BSP WEATHER FORECAST: AMPA AND COASTAL AREA Valid: 13 August 2020 06:00

Fugro Contact BSP TSM/3 Contact

Forecaster Name : Bobby Contact Person 1 : Adrian Yong Jet Xiang BSP-TSM/42 ext 4012
Email : meto@fugro.com Contact Person 2 : Mohd-Yussof, Mohd-Zulfadli
Contact Number : +65 6908 2555 BSP-TSM/3 ext 8950
Weather Forecast Website : http://servmo-s-1072.bsp.shell.bn/DailyForecast/BSPForecast.pdf

SYNOPTIC SUMMARY: 12-HR WEATHER SUMMARY AND WARNINGS:

Relatively higher pressure covers interior Borneo with weak pressure gradients persisting over
HIGH RISK OF 25-35KN SQUALLS NEAR
offshore Brunei. Local/ diurnal effects will prevail over nearshore areas. Light to moderate winds are
expected except during thunderstorm/squall occurrence with combined seas of 0.4m or less
THUNDERSTORMS WITH TEMPORARILY RAISED SEAS.
throughout. Weather: Showers/Thunderstorms
Visibility: 7-10km
Lightning Risk: HIGH
Max Sustained Wind (Ws10): 11 knots
Max Significant Wave Height (Hs): 0.3 metres
Local Time WINDS WIND WAVES + SWELL = TOTAL SEA WEATHER
(GMT+8) Dir Ws10m Wg10m Ws50m Wg50m Dir Hs Tp Dir Hs Tp Dir Hs Hmax Tp Vis CB Prec
[°] [kn] [kn] [kn] [kn] [°] [m] [s] [°] [m] [s] [°] [m] [m] [s] [km] [ft] [mm/hr]
Thursday, 13 August 2020
06:00 195° 11 14 13 15 195° 0.3 3 280° 0.1 3 280° 0.3 0.6 3 6 1700 2.9
07:00 210° 11 14 13 15 210° 0.3 3 280° 0.1 3 280° 0.3 0.5 3 6 1700 2.2
08:00 210° 10 13 12 14 210° 0.3 3 280° 0.1 4 280° 0.3 0.5 4 7 1700 1.1
09:00 215° 10 13 12 14 215° 0.3 3 280° 0.1 4 280° 0.3 0.5 4 10 1700 0.0
10:00 225° 9 12 11 12 225° 0.3 3 280° 0.1 4 280° 0.3 0.5 4 10 1700 0.0
11:00 245° 9 11 10 12 245° 0.3 3 280° 0.1 4 280° 0.3 0.5 4 10 1700 0.0
12:00 240° 10 12 11 13 240° 0.3 3 280° 0.1 4 280° 0.3 0.5 4 10 1600 0.0
13:00 230° 10 13 12 14 230° 0.3 3 280° 0.1 4 280° 0.3 0.5 4 10 1400 0.0
14:00 235° 10 13 12 14 235° 0.3 3 280° 0.1 4 280° 0.3 0.5 4 10 1600 0.0
15:00 245° 10 13 12 14 245° 0.3 3 280° 0.1 4 280° 0.3 0.5 4 10 1700 0.0
16:00 245° 9 12 11 12 245° 0.2 3 280° 0.1 4 280° 0.2 0.4 4 8 1800 0.6
17:00 240° 8 10 10 11 240° 0.2 3 280° 0.1 4 280° 0.2 0.4 4 8 2000 0.8
18:00 260° 8 10 10 11 260° 0.2 3 280° 0.1 4 280° 0.2 0.4 4 7 2300 1.0
19:00 285° 6 8 7 8 285° 0.1 2 280° 0.1 4 280° 0.1 0.2 4 10 2400 0.0
20:00 305° 5 6 6 7 305° 0.1 1 280° 0.1 4 280° 0.1 0.2 4 10 2300 0.0
21:00 310° 5 6 6 7 310° 0.1 1 280° 0.1 4 280° 0.1 0.2 4 10 2400 0.0
22:00 330° 4 6 5 6 330° 0.1 1 280° 0.1 4 280° 0.1 0.2 4 10 2600 0.0
23:00 015° 3 4 4 5 015° 0.1 1 280° 0.1 4 280° 0.1 0.2 4 10 2600 0.0
Friday, 14 August 2020
00:00 005° 3 3 3 3 005° 0.1 1 280° 0.1 4 280° 0.1 0.2 4 10 2600 0.0
01:00 010° 2 3 3 3 010° 0.1 1 280° 0.1 4 280° 0.1 0.2 4 10 2600 0.0
02:00 345° 2 3 3 3 345° 0.1 1 280° 0.1 4 280° 0.1 0.2 4 8 2600 0.7
03:00 070° 4 5 4 5 070° 0.1 1 280° 0.1 4 280° 0.1 0.2 4 7 2300 1.1
04:00 095° 9 11 10 12 095° 0.1 3 280° 0.1 4 280° 0.1 0.2 4 9 1700 0.4
05:00 080° 5 7 7 8 080° 0.1 2 280° 0.1 4 280° 0.1 0.2 4 10 2000 0.0
06:00 050° 6 8 7 8 050° 0.1 2 280° 0.1 4 280° 0.1 0.2 4 10 2300 0.0
12:00 045° 8 10 10 11 045° 0.2 3 280° 0.1 4 280° 0.2 0.4 4 10 2400 0.0
18:00 020° 7 10 9 10 020° 0.2 2 280° 0.1 4 280° 0.2 0.4 4 10 2100 0.0
Saturday, 15 August 2020
00:00 035° 4 5 5 5 035° 0.1 1 280° 0.1 5 280° 0.1 0.2 5 10 2700 0.0
06:00 030° 1 2 2 2 030° 0.1 1 280° 0.1 5 280° 0.1 0.2 5 10 2800 0.0
12:00 205° 3 3 3 4 205° 0.1 1 280° 0.1 5 280° 0.1 0.2 5 9 1800 0.0
18:00 305° 6 8 7 8 305° 0.1 2 280° 0.1 5 280° 0.1 0.2 5 10 2800 0.0
Sunday, 16 August 2020
00:00 015° 3 3 3 4 015° 0.1 1 280° 0.1 5 280° 0.1 0.2 5 10 2900 0.0
06:00 190° 4 5 5 5 190° 0.1 1 280° 0.1 5 280° 0.1 0.2 5 10 2300 0.0
12:00 215° 4 6 5 6 215° 0.1 1 280° 0.2 5 280° 0.2 0.4 5 10 1900 0.0
18:00 290° 11 15 13 15 290° 0.2 3 280° 0.2 5 280° 0.3 0.5 5 10 2000 0.0
Monday, 17 August 2020
00:00 310° 6 8 7 8 310° 0.1 2 280° 0.3 5 280° 0.3 0.5 5 9 1900 0.4
06:00 295° 7 10 9 10 295° 0.1 2 280° 0.3 5 280° 0.3 0.5 5 8 2300 0.7
12:00 280° 7 9 8 10 280° 0.1 2 280° 0.4 5 280° 0.4 0.7 5 10 2500 0.0

Notes: This forecast is in hourly intervals for the first 24 hours, then 6 hourly thereafter. This forecast has been determined by Duty Forecaster.
Confidence: Model agreement is MODERATE over the next 48 hours.
BSP WEATHER FORECAST: AMPA AND COASTAL AREA Valid: 13 August 2020 06:00
Fugro Contact BSP TSM/3 Contact
Forecaster Name : Bobby Contact Person 1 : Adrian Yong Jet Xiang BSP-TSM/42 ext 4012
Email : meto@fugro.com Contact Person 2 : Mohd-Yussof, Mohd-Zulfadli
Contact Number : +65 6908 2555 BSP-TSM/3 ext 8950
Weather Forecast Website : http://servmo-s-1072.bsp.shell.bn/DailyForecast/BSPForecast.pdf

10m Wind Speed 10m Wind Gust

Wind Speed 50m Wind Speed 50m Wind Gust

WNW

WNW

WNW

WSW
WSW

SSW

SSW
NNE

NNE
SW

NE

NE

W
N
N

S
S

40

35

30

25
Wind Speed [knots]

20

15

10

0
13/06

13/12

13/18

14/00

14/06

14/12

14/18

15/00

15/06

15/12

15/18

16/00

16/06

16/12

16/18

17/00

17/06

17/12

17/18
Swell

Swell Period [seconds] Wave Heights Hmax

Hs
3 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
4.5

3.5

3
Wave Height [metres]

2.5

1.5

0.5

0
13/06

13/18

14/06

14/18

15/06

15/18

16/00

16/06

16/12

16/18

17/00

17/12
13/12

14/00

14/12

15/00

15/12

17/06

17/18
BSP WEATHER FORECAST: AMPA AND COASTAL AREA Valid: 13 August 2020 06:00
Fugro Contact BSP TSM/3 Contact
Forecaster Name : Bobby Contact Person 1 : Adrian Yong Jet Xiang BSP-TSM/42 ext 4012
Email : meto@fugro.com Contact Person 2 : Mohd-Yussof, Mohd-Zulfadli
Contact Number : +65 6908 2555 BSP-TSM/3 ext 8950
Weather Forecast Website : http://servmo-s-1072.bsp.shell.bn/DailyForecast/BSPForecast.pdf

WEATHER WINDOWS FORECAST

13 Aug 14 Aug 15 Aug 16 Aug 17 Aug

06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06
Heavy Lift ________________________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
Limit: 15kn or 1.0m Seas (Marginal 12kn or 0.8m)
SBM Operations ________________________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
Limit: 20kn or 1.5m Seas (Marginal 16kn or 1.2m)
LNG Operations ________________________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
Limit: 20kn or 2.0m Seas (Marginal 16kn or 1.6m)
Inshore Survey ________________________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
Limit: 20kn or 1.0m Seas (Marginal 16kn or 0.8m)
Jack Up Rig Ops ________________________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
Limit: 20kn or 2.0m Seas or 6s (Marginal 16kn, 1.6m, 5s)
Tender-Assist Ops ________________________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
Limit: 20kn or 2.0m Seas (Marginal 16kn or 1.6m)
Offshore Survey ________________________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
Limit: 20kn or 2.0m Seas (Marginal 16kn or 1.6m)
Diving Operations ________________________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
Limit: 20kn or 2.0m Seas (Marginal 16kn or 1.6m)
Towing Operation ________________________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
Limit: 20kn or 2.0m Seas (Marginal 16kn or 1.6m)
Vessel Passenger ________________________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
Limit: 20kn or 1.5m Seas (Marginal 16kn or 1.2m)
Anchor Handling ________________________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
Limit: 20kn or 2.0m Seas (Marginal 16kn or 1.6m)
Offshore Supply ________________________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
Limit: 20kn or 2.0m Seas (Marginal 16kn or 1.6m)

Hour 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06
Winds 6 8 7 4 4 3 6 3 4 4 11 6 7
Sig Sea 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3
Period 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
Swell 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3
Swell Dir 280 280 280 280 280 280 280 280 280 280 280 280 280

Legend
Above Operational Limit ___
Above Marginal Limit __
Safe for Operation _

Notes: Forecast is based on model outputs with adjustments made by Duty Forecaster based on validation against real measurements. Weather
Windows are based on conditions forecast in table.
Please consult with Forecaster on duty or TSM/3 for clarification.
BSP WEATHER FORECAST: AMPA AND COASTAL AREA Valid: 13 August 2020 06:00

Fugro Contact BSP TSM/3 Contact

Forecaster Name : Bobby Contact Person 1 : Adrian Yong Jet Xiang BSP-TSM/42 ext 4012
Email : meto@fugro.com Contact Person 2 : Mohd-Yussof, Mohd-Zulfadli
Contact Number : +65 6908 2555 BSP-TSM/3 ext 8950
Weather Forecast Website : http://servmo-s-1072.bsp.shell.bn/DailyForecast/BSPForecast.pdf

48-hour Thunderstorm Risk Outlook for AMPA operating area

6:16 AM 6:33 PM Total accumulated rainfall @Ampa possible over

Sunrise Sunset next 12 hours: 6.12mm
HIGH TIDE LOW TIDE
14/8 06:00 0.393 metres 13/8 14:00 -0.451 metres

Probability of Precipitation Risk Severe Thunderstorms

Temperature and Precipitation Temperature
29.0 100%
90%

Probability of Precipitation
28.5
80%
70%
28.0
Degrees C

60%
27.5 50%
40%
27.0
30%
20%
26.5
10%
26.0 0%
13/06LT 13/12LT 13/18LT 14/00LT 14/06LT 14/12LT 14/18LT 15/00LT 15/06LT

Thunderstorm probability represents combined risk across operations area, derived directly from model output and not processed by a forecaster.
Satellite image timestamp: 13/08/2020 03:54

Champion
Fairley

Ampa
Anduki