbt engr regt (coy) TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
1 EW regt (sqn) 5 sqn with Bell 412 (CH-146 Griffon)
4 int coy 3 (cbt spt) sqn with Bell 412 (CH-146 Griffon)
10 sigs regt (coy) 1 (Spec Ops) sqn with Bell 412 (CH-146 Griffon –
OPCON Canadian Special Operations Command)
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
1 sqn with CH-47F (CH-147F) Chinook
10 log bn (coy)
3 MP coy EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
AIRCRAFT 95 combat capable
Royal Canadian Navy 8,300 FGA 77: 59 F/A-18A (CF-18AM) Hornet; 18 F/A-18B (CF-
18BM) Hornet
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE ASW 18 P-3 Orion (CP-140M Aurora)
SUBMARINES • SSK 4: TKR/TPT 7: 2 A310 MRTT (CC-150T); 5 KC-130H
4 Victoria (ex-UK Upholder) with 6 single 533mm TT with TPT 47: Heavy 5 C-17A (CC-177) Globemaster III; Medium
Mk48 Sea Arrow HWT (2 currently non-operational) 25: 6 C-130H (CC-130) Hercules; 2 C-130H-30 (CC-130)
PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS • FRIGATES • Hercules; 17 C-130J-30 (CC-130) Hercules; Light 10: 6
FFGHM 12: DHC-5 (CC-115) Buffalo; 4 DHC-6 (CC-138) Twin Otter;
12 Halifax with 2 quad lnchr with RGM-84 Block II PAX 7: 3 A310 (CC-150 Polaris); 4 CL-600 (CC-144B/C)
Harpoon AShM, 2 octuple Mk48 VLS with RIM-7P Sea TRG 4 DHC-8 (CT-142)
Sparrow SAM/RIM-162C ESSM SAM, 2 twin 324mm HELICOPTERS
ASTT with Mk46 LWT, 1 Phalanx CIWS, 1 57mm gun ASW 26: 11 SH-3 (CH-124) Sea King (to be withdrawn
(capacity 1 SH-3 (CH-124) Sea King ASW hel) end 2018); 15 CH-148 Cyclone (6 more Block 2 hels
MINE WARFARE delivered but not yet accepted)
MINE COUNTERMEASURES • MCO 12 Kingston (also MRH 68 Bell 412 (CH-146 Griffon)
used in patrol role) TPT 29: Heavy 15 CH-47F (CH-147F) Chinook; Medium
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 10 14 AW101 Merlin (CH-149 Cormorant)
AORH 1 Asterix (Resolve) (capacity 2 CH-148 Cyclone RADARS 53
ASW hel) AD RADAR • NORTH WARNING SYSTEM 47: 11 AN/
AX 9: AXL 8 Orca; AXS 1 Oriole FPS-117 (range 200nm); 36 AN/FPS-124 (range 80nm)
STRATEGIC 6: 4 Coastal; 2 Transportable
Reserves 4,600 reservists AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES
24 units tasked with crewing 10 of the 12 MCOs, ASM AGM-65 Maverick
harbour defence & naval control of shipping AAM • IR AIM-9L Sidewinder; SARH AIM-7M Sparrow
ARH AIM-120C AMRAAM
BOMBS
Royal Canadian Air Force (RCAF) 12,000
Laser-guided: GBU-10/GBU-12/GBU-16 Paveway II;
FORCES BY ROLE GBU-24 Paveway III
FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK INS/GPS-guided: GBU-31 JDAM; GBU-38 JDAM; GBU-
4 sqn with F/A-18A/B Hornet (CF-18AM/BM) 49 Enhanced Paveway II
ANTI-SUBMARINE WARFARE
1 sqn with SH-3 Sea King (CH-124) NATO Flight Training Canada
1 sqn with CH-148 Cyclone EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
MARITIME PATROL AIRCRAFT
2 sqn with P-3 Orion (CP-140 Aurora) TRG 45: 26 T-6A Texan II (CT-156 Harvard II); 19 Hawk
SEARCH & RESCUE/TRANSPORT 115 (CT-155) (advanced wpns/tactics trg)
3 sqn with AW101 Merlin (CH-149 Cormorant);
C-130H/H-30 (CC-130) Hercules Contracted Flying Services – Southport
1 sqn with DHC-5 (CC-115) Buffalo EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
TANKER/TRANSPORT AIRCRAFT
1 sqn with A310/A310 MRTT (CC-150/CC-150T) TPT • Light 7 Beech C90B King Air
1 sqn with KC-130H TRG 11 G-120A
TRANSPORT HELICOPTERS
1 sqn with C-17A (CC-177) Globemaster MRH 9 Bell 412 (CH-146)
1 sqn with CL-600 (CC-144B) TPT • Light 7 Bell 206 Jet Ranger (CH-139)
46 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Canadian Special Operations Forces ees were stood up in the new ‘cyber operator’ role; civilian
Command 1,500 recruitment was due to start in 2018 and reservist recruit-
ment in 2019. Canada published a cyber-security strategy
FORCES BY ROLE
in October 2010 and an action plan on implementation in
SPECIAL FORCES
2013. The armed forces’ Information Management Group
1 SF regt (Canadian Special Operations Regiment)
(IMG) is responsible for electronic warfare and network
1 SF unit (JTF 2)
defence. The Canadian Force Information Operations
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
Group, under the IMG, commands the Canadian Forces
1 CBRN unit (Canadian Joint Incident Response Unit –
Information Operations Group Headquarters; the
CJIRU)
Canadian Forces Electronic Warfare Centre; the Canadian
TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
Forces Network Operation Centre, which is the national
1 (spec ops) sqn, with Bell 412 (CH-146 Griffon – from
operational cyber-defence unit permanently assigned to
the RCAF)
support Canadian Forces operations; and other units.
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
NBC VEHICLES 4 LAV Bison NBC
HELICOPTERS • MRH 10 Bell 412 (CH-146 Griffon)
DEPLOYMENT
ALBANIA: OSCE • Albania 1
Canadian Forces Joint Operational Support BOSNIA-HERZEGOVINA: OSCE • Bosnia and
Group Herzegovina 2
FORCES BY ROLE CARIBBEAN: Operation Caribbe 1 MCO
COMBAT SUPPORT
CYPRUS: UN • UNFICYP (Operation Snowgoose) 1
1 engr spt coy
1 (close protection) MP coy DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO: UN •
1 (joint) sigs regt MONUSCO (Operation Crocodile) 8
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT EGYPT: MFO (Operation Calumet) 68; 1 MP team
1 (spt) log unit
IRAQ: Operation Inherent Resolve (Impact) 370; 1 SF trg gp; 1
1 (movement) log unit
med unit; 1 hel flt with 4 Bell 412 (CH-146 Griffon) hel
North America
United States Dollar $ 2017 2018 2019 US Strategic Command
GDP US$ 19.5tr 20.5tr HQ at Offutt AFB (NE). Five missions: US nuclear deterrent;
per capita US$ 59,792 62,518 missile defence; global strike; info ops; ISR
Growth % 2.2 2.9
US Navy
Inflation % 2.1 2.4
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Def exp [a] US$ 686bn 706bn SUBMARINES • STRATEGIC • SSBN 14 Ohio with
Def bdgt [b] US$ 599bn 643bn 689bn up to 24 UGM-133A Trident D-5/D-5LE nuclear SLBM, 4
[a] NATO definition single 533mm TT with Mk48 Sea Arrow HWT
[b] National Defense Budget Function (50) outlays. Includes DoD
funding, as well as funds for nuclear-weapons-related activities US Air Force • Global Strike Command
undertaken by the Department of Energy. Excludes some military FORCES BY ROLE
retirement and healthcare costs. MISSILE
Population 329,256,465 9 sqn with LGM-30G Minuteman III
BOMBER
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus 5 sqn with B-52H Stratofortress
2 sqn with B-2A Spirit (+1 ANG sqn personnel only)
Male 9.5% 3.3% 3.4% 3.7% 22.3% 7.1%
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Female 9.1% 3.1% 3.3% 3.5% 22.8% 8.9%
SURFACE-TO-SURFACE MISSILE LAUNCHERS
ICBM • Nuclear 400 LGM-30G Minuteman III (1
Capabilities Mk12A or Mk21 re-entry veh per missile)
The United States remains the world’s most capable military AIRCRAFT
power, with a unique ability to project power on a global basis. BBR 66: 20 B-2A Spirit; 46 B-52H Stratofortress
The Pentagon’s 2018 National Defense Strategy refocused AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES
priorities on the return of renewed ‘great-power competition’ ALCM • Nuclear AGM-86B
and called for a reversal in reductions in the size of the joint
force. A new Nuclear Posture Review backed the development Strategic Defenses – Early Warning
of low-yield warheads and a nuclear-capable sea-launched North American Aerospace Defense Command
cruise missile. A missile-defence review is pending, and the (NORAD) – a combined US–CAN org
direction to create a space force has fuelled debate over the EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
best way to integrate space into national-security policy. The RADAR
US is NATO’s most capable member, and has defence-treaty NORTH WARNING SYSTEM 50: 14 AN/FPS-117
obligations to, among others, Australia, the Philippines, Japan, (range 200nm); 36 AN/FPS-124 (range 80nm)
South Korea and Thailand. The US maintains an all-volunteer SOLID STATE PHASED ARRAY RADAR SYSTEM
force, including significant reserves, with high levels of training (SSPARS) 5: 2 AN/FPS-123 Early Warning Radar
throughout all command and service levels. However, readiness located at Cape Cod AFS (MA) and Clear AFS (AK); 3
remains a major concern. Modernisation priorities include a AN/FPS-132 Upgraded Early Warning Radar located
renewal of strategic nuclear capabilities, including a new class at Beale AFB (CA), Thule (GL) and Fylingdales Moor
of ballistic-missile submarine and a new long-range bomber, (UK)
and a major recapitalisation of air assets across the services. A SPACETRACK SYSTEM 10: 1 AN/FPS-85 Spacetrack
major declared priority for the current administration is a long- Radar at Eglin AFB (FL); 6 contributing radars at
term naval build-up to a 355-ship combat fleet. The US also Cavalier AFS (ND), Clear (AK), Thule (GL), Fylingdales
continues to actively develop its defensive and offensive cyber Moor (UK), Beale AFB (CA) and Cape Cod (MA); 3
capabilities. The country has the strongest defence industry Spacetrack Optical Trackers located at Socorro (NM),
globally, with a dominant position in the international defence Maui (HI), Diego Garcia (BIOT)
market, although a report initiated by President Trump warned PERIMETER ACQUISITION RADAR ATTACK
that key areas of the defence-industrial base were eroding, CHARACTERISATION SYSTEM (PARCS) 1 AN/
which could have consequences for the defence supply chain. FPQ-16 at Cavalier AFS (ND)
DETECTION AND TRACKING RADARS 5 located
at Kwajalein Atoll, Ascension Island, Australia, Kaena
ACTIVE 1,359,450 (Army 476,200 Navy 329,850 Point (HI), MIT Lincoln Laboratory (MA)
Air Force 325,900 US Marine Corps 185,400 US Coast GROUND BASED ELECTRO OPTICAL DEEP
Guard 42,100) SPACE SURVEILLANCE SYSTEM (GEODSS)
Socorro (NM), Maui (HI), Diego Garcia (BIOT)
RESERVE 845,600 (Army 524,000 Navy 100,950 Air STRATEGIC DEFENCES – MISSILE DEFENCES
Force 176,150 Marine Corps Reserve 38,350 US Coast SEA-BASED: Aegis engagement cruisers and
Guard 6,150) destroyers
48 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
LAND-BASED: 40 ground-based interceptors at 1 cbt engr bn, 1 CSS bn); 1 MRL bde HQ; 1 log bde; 1
Fort Greely (AK); 4 ground-based interceptors at (hy cbt avn) hel bde)
Vandenburg AFB (CA) 1 (7th) inf div (2 (1st & 2nd SBCT, 2nd ID) mech bde (1
armd recce sqn, 3 mech inf bn, 1 arty bn, 1 cbt engr
Space bn, 1 CSS bn))
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE 1 (1st SBCT, 25th ID) mech bde (1 armd recce sqn, 3
SATELLITES 137 mech inf bn, 1 arty bn, 1 cbt engr bn, 1 CSS bn)
COMMUNICATIONS 43: 4 AEHF; 6 DSCS-III; 2 2 (2nd & 3rd CR) mech bde (1 armd recce sqn, 3 mech
Milstar-I; 3 Milstar-II; 5 MUOS; 1 PAN-1 (P360); 5 SDS-III; sqn, 1 arty sqn, 1 cbt engr sqn, 1 CSS sqn)
2 SDS-IV; 6 UFO; 9 WGS SV2 Light
NAVIGATION/POSITIONING/TIMING 31: 12 1 (10th Mtn) inf div (3 (1st–3rd IBCT) lt inf bde (1 recce
sqn, 3 inf bn, 1 arty bn, 1 cbt engr bn, 1 CSS bn); 1 log
NAVSTAR Block IIF; 19 NAVSTAR Block IIR/IIRM
bde; 1 (cbt avn) hel bde)
METEOROLOGY/OCEANOGRAPHY 6 DMSP-5
1 (25th) inf div (2 (2 & 3rd IBCT) inf bde (1 recce sqn, 2
ISR 16: 5 FIA Radar; 5 Evolved Enhanced/Improved Crystal
inf bn, 1 arty bn, 1 cbt engr bn, 1 CSS bn); 1 log bde; 1
(visible and infrared imagery); 2 Lacrosse (Onyx radar
(cbt avn) hel bde)
imaging satellite); 1 NRO L-76; 1 ORS-1; 1 TacSat-4; 1
2 (Sy Force Assist) inf bde(-)
TacSat-6
Air Manoeuvre
ELINT/SIGINT 27: 2 Mentor (advanced Orion); 3
1 (82nd) AB div (1 (1st AB BCT) AB bde (1 recce bn, 1
Advanced Mentor; 4 Mercury; 1 NRO L-67; 1 Trumpet;
mech coy; 3 para bn, 1 arty bn, 1 cbt engr bn, 1 CSS
4 Improved Trumpet; 12 SBWASS (Space Based Wide
bn); 2 (2nd & 3rd AB BCT) AB bde (1 recce bn, 3 para
Area Surveillance System; Naval Ocean Surveillance
bn, 1 arty bn, 1 cbt engr bn, 1 CSS bn); 1 (cbt avn) hel
System)
bde; 1 log bde)
SPACE SURVEILLANCE 6: 4 GSSAP; 1 SBSS (Space
1 (101st) air aslt div (3 (1st–3rd AB BCT) AB bde (1 recce
Based Surveillance System); 1 ORS-5
bn, 3 para bn, 1 arty bn, 1 cbt engr bn, 1 CSS bn); 1
EARLY WARNING 8: 4 DSP; 4 SBIRS Geo-1 (cbt avn) hel bde; 1 log bde)
1 (173rd AB BCT) AB bde (1 recce bn, 2 para bn, 1 arty
US Army 476,200 bn, 1 cbt engr bn, 1 CSS bn)
FORCES BY ROLE 1 (4th AB BCT, 25th ID) AB bde (1 recce bn, 2 para bn, 1
Sqn are generally bn sized and tp are generally coy sized arty bn, 1 cbt engr bn, 1 CSS bn)
COMMAND Other
3 (I, III & XVIII AB) corps HQ 1 (11th ACR) trg armd cav regt (OPFOR) (2 armd cav
1 (2nd) inf div HQ sqn, 1 CSS bn)
SPECIAL FORCES COMBAT SUPPORT
(see USSOCOM) 3 MRL bde (2 MRL bn)
MANOEUVRE 1 MRL bde (4 MRL bn)
Armoured 4 engr bde
1 (1st) armd div (2 (2nd & 3rd ABCT) armd bde (1 armd 2 EOD gp (2 EOD bn)
recce sqn, 2 armd bn, 1 armd inf bn, 1 SP arty bn, 1 10 int bde
cbt engr bn, 1 CSS bn); 1 (1st SBCT) mech bde (1 armd 2 int gp
recce sqn, 3 mech inf bn, 1 arty bn, 1 cbt engr bn, 1 4 MP bde
CSS bn); 1 MRL bde HQ; 1 log bde; 1 (hy cbt avn) hel 1 NBC bde
bde) 3 (strat) sigs bde
1 (1st) cav div (3 (1st–3rd ABCT) armd bde (1 armd 4 (tac) sigs bde
recce sqn, 2 armd bn, 1 armd inf bn, 1 SP arty bn, 1 cbt COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
engr bn, 1 CSS bn); 1 MRL bde (1 MRL bn); 1 log bde; 2 log bde
1 (hy cbt avn) hel bde) 3 med bde
1 (1st) inf div (2 (1st & 2nd ABCT) armd bde (1 armd 1 tpt bde
recce sqn, 2 armd bn, 1 armd inf bn, 1 SP arty bn, 1 cbt HELICOPTER
engr bn, 1 CSS bn); 1 log bde; 1 (cbt avn) hel bde) 2 (cbt avn) hel bde
1 (3rd) inf div (2 (1st & 2nd ABCT) armd bde (1 armd 1 (cbt avn) hel bde HQ
recce sqn, 2 armd bn, 1 armd inf bn, 1 SP arty bn, 1 cbt AIR DEFENCE
engr bn, 1 CSS bn); 1 lt inf bn; 1 MRL bde HQ; 1 log 5 SAM bde
bde; 1 (cbt avn) hel bde)
Reserve Organisations
Mechanised
1 (4th) inf div (1 (3rd ABCT) armd bde (1 armd recce Army National Guard 335,200 reservists
sqn, 2 armd bn, 1 armd inf bn, 1 SP arty bn, 1 cbt engr Normally dual-funded by DoD and states. Civil-
bn, 1 CSS bn); 1 (1st SBCT) mech bde (1 armd recce emergency responses can be mobilised by state
sqn, 3 mech inf bn, 1 arty bn, 1 cbt engr bn, 1 CSS bn); governors. Federal government can mobilise ARNG for
1 (2nd IBCT) lt inf bde (1 recce sqn, 3 inf bn, 1 arty bn, major domestic emergencies and for overseas operations
North America 49
North America
8 div HQ MBT 2,386: 775 M1A1 SA Abrams; 1,611 M1A2 SEPv2
SPECIAL FORCES Abrams (ε3,500 more M1A1/A2 Abrams in store)
(see USSOCOM) ASLT 134 M1128 Stryker MGS
MANOEUVRE RECCE 1,745: ε1,200 M3A2/A3 Bradley; 545 M1127
Reconnaissance Stryker RV (ε800 more M3 Bradley in store)
1 armd recce sqn IFV 2,931: ε14 LAV-25; ε2,500 M2A2/A3 Bradley; 334
Armoured M7A3/SA BFIST (OP); 83 M1296 Styker Dragoon; (ε2,000
5 (ABCT) armd bde (1 armd recce sqn, 2 armd bn, 1 more M2 Bradley in store)
armd inf bn, 1 SP arty bn, 1 cbt engr bn, 1 CSS bn) APC 10,547
Mechanised APC (T) ε5,000 M113A2/A3 (ε8,000 more in store)
2 (SBCT) mech bde (1 armd recce sqn, 3 mech inf bn, 1 APC (W) 2,613: 1,773 M1126 Stryker ICV; 348 M1130
arty bn, 1 cbt engr bn, 1 CSS bn) Stryker CV (CP); 188 M1131 Stryker FSV (OP); 304
Light M1133 Stryker MEV (Amb)
14 (IBCT) lt inf bde (1 recce sqn, 3 inf bn, 1 arty bn, 1 PPV 2,934: 2,633 MaxxPro Dash; 301 MaxxPro LWB (Amb)
cbt engr bn, 1 CSS bn) AUV 9,016: 2,900 M1117 ASV; 465 M1200 Armored Knight
6 (IBCT) lt inf bde (1 recce sqn, 2 inf bn, 1 arty bn, 1 (OP); 5,651 M-ATV
cbt engr bn, 1 CSS bn) ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
4 lt inf bn AEV 531: 113 M1 ABV; 250 M9 ACE; 168 M1132 Stryker
Air Manoeuvre ESV
1 AB bn ARV 1,177+: 360 M88A1; 817 M88A2 (ε1,000 more
COMBAT SUPPORT M88A1 in store); some M578
8 arty bde VLB 60: 20 REBS; 40 Wolverine HAB
1 SP arty bn MW 3+: Aardvark JSFU Mk4; some Husky 2G; 3+ Hydrema
8 engr bde 910 MCV-2; M58/M59 MICLIC; M139; Rhino
1 EOD regt NBC VEHICLES 234 M1135 Stryker NBCRV
3 int bde ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
3 MP bde MSL
1 NBC bde SP 1,133: 133 M1134 Stryker ATGM; ε1,000 M1167
2 (tac) sigs bde HMMWV TOW
18 (Mnv Enh) cbt spt bde MANPATS FGM-148 Javelin
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT RCL 84mm Carl Gustav
9 log bde ARTILLERY 5,411
17 (regional) log spt gp SP 155mm 965: 900 M109A6; 65 M109A7 (ε500 more
HELICOPTER M109A6 in store)
8 (cbt avn) hel bde TOWED 1,339: 105mm 821 M119A2/3; 155mm 518
5 (theatre avn) hel bde M777A2
AIR DEFENCE MRL 227mm 600: 375 M142 HIMARS; 225 M270A1
3 SAM bde MLRS
MOR 2,507: 81mm 990 M252; 120mm 1,076 M120/
Army Reserve 188,800 reservists M1064A3; SP 120mm 441 M1129 Stryker MC
Reserve under full command of US Army. Does not have SURFACE-TO-SURFACE MISSILE LAUNCHERS
state-emergency liability of Army National Guard SRBM • Conventional MGM-140A/B ATACMS; MGM-
FORCES BY ROLE 168 ATACMS (All launched from M270A1 MLRS or
SPECIAL FORCES M142 HIMARS MRLs)
(see USSOCOM) AMPHIBIOUS 116
COMBAT SUPPORT PRINCIPAL AMPHIBIOUS SHIPS 8
4 engr bde LSL 8 Frank Besson (capacity 24 Abrams MBT)
4 MP bde LANDING CRAFT 70
2 NBC bde LCU 34 LCU-2000
2 sigs bde LCM 36 LCM 8 (capacity either 1 MBT or 200 troops)
3 (Mnv Enh) cbt spt bde AIRCRAFT
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT ISR 19: 14 RC-12X Guardrail; 5 RC-12 Guardrail (trg)
9 log bde ELINT 8: 5 EO-5C ARL-M (COMINT/ELINT); 2 EO-5B
11 med bde ARL-C (COMINT); 1 TO-5C (trg)
HELICOPTER TPT 156: Light 152: 113 Beech A200 King Air (C-12
1 (theatre avn) hel bde Huron); 28 Cessna 560 Citation (UC-35A/B); 11 SA-227
Metro (C-26B/E); PAX 4: 1 Gulfstream IV (C-20F); 2
Army Stand-by Reserve 700 reservists Gulfstream V (C-37A); 1 Gulfstream G550 (C-37B)
Trained individuals for mobilisation TRG 4 T-6D Texan II
50 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
troops; 1 med hel) (of which 1 vessel partially crewed by Military Sealift Command (MSC)
Military Sealift Command personnel)
North America
AMPHIBIOUS Fleet Oiler (PM1)
PRINCIPAL AMPHIBIOUS SHIPS 32 EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
LHA 1 America with 2 octuple Mk29 GMLS with RIM- LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 15
162D ESSM SAM; 2 Mk49 GMLS with RIM-116 AOR 15 Henry J. Kaiser with 1 hel landing
RAM SAM, 2 Mk 15 Phalanx CIWS (capacity 6 F-35B platform
Lightning II FGA ac; 12 MV-22B Osprey tpt ac; 4 CH-
53E Sea Stallion hel; 7 AH-1Z Viper/UH-1Y Iroquois Special Mission (PM2)
hel; 2 MH-60 hel) EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
LHD 8 Wasp with 2 octuple Mk29 GMLS with RIM- LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 22
7M/RIM-7P Sea Sparrow SAM, 2 Mk49 GMLS with AGM 3: 1 Howard O. Lorenzen; 1 Invincible
RIM-116 RAM SAM, 2 Mk 15 Phalanx Block 1B (commercial operator); 1 Sea-based X-band Radar
CIWS (capacity: 6 AV-8B Harrier II FGA or F-35B AGOR 6 Pathfinder
Lightning II FGA ac; 4 CH-53E Sea Stallion hel; 6 MV- AGOS 5: 1 Impeccable (commercial operator); 4
22B Osprey tpt ac; 4 AH-1W/Z hel; 3 UH-1Y hel; 3 Victorious
LCAC(L); 60 tanks; 1,687 troops) AGS 1 Waters
LPD 11 San Antonio with 2 21-cell Mk49 GMLS with AS 7 (long-term chartered, of which 1 C-Champion, 1
RIM-116 SAM (capacity 2 CH-53E Sea Stallion hel or Malama, 1 Dominator, 4 Arrowhead)
2 MV-22 Osprey; 2 LCAC(L); 14 AAAV; 720 troops)
LSD 12:
Prepositioning (PM3)
4 Harpers Ferry with 2 Mk 49 GMLS with RIM- EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
116 SAM, 2 Phalanx Mk15 CIWS, 1 hel landing LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 27
platform (capacity 2 LCAC(L); 40 tanks; 500 AG 2: 1 V Adm K.R. Wheeler; 1 Fast Tempo
troops) AK 4: 2 LTC John U.D. Page; 1 Maj. Bernard F. Fisher;
8 Whidbey Island with 2 Mk49 GMLS with RIM- 1 CPT David I. Lyon
116 SAM, 2 Phalanx Mk15 CIWS, 1 hel landing AKEH 2 Lewis and Clark
platform (capacity 4 LCAC(L); 40 tanks; 500 AKR 10: 2 Bob Hope; 1 Stockham; 7 Watson
troops) AKRH 5 2nd Lt John P. Bobo
LANDING CRAFT 245 AP 2: 1 Guam; 1 Westpac Express
LCU 32 LCU-1600 (capacity either 2 M1 Abrams MBT ESD 2 Montford Point
or 350 troops)
Service Support (PM4)
LCP 108: 75 LCPL; 33 Utility Boat
LCM 25: 10 LCM-6; 15 LCM-8 EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
LCAC 80 LCAC(L) (capacity either 1 MBT or 60 troops LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 9
(undergoing upgrade programme)) AH 2 Mercy with 1 hel landing platform
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 14 ARS 2 Safeguard
AFDL 1 Dynamic AS 2 Emory S Land
AGOR 5 (all leased out): 1 Ocean; 3 Thomas G. ATF 3 Powhatan
Thompson; 1 Kilo Moana Sealift (PM5)
ARD 2 (At a minimum of 4 days’ readiness)
AX 1 Prevail
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
ESB 1 Lewis B. Puller (capacity 4 MH-53/MH-60 hel)
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 23
SSA 2 (for testing)
AOT 6 (long-term chartered, of which 1 Empire State;
SSAN 1 (for propulsion plant training)
1 Galveston; 1 Lawrence H. Gianella; 1 Maersk Peary; 1
UUV 1 Cutthroat (for testing)
SLNC Pax; 1 SLNC Goodwill)
Naval Reserve Forces 100,950 AK 7: 1 Ocean Crescent; 3 Sgt Matej Kocak; 1 1st Lt
Harry L. Martin; 1 LCpl Roy M. Wheat; 1 Sea Eagle
Selected Reserve 58,200 (long-term chartered)
AKR 10: 5 Bob Hope; 2 Gordon; 2 Shughart; 1 Watson
Individual Ready Reserve 42,750
Fleet Ordnance and Dry Cargo (PM6)
Naval Inactive Fleet EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Notice for reactivation: LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 14
60–90 days minimum (still on naval vessel register) AOE 2 Supply
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE AKEH 12 Lewis and Clark
AMPHIBIOUS 7
LHA 3 Tarawa • LPD 4 Austin Afloat Staging Command Support (PM7)
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 4 EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
AOE 2 Supply LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 2
ARS 2 Safeguard ARC 1 Zeus
52 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
ESB 1 Lewis B. Puller (capacity 4 MH-53 hel/4 MV-22 COMMAND & CONTROL
tiltrotor; 250 troops) 2 sqn with E-6B Mercury
MINE COUNTERMEASURES
Expeditionary Fast Transport (PM8) 2 sqn with MH-53E Sea Dragon
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE TRANSPORT
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 9 2 sqn with C-2A Greyhound
EPF 9 Spearhead TRAINING
1 (FRS) sqn with EA-18G Growler
US Maritime Administration (MARAD) 1 (FRS) sqn with C-2A Greyhound; E-2C/D Hawkeye; TE-
National Defense Reserve Fleet 2C Hawkeye
1 sqn with E-6B Mercury
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
2 (FRS) sqn with F/A-18A/A+/B/C/D Hornet; F/A-18E/F
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 19
Super Hornet
AGOS 2 General Rudder
2 (FRS) sqn with F-35C Lightning II
AGM 2: 1 Pacific Collector; 1 Pacific Tracker
1 (FRS) sqn with MH-53 Sea Dragon
AK 6: 1 Cape Ann (breakbulk); 1 Cape Chalmers
2 (FRS) sqn with MH-60S Knight Hawk; HH-60H
(breakbulk); 2 Cape Farewell; 1 Cape Nome (breakbulk);
Seahawk
1 Del Monte (breakbulk)
2 (FRS) sqn with MH-60R Seahawk
AOT 3 Paul Buck
1 sqn with P-3C Orion
AP 4: 1 Empire State VI; 1 Golden Bear; 1 Kennedy; 1
State of Maine 1 (FRS) sqn with P-3C Orion; P-8A Poseidon
AX 2: 1 Freedom Star; 1 Kings Pointer 6 sqn with T-6A/B Texan II
2 sqn with T-44C Pegasus
Ready Reserve Force 5 sqn with T-45C Goshawk
Ships at readiness up to a maximum of 30 days 3 hel sqn with TH-57B/C Sea Ranger
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE 1 (FRS) UAV sqn with MQ-8B Fire Scout; MQ-8C Fire
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 43 Scout
ACS 6: 2 Flickertail State; 1 Gopher State; 3 Keystone State TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
AK 4: 2 Wright (breakbulk); 2 Cape May (heavy lift) 14 sqn with MH-60S Knight Hawk
AKR 33: 1 Adm W.M. Callaghan; 4 Algol; 4 Cape 1 tpt hel/ISR sqn with MH-60S Knight Hawk; MQ-8B
Capella; 1 Cape Decision; 4 Cape Ducato; 1 Cape Edmont; Fire Scout
1 Cape Henry; 2 Cape Hudson; 2 Cape Knox; 4 Cape ISR UAV
Island; 1 Cape Orlando; 1 Cape Race; 1 Cape Trinity; 2 1 sqn with MQ-4C Triton
Cape Trinity; 2 Cape Victory; 2 Cape Washington EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
AIRCRAFT 1,007 combat capable
Naval Aviation 98,600 FGA 736: 23 F-35C Lightning II; 10 F-16A Fighting
10 air wg. Average air wing comprises 8 sqns: 4 with F/A- Falcon; 4 F-16B Fighting Falcon; 10 F/A-18A/A+ Hornet;
18; 1 with MH-60R; 1 with EA-18G; 1 with E-2C/D; 1 with 9 F/A-18B Hornet; 90 F/A-18C Hornet; 30 F/A-18D
MH-60S Hornet; 290 F/A-18E Super Hornet; 270 F/A-18F Super
FORCES BY ROLE Hornet
FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK ASW 140: 65 P-3C Orion; 75 P-8A Poseidon
2 sqn with F/A-18C Hornet EW 131 EA-18G Growler*
19 sqn with F/A-18E Super Hornet ELINT 9 EP-3E Aries II
11 sqn with F/A-18F Super Hornet AEW&C 80: 50 E-2C Hawkeye; 30 E-2D Hawkeye
2 sqn with F-35C Lightning II C2 16 E-6B Mercury
ANTI-SUBMARINE WARFARE TKR 3: 1 KC-130R Hercules; 1 KC-130T Hercules; 1 KC-
11 sqn with MH-60R Seahawk 130J Hercules
1 ASW/CSAR sqn with HH-60H Seahawk TPT • Light 60: 4 Beech A200 King Air (C-12C Huron);
3 ASW/ISR sqn with MH-60R Seahawk; MQ-8B Fire 6 Beech A200 King Air (UC-12F Huron); 8 Beech A200
Scout King Air (UC-12M Huron); 33 C-2A Greyhound; 2 DHC-
ELINT 2 Beaver (U-6A); 7 SA-227-BC Metro III (C-26D)
1 sqn with EP-3E Aries II TRG 582: 44 T-6A Texan II; 232 T-6B Texan II; 7 T-38C
ELINT/ELECTRONIC WARFARE Talon; 55 T-44C Pegasus; 242 T-45C Goshawk; 2 TE-2C
13 sqn with EA-18G Growler Hawkeye
MARITIME PATROL HELICOPTERS
3 sqn with P-3C Orion ASW 225 MH-60R Seahawk
8 sqn with P-8A Poseidon MRH 271 MH-60S Knight Hawk (Multi Mission
1 sqn (forming) with P-8A Poseidon Support)
AIRBORNE EARLY WARNING & CONTROL MCM 28 MH-53E Sea Dragon
6 sqn with E-2C Hawkeye ISR 3 OH-58C Kiowa
3 sqn with E-2D Hawkeye CSAR 11 HH-60H Seahawk
North America 53
TPT 13: Heavy 2 CH-53E Sea Stallion; Medium 3 UH- MCM 7 MH-53E Sea Dragon
60L Black Hawk; Light 8: 5 UH-72A Lakota; 2 UH-1N CSAR 16 HH-60H Seahawk
North America
Iroquois; 1 UH-1Y Venom
TRG 119: 43 TH-57B Sea Ranger; 76 TH-57C Sea US Marine Corps 185,400
Ranger 3 Marine Expeditionary Forces (MEF), 3 Marine
UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES • ISR 91 Expeditionary Brigades (MEB), 7 Marine Expeditionary
Heavy 41: 1 MQ-4C Triton; 20 MQ-8B Fire Scout; 16 MQ- Units (MEU) drawn from 3 div. An MEU usually consists
8C Fire Scout; 4 RQ-4A Global Hawk (under evaluation of a battalion landing team (1 SF coy, 1 lt armd recce
and trials); Medium 35 RQ-2B Pioneer; Light 15 RQ- coy, 1 recce pl, 1 armd pl, 1 amph aslt pl, 1 inf bn, 1
21A Blackjack arty bty, 1 cbt engr pl), an aviation combat element (1
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES
medium-lift sqn with attached atk hel, FGA ac and AD
AAM • IR AIM-9M Sidewinder; IIR AIM-9X Sidewinder
assets) and a composite log bn, with a combined total of
II; SARH AIM-7 Sparrow; ARH AIM-120C-5/C-7/D
about 2,200 personnel. Composition varies with mission
AMRAAM
requirements
ASM AGM-65F Maverick; AGM-114B/K/M Hellfire;
APKWS FORCES BY ROLE
AShM AGM-84D Harpoon; AGM-119A Penguin 3 SPECIAL FORCES
ARM AGM-88B/C/E HARM/AARGM (see USSOCOM)
ALCM • Conventional AGM-84E/H/K SLAM/SLAM- MANOEUVRE
ER Reconnaissance
BOMBS 3 (MEF) recce coy
Laser-guided: GBU-10/12/16 Paveway II; GBU-24 Amphibious
Paveway III 1 (1st) mne div (2 armd recce bn, 1 recce bn, 1 tk bn, 2
INS/GPS guided: GBU-31/32/38 JDAM; Enhanced mne regt (4 mne bn), 1 mne regt (3 mne bn), 1 amph
Paveway II; GBU-54 Laser JDAM; AGM-154A/C/C-1 aslt bn, 1 arty regt (3 arty bn, 1 MRL bn), 1 cbt engr
JSOW bn, 1 EW bn, 1 int bn, 1 sigs bn)
1 (2nd) mne div (1 armd recce bn, 1 recce bn, 1 tk bn,
Naval Aviation Reserve 3 mne regt (3 mne bn), 1 amph aslt bn, 1 arty regt (2
FORCES BY ROLE arty bn), 1 cbt engr bn, 1 EW bn, 1 int bn, 1 sigs bn)
FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK 1 (3rd) mne div (1 recce bn, 1 inf regt (3 inf bn), 1 arty
1 sqn with F/A-18A+ Hornet regt (2 arty bn), 1 cbt spt bn (1 armd recce coy, 1 amph
ANTI-SUBMARINE WARFARE aslt coy, 1 cbt engr coy), 1 EW bn, 1 int bn, 1 sigs bn)
1 sqn with MH-60R Seahawk COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
ELECTRONIC WARFARE 3 log gp
1 sqn with EA-18G Growler
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
MARITIME PATROL
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
2 sqn with P-3C Orion
MBT 447 M1A1 Abrams
TRANSPORT
IFV 488 LAV-25
5 log spt sqn with B-737-700 (C-40A Clipper)
2 log spt sqn with Gulfstream III/IV (C-20D/G); APC • APC (W) 207 LAV variants (66 CP; 127 log; 14
Gulfstream V/G550 (C-37A/B) EW)
4 sqn with C-130T Hercules AAV 1,200 AAV-7A1 (all roles)
1 sqn with KC-130T Hercules AUV 2,429: 1,725 Cougar; 704 M-ATV
TRAINING ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
2 (aggressor) sqn with F-5F/N Tiger II AEV 42 M1 ABV
1 (aggressor) sqn with F/A-18A+ Hornet ARV 185: 60 AAVRA1; 45 LAV-R; 80 M88A1/2
TRANSPORT HELICOPTER MW 38 Buffalo; some Husky 2G
2 sqn with HH-60H Seahawk VLB 6 Joint Aslt Bridge
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE •
AIRCRAFT 77 combat capable MSL
FTR 31: 2 F-5F Tiger II; 29 F-5N Tiger II SP 106 LAV-AT
FGA 29 F/A-18A+ Hornet MANPATS FGM-148 Javelin; FGM-172B SRAW-MPV;
ASW 12 P-3C Orion TOW
EW 5 EA-18G Growler* ARTILLERY 1,452
TKR 5 KC-130T Hercules TOWED 812: 105mm: 331 M101A1; 155mm 481 M777A2
TPT 41: Medium 18 C-130T Hercules; PAX 23: 15 MRL 227mm 40 M142 HIMARS
B-737-700 (C-40A Clipper); 1 Gulfstream III (C-20D); MOR 600: 81mm 535 M252; SP 81mm 65 LAV-M; 120mm
3 Gulfstream IV (C-20G); 1 Gulfstream V (C-37A); 3 (49 EFSS in store for trg)
Gulfstream G550 (C-37B) UNMANNED AERIAL VEHCILES
HELICOPTERS ISR • Light 100 BQM-147 Exdrone
ASW 7 MH-60R Seahawk AIR DEFENCE • SAM • Point-defence FIM-92 Stinger
54 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
North America
ATK 37 AH-1W Cobra air forces provide the air component to CENTCOM,
TPT 32: Heavy 6 CH-53E Sea Stallion; Light 26 UH-1Y SOUTHCOM and NORTHCOM
Venom FORCES BY ROLE
UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES FIGHTER
ISR • Light 20 RQ-21A Blackjack 3 sqn with F-22A Raptor
Marine Stand-by Reserve 700 reservists FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
Trained individuals available for mobilisation 4 sqn with F-15E Strike Eagle
4 sqn with F-16C/D Fighting Falcon (+6 sqn personnel
only)
US Coast Guard 42,100 (military); 8,500
1 sqn with F-35A Lightning II
(civilian) 1 sqn with F-35A Lightning II (forming)
9 districts (4 Pacific, 5 Atlantic)
GROUND ATTACK
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE 3 sqn with A-10C Thunderbolt II (+1 sqn personnel
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 160 only)
PSOH 23: 1 Alex Haley; 13 Famous; 3 Hamilton; 6 Legend ELECTRONIC WARFARE
PCO 42: 14 Reliance (with 1 hel landing platform); 28 1 sqn with EA-18G Growler (personnel only – USN
Sentinel (Damen 4708) aircraft)
PCC 22 Island 2 sqn with EC-130H Compass Call
PBI 73 Marine Protector ISR
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 78 2 sqn with E-8C J-STARS (personnel only)
ABU 52: 16 Juniper; 4 WLI; 14 Keeper; 18 WLR 5 sqn with OC-135/RC-135/WC-135
AG 13: 1 Cosmos; 4 Pamlico; 8 Anvil 2 sqn with U-2S
AGB 12: 9 Bay; 1 Mackinaw; 1 Healy; 1 Polar (1 Polar in AIRBORNE EARLY WARNING & CONTROL
reserve) 5 sqn with E-3B/C/G Sentry
AXS 1 Eagle COMBAT SEARCH & RESCUE
2 sqn with HC-130J Combat King II
US Coast Guard Aviation 2 sqn with HH-60G Pave Hawk
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE TRAINING
AIRCRAFT 1 sqn with A-10C Thunderbolt II
SAR 20: 11 HC-130H Hercules; 9 HC-130J Hercules 1 sqn with E-3B/C Sentry
TPT 34: Medium 14 C-27J Spartan; Light 18 CN235-200 2 sqn with F-15E Strike Eagle
(HC-144A – MP role); PAX 2 Gulfstream V (C-37A) 1 sqn with F-22A Raptor
HELICOPTERS 1 sqn with RQ-4A Global Hawk; TU-2S
5 UAV sqn with MQ-9A Reaper
SAR 146: 44 MH-60T Jayhawk; 102 AS366G1 (MH-
COMBAT/ISR UAV
65C/D) Dauphin II
7 sqn with MQ-9A Reaper
2 sqn with RQ-170 Sentinel
US Air Force (USAF) 325,900 ISR UAV
Almost the entire USAF (plus active force ANG and AFR)
2 sqn with EQ-4B/RQ-4B Global Hawk
is divided into 10 Aerospace Expeditionary Forces (AEF),
each on call for 120 days every 20 months. At least 2 of the Pacific Air Forces (PACAF)
10 AEFs are on call at any one time, each with 10,000–15,000 Provides the air component of PACOM, and commands
personnel, 90 multi-role ftr and bbr ac, 31 intra-theatre air units based in Alaska, Hawaii, Japan and South
refuelling aircraft and 13 aircraft for ISR and EW missions Korea. 3 active air forces (5th, 7th, & 11th); 8 wg
Global Strike Command (GSC) FORCES BY ROLE
FIGHTER
2 active air forces (8th & 20th); 8 wg
2 sqn with F-15C/D Eagle
FORCES BY ROLE 2 sqn with F-22A Raptor (+1 sqn personnel only)
SURFACE-TO-SURFACE MISSILE FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
9 ICBM sqn with LGM-30G Minuteman III 5 sqn with F-16C/D Fighting Falcon
BOMBER GROUND ATTACK
4 sqn with B-1B Lancer 1 sqn with A-10C Thunderbolt II
2 sqn with B-2A Spirit AIRBORNE EARLY WARNING & CONTROL
5 sqn (incl 1 trg) with B-52H Stratofortress 2 sqn with E-3B/C Sentry
COMMAND & CONTROL COMBAT SEARCH & RESCUE
1 sqn with E-4B 1 sqn with HH-60G Pave Hawk
TRANSPORT HELICOPTER TANKER
3 sqn with UH-1N Iroquois 1 sqn with KC-135R (+1 sqn personnel only)
56 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
North America
1 sqn with F-22A Raptor (+1 sqn personnel only) only)
FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK 1 sqn with F-35A Lightning II (personnel only)
11 sqn with F-16C/D Fighting Falcon GROUND ATTACK
GROUND ATTACK 1 sqn with A-10C Thunderbolt II (+2 sqn personnel
4 sqn with A-10C Thunderbolt II only)
ISR ISR
1 sqn with E-8C J-STARS 1 (Weather Recce) sqn with WC-130J Hercules
COMBAT SEARCH & RESCUE AIRBORNE EARLY WARNING & CONTROL
1 sqn with HC-130P/N Combat King 1 sqn with E-3B/C Sentry (personnel only)
1 sqn with HC-130J Combat King II (forming) COMBAT SEARCH & RESCUE
1 sqn with MC-130P Combat Shadow 1 sqn with HC-130N Combat King
3 sqn with HH-60G Pave Hawk 2 sqn with HH-60G Pave Hawk
TANKER TANKER
17 sqn with KC-135R Stratotanker (+1 sqn personnel 4 sqn with KC-10A Extender (personnel only)
only) 7 sqn with KC-135R Stratotanker (+2 sqn personnel
3 sqn with KC-135T Stratotanker only)
TRANSPORT TRANSPORT
1 sqn with B-737-700 (C-40C) 1 (VIP) sqn with B-737-700 (C-40C)
6 sqn with C-17A Globemaster (+2 sqn personnel only) 2 sqn with C-5M Super Galaxy (+1 sqn personnel only)
12 sqn with C-130H Hercules 3 sqn with C-17A Globemaster (+9 sqn personnel only)
1 sqn with C-130H/LC-130H Hercules 6 sqn with C-130H Hercules
2 sqn with C-130J-30 Hercules 1 sqn with C-130J-30 Hercules
1 sqn with WC-130H Hercules 1 (Aerial Spray) sqn with C-130H Hercules
TRAINING TRAINING
1 sqn with C-130H Hercules 1 (aggressor) sqn with A-10C Thunderbolt II; F-15C/E
1 sqn with F-15C/D Eagle Eagle; F-16 Fighting Falcon; F-22A Raptor (personnel
4 sqn with F-16C/D Fighting Falcon only)
1 sqn with MQ-9A Reaper 1 sqn with A-10C Thunderbolt II
COMBAT/ISR UAV 1 sqn with B-52H Stratofortress
11 sqn with MQ-9A Reaper 1 sqn with C-5M Super Galaxy
1 sqn with F-16C/D Fighting Falcon
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
5 (flying training) sqn with T-1A Jayhawk; T-6A Texan
AIRCRAFT 579 combat capable
II; T-38C Talon (personnel only)
FTR 157: 127 F-15C Eagle; 10 F-15D Eagle; 20 F-22A
COMBAT/ISR UAV
Raptor
2 sqn with MQ-9A Reaper (personnel only)
FGA 336: 291 F-16C Fighting Falcon; 45 F-16D Fighting
ISR UAV
Falcon
1 sqn with RQ-4B Global Hawk (personnel only)
ATK 86 A-10C Thunderbolt II
ISR 16 E-8C J-STARS EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
ELINT 11 RC-26B Metroliner AIRCRAFT 126 combat capable
CSAR 10: 2 HC-130N Combat King; 3 HC-130P Combat BBR 18 B-52H Stratofortress
King; 5 HC-130J Combat King II FGA 53: 49 F-16C Fighting Falcon; 4 F-16D Fighting
TKR 172: 148 KC-135R Stratotanker; 24 KC-135T Falcon
Stratotanker ATK 55 A-10C Thunderbolt II
TPT 218: Heavy 50 C-17A Globemaster III; Medium ISR 10 WC-130J Hercules (Weather Recce)
165: 123 C-130H Hercules; 20 C-130J/J-30 Hercules; 10 CSAR 6 HC-130N Combat King
LC-130H Hercules; 4 MC-130P Combat Shadow; 8 WC- TKR 70 KC-135R Stratotanker
130H Hercules; PAX 3 B-737-700 (C-40C) TPT 104: Heavy 42: 16 C-5M Super Galaxy; 26 C-17A
HELICOPTERS • CSAR 18 HH-60G Pave Hawk Globemaster III; Medium 58: 48 C-130H Hercules; 10
UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES • CISR • Heavy 35 C-130J-30 Hercules; PAX 4 B-737-700 (C-40C)
HELICOPTERS • CSAR 16 HH-60G Pave Hawk
MQ-9A Reaper
Air Force Reserve Command 68,700 reservists Civil Reserve Air Fleet
Commercial ac numbers fluctuate
FORCES BY ROLE
AIRCRAFT • TPT 517 international (391 long-range and
BOMBER
126 short-range); 36 national
1 sqn with B-52H Stratofortress (personnel only)
FIGHTER Air Force Stand-by Reserve 16,858 reservists
2 sqn with F-22A Raptor (personnel only) Trained individuals for mobilisation
58 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
North America
Air National Guard DARPA’s Plan X programme has been funding research
FORCES BY ROLE on cyber warfare since 2013. According to the army, this
ELECTRONIC WARFARE ‘gives commanders a way to see and respond to key cyber
1 sqn with C-130J Hercules/EC-130J Commando Solo terrain in the same way they react to actions on the physical
ISR battlefield, and enables synchronizing cyber effects with
1 sqn with Beech 350ER King Air (MC-12W Liberty) key related war-fighting functions such as intelligence,
TRANSPORT signal, information operations and electronic warfare’.
1 flt with B-737-200 (C-32B) In October 2012, then-president Barack Obama signed
Presidential Policy Directive 20 (PPD-20), the purpose
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
of which was to establish clear standards for US federal
AIRCRAFT
agencies in confronting threats in cyberspace. Among
EW 3 EC-130J Commando Solo
other provisions, PPD-20 stated that presidential approval
ISR 13 Beech 350ER King Air (MC-12W Liberty)
is required for any cyber operations with ‘significant
TPT 5: Medium 3 C-130J Hercules; PAX 2 B-757-200
consequences’, although it was reported in August 2018
(C-32B)
that President Trump had rescinded the directive.
Air Force Reserve
FORCES BY ROLE DEPLOYMENT
TRAINING
AFGHANISTAN: NATO • Operations Resolute Support
1 sqn with AC-130U Spectre (personnel only)
8,475; 1 div HQ; 1 ARNG div HQ (fwd); 1 spec ops bn; 3
1 sqn with M-28 Skytruck (C-145A) (personnel only) inf bde(-); 1 inf bn; 1 ARNG inf bn; 1 mne regt(-); 1 arty
COMBAT/ISR UAV bty with M777A2; 1 ARNG MRL bty with M142 HIMARS;
1 sqn with MQ-9 Reaper (personnel only) 1 EOD bn; 1 (cbt avn) hel bde with AH-64E Apache; CH-
47F Chinook; UH-60 Black Hawk; 1 FGA sqn with F-16C
Cyber Fighting Falcon; 1 atk sqn with A-10C Thunderbolt II; 1 EW
The Department of Defense (DoD) released a new Cyber sqn with EC-130H Compass Call; 1 ISR gp with MC-12W
Strategy in September 2018. It said that China and Russia Liberty; 1 ISR unit with RC-12X Guardrail; 1 tpt sqn with
were conducting persistent campaigns in and through C-130J-30 Hercules; 1 CSAR sqn with HH-60G Pave Hawk;
cyberspace that posed a long-term strategic risk to the US 1 CISR UAV sqn with MQ-9A Reaper; 1 ISR UAV unit with
and its allies. The US, the document continued, ‘will defend RQ-21A Blackjack
forward to disrupt or halt malicious cyber activity at its US Central Command • Operation Freedom’s Sentinel 8,000
source, including activity that falls below the level of armed ARABIAN SEA: US Central Command • US Navy • 5th
conflict’. The same month, the US released a National Cyber Fleet: 1 SSGN; 1 DDGHM; 1 LSD; Combined Maritime
Strategy that said as well as US vulnerability to peacetime Forces • TF 53: 1 AE; 2 AKE; 1 AOH; 3 AO
cyber attacks, the ‘risk is growing’ that adversaries ‘will
ARUBA: US Southern Command • 1 Forward Operating
conduct cyber attacks against the United States during a
Location
crisis short of war’.
Cyber Command was elevated to the level of a unified ASCENSION ISLAND: US Strategic Command • 1
combatant command in May 2018 (it was previously a sub- detection and tracking radar at Ascension Auxiliary Air
unified command under US Strategic Command), and the Field
DoD is continuing to examine the possibility of separating ATLANTIC OCEAN: US Northern Command • US Navy
Cyber Command from the National Security Agency. • 2nd Fleet: 6 SSBN; 20 SSGN; 4 CVN; 10 CGHM; 11
Cyber Command requested a budget of US$647m DDGHM; 7 DDGM; 3 FFHM; 3 PCF; 2 LHD; 3 LPD;
for FY2018, representing a 16% increase on the previous 5 LSD
year. Its Cyber Mission Force (CMF) of 133 teams reached AUSTRALIA: US Pacific Command • 1,500; 1 SEWS at Pine
IOC in October 2016 and the DoD said in May 2018 that Gap; 1 comms facility at Pine Gap; 1 SIGINT stn at Pine
it had reached FOC in May 2018. The air force plans to Gap; US Strategic Command • 1 detection and tracking
merge offensive and defensive cyber operations into a radar at Naval Communication Station Harold E Holt
full-spectrum cyber capability called the Cyber Operations BAHRAIN: US Central Command • 5,000; 1 HQ (5th
Squadron by 2026. In June, the DoD published a new Fleet); 2 AD bty with MIM-104E/F Patriot PAC-2/3
edition of the joint doctrinal paper that defines the roles and
BELGIUM: US European Command • 900
responsibilities for cyberspace operations conducted by
the US armed forces. A month later, the air force formally BOSNIA-HERZEGOVINA: OSCE • Bosnia and
initiated the request-for-proposal process to develop a Herzegovina 6
cyber-weapons system for US Cyber Command, known BRITISH INDIAN OCEAN TERRITORY: US Strategic
as the ‘Unified Platform’. High-level DoD cyber exercises Command • 300; 1 Spacetrack Optical Tracker at Diego
include the defence-focused Cyber Flag and Cyber Garcia; 1 ground-based electro-optical deep space
Guard series, which involve broader actors from across surveillance system (GEODSS) at Diego Garcia
60 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
US Pacific Command • 1 MPS sqn (MPS-2 with GUAM: US Pacific Command • 6,000; 4 SSGN; 1 MPS
equipment for one MEB) at Diego Garcia with 2 AKRH; 3 sqn (MPS-3 with equipment for one MEB) with 2
AKR; 1 AKEH; 1 ESD; 1 naval air base at Diego Garcia, 1 AKRH; 4 AKR; 1 ESD; 1 AKEH; 1 bbr sqn with 6 B-52H
support facility at Diego Garcia Stratofortress; 1 tkr sqn with 12 KC-135R Stratotanker; 1 tpt
BULGARIA: US European Command • 150; 1 armd inf coy hel sqn with MH-60S; 1 SAM bty with THAAD; 1 air base;
with M1A2 SEPv2 Abrams; M2A3 Bradley 1 naval base
CAMEROON: US Africa Command • 300; MQ-1C Gray HONDURAS: US Southern Command • 380; 1 avn bn
Eagle with CH-47F Chinook; UH-60 Black Hawk
CANADA: US Northern Command • 150 HUNGARY: US European Command • 100; 1 armd recce
tp; M3 Bradley
CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC: UN • MINUSCA 8
IRAQ: US Central Command • Operation Inherent Resolve
COLOMBIA: US Southern Command • 50 5,000; 1 div HQ; 1 cav bde(-); 1 EOD pl; 1 atk hel sqn with
CUBA: US Southern Command • 1,000 (JTF-GTMO) at AH-64D Apache
Guantánamo Bay ISRAEL: US Strategic Command • 1 AN/TPY-2 X-band
CURACAO: US Southern Command • 1 Forward radar at Mount Keren
Operating Location ITALY: US European Command • 12,750
DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO: UN • US Army 4.200; 1 AB bde(-)
MONUSCO 3 US Navy 4,000; 1 HQ (US Navy Europe (USNAVEUR))
DJIBOUTI: US Africa Command • 4,700; 1 tpt sqn with at Naples; 1 HQ (6th Fleet) at Gaeta; 1 MP sqn with 4
C-130H/J-30 Hercules; 1 spec ops sqn with MC-130H/J; PC- P-8A Poseidon at Sigonella
12 (U-28A); 1 CSAR sqn with HH-60G Pave Hawk; 1 CISR USAF 4,350; 1 ftr wg with 2 ftr sqn with 21 F-16C/D
UAV sqn with MQ-9A Reaper; 1 naval air base Fighting Falcon at Aviano; 1 CSAR sqn with 8 HH-60G
Pave Hawk at Aviano
EGYPT: MFO 454; elm 1 ARNG recce bn; 1 ARNG spt bn
USMC 200
EL SALVADOR: US Southern Command • 1 Forward
JAPAN: US Pacific Command • 53,900
Operating Location (Military, DEA, USCG and Customs
US Army 2,700; 1 corps HQ (fwd); 1 SF gp; 1 avn bn; 1
personnel)
SAM bn
GERMANY: US Africa Command • 1 HQ at Stuttgart US Navy 20,250; 1 HQ (7th Fleet) at Yokosuka; 1 base at
US European Command • 37,950; 1 Combined Service Sasebo; 1 base at Yokosuka
HQ (EUCOM) at Stuttgart–Vaihingen FORCES BY ROLE
US Army 23,000
3 FGA sqn at Iwakuni with 10 F/A-18E Super Hornet;
FORCES BY ROLE
1 FGA sqn at Iwakuni with 10 F/A-18F Super Hornet; 2
1 HQ (US Army Europe (USAREUR)) at Heidelberg; 1 EW sqn at Iwakuni/Misawa with 5 EA-18G Growler; 1
div HQ (fwd); 1 SF gp; 1 recce bn; 2 armd bn; 1 mech AEW&C sqn at Iwakuni with 5 E-2D Hawkeye; 2 ASW
bde(-); 1 fd arty bn; 1 (cbt avn) hel bde(-); 1 (cbt avn) hel sqn at Atsugi with 12 MH-60R; 1 tpt hel sqn at
hel bde HQ; 1 int bde; 1 MP bde; 1 sigs bde; 1 spt bde; Atsugi with 12 MH-60S
1 (APS) armd bde eqpt set EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
1 CVN; 3 CGHM; 2 DDGHM; 8 DDGM (2 non-op); 1
M1A2 SEPv2 Abrams; M2A3/M3A3 Bradley; M1296 LCC; 4 MCO; 1 LHD; 1 LPD; 2 LSD
Stryker Dragoon, M109A6; M777A2; AH-64D Apache; USAF 12,150
CH-47F Chinook; UH-60M Black Hawk; HH-60M Black FORCES BY ROLE
Hawk
US Navy 500 1 HQ (5th Air Force) at Okinawa – Kadena AB; 1 ftr
USAF 13,100 wg at Misawa AB with (2 ftr sqn with 22 F-16C/D
Fighting Falcon); 1 wg at Okinawa – Kadena AB with
FORCES BY ROLE
(2 ftr sqn with 27 F-15C/D Eagle; 1 ftr sqn with 14
1 HQ (US Air Force Europe (USAFE)) at Ramstein F-22A Raptor; 1 tkr sqn with 15 KC-135R Stratotanker;
AB; 1 HQ (3rd Air Force) at Ramstein AB; 1 ftr wg 1 AEW&C sqn with 2 E-3B/C Sentry; 1 CSAR sqn with
at Spangdahlem AB with 1 ftr sqn with 24 F-16C/D 10 HH-60G Pave Hawk); 1 tpt wg at Yokota AB with 10
Fighting Falcon; 1 tpt wg at Ramstein AB with 14 C-130J-30 Hercules; 3 Beech 1900C (C-12J); 1 Spec Ops
C-130J-30 Hercules; 2 Gulfstream V (C-37A); 5 Learjet gp at Okinawa – Kadena AB with (1 sqn with 5 MC-
35A (C-21A); 1 B-737-700 (C-40B) 130H Combat Talon; 1 sqn with 5 MC-130J Commando
USMC 1,350 II; 1 unit with 5 CV-22 Osprey); 1 ISR sqn with RC-135
GREECE: US European Command • 400; 1 naval base at Rivet Joint; 1 ISR UAV flt with 5 RQ-4A Global Hawk
Makri; 1 naval base at Souda Bay; 1 air base at Iraklion USMC 18,800
GREENLAND (DNK): US Strategic Command • 160; 1 AN/ FORCES BY ROLE
FPS-132 Upgraded Early Warning Radar and 1 Spacetrack 1 mne div; 1 mne regt HQ; 1 arty regt HQ; 1 recce
Radar at Thule bn; 1 mne bn; 1 amph aslt bn; 1 arty bn; 1 FGA sqn
North America 61
with 12 F/A-18C Hornet; 1 FGA sqn with 12 F/A-18D PERSIAN GULF: US Central Command • US Navy • 5th
Hornet; 1 FGA sqn with 12 F-35B Lightning II; 1 tkr sqn Fleet: 1 CGHM; 1 LHA; 1 LPD; 1 LSD; 10 PCFG; 6 (Coast
North America
with 15 KC-130J Hercules; 2 tpt sqn with 12 MV-22B Guard) PCC
Osprey Combined Maritime Forces • CTF-152: 4 MCO; 1 ESB
US Strategic Command • 1 AN/TPY-2 X-band radar at PHILIPPINES: US Pacific Command • Operation Pacific
Shariki; 1 AN/TPY-2 X-Band radar at Kyogamisaki Eagle - Philippines 250
JORDAN: US Central Command • Operation Inherent POLAND: NATO • Enhanced Forward Presence 774; 1
Resolve 2,300: 1 FGA sqn with 12 F-15E Strike Eagle; 1 CISR ARNG armd bn with M1A1 AIM Abrams; M2A2 ODS
UAV sqn with 12 MQ-9A Reaper Bradley; M109A6
KOREA, REPUBLIC OF: US Pacific Command • 28,500 US European Command • 2,100; 1 armd bde HQ; 1 armd
US Army 19,200 cav sqn(-) with M1A2 SEPv2 Abrams; M3A3 Bradley; 1 SP
arty bn with M109A6; 1 atk hel flt with 4 AH-64D Apache;
FORCES BY ROLE
1 tpt hel flt with 8 UH-60 Black Hawk
1 HQ (8th Army) at Seoul; 1 div HQ (2nd Inf) located
PORTUGAL: US European Command • 250; 1 spt facility
at Tongduchon; 1 armd bde; 1 (cbt avn) hel bde; 1
at Lajes
MRL bde; 1 AD bde; 1 SAM bty with THAAD
QATAR: US Central Command • 10,000: 1 bbr sqn
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
with 6 B-1B Lancer; 1 ISR sqn with 4 RC-135 Rivet Joint;
M1A2 SEPv2 Abrams; M2A2/M3A3 Bradley; M109A6; 1 ISR sqn with 4 E-8C JSTARS; 1 tkr sqn with 24 KC-
M270A1 MLRS; AH-64D Apache; CH-47F Chinook; 135R/T Straotanker; 1 tpt sqn with 4 C-17A Globemaster; 4
UH-60L/M Black Hawk; MIM-104 Patriot; FIM-92A C-130H/J-30 Hercules; 2 AD bty with MIM-104E/F Patriot
Avenger; 1 (APS) armd bde eqpt set PAC-2/3
US Navy 250 US Strategic Command • 1 AN/TPY-2 X-band radar
USAF 8,800 ROMANIA: US European Command • 1,150; 1 armd inf
FORCES BY ROLE bn HQ; 2 armd/armd inf coy with M1A2 SEPv2 Abrams;
1 (AF) HQ (7th Air Force) at Osan AB; 1 ftr wg at M2A3 Bradley; 1 tpt hel flt with UH-60L Black Hawk
Osan AB with (1 ftr sqn with 20 F-16C/D Fighting SAUDI ARABIA: US Central Command • 500
Falcon; 1 atk sqn with 24 A-10C Thunderbolt II); 1 ftr SERBIA : NATO • KFOR • Joint Enterprise 685; elm 1
wg at Kunsan AB with (2 ftr sqn with 20 F-16C/D ARNG inf bde HQ; 1 recce bn; 1 hel flt with UH-60; OSCE
Fighting Falcon); 1 ISR sqn at Osan AB with U-2S • Kosovo 5
USMC 250
SINGAPORE: US Pacific Command • 200; 1 log spt sqn; 1
KUWAIT: US Central Command • 14,000; 1 ARNG armd spt facility
bde; 1 ARNG (cbt avn) hel bde; 1 spt bde; 1 FGA sqn with SOMALIA: US Africa Command • 500
12 F-16C Fighting Falcon; 1 tpt sqn with 12 MV-22B Osprey;
SOUTH SUDAN: UN • UNMISS 7
1 CISR UAV sqn with MQ-9A Reaper; 2 AD bty with MIM-
104E/F Patriot PAC-2/3; 1 (APS) armd bde set; 1 (APS) inf SPAIN: US European Command • 3,200; 1 air base at
bde set Morón; 1 naval base at Rota
LATVIA: US European Command • 60; 1 tpt hel flt; 5 UH- SYRIA: US Central Command • Operation Inherent Resolve
60M Black Hawk 2,000+; 1 ranger unit; 1 mne bn; 1 arty bty with M777A2; 1
MRL bty with M142 HIMARS
LIBYA: UN • UNSMIL 1 obs
THAILAND: US Pacific Command • 300
MALI: UN • MINUSMA 24
TURKEY: US European Command • 1,700; 1 tkr sqn with
MARSHALL ISLANDS: US Strategic Command • 1 14 KC-135; 1 ELINT flt with EP-3E Aries II; 1 air base at
detection and tracking radar at Kwajalein Atoll Incirlik; 1 support facility at Ankara; 1 support facility at
MEDITERRANEAN SEA: US European Command • US Izmir
Navy • 6th Fleet: 2 DDGHM; 6 DDGM; 1 LPD; 1 LCC US Strategic Command • 1 AN/TPY-2 X-band radar at
MIDDLE EAST: UN • UNTSO 2 obs Kürecik
MOLDOVA: OSCE • Moldova 1 UKRAINE: JMTG-U 220 (trg mission); OSCE • Ukraine 70
UNITED ARAB EMIRATES: US Central Command • 5,000:
NETHERLANDS: US European Command • 400
1 ftr sqn with 6 F-22A Raptor; 1 ISR sqn with 4 U-2; 1
NIGER: US Africa Command • 800 AEW&C sqn with 4 E-3 Sentry; 1 tkr sqn with 12 KC-10A;
NORWAY: US European Command • 1,000; 1 mne bn; 1 1 ISR UAV sqn with RQ-4 Global Hawk; 2 AD bty with
(USMC) MEU eqpt set; 1 (APS) SP 155mm arty bn set MIM-104E/F Patriot PAC-2/3
PACIFIC OCEAN: US Pacific Command • US Navy • 3rd UNITED KINGDOM: US European Command • 9,250
Fleet: 8 SSBN; 21 SSGN; 4 SSN; 4 CVN; 10 CGHM; 21 FORCES BY ROLE
DDGHM; 6 DDGM; 9 FFHM; 3 MCO; 1 LHA; 3 LHD; 5 1 ftr wg at RAF Lakenheath with 1 ftr sqn with 24
LPD; 3 LSD F-15C/D Eagle, 2 ftr sqn with 23 F-15E Strike Eagle; 1 ISR
62 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
North America
Selected events in 2018
In June, Northrop Grumman acquired Orbital ATK for ity, and a less skilled workforce. The health of the
US$7.8bn and assumed US$1.4bn of debt. Orbital country’s ‘lower tier’ manufacturers and the United
ATK is the main supplier of solid rocket motors for States’ dependence on foreign sole-source suppliers
US military missile systems and Northrop Grumman of key materials, such as rare earth elements, were
is one of four US companies capable of supplying highlighted as risks for the future. The report made
missile systems. The US Federal Trade Commission a number of recommendations, including strength-
approved the acquisition, provided that Northrop ening oversight of foreign investments, expand-
Grumman sell solid rocket motors to other missile ing direct investment in lower-tier manufacturing,
manufacturers on a non-discriminatory basis. Orbital diversifying sources of supply and efforts to promote
will become a division of Northrop Grumman and be STEM.
renamed Northrop Grumman Innovation Systems. In October, Canada selected the vessel for its Cana-
In September, the US Air Force selected the MH-139 dian Surface Combatant programme. The Lockheed
helicopter offered by Boeing and Leonardo to replace Martin Canada and BAE Systems Global Combat Ship
its fleet of UH-1N Hueys used by forces guarding design is based on the United Kingdom’s Type-26
intercontinental-ballistic-missile sites and perform- frigate. Canada plans to build 15 vessels at an esti-
ing VIP and search-and-rescue duties. The other two mated cost of C$56–60bn (US$43.4–46.5bn). Halifax-
contenders were based on the omnipresent UH-60 based Irving Shipbuilding is the prime contractor, and
Black Hawk. Boeing was awarded a US$2.4bn con- deliveries are expected to begin in the mid-2020s.
tract in September to supply up to 84 MH-139s. L-3 Technologies and Harris Corporation announced
The Department of Defense published a report in in October that they were to merge and form L-3
September on the US defence-industrial base, con- Harris Technologies. The companies state that this
cluding that it faced significant challenges, includ- will create the sixth-largest defence company in the
ing uncertain US government spending, a decline US. The merger has to be approved by various gov-
in domestic manufacturing capability and capac- ernment offices but could be completed by mid-2019.
North America
The US Navy (USN) had taken delivery of over 70 P-8A
aircraft by mid-2018. Although there have been some
delays (it took 18 months for full-rate production to begin),
production was by mid-2018 months ahead of schedule. The
P-8A is derived from a pre-existing and tested design –
Boeing’s 737-800 commercial airliner. Military
specifications are incorporated during the normal build
process instead of being retrofitted. This process, called
‘in-line production’ by Boeing, is, in combination with
additional pre-delivery flights, reported to have saved
several millions of dollars from unit costs. Also, the USN
has for the P-8A adopted a ‘Spiral Development’ acquisition
process, where capability elements are defined early and
are then bought, tested and added incrementally. This
allows the aircraft to more rapidly reach initial operating
capability as well as generating savings from a more (New Zealand, Saudi Arabia and South Korea). The FY2011
predictable build schedule. Foreign sales have also helped, US Defense Budget Request noted 117 P-8As with an
with four confirmed customers (Australia, India, Norway average unit cost estimated at US$229.45 million. This had
and the United Kingdom) and three more sales pending decreased to US$206.23m in the FY2019 request.
1992: Two LRAACA 2012: First USN 2013: Full Rate 2017: First 2021: Final
prototypes to be P-8A to be Production (FRP) Australian and USN P-8A to
delivered delivered planned to begin Indian P-8s to be delivered
be delivered
Planned
Actual
1987: US request 1990: 2000: MMA 2011: First 2014: FRP 2016: First 2016: UK
for proposals for LRAACA programme USN P-8A begins Australian orders nine
Long-Range Air cancelled created delivered and Indian P-8As
ASW Capability P-8s
Aircraft (LRAACA) delivered
Chapter Five
80 12
US$bn, constant 2010
Year-on-year % change
60 4
40 -4
20 -12
0 -20
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Russia
Tajikistan – 5,000
Russia
Syria – 5,000 Russia
Armenia – 3,300
Short-range ballistic missile Attack helicopters, 2018 Tactical combat aircraft fleets,
launchers, 2018 2018
150 400 900
850
120 320
200
90 60
150
60 40
100
30 20
50
0 0 0
Russia – Army
Belarus
Ukraine
Armenia
Turkmenistan
Kazakhstan
Russia – Navy
Azerbaijan
Russia
Ukraine
Uzbekistan
Azerbaijan
Kazakhstan
Belarus
Turkmenistan
Armenia
Georgia
Tajikistan
Kyrgyzstan
and counter-propaganda, patriotic education and systems. Some of these were hitherto publicly
psychological support for the armed forces. The unknown. Burevestnik, a nuclear-powered ultra-long-
creation of these new organisations shows that the range cruise missile, is currently in test. According
Russian command has sharpened its attention on to Russian reports, Peresvet mobile lasers have been
confrontation in the information domain. observed at Strategic Rocket Forces bases. A squadron
of modernised MiG-31 fighters equipped with the
Personnel Kinzhal hypersonic air-to-surface missile (modelled
As a result of Russia’s demographic crisis of the on the 9M723 (SS-26 Stone) ballistic missile from the
1990s, the number of young men each year reaching Iskander-M system) is undergoing operational testing
draft age remains low. Nonetheless, according to in the Southern Military District, in the Caspian Sea
official statements, in 2017 the armed forces reached area. Less still is known about Poseidon, a nuclear-
95% of target strength. This is the result of the high powered uninhabited underwater vehicle.
S-300PM1 (SA-20 Gargoyle) surface-to-air missile 2018, both regiments of the navy’s carrier-based
(SAM) systems with S-400s. The modernisation of fighters were training in Crimea.
Belbek airfield is the largest infrastructure project on Meanwhile, plans to boost Russia’s military
the Crimean Peninsula. Once the second runway is presence in the Arctic have slowed and a new
complete, the airfield will be able to receive all types Arctic motor-rifle brigade intended for the Yamal
of strategic-aviation assets. In addition, a squadron Peninsula in northwest Siberia has been put on hold.
of Tu-22M3 Backfire bombers equipped with anti- However, there are plans to build, before the end of
ship missiles (possibly Kh-32s) may be permanently 2019, a small air-defence base near Tiksi on Russia’s
stationed there, making the peninsula even more northeast coast; there was a base near Tiksi during
important to Moscow in asserting its control over the the Cold War.
Black Sea. At the same time, recent investments in Arctic
Another significant development is the return of airfields have proved their worth. After modernisation,
Russian carrier aviation to the NITKA land-based in 2018 a Tu-160 Blackjack strategic bomber was for the
carrier simulator in Crimea. Before the peninsula first time able to land at Anadyr airfield in Chukotka.
was annexed, a new training centre was being built In the same year, a group of Tu-142 anti-submarine
by Russia in Yeysk, on the shores of the Sea of Azov, aircraft flew over the North Pole to the shores of
though this was not completed. During summer Alaska for the first time in some years. The provision
agencies and departments – as well as actors at federal, Management Centre (NDMC), sometimes also known as
regional and local levels – and between civilian and the National Defence Control Centre. Mikhail Mizintsev,
military authorities. The armed forces have criticised the commander of the NDMC, has stated that the armed
civilian authorities for their lack of readiness, for example, forces must be ready to react quickly to crises without
and their slow implementation of military orders, as having to endure a prolonged transition to a war footing
well as noting more practical problems in terms of – in other words, the goal is to minimise the mobilisation
logistics, transport, reconnaissance and communications. gap. The NDMC, which opened in 2014, facilitates
Indeed, in many ways, this is a reminder that Russia is this and has an extensive remit. It has three levels of
not monolithic, and that numerous vested interests command: a supreme command centre, which controls
throughout the chain of command and across the various the strategic nuclear forces; a combat command centre,
parts of the state mean that the orchestration of Russian which monitors the global political–military situation
state power is not always harmonious. and provides forecasting and analysis; and a centre that
Recognising such problems, the authorities have looked oversees everyday activities, coordinating the work
to improve information management and synchronisation. of security ministries and departments in peacetime,
Measures have included major exercises that not only including the Interior Ministry, foreign- and military-
rehearse rapid deployments over long distances, but also intelligence organisations, the Ministry of Emergencies
bring together actors from across the state, such as the and the Federal Security Service’s Border Guards. Indeed,
central bank and various ministries, including transport, all defence-related information flows are narrowed into
communications, health and agriculture. this single channel, to enable all military movement
Similarly, there have been strategic policing exercises, in Russia and international defence and security
such as Zaslon 2015, while the armed forces have developments to be tracked in real time.
exercised with the National Guard – a force established As the hub of a nationwide network of such centres,
in 2016 to combine the interior troops, special-forces the NDMC is intended to unify all existing command
and rapid-response troops, and other non-military and monitoring systems across Russia and act as a single
armed forces in Russia – to rehearse the protection of point of coordination for information and control over all
strategically important locations (such as energy, industry agencies. It also oversees information and cyber security,
and transport centres) against saboteurs and terrorists. and monitors social networks, unrest and protests. Since
Territorial-defence staffs are also being established to being commissioned, the NDMC has also supervised
improve coordination between regional and military equipment modernisation, strategic exercises and
authorities. combat operations in Syria. It represents a new stage in
Perhaps the most important development, however, the attempt to enhance and improve Russian command
has been the establishment of the National Defence and control.
172 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
of
▼anti-submarine capability
Map 3 Russian forces in this2018
in Crimea, sensitive region is increasingly a concern for Moscow.
Selected Russian equipment in Crimea
UKRAINE Mariupol
Name Type
T-72B3 MBT Melitopol
BTR-82A APC (W) Yeysk
Berdyansk
Su-30SM Flanker FGA ac
ersonSu-27SM Flanker FGA ac
S-400 (SA-21 Growler) SAM
3K55 Bastion (SSC-5 Stooge) AShM
3K60 Bal (SSC-6 Sennight) AShM
Sea of Azov
Navy Air force VDV
Main roads Main railroads 39th Helicopter Regiment
De facto boundary between
Russian-occupied Crimea and
Dzhankoy 382nd Naval RUSSIA
mainland Ukraine
171st Airborne Battalion Infantry Battalion
37th Mixed Aviation Regiment
43rd Mixed
Aviation Regiment Kerch
31st Air Defence Division
Yevpatoriya
8th Artillery Regiment
Potential strike
range of MiG-31 UKRAINE
equipped with
Kinzhal missile
Mariupol
Melitopol
Kherson
Berdyansk Yeysk
RUSSIA
Crimea-based aircraft could also be armed with the
130 km range Kh-35 (AS-20 Kayak) AShM and the Sea of Azov
260 km range Kh-35U (AS-20 Kayak) AShM Dzhankoy
Kerch
Yevpatoriya
Simferopol Novorossiysk
Sevastopol Gelendzhik
S-400 system: S-400 system: S-400 system: S-400 system: 3K60 Bal (SSC-6A 3K60 Bal (SSC-6 3K55 Bastion
40N6 surface- 48N6D surface- 9M96-2 surface- 9M96 surface- Sennight) coastal- Sennight) coastal- (SSC-5 Stooge)
to-air missile to-air missile to-air missile to-air missile defence cruise missile defence cruise missile coastal-defence
(improved version in cruise missile
*Potential ranges marked from notional location development)
© IISS
Russia and Eurasia 173
District in 2018. Further production of the Tornado-S However, the emphasis for the VKS remains
300 mm multiple-rocket launcher appears to have the development and acquisition of a variety of
been complicated by a legal case brought against the stand-off air-to-surface weapons for the bomber
manufacturer in July by the defence ministry. fleet. As well as continuing to buy the Kh-101/
Kh-102 (AS-23A/B Kodiak) long-range cruise missile,
Aerospace forces the development of both shorter- and apparently
The Russian Aerospace Forces (VKS) continued longer-range land-attack weapons is under way.
during 2018 to absorb the lessons from their ongoing The Kh-50 designation has been associated with a
involvement in Syria and to come to terms with smaller cruise missile likely intended for internal
the more modest ambitions of Russia’s latest State carriage on aircraft whose weapons bay will not
Armament Programme (SAP 2018–27). accommodate the larger Kh-101. Boosting the
Besides allowing new and upgraded aircraft and inventory of short-range air-launched precision-
heritage from the Novator 3M10 Granat (SS-N-21 Sampson) shipping container. An air-launched derivative has also been Frigates Admiral Grigorovich
subsonic cruise missile, first deployed in 1986. The 3M14 has advertised as a possible development. Gepard
Gremyashchiy
Vasily Bykov
▼ Figure 11 Russia: Kalibr missile family
© IISS
*Club-K is a containerised system (using commercial ISO 20/40) and may also be mounted on ship decks
Russia and Eurasia 175
proceeding slowly. Nonetheless, the first of the In 2018, the Strategic Rocket Forces completed the
improved Project 08851 Yasen-M-class submarines rearmament of three missile divisions with the RS-24
began sea trials in September 2018. Programmes to Yars (SS-27 mod 2) ICBM. The plan remains to replace
modernise the capabilities of a range of legacy large all RS-12M Topol (SS-25 Sickle) and RS-12M2 Topol-M
surface platforms also continue, at a relatively slow (SS-27 mod 1) ICBMs with Yars by 2021, though
pace. achieving this looks unlikely, given the production
Also after a considerable delay, in June the navy rates that would be required. Nonetheless, thanks to
commissioned the amphibious landing ship Ivan the rapid acquisition of new missiles, the Strategic
Gren, some 14 years after construction of the vessel Rocket Forces stand out as the most advanced branch
began. A relatively modest 120 metres in length and of the Russian armed forces: as of 2018, some 79% of
displacing just 6,600 tonnes, the ship nevertheless its weapons were classed as ‘new’.
represents a considerable improvement over the
Belarus
Ukraine
Moldova
Kazakhstan
Georgia Uzbekistan
Kyrgyzstan
Armenia Azerbaijan
Turkmenistan
Tajikistan
revealed in July 2018, spending on ‘national defence’ In 2017, an additional factor led to a reduction
(the budget chapter covering the defence ministry’s in the reported level of spending. As part of its
military outlays) will increase to a modest extent in campaign to tighten contract discipline and effective
nominal terms in 2019–21. However, it is due to fall use of budget funding, the defence ministry decided
as a share of GDP from almost 2.9% in 2018 to 2.6% late in the year to withhold payments to defence
in 2021, resulting in a share of total military spending companies until contracts for the delivery of new
of approximately 3.6%. This corresponds to its level weapons had been completed. The outcome was that
before the start of the SAP to 2020. more than 200bn roubles (US$3.4bn) was withheld,
Understanding the trend of Russian military
spending has been complicated by technical factors
that have affected the reported defence budget. ▼ Figure 12 Russia: estimated total military
In 2016 and 2017, the ‘national defence’ chapter expenditure as % of GDP
included substantial sums to cover past debts to
5 4.83
the defence industry under the system of state- 4.45
guaranteed credits. This was used to boost spending 3.81
4.07 4.03 4.00
4
in the early years of the SAP. The debt settlement
amounted to 792 billion roubles (US$11.8bn) in 2016
3
% of GDP
leading to a 6% underspend compared with the investment directly related to the deployment of new
total federal budget allocation to ‘national defence’ weapons. It is not known what share of the ministry’s
in 2017. The withheld payments were disbursed in allocation relates to the first five years of the SAP,
the early months of 2018, leading to an overspend but it is probably much more than the 31% allocated
that was not foreseen when the year’s budget was under the previous SAP to 2020. However, this time,
adopted. An amended version of the budget law for probably because of the tense international situation,
2018 was adopted in early July and this increased there has been no indication of the number of new
the allocation to ‘national defence’ by about 245bn systems to be delivered under the programme.
roubles (US$3.9bn), covering additional outlays As before, strategic missiles have first priority.
relating to the 2017 state defence order. The budget Acquisition of the RS-24 Yars (SS-27 mod 2)
was amended again in November but with only a intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) will continue,
modest increase in defence spending. It remains to be and from around 2020 the new RS-28 Sarmat (SS-X-29)
It is clear that the navy will receive very few, if and intrusive monitoring, the procurement process
any, heavy surface ships before 2027. More Project should lead to fewer diversions of funding to other
22350 frigates and Project 20380 corvettes will purposes and corruption associated with arms
be built, plus some new Project 20386 corvettes procurement. In response to sanctions, a specialised
and a larger number of small missile ships armed lead bank, Promsvyazbank – organised so as to
with Kalibr and Oniks cruise missiles. Submarine minimise its vulnerability to sanction pressures – has
building will focus on completing the series of been designated the principal bank for servicing the
Project 995A Borey-A ballistic-missile boats armed state defence order.
with Bulava missiles and Project 08851 Yasen-M
multi-role submarines, though from the early Arms exports
2020s construction is expected to begin on the In 2017, for the third year running, Russian arms-
first Khaski-class successor. The building of new manufacturing firms signed contracts totalling
non-nuclear submarines depends, to a large extent, approximately US$15bn. Once again, sales of aircraft
on whether Russia is finally able to produce a viable and air-defence systems accounted for a large
air-independent propulsion unit. proportion of total exports. By July 2018, China had
received a regimental set of S-400s, while a deal for
Defence industry the system worth a reported US$2.5bn was concluded
Rogozin now heads the state corporation for the with Turkey, notwithstanding NATO opposition,
space-missile industry, Roscosmos, which was with deliveries to begin in late 2019 or early 2020.
established in August 2015. This is now undergoing India has signed a contract for the S-400, while
a major reorganisation, with the aim of improving several other countries, including Iraq, Saudi Arabia
efficiency after a series of costly launch failures. and Qatar, have expressed interest in buying it. Most
The vast state corporation Rostec, headed by of the 24 Su-35 fighters sold to China in November
Sergey Chemezov, uniting 700 enterprises grouped 2015 have been delivered, while in February 2018 a
into 15 holding companies, looks set to absorb the deal worth US$1.14bn was concluded with Indonesia
United Aircraft Corporation as an additional holding for 11 Su-35s. India and Malaysia have also expressed
company, achieving full control of the entire aviation interest in buying the aircraft. There is an expectation
industry – fixed wing, helicopters, engines and that Russia’s use of a wide range of weaponry in
avionics. Reorganisation of the United Shipbuilding Syria will boost export sales.
Corporation now also seems likely, as it is one of the
least effective corporate structures of the defence BELARUS
sector. The building of many new naval ships has
been subject to long delays. Belarus’s armed forces are slowly completing their
A significant development for the defence industry long transformation from the force that separated
was the adoption in late 2017 of a government decree from the Soviet military into those of a middle-
establishing new pricing principles for military sized European country. While official documents
products developed and produced under the state underline the still-close military alliance with Russia,
defence order. It is designed as a cost-saving measure Minsk’s position is more nuanced. In general, this
and should increase profits for defence contractors, stems from ad hoc decisions rather than deliberate
making possible the financing of more investment policies by either Minsk or Moscow. Belarus lacks the
and re-equipping from company earnings rather funds for significant military investments and has its
than budget sources. It should also promote the own distinct priorities, while Moscow is unwilling to
development of more extensive subcontracting. This invest much in its ally without gaining more control
was discouraged by the old system of pricing, which over Belarusian armed forces and facilities.
left subcontractors with meagre profits. The new
approach is now being introduced, but it will take Security and defence policy
some time before it is operational. The Belarusian government rarely discusses its
Meanwhile, the elaborate system to closely security policy in public. However, while Minsk
monitor the use of budget funding under the state has limited military goals, it is tailoring its armed
defence order continues to function. While the defence forces to tackle contemporary security challenges.
industry still complains of excessive bureaucracy Indeed, Defence Minister Andrei Ravkov describes
Russia and Eurasia 179
the armed forces’ ongoing rearmament programme did not cite these as examples. Belarus’s military
as ‘selective’. In February 2018, the defence ministry exercises and rearmament programme reflect
revealed plans to reduce the army’s stored weapons Minsk’s preparation for these scenarios. However,
and materiel by a quarter in order to save costs, there is little evidence that Minsk is preparing for any
although the age of some of this equipment makes direct confrontation with Western states or NATO,
the prospect of selling it on unlikely. There are two even as an ally of Russia. According to the official
principal drivers for security policy: political stability military daily newspaper Belorusskaya voennaya
and relations with Russia. gazeta, ‘the preparation of Belarusian armed forces
is aimed mostly at fighting terrorist groups and not
Internal security engaging in any large-scale hostilities’.
In numerous official statements and semi-official
pronouncements, the government has demonstrated Relations with Russia
Belarus’s geography dictates much of its security establishment of such a command only in a ‘period
policy. By the mid-2000s, it had NATO neighbours to of immediate threat of aggression’.
the north and the west, and since 2014, Ukraine, to In November 2017, the Belarus–Russia agreement
the south, has developed closer ties to the West. These on supplying a joint regional group of Belarusian and
developments left Minsk with the choice of either Russian troops entered force. Both parties agreed that
risking tension with the West or adjusting its policies. each had to supply their own national army units,
Minsk chose the latter by renouncing most of its which shall become part of this group in case of an
earlier anti-Western rhetoric, increasing divergence imminent conflict – there is no permanently staffed
with Russia on foreign policy and defence matters formation. Moscow has committed to supplying
(higher transparency in exercises, maintaining its Minsk with equipment and arms only during an
obligations under the Treaty on Conventional Armed ‘increasing military threat to the Union state [of
Forces in Europe, increasing self-reliance in military Belarus and Russia] and in times of war’.
policy), and increasing contacts with NATO and its
member states. The geopolitical situation with regard The armed forces
to Russia, however, remained static. Belarus will When the independent Belarusian armed forces
always be important to Russia, as it is situated next formed in the 1990s, it was similar to its Russian
to Russia’s core regions around Moscow. Because counterpart in terms of doctrine, training, equipment
of this, Moscow considers it necessary to have at and organisation, and officers moved between
least minimal air- and missile-defence capacities in the two forces. Now the two armed forces have
Belarus, either under allied Belarusian command or different missions, identities, structures, equipment
Russian units in-country. While Moscow would like and training. Belarus switched to a brigade-based
to increase its military capabilities in Belarus, with a organisational structure before Russia and kept
view to NATO states’ capacities to the west, in 2016 that structure after Russia started re-establishing
Minsk reportedly displayed reluctance to station larger units. Belarus also maintains and modernises
Russian 9K720 Iskander-M (SS-26 Stone) short-range many of the platforms that Russia is phasing out
ballistic-missile systems under Russian command and increasingly develops its own, sometimes in
in Belarus as Moscow refused to supply the systems cooperation with other countries, such as China.
to Minsk. Prior to this, analysts had understood that However, the Belarusian armed forces are
Russia was interested in obtaining for its forces an air deployed largely as they were in Soviet times. The
base in Belarus. existing Western and Northwestern operational
In 2016, Minsk and Moscow also completed the commands, formed in 2001, reflect the tendency to
formalities around the adoption of the 2009 agree- not make changes to military deployments unless
ment on establishing a single air-defence system absolutely necessary. There have been some recent
for Belarus and Russia. The agreement essen- changes, such as a new air-defence regiment armed
tially formalised or confirmed already existing air- with Tor-M2E (SA-15 Gauntlet) surface-to-air missile
defence cooperation mechanisms. The main joint (SAM) systems and a battalion of internal troops
standby-alert duty arrangements (sovmestnoe boevoe stationed near the Lithuanian border to guard the
dezhurstvo) began in 1996, in addition to information nuclear power plant under construction there.
exchanges, joint training sessions and equipment Minsk has said it will retain obligatory military
supplies. The joint operation of Belarusian and service for all men. Most of those drafted who have
Russian military units attached to this single air- secondary education serve for 18 months, while
defence system will be coordinated from the those with a university degree serve for 12 months.
Russian air force’s central command centre. For all Conscripts can be assigned to serve in the army,
other purposes, these units remain under national special forces, air defence and air force, internal
command, but this would change in the case of troops or border troops. However, the army is
armed conflict, when a joint Belarus–Russia air- looking to introduce a more flexible military-service
defence command would be established. In 2017, system and unlike in Soviet times does not call up
Minsk and Moscow amended the 2009 agreement all conscripts. Conscripts with different educational
by specifying and limiting its scope: in the original backgrounds and qualifications serve different types
text, the joint command could be established in a of military service. According to official statements, in
‘period of a threat’; the amendments stipulated the 2018, about 80% of conscripts were not immediately
Russia and Eurasia 181
LATVIA
Daugavpils
7
LITHUANIA VITEBSK
8
6
Vilnius BELARUS
4
9
MINSK 10
2 11 Minsk
MAHILYOW Roslavl
1 12 13
GRODNO 3
14
15 RUSSIA
5 17 16
drafted for full-time military service. The armed and rocket and missile forces. No spending figures are
forces are increasing reserve service, which includes published, but the intensive involvement of special-
usually university-educated recruits serving for operations forces in exercises and the development
shorter periods over the course of two years. Later, of new weapons for the rocket and missile units
these reserves attend refresher courses and take part provides evidence for this.
in military exercises. Conscripts do not have the Minsk’s reliance on Russia for air-defence
freedom to choose whether to do full conscription equipment has led to lower levels of investment
service or reserve service. Minsk is also looking to in that domain. In recent years, however, Belarus
increase the professional component, and the share has only obtained from Russia some Tor-M2E SAM
of professional servicemen and women in the army systems, second-hand S-300PS (SA-10 Grumble)
rose from 16% in 2014 to 20% at the beginning of 2018. SAM systems (for the air force), Yak-130 aircraft and
Mi-8MTV-5 helicopters.
Army Minsk plans to modernise its T-72 tanks, in both
While the army still contains remnants of the Soviet Belarusian and Russian plants, and to purchase
era, there are lines of modernisation. The government more Belarusian-manufactured armoured vehicles,
pays particular attention to special-operations forces namely the Volat V1 armoured utility vehicle and
182 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
the Kaiman armoured reconnaissance vehicle, and 16, Belarus signed bilateral military-cooperation
the Belarusian-modernised BTR-70MB1 armoured agreements with its three neighbouring NATO
personnel carrier. Planned acquisitions for 2018 member countries, Latvia, Lithuania and Poland.
included Tor-M2E air-defence systems and radars Army exercises mostly focus on counter-
from Russia, and a number of uninhabited aerial insurgency and urban warfare. Minsk has retired
vehicles (UAVs), including types designed for numerous types of equipment that would be
artillery targeting and reconnaissance. required for offensive operations, especially armour
and artillery, bombers and attack helicopters, and
Air force has abandoned some military facilities; for example,
The air force has been incrementally retiring its only military-helicopter base is in Kobryn, on the
sophisticated platforms, such as Su-24 and Su-27 border with Ukraine. Belarus has not purchased
combat aircraft and Mi-24 attack helicopters, without modern mechanised armoured vehicles in significant
identified replacements. Officials insist that the numbers, except for light-armoured platforms.
Yak-130 training/light-attack aircraft can take on the
roles of most of these systems. The delivery of 12 Defence economics and industry
Su-30SM aircraft from Russia was due to start in 2018 Unlike its neighbours, Belarus has not responded to
but has been postponed. growing regional tensions with more than a modest
Annual flying hours for pilots have increased defence-budget increase. From a low point of US$506
but remain at a relatively low level. In the Soviet million in 2016, the 2018 budget reached US$629m.
era, flying hours amounted to around 120 each year Indeed, not only does Minsk see no pressing need
per fighter pilot; by the late 2010s, this had fallen for larger investments in national security, it has
to just 70–75 hours. Minsk considers the reduced little money for these. In 2012, Minsk urged Moscow
capabilities of the Belarusian Air Force to be as much to contribute to the financing of the Belarusian
a problem for Russia as for Belarus. For many years, armed forces, stressing their importance to Russia.
it seemed that Minsk expected Moscow to deliver In February 2018, Lukashenko once again criticised
newer aircraft, either for a symbolic fee or as payment Russia for failing to build up the armies of the CSTO
in goods. Conversely, Moscow has unsuccessfully members.
tried – since at least the beginning of 2013 – to have Little is spent on military equipment and Minsk
Minsk accept the deployment of a Russian Air Force looks to avoid imports, preferring to produce it
regiment in Belarus. domestically, even if this results in weaponry of
only limited capability. That is particularly true of
Training and cooperation mechanised armoured vehicles. Indeed, Belarus’s
Belarus has established military training departments defence industry is one of the few sectors of national
offering various programmes in major civilian industry that is significantly developing. The armed
universities. After establishing an aviation-training forces’ inventory is increasingly supplied by Belarusian
capability in the 2000s, pilots can now train at the firms, which is in itself an achievement. For a long
Military Academy and civilian Minsk State Higher time after independence, Belarusian industry only
Aviation College. produced limited defence products, such as electronic
The armed forces train on a bilateral and and optical equipment and various components. Now,
multilateral basis with Russia but also with CSTO government officials openly articulate the aspiration
forces – the Belarusian 103rd Airborne Brigade is part to develop more defence products, particularly
of the CSTO Collective Rapid Reaction Force (KSOR) artillery and small arms. However, with the national
– as well as China. Belarusian special-operations budget constrained, defence firms are currently
troops trained with their Chinese counterparts most focused on improving their exports. According to the
recently in 2018 in China, while People’s Liberation State Military Industrial Committee (SMIC) of Belarus,
Army troops last exercised in Belarus in 2017. In arms exports in 2017 were 15% up on the previous
May 2018, Minsk also held its first joint drills with year, exceeding US$1 billion, though these figures are
Kazakhstan. Belarus also takes part in NATO’s at variance with other public estimates, which place
Partnership for Peace programme and, according overall exports at around half that. Some Belarusian
to the foreign ministry, there have been about 125 defence firms are in private hands, although they
joint Belarus–NATO activities since 1997. In 2015– operate under the control of the SMIC.
Russia and Eurasia 183
According to an official SMIC statement, 54% While most Belarusian defence products are
of the ‘international interaction’ of the Belarusian modernised Soviet designs, there are some new
defence industry involves Russian partners, which, if products, including rockets and missiles. Belarus
anything, indicates some success in internationalising designed, with Chinese support, the Polonez
Belarus’s defence industries. Belarusian firms supply multiple-launch rocket system, then developed
many of the components for Russian arms, such and manufactured a missile for it. Together with
as electronics, tank sights and chassis for Russian China, Belarus has also for some time worked on
missiles, including for Moscow’s strategic nuclear designing a SAM system. In addition, Minsk is
systems. However, as early as 2010, Russia began to developing UAVs for the Belarusian armed forces.
replace foreign components and Belarus has been no In 2016, it demonstrated a first-strike system, the
exception. However, it is understood that Moscow Burevestnik-MB, which is armed with eight unguided
has so far failed to replace the Belarusian chassis in 57 mm rockets, and two so-called ‘kamikaze’ mini-
MANOEUVRE
Armenia ARM Mechanised
1 (1st) corps (1 recce bn, 1 tk bn, 2 MR regt, 1 maint bn)
Armenian Dram d 2017 2018 2019
1 (2nd) corps (1 recce bn, 1 tk bn, 2 MR regt, 1 lt inf regt,
GDP d 5.57tr 6.14tr 1 arty bn)
US$ 11.5bn 12.5bn 1 (3rd) corps (1 recce bn, 1 tk bn, 4 MR regt, 1 lt inf regt,
per capita US$ 3,857 4,190 1 arty bn, 1 MRL bn, 1 sigs bn, 1 maint bn)
Growth % 7.5 6.0 1 (4th) corps (4 MR regt; 1 SP arty bn; 1 sigs bn)
Inflation % 0.9 3.0
1 (5th) corps (with 2 fortified areas) (1 MR regt)
Other
Def bdgt [a] d 210bn 248bn
1 indep MR trg bde
US$ 435m 506m COMBAT SUPPORT
FMA (US) US$ 1m 0m 1 arty bde
US$1=d 482.70 490.17 1 MRL bde
[a] Includes imported military equipment, excludes military 1 AT regt
pensions 1 AD bde
Population 3,038,217
2 AD regt
2 (radiotech) AD regt
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus 1 engr regt
Male 10.0% 3.0% 3.4% 4.3% 23.1% 4.7% EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Female 8.7% 2.7% 3.3% 4.4% 25.3% 7.0% ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
MBT 109: 3 T-54; 5 T-55; 101 T-72A/B
Capabilities RECCE 12 BRM-1K (CP)
IFV 231: 75 BMP-1; 6 BMP-1K (CP); 150 BMP-2
The armed forces’ main focus is territorial defence, given continuing
APC • APC (W) 130: 8 BTR-60; 100 BTR-60 look-a-like;
tensions with neighbouring Azerbaijan over Nagorno-Karabakh. In
early 2018, a Modernisation Programme was released for the period 18 BTR-70; 4 BTR-80
2018–24. Despite economic constraints, the document outlined ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
the ambitious goal of reorganising the command structure and AEV MT-LB
modernising the equipment inventory. The programme includes ARV BREhM-D; BREM-1
sections on cyber- and information-domain capabilities. Armenia ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
is a member of the CSTO and maintains strong defence ties with MSL • SP 22+: 9 9P148 Konkurs (AT-5 Spandrel); 13
Russia, centred on equipment-procurement, technical-advice and 9P149 Shturm (AT-6 Spiral); 9K129 Kornet-E (AT-14
personnel-training programmes. Military doctrine remains influ-
Spriggan)
enced by Russian thinking. Armenia is also engaged in a NATO Indi-
vidual Partnership Action Plan. Conscription continues, but there
ARTILLERY 232
is a growing cohort of professional officers. The armed forces have SP 38: 122mm 10 2S1 Gvozdika; 152mm 28 2S3 Akatsiya
deployed on NATO and UN missions in Afghanistan, Kosovo and TOWED 131: 122mm 69 D-30; 152mm 62: 26 2A36
Lebanon, providing learning opportunities. Personnel train regu- Giatsint-B; 2 D-1; 34 D-20
larly and take part in annual CSTO exercises and with Russia in bilat- MRL 57: 122mm 47 BM-21 Grad; 273mm 4 WM-80;
eral drills. Equipment is mainly of Russian origin. Agreements have 300mm 6 9A52 Smerch
been reached in recent years to purchase modern Russian systems. MOR 120mm 12 M120
Serviceability and maintenance of mainly ageing aircraft have been
SURFACE-TO-SURFACE MISSILE LAUNCHERS
a problem for the air force. There is some capacity to manufacture
defence equipment for the domestic market, including electro-
SRBM • Conventional 16: 8 9K72 Elbrus (SS-1C Scud B);
optics, light weapons and UAVs, but Armenia is reliant on Russia for 4 9K79 Tochka (SS-21 Scarab); 4 9K720 Iskander-E
other equipment platforms and systems. UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES
ISR • Light 15 Krunk
ACTIVE 44,800 (Army 41,850 Air/AD Aviation AIR DEFENCE
Forces (Joint) 1,100 other Air Defence Forces 1,850) SAM
Paramilitary 4,300 Medium-range 2K11 Krug (SA-4 Ganef); S-75 Dvina
Conscript liability 24 months (SA-2 Guideline); 9K37M Buk-M1 (SA-11 Gadfly)
Short-range 2K12 Kub (SA-6 Gainful); S-125 Pechora
RESERVE
(SA-3 Goa)
Some mobilisation reported, possibly 210,000 with military service
within 15 years Point-defence 9K33 Osa (SA-8 Gecko); 9K310 Igla-1
(SA-16 Gimlet); 9K38 Igla (SA-18 Grouse); 9K333 Verba;
9K338 Igla-S (SA-24 Grinch)
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE GUNS
SP 23mm ZSU-23-4
Army 22,900; 18,950 conscripts (total 41,850) TOWED 23mm ZU-23-2
FORCES BY ROLE
SPECIAL FORCES Air and Air Defence Aviation Forces 1,100
1 SF bde 1 Air & AD Joint Command
Russia and Eurasia 185
FORCES BY ROLE Russia 3,300: 1 mil base with (1 MR bde; 74 T-72; 80 BMP-
GROUND ATTACK 1; 80 BMP-2; 12 2S1; 12 BM-21); 1 ftr sqn with 18 MiG-29
1 sqn with Su-25/Su-25UBK Frogfoot Fulcrum; 1 hel sqn with 8 Mi-24P Hind; 4 Mi-8MT Hip; 2
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE SAM bty with S-300V (SA-12 Gladiator/Giant); 1 SAM bty
AIRCRAFT 15 combat capable with 2K12 Kub (SA-6 Gainful)
ATK 15: 13 Su-25 Frogfoot; 2 Su-25UBK Frogfoot United Kingdom OSCE 1
TPT 4: Heavy 3 Il-76 Candid; PAX 1 A319CJ
TRG 14: 4 L-39 Albatros; 10 Yak-52
HELICOPTERS
Azerbaijan AZE
ATK 7 Mi-24P Hind Azerbaijani New Manat m 2017 2018 2019
ISR 4: 2 Mi-24K Hind; 2 Mi-24R Hind (cbt spt) GDP m 69.1bn 77.5bn
MRH 10 Mi-8MT (cbt spt)
US$ 40.7bn 45.6bn
C2 2 Mi-9 Hip G (cbt spt)
per capita US$ 4,141 4,587
TPT • Light 7 PZL Mi-2 Hoplite
Growth % 0.1 1.3
TPT 24: Medium 17: 1 Bell 412; 3 Ka-32 Helix C; 13 Mi-8 Bosnia-Herzegovina OSCE 1
Hip Light 7 PZL Mi-2 Hoplite Germany OSCE 1
UAV • ISR 16: Heavy 1 Heron; Medium 15: 4 Aerostar; 10+ Moldova OSCE 2
Hermes 450; 1 Hermes 900 Poland OSCE 1
AIR DEFENCE • SAM
United Kingdom OSCE 1
Long-range S-200 Vega (SA-5 Gammon); S-300PM/PMU2
Medium-range S-75 Dvina (SA-2 Guideline); 9K37M
Buk-M1 (SA-11 Gadfly); Buk-MB; S-125-2TM Pechora-2TM TERRITORY WHERE THE GOVERNMENT
(SA-26) DOES NOT EXERCISE EFFECTIVE CONTROL
Short-range Abisr
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES Nagorno-Karabakh was part of Azerbaijan, but mostly
AAM • IR R-60 (AA-8 Aphid); R-73 (AA-11 Archer) IR/ populated by ethnic Armenians. In 1988, when inter-
SARH R-27 (AA-10 Alamo) ethnic clashes between Armenians and Azeris erupted in
ASM Barrier-V Azerbaijan, the local authorities declared their intention
to secede and join Armenia. Baku rejected this and armed
work. A new defence white paper was published in 2017. Long- TOWED 71: 122mm 58 D-30; 152mm 13: 3 2A36
standing security cooperation with the US includes the Georgia Giatsint-B; 10 2A65 Msta-B
Defence Readiness Program, designed to boost military capabili- MRL 122mm 37: 13 BM-21 Grad; 6 GradLAR; 18 RM-70
ties. The armed forces are professional and are working to develop MOR 120mm 65: 14 2S12 Sani; 33 M-75; 18 M120
NATO compatibility, although conscription is still active. Despite
AIR DEFENCE • SAM
participation in several NATO multinational exercises, readiness
Short-range Spyder-SR
varies greatly between units and training levels tend to be vari-
able. Georgia’s armed forces have little expeditionary logistic Point-defence Grom; Mistral-2; 9K32 Strela-2 (SA-7
capabilities, contributing only to NATO’s Resolute Support mission Grail)‡; 9K35 Strela-10 (SA-13 Gopher); 9K36 Strela-3 (SA-
in Afghanistan. The backbone of the armed forces’ military equip- 14 Gremlin); 9K310 Igla-1 (SA-16 Gimlet)
ment is legacy Soviet-era systems with varying degrees of obsoles-
cence. The Major Systems Acquisitions Strategy 2019–25 outlines Aviation and Air Defence Command 1,300
efforts to procure new equipment in several areas, including air (incl 300 conscript)
defence, anti-tank systems, artillery, intelligence and aviation. The 1 avn base, 1 hel air base
country has only recently begun to develop a defence-industrial
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
base, and this is intended mainly to support the armed forces. The
State Military Scientific-Technical Center has demonstrated some AIRCRAFT 3 combat capable
maintenance, repair, overhaul and design capabilities for the pro- ATK 3 Su-25KM Frogfoot (6 Su-25 Frogfoot in store)
duction of light armoured vehicles. TPT • Light 9: 6 An-2 Colt; 1 Tu-134A Crusty (VIP); 2
Yak-40 Codling
ACTIVE 20,650 (Army 19,050 National Guard 1,600) TRG 9 L-29 Delfin
Paramilitary 5,400 HELICOPTERS
Conscript liability 12 months ATK 6 Mi-24 Hind
TPT 29: Medium 17 Mi-8T Hip; Light 12 Bell 205
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE (UH-1H Iroquois)
UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES
ISR • Medium 1+ Hermes 450
Army 15,000; 4,050 conscript (total 19,050)
AIR DEFENCE • SAM
FORCES BY ROLE Medium-range 9K37 Buk-M1 (SA-11 Gadfly) (1-2 bn)
SPECIAL FORCES Point-defence 8 9K33 Osa AK (SA-8B Gecko) (two bty);
1 SF bde 9K33 Osa AKM (6-10 updated SAM systems)
MANOEUVRE
Light National Guard 1,600 active reservists opcon
5 inf bde
Army
Amphibious
2 mne bn (1 cadre) FORCES BY ROLE
COMBAT SUPPORT MANOEUVRE
2 arty bde Light
1 engr bde 1 inf bde
1 sigs bn
1 SIGINT bn Paramilitary 5,400
1 MP bn
Border Police 5,400
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
1 med bn Coast Guard
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE HQ at Poti. The Navy was merged with the Coast
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES Guard in 2009 under the auspices of the Georgian
MBT 123: 23 T-55AM2; 100 T-72B/SIM1 Border Police, within the Ministry of the Interior
RECCE 5: 1 BRM-1K; 4+ Didgori-2 EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
IFV 71: 25 BMP-1; 46 BMP-2 PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 21
APC 189+ PBF 6: 4 Ares 43m; 1 Kaan 33; 1 Kaan 20
APC (T) 69+: 3+ Lazika; 66 MT-LB
PB 15: 1 Akhmeta; 2 Dauntless; 2 Dilos (ex-GRC);
APC (W) 120+: 25 BTR-70; 19 BTR-80; Cobra; 8+
1 Kutaisi (ex-TUR AB 25); 2 Point; 7 Zhuk (3 ex-
Didgori-1; 3+ Didgori-3; 65 Ejder
UKR)
AUV 10+: ATF Dingo; 10 Cougar
AMPHIBIOUS • LANDING CRAFT • LCM 1 Vydra
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
(ex-BLG) (capacity either 3 MBT or 200 troops)
ARV IMR-2
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
MSL • MANPATS 9K111 Fagot (AT-4 Spigot); 9K113 DEPLOYMENT
Konkurs (AT-5 Spandrel); FGM-148 Javelin AFGHANISTAN: NATO • Operation Resolute Support 870; 1
GUNS • TOWED ε40: 85mm D-44; 100mm T-12 lt inf bn: UN • UNAMA 2 obs
ARTILLERY 240
SP 67: 122mm 20 2S1 Gvozdika; 152mm 46: 32 M-77 ALBANIA: OSCE • Albania 1
Dana; 13 2S3 Akatsiya; 1 2S19 Msta-S; 203mm 1 2S7 Pion CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC: EU • EUTM RCA 35
Russia and Eurasia 191
MALI: EU • EUTM Mali 1 lar priority, with new orders placed in 2018. However, airworthi-
ness across the air inventory remains problematic. Russia has also
SERBIA: OSCE • Kosovo 1
supplied Kazakhstan with S-300PS self-propelled surface-to-air
UKRAINE: OSCE • Ukraine 22 missile systems as part of a Joint Air-Defence Agreement, boost-
ing its long-range air-defence capability. Kazakhstan is growing its
TERRITORY WHERE THE GOVERNMENT indigenous defence industry, and exports increased in 2017–18. A
joint venture with South African firm Paramount Engineering will
DOES NOT EXERCISE EFFECTIVE CONTROL deliver Arlan 4x4 vehicles. Further joint ventures and production
Following the August 2008 war between Russia and of rotary-wing and medium-lift fixed-wing aircraft are envisaged in
Georgia, the areas of Abkhazia and South Ossetia declared cooperation with European companies.
themselves independent. Data presented here represents
the de facto situation and does not imply international
ACTIVE 39,000 (Army 20,000 Navy 3,000 Air 12,000
recognition as sovereign states. MoD 4,000) Paramilitary 31,500
Conscript liability 12 months (due to be abolished)
FOREIGN FORCES
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
SURFACE-TO-SURFACE MISSILE LAUNCHERS TPT 19: Medium 2 An-12 Cub; Light 16: 6 An-26 Curl,
SRBM • Conventional 12 9K79 Tochka (SS-21 Scarab) 2 An-72 Coaler; 6 C295; 2 Tu-134 Crusty; PAX 1 Tu-154
Careless
Navy 3,000 TRG 18: 17 L-39 Albatros; 1 Z-242L
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE HELICOPTERS
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 12 ATK 24: 20 Mi-24V Hind (some upgraded); 4 Mi-35M
PCGM 2 Kazakhstan with 1 Barrier-BK lnchr with 4 Hind
RK-2B SSM, 1 Arbalet-K lnchr with 4 9K38 Igla (SA-18 MRH 26: 20 Mi-17V-5 Hip; 6 Mi-171Sh Hip
Grouse), 1 AK306 CIWS TPT 14: Heavy 4 Mi-26 Halo; Light 10: 4 Bell 205 (UH-
PCC 1 Kazakhstan with 1 122mm MRL
1H Iroquois); 6 H145
PBF 3 Sea Dolphin
UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES
PB 6: 3 Archangel; 1 Dauntless; 1 Turk (AB 25); 1 Other
CISR • Heavy 2 Wing Loong (GJ-1)
MINE WARFARE • MINE COUNTERMEASURES 1
MCC 1 Alatau (Project 10750E) with 1 AK306 CIWS AIR DEFENCE • SAM
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT • AGS 1 Zhaik Long-range S-200 Angara (SA-5 Gammon); S-300 (SA-10
Grumble); 40+ S-300PS (SA-10B Grumble)
Coastal Defence Medium-range 2K11 Krug (SA-4 Ganef); S-75M Volkhov
FORCES BY ROLE (SA-2 Guideline)
MANOEUVRE Short-range 2K12 Kub (SA-6 Gainful); S-125 Neva (SA-3
Mechanised Goa)
1 naval inf bde Point-defence 9K35 Strela-10 (SA-13 Gopher)
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES AAM • IR R-60 (AA-8 Aphid); R-73 (AA-11 Archer); IR/
IFV 70 BTR-82A SARH R-27 (AA-10 Alamo); SARH R-33 (AA-9 Amos);
ARH R-77 (AA-12A Adder – on MiG-31BM)
Air Force 12,000 (incl Air Defence) ASM Kh-23 (AS-7 Kerry)‡; Kh-25 (AS-10 Karen); Kh-29
FORCES BY ROLE (AS-14 Kedge)
FIGHTER ARM Kh-27 (AS-12 Kegler); Kh-58 (AS-11 Kilter)
1 sqn with MiG-29/MiG-29UB Fulcrum
2 sqn with MiG-31B/MiG-31BM Foxhound Paramilitary 31,500
FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
1 sqn with MiG-27 Flogger D; MiG-23UB Flogger C National Guard ε20,000
1 sqn with Su-27/Su-27UB Flanker Ministry of Interior
1 sqn with Su-27/Su-30SM Flanker
AIRCRAFT
GROUND ATTACK
TPT • Medium 1 Y-8F-200WA
1 sqn with Su-25 Frogfoot
TRANSPORT State Security Service 2,500
1 unit with Tu-134 Crusty; Tu-154 Careless
1 sqn with An-12 Cub, An-26 Curl, An-30 Clank, An-72 Border Service ε9,000
Coaler, C295M
Ministry of Interior
TRAINING
1 sqn with L-39 Albatros EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
ATTACK HELICOPTER AIRCRAFT 7: Light 6: 4 An-26 Curl; 1 An-74T; 1 An-
5 sqn with Mi-24V Hind 74TK PAX 1 SSJ-100
TRANSPORT HELICOPTER HELICOPTERS • TPT • Medium 15: 1 Mi-171; 14 Mi-
Some sqn with Bell 205 (UH-1H Iroquois); H145; Mi-8 171Sh
Hip; Mi-17V-5 Hip; Mi-171Sh Hip; Mi-26 Halo
AIR DEFENCE Coast Guard
Some regt with S-75M Volkhov (SA-2 Guideline); S-125 EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Neva (SA-3 Goa); S-300/S-300PS (SA-10/10B Grumble); PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 22
2K11 Krug (SA-4 Ganef); S-200 Angara (SA-5 Gammon); PBF 11: 1 Aibar (Project 0210); 8 FC-19; 2 Saygak
2K12 Kub (SA-6 Gainful) PB 11: 4 Almaty; 5 Sardar; 2 Zhuk (of which 1 may be
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE operational)
AIRCRAFT 106 combat capable
FTR 46: 12 MiG-29 Fulcrum; 2 MiG-29UB Fulcrum; 32
MiG-31/MiG-31BM Foxhound DEPLOYMENT
FGA 46: 12 MiG-27 Flogger D; 2 MiG-23UB Flogger C; 20 MOLDOVA: OSCE • Moldova 2
Su-27 Flanker; 4 Su-27UB Flanker; 8 Su-30SM
ATK 14: 12 Su-25 Frogfoot; 2 Su-25UB Frogfoot UKRAINE: OSCE • Ukraine 5
ISR 1 An-30 Clank WESTERN SAHARA: UN • MINURSO 5 obs
Russia and Eurasia 193
COMBAT SUPPORT
Kyrgyzstan KGZ 1 arty bde
1 AD bde
Kazakhstani Tenge t 2017 2018 2019
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
GDP t 521bn 551bn
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
US$ 7.57bn 8.01bn
MBT 150 T-72
per capita US$ 1,208 1,254
RECCE 30 BRDM-2
Growth % 4.6 2.8
IFV 320: 230 BMP-1; 90 BMP-2
Inflation % 3.2 2.9 APC • APC (W) 55: 25 BTR-70; 20 BTR-70M; 10 BTR-80
Def bdgt t n.k n.k ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
US$ n.k n.k MSL • MANPATS 9K11 Malyutka (AT-3 Sagger); 9K111
US$1=t 68.86 68.79 Fagot (AT-4 Spigot); 9K111-1 Konkurs (AT-5 Spandrel)
RCL 73mm SPG-9
Population 5,849,296
DEPLOYMENT and increasing Russia’s influence in the near abroad and further
afield. Russia is a leading member of both the CSTO and the SCO.
ALBANIA: OSCE • Albania 1 The armed forces comprise a mix of volunteers and conscripts.
ARMENIA/AZERBAIJAN: OSCE • Minsk Conference 2 Defence reforms launched in 2008 emphasised the shift from a
conscript-based mass-mobilisation army to smaller, more profes-
BOSNIA-HERZEGOVINA: OSCE • Bosnia and sional ground forces. Morale has improved because of better pay,
Herzegovina 1 terms and conditions, and greater prestige associated with military
CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC: UN • MINUSCA 2; 3 obs service. The armed forces can independently deploy and sustain
forces on a global scale, although at extended distances force size
SERBIA: NATO • KFOR 41; OSCE • Kosovo 2; UN • would be modest. Its air-led intervention in Syria shows Russia can
UNMIK 1 obs deploy, sustain and maintain a high operational tempo for a fixed-
SOUTH SUDAN: UN • UNMISS 1; 2 obs and rotary-wing air force, along with the required force-protection
package for the main operating base. Russia continues to moder-
UKRAINE: OSCE • Ukraine 45
nise its nuclear and conventional weapons. The 2020 State Arma-
ment Programme (SAP) has been broadly successful, although
FOREIGN FORCES several of the more ambitious procurement goals were not met.
COMBAT SUPPORT Msta-B; 1,075 D-20; 700 D-1 (M-1943); 100 M-1937 (ML-
9 arty bde 20); 203mm 40 B-4M)
1 hy arty bde GUN/MOR 180+
4 MRL bde SP 120mm 80+: 30 2S23 NONA-SVK; 50+ 2S34
4 engr bde TOWED 120mm 100 2B16 NONA-K
1 MP bde MRL 862+ 122mm 550 BM-21 Grad/Tornado-G; 220mm
5 NBC bde 200 9P140 Uragan; some 9K512 Uragan-1M; some TOS-
10 NBC regt 1A; 300mm 112: 100 9A52 Smerch; 12 9A54 Tornado-S
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT (3,220 in store: 122mm 2,420: 2,000 BM-21 Grad; 420
10 log bde 9P138; 132mm 100 BM-13; 220mm 700 9P140 Uragan)
AIR DEFENCE MOR 1,540+: 82mm 800+ 2B14; 120mm 700 2S12 Sani;
14 AD bde 240mm 40 2S4 Tulpan (2,590 in store: 120mm 1,900: 1,000
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE 2S12 Sani; 900 M-1938 (PM-38); 160mm 300 M-160; SP
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES 240mm 390 2S4 Tulpan)
MBT 2,750: 750 T-72B/BA; 800 T-72B3; 400 T-73B3 mod;
6 Delfin (Delta IV) with 16 R-29RMU2 Sineva/R- 27 Sizzler) AShM/3M14K (SS-N-30) dual-capable
29RMU2.1 Layner (SS-N-23 Skiff) nuclear SLBM, 4 LACM
single 533mm TT with 53-65K HWT/SET-65K HWT/ PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS 35
USET-80K Keramika HWT AIRCRAFT CARRIERS • CV 1 Admiral Kuznetsov
3 Borey (Dolgorukiy) with 16 Bulava (SS-N-32) nuclear with 12 lnchr with 3M45 Granit (SS-N-19 Shipwreck)
SLBM, 6 single 533mm TT with USET-80K Keramika AShM, 24 8-cell 3S95 VLS with 3K95 Kindzhal (SA-N-9
HWT/UGST Fizikov HWT Gauntlet) SAM, 2 RBU 12000 Udav 1 A/S mor, 8 Kortik
(1 Akula (Typhoon)† in reserve for training with CIWS with 3M11 (SA-N-11 Grison) SAM, 6 AK630M
capacity for 20 Bulava (SS-N-32) nuclear SLBM, 6 CIWS (capacity 18–24 Su-33 Flanker D Ftr ac; MiG-
single 533mm TT with 53-65K HWT/SET-65K HWT/ 29KR FGA ac; 15 Ka-27 Helix ASW hel, 2 Ka-31R Helix
USET-80K Keramika HWT) AEW hel) (in refit since 2018)
TACTICAL 48 CRUISERS 4
SSGN 9: CGHMN 1:
8 Antey (Oscar II) with 2 12-cell lnchr with 3M45 1 Orlan (Kirov) with 20 lnchr with 3M45 Granit (SS-
Granit (SS-N-19 Shipwreck) AShM, 2 single 650mm N-19 Shipwreck) AShM, 6 6-cell B-203A VLS with
TT each with T-65 HWT/RPK-7 (SS-N-16 Stallion) S-300F Fort (SA-N-6 Grumble) SAM, 6 6-cell B-203A
ASW msl, 4 single 553mm TT with 53-65K HWT/ VLS with S-300FM Fort-M (SA-N-20 Gargoyle)
SET-65K HWT/USET-80K Keramika HWT (of SAM, 16 octuple 3S95 VLS with 3K95 Kindzhal
which 2 in refit) (SA-N-9 Gauntlet) SAM, 2 quintuple 533mm TT
1 Yasen (Severodvinsk) with 1 octuple VLS with with RPK-6M Vodopad-NK (SS-N-16 Stallion) A/S
3M54K (SS-N-27 Sizzler) AShM/3M55 Onyx (SS-N- msl, 1 RBU 6000 Smerch 2 A/S mor, 2 RBU 1000
26 Strobile) AShM/3M14K (SS-N-30) dual-capable Smerch 3 A/S mor, 6 Kortik CIWS with 9M311 (SA-
LACM; 10 single 533mm TT with USET-80K N-11 Grison) SAM, 1 twin 130mm gun (capacity
Keramika HWT/UGST Fizikov HWT 3 Ka-27 Helix ASW hel) (1 other non-operational;
SSN 16: undergoing extensive refit and planned to return
9 Schuka-B (Akula I) with 4 single 533mm TT with 53- to service in 2021)
65K HWT/TEST-71M HWT/USET-80K Keramika CGHM 3:
HWT/3M10 Granat (SS-N-21 Sampson) nuclear 3 Atlant (Slava) with 8 twin lnchr with 3M70 Vulkan
LACM (weapons in store), 4 single 650mm TT (SS-N-12 mod 2 Sandbox) AShM, 8 octuple VLS
with T-65 HWT/RPK-7 (SS-N-16 Stallion) ASW msl with S-300F Fort (SA-N-6 Grumble) SAM/S-300FM
(of which 6 in refit) Fort M (SA-N-20 Gargoyle) SAM, 2 twin lnchr with
2 Schuka-B (Akula II) with 4 single 533mm TT Osa-M (SA-N-4 Gecko) SAM, 2 quintuple 533mm
with 53-65K HWT/TEST-71M HWT/USET-80K ASTT with SET-65K HWT, 2 RBU 6000 Smerch
Keramika HWT/3M10 Granat (SS-N-21 Sampson) 2 A/S mor, 6 AK630 CIWS, 1 twin 130mm gun
nuclear LACM (weapons in store), 4 single 650mm (capacity 1 Ka-27 Helix ASW hel)
TT with T-65 HWT/RPK-7 (SS-N-16 Stallion) ASW DESTROYERS 16
msl (of which 1 in refit) DDGHM 15:
2 Kondor (Sierra II) with 4 single 533mm TT with 5 Sarych (Sovremenny) with 2 quad lnchr with 3M80
TEST-71M HWT/USET-80K Keramika HWT/3M10 Moskit (SS-N-22 Sunburn) AShM, 2 twin 3S90 lnchr
Granat (SS-N-21 Sampson) nuclear LACM with 9K30 Uragan (SA-N-7 Gadfly) SAM, 2 twin
(weapons in store), 4 single 650mm TT with T-65 533mm TT with 53-65K HWT/SET-65K HWT, 2
HWT RBU 1000 Smerch 3 A/S mor, 4 AK630M CIWS, 2
3 Schuka (Victor III) with 4 single 533mm TT with twin 130mm guns (capacity 1 Ka-27 Helix ASW
53-65K HWT/SET-65K HWT/USET-80K Keramika hel) (of which 1 in refit)
HWT/3M10 Granat (SS-N-21 Sampson) nuclear 8 Fregat (Udaloy I) with 2 quad lnchr with URK-5
LACM (weapons in store), 2 single 650mm TT Rastrub-B (SS-N-14 Silex) AShM/ASW, 8 octuple
with T-65 HWT 3S95 VLS with 3K95 Kindzhal (SA-N-9 Gauntlet)
(1 Barracuda (Sierra I) (in reserve) with 6 single SAM, 2 quad 533mm ASTT with 53-65K HWT/
533mm TT with TEST-71M HWT/USET-80K SET-65K HWT, 2 RBU 6000 Smerch 2 A/S mor, 4
Keramika HWT/3M10 Granat (SS-N-21 Sampson) AK630M CIWS, 2 100mm guns (capacity 2 Ka-27
nuclear LACM (weapons in store)) Helix ASW hel)
SSK 23: 1 Fregat (Udaloy II) with 2 quad lnchr with 3M80
16 Paltus (Kilo) (of which 2 in refit) with 6 single Moskit (SS-N-22 Sunburn) AShM, 8 octuple 3S95
533mm TT with 53-65K HWT/TEST-71M HWT/ VLS with 3K95 Kindzhal (SA-N-9 Gauntlet) SAM,
USET-80K Keramika HWT 2 Kortik CIWS with 3M11 (SA-N-11 Grison) SAM,
6 Varshavyanka (Kilo) with 6 single 533mm TT with 53- 2 quintuple 533mm ASTT with 53-65K HWT/SET-
65K HWT/TEST-71M HWT/USET-80K Keramika 65K HWT, 2 RBU 6000 Smerch 2 A/S mor, 1 twin
HWT/3M54K (SS-N-27 Sizzler) AShM/3M14K (SS- 130mm gun (capacity 2 Ka-27 Helix ASW hel)
N-30) dual-capable LACM 1 Admiral Gorshkov (Project 22350) with 2 8-cell
1 Lada (Petersburg) (in test) with 6 single 533mm TT UKSK VLS with 3M14T (SS-N-30) dual-capable
with USET-80K Keramika HWT/3M54K (SS-N- LACM/3M54T (SS-N-27 Sizzler) AShM/3M55
Russia and Eurasia 199
Oniks (SS-N-26 Strobile) AShM/91RT2 A/S msl, 4 PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 105
8-cell VLS with 3K96-2 Poliment-Redut (SA-N-28) CORVETTES 49
SAM, 2 quad 324mm TT with Paket-NK LWT, 2 FSGM 20
Palash CIWS, 1 130mm gun (capacity 1 Ka-27 Helix 6 Buyan-M (Sviyazhsk) with 1 octuple VLS with
ASW hel) 3M54 (SS-N-27 Sizzler) AShM/3M14 (SS-N-30)
DDGM 1: dual-capable LACM, 2 sextuple lnchr with 3M47
1 Komsomolets Ukrainy (Kashin mod) with 2 quad Gibka (SA-N-10 Grouse) SAM, 1 AK630-M2 CIWS,
lnchr with 3M24 Uran (SS-N-25 Switchblade) 1 100mm gun
AShM, 2 twin lnchr with Volnya (SA-N-1 Goa) 2 Sivuch (Dergach) with 2 quad lnchr with 3M80
SAM, 5 single 533mm ASTT with 53-65K HWT/ Moskit (SS-N-22 Sunburn) AShM, 1 twin lnchr with
SET-65K HWT, 2 RBU 6000 Smerch 2 A/S mor, 1 4K33AM Osa-M (SA-N-4 Gecko) SAM, 2 AK630M
twin 76mm gun CIWS, 1 76mm gun
FRIGATES 14 12 Ovod (Nanuchka III) with 2 triple lnchr with P-120
FFGHM 10: Malakhit (SS-N-9 Siren) AShM, 1 twin lnchr with
3 Admiral Grigorovich (Krivak V) with 1 8-cell VLS Osa-MA2 (SA-N-4 Gecko) SAM, 1 AK630 CIWS, 1
3 Project 775M (Ropucha III) with 2 AK630 CIWS, 1 1 sqn with Su-27/Su-27UB Flanker
76mm gun (capacity either 10 MBT and 190 troops 1 regt with Su-33 Flanker D; Su-25UTG Frogfoot
or 24 APC (T) and 170 troops) FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
4 Tapir (Alligator) with 2-3 twin lnchr with Strela-2 1 regt with MiG-29KR/KUBR Fulcrum
(SA-N-5 Grail) SAM, 2 twin 57mm guns (capacity 1 regt with MiG-31BM Foxhound; Su-24M/M2/MR
20 tanks; 300 troops) Fencer
1 Ivan Gren (Project 11711) with 1 AK630M-2 CIWS, ANTI-SURFACE WARFARE/ISR
2 AK630M CIWS (capacity 1 Ka-29 Helix B hel; 13 1 regt with Su-24M/MR Fencer; Su-30SM
MBT/36 AFV; 300 troops) 1 sqn with Su-24M/MR Fencer
LANDING CRAFT 28 ANTI-SUBMARINE WARFARE
LCM 26: 9 Akula (Ondatra) (capacity 1 MBT); 5 Dyugon 3 sqn with Il-38/Il-38N May*; Il-18D; Il-20RT Coot A;
(capacity 5 APC or 100 troops); 12 Serna (Project 11770 Il-22 Coot B
(capacity 2 APC or 100 troops) 8 sqn with Ka-27/Ka-29 Helix
LCAC 2 Pomornik (Zubr) with 2 22-cell 140mm MS-227 1 sqn with Mi-14 Haze A
Ogon’ MRL, 2 AK630 CIWS (capacity 230 troops; either 2 sqn with Tu-142MK/MZ/MR Bear F/J*
3 MBT or 10 APC(T)) 1 unit with Ka-31R Helix
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 267 MARITIME PATROL/TRANSPORT
SSAN 9: 1 Orenburg (Delta III Stretch); 1 Losharik; 1 Nelma 1 sqn with An-26 Curl; Be-12 Mail*; Mi-8 Hip
(X-Ray) (Project 1851); 2 Halibut (Paltus) (Project 18511); SEARCH & RESCUE/TRANSPORT
3 Kashalot (Uniform); 1 Podmoskovye (Project 09787) 1 sqn with An-12PS Cub; An-26 Curl; Tu-134
SSA 1 Sarov (Project 20120) TRANSPORT
ABU 12: 8 Kashtan; 4 Project 419 (Sura) 1 sqn with An-12BK Cub; An-24RV Coke; An-26 Curl;
AE 9: 7 Muna; 1 Dubnyak; Akademik Kovalev (Project An-72 Coaler; An-140
20181) with 1 hel landing platform 2 sqn with An-26 Curl; Tu-134
AEM 2: 1 Kalma-3 (Project 1791R); 1 Lama TRAINING
AFS 1 Longvinik (Project 23120) 1 sqn with L-39 Albatros; Su-25UTG Frogfoot
AG 1 Potok 1 sqn with An-140; Tu-134; Tu-154, Il-38 May
AGB 5: 1 Dobrynya Mikitich; 1 Ilya Muromets; 2 Ivan ATTACK/TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
Susanin; 1 Vladimir Kavraisky 1 sqn with Mi-24P Hind; Mi-8 Hip
AGE 1 Tchusovoy TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
AGI 14: 2 Alpinist; 2 Dubridium (Project 1826); 1 Moma; 7 1 sqn with Mi-8 Hip
Vishnya; 2 Yuri Ivanov AIR DEFENCE
AGM 1 Marshal Nedelin 1 SAM regt with S-300PM1 (SA-20 Gargoyle)
AGOR 8: 1 Akademik Krylov; 1 Igor Belousov; 1 Seliger; 2 1 SAM regt with S-300PM1 (SA-20 Gargoyle); S-300PS
Sibiriyakov; 2 Vinograd; 1 Yantar (SA-10B Grumble)
AGS 69: 8 Biya; 19 Finik; 7 Kamenka; 5 Moma; 9 Onega; 1 SAM regt with S-300PM1 (SA-20 Gargoyle); S-400
5 Baklan (Project 19920); 4 Baklan (Project 19920B); 2 (SA-21 Growler); 96K6 Pantsir-S1 (SA-22 Greyhound)
Vaygach; 10 Yug 1 SAM regt with S-300PS (SA-10B Grumble); S-400
AGSH 1 Samara (SA-21 Growler); 96K6 Pantsir-S1 (SA-22 Greyhound)
AH 3 Ob† EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
AK 3: 2 Irgiz; 1 Pevek with 1 AK306 CIWS AIRCRAFT 217 combat capable
AOL 9: 2 Dubna; 3 Uda; 4 Altay (mod) FTR 67: 12 MiG-31B/BS Foxhound; 20 MiG-31BM
AOR 3 Boris Chilikin Foxhound; 17 Su-33 Flanker D; 18 Su-27/Su-27UB Flanker
AORL 2: 1 Kaliningradneft; 1 Olekma FGA 44: 19 MiG-29KR Fulcrum; 3 MiG-29KUBR
AOS 2 Luza Fulcrum; 22 Su-30SM
AR ε7 Amur ATK 46: 41 Su-24M Fencer; 5 Su-25UTG Frogfoot (trg
ARC 4: 3 Emba; 1 Improved Klasma role)
ARS 30: 1 Kommuna; 6 Goryn; 4 Mikhail Rudnitsky; 18 ASW 44: 12 Tu-142MK/MZ Bear F; 10 Tu-142MR Bear J
Project 23040; 1 Zvezdochka (Project 20180) (comms); 15 Il-38 May; 7 Il-38N May
AS 3 Project 2020 (Malina) MP 5: 4 Be-12PS Mail*; 1 Il-18D
ASR 1 Elbrus ISR 12 Su-24MR Fencer E*
ATF 55: 1 Okhotsk; 1 Baklan; ε3 Katun; 4 Ingul; 2 Neftegaz; SAR 3 An-12PS Cub
12 Okhtensky; 13 Prometey; 1 Prut; 4 Sliva; 14 Sorum ELINT 4: 2 Il-20RT Coot A; 2 Il-22 Coot B
AWT 1 Manych TPT 49: Medium 2 An-12BK Cub; Light 45: 1 An-24RV
AXL 10: 8 Petrushka; 2 Smolny with 2 RBU 2500 A/S mor, Coke; 24 An-26 Curl; 6 An-72 Coaler; 4 An-140; 9 Tu-134;
2 twin 76mm guns 1 Tu-134UBL; PAX 2 Tu-154M Careless
TRG 4 L-39 Albatros
Naval Aviation ε31,000 HELICOPTERS
FORCES BY ROLE ATK 8 Mi-24P Hind
FIGHTER ASW 83: 41 Ka-27PL Helix; 22 Ka-27M Helix; 20 Mi-14
1 sqn with MiG-31B/BS Foxhound Haze A
Russia and Eurasia 201
MANOEUVRE MANOEUVRE
Air Manoeuvre Reconnaissance
2 AB div (1 tk coy; 2 para/air aslt regt; 1 arty regt; 1 AD 1 recce bde
regt) Armoured
2 AB div (2 para/air aslt regt; 1 arty regt; 1 AD regt) 1 tk div
1 indep AB bde 1 tk bde
3 air aslt bde 2 MR div
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Mechanised
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES 1 MR div
MBT 60 T-72B3 3 MR bde
IFV 20 BTR-82AM SURFACE-TO-SURFACE MISSILE
APC • APC (T) 776: 700 BTR-D; 76 BTR-MDM 2 SRBM/GLCM bde with Iskander-M
AUV GAZ Tigr; UAMZ Toros 1 SRBM bde with Tochka-U
ABCV 1,291: 100 BMD-1; 1,000 BMD-2; 10 BMD-3; 30 COMBAT SUPPORT
BMD-4; 151 BMD-4M 2 arty bde
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Tajikistan TJK ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
MBT 37: 30 T-72; 7 T-62
Tajikistani Somoni Tr 2017 2018 2019 IFV 23: 8 BMP-1; 15 BMP-2
GDP Tr 61.1bn 67.4bn APC • APC (W) 23 BTR-60/BTR-70/BTR-80
US$ 7.14bn 7.35bn ARTILLERY 23
per capita US$ 801 807
TOWED 122mm 10 D-30
MRL 122mm 3 BM-21 Grad
Growth % 7.1 5.0
MOR 120mm 10
Inflation % 7.3 5.8 AIR DEFENCE • SAM
Def bdgt Tr 1.66bn 1.99bn Medium-range S-75 Dvina (SA-2 Guideline); S-125
US$ 194m 217m Pechora-2M (SA-26)
US$1=Tr 8.55 9.16
Point-defence 9K32 Strela-2 (SA-7 Grail)‡
Army 7,300
FORCES BY ROLE
MANOEUVRE
Mechanised
3 MR bde
Air Manoeuvre
1 air aslt bde
COMBAT SUPPORT
1 arty bde
AIR DEFENCE
1 SAM regt
Russia and Eurasia 211
Mechanised
Turkmenistan TKM 1 (3rd) MR div (1 tk regt; 3 MR regt, 1 arty regt)
1 (22nd) MR div (1 tk regt; 1 MR regt, 1 arty regt)
Turkmen New Manat TMM 2017 2018 2019
4 MR bde
GDP TMM 133bn 150bn 1 naval inf bde
US$ 37.9bn 42.8bn Other
per capita US$ 6,643 7,412 1 MR trg div
Growth % 6.5 6.2 SURFACE-TO-SURFACE MISSILE
1 SRBM bde with SS-1 Scud
Inflation % 8.0 9.4
COMBAT SUPPORT
Def exp TMM n.k n.k 1 arty bde
US$ n.k n.k 1 (mixed) arty/AT regt
USD1=TMM 3.50 3.50 1 MRL bde
1 AT regt
Population 5,411,012
1 engr regt
9K32M Strela-2M (SA-7 Grail)‡; 9K34 Strela-3 (SA-14 PCGM 8 Arkadag (TUR Tuzla) with 2 twin lnchr with
Gremlin); Mistral (reported); QW-2 Otomat AShM, 2 twin Simbad-RC lnchr with Mistral
GUNS 70 SAM, 1 Roketsan A/S mor
SP 23mm 48 ZSU-23-4 PBF 24: 10 Bars-12; 6 Nazya (Dearsan 33); 5 Grif-T; 3
TOWED 22+: 23mm ZU-23-2; 57mm 22 S-60 Sobol
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES PB 1 Point
ASM CM-502KG; AR-1 AMPHIBIOUS • LCM 1 Dearsan LCM-1
HELICOPTERS
Navy 500 MRH 2 AW139
TPT 3+: Medium some Mi-8 Hip; Light 3 AW109
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 4
PCFG 2 Edermen (RUS Molnya) with 4 quad lnchr with Ukraine UKR
3M24E Uran-E (SS-N-25 Switchblade) AShM, 2 AK630
Ukrainian Hryvnia h 2017 2018 2019
CIWS, 1 76mm gun
PCGM 2 Arkadag (TUR Tuzla) with 2 twin lnchr with GDP h 2.98tr 3.42tr
Otomat AShM, 2 twin Simbad-RC lnchr with Mistral US$ 112bn 126bn
SAM, 1 Roketsan A/S mor per capita US$ 2,656 2,964
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT• AGHS 1 (Dearsan 41m) Growth % 2.5 3.5
Inflation % 14.4 10.9
Air Force 3,000 Def bdgt [a] h 74.4bn 88.6bn
FORCES BY ROLE US$ 2.80bn 3.27bn
FIGHTER
FMA (US) US$ 99m 0m
2 sqn with MiG-29 Fulcrum; MiG-29UB Fulcrum;
USD1=h 26.60 27.07
GROUND ATTACK
1 sqn with Su-25 Frogfoot [a] Including military pensions
1 sqn with Su-25MK Frogfoot Population 43,952,299
TRANSPORT
1 sqn with An-26 Curl; Mi-8 Hip; Mi-24 Hind Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
TRAINING Male 8.2% 2.2% 2.7% 3.6% 24.1% 5.5%
1 unit with L-39 Albatros Female 7.7% 2.1% 2.6% 3.4% 26.9% 10.9%
AIR DEFENCE
Some sqn with S-75 Dvina (SA-2 Guideline); S-125 Pechora Capabilities
(SA-3 Goa); S-125 Pechora-2M (SA-26); S-200 Angara
Ukraine’s overriding security concern is Russia’s support for sepa-
(SA-5 Gammon); FD-2000 (HQ-9); KS-1A (HQ-12)
ratists in the east of the country. The armed forces were unable to
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE offer any credible resistance to the Russian annexation of Crimea
AIRCRAFT 55 combat capable and struggled to combat the Russian-backed separatist forces.
FTR 24: 22 MiG-29A/S Fulcrum; 2 MiG-29UB Fulcrum Defence policy is centred on maintaining sovereignty and ter-
ATK 31: 19 Su-25 Frogfoot; 12 Su-25MK Frogfoot ritorial integrity. Ukraine adopted a revised doctrine in 2015 that
TPT • Light 3: 1 An-26 Curl; 2 An-74TK Coaler identified Moscow as a ‘military adversary’, called for ‘comprehen-
sive reform’ of the security sector and revoked the country’s ’non-
TRG 2 L-39 Albatros
block status’. Military reforms since 2015 have addressed the weak-
HELICOPTERS nesses exposed in 2014. Ukraine joined the NATO Partnership for
ATK 10 Mi-24P Hind F Peace programme in 1994, followed in 1997 by the creation of the
MRH 2+ AW139 NATO–Ukraine commission. In 2017, parliament identified NATO
TPT 11: Medium 8: 6 Mi-8 Hip; 2 Mi-17V-V Hip; Light membership as a strategic goal. There are two conscript intakes
3+ AW109 per year, but the longer-term ambition is to professionalise the
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES armed forces. The defence ministry’s development programme
AAM • IR R-60 (AA-8 Aphid); R-73 (AA-11 Archer) aims to improve training, eventually aligning to NATO standards.
The armed forces participate in bilateral and multinational exer-
AIR DEFENCE • SAM
cises. Ukraine retains the notional capacity at least to deploy and
Long-range S-200 Angara (SA-5 Gammon); FD-2000 (HQ- sustain a modest force by air. Poor logistics capacity was exposed
9) after 2014 and addressing this is a priority. The equipment inven-
Medium-range S-75 Dvina (SA-2 Guideline); S-125 tory still consists predominantly of Soviet-era weaponry. Sustain-
Pechora-2M (SA-26); KS-1A (HQ-12) ing and in some cases upgrading these systems is a near-term
Short-range S-125 Pechora (SA-3 Goa); S-125-2BM Pechora concern, although much will need to be replaced over the coming
decade. If not, the armed forces will face increasing problems with
obsolescence. The country has a broad defence industry, though
Paramilitary 5,000 its capabilities remain shaped, and limited, by its Soviet heritage.
Ukraine was a key provider of guided-weapons technologies in
Federal Border Guard Service ε5,000 the Soviet Union. It retains the capability to build Soviet-era land
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE systems and can maintain and modestly upgrade Soviet-era tacti-
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 33 cal combat aircraft.
Russia and Eurasia 213
ACTIVE 209,000 (Army 145,000 Navy 11,000 Air IFV 1,137: 193 BMP-1/BMP-1AK; 890 BMP-2; 4
Force 45,000 Airborne 8,000 Special Operations BMP-3; 50+ BTR-3DA; some BTR-3E1; some BTR-4E
Bucephalus
Forces n.k.) Paramilitary 88,000
APC 338
Conscript liability Army, Air Force 18 months, Navy 2 years.
Minimum age for conscription raised from 18 to 20 in 2015
APC (T) 15+: 15 BTR-D; some MT-LB
APC (W) 313: 5 BTR-60; 215 BTR-70; 93 BTR-80
RESERVE 900,000 (Joint 900,000)
PPV 10 Kozak-2
Military service within 5 years ABCV 30: 15 BMD-1, 15 BMD-2
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
AEV 53 BAT-2; MT-LB
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
ARV BREM-1; BREM-2; BREM-64; T-54/T-55
VLB MTU-20
Army 145,000 ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
4 regional HQ MSL
FORCES BY ROLE SP 9P149 with 9K114 Shturm (AT-6 Spiral)
Production of the S-500 Prometey ballistic-missile- the new engine are planned to be delivered from
defence and air-defence system began in March at 2023.
the Nizhny Novgorod Machine-Building Plant (NMZ)
and the Kirov Machine-Building Enterprise (KMP). In September, Russia’s Rostec sold 60% of NPO
US media reported in May that the S-500 managed Molniya to Kalashnikov (51% of which is owned by
to intercept a target at a range of 480 kilometres (a Rostec). NPO Molniya is an aerospace design firm
new record). Russia wants to begin S-500 deliveries that supplies target drones to the Russian defence
ministry and led the Buran space-shuttle programme,
70
Su-27SM3
60 Su-30M2
Su-30SM
50
Su-34
Number of aircraft
40 Su-35S
MiG-29SMT
30
20
10
Armata
Kurganets
Bumerang
▼ Figure 15 Admiralty Shipyards: Project 636 Varshavyanka (Improved Kilo) and Project 677 Lada (St Petersburg)
attack submarines
Admiralty Shipyards Project 636 and 677 submarines: production rates, 1995–2017
Sep 2017
Dec 2014
Apr 2012
Jul 2009
Oct 2006
Jul 1998
Oct 1995
)
(6 )
2)
(6 3)
(6 -1)
(6 -2)
(6 -3)
(6 -4)
(6 -5)
VN (636 )
VN (063 )
VN (063 )
VN (063 )
VN (063 )
VN (063 )
(0 5)
(0 -6)
(0 -1)
(0 -2)
(0 -3)
(0 -4)
(0 -5)
)
)
-1
-2
-6
-1
-
RU 77-
7-
M M-
M 61-
M 61-
M 61-
M 61-
M 61-
77
PR 36M
PR 36M
PR 36M
PR 36M
AL 36M
AL 36M
3
63
36
36
PR (67
RU 636
RU 636
RU 636
RU 636
RU 636
RU 636
(6
(6
(6
63
C
S
PR
PR
RU
RU
© IISS
438 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Chapter Nine
Sub-Saharan Africa
With few exceptions, a combination of ageing inven- of ad hoc groupings that have developed, such as the
tories and a lack of procurement investment is limiting G-5 Sahel and the MNJTF combating Boko Haram.
the region’s ability to generate combat air power. China has deepened its defence presence in the
Amid continuing conflict and crises in the region, region with the establishment of its first overseas mili-
positive developments included the rapprochement tary base at Djibouti.
between Ethiopia and Eritrea. With regional budgets still constrained, defence
The African Union continues to work towards harmon- spending declined by 5% between 2017 and 2018.
ising its African Standby Force concept with the range
Sub-Saharan Africa defence spending, 2018 – top 5 Active military personnel – top 10
(10,000 per unit)
United States
Eritrea
US$643.3bn 201,750
South Sudan
185,000
Ethiopia 138,000
Nigeria 135,000
Total Democratic Republic
Sub-Saharan of the Congo 134,250
Africa
spending Angola 107,000
US$71.1bn
South Africa Angola Sudan 104,300
Uganda 45,000
Nigeria Kenya Cote d'Ivoire
MINUSMA (Mali)
12,160 (troops and observers)
Ethiopia
Somalia (AMISOM) – 4,323
MONUSCO (DRC)
14,270 (troops and observers) Ethiopia
Abyei (contested by Sudan and
South Sudan) (UNISFA) – 4,445
Sub-Saharan
Nigeria 32 Ethiopia 461
Africa
(5 medium)
Nigeria 319
Zimbabwe 25
Angola 300
Sudan 24
(7 heavy / medium)
Eritrea 270
South Africa 24
(7 medium) Uganda 239
Zambia 23
Democratic Republic of the Congo 174
Botswana 19
(3 medium) South Sudan 80
Cameroon 18
(3 medium) Kenya 78
Kenya 17
Chad 60
Madagascar 16 Mozambique 60
440 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Sub-Saharan Africa
Regional defence establishments remain preoccupied Cameroon’s anglophone regions, together with the
with the causes and consequences of conflict and military response by the government, have led to
instability. The eruption of new crises, such as that particular concern over the impact that the fighting
in Cameroon, and flare-ups in areas long afflicted is having on people in affected regions, including
by conflict and instability, such as the Democratic those who are internally displaced. The actions of
Republic of the Congo (DRC), act as a reminder of the Boko Haram have also had an impact on Cameroon’s
fragility of peace and security in parts of the continent. population in the north of the country, and the group
Threats remain multifaceted, ranging from also remains active in northern Nigeria. Armed forces
institutional weakness to direct challenges from from the MNJTF (which comprises troops from
state and non-state actors, including terrorists. The Benin, Cameroon, Chad, Niger and Nigeria) remain
duration and fluid nature of some conflicts – which engaged on combat operations against this group
cross borders and challenge states including by direct in the area of the Lake Chad Basin. The group has
military threat and asymmetric activity – not only suffered a series of setbacks and has lost territory, but
highlight the adaptability of regional adversaries but retains significant operational capacity and continues
also the requirement for long-term measures to tackle its terrorist activity.
wider development and security priorities, as well Amid continuing ground deployments and ground
as more immediate military imperatives. As well as combat, including internal deployments to counter
combat capabilities, good logistics, communications instability in Zamfara State, and the consequent
and intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance operational stresses on the armed forces, Nigeria has
are important. Along with regional and continental looked to increase its air-to-ground combat-support
institutions, some defence organisations continue to capacities. Two Mi-35 helicopters arrived in 2018,
make progress in capacity-building, supported by a while Nigerian President Muhammadu Buhari’s visit
range of external actors. However, a continuing task to the United States highlighted possible progress
for local governments and international partners is towards the sale to Nigeria of 12 EMB-314 Super
ensuring that these efforts are sustainable. Tucano aircraft, which was earlier blocked by the
Nonetheless, there were positive developments in Obama administration.
2018, including the rapprochement between Ethiopia The challenge from insurgents has been enabled
and Eritrea and the declaration on cooperation between by weak institutions and governance in the region, as
Eritrea, Ethiopia and Somalia. Measures also continue well as the effect of conflicts both in the region and
on the continent to support the development of peace further north; Libya is a prime example. The 2013
and security, such as those of the African Union (AU). near-collapse in Mali, which followed rapid advances
An issue now identified by the AU is to bring into step by Islamist groups, led to rapid French military action
measures developed due to necessity – such as the ad to forestall a takeover by these groups and to bolster
hoc Multinational Joint Task Force (MNJTF), tackling local security forces. French forces remain engaged
Boko Haram, and the African Capacity for Immediate on combat operations and capacity-building tasks in
Response to Crises (ACIRC), which emerged after Mali and regional states as part of Operation Barkhane,
conflict erupted in Mali in 2013 – with structures like which began in 2014. The challenges to this mission
the African Standby Force (ASF), which are intended are many, not least because of the terrain. It is also
to be a long-term and sustainable means of contending challenging in terms of intelligence, surveillance and
with the continent’s security crises. combat- and logistics-support requirements.
France’s operations are conducted alongside
Conflict, terrorism and instability missions by regional states of the G5 Sahel grouping
The roster of regional security challenges grew (Burkina Faso, Chad, Mali, Mauritania and Niger).
longer in 2018. The activity of secessionist groups in In July 2017, the group created the G5 Sahel Cross-
Sub-Saharan Africa 441
Border Joint Force. The European Union financially requirements. For instance, in September 2018 the
supports the joint force to the tune of €50 million Intergovernmental Authority on Development
(US$56m), among other types of support for the mandated Djibouti and Somalia to deploy troops
G5 Sahel. At full operational capability, the force to South Sudan. This builds on the UN-authorised
is planned to have some 5,000 military and police Regional Protection Force, which began to deploy
personnel, with seven battalions spread across three in late 2017 – principally to the Juba area – in order
zones (centre, east and west). It is understood that the to allow United Nations Mission in South Sudan
force headquarters, based in Mali, relocated in late (UNMISS) forces to redeploy to other locations.
2018 from Sévaré to Bamako. (The base at Sévaré was Another example is the Economic Community of
targeted by terrorists earlier in the year.) West African States (ECOWAS) mission to Gambia in
Further east, Somalia has long suffered from 2017.
the actions of al-Shabaab, as well as years of clan Nonetheless, the challenge lies in synchronising
violence and weak governance. International support the ASF with the range of ad hoc groupings that have
for the reconstruction of the Somali security sector developed, including the ACIRC, the G5 Sahel, the
continues, with military training taking place in MNJTF and the Regional Cooperation Initiative for
Mogadishu. The African Union Mission in Somalia the Elimination of the Lord’s Resistance Army. The
(AMISOM) continues to engage in combat operations AU is pursuing initiatives in this regard, and has
against al-Shabaab, as do external actors, including been in discussion with the RECs, including on a legal
the US. The Somali authorities are to assume security framework concerning the deployment and use of the
responsibility eventually and, according to the United ASF. At its October 2018 Chiefs of Defence meeting,
Nations, the government is planning for transfer of the AU said that it would provide ‘mission and
responsibility in four areas: operational handover of logistical support, technical assistance and financial
locations from AMISOM to the Somali security forces; support and resource mobilisation’, as part of its plan
institutional capacity-building; the implementation of to boost cooperation with ad hoc coalitions. The AU’s
the national-security architecture; and the alignment Maputo Strategic Five-Year Work Plan on the African
of supporting activities, such as local governance Standby Force (2016–20) ‘underscored that the RECs
and stabilisation. However, with al-Shabaab still … are part of the overall security architecture of
demonstrating its operational capability through the Union’. The plan charges key AU leaders with
continued attacks, any drawdown in AMISOM’s ensuring that the activities of the RECs are consistent
strength or areas of responsibility will need to be with the aims and objectives of the AU.
carefully managed. However, the Maputo work plan is being revised.
The AU sees it as a ‘living document’, intended
Continental initiatives to tackle political, technical and operational gaps
Such security crises and conflicts involve the identified in lessons-learned processes coming out of
deployment of military personnel and materiel from AU Peace Support Operations (PSOs). The AU said in
multiple African states. However, external actors are 2018 that the work plan incorporated new elements
Sub-Saharan
vital, not just in terms of the materiel and logistical ‘that include the revision and development of an
Africa
support they can offer, but also in financial terms. AU PSO Doctrine and ASF concept; harmonisation
Improving regional states’ capacity to act in between the ASF Framework and ACIRC activities;
support of continental security requirements is key and enhanced cooperation between the ASF and
to realising the ambition of regional standby forces, ad-hoc coalitions’.
which are part of the African Peace and Security Work is also under way, through the Maputo work
Architecture pursued by the AU. Each Regional plan, to identify routine gaps in regional military
Economic Community (REC) is developing a standby capacity, such as in strategic airlift. The possibility
force and regional logistics depot, while in early of pursuing pre-approved contracts for strategic-lift
2018 the AU inaugurated the planned Continental capabilities has been raised. Uganda, meanwhile, has
Logistics Base at Douala in Cameroon. RECs continue pledged a C-130 to the AU for ASF strategic lift, and
to develop their standby forces, although the ASF the AU’s Peace and Security Commission is looking
was declared operational by the AU in early 2016, for more contributions. The AU was due to conduct
following the end of exercise Amani Africa II. The RECs the last two of its REC strategic-lift assessments
are increasingly active in addressing regional security in late 2018, for the North African Regional
442 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Capability and the Southern African Development surface combatants were believed to have yet moored
Community. An important development has been alongside, though the PLA Navy has docked vessels
the establishment of the AU’s Peace Fund, which there including an amphibious vessel.
should provide more predictable funding for AU Other nations continue to deploy to sub-Saharan
PSOs. If fully operationalised, a source of African Africa as part of multinational missions, including
funding for African peace-support operations could EU operations from the Sahel to the Central African
fundamentally change the relationship between the Republic (CAR), as well as on national engagements
AU, UN and EU as well as other influential donors like bilateral training assistance. For example, a report
such as the US, United Kingdom and France. in May 2018 by the UN secretary-general referenced
a 14 March 2018 agreement between Somaliland and
Foreign military presence: new influences the United Arab Emirates (UAE) that the UAE ‘would
Foreign military support for multinational operations support training of “Somaliland” security forces and
and national armed forces continued in 2018. French that the construction of the military airbase and
forces in West Africa and the Sahel region remain naval base at Berbera would proceed as planned’.
engaged on operations, while France maintains a The potential training of Somaliland forces was not
significant presence in Djibouti, which is also home greeted positively in Mogadishu. The UK, meanwhile,
to the US Combined Joint Task Force–Horn of Africa. has long maintained advisory and training teams on
From this location, US forces carry out regional the continent. The establishment of the new regional
training activities, as well as military operations, British Defence Staff in 2016 signalled a renewal of the
particularly in Somalia. US training activities on the UK’s relationship with West African states.
continent are broad, ranging from pre-deployment Russia too has a relatively long history of
training to mission-specific tasks, and a set of involvement on the continent, though in recent years
exercise and support programmes continue, such this has been restricted to the supply of military
as the Flintlock counter-terrorism exercises and equipment. Moscow’s involvement deepened in
the Africa Contingency Operations Training and late 2017 when the UN Security Council granted it
Assistance initiative. The US has been active in an exemption to the arms embargo on the CAR. In
supporting counter-terrorist operations in the Sahel. early 2018, it was reported that Russian shipments of
As part of a deployment that has built up in recent small arms had taken place, along with the provision
years, by May 2018 the US had about 800 personnel of civilian instructors to train two battalions of
deployed to Niger. The deployment includes training CAR troops. Non-governmental organisations have
teams dedicated to building local counter-terrorist expressed concern that the influx of new weapons
capacities, and armed Reaper uninhabited aerial to government forces would in turn drive rebel
vehicles (UAVs) based at Niamey. Nonetheless, the groups to increase their armament. Meanwhile, CAR
United States’ largest regional contingent remains President Faustin-Archange Touadéra was reported
based at Djibouti’s Camp Lemonnier. to have a Russian security adviser, as well as Russian
As well as France and the US, China is now resident nationals in the presidential guard. Media sources
in Djibouti. For some years, Beijing has deployed allege that the civilian instructors are in fact from
ships off the Horn of Africa on counter-piracy patrols, the same Russian private military company, labelled
though not as part of multinational missions, and ‘Wagner’, that has been reported as active in Syria
has increasingly taken part in UN peacekeeping and Ukraine, though this remains unconfirmed.
missions and developed defence and security ties
– as well as a range of economic links – across the DEFENCE ECONOMICS
continent. Beijing has pledged to establish a China–
Africa peace fund and to continue military assistance Macroeconomics
to the AU. Chinese press sources quoted an intended Economic growth firmed up across the continent,
50 security-assistance programmes. However, rising from 2.7% in 2017 to 3.1% in 2018, according
China’s construction of port facilities in Djibouti, to the International Monetary Fund (IMF). This
and a military deployment there to the country’s first was driven largely by increasing commodity
overseas military base, has generated a new level of prices, notably in oil and metals, and a rebounding
scrutiny. A marine company is assessed to be present economy in Nigeria. Other factors include improved
at the base, though at the time of writing no principal agricultural output and rising domestic consumption.
Sub-Saharan Africa 443
China takes part in UN peacekeeping operations in Africa including offshore-patrol vessels, armoured personnel
as well as counter-piracy missions in the Gulf of Aden. It carriers, surface-to-air missile systems, uninhabited aerial
also provides maritime-security training off the east coast. vehicles and training aircraft. Meanwhile, China has
Beijing has also built more permanent military invested heavily in the construction of ports, some with
infrastructure and now has a military base in Djibouti. It has major railway connections as part of regional connectivity
also financed and built military infrastructure in Ghana, projects. While some of these may be associated with
Tanzania and Zimbabwe, including training centres, China’s Belt and Road Initiative, China’s presence in Africa
barracks, defence colleges and defence-ministry buildings. has moved beyond solely economic or humanitarian
Between 2016 and 2017, China also exported military impulses, and there is now a distinct security and defence
equipment to 20 states in North and sub-Saharan Africa, focus to its engagement.
Military infrastructure
Peacekeeping operations
as of 30 Sep 2018
Port
El Hamdania port Military-related projects Countries that have
undertaken by the Chinese imported Chinese weapons
government include the
MINUSMA construction of the defence-
Staff officers: 8 ministry complex as well as
Contingent troops: 395 UNAMID
the Ghana Armed Forces
ALGERIA Staff officers: 9
Barracks, reportedly known
Contingent troops: 365
WESTERN as the Beijing Barracks
SAHARA EGYPT
UNMISS
Staff officers: 20
MAURITANIA
MINURSO Experts on mission: 5
MALI NIGER Police: 12
Experts on
mission: 11 SENEGAL SUDAN Contingent troops: 1,020
GHANA NIGERIA
DJIBOUTI PLA military base
SIERRA BENIN SOUTH
LEONE CÔTE CAMEROON SUDAN SOMALIA
D’IVOIRE
MONUSCO
Staff officers: 5
DEMOCRATIC KENYA Experts on mission: 9
REPUBLIC Contingent troops: 218
OF THE TANZANIA
Jamestown port CONGO
Construction of
construction Bagamoyo port;
Sub-Saharan
expansion of Dar-
Africa
Benin River port (deal ANGOLA es-Salaam port
signed Sep 2018) ZAMBIA MOZAMBIQUE Comprehensive
ZIMBABWE Training Centre (CTC)
Kribi deepwater port opened in February
construction – NAMIBIA 2018, Chinese built and
financed by China funded (US$30m)
© IISS
444 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
The rise in commodity prices was noteworthy. by exchange-rate depreciation, while the interest
According to the World Bank, oil prices rose from a payments needed to service these debts further
yearly average of around US$51 per barrel in 2015 to constrained countries’ fiscal space. The IMF said that,
around US$80 per barrel in October 2018, while prices for oil exporters, interest payments accounted for
for South African coal rose from US$57 per metric almost 15% of their total revenue in 2017; the figure
tonne (mt) in 2015 to US$100 per mt in October 2018. was almost 10% for the whole region.
Metal prices have also increased in recent years – for Inflation rates fell in 2018 and stabilised at 8.6%, a
instance in aluminium, copper, iron ore, nickel and positive development explained by tighter monetary
zinc – which enabled metal-exporting countries to policies in key countries such as Angola and Nigeria.
increase their mining output. Other contributory factors were improved currency
Despite this increase in commodity prices – stability and a more moderate increase in agricultural
including in agricultural prices – which helped prices than between 2011 and 2014.
resource-intensive economies, most regional However, regional growth was again weighed
economies remained fragile. Although fiscal deficits down by the slower recovery in some of the larger
narrowed in central African states such as Cameroon, countries, such as South Africa, and persistent
Chad and Gabon, widening deficits and deteriorating conflict or instability in others, such as Burundi,
fiscal positions have led to rising debt levels in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and South
other countries. Rising debt levels were also caused Sudan. The economic disruption caused by conflict-
Niger
Mali Chad
Cape Verde Senegal Sudan
Eritrea
Burkina Faso
Gambia
Guinea-Bissau Djibouti
Guinea Côte Ethiopia
d’Ivoire Nigeria
Sierra Leone Central South Sudan
African Rep.
Liberia Somalia
Ghana Benin Cameroon
Togo Uganda
Equatorial Guinea Kenya
Rwanda
Real % Change (2017–18) Republic of
Gabon
More than 20% increase Congo Burundi
Democratic
Between 10% and 20% increase Rep. of the Congo Seychelles
Between 3% and 10% increase
Tanzania
Between 0% and 3% increase
Between 0% and 3% decrease
Angola
Between 3% and 10% decrease
Malawi
Between 10% and 20% decrease
More than 20% decrease Zambia Mozambique
Insufficient data Madagascar
Zimbabwe
Botswana
2018 Defence Spending (US$m) [1] Map illustrating 2018 planned defence-
spending levels (in US$ at market exchange Namibia Mauritius
rates), as well as the annual real percentage
3,629 change in planned defence spending between
3,233 2017 and 2018 (at constant 2010 prices and Swaziland
exchange rates). Percentage changes in
1,530 defence spending can vary considerably from South Africa
year to year, as states revise the level of
1,000 funding allocated to defence. Changes Lesotho
500 indicated here highlight the short-term trend in
planned defence spending between 2017 and
100 2018. Actual spending changes prior to 2017,
50 and projected spending levels post-2018, are
not reflected.
© IISS
Sub-Saharan Africa 445
Sub-Saharan
wages and inflation under control, but also rising the fight against Boko Haram.
Africa
unemployment. However, a change in government in Significantly in 2018, the United States changed
South Africa – as well as in Angola and Zimbabwe its stance regarding arms transfers to Nigeria. While
– helped regenerate confidence over these countries’ the Obama administration limited arms sales due
economic trajectory. to security and humanitarian reasons, US President
Donald Trump lifted the ban as part of a general push
Defence budgets and procurement to increase US arms sales. This means that progress
With economies still constrained, defence spending might now be made on the plan to acquire 12
in sub-Saharan Africa declined by 5.0% in real EMB-314 Super Tucano aircraft, in addition to related
terms between 2017 and 2018, after a decline of 5.1% training and spare parts, for a total estimated by the
between 2016 and 2017. US Defense Security Cooperation Agency at US$593
In particular, the fall in Angola’s defence spending million. These aircraft are used elsewhere in a light-
drove totals down. While the budget rose in local- attack role, and on arrival in Nigeria should further
currency terms, this still resulted in a decline in reinforce the country’s capabilities for counter-
US-dollar terms, given currency problems the terrorism operations.
446 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Meanwhile, there were significant increases in Defence Industry Fund (DIF) and a defence science
the defence budgets of some smaller sub-Saharan and engineering programme. The DIF is structured
African countries. Burkina Faso’s budget rose from around a public–private partnership (the private
Fr112bn (US$192m) to Fr174bn (US$315m), while firm Crede Capital Partners will operate the fund).
budgets in Côte d’Ivoire and Tanzania also increased DIF will be able to lend money to defence companies
– from Fr482bn (US$829m) to Fr517bn (US$935m) to develop their supply chain or guarantee exports.
in the former and from Sh1.19 trillion (US$532m) The defence science and engineering programme,
to Sh1.73trn (US$757m) in the latter. The increase meanwhile, targets universities in order to train
in Tanzania may be explained by funds allocated to skilled personnel for the defence sector.
enable the delivery of Super Puma helicopters in 2018, In other regional countries, defence manufacturing
a deal valued at €190m (US$225m), according to a remains limited in scale and at the lower end of the
French parliamentary report on arms exports. technological spectrum. Most firms are involved in
the land sector, such as Uganda’s Impala Services
Defence industry and Logistics, which produces armoured personnel
South Africa is home to the region’s most advanced carriers. Nigeria’s defence-industrial base is the
defence industries. However, limited defence most advanced after South Africa’s, and in 2018
spending by the state in recent years has not helped an agreement was signed with Poland’s PGZ to
the country’s defence manufacturers, and exports manufacture rifles under licence in the Ordnance
have not entirely compensated for this. Factory Complex in Kaduna, which is operated by the
In 2017, the latest year for which data is available, state-run Defence Industries Corporation of Nigeria.
total export values declined to R3.62bn (US$272m), Nigeria also has a small-scale naval shipbuilding
from the 2016 total of R4.17bn (US$283m). Armoured capacity, with firms including Epenal Group
vehicles remained the principal export products, with shipyard, Nautic Africa and Nigeria Naval Dockyard.
Paramount and Denel the key manufacturers.
Denel encountered difficulties that reflected SOUTH AFRICA
some of the broader challenges facing South African
defence firms. The company faced a liquidity crisis in South Africa’s defence review was conducted in
the wake of questions over governance. Attempts to 2011–13 and released in 2015. It set out a robust
open Denel Asia in 2016, a joint venture in India with regional role for the South African National Defence
VR Laser Asia, have been highlighted in the media. It Force (SANDF) and was accepted across government.
was intended to be a stepping stone to enable Denel However, the review warned that the defence budget
to penetrate Asian markets, but became involved in was not only inadequate to support that ambition, but
broader allegations of corruption levelled against also insufficient to prevent further decline in South
the Gupta family – with whom the firm VR Laser Africa’s defence capability. Nonetheless, funding
Asia was linked. Press reports alleged that had the dropped to less than 1% of GDP in 2018, and the
joint venture been set up as planned, it would likely SANDF has been warned to expect yet further cuts,
have benefited the Gupta family through preferential making any notion of an expanded regional security
terms. The company’s financial position was also role unrealistic.
not helped by its acquisition of BAE Systems Land The primary driver for the review’s
Systems South Africa for R855m (US$67m) in 2015. recommendations about South Africa’s regional
Reports indicated that as a result of its liquidity role was economic. The country needs a stable
problems, Denel had experienced difficulties in paying environment within which it can continue to
its employees and suppliers on at least one occasion. develop and to expand exports into Africa; for
In turn, reportedly delayed payments to suppliers most of the continent it remains the most important
generated knock-on delays in programme production. manufacturing economy. As then-president Thabo
In a bid to improve matters, Denel’s entire board was Mbeki set out at the 2001 World Economic Forum in
replaced in April 2018, and the new leadership is Davos, this requires ‘peace, security and stability’ – a
engaged in efforts to improve governance. prerequisite if South Africa is to attract the scale of
At the same time, South Africa is implementing fixed capital investment it needs.
a national strategy to revive its defence industry. This desire motivated the decisions to deploy
Two important initiatives were launched in 2018: a SANDF personnel to Lesotho (1998), Burundi (2001–
Sub-Saharan Africa 447
09), the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) training, which has also reduced over the past two
(2001 to date), Comoros (2006) and the Central African decades due to lack of funding, will be further
Republic (CAR) (2007–13). A vision of wider African affected.
solidarity led to the deployments to Darfur (2004–16), Government funding works on a three-year
the provision of staff officers to African Union and medium-term expenditure framework (MTEF) that
United Nations missions in Eritrea, Ethiopia and is intended to ensure a smooth funding flow. The
Liberia for various periods, as well as engagement in 2018 budget was reduced from the amount that had
Côte d’Ivoire (2006) and Libya (2011) in support of the been originally set for this and the next two years in
South African president’s peace efforts. the MTEF. A second wave of cuts is expected in the
However, the security challenge remains. South budget issued halfway through the financial year,
Africa’s immediate region – the Southern African with a real likelihood of more cuts during the current
Development Community (SADC) – is unstable: the five-year medium-term strategic framework (MTSF).
DRC remains beset by conflict; Lesotho, Swaziland The impact of this is summed up in a key paragraph
and Zimbabwe are fragile; and Mozambique is at of the Department of Defence’s (DoD’s) 2018 Annual
risk of renewed insurgency by Renamo rebels and Performance Plan (APP). The APP says that ‘the
now faces what appears to be Islamist terrorism in persistent disconnect between government’s defence
the north along the border with Tanzania. Angola, expectations and the resources allocated to defence
meanwhile, faces the risk of renewed insurgency in has eroded capabilities to the point where the SANDF
its oil-rich Cabinda exclave should it lose influence will be unable to fulfil its defence commitments. The
in either of the Congos, which could provide safe SANDF therefore cannot even support the current
haven for guerrillas. Some analysts think that either modest level of ambition. South Africa’s defence
the Republic of Congo or the DRC will in future ambition and defence capacity are clearly at odds
dispute Angola’s possession of Cabinda, which is with one another.’
geographically, ethnically and historically a part of The plan also says that a full review of the
the former Congo kingdoms. Countries adjacent to department might be needed in order to align it with
the SADC are even less stable: the Republic of Congo available resources. It posits that the DoD may instead
is fragile, the CAR is a failed state, South Sudan is have to plan against the defence review’s ‘Strategic
embroiled in civil war and Burundi faces renewed Policy Option 1’, which was based on an assumption
political and security problems. that reduced defence funding translates into ‘vastly
The need for South Africa to remain engaged with reduced defence capability’, which ‘does not support
regional security issues therefore continues, but for a continental leadership role’ and is ‘unable to fully
Pretoria to play a credible and effective role, it needs comply with the constitutional requirements’.
the military capability to respond quickly to crises, The pressure on the army was lifted to an extent
to participate in extended peace-support missions, by the decision in 2016 to withdraw the SANDF
deal with disruptive state or non-state actors and battalion deployed in Darfur, meaning that the only
conduct constabulary operations, such as counter- major deployed South African force was an army
Sub-Saharan
piracy patrols. It will not be possible, analysts argue, combat formation and air-force contingent attached
Africa
to regenerate and develop the necessary military to the MONUSCO Force Intervention Brigade in the
capabilities at current funding levels. DRC. The government has at various times talked
of additional deployments, including a return to
A force challenged the CAR, but at the same time, the army lacks the
Current funding levels place in question the ability troops for effective border patrols. Meanwhile, the
of the SANDF to meet even the objective of the navy is conducting patrols along the west coast of
review’s first planning milestone – to ‘arrest the Africa when it lacks sufficient ships (possessing in
decline in critical capabilities’ (the target date was its surface fleet only four frigates and four patrol and
2018). The entire concept of ‘milestones’ in the review coastal craft, barring minesweepers and auxiliaries)
has been undermined by budget cuts in 2018, which to patrol home waters and the Mozambique Channel
will result in further capability reductions and the – the route for half of South Africa’s oil imports. The
generation of a ‘bow wave’ of requirements, as more disconnect between what government expects of
equipment becomes obsolete or non-operational the SANDF and what it is willing to fund remains a
as a result of inadequate maintenance. Meanwhile, critical problem.
448 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
the chief of the air force and the general officer strategic capability gaps or replace old equipment.
commanding special forces are all due to retire over The present budget plan is to cut personnel from just
the next two years, and suitable successors are not over 75,500 to about 74,660 by 2020 and reduce the use
immediately apparent. There is no lack of suitable of reserve personnel. However, this will depend on
officers, but poor succession planning has caused finding an exit mechanism and the funds needed to
a gap between officers due to retire too soon to be buy out those personnel who are no longer required,
available for these posts and others that will still be and on the government not entering into new tasks
too junior in rank in two years. This may require requiring significant personnel commitments.
some officers to be fast-tracked, but there is precedent With the economy shrinking, there are only slim
for that in the former South African Defence Force. prospects for any real increase in defence funding,
even looking beyond the present three-year MTEF
Defence economics and five-year MTSF. The DoD has, however, taken
The primary challenge facing South Africa’s armed a new approach in arguing its case for funding. It
forces remains the mismatch between funding and has set out the importance of exports to the region –
commitments. While the budget has remained more which depend on stability that, in turn, can depend
or less constant in US-dollar terms over the past few on peace-support or constabulary operations – and
years, it was inadequate to begin with and has not foreign-currency earnings from defence exports. The
matched inflation. In addition, with unemployment Rooivalk attack helicopter, for instance, cost some R6.2
a significant problem there is no specific SANDF exit billion (US$642 million) to develop and manufacture,
mechanism to plan for and manage departures, such and had by the end of 2013 generated foreign-
as improved severance packages. As a consequence, exchange revenues of more than R15bn (US$1.55bn)
the average age of SANDF personnel is steadily from the export of subsystems (both 2013 rand).
increasing, while an increasing proportion of junior There were some positive developments in the
ranks have families. The result has been that direct medium-term (three-year) budget, but there remains
(57.1% of the budget) and indirect personnel costs the chance of further cuts during the year. The army
absorb, according to treasury budget papers, almost may receive the first Badger ICVs, artillery command
80% of the available funding. systems and new water-purification equipment,
This has put the SANDF in a difficult situation, and the air force the first A-Darter infrared air-to-air
resulting in, according to official documents, missiles and a new mobile communications system.
reductions in training exercises, air-force flying hours Some funds had been allocated to maritime and
and sea days (500 sea days for the entire fleet in the first light-transport aircraft, although those seem unlikely
two years of the current three-year MTEF, shrinking to to materialise since the money has been diverted to
417 in FY2020/21). It also makes it difficult to maintain personnel costs. The navy has been disappointed by
equipment and facilities properly, let alone close the fate of its planned three OPVs, which have been
Sub-Saharan
Africa
Table 20 SANDF budget by programme (in rand/US$ at yearly exchange rates)
Programme/Year 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21
Final Planned Actual Planned Revised Planned
Administration 5.5bn (409m) 5.6bn (432m) 5.5bn (426m) 5.9bn (437m) 5.8bn (430m) 6.3bn (448m)
Force Employment 3.4bn (358m) 3.7bn (281m) 3.4bn (259m) 3.8bn (276m) 3.6bn (264m) 3.8bn (270m)
Landward Defence 16.7bn (1.25bn) 17.1bn (1.3bn) 16.2bn (1.2bn) 18.2bn (1.3bn) 16.6bn (1.2bn) 17.0bn (1.2bn)
Air Defence 6.8bn (510m) 7.1bn (548m) 6.4bn (492m) 8.6bn (630m) 7.3bn (535m) 8.2bn (586m)
Maritime Defence 4.6bn (346m) 4.89bn (375m) 4.4bn (339m) 4.5bn (330m) 4.4bn (324m) 5.1bn (363m)
Military Health Support 4.6bn (349m) 4.91bn (376m) 4.7bn (362m) 5.4bn (395m) 5.3bn (387m) 5.8bn (416m)
Defence Intelligence 908m (68m) 948m (73m) 1bn (73m) 1bn (74m) 1bn (73m) 1.1bn (76m)
General Support 6.5bn (490m) 6.3bn (483m) 6.3bn (482m) 6.7bn (491m) 6.7bn (492m) 6.9bn (494m)
Total R49bn R50.6bn R48bn R50.4bn R50.7bn R54.0bn
(US$3.7bn) (US$3.9bn) (US$3.7m) (US$4.0bn) (US$3.7bn) (US$3.9bn)
Source: South African defence budget 2018
450 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
deferred, although contracts for three inshore patrol budget by exporting, and it continues to be successful
vessels and a new survey ship have been signed. in the international market. The reduction in defence-
However, it remains to be seen how far these plans funded R&D has meant that companies have fewer
will be realised in the face of the weakening economy. new products, which has affected export potential,
The Special Defence Account, which covers the with exports in 2015 dropping below the level
acquisition of equipment and systems, is due to reached in 2006.
receive only R5.36bn (US$411m) in 2018/19, R5.29bn Pretoria now appreciates the economic potential
(US$406m) in 2019/20 and R5.51bn (US$423m) in of the defence industry, and a new defence-industry
2020/21, assuming that there are no further cuts. strategy was approved in April 2018. The strategy
calls for streamlining the SANDF acquisition
Defence industry and procurement processes, as well as focused
The South African defence industry is much smaller government support, but it will not succeed if defence-
than it was in 1989, down from 130,000 employees acquisition funding cannot be increased and if there
to 15,000 and from some 3,000 companies to fewer is no support for joint ventures or partnerships with
than 200; it has also lost some key capabilities. The foreign and international defence groups. However,
main factor in this reduction was the 50% cut in there is potential for such cooperation, given South
defence funding between 1989 and 1994, years that Africa’s success in secure communications, electronic
saw operational costs increase. This was followed by warfare, guided weapons and protected vehicles.
the costs of integrating the non-statutory forces and However, there will need to be a shift in government
the former SADF, moving to a regular force and then thinking on foreign partnerships, given that the only
nearly a decade of operational overstretch from 2001. viable partners will often be Western states, rather
An outcome is that SANDF-funded research and than favoured friends such as China and Russia (who
development (R&D), accounting for about 11.2% of are also the defence industry’s primary competitors).
acquisition funding in the 2018/19 financial year, is set Another challenge lies in attempting to draft an
to decline to 10.2% by 2020/21, forcing many projects implementation plan when there is no certainty
to be put on hold or even cancelled. regarding acquisition funding. That will make it
For a considerable time, the defence industry difficult for the defence industry to plan ahead and
was able to offset the shrinking SANDF acquisition may see more companies exit the sector.
Sub-Saharan Africa 451
1 (4th) div (1 tk regt, 5 mot inf bde, 2 inf bde, 1 engr bde)
Angola ANG 1 (5th) div (2 inf bde)
New Angolan Kwanza AOA 2017 2018 2019 1 (6th) div (1 mot inf bde, 2 inf bde, 1 engr bde)
COMBAT SUPPORT
GDP AOA 21.0tr 28.2tr
Some engr units
US$ 127bn 115bn
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
per capita US$ 4,466 3,924 Some log units
Growth % -2.5 -0.1 EQUIPMENT BY TYPE†
Inflation % 29.8 20.5 ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
Def bdgt AOA 536bn 546bn MBT 300: ε200 T-55AM2; 50 T-62; 50 T-72
US$ 3.23bn 2.22bn LT TK 10 PT-76
USD1=AOA 165.92 246.31 ASLT 3+ PTL-02 Assaulter
RECCE 600 BRDM-2
Population 30,355,880
IFV 250 BMP-1/BMP-2
Ethnic groups: Ovimbundu 37%; Kimbundu 25%; Bakongo 13% APC 246
APC (T) 31 MT-LB
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
APC (W) 170+: ε170 BTR-152/BTR-60/BTR-80; WZ-551
Male 23.0% 4.9% 4.0% 3.3% 11.5% 1.0%
(CP)
Female 24.2% 5.1% 4.3% 3.7% 12.7% 1.4%
PPV 45 Casspir NG2000
ABCV BMD-3
Capabilities ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
Though numerically one of the region’s largest and best- ARV T-54/T-55
equipped armed forces, the available inventory is limited in scale MW Bozena
with maintenance and readiness a challenge. The armed forces ARTILLERY 1,439+
are constitutionally tasked with ensuring sovereignty and territo-
SP 16+: 122mm 2S1 Gvozdika; 152mm 4 2S3 Akatsiya;
rial integrity, though maritime security and the protection of off-
shore resources is an increasing focus. There are growing military
203mm 12 2S7 Pion
ties with China. Luanda is looking to Beijing to help modernise its TOWED 575: 122mm 523 D-30; 130mm 48 M-46; 152mm
armed forces, and to develop its defence-industrial base. Defence 4 D-20
ties persist with Russia, which also provides support to the armed MRL 98+: 122mm 98: 58 BM-21 Grad; 40 RM-70; 240mm
forces. Angola retains conscription and, in recent years, force BM-24
health and education have been investment priorities. The armed MOR 750: 82mm 250; 120mm 500
forces train regularly and have participated in multinational exer- ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
cises with the US and others. Angola is the only regional state
MSL • MANPATS 9K11 (AT-3 Sagger)
with a strategic-airlift capacity and has a comparatively large
RCL 500: 400 82mm B-10/107mm B-11†; 106mm 100†
transport fleet, though availability remains an issue. Improving
the military-logistics system has been identified as a key require- GUNS • SP 100mm SU-100†
ment, but progress is unclear. Modernisation plans have been AIR DEFENCE
curtailed by the fall in oil prices. However, there have been some SAM • Point-defence 9K32 Strela-2 (SA-7 Grail)‡; 9K36
acquisitions. The country ordered the C295 maritime-patrol air- Strela-3 (SA-14 Gremlin); 9K310 Igla-1 (SA-16 Gimlet)
craft in 2018 in light of security concerns in the Gulf of Guinea. GUNS
Defence industry is limited to in-service maintenance facilities, SP 23mm ZSU-23-4
Sub-Saharan
but Angola has ambitions to develop greater capacity by partner- TOWED 450+: 14.5mm ZPU-4; 23mm ZU-23-2; 37mm
Africa
ing with countries such as China, Brazil, Russia and Portugal.
M-1939; 57mm S-60
ACTIVE 107,000 (Army 100,000 Navy 1,000 Air
6,000) Paramilitary 10,000 Navy ε1,000
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 21
PCO 2 Ngola Kiluange with 1 hel landing platform
Army 100,000 (Ministry of Fisheries)
PCC 5 Rei Bula Matadi (Ministry of Fisheries)
FORCES BY ROLE
MANOEUVRE PBF 5 PVC-170
Armoured PB 9: 4 Mandume; 5 Comandante Imperial Santana
1 tk bde (Ministry of Fisheries)
Light
1 SF bde Coastal Defence
1 (1st) div (1 mot inf bde, 2 inf bde) EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
1 (2nd) div (3 mot inf bde, 3 inf bde, 1 arty regt) COASTAL DEFENCE • AShM 4K44 Utyos (SS-C-1B
1 (3rd) div (2 mot inf bde, 3 inf bde) Sepal – at Luanda)
452 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
Capabilities
LT TK 18 PT-76† The Botswana Defence Force (BDF) mainly comprises ground
RECCE 34: 3 AML-90; 14 BRDM-2; 7 M8; 10 VBL forces and a small, but comparatively well-equipped, air wing. The
APC 34 • APC (T) 22 M113; APC (W) 2 Bastion APC; major task for the BDF is to ensure territorial integrity, coupled
with domestic missions such as tackling poachers. There is also a
PPV 10 Casspir NG
history of involvement in peacekeeping operations. The BDF has
ARTILLERY 16+ reportedly been working on a defence doctrine that is believed
TOWED 105mm 16: 12 L118 Light Gun; 4 M101 to be influenced by US concepts and practices. Botswana has a
MOR 81mm some; 120mm some good relationship with the US and regularly sends its officers to
train there. The armed forces also train with other African nations,
Navy ε500 including Namibia, with whom it holds biannual exercises. The
operations centre for the Southern African Development Com-
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
munity Standby Force is located in Gaborone. The BDF is an all-
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS
volunteer force. Recent personnel priorities include improving
PB 6: 2 Matelot Brice Kpomasse (ex-PRC); 3 FPB 98; 1 27m conditions of service, overhauling retirement ages and boosting
(PRC) capability. Growing relations with Beijing have seen some military
personnel travel to China for training. The air force has a reason-
Air Force 250 able airlift capacity, given the size of its armed forces, and the BDF
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE is able to deploy a small force by air if required. There is an ongoing
effort to identify a successor for the air arm’s primary combat air-
AIRCRAFT
craft, the F-5, while, in recent years, ground-based air defence
TPT 3: Light 1 DHC-6 Twin Otter†; PAX 2: 1 B-727; 1 has been improved. Local reports suggest a limited capacity in
HS-748† armoured-vehicle maintenance; beyond this, the country has no
Sub-Saharan
TRG 2 LH-10 Ellipse defence-industrial base.
Africa
HELICOPTERS
TPT • Light 5: 4 AW109BA; 1 AS350B Ecureuil† ACTIVE 9,000 (Army 8,500 Air 500)
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
RCL 75mm Type-52 (M20); 84mm Carl Gustav Burundi BDI
ARTILLERY 50+
Burundi Franc fr 2017 2018 2019
TOWED 14: 105mm 8 M101; 122mm 6
MRL 9: 107mm ε4 Type-63; 122mm 5 APR-40 GDP fr 5.87tr 6.18tr
MOR 27+: 81mm Brandt; 82mm 15; 120mm 12 US$ 3.40bn 3.44bn
AIR DEFENCE per capita US$ 312 307
SAM • Point-defence 9K32 Strela-2 (SA-7 Grail)‡ Growth % 0.0 0.1
GUNS • TOWED 42: 14.5mm 30 ZPU; 20mm 12 TCM-20
Inflation % 16.6 1.2
Sub-Saharan
Army 30,000
Africa
Paramilitary 250
FORCES BY ROLE
People’s Militia (R) 45,000 reservists (trained) MANOEUVRE
Mechanised
Security Company 250 2 lt armd bn (sqn)
Light
DEPLOYMENT 7 inf bn
Some indep inf coy
CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC: UN • MINUSCA 1; 1 obs
COMBAT SUPPORT
DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO: UN • 1 arty bn
MONUSCO 1; 3 obs 1 engr bn
MALI: UN • MINUSMA 1,720; 2 inf bn AIR DEFENCE
1 AD bn
SUDAN: UN • UNAMID 1; 1 obs; UN • UNISFA 1 obs
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
FOREIGN FORCES RECCE 55: 6 AML-60; 12 AML-90; 30 BRDM-2; 7 S52
France Operation Barkhane 250; 1 SF gp; 1 H225M; 1 Gazelle Shorland
456 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
APC 94
APC (W) 60: 20 BTR-40; 10 BTR-80; 9 Panhard M3; 15
Cameroon CMR
Type-92; 6 Walid CFA Franc BEAC fr 2017 2018 2019
PPV 34: 12 Casspir; 12 RG-31 Nyala; 10 RG-33L
GDP fr 20.3tr 21.3tr
AUV 15 Cougar 4×4
ARTILLERY 120 US$ 35.0bn 38.4bn
TOWED 122mm 18 D-30 per capita US$ 1,441 1,545
MRL 122mm 12 BM-21 Grad Growth % 3.5 3.8
MOR 90: 82mm 15 M-43; 120mm ε75 Inflation % 0.6 1.0
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
Def bdgt fr 239bn 239bn
MSL • MANPATS Milan (reported)
RCL 75mm Type-52 (M20) US$ 411m 432m
AIR DEFENCE US$1=fr 580.93 553.07
SAM • Point-defence 9K32 Strela-2 (SA-7 Grail)‡ Population 25,640,965
GUNS • TOWED 150+: 14.5mm 15 ZPU-4; 135+ 23mm
ZU-23/37mm Type-55 (M-1939) Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
Male 21.3% 5.3% 4.5% 4.0% 13.4% 1.5%
Air Wing 200
Female 21.0% 5.2% 4.5% 3.9% 13.4% 1.7%
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
AIRCRAFT 1 combat capable
TPT 2: Light 2 Cessna 150L†
Capabilities
TRG 1 SF-260W Warrior* Although internal stability has long been a focus for Cameroon’s
HELICOPTERS armed forces, the threat from Boko Haram and separatist move-
ATK 2 Mi-24 Hind ments have generated a significant response, particularly in the
northern area of the country bordering Nigeria. The government
MRH 2 SA342L Gazelle
continues to boost the size of the armed forces. In 2018, a fifth
TPT • Medium (2 Mi-8 Hip non-op) military region was created in response to security challenges in
the west stemming from separatist activity. Cameroon is part of
Reserves the Multinational Joint Task Force engaged on operations against
FORCES BY ROLE Boko Haram. There are long-standing military ties with France and
MANOEUVRE the US, including for support and training. The US has trained naval
Light personnel as part of the Africa Maritime Law Enforcement Partner-
10 inf bn (reported) ship. A military-assistance agreement was signed with China in
2018. The two countries have cooperated over the new floating
dock at Kribi, which it is hoped will improve operational readiness.
Navy 50 The AU’s continental logistic base was inaugurated at Douala in
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE early 2018. The armed forces are considered disciplined and well
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS • PB 4 organised, though in 2018 there were some allegations of abuse. In
AMPHIBIOUS • LCT 2 late 2018, the US said it would continue assisting the armed forces,
but urged accountability in the wake of the abuse allegations. The
Paramilitary ε1,000 army has contributed personnel to UN peacekeeping operations
and has strengthened its participation to deployments in the CAR.
General Administration of State Security There is only limited capability for power projection and deploy-
ment capabilities are limited to neighbouring countries without
ε1,000 external support. Many elements of the equipment inventory are
ageing, but infantry fighting vehicles and protected patrol vehicles
DEPLOYMENT were acquired from China and South Africa and gifted by the US.
The armed forces are improving their ISR capability with fixed-
CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC: UN • MINUSCA 760; 9 wing aircraft and small UAVs. Maritime capabilities improved in
obs; 1 inf bn recent years with the acquisition of more patrol vessels, both new
MALI: UN • MINUSMA 2 and second-hand. Cameroon has no defence-industrial capacity,
bar maintenance facilities.
SOMALIA: AU • AMISOM 5,073; 6 inf bn
UN • UNSOM 1 obs ACTIVE 15,400 (Army 13,500 Navy 1,500 Air 400)
SUDAN: UN • UNAMID 3; 1 obs; UN • UNISFA 2 obs
Paramilitary 9,000
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
Army 13,500
3 Mil Regions
FORCES BY ROLE
MANOEUVRE
Light
1 rapid reaction bde (1 armd recce bn, 1 AB bn, 1 amph bn)
Sub-Saharan Africa 457
1 mot inf bde (4 mot inf bn, 1 spt bn) Air Force 300–400
2 mot inf bde (3 mot inf bn, 1 spt bn)
FORCES BY ROLE
2 mot inf bde (2 mot inf bn, 1 spt bn)
FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
3 (rapid reaction) inf bn
1 sqn with MB-326K; Alpha Jet*†
Air Manoeuvre
TRANSPORT
1 cdo/AB bn
Other 1 sqn with C-130H/H-30 Hercules; IAI-201 Arava; PA-23
1 (Presidential Guard) gd bn Aztec
COMBAT SUPPORT 1 VIP unit with AS332 Super Puma; AS365 Dauphin 2;
1 arty regt (5 arty bty) Bell 206B Jet Ranger; Gulfstream III
5 engr regt TRAINING
AIR DEFENCE 1 unit with Tetras
1 AD regt (6 AD bty) ATTACK HELICOPTER
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE 1 sqn with SA342 Gazelle (with HOT); Mi-24 Hind
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
ASLT 18: 6 AMX-10RC; ε12 PTL-02 mod (Cara 105) 1 sqn with Bell 206L-3; Bell 412; SA319 Alouette III
RECCE 64: 31 AML-90; 15 Ferret; 8 M8; 5 RAM Mk3; 5 VBL EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
IFV 42: 8 LAV-150 Commando with 20mm gun; 14 LAV-150 AIRCRAFT 9 combat capable
Commando with 90mm gun; 12 Ratel-20 (Engr); ε8 Type-07P ATK 5: 1 MB-326K Impala I; 4 MB-326K Impala II
APC 64 ISR 2 Cessna 208B Grand Caravan
APC (T) 12 M3 half-track TPT 18: Medium 3: 2 C-130H Hercules; 1 C-130H-30
APC (W) 36: 15 Bastion APC (reported); 21 LAV-150 Hercules; Light 14: 1 CN235; 1 IAI-201 Arava (in store);
Commando 2 J.300 Joker; 1 MA60; 2 PA-23 Aztec; 7 Tetras; PAX 1
PPV 16 Gaia Thunder Gulfstream III
AUV 6+: 6 Cougar 4×4; Panthera T6 TRG 4 Alpha Jet*†
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES HELICOPTERS
ARV WZ-551 ARV ATK 2 Mi-24 Hind
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
MRH 13: 1 AS365 Dauphin 2; 1 Bell 412 Twin Huey; 2
MSL
Mi-17 Hip H; 2 SA319 Alouette III; 4 SA342 Gazelle (with
SP 24 TOW (on Jeeps)
HOT); 3 Z-9
MANPATS Milan
TPT 7: Medium 4: 2 AS332 Super Puma; 2 SA330J Puma;
RCL 53: 75mm 13 Type-52 (M20); 106mm 40 M40A2
Light 3: 2 Bell 206B Jet Ranger; 1 Bell 206L3 Long Ranger
ARTILLERY 106+
SP 155mm 18 ATMOS 2000 AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES
TOWED 52: 105mm 20 M101; 130mm 24: 12 M-1982 ASM HOT
(reported); 12 Type-59 (M-46); 155mm 8 M-71
MRL 122mm 20 BM-21 Grad
Fusiliers de l’Air
MOR 16+: 81mm (some SP); 120mm 16 Brandt FORCES BY ROLE
AIR DEFENCE • GUNS MANOEUVRE
SP 20mm RBY-1 with TCM-20 Other
TOWED 54: 14.5mm 18 Type-58 (ZPU-2); 35mm 18 1 sy bn
GDF-002; 37mm 18 Type-63
Paramilitary 9,000
Sub-Saharan
Navy ε1,500
Gendarmerie 9,000
Africa
HQ located at Douala
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE FORCES BY ROLE
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 16 MANOEUVRE
PCC 3: 1 Dipikar (ex-FRA Flamant); 2 Le Ntem (PRC Reconnaissance
Limam El Hidrami) with 1 76mm gun 3 (regional spt) paramilitary gp
PB 11: 2 Aresa 2400; 2 Aresa 3200; 2 Rodman 101; 4
Rodman 46; 1 Quartier Maître Alfred Motto DEPLOYMENT
PBR 2 Swift-38
AMPHIBIOUS • LANDING CRAFT 4 CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC: UN • MINUSCA 755; 3
LCM 2: 1 Aresa 2300; 1 Le Moungo obs; 1 inf bn
LCU 2 Yunnan MALI: UN • MINUSMA 1; 1 obs
DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO: UN •
Fusiliers Marin MONUSCO 2; 4 obs
FORCES BY ROLE
MANOEUVRE
Amphibious FOREIGN FORCES
3 mne bn United States 300; MQ-1C Gray Eagle
458 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Coast Guard ε100 ACTIVE 7,150 (Army 7,000 Air 150) Paramilitary
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE 1,000
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 5 Conscript liability Selective conscription 2 years; reserve obligation
PCC 2: 1 Guardião; 1 Kondor I thereafter, term n.k.
Sub-Saharan Africa 459
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE Pakistan 1,259; 10 obs; 1 inf bn; 1 engr coy; 1 hel sqn
Paraguay 1; 2 obs
Peru 209; 4 obs; 1 engr coy
Army ε7,000
Poland EUTM RCA 1
FORCES BY ROLE
Portugal 165; 1 AB coy • EUTM RCA 45
MANOEUVRE
Romania EUTM RCA 14
Light
Rwanda 1,378; 8 obs; 2 inf bn; 1 fd hospital
1 inf bn
Senegal 111; 1 atk hel sqn
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Serbia 73; 2 obs; 1 med coy • EUTM RCA 7
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES Spain EUTM RCA 8
MBT 3 T-55† Sri Lanka 115; 6 obs; 1 avn unit
RECCE 9: 8 Ferret†; 1 BRDM-2 Sweden EUTM RCA 9
IFV 18 Ratel Tanzania 445; 1 inf bn(-)
APC • APC (W) 14+: 4 BTR-152†; 10+ VAB†
Togo 6; 4 obs
ARTILLERY • MOR 12+: 81mm†; 120mm 12 M-1943†
United States 8
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
Uruguay 2
RCL 106mm 14 M40†
Vietnam 4; 1 obs
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS • PBR 9†
Zambia 942; 8 obs; 1 inf bn
Air Force 150
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Chad CHA
AIRCRAFT • TPT 7: Medium 1 C-130A Hercules; Light 6:
CFA Franc BEAC fr 2017 2018 2019
3 BN-2 Islander; 1 Cessna 172RJ Skyhawk; 2 J.300 Joker
HELICOPTERS • TPT • Light 1 AS350 Ecureuil GDP fr 5.75tr 6.08tr
US$ 9.87bn 11.1bn
FOREIGN FORCES per capita US$ 810 890
Sub-Saharan
gency operations against Boko Haram in the Lake Chad Basin
Gabon 436; 1 inf bn(-)
Africa
area. The forces are combat experienced, though some observ-
Gambia 2; 3 obs ers assess additional work is required in improving military strat-
Georgia EUTM RCA 35 egy, doctrine and command and control. The country is a key
Ghana 11; 4 obs contributor to the G5 Sahel and is an important component of
Guatemala 2; 1 obs the Multi-National Joint Task Force fighting Boko Haram. There is
Hungary 2; 2 obs strong defence cooperation with France and Operation Barkhane
Indonesia 208; 4 obs; 1 engr coy is headquartered in N’Djamena. Chadian military skills are widely
Italy EUTM RCA 3 recognised by partners, though there are some differences in
Jordan 7; 3 obs training levels across the force. French forces delivered training to
Kenya 7; 6 obs Chadian combat engineers in 2018. A lack of logistical capacity has
hindered routine rotations for deployed forces. The country’s ISR
Lithuania EUTM RCA 1
capability has been improved with the arrival of aircraft from the
Mauritania 744; 9 obs; 1 inf bn
US, following improvements in ground-attack and medium-airlift
Mexico 1 capability. Barring maintenance facilities, there is no domestic
Moldova 2; 3 obs defence-industrial capacity.
Morocco 765; 2 obs; 1 inf bn
Nepal 340; 4 obs; 1 MP coy ACTIVE 30,350 (Army 25,000 Air 350 State Security
Niger 3; 1 obs Service 5,000) Paramilitary 4,500
Nigeria 1 Conscript liability Conscription authorised
460 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Sub-Saharan
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Female 19.7% 5.3% 4.6% 4.2% 14.4% 1.5%
Africa
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 8
PCC 4 5 Février 1979 Capabilities
PBR 4
The armed forces are still undergoing reconstruction, and SSR ini-
tiatives remain in place. A law on the defence forces’ organisation
Air Force 1,200
was enacted in 2015. This detailed defence zones and military
FORCES BY ROLE regions, the creation of a general staff and general inspectorate
FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK for the armed forces, and stressed the armed forces’ role in assist-
1 sqn with Mirage F-1AZ ing Ivorian society. In 2016 a Military Programme Law for 2016–20
TRANSPORT was adopted, planning for an incremental reduction in military
1 sqn with An-24 Coke; An-32 Cline; CN235M-100 strength up to 2020, to enable an increase in the gendarmerie.
ATTACK/TRANSPORT HELICOPTER In April 2016, the United Nations lifted the arms embargo that
1 sqn with Mi-8 Hip; Mi-35P Hind had previously been imposed on the country. This allowed Côte
d’Ivoire to start recapitalising its air force, notably with the deliv-
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE† ery of Mi-24 helicopters from Russia. As part of the SSR process, an
AIRCRAFT aviation academy was established in Abidjan, with limited rotary-
FGA 2 Mirage F-1AZ wing-pilot and maintenance training. The latter is also an issue for
TPT • Light 4: 1 An-24 Coke; 2 An-32 Cline; the small naval unit. The administration has moved to regulate
1 CN235M-100 promotion and salary structures to aid professionalisation, and
462 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
also improve military infrastructure. There is strong defence coop- Air Force ε1,400
eration with France, which has a significant training mission in the
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE†
country. Except limited maintenance facilities, Côte d’Ivoire does
not have domestic defence-industrial capabilities. AIRCRAFT
TPT • PAX 1 B-727
ACTIVE 27,400 (Army 23,000 Navy 1,000 Air 1,400 HELICOPTERS
Special Forces 2,000) Paramilitary n.k. ATK 4 Mi-24 Hind
Moves to restructure and reform the armed forces continue TPT • Medium 2 SA330L Puma (IAR-330L)
DDR and SSR will be required, to continue the work intermittently MOR 528+: 81mm 100; 82mm 400; 107mm M30; 120mm
undertaken over the past decade. The mandate of the MONUSCO 28: 10 Brandt; 18 other
mission was renewed for another 12 months in March 2018. The AIR DEFENCE
UN’s Force Intervention Brigade (FIB) remains active in the east of SAM • Point-defence 9K32 Strela-2 (SA-7 Grail)‡
the country. Training will have improved for units operating with
GUNS • TOWED 64: 14.5mm 12 ZPU-4; 37mm 52
the FIB, while external-partner training and capacity-building
M-1939
assistance is also commonplace. The armed forces, which have
incorporated a number of non-state armed groups, struggle with
conflicting loyalties. There remains significant scope to improve Republican Guard 8,000
training, recruitment and retention. Deployment capability is FORCES BY ROLE
limited and the lack of logistics vehicles significantly reduces MANOEUVRE
transport capacity even within the country. The lack of sufficient Armoured
tactical airlift and helicopters is a brake on military effectiveness 1 armd regt
and there is some reliance on MONUSCO capabilities, which are
Light
also insufficient given the geographical scale of the country. Much
equipment is in poor repair and while new equipment has been 3 gd bde
acquired, the absence of any domestic defence-industrial capacity COMBAT SUPPORT
will mean that maintenance levels also hinder military capability. 1 arty regt
ACTIVE ε134,250 (Central Staffs ε14,000, Army Navy 6,700 (incl infantry and marines)
103,000 Republican Guard 8,000 Navy 6,700 Air 2,550) All operational patrol vessels under 10t FLD
Sub-Saharan
hel coy
LT TK 40: 10 PT-76; 30 Type-62†
Africa
RECCE up to 52: up to 17 AML-60; 14 AML-90; 19 EE-9 Belgium 1; 1 obs
Cascavel; 2 RAM-V-2 Benin 49; 4 obs
IFV 20 BMP-1 Bhutan 2 obs
APC 104+: Bolivia 3 obs
APC (T) 9: 3 BTR-50; 6 MT-LB Bosnia-Herzegovina 3 obs
APC (W) 95+: 30–70 BTR-60PB; 58 Panhard M3†; 7 TH Burkina Faso 1; 3 obs
390 Fahd Cameroon 2; 4 obs
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE Canada (Operation Crocodile) 8
RCL 57mm M18; 73mm; 75mm M20; 106mm M40A1
China, People’s Republic of 223; 9 obs; 1 engr coy; 1 fd
GUNS 85mm 10 Type-56 (D-44)
hospital
ARTILLERY 726+
Czech Republic 1; 1 obs
SP 16: 122mm 6 2S1 Gvozdika; 152mm 10 2S3 Akatsiya
TOWED 125: 122mm 77 M-30 (M-1938)/D-30/Type-60; Egypt 155; 16 obs; 1 SF coy
130mm 42 Type-59 (M-46)/Type-59-I; 152mm 6 D-20 France 2
(reported) Ghana 469; 15 obs; 1 inf bn(-)
MRL 57+: 107mm 12 Type-63; 122mm 24+: 24 BM-21 Grad; Guatemala 150; 5 obs; 1 SF coy
some RM-70; 128mm 6 M-51; 130mm 3 Type-82; 132mm 12 India 2,625; 22 obs; 3 inf bn; 1 med coy
464 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Indonesia 180; 9 obs; 1 engr coy insurgency operations. The northern border dispute with Eritrea
Ireland 4 might abate in the wake of the late 2018 diplomatic rapproche-
ment. The 2017 defence white paper highlighted a requirement to
Jordan 4; 6 obs
modernise key capabilities, including intelligence and command,
Kenya 7; 5 obs as well as equipment, but funds for these remain limited. Djibouti
Malawi 857; 4 obs; 1 inf bn maintains strong defence cooperation with France; Djibouti hosts
Malaysia 2; 4 obs its largest foreign military base. The US also operates its Combined
Joint Task Force–Horn of Africa from Djibouti. Japan has based
Mali 1 obs
forces there for regional counter-piracy missions and the EU and
Mongolia 2 obs NATO have at various times maintained a presence to support
Morocco 527; 2 obs; 1 inf bn; 1 fd hospital their operations. China’s first overseas military base, including dock
Nepal 884; 10 obs; 1 inf bn; 1 engr coy facilities, was officially opened in Djibouti in 2017. Djibouti’s armed
Niger 5; 4 obs forces benefit from training received from France and the US. EU
NAVFOR Somalia has delivered training to the navy and coast-
Nigeria 2; 6 obs guard to strengthen their maritime-security capabilities. Djibouti
Pakistan 2,758; 18 obs; 4 inf bn; 1 hel sqn participates in a number of regional multinational exercises and
Paraguay 1; 6 obs contributed to the AMISOM mission in Somalia, but has limited
Peru 3; 8 obs capacity to independently deploy beyond its territory. Army
equipment consists predominantly of older French and Soviet-era
Poland 1 obs
equipment and while recent acquisitions have focused on mobil-
Romania 4; 7 obs ity and artillery, armoured-warfare capability remains limited. Bar
Russia 2; 14 obs limited maintenance facilities, the country has no defence-indus-
Senegal 7; 1 obs trial capacity.
Serbia 1 ACTIVE 10,450 (Army 8,000 Navy 200 Air 250
South Africa (Operation Mistral) 1,175; 7 obs; 1 inf bn; 1 atk Gendarmerie 2,000) Paramilitary 2,650
hel sqn; 1 hel sqn
Sweden 1; 1 obs
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
Switzerland 3
Tanzania 1,003; 2 obs; 1 SF coy; 1 inf bn
Army ε8,000
Tunisia 11; 4 obs
FORCES BY ROLE
Ukraine 255: 8 obs; 2 atk hel sqn
4 military districts (Tadjourah, Dikhil, Ali-Sabieh and Obock)
United Kingdom 2
MANOEUVRE
United States 3 Mechanised
Uruguay 930; 7 obs; 1 inf bn; 1 mne coy; 1 hel sqn 1 armd regt (1 recce sqn, 3 armd sqn, 1 (anti-smuggling)
Zambia 3; 7 obs sy coy)
Light
4 inf regt (3-4 inf coy, 1 spt coy)
Djibouti DJB 1 rapid reaction regt (4 inf coy, 1 spt coy)
Other
Djiboutian Franc fr 2017 2018 2019
1 (Republican Guard) gd regt (1 sy sqn, 1 (close
GDP fr 361bn 389bn protection) sy sqn, 1 cbt spt sqn (1 recce pl, 1 armd pl,
US$ 2.03bn 2.19bn 1 arty pl), 1 spt sqn)
per capita US$ 1,989 2,085 COMBAT SUPPORT
Growth % 6.7 6.7 1 arty regt
1 demining coy
Inflation % 0.7 1
1 sigs regt
Def exp fr n.k n.k
1 CIS sect
US$ n.k n.k COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
FMA (US) US$ 0.5m 0m 1 log regt
US$1=fr 177.76 177.72 1 maint coy
Population 884,017 EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
Ethnic groups: Somali 60%; Afar 35%
ASLT 1 PTL-02 Assaulter
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus RECCE 38: 4 AML-60†; 17 AML-90; 2 BRDM-2; 15 VBL
IFV 28: 8 BTR-80A; 16-20 Ratel
Male 15.4% 5.0% 4.9% 4.5% 14.1% 1.7%
APC 43
Female 15.3% 5.3% 5.8% 5.9% 19.9% 2.1% APC (W) 30+: 12 BTR-60†; 4+ AT-105 Saxon; 14 Puma
PPV 13: 3 Casspir; 10 RG-33L
Capabilities AUV 22: 10 Cougar 4×4 (one with 90mm gun); 2 CS/
Djibouti’s strategic location and relative stability have led a VN3B; 10 PKSV AUV
number of foreign states to base forces there. The armed forces’ ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
main responsibility is internal and border security, and counter- RCL 106mm 16 M40A1
Sub-Saharan Africa 465
ARTILLERY 76 Italy 90
SP 155mm 10 M109L Japan 170; 2 P-3C Orion
TOWED 122mm 9 D-30 New Zealand 1 P-3K2 Orion
MRL 12: 107mm 2 PKSV AUV with PH-63; 122mm 10: 6 Spain Operation Atalanta 1 P-3M Orion
(6-tube Toyota Land Cruiser 70 series); 2 (30-tube Iveco United States US Africa Command: 4,700; 1 tpt sqn with
110-16); 2 (30-tube) C-130H/J-30 Hercules; 1 spec ops sqn with MC-130H; PC-
MOR 45: 81mm 25; 120mm 20 Brandt 12 (U-28A); 1 CSAR sqn with HH-60G Pave Hawk; 1 CISR
AIR DEFENCE • GUNS 15+ sqn with MQ-9A Reaper; 1 naval air base
SP 20mm 5 M693
TOWED 10: 23mm 5 ZU-23-2; 40mm 5 L/70
Equatorial Guinea EQG
Navy ε200 CFA Franc BEAC fr 2017 2018 2019
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
GDP fr 7.27tr 7.28tr
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 12
PBF 2 Battalion-17
US$ 12.5bn 13.2bn
PB 10: 1 Plascoa†; 2 Sea Ark 1739; 1 Swari†; 6 others per capita US$ 14,818 15,294
AMPHIBIOUS • LCT 1 EDIC 700 Growth % -3.2 -7.7
Inflation % 0.7 0.9
Air Force 250
Def exp fr n.k n.k
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
US$ n.k n.k
AIRCRAFT
TPT • Light 6: 1 Cessna U206G Stationair; 1 Cessna 208 US$1=fr 582.08 550.83
Caravan; 2 Y-12E; 1 L-410UVP Turbolet; 1 MA60 Population 797,457
HELICOPTERS
ATK (2 Mi-35 Hind in store) Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
MRH 5: 1 Mi-17 Hip H; 4 AS365 Dauphin Male 20.0% 5.4% 4.7% 4.0% 14.2% 1.6%
TPT 3: Medium 1 Mi-8T Hip; Light 2 AS355F Ecureuil II
Female 19.4% 5.2% 4.5% 3.8% 14.8% 2.3%
Gendarmerie 2,000+
Ministry of Defence
Capabilities
FORCES BY ROLE
The army dominates the armed forces, with internal security the
MANOEUVRE principal task. Equatorial Guinea has been trying for several years
Other to modernise its armed forces. France maintains a military-coop-
eration detachment in Malabo, advising on defence-institutional
1 paramilitary bn
development issues and providing capacity-building support
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE through the naval-focused regional school at Tica, as well as some
AFV • AUV 2 CS/VN3B training activities with French forces based in Gabon and in the
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS • 1 PB region as part of the Corymbe mission. There is only limited capa-
bility for power projection and deployments are limited to neigh-
Paramilitary ε2,650 bouring countries without external support. There has been sig-
nificant naval investment in recent years, including in both equip-
National Police Force ε2,500 ment and onshore infrastructure at Bata and Malabo, although
Ministry of Interior naval capabilities remain limited. Maritime-security concerns in
the Gulf of Guinea have resulted in an increased emphasis on bol-
Sub-Saharan
Coast Guard 150 stering the country’s maritime-patrol capacity. The air force has
Africa
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE received several new transport aircraft. Equatorial Guinea has only
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 11 limited maintenance capacity and no traditional defence industry.
PB 11: 2 Khor Angar; 9 other ACTIVE 1,450 (Army 1,100 Navy 250 Air 100)
DEPLOYMENT ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
SOMALIA: AU • AMISOM 1,872; 2 inf bn
WESTERN SAHARA: UN • MINURSO 2 obs Army 1,100
FORCES BY ROLE
FOREIGN FORCES MANOEUVRE
China 240: 1 mne coy(-); 1 med unit; 2 ZTL-11; 8 ZBL-08; Light
1 LPD; 1 ESD 3 inf bn(-)
France 1,450: 1 SF unit; 1 (Marine) combined arms regt (2 EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
recce sqn, 2 inf coy, 1 arty bty, 1 engr coy); 1 hel det with ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
2 SA330 Puma; 1 SA342 Gazelle; 1 LCM; 1 air sqn with 4 MBT 3 T-55
Mirage 2000-5; 1 C-160 Transall; 2 SA330 Puma RECCE 6 BRDM-2
Germany Operation Atalanta 1 AP-3C Orion IFV 20 BMP-1
466 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
APC 35 Capabilities
APC (W) 10 BTR-152
PPV 25 Reva (reported) Eritrea has maintained large armed forces in response to historic
military tensions and conflict with neighbouring Ethiopia. Efforts
to sustain and modernise capabilities were restricted by a UN
Navy ε250
arms embargo, which was lifted in November 2018 following a
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE diplomatic rapprochement with Ethiopia. The armed forces have
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 11 focused on border defence but now may have an opportunity
PSO 2: to restructure accordingly. Maritime security remains an issue,
1 Bata with 1 76mm gun, 1 hel landing platform including piracy. The UAE has established a military presence in
1 Wele Nzas with 2 AK630M CIWS, 2 76mm gun, 1 hel Eritrea and has continued to refurbish and expand port and air-
landing platform field facilities at Assab to support Gulf states participating in the
PCC 2 OPV 62 Yemen campaign. Eritrea maintains a large army due to manda-
tory conscription. For some the term of service is indefinite, and
PBF 2 Shaldag II
significant numbers of conscripts have chosen to leave the country
PB 5: 1 Daphne; 2 Estuario de Muni; 2 Zhuk
or otherwise evade service. These factors likely affect overall mili-
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT tary cohesion and effectiveness. A UN report alleged that the UAE
AKRH 1 Capitan David Eyama Angue Osa with 1 76mm gun had trained some air-force and navy personnel. A private Euro-
pean company has allegedly provided pilot training. Eritrea has
Air Force 100 not demonstrated any capacity to deploy beyond its borders.
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE The armed forces’ inventory primarily comprises outdated Soviet-
AIRCRAFT 4 combat capable era systems and modernisation was restricted by the UN arms
ATK 4: 2 Su-25 Frogfoot; 2 Su-25UB Frogfoot B embargo. The embargo will have resulted in serviceability issues,
notwithstanding allegations of external support, with some air-
TPT 4: Light 3: 1 An-32B Cline; 2 An-72 Coaler; PAX 1
craft likely cannibalised for parts and others illicitly overhauled
Falcon 900 (VIP)
abroad. The navy remains capable of only limited coastal-patrol
TRG 2 L-39C Albatros and interception operations. Apart from limited maintenance
HELICOPTERS facilities, the country has no domestic defence-industrial capacity.
ATK 5 Mi-24P/V Hind
MRH 1 Mi-17 Hip H ACTIVE 201,750 (Army 200,000 Navy 1,400 Air 350)
TPT 4: Heavy 1 Mi-26 Halo; Medium 1 Ka-29 Helix; Conscript liability 18 months (4 months mil trg) between ages 18
Light 2 Enstrom 480 and 40
Sub-Saharan
light armoured vehicles. There is adequate maintenance capability
Flanker; 1 Su-27UBK Flanker but only a limited capacity to support advanced platforms.
Africa
FGA 2 MiG-29SE Fulcrum
ACTIVE 138,000 (Army 135,000 Air 3,000)
TPT • Light 5: 1 Beech 200 King Air; 4 Y-12(II)
TRG 16+: 8 L-90 Redigo; 4 MB-339CE*; 4+ Z-143/Z-242
HELICOPTERS ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
MRH 8: 4 Bell 412EP Twin Huey (AB-412EP); 4 Mi-17
Hip H Army 135,000
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES 4 Mil Regional Commands (Northern, Western, Central
AAM • IR R-60 (AA-8 Aphid); R-73 (AA-11 Archer); IR/ and Eastern) each acting as corps HQ
SARH R-27 (AA-10 Alamo)
FORCES BY ROLE
MANOEUVRE
FOREIGN FORCES Light
United Arab Emirates Operation Restoring Hope 1,000; 1 (Agazi Cdo) SF comd
1 armd BG; Leclerc; BMP-3; G-6; Agrab Mk2; 2 FSGHM; 1 (Northern) corps (1 mech div, 4 inf div)
2 LST; 6 LCT; 4 Archangel; 3 AH-64D Apache; 2 CH-47F 1 (Western) corps (1 mech div, 3 inf div)
Chinook; 4 UH-60M Black Hawk; Wing Loong I (GJ-1) UAV; 1 (Central) corps (1 mech div, 5 inf div)
4 MIM-104F Patriot PAC-3 1 (Eastern) corps (1 mech div, 5 inf div)
468 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Sub-Saharan
1 sqn with Bell 412 Twin Huey (AB-412); SA330C/H Male 18.6% 5.2% 4.8% 4.4% 14.7% 1.6%
Africa
Puma; SA342M Gazelle Female 18.4% 5.3% 5.0% 4.6% 15.5% 1.9%
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
AIRCRAFT 8 combat capable Capabilities
FGA 6 Mirage F-1AZ The armed forces are undergoing SSR in the wake of political insta-
ATK 2 MB-326 Impala I bility in 2016–17. Gambia’s small forces have traditionally focused
MP (1 EMB-111* in store) on maritime security and countering human trafficking. The US
TPT 6: Medium 1 C-130H Hercules; (1 L-100-30 in store); provides limited military training assistance. France resumed mili-
Light 2: 1 ATR-42F; 1 CN-235M-100; PAX 3: 1 Falcon 900; tary assistance in 2017 and supports training and SSR. There is also
1 Gulfstream IV-SP; 1 Gulfstream G650ER cooperation with neighbouring states. A security and defence
TRG (4 CM-170 Magister in store)
cooperation agreement was signed with Senegal in 2017, aimed
at generating joint patrols and exercises. ECOWAS maintains its
HELICOPTERS
ECOMIG mission of 500 troops in Gambia, with financial support
MRH 2: 1 Bell 412 Twin Huey (AB-412); 1 SA342M
from the EU. Following the departure of long-serving president
Gazelle; (2 SA342L Gazelle in store) Jammeh, there has been a focus on clarifying political–military
TPT 7: Medium 4: 1 AS332 Super Puma; 3 SA330C/H relations. Personnel are being trained to form a new presidential
Puma; Light 3: 2 H120 Colibri; 1 H135 guard. The armed forces participate in multinational exercises,
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES • AAM • IR U-Darter including the US-led Obangame Express, and have deployed in
(reported)
support of UN missions across the continent. Its largest deploy-
470 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
ARTILLERY 87+
TOWED 122mm 6 D-30 Guinea GUI
MRL 3+: 107mm Type-63; 122mm 3 Type-81
Guinean Franc fr 2017 2018 2019
MOR 78: 81mm 50; 120mm 28 Tampella
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES GDP fr 93.2tr 107tr
AEV 1 Type-05P AEV US$ 10.3bn 11.5bn
ARV Piranha reported per capita US$ 790 865
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
Growth % 8.2 5.8
RCL 84mm Carl Gustav
AIR DEFENCE Inflation % 8.9 8.2
SAM • Point-defence 9K32 Strela-2 (SA-7 Grail)‡ Def bdgt fr n.k n.k
GUNS • TOWED 8+: 14.5mm 4+: 4 ZPU-2; ZPU-4; US$ n.k n.k
23mm 4 ZU-23-2
US$1=fr 9,087.89 9,263.73
Navy 2,000 Population 11,855,411
Naval HQ located at Accra; Western HQ located at
Sekondi; Eastern HQ located at Tema Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Male 20.9% 5.3% 4.4% 3.7% 14.0% 1.7%
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 14 Female 20.5% 5.2% 4.4% 3.7% 14.1% 2.1%
PCO 2 Anzone (US)
PCC 10: 2 Achimota (GER Lurssen 57m) with 1 76mm Capabilities
gun; 2 Dzata (GER Lurssen 45m); 2 Warrior (GER
Gepard); 4 Snake (PRC 47m) Guinea’s armed forces remain limited in size and capacity, although
PBF 1 Stephen Otu (ROK Sea Dolphin) reforms since 2010 have brought them back under political control
PB 1 David Hansen (US) and begun a process of professionalisation. SSR, supported by the
EU, is ongoing, with improvements seen in units dispatched to
Air Force 2,000 Mali. Internal-security challenges reportedly led to the composi-
tion of mixed army–gendarmerie units. Piracy in the Gulf of Guinea
FORCES BY ROLE is a key concern, as is illegal trafficking and fishing. A military-pro-
GROUND ATTACK gramme law for the period 2015–20 may not be fully implemented
1 sqn with K-8 Karakorum*; L-39ZO*; MB-339A* due to funding issues. Defence cooperation with France and the
ISR US has led to financial and training assistance, including AFRICOM
1 unit with DA-42 support for Guinea’s MINUSMA deployment to Mali. France has
TRANSPORT also supported the Mali deployment. Guinea participates in multi-
1 sqn with BN-2 Defender; C295; Cessna 172 lateral exercises, such as the US-led Obangame Express, and a small
TRANSPORT HELICOPTER airborne detachment trained with Moroccan troops in early 2018.
1 sqn with AW109A; Bell 412SP Twin Huey; Mi-17V-5 In late 2017, the government announced that it would reinstate
Hip H; SA319 Alouette III; Z-9EH military service for students in 2018. This is expected to include
45 of days military training and six months of local service. Much
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE† of the country’s military equipment is ageing and of Soviet-era
AIRCRAFT 8 combat capable vintage; serviceability will be questionable for some types. There
ATK (3 MB-326K in store) is very limited organic airlift and France is supporting the devel-
TPT 10: Light 10: 1 BN-2 Defender; 3 C295; 3 Cessna 172; opment of a light aviation observation capability. In 2018, Guinea
3 DA42; (PAX 1 F-28 Fellowship (VIP) in store) refurbished patrol boats originally donated by the US in the late
TRG 8: 4 K-8 Karakorum*; 2 L-39ZO*; 2 MB-339A* 1980s, as part of general plans to reinforce its maritime units.
HELICOPTERS Guinea is also attempting to improve its logistics and military-
Sub-Saharan
MRH 10: 1 Bell 412SP Twin Huey; 3 Mi-17V-5 Hip H; 2 health capacities. There are no significant defence-industrial capa-
Africa
SA319 Alouette III; 4 Z-9EH bilities, though the president reportedly said that the armed forces
TPT 6: Medium 4 Mi-171Sh; Light 2 AW109A should take on more of a role in national industry.
1 ranger bn DEPLOYMENT
1 cdo bn
Air Manoeuvre MALI: UN • MINUSMA 865; 3 obs; 1 inf bn
1 air mob bn SOUTH SUDAN: UN • UNMISS 2; 1 obs
Other SUDAN: UN • UNISFA 1; 1 obs
1 (Presidential Guard) gd bn
COMBAT SUPPORT WESTERN SAHARA: UN • MINURSO 5 obs
1 arty bn
1 AD bn Guinea-Bissau GNB
1 engr bn
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE CFA Franc BCEAO fr 2017 2018 2019
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES GDP fr 784bn 818bn
MBT 38: 30 T-34; 8 T-54 US$ 1.35bn 1.48bn
LT TK 15 PT-76
per capita US$ 794 852
RECCE 27: 2 AML-90; 25 BRDM-1/BRDM-2
IFV 2 BMP-1 Growth % 5.9 4.5
APC 59 Inflation % 1.1 2.0
APC (T) 10 BTR-50 Def bdgt fr n.k n.k
APC (W) 30: 16 BTR-40; 8 BTR-60; 6 BTR-152 US$ n.k n.k
PPV 19: 10 Mamba†; 9 Puma M36
US$1=fr 580.73 553.02
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
ARV T-54/T-55 reported Population 1,833,247
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
MSL • MANPATS 9K11 Malyutka (AT-3 Sagger); 9K111- Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
1 Konkurs (AT-5 Spandrel) Male 21.9% 5.4% 4.5% 3.7% 12.0% 1.3%
RCL 82mm B-10 Female 21.7% 5.6% 4.8% 4.1% 13.4% 1.7%
GUNS 6+: 57mm ZIS-2 (M-1943); 85mm 6 D-44
ARTILLERY 47+ Capabilities
TOWED 24: 122mm 12 M-1931/37; 130mm 12 M-46
Guinea-Bissau’s armed forces have limited capabilities and are in
MRL 220mm 3 9P140 Uragan
the midst of both DDR and SSR programmes. There are embryonic
MOR 20+: 82mm M-43; 120mm 20 M-1938/M-1943 schemes to recruit professionals. Defence policy is focused mainly
AIR DEFENCE on tackling internal-security challenges, in particular drug traffick-
SAM • Point-defence 9K32 Strela-2 (SA-7 Grail)‡ ing. International defence cooperation has reduced since the 2012
GUNS • TOWED 24+: 30mm M-53 (twin); 37mm 8 coup d’état. The US lifted its restrictions on foreign assistance only
M-1939; 57mm 12 Type-59 (S-60); 100mm 4 KS-19 in 2014. The ECOWAS mission in Guinea-Bissau has been extended
until September 2019. The authorities have looked elsewhere for
Navy ε400 defence cooperation; in 2017 a letter of intent was signed with
Indonesia. Training remains limited and there are problems with
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE recruitment and retention, as well as in developing adequate non-
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS • PB 4: 1 commissioned-officer structures. The number of generals and
Swiftships†; 3 RPB 20 admirals more than doubled between 2009 and 2017. A pension
system was established and funded only in 2015, with interna-
Air Force 800 tional financing. The armed forces participate in multinational
exercises, such as the US-led Obangame Express in 2018. China
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE†
has donated some non-lethal military and civilian equipment, but
AIRCRAFT
much of the country’s military equipment is ageing. With no sig-
FGA (3 MiG-21 Fishbed non-op) nificant defence industry, equipment maintenance will remain a
TPT • Light 4: 2 An-2 Colt; 2 Tetras limiting factor on military capability.
HELICOPTERS
ATK 4 Mi-24 Hind ACTIVE 4,450 (Army 4,000 Navy 350 Air 100)
MRH 5: 2 MD-500MD; 2 Mi-17-1V Hip H; 1 SA342K Conscript liability Selective conscription
Gazelle Manpower and eqpt totals should be treated with caution. A
TPT 2: Medium 1 SA330 Puma; Light 1 AS350B Ecureuil number of draft laws to restructure the armed services and police
have been produced
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES
AAM • IR R-3 (AA-2 Atoll)‡
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
Paramilitary 2,600 active
Army ε4,000 (numbers reducing)
Gendarmerie 1,000
FORCES BY ROLE
Republican Guard 1,600 MANOEUVRE
Reconnaissance
People’s Militia 7,000 reservists 1 recce coy
Sub-Saharan Africa 473
Armoured Capabilities
1 armd bn (sqn)
Light The armed forces are concerned with maintaining regional stabil-
ity and combating security threats, particularly from neighbour-
5 inf bn
ing Somalia. There are plans to establish a separate Coast Guard
COMBAT SUPPORT
Service, to assume some maritime-security responsibilities from
1 arty bn the navy. A long-standing defence and security agreement with
1 engr coy the UK includes a permanent UK training unit, which is to increase
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE support for maritime security and open a counter-IED training
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES centre. There are also significant defence ties with the US and evi-
MBT 10 T-34 dence of developing relationships with the Chinese and Jordanian
LT TK 15 PT-76 armed forces. Involvement in a number of regional security mis-
RECCE 10 BRDM-2 sions and multinational exercises may also foster improved levels
of cooperation and interoperability. Training has received atten-
APC • APC (W) 55: 35 BTR-40/BTR-60; 20 Type-56 (BTR-
tion, given the need to prepare for AU deployments. Regular oper-
152) ational deployments have increased military experience and confi-
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE dence. Kenya’s armed forces regularly participate in multinational
RCL 75mm Type-52 (M20); 82mm B-10 exercises. Kenya remains a key contributor to AMISOM in Somalia,
GUNS 85mm 8 D-44 demonstrating limited capacity to project power immediately
ARTILLERY 26+ beyond its own territory. The armed forces also provide smaller
TOWED 122mm 18 D-30/M-30 (M-1938) contributions to other UN missions and are a leading element of
MOR 8+: 82mm M-43; 120mm 8 M-1943 the East African Standby Force. Recent equipment investments
AIR DEFENCE have focused on improving counter-insurgency capabilities,
SAM • Point-defence 9K32 Strela-2 (SA-7 Grail)‡ including the procurement of helicopters, armoured vehicles and
ISR systems. There are plans to renew the fixed-wing transport fleet
GUNS • TOWED 34: 23mm 18 ZU-23; 37mm 6 M-1939;
to support regional deployments. There is a limited defence indus-
57mm 10 S-60
try focused on equipment maintenance and the manufacture of
small-arms ammunition.
Navy ε350
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE ACTIVE 24,100 (Army 20,000 Navy 1,600 Air 2,500)
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 4 Paramilitary 5,000
PB 4: 2 Alfeite†; 2 Rodman 55m
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
Air Force 100
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Army 20,000
AIRCRAFT • TPT • Light 1 Cessna 208B
FORCES BY ROLE
MANOEUVRE
FOREIGN FORCES Armoured
Nigeria ECOMIB 100 1 armd bde (1 armd recce bn, 2 armd bn)
Light
1 spec ops bn
Kenya KEN 1 ranger bn
1 inf bde (3 inf bn)
1 inf bde (2 inf bn)
Kenyan Shilling sh 2017 2018 2019
1 indep inf bn
Sub-Saharan
GDP sh 8.20tr 9.15tr Air Manoeuvre
Africa
US$ 79.2bn 89.6bn 1 air cav bn
per capita US$ 1,695 1,865 1 AB bn
Growth % 4.9 6.0 COMBAT SUPPORT
1 arty bde (2 arty bn, 1 mor bty)
Inflation % 8.0 5.0
1 ADA bn
Def bdgt [a] sh 124bn 130bn 1 engr bde (2 engr bn)
US$ 1.20bn 1.27bn EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
FMA (US) US$ 1m 0m ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
US$1=sh 103.45 102.15 MBT 78 Vickers Mk 3
[a] Includes national intelligence funding RECCE 92: 72 AML-60/AML-90; 12 Ferret; 8 S52 Shorland
APC 200
Population 48,397,527 APC (W) 95: 52 UR-416; 31 Type-92; 12 Bastion APC; (10
Ethnic groups: Kikuyu ε22–32% M3 Panhard in store)
PPV 105 Puma M26-15
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
Male 19.6% 5.5% 4.3% 4.1% 15.1% 1.3% ARV 7 Vickers ARV
Female 19.5% 5.5% 4.4% 4.1% 15.0% 1.8% MW Bozena
474 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Sub-Saharan
Liberian Dollar L$ 2017 2018 2019 All operational patrol vessels under 10t FLD
Africa
GDP L$ 3.29bn 3.22bn
US$ 3.29bn 3.22bn DEPLOYMENT
per capita US$ 694 663 MALI: UN • MINUSMA 115; 1 obs; 1 inf coy(-)
Growth % 2.5 3.0
Inflation % 12.4 21.3
Def bdgt L$ 14.4m 16.0m 15.5m
US$ 14.4m 16.0m
FMA (US) US$ 2.5m 0m
US$1=L$ 1.00 1.00
Population 4,809,768
Ethnic groups: Americo-Liberians 5%
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
Madagascar MDG RCL 106mm M40A1
ARTILLERY 25+
Malagsy Ariary fr 2017 2018 2019 TOWED 17: 105mm 5 M101; 122mm 12 D-30
GDP fr 35.8tr 40.5tr MOR 8+: 82mm M-37; 120mm 8 M-43
US$ 11.5bn 12.5bn AIR DEFENCE • GUNS • TOWED 70: 14.5mm 50 ZPU-
per capita US$ 449 475 4; 37mm 20 PG-55 (M-1939)
Growth % 4.2 5.0
Navy 500 (incl some 100 Marines)
Inflation % 8.3 7.8
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Def bdgt fr 208bn 243bn PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 8
US$ 66.8m 74.9m PCC 1 Trozona
US$1=fr 3,116.06 3,244.13 PB 7 (ex-US CG MLB)
AMPHIBIOUS • LCT 1 (ex-FRA EDIC)
Population 25,683,610
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus Air Force 500
Male 19.9% 5.3% 4.8% 4.1% 14.3% 1.5% FORCES BY ROLE
TRANSPORT
Female 19.6% 5.3% 4.8% 4.1% 14.3% 1.8%
1 sqn with An-26 Curl; Yak-40 Codling (VIP)
1 (liaison) sqn with Cessna 310; Cessna 337 Skymaster;
Capabilities PA-23 Aztec
The army dominates the country’s modest armed forces, and TRAINING
there remains the risk of military intervention in domestic politics. 1 sqn with Cessna 172; J.300 Joker; Tetras
Ensuring sovereignty and territorial integrity are principal defence TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
aspirations; maritime security is also an area of focus. Madagas- 1 sqn with SA318C Alouette II
car is a member of SADC and its regional Standby Force. In 2018,
the country signed an ‘umbrella defence agreement’ with India
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
to explore closer defence ties and an intergovernmental agree- AIRCRAFT • TPT 16: Light 14: 1 An-26 Curl; 4 Cessna
ment with Russia on military cooperation. There is no independent 172; 1 Cessna 310; 2 Cessna 337 Skymaster; 2 J.300 Joker;
capacity to deploy and support an operation beyond national 1 PA-23 Aztec; 1 Tetras; 2 Yak-40 Codling (VIP); PAX 2 B-737
borders. The equipment inventory is obsolescent and with eco- HELICOPTERS • MRH 4 SA318C Alouette II
nomic development a key government target, equipment recapi-
talisation is unlikely to be a priority. Paramilitary 8,100
ACTIVE 13,500 (Army 12,500 Navy 500 Air 500) Gendarmerie 8,100
Paramilitary 8,100
Conscript liability 18 months (incl for civil purposes)
Malawi MWI
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE Malawian Kwacha K 2017 2018 2019
GDP K 4.53tr 5.03tr
Army 12,500+ US$ 6.24bn 6.89bn
FORCES BY ROLE per capita US$ 326 349
MANOEUVRE Growth % 4.0 3.3
Light
Inflation % 12.2 9.2
2 (intervention) inf regt
Def bdgt K 27.6bn 15.3bn 22.0bn
10 (regional) inf regt
COMBAT SUPPORT US$ 38.0m 21.0m
1 arty regt US$1=K 725.62 730.39
3 engr regt
Population 19,842,560
1 sigs regt
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
1 log regt Male 23.0% 5.6% 4.6% 3.7% 11.4% 1.2%
AIR DEFENCE
Female 23.2% 5.7% 4.7% 3.7% 11.7% 1.5%
1 ADA regt
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Capabilities
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
The army is the largest element of the Malawi Defence Force
LT TK 12 PT-76 (MDF). In recent years, the army has been used to help with trans-
RECCE 73: ε35 BRDM-2; 10 FV701 Ferret; ε20 M3A1; 8 port-infrastructure development and to attempt to control illegal
M8 deforestation. The Malawi Defence Force Act came into operation
APC • APC (T) ε30 M3A1 half-track in 2004. The armed forces are constitutionally tasked with ensur-
Sub-Saharan Africa 477
ing sovereignty and territorial integrity. Providing military assis- Paramilitary 4,200
tance to civil authorities in times of emergencies and support
to the police are additional tasks. Counter-trafficking is a role for Police Mobile Service 4,200
the MDF’s small air wing and the naval unit. Development plans EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
include enhancing combat readiness and improving military medi- ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
cine and engineering. Malawi is a member of the SADC and its RECCE 8 S52 Shorland
Standby Force. In 2018, the country signed an ‘umbrella defence AIRCRAFT
agreement’ with India to explore closer defence ties. The armed TPT • Light 4: 3 BN-2T Defender (border patrol); 1
forces have contributed to AU and UN peacekeeping operations, SC.7 3M Skyvan
including in Côte d’Ivoire and the DRC. The armed services are all- HELICOPTERS • MRH 2 AS365 Dauphin 2
volunteer. There is no independent capacity to deploy and support
an operation beyond national borders. The UK provided training
and support for the armed forces’ deployment to the DRC, where DEPLOYMENT
troops contribute to the Force Intervention Brigade. Although the DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO: UN •
military inventory is obsolescent, there are no public requirements MONUSCO 857; 4 obs; 1 inf bn
for modernisation. Apart from limited maintenance facilities, the
SUDAN: UN • UNAMID 2; UN • UNISFA 1
country has no defence industry.
WESTERN SAHARA: UN • MINURSO 3 obs
ACTIVE 10,700 (Army 10,700) Paramilitary 4,200
Mali MLI
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
CFA Franc BCEAO fr 2017 2018 2019
Army 10,700 GDP fr 8.93tr 9.59tr
FORCES BY ROLE US$ 15.4bn 17.4bn
MANOEUVRE per capita US$ 813 892
Mechanised Growth % 5.4 5.1
1 mech bn Inflation % 1.8 2.5
Light Def bdgt [a] fr 381bn 403bn 423bn
1 inf bde (4 inf bn)
US$ 655m 731m
1 inf bde (1 inf bn)
US$1=fr 580.93 550.82
Air Manoeuvre
1 para bn [a] Defence and interior security budget
COMBAT SUPPORT Population 18,429,893
3 lt arty bty Ethnic groups: Tuareg 6–10%
1 engr bn
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
12 log coy Male 24.1% 5.1% 3.9% 3.0% 11.0% 1.5%
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Female 23.9% 5.4% 4.4% 3.7% 12.3% 1.5%
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
RECCE 66: 30 Eland-90; 8 FV701 Ferret; 20 FV721 Fox; 8 Capabilities
RAM Mk3 The armed forces are focused on countering rebel and Islamist
Sub-Saharan
APC • PPV 31: 14 Casspir; 9 Marauder; 8 Puma M26-15 groups. A defence-reform process is ongoing, with assistance from
external partners. A 2015–19 military-programming law aims to
Africa
ARTILLERY 107
improve recruitment and training. Mali is supported by neighbour-
TOWED 105mm 9 L118 Light Gun
ing states in the G5 Sahel partnership, and benefits from training
MOR 81mm 98: 82 L16A1; 16 M3 assistance from France, the EU and the US. France maintains bases,
AIR DEFENCE • GUNS • TOWED 72: 12.7mm 32; personnel and equipment in Mali as part of Operation Barkhane.
14.5mm 40 ZPU-4 The EU Training Mission, whose mandate has been extended to
March 2020, has trained more than 10,000 soldiers, many at the
Navy 220 Koulikoro training centre. The EUTM has also delivered training
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE to the air force. The armed forces also participate in multinational
exercises, particularly those focused on counter-terrorism capabili-
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 1
ties. There are no deployments of formed units abroad. Equipment
PB 1 Kasungu (ex-FRA Antares) and maintenance capabilities are limited, and the serviceability
of some vehicles is in doubt. The air force has no combat aircraft
Air Wing 200 and only a small number of attack helicopters. Strengthening air
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE capability is a priority and contracts have recently been signed
AIRCRAFT • TPT • Light 1 Do-228 with Brazil for training aircraft, France for transport helicopters
HELICOPTERS • TPT 8: Medium 3: 1 AS532UL and Russia for attack helicopters. The country has no significant
defence industry.
Cougar; 1 SA330H Puma; 1 H215 Super Puma Light 5: 1
AS350L Ecureuil; 4 SA341B Gazelle ACTIVE 10,000 (Army 10,000) Paramilitary 7,800
478 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Sub-Saharan
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus Def bdgt M 5.97bn 7.86bn
Africa
Male 10.2% 3.7% 3.7% 4.0% 23.5% 4.2% US$ 93m 131m
Female 9.7% 3.5% 3.7% 3.9% 24.1% 6.0% US$1=M 63.92 60.16
Population 27,233,789
Capabilities
The country has no standing armed forces; instead, security tasks Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
are met by the police force’s Special Mobile Force (SMF), formed Male 22.4% 5.8% 4.9% 3.8% 10.8% 1.3%
as a motorised infantry battalion. The SMF is tasked with ensuring Female 22.1% 5.8% 5.1% 4.2% 12.2% 1.6%
internal and external territorial and maritime security. India pro-
vides support to the Mauritian National Coast Guard, which is a
branch of the police force. The SMF trains along traditional military
Capabilities
lines but has no ability to deploy beyond national territory. There The country faces a growing internal threat from Islamist groups,
is no defence industry, beyond very limited maintenance facilities. with attacks being carried out in the north of the country. The May
2018 death of RENAMO opposition leader Afonso Dhlakama also
ACTIVE NIL Paramilitary 2,550 raised concerns over renewed armed clashes between the former
resistance movement and the government. The armed forces are
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE tasked with ensuring territorial integrity and internal security, as
well as tackling piracy and human trafficking. The integration of
Paramilitary 2,550 RENAMO personnel into the military is a long-standing objective.
480 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Mozambique has defence relationships with China, Portugal and Air Force 1,000
Russia. In 2017, the UN raised concerns that Mozambique was
receiving defence support from North Korea, a claim the govern- FORCES BY ROLE
ment rejected. The armed forces use conscription to meet their FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
personnel requirements. The ministry is reportedly to implement 1 sqn with MiG-21bis Fishbed; MiG-21UM Mongol B
a military HIV policy, including more screening, to try to reduce HIV TRANSPORT
incidence. The armed forces have no capacity to deploy beyond 1 sqn with An-26 Curl; FTB-337G Milirole; Cessna 150B;
Mozambique’s borders without assistance. Maintaining ageing Cessna 172; PA-34 Seneca
Soviet-era equipment, which makes up the bulk of its inventory, ATTACK/TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
will be problematic, not least in the absence of any local defence
1 sqn with Mi-24 Hind†
industry. Moreover, Mozambique’s recent economic performance
will likely limit the government’s ability to recapitalise. EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
AIRCRAFT 8 combat capable
ACTIVE 11,200 (Army 10,000 Navy 200 Air 1,000) FGA 8: 6 MiG-21bis Fishbed; 2 MiG-21UM Mongol B
Conscript liability 2 years
ISR 2 FTB-337G Milirole
TPT 6: Light 5: 1 An-26 Curl; 2 Cessna 150B; 1 Cessna
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE 172; 1 PA-34 Seneca; (4 PA-32 Cherokee non-op); PAX 1
Army ε9,000–10,000 Hawker 850XP
HELICOPTERS
FORCES BY ROLE
ATK 2 Mi-24 Hind†
SPECIAL FORCES
TPT • Medium (2 Mi-8 Hip non-op)
3 SF bn
AD • SAM • TOWED: (S-75 Dvina (SA-2 Guideline) non-
MANOEUVRE
Light op‡; S-125 Pechora SA-3 Goa non-op‡)
7 inf bn
COMBAT SUPPORT Namibia NAM
2-3 arty bn
2 engr bn Namibian Dollar N$ 2017 2018 2019
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT GDP N$ 176bn 184bn
1 log bn
US$ 13.2bn 14.1bn
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE†
per capita US$ 5,589 5,923
Equipment estimated at 10% or less serviceability
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES Growth % -0.8 1.1
MBT 60+ T-54 Inflation % 6.1 3.5
RECCE 30 BRDM-1/BRDM-2 Def bdgt N$ 6.40bn 5.96bn
IFV 40 BMP-1
US$ 481m 457m
APC 326
APC (T) 30 FV430 US$1=N$ 13.32 13.04
APC (W) 285: 160 BTR-60; 100 BTR-152; 25 AT-105 Saxon Population 2,533,224
PPV 11 Casspir
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
MSL • MANPATS 9K11 Malyutka (AT-3 Sagger); 9K111 Male 18.5% 5.4% 4.8% 4.2% 14.4% 1.7%
Fagot (AT-4 Spigot)
Female 18.1% 5.3% 4.9% 4.4% 16.1% 2.3%
RCL 75mm; 82mm B-10; 107mm 24 B-12
GUNS 85mm 18: 6 D-48; 12 PT-56 (D-44)
ARTILLERY 126
Capabilities
TOWED 62: 100mm 20 M-1944; 105mm 12 M101; The defence authorities aim to develop a small, mobile profes-
122mm 12 D-30; 130mm 6 M-46; 152mm 12 D-1 sional force. According to the constitution, the Namibian Defence
MRL 122mm 12 BM-21 Grad Force’s (NDF’s) primary mission is territorial defence. Secondary
MOR 52: 82mm 40 M-43; 120mm 12 M-43 roles include assisting the civil power in domestic support opera-
AIR DEFENCE • GUNS 290+ tions, assisting the AU and the SADC and supporting UN missions.
SP 57mm 20 ZSU-57-2 The NDF Development Strategy 2012–22 states that the NDF
TOWED 270+: 20mm M-55; 23mm 120 ZU-23-2; 37mm design should be based on a conventional force with a force-pro-
90 M-1939; (10 M-1939 in store); 57mm 60 S-60; (30 S-60 jection capability. Namibia is a member of the AU and the SADC,
with which the navy exercises as part of its Standing Maritime
in store)
Committee. There is a permanent commission on defence and
Navy ε200 security with Zambia that meets annually. An MoU on training and
cooperation was signed with Botswana in late 2018. While the NDF
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE receives a comparatively large proportion of the state budget, the
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 12 government has acknowledged that funding problems led train-
PBF 8: 2 DV 15; 6 HSI 32 ing to almost cease, especially for recruits, though the services
PB 4: 3 Ocean Eagle 43 (capacity 1 Camcopter S-100 continued training at low levels. Namibia has deployed on AU and
UAV); 1 Pebane (ex-ESP Conejera) UN missions, but there is only limited capacity for independent
UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES power projection. The NDF is equipped for the most part with
ISR • Light 1 S-100 Camcopter ageing or obsolescent systems, which it has ambitions to replace.
Sub-Saharan Africa 481
However, economic difficulties make this unlikely in the near term. AIRCRAFT • TPT • Light 1 F406 Caravan II
The country has a limited defence-manufacturing sector covering HELICOPTERS • TPT • Medium 1 S-61L
armoured vehicles, tactical communications and ammunition, as
well as some broader industrial business interests. Marines ε700
ACTIVE 9,900 (Army 9,000 Navy 900) Paramilitary Air Force
6,000 FORCES BY ROLE
FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE 1 sqn with F-7 (F-7NM); FT-7 (FT-7NG)
ISR
Army 9,000 1 sqn with O-2A Skymaster
FORCES BY ROLE TRANSPORT
MANOEUVRE Some sqn with An-26 Curl; Falcon 900; Learjet 36; Y-12
Reconnaissance TRAINING
1 recce regt 1 sqn with K-8 Karakorum*
Light ATTACK/TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
1 sqn with H425; Mi-8 Hip; Mi-25 Hind D; SA315 Lama
3 inf bde (total: 6 inf bn)
(Cheetah); SA316B Alouette III (Chetak)
Other
1 (Presidential Guard) gd bn EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
COMBAT SUPPORT AIRCRAFT 12 combat capable
1 arty bde with (1 arty regt) FTR 8: 6 F-7NM; 2 FT-7 (FT-7NG)
1 AT regt ISR 5 Cessna O-2A Skymaster
1 engr regt TPT 6: Light 5: 2 An-26 Curl; 1 Learjet 36; 2 Y-12; PAX 1
1 sigs regt Falcon 900
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT TRG 4+ K-8 Karakorum*
1 log bn HELICOPTERS
ATK 2 Mi-25 Hind D
AIR DEFENCE
MRH 5: 1 H425; 1 SA315 Lama (Cheetah); 3 SA316B
1 AD regt
Alouette III (Chetak)
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE TPT • Medium 1 Mi-8 Hip
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
MBT T-54/T-55†; T-34† Paramilitary 6,000
RECCE 12 BRDM-2
IFV 7: 5 Type-05P mod (with BMP-1 turret); 2 Wolf Police Force • Special Field Force 6,000 (incl
Turbo 2 mod (with BMP-1 turret) Border Guard and Special Reserve Force)
APC 61
APC (W) 41: 10 BTR-60; 3 Type-05P; 28 Wolf Turbo 2 DEPLOYMENT
PPV 20 Casspir
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES SOUTH SUDAN: UN • UNMISS 2
ARV T-54/T-55 reported SUDAN: UN • UNAMID 1; 3 obs; UN • UNISFA 3; 1 obs
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
RCL 82mm B-10
GUNS 12+: 57mm; 76mm 12 ZIS-3
Niger NER
Sub-Saharan
ARTILLERY 72 CFA Franc BCEAO fr 2017 2018 2019
Africa
TOWED 140mm 24 G-2 GDP fr 4.77tr 5.23tr
MRL 122mm 8: 5 BM-21 Grad; 3 PHL-81
US$ 8.22bn 9.46bn
MOR 40: 81mm; 82mm
AIR DEFENCE per capita US$ 438 489
SAM • Point-defence FN-6; 9K32 Strela-2 (SA-7 Grail)‡ Growth % 4.9 5.3
GUNS 65 Inflation % 2.4 3.9
SP 23mm 15 Zumlac Def bdgt fr 100bn 128bn
TOWED 50+: 14.5mm 50 ZPU-4; 57mm S-60
US$ 172m 231m
FOREIGN FORCES
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
France Opération Barkhane 500; 1 FGA det with 2 Mirage
2000C; 2 Mirage 2000D; 1 tkr/tpt det with 1 C-135FR; 1
Army 5,200 C-160; 1 UAV det with 4 MQ-9A Reaper
3 Mil Districts
Germany Opération Barkhane 2 C-160
FORCES BY ROLE Italy MISIN 70
MANOEUVRE
United States 800
Reconnaissance
4 armd recce sqn
Light Nigeria NGA
7 inf coy
Air Manoeuvre Nigerian Naira N 2017 2018 2019
2 AB coy GDP N 115tr 129tr
COMBAT SUPPORT US$ 376bn 397bn
1 engr coy
per capita US$ 1,995 2,050
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
1 log gp Growth % 0.8 1.9
AIR DEFENCE Inflation % 16.5 12.4
1 AD coy Def bdgt N 465bn 567bn
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE US$ 1.53bn 1.75bn
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES FMA (US) US$ 0.5m 0m
RECCE 132: 35 AML-20/AML-60; 90 AML-90; 7 VBL
US$1=N 305.29 325.00
APC 45
APC (W) 24: 22 Panhard M3; 2 WZ-523 Population 203,452,505
PPV 21 Puma M26-15 Ethnic groups: North (Hausa and Fulani), Southwest (Yoruba),
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE Southeast (Ibo); these tribes make up ε65% of population
RCL 14: 75mm 6 M20; 106mm 8 M40
ARTILLERY • MOR 40: 81mm 19 Brandt; 82mm 17; Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
120mm 4 Brandt Male 21.7% 5.6% 4.5% 3.6% 13.6% 1.5%
AIR DEFENCE • GUNS 39 Female 20.8% 5.4% 4.4% 3.6% 13.7% 1.7%
SP 20mm 10 Panhard M3 VDAA
TOWED 20mm 29 Capabilities
Nigeria is the region’s principal military power and faces numer-
Air Force 100
ous security challenges, including from Boko Haram and militants
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE in the Delta. The challenge from Boko Haram, and the relative
AIRCRAFT 2 combat capable weaknesses exposed in the armed forces, have led to reform initia-
ATK 2 Su-25 Frogfoot tives. There have been operational changes, including attempts to
ISR 6: 4 Cessna 208 Caravan; 2 DA42 MPP Twin Star implement counter-insurgency tactics and generate forward-oper-
Sub-Saharan Africa 483
ating bases and quick-reaction groups. Nigeria is central to several APC 655+
regional security initiatives and is part of the Multinational Joint APC (T) 317: 250 4K-7FA Steyr; 67 MT-LB
Task Force. It is a key member of the ECOWAS Standby Force. Mili- APC (W) 282+: 110 Cobra; 10 FV603 Saracen; 110 AVGP
tary and security assistance is either discussed or under way with
Grizzly mod/Piranha I 6x6; 47 BTR-3UN; 5 BTR-80;
Germany, the UK and the US. The UK bases its British Defence Staff
West Africa in Nigeria. Efforts have been made to improve train- some EE-11 Urutu (reported)
ing, notably in the air force, with the establishment of Air Training PPV 56+: 16 Caiman; 8 Maxxpro; 9 Proforce Ara; 23
Command and Ground Training Command. The UK has deployed REVA III 4×4; Streit Spartan; Streit Cougar (Igirigi);
short-term training teams to Nigeria. Contractors have also been Streit Typhoon; Bigfoot
used to improve training levels. Nigeria is able to mount regional ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
operations, though its deployable capacities remain limited. There
ARV 17+: AVGP Husky; 2 Greif; 15 Vickers ARV
is a plan (with finance allocated in the 2018 budget) to acquire
JF-17 combat aircraft. Deliveries of attack helicopters continue, VLB MTU-20; VAB
and an effort has been made to refurbish previously stored air- ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
craft. A number of small coastal-patrol boats have been acquired RCL 84mm Carl Gustav; 106mm M40A1
in recent years in light of security requirements in the Delta region. ARTILLERY 517+
Nigeria is developing its defence-industrial capacity, including the SP 155mm 39 Palmaria
development of local production facilities for small arms and pro-
TOWED 106: 105mm 50 M-56; 122mm 49 D-30/D-74;
tected patrol vehicles.
130mm 7 M-46; (155mm 24 FH-77B in store)
ACTIVE 135,000 (Army 100,000 Navy 25,000 Air MRL 122mm 42: 10 BM-21 Grad; 25 APR-21; 7 RM-70
10,000) Paramilitary 80,000 MOR 330+: 81mm 200; 82mm 100; 120mm 30+
Reserves planned, none org AIR DEFENCE
SAM • Point-defence 16+: 16 Roland; Blowpipe; 9K32
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE Strela-2 (SA-7 Grail)‡
GUNS 90+
SP 23mm 30 ZSU-23-4 Shilka
Army 100,000
TOWED 60+: 20mm 60+; 23mm ZU-23; 40mm L/70
FORCES BY ROLE
SPECIAL FORCES
1 spec ops bn
Navy 25,000 (incl Coast Guard)
Western Comd HQ located at Apapa; Eastern Comd HQ
3 (mobile strike team) spec ops units
1 ranger bn located at Calabar; Central Comd HQ located at Brass
MANOEUVRE EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Armoured PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS 1
1 (3rd) armd div (1 armd bde, 1 arty bde) FRIGATES • FFGHM 1 Aradu† (GER MEKO 360) with
Mechanised 8 single lnchr with Otomat AShM, 1 octuple Albatros
1 (1st) mech div (1 recce bn, 1 mech bde, 1 mot inf bde, 1 lnchr with Aspide SAM, 2 triple STWS 1B 324mm ASTT
arty bde, 1 engr regt) with A244 LWT, 1 127mm gun (capacity 1 med hel)
1 (2nd) mech div (1 recce bn, 1 armd bde, 1 arty bde, 1 PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 121
engr regt) CORVETTES • FSM 1 Erinomi† (UK Vosper Mk 9) with
1 (81st) composite div (1 recce bn, 1 mech bde, 1 arty 1 triple lnchr with Seacat† SAM, 1 twin 375mm A/S
bde, 1 engr regt) mor, 1 76mm gun
Light PSOH 4: 2 Centenary with 1 76mm gun; 2 Thunder (ex-
1 (6th) inf div (1 amph bde, 2 inf bde) US Hamilton) with 1 76mm gun
Sub-Saharan
1 (7th) inf div (1 spec ops bn, 1 recce bn(-), 1 armd bde, 7
PCFG 1 Sipri† (FRA Combattante) with 2 twin lnchr with
Africa
(task force) inf bde, 1 arty bde, 1 engr regt)
MM38 Exocet AShM, 1 76mm gun
1 (8th Task Force) inf div (2 inf bde)
PCF 2 Siri (FRA Combattante IIIB) with 1 76mm gun
1 (82nd) composite div (1 recce bn, 3 mot inf bde, 1 arty
PCO 4 Kyanwa (ex-US CG Balsam)
bde, 1 engr regt)
PCC 2 Ekpe† (GER Lurssen 57m) with 1 76mm gun
1 (Multi-national Joint Task Force) bde (2 inf bn(-))
Other PBF 33: 21 Manta (Suncraft 17m); 4 Manta MkII; 3
1 (Presidential Guard) gd bde (4 gd bn) Shaldag II; 2 Torie (Nautic Sentinel 17m); 3 Wave Rider
AIR DEFENCE PB 74: 1 Andoni; 1 Dorina (FPB 98); 5 Okpoku (FPB 72);
1 AD regt 1 Karaduwa; 1 Sagbama; 2 Sea Eagle (Suncraft 38m); 15
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Stingray (Suncraft 16m); 40 Suncraft 12m; 4 Swiftships;
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES 2 Town (of which one laid up); 2 Yola†
MBT 319: 176 Vickers Mk 3; 100 T-55†; 12 T-72AV; 31 MINE WARFARE • MINE COUNTERMEASURES 2:
T-72M1 MCC 2 Ohue (ITA Lerici mod)
LT TK 157 FV101 Scorpion AMPHIBIOUS 4
RECCE 342: 90 AML-60; 40 AML-90; 70 EE-9 Cascavel; 50 LC • LCVP 4 Stingray 20
FV721 Fox; 20 FV601 Saladin Mk2; 72 VBL LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 1
IFV 32: 10 BTR-4EN; 22 BVP-1 AX 1 Prosperity
484 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Sub-Saharan
Senegal’s armed forces have robust international relationships
SP 11: 122mm 6 SH-3; 155mm 5 ATMOS 2000
Africa
and experience in deployments abroad. Their focus is internal
TOWED 35+: 105mm some; 122mm 6 D-30; 152mm 29 and border security, including countering insurgency in the
Type-54 (D-1)† country’s south and Islamist activity in neighbouring states, as
MRL 10: 122mm 5 RM-70; 160mm 5 LAR-160 well as combating narcotics trafficking. Under the ‘Horizon 2025’
MOR 115: 81mm; 82mm; 120mm programme, the defence authorities intend to reorganise and re-
AIR DEFENCE
SAM • Point-defence 9K32 Strela-2 equip key defence organisations and renew infrastructure. Areas
(SA-7 Grail)‡ for improvement include mobility and firepower. Despite limited
resources, there are plans to improve operational capabilities and
GUNS ε150: 14.5mm; 23mm; 37mm
introduce cohesive training regimes for garrisoned troops and in
tactical training centres. There are also plans to increase personnel
Air Force ε1,000 numbers by around 4,000. Senegal’s principal defence relationship
FORCES BY ROLE is with France, which has a military presence in country of some
ATTACK/TRANSPORT HELICOPTER 350 troops and with which it signed a defence-cooperation agree-
1 sqn with Mi-17/Mi-17MD/Mi-17V-5/Mi-17-1V Hip H; ment in 2013. French military forces deliver training assistance,
Mi-24P/V Hind including in search and rescue. The US also provides security assis-
tance, including to the national police and gendarmerie. In Sep-
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE tember 2018, Senegal opened a counter-terrorism training centre
HELICOPTERS at the CET-7 military base at Thies, funded through the US State
ATK 5: 2 Mi-24V Hind E; 3 Mi-24P Hind Department’s Anti-Terrorism Assistance programme. Senegal takes
486 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
part in the US Flintlock counter-terrorism exercise and with US AIR DEFENCE • GUNS • TOWED 39: 14.5mm 6 ZPU-4
partner nations from the Trans-Sahara Counterterrorism Partner- (tch); 20mm 21 M693; 40mm 12 L/60
ship. The armed forces are able to deploy personnel using organic
airlift, as demonstrated during the deployment to Gambia, but
short-notice movements of heavy equipment would be problem-
Navy (incl Coast Guard) 950
atic without external assistance. Modernisation of the air force is FORCES BY ROLE
a priority, and Senegal is looking to revive a modest jet capability SPECIAL FORCES
with the intended purchase of two L-39s, having ordered a small 1 cdo coy
number of turboprop trainers. Refurbished Mi-24 helicopters have
been returned to the inventory, while land-force recapitalisation is EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
taking place in light of the Horizon 2025 programme. Bar limited PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 5
maintenance facilities, the country has no domestic defence- PCO 1 Fouladou (OPV 190 Mk II)
industrial capability. PCC 1 Njambour (FRA SFCN 59m) with 2 76mm gun
ACTIVE 13,600 (Army 11,900 Navy 950 Air 750) PBF 1 Ferlo (RPB 33)
Paramilitary 5,000 PB 2: 1 Conejera; 1 Kedougou
Conscript liability Selective conscription, 24 months AMPHIBIOUS • LANDING CRAFT 2
LCT 2 Edic 700
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 1
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
AG 1
The Seychelles maintains one of the smallest standing armed GDP L 26.6tr 30.1tr
forces in the world. Its proximity to key international shipping US$ 3.61bn 3.75bn
Sub-Saharan
lanes is of strategic significance. The Seychelles People’s Defence per capita US$ 488 496
Africa
Force (PDF) primarily focus on maritime security and counter- Growth % 3.7 3.7
piracy operations. The country hosts US military forces conduct-
Inflation % 18.2 15.6
ing maritime-patrol activities on a rotational basis, including the
operation of unarmed UAVs. India maintains strong defence ties Def bdgt L 86.5bn 107bn 127bn
with the Seychelles, donating equipment, providing maintenance US$ 11.7m 13.3m
and supporting efforts to enhance its maritime-patrol and -surveil- US$1=L 7,366.21 8,028.44
lance capability. There are ongoing plans to further the Seychelles’
Population 6,312,212
defence cooperation with China. The Seychelles has participated in
and hosted a number of multinational maritime-security exercises. Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
The PDF does not deploy overseas and has a limited capacity to
Male 20.8% 4.9% 4.2% 3.7% 13.4% 1.6%
deploy and support troops operating in the archipelago. Modern
Female 20.9% 5.1% 4.4% 4.0% 14.7% 2.2%
platforms in the air force and coastguard comprise donations from
China, India and the UAE. There is no traditional domestic defence
industry. Capabilities
The armed forces’ primary task is to ensure internal and border
ACTIVE 420 (Land Forces 200; Coast Guard 200; Air security and provide forces for continental peacekeeping missions.
Force 20) With international support, there remains a focus on building
488 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
TERRITORY WHERE THE GOVERNMENT Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
DOES NOT EXERCISE EFFECTIVE CONTROL Male 21.4% 5.4% 4.3% 4.0% 14.4% 0.9%
Data presented here represents the de facto situation. This Female 21.5% 5.4% 4.2% 3.8% 13.5% 1.3%
does not imply international recognition as a sovereign
state. Much of this equipment is in poor repair or inoperable. Capabilities
Somaliland While on paper the region’s most capable armed forces, economic
Sub-Saharan
problems have undermined the armed forces’ effectiveness. Roles
Africa
Army ε12,500 include protecting the state and maintaining territorial integrity,
as well as supporting the police service in specific circumstances.
FORCES BY ROLE
The Department of Defence Strategic Plan 2015–2020 is the force’s
MANOUEVRE primary policy instrument. This maps out five strategic-planning
Armoured milestones, the first of which is to arrest the decline of critical
2 armd bde military capabilities. South Africa contributes to UN operations and
Mechanised has been a key component of the Force Intervention Brigade in the
1 mech inf bde Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) since its inception. It is
Light a member of the SADC Standby Force. Historically, South African
14 inf bde forces have also played a significant role in training and supporting
COMBAT SUPPORT other regional forces. Continuing budget cuts are likely to have an
2 arty bde adverse effect on training. The SANDF can independently deploy
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT its forces across the continent, deploys regularly on peacekeeping
1 spt bn missions, and participates in national and multinational exercises.
Equipment availability on some deployments, such as helicopter
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE† units in the DRC, has been a cause for concern. While the SANDF
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES has a well-established modernisation plan, the ability to deliver
MBT T-54/55 on this is hindered by funding problems and a number of pro-
RECCE Fiat 6616 grammes are behind schedule. There is concern in the army over
490 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
the obsolescence of principal equipment. South Africa has the con- Armoured
tinent’s most capable defence industry, including the state-owned 4 tk regt
Armaments Corporation of South Africa (ARMSCOR) and weapons Mechanised
manufacturer Denel. However, defence-budget cuts and reduced 6 mech inf bn
domestic procurement have increasingly required South Africa to
Light
look to export markets. A National Defence Industry Council was
launched in 2016 to support arms exports. 14 mot inf bn
3 lt inf bn (converting to mot inf)
ACTIVE 65,350 (Army 40,200 Navy 7,100 Air 9,900 Air Manoeuvre
South African Military Health Service 8,150) 1 AB bn
2 air mob bn
RESERVE 15,050 (Army 12,250 Navy 850 Air 850 Amphibious
South African Military Health Service Reserve 1,100) 1 amph bn
COMBAT SUPPORT
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE 7 arty regt
2 engr regt
Space AIR DEFENCE
5 AD regt
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
SATELLITES • ISR 1 Kondor-E EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
Army 40,200 MBT 24 Olifant 2 (133 Olifant 1B in store)
ASLT 50 Rooikat-76 (126 in store)
FORCES BY ROLE
IFV 534 Ratel-20/Ratel-60/Ratel-90
Regt are bn sized. A new army structure is planned
APC • PPV 810: 370 Casspir; 440 Mamba
with 3 mixed regular/reserve divisions (1 mechanised, 1
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
motorised and 1 contingency) comprising 12 brigades (1
ARV Gemsbok
armoured, 1 mechanised, 7 motorised, 1 airborne, 1 air-
VLB Leguan
landed and 1 sea landed)
MW Husky
COMMAND
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
2 bde HQ
MSL
SPECIAL FORCES
SP ZT-3 Swift
2 SF regt(-)
MANPATS Milan ADT/ER
MANOEUVRE
RCL 106mm M40A1 (some SP)
Reconnaissance
ARTILLERY 1,240
1 armd recce regt
SP 155mm 2 G-6 (41 in store)
Armoured
TOWED 155mm 6 G-5 (66 in store)
1 tk regt(-)
MRL 127mm 6 Valkiri Mk II MARS Bataleur; (26 Valkiri
Mechanised
Mk I and 19 Valkiri Mk II in store)
2 mech inf bn
MOR 1,226: 81mm 1,190 (incl some SP on Casspir &
Light
Ratel); 120mm 36
8 mot inf bn
UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES
1 lt inf bn
ISR • Light up to 4 Vulture
Air Manoeuvre
AIR DEFENCE
1 AB bn
SAM • Point-defence Starstreak
1 air mob bn
GUNS 76
Amphibious
SP 23mm (36 Zumlac in store)
1 amph bn
TOWED 35mm 40: 22 GDF-002; 18 GDF-005A/007
COMBAT SUPPORT
1 arty regt
1 engr regt Navy 7,100
1 construction regt Fleet HQ and Naval base located at Simon’s Town; Naval
3 sigs regt stations located at Durban and Port Elizabeth
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
1 engr spt regt SUBMARINES • TACTICAL • SSK 2 Heroine (Type-
AIR DEFENCE 209/1400 mod) with 8 533mm TT with AEG SUT 264
1 ADA regt HWT (1 additional boat in refit since 2014, awaiting
funds to complete)
Reserve 12,250 reservists (under-strength) PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS • FRIGATES 4:
FORCES BY ROLE FFGHM 4 Valour (MEKO A200) with 2 quad lnchr
MANOEUVRE with MM40 Exocet Block 2 AShM (upgrade to Block
Reconnaissance 3 planned); 2 16-cell VLS with Umkhonto-IR SAM, 1
3 armd recce regt 76mm gun (capacity 1 Super Lynx 300 hel)
Sub-Saharan Africa 491
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 4 South African Military Health Service 8,150;
PCC 3: 2 Warrior (ISR Reshef) with 1 76mm gun; 1 Warrior ε1,100 reservists (total 9,250)
(ISR Reshef)
PB 1 Tobie (2 additional in reserve) Cyber
MINE WARFARE • MINE COUNTERMEASURES 2
MHC 3 River (GER Navors) (Limited operational roles; South Africa published a National Cybersecurity Policy
training and dive support) Framework in 2011. Since then, the defence-intelligence
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 2 branch of the Department of Defence has been tasked with
AORH 1 Drakensberg (capacity 2 Oryx hels; 100 troops) developing a comprehensive cyber-warfare strategy and
AGHS 1 Protea (UK Hecla) with 1 hel landing platform a cyber-warfare implementation plan. A Cyber Security
Incident Response Team (CSIRT) operates under the State
Maritime Reaction Squadron Security Agency.
FORCES BY ROLE
MANOEUVRE DEPLOYMENT
Amphibious
1 mne patrol gp DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO: UN •
1 diving gp MONUSCO • Operation Mistral 1,175; 7 obs; 1 inf bn; 1 atk
1 mne boarding gp hel sqn; 1 hel sqn
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: Navy • 1 FFGHM
1 spt gp SUDAN: UN • UNAMID • Operation Cordite 3; 10 obs
Air Force 9,900
Air Force HQ, Pretoria, and 4 op gps South Sudan SSD
Command & Control: 2 Airspace Control Sectors, 1 Mobile
South Sudanese Pound ssp 2017 2018 2019
Deployment Wg, 1 Air Force Command Post
GDP ssp 348bn 631bn
FORCES BY ROLE
FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK US$ 3.06bn 3.98bn
1 sqn with Gripen C/D (JAS-39C/D) per capita US$ 243 307
GROUND ATTACK/TRAINING Growth % -5.2 -3.2
1 sqn with Hawk Mk120* Inflation % 188 106
TRANSPORT
Def bdgt [a] ssp 11.0bn 13.0bn 15.9bn
1 (VIP) sqn with B-737 BBJ; Cessna 550 Citation II; Falcon
50; Falcon 900
US$ 97.2m 81.7m
1 sqn with C-47TP US$1=ssp 113.62 158.66
2 sqn with Beech 200/300 King Air; C-130B/BZ; C-212 [a] Security and law enforcement spending
ATTACK HELICOPTER
1 (cbt spt) sqn with AH-2 Rooivalk Population 10,204,581
TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
4 (mixed) sqn with AW109; BK-117; Oryx
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Male 21.5% 6.0% 4.9% 4.0% 13.6% 1.4%
AIRCRAFT 50 combat capable Female 20.8% 5.9% 4.2% 3.6% 13.1% 1.1%
FGA 26: 17 Gripen C (JAS-39C); 9 Gripen D (JAS-39D)
TPT 24: Medium 7: 2 C-130B Hercules; 5 C-130BZ Capabilities
Sub-Saharan
Hercules; Light 13: 3 Beech 200C King Air; 1 Beech 300
Africa
South Sudan has been in a state of civil war with armed opposi-
King Air; 3 C-47TP (maritime); 2 C-212-200 Aviocar†; 1 tion groups since 2013, which has delayed plans to rationalise and
C-212-300 Aviocar†; 2 Cessna 550 Citation II; 1 PC-12; (9 transform the former militia force. In November 2018, the Sudan
Cessna 208 Caravan in store) PAX 4: 1 B-737BBJ; 2 Falcon People’s Liberation Army (SPLA) was officially renamed the South
50; 1 Falcon 900 Sudan People’s Defence Force (SSPDF) and previous plans to pro-
TRG 59: 24 Hawk Mk120*; 35 PC-7 Mk II Astra fessionalise and restructure the force were renewed, including
HELICOPTERS the establishment of two separate new commands for air-defence
ATK 11 AH-2 Rooivalk and riverine units. Allegations continue of child-soldier recruit-
MRH 4 Super Lynx 300 ment. It is unclear if the 2018 peace agreement will be success-
TPT 70: Medium 36 Oryx; Light 34: 26 AW109; 8 BK-117 fully implemented. In 2018, South Sudan reportedly signed a
defence agreement with South Africa, including scope to cooper-
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES • AAM • IIR IRIS-T
ate on procurement and training. There is no capacity to deploy
BOMBS • Laser-guided GBU-12 Paveway II
and sustain military units beyond national borders. Equipment is
primarily of Soviet origin with some light arms of Chinese origin.
Ground Defence There have been efforts to expand the small air force in recent
FORCES BY ROLE years and the two newly acquired L-39 combat-capable trainers
MANOEUVRE are reportedly operational. US sanctions and an EU arms embargo
Other remain in place, although a December 2016 vote for a wider UN
12 sy sqn (SAAF regt) arms embargo was unsuccessful. South Sudan has no established
492 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
domestic defence industry but has reportedly sought to develop Ethiopia 2,122; 17 obs; 3 inf bn
an ammunition-manufacturing capacity in recent years. Fiji 2
ACTIVE 185,000 (Army 185,000) Germany 3; 11 obs
Ghana 861; 10 obs; 1 inf bn
Guatemala 4; 3 obs
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
Guinea 2; 1 obs
India 2,351; 18 obs; 2 inf bn; 1 engr coy; 1 fd hospital
Army ε185,000 Indonesia 2; 3 obs
FORCES BY ROLE
Japan 4
3 military comd
Jordan 4
MANOEUVRE
Kenya 11; 7 obs
Light
8 inf div Korea, Republic of 273; 2 obs; 1 engr coy
COMBAT SUPPORT Kyrgyzstan 1 obs
1 engr corps Moldova 1; 2 obs
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Mongolia 867; 7 obs; 1 inf bn
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES Myanmar 1; 1 obs
MBT 80+: some T-55†; 80 T-72AV† Namibia 2
APC • PPV Streit Typhoon; Streit Cougar; Mamba Nepal 1,745; 13 obs; 2 inf bn
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE Netherlands 6
MSL • MANPATS HJ-73; 9K115 Metis (AT-7 Saxhorn) New Zealand 2; 3 obs
RCL 73mm SPG-9 (with SSLA) Nigeria 5; 7 obs
ARTILLERY Norway 14
SP 122mm 2S1 Gvozdika; 152mm 2S3 Akatsiya
Pakistan 4; 2 obs
TOWED 130mm Some M-46
Papua New Guinea 2 obs
MRL 122mm BM-21 Grad; 107mm PH-63
MOR 82mm; 120mm Type-55 look-alike Paraguay 1 obs
AIR DEFENCE Peru 1; 3 obs
SAM Philippines 2 obs
Short-range 16 S-125 Pechora (SA-3 Goa) (reported) Poland 1 obs
Point-defence 9K32 Strela-2 (SA-7 Grail)‡; QW-2 Romania 2; 5 obs
GUNS 14.5mm ZPU-4; 23mm ZU-23-2; 37mm Type-65/74 Russia 3; 2 obs
Rwanda 2,774; 23 obs; 3 inf bn; 2 hel sqn
Air Force Senegal 1; 2 obs
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Sri Lanka 172; 2 obs; 1 fd hospital; 1 hel sqn
AIRCRAFT 2 combat capable Sweden 2 obs
TPT • Light 1 Beech 1900 Tanzania 5; 4 obs
TRG ε2 L-39 Albatros* Togo 2
HELICOPTERS
Uganda 2
ATK 5: 2 Mi-24V Hind; 3 Mi-24V-SMB Hind
Ukraine 1; 3 obs
MRH 9 Mi-17 Hip H
United Kingdom 333; 1 engr coy
TPT 3: Medium 1 Mi-172 (VIP); Light 2 AW109 (civ livery)
United States 7
Vietnam 1; 2 obs
FOREIGN FORCES Zambia 2; 4 obs
All UNMISS, unless otherwise indicated Zimbabwe 1; 2 obs
Australia 23; 1 obs
Bangladesh 1,601; 7 obs; 1 inf coy; 2 rvn coy; 2 engr coy
Benin 3; 1 obs
Bhutan 2; 2 obs
Bolivia 3 obs
Brazil 6; 5 obs
Cambodia 79; 6 obs; 1 MP unit
Canada 5; 5 obs
China, People’s Republic of 1,040; 5 obs; 1 inf bn; 1 engr
coy; 1 fd hospital
Denmark 11
Egypt 1; 2 obs
El Salvador 1; 2 obs
Sub-Saharan Africa 493
Mechanised
Sudan SDN 1 mech inf div
1 indep mech inf bde
Sudanese Pound sdg 2017 2018 2019
Light
GDP sdg 830bn 119bn 15+ inf div
US$ 45.8bn 33.2bn 6 indep inf bde
per capita US$ 1,123 792 Air Manoeuvre
Growth % 1.4 -2.3 1 air aslt bde
Amphbious
Inflation % 32.4 61.8
1 mne div
Def exp sdg n.k n.k
Other
US$ n.k n.k 1 (Border Guard) sy bde
US$1=sdg 18.12 35.66 COMBAT SUPPORT
3 indep arty bde
Population 43,120,843
1 engr div (9 engr bn)
Ethnic and religious groups: Muslim 70% mainly in North;
Christian 10% mainly in South; Arab 39% mainly in North EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus MBT 465: 20 M60A3; 60 Type-59/Type-59D; 305
Male 21.9% 5.8% 4.5% 3.7% 12.8% 1.6% T-54/T-55; 70 T-72AV; 10 Al-Bashier (Type-85-IIM)
Female 21.2% 5.7% 4.2% 3.6% 13.6% 1.4% LT TK 115: 70 Type-62; 45 Type-63
RECCE 206: 6 AML-90; 70 BRDM-1/2; 50–80 FV701
Capabilities Ferret; 30–50 FV601 Saladin
IFV 152+: 135 BMP-1/2; 10 BTR-3; 7 BTR-80A; WZ-523
Sudan’s armed forces focus on continued tensions with neigh- IFV
bouring South Sudan. There are also ongoing concerns regarding APC 415+
opposition groups operating in the south, including in Darfur, with
APC (T) 66: 20-30 BTR-50; 36 M113
the government relying on paramilitary forces to provide internal
security. The UN maintains two significant peacekeeping mis-
APC (W) 349+: 10 BTR-70M Kobra 2; 50–80 BTR-152; 20
sions in Sudan. Sudan is part of the Saudi-led coalition interven- OT-62; 50 OT-64; 3+ Rakhsh; 10 WZ-551; WZ-523; 55-80
tion in Yemen. A defence agreement was signed with Iran in 2008; V-150 Commando; 96 Walid
it is believed to have included assistance in the development of ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
Sudan’s domestic arms industry. The armed forces are conscript- MSL • MANPATS 9K11 Malyutka (AT-3 Sagger); HJ-8;
based and will have gained operational experience from internal- 9K135 Kornet (AT-14 Spriggan)
security deployments and the Saudi-led coalition. By regional stan- RCL 106mm 40 M40A1
dards, Sudan’s armed forces are relatively well equipped, with sig- GUNS 40+: 40 76mm ZIS-3/100mm M-1944; 85mm D-44
nificant holdings of both ageing and modern systems. While there ARTILLERY 860+
is a UN arms embargo in place, it is limited to equipment used
SP 66: 122mm 56 2S1 Gvozdika; 155mm 10 Mk F3
within the Darfur region. Recent acquisitions have been Russian
TOWED 128+: 105mm 20 M101; 122mm 21+: 21 D-30;
and Ukrainian government surplus, apart from new Chinese jet
trainers. The state-run Military Industry Corporation manufactures D-74; M-30; 130mm 75 M-46/Type-59-I; 155mm 12
a range of ammunition, small arms and armoured vehicles for the M114A1
domestic and export market. The majority of the corporation’s MRL 666+: 107mm 477 Type-63; 122mm 188: 120 BM-21
products are based on older Chinese and Russian systems. Grad; 50 Saqr; 18 Type-81; 302mm 1+ WS-1
MOR 81mm;
Sub-Saharan
82mm; 120mm AM-49; M-43
ACTIVE 104,300 (Army 100,000 Navy 1,300 Air
Africa
AIR DEFENCE
3,000) Paramilitary 20,000 SAM • Point-defence 4+: 9K32 Strela-2 (SA-7 Grail)‡;
Conscript liability 2 years for males aged 18–30 FN-6; 4+ 9K33 Osa (SA-8 Gecko)
RESERVE NIL Paramilitary 85,000 GUNS 966+
SP 20: 20mm 8 M163 Vulcan; 12 M3 VDAA
TOWED 946+: 740+ 14.5mm ZPU-2/14.5mm ZPU-
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE 4/37mm Type-63/57mm S-60/85mm M-1944; 20mm 16
M167 Vulcan; 23mm 50 ZU-23-2; 37mm 80 M-1939; (30
Army 100,000+ M-1939 unserviceable); 40mm 60
FORCES BY ROLE
SPECIAL FORCES Navy 1,300
5 SF coy EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
MANOEUVRE PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 11
Reconnaissance PBR 4 Kurmuk
1 indep recce bde PB 7: 1 13.5m; 1 14m; 2 19m; 3 41m (PRC)
Armoured AMPHIBIOUS • LANDING CRAFT 5
1 armd div LCVP 5
494 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Sub-Saharan
AIRCRAFT 17 combat capable
Africa
FTR 11: 9 F-7TN; 2 FT-7TN
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE ISR 1 SB7L-360 Seeker
TPT 12: Medium 2 Y-8; Light 7: 2 Cessna 404 Titan; 3
Army ε23,000 DHC-5D Buffalo; 2 Y-12(II); PAX 3: 1 F-28 Fellowship; 1
FORCES BY ROLE F-50; 1 Gulfstream G550
SPECIAL FORCES TRG 9: 3 FT-5 (JJ-5); 6 K-8 Karakorum*
1 SF unit HELICOPTERS
MANOEUVRE MRH 1 Bell 412EP Twin Huey
Armoured TPT 2: Medium 1+ H225M; Light 1 Bell 205 (AB-205)
1 tk bde AIR DEFENCE
Light SAM
5 inf bde Short-range 2K12 Kub (SA-6 Gainful)†; S-125 Pechora
COMBAT SUPPORT (SA-3 Goa)†
4 arty bn Point-defence 9K32 Strela-2 (SA-7 Grail)‡
1 mor bn GUNS 200
2 AT bn TOWED 14.5mm 40 ZPU-2/ZPU-4†; 23mm 40 ZU-23;
1 engr regt (bn) 37mm 120 M-1939
496 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Paramilitary 1,400 active forces’ capabilities, including air-transport and maritime capaci-
ties. Apart from limited maintenance facilities, the country has no
Police Field Force 1,400 domestic defence-industrial capability.
18 sub-units incl Police Marine Unit ACTIVE 8,550 (Army 8,100 Navy 200 Air 250)
Air Wing Paramilitary 750
Conscript liability Selective conscription, 2 years
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
AIRCRAFT • TPT • Light 1 Cessna U206 Stationair
HELICOPTERS ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
TPT • Light 4: 2 Bell 206A Jet Ranger (AB-206A);
2 Bell 206L Long Ranger Army 8,100+
TRG 2 Bell 47G (AB-47G)/Bell 47G2 FORCES BY ROLE
MANOEUVRE
Marine Unit 100 Reconnaissance
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE 1 armd recce regt
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS Light
All operational patrol vessels under 10t FLD 2 cbd arms regt
2 inf regt
DEPLOYMENT 1 rapid reaction force
Air Manoeuvre
CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC: UN • MINUSCA 445; 1 inf
1 cdo/para regt (3 cdo/para coy)
bn(-)
Other
DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO: UN • 1 (Presidential Guard) gd regt (1 gd bn, 1 cdo bn, 2
MONUSCO 1,003; 2 obs; 1 SF coy; 1 inf bn indep gd coy)
LEBANON: UN • UNIFIL 159; 1 MP coy
COMBAT SUPPORT
1 cbt spt regt (1 fd arty bty, 2 ADA bty, 1 engr/log/tpt bn)
SOUTH SUDAN: UN • UNMISS 5; 4 obs
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
SUDAN: UN • UNAMID 818; 5 obs; 1 inf bn; UN •
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
UNISFA 1; 2 obs
MBT 2 T-54/T-55
LT TK 9 FV101 Scorpion
Togo TGO RECCE 86: 3 AML-60; 7 AML-90; 29 Bastion Patsas; 36
EE-9 Cascavel; 6 M8; 3 M20; 2 VBL
CFA Franc BCEAO fr 2017 2018 2019 IFV 20 BMP-2
GDP fr 2.77tr 2.96tr APC 34
US$ 4.77bn 5.35bn APC (T) 4 M3A1 half-track
per capita US$ 611 668 APC (W) 30 UR-416
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
Growth % 4.4 4.7
RCL 75mm Type-52 (M20)/Type-56; 82mm Type-65 (B-10)
Inflation % -0.7 0.4 GUNS 57mm 5 ZIS-2
Def bdgt fr 51.9bn 58.0bn ARTILLERY 30+
US$ 89.4m 105m SP 122mm 6
US$1=fr 580.97 553.12 TOWED 105mm 4 HM-2
MRL 122mm Type-81 mod (SC6 chassis)
Population 8,176,449 MOR 82mm 20 M-43
AIR DEFENCE • GUNS • TOWED 43 14.5mm 38 ZPU-4;
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
37mm 5 M-1939
Male 20.1% 5.1% 4.5% 4.1% 14.3% 1.5%
Female 20.0% 5.1% 4.5% 4.2% 14.7% 2.0% Navy ε200 (incl Marine Infantry unit)
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Capabilities PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 3
The armed forces are adequate for the internal-security role, but PBF 1 Agou (RPB 33)
they have limited deployment capacity. Togo is increasingly con- PB 2 Kara (FRA Esterel)
cerned by piracy in the Gulf of Guinea and other illegal maritime
activities and is strengthening its cooperation with neighbours Air Force 250
to address these threats. Military-training cooperation continues
FORCES BY ROLE
with France, which provides peacekeeping training for Togolese
FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
personnel participating in MINUSMA. There is also a peacekeep-
ing training centre in Lomé. The US Africa Contingency Operations 1 sqn with Alpha Jet*; EMB-326G*
Training and Assistance programme has also provided training TRANSPORT
assistance. Togo’s deployment capabilities are limited to its region 1 sqn with Beech 200 King Air
without external support. Financial challenges limit the armed 1 VIP unit with DC-8; F-28-1000
Sub-Saharan Africa 497
TRAINING A number of years spent targeting the Lord’s Resistance Army has
1 sqn with TB-30 Epsilon* also ensured experience in counter-insurgency tactics. There are
TRANSPORT HELICOPTER plans to establish a National Defence College. Uganda is one of the
1 sqn with SA315 Lama; SA316 Alouette III; SA319 largest contributors to the East Africa Standby Force and in 2014
signed a Mutual Defence Treaty with Kenya and Rwanda. Train-
Alouette III
ing levels are adequate, particularly for the special forces, and are
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE† improving after recent experiences. There is regular training with
AIRCRAFT 10 combat capable international partners, including at Uganda’s own facilities, and
TPT 5: Light 2 Beech 200 King Air; PAX 3: 1 DC-8; 2 Ugandan forces have gained experience at the US Joint Readiness
F-28-1000 (VIP) Training Centre. Airlift is limited, though the country was able to
TRG 10: 3 Alpha Jet*; 4 EMB-326G *; 3 TB-30 Epsilon* deploy an armoured element to southern Sudan in 2013. Rotary-
HELICOPTERS wing aviation has improved in recent years, partly due to US assis-
MRH 4: 2 SA315 Lama; 1 SA316 Alouette III; 1 SA319 tance. While logistical support remains superior to that of many
other regional states, the motorised infantry still lacks sufficient
Alouette III
transport and logistics capacity. Uganda’s mechanised forces are
TPT • Medium (1 SA330 Puma in store) relatively well equipped in these areas, though heavy equipment
is disparate and ageing. Improvements include the arrival of MRAP
Paramilitary 750 and other protected vehicles. There is limited defence-industrial
capacity, though there is some manufacturing of light armoured
Gendarmerie 750 vehicles. Uganda’s 2015–19 Security Sector Development plan
Ministry of Interior included the establishment of an engineering centre at Maga-
FORCES BY ROLE maga, as well as a defence-research centre at Lugazi.
2 reg sections ACTIVE 45,000 (Ugandan People’s Defence Force
MANOEUVRE 45,000) Paramilitary 1,400
Other
1 (mobile) paramilitary sqn RESERVE 10,000
Sub-Saharan
per capita US$ 707 717
2 AD bn
Africa
Growth % 4.5 5.9
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE†
Inflation % 5.6 3.8 ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
Def bdgt Ush 1.58tr 1.47tr 1.47tr MBT 239+: 185 T-54/T-55; 10 T-72; 44 T-90S; ZTZ-85-IIM
US$ 434m 384m LT TK ε20 PT-76
US$1=Ush 3,635.79 3,835.06 RECCE 46: 40 Eland-20; 6 FV701 Ferret
IFV 31 BMP-2
Population 40,853,749 APC 150
APC (W) 58: 15 BTR-60; 20 Buffel; 4 OT-64; 19 Bastion
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
APC
Male 23.9% 5.6% 4.8% 3.9% 10.6% 0.9% PPV 92: 42 Casspir; 40 Mamba; 10 RG-33L
Female 24.0% 5.7% 4.9% 4.0% 10.5% 1.1% AUV 15 Cougar
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
Capabilities ARV T-54/T-55 reported
Uganda’s armed forces are well equipped and are important con- VLB MTU reported
tributors to East African security. Operational experience and train- MW Husky
ing have led to improvements in administration and planning, as ARTILLERY 333+
well as in military skills including counter-IED and urban patrolling. SP 155mm 6 ATMOS 2000
498 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Sub-Saharan
1 (liaison) sqn with Do-28
Def bdgt US$ 341m 420m
Africa
TRAINING
2 sqn with MB-326GB; MFI-15 Safari US$1=Z$ 1.00 1.00
TRANSPORT HELICOPTER [a] Zimbabwe dollar no longer in active use
1 sqn with Mi-17 Hip H Population 14,030,368
1 (liaison) sqn with Bell 47G; Bell 205 (UH-1H Iroquois/
AB-205) Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
AIR DEFENCE Male 19.1% 5.5% 4.5% 4.4% 13.6% 1.8%
3 bty with S-125 Pechora (SA-3 Goa) Female 19.5% 5.6% 4.8% 4.5% 14.0% 2.7%
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE†
Very low serviceability Capabilities
AIRCRAFT 21 combat capable
Political instability and a weak economy are the key challenges for
TPT 23: Light 21: 5 Do-28; 2 MA60; 4 Y-12(II); 5 Y-12(IV);
the state. The August 2018 presidential election resulted in victory
5 Y-12E; PAX 2: 1 CL-604; 1 HS-748
for Emmerson Mnangagwa, though it saw troops deployed on
TRG 51: 15 K-8 Karakourm*; 6 L-15*; 10 MB-326GB; 8 the streets amid unrest. Ensuring sovereignty, territorial integrity
MFI-15 Safari; 12 SF-260TW and border security, and providing internal-security support to
HELICOPTERS the police, are tasks for the armed forces. They also take an active
MRH 5: 1 AW139; 4 Mi-17 Hip H political role, evidenced by their role in toppling former president
500 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Robert Mugabe. Zimbabwe is a member of the AU and the SADC, TOWED 122mm 20: 4 D-30; 16 Type-60 (D-74)
and takes part in SADC Standby Force exercises. In March 2018, MRL 76: 107mm 16 Type-63; 122mm 60 RM-70
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov met with President Mnan-
MOR 146: 81mm/82mm ε140; 120mm 6 M-43
gagwa with future defence cooperation an agenda item. Zimba-
bwe and China have defence ties, while Belarus is also looking to AIR DEFENCE
improve ties with the country. The armed forces are all-volunteer. SAM • Point-defence 9K32 Strela-2 (SA-7 Grail)‡
In 2018, a ‘special allowance’ was paid to military personnel to GUNS • TOWED 116: 14.5mm 36 ZPU-1/ZPU-2/ZPU-4;
boost overall pay. Military leaders have identified training as a 23mm 45 ZU-23; 37mm 35 M-1939
development priority. Small numbers of personnel have deployed
on peacekeeping operations, but there is no capacity to sustain a
force far beyond national borders. Recapitalising an obsolescent
Air Force 4,000
equipment inventory is also a priority. This, however, will depend FORCES BY ROLE
on economic recovery, and perhaps the extent to which China and FIGHTER
Russia will provide support. State-owned small-arms and muni- 1 sqn with F-7 II†; FT-7†
tions manufacturer Zimbabwe Defence Industries has struggled
after nearly two decades of Western sanctions, but there are plans
FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
to revive the plant. 1 sqn with K-8 Karakorum*
(1 sqn Hawker Hunter in store)
ACTIVE 29,000 (Army 25,000 Air 4,000) Paramilitary GROUND ATTACK/ISR
21,800 1 sqn with Cessna 337/O-2A Skymaster*
ISR/TRAINING
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE 1 sqn with SF-260F/M; SF-260TP*; SF-260W Warrior*
TRANSPORT
Army ε25,000 1 sqn with BN-2 Islander; CASA 212-200 Aviocar (VIP)
FORCES BY ROLE ATTACK/TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
COMMAND 1 sqn with Mi-35 Hind; Mi-35P Hind (liaison); SA316
1 SF bde HQ Alouette III; AS532UL Cougar (VIP)
1 mech bde HQ 1 trg sqn with Bell 412 Twin Huey, SA316 Alouette III
5 inf bde HQ AIR DEFENCE
SPECIAL FORCES 1 sqn
1 SF regt
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
MANOEUVRE
AIRCRAFT 45 combat capable
Armoured
1 armd sqn FTR 9: 7 F-7 II†; 2 FT-7†
Mechanised ISR 2 O-2A Skymaster
1 mech inf bn TPT • Light 25: 5 BN-2 Islander; 7 C-212-200 Aviocar; 13
Light Cessna 337 Skymaster*; (10 C-47 Skytrain in store)
15 inf bn TRG 33: 10 K-8 Karakorum*; 5 SF-260M; 8 SF-260TP*; 5
1 cdo bn SF-260W Warrior*; 5 SF-260F
Air Manoeuvre HELICOPTERS
1 para bn ATK 6: 4 Mi-35 Hind; 2 Mi-35P Hind
Other MRH 10: 8 Bell 412 Twin Huey; 2 SA316 Alouette III
3 gd bn TPT • Medium 2 AS532UL Cougar (VIP)
1 (Presidential Guard) gd gp
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES • AAM • IR PL-2; PL-5
COMBAT SUPPORT
(reported)
1 arty bde
AD • GUNS 100mm (not deployed); 37mm (not
1 fd arty regt
2 engr regt deployed); 57mm (not deployed)
AIR DEFENCE
1 AD regt Paramilitary 21,800
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Zimbabwe Republic Police Force 19,500
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
incl air wg
MBT 40: 30 Type-59†; 10 Type-69†
RECCE 115: 20 Eland-60/90; 15 FV701 Ferret†; 80 EE-9
Police Support Unit 2,300
Cascavel (90mm)
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS
IFV 2+ YW307
All operational patrol vessels under 10t FLD
APC • APC (T) 30: 8 ZSD-85 (incl CP); 22 VTT-323
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
ARV T-54/T-55 reported; ZJX-93 ARV DEPLOYMENT
VLB MTU reported
ARTILLERY 254 SOUTH SUDAN: UN • UNMISS 1; 2 obs
SP 122mm 12 2S1 Gvozdika SUDAN: UN • UNAMID 2; 5 obs; UN • UNISFA 1; 2 obs
Sub-Saharan Africa 501
8
7
Number of countries
6
purchasing
5 East Africa
Southern Africa
Sub-Saharan
4 Central Africa
Africa
West Africa
3
2
1
0
s
s
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ips
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ter ines
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*Data reflects the number of countries with equipment-procurement contracts either ongoing or completed in 2018. Data includes only procurement programmes for which a production contract
has been signed. The data does not include upgrade programmes.
**Armoured fighting vehicles not including main battle tanks ***Includes combat-capable training aircraft IISS
©
Table 21 South Africa: major equipment-procurement programmes
Equipment Project Type Quantity Value (ZAR) Value Prime contractor Contract Notes
name (US$) date
Land
Starstreak and ESR Guardian Point-defence n.k. 801m 72.6m Denel Dynamics Dec 2002 Ground-Based Air Defence System (GBADS)
220 Thutwa SAM and Phase I; in-service date 2014
radar
Badger 8x8 Hoefyster IFV 242 15.4bn 1.6bn Denel Land Sep 2013 To replace Ratel; deliveries significantly
Systems delayed, now expected to begin in 2022
502 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Skyshield Fire Protector 35 mm anti- n.k. n.k. n.k. Denel Integrated 2014 GBADS Phase II: upgrade of 35mm guns and
Control System aircraft-gun Solutions and acquisition of Skyshield fire-control system;
upgrade Maritime deliveries ongoing
Umkhonto Ground- Outcome Short-range n.k. - - Denel Dynamics - GBADS Phase III: C4I upgrade for GBADS and
Based Launcher SAM acquisition of Umkhonto GBL SAM
(GBL)
Maritime
Vard 9 105 (UK Echo) Hotel AGHS 1 ε1.8bn ε135.2m Southern African Dec 2017 To be completed by end of 2021
Shipyards
Damen Stan Patrol Biro PCC 3 n.k. n.k. DCST Feb 2018 Inshore Patrol Vessel; original requirement
6211 for additional three offshore-patrol vessels
dropped in 2017 due to budget cuts
Heroine class n.k. SSK mid-life 3 - - TBD - Feasibility studies ongoing; contract expected
upgrade by 2020
Valour class Syne FFGHM mid- 4 - - TBD - Concept phase begun Feb 2016
life upgrade
Aerospace
A-Darter Assegai AAM IR n.k. 939m 73.63m Denel Mar 2015 Project begun late 1990s; Brazil joined 2007.
Deliveries one year behind production-
contract schedule
Metsi MPA ac TBD - - TBD - To replace C-47TP and C-212; procurement
TBD processes expected to begin 2019/20
Kiepie Lt Tpt ac
Seeker 400 Itambo Heavy ISR UAV TBD - - Denel Dynamics - Plan to reactivate UAV squadron announced
in 2016
Explanatory Notes 503
PART TWO
Explanatory notes
The country entries assess personnel strengths, organisa- and military data. Population figures are based on demo-
tion and equipment holdings of the world’s armed forces. graphic statistics taken from the US Census Bureau. Data
Force-strength and equipment-inventory data is based on on ethnic and religious minorities is also provided in some
the most accurate data available, or on the best estimate country entries. Military data includes personnel numbers,
504 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
conscript liability where relevant, outline organisation, defence expenditure is also provided. Defence-
number of formations and units, and an inventory of the expenditure figures will naturally be higher than
major equipment of each service. Details of national forces official budget figures, depending on the range
stationed abroad and of foreign forces stationed within the of additional factors included.
given country are also provided. • For NATO countries, a defence-budget figure, as
well as defence expenditure reported by NATO
Arms procurements and deliveries in local currency terms and converted using IMF
A series of thematic tables, graphics and text follow the exchange rates, is quoted.
regional data. These are designed to illustrate key trends,
principal programmes and significant events in regional NATO’s military-expenditure definition (the most
defence procurements. More detailed information on comprehensive) is cash outlays of central or federal
defence procurements, organised by country, equipment governments to meet the costs of national armed forces.
type and manufacturing company, can be found on the The term ‘armed forces’ includes strategic, land, naval,
IISS Military Balance+ database (https://www.iiss.org/publi- air, command, administration and support forces. It also
cations/the-military-balance-plus). The information in this includes other forces if they are trained, structured and
section meets the threshold for a Military Balance country equipped to support defence forces and are realistically
entry and as such does not feature information on sales of deployable. Defence expenditures are reported in four cate-
small arms and light weapons. gories: Operating Costs, Procurement and Construction,
Research and Development (R&D) and Other Expenditure.
Defence economics Operating Costs include salaries and pensions for mili-
Country entries include defence expenditures, selected tary and civilian personnel; the cost of maintaining and
economic-performance indicators and demographic aggre- training units, service organisations, headquarters and
gates. All country entries are subject to revision each year support elements; and the cost of servicing and repairing
as new information, particularly regarding actual defence military equipment and infrastructure. Procurement and
expenditure, becomes available. On pp. 503–08, there are Construction expenditure covers national equipment and
also international comparisons of defence expenditure and infrastructure spending, as well as common infrastructure
military personnel, giving expenditure figures for the past programmes. R&D is defence expenditure up to the point
three years in per capita terms and as a % of gross domestic at which new equipment can be put in service, regardless
product (GDP). The aim is to provide a measure of mili- of whether new equipment is actually procured. Foreign
tary expenditure and the allocation of economic resources Military Aid (FMA) contributions are also noted.
to defence. For many non-NATO countries the issue of transpar-
Individual country entries show economic perfor- ency in reporting military budgets is fundamental. Not
mance over the past two years and current demographic every UN member state reports defence-budget data (even
data. Where this data is unavailable, information from the fewer report real defence expenditures) to their elector-
last available year is provided. All financial data in the ates, the UN, the IMF or other multinational organisations.
country entries is shown in both national currency and US In the case of governments with a proven record of trans-
dollars at current – not constant – prices. US-dollar conver- parency, official figures generally conform to the stan-
sions are calculated from the exchange rates listed in the dardised definition of defence budgeting, as adopted by
entry. the UN, and consistency problems are not usually a major
issue. The IISS cites official defence budgets as reported
Definitions of terms by either national governments, the UN, the OSCE or the
Despite efforts by NATO and the UN to develop a stan- IMF.
dardised definition of military expenditure, many coun- For those countries where the official defence-budget
tries prefer to use their own definitions (which are often figure is considered to be an incomplete measure of total
not made public). In order to present a comprehensive military-related spending, and appropriate additional data
picture, The Military Balance lists three different measures is available, the IISS will use data from a variety of sources
of military-related spending data. to arrive at a more accurate estimate of true defence
• For most countries, an official defence-budget expenditure. The most frequent instances of budgetary
figure is provided. manipulation or falsification typically involve equip-
• For those countries where other military- ment procurement, R&D, defence-industrial investment,
related outlays, over and above the defence covert weapons programmes, pensions for retired mili-
budget, are known or can be reasonably esti- tary and civilian personnel, paramilitary forces and non-
mated, an additional measurement referred to as budgetary sources of revenue for the military arising from
Explanatory Notes 505
numbers are not normally included in the totals at the start should be assumed to reflect standard British usage where
of each entry. they occur.
506 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
FORCES BY ROLE
Command: free-standing, deployable formation headquarters (HQs).
Special Forces (SF): elite units specially trained and equipped for unconventional warfare and operations in
enemy-controlled territory. Many are employed in counter-terrorist roles.
Manoeuvre: combat units and formations capable of manoeuvring. These are subdivided as follows:
Reconnaissance: combat units and formations whose primary purpose is to gain information.
Armoured: units and formations principally equipped with main battle tanks (MBTs) and infantry
fighting vehicles (IFVs) to provide heavy mounted close-combat capability. Units and
formations intended to provide mounted close-combat capability with lighter armoured
vehicles, such as light tanks or wheeled assault guns, are classified as light armoured.
Mechanised: units and formations primarily equipped with lighter armoured vehicles such as
armoured personnel carriers (APCs). They have less mounted firepower and protection
than their armoured equivalents, but can usually deploy more infantry.
Light: units and formations whose principal combat capability is dismounted infantry, with
few, if any, organic armoured vehicles. Some may be motorised and equipped with soft-
skinned vehicles.
Air Manoeuvre: units and formations trained and equipped for delivery by transport aircraft and/or
helicopters.
Amphibious: amphibious forces are trained and equipped to project force from the sea.
Other Forces: includes security units such as Presidential Guards, paramilitary units such as border
guards and combat formations permanently employed in training or demonstration
tasks.
Combat Support: combat support units and formations not integral to manoeuvre formations. Includes
artillery, engineers, military intelligence, nuclear, biological and chemical defence, signals
and information operations.
Combat Service includes logistics, maintenance, medical, supply and transport units and formations.
Support (CSS):
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Light Weapons: small arms, machine guns, grenades and grenade launchers and unguided man-portable
anti-armour and support weapons have proliferated so much and are sufficiently easy to
manufacture or copy that listing them would be impractical.
Crew-Served crew-served recoilless rifles, man-portable ATGW, MANPADs and mortars of greater than
Weapons: 80mm calibre are listed, but the high degree of proliferation and local manufacture of
many of these weapons means that estimates of numbers held may not be reliable.
Armoured Fighting armoured combat vehicles with a combat weight of at least six metric tonnes, further
Vehicles (AFVs): subdivided as below:
Main Battle Tank armoured, tracked combat vehicles, armed with a turret-mounted gun of at least 75mm
(MBT): calibre and with a combat weight of at least 25 metric tonnes.
Light Tank (LT TK): armoured, tracked combat vehicles, armed with a turret-mounted gun of at least 75mm
calibre and with a combat weight of less than 25 metric tonnes.
Wheeled Assault armoured, wheeled combat vehicles, armed with a turret-mounted gun of at least 75mm
Gun (ASLT): calibre and with a combat weight of at least 15 metric tonnes.
Armoured armoured vehicles primarily designed for reconnaissance tasks with no significant
Reconnaissance transport capability and either a main gun of less than 75mm calibre or a combat weight
Reference
Armoured lightly armoured combat vehicles designed and equipped to transport an infantry squad
Personnel Carrier but either unarmed or armed with a cannon of less than 20mm calibre.
(APC):
Airborne Combat armoured vehicles designed to be deployable by parachute alongside airborne forces.
Vehicle (ABCV):
Amphibious Assault armoured vehicles designed to have an amphibious ship-to-shore capability.
Vehicle (AAV):
Armoured Utility armoured vehicles not designed to transport an infantry squad, but capable of
Vehicle (AUV): undertaking a variety of other utility battlefield tasks, including light reconnaissance and
light transport.
Specialist Variants: variants of armoured vehicles listed above that are designed to fill a specialised role, such
as command posts (CP), artillery observation posts (OP), signals (sigs) and ambulances
(amb), are categorised with their parent vehicles.
Engineering and includes armoured engineer vehicles (AEV), armoured repair and recovery vehicles (ARV),
Maintenance Vehicles: assault bridging (VLB) and mine warfare vehicles (MW).
Nuclear, Biological armoured vehicles principally designed to operate in potentially contaminated terrain.
and Chemical Defence
Vehicles (NBC):
Anti-Tank/Anti- guns, guided weapons and recoilless rifles designed to engage armoured vehicles and
Infrastructure (AT): battlefield hardened targets.
Surface-to-Surface launch vehicles for transporting and firing surface-to-surface ballistic and cruise missiles.
Missile Launchers
(SSM):
Artillery: weapons (including guns, howitzers, gun/howitzers, multiple-rocket launchers, mortars
and gun/mortars) with a calibre greater than 100mm for artillery pieces and 80mm and
above for mortars, capable of engaging ground targets with indirect fire.
Coastal Defence: land-based coastal artillery pieces and anti-ship-missile launchers.
Air Defence (AD): guns and surface-to-air-missile (SAM) launchers designed to engage fixed-wing, rotary-
wing and uninhabited aircraft. Missiles are further classified by maximum notional
engagement range: point-defence (up to 10 km); short-range (10–30 km); medium-
range (30–75 km); and long-range (75 km+). Systems primarily intended to intercept
missiles rather than aircraft are categorised separately as Missile Defence.
Mine warfare vessels: all surface vessels configured primarily for mine laying (ML) or countermeasures.
Countermeasures vessels are either: sweepers (MS), which are designed to locate and
destroy mines in an area; hunters (MH), which are designed to locate and destroy
individual mines; or countermeasures vessels (MC), which combine both roles.
Amphibious vessels: vessels designed to transport personnel and/or equipment onto shore. These include
landing helicopter assault vessels (LHA), which can embark fixed- and/or rotary-wing air
assets as well as landing craft; landing helicopter docks (LHD), which can embark rotary-
wing or VTOL assets and have a well dock; landing platform helicopters (LPH), which
have a primary role of launch and recovery platform for rotary-wing or VTOL assets with
a dock to store equipment/personnel for amphibious operations; and landing platform
docks (LPD), which do not have a through deck but do have a well dock. Landing ships
(LS) are amphibious vessels capable of ocean passage and landing craft (LC) are smaller
vessels designed to transport personnel and equipment from a larger vessel to land or
across small stretches of water. Landing ships have a hold; landing craft are open vessels.
Landing craft air cushioned (LCAC) are differentiated from Utility craft air cushioned
(UCAC) in that the former have a bow ramp for the disembarkation of vehicles and
personnel.
Auxiliary vessels: ocean-going surface vessels performing an auxiliary military role, supporting combat
ships or operations. These generally fulfil five roles: replenishment (such as oilers (AO)
and solid stores (AKS)); logistics (such as cargo ships (AK) and logistics ships (AFS));
maintenance (such as cable-repair ships (ARC) or buoy tenders (ABU)); research (such as
survey ships (AFS)); and special purpose (such as intelligence-collection ships (AGI) and
ocean-going tugs (ATF)).
Weapons systems: weapons are listed in the following order: land-attack cruise missiles (LACM), anti-ship
missiles (AShM), surface-to-air missiles (SAM), heavy (HWT) and lightweight (LWT)
torpedoes, anti-submarine weapons (A/S), CIWS, guns and aircraft. Missiles with a range
less than 5 km and guns with a calibre less than 57 mm are generally not included.
Organisations: naval groupings such as fleets and squadrons frequently change and are shown only
where doing so would aid qualitative judgements.
Maritime Patrol (MP): fixed-wing aircraft and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) intended for maritime surface
surveillance, which may possess an anti-surface-warfare capability. MP units are
equipped with fixed-wing aircraft or UAVs.
510 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Electronic Warfare fixed- and rotary-wing aircraft and UAVs intended for electronic warfare. EW units are
(EW): equipped with fixed- or rotary-wing aircraft or UAVs.
Intelligence/ fixed- and rotary-wing aircraft and UAVs intended to provide radar, visible-light or
Surveillance/ infrared imagery, or a mix thereof. ISR units are equipped with fixed- or rotary-wing
Reconnaissance (ISR): aircraft or UAVs.
Combat/Intelligence/ aircraft and UAVs that have the capability to deliver air-to-surface weapons, as well as
Surveillance/ undertake ISR tasks. CISR units are equipped with armed aircraft and/or UAVs for ISR and
Reconnaissance air-to-surface missions.
(CISR):
COMINT/ELINT/ fixed- and rotary-wing platforms and UAVs capable of gathering electronic (ELINT),
SIGINT: communications (COMINT) or signals intelligence (SIGINT). COMINT units are equipped
with fixed- or rotary-wing aircraft or UAVs intended for the communications-intelligence
task. ELINT units are equipped with fixed- or rotary-wing aircraft or UAVs used for
gathering electronic intelligence. SIGINT units are equipped with fixed- or rotary-wing
aircraft or UAVs used to collect signals intelligence.
Airborne Early fixed- and rotary-wing platforms capable of providing airborne early warning, with a
Warning (& Control) varying degree of onboard command and control depending on the
(AEW (&C)): platform. AEW(&C) units are equipped with fixed- or rotary-wing aircraft.
Search and Rescue units are equipped with fixed- or rotary-wing aircraft used to recover military personnel
(SAR): or civilians.
Combat Search and units are equipped with armed fixed- or rotary-wing aircraft for recovery of personnel
Rescue (CSAR): from hostile territory.
Tanker (Tkr): fixed- and rotary-wing aircraft designed for air-to-air refuelling. Tkr units are equipped
with fixed- or rotary-wing aircraft used for air-to-air refuelling.
Tanker Transport platforms capable of both air-to-air refuelling and military airlift.
(Tkr/Tpt):
Transport (Tpt): fixed- and rotary-wing aircraft intended for military airlift. Light transport aircraft are
categorised as having a maximum payload of up to 11,340 kg; medium up to 27,215 kg;
and heavy above 27,215 kg. Light transport helicopters have an internal payload of up
to 2,000 kg; medium transport helicopters up to 4,535 kg; heavy transport helicopters
greater than 4,535 kg. PAX aircraft are platforms generally unsuited for transporting
cargo on the main deck. Tpt units are equipped with fixed- or rotary-wing platforms to
transport personnel or cargo.
Trainer (Trg): fixed- and rotary-wing aircraft designed primarily for the training role; some also have
the capacity to carry light to medium ordnance. Trg units are equipped with fixed- or
rotary-wing training aircraft intended for pilot or other aircrew training.
Multi-role helicopter rotary-wing platforms designed to carry out a variety of military tasks including light
(MRH): transport, armed reconnaissance and battlefield support.
Uninhabited Aerial remotely piloted or controlled unmanned fixed- or rotary-wing systems. Light UAVs are
Vehicles (UAVs): those weighing 20–150 kg; medium: 150–600 kg; and large: more than 600 kg.
Reference
Table 22 List of abbreviations for data sections
AAA anti-aircraft artillery armd armoured CV/H/L/N/S
AAM air-to-air missile ARS/H rescue and salvage ship/with aircraft carrier/helicopter/light/
AAR search-and-rescue vessel hangar nuclear powered/VSTOL
AAV amphibious assault vehicle arty artillery CW chemical warfare/weapons
AB airborne ARV armoured recovery vehicle DD/G/H/M
AS anti-submarine/submarine tender destroyer/with AShM/with
ABM anti-ballistic missile
hangar/with SAM
ABU/H sea-going buoy tender/with ASBM anti-ship ballistic missile
DDR disarmament, demobilisation and
hangar ASCM anti-ship cruise missile
reintegration
ABCV airborne combat vehicle AShM anti-ship missile
DDS dry deck shelter
ac aircraft aslt assault
def defence
ACV air-cushion vehicle/armoured ASM air-to-surface missile
det detachment
combat vehicle ASR submarine rescue craft
div division
ACS crane ship ASTT anti-submarine torpedo tube
ECM electronic countermeasures
AD air defence ASW anti-submarine warfare
ELINT electronic intelligence
ADA air-defence artillery ASuW anti-surface warfare
elm element/s
ADEX air-defence exercise AT tug/anti-tank
engr engineer
adj adjusted ATBM anti-tactical ballistic missile
EOD explosive ordnance disposal
AE auxiliary, ammunition carrier ATF tug, ocean going
EPF expeditionary fast transport vessel
AEM missile support ship ATGW anti-tank guided weapon
eqpt equipment
AEV armoured engineer vehicle Atk attack/ground attack
ESB expeditionary mobile base
AEW airborne early warning ATS tug, salvage and rescue ship
ESD expeditionary transport dock
AFD/L auxiliary floating dry dock/small AUV armoured utility vehicle
EW electronic warfare
AFS/H logistics ship/with hangar AVB aviation logistic support ship
excl excludes/excluding
AFSB afloat forward staging base avn aviation
exp expenditure
AFV armoured fighting vehicle AWT water tanker
FAC forward air control
AG misc auxiliary AX/L/S training craft/light/sail
fd field
AGB/H icebreaker/with hangar BA Budget Authority (US)
FF/G/H/M frigate/with AShM/with hangar/
AGE/H experimental auxiliary ship/with Bbr bomber with SAM
hangar BCT brigade combat team FGA fighter ground attack
AGF/H command ship/with hangar bde brigade FLD full-load displacement
AGHS hydrographic survey vessel bdgt budget flt flight
AGI intelligence collection vessel BG battlegroup FMA Foreign Military Assistance
AGM space tracking vessel BMD ballistic-missile defence FS/G/H/M corvette/with AShM/with hangar/
AGOR oceanographic research vessel BMEWS ballistic missile early warning with SAM
AGOS oceanographic surveillance vessel system Ftr fighter
AGS/H survey ship/with hangar bn battalion/billion FTX field training exercise
AH hospital ship bty battery FY fiscal year
AIP air-independent propulsion C2 command and control GBU guided bomb unit
AK/L cargo ship/light casevac casualty evacuation gd guard
aka also known as cav cavalry GDP gross domestic product
AKEH dry cargo/ammunition ship cbt combat GLCM ground-launched cruise missile
AKR/H roll-on/roll-off cargo ship/with CBRN chemical, biological, radiological, GMLS Guided Missile Launching System
hangar nuclear, explosive
gp group
AKS/L stores ship/light cdo commando
HA/DR humanitarian assistance/disaster
ALCM air-launched cruise missile C/G/H/M/N relief
amb ambulance cruiser/with AShM/with hangar/
hel helicopter
amph amphibious/amphibian with SAM/nuclear-powered
how howitzer
AO/S oiler/small CISR combat ISR
HQ headquarters
AOE fast combat support ship CIMIC civil–military cooperation
HUMINT human intelligence
AOR/L/H fleet replenishment oiler with RAS CIWS close-in weapons system
HWT heavyweight torpedo
capability/light/with hangar COIN counter-insurgency
hy heavy
AOT/L oiler transport/light comd command
IBU inshore boat unit
AP armour-piercing/anti-personnel/ COMINT communications intelligence
transport ship ICBM intercontinental ballistic missile
comms communications
APB barracks ship IFV infantry fighting vehicle
coy company
APC armoured personnel carrier IIR imaging infrared
CP command post
Reference
INS inertial navigation system MRBM medium-range ballistic missile SARH semi-active radar homing
int intelligence MRH multi-role helicopter sat satellite
IOC Initial Operating Capability MRL multiple rocket launcher SDV swimmer delivery vehicles
IR infrared MS/A/C/D/I/O/R SEAD suppression of enemy air defence
IRBM intermediate-range ballistic mine sweeper/auxiliary/coastal/ SF special forces
missile drone/inshore/ocean/river SHORAD short-range air defence
ISD in-service date msl missile SIGINT signals intelligence
ISR intelligence, surveillance and mtn mountain sigs signals
reconnaissance MW mine warfare SLBM submarine-launched ballistic
ISTAR intelligence, surveillance, target n.a. not applicable missile
acquisition and reconnaissance n.k. not known SLCM submarine-launched cruise missile
JOINTEX joint exercise NBC nuclear, biological, chemical SLEP service-life-extension programme
LACM land-attack cruise missile NCO non-commissioned officer SP self-propelled
LC/A/AC/H/M/PA/P/L/T/U/VP nm nautical mile Spec Ops special operations
landing craft/assault/air cushion/ nuc nuclear SPAAGM self-propelled anti-aircraft gun
heavy/medium/personnel air O & M operations and maintenance and missile system
cushion/personnel/large/tank/
utility/vehicles and personnel obs observation/observer spt support
LCC amphibious command ship OCU operational conversion unit sqn squadron
LGB laser-guided bomb OP observation post SRBM short-range ballistic missile
LHA landing ship assault op/ops operational/operations SS submarine
LHD amphibious assault ship OPFOR opposition training force SSA submersible auxiliary support
org organised/organisation vessel
LIFT lead-in ftr trainer
OPV offshore patrol vessel SSAN submersible auxiliary support
LKA amphibious cargo ship vessel (nuclear)
LLI long-lead items para paratroop/parachute
PAX passenger/passenger transport SSBN nuclear-powered ballistic-missile
lnchr launcher submarine
aircraft
LoA letter of acceptance SSC coastal submarine
PB/C/F/G/I/M/R/T
log logistic patrol boat/coastal/fast/with SSG guided-missile submarine
LoI letter of intent AShM/inshore/with SAM/riverine/ SSI inshore submarine
LP/D/H landing platform/dock/helicopter with torpedo SSGN nuclear-powered guided-missile
LRIP low-rate initial production PC/C/F/G/H/I/M/O/R/T submarine
LS/D/L/LH/M/T patrol craft/coastal/fast/guided SSK attack submarine (hunter-killer)
landing ship/dock/logistic/logistic missile/with hangar/inshore/with SSM surface-to-surface missile
helicopter/medium/tank CIWS missile or SAM/offshore/ SSN nuclear-powered attack
lt light riverine/with torpedo submarine
LWT lightweight torpedo pdr pounder SSR security-sector reform
maint maintenance pers personnel SSW midget submarine
MANPAD man-portable air-defence system PG/G/GF/H str strength
MANPATS man-portable anti-tank system patrol gunboat/guided missile/
fast attack craft/hydrofoil surv surveillance
MAREX maritime exercise sy security
PGM precision-guided munitions
MBT main battle tank t tonnes
PH/G/M/T patrol hydrofoil/with AShM/with
MC/C/CS/D/I/O tac tactical
SAM/with torpedo
mine countermeasure coastal/ tch technical
command and support/diving pl platoon
support/inshore/ocean PKO peacekeeping operations temp temporary
MCM mine countermeasures PoR programme of record tk tank
MCMV mine countermeasures vessel PPP purchasing-power parity tkr tanker
MD military district PPV protected patrol vehicle TMD theatre missile defence
MDT mine diving tender PRH passive radar-homing torp torpedo
mech mechanised
prepo pre-positioned tpt transport
med medium/medical PSO/H peace support operations or tr trillion
medevac medical evacuation offshore patrol ship/with hangar trg training
MH/C/D/I/O PTF semi-submersible vessel TRV torpedo recovery vehicle
mine hunter/coastal/drone/ ptn pontoon bridging TT torpedo tube
inshore/ocean quad quadruple UAV unmanned/uninhabited aerial
mil military R&D research and development vehicle
MIRV multiple independently targetable RCL recoilless launcher UCAC utility craft air cushioned
re-entry vehicle recce reconnaissance UCAV unmanned combat air vehicle
mk mark (model number) regt regiment utl utility
ML minelayer RFI request for information UUV unmanned/uninhabited
MLU mid-life update RFP request for proposals underwater vehicle
mne marine RIB rigid inflatable boat veh vehicle
mod modified/modification RL rocket launcher VLB vehicle launched bridge
mor mortar ro-ro roll-on, roll-off VLS vertical launch system
mot motorised/motor RRC/F/U rapid-reaction corps/force/unit VSHORAD very short-range air defence
MoU memorandum of understanding RV re-entry vehicle WFU withdrawn from use
MP maritime patrol/military police rvn riverine wg wing
MR maritime reconnaissance/motor SAM surface-to-air missile
rifle SAR search and rescue
Defence Spending Defence Spending Defence Spending Active Armed Estimated Active
current US$ m per capita (current US$) % of GDP Forces (000) Reservists (000) Paramilitary (000)
2016 2017 2018 2016 2017 2018 2016 2017 2018 2019 2019 2019
North America
Canada 15,738 18,563 18,235 445 521 508 1.02 1.12 1.05 67 27 5
United States 593,371 598,722 643,266 1,831 1,833 1,954 3.17 3.07 3.14 1,359 846 0
Total 609,109 617,285 661,501 1,695 1,704 1,812 3.01 2.92 2.97 1,426 873 5
Europe
Albania 114 110 131 39 37 43 0.99 0.86 0.87 8 0 1
Austria 2,888 3,158 3,384 331 361 385 0.74 0.76 0.74 21 158 0
Belgium 3,861 4,513 4,984 338 393 431 0.83 0.91 0.93 27 0 5
Bosnia-Herzegovina 165 165 172 43 43 45 0.97 0.00 0.86 11 0 0
Bulgaria 671 677 724 94 95 103 1.26 1.19 1.14 31 3 0
Croatia 591 658 758 137 153 178 1.14 1.20 1.26 15 18 3
Cyprus 335 397 417 278 325 337 1.66 1.83 1.74 15 50 1
Czech Republic 1,955 2,247 2,748 183 211 257 1.00 1.04 1.12 23 0 0
Denmark 3,514 3,780 4,246 628 674 731 1.15 1.16 1.20 15 46 0
Estonia 499 544 641 396 434 515 2.14 2.09 2.17 6 28 0
Finland 3,100 3,195 3,406 564 579 615 1.30 1.26 1.23 22 216 3
France 46,784 48,699 53,365 700 726 792 1.90 1.88 1.91 204 36 103
Germany 37,943 41,784 45,686 470 518 568 1.09 1.13 1.13 180 28 0
Greece 4,598 4,731 4,896 427 439 455 2.39 2.36 2.25 142 221 4
Hungary 1,061 1,290 1,637 107 131 167 0.84 0.93 1.05 28 20 12
Iceland 46 55 41 136 162 119 0.22 0.22 0.15 0 0 0
Ireland 994 1,040 1,122 201 208 221 0.33 0.31 0.31 9 4 0
Table 23 International comparisons of defence expenditure and military personnel
Italy 22,112 22,887 24,870 357 368 400 1.19 1.18 1.19 171 18 176
Latvia 407 531 684 207 273 355 1.48 1.75 1.99 6 16 0
Lithuania 637 817 1,057 223 289 378 1.49 1.73 2.02 20 7 14
Luxembourg 205 280 404 352 471 668 0.35 0.45 0.59 1 0 1
Macedonia (FYROM) 106 114 125 50 54 59 0.99 1.01 1.01 8 5 8
Malta 58 64 70 139 155 156 0.51 0.51 0.49 2 0 0
Montenegro 68 75 79 106 117 129 1.56 1.57 1.47 2 0 10
Netherlands 9,121 10,113 11,297 536 592 659 1.16 1.22 1.24 35 5 6
Norway 6,000 6,196 6,798 1,140 1,165 1,265 1.62 1.55 1.54 23 40 0
Poland 9,101 9,981 10,812 236 259 281 1.93 1.90 1.97 118 0 73
Reference 513
Reference
Defence Spending Defence Spending Defence Spending Active Armed Estimated Active
current US$ m per capita (current US$) % of GDP Forces (000) Reservists (000) Paramilitary (000)
2016 2017 2018 2016 2017 2018 2016 2017 2018 2019 2019 2019
Portugal 2,443 2,527 2,582 225 233 249 1.19 1.16 1.09 27 212 25
Romania 2,763 3,643 4,631 128 169 216 1.46 1.72 1.93 69 50 57
Serbia 501 546 707 70 77 100 1.31 1.32 1.48 28 50 4
Slovakia 974 1,118 1,283 179 205 236 1.09 1.16 1.20 16 0 0
Slovenia 446 474 532 225 240 253 1.00 0.97 0.97 7 2 0
Spain 9,975 13,353 15,117 205 273 306 0.81 1.02 1.05 120 15 76
Sweden 5,738 5,935 6,224 581 596 620 1.12 1.11 1.12 30 0 0
514 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Switzerland 4,653 4,786 4,972 569 581 600 0.69 0.70 0.70 21 135 0
Turkey 8,664 7,885 7,897 108 98 97 1.00 0.93 1.11 355 379 157
United Kingdom 52,965 52,350 56,105 822 808 862 1.98 1.99 2.00 148 80 0
Total 246,056 260,718 284,605 393 415 452 1.33 1.35 1.37 1,966 1,841 738
Russia and Eurasia
Armenia 431 435 506 141 143 166 4.09 3.77 4.04 45 210 4
Azerbaijan 1,395 1,554 1,611 141 156 160 3.69 3.82 3.53 67 300 15
Belarus 506 531 604 53 56 63 1.06 0.98 1.06 45 290 110
Georgia 319 307 322 65 62 65 2.22 2.02 1.93 21 0 5
Kazakhstan 1,134 1,265 1,590 62 68 85 0.83 0.79 0.86 39 0 32
Kyrgyzstan n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. 11 0 10
Moldova 27 31 37 8 9 11 0.34 0.32 0.32 5 58 2
Russia [a] 44,470 45,695 45,349 312 321 319 3.46 2.90 2.88 900 2,000 554
Tajikistan 194 194 217 23 23 25 2.79 2.72 2.95 9 0 8
Turkmenistan n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. 37 0 5
Table 23 International comparisons of defence expenditure and military personnel
Algeria 10,218 10,077 9,928 254 246 238 6.38 6.01 5.27 130 150 187
Bahrain 1,523 1,480 1,480 1,105 1,049 1,026 4.73 4.19 3.77 8 0 11
Egypt 5,300 3,212 2,900 56 33 29 1.59 1.36 1.16 439 479 397
Iran 17,456 20,957 19,591 211 256 236 4.32 4.87 4.56 523 350 40
Iraq 16,976 19,271 17,259 445 492 429 9.95 10.02 7.47 64 0 145
Israel 19,868 18,892 18,536 2,430 2,276 2,200 6.25 5.39 5.07 170 465 8
Jordan 1,474 1,635 1,635 180 160 156 3.81 4.07 3.90 101 65 15
Kuwait 5,743 5,791 6,179 2,027 2,014 2,119 5.18 4.80 4.28 18 24 7
Lebanon 1,740 1,866 2,122 279 300 348 3.38 3.44 3.74 60 0 20
Libya n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k.
Reference 515
Reference
Defence Spending Defence Spending Defence Spending Active Armed Estimated Active
current US$ m per capita (current US$) % of GDP Forces (000) Reservists (000) Paramilitary (000)
2016 2017 2018 2016 2017 2018 2016 2017 2018 2019 2019 2019
Mauritania 138 145 158 37 39 41 2.94 2.93 3.04 16 0 5
Morocco 3,327 3,491 3,633 99 103 106 3.22 3.19 3.07 196 150 50
Oman 9,102 8,687 8,947 2,713 2,537 2,561 13.80 12.27 10.95 43 0 4
Palestinian Territories n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. 0 0 n.k.
Qatar n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. 17 0 5
Saudi Arabia 81,526 89,067 82,933 2,895 3,117 2,506 12.64 12.97 10.77 227 0 25
Syria n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. 139 0 100
516 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Cuba n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. 49 39 27
Dominican Republic 458 496 603 43 46 59 0.63 0.65 0.74 56 0 15
Ecuador 1,565 1,565 1,698 97 96 103 1.57 1.50 1.58 40 118 1
El Salvador 146 146 141 24 24 23 0.61 0.59 0.55 25 10 17
Guatemala 289 260 256 19 17 15 0.42 0.34 0.32 18 64 25
Guyana 51 57 56 69 77 76 1.46 1.60 1.55 3 1 0
Haiti 7 7 8 1 1 1 0.09 0.08 0.08 0 0 0
Honduras 297 267 329 33 30 36 1.37 1.16 1.38 15 60 8
Jamaica 139 142 228 47 47 81 0.99 0.96 1.48 4 1 0
Mexico 4,917 4,568 5,227 40 37 41 0.46 0.40 0.44 277 82 59
Nicaragua 73 84 82 12 14 13 0.55 0.60 0.61 12 0 0
Defence Spending Defence Spending Defence Spending Active Armed Estimated Active
current US$ m per capita (current US$) % of GDP Forces (000) Reservists (000) Paramilitary (000)
2016 2017 2018 2016 2017 2018 2016 2017 2018 2019 2019 2019
Panama 751 746 738 203 199 194 1.30 1.21 1.12 0 0 26
Paraguay 267 273 313 39 39 45 0.74 0.70 0.75 12 165 15
Peru 2,225 2,166 2,301 72 70 73 1.14 1.01 1.00 81 188 77
Suriname n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. 2 0 0
Trinidad and Tobago 1,622 1,125 920 1,329 923 757 7.16 4.94 3.95 4 0 0
Uruguay 489 515 486 146 153 144 0.93 0.87 0.80 21 0 1
Venezuela 1,273 741 n.k. 41 24 n.k. 0.54 0.35 n.k. 123 8 220
Total** 56,975 63,831 61,582 92 102 97 1.14 1.16 1.18 1,559 2,151 1,195
Sub-Saharan Africa
Angola 2,968 3,233 2,215 147 110 73 3.11 2.60 1.85 107 0 10
Benin 98 117 91 9 11 8 1.14 1.27 0.82 7 0 5
Botswana 561 512 572 254 231 254 3.58 2.98 3.07 9 0 0
Burkina Faso 150 192 315 8 10 16 1.32 1.53 2.16 11 0 0
Burundi 66 64 65 6 6 5 2.12 1.87 1.70 30 0 1
Cameroon 388 411 432 16 16 17 1.20 1.21 1.11 15 0 9
Cape Verde 11 10 11 19 17 20 0.64 0.56 0.56 1 0 0
Central African Rep 27 31 33 5 5 6 1.53 1.58 1.50 7 0 1
Chad 159 176 185 13 15 12 1.58 1.78 1.61 30 0 5
Congo 562 490 295 116 99 58 7.22 5.75 2.82 10 0 2
Côte d'Ivoire 755 829 935 32 34 36 2.08 2.05 1.94 27 0 n.k.
Dem Republic of the Congo 442 301 289 5 4 3 1.12 0.73 0.68 134 0 0
Djibouti n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. 10 0 3
Table 23 International comparisons of defence expenditure and military personnel
Equatorial Guinea n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. 1 0 0
Eritrea n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. 202 120 0
Ethiopia 451 492 469 4 5 4 0.62 0.61 0.55 138 0 0
Gabon 203 267 263 117 150 124 1.45 1.75 1.51 5 0 2
Gambia n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. 1 0 0
Ghana 195 189 211 7 7 8 0.45 0.40 0.41 16 0 0
Guinea 162 200 165 13 16 14 1.91 2.06 1.52 10 0 3
Guinea-Bissau n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. n.k. 4 0 0
Kenya 1,222 1,199 1,275 26 25 26 1.73 1.51 1.44 24 0 5
Lesotho 44 56 51 23 28 26 1.82 2.01 1.75 2 0 0
Reference 517
Reference
Defence Spending Defence Spending Defence Spending Active Armed Estimated Active
current US$ m per capita (current US$) % of GDP Forces (000) Reservists (000) Paramilitary (000)
2016 2017 2018 2016 2017 2018 2016 2017 2018 2019 2019 2019
Liberia 13 14 16 3 3 3 0.39 0.44 0.48 2 0 0
Madagascar 59 67 75 2 3 3 0.59 0.58 0.59 14 0 8
Malawi 29 38 21 2 2 1 0.53 0.61 0.31 11 0 4
Mali 546 655 731 31 37 40 3.89 4.28 4.08 10 0 8
Mauritius 215 234 221 160 172 162 1.77 1.88 1.66 0 0 3
Mozambique 102 93 131 4 4 5 0.91 0.74 0.91 11 0 0
Namibia 404 481 457 166 194 180 3.69 3.79 3.44 10 0 6
518 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
Total** 17,190 17,955 17,714 17 18 17 1.16 1.13 1.04 1,555 213 228
Summary
North America 609,109 617,285 661,501 1,695 1,704 1,812 3.01 2.92 2.97 1,426 873 5
Europe 246,056 260,718 284,605 393 415 452 1.33 1.35 1.37 1,966 1,841 738
Russia and Eurasia 51,033 52,811 53,509 179 185 187 2.91 2.54 2.51 1,435 3,758 853
Asia 365,180 384,630 410,929 91 95 101 1.46 1.44 1.43 9,350 13,346 3,779
Middle East and North Africa 175,367 185,404 176,217 411 431 394 5.76 5.88 5.10 2,287 1,683 1,031
Latin America and the
56,975 63,831 61,582 92 102 97 1.14 1.16 1.18 1,559 2,151 1,195
Caribbean
Sub-Saharan Africa 17,190 17,955 17,714 17 18 17 1.16 1.13 1.04 1,555 213 228
Global totals 1,520,909 1,582,632 1,666,057 208 214 223 2.02 1.99 1.98 19,578 23,863 7,829
* Estimates. **Totals exclude defence-spending estimates for states where insufficient official information is available in order to enable approximate comparisons of regional defence-spending between years
[a] ‘National Defence’ budget chapter. Excludes other defence-related expenditures included under other budget lines (e.g. pensions) – see Table 11, p.175
Reference 519